Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 31 March 2026

Transcript

Full Show Podcast: 31 March 2026 · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

0:01
Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
0:05
Speaker 1: earlier this show with one roof love where you live
0:09
Speaker 1: news talks.
0:09
Speaker 2: It'd be good morning, six after five. Great to have
0:11
Speaker 2: your company. We'll speak to Cameron Beggriy on this new
0:13
Speaker 2: ASP report that has inflation peaking at four percent. Donald
0:16
Speaker 2: Demo is an Australia for US builders are doing home renos,
0:19
Speaker 2: not new builds. We'll look at the snail mail between
0:23
Speaker 2: Labor and National on the India FDA and not a
0:26
Speaker 2: great time to have a kidney disease.
0:29
Speaker 1: The agenda.
0:30
Speaker 2: Tuesday, the thirty first of March. Trump's on social media
0:33
Speaker 2: he says We're going to do a deal with the
0:35
Speaker 2: new regime in Iran. Marco Rubio is fronting the media.
0:38
Speaker 3: Well, they are talking to us in ways that previous
0:41
Speaker 3: people in charge in Iran have not spoken to us
0:44
Speaker 3: in the past. Some of the things they're willing to do,
0:46
Speaker 3: some of the things they're saying they're willing to do.
0:48
Speaker 2: Obviously they have to go do it.
0:49
Speaker 3: We're going to test our proposition very strongly because we
0:52
Speaker 3: always prefer to settle things tough negotiation and diplomacy, but
0:56
Speaker 3: we also have to be prepared for the fact that
0:58
Speaker 3: that effort might fail.
0:59
Speaker 2: Iran still talking tough as they do.
1:02
Speaker 4: Aggression and occupation will yield no results other than the
1:05
Speaker 4: humiliating capture, dismemberment, and disappearance of the aggressors. American commanders
1:11
Speaker 4: and soldiers will become food for the sharks of the
1:13
Speaker 4: Persian goal.
1:14
Speaker 2: Pakistan's is we've got the place, mets out, we've got
1:16
Speaker 2: the dinner, we're out, We're really to host peace talk.
1:19
Speaker 5: There is a real fine line that Pakistan is trying
1:21
Speaker 5: to balance being able to speak to both sides. We
1:24
Speaker 5: know that they are passing messages between both sides, but
1:27
Speaker 5: whether or not that is going to materialize into talks,
1:30
Speaker 5: whether those talks will take place here in Azamabad, we
1:33
Speaker 5: still don't know.
1:34
Speaker 2: Now let's go to the other war. Ukraine. They want
1:36
Speaker 2: an energy ceasefire with Russia. That's basically, don't bomb our
1:39
Speaker 2: power plants please, and we won't touch yours. But it's
1:42
Speaker 2: all tied to a run. Some of Ukraine's.
1:44
Speaker 6: Partners has asked him to reduce Ukraine's attacks on Russia's
1:51
Speaker 6: energy infrastructure because clearly, as field prices are surging across.
1:57
Speaker 2: The globe, everyone needs to keep their housewarm, don't they find?
2:00
Speaker 2: Only the BBC can't get itself out of the headlines.
2:02
Speaker 2: High profile Radio two host Scott Mills. He's been given
2:06
Speaker 2: the sack this over allegations to do with his personal conduct.
2:09
Speaker 7: The fact that the bosses have had to do this
2:12
Speaker 7: means there must be something potentially very significant here to
2:15
Speaker 7: let one of their big names go. We're now asking
2:18
Speaker 7: questions about another megastar at the BBC who was on
2:21
Speaker 7: between three hundred and fifty five thousand pounds and three
2:24
Speaker 7: hundred and fifty nine thousand pounds per year.
2:28
Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines on an early edition with
2:31
Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and one roof Love where you.
2:34
Speaker 2: Live News Talks, it'd be eight after five, So the
2:37
Speaker 2: Aussies have blinked, hadn't they. Elbow has got a bit
2:40
Speaker 2: panicked deer in the headlights and he is having the
2:43
Speaker 2: excise on petrol.
2:44
Speaker 8: We're making feel cheap in today because we understand that
2:48
Speaker 8: Australians are under serious pressure.
2:50
Speaker 2: Two point six billion dollars. It's actually uncosted, but they
2:54
Speaker 2: reckon two point six billion dollars is what it will cost.
2:57
Speaker 2: That's based on your averduce, et cetera. But it's under
3:00
Speaker 2: cost it it could go on. You know, everyone could
3:02
Speaker 2: go fill up every day for three months and bankrupt
3:05
Speaker 2: the government. That's the plan. So over here we're doing
3:08
Speaker 2: things very differently. You may have noticed but Jim Chalmer's
3:12
Speaker 2: language and you had to laugh reading this. They he
3:15
Speaker 2: described it as temporary, timely and responsible, as opposed to
3:20
Speaker 2: Nicola Willis who describes ours as temporary, timely and targeted.
3:24
Speaker 2: You see ours as much more targeted than that. So
3:27
Speaker 2: he says this award off recession. His reasoning is, if
3:30
Speaker 2: I don't do this, we will end up like in
3:33
Speaker 2: COVID when people wish stuck in their homes and basically
3:36
Speaker 2: and shut down, lockdown. That's what we'll get to. And
3:41
Speaker 2: so I need to make sure that the country is
3:43
Speaker 2: still moving. And he encouraged people to go for a
3:45
Speaker 2: drive and go away for Ester. So very different kettle
3:50
Speaker 2: of fish over in Australia. Go and enjoy your Easter holidays.
3:54
Speaker 2: There is no budget offset. This is going on the
3:58
Speaker 2: credit card. They're running the same as US running structural
4:00
Speaker 2: deficit over in Australia. And even some labor MPs were
4:04
Speaker 2: quoted yesterday saying scratching their heads, we just can't get
4:08
Speaker 2: our heads around this. We have studied article after article
4:11
Speaker 2: that says this doesn't help. It is a quick, short
4:14
Speaker 2: term sugar hit. Why are we doing it? Perplexed was
4:19
Speaker 2: the word that they used. Ten after five, Ryan Bridge, Well,
4:22
Speaker 2: the polls. Remember the pole we told you about yesterday.
4:25
Speaker 2: That would be one reason I would have thought, not
4:27
Speaker 2: that they're crash diving, but his popularity is and he
4:31
Speaker 2: wants to make sure he stays in charge. Ten after five,
4:35
Speaker 2: We'll talk where you can get good kidney help in
4:38
Speaker 2: New Zealand, because it depends where you live. Newstalk, SAIDB.
4:42
Speaker 1: On your radio and online on Iheard Radio Early Edition
4:46
Speaker 1: with Ryan Bridge and one roof Love where you live?
4:50
Speaker 2: News Talk SEDB. News Talk, SAIDB. There's two prices for
4:53
Speaker 2: Brent futures. The brink cruded is the you know, the
4:56
Speaker 2: one everyone talks about in the media, But there's actually
4:58
Speaker 2: two prices when people talk about Brent crude futures. There's
5:02
Speaker 2: the futures of one hundred and sixteen dollars a barrel.
5:05
Speaker 2: That is the price of the front month contract, which
5:08
Speaker 2: expires on March thirty first, so today tomorrow for America
5:12
Speaker 2: for delivery in May. So you've got your May price
5:15
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixteen, and then you've got your April
5:18
Speaker 2: with delivery June price. That's one hundred and eight dollars
5:22
Speaker 2: a barrel. So May delivery one hundred and sixteen, June
5:25
Speaker 2: delivery one hundred and eight. Both of those prices were
5:29
Speaker 2: up on the back of news that maybe they'll send
5:31
Speaker 2: some troops in to get some uranium out of Iran.
5:33
Speaker 2: But what's interesting is that the price eases as the
5:37
Speaker 2: months progress. Rain Bridge, right, Let's talk kidney failure, well,
5:42
Speaker 2: kidney dialysis in New Zealand this morning. Bit a concern
5:45
Speaker 2: about this. Health New Zealand has admitted it is under
5:48
Speaker 2: funding treatments, specifically dialysis in some areas of the country,
5:52
Speaker 2: and there is a warning about an increase in demand,
5:55
Speaker 2: a tsunami of demand. Maddie kay is General manager at
5:58
Speaker 2: Kidney Health New Zealand, joins us this morning. Many good morning,
6:02
Speaker 2: good morning, thanks for having me on. Good to have
6:04
Speaker 2: you on. So where is it? Where is the worst
6:07
Speaker 2: place in New Zealand? Do we know if you need dialysis?
6:11
Speaker 9: I mean that's a really good question. I don't know
6:14
Speaker 9: if we have a really clear understanding of which of
6:17
Speaker 9: our units is under the most pressure, but it's really
6:19
Speaker 9: clear that every unit around the country is struggling. I
6:22
Speaker 9: think christ Church have come forward and talked about their
6:25
Speaker 9: concern of having to get to the point where people
6:27
Speaker 9: might be rationed, and we've seen, you know, some scurrying
6:31
Speaker 9: to suddenly recruit more staff. But I think that if
6:34
Speaker 9: we spoke to each unit, that'd be feeling similar pressures.
6:37
Speaker 9: And I know that in some units around the country,
6:42
Speaker 9: you know, they are already providing four shifts of dialysis
6:45
Speaker 9: a day, and dialysis shifts last for five hours, so
6:49
Speaker 9: you know that's getting well, that's the maximum that we
6:51
Speaker 9: can provide, and so when they hit capacity, you know,
6:55
Speaker 9: they don't have any wiggle room to recruit more staff.
6:58
Speaker 9: Those machines will be in use. They need a structured
7:01
Speaker 9: plan in place.
7:02
Speaker 2: Maddie, what does rationing look like? Doesn't everyone need it?
7:07
Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean it's really tragic, and I feel for
7:10
Speaker 9: the patients who came forward to talk about how frightened
7:13
Speaker 9: they felt. Dialysis is a life sustaining treatment and we
7:17
Speaker 9: would absolutely want people to have access to high quality care.
7:20
Speaker 9: You know, the doctors that came forward in christ It
7:22
Speaker 9: talked about the fact that no one trains for decades
7:25
Speaker 9: to provide care that is below the minimum standard. And yeah,
7:30
Speaker 9: we would hope that the government would come forward with
7:32
Speaker 9: a plan to ensure that no one is facing ration dialysis.
7:35
Speaker 2: What's our problem matter? Is it not enough machines? Because
7:38
Speaker 2: I heard that people can do this at home? Is
7:41
Speaker 2: that a sort of a backup option? Do we need
7:43
Speaker 2: more machines or do we need more nurses helping to
7:45
Speaker 2: do it or both?
7:48
Speaker 9: I mean, I think the main thing we need is
7:49
Speaker 9: a plan. I think it's you know, there's multiple factors
7:52
Speaker 9: that would make a difference. I think, you know, one
7:55
Speaker 9: of the issues with getting people on home dialysis is
7:58
Speaker 9: making sure that we have people in the units that
8:00
Speaker 9: can train people how to dialize at home. It's reasonably complicated.
8:04
Speaker 9: You want to have comprehensive support, you want to feel
8:07
Speaker 9: that you're resourced, and then you know, we're conscious that Yeah,
8:12
Speaker 9: like I said, some of the units around the country
8:14
Speaker 9: aren't offering you three shifts a day, and that's generally
8:19
Speaker 9: due to staff and constraints. So I think there's multiple
8:22
Speaker 9: factors that would make a massive difference. I do think
8:24
Speaker 9: it's important to remember that not everyone would be eligible
8:27
Speaker 9: to dialize at home. You know you need to be
8:30
Speaker 9: meet the medical criteria to do that, so we do
8:33
Speaker 9: need to be able to service the demand for dialysis
8:36
Speaker 9: in center as well.
8:38
Speaker 2: Yeah, a bit freaky jabbing yourself with a big needle
8:40
Speaker 2: at home too. Maddie, really appreciate your time this morning.
8:42
Speaker 2: Thank you. That's Maddie k, general manager at Kidney Health
8:45
Speaker 2: New Zealand. Seventeen minutes after five. By the way, the
8:50
Speaker 2: Health New Zealand has said that there is a plan coming,
8:53
Speaker 2: but there is an internal process that it has to
8:55
Speaker 2: go through first, So there you go. Good morning Ryan
9:00
Speaker 2: from John. Morning John. I have a five point seven
9:02
Speaker 2: liter SS Commodore and a late model Ranger, which both
9:06
Speaker 2: do nine and a half k's to the Lita on
9:09
Speaker 2: a trip, so when you take rucks into account, the
9:12
Speaker 2: Commodore is now cheaper to run than the Ranger. Chloe's
9:16
Speaker 2: going to love this. Seventeen after five, nine two nine
9:19
Speaker 2: two the number to text. You're on News Talk ZB
9:22
Speaker 2: and next we're going to talk builders. What's the price
9:25
Speaker 2: They're doing a lot more renos now than they are
9:27
Speaker 2: new builds or KO houses, but what's the price difference
9:30
Speaker 2: if you were to price a job today as a
9:32
Speaker 2: builder versus a month ago as a builder? How much
9:36
Speaker 2: would that have changed? News Talk SEB.
9:40
Speaker 1: News and Views You Trust to start your day, It's
9:43
Speaker 1: early Ediship with Bryan Bridge and one roof Love Where
9:47
Speaker 1: you Live.
9:48
Speaker 2: News Talks B five twenty On News Talks, heb Todd.
9:51
Speaker 2: Mcclay's got to make a decision. Does he sign the
9:53
Speaker 2: India FTA before getting the support of parliamentary parties because
9:56
Speaker 2: New Zealand first doesn't want it. Labor is on the fence,
9:59
Speaker 2: wants more detail. Do you go ahead and sign the
10:02
Speaker 2: thing before you know Parliament will pass it. Mody's coming
10:05
Speaker 2: here later in the year, so you'll definitely want to
10:08
Speaker 2: have it signed by then, and Labor is sort of
10:11
Speaker 2: dragging the chain. They have written to maclay and apparently
10:14
Speaker 2: he took a month to reply to their letter, so
10:17
Speaker 2: within four days then Hipkins writes him another letter. He
10:21
Speaker 2: has not had a response to the second letter yet,
10:23
Speaker 2: so they've got to sort this out, and they've got
10:25
Speaker 2: to sort it out quickly. Ray and Bridge five twenty Right,
10:28
Speaker 2: our house renovations are basically keeping builders busy at the moment.
10:31
Speaker 2: In the year to February, construction jobs went backwards two
10:34
Speaker 2: point one percent. Manufacturing was down one point six these
10:37
Speaker 2: with the numbers out yesterday, that's nearly eight thousand jobs
10:40
Speaker 2: gone in a year. Malcolm Fleming, New Zealand Certified Builders
10:43
Speaker 2: CEO with US this morning. Hey Malcolm, good morning, Ryan.
10:46
Speaker 2: Job's going well? Where are the workers going?
10:48
Speaker 10: Was he?
10:51
Speaker 11: For the last two years has been pretty tough for
10:53
Speaker 11: the construction industry, with some reporting talking about fifteen thousand
10:57
Speaker 11: plus jobs. The part of the sector of people who
11:01
Speaker 11: have ever left the industry, it's about the industries here
11:04
Speaker 11: in New Zealand or departed overseas and as you say,
11:07
Speaker 11: to destroy has been a key destination.
11:09
Speaker 2: What proportion of the work here now is renolds versus
11:13
Speaker 2: new builds versus state housing stuff like that.
11:17
Speaker 11: If I look at our membership and what they're telling me,
11:20
Speaker 11: over half of their workload going forward is in the
11:24
Speaker 11: renovation area. That's one area of the market that has
11:28
Speaker 11: stood up. Looking at stacks in New Zealand's the statistics
11:32
Speaker 11: over the last twelve months or so, most other things
11:35
Speaker 11: have fallen away. What would it normally be, It would
11:40
Speaker 11: be renovations would be below fifty percent. New builds. The
11:46
Speaker 11: area that has sort of fallen away quite a lot,
11:49
Speaker 11: and so well qualified builders with the ability to do
11:54
Speaker 11: so move across and can do things like renovations and
11:59
Speaker 11: small commercial and other parts of the market.
12:02
Speaker 2: Malcolm, if you were pricing a job today, I was
12:04
Speaker 2: thinking about this this morning, pricing a job today versus
12:07
Speaker 2: say February. You know, before the war began, back in
12:10
Speaker 2: the golden times, how much extra would you be building
12:13
Speaker 2: into a job.
12:16
Speaker 11: Well, talking to merchants over the last couple of weeks,
12:22
Speaker 11: we're starting to see irregular increases to materials starting to
12:26
Speaker 11: fly on through. It's almost reminiscent of COVID times across
12:29
Speaker 11: twenty twenty twenty twenty two, when there was almost fort
12:33
Speaker 11: the updates to the merchant lists. So they range really
12:38
Speaker 11: sort of the fuel prices that are being added on,
12:42
Speaker 11: and they're addings of four percent, eighty percent. This is
12:46
Speaker 11: an indication across the board. But these are fuel costs
12:50
Speaker 11: that have been put onto the delivery of products and
12:53
Speaker 11: added to the delivery costs.
12:54
Speaker 2: And therefore would the price of a build go up
12:57
Speaker 2: four to eight percent potentially right.
13:02
Speaker 11: At the moment in the middle of all this, the
13:04
Speaker 11: cost of build is going up.
13:07
Speaker 2: Appreciate your time this morning. Malcolm, thanks for being with me.
13:10
Speaker 2: Malcolm Fleming, who is certified to build a CEO. It
13:12
Speaker 2: is twenty three minutes after five ray Bridge. She's a painting. Well,
13:18
Speaker 2: they didn't think it was a rem Brand. They thought
13:19
Speaker 2: it was a copy of a rem Brand and it's
13:23
Speaker 2: in a privately owned UK art institute and they was
13:29
Speaker 2: hanging on the wall for ages and they thought, oh,
13:31
Speaker 2: that's a nice painting that looks like a rem Brand.
13:33
Speaker 2: That's not really a rem Brand. It's a picture of
13:36
Speaker 2: It's called old Man with a gold Chain. It's literally
13:39
Speaker 2: an old man with a gold chain around his neck
13:41
Speaker 2: and a hat on his head. And you know this
13:44
Speaker 2: is the Dutch master seventeenth century. Beautiful but is it
13:49
Speaker 2: actually his well for ages they said no, it's a
13:54
Speaker 2: near life size depiction of an older man. And for
13:57
Speaker 2: the first time in four centuries, the two portraits have
13:59
Speaker 2: been being reunited by the Art Institute of Chicago and
14:04
Speaker 2: they now believe they were both painted by Rembrandt. So
14:07
Speaker 2: there you go. Imagine what it'd be worth. Twenty four
14:10
Speaker 2: after five News Talks VB. We are Larved Australia after
14:13
Speaker 2: News at five point thirty and Cameron bagriy are on
14:16
Speaker 2: the latest inflation numbers from the ASB report. That's before
14:18
Speaker 2: six the.
14:19
Speaker 1: Early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio Power by NEWSTALKSB.
14:25
Speaker 2: News TALKSB twenty six minutes after five. As far as
14:28
Speaker 2: conditions go before a grand opening, you couldn't do much
14:32
Speaker 2: better than a petrol spike or a fuel crisis for
14:35
Speaker 2: the city rail link in Auckland, could you. Construction and
14:39
Speaker 2: testing due to be finished within three months, then it's
14:41
Speaker 2: a handover period to the operators. They need another three months,
14:45
Speaker 2: so we'll be using this thing apparently September, and I'm
14:49
Speaker 2: told they will depart every four to five minutes in
14:53
Speaker 2: the city underground in the CBD every four to five minutes,
14:56
Speaker 2: so you walk down and within a couple of minutes
14:58
Speaker 2: you'll be on a train. The cost is FI and
15:00
Speaker 2: a half billion dollars, half funded by the Crown, so Gore,
15:03
Speaker 2: you've pitched in. Thank you. What's more, Wayne Brown reckons
15:07
Speaker 2: the operational cost mean that what would have been a
15:10
Speaker 2: zero percent rate increase this year will instead be something
15:13
Speaker 2: like seven So it's costing us pretty bloody important we
15:17
Speaker 2: get it right. Given the size of the capital and
15:20
Speaker 2: the operational spend and the size of the current petrol
15:22
Speaker 2: bills that people are staring down the barrel of one
15:26
Speaker 2: quickly as possible, please two as conveniently as possible. And
15:30
Speaker 2: on the latter transport people train people are sounding some
15:33
Speaker 2: alarm bells about this. That's because AT is taking a
15:37
Speaker 2: transitional approach, a transitional timetable for the first six months
15:42
Speaker 2: of its operation, meaning fewer trains than we were promised.
15:45
Speaker 2: On the Western Line, for example, the spacing of the
15:49
Speaker 2: trains means that commuters could end up waiting longer for
15:52
Speaker 2: their service than they do right now. That would be
15:56
Speaker 2: a disaster. This thing needs to sing in full voice
15:59
Speaker 2: from day dot, which is when people will stress test it.
16:02
Speaker 2: That's what you do something new and shiny, you go
16:04
Speaker 2: check it out first. Impressions are everything. If you don't
16:08
Speaker 2: make a material difference from day one, people might just
16:11
Speaker 2: write you off. So the pressure is on to get
16:14
Speaker 2: the CRL up and running sooner, I think, and then
16:16
Speaker 2: operate quicker than the speed of sound. Frankly, achieving the
16:20
Speaker 2: goal of transforming drivers into train riders depends on it,
16:24
Speaker 2: and conditions have never been better. Bran Bridge twenty eight
16:29
Speaker 2: after By the way, we have fifty nine days of
16:33
Speaker 2: petrol in the country, fifty four days of diesel, and
16:36
Speaker 2: fifty days of jet fuel. Petrol up, diesel up, jet
16:39
Speaker 2: fuel down. There's your update benefits. If you're on a
16:44
Speaker 2: benefit and you're listening to this this morning, you're up
16:47
Speaker 2: early the amount extra you're getting. A single person over
16:51
Speaker 2: twenty five from tomorrow on the job seeker, you'll get
16:55
Speaker 2: an extra twenty two bucks a fortnight, a couple with
16:58
Speaker 2: children extra forty a fortnite. And if you have children
17:03
Speaker 2: then you also get the family tax credit. You get
17:05
Speaker 2: the family tax credit regardless of whether you're working or not.
17:09
Speaker 2: There's two things. There's a family tax credit and a
17:11
Speaker 2: working for family's tax credit. The family tax credit will
17:15
Speaker 2: go up extra four hundred dollars a year, that rising
17:18
Speaker 2: to seven hundred and twenty dollars for families with two children.
17:20
Speaker 2: That's all happening tomorrow, and super will lift more than
17:25
Speaker 2: fifty bucks a fortnite for a married couple. O't there
17:28
Speaker 2: you go something to enjoy and look forward to from tomorrow.
17:32
Speaker 2: News Talks B. We'll get to Donald J. Mayo out
17:34
Speaker 2: of Australia next.
17:41
Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in depth
17:43
Speaker 1: Analysis Early edition with Ryan Bridge and One Root Love
17:48
Speaker 1: Where You Live.
17:49
Speaker 10: News Talks at b.
17:53
Speaker 2: Pay Far Away from six Tuesday morning on News Talk Zibe.
17:56
Speaker 2: Coming up Cameron Bagriy on the inflation number that we
17:59
Speaker 2: got from a yesterday. They reckon it's going to peak
18:01
Speaker 2: at four percent. The Aussie is, by the way, peeking
18:03
Speaker 2: at five percent. We will head there too with Donod Demayo.
18:06
Speaker 2: Talk about that sovereign citizen Scott Besson over in the US.
18:10
Speaker 2: We talk about this how often because he seems to
18:12
Speaker 2: me to be a smart and reasonable person within Trump's cabinet.
18:15
Speaker 2: He's the Treasury secretary, former Wall Street guy. He's done
18:19
Speaker 2: an interview overnight. So the situation is we are ten
18:21
Speaker 2: to twelve million barrels per day short of oil. There's
18:26
Speaker 2: a bit of movement on the Strait. They had ten
18:28
Speaker 2: ships through yesterday, they had twenty through in the last day,
18:32
Speaker 2: and stuff is moving a little bit more because the
18:35
Speaker 2: Americans have unsanctioned the Russian and the Iranian crew that's
18:39
Speaker 2: on the water at the moment. We've got the strategic
18:42
Speaker 2: release of the oil reserves coming, and some countries are
18:44
Speaker 2: actually now cutting deals with the Iranians to get ships
18:47
Speaker 2: through the Strait. So Beston's done an interview and says,
18:51
Speaker 2: don't worry, we're going to take it over one day soon.
18:53
Speaker 10: Anyway, over time, the US is going to retake control
18:57
Speaker 10: the streets and there will be free of navigation, whether
19:01
Speaker 10: it is through US escorts or a multinational escort.
19:05
Speaker 2: What about the Houthis and the Red Sea? Are you
19:07
Speaker 2: worried about the Hoothea Not as much.
19:08
Speaker 10: The Hooties have been very quiet so far. I think
19:11
Speaker 10: that the showing was Israel specific. This time last year
19:17
Speaker 10: we had a bombing campaign against the Hooties and they've maintained.
19:23
Speaker 10: They've been pretty quiet so far, and I would expect
19:26
Speaker 10: them to likely remain that way.
19:27
Speaker 2: You've got to hope so because six million barrels a day,
19:30
Speaker 2: that's how much Saudi Arabia is sending from the Strait
19:34
Speaker 2: in some pipes to the Red Seas, So if they
19:36
Speaker 2: hit the Red Sea too, then you kind of bug
19:38
Speaker 2: it at both ends. Bryan Bridge, our reporters. Colum First,
19:42
Speaker 2: Good morning, Cullum. Well, I'm right, you've got a new
19:44
Speaker 2: emergency plan, yeah.
19:46
Speaker 12: For South in the region's Civil Defense Group in South
19:49
Speaker 12: has been looking into the threat to South and of
19:51
Speaker 12: a major quake in the Pasiga Trench that's near Fjordland.
19:56
Speaker 12: This quake could generate waves affecting the lower South Island
19:59
Speaker 12: and beyond. But the plan warns some tsunami scenarios may
20:03
Speaker 12: leave no time for alerts and so with that civil
20:06
Speaker 12: defenses warning people should evacuate immediately of shakings long and
20:09
Speaker 12: strong according to local Democracy. The plan also notes a
20:12
Speaker 12: seventy five percent chance of a major alpine fault earthquake
20:16
Speaker 12: within the next fifty years, so it's warning areas like
20:19
Speaker 12: Fiordlands and Rakiura could face prolonged disruption in that major emergency.
20:23
Speaker 2: All right, how's your weather for Danita and Vikago today?
20:27
Speaker 12: Old shower through the day, clearing to find this evening
20:29
Speaker 12: strong south westerly and highs of thirteen today.
20:32
Speaker 2: All right, Claires and christ Church morning Plaier, Good morning.
20:35
Speaker 2: Why are the trades who built christ Church's temporary stadium
20:38
Speaker 2: heading back to it?
20:39
Speaker 4: Yeah?
20:40
Speaker 13: Well, look, this is a case of one hundreds of
20:42
Speaker 13: electrician scaffolders, concrete workers and the rest who worked on
20:46
Speaker 13: Apollo Project stadium coming together again this good Friday for
20:50
Speaker 13: the final Crusaders match at the venue. It's the one
20:53
Speaker 13: that looks like a whole bunch of scaffolding put together,
20:55
Speaker 13: or I always call it the Micanos Stadium. It was
20:58
Speaker 13: built in only one one hundred days.
21:00
Speaker 14: That was fourteen years ago.
21:02
Speaker 13: All we know at this point is that the structures
21:04
Speaker 13: and stands will be removed once one in zed stadium
21:07
Speaker 13: opens next month. What happens from there is still yet
21:10
Speaker 13: to be confirmed. This is a reunion of the trades
21:14
Speaker 13: organized by AOTR Electric contracts manager Tim Kennedy. He says
21:18
Speaker 13: the work at the time was simply organized chaos, but
21:21
Speaker 13: he also has really great memories of lots of collaboration
21:24
Speaker 13: between all the subtradees on the site. He says he
21:27
Speaker 13: had scaffolders helping out his electricians, which usually wouldn't happen
21:30
Speaker 13: on a normal job, but they knew this was a
21:32
Speaker 13: really special project. So they're getting together to raise a.
21:35
Speaker 15: Glass to us.
21:36
Speaker 2: Very cool. How's your weather?
21:37
Speaker 13: Mostly cloudy today there is the odd early shower about
21:40
Speaker 13: southwesterlies and a high of thirteen.
21:43
Speaker 2: Nice one. Thank you Max and Willington. Morning Max, good morning.
21:46
Speaker 2: Bit of a rebrand cost warning, Yes, so.
21:50
Speaker 16: The act party wants this stuff done faster. Renaming rebranding
21:54
Speaker 16: government agencies with that English First directive.
21:57
Speaker 17: Act.
21:57
Speaker 16: MP Todd Stevenson has written to Minister Judith Collins this
22:00
Speaker 16: month saying effectively, get it done. It notes that the
22:03
Speaker 16: government's main web page has its branding in telley O
22:07
Speaker 16: Maori first. Judith Collins's position on this is it's a
22:10
Speaker 16: case by case basis and sometimes the cost just doesn't
22:13
Speaker 16: add up. And what's more important to her is well
22:16
Speaker 16: obviously delivering more effective services making the most of taxpayer dollars.
22:20
Speaker 16: You've also got Sir Brian Roach reminding agencies, departments and
22:23
Speaker 16: politicians even to be mindful of every dollar spent in
22:26
Speaker 16: the public sector. So you've got this slight difference of
22:28
Speaker 16: opinion on priority. Obviously the ACT Party wants more cohesion
22:32
Speaker 16: in style, the government a little more relaxed, I should
22:35
Speaker 16: National Party, I should say a little more relaxed about
22:37
Speaker 16: this whole English first thing.
22:39
Speaker 2: You don't want to cost You're going to watch the
22:41
Speaker 2: poutia in YAKITTI don't you make.
22:45
Speaker 17: It with us.
22:47
Speaker 2: Cloudy period southerly sixteen.
22:51
Speaker 18: Just responding finish, Yes, it's funny morning Nevor, good morning
23:00
Speaker 18: now augand Transport's going to provide one hundred replacement buses.
23:03
Speaker 11: Yes.
23:04
Speaker 15: Now this is because we're heading into this April rail shutdown,
23:08
Speaker 15: so there's going to be closures or partial closures. Now,
23:11
Speaker 15: this will happen this Easter weekend also Anzac Day weekend,
23:15
Speaker 15: and there's going to be other periods throughout the month.
23:18
Speaker 15: So AT is going to be testing the timetable. Of
23:20
Speaker 15: course the City rail Link and it's set to open
23:23
Speaker 15: later this year. So what will happen is that there's
23:26
Speaker 15: going to be sixty percent more buses available compared to
23:29
Speaker 15: the closures in January. And this will include express options
23:32
Speaker 15: for Western and Southern Line passengers. Yay, So that hopefully
23:36
Speaker 15: will make everyone happy for April.
23:38
Speaker 2: Keep everybody moving. How's our weather party?
23:40
Speaker 15: Cloudy, isolated showers twenty one is the highre and auclay.
23:43
Speaker 2: Maybe I have a quick idea to talk to you about.
23:44
Speaker 2: You know, how we're going to be the first to
23:46
Speaker 2: ride the new City rail Link, correct when it will
23:49
Speaker 2: be first on there and first passengers we'll get the
23:52
Speaker 2: first tickets all of that stuff. But there was an
23:55
Speaker 2: idea from Alberaniza yesterday in Australia that people in the
23:57
Speaker 2: cities should go on public use, public transport and leave
24:02
Speaker 2: the fuel for the people in the countryside. Do you
24:04
Speaker 2: think we should do something like that here?
24:05
Speaker 15: Like, well, if that happens, then I'd have to catch
24:07
Speaker 15: the bus. The last time I caught a bus was
24:11
Speaker 15: nineteen seventy five.
24:13
Speaker 2: To be fair, you're the working hours don't really suit
24:15
Speaker 2: a bus.
24:15
Speaker 15: Yes, no, well that's quite right. We cannot catch the bar.
24:18
Speaker 15: But yeah, this I mean, look, even in the news room,
24:21
Speaker 15: one of our colleagues went out and bought a moped yesterday,
24:24
Speaker 15: really last night, Jodi A wow, she's because of the yes,
24:29
Speaker 15: and so she lives outside of the region where where
24:32
Speaker 15: you and I will we live a lot closer. And
24:35
Speaker 15: she thought she would save on petrol and she was
24:37
Speaker 15: telling me all about it, fifteen dollars to fill up,
24:40
Speaker 15: you know, ninety one and she you know, I was
24:43
Speaker 15: gonna say motorbike and.
24:45
Speaker 2: She zoomed in the same and what's the verdict?
24:48
Speaker 15: Great, she said, it's fantastic. How far she d well,
24:51
Speaker 15: because you obviously can't go on the motorway, which is
24:53
Speaker 15: you know, so well, she's coming from ramas.
24:58
Speaker 2: Li, I have a scooter. I meant your priority.
25:02
Speaker 15: You didn't want to be judging judge, because I thought,
25:04
Speaker 15: you know, at least you and I we go in
25:06
Speaker 15: from you know, one basement into another and we're here
25:08
Speaker 15: in three minutes.
25:09
Speaker 2: Exactly, all right, Okay, good to know. Basically, basically the
25:12
Speaker 2: moral of the story is to the people who are
25:15
Speaker 2: living in the country right now. No, there's no help.
25:19
Speaker 15: And do you know what she did say though, I've
25:21
Speaker 15: just got to say that she said when she went
25:22
Speaker 15: in to buy the two other people were there.
25:25
Speaker 2: Oh, really buying one?
25:26
Speaker 1: So here you go.
25:27
Speaker 2: Okay, thank you, neither and good luck. Tody sixteen away from.
25:31
Speaker 1: Six International Correspondence with ends and eye insurance, Peace of
25:36
Speaker 1: mind for New Zealand Business fourteen to Sex.
25:39
Speaker 2: We'll get the Cameron bagery and a second, it's got
25:41
Speaker 2: to Donald Tomoro out of Australia. Don a good morning,
25:44
Speaker 2: good morning to you. What's the We was Dezzy Freeman
25:47
Speaker 2: hiding all this time before he was shot by police?
25:49
Speaker 14: Do we know Dizzy Freeman, as you know, was on
25:53
Speaker 14: the run since last August when he did fatally shoot
25:56
Speaker 14: two police officers at his poor Punker property. And we
26:00
Speaker 14: know that yesterday he was about one hundred and ninety
26:04
Speaker 14: kilometers away. It's about a two and a half hour drive.
26:06
Speaker 14: He was in an area called Wohwah which is on
26:08
Speaker 14: the Victorian boarder with New South Wales and police is
26:12
Speaker 14: still unsure how or when Desi Freeman left the Poor
26:16
Speaker 14: Punker area, and we've heard from the Chief Commissioner Mike Bush,
26:18
Speaker 14: who says he's keen to establish if anyone, well, you know,
26:22
Speaker 14: he thinks possibly someone may have helped him leave the
26:25
Speaker 14: area and he says those people will be held accountable.
26:29
Speaker 14: He says he has no sympathy for anyone who is
26:32
Speaker 14: harbored a police killer. What we do know is during
26:36
Speaker 14: that incident where Freeman was killed, he was in dialogue
26:41
Speaker 14: with officers for about three hours, so it was a
26:44
Speaker 14: three hour standoff. And we know that Freeman was in
26:47
Speaker 14: a shipping container at this property in Wahwah and that
26:50
Speaker 14: a firearm was presented that's how police have phrased it,
26:54
Speaker 14: and it was likely or quite likely loaded, as they
26:57
Speaker 14: put it, and police say he was given every every
27:00
Speaker 14: opportunity to give himself up peacefully and safely, and then
27:04
Speaker 14: as police phrase, did it again, tactics were deployed that
27:08
Speaker 14: police will not go into detail about. And we also
27:12
Speaker 14: have heard from the Victorian Premier premier about what happened,
27:15
Speaker 14: and she put it an evil man is now dead.
27:19
Speaker 10: Yeah.
27:19
Speaker 2: What are people thinking about Elbow's field tax cut?
27:23
Speaker 6: Ah?
27:24
Speaker 14: Yes, well we have heard that the fuel excise has
27:28
Speaker 14: been cut by twenty six cents per liter, which sounds
27:31
Speaker 14: like a great deal. But we also know that the
27:36
Speaker 14: government is turning to the h PRAC to make sure
27:38
Speaker 14: that the petrol companies actually pass this on, so we're
27:43
Speaker 14: sort of waiting with baited breath. In the meantime, we've heard, well,
27:47
Speaker 14: Victoria and Tasmania both trying to help us out with
27:52
Speaker 14: these interesting cost of living pressures, as you might put them,
27:56
Speaker 14: a free transport for Victorians for about a month and
28:00
Speaker 14: sport in Tasmania for about three months. So let's see
28:04
Speaker 14: if that helps also a little bit with what is
28:06
Speaker 14: going on with the fuel price is just continuing to
28:10
Speaker 14: rise across the country.
28:11
Speaker 2: Don I thank you? Donald demo out of australia'leaving away
28:13
Speaker 2: from six back home. Asb's latest update, inflation peaks at
28:18
Speaker 2: four percent mid year growth down one point six points
28:21
Speaker 2: from two point nine to one point three. So basically
28:23
Speaker 2: we go for the year and growth from nearly three
28:26
Speaker 2: to a little over one. Cameron Bagri Independent economists with
28:29
Speaker 2: us this morning. Morning, Cameron, you got me, Cameron. We'll
28:36
Speaker 2: come back to Cameron bagriy once so we can find them. Ah,
28:40
Speaker 2: there is Hello Cameron, good morning. All right, we'll come
28:44
Speaker 2: back once that's sorted. Trump I was mentioning earlier what
28:47
Speaker 2: on earth they are going to do with these ground troops?
28:49
Speaker 2: Are they going to go take carg Island or what
28:51
Speaker 2: the hell else have they got on their minds? Well,
28:53
Speaker 2: there's one hundred pounds of uranium in Iran that apparently
28:57
Speaker 2: Trump wants his hands on, and it's a very risky
29:00
Speaker 2: literary operation to go and extract it, but they reckon.
29:03
Speaker 2: He is currently being advised on ways that you might
29:06
Speaker 2: be able to do it. And because they're enrich the
29:09
Speaker 2: uranium beyond what they need it for when it comes
29:12
Speaker 2: to civilian use, basically power plants, stuff like that. So
29:17
Speaker 2: after we'll come back to Cameron, hang on a stick,
29:20
Speaker 2: We'll come back to Cameron and I'll tell you about
29:22
Speaker 2: the uranium. Cameron, have it? Gotcha?
29:25
Speaker 17: Yep?
29:26
Speaker 2: Yeah, there we go, Cameron. Is that a conservative number
29:28
Speaker 2: from numbers from ASP or about where you would think
29:31
Speaker 2: it should.
29:31
Speaker 17: Be at it's probably around your central scenario at the moment,
29:35
Speaker 17: but look, there's a lot of variance around that central scenario.
29:39
Speaker 17: If anybody can give me a sort of firm idea
29:42
Speaker 17: or any economists in regard to how long moves is
29:46
Speaker 17: going to be closed or how on this event is
29:49
Speaker 17: going to last for we'll start to put some firm
29:51
Speaker 17: numbers at the moment. But then all honestly, at the
29:53
Speaker 17: moment we're whistling Dixie, how long this thing is going
29:56
Speaker 17: to take place?
29:57
Speaker 2: It called me battle hardened. But at least we're not
29:59
Speaker 2: talking about recession.
30:03
Speaker 17: Oh yeah, I guess. Yeah, then's a your definition of recession.
30:07
Speaker 17: So if you have a look at what's called GDP
30:09
Speaker 17: to your capital, Ryan, it's still down three point four
30:11
Speaker 17: percent speak around three years ago. So in terms of
30:17
Speaker 17: level of GDP, we're still climbing out an economic hole.
30:21
Speaker 17: And obviously ASP's forecast, which I agree with, time is
30:24
Speaker 17: going to move backwards in the gym quarter. Now that
30:27
Speaker 17: might technically not technically.
30:29
Speaker 4: Buy in the.
30:32
Speaker 17: A recession because for theater recession you need to go
30:35
Speaker 17: back two quarters in a row. But you've got the
30:37
Speaker 17: level of GDP still three point four percent down from
30:39
Speaker 17: you from your peak, it's still going to feel like
30:41
Speaker 17: it's pretty.
30:42
Speaker 2: Tough out there and break crude price futures before I
30:45
Speaker 2: came on this morning about one hundred and twelve bucks
30:47
Speaker 2: in barrel. If we get a headline that says boots
30:49
Speaker 2: on the ground, what happens to that price.
30:53
Speaker 17: I saw a headline over the over the weekend, which
30:56
Speaker 17: is one of the reasons we're seeing all prices new
30:57
Speaker 17: back up is that your ground of base, you've got
31:01
Speaker 17: to build up the troops in the Middle East. And
31:03
Speaker 17: the commentary around that was that if you're going into
31:07
Speaker 17: a grand invasion, while you're talking months, you're not talking
31:09
Speaker 17: weeks in regard to the how long this thing's going
31:11
Speaker 17: to last. So yeah, let's go on. In regard to
31:15
Speaker 17: markets are thinking, if you look at the forward price
31:17
Speaker 17: for crude oil, you know, the forward price is still
31:19
Speaker 17: what's called downmond slope i e. And six months. We're
31:22
Speaker 17: expecting lower oil prices as opposed to higher all prices.
31:25
Speaker 17: But yeah, it's anybody's guest. Now in regard to what's
31:28
Speaker 17: going on, You've got the Whoshi's down and Yemen and
31:31
Speaker 17: our opening up. What looks like it could be a
31:33
Speaker 17: seeking potential your choke points, so that the world's on edge.
31:36
Speaker 17: You know, I'm personally I'm a little bit surprised. Well, markets,
31:40
Speaker 17: particularly equities have taken this.
31:43
Speaker 2: Yeah, they've been pretty resilient. Would you be rationing already,
31:47
Speaker 2: I'd be at libel two, Cameron Beggary. Appreciate your time
31:51
Speaker 2: this morning, Cameron Begory, Independent Economists. Time is seven to six.
31:56
Speaker 1: The first word on the News of the Day Early
31:58
Speaker 1: edition with Ryan and One roof Love where You Live
32:03
Speaker 1: News Talks.
32:04
Speaker 2: B us Talk said, bed is five away from six.
32:06
Speaker 2: I mentioned this just a few seconds ago when we
32:08
Speaker 2: were talking to Cameron. The uranium that they have enriched
32:11
Speaker 2: beyond what you need for civilian use in Iran. How
32:14
Speaker 2: can Trump do anything in terms of a deal if
32:17
Speaker 2: he doesn't get that uranium out of the country. And
32:20
Speaker 2: he has asked his advisers about how he can do that,
32:22
Speaker 2: because that's been the whole point, isn't it. Well, that
32:24
Speaker 2: and oil, but that's been the whole point. So there's
32:27
Speaker 2: a lot of it in there. It's beyond what they
32:29
Speaker 2: need for civilian use. Whether you get that through a
32:32
Speaker 2: deal or whether you get that by sending troops in
32:35
Speaker 2: on the ground. For some pretty risky military operations. Well
32:39
Speaker 2: that's TBC Morning, Mike Greetings, Ryan Racings. Lots of people
32:44
Speaker 2: buying scooters. Just had a text from Bob says he's
32:46
Speaker 2: bought one as well.
32:47
Speaker 8: You mean any scooters.
32:49
Speaker 2: Well, no, the petrol scooters. Oh, but they're more efficient. Yeah,
32:52
Speaker 2: they'd be cheaper than a car.
32:54
Speaker 8: I don't believe that.
32:55
Speaker 2: Think of how big a car is. Yeah, we've got
32:58
Speaker 2: to like that around. I've already thought about that, right, But.
33:00
Speaker 8: What I don't believe is that people, a lot of
33:02
Speaker 8: people are out there buying motorized scooters. Well, we simply
33:05
Speaker 8: don't believe it. There's some mates onto it in.
33:08
Speaker 2: Our newsroom who was there buying one yesterday, and two
33:11
Speaker 2: other people were in the shop.
33:13
Speaker 8: So you've got a bit of anecdotal even it's on
33:15
Speaker 8: the corner of the news room.
33:15
Speaker 2: We've got one confirmed, two potential and they were petrol.
33:18
Speaker 8: You're telling me not electric, yes, because I haven't seen
33:21
Speaker 8: a petrol scooter for ages. Really, Oh no, I mean
33:24
Speaker 8: they're all electrical these days, battery operated. I mean you're
33:27
Speaker 8: talking like a little motor mooleer engine.
33:30
Speaker 2: Two stroke or four stroke? Yeah, you got hand four.
33:32
Speaker 8: Straight You don't want to go down the two stroke thing.
33:34
Speaker 2: It's the loud one, isn't it?
33:35
Speaker 8: Give it done two straight? You got to buy special
33:37
Speaker 8: fluid for the two strokes, so you get your picture,
33:39
Speaker 8: then you set the special fluid and to make it too.
33:41
Speaker 2: Just is the two stroke a really loud one. It
33:43
Speaker 2: doesn't make any difference.
33:44
Speaker 8: It's just it's more complicated.
33:46
Speaker 2: It's had a scooter before, but it was an e
33:48
Speaker 2: scooter and what happened to us the beck wheel fell
33:52
Speaker 2: out in David Seymour this morning. By the way, on
33:57
Speaker 2: the FTA with India Brilliant.
34:01
Speaker 15: I Know.
34:02
Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live
34:05
Speaker 1: to News Talks it Be from five am weekdays, or
34:08
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