Latest / The Extra Point / Week 3 Preview | Tennessee-Georgia, Notre Dame-Texas A&M, and more

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Week 3 Preview | Tennessee-Georgia, Notre Dame-Texas A&M, and more · The Extra Point

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What's up y'all? You were listening to the Extra
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Point College Football podcast. I'm your host Jacob Carnes,
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joined as always by my Co host Daniel Hammock.
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Daniel, we have made it to week 3 of college football.
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We're two weeks in. We tried to warn you last week,
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there's not an off week in the sport ever, no matter what's
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going on. Might look like a sleepy week.
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There are upsets around the corner.
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Part of what makes this sport special.
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We had that this past weekend. We're going to talk about it.
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Daniel, you had some big life stuff happened.
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I I really thought I was going to have to run a single episode
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this week, but dude, Congrats father of three.
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Appreciate it, man. Yeah, just keep on rolling.
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Actually had a baby on game day. You know, my son didn't want to
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miss out on another, you know, football Saturday, so.
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He already missed. Join me as quick as possible.
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Yeah, dude, he didn't want to wait One more, one more.
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Wasn't going to miss 2. Yeah, he was.
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He was here in time to watch Michigan and Oklahoma.
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So I end up in the second-half. Yeah, second-half of both
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upsets. So yeah, he was definitely like,
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oh, OK, is this college football?
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And I was like, what were you born yesterday?
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And he's like, no, it's today. Today.
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Yeah, yeah, dude, he knew. He was like, I can't wait until
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the second because everyone else is saying sleepy Saturday and
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I'm about to watch two major upsets in college football.
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So shout out to him. He didn't want to miss it.
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That's, you know, that's, that's the level of commitment I'm
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looking for my kids. So oh, absolutely.
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Do Congrats. Let's let's let's dive into the
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first quarter of this episode. Daniel, what is one thing you
1:28
learned this weekend after watching another weekend of
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college football? Yeah, I think for me it was John
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Mateer. I know that it's been it was a
1:36
hot name all offseason. You and I were like, we're going
1:39
to wait and see. And we've had some smart our
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colleagues that were like, hey, you know, Josh Pate has him as
1:46
his Heisman. You know, a couple other people
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are trying to retroactively claim that they said the same
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thing. I don't think that they did.
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I was always high on him. I'm sure you were always Chris
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Doring. Some other guys on the SEC
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Network, They're all high on him and you and I made the
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contention, hey, if he's just pretty good, they're going to be
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better than they were. Well, Jacob, I would say through
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two games, John Matier has returned OU to the team we
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expect them to be. And I'm not talking about this
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season, I'm talking about as a program.
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They are traditionally a run and gun fun quarterback that has
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high upside potential for the offense.
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And then they usually have a bunch of defensive studs.
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Sometimes they don't play with them all together.
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There's a few of those years, Lincoln Riley years.
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They didn't play to their defensive potential, but they
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always had guys that could go to the NFL.
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Nick Benito in the news this week, he was a former OU Sooner
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and he just got a four year extension.
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He's the highest paid non quarterback right now in the
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league, defensive end. So they've got defensive guys
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that are in the league. They've got that heritage this
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game. They were swarming all over the
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place. They made Michigan look, you
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know, pedestrian at times. And they've got Michigan's out
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athletes. So that was surprising.
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But yeah, Matir, I think it just, it just felt like I was
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watching a regular Oklahoma game.
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It didn't feel like this past couple years.
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It was like it shook it off. You know, they will say, Oh,
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yeah, this is, you know, Baker Mayfield, this is Kyler Murray,
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This is, you know, even even further back, you know, Sam
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Bradford, this is a guy who can make plays while we watch him.
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So definitely fun. You know, great, great showcase
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on national TV. Even some people said he had his
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Heisman moment. I think he elevates everybody
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around him, too. So that's awesome.
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I like it on John Matier. I am.
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I think I'm still waiting to see on the ceiling, but I think he's
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already met the like you said, we called out if he's pretty
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good, Oklahoma will be very good this year because the defense
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should be just as good. That looked to be the case on
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Saturday. Being my one thing I learned and
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I kind of mentioned it is there there are no off weeks in
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college football. That's the one thing I learned.
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And you have a banger in OU versus Michigan.
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You had a great right 2 great rivalries.
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We we talked about them. The sidehawk game was great.
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Missouri, Kansas was a classic. You had major upsets.
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You had USF over Florida, you had Mississippi State over
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Arizona State, you had a great battle in the conference game
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and almost Kentucky that you and I were kind of scratching our
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heads at the line and kind of showed showed its face right
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there in that game. So man, there are no off wasting
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college football. Those were just six games.
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There are several more that were good.
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There are no off wasting college football.
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I'm keeping the stuff I learned very generic through two weeks
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because I don't want to be caught with a bad take with.
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I definitely learned this and it's two weeks of college
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football. I'll get a more definitive 1
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next week. How's that, Danes?
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We're moving to the second quarter.
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Daniel, what are you? What's 1 of the questions you
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have moving forward as we head into Week 3?
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Jacob, I'm I'm looking at Florida, I mean the big loss to
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South Florida, the multiple opportunities they had to win
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that game. My question is the Florida
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culture sustainable? What I mean by that is Florida
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is known for having this larger than life personality and really
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being, you know, kind of in your face.
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They're going to brag about it. They're going to, you know,
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beat, you know, beat you down both from a confident standpoint
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as well as on the field. This goes back to Spurrier.
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Spurrier was very much a guy that, hey, he talked to talk and
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he'd walk to walk. Well, then, you know, they had
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their years of Ron Zook and they were kind of up and down, but
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they were still a tough team to play.
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They had Urban Meyer come in very much that same vein of
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having some guys that are just bad dudes who love to hit you,
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love to run past you and score. And they could just make you
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look like a fool and then tell you about it.
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And that's that's gone from Florida right now.
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As far as I say, that's gone. The the part where they're
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winning is gone. The the undisciplined part is
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still there. Think about Marco Wilson a few
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years ago when you know, against the LSU where he throws the shoe
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and it was a third down stop under Dan Mullen.
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So, you know, different coach. And then here under Billy
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Napier, Florida has a guy spit on another player.
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I don't know if this was a, you know, copycat situation because
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he just saw Jaylen Carter do it in the NFL, but he spits on a
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player and it extends the drive and it continues it.
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It's a where they're they're ready to win that game.
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They get the stop they need. They give South Florida another
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chance and it's South Florida as a team.
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You give them a chance, they're going to take it.
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They're going to believe and they're going to they're going
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to execute. Especially this season, we've
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seen them take down to rates. Opponents already people are
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saying is, is Napier done? My bigger question is if they
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bring in somebody else, are they able to kind of harness that
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Florida culture that has been there over the past few decades?
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Yeah, that, you know, Florida man, I, I was high on 4 to come
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to the season. They can turn around, they can,
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they can go three and two in the next 5 games and people forget
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about the USF game. Just like hey, Notre Dame, you
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know, people are going to mention this with every loss
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this year. Notre Dame lost in Northern
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Illinois week two last year. I think he nailed the problem
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though, which is like it's still some of this fundamental stuff
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that seemed to be issues with Florida as well as play calling
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and and Billy Napier is calling the plays and he's already said
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he's not giving up on that. I saw a very funny comment on
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Cover 3 podcast, which was someone said how many, how many
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months would it take for Billy Napier and Mario Cristobal to do
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an escape room together? I thought that was very funny.
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Very funny question. Be a Florida man.
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Well, I'm sure we're going to have plenty more to talk about
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Florida this season, Daniel. My first question is how many
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teams does the SEC get into the playoffs this year?
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I'll say spoiler to our XPR. Here's some SEC bias.
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We've got 12 teams in the top 25 from the SEC as of right now.
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In the XPR record versus the Power four so far, the SEC is 8
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and two and out of conference games against other Power 4
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opponents, Big 10 is five and three.
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The Big show was 5 and 6. The ACC is 3 and 9.
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On top of that, you've got, you know, the SMU result versus Penn
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State last year. It's going to, regardless of
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whether it's right or not, it's going to hang in the back of
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committee members minds. Like, is this a year the SEC
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gets five teams in? And you know, if you've got,
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let's say, you know, I think the SEC, I don't think there's one
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team that separated themselves yet this year.
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What if you've got 32 lost teams and four more 3 lost teams?
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Like could, could you see five teams get in even if two of
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those are half three losses? I think that'll be really
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interesting to see this year. So that's a question I have as
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we as we move forward this season.
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Yeah, if I'm jumping to my next question, it is SEC related
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because why would it not be? I'm sure you saw the awkward
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press conference for Steve Sarkeesian.
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I'll keep mine as a A rated G question.
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If Arch is hurt, it gives it. It did make me question if Arch
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Manning is hurt, does Texas still scare you?
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And I I say that with all the love in the world for Texas's
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roster. I think they've got a great
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roster. And I think that, you know,
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they're going to certainly, you know, be able to win games even
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if Arch was not in there. But I mean, backup quarterback
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Matthew Caldwell is red shirt senior.
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There's a reason he hasn't played so far.
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Trey Owens, you know, the red shirt freshman Carl Lacy's that,
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you know, highly rated true freshman Texas is counting on
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next year. DFL coming in from American
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Heritage, five star quarterback being their next guy.
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So if Arch comes back for another year, having a year of
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them both together. But my point is, is that injury
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is something we haven't really discussed because they've had a
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couple of quarterbacks each of the past few years.
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Think back, obviously they had Malik Murphy as a backup for a
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little bit even before Arch was #2 behind Queen yours.
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So you know, in this rise that Sark has had with Texas, they've
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had at least 2 high end quarterbacks.
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And I would argue that right now they don't have a second if Arch
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is not the guy. So it did look like Arch was
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hurt based on what I saw. It was extremely uncomfortable
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press conference when they asked him about it.
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He did finish the game for what it's worth.
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You know, as much as it it seemed like at least a non
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issue, it does look like it's affecting his mechanics.
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So I wonder, you know, he's his part of his game, what makes him
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specialist his legs. So I don't know if in these
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bigger games that they do have, I know that they have somewhat
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of an easier SEC schedule. But in the bigger games that
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they do have, maybe the Red River Rivalry, are they going to
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count on him to run the ball? And you know, is he is it just a
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Stinger? Is it something that's going to
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linger all year That's important.
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So I'll keep my eye on that one. I like how good is Texas of
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Archers hurt. I still think very high floor
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personally that that. Playoff team without arch.
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I still think yes because I think the I'll wait and see on
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the offensive line. The defense is good enough.
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I think that's my like. I think everyone forgets they
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also held Ohio State to 14 week 1 and Julian San and Jeremiah
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Smith looked very nothing opponent, but looked very good
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in Week 2. That's why it's early man.
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Pete was talking about this of, you know, AP poll voters need to
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like forget the their preconceived notion.
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He was saying it in relation to he was saying like, you know,
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Florida State's not ranked that highly because you still have
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this preconceived notion that they were bad.
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But I think it goes both ways of what if I still think Alabama's
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pretty good. Therefore, I have Florida State
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ranks very highly or my preconceived notion of Alabama
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was very good. I think they're awful.
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Then why would I have Florida State ranked if I think
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Alabama's awful? So I think it goes both ways of
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like, either the wind was impressive or it wasn't.
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I think we're going to look back on this Week 1 result and say 14
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to 7. Those were two top six teams in
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the country with great defenses kind of in a, in a, you know,
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defensive slugfest in that game. Yeah, I'm, I am curious if
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Archers hurt. Some of the stuff just looks his
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velocity is also down on his ball like beyond the wincing
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stuff, the Velo and Army a little bit different last year.
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So that is a curious question. My second question, Daniel, are,
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are big teams playing with their food or is this cause for
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concern? The few different teams this
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weekend, a few more got highlights than others, but
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obviously Clemson having a 16-O like deficit, Detroit at one
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point in that game, South Carolina messed around with
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South Carolina State, Texas A and it messed around with Utah
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State. Texas messed around with UTSA,
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Georgia messed around with Austin PE, LSU messed around
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with with Louisiana Tech. Like I personally think I have
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an answer, which I'll reference later, but my question is, are
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big teams playing with their food or is this a cause for
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concern? And beyond even playing with the
13:10
food, is this is this a consequence of the expanded
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schedule right? Of like, you know, you're going
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to have a longer season and tougher schedules in college
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football now. So dude, these are 18 and 22
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year olds. The end of the day, I think it's
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one of Saban's greatest strengths as a coach was they
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seem prepped and ready to go every single year, every single
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game. They hardly ever did this with a
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lesser opponent. But I think you're seeing more
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and more big teams like kind of mess with these, you know,
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younger opponents. So I think it's hard, especially
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if you only played a couple of these teams to get a read on
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these teams if they are just messing around because we saw
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this last year, a couple teams screw around with young, you
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know, with lesser opponents and then absolutely flip a switch
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when it came to big games. And I think that's a skill too,
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is to have your team ready to flip that switch when it comes
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to big games. So it's just a question to have
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in the back of my mind because we've got a couple games this
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week. We're going to talk about that.
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I think this is going to play into.
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So that's a question I have moving forward.
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Daniel, we're getting here to halftime.
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I'm going to actually pull up our extra point rankings again,
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as a an explainer. These are our BCS style rankings
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and these are meant to be, you know, representative of both how
14:26
to computers see teams at this point in the season mixed with,
14:30
you know, Kelly Ford K Ford ratings on Twitter, his most
14:34
deserving rating. But and then the eye test you
14:36
and I have poles into this. So a lot of movement early on in
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the season. If you're watching on YouTube or
14:42
on Spotify, you can see it now you've got Ohio State one big
14:45
jumper, Oregon at 2, Ole Miss big jumper at three.
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That was surprising to me. Georgia at 4, LSU at 5, Texas 6,
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Oklahoma 7, Penn State 8, Tennessee 9, Miami 10.
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You can see the rest of the top 25 on either of our Twitter
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accounts or Instagram or YouTube.
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And Friday 5, if you're watching, you can check out the
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full top 25. Daniel, what?
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What team surprised you? What teams jump out?
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I mean, I can start by saying Ole Miss surprised me because
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neither you know where I had them at 3 in our ballot.
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But I'll tell you what does of Ole Miss early is the power
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ratings and again, it's we're going to have a lot of
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fluctuation early as far as strength of record goes.
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Ole Miss has played an SEC team already, same with like Ohio
15:33
State. They've played a Texas already.
15:35
So that's it. That's in their resume versus,
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you know, a Georgia has played an FCS opponent and AG6
15:43
opponent. Same with, you know, Utah, but
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you know, like Vandy's ranked Vandy's at 21.
15:51
I think that's one that I personally, Daniel, I put them
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ahead of South Carolina in my top 25 because they have a
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common opponent. South Carolina played that
15:59
opponent on a neutral site. Vandy went up to Lane Stadium
16:02
and kind of beat the brakes off Virginia Tech there in the
16:04
second-half. So Ole Miss and Vandy, 2 teams
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that that stuck out as as I'm doing, as I'm looking at our
16:10
XPR. Yeah, I agree on Ole Miss.
16:13
That was one where, you know, watching that game, it it felt
16:16
kind of sloppy. It was one that you and I just
16:18
called out. Hey, this one, you know, last
16:20
year obviously was a loss for Ole Miss and it, you know, ended
16:24
up costing them ultimately because they should have
16:27
dominated that Kentucky team. Kentucky hung in there this time
16:31
and Ole Miss had to rely on a backup quarterback for the last
16:35
little bit. Looks like Austin Simmons is
16:37
good, but as far as health wise, but and it's, you know, same
16:42
thing for Kentucky. They had a backup quarterback at
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the end. So it's kind of just a weird
16:45
situation closer game. So for them to jump, I'm almost
16:49
looking at those teams in between and thinking, you know,
16:52
it's probably a little bit from the power side of them not
16:56
dominating their opponent like they should have.
16:58
And so that's what the offset came from because Ole Miss was
17:01
sitting in the seventh position the week before.
17:04
So they kind of just moved ahead of the teams that struggle,
17:07
struggle wins. My other one would be Oklahoma.
17:11
I'm not surprised. I am.
17:14
I'm almost relieved to see where they are because it feels like
17:18
this is where they should be. They were 18 last year last week
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for us and they hadn't played anybody yet.
17:24
So obviously we need to wait and see.
17:26
And these rankings I think are a good indication.
17:29
I like seeing that, that Longhorn and that OU logo right
17:32
beside each other. Excited about that game in a few
17:34
weeks. But this one, it felt like, hey,
17:38
it's kind of a homecoming party for Oklahoma.
17:42
They're back where we we expect that to see that logo in the top
17:45
10 competing and being a tough out for everybody.
17:49
So glad to see that this was represented the right way.
17:55
Yeah. And USF, you know, 20 there for
17:57
us I think is big. Auburn I believe is still not
18:02
ranked in the AP if I remember correctly.
18:04
And they're 13 for us. I think we're we're way more
18:06
right on that than they are. I will confess because the
18:10
computer there is like a .2 differential between two teams
18:15
and I manually flopped or flipped here, it's Alabama and
18:19
Florida State. Alabama was still .2 ahead of
18:21
Florida State. It was close enough where I'm
18:23
like we've seen this game, I'm going to go ahead and flip those
18:27
manually. It's what got to have a little
18:29
bit of a manual input here. We'll see how that goes to the
18:32
season plays out. Those, you know, different teams
18:35
play records are going to change all that kind of stuff.
18:38
But you'll be sure to check that out on YouTube, Spotify, both of
18:42
our Twitter accounts on Instagram at the Extra Point
18:44
pod. You can you can argue with us
18:46
about which teams ranked ranked where, and I'll just sit here
18:49
and tell you it's probably the computer's fault.
18:51
So. Oh yeah, blame the computers
18:54
dude. That's what I've been.
18:54
Doing, dude, isn't that a great pastime for the BCS?
18:58
Is just being able to blame the computers.
19:00
That was a simpler time to blame the committee members.
19:04
Now it's like computers are easy to blame because they're, you
19:06
know, they're unbiased. They don't care about logos.
19:09
They didn't watch SMU play Penn State last year.
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They're just looking at this year's data.
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So shout out to computers, man. We we didn't know how good we
19:15
had it. Daniel, this would be tough.
19:17
This is a big week for college football.
19:18
Three games we're not picking this week that you're excited,
19:21
that we're excited to watch. All right, I think I kind of
19:24
cheated on this. I'm going to mention my three.
19:26
I'll I'll say the three that made the cut, but I'm giving you
19:29
the card, OK? If you're listening to this
19:32
because you love college ball, OK, We know the listeners.
19:35
I'm going to mention all 5. OK, I've got 5.
19:38
Here's the two honorable mentions.
19:39
OK, I'll give those to you. First Backyard Brawl.
19:42
OK, we've got pit at West Virginia.
19:46
All right, this is the first Backyard Brawl with Rich
19:48
Rodriguez back in the head coach's chair.
19:51
You know, they had they had a loss last week.
19:53
It was ugly. They were looking ahead to this
19:56
game. All right, Jacob, what if I told
19:58
you this was the first game that was ever?
20:03
Broadcast on the radio. I didn't realize that I was
20:06
looking up some stuff about this game, trying to get some inspo.
20:09
1921, the first American football game ever over the
20:12
radio. Backyard Brawl.
20:16
This is, you know, industrial folks of Pittsburgh versus the
20:20
mountain folks of West Virginia. So kind of a clash of cultures.
20:25
Anyways, that one has always stood out to me.
20:28
Pitt owns the all time series by like 20 games of 6063 to 45
20:32
something like that. So they they hold that they are
20:36
they are favored 6 1/2 points. I don't know man, I just feel
20:39
like the loss last week for for West Virginia.
20:42
I think it's related to this. You know what we'll see this is
20:45
going to be a game it's going to be a brawl.
20:47
So other one Jacob is Duke goes to Tulane.
20:52
That's just like it wasn't ACC team travelling to, I mean,
20:56
former SEC team Tulane. But yeah, dude, Jake Ratzlaff, I
21:02
think he's going to have a game, you know, against them.
21:05
It's straight up it's a pick em. Basically it's a 1/2 a point is
21:08
the line, I think the last I saw.
21:09
So a pick em for Duke team going and travelling against Tulane.
21:17
That one. I mean, Tulane is building their
21:19
resume right now alongside South Florida as who is going to
21:23
represent the group of six in the playoff.
21:26
And so this is the next step for them.
21:28
All right, now we got my honorable mentions out of the
21:31
way. Here's the three that I think
21:34
and let let the haters talk about it.
21:38
All right, SEC Homer, here it is.
21:39
OK. There are three great stinky SEC
21:43
games all in the peripheral. OK, One of them.
21:47
Hey, Florida, what are you doing?
21:49
If you would have just beaten South Florida, you'd be on the
21:51
card this week. You'd be the one of the ones
21:53
we're talking about. Florida, LSU.
21:55
I don't think I've ever missed a Florida LSU game.
21:57
This game always sprouts legs. It's always something to just,
22:02
you know, hunker down, watch with, you know, watch a bated
22:06
breath. Something crazy is going to
22:07
happen in this game. It always does.
22:09
Usually the team that's favored is the team in turmoil during
22:13
this one. I'm excited to watch that one.
22:15
Florida's looking to bounce back.
22:16
They're looking to ruin LSU season.
22:18
LSU, it's is at home or the 8 1/2 point line.
22:22
That line stinks to me. I'm so I, I think nervous to
22:25
pick that game. I'm glad we don't have to.
22:27
I'd lean at LSU still 8 1/2 points.
22:31
That stinks. All right, Arkansas is going to
22:34
Oxford, playing Ole Miss right after Ole Miss has that survival
22:38
game against Kentucky. They jump up to #3 in the XPR.
22:42
They're patting themselves on the back, all right.
22:44
All of a sudden now they're playing Taylon Green and the
22:47
sleepy Arkansas wild hog Razorbacks, OK?
22:51
Yep. 7 1/2 points for Ole Miss to lay.
22:57
I don't know, man. I think Arkansas might win this
22:59
one out, right? I'm not having to pick it.
23:01
I'm not going to. Arkansas is a dangerous team.
23:05
They catch you napping, OK, Right after.
23:07
They feel like they just escaped with their lives against
23:10
Kentucky with a barely healthy quarterback.
23:13
Now they got to play a team that's just got to put it on
23:16
them. Last game, maybe the best game.
23:20
Is this the best game of the day that we just don't even know
23:22
about? And is it Vandy in South
23:24
Carolina? This one's going to settle a
23:27
lot. And people will laugh at that
23:29
because of Vanderbilt, just the name and the logo and everything
23:32
like that. But these two teams both have a
23:35
common opponent. South Carolina was praised by
23:38
us, by me for beating Virginia Tech.
23:41
And you know, Lenore Sellers, you know, Heisman darling, he's
23:45
a favorite. What did he put it on him?
23:46
Dude, they spanked Virginia Tech.
23:49
Now, of course, we know the transitive property is 100% in
23:52
college football. So obviously this means that
23:56
Vanderbilt's going to destroy South Carolina, right?
23:58
South Carolina is at home laying 5 1/2 points.
24:01
So they're the favorite, Dude, That one's got that one has two
24:06
marquee quarterbacks in it. When have you ever said that
24:09
about a Vanderbilt and South Carolina matchup?
24:12
I know. Not since Jay Cutler maybe, and
24:15
I don't even know who the South Carolina quarterback was at the
24:17
time in the early 2000s. So this is awesome.
24:20
So very cool. Excited to watch that one.
24:23
That's like, that might be game of the week.
24:25
We picked these other four games.
24:27
We might go back and be like, dude, did you see South Carolina
24:30
Vanderbilt? So anyways.
24:32
Yeah, no, it's, it's one that we, you know, it's again, we
24:35
left in the cutting room floor for games to pick this week.
24:38
That's a ranked matchup according to the XPR, for what
24:40
it's worth #21 at #18 So I'm excited that I for that one.
24:44
All right, Daniel, third quarter for me. 3U matchups to watch.
24:48
I'm also going to mention a few because I mean, several made the
24:51
cut. I'll give you the top three.
24:53
One, Tennessee versus Georgia. This should be a very clean
24:57
uniform matchup. I think it always is the red
25:00
versus that color orange. I think pops and you get, again,
25:04
I've talked about this, there's something about like a like the
25:08
home team is wearing white, color white.
25:11
The away team is going to wear color, white color, which so the
25:14
contrast there is going to be very good. 2 great uniforms.
25:19
Well, you said this one always is, Jacob.
25:22
Tennessee sometimes likes to throw on their smoky Grays or
25:26
they're black when they do that. Throw it out as the matchup, OK?
25:30
Well, that's why I wanted to. Clarify uniform, you know.
25:33
No thank you. As long as.
25:34
They're wearing their This is stuff.
25:35
It's beautiful. Yes, big ass dress.
25:37
So that's funny. If you could see my notes I
25:39
wrote should get when I wrote out the uniform, like the combo
25:43
versus combo, I said it's what we should get.
25:45
Right, right. And This is why it's matchups to
25:48
watch. The award is not awarded until
25:50
after game day when when it's on the field.
25:53
Got to see how it looks too. I will say the award from last
25:56
week for uniform of the week did go to Oklahoma and Michigan.
25:59
It was everything we thought it might be.
26:01
Michigan wore the maze pants. They listened to the podcast.
26:04
They changed from blue to maze. Thank God.
26:07
It looked unbelievable under the light.
26:09
So shout out to that uniform. What?
26:10
Did Jacob Karns with AK say on Twitter?
26:13
With AK? Yeah.
26:14
All right, all right. LSU in Florida is my second one.
26:20
Here's the thing, I do wish UF would have worn all blue.
26:23
They announced what they're wearing every week this season.
26:26
They're wearing white pants. It's still going to be a good
26:29
matchup. But Florida wearing all blue in
26:32
this one is elite. Yeah, it's still going to be
26:35
very good. This is one of the best, I think
26:36
one of the best uniform matchups in college football.
26:39
This game is usually played at night.
26:41
Add some pops, those uniforms under the lights, it's going to
26:44
be very good. Lastly, again, this is this is
26:47
not going to surprise you, Daniel.
26:48
I go with big brands because I think big brands, the best
26:50
uniforms for the most part, Notre Dame and Texas A&M, you
26:54
get a blue versus a shade of red, which always looks good.
26:57
This should be two very classy uniforms.
27:00
I do hope that Texas A&M wears a maroon helmet and not go all
27:05
white. I don't think that would look as
27:06
good as if they went, you know, like maroon, white, maroon or
27:11
maroon, white. White would be fine, but you
27:13
know you're going to get the classic gold over Navy over gold
27:17
for Notre Dame classic matchup under the lights, that golden
27:22
helmet's going to look gorgeous. A few other ones I've got my eye
27:24
on. If Miami wears orange and USF
27:27
wears green, that'll look cool on screen like wears green pants
27:31
like they did at Florida. Ole Miss in Arkansas, depending
27:35
on what Ole Miss wears, could be good.
27:37
Like if they're wearing some blue and Arkansas's got the red
27:39
and that could be pretty good. Cow in Minnesota again has the
27:43
ability to have some interesting combos.
27:45
There's a there's a bone to throw over there.
27:50
Yeah, we, we should get some, we should get some good matchups
27:52
this weekend. Arizona, Kansas State, I'm on
27:54
that one. But those are the three I've I'm
27:57
excited to see on the field on Saturday.
28:01
Daniel, let's dive into it, man. There's there's some big games
28:03
this weekend. Let's not waste any time.
28:05
Fourth quarter, 4 picks against the spread.
28:07
We start at high noon in Atlanta, GA Tech hosting
28:11
Clemson. This line has dropped, Daniel.
28:13
The line is now at 3 1/2. The started at closer to a
28:16
touchdown. Clemson comes off with a loss at
28:19
home to LSU. They struggle with Troy at home.
28:23
They were down by 16 at home at one point to Troy.
28:26
They come back and win that game.
28:27
Georgia Tech look good against Colorado, kind of play with
28:30
their food last week. He gets the lost your opponent.
28:32
They get this home game. Now it gets Clemson.
28:34
This game has been circled by both teams.
28:36
Clemson the 3 1/2 point favorite on the road.
28:38
Who do you like on the flights on Saturday?
28:39
Is Hanes king healthy? Good question.
28:42
If he is so they I keep. I've heard something about a
28:45
shoulder that's gonna last him his lifetime or something like
28:49
that and everything under the sun.
28:52
Oh, yeah. It was just a quick, you know,
28:53
he's just banged up. And obviously this week they,
28:56
they could play whoever they wanted to.
28:58
And Aaron Philo is definitely not a, you know, he's not a
29:04
silver, silver medalist himself. He's a, he's a good, good player
29:07
in his own right. Had a good day.
29:09
This just feels like a lot of people are are fading Clemson
29:14
based off of their stinker of a week last week.
29:16
I just think there's so much build up to Week 1.
29:18
I think they played really good defense.
29:20
I think that they got lucky to be as close as they were to LSU.
29:24
But I think that's more credit to LSU being good and Clemson
29:29
being in the right place at the right time constantly.
29:32
But when they played last week, that was it was concerning.
29:36
That being said, I like Clemson to win this one.
29:41
I don't want it makes me nervous. 3 1/2 points that they
29:44
have to win by 4 because I do see Georgia Tech.
29:47
I mean, I, I see a a, you know, where they come in there and try
29:50
to, you know, bully Clemson and do that, you know, at least when
29:53
they're running the ball. But Clemson's got a very good
29:56
defense. Yeah, let me go ahead.
29:58
I'm going to lay all the points. I'm not going to try to middle
30:00
it. I get in trouble when I try to
30:01
middle things. Jacob, you know this.
30:03
I tried to middle the, the Michigan, Oklahoma game.
30:06
I should have just taken Oklahoma out right with laying
30:08
the points. Give me Clemson, I'm going to
30:10
lay these points. 3 1/2 feel like you get it at a discount
30:14
because the line dropped. Georgia Tech is a formidable
30:17
opponent. Obviously, you and I both, you
30:20
know, said stuff like that. This is at Bobby Dodd, it's at
30:24
noon. There's going to be a ton of
30:26
Clemson fans there, you know, short drive for them to come
30:30
attend this game. Georgia Tech is not a pushover.
30:33
Like there are some years where it's a slam dunk.
30:35
Obviously we wouldn't be talking about them right now if the way
30:37
they were. This defense is going to be the
30:39
difference for Clemson. I think people are really
30:42
enthralled with the offense from Georgia Tech and they're less,
30:46
you know, they're less hot on Clemson's offense and rightfully
30:50
so. Clemson needs to spark and have
30:53
a good have a good day. I think the the top, you know,
30:57
the best that George Tech has and the best that Clemson has is
31:00
going to be when Clemson's on defense and George Tech's on
31:03
offense. I like Clemson in that match up.
31:06
On the flip side, I think that Georgia Tech's defense has some
31:10
solid players. I think they're going to make
31:12
some plays here and there. Overall, I think Clemson has
31:15
enough to score. I think this is where you see
31:18
their breakout day for the wide receivers come.
31:20
I don't necessarily trust the Georgia Tech secondary.
31:23
I like their linebackers, I like their defensive line.
31:25
But I think you're going to see Klubnik run sideline to sideline
31:29
to try to spread them out a little bit.
31:31
And then I think you're going to see him go over the top to his
31:33
receivers a little bit. So give me Clemson by a
31:35
touchdown and wouldn't be surprised to see Georgia Tech in
31:40
this game till the very end. We're in lockstep also.
31:42
I mean, I have Clemson 27 in this game.
31:45
Yeah, they lost against LSU. They were sloppy against Troy.
31:48
Tech had a good win against Colorado and they're fine last
31:51
week. Think people are overreacting to
31:53
Clemson? This is classic early season
31:55
overreactions. Like I said, it's a long season.
31:58
Clemson has better athletes at every position than Georgia Tech
32:01
does. They couldn't run the ball
32:03
against LSU. I think that changes against
32:06
Georgia Tech. I do not trust the Georgia Tech
32:08
run defense. They looked poor in both their
32:10
games. The Clemson defense has the
32:12
personality to challenge the run game against Tech.
32:14
They can load the box because I don't think Tech has the
32:17
receivers at all. The challenge Clemson secondary,
32:20
again very different than LSU. They don't have Georgia Tech
32:22
doesn't have the wide receivers to compete and win.
32:24
Therefore I think Clemson can man them up and send a sell out
32:28
to stop the run if they need to against this formidable Tech
32:31
offense. So I like Clemson by a touchdown
32:34
the road. I think the first spread that
32:36
came out the opening line was about a touchdown.
32:37
I think that was more right. I think again, public money is
32:41
overreacting to how Clemson looked the last two weeks.
32:44
And I get it. It's a lot of money's coming to
32:46
bring this line down. But I was very happy to see it
32:49
move because I let Clemson buy a touchdown of this game.
32:51
Give me the give me the Tigers to go on the road.
32:53
Tigers to win and cover. I'm with you.
32:55
We moved to 3:30, which is fun. Daniel.
32:57
We get, we get the best game of the SEC this week in a, you
33:00
know, the old prime time slot, which is 330I like the 330 prime
33:03
time for SEC games, Tennessee and Georgia.
33:06
Georgia is 1/8 straight. Daniel.
33:08
They didn't look great last week.
33:10
Tennessee has looked good two weeks in a row.
33:13
Nico, who definitely looks like they won the trade with the
33:16
quarterback. This line open near a touchdown.
33:19
It is also down to 3 1/2 the Vols underdogs at home this hypo
33:25
finally get his first win against Georgia.
33:27
Daniel, who do you like in Knoxville?
33:28
Yeah, it feels a lot like the one we just talked about a
33:31
little bit as far as the the heavy favorite kind of coming
33:34
back down from the clouds because of a a struggle win in
33:38
the previous week. And the underdog continue to
33:40
look impressive. Now, Tennessee's look more
33:42
impressive this season, I would say maybe than Georgia Tech did.
33:46
But yeah, I did completely agree.
33:49
Joey Aguilar fits this offense. He's moving around and then he's
33:54
able to he throws the deep ball so well.
33:57
And you know, like, this isn't to drag like Nico or anything.
34:00
Even the Tennessee fans probably love that the last year Nico is
34:06
good in the short intermediate game and he was good line of
34:09
scrimmage kind of thing, but he just had she struggle with a
34:13
deep ball and his pocket mobility wasn't wasn't quite
34:16
there. He kind of looked a little
34:17
clumsy. Now, you know, last year they
34:20
had to win a lot of games defensively and with Dylan
34:22
Sampson Pound in the rock this year they kind of get to win it
34:25
the other way with, you know, lighten up the scoreboard
34:28
spreading everybody out and out. Obviously last week was East
34:30
Tennessee State, but they didn't struggle with them like Georgia
34:33
did with Austin P And then week one against Syracuse, I mean,
34:38
that's at least a well coached team.
34:39
We don't know exactly about all their personnel just yet because
34:42
they had to replace everybody and then they kind of struggled
34:45
against UConn. But you know what, that remains
34:49
to be seen. All this to say, I think that it
34:51
was good to see for Tennessee these receivers making plays
34:56
after all the guys they lost last year.
34:58
You're kind of seeing that production return and timing is
35:02
working out well for Aguilar and these guys.
35:05
The big question here is, you know, was was Georgia like you
35:08
had mentioned in your your quarter 2, your question about
35:11
was Georgia playing with their food?
35:13
Were they one of the one of those big, you know, name brand
35:16
schools playing with their, you know, FCS opponent or whoever?
35:21
Georgia has not gotten to play a big game yet.
35:24
They this is Georgia's first big game.
35:26
So you wonder if that things are going to be different.
35:29
Gunner Stockton did not look impressive against Austin P
35:32
curious about his downfield throwing and things of that
35:36
nature. Georgia did a lot of shuffling.
35:38
All the offensive line had that big rain delay or lightning
35:42
delay and then had moved the game time around due to weather.
35:45
So I don't know if it was like Georgia just struggling or if
35:49
this had other things to do with it.
35:51
I have to go based on what I just think to be true.
35:56
Like you said, Georgia has won eight in a row in this rivalry.
36:00
That's not to say they're going to win the rest of them for the
36:02
till the end of time. I do like the matchup of Kirby
36:06
Smart versus Josh Hypel because I think Josh Hypel's offense
36:10
does great against a certain caliber of athlete.
36:13
And I think Georgia has, I don't want to say they've cracked the
36:17
code, but I think that they can kind of stymie that attack a
36:21
little bit and they can kind of hold it at Bay.
36:24
And these will be the best cornerbacks that Tennessee will
36:27
have faced all year. Georgia's, you know, too deep on
36:29
each side. They've got 4 phenomenal
36:32
cornerbacks. Tennessee's going into this game
36:34
with both starting cornerbacks still out for the third week in
36:38
a row, they're still not there. Nobody has been able to, I mean,
36:40
I say nobody. Syracuse was able to throw the
36:42
ball on them. It was just too little, too
36:44
late. Obviously, East Tennessee is not
36:46
going to do that. What's going to break first?
36:49
Is Tennessee secondary going to break first or is Georgia's
36:52
receivers going to, you know, are they going to make plays?
36:55
That's the biggest question I have.
36:56
I think that I saw Stat Hypo's offense average is 34 points a
37:00
game, but against Georgia it's 14 points a game.
37:04
So it's a 20 point difference. I foresee that to be the case.
37:07
I think that this game is going to be in the teens and 20s
37:10
against each other. I don't see this one being high
37:12
scoring. I think that you're going to
37:13
have a, you know, maybe 24 to 17 kind of victory.
37:18
I liked Georgia at around a touchdown.
37:21
Now you're kind of getting it at a discount, 3 1/2 points.
37:24
I don't think you've seen Georgia's best, nor do I think
37:26
you'll necessarily see it on Saturday, but I think you'll see
37:30
the best they've been so far this year.
37:33
Give me the dogs, lay the points.
37:34
I trust them. I trust Kirby with the defense.
37:37
The defense has looked very strong this year.
37:39
I know the opponents have been bad, but if you look at Georgia
37:42
the past two years against lesser opponents, they have not
37:45
been stopping the run. They have been not sideline to
37:49
sideline like we saw them in their national championship
37:51
years. Georgia looks like their defense
37:53
is back to that kind of category.
37:56
So that's where my confidence for Georgia comes in.
37:59
But I certainly don't think George is going to run away and
38:01
hide with this one. Like I would think if they were
38:05
playing better or if Tennessee looked worse than they've looked
38:07
so far. Tennessee's looked pretty strong
38:09
so far. Georgia looks off Higgins,
38:11
Austin P line opens up with a touchdown and dude, everybody
38:17
saying too many points. Line comes all the way down to 3
38:19
1/2. I've already seen a lot of
38:21
national guys being like who look at the camera and say, who
38:25
do I trust more in this game? I can't believe I'm saying this,
38:28
but I think it's Tennessee. Daniel, what does this sound
38:31
like? This sounds like 2022-2023 and
38:36
2024 under Josh Hypel against Kirby Smart.
38:39
This is the tale as oldest time. Look, it's Gunner's first SEC
38:41
start in the road. I go back to how Carson Beck
38:44
looked against South Carolina at home in 2023 on the road at
38:47
Auburn. And it was after that game and
38:49
Kirby and Mike Bobo said that's when they finally trusted Carson
38:53
was like they needed to go see him do it on the road and RIP
38:55
it. He was hesitant at home against
38:56
South Carolina. He had to come from behind and
38:59
win at Auburn. Had a couple big throws to win
39:01
that game. Gunner has to go out there and
39:03
earn it this week. They were open guys last week.
39:05
I thought he threw the threw the long ball better in game one,
39:08
the Game 2. I think the biggest concern for
39:11
George in this game is downfield passing.
39:14
But I don't think they're going to need it to beat Tennessee
39:19
this week #1 Tennessee's starting two corners are out
39:22
this week, and I think Georgia's wide receiver room is the best
39:25
they've had under Kirby Smart and Dinga.
39:29
This is a game where I think Georgia embodies the identity
39:32
that Kirby Smart wants this team to have.
39:34
I think last year they got away from the identity and they won
39:37
the SEC. Kirby Smart said that was the
39:38
best coaching job that he and his staff has done at Georgia
39:41
was with that team. This team seems to embody the
39:44
identity Kirby Smart has set for this team.
39:46
The offense looks night and day running the ball from it did
39:50
last year, both from an effort in an athlete standpoint.
39:53
This defense has been the kryptonite for Josh Hypel.
39:56
Like you mentioned, in four starts against Georgia, Hypo's
39:59
offense has scored 171310 and 17.
40:03
So how many points does Georgia need to win this game?
40:06
I'm going to say they need 20 points to win this game.
40:08
And do I think Georgia can score 20 points?
40:11
Even if the downhill passing is not there against the Tennessee
40:14
defense, I absolutely do. Georgia's won this game.
40:17
I have margined a victory of 24/14/28 and 14 points the last
40:21
four trips. The biggest margins of victory
40:24
actually coming on the road in Knoxville the last two times
40:29
they've played there, 24 and 28 points.
40:32
This will be the first real look at Georgia.
40:33
I think we've seen Georgia play with their food multiple times
40:37
that are Kirby Smart. He saw it in 22 against Sanford.
40:40
He saw it in 22 and that a year against Kent State.
40:43
He saw it in 23 against UAB. Georgia kind of does this,
40:46
Daniel. I think for the first time in
40:47
two years we see the boa constrictor on Saturday.
40:50
I think Georgia and Tennessee is a very close game for 1/2 and I
40:54
think Georgia is going to sit there and sit on Tennessee and
40:56
squeeze the lifeout of them my life to Georgia by a touchdown.
40:59
I like Georgia by 10 plus in this game.
41:01
I do like this game to go under. I think Georgia wins this game
41:04
27 to 13, which would actually match that 22 score in that game
41:09
in Athens. I think Kirby Smart is fine
41:11
winning this game by one point. I think it looks like a few of
41:14
these games where Georgia gets a lead in the third quarter and is
41:18
like, yeah, I don't. I just don't think Tennessee is
41:20
going to score much. So Georgia to win and cover this
41:23
is a tale his oldest time. Until it happens, I'm going to
41:26
really trust that Kirby Smart's got Josh Hypel's number.
41:29
And I'm not just saying that because of previous year's
41:31
results. Even from what I've seen from
41:33
this year, I think people have way overblown the performance
41:36
last week and kind of looped it in.
41:38
I've heard someone say George's looked terrible through two
41:40
weeks. They looked dominant in week one
41:42
against Marshall. They had the second highest net
41:45
success rate against Marshall in week 1.
41:48
And any team in the country. And again, it's not to see you
41:50
play, it's how bad how you beat them.
41:51
Georgia handled business. They did not handle business
41:54
last week, but I've seen enough of like looping in like
41:58
Georgia's looked terrible this season and Tennessee's looked
42:00
great when they, you know, they finally got ahead and beat a
42:04
Syracuse team that almost lost at home to UConn.
42:07
Then they dominated, you know, ETSU, they took care of it is
42:11
what they should have done. I just think the books knew what
42:13
they were doing. They opened this at a touchdown
42:15
and similar to 2022 Daniel, this game opened up at a that a 10
42:19
point line in 2022. It came all the way back down to
42:23
6 1/2 and then around game time the sharps came on and bet UGA
42:29
back up the 10 before game time. So this is the lowest points
42:33
where we've had in this rivalry game and I think it was
42:37
literally 8 years since Georgia started winning.
42:39
So I think Georgia gets a ninth in the row here against
42:42
Tennessee and Knoxville. Really excited to watch this
42:43
game. I'm going to have to see it to
42:45
believe it. If I think Tennessee is going to
42:46
beat Georgia. Let's go to Miami and USF, a
42:51
ranked match up. You know, USF was the look ahead
42:56
game for Florida last week. Now they're in a look ahead spot
42:59
with Miami this week, kind of. But now they're the rank match
43:03
up. Miami can't overlook this game.
43:05
Daniel, is this the best live event ever on The CW?
43:09
Probably. Yeah, either that's some, either
43:12
that or the, I mean, the best live sporting event, the, you
43:16
know, Riverdale season finale probably was.
43:19
Yeah, I'm just kidding. We'll see.
43:22
This, this is for sure, for sure.
43:24
Yeah, who do you like in Miami? Yeah, this one, I mean, South
43:27
Florida, I just think of them as like that meme with like the
43:30
Grim Reaper where they keep going into the room and killing.
43:33
You know, it's like the first one they kill is Boise State.
43:36
Their playoff chances are gone. Then they go in and kill
43:39
Florida. Is Miami next?
43:41
Like, are they going to do this to Miami as well?
43:44
I actually love this line. I think that this is spot on for
43:48
for how I feel about this game. I think Miami, what we've seen
43:52
from them so far, being dominant on lines of scrimmage where
43:57
maybe it wasn't expecting to see that so far this season.
44:01
Miami being a little bit a tougher out than we we maybe had
44:06
envisioned going into the year. They're #10 in our XPR.
44:10
Obviously they've got Carson back at quarterback, but it
44:12
really seems like this identity is a little bit different.
44:16
It kind of seems more like a crystal ball team where, you
44:19
know, they're really good on both lines of scrimmage.
44:22
I think that that's going to be tough for USF to overcome.
44:26
And I think that you're going to see the value of like being in a
44:30
a bigger, tougher conference, whereas USF, they're not used to
44:35
taking these blows one week after the other.
44:37
So having Florida last week, they're, you know, in their
44:41
honeymoon phase of winning that game.
44:43
I think the Cinderella story's over.
44:44
Think they're going to lose this game to Miami. 17 points is
44:48
really where where I'm at. I really think that Miami could,
44:51
you know, it's 3 possessions, but you know, not something
44:55
where they're completely blowing them out.
44:57
I think I'm going to go ahead and take Miami to cover the
45:00
points though, 17 1/2. It's right there where I really
45:05
want to take the points with South Florida, but I'm just
45:08
going to take Miami. I feel like there is a chance
45:10
that once the the back has been broken, that does kind of get
45:14
away late, perhaps a late cover touchdown after after, you know,
45:20
the game is basically been won at the kind of put the nail in
45:23
the coffin. But give me Miami, lay the
45:25
points, South Florida, great story, good opponent.
45:29
This isn't like they're just playing nobody, but going
45:32
back-to-back weeks against this physical of team is just going
45:35
to be too tough. Yeah, this is, you know, I would
45:38
still argue this is look ahead spot despite South Florida being
45:41
on firmly on the radar. They still have 40 next week.
45:45
I'm with you on that. This is a line of scrimmage
45:47
game. USF doesn't have the guys.
45:49
And here's the thing, I, I I think Miami has a serious
45:51
advantage on both lines of scrimmage.
45:54
I would have said that last week going into the Florida game.
45:56
And I just don't think Florida's opposite line is nearly as good
46:00
as I thought it was going to be right.
46:02
South Florida's defensive line was able to get some push.
46:04
I don't think I've already seen Miami's both lines of scrimmage
46:07
be very good against Notre Dame, who has whose identity as a
46:11
program is good in the lines of scrimmage show.
46:13
I trust Miami's lines of scrimmage a lot more in this
46:17
game. Therefore, I worry about USF,
46:19
especially their past defense against Beck and these
46:21
receivers. I'm with you on the I just don't
46:24
think I don't think they're going to win the game.
46:26
That being said, it's 17 1/2 points.
46:28
Yeah. I think it's too many points by
46:31
1/2 point. Like I really do see this is
46:33
like a 38 to 21 game where maybe USF scores a late touchdown to
46:38
get a cover and it was 3814. And Miami's like, look, we've
46:41
got a long season. We've got Florida next week,
46:43
let's put the backups in. And the half point does scare me
46:47
enough. And USFI think this is a Super
46:51
Bowl. They could go beat Florida and
46:52
Miami. My wife's also a USF graduate.
46:56
So give me the Bulls and the points.
46:57
I think Miami wins. I think it's convincing.
47:01
Give me South Florida, the Bulls and the 17 1/2 points.
47:05
I think Miami might win this thing by 17 and I'll be sitting
47:08
here with a with a South Florida cover I meant to bring.
47:12
I've got a South Florida hat meant to wear that today, but
47:17
that's OK. It's with us in spirit.
47:20
The nightcap, Daniel on NBC, the Golden Dome touchdown.
47:25
Jesus, South Bend IN Notre Dame versus texting.
47:29
This is a great game. Last year that Notre Dame kind
47:31
of got into an early lead. Do they get to an early lead or
47:34
they break it open late? I know it never seemed like A&M
47:36
had a chance in the game. It was either the guy totally
47:39
lead and sat on him or it was neck and neck and it felt like
47:42
Notre Dame should have had to lead the whole time.
47:44
Now I can't remember, but Notre Dame gets the return trip from
47:46
Texas A&M. They won in week one in
47:49
Aggieland last year. Now Texas A&M's got to go to
47:52
South Bend. first Test for A&M. Notre Dame's been tested.
47:57
Both teams need this win great out of conference matchup.
48:00
Dingo, who do you like in South Bend?
48:02
Yeah. So Notre Dame so far this season
48:05
and Notre Dame has has looked the part that when they played
48:08
against Miami, I thought they were just going to fill out
48:12
physical Miami, Miami out physical them and really
48:16
dominated the middle eight of the game right at the end of
48:20
half, beginning of the next half.
48:21
And I think that's what really put put Notre Dame kind of
48:25
behind the 8 ball. The fact that they came storming
48:27
back and made that a game and almost almost won the game there
48:30
at the end they tied it. I think that's going to say a
48:33
lot about this team. I think Notre Dame comes out to
48:35
win. I'm curious with Texas A&M, we
48:39
still have not seen, we haven't seen Reed have to do too much in
48:48
the past game. He's been like a one read down
48:50
the field and and take off with the ball.
48:54
I don't think that that could win you the game against Notre
48:57
Dame. If he kind of, you know,
49:00
develops a little bit in this game and and you start to see
49:03
him make plays to those receivers.
49:06
I I feel a little bit better about texting him hanging in
49:08
there. Marcel Reed, us us trying to
49:11
filibuster while is finding his name and his last name was Reed.
49:14
He's their leading rusher this year as well.
49:17
So, you know, I've got questions about about that Jacob.
49:20
They're one of the teams that I said at the beginning of the
49:22
year, I would not be surprised if they make the playoff.
49:24
I think I had them actually in my playoff.
49:26
I wouldn't be surprised if they want one.
49:29
The SEC in the sense that they have the talent to do so.
49:33
They're over 80% in the blue chip ratio, team talent
49:37
composites very high. They've got guys on this team
49:41
that could play. I think most of the developed
49:43
talent is on the defensive side of the ball, so I do think that
49:47
that's going to lead to this being a low scoring game.
49:49
I just think Notre Dame is too good of a team at home to lose.
49:53
They've only played the one game against Miami, so they've been
49:56
sitting on it for two weeks. So yeah, give me, give me the
50:00
Irish. I'm going to lay the points.
50:02
It's a 7 point spread. It's just, I mean, I would argue
50:06
it's a stinker if it was 6 1/2. I feel good about touchdown. 7
50:10
points. I mean, no, give me, but I think
50:14
by the end of that, we're looking at a Notre Dame 10 point
50:16
win. And I think it's low scoring.
50:18
I think you're looking at 2414 kind of a game where Notre Dame
50:23
is really, you know, put the clamps on this Texas A&M
50:26
offense. But just over the course of the
50:30
game, you know, I think Notre Dame has had an identity check
50:34
against Miami and you're going to see CJ Carr not in his first
50:38
game, he'll be in his second game.
50:40
And I think Jeremiah Love will get more carries and they'll,
50:45
you know, kind of, hey, let's play the hits, Let's do what got
50:49
us to the College Football Playoff last year, to the
50:52
national championship game. Let's do that again this year.
50:55
And again, I feel like they're going to be right there where
50:58
they need to be. Give me the Irish lead points.
51:01
OK. What's the other names identity
51:03
this year? That's the question I have is CJ
51:06
Carr, at least through a couple games and he actually got tested
51:09
in week 1. Don't think he's the answer
51:11
through the air yet. The receivers I have some
51:13
questions about. I will say, Daniel, I disagree a
51:16
little bit in that I don't know if this is as low scoring as you
51:20
say it's going to be. Neither defense has lived up to
51:23
their team standard yet. Both of these head coaches have
51:27
a very high standard of excellence when it comes to
51:29
defense. I don't think either defense has
51:32
lived up to that standard yet. I mean, Texas saying it gave up
51:35
over 20 points to UTSA and Utah State, I don't think that's up
51:40
to their standard as a defense. Texas A&M's passing offense is
51:43
an improvement on last year. Still waiting to see more from
51:47
the rushing offense from A and MI Do think like when when Notre
51:51
Dame's passing the ball, I do think Texas A&M's past defense
51:55
has the advantage when that's going on in this game.
51:58
Now when Notre Dame's rushed the ball, I actually think Notre
52:00
Dame's offense is a big advantage rushing so far at
52:03
least we look at opponent adjusted stats like texting.
52:06
Texting his defense have been one of the worst in the country
52:08
gets the run thus far, which isn't good when you're playing
52:10
bad opponents, especially against UTSA in game one, their
52:14
running back went 16 carries for 177 yards against the Texas A&M
52:18
defense. That's not a great sign when
52:20
you're about to go up against a Notre Dame offensive line and
52:23
Jeremiah Love on the other side. And then when texting him is on
52:26
offense, I do like their passing offense better.
52:30
I guess the Notre Dame pass defense that obviously they lost
52:34
like some corners and safety to the draft last year, but I do
52:37
think A&M has an advantage there at receiver and with Marshall
52:39
Reed. But then again, if I look at the
52:41
other side when Texas A&M is running the ball, I love Notre
52:44
Dame's run defense to actually hold them down.
52:46
Like Beck was able to get some air yards, but they pretty much
52:48
shut down Miami's run game. I'm in that game, especially
52:50
when they started coming back. I do think it's going to be a
52:53
close game and I'll take the team.
52:56
They can stop the run and run the ball better in Notre Dame.
53:00
But at 7:00, I think it's gonna be a closer game and I think
53:04
it's gonna be a higher scoring than last year.
53:05
Last year this was 24 to 13 in College Station.
53:09
I think Notre Dame Wednesday and you're like 31 to 28, which
53:12
would go over the number here. So I like it to be, and I say
53:16
not high scoring. I think higher scoring compared
53:18
to last year, right, compared to what these teams are used to.
53:21
So I like Notre Dame to win. I do like A&M to cover on the
53:25
road here. I think I'm with you on like 6
53:28
1/2. I would be very tempted to take
53:30
Notre Dame at 7:00. I just, I've seen Notre Dame.
53:33
I haven't seen AM yet. I don't know enough.
53:35
But from what I've seen, I think they can hang with them on the
53:38
road and I don't think either one of these teams are going to
53:40
blow the other one out. I'm confident Notre Dame wins.
53:44
I'm taking the points with Tex A&M.
53:46
So that that completes my, you know, this is my week of the
53:49
road teams. I took every Rd. team either as
53:52
a favorite or took points with Rd. teams this week.
53:54
So this is my roads. Favorites.
53:56
I'm realizing that. Hey, you should get at least 50%
54:00
then you know I get the spread. Yeah, we, by the way, we have
54:04
our own little formula. I guess we're doing.
54:06
You're going all Rd. I'm going all favorites and
54:08
we'll see which one ends up working.
54:10
See what? Works out, right.
54:12
We are both four and five on the season.
54:14
So that's sitting at, I'm looking here 44% against the
54:19
number. We both need a three in one
54:20
week, which we can do. We can, we can both, you know,
54:23
get the games we picked together correctly and then split the
54:26
other ones. And that would get us both at at
54:29
4:00 and 1:00, which would be a a win for the pod.
54:32
Go three and one, get us above 500 and then live above there
54:35
for the rest of the season, which would be great.
54:37
Absolutely. Be sure to follow us here at the
54:40
Extra Point pod on YouTube, Facebook and Instagram.
54:43
We'll see it next week with our Week 4 episode with our four
54:47
quarters recap in Week 3 and picking the next week the week
54:51
ahead. Be sure to follow Daniel on
54:53
Twitter at New South. Daniel, you can follow me on
54:55
Twitter at Jacob Karns with AK. That'll do it for this edition
54:58
of The Extra Point. He is Daniel.
55:00
I am Jacob. See ya.