Latest / UK Column Radio / Extradition- A Most One - Sided Affair - With Lord Deben
Transcript
- 0:07Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to a UK column interview. I'm Charles Mannett.
- 0:11Speaker 1: I'm peace today to be joined by Lord Debon, who
- 0:15Speaker 1: has spent many years as a government minister, then known
- 0:18Speaker 1: as John Gummer. Lord Debon, thank you very much indeed
- 0:21Speaker 1: for joining me and welcome to UK column.
- 0:23Speaker 2: Thank you. No.
- 0:25Speaker 1: I got in touch with you because you, over the
- 0:28Speaker 1: years have been a close personal friend of the recently
- 0:33Speaker 1: deceased Mike Lynch, and in particular you've spoken out about
- 0:38Speaker 1: the extradition situation that he found himself subject to back
- 0:42Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three as a result of the Hewlett
- 0:45Speaker 1: Packard Autonomy flaud case. What I'd like you to do, please,
- 0:49Speaker 1: is just to explain to the audience your view of
- 0:53Speaker 1: the situation as it unfolded.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Well. I was concerned about this before Mike Clinch was involved.
- 1:02Speaker 2: It was an agreement between the British government under Tony
- 1:08Speaker 2: Blair and the Americans which was a one way extradition
- 1:13Speaker 2: system which enabled the Americans to insist upon the extradition
- 1:21Speaker 2: of individuals from Britain, but there was no reverse. We
- 1:27Speaker 2: couldn't insist upon extradition from the United States. Now, the
- 1:33Speaker 2: problem with this is not only that there is no reciprocity.
- 1:39Speaker 2: It is that it could be used and later, when
- 1:43Speaker 2: it happened to Mike Clinch, was being used for commercial purposes.
- 1:49Speaker 2: The American legal system is very different from our own.
- 1:53Speaker 2: It has quite a number of elected judges and prosecutors,
- 1:59Speaker 2: people who may have other interests. So it is always
- 2:05Speaker 2: difficult to have a reciprocal arrangement. But to have one
- 2:12Speaker 2: that doesn't allow us to get the benefits of being
- 2:16Speaker 2: able to extradide people whom our courts need is of
- 2:20Speaker 2: course unacceptable. But the travel here is that Mike Clinch
- 2:28Speaker 2: was the most important shareholder and the creator of a
- 2:34Speaker 2: very successful software business, and he was hunted by Hewlett Packard.
- 2:43Speaker 2: Didn't go to them, they weren't in the business of
- 2:46Speaker 2: selling it. But Hewlett Packard came after them and offered them,
- 2:51Speaker 2: after considerable due diligence, when everything was open to them,
- 2:57Speaker 2: offered them a sum of money which was accepted. Indeed,
- 3:01Speaker 2: it was accepted because the shareholders who were other Thanke
- 3:07Speaker 2: and he didn't have a majority of those shares. The
- 3:10Speaker 2: shareholders thought this was an extremely good deal. It was
- 3:16Speaker 2: done by a British firm under British law, and yet
- 3:23Speaker 2: Eunitt Packard decided that they would try to have the
- 3:28Speaker 2: real trial in the United States. Now, this was after
- 3:33Speaker 2: the British Serious Crime Unit, the fraud organization that we
- 3:41Speaker 2: have had investigated the claims of Punic Backard and had
- 3:46Speaker 2: said there was no case to answer. And then for
- 3:51Speaker 2: a year after year after year, Mike Lynch was living
- 3:57Speaker 2: under the shadow of being exiting. And it was a
- 4:02Speaker 2: shadow because I think it's true that one hundred percent
- 4:08Speaker 2: of people who are extradited would be found guilty, and
- 4:12Speaker 2: a commercial case like this, indeed, well over ninety percent
- 4:19Speaker 2: of people who are had up in this way in
- 4:22Speaker 2: the United States are found guilty. Only North Korea has
- 4:29Speaker 2: a more universal situation. So you will understand why he
- 4:35Speaker 2: was very concerned about this. He was to be taken
- 4:40Speaker 2: to an organizer, to a situation in which it was
- 4:44Speaker 2: almost impossible for him to win. And the reason they
- 4:48Speaker 2: have such a high proportion of success is because people
- 4:52Speaker 2: are so frightened of losing that they do plea bargaining.
- 4:57Speaker 2: It's a thing we don't know of in Britain. It's
- 5:01Speaker 2: really nothing to do with justice. What you do is
- 5:03Speaker 2: to say yes, I'm guilty, and you say that because
- 5:08Speaker 2: they promised you two years in prison rather than twenty years,
- 5:13Speaker 2: or they promise you a fine of one hundred thousand
- 5:17Speaker 2: dollars instead of a million dollars, or whatever may be.
- 5:19Speaker 2: The deal deal always differs depending on the circumstances of
- 5:23Speaker 2: the person concerned. Now, Mike was not prepared to do that.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Mike was an honest, decent, straightforward man. His whole life
- 5:33Speaker 2: had been spent in being, without doubt, the probably the
- 5:40Speaker 2: most remarkable figure in the software industry and the whole
- 5:46Speaker 2: of Europe, only in Silicon Valleic if you find people
- 5:52Speaker 2: who would compete with him in his abilities. And he
- 5:56Speaker 2: wasn't going to say he was guilty because he knew
- 6:00Speaker 2: he wasn't. Ultimately, the British came and, in a charmingly
- 6:07Speaker 2: informal but still firm way, took him to the airport
- 6:13Speaker 2: and accepted the extradition. Now, during all this time, people
- 6:18Speaker 2: who knew the case were fighting it not only in
- 6:21Speaker 2: the courts but in the public arena. And I, for example,
- 6:27Speaker 2: raised it again and again in all sorts of ways,
- 6:32Speaker 2: and I'm ashamed that Home secretaries did not say, look,
- 6:36Speaker 2: this is just not true, it's just not sensible, and
- 6:40Speaker 2: It wasn't just because we felt strongly about Night, although
- 6:43Speaker 2: of course one's friendship matter lot. It was also because
- 6:47Speaker 2: the Americans are already using their power to get advantage commercially.
- 6:56Speaker 2: What they do is to threaten things like me so
- 7:01Speaker 2: that people are afraid not to do what they want.
- 7:06Speaker 2: They use it to extend American commercial interests. America pretends
- 7:13Speaker 2: to be the great free enterprise economy, but of course
- 7:17Speaker 2: it is one of the most protective protectionist economies there are,
- 7:24Speaker 2: and it's protectionists in two ways. It uses all sorts
- 7:27Speaker 2: of excuses to stop people buying businesses in the United States.
- 7:32Speaker 2: You can't buy an airline, for example. You can't buy
- 7:35Speaker 2: most but very large runners of things because it's called
- 7:39Speaker 2: national security. And if it's not there, you are told
- 7:43Speaker 2: that you can't export into America for some kind of
- 7:49Speaker 2: health reasons. So, for example, no one who grows lemons
- 7:54Speaker 2: can export into the United States into any state which
- 7:59Speaker 2: is contiguous to a state that grows levels. Now what
- 8:05Speaker 2: more protective and protectionist system could you have? So America
- 8:11Speaker 2: uses its own internal laws and also its outstretch through
- 8:16Speaker 2: tax and through every other way of using laws beyond
- 8:20Speaker 2: its own rights to protect its businesses, because in the end,
- 8:26Speaker 2: it believes that somehow or other, globalization is actually the
- 8:31Speaker 2: extension of American agemony. And so what has happened here
- 8:36Speaker 2: is just one example of that. And many of us
- 8:38Speaker 2: felt that using the extradition rules in order to powel businesses,
- 8:46Speaker 2: which is what it was about, howing the business and
- 8:51Speaker 2: Mike thought it. Now, I have to say I had
- 8:55Speaker 2: very little hope that he would win, because with those
- 9:01Speaker 2: sort of figures last ninety how should he have won.
- 9:07Speaker 2: And he won because the case was so clear, it
- 9:12Speaker 2: was so clearly proved, and he was so clearly honorable
- 9:19Speaker 2: and honest that the jury said that on no single
- 9:25Speaker 2: one of the fourteen counts eult aha, dug up, no
- 9:32Speaker 2: one of them was he guilty. Now, the sad thing
- 9:36Speaker 2: is that Hewlett Packard, we understand, will try to proceed
- 9:43Speaker 2: beyond the grave. If you can think of anything more
- 9:48Speaker 2: unpleasant or anything that further underlines what I've said about
- 9:55Speaker 2: the way America uses these things. So I have three
- 10:00Speaker 2: very simple desires. So first of all, to get the
- 10:04Speaker 2: law change. We can't go on like this. This is
- 10:07Speaker 2: not acceptable. We are a sovereign state and we certainly
- 10:14Speaker 2: didn't take back control by a stupidly leaving the European Union.
- 10:17Speaker 2: But the facts of the matter is, we do believe
- 10:20Speaker 2: that we make our own decisions, and they is no
- 10:24Speaker 2: position for a non reciprocal arrangement with anybody. Secondly, there
- 10:31Speaker 2: should be no provision with a system which plays into
- 10:35Speaker 2: the American legal system, which just isn't like ours. And
- 10:40Speaker 2: I'm saying that in the most delicate way, but it
- 10:43Speaker 2: certainly isn't like ours. And the third thing is that
- 10:48Speaker 2: I hope people will realize that Ulett Packard is not
- 10:52Speaker 2: a company with whom one which is to deal, because
- 10:56Speaker 2: it's clear that what really happened was that Hewlett Packard
- 11:01Speaker 2: bought this company having sorted, as I say, not that
- 11:04Speaker 2: it was offered to them, that they wanted it, and
- 11:07Speaker 2: then they mucked it up. And that, I'm afraid is
- 11:11Speaker 2: one of the problems with some kinds of businesses. They
- 11:15Speaker 2: know they can't do it themselves, so they buy something
- 11:19Speaker 2: and then they impose on that build business the ways
- 11:23Speaker 2: which they run things, and very often those are the
- 11:27Speaker 2: very reasons why they've not been able to do this themselves.
- 11:31Speaker 2: And I fear and I begin to sound rather anti
- 11:34Speaker 2: American I'm not at all, but I fear that American
- 11:38Speaker 2: companies are very often like that. Some are not. I've
- 11:42Speaker 2: got a very good example where I must cause has
- 11:45Speaker 2: brought a business near where I live, and it's been
- 11:50Speaker 2: absolutely remarkable. It has recognized that it was a really
- 11:55Speaker 2: good business. It has allowed it to continue as it was,
- 11:59Speaker 2: but it will provide I did the money which was
- 12:02Speaker 2: necessary for this expansion, which is exactly how you should
- 12:06Speaker 2: deal with these things. But I'm afraid Purreit Packard, in
- 12:11Speaker 2: order to save the face of senior management, decided that
- 12:15Speaker 2: they would pursue Mike Lynch in particular. Now, Mike Lynch
- 12:24Speaker 2: had a few days literally of release and relief, relief
- 12:30Speaker 2: from his terrible audience just a few days, and was
- 12:35Speaker 2: then dropped. I have to say that if I were
- 12:40Speaker 2: running Purit Packard, I would understand perfectly well that this
- 12:44Speaker 2: is the moment in which you remove yourself from this
- 12:48Speaker 2: whole side. And if they don't, then I for one
- 12:55Speaker 2: will never buy anything from them.
- 13:00Speaker 1: Indeed, I think you've made your position clear on that,
- 13:04Speaker 1: and I think there's a number of things to pick
- 13:06Speaker 1: out from that sort of opening statement. Just to go
- 13:11Speaker 1: back to the way in which the law could or
- 13:14Speaker 1: should be changed. Of course, you're talking about the extradition
- 13:16Speaker 1: at two thousand and three, which was effectively crafted by
- 13:20Speaker 1: the then Blair government. To what extent do you consider
- 13:24Speaker 1: it the case that, in fact the sort of nine
- 13:27Speaker 1: principles by which any situation should be judged were simply failed.
- 13:33Speaker 1: And I think the two I'm really thinking of our
- 13:36Speaker 1: excessive delay, because of course this took place twelve years
- 13:40Speaker 1: after the deal had effectively gone through, and then also
- 13:43Speaker 1: forum in that if justice could be served by a
- 13:47Speaker 1: trial in the United Kingdom, then it should have done.
- 13:50Speaker 1: And so is it a case that the law should
- 13:54Speaker 1: be done away with and reinvented, or simply that what
- 13:57Speaker 1: is written down should actually be adhered to correctly.
- 14:01Speaker 2: Well, I don't think that this is a law between equals,
- 14:08Speaker 2: and I think what you've just said shows that the
- 14:12Speaker 2: truth is that when push came to show, the British
- 14:16Speaker 2: government was not prepared to enforce those two principles. And
- 14:22Speaker 2: I fear that British governments very often aren't. Because the
- 14:28Speaker 2: Americans bring pressure to bear unconnected with this particular agreement.
- 14:35Speaker 2: What they do is to remind Britain about the special
- 14:38Speaker 2: relationship on military matters and all sorts of other things.
- 14:42Speaker 2: They constantly use the strength of the mightiest country on earth,
- 14:51Speaker 2: and people give way. So I fear that whatever you
- 14:57Speaker 2: do to the act in order to make it more
- 15:02Speaker 2: likely that governments will stand by those elements, the more
- 15:08Speaker 2: that you have to doubt whether they will be brave enough.
- 15:12Speaker 2: And so I come back to the matter of principle.
- 15:16Speaker 2: I'm in favor of reciprocal arrangements for extradition, but they
- 15:23Speaker 2: have to have two elements. First of all, they have
- 15:26Speaker 2: to be reciprocal, and secondly, the rules have got to
- 15:32Speaker 2: be of a sort that mean that neither side is
- 15:36Speaker 2: prepared to lean on the other, because otherwise it will
- 15:40Speaker 2: cease to be a reciprocal arrangement. In other words, you
- 15:46Speaker 2: can keep things like those elements you raised if the
- 15:51Speaker 2: United States knows that not only would we insist on
- 15:57Speaker 2: it as far as our people concerned, but we wouldst
- 16:00Speaker 2: on it as in terms of our relationships with them.
- 16:06Speaker 2: So they would then put themselves into a position in
- 16:09Speaker 2: which they would have to use the same things when
- 16:14Speaker 2: we asked for reciprocity this way. But you see, they
- 16:17Speaker 2: wouldn't we know, they wouldn't So my answer is no
- 16:22Speaker 2: recip no agreement with that reciprocity. We both to it. Now,
- 16:26Speaker 2: the awful thing is that the Americans said they couldn't
- 16:30Speaker 2: give reciprocity because their constitution did not allow it. Well,
- 16:37Speaker 2: what the places are we doing having reciprocity with a
- 16:40Speaker 2: country that won't do it with us on the basis
- 16:43Speaker 2: that their constitution, in order to protect the freedom of
- 16:47Speaker 2: its people, doesn't allow it. Well, if their constitution doesn't
- 16:52Speaker 2: allow it, our unwritten constitution shouldn't allow it.
- 16:57Speaker 1: Absolutely fair enough, and I think beyond that really, from
- 17:01Speaker 1: certainly from the way you've described the situation at the start,
- 17:04Speaker 1: in actual fact, it looks much more like the leavers
- 17:07Speaker 1: really are being pulled by corporations rather than governments. So
- 17:11Speaker 1: even if there were reciprocity, what by what mechanism are
- 17:17Speaker 1: corporate interests checked as it were in the within political
- 17:22Speaker 1: sort of circles.
- 17:24Speaker 2: Well, the truth is that Britain has many faiths, but
- 17:29Speaker 2: in general corporate interests are much less powerful, and in
- 17:36Speaker 2: America corporate interests are much more powerful. And you see
- 17:41Speaker 2: that very clear. First of all, you see it in
- 17:45Speaker 2: the way in which corporations engage in elections. Never be
- 17:52Speaker 2: allowed to use your money in the way that Elon
- 17:56Speaker 2: Musk is using is now in the American elections in
- 18:00Speaker 2: the United Kingdom. And secondly, you know it when you
- 18:03Speaker 2: see a company like x On Mobile, which managed by
- 18:07Speaker 2: using money to hold up the battle against climate change
- 18:11Speaker 2: for some twenty years, even though its own scientists that
- 18:16Speaker 2: this is after all public knowledge, its own scientists had
- 18:20Speaker 2: shown that climate change was happening and that it was
- 18:26Speaker 2: the use of fossil fuels that were making it. For
- 18:29Speaker 2: twenty years, they kept America from taking the steps that
- 18:35Speaker 2: it ought to take, which is the reason that it's
- 18:37Speaker 2: going to cost us a great deal more money, be
- 18:40Speaker 2: very much more painful in order to battle for our
- 18:43Speaker 2: own existence because of x On Mobile. That is what
- 18:48Speaker 2: happens in America. So the reciprocity becomes not only a
- 18:53Speaker 2: lack of reciprocity with the government, but it means that
- 18:57Speaker 2: we have a non reciprocal region with American big business.
- 19:03Speaker 2: We're very interested in protecting their own position.
- 19:09Speaker 1: And just to sort of go back towards Mike Lynch
- 19:14Speaker 1: and what he became subsequently involved in, which which was
- 19:18Speaker 1: at least from the funding point of view and advisory,
- 19:21Speaker 1: Dark Trace which deals with cyber security in the AI dimension.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Now that the setup and the continuing conduct of that
- 19:32Speaker 1: company is very very closely aligned with the intelligence and
- 19:36Speaker 1: security architecture of the United Kingdom, how do you perceive
- 19:41Speaker 1: that relationship in terms of its correctness? I suppose, for
- 19:45Speaker 1: want of a better term.
- 19:48Speaker 2: Well, I am not as familiar with the post arrangements
- 19:55Speaker 2: that I am with the ones we have been talking about.
- 20:00Speaker 2: I merely say that dark Trace owes a huge amount
- 20:06Speaker 2: to that brilliance that we've now lost. That the contribution
- 20:13Speaker 2: to British economy as well as security that Mike Lynch
- 20:19Speaker 2: as an individual made was absolutely outstanding. And even if
- 20:27Speaker 2: we hadn't lost a friend, even if we hadn't lost
- 20:31Speaker 2: somebody who was economically valuable to us, we've lost somebody
- 20:35Speaker 2: who's led the British software industry and our understanding of
- 20:42Speaker 2: modern technology in a way which no one else hath
- 20:45Speaker 2: So we've lost somebody who made one of the biggest
- 20:49Speaker 2: contributions to our nation of anybody in the last thirty years.
- 20:55Speaker 2: So we all stand up for him and the way
- 20:59Speaker 2: in which he was Bye organizations like that praise or
- 21:05Speaker 2: to be looked at the lyperfully because they owe everything
- 21:11Speaker 2: to him, just as Hewlett Packard could have owned a
- 21:16Speaker 2: great deal to him if they'd known how to run
- 21:20Speaker 2: that business.
- 21:22Speaker 1: Absolutely, no, something that's rather more sensitive. But I think
- 21:29Speaker 1: it must be asked. Given the circumstances that you've described,
- 21:33Speaker 1: the backdrop too, and the situations surrounding the deaths of
- 21:40Speaker 1: first of all Stephen Chamberlain, then Mike Lynch and associates
- 21:45Speaker 1: aboard the Bayesian coincidence, it must be said, does seem
- 21:50Speaker 1: like the least lausible explanation. What do you think about that?
- 21:58Speaker 2: Oh? Well, I have a few that says that fate
- 22:03Speaker 2: sometimes deals the most amazing of BTh. You really don't
- 22:08Speaker 2: have to go very far into district to see the
- 22:10Speaker 2: most amazing things happen. People avoid wars via a whipstitch,
- 22:18Speaker 2: create wars by the tiniest of decisions. I think there
- 22:23Speaker 2: is nothing to say that this is anything other than
- 22:27Speaker 2: a coincidence. But it is a verifying and terrible coincidence,
- 22:32Speaker 2: And of course it leaves deeply wounded people behind. And
- 22:39Speaker 2: what an awful thing to happen to the daughter who
- 22:43Speaker 2: had just got into Oxford, who had a beautiful future
- 22:49Speaker 2: ahead of her, was a lovely girl, as well as
- 22:53Speaker 2: somebody who had another thirty or maybe forty years even
- 22:58Speaker 2: of the contribution to Britain, and those other people who
- 23:05Speaker 2: were on that boat too, who were people who were
- 23:10Speaker 2: making real contributions to life. I feel very deeply sad,
- 23:16Speaker 2: and of course for the dead, but even more so
- 23:20Speaker 2: for those who are now living and have to live
- 23:23Speaker 2: with what has happened. But I think what happened was
- 23:26Speaker 2: genuinely a coincidence.
- 23:30Speaker 1: And just to sort of tie that off, to what
- 23:33Speaker 1: degree do you have confidence in any investigation into death
- 23:37Speaker 1: on both sides of the well, sorry, both sides of
- 23:42Speaker 1: the Mediterranean, I suppose, I should say, but the UK
- 23:45Speaker 1: and indeed the Sicilian investigation.
- 23:50Speaker 2: Oh, I've seen no reason to be other than sure
- 23:54Speaker 2: of the British one, and I think the Italian one
- 23:57Speaker 2: is probably likely to be perfect butt of no reason
- 24:01Speaker 2: to criticize that. I'm not somebody who goes around being
- 24:08Speaker 2: suggesting that there are all sorts of hidden businesses at work.
- 24:15Speaker 2: I know which ones are at work. This is why
- 24:18Speaker 2: I quoted a number of them. Those are real objective
- 24:22Speaker 2: throbn things. I don't think we need to get into
- 24:27Speaker 2: any kind of view of hidden hands to deal with
- 24:35Speaker 2: this case. There are no hidden hands. I think there
- 24:38Speaker 2: is the absolutely direct hand of American business determined to
- 24:43Speaker 2: get what it wants at any cost of anybody. And
- 24:48Speaker 2: that is not a thing that we should have in
- 24:51Speaker 2: this work, and it's not a thing that Britain should
- 24:54Speaker 2: be complicit in. And that is why I blame two
- 24:59Speaker 2: home sect are not actually saying no not here, And
- 25:05Speaker 2: particularly when we had had a case in Britain of
- 25:10Speaker 2: someone prosecuted and found guilty of dangerous driving driving with
- 25:17Speaker 2: that duke kept I think dangerous driving in fact, who
- 25:21Speaker 2: managed just to sit in the United States and saying
- 25:23Speaker 2: she wasn't coming. We knew from an absolutely clear example
- 25:31Speaker 2: which had meant the death of a young man. We
- 25:34Speaker 2: knew that this agreement was entirely one sided and entirely unacceptable,
- 25:42Speaker 2: and we should have chosen used any opportunity to make
- 25:47Speaker 2: sure that it didn't mean that Mike was exported to
- 25:52Speaker 2: America the stand.
- 25:53Speaker 1: Trial absolutely no. Tell me then, with all this in mind,
- 25:58Speaker 1: how do you push your campaign forward on the extradition front.
- 26:02Speaker 1: What is your plan in the immediate future to deal
- 26:05Speaker 1: with this?
- 26:06Speaker 2: Well? Hoping to liaise with David Davis and the House Commons.
- 26:11Speaker 2: He's been extremely good in the House Commons. It's a
- 26:14Speaker 2: thing that both houses will have to try to put together.
- 26:18Speaker 2: We have tried to try to use as much of
- 26:21Speaker 2: our efforts as possible. It's not going to be easy,
- 26:25Speaker 2: because the moment that a government thinks of doing it,
- 26:31Speaker 2: then all those pressures are turned on them. I mean,
- 26:36Speaker 2: after all, we went to war in Iraq when it
- 26:41Speaker 2: should never have been because a government speared saying to
- 26:48Speaker 2: the United States we won't. I've always honored those prime
- 26:57Speaker 2: ministers who have stood up and said no. We were saved,
- 27:01Speaker 2: after all from being at war in Vietnam because a
- 27:05Speaker 2: British prime minister said no. And I voted myself against
- 27:12Speaker 2: the war in Iraq, and it was quite clear that
- 27:18Speaker 2: all that was happening was that Tony Blair was proposing
- 27:22Speaker 2: something because it was what the Americans wanted. I think
- 27:26Speaker 2: if he had said no, first of all, there would
- 27:31Speaker 2: have been no parliamentary backing for it because his party
- 27:35Speaker 2: would not have been whipped. And I think if you
- 27:40Speaker 2: said no, there might well never have been that war
- 27:43Speaker 2: in Iraq, which was so disastrous and left us with
- 27:46Speaker 2: a mess which we are still having to clear up.
- 27:51Speaker 2: So we have to be willing to be.
- 27:53Speaker 1: Independent, and no, we are there a generation away from
- 27:59Speaker 1: that time, with the width of conscription and talk about
- 28:04Speaker 1: national service in the air, with the apparently looming threat
- 28:09Speaker 1: from either Russia or Iran or goodness ans, where else
- 28:13Speaker 1: do you see that there is a realistic chance of
- 28:16Speaker 1: becoming involved within a kinetic action in the next couple
- 28:20Speaker 1: of years.
- 28:23Speaker 2: Well, I think one of the problems that we've now
- 28:25Speaker 2: got is that we have a situation in which is
- 28:28Speaker 2: the American If the American election goes one way, then
- 28:33Speaker 2: the United States will be saying things which are quite
- 28:37Speaker 2: inimical to a proper association between US in Europe. And
- 28:45Speaker 2: then it seems to be perfectly reasonable for futative presidents
- 28:50Speaker 2: to talk about the world in a way which we
- 28:53Speaker 2: would not be able to because of our relationship with
- 28:57Speaker 2: the United States. So I think we're in a very
- 29:01Speaker 2: difficult position at the moment, let's put it. At the
- 29:04Speaker 2: very least, they're in a very difficult position, and we
- 29:07Speaker 2: must hope that the United States does recognize how important
- 29:11Speaker 2: it is not to go down the false ways of
- 29:16Speaker 2: pretending that that the battle in the Ukraine isn't a
- 29:22Speaker 2: battle for freedom of all of us, pretending that climate
- 29:25Speaker 2: change isn't happening and therefore you don't have to do
- 29:28Speaker 2: anything about it, Pretending that you can have a relationship
- 29:32Speaker 2: with Russia which condones they're manifestly militaristic and imperialist intentions.
- 29:44Speaker 2: That is an impossible position, it seems to me, for
- 29:47Speaker 2: the United States to take up. And yet there is
- 29:49Speaker 2: one candidate who seems to think, but that's how it
- 29:51Speaker 2: should go forward. So we must pray that that doesn't happen.
- 29:56Speaker 1: Yes, I mean, I think you know, we'd all be encouraged.
- 29:59Speaker 1: There was great effort going into talks of or the
- 30:03Speaker 1: pursuit of peace, but we seem to be where we
- 30:07Speaker 1: are at the moment. I just we're sort of closing
- 30:11Speaker 1: down in terms of time. But what I do want
- 30:13Speaker 1: to just deal with, because you've now referred to it
- 30:16Speaker 1: a couple of times, and of course until last year
- 30:18Speaker 1: you were the chairman of the Climate Change Committee, it
- 30:23Speaker 1: is still despite the sort of prevalent narrative, it is
- 30:27Speaker 1: still a contentious topic. And I think the particularly the
- 30:31Speaker 1: fundamental underpinning of the particularly the pursuit of what's called
- 30:38Speaker 1: net zero, and indeed the focus on emissions of carbon dioxide.
- 30:42Speaker 1: So what I would ask is is, how do you
- 30:46Speaker 1: explain the proposition that approximately three percent of overall emissions
- 30:54Speaker 1: of carbon dioxide which are anthropogenic, can affect the climate
- 30:59Speaker 1: in such a way that ninety seven percent of biogenic
- 31:03Speaker 1: emissions seem not to be able to Well, it's very fact.
- 31:08Speaker 2: First of all, I don't say that as for almost
- 31:11Speaker 2: every scientist in the world, Every single major scientific institution
- 31:18Speaker 2: says that's the first thing. Secondly, historically, we can go
- 31:24Speaker 2: back a million years into the ice and you can
- 31:27Speaker 2: see that there has never been a time in which
- 31:32Speaker 2: the temperature has risen as far as it passed since
- 31:36Speaker 2: as it has in the last one hundred and fifty
- 31:39Speaker 2: two hundred years since the Industrial Revolution. So, first of all,
- 31:42Speaker 2: this is a non analogous situation. Thirdly, if you think
- 31:48Speaker 2: about how it is, we know that the earth became
- 31:52Speaker 2: cool enough for first of all reptiles, then mammals, then
- 31:59Speaker 2: human beings to him, it was because the bushes and
- 32:03Speaker 2: trees that also emerged earlier on took out of the
- 32:06Speaker 2: atmosphere carbon and laid that carbon down as they died.
- 32:11Speaker 2: In what became over the millenniare oil, coal, and gas.
- 32:17Speaker 2: No one, no one at all denies that if you
- 32:21Speaker 2: then use that and put it back into the atmosphere,
- 32:26Speaker 2: it wouldn't be surprising, would it if the atmosphere heats up,
- 32:30Speaker 2: given that it got cool when you took it out.
- 32:33Speaker 2: So Thirdly, it is quite clear from our scientific understanding
- 32:38Speaker 2: of history that this is happening. And the fact of
- 32:41Speaker 2: the matter is, no serious scientist now denies climate change.
- 32:49Speaker 2: And as you look across the world and see the.
- 32:51Speaker 3: Effect of climate change, and you know it never happened
- 32:56Speaker 3: before except when we put this carbon into the air,
- 33:01Speaker 3: then you be.
- 33:02Speaker 2: Frankly, absolutely ridiculous to suggest anything other than this. There
- 33:10Speaker 2: is no evidence that counteracts the fact that we are
- 33:15Speaker 2: creating climate change. We have to stop doing it, and
- 33:20Speaker 2: when we do, we will take a long time to
- 33:23Speaker 2: reverse the damage that we are doing. And the terrible
- 33:27Speaker 2: thing is that we who have grown rich from what
- 33:31Speaker 2: we've done, are giving some of the poorest people on
- 33:35Speaker 2: Earth lives which are intolerable because of what we're doing.
- 33:39Speaker 2: So there is a battle that's on and I shall
- 33:42Speaker 2: go on fighting that battle till my dying day, because
- 33:46Speaker 2: I've got ten grandchildren and the sort of world we're
- 33:49Speaker 2: leaving them is a world which in which they will
- 33:54Speaker 2: find it very difficult to live. And those who suggest
- 34:00Speaker 2: that we should not take these steps are the people
- 34:03Speaker 2: who are really betraying them. And I've just finished while
- 34:07Speaker 2: they're talking about a wonderful comment once which was made
- 34:10Speaker 2: to one of these major deniers by Tristan Garel Jones
- 34:15Speaker 2: and minister. He said, Look, if those who deny climate
- 34:21Speaker 2: change are right, all we've done is to clean up
- 34:25Speaker 2: the atmosphere. If they're wrong, we bugger up the future.
- 34:34Speaker 2: There's no doubt about where the precautionally principle takes us.
- 34:38Speaker 2: But we don't need to do it because of the
- 34:39Speaker 2: precautionally principle. We should do it because of the facts.
- 34:45Speaker 1: Yes, I mean I would have to agree to disagree,
- 34:50Speaker 1: and certainly I would push back on the assertion that
- 34:52Speaker 1: all scientists believe the same thing.
- 34:56Speaker 2: Well, ninety seven percent of the those who are qualified
- 35:02Speaker 2: support what I have said. I'm sorry, you can't say
- 35:06Speaker 2: that and be taken seriously. You really can't. I'm not
- 35:10Speaker 2: prepared to. So this is not a sensible position.
- 35:14Speaker 4: When the head of every single scientific equivalent to the
- 35:20Speaker 4: Royal Society says one thing, you are not in a position.
- 35:24Speaker 2: To say the opposite and be taken seriously. You can't
- 35:28Speaker 2: be taken seriously. And if your organization doesn't see that,
- 35:31Speaker 2: then you join the group of people who only don't
- 35:35Speaker 2: take it seriously because it's inconvenient. There is no case
- 35:40Speaker 2: that you've got. There's nothing else in science that is
- 35:43Speaker 2: as sure as this, So really don't expect to be
- 35:47Speaker 2: taken seriously.
- 35:49Speaker 1: Well, I think I will still continue.
- 35:53Speaker 2: Well, I'm very sorry. I mean, it's like it's about
- 35:59Speaker 2: a serious position of suggesting, well, something much as that
- 36:04Speaker 2: the Hiatians we were eating pet dogs which they were stealing.
- 36:08Speaker 2: You've got yourself into that position if you're saying that,
- 36:11Speaker 2: you really do, and it's it's not a sensible position
- 36:14Speaker 2: to be here.
- 36:16Speaker 1: The fundamental question of how a three percent contribution outweighs
- 36:21Speaker 1: that of a ninety seven percent contribution to emissions is
- 36:25Speaker 1: something that I haven't really heard satisfactorily resolved.
- 36:27Speaker 2: Well, you can go to any scientist who is a
- 36:32Speaker 2: climatologist and they'll go through it with you. The fact
- 36:35Speaker 2: that you are not a scientist of any of that amount,
- 36:38Speaker 2: and you say that as it's another of the excuses.
- 36:41Speaker 2: It's the one they each one, one by one, they
- 36:45Speaker 2: are destroyed. This one has been destroyed. I don't want
- 36:47Speaker 2: to go through the total details of it would be
- 36:49Speaker 2: a back to us. But the fact of the matter
- 36:51Speaker 2: is no serious scientist supports what you've said, and therefore
- 36:56Speaker 2: it's look no you. In the end, you have to
- 37:00Speaker 2: look for the best advice. And if I want to
- 37:03Speaker 2: mend a motor car, I do not ask somebody who
- 37:08Speaker 2: sells newspapers or dreams houses, or is an expert on
- 37:15Speaker 2: archaeology to tell me how to mend a mentor car.
- 37:17Speaker 2: If I want to find out about climatology the climate,
- 37:21Speaker 2: I ask people who are experts in the climate. I
- 37:24Speaker 2: know of no respectable expert in the cart climate who
- 37:29Speaker 2: will support.
- 37:29Speaker 1: You for technical reasons beyond the control of either of us.
- 37:33Speaker 1: The connection with Lord Debon was lost at that point,
- 37:37Speaker 1: and I must make it very clear that it certainly
- 37:40Speaker 1: had absolutely nothing to do with the divergence of views
- 37:44Speaker 1: towards the end of the conversation. So it just remains
- 37:47Speaker 1: for me to thank you the audience very much for
- 37:50Speaker 1: joining me, and also thank you to Lord Deban very
- 37:54Speaker 1: much for a frank exchange of views and certainly a
- 37:58Speaker 1: terrific insight in to the state of play with regard
- 38:02Speaker 1: to extradition and in particular the relationship with the United
- 38:07Speaker 1: States and indeed the wider corporate interests and influences. There
- 38:13Speaker 1: will be notes posted alongside this interview with links at
- 38:18Speaker 1: ukcolumn dot org. Thank you very much for watching