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The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 1 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: We are live from our Tommy John Home studios. I
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: This is our Sunday Night episode in which we review
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: the Faves five picks we put into the contest. We
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: dissect why we left all of the games out that
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: we left out, all of which were winners, and preview
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: the early lines we already like for a week two.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: my Campadre, my BFF, professional Better signmon Hunter, het os Imn.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Hello Chad, how are you doing brother?
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: We're going to get into it.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: I feel fine thanks to some miracle work by quarterbacks
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: we believe in, and I actually am more upset about
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: games we left off the table, like really rookie amateur
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: mistakes that we're gonna talk about. Catch every episode of
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  Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast is presented by BET three sixty five
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  Speaker 1: and this just in new Bet three sixty five, customers
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  Speaker 1: now get two hundred dollars in bonus bets when you
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  Speaker 3: And more. Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary.
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  Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditioned restrictions apply all right.
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  Speaker 1: Transparency is the name of the game.
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  Speaker 3: It's how we play it.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: Right now, we are one and two and the favorites
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  Speaker 1: one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest, in
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: which we are competing against so many of our friends
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  Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest presented by
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  Speaker 1: the contest. Here's why. We will drop your one worst
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  Speaker 3: Sign up at.
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  Speaker 1: Favorites got action network dot com. All right, let's run
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: through the games, starting with the losers. I know everyone
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: in the chat wants to come after us because we
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: have so been all about the Panthers. And we got
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: fucking kicked in the dick, and then we got stomped,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: and then we got our head smashed in, and then
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: someone reached deep deep down our throats and pulled our
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: stomach out and then squeezed the juice is on our
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: face and we melted. That's how disgusting it was. And
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: it wasn't even as bad as what the Panthers did
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: on the field.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: Shut up, shut up.
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: I felt like we were tired in the Panthers.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: We believe the panthers bad luck with penalties and turnovers
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: could not continue. We believe the offensive line would be better,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: receivers would be better, coaching would be better, Bryce Young
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: would be better. Simon, everything bad last season for the
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Panthers was bad in this game.
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, when I have family members that I barely talk
• 4:04
  Speaker 4: to that barely even watch football, texting me, how the
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: hell did you like this Panthers team? I always like,
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: Jesus Christ, this is not where we want to go.
• 4:12
  Speaker 4: I've had a couple of fans reach out to US
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: NASA US. Why don't we simply every week bet against
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: the Panthers and see if that works, because clearly would.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Have worked last year, and it's off to a hot
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: start this year.
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: I say not to overreact too much to one game,
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: but I think, I mean, you both agree Bryce Young
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: might be out of this league in a year like
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: this guy doesn't really fit the part.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: So I know you have a little bit of rant
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: about bry S Young here, Chad, but I'm.
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: With the fans. I don't care that next week. We
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: both think there's value on the line. I'm not betting them.
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: I'm not giving them out on the show. So go ahead, Chaed.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Well look right now, Carolina, I think is what's the lion.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: It's five and a half at home. They're plus five
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: and a half at home against the Chargers. Obviously you
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: look at that number and you have to say to yourself, yeah,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: there's value on the Panthers.
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: We're not going to recommend that. We're not going to
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: say that.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: No.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Last year, the Panthers averaged just four point one yards
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: per play. That's the worst mark for any team since
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: the Bengals in.
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: Two thousand and eight.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: They had three point five yards per play today. Thank
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: you Evan for putting that in our chat here. Look,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: we can go through the stats and believe all of
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the things that I said are true about the Panthers.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Better coaching, better talent around Bryce Young, he's just awful.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Like that first look, first throw interception. And it's not
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: like there's no urgency. This is in when he's in
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: the pocket. You see guys in the pocket and they
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: have a sense that things are clapping collapsing around them.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: They start to step up. They're sliding left, they're sliding right,
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: they look like the of trying to put themselves in
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: a position to make a play. He just stands there
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: until it's almost completely collapsed on him. And because he's
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: so tiny, it's almost impossible for him to make the
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: right play because he's in a position where he's going
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: to make a bad throw because he can't see anything.
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: I know.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: It's like, I'm not trying to make fun of the guy. No,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: he's just he's terrible at this.
• 6:25
  Speaker 4: And yeah, it's the same reason like I talked about.
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: You know last year right had a second round great
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: in the guys, if you want to be a first
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: round pick, there's always one thing this guy does great, right,
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: better than everyone else?
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: C J. Stroud.
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: The two best things will see the shot is his
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: pocket pocket awareness and his accuracy deep down the field.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: Brayshung coming out. He was just good at everything, right,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Wasn't that what they told us? Jad?
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: And it's like, okay, but what's he great at? And
• 6:49
  Speaker 4: when you watch this stuff, he's not great at anything. Right.
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: He doesn't have great pocket awareness, hasn't great move in
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: the in the pocket, he doesn't have great arm talent. Right,
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: there was guys open today that he was missing.
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I.
• 7:01
  Speaker 4: Got burned bad today on them for a decent amount
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: of money, and I just I don't care. We can
• 7:08
  Speaker 4: keep it moving because I don't want to waste any
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: more time on them. I'm just totally discussing what I
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: saw today, and I'm hoping tomorrow next week. You know,
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: it's a new team that was just a one off, right,
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: that's the hope, because we actually bet on their futures.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: But right now, zero confidence and Bryce Shawan.
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: Here's the problem. And I like to wallow in my misery.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Like I felt so sick all day that about this
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: game and about this bet and how much we touted
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: this team, and like it just I'm in agony about it.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: So I just want to I just want to get
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: it all out, like they made the New Orleans Saints,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: who we genuinely believe are not good, right, and their
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: defensive line is older, their offensive line isn't as good.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Derek Carr first long pass, sixty yards touchdown. Derek Carr
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: looked like a world beater today against this team. Dennis
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Allen didn't have to be a bad coach because he
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: didn't have to coach.
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: They were up thirty to three at halftime.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: Like the Panthers did everything that the Panthers did the
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: previous year. The game was not out of hand in
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the first half, and they had a really smartly designed
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: play where they pitched it out. I think it was
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Miles Sanders ran for a first down on a long
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: third down holding penalty comes back, they give the ball
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: back to the Saints they had I think they were
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: down twenty to nothing, So like not over right still
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: first half. If you believe in the team, we believe
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: in the coach. We think they've got some talent. It's
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: not over fumble on a reverse after they gain a
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: first down, Like every single time with this team, they're
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: just like none of them look like they know how
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: to play. It's like you go to Carolina and you're
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: in affected. You're infected with some kind of like panther virus.
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and that just when it starts going bad though,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: it just goes terrible. Right, They're just terrible. They don't
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: have any real leadership. That's probably another issue for this team.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Well, speaking of terrible, we were on the Giants today
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: at plus one and a half. We almost pulled it
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: out of the contest today and we're going to get
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: to sort of why we didn't and games that we
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: were going to put in, all of which were winners today,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: which is another thing that's making even more sick.
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: When did Sam Darnold become Sam? I am the man?
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Because he started ten for ten, like I think he
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: had two incompletions of the whole game and threw for
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: more than two hundred yards he had. He started ten
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: for ten with one hundred and thirty six yards in
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: a touchdown. They had an eleven play, ninety nine yard
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: drive that ended with a fourth.
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: Down time touchdown throat. That's what all world qbs do.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Did we see anything here that justified the confidence we
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: had in the Giants? Did get did we get taken?
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Did we fool ourselves? Do we misread?
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: Like? Are we off for too?
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: On the teams that we were convinced might have some value?
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: I would say Daniel Jones definitely looked rusty. I thought
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: he would be rusty, but I thought overall they'd played better.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: But yeah, like you just nailed.
• 10:31
  Speaker 4: Sam Darnold started the game temper ten and he was
• 10:33
  Speaker 4: on fire. And then he did eventually turn back into
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: a pumpkin. He threw a pick and he just like
• 10:36
  Speaker 4: the second half, they didn't do anything like they were
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: incredible in the first half.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: Once they got to pick six off.
• 10:42
  Speaker 4: Daniel Jones, it's like, all right, we don't need to
• 10:44
  Speaker 4: do a single thing now, we can just pack it
• 10:45
  Speaker 4: in because they knew that their defense was good enough
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: that they really needed to do much.
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 10:49
  Speaker 4: I think that was the most surprising part to me
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: is that, you know, Brian Flores had this defense play
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: amazing last year. I thought naturally they'd regress just because
• 10:59
  Speaker 4: they played so of obviously that's not great. Littin the test, right,
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: it's Daniel Jones and his first started for coming back
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: off a major injury, which we don't have talk. We'll
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: get to it, probably that Pittsburgh game. But like you
• 11:09
  Speaker 4: saw Kirk Cousins, right, he looked rusty. Like coming off
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: major injuries in your first start, you play rusty.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I love the.
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: Under in this game, love the Giants, like I just
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: had a game scripted the other way. Honestly, I thought
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: that the Giants would be the ones playing well and
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: the Vikings would struggle.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: And you know, when the game.
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: Started, I think the Vikings, you know, they got a
• 11:32
  Speaker 4: sack on Sam Darnold, then they got a fumble recovery,
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: didn't didn't score a touchdown, like kicked the field goal,
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: and it's just like in the back of mind, I'm
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: just thinking, yeah, like this is this is not a
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: good team, right, so.
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: Sucks.
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: Right we got caugh up there with the Giants, but
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: I'm not totally out on them. Still, it's just you know,
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: another team that's like, like you just said, we'd other
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: the other teams we talked about. I would have felt
• 11:55
  Speaker 4: way better having a lot of money on those quarterbacks
• 11:58
  Speaker 4: as a dog than I did at any time with
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: Daniel Jones. Like once it started, it's always our realization
• 12:04
  Speaker 4: of just like this was not the spot to go
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: heavy on Daniel Jones and this team, right, It's like
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: why did we not wait and see? But still you
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: know that that is a tough one where it's like
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: we played the number and we thought we had a
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: good number. That's what you said, Like we said we
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: didn't switch it out because we thought we had a
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: good number.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: It was never a good number. That was just a
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: bad bet.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Now, Daniel Jones was what twenty two or forty two
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: I think for less than two hundred yards average and
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: two picks right and averaged four point four yards per completion,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: two picks, including the pick six and a pick six
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: that he threw in sort of inside the twenty I think,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: and then inside his own twenty. And then he also
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: threw an interception in the Vikings end zone when the
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Giants were driving that sort of just ended it. I
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: do think this rage is, you know, an interesting coaching
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: question which we had had a lot during the offseason
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: because da Ball. Brian Dable, the Giants coach, and Kevin O'Connell,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: the Vikings coach, have been connected since they started as
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: head coaches a couple of years ago. They both were
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: brilliant in one score games their rookie coaching years. They
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: got to the playoffs, they played each other. Brian Daball
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: wins Coach of the Year. Brian Dable goes to Minnesota
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: beats Kevin O'Connell and the Vikings on the road in
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: the playffs with Daniel Jones. Last year, there's regression from
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: the Giants because Daniel Jones isn't playing. The Vikings lose
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: their quarterback too, and they regressed significantly less. Now, granted
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: they had justin Jefferson to me this year, This game
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: was supposed to be a little bit about a coaching matchup.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Did Kevin O'Connell just completely out coach Brian Daball Or
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: did the Giants just have zero talent on their team,
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: especially in the defensive backfield.
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: You could say that, but it's also just you talked
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: about though Sam Donald came out hot. Man, It's just
• 14:03
  Speaker 4: I don't I'm not sure to read too much into
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: because it is week one. I said that to you,
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: though I told you the Giants have a horrible secondary.
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: It's not like the secondary of the Vikings is that
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: much better, right, and Brian floor has made it work.
• 14:14
  Speaker 4: So it's like, you know, I don't want to make
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: excuses for this Giants team, but they just they came
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: out flat. The Vikings did not like their offense was humming.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: You just said it.
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: They went ninety nine yards. Like Sam Donald goes ninety
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: nine yards, you ain't winning your bet.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: That's your dead.
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: So yeah, like you said, you eat some humble pie
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: here and get back after.
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: But two games are not gonna rereacting. I'll tell you
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: this much. The books respect this Vikings team.
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: I saw a couple of lines open, you know them
• 14:44
  Speaker 4: plus six them plus five and a half at the
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: forty nine ers next week check. So definitely an interesting,
• 14:50
  Speaker 4: interesting team that could be a little bit of a
• 14:52
  Speaker 4: sleeper team.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: Well, I want to talk about that in a minute.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: So you said it about the Giants defensive back.
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: Just one thing. I was watching this game and.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: The Giants had stopped the Vikings on third down, you know,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: from the one or whatever, and you're thinking, all right,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: the Vikings are gonna do the smart thing.
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: They're going to go for the field goal.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: And then they line up to go for it, and
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: you see Justin Jefferson isolated against the Giants' top cornerback, who,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: by the way, might be the one hundred and fiftieth
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: rated quarterback according to profol, Like, honest to god, he's
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: he's not even on their board.
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: And it was such a actually.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: A good coverage there. It was just a good ball.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, dude, it was such an easy pitch and catch,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Like why would the Giants leave that guy against a
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: guy who was having one of an historic career. It
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: just said everything to me about yeah, that's a dead bet,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: dead bet. I tried to keep my composure. I've tried
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: to keep my cool. My kid had a bunch of
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: buddies over and like I want I didn't want to
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: be the dad who's like freaking out about his bets
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: in front of my son, and one was buddies, So like,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: I kept my cool the whole time. We had a
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: couple of TVs going. We had the Bears game going.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: We're going to talk about the Bears, so that could
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: occupy me. I will say when we got to the
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: end of the Colts game, I was getting a little
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: bit excited about it because this one was just a
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: fun sweat and it kind of played out exactly like
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: we thought it would play out. We had the Colts
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half in the contest. CJ was amazing.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: He threw it for a first down on fourth down
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: from his knees in the first quarter. Had just miraculous
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: plays at one point, like he threw across the field
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: across his body on a third down, like but going
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: both ways.
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: This was an amazing game, amazing game.
• 16:44
  Speaker 4: Amazing game, and nothing was breaking right for us in
• 16:48
  Speaker 4: any way. And so now we still got the cover,
• 16:51
  Speaker 4: which rarely works out for you when games just aren't
• 16:54
  Speaker 4: breaking away.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: I mean we literally that says something though that says
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: something to me about both teams, which we're going.
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: To talk about.
• 17:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it says a lot about Anthony Richardson. Honestly,
• 17:02
  Speaker 4: like this kid, we all see it. The talent is
• 17:07
  Speaker 4: incredible and it is just so raw, Like it's so raw.
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: You know, he.
• 17:15
  Speaker 4: Lost that game, like he kept him in it, but
• 17:17
  Speaker 4: end of the day, he is the reason they lost.
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: Like Shane Styken call it an amazing game. Like there
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: was multiple times he had wide open guys and then
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: he didn't have open guys and he went for those
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: guys anyway and it worked out for him.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: Like he really was just so up and down in
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: that game. But yeah, that.
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: Missing the open touchdown and throwing the pick right after
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: usually that's you know, a fourteen point at least ten
• 17:41
  Speaker 4: point swing in some ways, right, and they come down
• 17:46
  Speaker 4: And I love Dumiko Ryans. That's why they're a team
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: I was scared of coming to this year. He don't care,
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: like he knows the deal. He's not messing around, so
• 17:55
  Speaker 4: like you know, they're in fourth and goal. I mean,
• 17:59
  Speaker 4: I can't remember it might be five percent of the
• 18:02
  Speaker 4: time in my life I've ever seen coaches go for
• 18:04
  Speaker 4: it in that spot right, you kick the field goal,
• 18:06
  Speaker 4: you're up five.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: You're talking about you're talking about the end of the game.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: They're up the very one of the game thing, and
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: it's late in the fourth quarter. They get stopped on
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: fourth down and like on Thursday, Strowd, such a gamer.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: They go for it, and we needed them to go
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: for it, like the Gambler's math.
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: Play that out.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: It's twenty two to nothing, they kick the field goal,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: it's twenty five nothing like we don't like the The
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: only option then for the Colts is to score a
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: touchdown because the field goal won't be enough and they
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: won't have enough time. But if they don't get the touchdown,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: then they lose by five. And it just feels you
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: feel even sicker because you know you came within a
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: player or two, you know, versus twenty nine.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: So it's funny your brand works.
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: There were on the other way where I wanted them
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: to go for that. I was like, they stopped it.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: I did too.
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: All the momentum is all on the Colts and they
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: will win this game by a field goal. They'll drive
• 18:58
  Speaker 4: the field, they'll kick a field goal here, they'll win this.
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: So I was happy they went I for it. I mean,
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: shame on me. They called the perfect play. Stephan Diggs
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: was going against air. He was wide open in that
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: corner for that touchdown like that. That's a great, great
• 19:10
  Speaker 4: play by a great player. So yeah, Houston, everything we
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: talked about coming to the season, they're they're living up
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: to it.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 19:18
  Speaker 4: All the pieces they added, Joe Mix and Stefan Diggs,
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: they all showed up in a big way. We had
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: questions coming to hear about their defense. None was answered, right.
• 19:26
  Speaker 4: That was such a weird game where it's like, did they.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: Do okay against the run? Sure? Do they have issues
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: still in the secondary? Yeah, clearly. I mean they couldn't
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: stop the deep ball.
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: So Houston, they're exciting, But I think I still think
• 19:41
  Speaker 4: there's a reason we had a little bit of doubt
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: of them coming to the year. But I think we
• 19:44
  Speaker 4: both agree, right, Yeah, they're they're the best in this
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: division and that was apparent today, right. They just they
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: looked like a more mature, more complete team, and their
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: coach's confidence in them is incredible. Like Damiko Rans we
• 19:56
  Speaker 4: already talked about. It's just I love those type of
• 19:59
  Speaker 4: things because that breed's confidence for that team going forward,
• 20:02
  Speaker 4: So huge, huge, huge divisional win for Houston and the Colts.
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: Now going next week to Green Bay, that's become a
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: must win game, like you can't start the year zero
• 20:11
  Speaker 4: and two for the Colts.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: So yeah, pretty wild that game.
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: How so many Domino pieces fell in that game to
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: set up the rest of the season.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Well, look, you said this about Daniel Jones, the same
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: as true for Bryce Young. It's the opposite for Anthony Richardson.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: You never feel with Anthony Richardson like you're out of
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: the game the way you do with someone like Daniel
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Jones or Bryce Young. And you mentioned he missed a
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: wide open touchdown, He had a throw to Oudoni Mitchell
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: that went over his head and then the pick. He
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: did the same thing to Mitchell later.
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: In the game.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and follows it up with a sixty yard bomb
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: in the double coverage that gets them back in the game.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: And then he up running four on fourth down, carrying
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: guys into the goal line, backing in full on, backwards walk,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: using the glutes, using the hammies. That stuff is paying off,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: and he gets into the end zone and then they
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: kick the extra point.
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: They end up losing twenty nine to twenty seven. We
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: get the cover.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: So I never like we're gonna want to continue to
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: bet Anthony Richardson and Shane Steichen because of the plays
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: that he calls all season long, which is always the
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: more they lose, the more value we're going to think
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: there is on the Indianapolis Cults.
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: Here's the thing about CJ. Stroup. They needed him to
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: make a throw.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: They had like a third down and eleven or something
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: just after the two minute warning. They convert that play,
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: they win the game.
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: They don't.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: They got a punt, Indy's got an opportunity to run
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: to go down the field and kick a field goal.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: He rose a dot that a guy catches, gets his
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: knee down.
• 22:03
  Speaker 4: Nico Collins ride one hundred and seventeen yards. Incredible game.
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: Dude, Like c J. Stroud is just different.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: He's just different. He started the game eight for nine.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: That changes the calculus on everything.
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: No wonder. The Texans are sixteen to one.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: No wonder. I wanted to bet them in all my
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl matchups because he can. He can, he can
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: cover up any weaknesses that the defense has, I mean.
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: Especially for him.
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: That was a bad game by him, honestly, by even
• 22:31
  Speaker 4: his own standors, like they're taking threes, and he kept
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: saying that, like, we can't keep taking these threes again.
• 22:37
  Speaker 4: That's why I think Demiico Ryans into that game went
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: for that because he was just like, I'm not kicking
• 22:40
  Speaker 4: another field goal and the inside the red zone, we're
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: going for it here.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: So look, also had two picks overturned right one one
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: was ruled in.
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: Again, that's what I kept thinking, we weren't going to
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: get a chat, like it just kept not going our way,
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: Like this guy picks it, incredible pick and it's like nope,
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: your heel actually just touched out, and it's like, oh
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: my god, I can't get.
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: Then another one, the guy picked him off in the
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: red zone and they called it back because they called
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: the penalty on them. We got So that's why we're
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: one and two. We got the Colts, right, dreadful with
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: the Panthers and the Giants. We're going to move on
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: in the next twenty four hours. We're going to start
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: getting excited about next week.
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, typical.
• 23:13
  Speaker 4: That was the only two games we got wrong on
• 23:14
  Speaker 4: the one pm slate, so that it was making.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: Me sick watching these things. Yeah, we got two games remaining.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: We got the Lions minus three and a half. That
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: line's out to five, so we feel good about the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: number Jets we got it.
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: That better worked out because that was the reason we
• 23:26
  Speaker 4: did not switch out the Giants, because we wanted to
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: keep that three and a half right.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: So what happened was this morning, Simon and I were
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: going over the slate and one of the games like
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: really the game that we had talked about that we
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: kept looking at and like, why aren't we talking more
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: about this game with Jags at three and a half.
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: So obviously we did bet that game. We didn't take
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: it out because we liked the Lions at three and
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: a half. The value was there and a lot of
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: the lines to change, like if we if we changed
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: up our picks, we would have had to take the
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: lines at four and a half, and we didn't want
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: to lose that because we liked it so much. So
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: it's tough, but the Jags, like, the Jags were so
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: much better and then Travis atn bundles the ball at
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: the two yard Linde when they're going up twenty four
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: to seven, they kind of lost their way.
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: They only had one pass after that.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: They like Trevor Lawrence was brilliant in the first half,
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: ended up with less than two hundred yards and twelve completions.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: Doug Peterson went forward in his own like thirty yard
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: line on fourth down with a lot of time left, Like,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: what happened here?
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: This? They should have dominated this game.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: It's the Miami heat.
• 24:33
  Speaker 4: They put you in the sun when they're in the
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: shade and they cook you, and whatever happened, I have
• 24:39
  Speaker 4: to blame the heat.
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: The man lost his mind. Doug Pierson lost his mind.
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence was really having a good game, honestly, really
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: had in that first half.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: Dude, when he was in that first half, I'm like,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence, twenty two to one those passing yard.
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: We got this locked.
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: So that's what happened.
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: No, I just like it just it was all smooth,
• 25:01
  Speaker 4: and like you said, they got away from their identity
• 25:03
  Speaker 4: in the second half, and it's like I went back
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: and watched. I mean, I guess you could say they
• 25:09
  Speaker 4: were getting a lot more pressure in the second half Miami,
• 25:11
  Speaker 4: and maybe that's why, you know, Douglas Trunk counter that
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: was running the ball more. But no, that's that's a
• 25:18
  Speaker 4: classic case of they're just that's a bad team that
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: lost a bad game, right, Like if they if they
• 25:24
  Speaker 4: had kind of been a different team this year, that's
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: kind of game you need to close out and win.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Right, that's a playoff team.
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: From last year in Miami. Yeah, you had them on
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: the ropes the whole game.
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: You're dominating.
• 25:33
  Speaker 4: Like you said, you fumbled out of the back of
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: the end zone. Okay, that's a turning point. They come
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: down the field, tire kill whoever it was, scored a touchdown.
• 25:40
  Speaker 4: Then you bounce back right. Then you come back out
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: there and you drive the field and get at least
• 25:43
  Speaker 4: a field goal there like you said, nothing Like they've
• 25:46
  Speaker 4: threed and now punted the rest.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: Of the game.
• 25:48
  Speaker 4: And you know, Miami didn't play that well, but they
• 25:51
  Speaker 4: took advantage and they found a way to win. And
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: that's and then of the day. That's what makes great
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: teams for football. Like if you just somehow can find
• 25:58
  Speaker 4: a way to win on your worst day, you're a
• 26:00
  Speaker 4: really good team. So yeah, hats off to Miami and
• 26:04
  Speaker 4: just the coaching staff, like they kept their guys in it.
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: Tua never broke right. He was struggling as well. He
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: was having a bad game game, stuck with it, like
• 26:13
  Speaker 4: he was missing open guys too, and he stuck with him.
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: In the fourth quarter, he was on point, like making
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: big throws. And you know, Devon a Chan like another
• 26:22
  Speaker 4: guy that you know last year couldn't stay healthy, right,
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: but everyone knows a talent level. He really showed up
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: in that second half as well. I mean he was
• 26:30
  Speaker 4: running the ball so well. So huge game from Miami,
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: But I mean you were pissed because we knew that
• 26:36
  Speaker 4: was a good cover number. That was a good number
• 26:38
  Speaker 4: three and a half on two what we viewed as
• 26:39
  Speaker 4: equally even teams, and that number was never in doubt, right,
• 26:44
  Speaker 4: whatever it was, I think it was a six yard
• 26:45
  Speaker 4: field goal to win it by Miami. So yeah, could
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: just anyone that took the three and a half.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: Those games, the Jags and the Colts basically ended back
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: to back on red zone. They were the two box
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: at the end, and I'm like, I need I need
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: both of these games, not just for the contest, but
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: just for my slate of bets today. I need them
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: for my lungs. The only thing I can take solace
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: in is that I only went half a unit on
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: the Giants because I just like at the end of the.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Day, I'm jealous.
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: I just I just believing and like, look, but that's
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: the worst.
• 27:22
  Speaker 4: Thing too, that like we said though, like I'm minute
• 27:24
  Speaker 4: in I was, even though they they were up three,
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: I just regretted it. I was like, why am I
• 27:28
  Speaker 4: so heavy on Daniel Jones? So you made the right
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: move there. But we're gonna Bears game. We're gonna get
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: to this Bears game or what talk about.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: I just want to say one thing about the Steelers.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: I'm going to give you your flat hours for the Bears. Uh,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: shame on us. On Tuesday, We're like, we like the
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Jags and we like the Steelers. Why aren't we doing
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: the Jags and the Steelers? And then all week we
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: talked about this is a Mike Tomlin makes it ugly,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: wins is an underdog game. This is what he has
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: done for sixteen seventeen years. He is the best coach
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: against the spread as a dog. He is the best
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: coach outright as a dog in the past twenty years,
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: better than Belichick, better than Sean Payton, better than Mike Vrabel,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: better than all the coaches who have dominated for betters.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Let the greatest of all time. Look at your work.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: We suck and when TJ Will plays, they're like that
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: changes the calculus for everything. Yeah, we are terrible people,
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: non strategic, stupid, stubborn, blinded by our own biases. We
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: deserve to be one and two right now because we
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: could be three and m.
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: And I think, honestly, what got me Chad was just
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: again I overacted too much to It was the fact
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: that it was unknown who the quarterback was going to be,
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: and I had questions about their offensive line, and my
• 28:54
  Speaker 4: thinking was, well, I don't know how they're going to
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: keep up with Atlanta where we nailed on Tuesday. We said,
• 29:00
  Speaker 4: this is Kirk cousins first start going against the top
• 29:02
  Speaker 4: five defense, Like this was a nightmare. Snaiy to put
• 29:06
  Speaker 4: this guy in and he failed. Like that's what the
• 29:09
  Speaker 4: worst part was. We capted it perfectly. It was like,
• 29:11
  Speaker 4: did it.
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: Matter that the offensive line's bad on Pittsburgh and that
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: it was justin field?
• 29:16
  Speaker 4: No, I mean they can kick five field goals or
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: six field goals and all work out for him, just
• 29:21
  Speaker 4: because that defense is so incredibly talented. So that was
• 29:24
  Speaker 4: as Mike Tomlin as it can get, right.
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: I probably do have a talent for understanding people, But
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: is it a talent is not just listening when they talking?
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: For real coaches like the think we listen, coaches don't listen.
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: They wait for dude's mouse to stop moving.
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: All hard all grit offense was terrible. I mean it
• 29:44
  Speaker 4: really was at times just horrible. But you know, with
• 29:48
  Speaker 4: Fields they can run that kind of spread option, right,
• 29:50
  Speaker 4: they can run in and spread you out, and you
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: know it does not score touchdowns, but at least move
• 29:55
  Speaker 4: the ball where Atlanta could not move the ball, and
• 29:56
  Speaker 4: when they would JJ would pop up and make a
• 29:59
  Speaker 4: huge playing kind of flipped the game.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: So yeah, brutal, brutal leave them that went.
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: Off, especially because that's like a game we nailed talking
• 30:06
  Speaker 4: about and just a game we always taken that spot.
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: But I think it's just tough where it's like you
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: hear so much noise, I'm here so much from the
• 30:14
  Speaker 4: peanut gallery that doesn't make you a question you're thinking
• 30:16
  Speaker 4: of It was like, you know, they're right, their offensive
• 30:18
  Speaker 4: line is bad and justin fields does.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: Burn us in these kind of spots.
• 30:21
  Speaker 4: And that number did go from two and a half
• 30:24
  Speaker 4: to closing at four and a half by kickoff, So Yeah,
• 30:27
  Speaker 4: some professionals winning heavy on Atlanta and they clearly got
• 30:31
  Speaker 4: burned by it. But yeah, lesson learn like we we
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: like Pittsburgh in those kind of spots. That was one
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: of their easier games we'll have all season matchup wise,
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: and we definitely missed on it.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and don't we have listened to the Peanut Gallery
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: and the Panthers and the Giants because I would have
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: rather have listened to them on Matt and.
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: Definitely the Giants Vikings one that was the toughest. Yeah,
• 30:52
  Speaker 4: the Peanut Gallery was.
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: Heavy on the Vikings and I was just like, Nah,
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: you don't know, you don't.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: Know, somebody knows. Oh, the irony. Everyone loves the Ravens.
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: Everyone loves the Bengals. Everyone's enamored with the Browns defense
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: that just gave up a million points to Dak Prescott,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the highest paid quarterback ever. Now the only team to
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: win in the AFC North this week. Pittsburgh Steelers, congrats guys,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: more one Mike Tomlin score one for going over their
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: wind total. Let's see if they can keep the streak alive.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: I do want to there's a couple things we gotta say.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: The Bears.
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: You nailed it like flowers for you.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: I couldn't get myself there, and for the first half
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: it looked like I was one hundred percent right. But
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: I very specifically did not text you it's not going
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: to say anything because it's a long game.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: I literally had no joke, forty five text messages on
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: my Bears text chain from the first half, which I
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: didn't answer because like, I'm taking notes on the games,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: and I'm freaking out of at our bets and I'm
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: trying to keep my cool with all these people in
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: my house, Like I just can't engage. Caleb Williams already
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: looked broken, like in the second half he was. It
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: looked like he was literally pushing the ball instead of
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: throwing it. He was leaving the pocket the second his
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: first read wasn't there.
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: Yeah, like Keen Allen's dropping wide open touchdowns.
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: Dropping passes.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: The good news is he had a Hall of Fame
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: kneel down, and really, I don't think any bare quarterback
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: has ever looked better kneeling down than Caleb Williams.
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: But this was not a win to be proud of.
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: I would say it is. I mean, a win's a win.
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: I don't care how you get it, but to me,
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: it was good man. You got to see him get
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: humbled and he realized, like the scrambling back ten yards
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: is all funn and que when it works out. When
• 32:54
  Speaker 4: it doesn't work out and you lose twenty yards and
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: take your team out of field goal position, and.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: Chicago's letting you know you're an idiot. He needs that.
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: Like this kid, he's had a little bit too good
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: in his life, right, and this is this is gonna
• 33:06
  Speaker 4: be a good year for Caleb Blims. This is the
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: reason though, that I, me and you were laughing about
• 33:10
  Speaker 4: their win total over nine and a half and just
• 33:13
  Speaker 4: saw the hyper getting you know, Nick Wright's picking them
• 33:16
  Speaker 4: to go to the super Bowl. It's just like you're
• 33:18
  Speaker 4: a rookie. There's a reason we were so enamored with CJ. Right,
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: Like CJ going twenty three touches on five picks. You
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: don't see that kind of composure from rookies. You see
• 33:28
  Speaker 4: what we saw today from all the rookies right struggling.
• 33:31
  Speaker 4: Like that's another thing I was pissed about. It is
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: I told you whatever that was two weeks ago. I'm like,
• 33:36
  Speaker 4: we should fade these rookies on the road here just
• 33:40
  Speaker 4: because it's it is so tough, right in your first
• 33:42
  Speaker 4: start on the road. I mean Williams showed that at home,
• 33:45
  Speaker 4: how tough it is, right when the fans turned on
• 33:46
  Speaker 4: him a little bit that first half. I can't imagine
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: what the locker room was like for the bearers, right,
• 33:52
  Speaker 4: I mean it's seventeen nothing or whatever. It was seventeen three.
• 33:56
  Speaker 4: But when I made the bet, my whole point was
• 33:59
  Speaker 4: I just thought ten See was bad and I thought
• 34:01
  Speaker 4: will Levis was bad. And it took a while to
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: get there, Chad, right, it took a little bit for
• 34:06
  Speaker 4: him to.
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: You know what. He was bad. He got bad.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: He was bad.
• 34:09
  Speaker 4: It's just like when it's third and seven, you got
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: no hope with will Levis, Like there's a couple of
• 34:15
  Speaker 4: kbs like that, and you know, I never thought the
• 34:19
  Speaker 4: number would get there, right, just because there were in
• 34:21
  Speaker 4: such a hole. And it was like, well, if they
• 34:22
  Speaker 4: get up to twenty one seventeen, they can cover the
• 34:25
  Speaker 4: four and I can get my three and a half.
• 34:27
  Speaker 4: Check can get his four and a half. No, No,
• 34:29
  Speaker 4: will Levis didn't even better. He threw a pick six.
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: I think Stucky had the tweet. It was like amazing.
• 34:35
  Speaker 4: It was basically, how often does the team come back
• 34:39
  Speaker 4: from down seventeen to win a game with zero offensive touchdowns?
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that's ever happened before. You either astonishing,
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: it's astonishing.
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: So, like you said, Chad, that's good teams win those
• 34:51
  Speaker 4: kind of games. And I know it's hard for you
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: as a Chicagoan because you've just been through the fucking ringer,
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: but I'd be positive, like this is exciting going forward
• 35:02
  Speaker 4: because they do have a lot to build on, a
• 35:04
  Speaker 4: work on, and that to me is like that was
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: one of the worst offensive performances we'll see this season.
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: I think from Caleb Williams, I think he'll get better.
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: That was just he said he doesn't get nervous. Dude,
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: you're human.
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: You clearly get nervous, because he was full of jitter's
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: not game and happy feet. So yeah, I don't know
• 35:19
  Speaker 4: if we'll bet them next week because it's it's under
• 35:23
  Speaker 4: a touchdown right now in Houston at home on Monday
• 35:25
  Speaker 4: night against the Bear. So I will be honest with
• 35:29
  Speaker 4: you chat right now. I did throw a little bit
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: on Houston right now while it's under seven, just because
• 35:32
  Speaker 4: I do think that number is gonna go up.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: All right, well let's talk about him. So just a reminder,
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: we've got the Lions tonight. We're not gonna spend too
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: much time on the Lions because we've talked about him
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: so much.
• 35:41
  Speaker 4: But uh, don't minus five though, that feels like that's
• 35:44
  Speaker 4: totally gone value wise.
• 35:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we were on the Lions at three and a half.
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: We're on the line.
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: I'm taking them four and a half too, But at
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: four and a half, it's just like, come on the survivor.
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: We had the Bengals. That's a bummer.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: We also had the Seahawks, so we split in sort
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: of the pools that we're in.
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: Still alive, We'll keep talking about.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: Its up to five and a half now. Lines at
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: bet three six.
• 36:04
  Speaker 4: Five, Jesus, jeez, jesus over unders fifty three, I mean,
• 36:10
  Speaker 4: throw if you missed everything, you haven't bet anything in
• 36:13
  Speaker 4: this game.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: Throw it on the end here that that's a really
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: high number.
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: Nick Giffin likes the under on the first half of
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: corning to wa.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: Do that thing. Yeah, goo roll with Nick and his
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: luck rankings.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: I like that couple of Week two lines that I
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: just want to get to before we get out of here.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: You just mentioned Houston five and a half, right, six
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: and a half. It's up to six and a half
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: over the Bears.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: It could be a lesser book. Our sponsor's book is
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: six and a half.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: I just saw Buffalo Miami. Buffalo opened is a one
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: point underdog at Miami. That line I just saw move
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: to one and a half. I don't know what you're
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: seeing on Beth three six five right now.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Buffalo's defense might be absolutely dog shit.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: So I get I get why the professionals are coming
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: to Miami and then they're at home in a short week.
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: But yeah, we'll wait for that one to talk wu'sday.
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: A couple of games that interested me. I know it's
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: terrible to say this. Cincinnati they're plus six. Obviously we
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: got to wait and see what happens. Well, we know
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: what's going to happen. It's Cincinnati plus six. For a second,
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I forgot there. We're playing the Chiefs and not the Niners.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus six, like.
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: Probably know, my Simon says, bet I already took the
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: six and a half. It's down to six. I'll take
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: the six as well.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: It's like like that line could go up over the
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: course of the week with all the I don't think.
• 37:34
  Speaker 4: I don't know if they're pros al out at chet
• 37:36
  Speaker 4: because this is already insane. It was three and a
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: half before games kicked off today. Are the Bengals three
• 37:42
  Speaker 4: points worse than they were twelve hours ago?
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: I don't.
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just we talk all the time.
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: It's over overaction. The week one like that, that game,
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: everything went wrong. They're about to score the go ahead touchdown,
• 37:56
  Speaker 4: the guy fumbles into the end zone, right, they get
• 37:59
  Speaker 4: a kick, the guy who muffs the punt, Like, it's
• 38:02
  Speaker 4: just I think the commentator said they only had two
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: fumbles all of last season.
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: They had two in that game.
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: Just half.
• 38:09
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so that's just a game from hell. So it's
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: like me and Chad, I know, it's gross pool. You
• 38:14
  Speaker 4: have to buy a loan in these scenarios. So we
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: we love Mahomes. We always talk about this on our show.
• 38:18
  Speaker 4: We love Mahomes at less than three point favorite.
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: So if he's.
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: Two and a half or if he's an underdog, we
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: buy in Mahomes. We always fade Mahomes when it's over four.
• 38:28
  Speaker 4: We just always do it because he always plays in
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: these close games. So Chad, You're so right calling this
• 38:34
  Speaker 4: game out first. This is one of my favorite games
• 38:35
  Speaker 4: that popped up for this early buying.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: By the way, Evan just threw this one stat into
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: the chat that I need to read to people, and
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: it's germane. For a couple of reasons, one, bet three
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: sixty five has an incredible early payout offer. If any
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: team that you've bet on goes up by seventeen points,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: your bet automatically cash is So if the other team
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: comes back to win, doesn't matter. You've cast your bet low.
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: And behold that happened with the Titans today. So they lost,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: but you won your bet if you bet with bet
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: three six five. If you went because they got up
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: seventeen to nothing, dogs are four points to lead by
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: seventeen plus at any point in a game, we're sixty
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: six one and one against the spread. It's twenty nineteen.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: They are now sixty six two and one against the spread.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: The other game, two other games, Dallas is minus six.
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: Love it right now.
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: I say, we grab it as soon as I saw
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: that number come out.
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: It's Dallas at home against a bad team like we
• 39:38
  Speaker 4: always we always played Dallas. Yeahs, and especially that bad
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: team is the Saint who just put up fifty points
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: or whatever.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: It was like, if this game to me, this game
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: and you'll do your numbers this week. But I feel
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: like this game should be at least a touchdown.
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: I think that's what it will be. I think I'll
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: either at seven or seven and a half.
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: So the fact that you can get six six and
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: a half right now, I just grab it before it
• 39:59
  Speaker 4: does go to seven.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Opinion.
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: All right, those were the games. Anything else I'm missing?
• 40:05
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I grabbed Colts minus three right now, just in
• 40:08
  Speaker 4: case it is Milik Willis right, that's what they're saying, Chad,
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: I know Ryan Tannehill has gotten some buzz yep. So
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: that's Ryan Tannehill coming off of beaching Bahamas to be
• 40:18
  Speaker 4: their quarterback and playing a game in six days.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: So it's like either quarterback, whoever it is. I'm feeling
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: confident about this bet. Right.
• 40:26
  Speaker 4: So there's a reason Green Bay and we had to
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: give up a seventh round pick to get their starting
• 40:33
  Speaker 4: quarterback right now?
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: So yeah, this.
• 40:37
  Speaker 4: I wanted to be on Green Bay because I thought
• 40:38
  Speaker 4: this line would be like six or something, and the
• 40:40
  Speaker 4: fact that it's just three right now, I would just
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: grab because I could see the public coming in this
• 40:44
  Speaker 4: number going up.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet
• 40:49
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• 40:52
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• 41:02
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• 41:18
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• 41:36
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• 41:43
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