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NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Thursday 2/12/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached into peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumps, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Towed back with you Toadstool Sports, Thursday, February twelve. Bad
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: day on the show yesterday three and five. I would
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: argue it should have been better than that. I mean,
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: it started off really good. Western Carolina blow out win
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: to start it out, so that was not bad at all.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: We actually got the first two games of the night, right.
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: But I'm gonna go down college basketball real quick.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia. Dude, Georgia had one of the worst shooting performances
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: you will ever see.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: Like, I don't know, I think I could bring it
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: up if you want. It's ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous. Let me
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: see if I could do it. Uh yeah, I think
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: I could do it here. Oh wait, I'm not sharing
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: my screen. Like, there's no way that Georgia shall lost
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: as badly as they did.
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, let's look at this box score here, real quick.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Thirty five percent from the field for Georgia. They had
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: nine more vehicle goal attempts in the game thirty five percent.
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: Florida shot fifty one. There's nothing you could even do
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: about that. When you have a shooting outlier like that,
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: it's absolutely ridiculous.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Bullshit. VMI got blown out. Fuck them.
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: UAB was an outright win. So we did get UAB correct.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: Winning is a big underdog, even though that line actually
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: went up to ten ten and a half h Atlanta
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Hawks did get there at the cover all.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: They did not win.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: They were losing for decent chunk of that game by margin,
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: but they did wind up covering. Washington did not get there.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: They were dead. Brooklyn was complete bullshit. Brooklyn was winning
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: the game in a blowout for like the entire game.
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: I think they were winning by sixteen in like the
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter, and then they I think they lost outright
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: or something like.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: What are you doing?
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: I don't even know how that's even possible, dude, I
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: have no idea how that even happened against the Pacers.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: How could you expect the Pacers after an overtime double
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: digit upset win.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: You expect the Pacers to.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: Actually make a comeback after playing the entirety of another
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: game the next night.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: What the fuck?
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: Like?
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: It makes no fucking sense.
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn should have absolutely been a win, and then I
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: should not have given out a plan on the Kings.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: It was a spot play, but you know those lineups are.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: Completely in flux. The Kings got completely just I'm done
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: with this shit. We're gonna move on to today. I
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: have two plays today. I don't even want to do
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: this fucking show. Kyle, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Let's get into it. I'm gonna skip a lot of
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: these games because I do not fucking give a shit.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: First game up is n j T in New Hampshire,
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: and I will continue to tell you nj T is
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: a complete fraud. They're not what they look like. Record wise.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: New Hampshire is not good at all. And yet New
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: Hampshire is a favorite in this game. And you know
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: that if the public wants to try to play this
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: game because it's the first game on the board, they're
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: not gonna play New Hampshire as the team with the
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: way worse record. Like, how am I getting points with
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: the team with the better record?
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Right? Like that's how the public reacts to this.
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: Well, the oddsmakers are telling you nj T is only
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: very slightly better than New Hampshire.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: They already beat New Hampshire.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: By four at home, although I don't know if NJT
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: was favor by more than that in that game.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: They might have been. No.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Actually, in fact, interestingly enough, New Hampshire was a two
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in that game. So now
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: you're telling me that New Hampshire after being a two
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite at nj T, they're a
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: two and a half point favorite at home as well,
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: Like you're telling me there's absolutely zero home court advantage
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: for both teams. Yeah, it seems like there's some line
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: value on New Hampshire in this game based off of that,
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: and it's a revenge spot because New Hampshire lost at
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: home to this team, and New Hampshire at least has
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: some momentum right now. They just beat Binghamton, not a
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: good team at all, so they're not gonna be overconfident
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: or excuse the NJIT did, excuse me, So, yeah, NJIT
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: does have some momentum.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, I was thinking they were in a bad spot. Well,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: they do have.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: Maine next though. Maine is one of the only teams
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: that beat nj T. So I guess they do have
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: a look ahead to Maine.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: But yeah, they are.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Into this game with momentum at the very least for them.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: New Hampshire just got blown out at Vermont. Now they're
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: coming back home. But I would have to lead to
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: New Hampshire in this game. This is not on my card,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: but yeah, fuck.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Jit, complete frauds.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with New Hampshire, or if the
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: line gets a little bit lower than that money line
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: might make sense on that.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: All right, what else do we have here?
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: I was thinking that did Vermont just lose a game
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: or have a close game. No, they just blew out
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: New Hampshire, right, yeah, all right, so there's nothing to
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: really see with Vermont there. CBS Sports at six thirty
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: PM has Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw. I keep saying Middle
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Tennessee is not as bad as their record looks, and
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: they keep playing pretty badly. They I believe of not playing. No,
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: they did play Kennesau. They beat Kennesaw at home by
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: one point, but I believe Middle Tennessee was about a
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: five and a half point favorite in that game because
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: I think I remember written out three and a half.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: I'm misremembering everything, but yes, they lost. They won.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, it didn't cover almost lost to Middle to
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: what Kennesaw?
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Excuse me? I mean Middle Tennessee.
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: You got to think they're gonna get up for a game,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: and they've lost five games in a row and they
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: just lost at Delaware, as I presume Middle Tennessee were
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: favorites in that game because Delaware is really bad. So
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: you gotta think Middle Tennessee is going to show up
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: for this one, even though it is a second straight
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: road game. Kennesaw comes into this off a blowout loss, though,
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: so I don't really know that they're gonna overlook this
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: game either. Technically, I guess it's revenge for them because
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: they did lose to Middle Tennessee. I can't really do
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: anything with this, but Kennisaw is a three and a
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: half point favorite in this one, which you know that
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: line is not too far off from where it was
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: in the first game. With Middle Tennessee being about that
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: same amount of favorite at home, the line has dropped
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: from four and a half. I would probably take the
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: points of Middle Tennessee this one, but don't have a
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: strong opinion.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: The total is fairly low.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: In the one forties, ninety two percent of the tickets
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on Middle Tennessee. Makes
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: it look like they're a public side, which I highly
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: doubt because I don't see the public being on any
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: any team that has.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: A record like that.
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I would lean towards taking the points there,
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: but no real strong opinion on that. Valpo at Illinois
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: State in the Missouri Valley, Valpo just upset Drake on
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: the road. Now they have another road game here. They
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: actually beat Illinois State at home earlier this season as well,
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: and I would presume that Illinois State was a road
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: favorite in this one because Valpo is not good. Yeah,
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: Illinois State was six and a half point favorites in
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: that one on the road, and now they're nine here.
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: So it seems like the line might be a little
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: short on this one with Illinois State at home. So
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: it is a little bit of a revenge spot for
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: Illinois State because they know as a road favorite they
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: got upset.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Valpo would have to pull off multiple upsets.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: In a row here for Illinois State, though, well, they're
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: coming out of a horrible loss to Evansville, so Illinois
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: State their favorites in that one. For sure, Evansville's the
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: worst team in this conference. That was a bad loss
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: for Illinois State. Let me see here, Illinois State where yeah,
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: ten and a half point favorites in that game. So
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: you know, I like to look for teams that lost.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: It's huge favorites. I like them to bounce back. So
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: there's a lot to like about Illinois State in this one.
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: They do play Illinois Chicago next though, and that is
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: a revenge game and an in state game because Illinois
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Chicago's in Illinois as well, obviously, and Illinois Chicago already
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: beat them at Illinois State. So Illinois State might actually
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: look ahead to that game a little bit, but I
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: don't think they will off of that loss. I would
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: lay the points with Illinois State here, but the money
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: is completely disagreeing with it, and I do not know
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: why on ninety three percent of the ticket around Illinois
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: State fifty percent of the cash on Valpo. If you
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: look at Ken Bomb, he actually will tell you that
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: Valpo is not really that bad, even though I know
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: have been making fun of them all year and saying
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: that they're not as good as they look like they
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: shouldn't be winning all these games. They're not actually that bad.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: Although Illinois State is definitely the better team here. It
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: might be like numbers guys that are fading Illinois State
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: in this one. I don't really know, because the situational
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: set up definitely would have me looking at Illinois State.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: This one was close to making my card, but yeah,
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Illinois State in that one.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Murray State at Indiana State and Missouri Valley here, Murray
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: State just lost in a blowout at home against Northern Iowa.
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa was good, they're kind of under the radar.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: They're the best deepense in this conference at the very least,
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: so they actually pulled off a season sweep of Murray State.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: I think Northern Iowa matches up well against them because
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: that depense can, like Northern Iowa could slow it down
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: and play defense, and that throws Murray State way out
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: of what they're trying to do, which is trying to
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: run the floor and play fast. And Murray State has
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: a huge game on deck against Belmont as well, and
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: then they have Illinois State after that. So this does
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: look pretty sand which you hear they're playing in Indiana
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: State team they already beat. However, they did not cover
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: against them at home. They were eleven and a half
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: point favorites.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: And they did not do that well in the game.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: In fact, Illinois Indiana State gave them a little bit
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: of a scare there. So a lot of times when
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: I see that first matchup, the big favorite got a
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: scare at home. They a lot of times they will
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: show up in the next game. And you could argue
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: that maybe they will because Murray State that game against
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa wasn't close.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: They got blown out as well.
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: But the worry is that they're going to be looking
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: ahead to those next games. For Indiana State, they just
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: lost badly and they're staying at home.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: They just lost to Southern Illinois.
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: So I think there's no problem with the Indiana State
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: side in this one. So I lean Indiana State here.
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: Murray State's from three to three and a half. There
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: are a few things I don't love about it, but
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: uh yeah, I would take the points of Indiana State
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play it.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: And oh and by the way, of course, after Yukon
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: had a really good second half yesterday, and Yukon did
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: have the lead by margin late in the game, Butler
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: wound up sneaking in within that number, So that was
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: the first one I left off my card yesterday. Butler covered,
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: So it wasn't that fucking great as they lost by ten,
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: and I think there were eleven and a half point
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: underdogs or whatever. Yukon was winning by more than that
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: late in the game too. I mean, I'm it was
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: a game. It played out kind of the way that
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: I thought it wouldn't. I'm you know, it wouldn't have
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: been a game that I would really want it on
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: my card, even given how it played out. But it
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: wound up being a little bit of a lucky cover
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: for Butler there at the end.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: So I'm still kind of pissed about that.
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: Maris at Merrimack and the matt Ac Conference me matt Ack.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: Maris coming into this off a not great loss at
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: Fairfield Fairfield and they got up for this game. Fairfield
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: is not a terrible team, though Marris was only a
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: small favorite in that one.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: That didn't end a winning streak.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: So sometimes when a team loses a win streak like that,
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: like Maris just did't be hung over to the next game.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: But I don't see that being the case. Here. They
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: lost to Merrimack at home by.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Double digits, so they have a road revenge motive here,
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: or Merrimack might not know what to adjust this time
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: and maybe not take.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: Maris as seriously. This time. Merrimack is sitting atop the conference.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: Maris is a couple of games behind them, so I
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: am gonna lead to Maris in this game. Maris does
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: play Sianna next, but they're not gonna overlook the team
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: it's in first place in the conference. One of the
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: more difficult aspects of this from Maris is that they
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: are playing a fourth road game in.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Five games, though, which is not that easy. Merrimack. I
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: still don't really totally buy what they've been doing here.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: They do a four wins in a row, they just
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: absolutely annihilated Ride or Ride not that good obviously. I mean,
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: Ryders probably the worst team in this entire conference.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Merrimack.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna overlook Marist either, but it
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: might be easier to do because they did already beat
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: Marist on the road, so I would lean to Maris.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Plus the points here, we got a low total that
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: went up to one thirty Merrimack. They played these ugly, low,
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: low scoring games. Man Merrimack up from two to three
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: and a half here, fifty of the cash on them
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: and fifty of the tickets, fifty to fifty on the tickets.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: I don't really buy that initial line move there. I
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: would only take the points in that one with Maris,
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: but no real strong.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Opinion on that espn U.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: In the Big South at seven PM, as unc Asheville
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: and Longwood.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: Unc Asheville coming off the season sweep of USC up State.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: I don't think that really that. I don't think that matters. Uh,
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: they did beat long when they were at home already
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: by double digits, so it might be a little bit
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: easier for Asheville to overlook Longwood. Hero though I believe
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: Longwood is not that far behind them in the standings. No,
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: Longwood's right behind them in the standings. Longwood is coming
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: off a close call against Winthrop though. Man, they almost
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: pulled off an upset at Winthrop. Winthrop was a big
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: favorite in this one ten and a half, so that
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: was a big game for long Wood and they fell
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: just short. So even though yeah, there's a revenge mode
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: of here, I don't really want anything to do with
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: the team that just did that as a big underdog
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: in the previous game, so I would have to stay away.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: I probably lean to you and see Ashville. In fact,
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: in this one, long would drop from two and a
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: half to two.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: Looking at kem Bumps numbers, he has Asheville as the
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: better team by more than what the odds makers are
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: letting on here, So I think he actually has Asheville
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: winning this game by one. I think so he has
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: the number a bit off from where it is where
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers out of a I don't know if maybe
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: their injuries coming into play or whatever, but yeah, I
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: would lean to Asheville plus the points in that one.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Even though Longwood is in a.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: Revenge spot, technically it's not a game I would really
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: want anything to do with, though.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris at Cleveland State.
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: Cleveland State did just lose their ridiculous win streak they had.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: They had five wins in a row, all as underdogs,
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: and they finally had that snapped by IU Indy of
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: all teams, probably the worst team in the conference besides
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: Cleveland State. Now Cleveland State is playing Robert Morris. Robert
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: Morris did win the conference last year, but they're not
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: playing as well this year. I don't believe these teams
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: have played yet this year, so there's no second meeting
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: going on here. But Cleveland State does have Right State
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: on deck, so there is the possibility that they're hung
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: over from losing the win streak, which sometimes happens when
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: you lose a win streak. They might be looking ahead
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: to Right State because it is a big game. Although
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: they actually beat Right State when they just played them
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: during that win streak. Robert Morris is the better team here,
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: of course, they're coming into this on a multi game
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: win streak. They did not have a letdown after they
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: beat Right State. They beat Youngstown on the road. I
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: presume Youngstown are favorites in this game. Yeah, three and
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: a half, So Robert Morris is coming off an upset,
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: not a huge upset though. They do have Oakland and
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: then Wright State on deck though, so they're playing the
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: top two teams in the conference right after this. So
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: I can't get involved with Robert Morris in this one.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: Robert Morris is down from four to three. I just
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: don't buy Cleveland State at all. I mean I might
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: even still lean towards Robert Morris in that one. But
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: there's no way that I want to get involved in
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: All right?
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: What other games that I even want to talk about here?
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: Cleveland State is just a weird scenario. Man, Let me see.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Neck is killing me.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: IPFW and green Bay on ESPN two at seven pm.
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: IPFW just had a close call at Wright State. Big game,
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: kind of a big game for both teams actually, but
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: maybe bigger for IPFW. They were pretty big underdogs in
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: this one, I think well six and a half, so
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: they covered didn't win somewhat close game towards the end
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: of the game. So IPFW is coming up that big game,
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: second straight road game.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: They're playing green Bay.
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: However, green Bay did embarrass them on their own floor
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: earlier this season by eighteen points, so there is a
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: road revenge mode of for IPFW here, but the spot
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: does not set up that great for them. Green Bay
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: just had to win over Detroit, not a big deal there,
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: so I think the spot does set up better for
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: green Bay in this one. Revenge is not always the
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: way to look, man, green Bay up from one and
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: a half to two. I would probably lean green Bay
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: in that one. Money line would probably be the way
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: I would look stone Hill at Chicago State. Stone Hill
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: just had a close call against Long Island.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: They've actually played Long Island pretty well twice in a row.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: Not twice in a row, but both times this season.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: I should say Long Island is the best team in
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: this Northeastern Conference. Stone Hill were pretty big underdogs in
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: that one on the road, and they only lost by seven.
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: They were within a couple of possessions late in that game,
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: so that was a big game.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: They're coming off of that. They could be in a
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: hangover spot.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: They're playing Chicago State, where they did already beat at home,
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: and I believe stone Hill was not favored by that much.
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: They only won by three in that game, and it
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: was an overtime game they didn't cover.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: They were four and a half point favorites.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: So I mean maybe because Chicago State took them into
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: overtime in stone Hills, Stonehill will take them seriously. But
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: coming off that game against Long Island, I think it's
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: more likely a hangover spot. It's a fourth straight road
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: game for stone Hill as well, and playing in Chicago's
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: kind of weird for a team from easton Massachusetts to
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: be doing Chicago State. I was correct about them the
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: other day they beat Saint Francis, they're just staying at home.
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're gonna have any sort of
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: look ahead to Lemoyne next. Technically it is a revenge
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: spot for Chicago State here. I would lean to Chicago State.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: They are at to pick them right now. So you
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: could look at either playing the Pickham spread or the
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: money line, depending on what the better.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Value is.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Which market has the better value? All right, Hofstra and Charleston,
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: this is a big game in the Colonial two of
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: the top teams in the conference. Along with UNC Wilmington,
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: these are the top three teams in the conference. Hofstra
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: is coming up beating thousand, seventy one to forty nine.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Very satisfying win.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: However, I highly doubt hows was gonna overlook Charleston. Charleston
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: beat them in Hostra not too long ago, and Hoster
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: were definitely favorites in this one. They were Actually it's
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: only two and a half. I'm kind of surprised because
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: I thought that the Power Ladys had Hostra as the
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: better team. Hostro does have UNC Wilmington on decks, so
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: they're having to play back to back big games on
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: the road here. But again They're not gonna overlook Charleston.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: It's a bit of a road revenge spot here in
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: Charleston is not in a good spot themselves because they
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: did just have a big game against UNC Wilmington. Now
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: they are staying at home, but coming off a big
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: game like that where you get up emotionally for even
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: though they did lose it by double digits. I don't
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: like the setup for Charleston here. That did break a
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: five game win streak for Charleston as well, so that
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: could hang them over a little bit. But you get
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: up for a game like that and then you get
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: knocked down.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Man. I thought Charleston would play better in that game.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: They did not.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: I would have to lean to Hofstra in this one.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: Charleston's down from one and a half to one here,
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Hofstro would be the way I would play
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: that game. All right, let's see what else do we
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: have here? Use some of these other games I'm skipping.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want me to talk about them,
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: I can, But.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, I usually talk about a lot of fucking
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: games anyway, but a lot of these games are just uninteresting. Uh,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: let's go to one of my best bets here. Next up,
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: we're gonna be on Elon plus the seven and a half.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get a decent amount of value
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: on Elon. Finally, after they've fallen down and they've lost
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: a bunch of games in a row. They've lost three
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: games in a row, most recently losing as a home
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: favorite against Drexel.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Drexel is not a.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: Good team, man, and maybe Elon was looking ahead to
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: this game against UNC Wilmington un woman.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: I believe they have not played them.
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: This year, so I believe this is a Yeah, they
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: play them at the very end of the season, so
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: not a second meeting. But Elon coming up with really
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: ugly home loss.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, as.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Moderately sized favorites, So I do like a team to
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: bounce back after a game like that.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Maybe it would be good for them to.
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: Go out on the road, but you would see Wilmington,
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: I think is gonna be in a letdown spot.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: They just had a big win against Charleston and that
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: was after they had a big game against William and
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: Mary and fell short.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: So they played two big games in a row.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: And it gets worse than that because after they play Elon,
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: they have Hofstra on deck, and Hofstra is no longer
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: a mystery. We know Hoster's right there, man, Hofstra's right
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: behind them in the standings, well almost. They're in third
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: place in the conference right now. So this is a
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot for Wilmington here, man. So we're gonna be
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: on Elon, not Musk. If we look at Elon, ken
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: Boma has the pretty unlucky in the bottom third of
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: his Luck Index. They're actually a top one hundred offensive team,
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: but they are miserable defensively. I know Elon is not
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: good on defense.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: I get it.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: I don't really love bad defenses in general. But this
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: is about the spot, and Elon does play a mid
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: tempo team, but you wouldn't see Wilmington is gonna be
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: slowing the game down and they're worse on defense than
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: they are on offense, although they are a better defensive
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: team than.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Than Elon, of course.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna be asking you and see Wilmington to
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: cover a pretty substantial number seven and a half in
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: a spot like this when they play a slow pace. Yeah,
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: I just don't think. I don't think it's a great Yeah.
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: I think it's a bit of a big ask for Wilmington,
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: and then Wilmington is pretty high in kemp Baum's luck
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: index at one ten, so we're getting the unluckier team,
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: excuse me, in Elon. We're not getting the better defense
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: getting points unfortunately.
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: But this is what we're doing. It's a spot play.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: We do have the luck index in our favor in
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: that one with Elon, so we're gonna take Elon plus
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: the seven and a half. The line did drop a
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: little bit from eight to seven and a half, the
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: totals in the one fifties, which is, yeah, a little
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: bit higher than I would like, but that's the play man,
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: all right.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: We have let me see.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: You I seeing Drake. This one almost made my card.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: U I c is coming off a couple of big
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: games where they played pretty competitively against Murray State and Belmont.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: So those are the two of the top.
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: Teams in the Missouri Valley and they have another one
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: of the best teams on deck in Illinois State, although
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: they actually already beat Illinois State on the road, but that.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: Still might be a big deal.
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: So they look like they're pretty much in a sandwich
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: spot here. They're playing Drake, and they actually already beat
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: Drake at home by seven, so it is a bit
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: of a revenge spot for Drake as well. Drake coming
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: into this game on a four game losing street. They
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: just lost at home, as I'm assuming a favorite to Valpo,
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: so the other losses were pretty explainable for Drake. Losing
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: a Bradley, Belmont, Illinois State those are good, good teams.
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: Then maybe they just had nothing left in the tank
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: against Valpom So I expect Drake to bounce back here.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: One concern might be maybe a look ahead to Northern Iowa,
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: but Northern i was kind of in the middle of
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: the pack right now in the standing. So I do
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: like Drake in this game. This one is close to
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: me on my card. This didn't seem to be enough
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: for me to really latch onto here. Drake's up from
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: a pick him to a.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: One point favorite. There, uh you I see.
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: I mean they were just not quite close enough to
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Belmont at the end of that game.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: For me to totally want to do it.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Drake in this one. It would
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: be close, very very close to being a play for me.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I don't even like Drake. You don't like the Drake,
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: the Drake. Could you not like the drag Drake is good,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: the Drake is good.
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I would uh, I would agree with Drake in that,
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: and it would be a money line to play on Drake.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: Next up is the final play of the day. We're
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: gonna play Tennessee Tech plus four and a half. We're
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: going to the ugly Ohio Valley here. Man, we're gonna
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: fade Morehead state in this case, we don't want Morehead
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: all right.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Tech.
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: First of all, they just took an ugly home loss
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: to Eastern Illinois.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois bad, Tennessee Tech. We're definitely favored here. They're
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: Tennessee Tech shot horribly in the game, fifteen percent from three.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: Not that they're a great three point shooting team, but
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: they actually dominated Eastern Illinois in the more predictable stats,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: out rebounding them by twelve. So it's like, how do
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: they even lose this game? Well, it's because they.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Had twenty one turnovers.
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's gotta be something you can clean up, man.
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: So I think that was a bit of a weird result.
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: There was some out liars going on in that stat sheet.
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: There usually teams will bounce back from ugly losses as
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: a favorite like that.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: So I think this sets up fine for Tennessee Tech.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: And this is a second meeting.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: This is revenge for Tennessee Tech. Or more so, Morehead
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: State might not take them seriously because Morehead State one
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: at Tennessee Tech. Tennessee Tech were actually favored in that game,
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, at one and a half in
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: that game, So you know, I mean, these teams don't
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: get a whole lot for home court advantage, so this
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: line is not that far off from that one. But
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: Tennessee Tech might show up with a bit more focus
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: in this one man, for both those reasons. Meanwhile, I
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: think Morehead might completely overlook this game because look at
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: what Morehead just did. They just played the top four
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: teams in the conference right now, standing wise.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: All in a row, or four of the top five.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Excuse me.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: They beat SIU Edwardsville, they lost by one to linden Wood,
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: lost on the road to a good CEMO team, and
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: then they had a second straight road game and they
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: upset the top team in the conference, UT Martin the Skyhawks.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: The Eagles versus the Skyhawks. There you go.
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: Morehead State were eight and a half point underdogs in
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: that game, and they pulled off that big upset.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Man, that was huge.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: But they also have the second place team in the
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: conference on deck, Tennessee State, so they are in a
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot here man, and they lost to Tennessee State
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: earlier this year one oh five to one hundred in
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: a crazy, high scoring overtime game, so they probably remember that.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: They're probably gonna be looking ahead to that. Don't think
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: they care about a team they already beat on the road.
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: This is a sandwich spot, definitely a letdown spot as well.
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: We're gonna do it. Tennessee Tech is the play in
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: this one. Morehead has dropped a little bit from four
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: and a half to four. I saw four and a
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: halfs at a lot of books. Still, the total is
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: pretty low at one forty five, so that's looking pretty
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: good as well. Morehead Ken Bomb has them as the
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: sixth luckiest team in the country, so they are overperforming
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: big time, and they might be kind of riding off
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: their name recognition because people kind of remember, oh yeah, Morehead,
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: that was that team with Kenneth Fred the Man Animal,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: if you remember him, when they were in the tournament.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: They I believe they upset Louis of them, which I
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: think I had a play on them in that game.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: They were like nine and a half point underdogs. I
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: think in that game whatever.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: That was in a thirteen to four upset in some
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: tournament years ago.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm reminiscing about tournaments.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: Morehead is also outside of the top three hundred on
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: deepense according to kem Bomb, so that's not a great sign.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: And they're a slow paced team, so there is that.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: So Morehead being at home, they'll probably slow the game
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: down makes it more difficult for them to cover a
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: number like this For Tennessee Tech, yeah they're a bad team.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah they're outside of the top three hundred overall. They're
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: also outside of the top three hundred on deep fense.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: But both teams depenses are bad, so it kind of
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: out and Tennessee Tech. The main disparity here is the
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: luck index. We're playing some pretty major luck index disparities here.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: This one is huge.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: Tennessee Tech is outside the top three hundred in luck,
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: so ken Baum is telling you they have underperformed, whereas
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: Morehead State is way over performed at Tennessee Tech. Plays
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: like a mid tempo style. They'd probably be fine to
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: be in a slow paced game as well, which we're
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: fine whether if we're taking points here. So Tennessee Tech
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: is the play, all right. I don't have any more plays,
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: but I will talk about some of the rest of
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: these games here. Evansville at Southern Illinois. Evansville did break
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: a losing streak, a long losing streak, so sometimes when
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: a team does that, they will have new momentum moving forward.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: But they just upset Illinois State. Man, as I pointed out,
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: that was a big upset, so they could definitely be
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: in letdown mode here playing Southern Illinois, who they actually
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: haven't played yet because one of their games that was
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: scheduled against some got postponed til.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: Later in the season.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: Southern Illinois comes in off an easy win over Indiana State,
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: doesn't really matter.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: The problem with Southern Illinois.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: They might have a look ahead here to Bradley because
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: that's a big Illinois rivalry game there. So that would
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: be the major issue with Southern Illinois here is that
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: that is definitely gonna be a big game for them
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: against Bradley. But I would fade Evansville if I was
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: gonna play this Southern ILLINOI is an eleven and a
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: half point favorite, though, up from eleven, and we have
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: a pretty low total in the one forties.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Yere low one forties.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: But I could only look to lay the points in
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: that one because Evansville is in a huge letdown. Saint
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: Thomas is at Omaha. Yeah, Omaha should get up for
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: This is in the Summit League.
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas I still think is maybe the best team
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: in this conference, even better than North Dakota State. Even
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: though they lost once to North Dakota State Omaha they
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: won the conference last year, they're not as good this year.
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: They're coming up a big game against North Dakota State.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: They lost by eight on the road, and they played
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: fairly well in that game.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: So now they're having to play two huge games in.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: A row, and that is kind of the issue here
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: with and they haven't played Saint Thomas this year yet,
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: but they could be in a bit of a hangover
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: spot here now.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to overlook a team that's as.
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: Good as Saint Thomas, but having to play these two
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: big games in a row, the two top teams in
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: the conference, in a row. That is not easy, man,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: and Saint Thomas is coasting off.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: An easy win over Oral Roberts.
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I actually probably would lean to
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas and this one minus the four and a half.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: But no strong opinion on that game, but I just
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: thought it was a bit of an interesting setup. And
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: then Coastal Carolina at Louisiana is interesting. Coastal Carolina in
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: the Max Sunbelt Challenge. If you guys haven't seen the
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: highlights from this game, it was one of the most
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: insane games of the season. They just beat You Mass
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: in three over two's. You Mass was actually I think
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: a two and a half point road favorite in that game,
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: and You Mass blew the lead in the second half.
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: They were winning by double digits. Coastal looked like they
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: were dead.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: I'm not happy because I was. I was rooting for
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: You Mass just as.
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: A Mass guy.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina and both teams actually kept hitting just ridiculous
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: threes in the at the end of the second half,
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: end in the overtime periods, like so many threes went
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: down to extend the game further.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: It was crazy.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: It was like every overtime somebody was hitting a three
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: to retie the game and send it into overtime.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: It was insane.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: So of all that and Coastal Carolina want up winning
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: the game, I don't know what they're gonna have left
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: after that. Even though they haven't played for a while.
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: That game was actually that game I think was what Saturday.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: So yeah, they haven't played for a few days, but
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: still that that type of game could take a lot
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: out of you.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: And they're playing this Louisiana team, it's not very good.
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: I don't think they've played them this year. They only
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: have James Madison on deck. No, James Madison's not having
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: a good season. But Louisiana is kind of sneaking up
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: right now with four straight wins, so they're on.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: A nice little run here.
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: They won their Mac Challenge Max Sunbelt Challenge game against
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: Central Michigan, no big deal there. I would have to
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: lean to Louisiana and this one after all that Coastal
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: did in that game. Coastal did go up from one
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: to one and a half year as a road favorite,
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: but I would probably take the one and a half
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: with Louisiana. Sacramento State, Northern Colorado kind of interesting. I
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: keep talking about how I think Northern Colorado is not
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: as bad as the record looks. In the Big Sky Conference. Here,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: Sacramento State already beat Northern Colorado at home, and Sacramento
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: State were big underdogs in this game, believe it or not.
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: Oh yet, Northern Colorado were six and a half point
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: underdogs in that game, and now at home, I believe
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: they're only like seven and a half.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So like, what gives?
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: How could Northern Colorado only be one point more heavily
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: favored at home than they were on the road. Well,
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: of course, you do have to adjust your power ratings
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: and whatever to you know, if you get things wrong,
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: you do have to adjust. But I think this is
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: an over adjustment man. So yes, I like Northern Colorado
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: in this game. They're up from seven and a half
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: to seven and a half. With juice, I would look
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: towards laying the points here. It is a revenge spot
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: because Northern Colorado lost a big favorite on the road
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: to Sacramento State. I think Northern Colorado is undervalued a
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: little bit in this game as well. Even if you
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: you know you needed to adjust a little bit, I
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: still think they should be a heavier favorite than this.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: And for Sacramento State, they just almost beat the top
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: team in the conference, Portland State.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: Sacramento State lost to them by one at home, so
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: they're coming out of that game and then an end
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: a three game win streak for them, so they're in
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: a hangover spot as well here. So Northern Colorado is
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: the only way that I would look in that game.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: Man and Northern Colorado they're on a nice four game
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: win streak, they got some momentum. The problem with them
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: is that they do have a huge game of deck
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: with Portland State, so put potential look ahead there, but
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: I don't see them overlooking a team that they already
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: lost to once. So Northern Colorado would be the way
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: I would play that game, but you do need them
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: to win by margin in that one.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Uh Okay.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: South Alabama Southern miss is kind of an interesting one.
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: South Alabama they beat Buffalo in the Sun Belt Mac Challenge,
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: not a huge deal, but they do have a big
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: game a deck against Arkansas State and then they have
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Marshall after that. Arkansas State is good and better than
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: the record looks, and Marshall is.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Above South Alabama in the standings.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: So those are pretty big games, so it's possible they
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: overlook Southern Miss.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: They have not played each other this year yet.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: Southern Miss is coming off a big win though against
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: the MAC. They beat Kent State, who was one of
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: the better teams in the MAX. That was a big
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: win for Southern Miss. And they have Troy on deck,
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: which is a big game. But I just I don't
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna overlook the team that's in second place
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: or excuse me, fourth place now in the conference.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Excuse me South Alabama. But I just I don't know.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: I don't really think they will overlook South Alabama. So
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I would want to do
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: with this game. Man, Southern Miss dropped from minus one.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: I have to pick them, though, so the money is
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: coming in towards South Alabama.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Overall. You know, I don't really disagree with that.
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: I think the spot probably does set up a little
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: bit better for South Alabama in that one, so I
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: guess that is the way I would lean there. SEMO
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: and SIU Edwardsville is one of the better Ohio Valley
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: games of the day. These two teams are up near
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: the top of the conference. Semo already lost at home
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: to SIU Edwardsville pretty ugly by thirteen points, and SEMO
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: were definitely favored in this one. Let me see, Yeah,
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: they were nine and a half point favorites in this one,
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: and they lost the game outright by double digits, so
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: they might be they probably have this game circle.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: They're definitely an avenging road underdog here. Man, when a
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: team lost is a big favorite at home, you know
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get an effort out of them when they
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: play that same team on the road.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: They're coming of.
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: An easy win over Southern Illinois. They got Southern Indiana.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, they got six wins in a row, mostly
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: against some bad teams tholthough they did start their win
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: streak by beating U Team art and the best team
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: in the conference. I mean, this CMO team is definitely
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: a legit team as far as the Ohio Valley is concerned.
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: SIU Edwardsville just beat Little Rock. They're coming home from
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: a road trip. They got U Team Martin on deck.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: Well they look ahead.
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know, they probably won't overlook Simo, but I
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna get a good effort out of CEMO
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: in this one, man, And this line is at a
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: pick them, which seems a bit ridiculous. If Simo was
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: nine and a half point favorite at home, you gotta
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: think they should be favored on the road. So I
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: think this is an over adjustment what these teams have
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: done throughout the season since then I would have to
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: look towards Southeast Missouri State and that one SEMO as
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: a pick them. I mean, it just seems ridiculous just
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: getting to pick the winner and that's who you get
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: to pick. I like Simo in that one U tam
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: Martin against linden would of course, we know U. T.
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: Martin just had that really ugly upset loss, and morehead,
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: they did lose a four game win streak, so there
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: is the potential of a hangover, and they're playing Lindenwood,
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: who they did already beat at home by fourteen.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, will they overlook linden would?
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe?
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Because they do play SIU Edwardsville and Southeast Missouri State
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: in the next two games, so there is the potential
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: that they're.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: Gonna overlook linden Wood. But I don't know.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: When you lost ugly is a big favorite like that
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: A lot of times you will still show up with
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: focus in the next game.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: Linden Wood should.
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: Be focused as well here. It's a big game for them.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: They just beat Little Rock in their last game, not
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: a big deal. Linden Wood's a one and a half
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: point favorite there. I probably still would lean to tow
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: to see Martin though, to bounce back from that horrendous loss.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: Is a big favorite, but it's a tough game to
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: handicap man cal Baptist at Southern Utah. Cal Baptists just
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: almost lost to Abiley Christian at home.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptist, I'm assuming it was a big favorite here.
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're eight and a half point favorites, so again,
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: when a favorite barely gets by like that, But yet
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: they continue their momentum. Cal Baptist Is won a bunch
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: of games in a row, eight games in a row
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: threatening Utah Valley for this conference. Man, so I think
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: they're gonna come into this game with momentum and actually
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: show up.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Although they did beat this Southern Utah.
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: Team already at home, but they were fourteen and a
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: half point favorites and they barely won the game. So again,
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: that's probably gonna make them take Southern Utah more seriously,
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: because they almost upset them when they were big favorites.
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: They're coming off another game where they were nearly upset.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: I expect focus out of cal Baptist in this one. Man,
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: I like them in this one. For Southern Utah. Southern
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: Utah is coming up losing to Tarletan, which is a
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly loss. I mean, I think we're not gonna
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: get an unfocused Southern Utah team here. It's just that
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: cal Baptist is the better team, and if they're gonna
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: show up with focus, I think I would have to
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: lean towards them. But they did drop from six and
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: a half to five and a half in the game, and.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: The total is fairly low in the one forties, although
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: it is moving up. But I would lean to cal
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Baptist there.
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: CBS Sports at eight thirty PM has Louisiana Tech at
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: Missouri State in the Conference USA. I don't know why
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: this game gets televised. It's not a good game. Sorry,
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: justin the Missouri State fan that we have in the chats.
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: Sometimes Louisiana Tech coming up a nice winner.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston. Sam Houston is up near the top of
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: the standings in the conference. I told you.
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: Sam Houston was pretty good man at least as far
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: as this conference is concerned. So a lot of Tech's
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: coming up a decent win. These teams haven't played each
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: other yet this year, I don't think, but I don't
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna overlook Missouri State because Missouri State is
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: ahead of them in the standings of Missouri State is
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: coming off almost beating Liberty on the road, So it
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: doesn't get much bigger than that in this conference. Man,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: Liberty is still undefeated in the conference. That was a
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: huge game from Missouri State. They were big underdogs in
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: the game, nine and a half point underdogs, and they
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: came within three. Had Maybe I don't think they really
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: had a legit chance to pull off that upset, but
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: they made it really close at the end, so I
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna be hung over coming off to that.
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: I would have to look towards Louisiana attack in that game.
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: Missouri State down from seven to six, so you did
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: lose the key number seven total is low in the
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: one thirties.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Louisiana tack would be the way I would have to
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: lean in that one.
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: Plus the points of course, Northern Iowa at Belmont Northern
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: Iowa of course, really really good on the defensive side
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: of things. These teams did already play this year in
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: Belmont won at Northern Iowa by thirteen, so there is
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: a bit of a road revenge motive for Northern Iowa
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: coming into this one.
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: And they're gonna be an.
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: Underdog and a really good deepense and you know, I
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: like good deepfense is getting points. The problem is Northern
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: Iowa already is they're on a three game win stream
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: with their last two wins are against Bradley and Murray
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: State on the road against Murray State, so they're playing
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: three big games in a row. Man, Yeah, they should
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: get up for this game. But the problem is is
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: the fatigue gonna set in with Northern Iowa having to
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: play these intense, physical games game after game. Meanwhile, Belmont,
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: Belmont isn't a bad spot though, if you think about it.
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: Belmont just lost a long win streak.
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: Their first two conference losses were really early in conference play,
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: and they had not lost for quite a while, man,
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: for probably.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Weeks I think they won.
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: They had won ten games in a row I think
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: until they lost to Bradley in their most recent games.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: So that is the type of thing that can hang
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: you over man, and they do have Murray State on deck,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: which is a big game. Even though they already beat
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: Murray State once. That's gonna be part of the battle
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: for the top team in the conference in the Missouri Valley.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: So I would have to look towards Northern Iowa and
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: this one. That is the way the money is going
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: as well. It looks like Belmont down from six to
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: five sixty takes sixty one percent of the cash on Belmont,
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: so they are the public side with less.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: Than the money on them.
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, there is a potential maybe for a bounce
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: back from Belmont because they lost by double digits, but
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: I think it's more like it's a hangover spot for them.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: You do have to worry about Northern Iowa keeping up
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: that effort multiple games in a row though, and that's
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: maybe the bigger problem there. But yeah, I would have
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: to take the points with Northern Iowa if I was
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: gonna play that one ESPN two at nine PMS Oregon
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: State at San Francisco in the West Coast Conference.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: As we get into.
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: The West Coast games here late at night, Oregon State
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: coming up getting blown out against Zaga. What else is new.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: They're going on the road to face San Francisco. They
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: actually beat San Francisco at home earlier this year, so
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: Know, there's the potential.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: Maybe they don't totally take San Francisco that seriously. San
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: Francisco has fallen quite a bit in the standings here.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Man Sarrancisco coming into this one losing to Saint Mary's
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: in the last game, which is a tough game, but
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: it was a blowout loss, so I don't think they're
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: gonna be hung over or anything like that. I would
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: have to look towards San Francisco in this one. They're
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: actually an eight and a half point favorite.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: It is a low total, but I think when the
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: public looks at this game, they're gonna think, oh, these
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: teams have very similar records. Oregon State is one of
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: the former big boys, so eight and a half looks
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: too big, I think to the public eye, but I'm
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: not sure that it is. San Francisco is definitely the
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: better team. They're gonna be the team. It's the avenging
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: team here at the very least, So I like San
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: Francisco on that one. If I was gonna play it.
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: San Francisco were four and a half point favorites when
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: they lost that game at Oregon State.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: So and of course, or I.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Mean these West Coast teams having to go to Oregon State,
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: it's still an unfamiliar venue for them to have to
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: go to. So and for Oregon State, they're still probably
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: not used to all these venues in this conference. So
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: I think the home advantage is a little bit bigger.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: I told you this conference has a big home advantage
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: this year. That's part of the reason why, because you
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: have all these teams that are new and new ish
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: to the conference or whatever, So the home advantage just
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: becomes bigger.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: For that reason.
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: ESPN nine PMS Memphis at North Texas. When the schedule
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: makers put this one out there, they probably thought this
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: was gonna be a better game on North Texas having
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: a bad season. Memphis is at least better than the
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: record looks. Memphis on a two game win street. This
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: beats Charlotte in their last game, no big deal there,
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: but they already beat North Texas once in an ugly
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: low scoring game by nine points. But it might cause
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: them to not take North Texas seriously. Memphis does have
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: a TV game up on Saturday against Utah State, which
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: is a big game.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that is.
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know why they have to play Utah State
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: and out of conference game. They're going to Utah State
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: for that, so they might be looking ahead to that
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: in they come back, Well, they come to they have
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: to go to all the way to Florida after that
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: and play South Florida, who is now atop the American
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Conference thanks to a UAB getting an USO win last
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: night and beating Tulsa. So I think it's kind of
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: an overlook spot from Memphis here.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards North Texas in this one. North
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: Texas did just end a four game losing street with
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: a win over a bad UTSA team, but that might
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: just give them momentum coming into this game. So yeah,
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: North Texas is the way I would lean in that one.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: Memphis did drop from a two point favorite to a
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: one point favorite.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: There, dirty sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: What else do we have going on here? Celt Dakota
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: State at Denver. I did take a look at this game.
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: Denver is coming up back to back upsets a huge
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: one of North Dakota State on the road. They were
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: probably double digit dogs in that one, and I apologize
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: I was wrong about that game, Like I thought North
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: Dakota State was gonna bounce back in that game. One
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: of you guys in the chat had Denver in that one,
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: so yeah, you definitely got that one right. I was
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: pretty shocked by that result. But then Denver followed that
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: up by not having a letdown and they blew out
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: North Dakota on the road to in. North Dakota's in
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: third place in the conference and we're second place at
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: the time, I think. So those are two big games, man,
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: And Denver does have a TV game against Omaha, who
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: already beat them in Denver this year.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: That's what they have next on deck.
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: And Omaha did win the conference last year in the summit,
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: even though I didn't think they were even that good.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: So there is the potential that Denver's actually gonna overlook
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: celth Dakota State here, man, although they did lose to
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: South Dakota State already by eight on the road. But
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: I would have to lean to Soelth Dakota State in
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: this one, man, Soelth Dakota State, they just took a
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly loss as a favorite at home against their
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: in state little brother, South Dakota eleven and a half
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: point favorites or what celt Dakota State was in that game.
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about when a team is
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite comes off of a loss like that,
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: and you can kind of maybe explain it because they
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: were coming up a game against Saint Thomas the game
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: before that, which was big, although.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: Wasn't a close game.
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: Celth Dakota probably got up for that game as the
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: in state little brother. But this looks like a bounce
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: back spot to me for celt Dakota State and a
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: letdown for Denver. So I worry because Denver's win over
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: North Dakota was not nearly as big as the North
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: Dakota State one, though there were only like three and
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: a half point dogs at North Dakota.
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: But celth Dakota State would be the way I would
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: look at this game a money line.
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: Probably they're up from Pickham to one, so the money
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: looks like it may be coming in on them early
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: in that game. But yeah, that's the way I would
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: look in that one towards celt Dakota State. I think
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: they're probably a little bit better than their record. Looks
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: to him as the oddswreckers telling you they're the better
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: team by enough of their road favorite here. Even though
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: the record is actually worse than Denver's, they're not the
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: worst team. So that's the way I would look in
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: that one. A few issues with it, though, and of
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: course Denver. You know, there is the potential that Denver
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: doesn't overlook them though, again because they did already lose
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: the Celtic Go to State and Celta Goo to State
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: is usually one of the bigger name teams in that conference.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: Big Sky has some interesting scenarios. Weaber State at Idaho.
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: Weber State a nice bounce back win for them over
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: Northern Arizona. No big deal there, It doesn't mean the
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: momentum coming into this. They already lost at home by
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: eight to Idaho. So they're an avenging road team in
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: this one, which is something I do like to look at.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: Idaho is up above them in the stand or no,
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: idohs slightly below them in the standing.
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: Excuse me?
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: Actually, that might be one issue with looking towards Weber
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: here is that maybe Idaho will still focus on them
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: because Weaver's ahead of them in the standings. But Idoh's
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: coming up playing really tough games at the Montanas, and
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: they played pretty close against both Montana teams, Montana State
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: and Montana.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: They're road underdogs in both those.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: Montana Montana State are second and third in the conference,
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: so those are big games. And they have Idaho State
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: on deck, and they actually lost to Idaho State the
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: first time, so that's the Idaho rivalry, and Idaho State
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: has been on a big slide, but they did actually
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: beat Idaho, so Idaho does have a rivalry revenge game
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: next in Portland State on deck.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: After that.
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: I worried that Idaho because they've lost two games in
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: a row and they're back home. They might actually still
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: show up though, and they did lose last time they.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Were at home, so there are a few things.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: That might be positive for Idaho Hero, although the spot
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: does look still fairly difficult. I would take the points
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: with Weavers State if I was gonna play it, Idaho
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: down from six and a half to six. There don't
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: know if them being a six point favorite is really
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: warranted either. If we look at the first matchup between
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: the two, what was the number?
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: Let me see.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: It was Idaho one and a half, so that line's
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: not too far off. But still, yeah, that's the way
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: I would look at that game and beat a lean
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: towards Weaver. And then we have Idaho State at Eastern Washington.
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: Idaho State they're on this huge skid. They've lost a
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: bunch of games in a row, so you got to
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: think they will show up even though they do have
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: Idaho on deck.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: That's a big rivalry still for them.
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: But they did beat Idaho already, so they might actually
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: not look ahead to that. They actually lost horribly to
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: Eastern Washington already by eighteen points at home, so this
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: is a big road revenge spot for them in this one.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: You know, I like that angle.
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: Eastern Washington just pulled off road upsets of Montana and
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: Montana State. The Montana State one was a five and
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: I thought it would have been bigger.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: But Eastern Washington they're not as bad as their record looks.
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: They just had a really difficult out of conference schedule,
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: so there is that. But still that was a pretty
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: big upset. Nonetheless, now they're coming back home off of
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: those big games they got. Weber stayed on deck, which
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: is actually a revenge game because Weber actually beat them
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: in Weber earlier this year. So yeah, this spot, I
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: would have to fade Eastern Washington in this one. I
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: like Idaho State in that one. Eastern Washington dev for
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: four to three and a half there. That one doesn't
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: make my card. But that's you know, definitely have an
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: opinion on that game. All right, let me see what else?
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: What else did I want to look at here? Utah
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: Valley and Utah Tech. I don't know if there's anything
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: interesting about this game or not. Utah Valley's on a
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: three game role here. They did already beat Utah Tech
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: once at home, so I guess it's possible they overlooked them.
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: I guess the big deal is that Utah Valley has
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: cal Baptist on deck, and they already lost once to
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: cal Baptist. I think, yeah, they're one to one against
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: cal Baptists, the whole team winning each game. But cal
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: Baptist is actually ahead of them in the standings right
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: now with the tiebreakers, so that's a big game on deck,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: So they might overlook Utah Tech here. Man Utah Tech
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: coming into this off a win over ut Arlington and
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: staying at home they have cal Baptists on deck two.
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: But I think it's a bigger game for Utah Tech.
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: They might consider themselves to be a little brother in
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Utah to Utah Valley at this point too. Utah Valley's
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: length seven and a half in this one on the road.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: I'd probably take the points with Utah Tech in that one.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: Espn U for some reason.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: For a whack game that they're actually choosing to televise
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: is ut Arlington and Abilene Christian. I don't know why
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: they're televising this game. It's a Texas rivalry game, I guess.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: But this is a bad game, dude. These teams are
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: not good. Ut Arlington won the first matchup at home
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: by ten. No, I don't think there's really a whole
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: lot too glean from that, although yeah, I guess it'll
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: be it will revenge game for Ablen Christian.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: For that reason. Ut Arlington is playing a third road game.
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: In a row, but they got blown out by Utah
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: Valley in the last game. Like I said, so, I'm
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: not gonna say they're not gonna show up for this.
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: Although three road games in a row or that's a
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: little bit difficult. But Abilene Christian is almost upset cal
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: Baptists on the road. Like I said, so, they're coming
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: up a big performance coming into this one.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: So even though this is a revenge spot.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: For them, I think the spot actually sets up a
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: little bit better for Arlington, because I don't like when
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: a team's coming off a big game like that and
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: just fell short UT Arlington's minus one. Maybe it looks
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: too easy to play UT Arlington, though, based on the
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: team's records and whatever. In the public might get involved
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: in this game because it is on TV, they'll play
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: UT Arlington probably as well. Looks pretty easy to do
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: it pick the winner, but I'd probably lean that way
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: as well. UT Arlington money line not a game that
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: I want anything to do with, though, all Right, I
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: don't know. Yeah, these Big West games, I don't know
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: if I had any.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know if there were any situations in here
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: that I was really looking at. Let me see here,
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I usually like I usually kind of
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: remember what I was thinking. Well, Hawaii did just beat
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: UC San Diego, which was an in season revenge game.
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: They beat the team that won the conference last year. Finally,
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: that was a big game for Hawaii. They actually came
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: back home from one game and now think if you
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: go back to California, which is a little bit weird,
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: and they played the worst team in the conference, basically Bakersfield,
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: and they have a somewhat bigger game on deck with
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: the north Ridge, so I guess it's possible they overlook Bakersfield. Here.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Bakersfield's on this huge slide. They covered for us in
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: one of their games recently against Irvine, I think it
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: is when we played them, and they barely got the cover,
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: although they were covering more easily prior to that. I
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: would probably take the points with Bakersfield in this one,
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: though Hawaii. It's a thirteen point favorite, sixty percent of tickets,
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of the cash on them. They look
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: like the public side with less of the money totals
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: in the one forties.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: Which isn't that high.
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: Bakersfield real, real ugly, but Hawaii's gonna have to deal
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: with playing on that ugly Bakersfield road Runners court though
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: that you could see right there on my screen. The
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: Navy blue court or whatever it is, not Navy, but
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: whatever the hell they're blue is. Uh, it's almost like
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: a dark powder Blue Road Runner Blue. As far as
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: the other games in this conference, you see Santa Barbara
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: just beat you see Irvine, so that is a big deal.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: That was a big game.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: You see Irvine is atop the conference right now where
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: they were actually they're tied with Hawaii. That was a
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: big win for you see Santa Barbara. Man, so they
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: could be in a letdown simply coming off of that.
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: They haven't played Riverside yet this year. I don't think
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: don't have a big game on deck against cal Poly though,
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: so this would just simply be a potential letdown spot here.
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: You see Riverside is coming back home after they lost
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: two road games. They lost the last time at home
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: against cal Paly, which isn't very good. I think they'll
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: show up for this one, man, I would I would
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: have to lean towards fading Santa Barbara on this one.
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: They're down from eight to six and a half.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: So some of the money looks like it is agreeing
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: with me on that, and you've lost the key number
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: seven there though, total in the one forties. But yes,
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards taking the points with Riverside, but
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: again you're losing some value on that now. And then,
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: of course, on the other side of that, you see
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: Irvine is coming off that big game against you See
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Santa Barbara and they lost a four game win streak
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: with that loss, and now they have cal Paly on
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think they played them yet this year, but.
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they play them later this year, but it could
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: be a hangover spot for them coming into this one.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: Cal Poly not a very good team, definitely easy to overlook,
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: at least cal Poly coming off a couple losses in
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: a row. They got Santa Barbara on deck, but I
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna overlook you See Irvine, so I
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: would probab I'll take the points in this one too,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: although in this one the money looks like it's coming
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: in on a Irvine.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: They're up from seven to seven with.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Juice sixty seven percent of tickets ninety four percent of
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on Irvine. Don't really agree with that one though,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards taking the points in that one.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: All right, NBA, I don't have any plays in the NBA,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: and then I'll be done for the show. Here last
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: NBA day before the All Star break, which.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: Is gonna be ugly.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: Although I might mention the Also, I know I didn't
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: mention the Pro Bowl in the NFL, by the way,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: I apologize, which was on Tuesday before the Super Bowl,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: but there's just nothing to say about it. But in
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: the NBA, I might mention the three point contests and
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: or the dunk contests.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know which days those around. I'll figure it out.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: We got three games today in the NBA, Milwaukee and
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City. Both teams played yesterday. Milwaukee did get the
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: zigzag upset yesterday out of Orlando, so they I was
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: right about. You look at all these games I was
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: right about I go one to three in the NBA,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: and then I was right about all these other games
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: in the NBA. That's just fucking great, including that one
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's zigzagged and got the upset win. Now they're playing
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: a third road game in the last four days, which
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: is not that easy to do all at least the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: first two or in one city Orlando. They're coming on
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: an upset. But I mean, Milwaukee's not gonna overlook the
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: thunder though, so you know it's not I don't know.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, the spot is not exactly horrible for the
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: for the Bucks, especially given that Oklahoma City is in
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: a similar situation where they're playing a third game in
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: four days. For them, it was all in different cities,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: and they're actually returning home from a quick road trip
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: where they went to LA and Phoenix. They beat the Lakers,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: although it was a Lakers team with a lot of injuries.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know Luca's been out, but I keep
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: forgetting to mention that Reeves has been out again, Lebron
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: has been out.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: It's a mass unit of a Lakers team.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: There still pretty big when you beat the Lakers on
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: the road, though, and then Oklahoma City pounded Phoenix last
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: side of the road. That was a nice win for OKAC.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: And this is an OKAC team without Sga. Although there's
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: still a really deep team. There's still a very good
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: team even without him.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: This is an Amazon Prime game.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know, Man coming back home for okay See,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: I actually probably would lean to Milwaukee. Plus the points
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: here okay See did go down from fourteen to twelve
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: and a half. Seventy six percent of the tickets and
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent of the cash on the Thunder. I
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: know the Thunder are good at home, but I don't know.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: This is just such a weird game, man, No Sga,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: no Yannis.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know a whole lot else to say about it,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: but got to actually, I guess, look and see what's
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: going on with Jalen Williams for Oklahoma City, see if
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: he's playing or not. It looks like he exited the
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: game against the Suns and didn't come back, so we
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: don't know if he's gonna play or not. They might
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: just let him rest into the All Star break at
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: this point. So I don't know that it's a very
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: very weird game, some of these games right before the
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: All Star break, especially with teams played yesterday. And that
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: is the case with Portland and Utah as well, because
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: almost every team played yesterday. These two teams also did.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: Portland got blown out by Minnesota yesterday. Now that I'm
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: having to travel from Minnesota to Utah, I said I
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: was gonna look towards Utah here if Portland played well
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: against Minnesota yesterday. But they did not, So maybe they'll come,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: you know, with a little bit more focused in this
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: game against Utah.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man. And for Utah, they just
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: beat Sacramento at home.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately for me, I thought that was a horrible spot
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: for Utah and the return home spot. The Sacramento team
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: is just beyond repair at this point, and they have
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: like none of their starters playing, So there's not a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: whole lot to look at there.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: But it's I don't know.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: I guess when you're Utah and you beat a team
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: by almost thirty points, it's a pretty satisfying win. I
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: guess when you do that. Now they get Portland coming
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: in here. We got to look at who's on the
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: injury report in all these games. Let me see, it's
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: not really yeah, I mean, there's not a whole lot
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: going on, Like, no real change for these teams on
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: the injury report from one game to the next. Portland's
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: is seven and a half point favorite in this one.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: Utah sixty two percent tickets, seventy four percent of the
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: cash coming in in Utah. I just don't know if
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: the Blazer should be really laying this many points on
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: the road. Man, They're not that much better on the
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: road than Utah is at home. So I would probably
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: lean towards taking the points with Utah in that one,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: even though Utah I usually don't like a team that's
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: coming off of a blowout win against the team coming off.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Of a blowout loss.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: But Portland's game was still the bigger game yesterday, I
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: don't know, and they are still having to travel probably
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: slightly into Utah.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: But I got nothing on that really.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: And then Amazon Prime the doublehead or the second game
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: is two teams that didn't play yesterday, Dallas and the
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: Lakers to finish this off, and of course it is
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: the Lakers with no Luca, but it looks like Lebron
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: Ann Reeves might actually play tonight because they're not listening
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: on the injury report.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: So that's something.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: To keep track of. See if those guys are playing
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: for the Lakers. They're seven and a half point favorite,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: up from seven eighty seven percent of tickets ninety seven
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: On the Lakers. So maybe I don't know if that
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: means they're playing or not.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: Man, it's tough for me to gauge what that line
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: really means.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Man, Dallas. I think Dallas is still kind of.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: An undervalue team right now though, man, because if you
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: look at their stretch of games here, yeah, it looks
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: really bad. They've lost eight games in a row, but
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: The worst team they lost to in that entire stretch
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: was the Charlotte Hornets, and the Hornets are not that bad.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: I look at the other losses they had. They lost
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: the LA who they're playing tonight, the Lakers. So this
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: is actually a bit of a road revenge spot for
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: Dallas because the Lakers beat them in Dallas on January
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: twenty fourth, so the Lakers might not take them that
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: seriously for that reason. Dallas lost to Minnesota Charlotte, of course,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: like I said, by two points at Houston by four.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: They lost to Boston, They lost to San Antonio twice,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: and then they lost to Phoenix at Phoenix on Tuesday.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: So they're not losing the bad teams here man. So
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: I think Dallas is the way to look in this game.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: Dallas has been under the raidar. And if you get
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: this Lakers team bringing back a Lebron and or Reeves
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: coming if they're playing in this game, that's gonna be
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: like kind of a reverse injured player spot for the
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: Lakers as well, where the Lion has to adjust to
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: those guys coming back.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: It might over adjust.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: Now the Lakers are staying at home, so there are
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: some things that are better for the Lakers in this game,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: and they got blown up by San Antonio on Tuesday
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: at home, So I guess a couple of things to
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: maybe like about the Lakers here. But I would probably
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: have to lean to Dallas in this one. If I
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: was gonna play it, it would be Dallas plus the
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: points and that that's gonna do it, man, especially if
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: those guys are coming back for the Lakers and you
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: get more line value on Dallas. That's the way I
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: would look. That's gonna do it, man. Thanks for hanging
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: out people one more time. My two plays today, two
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: underdogs that are in the big sandwhich is that we
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: have on the junk college Basketball board. We're gonna be
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: on Elon because he's so hot.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: We're gonna be on Elon plus seven and a half
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: and then Tennessee Tech plus four and a half. Those
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: are my two plays. Let's get back on the winning
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: side here, man. To have a winning night, we're gonna
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: need to either win both or one of them is
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: gonna need to win out right, So hopefully that can happen.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: Learn to Tone on Twitter, Subscribe to me on Twitter.
• 1:07:36
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• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: here man toadstool sports. Of course, I give me good
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: replies here listen on audio, give me good reviews on audio.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: Spotify Apple covered in you because my Uke channel on YouTube,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: I just do.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: I did a cover of the.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: Dawson's Creek theme song for James Vanderbeek, which I haven't
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: put on the YouTube channel yet, but I will know.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: I have to get the pagroon up to date. Man
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: pagreon dot com, slash learn to toad. Gotta pay more
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: attention to it, I apologize. Gotta get the that audio
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: feed up to date because is the Spotify Yuke feed.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: If you want it there. I will put out an
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: updated bracketology. I'll probably just tweet it out. I don't
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: know if down the road, you know, as we really
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: get close to uh bracket time, maybe I'll start doing
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: that show a couple of times a week. I don't know,
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: though doesn't get good views, I don't know if it's
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: worth the time. But I'll tweet out an updated bracketology
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: tonight probably and then.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: I think, oh Loser cast, of course, yeah, go check
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: that out. We had a new episode the other day.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: The other night. I thought it was a funny one
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: you go check that out too.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Yeah, I'll be back tomorrow. It
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: should be a small board. It's gonna be only college
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: of basketball as we're during the hockey Olympic break and
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: it's the All Star break for NBA, so yeah, it'll
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: be just college basketball and probably not a ton of it,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: and then all have to do the huge Saturday board
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: for college basketball. But I'm not gonna be out tomorrow night,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: so I should have time to do it.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Peace for now.