Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Bitcoin to $250K… Then $1 Million?! | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00What do you think this is, just another Bitcoin pullback?
- 0:04The charts are shaking, the macros popping, and the
- 0:08president is going all out against the Fed.
- 0:11We've got Trump, the Fed apparently nukes, fake job
- 0:16numbers, Arthur Hayes, and a parabolic run to $250,000 in
- 0:21play. Welcome back, I'm Rustin and
- 0:24spoiler alert, we're not stopping AT250K.
- 0:28That's right. Cry harder.
- 0:29Shit. It's coming.
- 0:31Now let's RIP this thing wide open.
- 0:33Certainly. All right, chill out.
- 0:39Let's talk about why the charts are red.
- 0:41And also, let's take a minute to talk about loyalty.
- 0:44I saw what you said. Fired.
- 0:47Send rust into the glue factory. Axed.
- 0:50Well, I got news for you. I'm not Jay Powell, baby.
- 0:53I'm not leaving. That's right.
- 0:58You called down the Thunder. Now we have to get even more
- 1:01bullish. We have to go even harder.
- 1:03Drastic measures may have to be taken.
- 1:06We must avenge Toto. We're not.
- 1:08In Kansas anymore. Toto.
- 1:10What are you doing? Oh, and by the beard of John
- 1:15Brown, we're going to do it. Let's get to those red charts.
- 1:19Bitcoin dropped from 122 K to 112 KQ.
- 1:23The panic Q the bears. But here's the truth.
- 1:26We're just retesting old all time highs.
- 1:29Oh no, the price is back to literally the previous all time
- 1:33high. I guess we're doomed.
- 1:35You are watching accumulation in real time.
- 1:39OTC supply is dropping. Long term holders are buying.
- 1:43This is classic lettuce hands shake out behavior.
- 1:46Samson Mao has jokes, but he's not wrong.
- 1:49And look at that headline. Typical mainstream media.
- 1:52Make no mistake, we are prepared to launch.
- 1:56You want to know why markets are acting weird?
- 1:59Well, here's your list. Tariffs, nukes, Trump rigged job
- 2:03numbers, and Oh yeah, the Fed might actually cut in September
- 2:06with Fed Watch showing an 89% shot.
- 2:09Goldman even said it. Job reports are being revised so
- 2:12hard it looks like the BLS hired Jet GPT to write them.
- 2:15And now Trump is tossing the old regime.
- 2:18New Fed governor, new BLS chief. Trump's about to run wild like
- 2:22Hulk Mania but with nukes and a Bitcoin agenda.
- 2:25Bro Brother Trump media is running wild in Bitcoin.
- 2:29It's the heavyweight champ of monetary policy.
- 2:32Oh and breaking China has banned Bitcoin again this time.
- 2:37What's that make it? It's the 69th ban.
- 2:39Nice. Officially banned trading mining
- 2:42services to protect monetary sovereignty.
- 2:45Translation. Communists hate freedom and
- 2:47Bitcoin doesn't care. The hash rate literally just hit
- 2:50an all time high every time China bans Bitcoin.
- 2:53Number goes up. It's an annual tradition at this
- 2:56point. Let's talk about the real
- 2:58driver, institutional FOMO. Sailor now says strategy might
- 3:02buy 1.5 million Bitcoin. That's like 7% of the total
- 3:06supply and he doesn't think that's too much.
- 3:09Is there ever too much Bitcoin for you to own?
- 3:11Like if you could own all of it. I don't think we'll get all of
- 3:15it. I don't think in the range of
- 3:18three to five or three to 7% is too much.
- 3:21BlackRock is. No, I just wonder.
- 3:22I was thinking about the the mental exercise of it.
- 3:25You could actually own all of it.
- 3:27Like if you would even bless you if you would want it.
- 3:29Well, you know we started and we had very little and bitcoins
- 3:3310,000 and now bitcoins more than 100,000 and 97% of the
- 3:38Bitcoin is worth 10 times as much and somebody else not us
- 3:41has it. So it's a practical matter what
- 3:45we're doing is, is we're monetizing and powering up this
- 3:50I. Totally get it.
- 3:51I just mean if you owned all of it, would that change the
- 3:53entire? We don't, yeah.
- 3:55We wouldn't want to own all of it.
- 3:57We want everybody else to have their peace.
- 3:59The nice thing there is there's 160 companies that are
- 4:03capitalizing on Bitcoin in the public market, up from about 60
- 4:07last year. So the Bitcoin treasury
- 4:09movement's exploding and companies like Metaplanet in
- 4:12Japan and Capital B in France and Smarter Web in the UK.
- 4:16And then there's a raft of them in the US Anthony Pompliano's
- 4:20company, you know, and 21, they're all capitalizing.
- 4:25The big idea is I take digital capital, I issue digital credit
- 4:31and a digital credit instrument can either be longer duration or
- 4:35it can be higher performance. We're offering 9% dividend yield
- 4:39with stretch. The average money markets, 4.2%
- 4:42dividend yield. No one would ever want to give a
- 4:459% perpetual yield and A and a bond that's backed by real
- 4:50estate or backed by gold or backed by any conventional Fiat
- 4:53asset. But we're investing in Bitcoin.
- 4:55BlackRock, Fidelity, central banks, ETFs and Treasuries are
- 4:59all competing for the same coins.
- 5:02Kemeth Palpatia calls it the institutional demand compression
- 5:06principle. I call it the mother of all
- 5:08supply shocks. That's right, MOS, and it could
- 5:12send Bitcoin to where exactly, Mr. Kamath?
- 5:16You should really look at the pattern of Bitcoin after a
- 5:20halving. So here's a little Bitcoin price
- 5:22analysis for you guys. So there's been a couple of
- 5:25halving cycles that have happened, and I asked him to go
- 5:29back and look at the price performance one month after a
- 5:32halving, 3 months, six months, nine months, 12 months and 18
- 5:36months after a halving. And what you notice is that
- 5:41there are these moments initially where essentially when
- 5:46you go through a Bitcoin, having people are sort of reassessing
- 5:49what's happening and they're trying to figure it out.
- 5:52That's sort of what I would say is happens in the first month
- 5:54and roughly what also happens in the first three months.
- 5:59But then within six months to a year and 18 months of these
- 6:02things, there are these crazy price appreciation cycles that
- 6:07happened. So that's what this page shows,
- 6:09which is, you know, 18 months after the first halving, the
- 6:15Bitcoin price returned 45X. After the second halving, it
- 6:19returned almost 28 X and after this third halving, it returned
- 6:25almost an 8X, which is really incredible returns in such a
- 6:28short period of time if you go to the next page.
- 6:30And so if you if you graph that, this is what it starts to show,
- 6:33which is what is this price performance after each of these
- 6:36having cycles. Now why is that interesting?
- 6:38Well, it's interesting because on top of this having, which
- 6:43theoretically, if history is a guide, we should see some price
- 6:49appreciation. Obviously, the other thing
- 6:51that's happened is we've commercialized Bitcoin and we
- 6:52talked about this sort of as my big prediction for 2024, which
- 6:57is these ETFs are really going to allow Bitcoin to cross the
- 7:00chasm and have its sort of central key moment, right?
- 7:04And so if you apply the averages, and again, these are
- 7:07just averages, they're by no means predictions.
- 7:10OK? So I just want to qualify that
- 7:11these are just, this is not financial advice.
- 7:13It's not financial advice. These are just guesses.
- 7:16We took these and we applied it to the price of Bitcoin.
- 7:19And if you go to the next page, you start to see what could
- 7:22happen if you just take the average of the last few cycles.
- 7:27So because the first cycle was so extreme and you start to so
- 7:30you're just doing cycle 2 and 3 here to be clear, just the
- 7:33averages of cycle two and three. And what you start to see is
- 7:35some really meaningful appreciation.
- 7:39And when I talked to Wanses about this, how he explained it,
- 7:43which I which makes a lot of sense to me, is there are a lot
- 7:47of countries that will never look at Bitcoin credibly even if
- 7:52they support it. The US may be one of those, but
- 7:54there is an increasing body of countries that will become dual
- 7:58currency and they will look at their local currency and then
- 8:02they will look at Bitcoin. And they will say both of these
- 8:05two things are needed. One, when you're transacting on
- 8:08a daily basis for random goods and services.
- 8:10And two, when you need to buy a permanent asset that needs to
- 8:13have residual value, you'll use something like BTC.
- 8:17And I think that's a very powerful concept.
- 8:20And if you look at what this price chart could indicate is
- 8:26that if this thing starts. To ever feel like the entire
- 8:29Fiat system is held together with like duct tape and denial?
- 8:33Well, Max Keiser isn't just feeling it, he's calling it.
- 8:36He says the age of governments printing money like coupons and
- 8:40central banks playing God is over.
- 8:42You ready for the Bitcoin era? Here's Uncle Max with the
- 8:46prophecy for the next 500 years. Can you explain what you mean?
- 8:51Sure, of course I can't explain what I mean.
- 8:53You have a world where the train is leaving the station.
- 8:59You know, Bitcoin is changed everything fundamentally and
- 9:04those with coin or the coiners versus those without coins, the
- 9:09no coiners. There will be a split in in in
- 9:12the world and society and we won't be looking at the world in
- 9:15terms of nation states anymore. I think the nation state becomes
- 9:19passe or disintermediated. Central banks are obliterated
- 9:23and you have the global tribe of millions of Bitcoiners who have
- 9:29all the money, and then they'll be everybody else who doesn't
- 9:32have. They'll just be living in a
- 9:34different reality. And that template will be set
- 9:38for 500 years because Bitcoin is perfect money and it's taken a
- 9:42million years to get to Bitcoin. We finally achieved it, and now
- 9:47it's a day of reckoning. If you have no coin, you'll
- 9:51probably be living in the equivalent of hell.
- 9:54If you have coin, you will be living in heaven.
- 9:57Hey, look, every time Bitcoin dips, some legacy goon says,
- 10:01shut it down, ban it, regulate it, tax it to death.
- 10:05But what what they don't get is this isn't a tech stock.
- 10:09This is nature, math, gravity. And as Preston Pisch says,
- 10:15trying to stop Bitcoin, well, it's like trying to stop the sun
- 10:20from rising. Roll it.
- 10:21It's the. Equivalent of trying to stop
- 10:24night from coming outside. Anybody fighting Bitcoin is
- 10:28there like trying to prevent the sunset from happening.
- 10:31I am a champion of let's harness the incoming technology as
- 10:35opposed to acting through fear and being scared of it.
- 10:39The one thing I did learn at West Point was never, ever
- 10:43accept defeat. Never, ever allow your
- 10:47environment to dictate that you're going to fail, right?
- 10:52And so many of these actions that are being made by these
- 10:54legacy string pullers, they are actions of fear.
- 10:59They are scared to death of this thing as opposed to just looking
- 11:02at it and saying, hold on a second, there's a massive
- 11:05opportunity here if we decide to harness it, right?
- 11:09It's just, it's hilarious. It's, it's so pathetic, really.
- 11:14Like don't be a victim of your environment.
- 11:16Harness your environment, right? Win.
- 11:24When you know what those guys, the old shifty Pete's used to
- 11:26say, gold is the final form of money, the store value, the end
- 11:30game. But not anymore.
- 11:32You know, I, I want to have assets that will appreciate as
- 11:36the dollar is devalued as it's debased.
- 11:40So I do own gold, but my focus is truly on Bitcoin as you know
- 11:44and that's why I open the, the Bitcoin opportunity fund.
- 11:47And so all of my excess capital is, is kind of pointing towards
- 11:53that personally now. So, but I do have nothing
- 11:57against gold though I do believe that we are seeing the, the
- 12:02beginnings of Bitcoin demonetizing gold and you know,
- 12:07will gold go to 0? Absolutely not.
- 12:10It will, it will, I think it will retain that store value in
- 12:15the, in the global, you know, universe of investable assets of
- 12:19$900 trillion, gold is about 18 right now and Bitcoin is about
- 12:23two. So, but I do believe that
- 12:26Bitcoin is going to catch up to it and be that ultimate store
- 12:29value for people in the future. Follow the liquidity, not the
- 12:33noise. This is a global monetary reset
- 12:36and Bitcoin is the arc. All right now, real quick,
- 12:39before we hit the rocket boosters, look at our likes 3 or
- 12:434 times. Maybe I'll pump those numbers
- 12:45up. Those are rookie numbers in this
- 12:46racket. Don't forget to like, subscribe
- 12:48and give us a PAMP while we take a moment to recognize our
- 12:51sponsors and show you how to survive the coming financial
- 12:54storm. If you're still holding your
- 12:56Bitcoin on an exchange, you're doing it wrong.
- 12:58Go to thebitcoinway.com and learn how to self custody your
- 13:01Bitcoin like a sovereign individual.
- 13:03They'll walk you through multi sig privacy and even help you
- 13:06move your coins off those clown platforms.
- 13:09No tech skills required. The team over at the Bitcoin Way
- 13:12has got you covered and will coach you on your journey from
- 13:14start to finish. Don't be caught holding IOU's
- 13:17when this thing hits 500K. Schedule a free 30 minute
- 13:20consultation with The Bitcoin Way using that link in the show
- 13:24notes. And once you've secured your
- 13:26Bitcoin, here's how to make it work for you without selling a
- 13:29single SAT. Life comes at you fast.
- 13:32And if you ever need to tap into your bitcoins value without
- 13:35selling it, boom, you're holding Christine collateral.
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- 14:14Right here we go. Now let's tie it all together.
- 14:17You ever wonder how big this thing can actually get?
- 14:21Jack Mahler says. We haven't even scratched the
- 14:23surface. Forget gold.
- 14:24Forget real estate. Bitcoin is coming for a $500
- 14:27trillion market, and it's still just a toddler.
- 14:30You see the price of Bitcoin heading.
- 14:32Higher. Higher.
- 14:34How much higher? A lot higher.
- 14:37My general framework from the highest level is human beings.
- 14:41Collectively, we own about $900 trillion worth of stuff.
- 14:45That's. Equities, the things behind us,
- 14:46real estate, precious metals, fine art, all of the things that
- 14:50we own, half of that we're using as a savings account.
- 14:54We're owning the portfolio of companies or the art or the
- 14:57house to actually try and persist wealth into the future.
- 15:00I think bitcoins going after that market, it's going after a
- 15:03market of 400 to $500 trillion worth and right now it's 2 1/2
- 15:06trillion. So I think in purchasing power
- 15:07terms, Bitcoin can go up 100 to 200 times more from.
- 15:10Here all right so we know Bitcoin obviously is the most
- 15:13when billionaires start sound like Maxis you might want to
- 15:17listen like Cameth early Facebook early Tesla.
- 15:20He's calling for 1.14 million this cycle not in some distant
- 15:24sci-fi timeline this cycle and if you still think 250K is some
- 15:30moon boy opium Wall Street disagrees Bitwise a major
- 15:34institutional ETF issuer their CIO just said Bitcoin will hit
- 15:381,000,000 bucks in five years. Let's run it.
- 15:41Talk to me about where you expect the value to go longer
- 15:45term for for the assets. Yeah.
- 15:48Well, I think you know, Bitcoin is at a new to all time high.
- 15:51Bitcoin is is coming into the world as digital gold.
- 15:54That's a massive market. We think Bitcoin could get to
- 15:56$1,000,000 within the next five years.
- 15:59But the stable coin bill is it really unlocks the non Bitcoin
- 16:03parts of crypto, the assets like Etherium and Solana that that
- 16:07facilitate the movement of things like stable coins around
- 16:10the world. I think we're in the early days.
- 16:12This is akin to investing in the Internet in 1996.
- 16:16I think we're going to look back in 5 or 10 years and find it
- 16:19funny that we were skeptical of crypto.
- 16:21I think we'll be using it in our day-to-day lives.
- 16:23So this is, you know, a unique generational investment
- 16:26opportunity for. If that wasn't enough alpha for
- 16:29your dopamine receptors, Arthur Hayes has been calling these
- 16:32cycles like clockwork since 2019.
- 16:36Nailed 69 K in 2021, and now he's calling for 250K next.
- 16:42And just like before, it's all happening right after the
- 16:44accumulation zone. Check out the pattern.
- 16:47History doesn't always repeat, but it does rhyme.
- 16:50And we're still arguing over 112 K.
- 16:53Brother, the parabola hasn't even started.
- 16:56We've got the Fed about the pivot.
- 16:58Inflation's heating up in every major institution.
- 17:00BlackRock, Fidelity, JP Morgan front running the plebs.
- 17:04This ain't a bubble, this is a black hole sucking in Fiat, gold
- 17:09and every ounce of trust left in the legacy system.
- 17:13And if you really want to see what the future looks like, join
- 17:15us at Mining Disrupt 2025. It's only months away.
- 17:19The biggest Bitcoin mining conference and Expo in the
- 17:22world. They're heading to Dallas, TX
- 17:24November 11th through the 13th. Meet the legends building the
- 17:28hash power revolution. From sovereign mining to AI and
- 17:31Bitcoin integration, this is where the next wave of Bitcoins
- 17:34history is being written. Grab those tickets today and
- 17:37come see simply Bitcoin on the news desk and don't forget use
- 17:40promo code simply Bitcoin for 20% off bitcoins going to 250K
- 17:46and then a million and you're either in the arena or watching
- 17:49from the bleachers. Hope you guys enjoyed this one.
- 17:51Don't forget to like, subscribe and give us a pan by sharing the
- 17:54sound money gospel. Set those notifications for the
- 17:56best in Bitcoin news delivered to you daily and keep your head
- 18:00on a swivel because we got tons of content coming this week.
- 18:03I love you guys, catch you next time if you.
- 18:06Prefer to go down with the ship.