Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 117 - 9/11/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 117 - 9/11/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:17
Hello, and welcome to episode 117 of the All Systems Go sports
0:23
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:26
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:33
Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
0:36
week. We are one day closer to
0:38
football coming back to us in terms of Thursday night showdown
0:42
here. I'm already looking at Buffalo.
0:43
Miami mentioned that little bit yesterday, but I'm leaning Miami
0:47
here, going to give it another day.
0:48
The open -2 one and a half, two, they're up to now, 2 1/2.
0:52
You do have some some good angles here historically with
0:55
Thursday night home favorites, which are cashing roughly 75% of
0:59
the time straight up. So I'm leaning a little bit on
1:01
Miami laying the points here. And I did notice really good
1:04
bets put on Miami. Dolphins are only getting around
1:07
half the tickets, but nearly 70% of money in their favor.
1:11
So stay tuned. We'll have a full breakdown
1:13
tomorrow. Probably have a player prop bet
1:15
for you as well. But I'm leaning Miami early.
1:17
And then we do have some college football for tomorrow, Arizona
1:21
State, Texas State, we have some Friday Night Lights as well.
1:24
I just mentioned yesterday's pod that I wrote an early sharp
1:27
report for visen.com. We talked about a few games
1:30
there that have already taken in some smart money.
1:32
So it's kind of that midweek kind of doldrums waiting for
1:35
football to return. We're only one day away here,
1:38
guys. We're going to continue to keep
1:40
our eye on the NFL Week 2 slate. I just produced or wrote my
1:45
sharp report for NFL Week 2. So I want to hit on a couple
1:47
early games that are catching my eye and kind of get into the
1:50
kind of the metamorphosis, the daily and weekly routine of
1:53
betting NFL in terms of locating early moves, tracking them all
1:57
week, looking to see where the bet splits come down.
2:00
Where the system matches. Week 2 is also known as
2:02
overreaction week, where based upon how A-Team played in Week
2:06
1, either the betting public's going to want nothing to do with
2:08
them because they look bad or they're going to want to ride
2:11
A-Team because they look good. But we're going to kind of flip
2:13
it the other way and maybe buy low on some teams that didn't
2:16
play well because if you look at in particular, dogs coming off a
2:20
loss in week one, they performed very well historically.
2:23
They're cat. They're covering numbers upwards
2:25
of 60%. So I'll give my early sharp
2:28
report for NFL Week 2 and then we're going to get right back to
2:31
some Major League Baseball. I have a three pack of sweats
2:34
for you in MLB, seeing if we can go 2 and one and eke out a
2:37
profit. Now, looking back toward
2:39
yesterday, three and two won three of our 5 baseball bats,
2:43
but because we laid some minus numbers, minus 0.2 units, so
2:47
basically a wash here. But we did have some good wins,
2:50
including the Arizona Snakes. Really wasn't much of A sweat
2:53
there. Arizona came through for the
2:54
team. 6 nothing. If you're paying attention at
2:57
home, Those who are monitoring the win total here because like
3:01
you, I have the over 83 1/2 wins for Arizona.
3:05
Well, last night was their 81st win, so we need three more wins
3:08
to cash that over. Also a Detroit with a rocking
3:10
chair winner. 11 nothing good sharp steam in their favor they
3:13
came through and then the Pittsburgh Pirates also had a
3:16
big win for us six to four the losers unfortunately were
3:20
Seattle good sharp move in their favor just couldn't do anything
3:23
offensively San Diego got that one and then San Fran.
3:27
I was hoping we might have a comeback in that spot beat the
3:30
closing line got a plus one O 5 closed around even money, but
3:33
they lost three to two couldn't get anything going with the bats
3:35
there. So either way, guys, we're going
3:37
to turn the page and see if we can have a winning baseball day
3:40
and then talk a little bit about some early line moves in the NFL
3:43
for Week 2. So without further ado, let's
3:45
get right back to the Major League slate slate here for
3:48
today because I found an early game that is catching my eye
3:51
3:40 PM Eastern Time looking at the Texas Rangers and the
3:55
Arizona stakes. Arizona obviously had a big win
3:57
for us last night and I'm going to keep riding them.
3:59
I'm going to Arizona again for today.
4:01
So early matchup as I mentioned, 3:40 PM Eastern Time pitching
4:05
match up here is Cody Bradford. He is going for Texas.
4:09
He's five and two, 3.05 ERA. Merrill Kelly gets the ball here
4:13
for Arizona. He's four and O of the 4.08 ERA.
4:16
What have we seen across the market?
4:19
Good sharp steam in favor of Arizona.
4:21
Arizona open this game as low as a -, 135 home favorite.
4:25
Now Arizona's up to around -150 -, 155 SA very clear one way
4:30
line move good steam in favor of the snakes about $0.20 in their
4:33
favor. Now Arizona's getting around 70%
4:36
of bets but little more than 75% of dollars.
4:39
So public as well as some smart money here pro and Joe in favor
4:43
of Arizona. Now, couple things like about
4:46
Arizona here in terms of system matches, classic interleague
4:49
favorite, lack of familiarity, benefiting quote UN quote the
4:52
better team, but in particular, interleague home favorites who
4:55
made the playoffs the previous year, Interleague home fave.
4:58
You got the last at bat, you got the crowd, you're the favorite,
5:00
you're expected to win. Interleague lack of familiarity
5:03
and you made the playoffs the previous year, which means
5:05
you're probably a pretty good team.
5:07
That system has been really good this year, 121 and 7063% with a
5:12
5% ROI. Also, Arizona is one of the
5:15
better chalk teams in baseball. They are 48 and 2566% with a 12%
5:21
ROI as a favorite, third best favorite in baseball.
5:24
Now I'm going to bank on the offense of Arizona hopefully
5:26
continuing to put up some runs like they did last night.
5:29
They're hitting 262 as a team, 186 homers, 788 runs scored.
5:35
You look at the Rangers, they're only hitting 238 with 151 homers
5:39
and 606 runs scored. If you digging these pitchers a
5:42
little bit more, Cody Bradford at home, he's been good 2.57
5:47
ERA, but he's on the road tonight and on the road he has
5:49
an ERA of nearly five. And the opposite for Meryl
5:52
Kelly, he's got a 3.1 O ERA at home at home tonight versus 5.25
5:57
on the road. So Bradford's been worse on the
5:59
road, Kelly's been better at home, and that's where we are
6:02
tonight with the game in the desert and also motivational
6:05
angle. Obviously you're looking at
6:08
Arizona right now holding down the number two wild card spot.
6:11
So you got to keep winning. So they can basically secure
6:14
that wild card spot versus Texas, who's pretty much out of
6:17
it. I think there's seven games back
6:19
and you know, time's coming up short at this point.
6:22
Also home Rd. splits wanted to mention this, but Arizona 40 and
6:25
31 at home, Texas just 29 and 41 on the road.
6:29
So Arizona was a winner for us last night.
6:31
They got good sharp steam with a lot of system matches.
6:33
Today I'm going to ride the snakes and hope that we get one,
6:36
one game closer, one win closer to catching that win total.
6:39
Give me Arizona. I got Arizona at -155 keep on
6:44
cruising. Another match up here from a
6:45
team that came through US, came through for us yesterday.
6:48
Let's see if they can do it again.
6:49
Detroit Tigers, baby Tigers at home against Colorado.
6:53
Detroit had again a great rocking chair winner for us
6:55
yesterday 11 nothing and I'm seeing similar thing today here
6:59
with some good steam on Detroit now pitching matchup.
7:02
Let's get that out of the way. We have Tanner Gordon going for
7:05
Colorado. He's O and five with a 7.55 ERA
7:09
and this poor kid when I was looking at ESPN and looking at
7:13
the game breakdown usually have the you know the photo, the bio
7:16
picture of of the starting pitcher.
7:18
Tanner Gordon doesn't have a photo.
7:19
It's just the Colorado logo. So let's let's light up this
7:22
poor kid tonight, but he's O and five 7.55 ERA Casey Mize, the
7:27
former top pick for Detroit. He's two and six 4.3 O ERA going
7:31
for the Tigers. But First off, big move toward
7:34
Detroit. Detroit open this game as low as
7:36
a -, 175 home favorite. Now they're upwards of -185 -,
7:41
190. So good sharp steam in favor of
7:43
Detroit. Now they're getting around 85%
7:45
bets, but 90% dollars. So they're good low bets, higher
7:49
dollars bet split pro and Joe in favor of Detroit.
7:52
Detroit would match a couple systems here in terms of a non
7:56
division favorite or inter league favorite.
7:58
Lack of familiarity again benefiting quote UN quote the
8:00
better team. Also you have a favorite low
8:02
total correlative betting play. Detroit is a big favorite here
8:06
getting closer to -200 and the total in this one is 8.
8:09
So if your amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
8:11
from quote UN quote that better team.
8:14
Last 10 games. Colorado is only hitting two O 4
8:16
with an ERA of four point O 8. Last 10 game for Detroit they're
8:20
hitting 235 with a 2.12 ER. They really pitched very well.
8:24
Colorado's God awful on the road. 22 and 54 were second
8:28
worst Rd. record in baseball. Only the White Sox are worse and
8:32
Detroit 36 and 34 at home. They have been profitable at
8:35
home. Digging into these pictures a
8:37
little bit. Tanner Gordon at home 5.56.
8:40
ERA on the road, 8.69 and KC Mize at home, 3.67.
8:45
ERA on the road, 5 point O 5. So we got Mize at home, Gordon
8:49
on the road. That's been the angle to play
8:52
this year. And then also the bullpen,
8:54
Colorado's bullpen, 5.44 ERA, the worst in baseball.
8:58
Detroit's bullpen is the 6th best.
9:00
And you also have Detroit fighting for a playoff spot.
9:02
So another kind of motivational angle there.
9:05
But either way, guys, good, good sharp steam here on Detroit with
9:09
a bunch of good system matches. So I'm going to go with the
9:11
Tigers two days in a row. Give me the Tigers.
9:13
I got them at -190 last butt of the night, another kind of semi
9:18
early game, 6:45 PM Eastern Time between the Atlanta Braves and
9:22
the Washington Nationals. Now looking toward last night,
9:25
guys, we had the Braves bust out the brooms 12 nothing win.
9:29
Bats got going and had an easy cruising to a win there against
9:32
Washington. Atlanta in that game was around
9:34
a -, 145 road favorite. So for the rematch here for
9:37
tonight, we have the Braves going with the lefty Max Freed.
9:41
He's nine and eight with a 3.35 ERA.
9:43
He'll be opposed by Jake Irvin, the ready for Washington.
9:46
He's 9:00 and 12:00 with a 4.28 ERA.
9:49
What have we seen across the market here?
9:51
Good steam in favor of Atlanta. The Atlanta Braves open this
9:54
game listed as low as a round of -160 Rd. favorite.
9:58
Now they're up to -175 excuse me, some shops even closer to
10:02
-180 So good line movement in their favor.
10:05
They're getting upwards of 90% of bets in dollars.
10:07
So once again, a pro and Joe bet split Publix probably just
10:10
saying right, Atlanta fade Washington, whereas wise guys
10:13
kind of saw the value of that number early on when it was
10:16
closer to -161 thing I like about this one favorite low
10:19
total. So this total is 8, maybe going
10:22
down to 7 1/2 if your amount of expected run score more likely
10:25
to come from again, quote UN quote that better team.
10:28
And then a lot of system matches with Atlanta road favorites this
10:31
year are 57% Rd. favorites getting steam $0.10 or more are
10:35
64% with a 6% ROI. And when you're a road favorite
10:39
with steam playing a team who missed the playoffs the previous
10:41
year, that system is 61 and 2968% with a 12% ROI.
10:48
Also, if you look at the offense here, much more explosive for
10:51
Atlanta. They've hit 186 homers, 622
10:54
runs. Washington's hit only $1.20
10:57
homers 600 and four runs. The Atlanta Braves are
11:00
profitable on the road. 39 and 35.
11:03
Washington just 32 and 38 at home.
11:05
Last 10 games. Atlanta much better on the bump.
11:09
1.56 ERA. Washington 6.27 ERA.
11:12
And if you dig into these pitcher pitchers a little bit
11:15
more, Max Freed at home, 3.58 ERA on the road 3.19.
11:20
He's actually been better on the road than at home and at night.
11:23
2.93 ERA in the day 4.46. So he's been better at night.
11:28
This is a night game obviously. And digging into Jake Irvin a
11:31
little bit. I want to bet against Irvin.
11:32
He posted a 6.61 ERA and six August starts and in his last
11:37
two starts, last one came in the month of September Here, he's
11:40
given up 13 runs in his last two starts.
11:44
His ERA at home is 4.83 versus 3.94 on the road.
11:47
And in the day he's been pretty good 3.1 O ERA at night, 5.34.
11:52
So there's a lot of angles here to bet against Irvin.
11:55
And then lastly, again, motivation.
11:58
You know, whether it's Arizona, Detroit here, Atlanta, Atlanta's
12:01
a team that's tied with the Mets right now for the second wild
12:03
card spot. So they got to continue to win
12:06
to keep pace and and earn that playoff berth.
12:08
We Add all up guys, good sharp steam, a lot of system matches.
12:11
I'm going to back the Braves tonight, so shop round, give me
12:14
Atlanta. Got the Braves at -175.
12:18
Now over to the NFL because again, today's a Wednesday.
12:21
No football for today, but it all comes back for us tomorrow.
12:25
But I did write a sharp report for visen.com and I wanted to
12:27
mention a few early games that caught my eye.
12:30
So mention Buffalo, Miami again. I'm leaning right now toward
12:33
Miami on the money line with that line move -1 1/2 - 2 now up
12:37
to 2 1/2. Thursday night.
12:38
Home favorites have done very well, but here's a few others
12:41
that caught my eye. One, I don't typically love
12:43
laying big spreads, but I did notice Baltimore Ravens getting
12:47
hammered at home against the Vegas Raiders.
12:49
The Ravens open this game listed around a 7 1/2 point home
12:53
favorite. Now they're up to 9 and a half
12:55
and they're getting as of right now, 84% of bets, 94% of
12:59
dollars. So I'm wondering if we get to
13:01
the key number of 10, will there be buy back on Vegas plus 10?
13:05
But the early move was laying it with Baltimore.
13:07
Now a couple things like about Baltimore would be a rest first
13:10
tired advantage. Remember Baltimore's awful loss
13:12
because you know luck Luckily for us, likely's foot hit the
13:16
hit the white line if you're AKC better like me in the opening
13:19
night game. But they played on Thursday.
13:21
Baltimore did Vegas played Sunday.
13:23
So Baltimore's rested ready to go coming off a loss.
13:26
That's a good rest first tired motivational play.
13:29
Also West Coast team going east for a 1:00 game.
13:32
It's always a difficult spot in terms of the body clock for NFL
13:35
players having to travel cross country, play games earlier than
13:38
they're used to. That's typically a fade
13:40
situation. And Lamar Jackson six and three
13:43
against the spread when he's a favorite at home of 9 1/2 points
13:47
or more. So when he's expected to cover
13:49
these big numbers at home, typically he does.
13:51
And also keep an eye out for the over here or sorry for the for
13:55
the under. I should say it open at 43.
13:58
It's down to 41 1/2. Only 33% of bets, but nearly 70%
14:02
of money is going under here. So is this, I don't know, 24 to
14:08
9 game in favor of Baltimore, something like that.
14:11
But early move is toward the Ravens laying it.
14:13
And again, if they're 9 1/2, can you take him down to 3 1/2?
14:17
You know, is that a teaser play? You can also consider that as
14:20
well. You even though it only goes
14:21
through one key number of seven. Next one here, The Jets and the
14:26
Titans. So these are two teams that I
14:27
hate because I bet on both and they both failed to cover for me
14:30
in Week 1. But anyway, Jets on the road to
14:32
Titans seeing some sharp money. Take the tech Titans and the
14:36
points this open jets -4 on the road and the public saying give
14:41
me The Jets bounce back spot Aaron Rodgers even though they
14:44
got rolled by the Niners, they'll handle the the Tennessee
14:46
Titans, right? However, currently you are
14:49
getting across the market 78% of spread bets laying it with The
14:53
Jets. Yet The Jets fell -4 down to -3
14:56
1/2. So classic reverse line move in
14:59
favor of Tennessee only getting 22% of bets.
15:01
Get the line moved in their favor.
15:03
Here's a system to remember Week 2 when 2 winless teams play each
15:07
other. The dog is 45 and 23 against the
15:09
spread, 66% with a 28% ROI since 2005.
15:14
That's a pretty good sample size.
15:16
Week two home dogs getting +6 or less, 18 and eight against the
15:20
spread, 69% since 2018. Titans also have some
15:24
correlative betting value. We saw this total drop 41 1/2
15:27
down to 40 and that is a good sign for a dog because low total
15:31
makes it harder for the favorite to cover the number.
15:33
Tennessee does have a rest first tired advantage.
15:35
Jets on a short week having played Monday night.
15:37
Tennessee with that 17 nothing lead blowing it against Chicago,
15:41
but they did play Sunday. So again, one day advantage and
15:44
mention that total could be a lower scoring game.
15:46
It fell 41 1/2 down to 40 1/2. But I was looking at the bet
15:50
splits and this one jumped out to me. 59% bets, 95% money
15:56
money, money money is on that under.
15:57
Looks like a lot of under money with the Titans and Jets.
16:01
Next one. This one goes out to my guy
16:03
Devin Fernandez because he said are you really going to make me
16:06
bet the Giants? I may make you bet the Giants.
16:08
Anyway, Giants are on the road at Washington.
16:11
Both teams. Oh, and one, both teams look
16:13
terrible in their opener. But what's interesting here is
16:17
the public is all over Washington.
16:18
Washington open as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
16:21
Some shops even open. Washington -3 and everyone's
16:24
betting the Jaden Daniels and the Commanders. 86% of spread
16:28
bets are going Washington. I kind of view this as a lesser
16:31
of two evils. Play 2 bad teams take the home
16:33
favorite. However, despite 86% of bets on
16:37
Washington guys, this line has moved toward the Giants.
16:41
Giants went from plus 2 1/2 + 3. Now the line is down to plus 1
16:45
1/2. Why is the line going to the
16:46
Giants if everyone's betting Washington?
16:48
Dead giveaway here. That looks like pros took the G
16:51
men. They would match as First off.
16:53
One of the top contrarian plays of the week.
16:55
Only 14% of bets on the G men. I don't blame him and I don't
16:59
want to bet him either, but as a data-driven person, I got to
17:01
admit they're sharp. 2 endless teams take the dog.
17:05
Divisional dogs. 54% against the spread overall.
17:08
Not just week 1, but overall since 2020.
17:11
Scott Novak, the lead ref, he's been really good to the road
17:14
team. 60% against the spread. And if you are like if like if
17:18
you like the line, move toward the giants.
17:20
I don't know how you can't. It's so gross, which makes me
17:22
like even more, but maybe you don't want to just take the 1
17:25
1/2. Well, maybe you tease the Giants
17:27
up 1 1/2 to 7 1/2. That way you go through the
17:30
three, you go through the seven. That'll be a long teaser
17:32
opportunity. Also, this total really jumped
17:35
out to me, a contrarian overplay.
17:37
It open at 41 1/2, it's up to 44.
17:40
That's notable because the over is only getting 36% of bats, but
17:44
72% of money. So public's going under get this
17:48
thing rose. I kind of like that.
17:49
Giants, Washington over 44. Good sharp contrarian overplay.
17:54
Last one for you in terms of the early games that caught my eye,
17:58
the Rams and the Arizona Cardinals.
18:01
So this one opened with the Rams listed as a short favorite.
18:04
They're about -2 1/2 on the road and the public's going Rams. 70%
18:09
of bets are on the Rams, but this is dog to fave in favor of
18:12
Arizona. Arizona went from getting 2 1/2
18:14
to now laying one, and it's juiced up in some shops.
18:17
Even went to -1 1/2. So if 70% of bets are on the
18:21
Rams, why is line going to Arizona?
18:24
Well tells me smart money came in on Arizona dog to fave line
18:27
move. They're only getting 30% bets
18:29
but 70% of dollars. Great bet split.
18:33
John Hussey the lead ref. He's a good home ref 60%
18:35
historically, but also big injury angle here for the the
18:39
Rams. Puka Nakua got hurt note boom
18:42
and then someone else think 2 of their lineman are hurt as well.
18:46
But Nakua is obviously the big one with this line going toward
18:49
Arizona. Again, is it injury?
18:51
Is it smart money? Maybe it's a combination of
18:53
both. But Arizona's gone dog to fave
18:55
and have seen that total drop. This total open at around 50.
19:00
It's down to 49. The under is only getting 39%
19:03
bets, but nearly half the money. And John Hussey, the lead ref,
19:06
is pretty good to the under, historically 56%.
19:09
So that is another game that caught my eye.
19:11
But again, a lot of games on the board here.
19:14
But to me, when I'm looking at early line moves, I kind of try
19:17
to identify them, put a pin in it, you know, check off the, you
19:21
know, the game box here so I can just monitor it.
19:23
Because when I think when you're betting NFL, there are games
19:26
early that are obvious and there are games that are kind of later
19:28
in the week that catch your eye. And also I would mention so far
19:33
we have favorites. Let's see nine and seven against
19:37
the spread and overs are nine and seven.
19:39
So the public had a good week, 1 favorites and overs.
19:42
I think you're in for a good spot.
19:44
Overreaction week where hopefully dogs and unders come
19:46
through for us, but that's something that I'll be
19:49
monitoring just generally speaking.
19:51
But that about does it guys. Another pod here in the books
19:54
talk some MLB talked an early opening sharp report here for
19:58
NFL League 2. Tomorrow we'll have of course
20:01
Thursday Night Football and then after tomorrow it's Friday and
20:04
we'll get right back to UFC biting as I'm already looking at
20:08
some sharp line moves. Hopefully that will they'll be
20:11
kind of, I don't know, further confidence when I get that bet
20:15
Split data for my buddy John Ewing.
20:17
But either way, guys, kind of the low part of the week here,
20:20
but get ready. We're about to ramp up and
20:22
that's football season. It's the roller coaster UPS, ups
20:24
and downs. But we're hopefully going to set
20:26
ourselves up for a positive week too.
20:29
Now with pod #117 in the books, this is the part of the pod
20:33
where I leave you with a few things.
20:35
Number one, I'm going to ask you a favor.
20:37
Could you please give this podcast a five star review?
20:41
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, you have the option
20:43
to click five stars and maybe leave a a nice little comment.
20:46
That'll be great as well. But the the five star review
20:49
goes a long way to rising up the ranks, you know, gaining some
20:53
credibility. If you want to recommend the pod
20:55
to a friend, word of mouth is always great if there's an
20:57
option to click follow that way as soon as the pod drops, you
21:00
get alerted to it, that'll be fantastic as well.
21:03
Secondly, if you enjoy these breakdowns, data-driven
21:06
breakdowns based upon what the market is telling us, trying to
21:10
put together different context clues to make the smartest bet
21:13
that we can. If this style of betting appeals
21:16
to you, sharp contrarian data-driven betting, then guess
21:19
what? I wrote a book about data-driven
21:21
betting. So if you want to learn more or
21:23
if you want to support the team or let me know you appreciate
21:25
the hard work that I put in grinding and hosting this pod
21:28
each day, then go buy my book. It's only about 20 bucks, might
21:31
even be a little cheaper than that 18 bucks or something.
21:35
You can get it at Barnes and Noble, but easiest way to do it,
21:37
just go to Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to Sports
21:41
Betting. Pick one up for you or for a
21:43
friend. It's got everything I've learned
21:44
in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
21:47
to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
21:50
place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
21:53
how to set up a bankroll management plan.
21:55
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
21:57
Betting. So pick one up when I see at the
21:59
book, bring my book to the book. I'll sign it for you.
22:02
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale next.
22:05
Have you downloaded and started your 7 day free trial of Rhythm
22:09
and Juice Reel? My two favorite data-driven
22:12
analytics sports betting apps? Rhythm is obviously fantastic
22:16
for their data-driven player prop predictions.
22:18
Had a good one with Breece Hall the other night going over 28
22:21
and half receiving yards, but also game predictions, game
22:24
models as well as Juice Reel with their Robo Jackson best bet
22:28
picks, the AI driven recommendations, sharp mush
22:32
system matches, arbitrage bets, syncing up your sports books,
22:36
getting a running record of your performance.
22:38
I love Juice reel, I love rhythm and I know that they helped me
22:41
win and they can help you win. So I want you to go sign up by
22:43
doing it specifically this way. Click the custom link that's
22:47
located in the bio description of this podcast and you should
22:50
see a link there to sign up for Juice Reel and Rhythm.
22:53
Of course. Lastly, guys, whether I see you
22:55
at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
22:58
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
23:00
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
23:03
Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
23:06
Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
23:08
get down or Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest
23:12
use possible is found at the South Point or Sweat and Sharp
23:14
can train plays jumping in the stadium swim pool.
23:17
When you cash a big ticket, wherever it may be, you're going
23:19
to walk up to me. Show me a couple good winners
23:21
from last night. Diamondbacks, Tigers, Pirates.
23:25
Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
23:27
you. We'll post about the book.
23:28
Sweat sharp, contrarian plays all night long.
23:31
So wish the best luck everyone. Have a great Wednesday.
23:34
Be right back at it with Thursday Night Football
23:36
tomorrow. But as always, stay sharp, stay
23:38
contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
23:41
side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
23:43
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
23:46
Of course not. Sometimes the sharp play loses,
23:49
but doesn't mean you want to go against the sharp plays because
23:51
more often than not they're going to win long term.
23:53
So we can bet with our head and not our heart against the
23:56
public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
23:59
get that CLV. If we can do that long term,
24:02
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
24:04
So have a great Wednesday, everyone.
24:06
Be back at it tomorrow for a big Thirsty Thursday with some
24:09
Thursday Night Football on tap. That'll be episode 118 of the
24:13
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast.
24:16
I'll see you guys tomorrow. Have a good night.