Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 09/08/26

Transcript

MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 09/08/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: What is going on, everybody? Happy Tuesday. Nate and I
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: talking some baseball.
• 0:38
  Speaker 3: 10 games on DraftKings, 10 games on FanDuel. I know many,
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: many excited for the NFL season, which kicks off tomorrow.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I'll get into that in a little bit throughout the show.
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: We'll talk about some of our offerings over here at
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: Shippenation for the NFL season, how you can get in,
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: the best deals to get in.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Giving away over $ 45, 000.
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: In cash and prizes in the Shippenation games again. So
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: super excited. One sleep away. Got some football Wednesday. Thursday,
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: college football on Saturday. I think they got a Friday too.
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: MMA on Saturday in my backyard. Pumped for that. Sunday football,
• 1:12
  Speaker 3: Monday football. A lot of money to be made. But first,
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: hopefully we can boost that bankroll in MLB streets. We
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: got Scooter in here. We got Teddy in here. Hope
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: you guys doing well. Again, all we ask, like button,
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: subscribe button. Nate, throw it to you. You're still rocking
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: the brew crew. Brewers are looking great. Football is about here.
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: But hey, baseball is still a long season and playoffs
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: are a lot of fun. And we'll have you covered throughout. Yeah,
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: looking forward to jumping in here.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Ten games.
• 1:38
  Speaker 4: Got a nice slate. No cruise field to talk about.
• 1:41
  Speaker 4: We do have Sutter Health, which is obviously a big
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: talking point. We've got the Yankees at home against the Rockies,
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: so that's going to be a pretty important talking point.
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: Dodgers late night against the Reds, who kind of have
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: punted off the season there. So lots of interesting spots overall,
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: and I think pitching is absolutely loaded. I mean, you've
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: got three horses up at the top in Miz, Schlittler,
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: and Skubal. I think you're probably going to get Miz
• 2:06
  Speaker 4: probably pretty similar to the lowest you might have seen
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: him all year because of the kind of recency bias
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: right there.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: So we'll talk through that.
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: But loaded pitching slate, there is some cheaper guys, but
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: ideally you're going to be wanting to spend up at
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: pitching and find some value stacks. So should be an
• 2:23
  Speaker 4: interesting slate to talk through, but there's a lot of
• 2:25
  Speaker 4: money to be made in the MLB streets. Contests are
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: still really good. There's a ton of of satellites out there.
• 2:30
  Speaker 4: I think I got seven milli tickets, a hundred dollar
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: milli tickets already in like the last, in like the
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: last three days or four days from MLB. So, um,
• 2:39
  Speaker 4: don't forget about those. They run 10 set ones all
• 2:42
  Speaker 4: the way up to you.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: You name it.
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: Right. Um, I like the 25 cent, $ 1, $ 3, $ 9
• 2:47
  Speaker 4: ones to, to get into the a hundred dollar milli
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: contest for, for week one of NFL here. And then
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: they have showdown satellites too, for tomorrow's opening slate million
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: dollars up top. So, turn a dollar into a $ 20
• 2:59
  Speaker 4: ticket and maybe into a million bucks, right? Or whatever
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: the share might be there for tomorrow. So don't forget
• 3:05
  Speaker 4: about those satellite streets.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely. Great call in the satellites. Tournaments are good.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: Cash games are good.
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: We have you covered as always, as you know, for
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: MLB projections, ownership, FanDuel, DraftKings, the stone, which we'll be
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: showing off after we talk pitching stone 2.0 can hand
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: build in there, the slate station, which has the slate reports,
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: the cores for cash for MLB, tournaments for FanDuel for
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: DraftKings all that good stuff I'll get in again to
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: our NFL offering soon I first want to start pitching
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: after I say hi to Jake to Clint to Sean
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: to William to Josh hope you guys are doing well
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: I just want to talk pitching right away because again
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: it's 10 games but I don't think it's been any
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: more clear where the field's gonna go and quite frankly
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: where I'm gonna go in a lot of the spots
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: three of the best pitchers in baseball you can argue
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: Miz Schlittler, Skubal, all on this slate. 11-7 Miz, 11-2 Cam,
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: and then Skubal at 10-7. There's enough value for bats
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: that it's really easy to play them. I think you
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: pick two of them and you move on, and that's
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: what a lot of people are going to do.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the broad slate overview.
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: If you go to bats and sort by team stacks, again,
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: we're sharing our partner optimizer over here at Sabresim. 5.7
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: runs are the Blue Jays, then the Yankees 5-3, Dodgers 5-2,
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: but Blue Jays aren't very expensive. Yeah, I think it's
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: pretty clear where some roster construction is going to go,
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: as are some other teams that are cheap. I'm not
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: even going to group them, Nades, because I think there's
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: just so many clear Xs and plays that you can't
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: get to unless you're playing 85-plus teams, which I know
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: most people aren't on this slate. Talk about the three,
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: and then is anyone else really in your pool? Yeah,
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: so it's obviously Miz, Schlittler, and Skubal. Ownership is going
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: to be Skubal, number one, Schlittler, two, Miz, three. So
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: in tournaments, if you wanted to reverse order them, I
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: wouldn't fault anyone. Ideally, I'm going to want as much
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: of those threes I can get. I'm not really worried
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: about Mizorowski's recent start, this and that. This is a
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: big series, right?
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: Obviously, if the Brewers win one or two more, it's
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: kind of GG for the Cubs, right? It's pretty close
• 5:07
  Speaker 4: to that territory anyway. So they're going to ride Miz
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: as long as he's good. He doesn't typically really go
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: past six innings anyways. He's got an eight and a
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: half K prop right there next to Scooball on the
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: slate as well. So I do think he's a really
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: good play. Not much more to say about those three.
• 5:27
  Speaker 4: I think Sean Burke's kind of interesting at 8,200. If
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: you wanted to kind of play a guy in that mid-tier,
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: I think he does have upside.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: He is a good pitcher. Coming off a pretty solid start.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Gets a matchup against Pittsburgh.
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: They do have some lefties to throw at him there,
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: but I do think he still has upside at that
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: price point.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: 6.5K prop. Pretty nice on the slate as well for
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: the price. Can't really mess. I'm not messing with Soriano
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: outside of health.
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: Don't want to do that. I know he's a ground baller.
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: He has upside, but I'd just rather play Sean Burke
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: than miss with him. Out on Bryce Miller, not playing
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: Corbin Burns. Cal Quantrill coming back, pitching out in that
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: matchup there out in Seattle. Really good place to pitch.
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: It was supposed to be Bradford. Now it's Cal Quantrill.
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: Quantrill's actually kind of interesting here on this slate, 7,500,
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: because I think so many more people are just going
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: to click Landon Roop or Quinn Matthews. And Quantrill has
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: actually been pretty solid. Seattle, I'm still not super afraid
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: of this lineup. It's one of the best places to
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: pitch as well. So I think Quantrill at his price,
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: he's going to go close to 90-some pitches, which is
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: right in line with the rest of these guys. And
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: he has a ceiling at that price point. So I
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: don't mind him. Casey Mize, not messing with him against Nationals.
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: Landon Roop, I think you could play, but I don't
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: really like it, to be honest.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: I like St. Louis a little bit more. then playing
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Landon Roop. So I'm going to X him out.
• 6:52
  Speaker 4: And then Quinn Matthews on the other side, I think,
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: is the cheap guy that people are going to go
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: to get the matchup against the Giants. But Giants have
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: sneakily kind of on the back of Rafael Devers, right?
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: Have been hitting the ball well as of late. So
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: I think I actually prefer the $ 500 to get up
• 7:08
  Speaker 4: to Cal Quantro at much lower ownership there. But ideally,
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: Matthews is still in the pool. And then I'm not
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: messing with any of these other jabronis. I'm not messing
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: with Freddie. I know that Price looks enticing there. Not
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: messing with him on the road against an Atlanta offense.
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: I don't think that's interesting to me. Bubba Chandler, Shmichover,
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: David Peterson, all these other donkeys down here below. I'm
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: not really going to mess with them. So it's a
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: super tight pitching pool for me. Headline with the three
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: horses up top, Burke, Quantrell, and then Quinn Matthews.
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: Would you be fine– or would you make a rule
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: that at least one Miz, Gubal, and– and Schlittler on
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: this slate like are you playing a Soriano and a
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: Burke or Quantrill and Soriano or.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: Something like that it feels to me like you're just
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: giving up too.
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: Much yeah I mean it's baseball you can do anything
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: really but I mean ideally I want one of those
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: three horses because they have a they have upside that
• 8:05
  Speaker 4: can even kind of their median range of outcomes kind
• 8:08
  Speaker 4: of dwarfs you right whereas you're kind of looking for
• 8:10
  Speaker 4: a ceiling out of those guys if you go that
• 8:12
  Speaker 4: route now obviously if the expensive Dodgers, the expensive Yankees, right.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Something like that. Go out there and score 12 runs
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: with five home runs. Right.
• 8:22
  Speaker 4: Well then that's, that team probably works because you're allowed to,
• 8:26
  Speaker 4: or you're able to afford Aaron judge.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: You're able to afford Otani and stuff like that.
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: But if they don't, they kind of just go out
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: there and score their, their normal, even six to eight runs.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: Don't hit a ton of home runs. I think pitching
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: is going to, going to dwarf you there. So yeah,
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: I think you're.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: Giving up too much. I would probably have prefer to
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: have one of those guys. I mean, school ball is
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: only 10, seven. It's not that expensive to afford him.
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: I know he's going to be super chalk, but there's
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: other ways to differentiate around him that, I mean, I
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: think you're just leaving out too much and you can
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: find $ 2, 000. It's different from going to like a 5k
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: hitter to a $ 3, 500 hitter. That's on a different team
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: in a good lineup spot on the road in good environments,
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: things like that. It's just very easy to find that $ 1, 500
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: to $ 2, 000 savings.
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: Um in a lineup for sure and that is why
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: you do see the ownership even though they are the
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: three highest priced by far the highest projection but they
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: are the three highest owned on the slate school ball
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: will be number one agree there and then i do
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: think it's pretty close between schlittler and the ms um
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: let me refresh this quick and then i'll get my
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: final pitching thoughts i clearly like those three i would
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: include at least one of them as my anchor in
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: every lineup the It's like Sean Burke being 23%. Because
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: I like these top three guys so much more, I
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: feel like he's going to be there in terms of ownership.
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: So if I'm playing one of these three and then
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: I pair with Burke, it's not even doing the job
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: of getting different much.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: So to be honest, I don't love that much.
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: I'd rather just go out to Oracle in a pitching
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: park in San Fran and just go both sides with
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: Quinn Matthews and Rope.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: So these are my next two favorites. by far.
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: And then I guess Soriano I'm fine with, but I
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: don't even like it that much. It's mainly these three.
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: If you only play five pitchers, you can get very overweight. Rope,
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: Quinn Matthews, and call it a day is how I'm
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: seeing it. I would go Miz number one, though. I mean, yeah,
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: like you said, it's probably the lowest zone that I
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: can remember in a long time, partly due to the
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: pitching slates.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, Cubs not a cupcake matchup.
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: He's got a great projection as always, though, but mainly
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: because what's around him at pitching today and his price tag.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Any final thoughts before we move on to bets?
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: No, I mean, we're not saying Miz is going to
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: be unknown, but compared to Scoob on Schlittler, he's.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: You think it's different than this? So right now we're
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: taking the average of Shippenation and Saberson, 38-31-31.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: So I'll tell you what the dry run spit out.
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: The dry run spits out 82% Scooball, 60% Schlittler, and
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: 40% Miz. So I do think there's going to be
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: probably at least 10-15 percentage points difference between Miz and Schlittler,
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: and then even a bigger gap between him and Scooball, right?
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: So I do think at tournaments, he is the best
• 11:04
  Speaker 4: pitcher in baseball. I know his last start against the
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: same team didn't really go that well, but It was
• 11:09
  Speaker 4: a win game at Wrigley. Now he's pitching at home.
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: The mound, he's not going to be mad at the
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: mound or this and that like he had it out
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: against the Mets and stuff. So I do think he's
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: super interesting amongst the three. And I prefer him to
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: Schlittler if picking between the two. It's hard to argue
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: school ball over him with a thousand dollars. You do
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: say when there is big bats on the slate and
• 11:32
  Speaker 4: he gets the matchup against Cincinnati who have punted off
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: the season.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that's kind of my final thoughts there.
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't argue if you have them in any order.
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: Just want to touch on FanDuel quick. It's the same
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: pitching slate over there, except somehow Corbin Burns is 10.2K.
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: I don't know if they thought it was a couple
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: years ago or whatever, but Miz 11-2, Schlittler 10-9, Scooball 10-6,
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: and I think it's going to be Scooball probably the
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: highest zone. And I don't know, Miz and Schlittler only
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: $ 300 difference. It'll be close between them next as well.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: So those three are going to get the ownership. There's
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: enough cheap bats on FanDuel to.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: Make it work.
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: All right, let's head over. First, let me head over
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: to Ship a Nation website. We haven't shown everything yet. And, man,
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: one day away from football, one sleep away. And as
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: you can see, $ 45, 000 up top in the ship of games.
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: You're probably wondering, how can I get $ 45, 000 in cash
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: and prizes?
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: A little change up this year, which I think is
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: actually good.
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: So you do have to be an NFL-only member, which
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: you can see right here.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: You can get in for $ 349, or you can do
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: it for the month.
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: If you click join the nation, there's multiple different years
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: or different options right here. NFL, as you can see,
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: ship it games. What you have to do in the discord,
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: we are going to drop a link every single week
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: and tag everyone. And the first 499.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: Spots, right?
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: Nades.
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: 499 spots in the discord. You have to click the
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: link and whoever joins first gets in. Then you have
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: the chance to compete. we people were complaining last year
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: that there was a lot more randomness to some of
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: our drawings. So now it's going to be a skill base.
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: You have to finish in the top and then you
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: get a seat to the qualifier in the ship at games.
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: All you have to do right now, click the ship
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: at games. It dives all into what you have to do,
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: but how do you qualify? You have to be a
• 13:25
  Speaker 3: member with the NFL all access package, or you have
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: to be, or NFL only package, or you have to
• 13:30
  Speaker 3: be an all access member throughout the NFL season. Um,
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: I have to log on, Chip It Games. If you
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: click here, you should be able to.
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: Huh.
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: We'll have to get that checked out. Usually I click
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: the link and it brought you right to... No, I
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: don't know what's going on. We'll get that figured out after.
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: Usually when you click that link, you're able to see
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: a whole breakdown and everything and then see the payouts.
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: This year is going to be $ 10, 000 right now. for
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: first place, and then you get some SaberSim stuff as well.
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: But NFL only right here, bottom left, join the nation,
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: can find out the other options. Core 100, this gets
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: you 100 lineups in SaberSim, but you do not get
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: late swaps. That's a big thing. I think starter is
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: by far the best deal. As you can see, $ 50 more,
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: even less if you do the annual package, but you
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: get 400 more lineups with SaberSim. And then late swap,
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: if you are playing any sport, late swap is very important,
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: especially if in the NFL streets with a 12 o'clock
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: lock and a three o'clock lock. You also get portfolio
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: diversification and you get Sabre Sims projections as well as ours,
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: which you can take the average from. So if you
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: want the best deal, I think the best deal is
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: starter with us. This gets you all of our sports.
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: MLB still going on. NBA will be back. Ultimate is
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: the contest Sims. If you want the big boy package,
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: you're also able to run 5,000 lineups like guys like
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: Hebrew cheetah and our man sheets, single sport over here, NFL, but,
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: If you want to play some MLB, we have single
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: sport MLB, less than a dollar a day. Also can
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: get Saber Sim for $ 49. Anything that you want, you
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: can find here. Also, last thing I'll say, I'm all
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: over the place. I've been a little rusty. All access,
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: five-day trial for $ 19. This is a great deal because tomorrow, Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday,
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: college football, Sunday, NFL, this will take you through every
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: single slate right there for only $ 19 and gets.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: All of our content.
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: All right, that's enough talking for me, Nades. That will
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: get better as the time goes. Spent a little bit
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: of a summer off over here, but we are diving
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: in to all the sports.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: Boom, boom. MLB. The Stone.
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: Ten games starting at 7.05 Eastern. The Colorado Rockies and
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: the New York Yankees. Camp Schlittler. Gabriel Hughes on the mound. Yankees,
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: the second biggest total on the slate maids. But you
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: do look at their prices. Ben Rice, Aaron Judge, Luis Garcia, Jazz,
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: all somewhat of a price tag. Cody Bellinger as well.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: The bottom of the order is cheap. If you do
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: want to mix in stacks, I still do think you
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: can go a Schlittler, a Miz, pick one of those
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: big guys up top and then stack the bottom if
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: you want to go about that.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: Is that something you'll be looking to do?
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so, I mean, I do think the Yankees are
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: definitely playable here.
• 16:25
  Speaker 4: I do like them. I think they're in a good spot.
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: They haven't been as great over the last month or
• 16:30
  Speaker 4: so against right-handed pitching as they have on the whole season.
• 16:33
  Speaker 4: And Gabriel Hughes is actually reverse splitzy. So righties hit
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: him harder than lefties, especially over the course of the season,
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: even more so over the last month or so. So
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: Judge looks like an elite play, if you can afford him.
• 16:49
  Speaker 4: He's back. He looks really good. And then it's probably,
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: I mean, Lombard, some of the cheaper guys at the
• 16:55
  Speaker 4: back half. I mean, he's only going to see he
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: was only going to see two righties in this lineup.
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: He doesn't have strikeout ability to really either side. He
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: just doesn't really give up hard contact and barrels.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: To the left side.
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: So I just think, I mean, the Yankees could get there,
• 17:10
  Speaker 4: but I'm not sacrificing pitching to get up to the
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: Yankees bats that people are going to want to play.
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: outside of Aaron judge, I do think Aaron judge is
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: a really good play. I think the Yankees make some
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: sense on the slate for sure, because anytime you're facing
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: a pitcher like a Hughes who has command issues to
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: the right side has low strikeout abilities.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: You can see free base runners.
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: And then you got that obviously Rocky's bullpen behind him,
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: which is not, not good at all. Second worst in
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: baseball in terms of XFIP over the last two months.
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: So think Spencer Jones, judge rice jazz, those guys are
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: all in play. I just, if I have to sacrifice
• 17:45
  Speaker 4: the big dog pitching, I don't want to get there.
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: But if I'm going cheap with one of those other guys,
• 17:51
  Speaker 4: and if I'm going like a Miz and Quinn Matthews
• 17:54
  Speaker 4: or Atlanta Roop or Quantrell, something like that, maybe I
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: can afford some of these other guys and then punt
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: off a cheaper mini stack, something like that.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: So I do think they're playable. They're definitely have upside.
• 18:06
  Speaker 4: They're not top my charts compared to some of the
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: other teams that are just a little bit easier to
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: stack up in my opinion, but I do think they
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: make a ton of sense. And then on the Rocky
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: side of thing, I mean, Goodman, McCarthy, Kerrig, those three
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: are playable pretty much any time. Kerrig and McCarthy have
• 18:23
  Speaker 4: been really good as of late. So those guys make
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: some sense. Same thing with Spencer Jones. So I kind
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: of prefer this game more as kind of mini stack
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: and home run hunting here in Yankee Stadium. It's not
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: the best hitting environment, about 80 degrees. Not really a
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: ton of wind to go out there, but you do
• 18:41
  Speaker 4: obviously still have that short porch. in right field for
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: those lefties. So maybe, maybe some one-offs mini stacks more
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: so than full stacks here for me.
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: I like the Yankees.
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: I think is my favorite stack on the slate. Cause
• 18:54
  Speaker 3: looking at ownership, when you do stack the top or
• 18:56
  Speaker 3: want to play the top end pitching, which I do again,
• 18:59
  Speaker 3: there's enough cheap bats down below like 5% Wells, 9% McMahon.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: I guess that's a little higher than I'd love, but
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: still fine with it. S and pop Lombard to punch
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: shortstop jazz. Like I, I want to play these Yankees. I, Yankees,
• 19:13
  Speaker 3: obviously a great hitting park. You did mention Hughes. Obviously,
• 19:16
  Speaker 3: I'm not worried about him. The bullpen's not great. Second
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: highest run total on the slate. Ownership is there. But
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: a lot of my teams with the Yankees will have
• 19:24
  Speaker 3: some of these guys down low. And again, punting off
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: a catcher, shortstop, second base, a lot of onesie positions
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: throughout the order, what I do like.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: So I'm definitely in on the Yankees.
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: My favorite sack on the slate because you can still
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: pay up for pitching, which I do want. You can
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: also see hitter rankings. They do look good in the
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: top half of the order. Obviously, as you'd expect, it
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: falls off.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: At the bottom. Definitely not playing any Rockies. on this slate.
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: Next game on the slate, Atlanta Braves and Tampa Bay Rays,
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: Freddy Peralta and Smith Chauver on the mound. Neither team
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: getting too much ownership. We've talked about Freddy Peralta quite
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: a bit. He's been, I guess, a little better as
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: of late, but man, he went through a stretch where
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: it was it was really, really bad, but not to
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: teams that aren't going to get much ownership. Looking at
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: the pricing though, they're relatively cheap, especially on the Ray side,
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: outside of Caminero, Braves, Olsen, Acuna, but outside of them,
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: I think it's pretty easy to spend up for pitching
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: and five man stack either team.
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: If you think they got the upside to win.
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: I mean, I don't love this game here. I'm not
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: a Smith-Shawver believer. He's been, he can't get a righty
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: out right now. I mean, It's either a strikeout or
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: a walk right now. So Caminero and Yandy, I think,
• 20:42
  Speaker 4: make some sense there. Mullins, Aranda, you could pick some
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: guys there. I just don't really want to pick on
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: that Braves bullpen. It's just straight nails. Pinch hit risk
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: all throughout the Tampa Bay lineup as well. So it's
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: just more so the studs, the Arandas, the Diazes, the
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: Caminaros of the world, if you're going there for the
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: Braves side. Against Freddie, he has been better as of late,
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: but he is still susceptible to the lefties.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Olsen looks really good. Harris Acuna has been red hot. Albies.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: You got Drake Baldwin.
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: You got a cheap guy and you use your strength
• 21:14
  Speaker 4: ski hitting in the back half of that lineup too.
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: I do think the Braves make some sense. They'd be
• 21:18
  Speaker 4: my preferred side from a stacking perspective. Majority of the
• 21:22
  Speaker 4: lineup ranks pretty good, especially that one, two, three, four.
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: I say it all the time. You can play them
• 21:27
  Speaker 4: anytime they're they're in there. Not super afraid of Freddie,
• 21:31
  Speaker 4: but these are not two of my top stacks on
• 21:33
  Speaker 4: the slate. I have a lean to the Atlanta offense
• 21:36
  Speaker 4: just because I think it's better overall from upside.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: On a DFS perspective. But yeah, not going too heavy here.
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: Sounds good.
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: We'll keep it rolling to what looks to be a
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: pretty similar game. Arizona Dimebacks, Kansas City Royals, Corbin Burns,
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: Michael Waka on the mound. I'm looking at the Dimeback side. Again,
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: another cheap team. Pretty good in the hitter rankings. And
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: then Waka, just looking at the splits. You do prefer
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: righties against them a little bit. two lefties. It is
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: pretty similar, I guess, on both sides, but I mean,
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: I'm in on pretty much one through nine guarantee ninth
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: inning at bats hitters park, good prices. I mean, like
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: Corbin Carroll, five, one, I look at it as a
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: discount March, say four, six. I look at as a
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: discount per Domo. I just think these prices are wrong,
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: but looking at ownership, you can see that it is
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: getting some, which is the only concern. And when I
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: would be playing a rope or a, a Quinn Matthews,
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: I think the D-backs do make some sense when you're
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: playing that stack because a lot of teams with them
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: will double spend pitching because they are so cheap. So
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: at least you're getting a little different within a chalky
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: hitting stack. And then it's easier to play a Corbin Carroll,
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: a Marte and stuff like that too.
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: So that's one thing that stood out to me.
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: I also do think the Royals are a little interesting too,
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: just showing really low ownership, pretty good prices, have some
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: power throughout the lineup.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: So I'm curious to see if you have some Royals
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: bats you can include.
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll start with the D-backs. I do think the D-backs,
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: I mean, projections in terms of dry run. So I
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: ran an obviously an average of ours and Saber Sims
• 23:10
  Speaker 4: projections kind of just put a pretty good floor on
• 23:14
  Speaker 4: there and just no other rules outside of just dry,
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: dry projected score. And I'm getting like 80 percent Arizona
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: stacks here because of their price points, because it allows
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: you to spend up. It's between them and Toronto. So
• 23:26
  Speaker 4: that does worry me a little bit just because every
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: time I'm just walk is not a DFS situation. darling
• 23:31
  Speaker 4: by any means, but he's just, he really doesn't get
• 23:34
  Speaker 4: blown up too often and he's better against, he wants,
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: you want righties really against him in terms of his
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: strikeouts are way down, his power's way up, his fly
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: balls are way up. So Arnauto, I think is a
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: pretty interesting play at third base Moreno. You got a
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: cheap guys in, in Waldschmidt Tawa who have some power
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: in the back half. So I actually kind of lean
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: those guys, obviously you can always play Marte, Carroll, and Perdomo,
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: but I don't love Arizona into ownership as much as
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: the field here is. I do think it's a sharp way,
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: like you alluded to, if you're playing them because of
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: their salary discount, not double spending pitcher, or maybe you
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: go instead of double spend up arms, you go like
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: a Burke or Soriano or something in kind of that
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: mid tier range, that's getting lost in the shuffle. And
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: then again, just.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: Play a judge, play a Freeman, play an Otani, something
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: like that.
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: Right. I do think that's the interesting way instead of
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: just going in there five stack in Arizona, like everyone
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: else is in playing scuba and Schlittler or, or Mizorowski
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: two of those three because then everyone else is doing
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: that same thing.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 24:44
  Speaker 4: So it's not getting totally off the wall and just
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: going kind of diamond in the roughs. It's just more
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: of doing what kind of, figuring out, you know, what
• 24:53
  Speaker 4: they're going to do, what the field majority is going
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: to do projections wise, and just leveraging it a little
• 25:00
  Speaker 4: different there. So I do like that call out there
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: on the Casey side. I do think it's more, it's
• 25:04
  Speaker 4: pretty interesting here. Casey's been decent. It's a really good
• 25:08
  Speaker 4: place to hit here tonight. So that is another argument
• 25:11
  Speaker 4: for Arizona and that Casey bullpen is absolutely atrocious.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's 97.
• 25:16
  Speaker 4: Degrees in Kansas city right now with double digit wind
• 25:19
  Speaker 4: kind of blowing the It's going to start blowing out
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: kind of towards that foul line, pretty much the entire
• 25:23
  Speaker 4: left field foul line, pretty much the entire duration of
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: this game. So it is going to be hitter friendly,
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: and you do have a bad bullpen. But that same
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: thing goes for KC. Corbin Burns making his first start back.
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: He looked atrocious before he got injured again. Vinny B
• 25:38
  Speaker 4: looks really good. Jensen, Isaac Collins is a switch hitter there.
• 25:42
  Speaker 4: You got Matthew Lugo. He's– Got a pedigree with some
• 25:45
  Speaker 4: power there. Michael Massey, I always like him because he's
• 25:49
  Speaker 4: cheap and second base is usually a go slot or
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: a wasteland. So I do think he's in play. This
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: is definitely one of the better game environments on the slate.
• 25:57
  Speaker 4: Arizona's going to get the ownership case he's not. So
• 26:01
  Speaker 4: I do think when you play Arizona, just play them
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: differently or be cognizant of how you play them.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: But I do think they're a good spot on paper here.
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm good with the game stack of
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: this as well. If you want to, you can double
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: spend pitching there. And part of the Royals maybe can
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: get you different. So I like this game quite a bit.
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: One of my favorites on the slate.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: What's up, ALS? Great to see you. Hope you're doing well.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: Hope everybody out there is doing well and ready for
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: some football. I mean, I got a question. Is 130
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: watching right now live? How many of them do you
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: think play NFL DFS?
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: 130? Probably 98% minimum.
• 26:38
  Speaker 3: Okay, so you might give like five of these people
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: something like that.
• 26:42
  Speaker 4: You know, the diehard September baseball nerds here trying to
• 26:46
  Speaker 4: chase some tickets before NFL.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: There might be some of them.
• 26:50
  Speaker 4: But outside of that, I mean, it's probably majority probably
• 26:54
  Speaker 4: play NFL here.
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would go like 131, 133, I think. But
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: if you play MLB, DFS, and not NFL, let me
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: know in chat for sure. I mean, Nate said nerds.
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: I would say use that as a compliment. I would
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: love to hear if anyone does that, but that's strictly
• 27:11
  Speaker 3: bankroll management.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: That's good stuff. All right, let's get to a game
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: that I do not necessarily believe. Tell me, Nades.
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: There's no way the White Sox are going to be
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: this low on, right? Bubba Chandler struggles against lefties. Prices
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: are good for the most part. I think the White
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: Sox are one of the best stacks.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: On the slate. I do not believe that this ownership
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: can be true.
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: The ownership is true because their projections just don't hit
• 27:34
  Speaker 4: any optimizer. I got one team at 150 with the
• 27:36
  Speaker 4: white socks here. Obviously when you bring that up into
• 27:38
  Speaker 4: a saber, it's going to, they're going to, they're not
• 27:40
  Speaker 4: going to be unowned like 0% all of them. But
• 27:43
  Speaker 4: I mean, this stack is probably looking at 20 to
• 27:46
  Speaker 4: 30% combined ownership across five guys.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: This is one of my top, if not my top
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: stack on the slate. I love the white socks.
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: Anytime they're facing a right-handed pitcher, Bubba Chandler has command
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: issues at times here. Um, I mean, I think this
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: is an elite spot for the White Sox. He gives
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: up a shit ton of power to the left side.
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: Tons of fly balls. Tons of hard hits. I mean,
• 28:06
  Speaker 4: Tristan Peters is one of my darlings. I talk about
• 28:08
  Speaker 4: him every time on the show. Nobody ever plays him
• 28:11
  Speaker 4: because he hits seventh. He's got some speed. He's got
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: a ton of power. Montgomery, Murakami, Braden Montgomery, Antonasi, Benatendi,
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: Kyle Teal back in there, which I do love.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: A lefty from there.
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: Pirates bullpen is they did make a lot of additions
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: at the deadline there. Let me just look at what
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: their usage looks like. But I say all that to
• 28:32
  Speaker 4: say I love the White Sox here. I do think
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: they're going to be is right in line with what
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: their projected ownership says, which I think is a mistake.
• 28:41
  Speaker 4: And I'm going to be heavily invested in them. Pittsburgh
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: did have a day off yesterday, so bullpen should be
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: pretty rested there. I don't know how many lefties off
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: the top of my head here. I'll look that up
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: when I pass it back to you. So there is
• 28:54
  Speaker 4: some pinch hit risk. I would say the biggest guy's
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: For pinch hit risk are Tristan Peters and then Antonasi
• 29:03
  Speaker 4: and Benatendi because Benatendi is probably going to turn into
• 29:08
  Speaker 4: Grichik there if the game's close. But outside of those
• 29:11
  Speaker 4: guys and the minute pinch hit risk, I mean, they
• 29:15
  Speaker 4: can't pitch hit all of them.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: I do think the White.
• 29:17
  Speaker 4: Sox have a ton of make a ton of sense
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: here on this slate. And then on the Pirates side.
• 29:23
  Speaker 4: Burke's been miserable to lefties over the last month, so
• 29:26
  Speaker 4: I think they're kind of interesting as well. I mean,
• 29:28
  Speaker 4: Jacob Gonzalez is pretty cheap. I think he's interesting. Brandon Lowe,
• 29:32
  Speaker 4: you do have to spend for at second base, but
• 29:35
  Speaker 4: second base is typically a position people punt off, so
• 29:38
  Speaker 4: spending up at that position, I do think, is kind
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: of contrarian there. Magnum, O'Neal Cruz has a bunch of upsides,
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: so I do think the Pirates are interesting as well
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: if you want to pick on Sean Burke and his
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: recent mishaps from specifically lefties overall.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually think I already talked about the White Sox.
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: I definitely you want lefties against Chandler. They're going to
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: be thrown out one, two, three, four, five, six, seven
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: of their nine or lefties. Ownership is absolutely nothing. Again,
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: maybe this goes to four or five percent, which is
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: a big difference. If you're saying it's it's double, it's
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: still going to be low, though. And I am 100
• 30:18
  Speaker 3: percent in on the White Sox. But the Pirates, for sure.
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: I mean, Sean Burke, we mentioned like I didn't really
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: have interest at pitching just because it's clear it's going
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: to be the top three.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: In terms of.
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: Ownership and then it's going to be clearly Burke and
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: then it's going to be a next group so he's
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: the fourth highest pitcher on the slate showing 22 percent
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: that is a good amount of leverage with the Pirates
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: team that's going to again be one percent two percent
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: if you are playing this chalk pitching up top which
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: I like it's not really easy to play Cruz or
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: Lowe you can only play one max if you do
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: fit it in but even some other Pirates you do
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: prefer the lefties I mean, those two I definitely would want.
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: Let's see who else I can maybe. You mentioned Jacob Gonzalez,
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: who's cheap. I'm good with that. Even Nick Gonzalez, Horowitz.
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: I'm fine with any of these pirates, I guess. If
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: they're unowned and you get leverage off of a pitcher
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: and you're playing chalk around it, which is the case,
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: I'm fine with any pirates. So I guess back-to-back games,
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: two of my favorites. We're going to go through a
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: good amount of these afternoon games that I'm not going
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: to have much interest in bats.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: So, yeah.
• 31:20
  Speaker 4: I do want to mention, I do want to talk
• 31:22
  Speaker 4: in the lefties. They have two active lefties right now
• 31:25
  Speaker 4: in the bullpen for the pirates. One of them's their
• 31:27
  Speaker 4: closer in Montgomery. So you don't really have to, if
• 31:31
  Speaker 4: he comes in, your stack is dead anyways. The other
• 31:33
  Speaker 4: one is a high leverage guy in Gregory Soto, right?
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: So you might not even see either one of them,
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: which does help the case as well for the white socks.
• 31:42
  Speaker 4: If you need more kind of edging there, but I
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: white socks are probably going to be on my main
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: team as a five man stack, because I already know
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: I'm eating the chalk pitching. so that's one way to
• 31:52
  Speaker 4: differentiate there, and then I can play some of the
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: good other plays as like a two-man stack, and hopefully
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: I get the two that are the highest scoring in
• 32:00
  Speaker 4: a chalkier offense, so that's kind of how I'm planning
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: to approach it there, but I do like your leverage
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: as well on Sean Burke, and after looking at it,
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: I probably am going to also temper expectations in terms
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: of Burke in terms of my portfolio just because I
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: don't really want to play 30% Burke to get over
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: the field when I want to play so much more
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: of the top three guys, so I'd rather just save
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: some of that ownership and salary and just, it just
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: dropped down.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: So I do like that call that you alluded to there.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Cool.
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: Getting more lockstep as the show goes on.
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Love to see it. All right.
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: Next game on the slates, your Milwaukee Brewers and my
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee Brewers, but you got the shirt on taking on
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: the Chicago Cubs, the Miz and David Peterson on the mound.
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: I'm definitely not playing the Cubs against Miz. I'll let
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: you talk about the Brewers. I'll admit I do not
• 32:47
  Speaker 3: love them for DFS today. A 10-game slate is pretty big.
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: I'm thinking you're going to need 10-plus runs, 8-plus runs,
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: or if you are just scoring 7 or 8, multiple homers.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: The Brewers are tough to figure out when you're just
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: picking one-offs. I think if I had to, I'd go
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: cheap Garrett Mitchell or Lara. But, man, Lara is a
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: complete stud in the outfield. But I don't love the
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: Brewers as a five-man stack today. Tell me if you
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: see it otherwise.
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I don't love them because they get
• 33:16
  Speaker 4: a bunch of pinch hit guys in there, risk guys
• 33:18
  Speaker 4: in there when a lefty starts here in Peterson. I
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: don't think Peterson's very good, but he is good against lefties.
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: So that does mitigate this. Not good, but he's pretty solid.
• 33:31
  Speaker 4: He can strike guys out, limits hard contact, keeps the
• 33:33
  Speaker 4: ball on the ground. So anytime the Brewers are facing
• 33:35
  Speaker 4: a ground ball guy in Peterson where he's got almost
• 33:38
  Speaker 4: a 50 plus percent ground ball rate here, It does
• 33:42
  Speaker 4: scare me. Bowers, if he's in there, lefty lefty, I
• 33:44
  Speaker 4: think is the best play. Him and Churrio are my
• 33:48
  Speaker 4: two favorites because they both hit for power.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: They both get the ball in the air.
• 33:53
  Speaker 4: And then Cooper Pratt and Joey Ortiz would be the
• 33:55
  Speaker 4: next two guys with Andrew Vaughn.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: So, I mean, like if you wanted to, a 7-9-1.
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: Did you know that?
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: Let me refresh here.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: I just refreshed the stone if you want to look
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: at the.
• 34:07
  Speaker 4: OK, so Churio, Turing, Vaughn. So Vaughn's a pretty solid
• 34:10
  Speaker 4: play hitting third. He's going to be kind of popular,
• 34:13
  Speaker 4: I would assume there, but popular on a 10 game slate.
• 34:15
  Speaker 4: It's everything's going to kind of spread out there. So
• 34:18
  Speaker 4: I think he's an interesting play. Contreras has been decent.
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: Gary Sanchez in there. He's a big pinch hit risk.
• 34:24
  Speaker 4: Lara switch hitter. So you don't have to worry about him.
• 34:27
  Speaker 4: So I would like I like. I actually think that
• 34:29
  Speaker 4: you could stack the Brewers in the back half here.
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: I like back half more.
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: Like Gary Sanchez, Lara, Ortiz, Pratt, and then Churrio is
• 34:37
  Speaker 4: kind of how I would prefer to stack them. Those
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: five because, yeah, Churrio is expensive. The rest of them
• 34:43
  Speaker 4: are free. You got the back half.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: So if the Brewers do get ownership, it's going to
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: be guys like Terang, Vaughn, Contreras. So you leave those out.
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: You're playing the back half of guys with power, and
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: you can still spend up, right? So maybe that's a
• 34:55
  Speaker 4: team where you pair up Mizorowski and just say, hey,
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: If Miz has eight strikeouts through three innings or four innings,
• 35:02
  Speaker 4: maybe the Cubs just punt this off and kind of
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: just look for the next one to get a game back.
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: And you see the lesser relievers coming out of the pen.
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: So I always do like to do that. But Brewers
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: aren't one of my top stacks overall. I do think
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: as kind of fillers and salary savers, I think they're interesting.
• 35:20
  Speaker 4: And then Churrio is a spend up, I think, a
• 35:22
  Speaker 4: really good play. He's had a really good last month.
• 35:25
  Speaker 4: Historically hits left-handed pitching really well. He just hits the
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: ball hard, hits it in the air. So I do
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: think he has upside, and he will definitely swipe as well.
• 35:34
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't love the Brewers, but I do prefer
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: bottom half if I used any, which would be more
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: mini stacks to, again, fit expensive pitching. And, man, I
• 35:43
  Speaker 3: guess the Stone, this will refresh, but they're saying don't
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: even worry about the bottom half of the Cubs order.
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: Just hit the X and Sabres him on all of
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: them because they're not going to do anything against the Miz.
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: But, yeah, this will be up there.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I will say if you can afford PCA, Yeah,
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: he's insane right now.
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: That dude is red hot.
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: 0.07%.
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: I mean, McGill has not given up a home run
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: all year, and PCA just didn't even care, right?
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, he put it outside corner. He painted it,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: and he just crushed it.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's unconscious.
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: If you have the 6,800, he's a great differentiation piece,
• 36:20
  Speaker 4: but I don't know how you can play that over
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: a guy like Otani. in a much better matchup, and
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: Otani's even not going to be super popular there because
• 36:28
  Speaker 4: it's hard to afford those guys, and I'm not sacrificing
• 36:31
  Speaker 4: pitching to get one of them. So I did just
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: want to mention, I think PCAs deserve the right to
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: be mentioned on a DFS show in September when the
• 36:40
  Speaker 4: dude's going to win the MVP.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: Fair enough, fair enough. I would go Harris just because
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: of the pricing.
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: Obviously, in the vacuum, it feels like Acuna, but 1600's enough.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Honestly, I need pitching. I would say Harris. What's up,
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: Go Collect? Great to see you. I know you've been
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: grinding the best ball streets. Can't wait. It's almost here, DFS. Yeah,
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: there you go. It must be best ball season. I'm done.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: I'm officially done. Yeah, good amount this year.
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: Hopefully we can get to the top when it's all
• 37:11
  Speaker 3: said and done. Yeah, we're going to get to this
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: next game. Yeah, Avery says, or Judge. This next game, Padres, Nats. But, yeah,
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: we have this incorrect. We have Matt Waldron, but it
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: is actually Riley Cornello.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: Is what I'm seeing.
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think you're going to get more
• 37:27
  Speaker 3: than a couple innings if you're lucky with them.
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: And then you're going to see the bullpen.
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: Nate, tell me if I'm wrong, but yeah, the Padres,
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: one of the higher team totals, run totals on the slate.
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: So I'm not really playing the Nats against Casey Mize though,
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: but I don't even love the Padres relative to, I
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: think four other teams I mentioned, five other teams, but
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: I'll let you talk about it.
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think, I don't love this game on
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: either side.
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: I think you can obviously play, you can always play
• 37:56
  Speaker 4: some of these lefties from the Nats, Wood, Abrams, Lyle,
• 38:00
  Speaker 4: but they're expensive, right?
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: That's the issue here.
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: And I don't really want to play expensive guys with
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: the spend up pitching we have in a shitty ballpark
• 38:08
  Speaker 4: like San Diego and against that bullpen.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: So there's just a lot of negatives to go against
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: it there.
• 38:13
  Speaker 4: I do think the Nats, just because I'm not a
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: Casey Mize believer.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: He's been absolutely horrendous.
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's given up slate winning performances in like
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: every start over the last month.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: So I would not be shocked to see.
• 38:28
  Speaker 4: The issue is then I just I think then you're
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: just you're you're kind of dead because once that bullpen
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: comes in, it's going to be tough sledding there. Obviously,
• 38:37
  Speaker 4: San Diego's bullpen is really good. Looking at their usage
• 38:40
  Speaker 4: as of late, Mason Miller's pitched three of the last
• 38:42
  Speaker 4: four days. He's going to be unavailable, which does help.
• 38:44
  Speaker 4: More John is the same thing. Three of the last
• 38:46
  Speaker 4: four days, that's their two best guys in that pen.
• 38:50
  Speaker 4: And their third best is probably Rodriguez there. So he's
• 38:52
  Speaker 4: pitched three of the last four days. All three of
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: those guys are probably unavailable, which does help the case there.
• 38:57
  Speaker 4: And if Casey Mize is the same Mize he has
• 39:00
  Speaker 4: been over the last month with a 14% striker rate,
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: 280 ISO allowed with a fly ball rate approaching 40%
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: in 12% barrels, I mean, this dude is getting hit
• 39:10
  Speaker 4: hard and very hard.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: The Nats have a ton of upside if that's the case.
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: So I do think In large field stuff, 20 max even,
• 39:18
  Speaker 4: I think getting some exposure to these Nats is definitely interesting.
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: On the San Diego side, I mean, I don't love
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: it personally. I'd rather prefer the Nats side locked in.
• 39:30
  Speaker 4: for nine here.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: Ty France has been red hot. So if you wanted
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: to play him, I think he's fine.
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: Jackson Merrill, Tatis always has home run and still in
• 39:38
  Speaker 4: the base upside. This dude will run every chance he gets.
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: So that's fine, but not one of the premier games
• 39:44
  Speaker 4: to focus and As shocking as it seems, I actually
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: lean the Nats side just because it's a bet on
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: Casey Mize not being right since he's been in San Diego.
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: I really think the Nats are one of the worst
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: on the slate. So if you think the Nats over
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: the Padres, that just makes it easy to X out
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: the Padres, even though I.
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: Didn't even like them that much in the first place.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: So let's move on to.
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: I mean, I guess it can't be a worse game,
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: but it's still not a game I like much. Again,
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: I think I made it pretty clear. I like the
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: Royals-D-backs game. I like the White Sox-Pirates. And I like
• 40:17
  Speaker 3: the Yankees. And I don't think the Rays-Braves game is terrible.
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: So I'll be hoping early for the most part is
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: where the damage is done in terms of offense. But
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: Cal Quantrill, Bryce Miller on the mound. Yeah, I don't
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: like the Rangers much. I don't like the Mariners much.
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: I usually don't love bats in this park. You made
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: a case for Quantrill too. Like the Mariners I was
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: more on the fence with, like are they the sixth,
• 40:37
  Speaker 3: seventh best, something like that. But you made a case
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: for Quantrill that you had some interest in, like no ownership.
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: And that kind of just took the Mariners' exposure away
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: from me. So anything for you?
• 40:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you look at Quantrill, I like to
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: look at kind of a smaller sample the second half
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: of the year because of arm fatigue. G. Rison talks
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: about it all the time. Arm fatigue sets in, right?
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: A lot of these guys get traded. They're in new environments.
• 41:01
  Speaker 4: You look at Quantrill over the last month, 26% strikeout rate,
• 41:04
  Speaker 4: 4% walk rate, ISO below 100, and ground ball rate
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: almost 50%. I mean, and now he's pitching in Seattle,
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: one of the best pitching parks, if not the best
• 41:15
  Speaker 4: pitching park in all of baseball, against the Mariners, who
• 41:20
  Speaker 4: do have a 25% strikeout rate over the last month
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: against right-handed pitching.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: No interest for me in bats on either side of
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: I do think Quantrill, after looking at it, I'm probably
• 41:31
  Speaker 4: going to replace Burke with Quantrill even more so than
• 41:35
  Speaker 4: I already was going to at the start of the show.
• 41:38
  Speaker 4: So that's enough for me to say no bats here
• 41:40
  Speaker 4: for this one.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: All righty.
• 41:44
  Speaker 3: Before we do go to the next one, only a
• 41:45
  Speaker 3: couple games left. Do want to head over again to
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: the Ship and Nation website. As you can see, NFL
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: almost here. You can get all of our content, the Discord,
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: and access to Saber Sim for only $ 349. All of
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: our content, again, showdown tomorrow, Thursday, Thanksgiving slates, all the
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: main slates.
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: We'll have plenty of shows.
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: Tambo, Hoop, and I will be live tomorrow at 2 Eastern,
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: Sunday mornings, 9 Eastern we will be going live. We'll
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: have all the content, as you can see, under the NFL.
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: There it is right here. Showdown, The Stone, Stone 2.0,
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: Slate Station, with core reports and breakdowns on that. You'll
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: also be able to see the value report that our
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: man Rio is going to do. Normal slate station, Hoops
• 42:29
  Speaker 3: player pool will be on here. Everything that we had
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: last year, after we get some data of the DVP rankings, again,
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: core reports are on there. Tambo, Matt Bellman, and Ham,
• 42:40
  Speaker 3: all of their slate stations, their slate write-ups, quarterbacks, running backs, receivers,
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: Hoops player pool, Rio's value reports, projections, ownership on both sites.
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: The Stone, the best tool in the game, the Stone 2.0,
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: which you're able to hand build, plug in different like
• 42:55
  Speaker 3: virtual hand build, and it's all color coded.
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: We will show a lot of that off on the shows.
• 43:00
  Speaker 3: But again, NFL only for the year if you want that. Otherwise,
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: bottom left, join the nation, multiple different options, five days
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: for $ 19, which I think is a great way to
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: start if you haven't tried us out. And if you're
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: just looking for monthly NFL, you can see that right there.
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: For Sabre Sim, only $ 20 more. And of course, if
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: you just are playing MLB, if you're one of the
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: few people out there, we still do have like two
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: months of MLB left, less than a dollar a day
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: you can get in with us. And we're excited to
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: continue to grind MLB. Even during NFL season, we will
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: have shows a good amount of September. You can find
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: a show schedule right here on the website every single
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: day as well. So definitely do get in the Discord.
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: If you do join us at The Nation, that is
• 43:43
  Speaker 3: where we'll be releasing the link. for the ship of games,
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: which you can see 45,000 plus in cash and prizes.
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the next game on the slates.
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: The chalkiest team in terms of bats in the Toronto
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: Blue Jays taking on the A's, Jack Perkins, Jose Soriano.
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: For me, it's just when I'm eating this much chalk pitching,
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: like I just can't really stomach eating chalk Blue Jays.
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: If I were to play them, I think that's where
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: you play like a rope or something like that. The
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: appeal for the Blue Jays, obviously, is their high run total,
• 44:14
  Speaker 3: but also their prices. It allows you to spend up
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: at pitching easily. It's too much ownership for me to
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: really eat. I do not want to go like Sean Burke, Soriano,
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: or completely off the board there. I guess we liked
• 44:26
  Speaker 3: enough bats, like the Pirates. If I'm playing the Blue Jays,
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: maybe I'm playing the Pirates with it, or the Brewers,
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: or just a really, really low-owned stack. But still, I
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: don't love it, but that's what I would have to do.
• 44:38
  Speaker 3: What are your thoughts, and then what are your thoughts
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: on the A's?
• 44:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this is probably one of the better
• 44:42
  Speaker 4: matchups that Toronto could see as an opposing starting pitcher. Perkins,
• 44:46
  Speaker 4: really good against lefties, horrible against righties. He's going to
• 44:49
  Speaker 4: see a bunch of righties here. I mean, the Blue
• 44:52
  Speaker 4: Jays have been miserable against right-handed pitching over the last month,
• 44:54
  Speaker 4: for sure. I mean, 107 ISO, they don't strike out,
• 44:58
  Speaker 4: so you always have that, but I mean, the park
• 45:00
  Speaker 4: and the weather doesn't really affect you if you don't
• 45:04
  Speaker 4: hit for power anyways, right? And I mean, none of
• 45:07
  Speaker 4: these guys hit the ball in the air, so I
• 45:08
  Speaker 4: know Perkins is a fly ball, right? But I mean,
• 45:10
  Speaker 4: this dude, this team has everyone. I mean, a team
• 45:15
  Speaker 4: ground ball rate of almost 50% fly ball rate, less
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: than 20%.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just don't hit the ball in the air.
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: So you're going to probably see a lot of baby
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: style run support, which just doesn't win tournaments. And they're
• 45:28
  Speaker 4: going to be owned. So I would much rather play
• 45:31
  Speaker 4: the Yankees than the blue Jays. I'm, going to play
• 45:35
  Speaker 4: the Dodgers over the Blue Jays.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: I know they're cheap.
• 45:38
  Speaker 4: I'd actually probably rather play the chalkier D-backs than the
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: Blue Jays, personally, if picking one of them.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think they'll be more chalky. Could be wrong,
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: but I got Blue Jays higher.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, yeah.
• 45:51
  Speaker 4: If that's the case, then yeah. I'm out on the
• 45:55
  Speaker 4: Blue Jays here. Alejandro Kirk and Springer would be probably
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: my two favorite bats if going there, and I think
• 46:00
  Speaker 4: those two make some sense in a mini stack. I've
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: noticed a lot of flashback when I'm looking at winning
• 46:08
  Speaker 4: lineups and stuff, I seeing a lot more people buy
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: into the ownership, the chalkier stacks is more like the
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: mini stack, which has historically been the opposite way.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: I know you and I have been in team camp of.
• 46:22
  Speaker 4: Avoid the chalk stacks is kind of a two or
• 46:25
  Speaker 4: a three man stack, but I've actually seen a lot
• 46:27
  Speaker 4: of winning and very sharp players differentiate with their five
• 46:31
  Speaker 4: man upside stack and then still play the good plays
• 46:34
  Speaker 4: like a Springer, like a Kirk is kind of a
• 46:36
  Speaker 4: two man fill in two off positions, a one off
• 46:39
  Speaker 4: catcher position. Obviously you got three outfield positions to fill.
• 46:42
  Speaker 4: So something like that, I think makes some sense and
• 46:45
  Speaker 4: is actually kind of sharp overall in terms of the
• 46:48
  Speaker 4: roster construction there, especially when you're eating the chalk pitching.
• 46:51
  Speaker 4: So I did want to allude to that, but outside
• 46:53
  Speaker 4: of that, don't really love the Blue Jays into this
• 46:56
  Speaker 4: kind of ownership here. And then Soriano, I mean, it's
• 46:59
  Speaker 4: hard to play any of the, The other side of
• 47:02
  Speaker 4: this one, Soriano just keeps the ball on the ground,
• 47:04
  Speaker 4: doesn't really get beat up. I mean, Lawrence Butler, sure,
• 47:07
  Speaker 4: if you wanted to play him, I think he'd be fine.
• 47:09
  Speaker 4: Gilas fills a third base position. Jeff McNeil has had
• 47:14
  Speaker 4: kind of a crazy last two months or so. I'm
• 47:16
  Speaker 4: not a Jeff McNeil guy, but second base is a
• 47:19
  Speaker 4: terrible position there. So you could, but yeah, I'm out
• 47:23
  Speaker 4: on this game compared to what the field's.
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Going to be.
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Soriano is just something I never pick against. I mean,
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: the run total is good. The ownership is low. The
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: pricing is fine. So everything besides that I can get around.
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: They're low enough. I'm fine with it.
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: I probably prefer the A's to the Blue Jays, actually, again,
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: just because of that ownership.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: But great call. I mean, contest flashback.
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: I just talked a lot about our deals and our
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: partner Optimizer and SaberSim having contest flashback. That's a starter
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: or an ultimate deal. package that you have to have. Again,
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: I think the starter is the best deal out there.
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: You can also do it for the month for single sports.
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: Saberson doesn't even offer like a single sport, just NFL.
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: So if you want to do that, again, I think
• 48:06
  Speaker 3: the starter pack to be able to not only get
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: Saberson's projections and ownership to then use ours and average
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: it out to get a second source, but also you're
• 48:14
  Speaker 3: able to go back into different sports, into the different
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: contests and see what sharp people are doing, which Nate
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: just alluded to. about chalky stacks in the secondaries. So
• 48:24
  Speaker 3: I like that, Nays. That's awesome stuff. Maybe I'll have
• 48:26
  Speaker 3: to look into that more. I mean, just a name
• 48:29
  Speaker 3: I would look at in contest flashback is Hebrew Cheetah,
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: an absolute crusher for sure in the MLB streets and
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: all sports. All right, two games left. This one's easy
• 48:37
  Speaker 3: for me. Quinn Matthews, Landon Rope, Giants Cardinals. These were
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: two of the pitchers that I had interest in outside
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: of the three top arms. That definitely means I'm not
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: stacking against them. Take it away if you have anything
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: in this one for bats.
• 48:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah, no, just his more value here. Quinn Matthews, obviously
• 48:55
  Speaker 4: a lefty, has command issues to the right side. So
• 48:58
  Speaker 4: Jonah Cox is a cheap guy. He's been hitting the
• 49:02
  Speaker 4: ball really well, has some power too, especially against lefties.
• 49:05
  Speaker 4: So he'd be fine. Kristen Koss is a cheap guy. Devers,
• 49:09
  Speaker 4: if you believe in him, even lefty lefty. I mean,
• 49:11
  Speaker 4: this dude's been murdering baseballs over the last month. So
• 49:14
  Speaker 4: just some kind of little fillers. If you wanted to there,
• 49:17
  Speaker 4: you still do have two really bad bullpens here. so
• 49:20
  Speaker 4: if the starters don't go, you could see this game go.
• 49:23
  Speaker 4: I'm not going to be on it, though, in this ballpark.
• 49:25
  Speaker 4: I think just those couple guys that I mentioned there.
• 49:28
  Speaker 4: And then on the Cardinals side, I'd rather stack the
• 49:31
  Speaker 4: Cardinals side because I do think Landon Rupp is the
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: guy that most people are going to run to as
• 49:36
  Speaker 4: the cheap guy. So you're going to see probably when
• 49:39
  Speaker 4: people are spending up for the Dodgers and getting Otani, Freeman, Betts, Muncy,
• 49:43
  Speaker 4: those guys in there, you're probably going to see a
• 49:45
  Speaker 4: scooball pairing with a Landon Roop, something like that. So
• 49:50
  Speaker 4: if you wanted to, I mean, Cardinals have been better
• 49:53
  Speaker 4: over the last month. 174 ISO, strikeout rate non-existent. I mean,
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: Sagasi has been, this dude has been red hot. You
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: want to talk about a value guy that nobody's going
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: to play that, has actually won me a bunch of
• 50:05
  Speaker 4: money over the last week. I think he's interested in Burleson, Gorman,
• 50:10
  Speaker 4: two cheap lefty or reasonably priced lefties there to attack
• 50:14
  Speaker 4: the splits of Root.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: But ideally, you.
• 50:17
  Speaker 4: Don't want to stack here. I just I'm not a
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: Root believer. I haven't been on him. I don't think
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: he's very good. And I think he's going to be
• 50:23
  Speaker 4: overplayed on the slate just because of his projection and
• 50:27
  Speaker 4: the slate at hand with the spend of arms. And
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: I just I mean, Cardinals just don't strike out. outside
• 50:34
  Speaker 4: of a couple of guys, two guys. And yeah, so
• 50:37
  Speaker 4: that'd be my interest here, but not a, not a
• 50:40
  Speaker 4: focus game by, by any means.
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: Definitely hoping this game is not optimal and it's all
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: said and done. No bats for me.
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 50:47
  Speaker 3: Last game of the night, the Dodgers and the Reds,
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: Nick Lodolo, Tyreek Scooball on the mound. I do not
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: think that you, I, yeah, I'm going to say it's
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: negative EV, I think to stack against any of the
• 50:58
  Speaker 3: top three pitchers on this slate today. When I say stack,
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: I mean, five man stack. If you want a two
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: man stack minis, Sure, that's never a negative EV, but
• 51:06
  Speaker 3: not something I'm looking to do. Big enough slate with
• 51:08
  Speaker 3: 10 games. Enough very low owned spots that I think
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: have more likelihood to get there.
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers, though, yeah, like I.
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: Said, when I'm playing one of these two pitchers above,
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: I am a lot more likely to play these Dodgers.
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: And again, it's like no shit. Everyone is.
• 51:22
  Speaker 3: But still, I mean, the Dodgers aren't showing to get
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: that that much ownership. These two pitchers are low enough owned.
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: I'm totally fine playing a Ms. Quinn Hughes or Quinn Matthews.
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: I think it's an NHL. And then stacking five-man Dodgers
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: and going from there. I think the Yankees are the
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: best stack on the slate in RAW. Who's going to
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: score the most runs? I got Yankees, and then I
• 51:45
  Speaker 3: would say Dodgers. So if I think that's the case,
• 51:48
  Speaker 3: they obviously have a lot of power, one through nines
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: in play. And I'll probably be hoping the lineup comes
• 51:54
  Speaker 3: out a little late, a late game at 10-10 Eastern.
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: The longer the lineup waits, the more people get impatient
• 52:00
  Speaker 3: and plug something else in.
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: And let's go.
• 52:03
  Speaker 3: I just took Stevenson a couple days ago in my
• 52:06
  Speaker 3: big 3K best ball draft in the DraftKings streets. So
• 52:11
  Speaker 3: Stevenson's not moonwalking. Trayvon Henderson's moonwalking, and Stevenson is rocket-chipping
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: up the ADP ranks. But no one gives a fuck.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: That's watching this about best ball, just about DFS. So
• 52:24
  Speaker 3: what are you doing to miss Dodgers, Reds, Nades?
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Dodgers.
• 52:29
  Speaker 4: I have the Dodgers over the Yankees in terms of
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: ranking them, but It's hard to go wrong with either.
• 52:34
  Speaker 4: I'm just– Lodolo's a fly ball guy facing a fly
• 52:37
  Speaker 4: ball lineup in Dodger Stadium when they have Scooball, their
• 52:42
  Speaker 4: big acquisition, on the hail, right?
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: So, I mean, I love this spot. Cincinnati's bullpen's atrocious
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 52:51
  Speaker 4: Scooball has some strikeout– or Lodolo has some strikeout ability
• 52:54
  Speaker 4: to the left side.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: If you look at the last month, kind of smoking
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: mirrors there. I don't put too much.
• 53:00
  Speaker 4: But what he does is he's giving up a shit
• 53:02
  Speaker 4: ton of power to both sides. I mean, Mookie looks great.
• 53:04
  Speaker 4: Tio Hernandez looks great. Edmund looks really good. You're probably
• 53:07
  Speaker 4: going to get Rojas and Kiki Hernandez in there. I'd
• 53:11
  Speaker 4: say the bigger pinch hit risk, it's tough. They're both
• 53:14
  Speaker 4: pinch hit risk there. But if they both start at
• 53:16
  Speaker 4: the same time, it's probably a little bit watered down
• 53:19
  Speaker 4: compared to if only one of them starts there. So
• 53:22
  Speaker 4: I do think those guys are fine. I'd lean Kiki
• 53:25
  Speaker 4: more so than Miguel Rojas. And then Will Smith being
• 53:29
  Speaker 4: back here does always help this lineup against the lefty.
• 53:32
  Speaker 4: So the Dodgers actually aren't that hard to afford outside
• 53:36
  Speaker 4: of Otani.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: And Otani's lefty lefty.
• 53:39
  Speaker 4: So if I had to lean, I'd rather just not
• 53:42
  Speaker 4: play Otani with the Dodger stacks and just play the
• 53:46
  Speaker 4: kind of the back half. And I would avoid playing
• 53:49
  Speaker 4: Miguel Rojas and Kiki Hernandez together in the same lineup.
• 53:53
  Speaker 4: because if I'm going to take a zero or three
• 53:55
  Speaker 4: points with two at-bats, I only want one of those
• 53:57
  Speaker 4: in there, not two of them.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: So do worry about that.
• 54:01
  Speaker 4: I tend to make a rule in Sabre with things
• 54:04
  Speaker 4: like that or cap ownership on those two specific pinch
• 54:07
  Speaker 4: hit guys. But, yeah, Dodgers look like the best stack
• 54:09
  Speaker 4: overall on the slate to me, and I'm going to
• 54:13
  Speaker 4: be heavily invested in them.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: Kiki, do you love me? I'm going to take that.
• 54:19
  Speaker 4: Yeah, during the G-Rise and he can't be here on
• 54:24
  Speaker 4: the Tuesday show and Kiki is going to get the
• 54:27
  Speaker 4: start against a lefty here.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: So glad title filled the shoes there.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: Absolutely.
• 54:31
  Speaker 3: I'm in for G-Rise and see it on Tuesday with Nate.
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: So I had to do it. Yeah, maybe if you're
• 54:36
  Speaker 3: maxing one Kiki Rojas, which I think is a good
• 54:39
  Speaker 3: way to do it, I would definitely get more of Kiki.
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: Not only for the fact of, yeah, we love it
• 54:44
  Speaker 3: on the show, but I think it all started because
• 54:46
  Speaker 3: I love Kiki Hernandez. I have for many of years.
• 54:49
  Speaker 3: The dude always gets the job done. I've seen multiple
• 54:53
  Speaker 3: home runs, for sure, at one at Miller Park. But
• 54:55
  Speaker 3: he just has big-time hits in big-time spots whenever his
• 54:58
  Speaker 3: name's called. And, yeah, G-Ryze, when he does that, always
• 55:01
  Speaker 3: have to bring it up.
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: So I love the Dodgers.
• 55:03
  Speaker 3: And like you said, they're not really expensive. They're actually,
• 55:06
  Speaker 3: I would argue, way too cheap outside of pretty much Otani.
• 55:10
  Speaker 3: So I like it, and I'd be fine playing a
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: Rope or a Matthews I keep saying Hughes, a Roper, Matthews,
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: and then one of the big arms with the five-man
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: sack for the Dodgers. Yeah, that's, I mean, broad slate
• 55:24
  Speaker 3: for me. Bats early, the main three pitchers at Oracle Park,
• 55:28
  Speaker 3: and then go from there and hope you get the
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: right combo when it's all said and done. Final thoughts
• 55:33
  Speaker 3: for you, Nades?
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no, final thoughts. Headline with the top three horses
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: up at top.
• 55:38
  Speaker 4: Cal Cuancho is kind of my sneaky, unowned guy. That's
• 55:42
  Speaker 4: also a pivot off of those guys out in San Fran.
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: White Sox, I think, are super, super interesting on the slate.
• 55:48
  Speaker 4: Nobody's going to play them, so I like them quite
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: a bit. And, yeah, hopefully we see those Ship It
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: Nation logos up at the top. If you're not in
• 55:57
  Speaker 4: my satellite contest, hopefully then I see your logo behind
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: me in those so I can chase that million bucks
• 56:02
  Speaker 4: on Sunday.
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: But, yeah, no, it should be fun.
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: Last full slate of baseball here before we got football
• 56:09
  Speaker 4: back in our lives, back-to-back days, Wednesday, tomorrow, and Thursday.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 56:13
  Speaker 4: I know you'll be on with hoop and title or
• 56:16
  Speaker 4: a Tambo, excuse me, breaking that down.
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: So make sure you check out on this show.
• 56:20
  Speaker 4: And then obviously we'll have you covered for the full
• 56:22
  Speaker 4: slate of NFL stuff, um, over the weekend. And, uh,
• 56:26
  Speaker 4: I mean, I don't know too many companies out there, um,
• 56:28
  Speaker 4: giving off $ 45, 000 in free roll and that's just minimum, right?
• 56:33
  Speaker 4: Plus Saberson packages, things like that in terms of shipping games.
• 56:36
  Speaker 4: So kind of a no brainer if you're not you
• 56:39
  Speaker 4: don't have a home for NFL. Um, you can get
• 56:41
  Speaker 4: the whole season right there for, for three 49. So, um,
• 56:46
  Speaker 4: and it gets you a chance to play into basically
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: live final, um, with no additional costs, right? You're not
• 56:51
  Speaker 4: forking out money each week to, to enter a contest, to,
• 56:55
  Speaker 4: to play for, um, kind of a pretty crazy top
• 56:58
  Speaker 4: prize for majority of the people that are entering that.
• 57:00
  Speaker 4: I mean, most of those people, most of our member
• 57:02
  Speaker 4: base isn't playing 150 teams or playing, $ 10 to.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: $ 50 a slate, right?
• 57:07
  Speaker 4: And they now have a chance to play for five
• 57:09
  Speaker 4: figures in a small field at the end of the
• 57:12
  Speaker 4: year just from being a member there.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: So, yeah, love to have you here.
• 57:16
  Speaker 4: And now's the best time because you'll never see this
• 57:20
  Speaker 4: pricing again once main slate locks on Sunday.
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and again, the nice thing about it is this year,
• 57:26
  Speaker 3: if you're in the Discord, you will have it right
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: when the link drops, you have your notifications on, you
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: have NFL notifications on, you click that link, you get
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: on DraftKings, you'll be able to have a shot every
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: single week unless you are already qualified in one, which
• 57:40
  Speaker 3: is different from last year. And just is another reason
• 57:43
  Speaker 3: to get in to the Discord to join either the
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: NFL only package or an all access package. They both
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: get you qualified monthly or greater for the Ship of
• 57:54
  Speaker 3: Nation games, which again is posted in the Discord over
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: five figures in prizes and can only go up if
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: there is some success in the share of ship stuff.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: Great to see you, Michael. No, definitely not Travis Duarte.
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: Refresh, good to see you, but it'll be Miz, it'll
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: be Scooball, Miz, and Schlittler as the top three.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Michael W.
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: Said, great show, appreciate it. I got no home run calls,
• 58:15
  Speaker 3: but Nades, if you do have one, you can say it,
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: and then I'll let you hit the outro for us.
• 58:20
  Speaker 3: You can say the outro, I'll hit the actual buttons,
• 58:23
  Speaker 3: but if you have a home run call, you can
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: give it to the people.
• 58:26
  Speaker 4: Home run call. I'm going to ride my guy. I'm
• 58:29
  Speaker 4: going to go to the White Sox. I'm going to
• 58:32
  Speaker 4: go to Tristan Peters. He treats me well. Hit 7, 3,100
• 58:35
  Speaker 4: on probably my second favorite stack of the slate there. So, yeah,
• 58:40
  Speaker 4: good luck tonight in those contests. Hope to see those
• 58:43
  Speaker 4: Shipping Nation logos at the top. I'll be back tomorrow
• 58:46
  Speaker 4: as well. Title for the NFL breakdown. I don't know
• 58:48
  Speaker 4: if we're doing an MLB show, but nonetheless, title. We'll
• 58:51
  Speaker 4: see you guys tomorrow.
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: You all too.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: For title. We'll see you guys next time.
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: Peace. Peace.