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PGA Round 2 Showdown - RBC Heritage | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 04/17/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Storm's going clear. We left.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: We are live touching on a round to showdown a
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: little bit of round one talk. As we get into
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: the weekend at Hilton Head. I know there's still golfers
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: on the golf course. They probably have like two hours
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: left out there. Some of the final guys are taking
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: the turn onto the back nine. But we got a
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: ton of dat, We got a ton of information to
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: talk round one, see who did what and what to
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: look for in round two. So we had a couple
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: of guys shoot rounds of sixty four, sixty five or better.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: Ludvig get going low first round leader right now, I
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: do think that's gonna hold up. Harry E and Victor
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: shot seven, Michael Brandon, Gary Woodland shot six under, and
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: then there's a few other guys on the golf course
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: still at five under. Andrew Novak's a five under right now,
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: dB finished drive under, Ryan Fox, Rickey Fowler got to
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: six as well. So I wanted to touch on and see
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: how those guys did it and see if we can
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: find anything in their stat lines to see what they
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: did going into round two. So Ludvig, it was comedy approach.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: It was just striping the ball from Teter Green. He
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: didn't even he didn't even hit a ton of fairways.
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: He just hit it in the right spot and got
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: so hot on approach. This Harris English. Harris English stat
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: line is not something I'm really gonna write home about.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: It was all putter. I think he's first in the
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: field and putting so far, and not something like, yeah,
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: he's first in the field and putting. But also what
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: I do say about putting sometimes is we get on
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: here and we talk like, oh X guy puts so well,
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: fadom in round two, oh X guy put horribly. He's
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: got a put well in round in round two. That's
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: not always the case. We see guy guys luck sacked
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: for multiple days in a row and you're like, damn,
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: this guy is always gonna blow up. Then he just doesn't.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: So Harris English, I don't think he's just gonna explode.
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: But he's not gonna shoot another sixty four tomorrow. Maybe
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: he'll he'll be a low owed, showdown target if you
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: want to go back to him. But Victor Holin, he
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: was another solid, all green, solid putter. Didn't do anything
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: in terms of too much pop approach. Michael Brennan pop
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: approach really solid keeping that form from Augusta going Gary
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Wooden was all green, gained an all four category. Was
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: really nice to see. Fox had an unsustainable, unsustainable stat line.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: He really was really around the green base. And then
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: Ricky just finished up really solid on approach, fifth in
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: the field so far on approach, and then Novak is
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: five under. He's fourth in the field and approach right
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: now training the right direction. So the almighty, the almighty
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: outlier right now is approach play. It's separating. It's gonna
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: separate going forward. It's what we thought was going to
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: separate over the first few days of handicapping this golf tournament.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: So it's no surprise to see the approach guys coming
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: to for tuition in round one of the RBC Heritage. Look,
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: let's look at a current wave split. See how the
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: golfers are playing so far. It shouldn't be much so
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: right now the PM guys are getting lower, but they
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: haven't played that final final few holes. We can see
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: seventeen eighteen get a little bit hard, but nonetheless, like
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think this is gonna be too far or different.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: I think this is going to be very close, but tomorrow,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: we might get an advantage. Looking at the weather for tomorrow,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: Friday morning looks a lot calmer than Friday afternoon. We
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: saw those tea times going out earlier. They're going out
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: in two, So I think if you can get a
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: sep what time they going out tomorrow, because they went
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: out like seven thirty this morning, right, let's see what
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: time they go out tomorrow. Round two, they're at seven
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: oh five today, they go out tomorrow seven oh five.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: So if you can get a tea time from seven
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: o'clock to ten o'clock, and you don't have to play
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: in these stronger wins and stronger gus Like we're getting
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: twenty mile an hour gusted at four o'clock. We're getting
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: sixty miles an minin an hour gusts at eight o'clock.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: I know it's only six miles an hour, but those
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: gusts when they get into the twenties are a big difference,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: especially when you get down by the water. So I
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: really do think an am split is gonna come to
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: fruition tomorrow. And I think we're early enough in the
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: in the in the week in the contest that people
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: are gonna be like all right, the PM played well tomorrow,
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: we don't have to stack it. But if we can
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: get ahead of a stack once the stacks, once this
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: wave splits happened, then we chase them. But it's hard
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: for people to get ahead of them, at least that's
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: what I've seen in my opinion, So I think we
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: can potentially get ahead of a am PM stack tomorrow.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Looking at contest selection for tomorrow, I really like this
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty dollars four max entry. Although it's ten
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: k up top and tenth place only gets eight hundred.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: I love the way that you can get I think
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: two point fifty is a fair amount for a single
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: lineup for like most of the people's structure. I know
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: it might be a little bit on the higher end,
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: but I think if you can get one lineup, if
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: you realize slate maybe two, there will be overlay for sure.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: And by overlay, I mean not everybody will max enter this.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: So if you put two lineups in there, you'll probably
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: be about field average in terms of a percentage of
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: guys that you have in your playerpool versus the pools
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: player pool. But with that being said, if you max
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: enter it, you're gonna have massive overlay and have a
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: much more percent chance to cash cash. And there's only
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy seven people. Ten thousand is not
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: crazy to win. It really isn't. If you have four
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: lineups in here, there's only one hundred and seventy seven people,
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: So for divided by one hundred seventy seven is sorry,
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: I always do this wrong. One seventy seven divided by
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: four is forty four. So everyone max enters this lineup,
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: you only have to beat four people. Not everybody will
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: max under this, and if they did, you can beat
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: forty four people. So I really think this contest is
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: really solid. Whenever they do these two fifty dollars four
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: maxes or those sixty dollars eight max I ll absolutely love.
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: So that is my contest of choice for tomorrow. The
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: code is already on the table. You can get all
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: of these projections, all of these sims. Oh that's a
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: slate plan. Everything in here for free, and as well
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: as the slate plan. So if you take what I'm gonna,
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: I keep looking the wrong thing, the showdown slate plan.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: If you take some of this core it's not up yet,
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: it will be up after the round. If you take
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: some of this core, some of these tier rankings, and
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: you pair it with these projections right here, these Showdown projections,
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: which will be up in a few hours. This is
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Round one obviously, and then you pair it with some
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: of the Showdown stone Like I said, like I always say,
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: not everything is always going to be one hundred percent perfect.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: But if you take three names from each you can
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: easily land on the nuts easily. So if you use
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: that code, Boots, it is all going to be free.
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: The next thing I want to talk talk about is
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: some stats, some guys and see who we're doing what.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: Who can we fade for tomorrow, who could potentially play
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: for tomorrow. Just get a nice little rundown on golfers
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: who are either doing things well, doing things where they
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: have to improve, or golfers who I think are gonna
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: fall back tomorrow. So like Harris English, although I said
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: he might not erupt tomorrow, I don't love that he
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: only gained point six off the tee only is about
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: zero one approach and gain five strokes in the short game.
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: That is obviously not sustainable. But like Harris English is
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: a good enough golfer to adjust. I just don't see
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: a full on, like plus three round coming from him.
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: I think he'll shoot like one or two on to tomorrow.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: Down here, this is kind of a perfect profile we're
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: looking for from Ricky Fowler. He's doing everything good, but
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: the approach play is really good, so he has room
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: to grow on the putt and green with the around
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: the green game. It's a little bit of driving. He
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: had a horrible drive in fifteen somebody Park, So Ricky
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Fowler is a perfect profile in my opinion for tomorrow.
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: Down the board a little bit right here, Bud Cauley.
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: He's gaining strokes off the tea, gaining a little bit
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: on approach, and just losing a little bit on the greens.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: I don't expect Bud caully to gain two and a
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: half strokes on approach, but Bud Cawley has the profile
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: to pair this this this green, green, green with a
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: pop on the putting greens. Bud Cauley in the six
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: k range, I think is a nice call there. Who
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: does this right here? Only through ten holes? But Mat
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: fitz Patrick is putting together a stat line that makes
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: a ton of sense for tomorrow, and he's going out
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: in the morning so I do like Mat fitz Patrick
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: and hot take. He likes Harbor Towns, so Matt fitz
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: Patrick is another good play. This is a Livig Sunday
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: crumble profile. Let's look at Lovevig's profile right now. I
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: don't know how much of a crumble it is. I'm
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: higher on Ludwig in terms of like figuring it out
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: that I think most people I know he has a
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: caddy problem. I think the caddy problem is real. But
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: he's been doing this so so so solidly. If he's
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: gaining three strokes on approach, he's not gonna gain three
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: strokes on approach pro round. But if he's gaining one
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: to three strokes that approach for round, and is this anemic?
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: I mean not an emick on the putt and green.
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: He can play okay and win this golf. For a minute,
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying I'm not gonna be out there saying
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: Livig is just gonna crumble because everyone's thinking that. So
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: let's find some more guys down the leaderboard. Let's look
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: for two more guys and then we'll get to the
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: one golfer that I am on. So who's this right here?
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: Shot two over today alex Norin. Alex Norn lost a
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: few strokes on off the tea. I wonder how accurate
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: he's driving it. If alex Norn is driving it accurately,
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I think he could be a sneaky, really solid play tomorrow,
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: even though he's in the afternoon. So alex Norn he
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: hit driving Actually he hits seven out of fourteen fairways.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: That's not bad. You know who else hit seven out
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: of fourteen fairways love Vig and he beat alex Norn
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: by ten strokes gain Sweden. I think alex Noran is
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: kind of a nice play for tomorrow because he is
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: where where are we? Because he is let me get
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: that back to Norman profile. He's about minus one on
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: the greens. That's okay. That can turn the around. The
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: green play was bad, but he's gaining on approach. The
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: approach is what we were looking for. So he is
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: gaining on approach. And he hit seven fairways today. I
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: think that will turn in the right direction for alex Norn.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: And then one more golfer down here is kind of
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: a mess. But you're gonna have to play somebody down here. Maybe,
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: I mean Oxhay's expensive and he's only through fourteen holes,
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: a profile that doesn't seem crazy. I don't want to
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: chase Rio because like everyone loved Rio going in and
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: like I'm down with a minus point five minus one putter,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: I don't want to chase three and a half strokes
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: plotting lost on the green. So this is kind of
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: bleaked down here, guys, it really is bleaked down here.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: But I'll try to find one person that could potentially
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: make sense. Austin Smotherman. He was about minus one everywhere,
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: a zero one approach. We know he's been really solid
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: on approach. Let's see if he was sitting any fairways.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: If Smotherman showed any signs of fairway, then I am
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: more in and out. He hit ten out fourteen feries,
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Austin's by the man is a golfer that
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: also makes sense. But the moment of truth, the reason
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: that we all came here is the one golfer that
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: I am on, and the one golfer that I am
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: on goes by the name of Corey Connors. He is
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: two under today so far through fourteen holes and has
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: made five birdies. Make that, yeah, five birdies with a triple.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: Corey Connors is losing strokes and approach so far, but
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: that is due to a water ball. If you go
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: to the stone and go to the true approach delta,
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: Corey Connors should be in the green there. Combine that
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: with a chip in the water on number four. This
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: is not that bad. He's striping off the tee. This approach,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: like I said, is not that bad and he's gaining
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: strokes putting. That is an amazing profile for Corey Connors
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: and he will be going out in the morning. So
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: that is a perfect, perfect profile that we are looking
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: for Corey Connors. So yeah, that's the golfer that I'm
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: on those That is a slate breakdown and as always,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: the song of the day, the song of the day
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: is going to be choke Hold by sleep Token, good band.
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: Good songs kind of came in my head. So that's it.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: I'll be back tomorrow night. You don't where to find
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: me any questions. You also know where to find me.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Peace out, let's ship it