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Best Bets Today | NFL Invades Paris Before Breakfast?! | NFL, NBA & NHL Picks Sunday · Toadstool Sports

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Well, we did have a winning day on the show yesterday. So,
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, you guys can, you know, come at me
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: all you want. But we went four and two on
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: the day. So, I'm always going to take that, obviously.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: But I'm angry because it could have been better. We
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: got the cover with Michigan to open the day with
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: college football. They were covered by the hook, of course.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: If you had the seven, you want to put a
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: push and push. If that's the case, you should be
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: pissed because it was a 6-6 game that went into overtime, dude.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: So Indiana did not even score the points read in
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: the entire game, and that usually is a red flag,
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: and obviously the favorite has no business covering when they
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: can't even score what the points read is. They couldn't
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: even score seven points in regulation. But yes, Indiana did
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: score seven in overtime and win, but we still got
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the cover with Michigan. It was the correct side. And
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: then everybody, yeah, coming at me in the comments. Where
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: are these people now telling me that I was going
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: to lose money on UCF? Where are these people now? Yeah,
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: that's all I got to say about that. UCF, clearly
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: the right side. A terrible spot for BYU. Overrated BYU.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: UCF was in that game all the way, and they
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: should have won it in regulation, if you saw what
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: happened there. They... In the final two minutes, they were
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: at the goal line, and they went for it on
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: fourth down rather than going. It was a tied game.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: They could have just kicked the field goal. I guess
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: the thought was no confidence in the defense.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, it was kind of a
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: low-scoring game.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It was 24-24, so you don't have confidence that your
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: defense is going to come up with a stop there.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: I think you got to take the field goal if
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: you're in that situation. I'm a guy that likes to
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: go for it, but not when it's a tied game
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: in the final two minutes. But no, they went for it.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: They got stuffed at the goal line. The good thing
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: for UCF was that stuck PYU right up against their
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: own goal line.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: They got the ball back.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: Good field position again. They got back in a field
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: goal range again. People will complain about the roughing the
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: passer call or was it roughly the passer?
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: It might've been roughing the kicker. I forget whatever it was.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: I think there might've been both actually. I forget.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: There was some call that went against BYU that put
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: UCF back in field goal range, but UCF already should
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: have won the game.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: So people complaining about the reffing, you're a bunch of idiots.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Uh, you know, it's just sore losership. It's cope, uh, whatever. Uh,
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: BYU should not have won that game. No business winning
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: that game. But yes, UCF then attempted another field goal
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: that could have won the game.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: 40-something yarder.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: That gets blocked on third down.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: So I thought they were going to have another attempt
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: at it. I don't know. I think that's the rule, right?
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: But no.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: They wound up going into overtime with that and Uh, thankfully, uh,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: UCF won a winning the game in overtime after both
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: teams scored in the first overtime, second overtime, UCF had
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: the ball first. They went down in the first overtime,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: but they matched the touchdown. Got it first in second overtime.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: Went for the two-point conversion, which I think you don't
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: have to until the third overtime.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm wrong about that. They keep changing the rules.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I think it just becomes a two-point conversion shootout at
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: some point once you get into the third overtime or whatever.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: But UCF got the eight points there, got the two-point conversion.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: At that point, I'm like, yes, they're actually going to
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: do it. BYU started driving again, but they stalled out.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: We got it. UCF wins. um, haters are never going
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: to come back, man, uh, they just, they have to.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Wallow in their own, um, idiocy, I guess, um, you
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: come on, you come into my comments, you question me,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: I've been doing this for two decades, man, I know
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: what I'm doing, so there you go, uh, unfortunately, the
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: rest of the day did not go well, and all
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: my leans came through, my strongest leans, Minnesota, South Carolina,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: although that was kind of lucky, um, What was the
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: other one?
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: Oh, LSU.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: All of those won, so I'm kind of pissed about
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: that just because those didn't make the cut. Vanderbilt was
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: looking really good early on. They were up 10-0 at
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the game, Vandy, and then they got
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: outscored 31-7 for the remainder of the game.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: Are you kidding me?
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: As a double-digit underdog, you're up 10-0, I think, in
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: the second quarter. yeah, you're in really good shape at
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: that point. And no, they still just completely imploded. Even
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: though this Kentucky team is not that good offensively, Vandy
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: had another couple of turnovers in the game. They can't
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: hang on to the football. And even with all that,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: it was still, uh, they were within 10 in the
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. So it looked like they were going to
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: cover again and no Kentucky puts up a garbage time touchdown.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: And then Vandy is not able to score again. Uh,
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: It looked like Vandy was still going to come in
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: within that number, and still all they needed was to
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: get that touchdown back near the end, and they would
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: have covered. And Iowa State was bad. You know, I
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: can't sugarcoat it. You're not going to get everything right.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: That's an easier loser to take because it's a loser
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: right from the get-go, not even close. They couldn't put
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: up any offense, so they had no chance in the game.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: And that was it. It was over. So what can
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: you do?
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: And then the morning show did really well yesterday as
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: we got an easy win with the Maple Leafs who
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: wound up winning.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: 7-2 against, who were they playing against? It was some
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: good team, right?
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: The Edmonton Oilers. Yeah, the Oilers.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that really improved Oiler defense. Yeah, looking great yesterday.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: We got the win with the Maple Leafs on that one.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: Really easy win. And then the Brooklyn Nets. I'm not
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: going to lie, that looked like it had no chance
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: when they were down 20-whatever late in the game.
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn made a huge late run, and they actually got to.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: Within two points in the final 10 seconds of the game.
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: Holy shit, what did Brooklyn just do?
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Dude, this Cleveland team, they are bad. They cannot hang
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: on to a lead at all. Cleveland is blowing these
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: monstrous leads. It's like they get totally complacent, and they
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: have no killer mentality. They have no idea how to
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: just put the game away. And Brooklyn came back and
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: almost had a chance to even win the game, which
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: is completely absurd. But yeah, they wound up covering easily,
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: even though they were missing the cover by double digits,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe eight minutes.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: Prior to that. Cleveland's defense, yeah.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: They suck. That Cleveland team is not good, dude. So
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: that's what we got. Both of those ones, we had
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: a 4-2 day. I'll take that any day of the week, obviously.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Go check out the NFL show from last night. If
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: you want to see my thoughts on that, I'll reiterate
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: the NFL plays that I have at the end of
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: the show along with my strongest leans.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: We'll do the market read again.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: The Paris game is kicking off in a half hour,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: so I have to do the show a little bit
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: earlier just so I can mention it. My read on
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: that game is not good, though.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: Really not good.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I basically said, you know, whatever side of three you
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: get in whatever game you're doing and wherever you're placing
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: your bet, maybe that's what the lean should be. It's
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: a very, very difficult handicap. The Steelers are the slightly
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: better team over the Saints. I think the Steelers will
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: get less credit for beating Tampa Bay last week in overtime,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: barely sneaking by them.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: Whereas on the other side, New Orleans, they....
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Looked better last week and putting up a ton of
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: points against a giant scene that had a good record,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: although they're a little bit overrated.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: So I was.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Thinking maybe the slightly would be the Steelers and they
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: do have a rushing attack. They can take advantage of
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: the saints, bad rushing D, but I don't love it
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: that the Steelers are only favored by a few and
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: they have the better record. So people will probably still think, yeah,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: they're probably the better team. It's a very, very, very
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: difficult handicap, man. Um, Maybe after the intro, I'll have
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: the market read up on it just to hit it
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: real quick, or maybe the show will end before that,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: and maybe I could do it, but I'm rambling here,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: so I got to get to the intro here.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: It's a bunch of riots, man.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: France is on fire, and the NFL, they're still playing
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: I can't believe it.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: At least the Saints, you know, get to play in
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: a French-speaking country, and they're from a French.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: A French-dominated region of the U.S. I don't know how
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: else to put it. The New Orleans Saints, they got
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the Fleur de Lis. They're in their home away from home, man.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: The Saints are the NFL Paris team, I guess. But
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: that game will be outside of Paris, or I guess
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: the riots are not actually happening in Saint-Denis. I have
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: no clue, dude, but I don't know. The whole thing
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: is stupid. I think international games should be stopped. I
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: think it's completely ridiculous.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: Um, whatever. Uh, I will say Rogers did play in London.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: I believe either last year or the year before that
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: he did.
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: So he has some experience with that.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: So he's the more experienced QB, even though he's more
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: than a decade older than shock, uh, who's on the
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: other side there. And yeah, I mean, Rogers, uh, obviously
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: he's relying on the guys around him at this point.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: And the fact that the team has a pretty good defense,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: they have a good rushing attack now. So Rogers doesn't
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: have to do everything. Um, So probably New Orleans has
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit more of a dynamic QB there, but
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: even so, New Orleans hasn't really been that great.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. Those are my thoughts on it.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: Difficult and handicap. Let's start the show.
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 9:54
  Speaker 4: in your chest Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: your hand. Now you stare at the chips like they
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: made you this man. But don't you go quiet, don't
• 10:10
  Speaker 4: you fade from the floor. Your name still means something
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: to somebody for sure. Put the glass down, baby.
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: Look at me now. Hold on.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: Hold on.
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: Not tonight.
• 10:30
  Speaker 4: Not now.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: Hold on.
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: Hold on. Let me pull you out. That fell up
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: by its heart. But it don't get the crown.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Hold on hold.
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: On stay with me now all.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Right what's up everybody's towed back with you toadstool sports
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: for sunday morning october 25th this is gonna be nhl
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: and nba uh for the show today mr pinzu what's
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: up uh thanks for hanging out um I do not
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: bet touchdown props.
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: No way. Absolutely no way. Frymuth, whatever.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I don't bet specific players to get touchdowns. It's just
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: completely random. Yeah, I just don't do it. I do
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: not do it. Yes, sir, Maple Leafs. That was an
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: easy win yesterday that I gave out.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: There you go. We have more hockey here. I will
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: give out one hockey plane. It is probably worse than....
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: By the way, the money is indicating on the Saints,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: so do with that information what you want. 55% of
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on the Steelers, 59% of the cash
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: on the Saints.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: Steelers still sitting at a three-point favorite.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Not a huge market read to see there, but the
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: money is kind of indicating towards New Orleans. You know,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a really, really difficult game to figure out.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: I almost have no opinion on it, so it's really,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: really tough. So do with all that info what you
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: really want. Florida and Chicago is the first NHL game here. Florida,
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: I think they're better than the record suggests right now.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: They've lost two in a row pretty bad on this
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: road trip to the Senators and the Penguins.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: They lost by a combined score of 9-1.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: So I think Florida should be in a focused spot here.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think they can afford to overlook anybody right
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: now with the way they've been playing. It looks like
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: maybe Markstrom is injured or something because he was their
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: main goalie for a while, and he's not even there
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: right now. So I don't know what's going on with this.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Goaltending injuries, it looks like. Yeah, he's on IR here. So, yeah,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: that's not good, obviously, for Florida. Now they're having to
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: use Schmidt and Black. It'll be Schmidt in net this time.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: He's going to be their starting goalie now, I would assume.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: He used to be on Vegas, I believe. But, yeah,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: maybe some tough times for Florida as.
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: Far as their goaltending. Chicago.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: They lost their last two games by a combined 8-1.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They lost to Dallas and Montreal.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Those are more powerful teams, though. And then I guess
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the other question is, yeah, I mean, if Florida is
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: to overlook this game, which I don't really think they will,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: who do they play next? They play Winnipeg. I don't
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: know if that's that big of a deal. So, yeah,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: this game, let me go to NHL here. Florida's a
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: public side, 84% of the tickets on them, but the
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: money seems to be on them too, 94% of the cash,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: minus 180 price on them.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: I got almost nothing on this game.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: I think Chicago, either they're going to get more credit
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: or whatever for losing to good teams, or is Florida
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: just lost to some bad teams? Maybe Florida is a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: little bit under the radar still right now, because I
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: still think they're one of the best teams, but their
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: goaltending situation doesn't look that good, and The fact that
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: they lost to those two bad teams could possibly be
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: a red flag.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: This is pretty difficult, man. Really, really difficult game to
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: figure out. I think I'd probably lean slightly against the
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: public there and towards the Chicago side, the home dog,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: like a plus one puck line, but There's no way
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: I want to get involved in that game. Islanders at Dallas.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas is definitely the better team here. Islanders are staying
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: at home. They just lost in overtime to the Kings
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: the other day. Dallas is on a four-game win streak.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: They just beat Winnipeg, I believe, in overtime the other day.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: If this will actually load, I can figure that out. Yes,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: two overtime games in a row. The other one being
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: against my Bruins before that. Bruins, shockingly, won again yesterday, man.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: They keep exceeding my expectations in a huge way. Crazy
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: what the Bruins are doing, but they're not playing today,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: I don't believe. Yeah, Dallas is the better team here,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: but maybe a little bit overvalued at this point. Coming
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: off a divisional win, they do have New Jersey on deck,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: and New Jersey's playing pretty well, and they just got
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: hella books, so Maybe you do look ahead to New
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Jersey here and kind of overlook the Islanders a little bit,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: even though they have a winning record. Islanders just lost
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: to that Kings team that hasn't been off to a
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: good start, although I think the Kings are better than
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: people think, so that's not really that bad of a loss.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: That was Varlamov or Varlamov in net for the Islanders,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: so they'll be back with their main goalie here, Sorokin,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: assuming he's not hurt or whatever. So I probably slightly
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: lean Islanders here in this one. I know it's me
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: fading the public with these underdogs, but More often than not,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: that is the right approach. Dallas, 87% of the tickets
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: on them, 84% of the cash. Dallas, about minus 190
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: or so here. You can make a plus one puck
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: line with the Islanders or something like that and do
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: something like that. That's the way I would lean in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: that game. The TV game on TNT, True TV, 7 p.m.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: By the way, the Florida-Chicago game is an afternoon game,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: and then New York-Dallas is a little bit of an
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: early evening game. Then we have the night games here.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Montreal and Winnipeg is this TNT game here. It's an
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: interesting game. It's a Canadian battle here. Montreal, I think,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: is the better team, though. Montreal just beat Chicago easily.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Now they're going up to Winnipeg.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: They have St. Louis on deck. Not really that big
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: of a deal for them.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg's lost four games in a row, but they're coming
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: off a big game against the Stars, man. Big divisional matchup. Really,
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: a few big games in a row where they lost
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: all of them by one to Carolina, St. Louis, who's
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: in their division, and then overtime against Dallas. and now
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: actually returning home only from a quick road trip. It
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: was Tuesday, Thursday, so I don't really consider that to
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: be a long road trip return where you come home,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: you might get a huge distraction coming into play. Maybe
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: not with them here, but this still could be a
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: hangover spot because that was such a big game against Dallas.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: Now they get an out-of-conference game against Montreal, and up
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: next they got Florida, who is, I think, a contending team,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: even though they don't have a great record right now.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: And then Tampa Bay, Florida, Carolina all coming up after that.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: Possible that Winnipeg is not in the greatest spot here.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: I think I like Montreal in this one. I think
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: they set up better, even though Winnipeg with those four
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: losses in a row, you got to admit that they
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: played pretty well against some good teams in there. But
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: even so, it's tough to come off of big games
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: like that because it can hang you over, even though
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: they do have a couple of days off here. I
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: think I prefer Montreal in this one, but the money
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: absolutely does not. 70% of the tickets are on Montreal,
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: 72% of the cash on Winnipeg. This game looks like
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: it's in a different arena, apparently. It's in Winnipeg, but
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's not at their home arena, which
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: is why it's labeled here. Being played at Princess Auto Stadium.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Who the hell wants to go to Princess Auto? Yeah,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: let me, do they have all gay men working there
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: or something, or all women? I don't know.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: No, let me go get my.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Car serviced at Princess Auto. It's because you feel like
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: a princess when you go there as well, because you're
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: a man and you don't know how.
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: To take care of your own car, so you've got
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: to pay other people to do it.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: And in this case, it's the wussiest people possible, you know,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: one-upping you. Like, oh, you can't even fix your own car? Well,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: now these sissies are going to do it. That's basically
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: what this is. I have no idea.
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: I don't know why this game's in a different room. Oh,
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: I do know. I know exactly what this is. This
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: is an outdoor game. I totally forgot.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: This is the Heritage Classic. It's like the Winter Classic,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: but it's in October.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: How could I forget? That's what's going on. I'm an idiot.
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: That's what's going on here. It's an outdoor stadium. That's why.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not familiar with the outdoor stadiums in Winnipeg.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: My apologies.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that is what this is. It's an outdoor
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: hockey game like the Winter Classic.
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Dude, I guess it's cold enough in Canada. It probably is.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's like in the 30s here in Boston. So,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: you know, it's probably cold enough to keep the ice warm.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: intact there so yeah this is it's an interesting game
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: actually it's an outdoor game but yeah i slightly lean
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: montreal although i guess the home team sometimes has a
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra edge in a game like
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: that because it's just kind of this cool thing and
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: more people show up for it and root for the
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: home team and whatever uh so the money is coming
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: in on winnipeg 72 of the cash on winnipeg 70
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on montreal montreal is a slight favorite
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: minus 120 or so. I still like the spot better
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: from Montreal, but yeah, I think both teams will get
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: up for that, knowing that it's the, I believe it's
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: called the Heritage Classic.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: Um and it has one original six team.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: And one team that's basically an expansion team that took
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: the name of a former franchise because we know the
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: original winnipeg jets moved to arizona and now they're the
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: utah mammoth The current Winnipeg Jets were an expansion team,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Thrashers, who then moved to Winnipeg and assumed
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the name of the Winnipeg Jets and took over all
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: their history, even though the Winnipeg Jets franchise, as I said,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: is the franchise that became Utah. Yeah, I know the
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: NHL history, man. Maybe I'm showing my age here. Maybe
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: people don't even remember the Atlanta Thrashers. I thought that
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: was kind of a cool name, the Thrashers. It kind
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: of sounds badass.
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Anyway.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's all I got on that game.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that'll be an outdoor game. So that's also
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why it's a televised game there.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: All right, Colorado at Nashville. Colorado just beat the Lightning.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Nice bounce back win for them, but a good win.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit too good because the Lightning are good.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: And they got that New Jersey team that's playing pretty
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: well on deck here. And here they have this weird
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: travel spot. where they have this one game that they
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: have to go out and play in Nashville. Although I
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: think Nashville is a divisional opponent, but it's still a
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: pretty weird travel spot. I don't think Nashville should even
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: be in the Western Conference. It's just really bizarre. I
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: think Detroit was in the West for a while, which
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: was also really stupid. They obviously should be in the East,
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: which I think they are now. Nashville probably should wind
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: up in the East too. Like, yeah, this all makes
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: no sense.
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: There's probably somebody in the East that could swap with
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: them that makes some sense.
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: It's all really, really weird to me. Anyway, weird travel
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: spot for Colorado here though. So I kind of lean
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Nashville in this one. Nashville coming off two losses. They
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: are returning home from a road trip, but it was
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: kind of a quick road trip. It was just two games,
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: I think, in the middle of the week. So not
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: like a full road trip return spot. You're not going
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: to be distracted really at home when you play Colorado.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think you'll get up for it.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: The only problem with Nashville here is they played yesterday
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: They played in overtime.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: So I don't really want to take Nashville on a
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: back-to-back like this. And Saros, their main goalie, played yesterday.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: So it will not be him today. It'll be Anun,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: who I think must have started the season injured because
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: he is typically their number two player. goalie but he's
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: only played one game and it didn't go well it
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: was the game they got blasted by the Bruins we
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: took a loss on the show on that one I
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: might have had second thoughts if I knew it was
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: a goalie making his season debut but Anunan does have
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: experience he's not that bad um and he at least
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: has a game under his belt now this season so
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: he'll be more in rhythm this time so I still
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: like Nashville on this one I just don't like it
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: enough to actually do it Colorado is a huge favorite,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: minus 230 on the money line, 94% of tickets on them,
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: 89% of the cash. So Colorado is a public side,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them. Yeah, I agree with
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: the money there. I would take Nashville. You could probably
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: get a plus one and a half puck line on
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: that one. at a decent price, and then just sprinkle
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the money line if you're going
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: to play that one, which means process of elimination, because
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: I said I have a hockey play. Yeah, you're really
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: going to love this one in the last game on
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: the board here.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: You want to know what I'm betting? We're taking the
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Vancouver Canucks.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: We're going to make a split bet here, plus one
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: and a half puck line at minus 148. I have
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: the splits here, and then the money line part of
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: it's at plus 161. The splits here, basically 57% of
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: it go on the minus 148 puck line part of it,
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: and whatever that returns, which in this case, out of 100,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: if you're trying to win 100.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: That returns 38.
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: So then you put whatever that number is on the
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: money line part of it so that it makes it
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: a bet such that if they lose by exactly one,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: it'll push.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: That's what you're doing here.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: You could also probably find a book that gives you
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: a plus one puck line if you have a bunch
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: of books available, but you could do it this way,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: you know, using multiple different books and find the best
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: number for each part of the bet at each one.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's a public side, 89% of tickets, although 95% of
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, but I think this is a
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: good spot to fade Minnesota here.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: They're having to travel out west.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: By the way at 10pm game and you know I
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: talk about these central or east teams going out west
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a negative spot because you got to
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: adjust multiple time zones over you got to play late
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: on your biological clock so I think that's not good.
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: I know how bad Vancouver is I get it nobody's
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: going to want Vancouver here. Minnesota's the better team, but
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: you're getting Vancouver at a big underdog price, and Minnesota
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: just blasted Seattle yesterday, so Minnesota's on a back-to-back. They're
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four, or so Minnesota doesn't
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: have to travel to the Pacific Coast, so my apologies.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: They're coming in from Seattle, so they're already in the
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: Pacific Northwest, but I still like this play anyway. On
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: this road trip so far, they played a tough game
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: at Edmonton, lost at Calgary, and then they had a
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back against Seattle, but Seattle has a good
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: record so far, even though I don't think Seattle's very good.
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I talked about it yesterday. I thought Minnesota would win.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: They did easily. But now they wrecked a team that
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: does have a good record, and it's third place, and
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: they're in the Pacific Division or whatever. I think Minnesota
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: might look right past this bad Vancouver team. And Minnesota's
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: got a divisional matchup up next against Utah, who I
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: think is actually still in first place in their division.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: So that could be a big look ahead to Utah here.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: And like I said, Minnesota's on a back-to-back, a third
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: game in four days, fourth game in six days, and
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: That's not good. So they have about as tightly packed
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: a schedule as possible. So no rest here, which... is
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: factored into the line somewhat, but you're still getting Vancouver
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: at a huge dog price here. And Minnesota's going to
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: have to go to Pickard in net here almost certainly,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: which they did the only other time they were on
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: a back-to-back, and we faded them on the show in
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: that game. And Winnipeg won the game 5-2. So this
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: is a similar spot here. Volstead has played almost every
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: game for Minnesota. He played yesterday. So almost definitively they're
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: going to go with Pickard here. And I know he
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: should be a little bit better now that this isn't
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: his first game of the season. And he has that
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: game under his belt, but still he hasn't played for
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: a while again. And he's a huge downgrade from Volstead Pickard.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Pretty sure he used to be on Edmonton. He's not
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: a good goalie really. Uh, so we'll fade him in
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Um, I say we do it. We take, um, yeah,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: we'll take Vancouver.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: Uh, on the, uh, puck line slash, um, puck line
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: slash money line split here.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: That's what we'll do here.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Um, yeah, I don't think I have a whole lot
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: else to say on this except, uh, Vancouver, I mean,
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a fine spot. I mean, they're
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: playing some bad hockey here. They've gotten annihilated their last
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: couple of games here. Coming off a really ugly home
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: loss to the Red Wings. They've lost however many games
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: in a row this is. It's hard to even count
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: at this point. It's at least seven, I think. You
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: know they're going to get up for a game like this, man.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: And they're more rested. They haven't played since Tuesday, so
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: they have a huge rest advantage. And supposedly that's factored
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: into the line here. It should be, yet Minnesota's still
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: a massive favorite here.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: And, yeah, I get it.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's way better than Vancouver, but it's all about the spot, man.
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: And it's hockey. It's a close game.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: You know, no team is going to win every game
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: or lose every game.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: Let's do it.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: We'll go with the real ugly dog in this one
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: and take the Canucks split bet there.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: Reed Harden, what's up, man? Thanks for hanging out. All right.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think I'm going to get the NBA done
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: in time. Let me see.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: Dude, I still don't know what I want to do
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: with my pick and my picks and pick-em pool. Obviously,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: there's going to be no play for me in my
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: contest or whatever on this London, or excuse me, Paris game,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: the Riot game. It's so, so difficult to figure it out, man.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: ESPN's given us a three and a half with the Saints, so...
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: Although there's a slight public lean actually on the Saints
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: in that game for whatever reason, but the money seems
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: to be coming in that way.
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man. I guess in that pool, maybe
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: I just, I don't know.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Like I said, maybe you just go with whatever the
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: best of the number three is there. It's a difficult, really,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: really difficult game to figure out. I don't like that
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: game at all. So yeah, I guess whatever. That game's
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: unbelievably hard to figure out for me.
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: Let's go to the NBA. I have two NBA plays.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: I actually like this NBA board a bit, even though
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: it's a shorter NBA board here.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: We start at 5 p.m.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: With the NBA with L.A. at Utah, the Lakers at Utah.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Lakers are off to a 2-0 start here. But they
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: beat an injury-decimated old Warriors team, and then they beat
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. I mean, the Lakers, yeah, they're going to
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team, whatever. I mean, I don't know
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: if we really know how good they are. They have
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: to go on the road for the first time now
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: into elevation to face the Jazz.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: This is probably their most difficult.
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: Game so far. I'm not impressed with these two wins
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: so far, really. So I'm going to be leaning Utah
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: in this one. We'll see how the Lakers do in
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: their first road game. I know they haven't looked great
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: so far. They lost to the Grizzlies. They barely got
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: by the Pelicans.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: Although this is a Utah team that is up and
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: coming here.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: You know, they got a bunch of good young players
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: that are going to, it's going to take some time,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: I know, to get experience or whatever. But you know,
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: at the very least, they're going to get up for
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: this game. And they're staying at home and they're coming
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: off their first win of the season, which should give
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: them a little bit of confidence without making them overconfident.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: I'm going to lean towards the Jazz in this one.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: The money is slightly agreeing with that. What makes no
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: sense is Utah having 67% of the tickets.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: There's no way.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: There's absolutely no way that Utah is a public side
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: in this game against the 2-0 Lakers, who have one
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: of the biggest names in basketball.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't mean Luka either. I mean the
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Lakers team.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: They basically always are a public side almost against some
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: lesser team like this. So I don't think this public
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: percentage is even accurate. 67% of the tickets on Utah,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: 71% of the cash on them. They're a six-and-a-half-point dog. Yeah,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I'd lean to the dog in that game towards Utah
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: plus the points. Not a play for me. However, the
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: next game is....
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: You want to know what I'm betting?
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: This next game, I don't know if people can predict
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: this one, but we're going to lay the 7.5 with
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: the Indiana Pacers in this one against Brooklyn. And there
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: are a few different reasons for this. The Pacers are
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad loss at home to the Mavericks,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: which was the first home game that they played with
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Halliburton back. So Halliburton is back. So this may be
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an under-the-radar Pacer team because he's
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: their best player from that finals run that they made,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: even though I think they over-performed In that run two
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: years ago, the Pacers were just never healthy last year.
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: So I think this Pacer team is probably a little
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: bit better than people think because last year they were
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: just decimated with injuries and didn't do anything. But they're
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: coming off a real ugly home loss to the Mavs.
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: They haven't looked good so far. Their only win is
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: against the Pelicans. I understand it, but the Pacers, I
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: think they're under the radar right now. That loss to
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: Dallas was bad. The Pacers were a seven and a
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: half point favorite in that one. And you know I
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: keep talking about when a team's a big favorite and
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: they lose, a lot of times they're in a bounce-back
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: spot after that. And I think that is the case
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: here with Indiana. It was a real ugly loss, losing
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: by 16 to Dallas. That's no good, man. And Dallas
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: shot ridiculously in this game. Dallas had twice as many
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: three-pointers as Indiana did.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: Indiana had 21 turnovers.
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: Dallas shot 50% from the field, 41% from three. Indiana
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: only 22% from three. There are a lot of points
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: of regression possible here. Like Indiana should be able to
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: not allow their opponent to shoot this well this time.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: And Indiana maybe should shoot a little bit better from
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: three as well. Indiana can also clean up the turnovers.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a ridiculous amount of turnovers. So there
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: were some things that happened in this game that just
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: completely threw the game out of whack, and yeah, Dallas
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: completely obliterated them on the scoreboard, but there were some
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: factors in that game that made that game, yeah, just
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: get completely out of hand.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: It's a little bit misleading, I think, and Indiana's had
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: at least one day.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Off here, whereas Brooklyn not only does not have a
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: day off, but we took Brooklyn yesterday. They covered for us,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: and look at what they did yesterday is double-digit underdogs
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: They made a massive, furious comeback late when they were
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: losing a game by 20 points against the Cleveland Cavs yesterday.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn came all the way back and almost won that
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: game yesterday. Got to within two points late in the game.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: Covered for us and still fell just short after a
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: massive effort like that from a bad Brooklyn team against
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: a good Cleveland team. I don't see them having much
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: left in the tank after that, man. That plus they're
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: returning home from that, so they're traveling. And they got
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Boston and Detroit on deck. So is Brooklyn really going
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: to be able to give another 100% effort here against
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: the Pacers? When up ahead, you know, a couple of
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: days from now, they've got to play the Celtics and
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: then Detroit. And those are bigger games than this, obviously.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: So I don't see it. I think this is a
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: horrible spot for Brooklyn. I think it's a nice bounce-back
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: spot for the Pacers. So, yeah, we'll do what I
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: normally don't do, and we'll lay points as a road
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: favorite here, which the money.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: Seems to agree with.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: 65% of the tickets, 94% of the cash on Indiana.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: They're a 7.5-point favorite. I'd rather get 7 because 7
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: is a key-ish number in basketball because teams stop potentially
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: fouling at that point. But I'm still willing to do
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: it if it's 7.5. If I can find a 7,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: I'll update it here. But, yeah, 7.5, whatever. NBA, by
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: the way, because it's such a high-scoring team, When you
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: get games where every game goes well over 200 points,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: laying a price like this on the road is a
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: lot easier in NBA than it is in, say, the
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: NFL or something where way fewer points are scored.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: So it's not like that.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: In the NBA, you should not be scared to lay
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: road favorites if the spot is good. So, yeah, we'll
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: do it here. And it's not even a double-digit favorite
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: or anything. So, yeah, we'll play the Pacers in that game.
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: You want to know what? Oh, my bet? Well, there
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: you go.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: All right, the next game is my other play, so
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: we'll just continue the best bet segment going here. People
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: are not going to like either of these, man. Well,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: people are probably... Maybe they're fine with the Indiana one,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: but people are not going to like this one. We're
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: going to take the 0-2 Orlando Magic, plus 3.5 against
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: the New York Knicks in this one. Orlando, they're in
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: an injured player theory spot because Banchero got hurt again.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: That's how I always pronounce it. He sprained his ankle
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: in the game against Minnesota. So star player goes down
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: for Orlando. And I think you get a little bit
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: of extra value on a team when their star player
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: goes down.
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: It's the injured player theory.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Basically the first game without him, the team kind of
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: knows they got to step up their game without him.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: And I think you're going to get an effort from
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: an own to Orlando team. And I don't think it's
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: as bad as that would suggest. I mean, this is
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: a team that made a pretty decent, um, Effort in
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. They made the playoffs last year and they
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: looked fairly good against Detroit in the playoffs last year. So,
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: you know, this is an Orlando team. It's not as
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: bad as what their resume looks like so far. They
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: got annihilated by the T-wolves in that last game. I
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: thought it was a good spot for Orlando. I know
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: I had a lean to Orlando in that game. It
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: didn't pan out. Minnesota is a really strong team though.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know Orlando lost their home opener as
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: well to the Hawks. But one of the best things
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: for you, if things are not going well for you
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: at home, one of the best things you could do
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: is just leave. Just go out on the road. And
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: that's what Orlando is doing here. They've had at least
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: one day off here as well. They get to go
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: out on the road. Maybe that'll alleviate some distractions. Just
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: focus on basketball. They're not going to overlook the Knicks,
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: whereas the Knicks may overlook them. And will the Knicks
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: actually start 0-3? I mean, the public will think that's
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: inconceivable that the returning champ Knicks could possibly start 0-3. But,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've had a difficult schedule so far. There's
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: no doubt about that. But that's... why I'm fading them,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: even though they are battle-tested here, they just played huge
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: games against the Sixers and the Celtics, and they were
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: in position to possibly win both of those games. Those
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: are two huge, close games, and that's what the Knicks
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: are coming off of, and yeah, that was a really
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: close ending against the Celtics last time out, too. I
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: think this is a bad spot for the Knicks, dude.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Coming off two massive games like that. To me, this
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: looks like a flat spot for them after that. They
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: should be mad at the schedule makers, man, for scheduling
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: two really difficult games right out of the gate. And
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, this is a sandwich spot as well because
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: look who the Knicks play next. They've got to play
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: the Detroit Pistons, who are off to a 2-0 start,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: I think, and everybody knows they're one of the better
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: teams in this conference. So, yeah, this is a sandwich
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: spot that the Knicks are in here. Let's take the
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: points with Orlando. It looks way too easy to play
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: the Knicks at minus 3.5, I think, even though they
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: are a winless team. Everybody knows the Knicks are the
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: better team, and I'm not denying that. Oh, wait, we're
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: getting 7.5 now. Never mind, because Banchero's out.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: Hang on. Wait, where did I get that 3.5 from?
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: I don't even know. Yeah, fine.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I mistyped that or what. Yeah,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: I'm like, wait a minute. 3.5 doesn't make any sense. 7.5
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: is the number on Orlando.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: My mistake.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Yes, we're taking Orlando plus the points here. I'm out
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: of it, man.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: I'm on no sleep. I apologize. But there you go.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Yes, take Orlando plus the points here. 67% of the
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Knicks. 55% of the cash on Orlando. And,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: of course, the line, I think, has adjusted a little
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: bit to account for the bonchero injury as well so
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: yeah let's do it um knicks republic as i already
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: said i think i got nothing else on that game
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: but yeah i'm all out of whack right now but
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: hang on where did i get that three and a
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: half from um i'm not entirely sure where that number
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: came from i think i'm just out of it man
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: because i was when i said it i was thinking
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: that number can't be right although if it is it
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy um yeah it is seven and
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: a half it was seven and a half uh when
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: i um yeah, when I took it this morning, I
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: already took this one at seven and a half.
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what I was thinking with three
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: and a half.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Maybe I might, I might've like glanced at like a
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: first half number or something. I don't know what I
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: was doing, but yeah, I already played this at seven
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: and a half. So yeah, we're taking Orlando plus seven
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: and a half. Um, Not trying to bullshit anybody. My
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: mind is not working correctly.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: I apologize.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: But, yes, I already did play this at 7.5. I mean,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I give out a bad number like that, yeah, call
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: me out, whatever. But, yeah, I mean, obviously, if you
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: see a way better number, yeah, take it. But, yes,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the number is 7.5, which makes way more sense.
• 38:48
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: Toronto at Minnesota on NBA TV.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: This game, Toronto's off to a nice start, 2-0, blew
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: out the Bulls, beat the Wizards, but Toronto's not battle-tested
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: at this point, man. And I know Toronto's considered to
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: be a fairly good team this year, but going to Minnesota,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: that's not going to be easy. I think both teams
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: are going to.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: Be focused here.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Toronto's not fooling anybody right now because they're 2-0, so
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: teams aren't really going to overlook them, I don't think,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: right now. Minnesota is definitely the better of these two
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: teams here. So Toronto only beat the Bulls and the Wizards. Minnesota,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: more impressive resume so far, beating Miami and Orlando. Yes,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is returning home from the road. so sometimes I
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: talk about how that's a bad spot it's a distraction
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: spot you have to get back home but it wasn't
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: a long road trip I mean they started the season
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: on a two game road trip whatever this is their
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: home opener I don't think they're going to overlook a
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: 2-0 team here so I think both teams show up
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: for this, and if that's the case, I'd be leaning
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: towards the better team, and that is Minnesota here.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Minnesota does play Cleveland tomorrow, so you might.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Be able to argue that's a little bit of a
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: look ahead there, but I just don't know if they're
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: really going to overlook a 2-0 Raptor team here. Minnesota
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: seems to be getting the money, 67% of the tickets,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: 93% of the cash on them, although they actually opened 2.5
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: and dropped to 1.5.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: That number....
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there's an injury going on here
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: or what, but that number doesn't make sense to me
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: because I think Minnesota is the better team here. Let
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: me see.
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: Injury report.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: It doesn't look like it except DiVincenzo just hasn't come
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: back since his really bad Achilles injury during the playoffs
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: last year. That's the only injury on the Minnesota side
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: right now. He has not played yet this year, so
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: that's not a change from what Minnesota's already been doing,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: so I don't get it. I think Minnesota's the better
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: team here, so I think them being the better team
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: plus getting something for home court. I think they should
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: be about a three-point favorite here. That would have been
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: what I would have thought that this line would be.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers know more than me, so don't take
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: my word for it as far as that's concerned. But, yeah,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: it looks really, really short to me on Minnesota, and
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: the public is only slightly tilted towards them. So I
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: like Minnesota there. Clippers at Oklahoma City. Clippers are coming
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: off a pretty big effort against the Lakers. So they
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: fell short. They lost by eight. Uh, the Clippers seemingly
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: always get up for a game against the Lakers. Clippers
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: do have Garland, by the way, after they, they made
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: that trade. I think it was the hardened trade last
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: year with, um, the calves. So he's like one of
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: their key, uh, players here. Uh, so that's, that's basically
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: what the Clippers Clippers have going on with their lineup. Uh,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: this year Clippers, uh, One-on-one, they had one easy win
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: against the Kings, lost to the Lakers, but didn't embarrass themselves.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: Only lost by eight, so that's not that bad. But
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: now they've got to turn around and go play in
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City. That's obviously not easy to do, especially when
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: you're coming off a game that you already got up for,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: at least emotionally, and played fairly close against the Lakers.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: Now you've got to swing around and go to Oklahoma City.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: As much as you're going to get up for that game,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: it's not going to be that easy. Oklahoma City off
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: to a good start.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: They're 2-0.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: They beat the Spurs in revenge, and then they pulled
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: away from the Nuggets late in a tough defensive battle
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: against the Nuggets. Nuggets are a solid team as well,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: so the Thunder, good resume so far. Might they overlook
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: the Clippers because the Clippers will be the weakest team
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: they've faced so far?
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: Maybe.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: It's definitely possible they overlooked them, but I just don't
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: really want to fade the thunder here.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, they play Phoenix tomorrow. That's not really that
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: big of a deal.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: The only thing you could really say that might be
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: negative for OKC is maybe there's a letdown here after
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: they beat San Antonio and Denver.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: But the letdown you would have thought would.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: Have been after the San Antonio game still didn't happen
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: against Denver. And Oklahoma City's got a deep roster, a
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: lot of contributors here. I'm not going to fade Oklahoma
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: City here, man. Clippers coming up that big game. The
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Clippers, but I definitely
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: don't want to do it. Even though they're getting 15
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: and a half, 16 points, Oklahoma City, 61% of the
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, 74% of the cash on the Clippers,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: the money coming in on the Clippers, but Oklahoma City
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: these last couple of years, they've been extremely good at
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: covering at home. They cover, I think, the vast majority
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: of their home games, even at numbers like this. So
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I just, I really do not want to fade them.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Even if the money is saying so, even if the
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: books are having to skew the number a little bit,
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: the spot doesn't really.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: Look that bad to me for OKC.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: So, I mean, again, the most you could say is
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: maybe there's a little bit of a letdown to it,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: but Clippers having to get up and play two big
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: games in a row to basically, it seemed like the
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: only team that really consistently was able to beat Oklahoma
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: city in their own place was the Spurs. So, um, Yeah,
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: and the Clippers, last I checked, are not the Spurs.
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: So, yeah, I don't know, man.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: My indication of this, I almost wanted to kind of
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: lean towards Oklahoma City there. Money doesn't agree with that,
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: but whatever. That's not a strong opinion for me at all,
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: though I don't even have that strong of an opinion
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: on it.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: The money is definitely.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Saying Clippers, so do with that what you want, but
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: I would definitely not want to do it. Detroit at Philadelphia.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: This is probably the biggest game on the board. Two
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: undefeated teams here. Detroit beat the Celtics, and then the
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Heat on the road. That's not bad. I mean, that's
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: a good resume so far. Philadelphia has beaten the Knicks,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: the Cavs, and then they actually played yesterday. Beat the Bucs.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: The Bucs did cover. That was one of my leans yesterday.
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: Bucs just snuck within that number. It was a 12.5,
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: and they lost by 11. So I was correct about that.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: So it wasn't a great performance from Philly. And the
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: Bucs were really close, actually, at the end of that game.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: The Bucs were within, like, I want to say they
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: were within about four points in the middle of the
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: Of that game.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: So, yeah, it was not the greatest performance from Philly,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: but it was predictable, right? I talked about the game yesterday.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Philly was coming off beating the Knicks, then having a
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: massive comeback against the Cavs. And then they had this
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Detroit game on deck. So yesterday was the clear flat
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: spot for Philly.
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: But.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: I might still lean against them here because Philly's on
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: a back-to-back here. So that's not really that easy. And
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: the Pistons did not have to play yesterday. And the
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Pistons are coming off kind of an easier win, if
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: you want to call it. That was the loss that
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: we took on the show. We're 2-1 in the NBA
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: right now on the show to start the season. And
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: that one loss was trying to fade Detroit. in what
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: I thought was a sandwich spot, essentially, because I thought
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: they'd be looking ahead to this game. I thought Detroit,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: after their big comeback against the Celtics, seemed like a
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: really bad spot, catching a Miami team that had looked
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: awful in their first game, but it did not pan out.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Detroit easily beat us in that one. I actually do
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: lean Detroit in this one. Although the line does look
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit short because the odds makers... We know
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Philly's the better team, but they opened three and they
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: actually dropped to one and a half here. So the
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: money has come in on the Detroit side here. Philly
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: should be favored by more than one and a half,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: but the thing is... The rest situation is being factored in.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: The back-to-back is probably shaving two points off of this line,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Because Philly played yesterday. I
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: think the line is reduced because of that. We have
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: 59% of the tickets on Philly, 56% of the cash.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: Money indicating towards Detroit. To me, it does look a
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: little bit too easy to play the Sixers here. I
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: think Detroit is still the better defensive team at the
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: very least. So you're getting at least like one and
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: a half points here still with the better defense with rest.
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: That seems to make sense.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: However, the argument for Philly would be they just didn't
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: show up basically for yesterday's game and they had a
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: scare against a bad Bucs team yesterday. So that would
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: be the argument for Philly that Philly should bounce back
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: after a bad performance like that. But Detroit is certainly
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: not going to overlook them. There's no way. This Philly team,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I thought they'd get out to a slow start because
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: when you have new huge roster pieces like this, a
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: lot of times the chemistry is not quite there yet.
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: That hasn't really been the case, but I don't know, man.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: We'll see, but I'm going to lean slightly towards the
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: Pistons in that one. And then the last game on
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: the board is super ugly with Memphis at Sacramento.
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: This is a horrible game. Memphis is the better team,
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: but I don't know, man.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are already out on the Pacific Coast,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: at least, so Memphis is adjusted to the time zone already.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: They're 2-0, but they beat the Jazz, and then they
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: beat that massively injured old Warriors team. I don't think
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: that Warriors team is really any good, to be honest.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: So this Memphis... 2-0 is not really as good as
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: it might look. I know the Kings are awful. The
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Kings are probably the worst team in the league, and
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: they're 0-2, but I think the Kings might be able
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: to cover this. The Kings just played to within eight
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: against the Blazers last time out, so that's not that
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: bad of a result for them in their first home game,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: and they are staying at home here. I think if
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: you're going to play this game, I think you got
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: to take the points with Sacramento. I know it's ugly,
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: but this Memphis team is kind of ugly too. Um,
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: 54% of the tickets on Sacramento, 74% of the cash
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: money does seem to agree with Sacramento here. It kind
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: of looks too easy to lay a short price with
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: a two and oh Memphis team. They're about four and
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: a half now, uh, up from three and a half.
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: It looks too easy to lay that short price, I
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: think against an own to Sacramento team.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: So I would not do it. I would, uh, I
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: would take the points with Sacramento there. All right.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: We don't have any WNBA or World Series today. WNBA
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: teams are traveling back to Golden State, of course, because
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: I left it off my card. I was right about
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: everything in the WNBA yesterday. Valkyries covered one outright, and
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: the game went under. So I had every single part
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: of that right yesterday. Didn't play any of it, so
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: it wasn't that great. And as far as the baseball game,
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: my strongest opinion yesterday was over, and that game went
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: over by like the third inning. So yeah, I was
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: correct about the over in the World Series game yesterday.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Rays scored four runs in the top of the first inning,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: and then they never scored again. Absolutely crazy. Milwaukee took
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: a 2-0 lead in the series. I think the Rays
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: might be done, man. I did say I thought there
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: was going to be value on the American League team,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: and I still think I've been proven right. I mean,
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the Rays led almost the entire game in that game,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: and they've lost both games by one run on the road,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: so it's not like they haven't been competitive. They certainly have.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: They probably should have won the game yesterday. You stake
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen to a 4-0 lead, even though he's pretty average,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: specifically against the Brewers. um yeah I don't know how
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: uh he he surrendered two runs like right away um
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: like let Milwaukee get right back into that game I
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: don't know man um but yeah you got to win
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: that game when you give your ace a four run
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: lead in the playoffs completely ridiculous to be honest um
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: But we'll see because both teams have been really good
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: home teams. So Tampa probably is going to catch at
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: least one of those home games.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: But the thing is, everybody's talking about the way that
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: game ended controversially after the Brewers took the lead really
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: late in the game. They were still down 4-3. They
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: scored two runs, I think, in the bottom of the
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: eighth to go up 5-4. Then in the top of
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: the ninth, Yandy Diaz struck out against, I assume, McGill
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: was probably in there again for The Brewers, if they
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: used him two games in a row, I don't know.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: I wasn't paying attention.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: But Diaz got called for swinging so that he struck
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: out to end the game. And it was a check swing,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: and they called it a strike. And a lot of
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: people were complaining about that.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: I think it was the right call, though. It was close.
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: But first of all, you can't really overturn your call
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: if it's that close. But if you watch.
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: the replays of it, the side view of it, the
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: bat definitely crossed the plate, dude. It was close, but yeah,
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: I think it was the right call that he swung,
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: even though it was close. Sometimes that's the way that
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: it is, man. It's a game of inches. I think
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: he did swing. Yeah, so I don't have a problem
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: with that call. I think it was the right call,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: even though it was close. You have to make even,
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: you know, some calls are going to be really, really close,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: and you have to make the call, and I think
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: that was the correct call.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, oh, you can't end a game on that, whatever.
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: Well, I mean, it was the right, it was ending
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: the game on a strikeout and I think it was
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the right call.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: So it is what it is, man.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Um, you know, you, you can't let a game continue
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: by making the wrong call on that either. So like,
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: what do you want? Um, yeah, like I think it
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: was the right call. Uh, I'm not, I'm not biased
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: against the Rays, even though they're in the Red Sox division.
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm, I'm happy they swept the Yankees. I
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: love them for that.
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: Uh, so, you know, um, I don't really.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: Hate any of the AL East teams besides the Yankees,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: so there you go. I root against the Rays, you know,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: spitefully if they beat the Red Sox like I did
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: in 2008, but that's about it, even though that meant
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: I had to root for Philly, which felt disgusting, but whatever. Yeah,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: all right, let's go through this final NFL read here
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: after I give up my plays again for the week,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: or for today, I mean, excuse me. Go check out
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: my NFL show, from last night but we have two
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: players we're on the Indianapolis Colts plus six and a
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: half I don't know if it's going to hit seven
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: or not but you can wait around a little bit
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: to see if it does and we're on the Rams
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: minus three although that line might not really be there
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: it was there last night with a little bit of
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: juice um Yeah, I would try to find the three
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: on the Rams. It seems like I'm going against the
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: market on that one, so it seems like there are professionals.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: Going against me on that.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: I don't see it, and the professionals that I've actually
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: listened to talk about this game agree with me, seemingly,
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: and like the Rams. I like the spot for it,
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: so those are my two actual plays. My other strong
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: leans in the NFL are Dolphins plus the points. Tennessee,
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: I think, is the closest one. If I was going
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: to add one more play, I think it would be Tennessee.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: I really like Tennessee. in their game today then uh
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: the dolphins maybe i'm being too selective dolphins uh plus
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: the points and then i also like the seahawks in
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: the uh sunday night game uh but let's take a
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: look at the market read before i get out of
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: here tower gang npc what's up man thanks for hanging
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: out uh let's look at the final market read for
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: the nfl here uh the market.
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: Wound up agreeing with or not agreeing with.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Me really but uh the market was uh basically leaning
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: towards the saints in this uh Bad Paris game, whatever
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: you want to call it. Saint-Denis, France game, we'll see.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with me, leaning towards Tampa Bay here.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: Still no idea if Mayfield is playing or not, but
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: either way, I think I like Tampa Bay in that one.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with Miami. Like I said, I
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: obviously agree with that one. Miami plus the points. That
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: line has dropped, too, so some real money on Miami there.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: I think they might get their first win. Uh, I
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: like Tennessee and Cleveland is a ridiculously public side.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: Hilarious.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Like I mentioned last night, the Browns are like the
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: most public side of the week. It's so stupid, dude.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: It's so insane. The Browns are still not that good.
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: They're the Browns, dude. Um, I like Tennessee in that one.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: I I like the Giants. The market read is saying no. Uh,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: the Giants are a hugely public underdog, but I just,
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: I don't get it at all, man. A game with
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: a low total, a massive spread and Houston being in
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: a really bad spot. I think a letdown spot and
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: bad travel spot. I don't understand what's going on in
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: the market there, but I like the Giants in that one.
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: Plus the points.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Uh, San Francisco and Atlanta, San Francisco's a heavily public side,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them. Although you could have
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: gotten Atlanta at above a field goal, and you can
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: no longer do that, partially because San Francisco's got some
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: big-time wide receiver injuries here. And Mike Evans has kind
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: of been their entire offense, and he's not playing here.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: So I like Atlanta in this one. I would fade
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: the public in this one, taking them as the home
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: dog here. You might be able to get three at
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: some point before the game goes off. Looks like we're,
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're going to get seven here
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: or not, man. Maybe, looks like, I don't know, maybe
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: we can get seven on Indianapolis. The money is slightly
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: indicated towards Minnesota, but I don't buy that. I like
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Indy in this one. I think it's a great spot, so.
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: We're definitely on Indy in that one. Maybe we can
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: get the seven. The money is indicating slightly towards Cincinnati
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: in that game against Baltimore, but they're also public, and
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: like I said, I think the line is overreacting again
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: to Lamar Jackson being out with a five or six
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: point swing again in this game. At this number, I
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: think the only way that you can really look at
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: this game is to take the points with the Ravens,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: but At the previous number, if that's what's in your
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: pick-em pools, taking Cincinnati as an underdog also makes sense
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: It sounds counterintuitive, but that's a game where I think
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: it's all about the number. I think it might be
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: a close game. It's going to be a close battle,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: I think. Yeah, Cincinnati is coming out of a buy
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: and whatever. Well, you can see my show last night
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: where I talked about it. That game's really hard to
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: figure out, but Cincinnati's public, some of the money coming
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: in on them, but I would not lay Cincinnati as
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: a road favorite at that price, though. I think it's
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: an overreaction to Lamar being out. Huntley's not that much
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: of a downgrade. I like Arizona against Denver. Denver's a
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: public side with less of the money on them. Denver's
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: in a horrible spot, too. It's just my only issue
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: with this game is Arizona's also in kind of a
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: bad spot. So those are my thoughts on that. The
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: money seems to be strongly agreeing with Detroit, which I
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: also agree with. I like Detroit there in that one
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: against Green Bay. Rams look like they have a slight
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: public tilt to them with less of the money on them,
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: which I don't like seeing. It looks like you might
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: not be able to get the three anymore here. A
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: couple of books have a three with a little bit
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: of juice.
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: I found it at minus 115 last night, but I'd
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: still lay three and a half on the Rams.
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: I think this line is way short.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: I think the Rams are just being way, way discounted here.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: And it's a good spot for them and a bad
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: spot for what I think are still not very good
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: Raider teams.
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the Rams in that one.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: I think the Rams could definitely put up some offense
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: against this Raider defense that is no good. So, yeah,
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: even with Puka Nakua out, I think the Rams should
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: be able to move the football there. Then the money
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: is heavily agreeing with Seattle. Kansas City's a very public underdog,
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: which is a massive red flag. It looks way too
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: easy to take the 5-0 team as an underdog against
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: a 3-3 team, right? So, yeah, I like Seattle in
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: that night game for sure. And then on Monday night,
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Dallas is still public here, and the money is slightly
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: tilted towards Philadelphia.
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: And I agree with that, too, at least for now.
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points with the better
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: defense at home with Philly and hope Saquon Barkley's back
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: at least, which should help Philly to some extent there.
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: But Dallas, I would not want to lay points with
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: Dallas on the road with that awful defense they have.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: So at least better defense getting points at home is
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: what you get with Philly at least. that's going to
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: do it, man. Um, Pittsburgh already out to a three
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: Oh lead there.
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: Um, yeah. Um, yeah, I think that's it. I give
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: out all my plays.
• 57:52
  Speaker 5: Yeah.
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: Um, learn to tote on Twitter, Instagram, Tik TOK sort of, uh,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: although I'm kind of, I don't know, I'm getting buried
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: in the algorithm right now.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know. They don't like gambling content or something there.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: It's bad, whatever. Um, Like, subscribe to the show here, obviously.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: Boost this YouTube channel. This is the main place to
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: get all this stuff, obviously. Give good comments, etc. Or
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: come at me and hate my plays, whatever you want.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: What else? We're on audio.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. That helps as well, listening over there.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: I have ukulele covers that are covered in uke on YouTube. Patreon.com
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: slash LearnToToad if you want to Support me over there
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: and or get some extra Uke stuff there.
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: Loser cast every Tuesday night.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: The comedy podcast that I do. I think that's it, man.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: Let's have a good Sunday. Let's get some NFL wins
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: here today. Let's get some wins in the other sports, too.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: Because while everybody focuses on NFL, you can find some
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: value in these other sports, man. So let's get it done.
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: That's going to do it.
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: Thanks, everybody, for hanging out. Peace.
• 59:02
  Speaker 3: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: Let somebody answer. Let somebody Hold on, hold on, not tonight.
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: Not now Hold on, hold.
• 59:32
  Speaker 4: On Let me pull you.
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: Out That bad luck fights hard But it don't get
• 59:43
  Speaker 3: the crown Hold on, hold on Stay with.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Me now
• 59:53
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo