Latest / Investor Exchange / Yoma Strategic FY2026 Success Was Led By Property & Food Growth
Transcript
- 0:00Time for another Investor Exchange podcast.
- 0:04Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:08Imagine a single company processing financial transactions equal to over 10% of an entire
- 0:14nation's gross domestic product, but actually doing so at a financial loss.
- 0:19Yeah, it sounds completely backward, doesn't it?
- 0:22It really does.
- 0:23But today, we are getting straight to business for you all.
- 0:26We're doing a deep dive into the financial year 2026 earnings results and the condensed
- 0:32interim financial statements for Yoma Strategic Holdings Limited.
- 0:36Because we want to figure out exactly how a sprawling conglomerate like this survives
- 0:42and maybe even thrives in one of the most volatile emerging markets out there.
- 0:47Exactly.
- 0:48And our mission today for you, the listener, is to provide a really clear, balanced, and
- 0:52completely objective analysis of these documents.
- 0:55We're just going to look at what's actually happening under the hood.
- 0:57I mean, when you're looking at a conglomerate of this scale, it's so complex.
- 1:01It is.
- 1:02I actually like to compare a conglomerate to a massive multi-engine cargo ship.
- 1:06Ooh, that's a good way to look at it.
- 1:08Right.
- 1:09Because to understand the actual speed of that ship, you can't just glance at the whole
- 1:12thing.
- 1:13You really have to go down and look at how each individual engine is performing.
- 1:17You do.
- 1:18And to do that, we should probably set a baseline first, just to ground the conversation.
- 1:22Let's do it.
- 1:23So just looking at the top line numbers, the group revenue reached $233.2 million United
- 1:30States dollars.
- 1:31Which is a solid 13.7% increase.
- 1:33Yeah, a great increase.
- 1:35But the number that really jumps off the page for me is the net profit.
- 1:39It literally surged by 75.7%, landing at $23.9 million United States dollars.
- 1:46So on the surface, you're looking at this and thinking, wow, this ship is moving fast.
- 1:50It looks that way.
- 1:52We have to unpack the mechanics of those numbers a bit, because a massive profit surge like
- 1:56that can be a little misleading if you don't know the why behind it.
- 1:59Okay, so break that down for us.
- 2:00What is actually driving that?
- 2:02Well, investors usually look closely at the core earnings, specifically the earnings before
- 2:07interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
- 2:10Because that strips away the accounting noise, right?
- 2:13Exactly.
- 2:14It shows you the actual cash the business generates.
- 2:16And that metric only improved by 10.9%, getting to $49.0 million United States dollars.
- 2:22Okay, wait.
- 2:23If their core earnings only grew by about 11%, how on earth does their net profit jump
- 2:29by nearly 76%?
- 2:30I know.
- 2:31It's a huge gap.
- 2:32Where did that extra money come from?
- 2:34So the margins remained highly stable at 21.0%.
- 2:38But that massive profit surge was actually heavily supported by higher property valuations.
- 2:43Oh, interesting.
- 2:44Yeah, the real estate market conditions were stronger, so the paper value of their properties
- 2:48went up.
- 2:49Plus, they had lower currency translation losses compared to the previous year.
- 2:53Got it.
- 2:54So since property valuations were such a massive driver of that profit, the real estate segment
- 2:59is definitely the logical first engine we should inspect.
- 3:02Absolutely.
- 3:03The real estate arm is Yomaland, and the numbers there are pretty staggering.
- 3:07They really are.
- 3:08I mean, looking at the documents, Yomaland saw a 17.1% revenue growth.
- 3:12And what stands out to me are the actual communities they are building.
- 3:15The scale is huge.
- 3:16Yeah.
- 3:17They have over 9,000 residents at Star City, and then over 1,300 residents at the Penlang
- 3:23Estate.
- 3:24And they're boasting an 82% residential occupancy rate across the board.
- 3:27Right.
- 3:28But here's the data point that I found wild.
- 3:31They have a massive backlog of 90.3 million United States dollars in unrecognized revenue.
- 3:39What's fascinating here is how that specific number acts as a massive signal to investors.
- 3:44It's like observing a highly coveted restaurant, right, where the reservations are fully booked
- 3:49for the next two years.
- 3:51That is the perfect analogy.
- 3:52The money is pretty much guaranteed.
- 3:54They just haven't served the meal yet, so they can't put it on the books.
- 3:57Exactly.
- 3:58The properties are sold, but until construction finishes or the keys are handed over, the
- 4:02accounting rules say you can't recognize it yet.
- 4:05But for investors, it gives incredible long-term earnings visibility.
- 4:08You know exactly what cash is coming down the pipe.
- 4:10Right.
- 4:11And beyond that, Yolmoland is making a really smart shift toward recurring revenue.
- 4:15Which is the holy grail, isn't it?
- 4:17It really is.
- 4:18Yeah.
- 4:19Estate operations revenue actually grew 6.8% just through higher management fees and amenities.
- 4:23So they just keep making money off the residents long after the houses are sold.
- 4:27Exactly.
- 4:28And when you combine that with the net fair value gains on their investment properties,
- 4:32which rose to 31.2 million United States dollars for the year, it's a very solid engine.
- 4:38So the real estate engine is purring, but let's connect that down to daily life.
- 4:43How is the everyday consumer holding up in all this?
- 4:46That's always the big question, isn't it?
- 4:47The broader economic environment has been really tough.
- 4:50Which brings us to the food and beverage segment.
- 4:53And honestly, I have to push back on these numbers a bit.
- 4:56What caught your eye?
- 4:57Well, the segment hit record sales of 38.4 million United States dollars, and they saw
- 5:03a 50% surge in net profit across their 84 restaurants.
- 5:08Which includes the Yankin Kia Group of Companies Limited and Kentucky Fried Chicken.
- 5:12Yeah, exactly.
- 5:13But wait, in a challenging macroeconomic environment, how is a company achieving 20% same store
- 5:19sales growth?
- 5:20It sounds impossible, right?
- 5:21It does.
- 5:22Are people really eating out that much more when everyone is tightening their belts?
- 5:27It's a totally fair question.
- 5:28And the answer is a mix of things.
- 5:30It's partially resilient consumer demand, but it's also heavily driven by necessary
- 5:35pricing revisions.
- 5:36Oh, I see.
- 5:38So they just raise the prices on the menus.
- 5:39Exactly.
- 5:40They had to offset serious inflationary cost pressures.
- 5:44The ingredients cost more, the energy costs more, so the bucket of chicken has to cost
- 5:48more.
- 5:49So the revenue goes up, but it's inflation driven, not necessarily volume driven.
- 5:54Precisely.
- 5:55And they did expand and renovate, which helped.
- 5:57But you have to look at the expenses, too.
- 6:00The higher core earnings from those price hikes were actually offset a little bit by
- 6:05higher depreciation expenses.
- 6:06Because of the new store opening?
- 6:08Yeah.
- 6:09And the renovations.
- 6:10Building new restaurants means buying new equipment, which depreciates over time and
- 6:14hits the balance sheet.
- 6:15Okay.
- 6:16So we're moving from physical cash registers at these restaurants to digital wallets.
- 6:20Because the next engine we need to look at is WaveMoney, their mobile financial services
- 6:24segment.
- 6:25This is where the financial picture gets really interesting, and honestly, completely different.
- 6:30Very different.
- 6:31Because unlike the restaurants or the real estate, the revenue here actually declined,
- 6:36and the segment posted a net loss.
- 6:38Right.
- 6:39A net loss.
- 6:40Yet, and this is the crazy part, transaction volumes skyrocketed by 48%.
- 6:46They hit 48.9 trillion Myanmar kyat.
- 6:48Which is just a massive number.
- 6:50It is greater than 10% of the entire nation's gross domestic product.
- 6:55So my question is, how does volume go up that much while revenue goes down?
- 7:00It's all about the strategic why.
- 7:02The company is intentionally changing their entire business model here.
- 7:05Okay.
- 7:06How so?
- 7:07Historically, they made a lot of money on over-the-counter remittance fees.
- 7:11Someone hands over physical cash to an agent, pays a high fee, and sends it somewhere else.
- 7:15High revenue per transaction.
- 7:16Ah, I see.
- 7:18But they are intentionally transitioning away from that.
- 7:20They want to build a broader digital financial platform.
- 7:23Where people just keep money on their phones.
- 7:25Exactly.
- 7:26And those digital transactions, like scanning a quick response code, generate much lower
- 7:30direct fees.
- 7:32So volume explodes, but direct revenue drops.
- 7:35Okay.
- 7:36That explains the revenue drop.
- 7:37But what about the loss?
- 7:38Why did they lose money?
- 7:39The net loss was heavily impacted by a $1.5 million United States dollar non-cash goodwill
- 7:46impairment charge.
- 7:47Right.
- 7:48I saw that in the documents.
- 7:49Yeah.
- 7:50It's essentially an accounting adjustment.
- 7:51Because they changed their business plan to accelerate the digital platform buildup, the
- 7:55short-term profit expectations dropped.
- 7:58So they had to write down the value on paper.
- 8:01Exactly.
- 8:02It incurs higher costs initially, but it builds a much larger ecosystem.
- 8:06And it's working.
- 8:07They now have 7.2 million unique users.
- 8:10Wow.
- 8:117.2 million.
- 8:12Yeah.
- 8:13And over 200,000 merchants.
- 8:14So they are taking a short-term hit to become the digital financial backbone for millions
- 8:18of people.
- 8:19That's the play.
- 8:20Exactly.
- 8:21All right.
- 8:22So connecting this idea of a turnaround and investment in the digital space, let's look
- 8:24at a very physical sector that had an incredible rebound.
- 8:28Ah, yes.
- 8:29The motors and leasing segment.
- 8:30Yoma Motors.
- 8:31I mean, the data drop here is just fantastic.
- 8:34Revenue in the motors segment more than doubled.
- 8:36It's an incredible recovery.
- 8:38A 109.1% increase, hitting $16.1 million United States dollars.
- 8:45Passenger vehicle sales grew nearly ninefold.
- 8:47They sold 152 units.
- 8:49And on the commercial side, they moved 98 heavy Hyno trucks.
- 8:53That sparked this massive return to profitability.
- 8:56It really comes down to the resumption of bank financing for heavy equipment, like tractors.
- 9:01So credit just freed up.
- 9:03Exactly.
- 9:04When banks started offering loans again, the pent-up demand just unleashed.
- 9:08Combine that with continued strong demand for commercial vehicles, and the dealership
- 9:11side roared back.
- 9:13What about the leasing arm?
- 9:14Well, the leasing arm, Yoma Fleet, was a bit different.
- 9:17It remained highly stable.
- 9:18Fleet utilization was at 87%.
- 9:20That's pretty solid.
- 9:21It is.
- 9:22It's $4.5 million United States dollars in third-party assets under management.
- 9:26Okay.
- 9:27So it's steady.
- 9:28Very steady.
- 9:29But earnings were slightly impacted by higher operating costs, and they didn't have the
- 9:32prior year disposal gains, you know, from selling off old vehicles.
- 9:35Makes sense.
- 9:37So we've looked at the engines, but investors drive by looking through the windshield, not
- 9:43the rearview mirror.
- 9:44Right.
- 9:45We have to look ahead.
- 9:46Exactly.
- 9:47So what does this all mean?
- 9:48When I look at the future outlook in these documents, there are some serious risks.
- 9:52Definitely.
- 9:53The macro environment is still incredibly challenging.
- 9:56The Asian Development Bank forecasts a mere 2.4% gross domestic product growth for Myanmar
- 10:02in 2026.
- 10:03Which is very, very low.
- 10:04And the documents explicitly call out global energy market volatility, import restrictions,
- 10:10and labor shortages.
- 10:12How is the company planning to navigate this?
- 10:14They have a two-pronged strategy, defensive and offensive.
- 10:18Defensively, they are aggressively strengthening the balance sheet.
- 10:23They are targeting a long-term gearing ratio in the low to mid-teens.
- 10:27Which keeps their debt levels manageable.
- 10:29Exactly.
- 10:30But the biggest defensive move is currency.
- 10:33They are strategically replacing their United States dollar debt with Myanmar kyat facilities.
- 10:37Oh, wow.
- 10:38So they are insulating themselves against currency shocks.
- 10:41Precisely.
- 10:42If the local currency drops, having debt in United States dollars is lethal.
- 10:47So they are eliminating that mismatch entirely.
- 10:49That is a massive move.
- 10:51What about the offensive strategy?
- 10:53Where is the growth coming from in a 2.4% growth economy?
- 10:57Offensively, they are targeting a phased restart of the Yoma Central project for the financial
- 11:03year 2027.
- 11:04The massive real estate development.
- 11:06Right.
- 11:07That's a huge internal catalyst.
- 11:09And externally, there's an emerging opportunity to actually increase their stake in the Mandalay
- 11:13Airport business.
- 11:14Oh, infrastructure.
- 11:16Exactly.
- 11:17That could unlock significant long-term recurring revenue for them.
- 11:20Which brings me to a final sort of provocative thought I want to leave you, the listener,
- 11:23with today.
- 11:24I love a good provocative thought.
- 11:26Think about everything we just discussed.
- 11:28They are intentionally transitioning their debt to local currency.
- 11:31They are shifting their financial services to a massive digital ecosystem they control.
- 11:36They are building the homes and leasing the trucks.
- 11:38They are everywhere.
- 11:39Right.
- 11:40They are effectively building a localized fortress.
- 11:43I want you to consider whether this strategy, this deep domestic integration, is actually
- 11:47the ultimate blueprint for conglomerates.
- 11:50It's a fascinating question.
- 11:51Is this how you survive and thrive in highly volatile emerging markets?
- 11:56It's definitely something to mull over as we watch their next moves.
- 12:00This content is intended to serve strictly and only as an informational, independent,
- 12:05objective summary of recent events and should in no way be interpreted, construed, or relied
- 12:10upon by any party as inside information or financial advice.