Latest / Why We Do What We Do / In the Event of The Apocalypse
Transcript
- 0:03You're listening to Why we do what we do? Welcome to Why we Do
- 0:16what we do. I am your doomsayer host Abraham, and I am definitely
- 0:21not your survivalist host Shane. We're psychology podcast. We talk about the things
- 0:25that people do and what people might do hypothetically in an event that is almost
- 0:29certainly never going to take place, at least we hope not. Uh huh.
- 0:32Anyway, we talk about psychology things. That's what we do. That's
- 0:35mostly what we do. Yeah, and this is one of those weird ones
- 0:37where we can only hypothesize what would happen because in the event of a true
- 0:41apocalypse, we could not retroactively study it because we wouldn't be around to study
- 0:45it. You said, the word it is we're talking about the apocalypse,
- 0:49but not like the fun, cool metal ones like in the Bible, like
- 0:52where it's like very metal and there's dragons, Like. We're talking about things
- 0:55that happen in the real world where you know, it's a little bit scary
- 0:58and maybe we've seen some examples and movies. As you said, it is
- 1:00hypothesizing, it is speculating in it. But we're going to largely couch this
- 1:04on precedent. We're going to use the events that have happened in the past
- 1:08to talk about what might happen in the future if we were to be faced
- 1:12with some extinction level catastrophic event. Hopefully that does not happen in our lifetimes,
- 1:19yes, and or maybe ever, you know, it'd be great or
- 1:23ever really truly. Yeah, I mean, eventually the Sun will swallow the
- 1:26Earth, but hopefully humans will have been gone for a long time at that
- 1:29point, so that's the goal. Yeah. Yeah, But anyway, before
- 1:34the Sun swallows the Earth, before humans wipe each other out, or evolve
- 1:38into something else, or just abandon our planet and go live on some other
- 1:41planets, we can acknowledge that at least on the day that this releases,
- 1:45we can wish everybody happy. Atheist Pride Day. I never realized there was
- 1:49a holiday that I could feel so seen, but here we are. There
- 1:53you go. Yeah, yeah, as a white man, you know,
- 1:57I finally get a holiday. It's also be in for Peace Day, so
- 2:01that's kind of fun. I like that Bibliomania Day. There's a lot of
- 2:06book centric holidays. I think it's great. I like that it's extraterrestrial abductions
- 2:10Day. So I guess if you want to get away from an apocalypse,
- 2:13that's a good way to do it. That's pretty good. Now, confusingly
- 2:19with Atheist Pride Day, it is also International Astrology Day. Yep, mercury
- 2:24is in Marmalade. It's also International Day of Happiness. Kick Butts Day,
- 2:30I think may and maybe even more metaphorically than anything like kick your butt doing
- 2:36a really hard workout or something, or like maybe you debate really well and
- 2:40kick someone's but metaphorically by wood you have the debate. Yeah, don't touch
- 2:45anybody without their consent is really what we're trying to get out there. Yeah,
- 2:47don't assault anybody. It's also National jump Out Day. Sure don't know
- 2:52what that means, but it is National Native American HIV AIDS Awareness Day,
- 2:57very specific and very important. It's National Ravioli Day, which I particularly enjoy.
- 3:04It is won't you Be My Neighbor Day? Oh, mister Rogers,
- 3:07I saw something that said he was part of like the Holy Trinity with Bob
- 3:10Ross and I forget who the other person, oh, crocodile Hunter. Like
- 3:15the three of them were like it was like be kind of nature, be
- 3:16kind to others, and be kind to yourself and that was like the real
- 3:20Holy Trinity, and I was like, I love that. That's perfect.
- 3:22That's really fun. It's so great. It's also World Frog Day, so
- 3:27if you like that sort of thing, Yeah, frogs are great. Presumably
- 3:30I think that means be nice to frogs. In addition to the fact that
- 3:34it is the International Day of Happiness, it's also ACT Happy Week, so
- 3:38for one day, be happy. For the rest of the week, ACT
- 3:42Happy, uh huh. Yeah, yeah. They don't mince words there.
- 3:46It's also American Chocolate Week, which you know, for our international listeners you're
- 3:51probably thinking, eugh, But I like chocolate, so I'm fine with it.
- 3:55Yeah, and I would say Hawaiian chocolate specifically. And I've said this
- 4:00many times on the show, so I'm sorry you all keep hearing it,
- 4:02but Hawaiian chocolate, you just you can you almost can't do better. I'm
- 4:09sorry everybody around the world, but try the Hawaiian chocolate. And I love
- 4:14I love the like dark bitter chocolates that are common in other places around the
- 4:17world. That's a big island. Yeah, that's right at my alley,
- 4:19But Hawaii, we just lost all of our Belgian listeners. That's right.
- 4:24Yeah, yes, Belgian chocolate very good, Hawaiian chocolate very very very good,
- 4:29just just saying on a scale very very it's very very good. That's
- 4:32right. It is Clutter Awareness Week, Get the clutter out. Yeah,
- 4:36I mean, I'm very well aware of mine. So it's International goof Off
- 4:41Week, which I feel like is just what I do every every day.
- 4:44So sure, glad that it's recognized International Teach Music Week. Love that that's
- 4:48great? Anymore? Is that just a plain synthesized tones and loops? I
- 4:57hope not. I hope. I hope everybody gets a trombone, you know,
- 5:00violin if you like that stuff too. It's also Ramadan, so hey,
- 5:03hey, that's nice. A piramedon. Our thoughts are with you those
- 5:05people for whom this is a very tough time because of the state of the
- 5:09world at the time. And it's World Folk Tales and Fables Week, Yes,
- 5:15yes, which I love. I love a good story so yes,
- 5:19well, and that actually plays beautifully into our topic for today because we're going
- 5:23to be telling some good stories. It is a certainly end of the world
- 5:28story day. Hey, yes, that's a that's what we're celebrating. So
- 5:31we are going to talk about the apocalypse, but really we're going to focus
- 5:34on talking about how people respond in the face of an apocalypse, because I
- 5:40think there are a lot of depictions and there are a lot of kind of
- 5:43guesses and questions, but we're really going to spend some time unpacking what it
- 5:46is that people will do in the event that things go terribly terribly wrong.
- 5:50And I mean, doomsday preppers, conspiracy theorists, extremely religious extremists, and
- 5:57Hollywood have all sort of speculated on what the doom's day would look like.
- 6:01And there's I mean, there's so many movies and TV shows about this,
- 6:04uh huh. There's Day After Tomorrow, Moonfall, Walking Dead, Mad Max,
- 6:10Zombie Land, Last of US TV shows, and in the Game I
- 6:14Guess, Bird Box, The Road, Water World, Into the Forest,
- 6:16Children of Men, Book of Eli, Twenty eight Days Later, and Twelve
- 6:21Monkeys are just some examples of Hollywood telling stories about what the end of the
- 6:27world will be like and how people will be in the event of the apocalypse,
- 6:31right, And so you'll find that a lot of these kind of end
- 6:34of days scenarios, their predictions kind of talk about how humans will behave and
- 6:40in all of these scenarios. Humans descend into roving gangs of murderers and looters
- 6:45and a few good guys just trying to get by, but it's mostly just
- 6:47total chaos, total pandemonium, and any stranger meeting another person immediately pulls a
- 6:51gun and threatens violence. And that's kind of the image, right, So
- 6:56when things go wrong and all of the structures of humanity breakdown, we are
- 7:00left to danger, to aggression, to just constant survival mode, and we
- 7:06don't really know that that's the most accurate way to describe what would happen.
- 7:11We fortunately have not actually had to experience, like the biblical ending of the
- 7:15world, everything on fire and gods and demons coming down and killing us all,
- 7:21at least not exactly in that way, and so we've sort of just
- 7:25speculated what would happen. And I think for the sake of drama, it
- 7:29makes a lot of sense in a storytelling capacity where your only goal is entertainment,
- 7:34is to have antagonists, is to have conflict, and so you manufacture
- 7:40the conflict for the sake of the story. Are these musings a good depiction
- 7:44of how people would behave and what would people actually do in the event of
- 7:48the apocalypse, and that could be zombie apocalypse, it could be a major
- 7:54meteor crashing into Earth and breaking down civilization, nuclear war, whatever it might
- 7:59be. What would we expect people to do in one of these situations that
- 8:03they've just depicted in movies and TV shows. We're gonna look at some of
- 8:07the most destructive crises in history that humans have experienced and kind of talk about
- 8:13some logical deduction using our understanding of psychology and how humans will respond in these
- 8:18types of scenarios. Just knowing kind of what we know about pro social behavior,
- 8:22about systems, about all of those things, we're going to kind of
- 8:26apply those models to these end of the world scenarios. Yeah, it's a
- 8:31two pronged approach of looking at history just what has already happened, What can
- 8:37our experiences as a species tell us about what we might do in an event
- 8:41like this? And then also we can take this from the angle of what
- 8:46makes logical sense with our understanding of a very basic application of logic to the
- 8:54circumstances of the scenario, as well as our understanding of human behavior in psychology.
- 9:00Right, absolutely, so, it's worth starting with what an apocalypse is,
- 9:03and there are kind of two different definitions here, because I think the
- 9:07term apocalypse was more or less introduced and understood by the Bible, and this
- 9:15is a book of revelations, and it is the complete and final destruction of
- 9:20the world, or at least the people on the world. It is the
- 9:22end of days, at least for humans. Not the Arnold Schwarzenegger movie where
- 9:26he's a drunk detective that fights the devil. Yes, not that one,
- 9:31very different end of days. But really, what we're talking about with an
- 9:35apocalypse and kind of what it's come to be known as, is a catastrophically
- 9:37devastating, destructive event. So there are a lot of different ways this could
- 9:41come up. I mean, if you follow anything from NASA, then you
- 9:45know that there are always asteroids that fly by the Earth far too close for
- 9:48comfort. It could be nuclear war, it could be an oncoming ice age,
- 9:52it could be any of these things. But these destructive events, essentially,
- 9:56the idea is that it wipes out structures humanity or the majority of people
- 10:01in a lot of different ways, or all of the people, and kind
- 10:03of leaves folks to survive in these kind of after event atmospheres or environments.
- 10:11Yeah, and they could also include things a little bit more I guess you
- 10:16could say pedestrian like disease. You know, we just recently made our way
- 10:20through a global pandemic. It could be something like the catastrophes that have been
- 10:26developing as an outcome of global climate change, which we don't even know what
- 10:31those all are going to be, but we've already started to see what some
- 10:35of them will be, and they are very unpleasant, and that could lead
- 10:37to you know, sea level rise. And then of course the threat of
- 10:41global self annihilation in the form of mass you know, global war against one
- 10:46another using highly, highly destructive weapons that are very capable of ending human life,
- 10:52the whole species as it were. So anyway, with all those considerations,
- 10:58we could look back and say, what have people done in the times
- 11:01of severe crises? And as I said, you haven't gone through the biblical
- 11:05apocalypse, but we have gone, apparently through some things that were kind of
- 11:09close to that. And how the magnitude of them and the severity of those
- 11:16events. Right, And as we kind of start to gather more information about
- 11:20the history of humans and we start to look at the events that are coming
- 11:24up, and all the possibilities and all the models. There are some I
- 11:28think it's really fascinating and we'll probably get into this. There are some signs
- 11:31that the apocalypse is on its way, or there are some signs that things
- 11:35are going to get worse for humans, and one of those signs is ads.
- 11:46Okay, well, unfortunately we've doomed this all with the We did make
- 11:52it through the AD break though, So let's talk about the time that all
- 11:54the proto humans died except for a very few. Yeah, so human antswer's
- 12:00date back over one million years ago. I mean, if you subscribe to
- 12:03like evolution and like history and all that stuff. If you're reading like an
- 12:07old book written by people, then not so much. But yeah, what
- 12:09we subscribe to is this idea that humans have been around for a while as
- 12:13humans evolved into different species. Eventually, Homo sapiens only emerged around three hundred
- 12:18thousand years ago. One source suggested that Homo sapiens from three hundred thousand years
- 12:22ago were archaic Homo sapiens, and that modern Homo sapiens emerged only about one
- 12:28hundred and sixty thousand years ago. It's still like too much time for me
- 12:31to comprehend that's a long time. Like, it is really difficult to try
- 12:35and wrap our minds around even one hundred and sixty thousand years, let alone
- 12:39one hundred and forty thousand on top of that to make three hundred thousand years.
- 12:43And yeah, like our lives are so short that we tend to look
- 12:46back in history and it's hard to make sense of it, and so we
- 12:50may subscribe to a nonsensical view that contradicts all available evidence that, like humans
- 12:54have been around for five thousand years or six thousand, well, I mean
- 12:58the nineties were only couple of years ago, So like I think that all
- 13:01of us have like a weird distortion of time in general, you know.
- 13:05Yeah, yeah, so time is hard. Big numbers are hard, and
- 13:09it's okay to not be able to wrap your head around that and have it
- 13:11still be accurate. Right, that's where we're at. But anyway, this
- 13:16is Homo sapiens we're talking about that have only been around for let's say,
- 13:18three hundred thousand years. There was this weird enigmatic gap in the human fossil
- 13:24record of ancestors of current Homo sapiens around nine hundred thousand years ago, just
- 13:31all of a sudden there were far fewer human fossils for a significant chunk of
- 13:35time, and in addition to fossils, researchers developed new techniques for sequencing DNA
- 13:43that illustrated the lineage of genetic evolution of ancestors of humans into what would become
- 13:48Homo sapiens and according to essentially what they did in compiling the available evidence in
- 13:54this twenty twenty three article in Science the journal Science by Who and colleagues,
- 14:01a human ancestor of Homo sapiens may have come to the brink of extinction.
- 14:07So we'll describe sort of what happened in this event. But essentially they said
- 14:11there was this severe population bottleneck where the number of humans on Earth plummeted to
- 14:16very very few, relatively speaking. And it is worth pointing out that the
- 14:22study was criticized by some other scientists for the strength of their conclusions, but
- 14:26many scientists have accepted this as a reasonably plausible interpretation of the data so far,
- 14:33so there's at least good reason to believe that they're probably right at least
- 14:37about parts, if not all, of their discussion in this article about this
- 14:41bottleneck. But just to say that we understand there is a little bit of
- 14:43controversy. I think it's worth simply accepting that what they said is most likely
- 14:50pretty much accurate or pretty close to it, right, just to kind of
- 14:54illustrate though, I think maybe why people are also a little bit nervous about
- 14:58accepting this as a thing that happened is this shift, this kind of this
- 15:01bottle neck in the population saw ninety eight point seven percent of humans on the
- 15:07planet wiped out, either due to extreme cold or severe drought, or both
- 15:11or both. Right, it's a significant drop in human population, to the
- 15:16degree that most species would probably not come back from such a low number,
- 15:22from such a catastrophic population decimation. Yeah, essentially, the data suggests their
- 15:28model suggests that the humans dwindled down to only one thousand, two hundred and
- 15:35eighty people left on the entire planet. Aliens visiting Earth at this point I
- 15:41have found the wild Yeah, they would have found these like these human ancestors,
- 15:48because they really weren't Homo sapiens yet. But they would have found these
- 15:50human ancestors and there would have only been a little over a thousand of them
- 15:54on all of Earth. That was it, And that this population stayed that
- 15:58way, stayed at that size for about one hundred and seventeen thousand years.
- 16:03I think that in itself sounds unbelievable, but if there's significant evidence, or
- 16:10at least gaps in evidence to suggest otherwise, like, it's completely plausible to
- 16:15think about that. So yeah, and to be clear, it was not
- 16:18It was not the same group of people that lived for one hundred and seventeen
- 16:21thousand years. It was just that right population level. So they were obviously
- 16:25having kids, and there's subsequent generations. People don't live for one hundred thousand
- 16:30years. Yeah, we're not talking about Adam and Avier. I'm sorry,
- 16:33I know I'm taking a lot of jabs of the Bible. It's just easy.
- 16:36It's easy. It's low hanging fruit here. Yeah, it's not the
- 16:37same people, but especially because I would imagine that, like life expectancy was
- 16:41probably fairly low at that time. So that's you're talking like hundreds of generations
- 16:45inside of that. Yeah, So had these remarkable individuals not proven to be
- 16:51so resilient, we would not be here today. And that's I think a
- 16:52really important thing to consider, considering that our population has now bloomed to what
- 16:57it is and maybe a little bit overpopulated. It's pretty incredible to think that
- 17:03only about twelve hundred people are responsible for us being here today. Yeah,
- 17:07I mean, this wasn't the fire and brimstone destruction of the world as described
- 17:11in the Bible, but I mean it was the near extinction of humans.
- 17:15You know, the humans that would eventually become Neanderthals, Denizavians, and eventually
- 17:18Homo sapiens like those were almost gone down to this tiny handful of people that
- 17:26are the reason that we're here today, assuming that the evidence that we have
- 17:30is all accurate how we've interpreted it, and again it seems like for the
- 17:33most part we think that that is that is pretty close to accurate, if
- 17:36not dead on right. So let's shift gears a little bit. We're gonna
- 17:40do a time jump, as we talked about in our Patreon specific stuff about
- 17:44Dune. We're gonna do a little bit of a time jump as Frank Kerbert
- 17:47would do, and talk about Mount Toba. Now, about seventy four thousand
- 17:52years ago, a super volcano called Mount Toba and what is now Indonesia exploded
- 17:57in a catastrophic event that nearly wiped out the humans again, because what you're
- 18:03going to discover as we go through this is that humans are fragile, squishy
- 18:06creatures. We are We're not like tartar grades that can survive in these situations.
- 18:11We hurt and we squish and we and we're just sacks of meat that
- 18:17are just trying to survive at our computers every day. So this mountain explodes
- 18:21and nearly wipes us all out, exactly. You know, it's one thing
- 18:25to have, like a you know, extreme cold and drought that would wipe
- 18:27out food and nearly kill everyone on Earth. And that's certainly something that could
- 18:32happen, and you could see why something that affects the whole planet and that
- 18:36way would be a sort of extinction level event. But just a volcano exploding
- 18:41seems like it wouldn't be. Well, this was no ordinary explosion here.
- 18:45This eruption sent shockwaves across the entire planet. The explosion alone, just the
- 18:51initial explosion, blanketed Indonesia what's now Indonesia and India in six inches of debris.
- 19:00So we're talking like a massive, massive geographical area far from the actual
- 19:06volcano itself, covered by tons of debris and ash. Right, and the
- 19:11ash from the eruptions filled the atmosphere so completely that the average global temperature dropped
- 19:15by three to five degrees. And that doesn't seem like a lot, But
- 19:18when the overall global temperature drops, that's bad. Yeah, that's a significant
- 19:25shift. Yeah, that's not like your day. It's like, it's not
- 19:26like seventy degrees and it drops to like sixty seven degrees and you're like,
- 19:30oh no, it's we're talking global shift in temperature, which is a global
- 19:34shift in climate, which is a global shift in all the things that sustain
- 19:38ecosystems. So this change massively disrupted many ecosystems and killed many animals and plants
- 19:47alike, leading to mass starvation. So this one event caused catastrophic damage globally
- 19:52simply by disrupting those ecosystems. The eruption was so severe and widespread in its
- 19:59effect, researchers interpreted the evidence and calculated that ten thousand people, or even
- 20:04as few as only three thousand humans survived this event due to the severe alteration
- 20:10in climate and food resources, the mass starvation, the cold, and the
- 20:15inhospitable environment of an ashen landscape that destroyed the possibility of life for a huge
- 20:23chunk of the world. It really brought human population again down to just a
- 20:27few thousand individuals. Somehow we soldiered on. So here's the thing that I've
- 20:34kind of learned about the planet. The planet wants us dead. Like I
- 20:37don't know that everybody realizes that, but when you think about it like that,
- 20:41like that's why we have to build things to protect ourselves from the planet,
- 20:44because the planet itself does not want us around. Like, let me
- 20:48be clear, it just doesn't care that we're around. Like, the planet's
- 20:51going to do whatever it does. It's not actively trying to kill us.
- 20:53It's going to do whatever it does. It does not care whether we are
- 20:56here or not. It probably does now it's probably going like, oh God,
- 21:00like this is like a We're like a wooly sweater that they're trying to
- 21:03shake off, you know. Well, and it does seem like and thinking
- 21:07through this because at least these first couple of events were not even homo sapiens
- 21:11yet. Well, we were Homo sapiens for the Mount Toba explosion, but
- 21:15prior to that, the huge bottleneck that happened and any that we don't have
- 21:19other records of that may have occurred, these major extinction level events like these,
- 21:26You could also look at these as evolutionary selection pressures that pushed the evolution
- 21:30of humans towards some of the traits that we ended up developing. Right that
- 21:33the ones who didn't have the traits that we have now are the ones that
- 21:37died off, and so what was left what was was what was selected for
- 21:41by these events. Oh, I love evolution. So but let's talk for
- 21:45a second about temperatures and freezing with our next section called so good. If
- 21:52you're not familiar, you know, we both like further scenes forever, So
- 21:55that's that reference. Yes, So the first time the event we were talking
- 21:59about people or too cold, there's freezing temperatures in drought. Then it was
- 22:03too hot volcanic eruption, although technically part of what was really the killer was
- 22:07a lot of cold after that anyway, So we had the cold, we
- 22:11had the volcano, and then the Earth was plunged into a ten thousand year
- 22:15colossal ice age starting about twenty thousand years ago. Right, so the average
- 22:21global temperatures dropped as much as ten degrees, which again does not sound like
- 22:25a lot on a day to day basis, But when the entire globe changes.
- 22:29It shifts ecosystems, it shifts populations, it shifts all these things.
- 22:32And so this change resulted in massive glaciers stretching across much of the land in
- 22:37the northern hemisphere, North America and Eurasia. So you see just kind of
- 22:41widespread ice and cold and chilliness and not a sweater to be seen. Yeah,
- 22:47I mean, if you imagine these massive, massive glaciers, like,
- 22:52things aren't growing in these they have essentially wiped out places where land was where
- 22:59things could grow and was just at a freezing temperature all the time. So
- 23:03the world became almost impossibly inhospitable to many animals, including humans. And this
- 23:10is also like this is when mastodons and saber toothed cats died out because of
- 23:15the severity of the environment. Right, And so despite these temperatures driving well
- 23:19coated, hearty creatures such as these to extinction, somehow the soft, defenseless,
- 23:25mostly furless humans managed to adapt and survive. So again, you know,
- 23:30maybe it's God's will something. So people have been soldiering on through these
- 23:36huge environmental disasters that are largely about things freezing and food being disrupted and all
- 23:41that sort of thing, and I guess massive amounts of lava and hot ash
- 23:45as well. But as humans continued to soldier on, we eventually started coalescing
- 23:51into these massive groups of people, and in doing so, we were able
- 23:53to construct large buildings for shelter. And also these buildings that, because they
- 23:59protected us from the elements, would enable a variety of human activities that may
- 24:03have otherwise been prohibited during certain seasons. So essentially we could be productive all
- 24:08year round in all kinds of weather, and we could do so in a
- 24:12way that allowed us to kind of build and expand all the things that we're
- 24:17doing much more rapidly. And there was just a ton of people all grouped
- 24:21together. But it's that ton of people all grouped together thing that actually started
- 24:25to become a problem. Right, So as human groups became larger and larger,
- 24:29some new diseases started to breed in the gross conditions created by large groups
- 24:33with poor infrastructure, because you know, for some reason, nobody thought they
- 24:37should anywhere but in the streets, so that was happening a lot. And
- 24:41because people were pooping in the streets, that didn't make for conditions to stay
- 24:45healthy, and they're dumping like human and other like construction waste into their drinking
- 24:51water supplies and then being like, huh, yeah, but you know today
- 24:55we're worried about fluoride, right, and and so people were I think understandably
- 25:03mostly only drinking alcohol because it could be distilled from plants that get you know,
- 25:06we're getting groundwater and not like fresh water because there was very little freshwater
- 25:11because we were polluting the crap out of it. Anyway, in these conditions,
- 25:14a little bacteria called Ursinia pestis was started hitching a ride on some fleas,
- 25:19pleas that were largely living on rats, but they were also living on
- 25:22other animals and definitely living around humans. And this little bacteria was one of
- 25:27the most easily communicable and also deadliest bacteria that we had ever encountered as a
- 25:33species. Yes, so symptoms of this bacteria when you caught this thing included
- 25:38diarrhea, blister It's all the things that you hear about in peptobisma commercials,
- 25:42but worse diarrhea, blisters like a general malaise, chills, delirium, bloody
- 25:48coughs, and black bulges or bubas in the thighs and armpits and those sores
- 25:53gave rise to the common name for this disease, the bubonic Plagueoo. So
- 26:00the first time this happened in five point forty one CE, the bubonic plague
- 26:04swept across the world, killing more than fifty million people and quote came close
- 26:11to wiping out the whole of mankind end quote from Procopius in The Secret History
- 26:17as the author in the name of the writing, Well, it's funny that
- 26:19he wrote a book called the Secret History and its public book. So now
- 26:25you know how secret is it? That's right, a fuckative title, I
- 26:29guess. So in thirteen forty seven, the plague returns and wipes out another
- 26:32two hundred million people in Eurasia and Africa. So real bad. This thing
- 26:37is pretty gnarly. I mean, we did an episode on it. It's
- 26:40gnarly. Yeah, it was rough. And so as these filthy colonizers continued
- 26:44to grow and spread their numbers in a variety of unsanitary conditions, essentially they
- 26:48actually started developing immunities to all of these diseases and plagues that they were cultivating
- 26:55in their everyday environments. And so even though they they started to adapt to
- 27:00and live I guess you could say symbiotic lives with these diseases that they were
- 27:06creating out of their horrific conditions that they were also creating. They also were
- 27:11starting to explore and colonize the world, and they brought these diseases with them
- 27:15as they're tramping around the world in a mad genocidal rampage to steal land from
- 27:19indigenous people and in other parts of the world. Oh me, and people
- 27:23are gonna be so mad that we told the truth. Yeah, humans are
- 27:26gross. I mean that's something too like humans are soft and squishy, but
- 27:30humans are gross, and we make diseases that are gross and we give them
- 27:33the people unfairly. So these colonizers had more advanced weapons, but more than
- 27:37that, they brought things like smallpox, measles, typhoid, and cholera to
- 27:42these different civilizations that did not have these things. And these diseases alone destroyed
- 27:47ninety five percent of these indigenous peoples over one hundred and fifty years. The
- 27:51totality of their death was so massive that researchers believe the decrease CO two being
- 27:55put into the atmosphere by the people being killed off actually decreased the global temperature
- 28:00slightly, resulting in a quote little ice age. So the mass destruction that
- 28:04disease brought because of colonizers may have actually caused a global event simply because of
- 28:11the lack of CO two that was being produced by people. Yeah like that,
- 28:15that's how many people died because of it. So again wiped out a
- 28:19huge chunk of the population. All right, So, just as a quick
- 28:23recap here, we have things that have almost killed humans. We had this
- 28:27ice age fault with a drought. We had this massive volcano that also drops
- 28:30temperatures. We had another really massive ice age. Then we had the spread
- 28:36of significant diseases. Then we had ads. We survived another AD break,
- 28:48only to talk about the next thing that almost killed humans another volcano. Of
- 28:52course it was a volcano. So as this little ice age was starting to
- 28:56thaw out, a volcano gave it a violent push into into a warming direction.
- 29:00And this happened in eighteen fifteen. Yes, so in eighteen fifteen,
- 29:04Mount Tambora on the Indonesian island of Simbawa. I hope I'm saying that close
- 29:10to right. This blasted enough to bring into the atmosphere to thrust the world
- 29:15back into a volcanic winter. The explosion itself instantly killed ten thousand islanders,
- 29:21and the smoke and ash filled the atmosphere of the entire planet, dropping the
- 29:25global temperature by five degrees right, and so the cold and ash and smoke
- 29:30resulted in freezing and flooding and blocked out the sun around the world for so
- 29:33long it was called the Year without a Summer. Incidentally, this is when
- 29:38and why Mary Shelley wrote Frankenstein, because they were stuck inside due to the
- 29:42terrible weather, and she and her husband and their friends challenge each other to
- 29:45a writing competition, which is one of my favorite little bits of trivia,
- 29:49and also why Chuck Poalnok's book Haunted is written the way it is. It's
- 29:53written based on this experience from Mary Shelley. Oh, I didn't know that.
- 29:57I don't think I've read that, but now I want to check that
- 30:00out. Yeah. The premise of Haunted is a bunch of authors get together
- 30:03and try to recreate the experience that Mary Shelley and all those folks had in
- 30:07writing horror stories. And then the short stories that are in it are all
- 30:11based on what the authors came up with during that time. So in eighteen
- 30:15fifteen. Mount Tambora erupted in eighteen sixteen is when Mary Shelley wrote Frankenstein,
- 30:19and that was called the Year without a Summer, and it was because Mount
- 30:22Tambora had blanketed the earth and ash and the damage that this caused to food
- 30:27and supplies and crops around the world killed an estimated additional one hundred to two
- 30:33hundred thousand people. I mean, again, it's just we're fragile creatures.
- 30:37So those are like, those are the like five or six major events that
- 30:41have nearly wiped out humans or at least caused substantial, critical levels of destruction
- 30:48to a large number of people. So, I mean, that's just looking
- 30:52at history what has happened in throughout history, And every single time one of
- 30:56these happened, these one of these events happened and people pulled through. And
- 31:02so we'll talk about that in just a second. But so those are the
- 31:06types. Those are one type of event. But what about in the event
- 31:08that we get way too overcrowded. Yes, and this brings us to this
- 31:14really interesting experiment that is called ratopia. So we're calling at that. He
- 31:18called that rat utopia. Yeah, we're calling at that. Yeah, yeah,
- 31:21Ratopia sounds is way more fun though. Yeah, we're big fans of
- 31:22Portmanteaus here. Yeah. In nineteen forty seven, John B. Calhoun,
- 31:26which you know is just such an American name, conducted an experiment in which
- 31:33he it's like if I put into chat GPT and said, give me the
- 31:36most American name ever, it would be like, if it wasn't like Eagle
- 31:40mcfreedom, it would be John B. Calhoun. So in nineteen forty seven
- 31:45he conducted an experiment in which he gave rats a finite amount of space but
- 31:49all the resources they could ever need, so basically super enriched environment, no
- 31:55want for anything, as much food, water, everything they needed inside that
- 31:59space. He seeded these little environments with a few pregnant mother rats, and
- 32:04then he just let them breed indefinitely to see what would happen when the enclosure
- 32:08became overpopulated. And again food and water were always abundant. They had access
- 32:14to all the resources they could possibly need, but they were allowed to more
- 32:16or less just breed freely and just to see what would happen once their space
- 32:22was pretty much filled with rats. Thus, the rats rapidly populated and filled
- 32:27the entire space that they were in because resources were freely available and they really
- 32:30had no predators in that environment, right, So the rats were fine with
- 32:35each other. They were totally good until space started to become scarce and then
- 32:38was completely overcrowded in that space, and then that's when everything started to break
- 32:43down. Rats started killing each other, They started candalizing their dead, they
- 32:46started killing the babies. A lot of bad things happened, and somewhat drew
- 32:50in hid but seized other necessary self care behavior. So they kind of stepped
- 32:54away. They walked away, but they stopped doing all the things they needed
- 32:57to do to survive. You started seeing these variations and their overall behaviors,
- 33:01so particularly around sexual behaviors. So some started becoming exclusively homosexual, some became
- 33:08pan sexual, some became hyper sexual they would just mount everything, and some
- 33:13became a sexual. They wouldn't try and breed even if there was an eligible
- 33:15breeding partner there. And eventually with these mass die offs, like because of
- 33:22all the killing, all of the neglect, all of the lack of self
- 33:27care and basic survival behaviors and all of that, there were these mass die
- 33:31offs of these rats, and these enclosures and what would be left was a
- 33:35small non breeding population that would eventually die out and then the entire group would
- 33:38be extinct wild. They actually tried several variations of this with similar results,
- 33:45so you kind of saw the same thing happen over and over and over again.
- 33:46And this was eventually published in Scientific American in nineteen sixty two. Yeah,
- 33:52so, I mean this is a little bit different of a scenario and
- 33:57the previous examples we were talking about people dying off in large numbers, and
- 34:01in these experiments they were looking at what would happen with rats if they became
- 34:06overpopulated and overcrowded. What does overpopulation look like? Based on just these bits
- 34:13of data that we have, what did we learn? We learned so many
- 34:17things, so we have to ask the question, how did people survive so
- 34:21many of these massive catastrophic events and how did our ancestors beat the long odds
- 34:25and pull through events that killed off far more prepared creatures than us. That
- 34:30is ultimately the question that we are trying to solve here today. So an
- 34:34archaeologist at the London Museum, Nick Ashton, was really impressed with that study
- 34:37that was talking about the bottleneck of humans nine hundred thousand years ago, and
- 34:42he said, quote, this would imply that it occupied a very localized area
- 34:45with good social cohesion for it to survive. Of greater surprise is the estimated
- 34:51length of time that the small group survived end quote. And so he was
- 34:55commenting on the fact that like, how would these people have made it through?
- 35:01Well, they worked together to make to pull through. There was good
- 35:06social cohesion, they were supported one another. That's the only thing that would
- 35:10make sense for how that group would have made it through that event. Right.
- 35:14And there's another quote from one of the co authors. It says,
- 35:16quote, we believe that our ancestors must have been well united to fight against
- 35:20the harsh environment. And that was a direct quote from Yusa on Pan.
- 35:24Yeah, one of the authors on that study, which was a like multi
- 35:28country study. They had scientists from countries all over the world. There was
- 35:30like eight of them. I think that's cool. Yeah, So when faced
- 35:34with catastrophic events, what we have seen is that people work together. They
- 35:37work together to find food, to defend the group, to build shelter,
- 35:40to protect their young. They work together. That is what people have done
- 35:45in all the times that we've ever been faced with these extinction level events that
- 35:51could have and probably should have, if we weren't really lucky, wiped out
- 35:55our species. But it just so happened that we had some very res zilient
- 36:00people who are there. And the reason they were resilient is because they were
- 36:04so adept at working together to survive their circumstances. Right. So history has
- 36:10shown us time and time again that when humans are faced with our extinction,
- 36:15we band together, we pool our resources, we think, we experiment and
- 36:17work our way to a survival strategy. And if you don't really believe that
- 36:22we've got anecdotal support just from the global pandemic and watching us go through that,
- 36:25I mean, if that isn't an example of everybody coming together and going
- 36:29we should do this, I mean, except for people in Florida, we
- 36:30don't like masks here apparently. I mean, everybody else was doing a really
- 36:35good job I think for the most part, trying to get through that.
- 36:37Yeah, and they did. You know, people pointed to how many people
- 36:40behaved during the pandemic as an example of why people would be so adversarial during
- 36:46an apocalyptic event because they were so selfish. Certain groups of people were so
- 36:52selfish and adversarial. They were combative toward one another. Right, But honestly,
- 36:57like as humans throughout human history, are most defining characteristic And I say
- 37:01this not lightly like, our most defining characteristic is our social organization and our
- 37:07capacity for cooperation. The evidence is overwhelming that this is the case. It
- 37:13is probably the thing that has kept us alive. I mean, and this
- 37:16is the evidence that we're showing. It's like, it's probably the one thing.
- 37:20It's not our intelligence, it's not our unique individual acumen. It's the
- 37:23fact that we can band together, we can pull resources, and we can
- 37:27work together to find a survival strategy together as a species. We operate as
- 37:31one community. And here's the thing. Every day, millions of people climb
- 37:36into their little metal machines and go barreling down the paved paths with hundreds of
- 37:39other people doing the same thing. We moderate our speed against one another,
- 37:44communicate via signals, adhere to symbols and painted lines, and the vast majority
- 37:49of the time we do so successfully with no one getting hurt. That in
- 37:52itself, driving down a highway it should be that is in itself an accomplishment.
- 37:58I mean, I live like the road that I live on is connected
- 38:01to the most dangerous highway in the United States, and it's the most dangerous
- 38:06because by square mile, there are more decapitations on that highway than any other
- 38:10highway in the US because it's Florida. But I bring that up because for
- 38:15the moment, I've driven down that highway hundreds of times at this point in
- 38:17time and been safe, and you watch people for the most part, people
- 38:21are safe. That is a feat to be able to do that, and
- 38:22it's only a feat because other people are doing the same thing and communicating and
- 38:25working together to make it safe. Yeah. I mean, people complain all
- 38:30the time about how bad other drivers are on the road. And while I'm
- 38:32not going to say that you're wrong, like, certainly I think most people
- 38:36could improve in their overall driving skills a lot of the time. I think
- 38:39it's also worth pointing out that most of the time people get from point A
- 38:44to point and B successfully right the fact that we have far fewer accidents than
- 38:49we do successfully completed trips, and obviously I think it would have to be
- 38:52that way for people to trust that as a reliable form of transportation. The
- 38:57fact that we can do that where we're all. We all have the choices.
- 39:00We're driving to drive however we want, and we have put systems in
- 39:04place to try and ensure that people will be as safe as possible in driving,
- 39:07but nevertheless we do. And then when we get to where we're going,
- 39:10we walk into these buildings made by hundreds of people working together to mind
- 39:15chop or otherwise manufactured materials and meticulously engineer them together into building these safe structures.
- 39:22And in those structures we fill them with precious resources, and we walk
- 39:25in, we calmly choose goods, exchange our stuff for their stuff, and
- 39:29then we leave without incidents. Right, We only take what is allotted to
- 39:34us based on the systems that we've put into place. And granted, like
- 39:37this is an exchange of money, but like people don't just run in and
- 39:39in large groups and loot the store. They follow the systems and rules that
- 39:43we have because there is a social cohesion that helps us sort of navigate with
- 39:49respect to expectations of as a societal structure. Right, And people see strangers
- 39:52in need of food and need of money and need of help, in need
- 39:55of emergency services, and they jump in to help them without being coerced works
- 40:00to do so. I mean, I think the thesis of all of this
- 40:02is really to say that humans just help each other. And I think that's
- 40:07such a great thing for people who really struggle with the idea of humans being
- 40:12terrible or humanity is doomed, or maybe you have kind of a cynical view
- 40:15on the world. But I mean, you're looking at hundreds of thousands of
- 40:21years of history where humans have banded together to survive, to work together.
- 40:24And yes, there are a lot of dark corners of humanity, but for
- 40:29the most part, human beings do good for one another. They try to
- 40:32help each other, and humans themselves have survived, and one of the evolutionary
- 40:37benefits that we have had is that we have this kind of pro social,
- 40:42this helping behavior, this cooperative behavior that has led that has kept us around.
- 40:45If it wasn't for that those volcanoes that ice age, the Bubbontic plague
- 40:50would have wiped us out many many centuries ago. Exactly right, although you
- 40:53wouldn't think so because of the ads. Despite the ads, we made it
- 41:06through. We're on the other side again, and I think they'll be the
- 41:08last ad break for this discussion. Anyway, yeah, yeah, just thinking
- 41:12about this because we've been talking about the fact that humans are cooperative, they
- 41:16help each other, and you said that so beautifully in talking through Like the
- 41:21evidence just shows this, but it also makes logical sense too, Like the
- 41:25more people that are in a group, the more people that are to provide
- 41:30defense or offense or both. There are more people that are to produce and
- 41:34secure resources, so farming, hunting, agriculture, what have you. The
- 41:38more people you have, the safer and more secure you are pulling from.
- 41:44If I may Planet of the Apes, people apart are weak, people together
- 41:49strong. Oh I love that? Is that? Is that a quote from
- 41:52doctor Zaias? No, it's it's from Caesar, Okay, the Ape Caesar.
- 41:59I have only seen a couple of Planet Apes movies, but I always
- 42:00remember the Simpsons episode where they go to Planet the Apes the musical and they
- 42:05have then that's about toahaias Ohayas says that was one. Anyway, there's a
- 42:14deep cut for everybody. That's a very specific reference that I don't think anybody
- 42:19else will get like, but I think I like that. I have a
- 42:21Simpsons tattoo that's a very specific reference. It's lingo the grammar robot. So
- 42:24who knows whether there's anything to be learned from Calhoun's rats and ratopia. Rats
- 42:30can be a good analog for humans in a lot of ways, and we've
- 42:31kind of seen that a lot and a lot of human experiments where we have
- 42:36started with studying rats and carried that over and those concepts and principles and things
- 42:39we've learned into human experimentation. But they do not have our propensity to engineer
- 42:45solutions to our problems. So it's hard to say, I mean, we
- 42:49know it's not the best analog. However, we can say the overcrowding will
- 42:52come with problems unprecedented by humans in the past, because that's historically not been
- 42:57as much of an issue. Humans have adapted to scarce it. Humans have
- 43:00not really had to adapt to overcrowding to the extent that the rats did.
- 43:04But we seem to be trying to get there and trying to get there really
- 43:07really hard, like we are working at it. But you know, I
- 43:09mean, we won't really know how that if there's a one to one match
- 43:15on that until we get there, or unless we specifically analyze microcosms that do
- 43:19exist where there are overcrowding right now, right, Yeah, yeah, I
- 43:22think that we have we do have areas where we can sort of look at
- 43:27overcrowding and how people are currently dealing with that. And I think that there
- 43:30are places where people are packed in about as close as the rats were,
- 43:35proportionally speaking, and we still seem to be doing okay. I think you
- 43:37can look at the Kowloon Walled City, right, Like, the Kowloon Walled
- 43:40City was still successful despite the fact that it was like the most densely populated
- 43:45place on Earth, and that was like that island where like every square inch
- 43:49of it was covered by like buildings and apartments and all that. It might
- 43:52have been an island, but it was just like this one, Like it
- 43:53was like a city that was like stacked on top of each other in this
- 43:55really small space where like it was so densely packed that sunlight couldn't reach the
- 44:00street levels. Yeah. I definitely heard about that and and that that did
- 44:04not turn out well because I believe that that is an actual ghost town.
- 44:08Now, not to say that there's ghosts that city has gone now, but
- 44:12for a period of time it was okay, Yeah, like people made it
- 44:15work. I think that's and I think that's the thing, Like, you
- 44:16know, those circumstances were really terrible, but for a period of time people
- 44:20were making that work. And this is not meant to be an episode on
- 44:22like family Planning, if you will, enough, but just to say that,
- 44:29like I think we need we do need to consider the carrying capacity of
- 44:31the planet that we're on and maybe make intentional decisions about how we use the
- 44:37space so that we all sort of make sense here and that we're not filling
- 44:42spaces where we don't have room for people anyway. Point being, it's difficult
- 44:45to say what exactly we would learn from those experiments because we haven't had the
- 44:50kind of overcrowding. But it does seem like for the most part, we
- 44:52have engineered our way out of problems. And I think that and we have
- 44:55taken on things as a species to navigate gate some of these major problems even
- 45:01when we were at really large population levels. For instance, during some of
- 45:06these major these mass events of disease outbreak and I think of the nineteen eighteen
- 45:12flu that killed out so many people, we started doing these mass vaccination programs
- 45:16and back then when people when we came out with vaccines like they were just
- 45:21administered. People just got them, and that helped stop and slow the spread
- 45:24of those diseases and saved a lot of lives. And now we've sort of
- 45:28said, no, you can keep killing people. That's okay. We'll try
- 45:31and convince people that they should get vaccinated. But for those of you who
- 45:35want to just kill people wanton lely, you can make that choice instead.
- 45:37That is something I have a hard time understanding or app in my mind around,
- 45:40but it is. It does seem to be what people are doing currently.
- 45:45Maybe you know what, maybe the anti vaxxers are just trying to ensure
- 45:47that we don't ever reach over crowding. Yeah, maybe they're the people on
- 45:51the street trying to make sure that we cull part of the population at regular
- 45:53intervals so that we don't have too many humans on the earth. That must
- 45:57be their agenda. I think that's what it is. Yeah, maybe they're
- 46:00looking out. Maybe they're looking out you know. Okay, that's not true.
- 46:02No, No, it's not that could even be terrible about that.
- 46:07No, No, it feels disingenuous. Yeah. I think the thing is,
- 46:10with the premise of this being humans have depicted this chaotic, murderous,
- 46:20criminal inherentness to what humans will do when society breaks down. That's sort of
- 46:28what has been painted by these apocalyptic movies and books and TV shows, et
- 46:31cetera. And at this point, I think it's worth asking, is there
- 46:36a nugget of truth to this idea that that's how humans would behave in an
- 46:40end of day's scenario? Right? And so you know, there's always a
- 46:45question of fight or flight or freeze that does come up a lot, and
- 46:47I think you know, there are always exceptions to the rule. There are
- 46:52always going to be people who decide to work alone or they try to go
- 46:59like and you'll see those kind of pockets of people that will disappear. But
- 47:01if there is any truth in the fear that people will turn on each other,
- 47:05that we will see the kind of every person for themselves type of chaos
- 47:07depicted in movies and TVs. It might be that we now have a set
- 47:12expectation for this. It's not necessarily that that was always the case. It's
- 47:15that we have kind of created a narrative around that based on the entertainment that
- 47:20we consume. You almost have to kind of undo a little bit of that
- 47:23for people who maybe in a real situation, have only ever watched, you
- 47:29know, some type of apocalypse movie or some type of apocalypse entertainment where they
- 47:31think that that's what's supposed to happen, right, And the truth is is
- 47:35it's very unlikely that that would happen without that kind of narrative. So,
- 47:38yeah, we're now faced with the circumstance that many people they've seen this depicted
- 47:46in art in like TV show, movies, and books, et cetera,
- 47:50so often that if there was a catastrophic event that decimates the human population,
- 47:55we might actually expect to see at least some groups of survivors who expect to
- 48:00other people to come and attack them, and so they treat strangers with fear
- 48:04and skepticism that we see in those movies and TV shows, And it could
- 48:08be just because they believe that it's how people would or should act in those
- 48:14events, and so they pull guns on each other, they steal each other's
- 48:17resources, and they go all sort of rogue bands of marauders basically, and
- 48:25not because that's what humans do in these events, but because that's what they've
- 48:29been led to believe humans doing these events based on totally fictionalized scenarios, and
- 48:35I know dispared dooes. I love disaster movies, I love end of world
- 48:37stories, I love zombies. I love the storytelling, and I love the
- 48:43creativeness of it. That's just not what humans have ever done. And now
- 48:46I'm afraid that we've told. I think for the sake of telling a story,
- 48:51it makes sense to have antagonists that are other people that are like It
- 48:55makes sense to keep people engaged in the story by having them feel fear toward
- 49:00like that could happen, someone could do that to me. And so I
- 49:05think from a storytelling perspective, it makes total sense to leverage that idea.
- 49:08But that's just not how what we've ever seen people do. But now people
- 49:13might think that is what people do, right, you see in kind of
- 49:15like more acute disasters, right, So, like I think, and I
- 49:20think there's probably a conversation about like these really acute events that happen versus like
- 49:24long term survival needs. And I like to look at something like maybe like
- 49:29an earthquake in a city that causes a lot of disaster versus like the global
- 49:31pandemic, and the differences in behavior across both of those. Right, So
- 49:35in an emergency. There's a difference between emergency and apocalypse, right, So
- 49:38like in an emergency where like an earthquake happens, people are going to scramble
- 49:43for a minute, like there's a crisis, or like think about nine to
- 49:45eleven, right, Like something happens and there's a crisis, and people are
- 49:47going to first scramble for safety most of the time to kind of make sure
- 49:52like okay, like let's say, let's like assess what's going on, and
- 49:54then they're going to immediately after dive in to try to help and try to
- 50:00figure out what to do. You saw that in nine to eleven. You
- 50:01saw that in the earthquakes in the Dominican Republic and all that. You saw
- 50:05this kind of or in Haiti, and you see these kind of situations that
- 50:07occur where in the moment when the disaster is happening, people are gonna scramble,
- 50:14but they are going to go right back in. You look at the
- 50:16pandemic and you look at for the most part, people came together and they
- 50:20said, you know what we're gonna do. We're gonna work from home,
- 50:22We're gonna develop these systems to do this. We're all gonna mask up.
- 50:24We're gonna change some systems, We're gonna update some systems, We're gonna do
- 50:27some things right now, just because this is the information that we have,
- 50:30so we're gonna keep safe. And that was a movement of I mean,
- 50:34global human behavior that changed based on some type of impending doom. And I
- 50:40think that those examples you see that, like whether it's acute or whether it's
- 50:45kind of like a slow burned disaster type of situation. In both those situations,
- 50:49you see that the majority of people went so far as to help one
- 50:52another, to look out for their fellow human, to really do the best
- 50:58to make sure that they were doing their part to protect other people. And
- 51:01I think that, you know, whether those movies out there are going to
- 51:05inform that decision. I think for the most part, what we're still seeing
- 51:07is that people will jump into action in the right ways and really work to
- 51:12serve their fellow human. Did we ever do I feel like we did an
- 51:17episode that was sort of tangentially related to the Lord of the Flies, this
- 51:22idea of like people being stranded on an island. Do you remember us talking
- 51:25about that or am I making that up? I feel like we, you
- 51:29know, I feel like you and I talk about all kinds of things all
- 51:30the time, So it's very possible that you and I talked about that,
- 51:32but we maybe never did an episode on it. Okay, Well, so
- 51:36because there was this real life example of people who got stranded on an island,
- 51:39and it was like a bunch of kids and while they're what they did
- 51:44is they like they worked together to form a little like society for themselves until
- 51:50they were rescued. You know, they they didn't devolve into this chaotic like
- 51:53winner Takes All system on the island, which was the story of Lord of
- 51:58the Flies. Well, the play crash, the Chilean football team that crashed
- 52:01in or Argentina, like that team that crashed, like they had to like
- 52:06survive for like sixty nine days on the mountaintop, Like they weren't like they
- 52:09didn't break down and start murdering each other. Like even the Daughner party wasn't
- 52:14really doing that. That's true. Yeah, we did an episode on that.
- 52:16As grim as that situation was, they weren't really doing that. Like
- 52:21so you know, even in those types of acute disasters, people aren't really
- 52:23doing those things. Yes, exactly, And there's so so many stories of
- 52:28this. There's there's acute disasters that were during expeditions and like when things broke
- 52:32down again, people still tried to help each other. I remember there was
- 52:36a story I was just hearing recently on a podcast talking about the first time
- 52:40people made their way to I want to say. It was the South Pole
- 52:45and when you're down there, the environment is extremely harsh and there was somebody
- 52:50there who was like in the crew, who was really sick. And so
- 52:52the person who was in there group of people who felt the best gave up
- 52:57his portion of food to this person to help them pull through. And it's
- 53:00like, because it's so cold and they're like care and equipment. They said
- 53:04that you easily are burning just through like three four thousand calories a day,
- 53:07right, and so like you just have to eat a ton of food,
- 53:09and so like for this person to give up their food for this other person
- 53:14was a huge sacrifice, right, and that they were willing to do it.
- 53:17And again, people do this. They sacrifice for each other, and
- 53:20as you've said, in these acute disasters, they sacrifice for each other.
- 53:23So like the it worries me that I think there are people who prep as
- 53:30if they do expect that this is how people will behave and the event of
- 53:35apocalypse, you know, they're armed to the teeth and they're like they're fully
- 53:38planned to like isolate from people and be prepared to kill their neighbors. That's
- 53:43the thing I think that worries me about where there might be some truth to
- 53:45this, But most of the time, what we've seen people do is banded
- 53:47together, and those people will be stronger for it, right, And I
- 53:51think that's that's just the thing to know, is like, if you choose
- 53:53to accept people into your group and to protect each other, you will be
- 53:58far stronger than trying to so with a bunch of guns, right exactly.
- 54:02All right, Well we did make it to one more ad break and haha,
- 54:07yeah, that's the thing that's happening. Sorry, all right. So
- 54:16we do have a couple of like interesting tidbits, I think, things that
- 54:20are just kind of worth knowing or thinking about that I sort of came across
- 54:23and doing the preparation for this, And one of them was that there was
- 54:27an actual study that tried to calculate whether humans would survive a zombie apocalypse,
- 54:32and the answer, it turns out, is no, No, not even
- 54:35close. The study created mathematical models to predict how long people would survive given
- 54:40the speed and communicability of a zombie virus. What they found was that,
- 54:45you know, we'd be wiped out within a year. No one would survive,
- 54:49and that humans would be wiped out within a year because of a lot
- 54:52of different factors. But basically, if there's zombies, you're just not going
- 54:55to make it. Yeah, it's just because they would grow down outnumber people,
- 55:00there would be impossible to essentially hold them back. That was sort of
- 55:05the general thing that they concluded with is that like, it's just your numbers,
- 55:08you just they would outnumber people, and then they would really outnumber people,
- 55:13and then they would massively outnumber people. So if their motivation was in
- 55:16fact to spread the disease and kill and eat other people, they would be
- 55:21impossible to stop them because they would come in waves that you can't even imagine.
- 55:24What they did speak to though, I think the authors of the study
- 55:28or someone else pointed out that they didn't really consider rates of childbirth and like
- 55:32how people might be reproducing to stave off their own extinction. But the authors
- 55:37that they also didn't think it would matter much as people would be killed off
- 55:40so quickly, they wouldn't really have time to pad their population to prevent like
- 55:45the total wholesale destruction of everyone. But they did say that, like,
- 55:50these are just sort of hypothetical models. But what they came up with is
- 55:53in these little simulations they created, everyone dies. And to be fair,
- 55:58this is it sounds like or this is like a disease model and not necessarily
- 56:01like a societal type of like, so there is a difference between like looking
- 56:07at kind of the variables that go on with human behavior versus just communicable diseases
- 56:12and totally just from a disease standpoint. Yeah, we're not going to keep
- 56:15up. That's a great point. Yeah, all right. The other one
- 56:19that I found was kind of interesting was this idea of apparently the CDC,
- 56:23the United States Center for Disease Control, has a protocol or like a manual
- 56:29for how people behave in a crisis. They call it the Psychology of a
- 56:32Crisis and how to respond to a crisis when it emerges. And I found
- 56:37this updated as of twenty nineteen, which is going to be ironic as we
- 56:40unpack what they describe in here. Yeah, so they discuss four ways of
- 56:45processing information. First, they say that you should simplify information, make it
- 56:47as simple as possible for people to understand so that it is not getting misconstrued
- 56:52and it is not confusing for everybody who is involved in that crisis. And
- 56:57actually specifically like that is what they do recommend, and it is because people
- 57:00tend to simplify their own synthesis of information that they receive. So people basically
- 57:07when they hear information, they sort of derive a quick takeaway from that,
- 57:10and so the simpler you can make your message, the more you can direct
- 57:14what people's takeaway is. But people tend to simplify information that they get.
- 57:19Another one is that people tend to hold on to their current beliefs. So
- 57:22people, whether they would have been flexible or not, become pretty rigid in
- 57:24what their thoughts are and beliefs are in crisis scenarios. Does that sound familiar.
- 57:30Also, people will look for additional information and additional opinions because there is
- 57:35kind of a general and healthy distrust of scientists over the many years, or
- 57:39it's just the public like this type of information that goes out, people don't
- 57:43trust anybody, like nobody trust anybody anymore so when information goes out, they're
- 57:47always looking for additional information or opinions, and additional opinions or information that might
- 57:53jive with their current beliefs. So you've got that kind of working against you
- 57:57when you're disseminating anyway. Yeah, I mean, they're obviously going to be
- 58:00highly motivated to receive as much information as possible in a cataclysmic sort of event,
- 58:05Like they're trying to just learn what they can, So they're very susceptible
- 58:08to hearing anything, and what that means is that they'll often will believe whatever
- 58:14the first messages they receive might be. So the speed of communication is really
- 58:17important. And so the CDC basically recommends as a not a counter but like
- 58:24a in preparation for this is how people react in these situations, that like,
- 58:30how to try and best support people through this is to use simple messaging,
- 58:36to ensure that messaging comes from a credible source, to use consistent messaging,
- 58:40and to be accurate as soon as possible. And so they publish this
- 58:45in twenty nineteen, and then we were faced the global pandemic and it seemed
- 58:49like everyone in charge at the CDC did not read their own book or manual
- 58:55on this because we did not see consistent and clear communication from them very confusing
- 59:01times. For sure, I think they own that. I think they have
- 59:05said as much that that was a fault of theirs, but that is the
- 59:07thing that happened, and so it's worth just pointing out that that that is
- 59:12how they they oriented to like how people behave in a crisis, and I
- 59:15think those are reasonable descriptions of what to expect in those situations and it makes
- 59:20a lot of logical sense. Yep. Absolutely one. So I think just
- 59:23one thing I want to add before we wrap up here is talking about what
- 59:28we understand of psychology, and essentially, as we said, humans are very
- 59:31susceptible to social consequences and our social environment. We're very susceptible to cues from
- 59:38people around us for things that they like and things that they don't. And
- 59:42that is kind of part of why we were able to be cooperative in the
- 59:45first place, is because we are looking to one another for feedback and support
- 59:52and communication to help us do the things that we do. And so just
- 59:57thinking very logically about what we understand about behavior is that like, we are
- 1:00:04going to do things that I think are both in line with what we already
- 1:00:08expect and believe. But we also find a lot of it's a loaded term,
- 1:00:15but there's like inherent reward in helping each other. Right. You get
- 1:00:20people who do volunteer things all the time, and some of them do it
- 1:00:23because they feel compelled to do so for religious reasons, but plenty of people
- 1:00:28do it for totally altruistic reasons. Setting aside whether or not altruism is real,
- 1:00:32they do it because they feel it's the right thing to do for other
- 1:00:35people, right, Right. That I think is really important to unpack is
- 1:00:38that, like we see this all the time in people's day to day when
- 1:00:42they don't have something that they have to fight against that they try and like
- 1:00:45support others. And when we are faced with crises, most of the time,
- 1:00:50like the world comes to help, Like we help each other, the
- 1:00:53powers that be come to help. Yeah, And it's kind of a nice
- 1:00:57thought if you're ever struggling with just kind of I guess that humanity is doomed,
- 1:01:01it's good to know that there's evidence that says otherwise, that people are
- 1:01:05just kind of primed to like from an evolutionary standpoint, not even from like
- 1:01:09a societal standpoint, just from like an evolutionary standpoint, we are primed to
- 1:01:15help each other, and that's that's a pretty nice feeling. Yeah, absolutely,
- 1:01:19Okay, So I think that's what we have to say about what people
- 1:01:22would do in the event of an apocalypse. It's something I've wanted to talk
- 1:01:24about for some time because while I really enjoy all those stories, I have
- 1:01:30always felt like, I'm like, this isn't what people do. Like,
- 1:01:34have a hard time connecting to this all the way, Like I can totally
- 1:01:37get immersed in sort of the stories that carry the overall narrative thread of those,
- 1:01:43but I'm like, this isn't. People just don't behave this way in
- 1:01:45these scenarios. They never have and there's really no evidence to suggest that they
- 1:01:49ever will, except for maybe those people who are expecting that to be the
- 1:01:52case, and so they sort of create, they manifest the problem they're afraid
- 1:01:57of. Right, But that even seems like that'll we have a fairly small
- 1:02:00number of people. I think most people will do what people have always done,
- 1:02:02which is that we band together, we pool our resources, we defend
- 1:02:07each other. We have more people for defense, more people for producing resources,
- 1:02:10and we support each other and the more people we have, the better
- 1:02:13able we are to do that sort of thing. So that's I think what
- 1:02:15I would expect from people in an apocalyptic event for real. Yep, agreed,
- 1:02:21Okay, I think I've said the same message like twelve or fifteen times
- 1:02:23now, so probably it's about time for us to instead just give credit where
- 1:02:29credit is due. If you like this and you'd like to support the show,
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- 1:02:51people, we will read out your name as I have just done. You
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- 1:03:05So consider that. If you'd like to support what we're up to,
- 1:03:07you can also just leave us a rating and review, subscribe like to share
- 1:03:12us with a friend or somebody. That's a great way to help support us
- 1:03:15non financially, at least for you. Yeah, you can also pick up
- 1:03:17some merch and I think that that is all the things about support. Also,
- 1:03:22I need to thank my crew of people who without whom I could not
- 1:03:25do this show. That includes writing in, fact checking from Shandon myself,
- 1:03:30audio editing from Justin, and our social media coordinator is Emma Wilson. I
- 1:03:36feel like I'm missing something. What am I missing? Am I missing anything?
- 1:03:38I think we're just missing recommendations, recommendations. So I have been spending
- 1:03:52a lot of time watching movies and shows that have to do with giant monsters
- 1:03:57fighting giant robots with my son. So, like, my son is obsessed
- 1:04:00with Godzilla, so we've been watching a lot of like Kaiju related things,
- 1:04:02and so yesterday I introduced him to Pacific Grim and so that is my recommendation,
- 1:04:08because man, what a brilliant movie, like so fun Here's the thing,
- 1:04:14people get really funny about movies that don't require a lot of thinking.
- 1:04:17This movie does not require a lot of thinking. But that's okay because you're
- 1:04:20talking about giant monsters fighting giant robots and how could you not find joy in
- 1:04:26that? Right? I mean like seriously, And so if you're not familiar,
- 1:04:30this movie is written and directed by Guiermo del Toro co writer Travis Beacham,
- 1:04:34and it stars Charlie Huntum, who plays some of the best names character
- 1:04:39names ever in a movie. So Charlie Huntam plays Rally Beckett, There's Rinko
- 1:04:45Kikuchi who plays Mako Moury. You've got Charlie Day who plays doctor Newton Geisler,
- 1:04:50and Idris Elba that plays a really like just kind of like no nonsense
- 1:04:56type of character named Stacker Pentecost. What great names, right, those are
- 1:05:01great names. Ron Perlman is in this is like a weird He plays Hannibal
- 1:05:04Chow, who's like a weird gangster. And the whole movie is about these
- 1:05:10giant monsters to come up out of the Pacific rim from what they call the
- 1:05:13Breach, and human beings have come together to and pull their resources to build
- 1:05:17these giant robots to fight these kaiju since the kaiju are, you know,
- 1:05:23threatening the world, and it's kind of how the story evolves, and they
- 1:05:26have these what they call jaggers or jaggers to fight the Kaiju, and it
- 1:05:30is just the coolest, man. It is just it's a it's a just
- 1:05:32a beat him up awesome robots versus monsters movie. And I don't know how
- 1:05:36people don't like it more. I mean, movies are a visual medium,
- 1:05:41and I love all kinds of film. I really am a big, big
- 1:05:45fan of movies in general. But I mean, like it's so good just
- 1:05:49watching it's so satisfying. Just watch fought and a giant like alien monster Kaiju.
- 1:05:57They're just giant robots and monsters beating the living crap out of each other.
- 1:06:00Is just just a delight. It's just so much fun. It's so
- 1:06:03fun, Like you can't you can't sit and watch this movie and watch one
- 1:06:08of the robots grab a giant oil tanker and just use it as a baseball
- 1:06:12bat and like fight the sponsor and go, yeah, it's whatever, Like
- 1:06:16come on, y'all, like grow up, like enjoy this stuff, like
- 1:06:20don't grow I think of, like don't grow up? I think, yeah,
- 1:06:24I think of what do they say in Step to Step Brothers, Like
- 1:06:26don't lose your dinosaur? All right, I'm not gonna go and go to
- 1:06:30my recommendation here So that was Pacific Rim. That's available lots of places.
- 1:06:34When did that come out? Was that like twenty twelve or something like that,
- 1:06:38twenty thirteen thirteen? Okay, so it's been out for a minute.
- 1:06:41There was a sequel. The sequel was not as good, but it was
- 1:06:43still fine if you're like into that sort of thing. Sure, we just
- 1:06:45want to see robots fighting aliens. That's that's all that's I watched that forever.
- 1:06:49Yeah, so sequel's fine. The first one's really really good. Anyway,
- 1:06:54that's Pacific Rim. I'm recommending another board game. I've been on a
- 1:06:57streak of recommending board games lately. I've had the the wonderful opportunity to learn
- 1:07:01several and so this board game is by stone Myo Games. It's called Apiary,
- 1:07:06and I'm just going to read really quickly the summary of Apry as it's
- 1:07:09described on the website, because I think it's very funny. I mean,
- 1:07:12it's funny for a game nerd such as myself. It is a competitive worker
- 1:07:15placement hive building game about hyper intelligent bees in space. So that that is
- 1:07:23the one liner about this. I love that. The thing about it,
- 1:07:26like thematically, that's very silly and weird, and the art is really beautiful.
- 1:07:30It's really pretty how they did a great job. It's just like a
- 1:07:32really well constructed game too, in that like it just it really does a
- 1:07:39nice job setting up like here are the different things that you can do,
- 1:07:41and essentially what you're doing is your exploring planets to spread the hive the bees,
- 1:07:47and in doing so you get resources which allow you to do more things.
- 1:07:51And that's that's just the game. So it's fairly straightforward in that sense.
- 1:07:55But it's got all these like really clever, unique little mechanisms that you
- 1:07:59don't see very often in other games. And so it's just a well done
- 1:08:02game. So if it's on the heavier side strategically, so if you're out
- 1:08:06looking for a simple game, I would not put this in the category of
- 1:08:10games that are like super easy. But I think it's really worth it.
- 1:08:13It's it's a game that's totally worth it to like learn the learn the rules,
- 1:08:15learn the game, and then really get into it because I think you
- 1:08:19could play it just over and over and over again and really enjoy it every
- 1:08:23time. Yeah, it looks I mean you're right, the art looks beautiful.
- 1:08:27It sounds like it's a lot of fun and it sounds like it's really
- 1:08:29funny. It's a pretty silly little game that I enjoyed for the space.
- 1:08:32Yeah, be's in space. How could you? Where could you go wrong?
- 1:08:34How could you be mad about that? So both of our recommendations were
- 1:08:38actually tangentially like end of the world, like end of humans type thing,
- 1:08:42because mine, no, it's not funny. Yeah, my game it takes
- 1:08:45place after humans are gone, and yours is that caid you threaten to destroy
- 1:08:48the world. So yep, anyway, they're very close. That's the apocalypse.
- 1:08:51If you would like to email us and tell us, or just reach
- 1:08:54out to us at all and tell us something that we got wrong, something
- 1:08:57you agree with, or maybe something you disagree with, and give us some
- 1:08:59kind and constructive criticism, you can do that by reaching out to us directly
- 1:09:02at our email info at wwdwwdpodcast dot com. You can also reach out to
- 1:09:08us on the social media platforms and chat with us there and give us your
- 1:09:11thoughts. We're happy to hear those in all those places, and thank you
- 1:09:14so much for listening. Is there anything that I forgot, anything that you
- 1:09:16would like to add before we say goodbye, Shane. Just be excellent to
- 1:09:19each other, Yes, be excellent to each other. That is lovely,
- 1:09:24all right, great, well then that's a great note to end on.
- 1:09:26This is Abraham and this is Shane. We're out, see ya. Be
- 1:09:29excellent to each other. You've been listening to Why We Do What We Do.
- 1:09:33You can learn more about this and other episodes by going to wwdwwdpodcast dot
- 1:09:40com. Thanks for listening, and we hope you have an awesome day. Wh