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Week 0 Doesn't Count, Will's Made a List, Week 1 NFL Stats · Three For The Money

0:00
Okay, okay, okay.
0:18
We're here, we're back.
0:20
Week zero of college football is over, but college football and football in general is
0:26
officially back.
0:28
We're back.
0:29
It's so bad.
0:32
We're so back.
0:34
We are so back.
0:36
We are so back.
0:38
Yeah, but don't look at our records though.
0:42
That wasn't a good showing by us.
0:44
I mean, it wasn't terrible.
0:47
It wasn't good, at least mine, but it wasn't terrible.
0:51
Mine was bad.
0:52
Week zero doesn't count as far as I mentally.
0:56
Hey, that's the preseason of college football.
1:00
You gotta get it go.
1:01
Yeah, none of the real teams played.
1:04
Well, USC played.
1:07
Chris, how was your weekend?
1:12
It was fun.
1:13
I mean, it was actually, scratch that it was great because I got to watch college football
1:17
and it's impossible no matter how bad your gambling day is, you can't have a bad day
1:23
when you're watching college football all day.
1:25
So I mean, I went two and four, not great, but it's not gonna sink the ship.
1:33
So I'm pumped.
1:34
I got some week one bets I already love and I'm happy to be back with the boys.
1:39
Hell yeah.
1:40
Hell yeah.
1:41
Sean, what about you?
1:43
Doing great.
1:44
Doing good.
1:45
A lot better than last week.
1:48
Yeah, we are rolling.
1:52
This is the time.
1:54
This is it.
1:55
Chris, weather is right around the corner.
1:58
Oh, my God.
2:00
Hoodie weather is back.
2:01
Well, it will be.
2:03
It will be.
2:05
Yes, with college football also comes the best season of all in fall.
2:12
Yes.
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I agree.
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So I've been here.
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Nowhere else to go but up.
2:24
I've been hearing that debate online last few days is like which season is better, fall
2:30
or summer and it's fall by fall.
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It's not even close.
2:39
I love summer as much as the next guy.
2:42
Pool parties, lake days, just, what else do you do?
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Getting after it.
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Yeah, you just get after it.
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Fall.
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That's a year round sport, man.
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Never bad time to get after it.
2:59
We do make that a year round sport.
3:03
But yeah.
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Now summer is, it's second.
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I'll give it second.
3:12
Summer for me, like, I don't know about you guys.
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After the fourth of July, I'm just like, all right, let's get this over with.
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It's like that first like two months, month and a half.
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It's awesome.
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But after that, I'm like, it's so damn hot.
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There's so many bugs.
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Yeah, it's just, it's not, there's no football after bed on baseball every day.
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It's just not, it's not great.
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Well I'll say gambling wise, summer is by far the worst season.
3:45
Oh yeah.
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Yeah.
3:47
I can't even do it.
3:50
I can't even do it.
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I shouldn't.
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There's just too many statistics for me to look over.
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Who's got the time?
3:58
Who's got the time?
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I know Chris does.
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I'm not good at it.
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Yeah, I still do it.
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Right on, right on.
4:11
Well, I went one and five, I think, week zero.
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I thought you were saying you were having a good day until USC.
4:21
Yeah, after the first game, I was having a really good day.
4:24
But no, we were hanging out during the Hawaii Vandy game and that one, not to, I mean, I
4:31
know you didn't win that one, but you were saying before that you were having a good
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day.
4:35
Yeah.
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In that, in that timeframe, it was like Notre Dame minus 20 and a half was the easiest bed
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of all time.
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Just a bunch of nerds beaten up our armed forces, bad showing by them.
4:53
Glad they're defending the borders.
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But I mean, I had like a free bet from MGM that I put on.
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Jacksonville State, I didn't give out that pick, but that hit.
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You had, you gave out Jacksonville State.
5:17
I don't think I did.
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I'm pretty sure you did.
5:19
Let me go back and check.
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I could have sworn you did.
5:21
Well, I keep talking.
5:24
So those two were, those two were hit, but like officially, I guess, I'm one and five.
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I did use a risk free bet on USC, but, you know, USC, they're frauds.
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They're not going to, they're not, they cannot contend to win the national championship.
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They're frauds and they officially made the list.
5:47
I don't know if you guys follow me on Twitter.
5:49
If you don't, link is in the bio.
5:52
Follow the three for the money Twitter.
5:54
We give out the picks.
5:56
College football picks are exclusively on the Twitter and baseball.
6:00
No where else.
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Anything, anything other than NFL pretty much.
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Yeah.
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We'll give out the other picks everywhere else, but college football and Chris's baseball
6:10
picks exclusively on Twitter.
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Follow the Twitter for now.
6:13
Baseball is about the, I'm at the responsibly retire from that.
6:18
That's okay.
6:19
That's okay.
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But if you follow me, you know, I've already made a list.
6:24
They've made the list.
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USC has made the list.
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Yeah.
6:28
They beat him by what three touchdowns or like 30 points.
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Not enough.
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They didn't beat him by not enough.
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They couldn't, who did they play San Jose state?
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San Jose state.
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Yeah.
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You can't, you can't defend 28 points against San Jose state.
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Your guy won the Heisman last year.
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Here, I'll give it to him.
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He fumbled the snap, hooked it 50 yards for a touchdown.
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That was incredible.
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That was incredible.
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And you know, I wish I could have seen that live, but I can't because the Pac-12 network
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can lick a hole.
7:00
All right.
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It's, it's, it's dead man.
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So it's dead.
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You can dance on its grave here in a few months.
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The landscape of college football will, will be changed after this season.
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They've made the list and Vandy has made the list.
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Vandy has screwed me every year on week zero.
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I don't know why.
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I don't know.
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I just can't do it.
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What?
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Did you not bet on them last year on week zero?
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I bet on Hawaii because it was in Hawaii.
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So they, they disappointed him in the wrong way.
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Yeah.
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They, okay.
7:36
That's the way you said it may sound like that.
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I was like, they won that game by like legitimately 50 points.
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Yeah.
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It took Hawaii because of the, the travel and the start time.
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And it was like, oh, the guy, Hawaii's got a new coach.
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You know, they could, you know, make some noise.
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It's week zero.
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Anything could happen.
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And I'm like, you're right.
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Someone article I read, but Vandy has made the list.
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A bunch of nerds.
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They cannot compete at all.
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That's not, that's not a hot take, but Vandy has made the list.
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I will not be betting on them.
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I will not pick a side in any game that they are in.
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I will take a team total or a team over under same with USC.
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I think USC has a potential to score obviously an ass load of points, but their defense stinks
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and I can't take a, I can't take a high spread with them.
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Chris.
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No, I was, I agree with you on that.
8:29
I think the purse or the team, the purse on your list should not be USC.
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They should be Alex Grinch, the USC defensive coordinator.
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This guy has been with Lincoln Raleigh forever and Lincoln Raleigh has never had a good defense.
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I don't know if this guy pulled Raleigh's wife from a house fire or something, but this
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guy is lucky to have it.
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Like has to be the luckiest man to have a job in America.
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He's never been good.
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But no defense he's coordinated has ever, Oklahoma always had terrible defenses.
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USC's defense, I mean, last year you guys know was ass.
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It looks worse this year.
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Like, I mean, they're going to lose three, I think they're going to lose two or three
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games solely because of their defense.
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It's embarrassing.
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Yeah.
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This, I, they were down.
9:24
USC was down at one point, right?
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I think they were down to like 14 seven at one point.
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Maybe that I mean, that wouldn't shock me.
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I don't remember exactly.
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I remember it was like a actual game after the first quarter.
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I was like, what the, what are we doing here?
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It should be 40 to nothing right now.
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Yeah.
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And it was like 14 to seven, like you said, or something like that.
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Yeah.
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It was, it was ridiculous.
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I'm kind of glad I didn't have to watch that game falling on the gamecast on ESPN.
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That was a nightmare.
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I just couldn't even follow what was even going on.
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It was, it was ridiculous.
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Yeah, it was terrible.
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But you know, it's week zero.
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It doesn't count except for the teams that have made the list.
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And the one bet that I won.
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I will be updating the list.
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I think this week has a potential to have, have a number of teams on the list.
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We'll, we'll see, we'll see.
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I'll keep you all updated.
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And I'll, that could be a segment.
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That could be a segment every week.
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Right before we dive into the NFL picks.
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Will's list.
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You just made the list.
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But yeah, other than that, how are we doing?
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We ready?
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We're waiting for week one.
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Sean, how was your week zero?
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One in three on the picks I gave out.
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But there were two that I didn't give out that ended up winning, which is just suspicious.
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So fucked up.
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So the two I didn't give out were Jackson State Moneyline and the over in USC, San Diego
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State.
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What was that over?
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I don't know, it was a state.
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Uh, 50 something.
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It was 63 and a half.
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60.
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Okay.
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And cruised.
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Yeah.
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Kind of, well, tort at halftime, it was like kind of nowhere close to being like on track.
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And then halftime USC just kind of came out.
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Actually tried.
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Yeah.
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Actually tried.
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There must have been some sort of miracle pep talk in there or something.
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I don't know.
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But they came out and they cleared the over, which is great.
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But the Jackson State pick was a last minute thing.
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I could not decide what to do that morning.
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And then I was like, screw it, dude.
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Jackson State is at home.
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They are the underdogs.
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It's only plus 100.
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Just take it.
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And it was a very, it was like two minutes before kickoff that I made that bet.
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So I didn't even really have time to give it out.
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Cause at that point, the, the only bet I had won that I gave out was Notre Dame minus 20
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and a half.
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And that had already won.
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So I was like, let it ride.
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Oh yeah.
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But so overall three and three for my own personal record, but one in three in the picks
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that I actually told people to take, which is disappointing.
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I mean, I told people, piece of shit.
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I was on UTEP.
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So yeah.
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Do you have money?
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Yeah, UTEP money line and that was a disaster.
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It was a, it was a battle.
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It was.
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It never really felt like UTEP, it kind of like looked like they had a chance.
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It was like the third quarter.
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Other than that, it never like, yeah, it was close, but never felt like UTEP was actually
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going to do anything.
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Yeah.
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Whatever.
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It's in the books.
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Let's move on.
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It's in the books, we're moving on.
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Was UTEP ranked last year?
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Or they like it?
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I think you're thinking, I think you're thinking a UTSA.
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Oh yes, I am.
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They have the same colors in CUSA and.
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And from Texas.
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Yeah, and from Texas.
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The meat meeps.
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The third, the third thing.
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All right, well, week zero is in the books.
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I haven't really looked too much into week one of college football.
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I am very excited for it though.
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I know Chris has some things he wants to say, but before we get into that, I want to have
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a discussion because I have an idea or a take or whatever you want to call it.
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So Georgia is favored to win the national championship plus 2,900 right now.
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Alabama is plus 600.
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Wait a minute.
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2,900 or 290?
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Sorry.
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Okay, that's very different.
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I was like, what book are you on?
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But Georgia is plus 290 to win the national championship.
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And Alabama is second favored at plus 600.
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Honestly, you put the same amount on both of those picks.
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I think you're coming out on top.
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You know?
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You think it's just going to be one of them ones that.
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Yeah, I mean, think about it.
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Alabama is still very much one of the best teams in college football.
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Let's be honest with ourselves.
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We don't like it.
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Georgia is slowly becoming that sort of team.
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But I mean, everyone's betting on Georgia and that's a smart bet.
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Alabama at plus 600 to win the national championship.
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How many have they won in the last 10 years?
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Six.
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Five.
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I don't remember off the top of my head, but a lot.
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Most of them.
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Half.
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At least.
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So I think there's like, you know, there's a lot of value there.
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And I know that value, like saying that there's a lot of value in something in terms of like
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sports betting is, I don't know.
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I wouldn't say it's taboo, but it's like, okay, sure.
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There's a kind of value.
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Yeah, it's cliche.
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There's value in everything.
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But I mean, like it's Nick Saban.
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It's Alabama.
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Like I will say that Alabama does feel like a sleeping giant this year.
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Like a lot of people are, I don't want to say riding them off because I think everyone
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on game day last week picked them to win the SEC.
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But like, I mean, they don't really like, well, I forget that quarterback same they're
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going to go with.
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He's not like last year, he was not that good.
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He's kind of like one of those guys who's a freak athlete.
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But in turn, but if he asked to like actually be a quarterback, he's not very good.
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Their defense was not good last year.
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So it's just a lot of thing for Alabama standards, obviously was not good last year.
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They haven't been able to just show up your ass and run the football like they want, like
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they have been earlier in the 2000s.
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So I can see them kind of like, I think also Nick Saban is pissed.
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He's tired of Kirby smart, his former defensive coordinator, like being in the spotlight.
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So I'm a pissed off Nick Saban is probably the most dangerous coach in the country.
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So I can definitely, I hate it because I hate them so much, but I would, I, I, I, I think
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I agree with you.
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I think Alabama plus 600 is a, I don't want to say smarter bet than Georgia because Georgia
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is just dudes at every position.
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But if I had to pick between the two, obviously I would take, I would take Bama at 600.
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Yeah.
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I mean, like if, if you were, you know, like three or four years ago, you know, obviously
18:13
this is should have could have, would you could have, could have, would have kind of,
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would have had Alabama at plus 600.
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Like, yeah, but $10 that's 60, like, come on.
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Yeah, that would have been free money.
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Yeah.
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So it's still Nick Saban, it's still Alabama.
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Don't think he forgot to, uh, the, I can't remember if it's a national championship
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or the one of the playoff games last year.
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He was on, Saban was on that like halftime panel and he's set next to David Pollack.
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Well, David Pollack said Kirby smart has is the best, is the best coach in the country.
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Oh my God.
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Yeah.
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So pissed off.
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Oh, he's probably thought about that every day since that, at least once.
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And like, so I, like I said, Nick say, a pissed off Nick Saban is terrifying.
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Um, so I think, yeah, Bama is not going to have the most talent, but I mean, there,
19:16
there are going to be, they're going to be, I mean, obviously they're going to be really
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good, but they're going to be like, I think there's going to be a throwback to the old
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Alabama, I guess you could say from like five years ago, which is murder ball might be coming
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back this year.
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Yeah.
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It's sleeping giant, but that's my take.
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And yeah, I think I'm, I think I'll, I think I'll probably take that.
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I mean, if I put the same amount on Georgia and Alabama, like I feel like I'm just come
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out on top, you know?
19:52
Yeah.
19:53
Yeah.
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I mean, those are the two most obviously they're one and two, but I would say they're the most
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realistic.
19:59
Like if you say I have a future on Georgia and Alabama or one of the two, you'd be like,
20:04
okay, good bet.
20:05
But if you said like, Ohio State, Michigan, like, you know, I was to be like, I mean,
20:09
yeah, they could, but.
20:11
No, not really.
20:13
They definitely can.
20:15
I mean, one of those two is going to make it, but yeah, but but yeah, but no, they're
20:20
an honest.
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They're not.
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Yeah.
20:23
But yeah.
20:24
All right.
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So that's all I got.
20:26
Chris, I know you have some things you want to say about week one.
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Go into that.
20:35
All right.
20:36
I got a few leans that I want to talk through.
20:40
Well, actually, first of all, I'm going to give up two picks that I will be taking for
20:45
tomorrow that I wrote down today.
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These are on the lines are on draft Kings.
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First one.
20:53
This line has moved a lot.
20:55
It scares me.
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It scares me to death.
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Utah minus four and a half.
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I will be taking that.
21:02
Camera is not going to play.
21:03
It I don't, it feels like everyone in the world is on Florida right now.
21:08
The line was at like six and a half, two days ago, and it's already moved to four and a
21:14
half.
21:15
I just, I can't, Utah, like I don't care.
21:18
Like if Ryzen, obviously that affects it a lot, but Utah is still a very difficult place
21:24
to play.
21:25
And if you think going back to last year, Florida with Anthony Richardson had the game
21:32
of his life and they only won by four points at home.
21:38
Yeah.
21:39
I think I had, I think I had Utah in that game.
21:42
I did not go my way.
21:43
No, I had Utah as well.
21:45
I had Florida.
21:48
But I mean, Graham Mertz might be the furthest thing from Anthony Richardson.
21:56
Graham Mertz is on the list.
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He's on the eternal list.
22:01
He's in the graveyard.
22:02
He sucks.
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I will very seldom bet on Graham Mertz.
22:06
Yeah.
22:07
And I also think Billy Napier is one of the worst coaches in the SEC.
22:13
So I will be taking Utah minus four and a half.
22:16
I'm probably going to lock it in right after we're done, honestly, just in case it moves.
22:21
But yeah, I love that one.
22:24
But it's, it makes me nervous that I love it because like I said, everyone I feel like
22:30
is on Florida, but switch it up to the only other game between Power Five teams tomorrow.
22:38
It's going up the exact same time.
22:40
So that's great scheduling.
22:41
Minnesota and Nebraska under 43 and a half.
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Big 10 football.
22:47
That's a big 10 matchup right there.
22:52
Matt Rohl, it's his first game with Nebraska.
22:54
I think they will be a lot better this year, but still week one going to take on a Thursday.
22:59
It's kind of weird.
23:00
I think they're going to take them some time to get rolling.
23:02
So under 43 and a half.
23:06
And then that's good.
23:07
I've got one that I want to talk to you guys about.
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This is tomorrow as well.
23:12
UCF versus Kent State.
23:14
UCF favored by 36 and a half over under 55 and a half.
23:20
I want to talk to you about this game.
23:22
I know this sounds terrible, but I want to talk to you for one reason.
23:27
Kent State, they lost their coach.
23:29
Les, they're in the offseason.
23:31
Their coach is the new OC at Colorado.
23:33
I didn't know this until the day.
23:35
They lost every single starter on offense.
23:40
All 11 to the portal or grad.
23:42
Yeah.
23:43
Good night.
23:44
Oh, like all 11 starters are either transferred or graduated or like they're gone.
23:52
So it's not good for them.
23:54
I know.
23:55
So I'm thinking about, that's why I wanted to talk to you guys.
23:59
Should I take UCF and the points at 36 and a half?
24:03
That's not a football number.
24:04
That makes me a little nervous.
24:07
Or do I go under 55 and a half?
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Because I was thinking about taking, just real quick, I was thinking about taking Kent
24:16
State's team total under.
24:18
Guess what it is.
24:20
14.
24:21
7.
24:22
Sean was close.
24:24
Nine and a half.
24:25
I knew it would be like a single digit.
24:30
So seven and a half was fine for like over a touchdown.
24:37
But yeah, I'm debating if I should go with 30.
24:39
UCF and the points are under 55.
24:45
That's a tough one.
24:46
Because yeah, it's the not football number makes me a little nervous, but God, they're
24:50
going to be, Kent State's going to be so bad.
24:53
It might be a wait and see and see where the line moves.
24:58
Yeah.
24:59
That might be the play right there.
25:03
I thought about for a second taking the, taking the under nine and a half.
25:08
I was like, one good quarter ruins that.
25:11
Yeah, that's no fun.
25:14
Like they could put up, like it surprised people put up 10 in the first quarter and
25:18
you're done.
25:19
I think this is a really gross game.
25:24
This game is disgusting.
25:25
Yeah, I don't really want to watch this game.
25:28
I'm not going to watch this.
25:30
So God, you're stealing my whole flow, man.
25:34
That's what I was going to say.
25:36
Like, but it's good.
25:38
But me and you, me and you are like this.
25:42
It's like, I'm not going to watch this game.
25:44
So you might as well bet the under.
25:47
That's true.
25:48
Yeah, I mean, that's, that's normally the play.
25:51
Like, yeah.
25:52
So I've heard that like some people when they like go to like, when there's a game
25:56
on and they go watch a movie, they just bet the under because you're not going to want
26:02
to watch that.
26:05
Yeah.
26:06
You don't want to, you don't want to root for an under.
26:07
Like you don't want to be watching an under because every, every good part of the game
26:12
is agony.
26:16
Every cool touchdown is like just like, fuck.
26:19
Yeah.
26:20
You're like, oh, that was cool.
26:22
Shit.
26:23
Shit.
26:24
Yeah, exactly.
26:25
Exactly.
26:26
No, that's fair.
26:27
Yeah.
26:28
I'll probably.
26:29
Just bet the under.
26:30
I like that.
26:31
So as long as, I mean, yeah, okay, I'll probably do that.
26:41
But then I think it's your best option.
26:43
I think you're right.
26:45
And then I got a, I got a few more leans for Saturday.
26:48
I want to talk with you all about Wisconsin minus 27 and a half against Buffalo, UTSA
26:55
money line against Houston, which I'm probably going to take Oregon State minus 16 and a
27:00
half against San Jose State and South, South Alabama plus six and a half against Tulane.
27:11
So I like UTSA money line because they're playing Houston.
27:16
Houston's getting a new quarterback.
27:17
I just think it might take them a game or two to get adjusted and UTSA is really good
27:22
for a group of five team.
27:25
And then South Alabama, I just like them.
27:27
I think they got really good defense.
27:29
I like Tulane.
27:30
I don't know.
27:31
Maybe everyone, I think everyone might be on them because, oh, they were so fun last
27:36
year and I love Tulane.
27:38
But I don't know, I feel like a touchdown is a lot for this game, but those are the
27:44
only two I got for Saturday or only four I got for Saturday.
27:47
Is Tulane favored?
27:48
Yeah, by six and a half.
27:54
I didn't really pay much attention to Tulane last year.
27:56
I mean, they were the sexy, like they were the good group of five team that beat USC
28:00
and the cotton bowl.
28:01
Like they were fun to play, fun offense, but I just, South Alabama's got really good
28:06
defense.
28:07
I think I'm a favorite to win the Sun Belt.
28:08
I just, ah, or one of the favorites, I should say.
28:12
I just, I don't know.
28:13
I feel like everyone's going to be on Tulane.
28:17
Okay.
28:18
I can, I can see that.
28:21
I mean, if we've learned anything from college football, just from watching it, you know,
28:28
forever, anything can happen, really.
28:31
Oh, yeah.
28:32
It's college football.
28:33
This is why people watch college football because anything can happen.
28:38
So, I think, I think that's a, that's a good, that's a good pick.
28:44
You know, I know we kind of went past it already, but I don't know.
28:49
I'm thinking that, see the Nebraska, Minnesota game, I'm kind of leaning Nebraska.
28:59
But I, I also like the other side of me is like, this is easily a game where Nebraska
29:07
makes the list.
29:10
This is, this is an easy Nebraska makes the list.
29:15
Yeah, I can see that.
29:17
Like it's, I have no reason to bet Nebraska, except you know, they got Matt rule now.
29:25
And you know,
29:26
I think that quarterback from, I forget where he transferred from, but he's pretty good.
29:31
Yeah.
29:32
And this is a fresh start for them.
29:34
I don't know.
29:35
Just, you know, like seven is a lot of points, especially in a big 10 game.
29:39
I mean, come on, like, yeah.
29:43
So I don't know.
29:44
I don't, I don't take Nebraska.
29:46
They might, it's either, it's either I win the bet or they make the list.
29:50
I said, betting on Nebraska is a, it's not a fun.
29:54
It's not fun.
29:55
At least last five years or so.
30:00
Yeah.
30:01
So we'll see.
30:02
They weren't, weren't they playing fairly well with Matt rule?
30:05
Like after he came in last year, after they fired,
30:08
They're Matt rule.
30:10
No, Matt rule then he hasn't.
30:14
But if they fired a Scott Foster, yeah, they start playing.
30:17
I mean, better.
30:19
They're still terrible.
30:22
Like they just, they had, yeah.
30:24
Yeah, they didn't come in.
30:26
Yeah.
30:27
They had them after.
30:28
Yeah.
30:29
They have athletes.
30:30
They're just, there hasn't been a good coach there for, since they fired up.
30:34
Shit.
30:35
What's this?
30:36
That goofy looking coach who is actually pretty good.
30:38
Whoever makes fun of, I forget his name.
30:41
But, but yeah, ever since then, there's never going to be a play like whenever I've
30:49
been to Nebraska, every play I'm like, this could ruin it.
30:56
Every play it's like they could fuck up here so badly.
31:04
This might be a pick where, you know, like two or three years ago when it was like Nebraska
31:08
is the best three in three and 11 team, three and 19 in college football.
31:16
And I was like, okay, I mean, the will Compton take.
31:22
Yeah.
31:23
The original.
31:24
Yeah.
31:25
Which, which is they can't, they were that yeah, like thinking about it like they were
31:33
like the best three and nine team.
31:36
I remember I'm pretty sure that year they played ranked Iowa and were favored.
31:43
Really, like by a point.
31:46
Yes.
31:47
Yes.
31:48
I'm pretty sure like it opened at least.
31:52
I also think that most of their losses were possession.
31:58
Yeah, they were.
32:00
Yeah.
32:01
But they went from being the best three and nine team in the country to just being one
32:05
of the worst teams in the country.
32:07
Yeah.
32:08
It's like they were almost frauds.
32:14
They were almost frauds.
32:15
They were frauds at three and nine.
32:18
Yeah.
32:20
Yeah.
32:22
The like the plus seven that's a touchdown in a big 10 game.
32:29
And you know, they're, they'll lose like these one possession games, but I mean seven points.
32:38
You know, it's just like everything's sort of coming at me and it's like, take the points.
32:46
They're going to make the list.
32:50
I'm taking the underage because I think it's going to be disgusting.
32:53
That might be the subtle play for me.
32:56
That's that'll it's like, okay, this will definitely hit.
33:00
I'm also not going to watch it because I'm going to be watching Florida, Utah.
33:04
Oh, that's going the same time.
33:06
That sucks.
33:09
The only two like good game like the only two power five versus power five games on
33:16
Thursday night.
33:17
The same time.
33:19
That's ridiculous.
33:20
Yes.
33:21
But I, but you know, I think, I think you already mentioned this, you know, you're not watching
33:29
it.
33:30
Take the under at the end.
33:31
Exactly.
33:32
That's probably what we'll do.
33:33
We have these betting systems and they all work.
33:35
They all work together.
33:37
Let's see.
33:42
What else?
33:45
That's all I got for college on it so far.
33:48
At least obviously I'll have a lot more picks than this.
33:51
Right.
33:52
So far, that's all I got.
33:54
Yeah.
33:55
I don't have much either except that Nebraska.
33:59
Let's see NFL is a week and a half away.
34:06
Yup.
34:07
The 53 man rosters have been finalized.
34:10
Yeah.
34:11
As of today.
34:12
Yeah.
34:13
Or yesterday.
34:14
Yesterday.
34:15
Yesterday.
34:16
Yeah.
34:17
It's a, I don't know.
34:19
The Eagles do not have a punter.
34:22
They don't have a punter.
34:24
Nope.
34:25
I thought Brett Kerr was a punter.
34:27
They cut him.
34:30
Oh.
34:31
And they cut the other punter they had.
34:36
The Patriots only have Mack Jones.
34:41
A quarterback.
34:44
They have no other quarterbacks on the roster.
34:48
That's, and they drafted a quarterback.
34:51
Yeah.
34:52
They drafted Malik Cunningham.
34:55
Yeah.
34:56
They drafted.
34:57
That's, I mean, though, I've heard they're going to bring back Bailey's app.
35:02
They just had to release him to do some sort of roster moves, but that's still not good.
35:09
Yeah.
35:10
That's so weird.
35:12
That team is going to suck.
35:14
Like it, I hate it because I do, I do like Bella.
35:18
I respect him.
35:19
So it pains me to say that like a team he coaches is going to suck.
35:23
They're going to suck.
35:26
Yeah.
35:27
It's, I'm ready for the Patriots to be bad.
35:31
It's, I mean, they've been pretty, they've been mediocre at best the last few, last few
35:36
years.
35:37
I mean, they did make the playoffs, but then got immediately curb stomped by the bill.
35:44
That was the worst.
35:46
Literally teeth on the sidewalk, curb stomped.
35:51
I mean, the bill scored on every, like scored a touchdown every possession in the NFL.
35:57
That doesn't happen.
35:59
Yeah.
36:00
I'm ready for Patriots fans to shut the hell up.
36:07
But they won't.
36:09
Yeah, they won't.
36:10
I mean, they're still, they think they're going to be good this year.
36:13
We're going to win the Super Bowl this year.
36:16
Oh yeah.
36:17
It's not going to stop it until Belichick retires.
36:22
Even then, who knows?
36:25
All right.
36:29
Other 53 man roster news.
36:34
The Cardinals are just going to be the worst.
36:37
Yeah.
36:38
They're tanking.
36:39
Like, I've never seen this just, oh, like before the season even started, openly tanking.
36:46
Yes.
36:47
Like, don't get me wrong.
36:51
I love Josh jobs, but Josh jobs and Clayton tune are here to quarterbacks.
36:58
Yikes.
37:00
Yeah, it's not going to, it's not going to go well for them.
37:06
It's just ever since they paid Kyler that money, like, I think that, I think that season
37:13
after he got paid, I think they won seven straight games and then they lost 10.
37:21
They went off a cliff.
37:22
Yeah.
37:23
Yeah.
37:24
And then they got bouncing the first round of the playoffs.
37:26
Did they make the playoffs a year?
37:28
I'm pretty sure.
37:30
I think they did.
37:31
I think they did because there is that it's the Kyler Murray like meme of him on the sideline
37:36
just by himself.
37:38
But I think because I started out like you said, seven a row or eight or whatever.
37:44
So I think that was good enough to get him in.
37:47
But I mean, they're, they're, and then they're gonna tank.
37:52
They're going to get, they're going to try to draft Caleb Williams and they're still
37:56
going to have to be paying Kyler Murray because they gave him so much fucking money.
38:00
So how's that going to like, I mean, they're going to have to get rid of them.
38:05
But that's going to be impossible.
38:07
They're going to have to eat almost all of that salary.
38:10
How long is he out for?
38:13
They said like he could come back as early as week five, but they're not going to play
38:20
them.
38:22
Why would I think they put them on the PUP list or whatever.
38:26
Yeah.
38:27
Like why would you play?
38:29
You're not trying to win games clearly.
38:32
So why would you play them?
38:37
Like if they, if it's week five and they're somehow three and one or even two and two
38:43
and he's, which that would be a pretty quick turnaround because he tore it in like what?
38:47
Week 10 last year, maybe even later.
38:52
So but they're, they're going to be so, I saw it's the second lowest win total and like
38:58
NFL history at three and a half.
39:00
I saw that too.
39:03
Geez.
39:04
That's tough.
39:05
I love it.
39:07
I think hellermer's so much.
39:09
I'm not mad.
39:11
I'm not happy they got hurt, but fuck that.
39:15
And Cliff Kingsbury can suck one.
39:18
I just hate that team so much.
39:23
Well, he's doing something in Thailand.
39:28
Did he come back?
39:32
Oh yeah, he got fired.
39:36
Who's that?
39:37
Oh, it's something Ganon.
39:39
Isn't that the coach?
39:40
I forget his name.
39:42
Rich Ganon?
39:43
No, not Rich Ganon.
39:44
It's, I forget his first name.
39:46
I'm pretty sure it's Ganon.
39:48
I don't even know.
39:49
I'm going to look it up real quick.
39:50
It's going to bug me.
39:52
The Cardinals are just such a, not even on my spectrum.
39:56
They're not on my wavelength at all.
40:01
Jonathan Ganon, that was who it was.
40:04
He said like they're not releasing the week one, like starting quarterback between Josh
40:10
Jobs and Clayton Toon for like strategic purposes.
40:13
For competitive advantage.
40:15
Yeah.
40:16
This guy, Jonathan Ganon, he will be unemployed in two years.
40:20
That is the most loser talk I've ever heard.
40:24
Over under two years.
40:25
Oh, I think he gets fired at most like week six of year three.
40:33
This guy's a bum.
40:40
I think that's it for this week.
40:43
This is kind of like a weird sort of week where there's just college football and.
40:49
I got some NFL stuff.
40:52
Oh, you got some NFL stuff.
40:53
Okay.
40:54
So I got a couple of futures.
40:56
One I'm definitely taking one.
40:57
I just want to float by y'all.
40:59
So you think so the one I'm definitely taking nausea Harris under 925 and a half rushing
41:05
yards.
41:08
I just don't, I don't think he's very good.
41:11
Yeah.
41:12
And I also hot take maybe I don't think he's going to be the starting running back by the
41:18
end of the year.
41:20
Probably not.
41:21
This that Jalen warning kid.
41:22
They drafted.
41:23
He's been tearing it up.
41:26
I really like him.
41:28
So I think I love that under 925 and a half.
41:32
I love that.
41:33
Yeah, I love that.
41:35
That's actually fantastic.
41:37
Yeah, I might take that.
41:42
I like it a lot.
41:43
And the other one I'm on the fence about somehow over 18 and a half passing touchdowns.
41:51
He's been slinging in that he's been like he's he looks good.
41:56
I know it's preseason, but he's been looking pretty good.
42:00
I feel like the commanders do have like a really good wide receiver room.
42:07
Also Eric B. Enomy, new OC.
42:12
I mean loves to, loves to throw it.
42:14
I can't believe he went to Washington.
42:18
I mean, it's probably the best way to get a head coaching job.
42:23
Yeah, because I thought he was already like kind of eligible for a head coaching job.
42:28
I thought so too.
42:29
I don't know what's going on with that, but I'm, but I mean, Andy Reed's not going anywhere.
42:35
But and riverboat Ron, Ron Rivera, I love him.
42:42
He's losing it.
42:44
Did you hear what he said about Sam Hal earlier in the week?
42:48
No, he's like, Oh, never.
42:50
He's they talked like some reporter asked him, he's like, Oh, how do you like, what
42:54
do you think about Sam Hal playing so well in the preseason?
42:57
I was like, I didn't know what we had in him like this whole time.
43:00
I was like, Mother, Motherfucker, you're the head coach.
43:06
They had a game last year where if they won, they like could have still gone to the playoffs
43:13
and they started Carson Wentz.
43:16
And then he's like, Oh, I didn't know Sam Hal was like worth a shit.
43:21
It's like, you're the head coach.
43:24
Yeah, I remember that.
43:25
I remember, I remember thinking that was some fuck shit.
43:30
Yeah.
43:31
And then I think it was, it might have been the same game or I can't remember if it was
43:34
the same game or not, but a reporter asked him like, Oh, like, you're still like alive
43:40
in the playoff hunt.
43:41
What do you have to do?
43:42
He's like, we're still, we haven't been eliminated.
43:45
Or it was the reverse like he didn't know they had been eliminated and he found out.
43:49
I was like, this guy is lose.
43:51
Like he's losing his damn mind.
43:54
So I think the enemy, like if the commander sucked this year, the enemy could be the head
43:59
coach next year, honestly.
44:01
It sounds like Eric B. enemy is playing 4D chess.
44:06
You could be while the rest of us are playing regular chess.
44:09
I don't know how to play chess.
44:14
So I don't either.
44:16
It's it's all right.
44:19
It's kind of hard, but I'm more of a Chinese checkers, man.
44:25
I have no clue how the game is.
44:28
I think I played like twice when I was a child.
44:34
But I have an NFL gambling stat for you guys.
44:37
This is for a week one.
44:41
One underdogs playing in week one since 2015 are 31, 12 and one against the spread.
44:49
Talk to me.
44:51
There are eight games in week one where division, but divisional matchups.
45:00
I'll run through them all.
45:01
See what you guys think.
45:03
Colts plus five against the Jags.
45:07
Where is it?
45:08
It's in India, I believe.
45:10
Okay.
45:11
I don't love that because I think the Colts are going to be ass.
45:15
Yes, but the numbers.
45:20
The numbers, but I don't know.
45:27
That's a tough one.
45:28
Jonathan Taylor is not going to be playing.
45:30
No, he's not.
45:32
Not like that would matter anyway.
45:34
He was dog shit last year.
45:36
Did he get hurt last year?
45:39
Yes.
45:40
Yeah.
45:41
Okay.
45:42
I mean, the Colts are a dumpster fire.
45:49
Apparently Anthony Richardson has been playing fairly well, but we don't know if that's just
45:56
Colts propaganda because we're all on Titans Twitter.
46:04
Filled into the Titans Twitter is the AFC South Twitter and people talking shit and
46:10
stuff like that.
46:11
So we'll see.
46:12
Yeah.
46:13
All right.
46:14
Next one I have written down.
46:16
Browns plus one and a half versus the Bengals.
46:20
Browns, like if you look back at like last few years against the Bengals, they're, they
46:27
have been like winning almost all of these games.
46:29
I think three and one.
46:31
Where is this?
46:32
Shit.
46:33
I think it's in since he let me pull it up real quick.
46:40
It is.
46:41
Oh, it's in Cleveland.
46:43
Is Joe Barrow going to play?
46:46
I have no idea.
46:47
I haven't really heard anything about that.
46:49
That is a big factor.
46:53
I mean, that's probably what it's.
46:55
Oh, shit.
46:57
Bandit freaking out.
47:01
There a ghost.
47:02
The other is not kind of the door.
47:05
Is that you?
47:07
Yeah.
47:08
Did you knock on the wood?
47:12
Yeah, I just knocked on the table.
47:16
All right.
47:18
But yeah, I don't know that.
47:20
I don't know.
47:21
I don't know what to think about that's that's one like these first two.
47:26
I don't really know what to think.
47:30
I kind of like the Browns there.
47:34
I do too.
47:36
The Bengals are just so good to me last year.
47:42
If Joe Barrow is playing, I'm probably going to be.
47:46
Yeah.
47:47
If Joe Barrow is playing, I'm probably going to be taking the Bengals.
47:55
But this is also a very much like a trap.
47:59
This is like minus one and a half.
48:04
I agree.
48:05
Division.
48:06
So I'm probably going to take the Browns.
48:10
Gotcha.
48:11
If Joe Barrow is playing, I'm definitely probably going to take the Browns.
48:16
Interesting.
48:17
Next, next one.
48:18
This is one I will be taking in favor of the plus sign.
48:22
Panthers plus three and a half against the Falcons.
48:25
Yeah.
48:26
That's.
48:28
I'm all in on the Panthers this year.
48:31
It's in Atlanta.
48:32
I just think there's too much hype around the Falcons right now.
48:35
They're still ass.
48:37
Yes, they still have Desmond Ritter at quarterback.
48:41
Yeah.
48:42
Like so.
48:43
I know they got B-John and all that, but I do like that one.
48:46
It's in Atlanta makes me a little nervous, but I love Panthers plus three and a half.
48:51
That's a good pick.
48:53
I like that pick.
48:54
Sean, what do you think?
48:57
Hmm.
48:59
I do.
49:01
I do like that, but I don't know.
49:09
You said it's in Atlanta.
49:13
Yeah.
49:17
I don't know.
49:18
I think both of these teams have like a lot to prove at the same time.
49:23
No, I agree.
49:25
But I'm just, I'm all in on the Panthers.
49:27
So if you're going to give me a three and a half, I'll take it.
49:31
I do have the Panthers one in total.
49:35
So I will probably take that just to profit along the way.
49:42
Let's go.
49:43
All right.
49:44
Next one.
49:45
I'm in decisive about this one, but I'm leaning towards it.
49:47
Packers plus one and a half against the Bears.
49:52
This one I could very well see this changing, like flipping by like two weeks from now.
50:01
That's tough.
50:03
That's like, that could either be like, is Jordan Love actually good or is this like
50:13
a coming out party for Justin Fields?
50:15
I just, I think everyone is going to be on Chicago.
50:19
I, well, I do kind of feel like it's going to be a coming out party for Justin Fields.
50:25
I definitely, but they can still lose the game and he can still be a coming out party.
50:30
They did that a lot last year.
50:32
He played amazing and they still lost like two touchdowns.
50:35
Yeah.
50:36
True.
50:37
But that might be the plan.
50:39
If he beats the Packers, he will be Chicago's savior.
50:48
He will be their God.
50:50
Yes.
50:51
They'll build the statue before the next game.
50:54
Yeah.
50:55
But I don't know.
50:59
I really want to go Bears there actually.
51:01
Really?
51:02
Interesting.
51:03
All right.
51:04
Yeah.
51:05
Next one.
51:06
I don't know about the, I might say, I'm probably going to say away from this one.
51:10
Rams plus four and a half against the Seahawks.
51:13
I hate that game.
51:16
Yeah.
51:17
Me too.
51:18
It's in Seattle.
51:23
But see, here's the thing.
51:24
This might, what good?
51:25
What time is the game at?
51:28
325 central time.
51:29
So it's okay.
51:31
I just think this might be the only one of the very few games where Matt Stafford is going
51:36
to be remotely healthy.
51:38
So I was like, if you're gunning about on the Rams, like the week, week one, yeah, like
51:48
weeks one, two and three might be your only shot.
51:53
I kind of get that actually.
51:55
So that was like my only thing.
52:02
But yeah, Will, what do you think?
52:06
That's a tough one.
52:07
It's kind of like is if Cooper cup is healthy, then and Matthew Stafford, I think this is
52:17
a slam dunk slam dunk Rams plus four.
52:24
I think that the Rams are not the Rams.
52:29
The Seahawks are probably a more complete team, more like well rounded team than than
52:36
the Rams.
52:42
Rams still got a lot of dudes on their team, but Seahawks also have a lot of dudes.
52:50
And I think that Jackson Smith and jigbo went down with an injury.
52:54
I think he's out for like a week or two.
52:56
Oh, really?
52:57
I didn't see that.
52:58
I saw you got hurt.
52:59
Yeah.
53:00
So not that that would be a huge factor because he's a rookie, but you know, it's just another
53:06
chip in the in the swing.
53:09
So that's I.
53:12
Yeah, I'm iffy on that pick.
53:15
Yeah, but I do like it.
53:19
Next one.
53:20
It's another kind of smelly one Raiders plus four against the Broncos.
53:24
God, I hate betting on the Raiders and I'm betting on the Broncos too.
53:31
I'm probably just staying away from that one.
53:33
But Will, we're going to be in Vegas at that time.
53:37
So we have to bet on the Raiders.
53:40
We're taking the Raiders, baby.
53:42
It's not in Vegas, is it?
53:45
No.
53:46
OK.
53:47
And that'll be like the game on whatever whatever sportsbook we're watching it at.
53:53
Yeah, that'll be the game that's on the biggest screen.
53:56
Yeah.
53:57
So might as well, you know, take the rate.
54:02
If you guys take it on my two, we'll see.
54:04
I'm down.
54:05
Plus four.
54:06
Yeah.
54:07
OK.
54:08
This one, I am definitely taking.
54:10
I kind of want to go ahead and lock it in.
54:12
Giants plus three and a half against the Cowboys.
54:16
I like that pick.
54:17
I love it.
54:19
I definitely think that that's a good pick.
54:22
The Giants are really on kind of like an upswing right now.
54:26
And that is allergic to throwing it to his own team.
54:32
He just loves their own picks.
54:36
But I've just seen so many memes about him in just practice, just throwing it to defenders.
54:47
Just like it's like he's lost it.
54:49
But yeah, I think the Giants got better and Cowboys more or less kind of stayed the same.
54:57
No.
54:58
I mean, the Cowboys tight end like Schultz didn't he leave?
55:02
Yeah.
55:03
He's in Houston now.
55:05
He's like a game breaker.
55:07
But still something.
55:08
Yeah, still something.
55:10
So yeah, I like that pick plus three and a half.
55:13
I love it.
55:14
That's good.
55:15
All right.
55:16
And the last one.
55:18
I'm tempted to take it, but I feel like it's going to be very popular, very public.
55:23
Jets plus two and a half against the Bills on Monday Night Football.
55:27
I disagree.
55:30
I think that, man, that's tough.
55:34
Yeah.
55:35
There's like, there's just so much hype around the Jets right now.
55:40
And it's it's going to be like, I think a lot of people are going to take the Jets.
55:46
Hard knocks and everything.
55:48
Yeah.
55:49
But and hard knocks is just a jerk off session.
55:53
Yeah.
55:54
So, I don't know.
55:56
It's like the Bills could easily just stomp them.
56:01
I mean, the Bills were 13 and three last year.
56:04
Yeah.
56:05
The three games that they lost were all like one possession.
56:07
Yeah.
56:08
Like they were really fucking good.
56:10
Yeah.
56:11
So, I know the Jets got a lot better, but I don't know.
56:18
Sean, what do you think?
56:25
It's that's tough.
56:30
Yeah.
56:31
Well, it's hard to like bet against a team on 9 11.
56:38
New York team.
56:41
Yeah.
56:42
Oh boy.
56:43
And that changes everything.
56:45
But does it because I know they're not a New York City team, but Buffalo is still in
56:51
New York.
56:52
Yeah.
56:53
This is.
56:54
I don't know.
56:55
That changes everything.
56:57
Yeah.
56:58
So, it happened last year with the Giants and the Titans.
57:06
Yup.
57:07
And you're that that New York team's going to win.
57:13
Okay.
57:14
You just feel it.
57:15
You just feel it.
57:16
Yeah.
57:17
So, I might take the Jets.
57:19
I really want to, but I can't tell them a sucker or not.
57:24
It's oh my gosh.
57:26
It's just like I hate it.
57:30
I hate having to.
57:31
I mean, obviously I'm not going to make my choice right here and now.
57:35
That's for next week's show.
57:37
Tune in.
57:38
Damn straight.
57:41
But you said that the 9 11 thing changes everything.
57:48
That's a that's a total game changer.
57:53
So those are the divisional games that I got.
57:58
So I like a few of those.
58:00
Some of them though, do you scare the hell out of me?
58:03
So we'll see.
58:04
I might just blindly bet them all.
58:06
Who knows?
58:09
I mean, if the numbers don't lie, I guess yes.
58:14
True.
58:15
It's not really blindly betting against it, but I might just say, fuck it.
58:19
Take off.
58:21
Take every dog week one.
58:22
Why not?
58:23
Yeah, every game.
58:26
If this podcast has a has a slogan, it should be I have a stat.
58:31
Damn straight.
58:33
So stats.
58:35
Yeah.
58:37
But I guess that's it.
58:40
Honestly.
58:41
Yeah, that's all I got for NFL.
58:43
Yeah, so close.
58:45
Yeah, we're so close.
58:48
Yeah, I think that's going to be it for us this week.
58:54
Unless you have anything to add, Sean.
58:56
No, I'm good.
58:58
All right, tight.
59:00
Yeah, tune in next week for the first NFL show of the 2023 2024 season.
59:08
We back.
59:10
We back.
59:11
We're so back.
59:12
This is going to be awesome.
59:14
I can't wait.
59:15
Yeah.
59:16
Follow us on Twitter.
59:20
Link is in the bio.
59:21
We tweet out all of our picks.
59:25
Like comment, subscribe.
59:28
And yeah, there's three of us.
59:29
Now let's make some money.