Latest / Best of LinkedIn: Digital Transformation & Tech / Best of LinkedIn: Sustainability & Green ICT CW 02/ 03
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode is provided by Thomas Allgeier and Frennis, based on the most relevant LinkedIn posts about sustainability and green ICT in CWO two and O three.
- 0:10Speaker 1: Frennis supports ICT enterprises with market and competitive intelligence, decoding green software developments, benchmarking emerging standards, tracking regulatory shifts and analyzing competitor strategies.
- 0:22Speaker 1: So welcome back to the deep dive.
- 0:25Speaker 1: Today, we're digging into calendar weeks two and three of twenty twenty six.
- 0:30Speaker 1: And I have to say, looking through the posts, the whole tone, it just feels different.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Like the industry is waking up to a really loud alarm clock.
- 0:38Speaker 0: That is a perfect way to put it.
- 0:39Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 0:39Speaker 0: You know, for so long, sustainability in tech felt like, like a separate department, right?
- 0:45Speaker 1: Quotely siloed.
- 0:45Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 0:46Speaker 0: You had your core strategy and then, you know, once a year, you put out the sustainability report.
- 0:50Speaker 0: But what we're seeing now.
- 0:51Speaker 0: It feels like those two worlds have just slammed into each other.
- 0:54Speaker 0: Yeah,
- 0:54Speaker 1: it doesn't feel like we're just talking about compliance anymore.
- 0:57Speaker 0: Not at all.
- 0:57Speaker 0: I mean, this isn't about recycling bins or, you know, printing double-sided.
- 1:01Speaker 0: We are talking about the fundamental architecture of our digital world.
- 1:05Speaker 1: And the physical survival of it.
- 1:06Speaker 0: Yes.
- 1:06Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 1:07Speaker 0: It's a head-on collision between this massive exponential energy appetite of AI and the very real, very physical limits of our power grids.
- 1:18Speaker 0: and our water supplies.
- 1:19Speaker 1: It's become an engineering crisis as much as a climate one.
- 1:22Speaker 1: We have a lot to get through today.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I mean, from this energy blind spot of AI to some really surprising things like wooden data centers.
- 1:30Speaker 0: Oh, that financial case study is going to turn some heads too.
- 1:33Speaker 0: But yeah, we have to start with a big picture first.
- 1:35Speaker 0: Let's
- 1:35Speaker 1: do it.
- 1:35Speaker 1: So, theme one, the AI energy paradox in, well... all the risks that come with it.
- 1:41Speaker 1: We saw a really striking post from Azra Alam that frames this perfectly.
- 1:45Speaker 1: He calls it a massive energy blind spot.
- 1:48Speaker 1: This is
- 1:48Speaker 0: such a critical concept.
- 1:50Speaker 0: Alam points out this paradox that I think catches a lot of people off guard.
- 1:54Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:55Speaker 0: If you look at the technical progress in just three years, the cost of AI inference, that's the compute you need to actually use a model, has dropped by a factor of a thousand.
- 2:04Speaker 0: It's become incredibly efficient.
- 2:05Speaker 1: And in almost any other industry, if you make something a thousand times more efficient, your resource use goes way down.
- 2:11Speaker 1: It
- 2:12Speaker 0: goes down.
- 2:12Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 2:13Speaker 0: But here we have the Jevons paradox.
- 2:15Speaker 0: When a resource like Compute gets cheaper, demand doesn't just stay flat.
- 2:20Speaker 0: It explodes.
- 2:21Speaker 0: All on highlights that because it's so cheap to use AI, we're putting it everywhere.
- 2:25Speaker 0: So while the unit cost is down, the total energy consumption is just.
- 2:29Speaker 0: skyrocketing.
- 2:30Speaker 1: He had some numbers that were frankly hard to process.
- 2:32Speaker 1: He said global data center electricity is set to more than double to nine hundred and forty five terawatt hours by twenty
- 2:40Speaker 0: thirty.
- 2:41Speaker 0: Just to put that number in perspective nine hundred and forty five terawatt hours is it's roughly the annual electricity use of a major industrial country like Japan.
- 2:49Speaker 1: So we're adding a new Japan to the grid just for servers.
- 2:52Speaker 0: We basically are.
- 2:54Speaker 0: And he drilled down on the U.S.
- 2:55Speaker 0: saying data centers could go from four percent of national electricity to maybe twelve percent.
- 2:59Speaker 0: It's not a small increase.
- 3:00Speaker 0: That is a structural change to the entire grid.
- 3:02Speaker 1: A huge change.
- 3:04Speaker 0: And John Beger added another layer to this.
- 3:06Speaker 0: He noted that we focus on inference, the user side, but the training of these models is an industrial beast.
- 3:12Speaker 0: Right.
- 3:13Speaker 1: The initial build.
- 3:14Speaker 0: Training a frontier model now uses electricity comparable to you know, a national infrastructure project.
- 3:20Speaker 0: This isn't light software anymore.
- 3:22Speaker 0: It's heavy industry that just happens to be digital.
- 3:24Speaker 1: Heavy industry with a very sleek UI.
- 3:27Speaker 1: But underneath, it's all heat, metal, and electricity.
- 3:31Speaker 1: And speaking of heat, that brings us to the other resource Masoud Barakzai brought up, water.
- 3:36Speaker 0: Yeah, this is the wet cost of AI.
- 3:39Speaker 0: It gets overlooked all the time.
- 3:41Speaker 0: Data centers are incredibly hot.
- 3:43Speaker 0: And to cool them, many systems evaporate huge volumes of fresh water.
- 3:48Speaker 0: Barakzai said the consumption now rivals the entire global bottled water industry.
- 3:52Speaker 0: That's
- 3:52Speaker 1: a staggering visual.
- 3:54Speaker 1: So every time I'm chatting with an AI, somewhere a tiny invisible bottle of water is being poured out to keep the servers cool.
- 4:00Speaker 0: That's essentially it.
- 4:01Speaker 0: Yes.
- 4:01Speaker 0: And in places already facing drought, I mean, this becomes a huge political issue.
- 4:05Speaker 0: You've got data centers competing with farms for water.
- 4:07Speaker 1: Which explains why the tone from the financial side is shifting.
- 4:10Speaker 1: We saw Inel again talking about investor sentiment.
- 4:14Speaker 0: The vibe has definitely changed in the boardrooms.
- 4:16Speaker 0: Lagenz says investors are now demanding to know the footprint per use case.
- 4:21Speaker 1: So it's a license to operate issue.
- 4:23Speaker 0: It is.
- 4:23Speaker 0: You can't just pitch a cool AI tool anymore.
- 4:27Speaker 0: If the metabolic cost of that tool is too high, the capital is just going to walk away.
- 4:32Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 4:32Speaker 0: Because it's a risk.
- 4:33Speaker 0: That's
- 4:33Speaker 1: huge risk.
- 4:34Speaker 0: Precisely.
- 4:35Speaker 0: And Nolan Gadard took that risk assessment even further.
- 4:38Speaker 0: She argues we're facing a compound threat.
- 4:41Speaker 0: It's not just climate risk.
- 4:42Speaker 0: It's climate plus cyber plus AI risk.
- 4:45Speaker 0: all tangled together.
- 4:46Speaker 1: So how does that work?
- 4:47Speaker 1: Like a chain reaction?
- 4:48Speaker 1: Yeah,
- 4:49Speaker 0: imagine a cyber attack on a power grid that's already strained by AI demand, all happening during a climate change driven heat wave.
- 4:56Speaker 0: It's a cascading failure.
- 4:57Speaker 0: Godard's point is that this creates an insurance gap.
- 5:00Speaker 0: Insurers are looking at this mess and saying, This is becoming uninsurable.
- 5:04Speaker 1: It's a pressure from all sides.
- 5:06Speaker 1: The grid, the water, the insurers.
- 5:07Speaker 1: We can't just keep building the same way, which, I mean, is a perfect segue to our second theme.
- 5:12Speaker 1: Green infrastructure.
- 5:14Speaker 0: Yes, this is a crucial pivot.
- 5:16Speaker 0: PS Lee introduced a concept I think we're going to hear a lot more about.
- 5:18Speaker 0: He says, we need to stop viewing data centers as AI factories.
- 5:22Speaker 1: A factory that doesn't apply, you know, a one-way street.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Raw materials in, product doubt, waste out the back.
- 5:29Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 5:30Speaker 0: Lee argues we should treat them as climate assets.
- 5:33Speaker 1: Okay, that sounds like a great rebrand, but what does that mean in practice?
- 5:36Speaker 1: How does a building full of servers become a climate asset?
- 5:40Speaker 0: It means the facility is designed to solve energy problems, not just create them.
- 5:45Speaker 0: For one, designing for two hundred and forty seven carbon free energy.
- 5:49Speaker 0: But the really big one is treating waste heat as a resource.
- 5:52Speaker 1: Great capturing all that heat.
- 5:54Speaker 1: Yeah,
- 5:54Speaker 0: if you can capture that heat and pipe it into a district heating system for homes or use it in greenhouses, you turn a waste product into a revenue stream.
- 6:02Speaker 0: You actually integrate the data center into the community.
- 6:05Speaker 0: That's
- 6:05Speaker 1: the ideal.
- 6:06Speaker 1: But the transition is messy.
- 6:07Speaker 1: Anna Leonard-Nesbitt shared a reality check from Phoenix, Arizona that really stuck with me.
- 6:11Speaker 0: The Phoenix story is fascinating.
- 6:13Speaker 0: It's a perfect example of what she calls the decarbonization paradox.
- 6:17Speaker 1: So laid out for us, Phoenix is a desert, tons of sun, so lots of solar potential, but a huge data center boom.
- 6:25Speaker 0: A massive boom.
- 6:26Speaker 0: They have thirty thousand megawatts of data center requests in the queue.
- 6:31Speaker 0: That's four times their current peak load.
- 6:33Speaker 0: Wow.
- 6:34Speaker 0: And the paradox is, despite all that new solar power, emissions are actually going up.
- 6:39Speaker 0: How
- 6:39Speaker 1: is that even
- 6:40Speaker 0: possible?
- 6:40Speaker 0: It's the timing.
- 6:42Speaker 0: Solar is intermittent.
- 6:43Speaker 0: It works when the sun shines, but AI data centers are always on.
- 6:47Speaker 0: They have a flat high load, two forty seven.
- 6:50Speaker 0: So when the sun goes down, they still need massive power and the utilities have to fire up gas plans to cover that night shift.
- 6:57Speaker 1: So adding renewables doesn't automatically clean up the grid if the demand doesn't match when the power is being made.
- 7:03Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 7:03Speaker 0: It's a grid jam.
- 7:04Speaker 0: But while the energy side is tricky... We did see some really cool innovation on the construction side, less about power, more about materials.
- 7:12Speaker 0: Carl Rabe was posting about wooden data centers.
- 7:15Speaker 1: I have to admit, wooden data centers sounds like a fire hazard from the eighteen hundreds, but this is high tech, right?
- 7:20Speaker 0: Yeah, we aren't talking about log cabin.
- 7:22Speaker 0: This is engineered timber, like cross laminated timber.
- 7:25Speaker 0: It's incredibly strong and fire resistant.
- 7:27Speaker 0: But the key is what's called embodied carbon.
- 7:30Speaker 1: That's the carbon emitted just to make the building materials in the first place.
- 7:33Speaker 0: Correct.
- 7:34Speaker 0: Concrete and steel are incredibly carbon intensive.
- 7:38Speaker 0: Wood stores carbon.
- 7:40Speaker 0: RABE even calls using Timber a status symbol.
- 7:43Speaker 0: It signals you're thinking about the entire life cycle, not just operations.
- 7:47Speaker 1: And Victor Patek added to this with the trend of prefabricated data centers.
- 7:51Speaker 0: Oh, prefab is the unsung hero here.
- 7:53Speaker 0: Instead of a messy construction site, you build modular units in a factory.
- 7:57Speaker 0: Patek notes that prefab generates over fifty percent less embodied carbon per square meter than a traditional concrete build.
- 8:04Speaker 0: It's faster, cleaner, just much less wasteful.
- 8:08Speaker 1: But sometimes it's not how you build but where.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Alice Edge shared a great example of vivo power buying a hydropower data center in Norway.
- 8:16Speaker 1: This
- 8:16Speaker 0: goes right back to the climate asset idea.
- 8:18Speaker 0: It's about geography.
- 8:20Speaker 0: If you're training a huge AI model, it doesn't need to be in downtown Phoenix.
- 8:23Speaker 0: You don't need low latency for training.
- 8:25Speaker 0: So you move the compute to the power.
- 8:27Speaker 1: And Norway has tons of hydropower and natural cooling.
- 8:30Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 8:31Speaker 0: Instead of bringing the power to the data center, you take the data center to the power.
- 8:35Speaker 0: You create a sustainable ecosystem.
- 8:37Speaker 0: that just isn't possible in a water-stressed desert.
- 8:40Speaker 1: Okay, so we've covered the shell, the timber buildings, the Norwegian hydro plants.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Now let's look inside.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Theme three, green software and architecture.
- 8:51Speaker 0: This is where the rubber really meets the road for developers.
- 8:55Speaker 0: You can have the greenest building in the world, but if your code is inefficient, you're still wasting energy.
- 9:00Speaker 0: Anita Schutler made a compelling case that software architecture is a climate issue.
- 9:05Speaker 1: She used this comparison of monolithic systems versus verticalization.
- 9:09Speaker 1: Can you break that down?
- 9:10Speaker 1: Sure.
- 9:11Speaker 0: Think of a monolithic system like a giant factory, where everything, all the lights, all the machines is on a single on-off switch.
- 9:17Speaker 1: So even if you just need one little machine, you have to power up the whole building.
- 9:21Speaker 0: You got it.
- 9:21Speaker 0: Incredibly wasteful.
- 9:23Speaker 0: But that's how a lot of legacy software works.
- 9:25Speaker 0: Verticalizing means you break it down into smaller components, so you only power up the specific resources you need for a specific task.
- 9:32Speaker 1: And this isn't just about saving the planet.
- 9:34Speaker 1: This is where the money comes back in.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Arwell Owen shared what might be the stat of the week about SAP systems.
- 9:41Speaker 1: This
- 9:41Speaker 0: was a massive aha moment.
- 9:43Speaker 0: His team managed to cut five million euros from a client's SAP on AWS spend.
- 9:49Speaker 1: Wait.
- 9:50Speaker 1: Five million euros?
- 9:51Speaker 1: That is not
- 9:51Speaker 0: pocket change.
- 9:52Speaker 0: Not at all.
- 9:53Speaker 0: And they did it just by applying fine ops and green computing principles.
- 9:56Speaker 0: It just proves that green IT is in a charity project.
- 9:59Speaker 0: It's a profitability strategy.
- 10:01Speaker 0: When you optimize your code, you are directly cutting your OPEX.
- 10:05Speaker 1: That's the argument that gets the CFO on board.
- 10:07Speaker 1: You tell them it's green, they smile, you tell them it saves five million euros, they sign the check.
- 10:12Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 10:13Speaker 0: But how do developers actually do this?
- 10:16Speaker 0: Hannah Herbst emphasized green coding.
- 10:18Speaker 1: Is that like a specific language or a methodology?
- 10:20Speaker 0: It's a methodology.
- 10:22Speaker 0: It's about optimizing algorithms to lower CPU load, just writing cleaner, tighter code.
- 10:27Speaker 0: But Nicholas Sundberg added another layer, moving from code to operations.
- 10:31Speaker 0: He talks about workload placement.
- 10:33Speaker 1: That sounds like the digital version of the Norway example.
- 10:36Speaker 0: It is.
- 10:37Speaker 0: Sundberg says we need to be smart about when and where we run big jobs.
- 10:41Speaker 0: If it's not time sensitive, don't run it at six p.m.
- 10:44Speaker 0: when the grid is dirty.
- 10:45Speaker 0: run it at two a.m.
- 10:46Speaker 0: when the wind is blowing, or move the job to a region with a cleaner grid.
- 10:50Speaker 1: To do that, you need to know which regions are green.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Kevin Leslie from GreenPixie shared a tool for this, the cloud region scorecard.
- 10:57Speaker 0: Transparency is everything here.
- 10:59Speaker 0: You can't manage what you don't measure.
- 11:01Speaker 0: This scorecard rates cloud regions from A plus down to D. It's like the energy sticker on your fridge.
- 11:08Speaker 0: So a developer can look and say, OK, US East is a D, but this region in Canada is an A plus E. I'll deploy there.
- 11:14Speaker 1: It empowers engineers to make those micro decisions that add up, and we're seeing this get more formal too.
- 11:20Speaker 1: David Kot mentioned the KDI open source framework received the Blue Angel certification.
- 11:24Speaker 0: The Blue Angel is a big deal in Europe.
- 11:26Speaker 0: It's a serious eco label.
- 11:28Speaker 0: Seeing software get that kind of certification shows we're moving past the Wild West era.
- 11:33Speaker 0: These are becoming standardized, verifiable metrics.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Okay, so we've covered the huge infrastructure and the invisible code, but we can't ignore the stuff we can actually touch.
- 11:43Speaker 1: Theme four brings us to circularity and the devices on our desks.
- 11:47Speaker 0: Yeah, this is often the forgotten piece.
- 11:49Speaker 0: We talk about the cloud, but we access it through plastic, glass, and rare earth minerals.
- 11:53Speaker 0: Rudd Neal had a great post about circular computing.
- 11:56Speaker 1: He was talking about remanufactured laptops, and he made a really important distinction between remanufactured and just, you know, used.
- 12:04Speaker 0: That distinction is critical.
- 12:06Speaker 0: A CTO isn't going to give their team beat up laptops.
- 12:10Speaker 0: Neil argues that true re-manufacturing restores the device to like new or even better than new performance.
- 12:16Speaker 0: It removes the trade off.
- 12:18Speaker 1: So you get a top tier machine, but you haven't had to dig up a mine for new cobalt?
- 12:22Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 12:23Speaker 0: And Nabil K reinforced this with a concept he calls digital sobriety.
- 12:27Speaker 0: I love
- 12:27Speaker 1: that
- 12:28Speaker 0: term.
- 12:28Speaker 0: It's a simple but powerful idea.
- 12:30Speaker 0: The most sustainable device is the one you already own.
- 12:33Speaker 0: We have this culture of constant refresh cycles.
- 12:36Speaker 0: Digital sobriety just challenges that.
- 12:38Speaker 0: Do you actually need the upgrade or do you just want it?
- 12:40Speaker 1: Speaking of habits, Graham Donnelly offered a really interesting checklist for remote businesses.
- 12:46Speaker 1: And he dropped a fact about pensions that honestly blew
- 12:49Speaker 0: my mind.
- 12:49Speaker 0: The twenty-one X stat.
- 12:51Speaker 0: Yes.
- 12:51Speaker 1: He said, moving your pension to a sustainable fund can have twenty-one times the impact of giving up flying.
- 12:57Speaker 0: It's all about leverage, right?
- 12:58Speaker 0: We focus on our visible actions recycling.
- 13:00Speaker 0: skipping a flight.
- 13:02Speaker 0: But the capital markets are the engine room.
- 13:04Speaker 0: If your pension fund is invested in fossil fuels, your money is working against your goals while you sleep.
- 13:10Speaker 0: Redirecting that capital is huge.
- 13:12Speaker 1: Donnelly also mentioned decarbonizing your data, basically deleting old emails and cloud junk.
- 13:19Speaker 0: Digital hygiene.
- 13:19Speaker 0: I think we're all guilty of this.
- 13:21Speaker 0: Retreat cloud storage like it's infinite.
- 13:24Speaker 0: But every gigabyte of useless data on a server is drawing power every second of every day.
- 13:28Speaker 1: My inbox is basically a digital archaeological site.
- 13:31Speaker 1: I definitely need to do some cleaning.
- 13:33Speaker 0: It all ends up.
- 13:33Speaker 1: So let's try to pull all of this together.
- 13:35Speaker 1: We've looked at the AI energy crisis, the shift to climate asset infrastructure, the profitability of green software, and the circular economy.
- 13:44Speaker 1: What's the big takeaway?
- 13:45Speaker 0: I think the best way to wrap this is with a thought from Lubamla Jordanova, who analyzed the WEF global risks report.
- 13:53Speaker 0: She talks about something called the horizon gap.
- 13:55Speaker 1: The horizon gap sounds ominous.
- 13:58Speaker 0: It is, but it's also a call to action.
- 14:01Speaker 0: The horizon gap is this disconnect between what companies are doing right now and what the data says they need to be doing for the next decade.
- 14:08Speaker 1: So companies are reacting to the noise right in front of them.
- 14:11Speaker 1: Trade wars, the latest AI hype.
- 14:14Speaker 1: hitting quarterly numbers.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Exactly.
- 14:17Speaker 0: They're optimizing for short-term volatility.
- 14:19Speaker 0: But if you look at the ten-year outlook in that report, environmental risks completely dominate.
- 14:24Speaker 0: Jordan Nova's point is that our short-term reactions are feeling to align with long-term reality.
- 14:29Speaker 1: That's a heavy thought.
- 14:30Speaker 1: It implies we might be efficient today, but we aren't building resilience for twenty thirty-five.
- 14:35Speaker 1: That's
- 14:35Speaker 0: the question I'd leave listeners with.
- 14:37Speaker 0: Are your current tech efficiencies actually building resilience?
- 14:40Speaker 0: Or are you just optimizing a system that won't survive the regulatory and physical climate of the next decade?
- 14:46Speaker 1: It pushes the conversation way beyond just being green.
- 14:50Speaker 1: It's about being future-proof.
- 14:52Speaker 1: If your entire AI strategy relies on cheap infinite energy and water, you might be building on sand.
- 14:58Speaker 0: Precisely.
- 14:59Speaker 0: The winners in the next decade won't just be the fastest.
- 15:02Speaker 0: They'll be the ones who close that horizon gap.
- 15:04Speaker 1: Well, on that note, we have plenty to think about before we upgrade our next laptop or deploy our next AI model.
- 15:10Speaker 0: Indeed.
- 15:11Speaker 0: It's a challenging time, but seeing all this innovation, it's also a very exciting
- 15:15Speaker 1: one.
- 15:16Speaker 1: If you enjoyed this episode, new episodes drop every two weeks.
- 15:19Speaker 1: Also, check out our other editions on cloud.
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- 15:28Speaker 0: Thanks for listening everyone.
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