Latest / AST SpaceMobile Podcast / Scott Wisniewski at CES 2026 - Satellite meet smartphone the new era of connectivity
Transcript
- 0:06Good afternoon and welcome to the final Space track session at
- 0:10CES today. My name is Samantha Drolly and
- 0:13I'm a manager at Nova Space. And for the next 40 minutes,
- 0:17we're going to be talking about satellite direct to device
- 0:19connectivity and what it means to make no signal a thing of the
- 0:24past. I'm joined by executives of
- 0:27representatives from different satellite operators in the DDD
- 0:30landscape today. And we'll be covering what's
- 0:33changed over the past year in the DDD sector, what
- 0:37capabilities exist today, what's to come in the future,
- 0:40investments and partnerships in this sector, spectrum and
- 0:44regulatory hurdles, amongst other challenges, as well as the
- 0:48path to profitability. In 2025, we saw the industry
- 0:52shift from pilots and beta testing to early
- 0:55commercialization of services. So reflecting on the past year,
- 0:59and I think CES is a great time for that.
- 1:00As we kick off 2026, I'll invite each of the panelists to briefly
- 1:05introduce themselves and share what has meaningfully shifted
- 1:08DDD over the past year. So, Barbie, I'll let you get
- 1:11started and we can make our way down the line.
- 1:13Thank you, Samaya. It's good to be back at CES with
- 1:17Nova Space. So Global Star, we're a mobile
- 1:19satellite services company. We've been providing mobile
- 1:22satellite services globally for well over 25 years and we have
- 1:27been supporting real direct to device connectivity now for over
- 1:32three years. So Global Stark connectivity is
- 1:35now in the hands of over half a billion consumer devices
- 1:39worldwide. Thank you.
- 1:43So thank you again. My name is Amy Mehlman.
- 1:46I'm Executive Vice President and Chief Copa Affairs Officer for
- 1:50Lync. Lync is a company that about
- 1:53seven or eight years ago came up with this funky idea of direct
- 1:58to device and, and trying to get a signal from a satellite in low
- 2:02Earth orbit to your unmodified phone, essentially to be a cell
- 2:07tower in space. Make sure you're always
- 2:10connected, whatever, whatever the situation is, whether
- 2:14there's an emergency and everything has gone down on the
- 2:16terrestrial side or you're just out of range.
- 2:19So we've been, you know, working in the United States, we had a,
- 2:25you know, the, the benefit of being the, you know, first one
- 2:30to actually get a direct device license in, well, anywhere
- 2:36actually. So we were excited about that
- 2:40and certainly excited about the industry and where it's going
- 2:42and how it's really gaining strength.
- 2:47And I'm Kevin Cohen. I lead business development and
- 2:50partnerships at ViaSat and nice to be here.
- 2:54So ViaSat as through its acquisition of Mr. Sat a few
- 2:57years ago, we got access to a global, global coverage with
- 3:02geostationary satellites and the largest portfolio of spectrum
- 3:05across the globe. So that those satellites have
- 3:08been offering service for safety of flight, maritime safety for
- 3:12you know 20 plus years now. And with direct to device and
- 3:16three GBP standards with release 17, we've been able to bring
- 3:19that spectrum into use in commercially available devices.
- 3:23So we're seeing with Pixel devices, Samsung S25 devices in
- 3:27the US with Verizon offering satellite SMS when you're
- 3:30outside of coverage. And then we're also seeing an
- 3:34automotive where new cars are going to be coming out with a
- 3:38feature to be able to talk to satellites when you're outside
- 3:41of connectivity. And one of the things if you
- 3:42visit the Qualcomm booth, you'll see a demonstration of voice
- 3:46over our Geo satellites, a live demonstration of that.
- 3:50And I think it's a pretty big change to where where you're out
- 3:54of connectivity, you will not, you won't lose the ability to
- 3:58connect to people. Hi, I'm Susie McBride.
- 4:02I'm the Chief Operations Officer at Iridium.
- 4:05And we too are a mobile satellite service provider with
- 4:08over 25 years of service covering the entire globe, pole
- 4:11to pole, our specialties in a lot of safety services, IoT
- 4:15across multiple markets, aviation, maritime, personal
- 4:18communications. And so I think I was joke
- 4:21because direct device has been around actually quite a long
- 4:23time. I mean now it's direct to
- 4:25unmodified devices and trying to use chipsets.
- 4:28So we've been moving into the standards world, especially in
- 4:31the narrow band IoT especially focused area to ensure that we
- 4:34can continue to provide connectivity to our key
- 4:36customers that need it in multiple regions of the world
- 4:39and know that when they travel, they can use the same product
- 4:41anywhere that they go. My name is Scott Wisniewski.
- 4:46I'm President of AST Space Mobile.
- 4:49We're building a purpose built directive device constellation
- 4:53that does broadband directive unmodified phones.
- 4:57We've been doing this for close to a decade now and our strategy
- 5:01is to go direct with operators. So we partner with operators
- 5:04around the world, over 50 of them that cover nearly 3 billion
- 5:07Subs. Today, as of Christmas Eve, we
- 5:11are flying 6 satellites in orbit, 6 of the the largest ever
- 5:16launched into low Earth orbit commercially.
- 5:19And you know a lot of discussions and last couple
- 5:22months have talked about the importance of putting big things
- 5:24into orbit. And that's when one of the
- 5:25things we've always focused on is how to put a big satellite
- 5:29into orbit in order to connect to a small device very far away.
- 5:32And so we're we're entirely focused on the director device
- 5:35opportunity. Our strategy is broadband and we
- 5:38build our own satellites here in the United States and Texas.
- 5:40And 2025 was a really important year for us because we started
- 5:43off with a long term rights acquisition of L Band Spectrum
- 5:46in January. We raised over $3 billion over
- 5:50the course of the year to fund approximately 100 satellites in
- 5:52our constellation. And we advanced significantly
- 5:56some of our partnership agreements, including with
- 5:57Verizon in the United States and and Vodafone in Europe and and
- 6:01Bell in Canada. So these are some of the the,
- 6:04the big things that we've done in 2025 and we're very eager to
- 6:07get going in 2026. Thanks, Scott.
- 6:10So over the past year, many of you have announced major
- 6:13partnerships and investments, some that you've touched upon
- 6:16that will really shape how DDD scales.
- 6:18And I personally think that this has really changed the DDD
- 6:21competitive landscape over the past year.
- 6:23So we'll dive a little bit deeper into that and see what
- 6:25that's unlocking for the DDD world and what it really means
- 6:28going forward. So Kevin, maybe starting with
- 6:31ViaSat first, the recent launch of Equidist, the joint venture
- 6:34with Space 42. How do you anticipate that this
- 6:37joint venture will influence Viasat's DDD plans and what is
- 6:41it designed to enable? Yeah.
- 6:43So when we when we founded the joint venture Equitus with Space
- 6:47Forward Two, we were looking at ways to fund a constellation.
- 6:51They could bring more capacity by bringing the satellites
- 6:54closer to Earth so we can reuse the spectrum more efficiently
- 6:57and bring multiple spectrum holders to the party while not
- 7:00having a single operator that has to fund the whole thing.
- 7:04So when when we came up with basically a space tower
- 7:06approach, it allows for a different funding profile, a
- 7:09different return, and it allows multiple companies to actually
- 7:13get access to those towers to enable different types of
- 7:16service for their customers, whether it's existing customers,
- 7:19whether it's future applications.
- 7:21And we're anticipating that in the next few months we'll be
- 7:24making additional announcements about that constellation.
- 7:27But you know we're expecting launch in the 20282029 time
- 7:31frame and it will always be backed by that the Geo
- 7:34satellites that we have that are operating today by bringing this
- 7:37Leo constellation as well to offer better services.
- 7:42So Scott, AST is also bringing together, you know, an ecosystem
- 7:45of mobile operators, many that have also served as strategic
- 7:48investors, maybe honing in on the Vodafone partnership and the
- 7:52Sacco joint venture. How do you anticipate that this
- 7:55will strengthen ASTSDDD strategy and how will it help expand into
- 7:59regions outside of North America like Europe?
- 8:04Well, like I said, our strategy is to go exclusively to market
- 8:07with the mobile network operator.
- 8:09We do it typically as an add on basis with a revenue share.
- 8:12We split 5050. And so that's enabled us to get
- 8:14early investment over the years from Vodafone, AT&T, Verizon,
- 8:18Google, Bell Canada, Rakatin, and then even this year we
- 8:23signed up a A10 year agreement with STC in Saudi Arabia across
- 8:26the MENA region. So we, we, we really focus on
- 8:29partnerships because we don't have, we, we don't have all the
- 8:32assets to go, to go to marketing with 6 billion Subs that use
- 8:35phones today. So partners are in our, in our,
- 8:39you know, in our DNA. Vodafone's been a very early
- 8:41supporter. They've invested in US three
- 8:43times and so we took the decision to make a joint venture
- 8:46with them about a year ago. That is an entity in Europe that
- 8:50allows us to go to market and kind of strengthen the the
- 8:54reach. So it's a like a distribution
- 8:56entity for us in Europe. So rather than just focusing on
- 8:59UK, Germany, Spain, France, you know, the big markets, that
- 9:02allows us to not only hit the big markets, but also expand
- 9:06beyond the Vodafone footprint and go across the entire member
- 9:11states of the of the Union. So we've signed up to date 21 of
- 9:15the Member States to initial MO US and basically look to use
- 9:19that as an entity to drive utilization across Europe.
- 9:23Link also recently announced plans to merge with Omni Space.
- 9:27So, Amy, curious to hear your thoughts on how Omni Space's
- 9:30merger plans will influence Link's DDD path and what becomes
- 9:34materially easier because of this transaction?
- 9:36Sure. As we started this whole this
- 9:42venture into DDD that we were very much focused on the MNO
- 9:45spectrum. We still are definitely working
- 9:49with the MNO partners we have, I think you know 52 or so around
- 9:53the world. But with the Omni Space merger
- 9:58that actually brings a lot of MSS spectrum, 2 gigahertz
- 10:01spectrum to the table. That's going to be really
- 10:03important. I think a lot of us are going to
- 10:05be looking to blend those two opportunities to be bring that
- 10:09seamless connectivity to the customer, make sure that we have
- 10:12enough capacity to offer those more advanced services as we go
- 10:16forward. I would be remiss if I didn't
- 10:18also mention a very, very key strategic partnership as well
- 10:22with SES that we have that is going to be very, very important
- 10:26to our build. You know, we we are utilizing
- 10:29some of their infrastructure making sure that we do this much
- 10:32more efficiently and effectively so that we can actually provide
- 10:35those benefits on you know, and those lower costs on to the
- 10:39consumer. So they are a very strategic
- 10:41partner of ours in this as well along with the M and OS who are
- 10:45based basically our sales force. So, but this is all very
- 10:49exciting for us and we're hoping to, you know, get this system up
- 10:52and operational sooner because of it.
- 10:56Iridium is also partnered with several operators and service
- 10:59providers to support the NTN Direct solution.
- 11:03So, Susie, curious to hear what has been the most influential or
- 11:06one of the most influential partnerships to Iridium over the
- 11:09past year or so? Yeah.
- 11:11Well, there's AI mean there's a couple.
- 11:13Obviously from the MNO standpoint, we have announced
- 11:16Vodafone and Dodge Telecom and what we're finding is, you know,
- 11:19everybody wants to make sure they got lots of alternatives
- 11:21and pricing and and options for ensuring that they got
- 11:24connectivity. About two years ago, we made the
- 11:27switch from only proprietary to GSM standards and we amazing
- 11:31support we got through going through the the three GPP
- 11:35process and it was amazing how quickly we got our our
- 11:39frequencies built into that. And now we've been developing
- 11:41that fact. We've been testing over the last
- 11:43couple of months and done our mobile originated messages now
- 11:47using a Nordic chips and Nordic is another key partner of ours
- 11:50in terms of a chipset. We've got other partners we're
- 11:52working on but aren't officially announced yet.
- 11:54And so I think all of that is is key in getting our
- 11:57infrastructure in line. We also have Syniverse to do
- 12:00some more connectivity to ensure that we can you know do the
- 12:02roaming agreements easily and work with all the big M and OS
- 12:05that are used to working in this in this realm.
- 12:08So those kind of partnerships, a lot of our ecosystem and
- 12:11products that we already build in our other proprietary type
- 12:14solutions, those customers are very anxious and wanting to you
- 12:18know, drive down some of their chips at cost where they can now
- 12:21do both cellular and satellite in one device.
- 12:24So you know they're partnering with us in testing and coming in
- 12:28now to now that we've got our system up and running, which is
- 12:30a big, a big change to how we used to do things.
- 12:33They're in there to start testing and it's going to be a
- 12:35big year for us ahead as we get ready to launch in 2026.
- 12:40And with Global Star Apple, you know, being the primary partner
- 12:44with the latest developments over the past year.
- 12:46So what is the impact on Global Star's DDD expansion plan?
- 12:51Quite remarkable. You know, we have historically
- 12:56focused on the consumer mass market since our beginning.
- 13:01We we've wanted to make devices that operate over our satellite
- 13:05system that are small, inexpensive, easy to use and saw
- 13:10everyone as a customer. We started working with this
- 13:15company in Cupertino a few years ago and we're successful in in
- 13:24integrating our, you know, unique satellite solutions into
- 13:28their new devices. And we announced that
- 13:33breakthrough in September of 2022 and started commercial
- 13:38service in November of 2022. So now you know, we are I think
- 13:46fully committed to AD to D approach with with our with
- 13:51Cupertino. And I'm proud to say that I'm
- 13:55here sitting on stage with two devices, consumer devices that
- 13:58operate directly with our satellite system. 1 is my iPhone
- 14:04and the other is my new watch. So very, I think it's been a
- 14:09very successful relationship and and we look forward to that
- 14:13relationship expanding in the very near future.
- 14:17Certainly, and these partnerships are really
- 14:19influencing the type of services that are coming to the market.
- 14:22So shifting over to service differentiation and what works
- 14:25reliably today versus what's to come.
- 14:28Barbie, maybe you could share a little bit more about the
- 14:29services that are currently offered and what's intended to
- 14:32be offered by the new or next C3 generation constellation?
- 14:37Sure. So you know, Global Star, we
- 14:39have our own mobile satellite services products and services
- 14:42that we develop in house as well as with partners.
- 14:46We have supported a spot line of products since 2007 that's been
- 14:50responsible for over 10,000 rescues globally.
- 14:54Again, a device inexpensive, easy to use, put it in your
- 14:57pocket, take it out when you need it and use it with what's
- 15:02coming up. I think that, you know we are in
- 15:05the process now replenishing our existing constellation, our our
- 15:10senior constellation courtesy of a new 15 year license from our
- 15:15Federal Communications Commission.
- 15:16So over the next year we'll be launching satellites to
- 15:20replenish what we call our Hiblio constellation that we've
- 15:24been operating now for over 2 decades.
- 15:27And at the same time we have announced a major additional
- 15:31investment in the third generation system, we call it
- 15:34C3. We are currently in the process,
- 15:39I guess I would say in a, a global construction project
- 15:43where we are installing about 90 new ground station antennas
- 15:49around the world proudly made in the United States, but being
- 15:54exported to 25, approximately 25 countries, about 35 sites all in
- 16:00preparation of launching our third generation constellation.
- 16:04So the ground infrastructure will be in place when we start
- 16:08launching those additional satellites and and the not too
- 16:11distant future. This will provide, I think of
- 16:16course, a expanded level of of of ability for us to support
- 16:25additional D to D features that will be announced in the future.
- 16:31Thanks. And I think Iridium is in a
- 16:33similar position to, you know, being in the market offering D
- 16:35to D type connectivity for quite some time now.
- 16:38So maybe, Susie, just sharing some thoughts on how Iridium's
- 16:42NT and direct solution is really augmenting what Iridium already
- 16:45provides to the market today? Yeah.
- 16:47I mean, obviously we're going to have a lot of customers that
- 16:49continue on the path that we've been on and that because they
- 16:52really enjoy what they have. It's built into a lot of their
- 16:54solutions that they've got big solutions built around, sorry,
- 16:59but for the the intend direct solutions, what we're where the
- 17:02expansion comes for us is some of our current partners, but
- 17:06also there is a lot of situations in solutions out
- 17:09there. It always is an example of 1
- 17:11where you know, some Brazilian solutions for farming called
- 17:15once and they wanted to know about using satellite because
- 17:18the cell networks weren't as reliable.
- 17:20They had outages. But it's a very kind of fixed
- 17:22place. And so having some, a chip that
- 17:25does both that can use the cellular, but then roam on to a
- 17:29satellite solution like Iridium and 10 direct is a great way to
- 17:33supplement and grow the market in that way and expand in, in
- 17:36places that that weren't traditionally looking at
- 17:39satellite solutions. So our go to market is also
- 17:43through M and OS, you know, and some, and then also having some
- 17:45large direct relationships with partners that want to have a
- 17:48global solution and a mobile solution.
- 17:50Because, you know, one of the key things for us in why we
- 17:53differentiate from others is because we have been a truly
- 17:56global dedicated spectrum area where partners can build stuff
- 17:59and they know wherever in the world it goes, it can work.
- 18:02And so we're trying to use that as one of our key
- 18:04differentiators, especially in some of the key markets that we
- 18:07that we addressed today. And when we think about DDD and
- 18:11the services that are going to be offered in the future, one of
- 18:13the questions that you know continuously comes up is when
- 18:16will the service be similar to what traditional terrestrial
- 18:19services are offering today. So specifically thinking about
- 18:22voice, data and broadband capabilities, how close are we
- 18:27to delivering an experience comparable to what is being
- 18:30offered today and what still limits that capability?
- 18:33And maybe, Scott, I'll lean on you to get as forward as AST
- 18:36path, you know does show broadband connectivity as one of
- 18:39the services to be offered. I, I think, you know, when you
- 18:44think about direct advice and you think about making it useful
- 18:47to everybody, you want the phone to just work, right?
- 18:49The phone in your pocket that doesn't work.
- 18:51You want it to just work. We all want it to just work.
- 18:53That feeling when the phone doesn't work and you're just
- 18:55sitting on $1000 in your pocket, it just drives you nuts, right?
- 18:58So it's really all about how do you bring to bear something
- 19:02that's like terrestrial connectivity?
- 19:03And that's why we've gone from the beginning for a very big
- 19:08satellite in orbit that can support big throughput and why
- 19:12we've acquired spectrum rights to do so and why we've partnered
- 19:15with the operator. So we're not only looking at 100
- 19:19megahertz of MSS globally, we're looking at 1000 megahertz of
- 19:23cellular spectrum globally. So those factors keeping the
- 19:27pipe big, keeping the antennas big so that the phone can
- 19:31ultimately experience better than 3G, you know, Lt. or even
- 19:365G is, is critical. And so it's a network
- 19:39infrastructure thing. It's getting integrated with
- 19:42three GPP early, which is something we did with our Nokia
- 19:45partnership about five years ago to kind of build on three GPP
- 19:47and not wait for the standards. So having those solutions to
- 19:51make it truly mass market so that you have a low friction
- 19:54experience that can be rolled out to the consumer mass market
- 19:57in a meaningful way, those are the facilitating factors.
- 20:00And so today and since really 2023, when we have a satellite
- 20:04overhead, we can do cellular broadband, we can do video calls
- 20:07on the phone. We're in the in the process of
- 20:10rolling out more satellites in orbit so that instead of 30 or
- 20:1260 minutes of up time a day, you have 24 hours.
- 20:15And that's really the journey we're on now during 2026 is get
- 20:18to that 24 hour up time. Amy, did you want to jump in
- 20:22there and also share, you know, links path forward with device?
- 20:26Sure, sure. I mean, I think I, I, I don't
- 20:28disagree with a lot of what Scott said.
- 20:31I will say, you know, the goal in the first instance for those
- 20:34who are looking to actually get to a direct to unmodified
- 20:37devices to really look at the entire ecosystem throughout the
- 20:41world. There are a lot of people that
- 20:43have situations where they are not connected.
- 20:45They can't buy that $1000 new phone and might not even be able
- 20:49to in the next, you know, couple years when those new phones
- 20:52with, you know, the various additional MSS bands are
- 20:54actually included. So we want to make sure that we
- 20:57are actually including all of these various, you know,
- 21:02devices, you know, the two G 3G-4G devices that may stay out
- 21:06there for a while, right. So we want to, we are looking
- 21:09forward to having all of that legacy set of devices connected.
- 21:15We are, you know, going to be building over the next couple
- 21:18years making sure that we can actually do that along with
- 21:21providing, as I mentioned, the MSS service opportunity as well
- 21:27the additional capability capacity.
- 21:29But I, I really do think it's very important to make sure that
- 21:32we get to those folks in need in various places in the world that
- 21:36can't necessarily buy that new phone.
- 21:38So we're looking forward to, you know, with everybody else in
- 21:42this room, you know, making sure that we can address that
- 21:45opportunity. Certainly.
- 21:47And I think that that leads me to to one of my next points,
- 21:50which is talking about some of the enablers, you know of
- 21:52offering D to D connectivity and one of that is really device
- 21:56readiness. So what do you see today as the
- 21:58biggest blocker on the handset side and what strategy you know
- 22:02is your company implementing to ensure that handset and chipset
- 22:06adoption keeps pace with your network readiness?
- 22:12Yeah. So if we look at the device
- 22:14availability for MSS spectrum, there's a very, there's a very
- 22:19limited amount of devices at this time because there's very
- 22:22limited capabilities that these satellites can offer today.
- 22:25But as we get to the point where we're offering near broadband, I
- 22:29think that the OEMs are going to open up to where you start out
- 22:32with the flagship devices, which you're seeing some of with
- 22:35Samsung and and Pixel and and Apple with the proprietary
- 22:38waveforms. And it will eventually get down
- 22:41to where anyone who buys a device, whether it's a smart
- 22:43watch or a, or a phone or an IoT device, basically it will be
- 22:47embedded in everything. So we go from our legacy, the
- 22:50legacy MSS operators total there's a few million devices
- 22:55that are offering service today. This will move to the point
- 22:58where we've got billions of devices that all can connect.
- 23:00Maybe they aren't all paying for connectivity, but it's it's
- 23:03there and it's latent. And I and probably in the early
- 23:06twenty 30s, mid 2030 fives, you'll be at the point where it
- 23:10was just about every smartphone, every device will be able to
- 23:13talk to both cellular and satellite.
- 23:15And that just opens up a massive market opportunity for everyone.
- 23:21So we're building a low band constellation first.
- 23:24And so the low band constellation has the ability to
- 23:27switch between all, all the major frequencies in low band
- 23:30that are in the phones today. So in the US for instance, we
- 23:34brought together AT&T and Verizon who are jointly
- 23:36contributing 850 megahertz spectrum to our network.
- 23:40And so our satellites ability is 850 spectrum in the US as well
- 23:44as 700 megahertz spectrum, which is first net AT&T in the US and
- 23:47around the world we can use lots of different low band spectrum
- 23:50that's already on the phone today.
- 23:51So it's important I think to the earlier point that you know, the
- 23:56backwards compatibility so that you can do today's phone is
- 24:00important and then over time you can supplement it with MSS
- 24:03frequencies, which is why we've we've made our our acquisitions
- 24:06in the MSS throughout 2025. And that's another key enabler
- 24:12to to, you know, offering DDD connectivity in the market today
- 24:16is really the spectrum access piece.
- 24:18We see approvals are still uneven across different markets
- 24:21even with recent moves to secure MSS rights.
- 24:24So in your opinion, what is currently the biggest regulatory
- 24:28bottleneck that you're seeing today?
- 24:32Well, for a reading we don't have much because we have
- 24:34spectrum. So that that's when you have
- 24:37spectrum that's it's easy. But I mean, I do think there's
- 24:39gonna be a lot of challenges for others going forward, especially
- 24:42as global rights to ensure that, you know, a lot of these, a lot
- 24:45of our partners, especially the mobility markets, they need to
- 24:48ensure that it works wherever you go versus a localized or a
- 24:51country solution. So for those going after
- 24:54spectrum, it will be interesting in the world's changing.
- 24:56Right now, a lot of it is becoming a little bit more
- 24:58nationalized and people not wanting to share as much as it
- 25:01used to be. So I think there will be a lot
- 25:03more challenges out there as people go after certain spectrum
- 25:06rights and how that's utilized and shared.
- 25:10I would just add that a, a lot of the regulators see this as an
- 25:13opportunity where they say, oh, now instead of just a few
- 25:16100,000 devices in my country, every device can connect to, to
- 25:20the satellite network using this these frequency bands.
- 25:22So I think there's a little bit of risk of regulators thinking
- 25:25that this is something that we can now, you know, even with
- 25:29Iridium Global Star, ViaSat, we're already licensed in these
- 25:32markets for this NBIOT or 5G and R waveforms.
- 25:38There may be additional requirements that could come
- 25:40down. It's not in Europe, not in the
- 25:42US, but there are that it is going to be a blocker to full
- 25:45global coverage. Yeah.
- 25:47I would just add a little bit to that.
- 25:50First of all, you know, certainly agree with what has
- 25:54been said, but there is a lag in various countries around the
- 25:59world as far as, you know, just getting the infrastructure as
- 26:02far as the regulations in place the that we can rely on to make
- 26:09sure that we have a stable licensing framework.
- 26:12So that is really, I mean, there's certainly leaders around
- 26:15the world that have done this in Europe and, and in the United
- 26:18States, of course, but we really do need to see the movement much
- 26:23more quickly. There are some places around the
- 26:26world that actually just say, OK, you know, yeah, we think
- 26:29this is a good idea. And just we're going to write a
- 26:30little note and say that it's it's good because they really
- 26:33need the connectivity. But most countries are going to
- 26:36have to put in a framework. And that's just time, right?
- 26:40And time is money and time is service to customers.
- 26:45Yeah, I agree with everything. That said, spectrum is our
- 26:49lifeblood. You know, our senior operators
- 26:52up here, we've been operating over the same few megahertz of
- 26:55spectrum for well over 2 decades and we plan to continue to do
- 27:00so. And we do that globally.
- 27:03It takes spectrum and it takes a very good relationships with the
- 27:07regulators around the world that are going to license our
- 27:10operations to use that spectrum. And as we show with D to D that
- 27:17that connectivity is now universal, that everyone's quite
- 27:22frankly the public's you know their view of of what it means
- 27:25to be connected and what their expectations are are forever
- 27:28changed. As you know, Scott, as you said,
- 27:32people want their phones to work and and we're here to make sure
- 27:35that they do. Regardless of where you are,
- 27:38regardless of your circumstance, regardless of what may have just
- 27:41happened to the terrestrial network, your phone will still
- 27:45work. So that takes spectrum, that
- 27:49takes billions of dollars of investment and it takes
- 27:52regulatory certainty to put those business plans together
- 27:55and then execute them and hope that over the coming years,
- 28:00potentially decades that you, you know, you, you make it back
- 28:05so that you can do what launch more satellites and get ready
- 28:08for your next generation constellation.
- 28:12Timeline is certainly key. And Amy, I think you said it
- 28:14well too. You know, time to market is
- 28:16going to be so dependent on the way the regulations shape out.
- 28:19So putting regulation timelines aside, happy to hear thoughts
- 28:23from all the panelists on where you expect to see your DDD
- 28:26capabilities to be in a year or two.
- 28:28And I may or may not hold you to that at CS 2027.
- 28:34For ViaSat, we already have NBIOT service offered today over
- 28:40certain geographical markets. So we expect to see that
- 28:42expanded. We expect to see there's been a
- 28:44lot of talk here about, you know, direct to handset and
- 28:47handset services, but there are a lot of market verticals that
- 28:51can use the same spectrum and use the same satellites and are
- 28:55today, whether it's cockpit communications or it's maritime
- 28:58communications for safety. So as as we move forward, we're
- 29:02looking at expanding the number of devices that can actually
- 29:05connect to our network and then expanding the service
- 29:08capabilities. So one one of the nice things
- 29:11about allele constellation is that you can launch more
- 29:14satellites, different orbital planes and increase improve the
- 29:18service quality, which means that your spend profile is
- 29:21changing as there's devices, as there's revenue.
- 29:24So you'll see a constant evolution and and increase in
- 29:27improvement of the services over time.
- 29:30Yeah. So for link I, I would say our
- 29:33combined link, the Omni space SES venture will evolve over the
- 29:39next two to three years. I, I would say the very, very
- 29:42nice thing about having SES as a partner is we're going to be
- 29:45able to use the multi orbit infrastructure to do some things
- 29:49a little bit quicker. So, so that is a, a huge
- 29:53advantage for, for particular services.
- 29:56So I'd say about two to three years it'll start out as you
- 30:00know he was saying with lighter services as as we start out
- 30:05because you can only do so much with you know, the satellites
- 30:08until you have full, full complement of satellites for the
- 30:13seamless connectivity. We're supporting substantial D
- 30:19to D connectivity today and our capabilities will only improve
- 30:23with the investments that we're making and the plans that we've
- 30:28announced. And for us, I mean this is our
- 30:32big year for the intend direct launch with many more
- 30:35announcements and things to come as as that service and continues
- 30:38to build out. I do think the one thing, you
- 30:41know, we're going to start slowly with messaging and I
- 30:43think that's my key part to how we manage this as a, as an
- 30:47industry as well. We've done this in the late 90s
- 30:50where people over promised and under delivered and, and set
- 30:53expectations higher than what satellites can do.
- 30:56There's still physics, there is still constraints on getting
- 30:59signals through certain areas and aspects into these
- 31:02buildings. So I think as an industry, we
- 31:04all need to be cautious. And I, I do agree it's going to
- 31:07take time and over over the years we will build this up and,
- 31:10and it will become much more of a given that people have
- 31:14connectivity where they are, where they are.
- 31:15And then it, that connectivity continues to grow as it has over
- 31:18the last, you know, 20 plus years.
- 31:20But I think we do need to be careful and cautious that we do
- 31:23this well and that we continue to show that satellites can be a
- 31:27dominant player in all connectivity in partnerships
- 31:31with M&O and terrestrial. And at AST Space Mobile, we've
- 31:36been trying to collect the ingredients to to to get to the
- 31:40finish line and those ingredients.
- 31:42And when you look through the history or capital spectrum
- 31:46network customers and the ability to produce the network
- 31:50and create the network and build the satellites.
- 31:51And so we're vertically integrated.
- 31:53We've got over 3 billion of cash and liquidity to build 100
- 31:56satellites we need over the next one or two year time frame.
- 32:00We've got the partnerships so we can attack the consumer market
- 32:04as well as all the other markets around it.
- 32:06And for us, we're very close to enabling the ground capability,
- 32:11which will allow us to integrate the capability as we get more
- 32:14satellites in orbit. So for us there's there's many
- 32:17different pieces and in addition to the regulatory piece that was
- 32:19just described that has been part of our program over the
- 32:22last decade and they're coming together in 2026 in a very
- 32:25meaningful way. And achieving these milestones
- 32:29will mean, you know, one step closer to profitability.
- 32:31So even with clear demand from early demonstrations,
- 32:35willingness to pay signals that we've three seen through several
- 32:38surveys that have been conducted in the industry, Another key
- 32:41question really remains as to whether the unit economics still
- 32:44hold. So maybe for for some of the
- 32:46Greenfield constellations here, what leading indicator will tell
- 32:50you that profitability is becoming real.
- 32:53So maybe, Scott, I'll lean on you to get us started.
- 32:57Well, the dream of a constellation is an incredible
- 32:59dream. It's always been an incredible
- 33:00dream. And the key is how do you get it
- 33:02built and do you have the right tack into the unit economics
- 33:05work and and we think they do. We think the key unlock here is
- 33:11access to the 6 billion phones in the world through the M and
- 33:15OS who have hundreds of millions of subscribers each and doing it
- 33:18in a low friction way. And we think that the demand for
- 33:21connectivity is, is incredibly, it's increasing every year, it's
- 33:26insatiable, it's growing with every generation.
- 33:28So we believe that that demand is significant.
- 33:32The market surveys you mentioned that are public as well as
- 33:35everyone else's that have been done privately, including with
- 33:38over 50 M&O partners we have globally indicate that it's
- 33:41going to be there. And so for us, you need the
- 33:44demand. Obviously, we think the markets
- 33:46going to be 10s of billions of dollars at the end of the day
- 33:48and you need the unit economics. And for us it's about getting
- 33:51satellites up in orbit and being able to support that fixed cost
- 33:56base which which which we think we have.
- 33:59And so for us, the, the, the flow through margins are going
- 34:02to be incredible for this, even if the demand is a fraction of
- 34:05what we think it is and we think the demand is, is going to be
- 34:08pretty incredible. Yeah.
- 34:10So for us, I mean, I think building efficiently and making
- 34:14sure that we, you know, have those partnerships that that are
- 34:19demanding as you, as Scott said, this service, I think you will
- 34:23you have seen over the last year this switch in the market from
- 34:29on the M&O side from hey, this is kind of a cool marketing tool
- 34:33to something that you kind of have to have as as part of your
- 34:36service. God forbid, you know, somebody
- 34:39loses service or they can't get, you know, to 911 or the E call
- 34:43system in in Europe, for example.
- 34:45So this is a critical piece of the infrastructure right now.
- 34:50And I think that the M&O side is seeing that and I think that is
- 34:53the most leading indicator for us that this is going to be a
- 34:56successful business. You know from, from vice that
- 35:01side we today operating on multiple orders of magnitude
- 35:05less bandwidth have multiple very large businesses.
- 35:09And when you combine that all and you look at what can you do
- 35:11if you if you offer 1000 times more capacity, but don't give
- 35:161000 times the discount. So we, we see a big opportunity
- 35:20in the space of, you know, evolving our mobile satellite
- 35:24services that we've got today and improving those capabilities
- 35:28where then as devices come online, as we unlock MNO
- 35:31partnerships, automotive partnerships, IoT, many
- 35:36different IoT use cases, we can see that that revenue grow and
- 35:39the amount of connections grow. So we're looking at what can we
- 35:42do from that legacy base and then how can we look at, you
- 35:45know, the amount of connections we grow over time in the given
- 35:48markets that we're operating in? And Speaking of profitability,
- 35:52you know, and also looking at the other players that are in
- 35:55the market, you know, Starling being commercially active in
- 35:58several different countries over the past year and kind of being
- 36:00a front runner in the DDD landscape.
- 36:03How do you see your solution being unique and and what kind
- 36:08of approach are you taking to the market to really position
- 36:10yourself well going forward in the DDD landscape?
- 36:16I think from Global Star's perspective, we're, you know,
- 36:19we're in an enviable position because a substantial portion of
- 36:22the capacity over our current system and the system that we
- 36:26plan to launch is already spoken for.
- 36:30So I, I do believe that we will continue to provide, you know, a
- 36:34basic level of connectivity globally at a price point that
- 36:40is is competitive. So that's what we plan to do.
- 36:46So I would say this is a big market.
- 36:49You know, yes, Starlink has a little bit of a a head start,
- 36:54but I do think that there is room for a number of us in the
- 36:57in the marketplace. I think there is a demand from
- 37:00the rest of the world that is looking for more than one
- 37:03player. So I don't necessarily see this
- 37:07being a monopoly. I think everybody up here is is
- 37:10certainly working to make make sure that that doesn't happen.
- 37:14I think also for, you know, the market to grow and thrive and
- 37:19you know, be able to offer those new and innovative services you
- 37:22need the competition out there. And I think regulators by the
- 37:25way, also recognize that. So I, I'm pretty confident that
- 37:29this is, this is going to be a multiplayer market for the GDD,
- 37:36you know, group of, of companies.
- 37:38So, you know, I think, I think things will be fine.
- 37:43Yeah. I mean, I think there there's
- 37:45not going to be a winner take all also because there's not
- 37:47enough capacity from anyone player given the amount of
- 37:51spectrum that they have to actually be able to offer
- 37:53service in every single vertical that is going to be requiring
- 37:57the service. And there are many, you know,
- 37:59when, when AI comes, when autonomous mobiles come, you
- 38:03know, there's just a lot of different things that are going
- 38:05to require a ton of bandwidth that no single provider will be
- 38:08able to to offer. And if we look at inflam
- 38:10connectivity, which they were just on the last panel, you
- 38:14know, Vice that's been in that space for a while, we took over
- 38:17from a lot of the market share from another competitor, Gogo.
- 38:21And even with additional new entrants, we're still able to
- 38:24maintain a large market position because there's, there's the
- 38:28consumers value choice and in that case the airline's value
- 38:30choice. So we just see a lot of these
- 38:32verticals where you know there's going to be multiple partners,
- 38:35multiple players, and it'll allow us to all win at the end
- 38:38of the day because of how big the market is.
- 38:41Yeah. And I agree with that sentiment.
- 38:43I mean I think there is, there is definitely indicators.
- 38:45You see it from a lot of the agreements already signed with
- 38:47multiple companies up here. M and OS definitely want to have
- 38:50options. They want to have multiple
- 38:52companies to go to. I mean for Radium, this is just
- 38:55one slice of our entire business.
- 38:57We've got a lot of other vertical verticals and markets
- 38:59that we address. And for us the investment is
- 39:01small compared to a Greenfield, right.
- 39:03We already have a network, we already have existing cat free
- 39:06cash flow coming in. And so this is for us, the
- 39:09return that we need to make is quite different than a, you
- 39:12know, doing a big Greenfield. But I think there is it's
- 39:15exciting. It's it's interesting to see all
- 39:17the big players coming in. Spectrum is still been shown to
- 39:21be the most critical thing to have, and global access to that
- 39:24spectrum is really important as well, especially when you're
- 39:26talking about connectivity to things that move and you want to
- 39:29make sure that whatever that is that's moving can have services
- 39:32wherever they are. Well, I started my career in
- 39:37data centers and towers, what's called digital infrastructure
- 39:41and there's multiple operators and and it's because they're
- 39:44working with multiple operators in each market.
- 39:47Every market has three or four cellular operators or base,
- 39:49different spectrum, different requirements.
- 39:51So it's going to be a multi operator landscape for sure.
- 39:55What differentiates us is a broadband first approach, a
- 40:00purpose built direct device constellation.
- 40:03We're not adding on to a fixed broadband business.
- 40:06We are purpose built for the operators.
- 40:09The mobile network operators have been in the room with us
- 40:11building this network, investing in US mutually exclusive
- 40:15contracts, long term contracts with us over a billion dollars
- 40:19of cumulative committed revenue signed to date.
- 40:22So our our differentiation is vertical integration on the
- 40:26production side, which gives us speed access to the capital
- 40:30markets as a public company, which gives us capital being
- 40:34able to access both cellular spectrum and MSS spectrum as of
- 40:382025 and doing that in a way that's good for the M and OS.
- 40:42We, we have made ourselves very useful to the operators so that
- 40:47they can get benefit from us. They get marketing benefits as
- 40:49was stated. We are a revenue engine for them
- 40:52and doing that all while doing it through their system that
- 40:56they've built and standing on the shoulders of those giants
- 40:59that have built this incredible network that we all rely on.
- 41:02We all forget that we used to not have cell phones, right?
- 41:04I mean, over the last 30 years, we've gotten a computer that
- 41:08gives us all the world's information and a cell phone
- 41:10that lets us talk to everybody. So it's an incredible thing and
- 41:13we look to build on that and we think that we've designed a
- 41:16mousetrap that does it just just the right way.
- 41:20Thanks, Scott. Thank you everyone as well.
- 41:22We're coming to the end of our session here today.
- 41:24So special thanks to the panelists and all those who
- 41:27tended for making this such a great conversation.
- 41:29And I wish you a great rest of the week at CES.
- 41:33Thank you.