Latest / Toadstool Sports / Best Bets Today | Maye vs Caleb Under the Lights?! NFL, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday

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Best Bets Today | Maye vs Caleb Under the Lights?! NFL, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday · Toadstool Sports

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm done with the WNBA, man. I'm completely done
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: with this shit. I don't know what else I have
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: to say about this. That whole play last night hinged
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: on the regression point of there aren't going to be
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: as many free throws going lopsided in one direction towards Atlanta. Well,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: guess what? Yeah, it happened again. On top of Atlanta
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: shooting 50% from the field, the only time in the
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: series either team has shot above, like, 34% from the field. Yeah,
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: of course it was Atlanta doing it last night. Of
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: course that happens. And it was a two-point game in
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: the third quarter, too. You look at the final, it
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: makes it look like the game was never even close.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: That's not even the case. Again, it was a one-possession
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: game in the middle of the third quarter. I don't
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: know what else to tell you. I'm completely done with
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: this WNBA crap. They're going to hand Angel Reese a championship.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: How great is that? Yeah, I'm so thrilled about it.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: I'm completely done. Even though WNBA gives us good betting opportunities,
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: I was good at it last year. I used the
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: same type of handicapping. Whatever, man. That's my rant for
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: this morning. Well, on top of that, of course, I
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: was pretty good with the NBA stuff yesterday, and I
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: skipped all of it. Minnesota was an easy winner. Houston
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: would have been an easy winner. Those were some of
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: my leans yesterday.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: Nope.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: Didn't even matter. I was wrong about the college football game.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: I thought that was going to be an ugly under,
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: and it was like a 7-7 game in the second quarter,
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: like almost at halftime. So I'm like, okay, yeah, this
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: game's real ugly, like I thought. A lot of scoring
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: late in that game, though. I don't know exactly what happened,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: but the floodgates opened. I was correct about the side
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: in that one, New Mexico State. So yay me. A
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: bunch of my opinions are correct, not the actual play
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I gave out. All right. We're going to wind up
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: talking about today, and I only have one play again today.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: I'm being very selective. It's going to be in hockey,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: which is where most of the action is today. We'll
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: talk about the football games, the NFL resumes. I do
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: not like that game as far as being able to
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: bet it. But, yeah, whatever. Let's get into it after
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: the intro. Let's go.
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: in your chest. Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: your hand. Now you stare at the chips like they
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: made you this man. But don't you go quiet, don't
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: you fade from the floor. Your name still means something
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: to somebody for sure.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Put the glass.
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: Down, baby.
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: Look at me now.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: hold on Let me pull you out That fell apart
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: by its heart But it don't get the crown Hold on,
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: hold on, stay with me.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: Now I'll try. We'll get into it, man. Hockey is
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: up first, and you're going to get my best bet immediately.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: It's just the way that it is. It's in the
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: Nashville-Boston game. Let's do it. Best bets right out of
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: the gate. Coming in hot. You want to know what
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: I'm betting? We're going to fade my Boston Bruins here.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: We're going to just ball out, and we're going to
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: take this Nashville underdog price here, plus 132. Nashville, I'm
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: going to be betting on them for the second time
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: this year. They won the other time. They've been a
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: thorn in my side. There's no doubt about that. This
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: team seems to never get it done when I bet
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: on them. They did it this year already once, though.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I remember one of the plays that I did get
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: right last year was fading my Bruins with Nashville. So
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: they definitely have the ability to get this done here.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: You don't need to win every one of these bets
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: at this price to profit. You only need to hit, like,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: 40-something percent of it.
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: Excuse me.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: You only need to hit 40-something percent of these bets.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: It's a long-term thing. If you want to make it
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit more, I don't know, risk-averse, is that
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: a way to put it? You could make it a
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: plus-one puck line instead. You'll have to lay more money
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: for it, though. But you could do something like that
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: where you put part of the– Part of your money
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: on the plus one and a half puck line, although
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: it's probably at about minus 190, and then put the
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: rest of it on this money line, such that if
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: they lose by exactly one, you'll push the bet and
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: come out even. Some books let you just play the
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: plus one, but the price might be a little bit
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: less good than if you split it across multiple books.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to deal with any of that, though.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I'm just going to say play the money line. My
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: idea for this is every bet is to win the
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: same amount for me, so you put less money at
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: risk on this so maybe this is actually technically more
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: risk averse really it's just that if you lose the
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: whole thing like if they lose by one you're gonna
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: lose the whole thing though that's the thing so we
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: need nashville to actually win this game i think they
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: could do it uh the bruins are in a terrible
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: spot like this is the worst spot that there is
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: on the board today in my opinion bruins are returning
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: home cross country from a road trip they've been on
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: since october 13th so they've been on the road for
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: more than a week they had a very successful road
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: trip they went three and one 3-0-1, really, on the
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: road trip. The only loss was an overtime loss. So, yeah,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: I think that coming home from a road trip in
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: general is negative, but from a nice road trip like this,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: especially with the way that it ended, which I'll talk
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: about in a second, negative spot. You get home, you
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: have stuff to do at home since you've been away
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: for a while. Distractions can definitely come into play. Nashville
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: is not exactly a team that you really get up for, necessarily.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: So all of that looks pretty good. I believe they're
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: a Western Conference team too. So Bruins do have San
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Jose and Carolina on deck. I don't know if they'll
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: really be looking ahead to San Jose, but Carolina, if
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: they were the next game, that would certainly be a
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: cause for a potential look ahead here as well. But
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I don't even care because I just think the spot
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: is so bad for the Bruins. On top of the
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: return home spot, which, like I said, can lead to
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: distracted hockey, distracted play, coming back home from a road trip.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: This is the case with any day-to-day sport. The Bruins
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: are coming off a really, really tough matchup on Tuesday
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: against Dallas. So they played two days ago, huge game
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: against one of the best teams in the league, Dallas.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: The Bruins did not trail in that game until the
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: losing score. They were up 1-0, I'm pretty sure, and
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: up 2-1 in that game. They wound up blowing the
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: 2-1 lead late, and then they lost in overtime. Absolutely
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: brutal way to lose that game. Bruins played a really
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: tough physical game in that one. Now they're coming home
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: from that road trip, and that's how they ended it.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: That was their last game that they played two days ago.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Really tough game against Dallas. Yeah, no. Just that game
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: against Dallas alone could put you in a hangover spot,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: but on top of the return home distraction spot, good
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: luck to the Bruins. It's not going to be a
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: good one for them. Nashville, I know they won easily
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: in their last game against a, I think it was
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: a divisional foe, St.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: Louis.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: They won easily 5-2, but I don't think they're going
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: to be overconfident here because they're starting a road trip.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: And usually when you start a road trip, you want
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: to get it off on the right foot, although it
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: is only a two-game road trip. Bruins have a really
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: good record this year, so they're not a team that
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: is going to continue to get overlooked like this. And
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: I like the fact that Nashville ended a losing streak
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: with their last game. They had a three-game losing streak,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: and they finished it off with a win against St. Louis,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: so that could break your losing momentum. The losing streak
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: wasn't even really that bad. I mean, they had two
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: shootout losses, and then it lost to a very good
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: Vegas team, so that wasn't even really that bad. And
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: they have extra rest compared to the Bruins, and they
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: have to travel less here, so that Should help them
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: as well. Usually I say when you have extra rest,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: if you went into it on a good note, sometimes
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: that'll be bad and it'll disrupt your momentum. I don't
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: really think so here because I think that win that
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: they got in their last game is what ended their
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: losing streak there. I mean, obviously it did, but that
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: should end that momentum. And I think they should at
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: least have busted out of that losing momentum. I think
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the way that this works. The money
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: also agrees with me on this. Bruins very public 92%
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them because of their record to
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: start the season they're an overrated team though man only
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: 86% of the cash on them they're better than Nashville
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the odds makers are telling you that they're about minus
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: 150 something now but this price has dropped they open
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: minus 166 the money line dropped all the way into
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: the 150s so the real money has agreed with me
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: on this and come in and Faded the public Bruins
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: side here. So I think the market's agreeing with this.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: I think this is the best play on the board.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: It'll be my only play today. We'll we'll be on
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: the predators will be my one play today putting your
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: money on the predators man uh that's what we're gonna
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: do um yeah that's that's that's the one play probably
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: the worst team name in in professional sports absolutely ridiculous
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: but yeah let's do it Next game is Rangers at Toronto,
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: an original six battle here. Rangers off to a good
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: start this season, although they're down to their second string
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: goalie here after Shesterkin went down. But Garand has actually
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: been all right for them. Rangers coming up a nice
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: win the other day against Anaheim, starting a road trip here,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: maybe with a little bit of momentum. I don't think
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: these teams are going to overlook each other, really. I
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: think it'll be a focus spot for both teams, most likely.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really see much of an angle here. As
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: far as fading either of these teams, Toronto just won
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: in Columbus. They're coming back home from that. That was
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: a single-game road trip. Kind of a weird spot, but
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: they still got it done out there. They'll have Bobrovsky
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: back in net for this one. Most likely Stolarz was
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: their goalie in the last game. Bobrovsky has kind of
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: been their primary goalie, so should be an advantage for Toronto, really.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Bobrovsky is their preferable goalie, let's say. They do have
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Edmonton on deck, but I just don't think they're going
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: to overlook a Rangers team that has been off to
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: a good start here. So to me, it looks like
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: both teams show up. So what do we do with
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: this game? It's tough to say. Toronto is not a
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: public side. It's usually 58% of tickets on them, 76%
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: of the money on them. I probably agree with Toronto
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: because the Rangers are actually a road favorite here. and
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: they started the season like their preseason odds were very
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: bad so they were considered to be one of the
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: worst teams in the eastern conference so do we really
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: trust that they're really this much better than we thought
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: that they were going to be now especially with their
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: elite goalie not playing for the rest of the season
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: i don't really see it i don't know i don't
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: know if them being a road favorite is actually warranted
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: here um The public will, I think, want to tend
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: to lean in the Rangers' direction here because they have
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: the better record here so far. So, yeah, I think
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean Toronto, and that is where the
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: money is coming in. Just from a market perspective, looking
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: at it, it just looks kind of too easy to
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: take the Rangers. A pick-em price, it always looks too
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: easy to take the team with the better record. So, yeah,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean Toronto. I don't know if
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: a road favorite price on the Rangers is really justified.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: I know last year there were a good road team
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: teams and a horrible home team, but this year that
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: hasn't really been the case. Rangers, in fact, have not
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: actually been good on the road this year. They're 1-3-1,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: so they're a fadeable team on the road. I think
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: fading them is the right move in that game if
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: you really want to play that game. San Jose at Ottawa.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: These teams are kind of both in bad spots. San
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Jose is just playing a lot of games in quick
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: succession here. They're playing a third game in four days,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, a fifth game in eight days,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: and a sixth game in 10 days, I believe is
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: what that is, all in different cities. That's pretty tough, man.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: You've got to think they might want to show up
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: for this because they're 2-2 on the road trip right now.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: So they want to get above 500 on the road trip.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a nice win on the road at
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Montreal in overtime, which is a big upset, actually. Montreal
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: was a minus 225 money line favorite in that game.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: So San Jose could be in a possible letdown after that,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: plus a lot of games in a short amount of
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: time But Ottawa is on a back-to-back here. So it's
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: not exactly a great spot for Ottawa either. And they
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: smashed Florida yesterday 5-1 with Allmark in net. And you
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: know because it's a back-to-back, they will switch to Urson here,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: their backup goalie. He's only played two games this year,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: and they lost both of them, 5-3 and 7-2. So
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: they've given up a lot of goals in Urson's two games.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: two games that he's played here. So that's not good.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: It's definitely a downgrade for Ottawa here. So he'll likely
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: be in net here. Possible letdown for Ottawa as well
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: after beating Florida like that. Florida, even though they didn't
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: have a great season last year, they're still one of
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: the best teams in the league, in my opinion. I
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: think probably the other teams do realize that at this point.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Florida's off to a decent start at least. But Ottawa's
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit more rested, believe it or not, even
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: though they're on a back-to-back. They had a few days
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: off prior to that Florida game. Still, all that being said,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: I think the over is the move in this game.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: I almost put it on my card, but I don't know.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, because I'm not really a totals guy, I
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: still kind of hesitate. The money seems to agree with
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: the over here. 70% of the tickets are on the under.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: 68% of the cash on the over. Pretty strong market
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: read there, at least based on these percentages. They could
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: change throughout the day, you know. So reading this in
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: the morning can be a little bit dangerous because you
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: don't want to, You don't want to infer too much,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: excuse me, from looking at these numbers here in the
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: morning because they might change throughout the day. Six and
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: a half is the total listed on this. So it
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: is a high total. That's about the highest you're going
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: to see in hockey, although it is juiced to the
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: under a little bit. But I like the over in
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: this one. You're going to have Ottawa's far lesser goalie here,
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: almost certainly in Urson here. Both teams not exactly well
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: rested here, which can affect the defense here. More than
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: the offense. I make the defense a little bit more
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: tired here. Yeah, I think there's going to be more
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: scoring in this one. So, yeah, I like the over there.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: As far as the side, Ottawa's about a minus 130,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: something favorite. 55% of tickets, 56% of the cash on them.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good read on the side here.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: The market isn't really helpful as far as that's concerned either. So, yeah,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: I just think the over is the right approach. I
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: think both teams are in fade spots there. So that
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion there. Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. What's next? Anaheim and New Jersey. New
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Jersey is a pretty sizable favorite here, even though you
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: look at these teams' records, and they're pretty similar. But
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, the Osweggers are telling you New Jersey's the
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: better team here. Anaheim, looks like they're kind of taking
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: a step back this year, man. But I want no
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: part of New Jersey in this one, though, because they're
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: coming off a huge win over Colorado. So I don't
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: want them coming off of that game. It just seems
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: like it's a pretty clear letdown spot after a win
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: like that. So I do not want the Devils coming
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: into this one. For Anaheim, they have not won a
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: game on this road trip yet. They started off the
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: season decent, and this road trip has been ugly for them,
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: but they're staying in the New York area. They're playing
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: three games in four days, which is not easy, all
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: in different arenas, but they're doing the New York trifecta here.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Rangers and the Islanders already, and
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: now they're playing the Devils, so not a lot of
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: travel here for Anaheim, at least. It's been an ugly
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: four-game stretch, though. You know, I mean... Not an impressive stretch,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: to say the least. I don't know if any of
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: these teams they lost to on the stretch are actually legitimate. Calgary,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: we know or not. And then, again, Rangers, Islanders, and Bruins. Yeah,
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know. This Anaheim team may not be that good,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: but I think they're the right way to look here,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: even though they're playing three games pretty quickly here. I
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: think there's a New Jersey letdown component to this. The
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: money looks like it agrees with Anaheim here. 79% of
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: the tickets on New Jersey, only 68% of the cash.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: New Jersey is about a minus 190 something favorite here.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: So they're a big favorite. Such that you might even
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: be able to grab a plus one and a half
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: puck line on Anaheim at somewhat of a decent price here.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: If not, maybe make like a plus one puck line
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: on it or something. But yeah, I would look towards
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Anaheim in that game on some sort of puck line situation.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: Florida at Pittsburgh. Florida's on a back-to-back, like I said,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: although they got destroyed in the game yesterday. So Florida
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: may be still kind of in a bounce-back spot here.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: They had not played since Saturday before yesterday, so similar
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: to Ottawa, they are not going to be that unrested
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: just because they had a lot of rest prior to yesterday.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Florida was bad in the game yesterday. They had Schmidt
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: in net again, and he's kind of been their primary
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: goalie recently. It will be Markstrom this time. They haven't
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: been that bad with Markstrom in net, though they're 3-2,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: I think is what it is with him in net,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: so that's not too bad. Pittsburgh is actually a step
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: down from Ottawa. Pittsburgh is not really a very good team.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they overperformed last year, so I don't
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh's that good. And it gets a little bit
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: worse for Pittsburgh here because, yeah, they're returning home from
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: a road trip that they've been on since last Tuesday
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: where they went to Chicago, then into Elevation for Colorado,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: then to Vegas, to the Pacific time zone, then back
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: into Elevation for Utah. They lost all four of those games.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: The public sentiment might be more along the lines of, well,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: now Pittsburgh's back at home, so they should bounce back
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: and win, right? Like two of their three wins have
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: come at home. yeah, but that's just not the way
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: it works, man. This return home spot is always very difficult. Um,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: you could fall into these distractions. You've been away for
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: a while. There's stuff to get done back at home.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: It becomes a distraction. You know, you get nagged by
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: the wife. You got to deal with the kids, all
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: that type of stuff. So yeah, it's a bad spot still,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: even though, uh, they've lost the last four games, Florida
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: might keep them a little bit focused just, you know,
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: because it is Florida and we know they won two
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Stanley cups, uh, prior to last year so maybe a
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: team that you don't really overlook but I think it's
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: Florida or pass in this game I would have to
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: leave Florida here and you're actually getting them as an
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: underdog still Pittsburgh minus 115 that line just doesn't seem
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: correct to me. Some of it is just because Florida's
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: on the back-to-back. That's what it is. The books definitely
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: adjust for the back-to-back, and I think sometimes they might over-adjust.
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: If Florida was not on the back-to-back, they'd be the
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game. And Yeah, I think they're almost
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: certainly the better team here. I think there's no doubt
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: about that. Yeah, I like Florida in this one. It's
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Pittsburgh. Even if it is a
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: back-to-back for Florida, I say whatever. It's a bounce-back spot.
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: They'll at least have a rested goalie here. And debatably,
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: even their better goalie. 54% of tickets, 61% of the
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: cash on Florida. You'll get them possibly a plus money
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: there too. So yeah, Florida I think is the right
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: play there. Hulu has... LA and the New York Islanders.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. The odds breakers are telling
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: you that LA is actually the better team as the
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Islanders are not getting full home ice built into the
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: line here. Even though LA only has one win on
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: the season and the Islanders have five. And the Islanders
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: have been good at home. They're 4-1 at home. But
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: the odds breakers are telling you to not buy these
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: records here the odds makers are telling you that la
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: believe it or not is actually the slightly better team
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: here it's one of those games i would listen to
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: what the odds makers are saying here it looks way
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: too easy to play the islanders um who are the
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: way like the team with the way better record it
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy way too cheap of a price
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: on the islanders here The Islanders are staying at home.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: They just beat Anaheim, like I mentioned. They do have
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Dallas on deck, so there is a possible look ahead
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: there as they start a road trip at Dallas next.
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: The fact that this is a Hulu Disney Plus game, though,
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: maybe the Islanders will stay focused for that reason because
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: it's a more televised game. And I don't necessarily want
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: to play the Kings off a nice upset win over Washington,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: but I did tell you I liked the Kings in
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: that game. I know I liked them in the game
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: before that, too, against Boston.
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: But I was correct about their game against Washington. You
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: can make the argument it's a letdown spot because L.A.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: was a big underdog against Washington. They pulled off the upset.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Washington was minus 162 on the money line. Not a
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: huge upset, though. But I think more likely the way
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: that I would classify this is that was L.A. 's
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: first win of the season, man. And it's tough when
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: you're going through a season and you don't have a
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: win yet. It kind of starts getting to you, and
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: you've got to get that win, man, just to shed
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: that– pressure or whatever like the pressure mounts it's like
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: come on guys we got to get this first win
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: i think once you do that it alleviates that pressure
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: and you can play like almost a less distracted brand
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: of hockey you know what i mean like you can
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: loosen up almost like in a good way um so
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: i still yeah i prefer the kings here like the
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: market read based on just what the price is it
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: seems like the kings would be the right side here
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: plus i think that last win is more of a
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: uh It ends their negative momentum, you know what I mean?
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: So I think that's more the case here. There is
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: the possible look-ahead component here for the Islanders as well.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: The Islanders are getting the money, though. 61% of the tickets,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: so they are a little bit public, but 88% of
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: the cash. They're, again, at almost a pick-em price, minus 115. But, yeah,
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: I would prefer the Kings in that game, but I
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: don't actually want to do it. But, yeah, those are
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: my thoughts there. Vegas at St. Louis, way too much
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: hockey today, man. And it'll be again on Saturday. There's
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: going to be a huge hockey board. Way, way, way
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: too much to handicap. Vegas at St. Louis. This price
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: looks way too cheap on Vegas, I'll tell you that.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Vegas did just take a loss after they had not
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: lost in a while. So that could hang them over.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: You know, I talk about when you lose a win streak.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Vegas had won three games in a row. It was
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: a game they probably got up for against Tampa Bay,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: and they got smacked down and took that loss. And
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you lose a win streak like that, it
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: will hang you over into the next game. That might
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: happen for Vegas here. That was a game they got
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: up for against a good Tampa Bay team, and they lost.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: Even though they got blown out, they lost 6-2. Sometimes
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: it doesn't result in a bounce back after that. Although
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: this is a two-game road trip for Vegas, and St.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: Louis is probably a more important game than Columbus to
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: them because St. Louis is in their conference and Columbus isn't.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: So maybe they do still get up for it. But
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: the other thing you notice about Vegas, even though they're 8-3...
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: Their wins are against Chicago, Vancouver, Seattle, Toronto in a shootout,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: Kings in overtime, Nashville, Calgary, and Pittsburgh. Are any of
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: those wins actually even good? I mean, who's the best
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: team that they beat in there? Toronto? I mean, I
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: know Seattle has a good record, but I've been naysaying
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: them all year. I don't think they're as good as
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: their record. L.A., I think, is better than the record
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: would suggest. But still, Vegas has had a very, very
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: easy schedule, man. And every time they've played a better team,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: they've lost, which was basically Minnesota and Tampa Bay. Those
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: are the two best opponents they've faced. They lost both
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: those games by multiple goals. They lost to Anaheim early
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: on as well. Now, St. Louis is not as good
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: as Minnesota or Tampa Bay. But, yeah, I mean, Vegas,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: even though they're 8-3, it's an unimpressive 8-3.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: St.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Louis is coming up beating Winnipeg. I don't know if
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: that's going to be that big of a deal, like
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: put them in a hangover spot or anything, or a
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: letdown spot or anything like that. I don't really think so.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: It was in a return home spot, but they did
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: catch Winnipeg, I think, in a sandwich spot. I think
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: I talked about that game. I thought it was going
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: to be an over. I was not correct about that.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: But both teams are in negative spots there.
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: St. Louis, second game back at home. A lot of
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: times that is a good spot, though. But it's a
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: better spot when you aren't good in your first game
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: back home, and they were. But even so, I don't
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot for St.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: Louis.
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: And I think it just looks way too easy to
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: take the cheap price, lay the cheap price on Vegas here.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: So I think I'm going to leave St. Louis in
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: this one. Vegas is a very public side. 86% of tickets,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: 85% of the cash on them. They already dropped from
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: minus 130-something down to minus 100. 20-ish, basically. So some
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: real money has come in on St. Louis based on
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: what I can see there. I do not disagree with it.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: I would leave St. Louis as well there as the
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: home underdog. Again, I'm not sure how good Vegas really is.
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: They're riding that.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: They're riding what they did last year. They made the
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: finals last year, but they have not had any impressive
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: wins so far this year, so sorry. They might still
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: be a good team, but... Yeah, I mean, again, they're
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: the most unimpressive 8-3 that I can remember. All right,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg at Dallas. Winnipeg, they've been playing all right this season,
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: even though they're without their elite goaltender, Hellebook. I have
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: no idea if he's ever even coming back because he
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: seems to not want to play for them anymore. And
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: he got suspended because he was refusing to play. That'll
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: get him to play. When he's refusing to play, just
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: suspend him. Make him not even allowed to play. That
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: totally makes sense. Winnipeg is coming off that loss to St. Louis,
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: like I already mentioned. Dallas is coming off, maybe you
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: could argue, kind of a tougher game. They beat the Bruins.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: They might be feeling kind of high off of that
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: because the Bruins did have a good record, although, as
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: I pointed out, Dallas was a pretty heavy favorite in
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: that game. The Again, the Bruins played better than I
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: thought they would. They could have won that game pretty easily.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Do we look at this as Dallas
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: being in a little bit of a hangover spot after that?
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure. Dallas has won three games in
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: a row. They have not suffered a letdown from that
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: win over Colorado a few days ago. This is a
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: tough game to figure out. Dallas is very public. 87%
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: of tickets and cash on them. They're a very heavy
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: favorite at around minus 200, minus 190, something in that range.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: So the odds breakers are telling you Dallas is the
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: considerably better team here. But they're very public. It looks
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: like it's going to be a lower scoring game here
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: because the total is fairly low at five and a half.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: It's one of the lowest you'll see. It is juiced
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: to the over, but it's one of the lowest you'll
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: see in hockey. Dallas does play a lot of lower
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: scoring type of games. And if you think it's going
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: to be lower scoring, that does help the case for
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: the underdog. They can kind of hang around here, so
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: maybe a Winnipeg plus one and a half puck line there.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: I don't have a great feel for that game, but
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on it. Minnesota at Calgary. Minnesota
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: is actually about the same price, except they're actually a
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: road favorite of that price here. That's how bad Calgary
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: is considered to be. Minnesota... They're coming off a huge
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: game at Edmonton though. Minnesota had this back and forth
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: game against Edmonton kind of. Edmonton actually I think had
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: a 3-1 lead in the game though after Minnesota I
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: think scored first. Then Minnesota tied the game, sent it
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: into overtime and still lost the game. That's brutal. You
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: have a huge game like that that you get up
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: for against one of the other better teams in the
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: league and you fall just short. I think this is
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: a flat spot for Minnesota coming off of that. So
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: they're definitely in a fade spot here after a huge
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: game like that. They got Seattle next, and I know
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: I'm talking about how Seattle's not that good, but they
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: do have a good record, so Minnesota may very well
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: look right past Calgary here still. With Seattle on deck,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Seattle looks like a more formidable opponent than Calgary, at least.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: For Calgary, though, Calgary does have more rest here, so
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: that's a good thing for Calgary. They haven't played for
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: three days now. The problem that I have with Calgary
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: is they just pulled off a massive upset against Carolina
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: with their young goalie in that Cooley, and he was
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the one that gave that wild interview at the end
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: where he seems like he's, you know, probably autistic or something.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: It was a great interview. You can go back and
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: find the interview, but, uh, yeah. Um, Calgary has primarily
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: been using Wolf as their goalie, but they might start
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: switching to Cooley, man. Although Cooley wasn't good in there
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: in his first two starts there, but he was really
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: good against Carolina, but maybe he's going to be a
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: little bit overrated off of that. It could be a
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: personal letdown after that too, because that was such a
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: big game for him. Um, This looks like kind of
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Calgary, too, even though they have
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: extra rest. I think the extra rest might actually compound
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: the letdown spot a little bit because you sit there
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: thinking about that win and how awesome it was that
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: whole time. Now, Calgary's not going to overlook Minnesota, though.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: Both teams are in negative spots here, so an over
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: is in consideration here. The total's not high. It's actually
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: at 6%. 73% of tickets, 95% of the cash on
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: the over. I would definitely not disagree with the over here,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: and it may be the best way to play this game. Again,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: when you have two teams that are in negative spots,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: that's just what I think. The distractions usually hit you
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: more on the defensive side, and I'm not convinced that
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: this Calgary goaltending situation is really solved. For Minnesota, I
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's going to be Ballstett again in
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: net or not. He that Volstead, he is a Vol
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: in net. He's a Wall. Dude, he's not Wall, though.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: He's Volstead. Two different goalies. I'm rambling, but I don't know.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: He's definitely Minnesota's better goalie, but if Minnesota switches to
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: their other goalie, who I think has only played one,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: I think it's Pickard, right? Isn't it? I forget, because
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: I faded him once, I think, this year and got
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: a win with it. So if it's him, yeah, then...
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: The over makes even more sense if we know if
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's going to go to their backup goalie or not here.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: They might not, though, because they use Volstead almost every game,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: so it's usually only like a back-to-back for them where
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: they don't. But let me see. It looks like they
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: have not confirmed a goalie yet, but it looks like
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: the predictions here on Daily Faceoff have this as Volstead
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: and Cooley for this game, so we will see. So
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Calgary might be switching to Cooley after his performance last time.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: They might be handing him the reins to some extent
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: here at this point. 90% of the tickets are on Minnesota,
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: 72% of the cash. Minnesota's a public side with less
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: of the money on them. About a minus 200 favorite.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm definitely not in the business of laying
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: a favorite price like that in hockey with a road team.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: I just won't do it. I might link Calgary slightly here.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Both teams in bad spots, though. I think the over
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: is still the preferable way to play that game, though.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Calgary at Edmonton. This is a good game. One of
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: the best games on the board, or excuse me, Calgary
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: at Edmonton would not be a good game. Edmonton would
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: be like a minus 400 favorite. No, Carolina at Edmonton,
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: excuse me. I apologize to Carolina. You guys are not Calgary.
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: This is maybe the best game on the slate here,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: and it's not one of the more televised games either.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: People were thinking this might be the Stanley Cup final
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: matchup last year. It wound up not being, of course,
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: although Carolina won the Stanley Cup Carolina just easily got
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: by Vancouver in their last game. Carolina's on a roll
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: right now. They're looking like one of the best teams.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: Bob again, though, playing Edmonton. Calgary, they've really kind of
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: played a soft schedule, though. I keep saying Calgary. Carolina.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: They actually lost to Calgary, as I mentioned. That was
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: that Cooley game that he had there with the interview
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: at the end of the game. But Carolina, yeah, they're
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: definitely still a really good team. I'm not going to...
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: question that but if you look at their wins this
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: season kind of like Vegas I mean this has been
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: a soft schedule for them at Philadelphia at Montreal is
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: a good win uh Vancouver at Chicago at Philly home
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: against Washington is a pretty good win at Winnipeg and
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: at Vancouver so they really only have only have a
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: couple of good wins in here um They're going to
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: have to step it up for this Edmonton team here.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is facing a more difficult schedule at this point,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: I think, just because their last three games have been
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: more battle tests. They had to play Utah twice and
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: then Minnesota. So that stepped them up after Edmonton did
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: have a soft schedule to start the season. But Utah
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: twice and then Edmonton is definitely a step up. But
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: that was a big win. Utah twice and Minnesota. Dude,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: I am so out of it today. I'm talking about Edmonton.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Utah twice and Minnesota. But after that Minnesota overtime win
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: for Edmonton, that was a big win for them. I'm
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: not going to say they're going to overlook Carolina. They're
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: obviously not going to, but they have to put up
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: a big effort two games in a row here. Two
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: big games in a row sometimes is difficult, and sometimes
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: you get tired by the end of it. So that's
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: what's going on with Edmonton here. So you got Carolina,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: who's faced a soft recent schedule, and Edmonton, who's going
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: to have to step it up two straight games here.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Carolina is actually favored on the road here by a
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: little bit at about minus 115 or so here. The
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on Edmonton though. 58% of tickets, 94%
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. To me, you would almost
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: think the public would just lean towards whichever team is
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: getting the underdog price here. You know what I mean?
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Which is Edmonton basically here. You think that the public
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: would look at this and be, oh yeah, this is
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: going to be like a big game, close game. Whichever
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: team is getting the plus money, you know, give me
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: that team, that type of thing, almost like the Super
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: Bowl public mentality, but that seems like maybe that's not
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: what's going on here. The real money is saying Edmonton.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong disagreement with that, although when
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I first looked at this, I was thinking Edmonton was
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: in the tougher spot because they were coming off the
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: much more difficult recent game, which had me looking towards
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: Carolina a little bit, plus the fact that the oddsmakers
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: are kind of tipping their hand and they're telling you
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: Carolina's the better team here. Um, Carolina's got the better defense.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: So I know you guys are getting on my case
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: for saying Edmonton's not a good defense, but I'm still
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: going to have to see more from them after years
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: and years of bad defense out of Edmonton. I'm still
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: kind of, you know, wait and see approach as far
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: as that's concerned, but I'm willing to bet on their games.
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? Just because, um, certain situations
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: will come up, but this is a game I'm not
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: interested in betting. Um, it looks like the type of
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: game that would even lend itself more towards an under
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: in that it's two kind of powerhouse teams going up
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: against it. The problem up against each other. The problem
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: is Edmonton is one of those teams and they have
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: an elite offense and still, I'm going to say it
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: not that good of a deep. And so, and the
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: total suggested that's the case. It's six and a half.
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: That's not because Carolina's bad defensively because we know they're not. So, um,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: Carolina tends to play lower scoring games than Edmonton does,
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: so it's an interesting game for sure. I think side
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: and total may be correlated in that one. Edmonton and
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: the over would be correlated, and Carolina and the under.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: The market seems like it's in alignment with that, as
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: the market is saying Edmonton and the over in that one.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: All right, Utah at Seattle. This is on Hulu. The
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you what you need to think about
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: Seattle here, man. Even though Seattle's 6-3-1, and, yeah, this
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: is the second game of the Hulu doubleheader, Utah's a
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: minus-170 road favorite here, man. So even though they're only, like,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: a half game, basically, ahead of Seattle here, if you
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: want to call it that, however many points Utah is
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: ahead of Seattle, very few, the oddsmakers are telling you
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Utah's still the way better team here. Like, Seattle is...
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: Not legitimate. And I've been saying that. And the odds
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: makers are agreeing with me, at least for now. Utah
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: coming off a win over Pittsburgh. Not a win that's
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: really going to get them overconfident or anything like that.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Only beating them by one. That was with Kosa in net.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: And they will be back with Vemelka in net this time.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: And he is their primary goalie here. So Utah should
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: have a leg up as far as their goalie is
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: concerned here. Although, they've won two out of their three
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: COSA games, too, though. The one problem for Utah is
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: they got Tampa Bay on deck, and this is a
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: single-game road trip to Seattle, so it is kind of
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: a weird spot for Utah to have to travel for
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: this one game to Seattle. Then they come back home,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: and they got Tampa and then Minnesota. Those are bigger games,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: so there is a possibility they overlook Seattle. It's just
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: that maybe they won't here because Seattle does have a
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: good record, and again, it is misleadingly good. Seattle just
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: beat the Red Wings, but they're staying at home here.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: That was a game, we lost that game on the show.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Detroit came all the way back and almost won the game.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: It was a horrible spot for Seattle, in my opinion.
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: They were returning home from a long road trip, and
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: they had Utah on deck. I'm pissed we didn't get
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: that one right with Detroit. But, yeah, Seattle staying at
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: home off of that. A lot of times that second
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: game back home would be better. They're not going to
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: overlook Utah, even though they do have Minnesota next. Utah's
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: been a good team since last year, basically. So, yeah,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a tough game to figure out.
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: Utah's getting some of the money here. 71% of tickets,
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: 90% of the cash on them. They're about minus 170,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: like I said. The oddsmakers are telling you what you
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: need to think. So given that the oddsmakers are telling
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: you Utah's the way better team and that seems to
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: conflict with what these teams' records look like, that would
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: have me leaning towards Utah. The problem is I just
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: don't really love how the scheduling sets up for Utah here.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: So I think I might still kind of be leaning
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: Seattle here. I mean I don't like it because the
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: market is basically telling you you should be on Utah
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: here given how heavy of a favorite they are it's
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: just yeah it's a market read that conflicts with the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: spot basically or a line read at least that conflicts
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: with the spot but yeah the market is kind of
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: saying the money is on Utah there too so That's
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: a game I'm definitely going to pass on as well.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: And then Detroit at Vancouver's last game. This is an
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: ugly game. But Vancouver may be the worst team in
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: the league at this point. I mean, they're a big
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: home underdog here against a Detroit team that hasn't really
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: been that good. Detroit 3-3-3. Detroit lost to Seattle the
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: other day. As I already mentioned, that was a loss
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: we took on the show. They're staying in the Pacific
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Northwest now at least. So now Detroit is adjusted to
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: the time zone. I didn't mind the time zone adjustment
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: thing in that particular game, though, because Seattle was flying
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: all the way back from Florida. So, you know, I
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: thought Detroit had the upper hand. They were not able
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: to get it done. But now Detroit is adjusted to
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: the time zone here, at least. They got to go
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: over and play Vancouver, who is not a good team
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: at all. Vancouver has lost a bunch of games in
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: a row. They've lost, I think, eight games in a
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: row here. Not an easy schedule, though. They played a
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: lot of good teams during this stretch. So maybe Vancouver is...
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: A little bit underrated. They just returned home from a
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: long road trip. So most of those losses came on
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: the road as well. They've had a difficult schedule. And
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: they came back home and they lost again to Carolina.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Returned home spot against a team that should beat them.
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: Still not an easy spot for Vancouver there. Now they're
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: staying at home though. Second game back home off an
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: ugly loss basically. Even though it was to a good
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: Carolina team. Usually this is a bounce back spot. When
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: you have a bad game in the return home spot,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: the distraction spot, a lot of times you do turn
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: it around and put together a better game in the
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: next game. Getting them is a huge underdog price here.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: I think the move may be to look towards Vancouver here.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I guess the other thing I need to look at
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: is does Detroit have a look ahead here? Let me see. Um, No.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're only playing Calgary next, so that's not
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: a big deal. They're playing two really bad teams in
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: a row here, but I think I still would lean
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: to Vancouver if I was going to do anything with
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: this game. 89% of tickets and cash on Detroit. They're
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: a really public side. No surprise there. They're minus 170 about.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: It looks like the line is dropping a little bit maybe, though.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: You can make like a plus one puck line or
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: whatever out of Vancouver here if you wanted to do
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: it that way. Those would be my opinions there.
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: I think maybe I will go to a hydration break now,
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: and then I'll come back, and we have two NBA games,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: three college football games, and an NFL game, and I
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: am not interested in any of them, but I will
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: talk about how I handicap these and how I see them.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: All right. I'll be back in a second. All right.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: NBA is next, I think. Yes. Let me see. Yes. Yes. Okay, NBA.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: We have two games here today. My NBA reads were
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: decent-ish yesterday. I mean, I was correct about L.A., Houston,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, I mean, Houston and Minnesota. Those are my
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: two top opinions are Houston and Minnesota, and they both won.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: So aren't we thrilled that those both won and my
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: actual play didn't? Yeah, isn't that great? I'm going to
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: skip both games today. These games both are pretty much
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: the same handicap for me in that we have a
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: team that I think is in a big letdown spot,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: but the problem is they're playing a team that hasn't
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: played yet. So obviously I think a team in a
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: letdown spot coming off a big win, I think they're
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: in a negative spot. It could definitely be a flat spot.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: The problem is the team that already has a game
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: under their belt tends to have an advantage because they're
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: ready to go. You know what I mean? They've already
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: played a game. They got a game under their belt,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: whereas the other team's coming in cold. And that's what
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: we have with both of these games today. Cleveland at Philadelphia.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Cleveland has not played yet. Philadelphia won and spoiled the
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Knicks banner raising ceremony. Plus that was actually revenge for
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia as well because Philadelphia had gotten eliminated by the Knicks.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. So there were some reasons to like
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia in that game. Although I thought the continuity would
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: not be great for Philadelphia because they completely changed their lineup.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: And maybe that will still be the case. I mean,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: maybe the Knicks just fell into a bigger distraction spot
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: than maybe I thought that they would. Philadelphia is still
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: not getting that much respect in the market, really. I mean,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: they're a three-point favorite here, basically. 70% of tickets and
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: only 69% of the cash. And so Philly clearly a
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: public side. I mean, basically everybody's anointed them as the
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: best team in the league, like pretty much since that
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: trade happened. And I don't think they are like, I
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: showed you the odds on my NBA season preview. I
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: think the thunder are better. The Spurs are better. Um,
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are still considered to be better. I mean,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: the Knicks were favored against them. I know. Yeah. I
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: know Philly beat the Knicks, but the Knicks would still
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: be favored against them. If they played again right now
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: on a neutral, um, Yeah, so I think Philly, yeah,
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: they're probably the fourth best team in the league. That's
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: probably where they're at here. The odds are telling you
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's not that much worse here. Cleveland could put up
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: a fight here. I am going to lean Cleveland in
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: this game. I don't really want to do it, though,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: because I don't love playing on these teams that haven't
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: played yet because I think that's a disadvantage just because
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: you don't have you just don't have that, uh, actual
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: game under your belt yet. Whereas now that Philly does,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: they're kind of off to the races and they can
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: kind of get, get in, you know, they've already gotten
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of rhythm here. Uh, this will
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: be interesting though, cause this will be the Phillies first
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: home game. And LeBron was at home when they played
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: in New York cause he lives in New York. And
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: this is going to be his first game where he
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: has to travel by helicopter, uh, which I mentioned the
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: other day, which is completely ridiculous. Um, Yeah, LeBron, I mean,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: he looked good in the first game, but we know
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: he's old. He's probably not going to– I mean, yeah,
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: he's not going to be an elite presence anymore on
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: the court. Let's just put it that way. So whatever.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: But I'll lean slightly towards Cleveland in that one. And
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: then the other game, the money actually looks to be
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: going against that angle in the other game. By the way,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: both totals are kind of high in these games in
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: the 230s. Cleveland does kind of play a more over
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: style of game, really, because I think they still have
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: James Harden there, right? And that just seems to be
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: any team that has him. It just seemed that seems
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: to be what they do. They're just focusing on offense
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: for the most part. Denver and OKC OKC I still
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: think they're the best team in the league they're super
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: balanced but they're coming off a massive win and that
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: was also a revenge win and it was a win
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: on the show my only NBA play this year so
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: far we got the nice easy win with the Thunder
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: against the Spurs in the first game of the season
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: on opening day huge win for the Thunder Thunder Spurs
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: are considered to be at the top of the league
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: like it's them and then there's a gap and then
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: everybody else that's just the way that it is Huge
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: win for OKC, plus it was revenge, like I said,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: because the Spurs eliminated them from the playoffs last year.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City was not a fully healthy team when that happened. Currently,
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: they are. They were the better team in that game.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: They led almost the entire game. They got the win.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: Could be definitely a flat spot after that, though. Could
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: definitely be a letdown spot after that, so... I'm going
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: to lean towards the Nuggets in this game as well
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: for the same reasons I'm leaning towards Cleveland. I think
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets are a solid team. I think they're going
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: to be a playoff team again. The problem with them
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: is they are aging. They still have the same core
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: there with the and Gordon and Murray and whatever. Still
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: a good Nugget team though, but I think the Nuggets
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: typically have a little bit extra of a home court
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: advantage because they play at high elevation. The last year
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: that wasn't really the case. They actually were a somewhat
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: better road team I think last year than home team,
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: or it wasn't that significant at least towards the home
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: skew for them last year but the Nuggets have to
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: come into this game cold because they haven't played yet
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: so that's the issue I have with the Nuggets is
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: they have no like real momentum right now you know
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: what I mean so that's the question that I have
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: with them and these are games neither neither team that
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: won their first game is going to overlook these these
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: games right like Philly's not going to overlook Cleveland Cleveland's
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: a good team OKC is not really going to overlook
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: Denver Denver's still a good team so those are the
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: other Question marks I would have here. But I still
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: am going to lean Denver, although in this case, Denver
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: has 51% of the tickets, 54% of the cash on OKC.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: That's not really a significant read, really, though. Those percentages
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: just seem pretty insignificant to me, so I don't know.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: The money, by the way, is coming in on the
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: under in the Cleveland-Philly game, and the over is just
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: really public in the Denver-OKC game, so... do what you
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: want with that. But the market read is kind of
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: indicating under in both games. Uh, by the way, OKC
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: is actually a huge favorite in this game. They're an
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorite against Denver, which yeah,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: like I said, OKC is really, really good. Still like
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: they're still the best team in the league. Um, Power
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: ratings would tell you that. They'd be favored over the
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: Spurs on a neutral. And the Spurs would in turn
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: be favored over everybody else in the league besides the Thunders.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: So that's how it is right now. But yeah, OKC
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: is considered to be significantly better than... Denver and significantly
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: better than almost every team because Denver is still one
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: of the better teams out there. And OKC is an
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: eight and a half point home favorite here. OKC is
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: definitely a strong home team too. So I'm not really
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: looking to fade them here. It needs to be a
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: really bad spot for me to fade them if they're
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: at home. But yeah, I would still lean Denver in
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: that game slightly. But this will be the home opener
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: for both Philly and OKC, though. So, you know, the
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: crowds are going to be crazy. Both teams coming off
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: an awesome win in their first game. The crowds are
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: going to pack the stadium, you know what I mean? So,
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: pack the arena. So, it'll be, you know, a frenzied
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: atmosphere in both cases here. So, plus Philly, you know,
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: home opener with their new lineup and whatever. And the
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: crowd wants to see LeBron helicopter in, whatever, to he
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: almost did a different kind of helicopter once if you
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: remember um that game a long time ago when he
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: was on cleveland like the the initial run on cleveland
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: um when he he pulled down his shorts while he
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: was like right there like on the bench or whatever
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: like on tv in public view but like his underwear
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: came down too so he flashed um like a national
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: tv audience i don't know if you guys remember that
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: but yeah and by the way uh it's not that
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: big either um Just saying. Yeah. King James. I don't know, man. Yeah.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: More like Prince James. I don't know. Anyway, that's the NBA.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: We got college football here. We got Sunbelt Conference USA
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: and American conferences all in action here. The Sunbelt game
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: is at 7 p.m. James Madison at App State. And
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: in fact, in these first two games I'm going to
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: talk about, we have a Basically a double-digit road favorite
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: that's a Virginia team. And then in the other game,
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: we also have a double-digit favorite, but it's a home team.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: So a lot of double-digit spreads here in college here.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: James Madison's obviously the favorite in this one at App State.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: James Madison has done nothing wrong so far. They're 7-0
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: this season, but they face a weak schedule, though. You know,
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, their team was in the playoff last year.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: Of course, they had Kurt Cignetti as coach a few
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: years ago. They had Chesney last year. Those guys are
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: both gone, but they've set up this program such that
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: it almost seems like they're just reloading every year now.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: They're turning it into kind of a powerhouse program. How
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: good are they really? I don't know, man, because again,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: they face an easy schedule here. Their most difficult games
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: are the home opener against Liberty where we lost that
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: game on the show by a half point, and then
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: they had a road game at San Diego State, but
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: San Diego State dealing with The mumps, outbreak, and whatever.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think you really draw that much
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: from that win, even though it was a bad travel
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: spot for JMU going to the West Coast. But since then,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: not totally impressive. Although, you know, a win over Marshall,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: a win over Georgia Southern, those are all right wins.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: Coming off a win over Georgia State last time out,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: which is not very impressive. That was only five days ago,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: so JMU was on short rest here. They played on Saturday.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Now they've got to play on Thursday. Their next game
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: is against Troy, which I don't really think that's that
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: big of a deal. App State may be one of
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: the teams that James Madison won't totally overlook because App
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: State is in their division, and they're one of the
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: teams that's not that far behind them in the division,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: although JMU's already 4-0, and none of the other teams
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: in this conference have even played that many conference games
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: so far except for old dominion and they're one in three.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: So I think I got that right. Um, app state,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: we saw them last week. Uh, I think they played
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: in a Thursday game or was it Wednesday? Hold on.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: Let me see. Or no Friday. Maybe it was Friday. Yeah,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: it was Friday. So they have one extra day off
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: compared to James Madison here. So slight rest advantage for
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: app state here. They beat coastal Carolina last week in
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: a high scoring shootout basically. Um, That game, I think,
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: was pretty back and forth. They wound up winning the game. Singleton,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: the quarterback for App State, seems like he's hurt, but
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: maybe not. I don't know, man, because they used him
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: for half the game last week, and they used Hasselbeck
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: for half the game, too, which is Matt Hasselbeck's son.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Henry Hasselbeck, I think is his name. I don't even
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: know what they're doing at quarterback, dude. I don't know
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: if they're going with a two-quarterback arrangement right now, which
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: is not a good idea in my opinion. I thought
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: Singleton was hurt, so I thought Hasselbeck was just going
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: to play that game. Apparently, that's not the case. Don't
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: ask me. I don't know what App State is doing here,
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what their quarterback situation is going
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: to look like. This is not a game I'm interested in, obviously.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: This game is really hard to figure out. James Madison's
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: an 11.5-point road favorite now. They opened at 11, basically.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: 59% of the tickets, 67% of the cash on them.
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: It's a somewhat high total in the mid-50s. It's the
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: highest total of the day for college football, 56.5. I
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. I don't have much on this game.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: I might lean a little bit towards the home dog.
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: Like I say, if I don't have a great reason otherwise,
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: I'm going to slightly be tilted towards the home team
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: in these games. midweek games like this because the home
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: team usually gets up a little bit more for it
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: um playing you know in front of a national tv
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: audience or whatever but also I mean it's a huge
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: game for App State playing against James Madison James Madison's
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: got a target on their back like they made the
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: playoff last year they won the Sun Belt last year
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: everybody's gunning for them and they haven't lost a game
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: since then and again they played a pretty unimpressive schedule
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: so far so I mean, App State also has, though,
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: so got to keep that in mind. App State, though,
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: they played NC State on the road. That was a
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: big game for App State because it's an in-state, big
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: little brother situation there. For App State, though, that was
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: the most difficult game either one of these teams has played, though.
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: So if you want to say App State is more
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: battle-tested because they played NC State, and they played them
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: fairly tough, but they seem to always do. I mean,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: it seems like they always do, but yeah, I don't know.
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: App State's a somewhat competitive team though so yeah I
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: think maybe maybe uh looking towards the underdog there makes
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: sense it looks like the over is public but some
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: money seems to be kind of coming in that way
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: too uh James Madison definitely has a very balanced offensive
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: attack so like if it gets into if it gets
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: later in the game and James Madison's ahead and running
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: the football they do still have the ability to score
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: because they can definitely run the football so um Yeah,
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: it's a tough game to figure out. We'll see. The
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: next game is last on the board, but it is
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: next sequentially, chronologically. Liberty and Kennesaw State on CBS Sports.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: This game was supposed to be yesterday, but something about
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: the TV schedule, they moved it to today. I have
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: no idea because it's on CBS Sports. I don't even
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: know what was on CBS Sports yesterday such that this
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: game had to be moved. The football game was on yesterday.
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: It was on ESPN2, so I have no idea. Don't
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: know why this game got moved. I was like, was
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: it WNBA? But no, the WNBA was on the NBC network. Yeah,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: they were on the NBC network channels, like USA and
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: CNBC or whatever. So yeah, I have no idea why
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: this game got moved. But yeah, it's Liberty at Kennesaw State.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: Liberty is still atop the Conference USA, although they lost
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: their opener to James Madison, but that was an out-of-conference game,
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: of course. Still pissed we lost that game by a
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: half point. Um, They haven't lost since then, but Liberty's
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: facing easy schedule, man. I mean, what's their best win
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: since then? It's probably this road win at Delaware, I guess.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: They won at Coastal as well, whatever. Liberty's coming off
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: beating Sam Houston the last time we saw them, but
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: Liberty is coming off a bye, and I think it's
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: a negative. Again, if you're new to this show, you
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: might be thinking, well, why am I saying that's a negative?
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: Because they're going to be rested. Yeah, but the reason
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: why I think it's a negative is Liberty went into
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: that bye on a five-game win streak. I think that's bad.
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: I think when you have a win streak like this
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: and you have momentum, the worst thing for it is
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: to just stop that momentum. You do not want to
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: go into a bye because you've got nothing to fix.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: You've got nothing to work on during the bye. You
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: just won by 32 points against Sam Houston. You just
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: had a great game. You don't want to buy right then.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: So I think that's bad. So I think Liberty could
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: come into this with their momentum having been stopped a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: little bit here. They have FIU on deck. I mean,
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: FIU doesn't have the greatest record, but they've been a
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: pretty good defense. So I don't know. Is it possible
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: Liberty might overlook Kennesaw? They very well might. Kennesaw is 1-5. Kennesaw,
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, their schedule, though, if you kind of dig
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: into it a little bit, they're not really as bad
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: as this record is. suggests they had to play Tennessee
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: on the road you knew they weren't going to win
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: that game then they had close games in each of
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: their last three games two of them on the road
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: against Arkansas State and Missouri State close losses in both
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: of those we got the win by the way with
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: Missouri State last week in Kennesaw's last game that was
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: because Kennesaw was coming off another big game losing by
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: one in the game before that against Jacksonville State who's
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: another one of the better teams in this conference And
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: then Kennesaw had Liberty on deck, so I thought it
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich spot and having to go back out
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: on the road to Missouri State. Missouri State won the
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: game legitimately. We got the win with them. That was good.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Now Kennesaw's coming off all that. They're back home for
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: this game. They've had one extra day off, basically, as
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: far as what the usual schedule is. They haven't played
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: since Wednesday, and I think that's better for them. Just
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: having the normal week off plus one day extra rest
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: should help them because they're on a big losing streak here.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: So I think that might help disrupt that losing momentum,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: if anything. So in this game, I think I have
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: to lean towards Kennesaw. And the money basically is agreeing
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: with this because we don't see the percentages here. But
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: this line opened ten and a half and it went
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: through the key number of ten already and it's already
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: nine and a half here and the Vegas sharp indicator
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: books here on nine. So it looks like Kennesaw is
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: definitely the sharp side here. Um, that is the way
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: I would lean Kennesaw. The problem is obviously you're, you
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: may not get the full 10 here. I mean, I
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: guess you could wait. There's no harm in waiting really.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Cause it's not much of a difference between nine, nine
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: and a half, whatever. Um, you want to get that
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: key number of 10 again, if you can get it,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: it sucks that it was up there for a bit
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: and then now it's gone. But yeah, I would lean
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: towards Kennesaw in this one. I think the, the Liberty, uh,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: having the negative buy situation, I think is bad. Um,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: That's basically the handicap for this one. The total's not
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: really that high either in the low 50s. So it's
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: expected to be at least the lowest scoring of these
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: three games here. And it very well may be. Liberty,
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know they're a pretty good offensive team.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: They can definitely run the football. So if they're ahead,
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: they can kind of extend the lead that way. But
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: Kennesaw is not really that bad of a defensive team
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: necessarily either. So Kennesaw and Kennesaw's offense, I think is
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than people give them credit for
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: as well. So I think Kennesaw might be able to
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: hang around in a game like this, given the situation.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: And again, getting basically double digits with a total that's
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: not that high, you know, that's kind of the way
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: I like to lean and their home side, um, you know,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: in one of these midweek games where it tends to
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: be there's, you know, a little bit more fervor for
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: the home team around these types of games here on
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: the national TV networks in these isolated primetime games. So, yeah,
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: I think Kennesaw is the way to look there. I
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: like that one better than App State at least. But, again,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: the market move is telling you that's the right side. But, again,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: you've lost the key number. Like it takes a lot
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: of actual money to move it through a key number
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: like that. So that tells you some real money is
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: coming on Kennesaw there. But if you want to play Kennesaw,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: you're chasing steam at this point. You know what I mean?
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: You're not getting as good of a number. so I
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: would wait and hope to get the 10 there if
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: you want it, but this game is not on my card.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: And then the last game's ESPN two. And you know,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: if you want points, I mean, this game may wind
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: up being the one that has the most of them,
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: East Carolina and Memphis. Memphis tends to be kind of
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: like an over team. I think, man, I mean, they're
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: really good on offense and their defense is not that good.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Their passing attack is really good. And in fact, I'm
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: pretty sure, uh, shout out to Steve Merrill again on
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: wager talk. He does all these midweek games. Um, He
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: does videos for all of them, basically. A lot of
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: good information in there. I believe this came from him
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: where he was talking about how Memphis, their average, on
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: an average passing play, they're averaging more than a first down.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even think it's even on a completion. I
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: think it's just on a passing play. They average more
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: than 10 yards gained. It's insane. This Memphis team can
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: obviously throw the football, but they have some deficiencies on defense,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: like I said. They're coming off an ugly loss to Tulane,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: which everybody kind of saw that midweek last week, but
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: it was a very misleading result. They lost by 14
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: at Tulane last Friday. Now, that did end a winning streak,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: so sometimes ending a winning streak will sometimes hang you over,
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: but I'm not so sure that's going to be the
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: case here. I think Memphis is going to bounce back, actually,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: because not only was that an ugly loss where Memphis
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: was a favorite about a touchdown here, and a favorite
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: that's a decent-sized favorite, when they lose like that, a
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: lot of times they bounce back from a bad game
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: like that, but this game was completely misleading. Memphis outgained
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Tulane 488-325 defensively, They did not win the possession battle, though,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: but they won the first down battle. But the reason
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: they didn't win the possession battle, Memphis had six turnovers
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: in the game, and one of them was a pick
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: six for Tulane. So this was a completely misleading result.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: Memphis won the game statistically, probably should have won the
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: game based on that, but minus four in turnovers for them,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: committing six turnovers. You're not going to win the game
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: when you do that. It's just not going to happen.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: So.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: Misleading result. Memphis has some stuff to clean up here.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: A bunch of turnovers. That's probably not going to happen
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: again here. So I expect Memphis is going to put
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: points on the board here against East Carolina. East Carolina
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: will get up for this game, though. For East Carolina,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming off an ugly loss to UAB, and this
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: was kind of an even more insane loss and more misleading.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: East Carolina was winning this game. They lost the game 30-17.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: East Carolina was winning this game 17-17. to nine in
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: the final minute of regulation. Yeah, you heard me right.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: It was 17 to nine in the final minute of
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: regulation and they lost 30 to 17. Well, how did
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: that happen? Well, it's because UAB got a touchdown in
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: the final minute of regulation. They got a two-point conversion,
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: tied it, sent it into overtime. UAB got the ball
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: first in overtime, scored a touchdown, then East Carolina threw
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: a pick six in overtime, and UAB won the game
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: by 13 in overtime, something you basically never see. I'm
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: sure it probably has happened before, and it theoretically can
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: happen in the NFL too with the new NFL overtime rules.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: But it's kind of stupid what UAB did. They got
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: that pick and they ran it all the way back.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: You're taught that when you get that pick... Because the
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: game is over, right? UAB had already scored to open overtime.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: So all they have to do is stop East Carolina
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: from matching them. So as soon as they get that interception...
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: You just go down with it, you know what I mean? But,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, there was nobody around him, but, you know,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. I mean, I still think it's
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: kind of stupid because you still might fumble the football
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: or something. You never know. So I think it's safer
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: to get down with it or immediately run out of
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: bounds with it after you get the interception, you know
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: what I mean? But whatever. East Carolina ran it all
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: the way back for a touchdown. This is an ugly
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: loss for East Carolina, man. They were a favorite in
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: this game. Five and a half and wound up losing
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: this game. So East Carolina could be in a bounce
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: back after this. And maybe they were looking ahead to
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: this Memphis game because Memphis is pretty good. They're a
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: team you're going to be looking ahead to. They're one
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: of the dominant programs in this conference, really. East Carolina
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: got outgained in the game by UAB. but of course
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: they did have two turnovers in the game that hurt
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: them in this game for sure. Uh, so this game
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: at the very least should have been closer, but East
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: Carolina led the whole game. Pretty much. They're winning by
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: multiple scores for a bunch of the game. Um, you know,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: and they were holding UAB to a lot of field goals. So,
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: but then again, blew the game right near the end
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: and then blew it big time in overtime. Absolutely ridiculous. Um,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: So both teams are coming up misleading results where really
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: their offensive output was better statistically than what the scoreboard showed.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: So I actually think maybe the over is the best
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: way to look at this game. 79% of the tickets
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: and 93% of the cash are coming in on the over.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: It actually dropped from an opener of 54 down to
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: like 53 or 55 down to 53 and a half.
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: I think the over makes sense, though. I mean, Memphis,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: like I said, they're kind of an over team. They
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: have a prolific passing attack. They're not that good on defense.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: And both teams are coming off games that were misleading
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: as far as their offensive output. Both teams had turnovers,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: especially Memphis. Both teams coming off misleading losses as favorites.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: Both teams, again, had more offensive yardage than what the
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: final scores told you last week. So the over makes
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: sense in this game to me. Memphis is getting the money,
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: by the way. 59% of tickets, 87% of the cash
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: on them. Unfortunately, it went through the key number in
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Memphis' direction. If you like Memphis, it opened 9.5, and
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: now it's 10.5. And they're going to be slightly public, too,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: so you're definitely not going to get the 9.5 anymore
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: on this. It'll never come back. So you missed the
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: best number on this. I would still lean Memphis here
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: because they're the better team and they should be focused
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: coming off an even more misleading loss than what East
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: Carolina suffered there. Plus East Carolina coming off an overtime game.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: So they had to play extra. last week, and I
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: think neither team really has much of a rest advantage here.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: I think both those games were midweek, so not really
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: a rest advantage one way or the other. So I
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: think Memphis, the better team, does make sense to look
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: towards here. But what you maybe could do because you
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: missed the best number and you can't lay 10 or 9.5 anymore,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: you could take Memphis' team total over. I would not
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: disagree with that at all. In this game, obviously, I
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: think Memphis is the right side here, and I think
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the over makes sense. So obviously, that would be indicative
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: that the Memphis team total over would also therefore make sense.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what the number is on it,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: but Memphis' team total over makes a lot of sense
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: because they had so many turnovers last week. Their offensive
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: output on the scoreboard should have been a lot more
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: than it really was. Yeah, it should have been a
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: lot more than what it was on the scoreboard. So
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: Memphis' offense is better than what we saw on the
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: scoreboard last week. Let's put it that way. Whatever. You
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. They turn the ball over so
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: much that they just– Didn't have as much offensive output
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: as they usually do. So, yeah, that might even be
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: the best way to play this game, to be honest,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: is to take Memphis' team total over. Although, again, I'm
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: not much of a totals guy, even less of a
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: team totals guy, but we'll see if my reads are
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: good on those, and maybe I should start adding them
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: to the card. Hindian, what's up? What are we talking about? Dodgers,
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: hot foot. I don't even know what we're talking about.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: I have absolutely no clue. I thought that said Dodgers
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: hot dog, like a Dodger dog. I have no idea
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: what you're referring to, man. Okay. Now, what do we have?
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: We have NFL left, and that's it. NFL, this is
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: a game I'm not interested in trying to figure out.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: This is a difficult game to figure out. It is
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: New England at Chicago, Thursday night. And even though I
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: know I am Mr. Thursday night, and I'm 5-1, I think,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: with the Thursday night games so far. So... Picking up
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: where we left off last year, I think I only
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: got three of them wrong against the spread all year.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Five and one so far on the Thursday night against
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: this year. Of course, I'm going to jinx it here.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: This is a hard game to figure out, though, man.
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: You know, so obviously this is not going to be
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: a game I'm going to give it a play on.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: We won last Thursday with Denver, so good for us.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: But this is New England-Chicago. New England is a public
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: side here. 72% of the tickets and 71% of the
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: cash on them, so good. It looks like you should
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: play Chicago. I warn about these public underdogs all the time.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: It's not the way that you want to look. It's
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: a red flag if the public is coming in on
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: the team it's not even supposed to win. So that
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: would be an argument for Chicago. They're a three-point favorite here.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: Caleb Williams is back. He came back last week. So
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: I talk about how the reverse injured player theory spot
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: is a thing where when that starting quarterback comes back,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the team... won't like gel right away.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: And sometimes they'll kind of get a little bit complacent,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: but I thought that wouldn't be the case with Chicago
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: last week because they were coming off a real ugly
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: loss to Green Bay. So I was like, there's no
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: way they're not going to be focused here. So I
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: gave you guys Chicago as a lean last week, not
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: one of my stronger ones, but it was correct. And
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: it was better than it looked on the scoreboard too. So,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: you know, Williams second game back. Yeah, he should be
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: back in rhythm. He should be fine. We have the
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: young quarterback matchup here between Williams and May. You know,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: I've been saying I think May is the better of
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: these two quarterbacks, actually, to be honest. I think a
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: lot of people will not agree with that. We'll see. But, yes,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: I gave you some arguments for Chicago here, and I
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: think there is one more argument for Chicago here, and
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: that's what Chicago did last week was actually a little
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: bit misleading. They beat Atlanta on the road. 31-23, but
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: Chicago was winning this game 31-7, and they dominated this game.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: They had more than 100 yards, more than Atlanta did.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: Atlanta also turned the ball over a lot, though, so
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: Chicago was plus two in turnovers. What else is new?
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Chicago benefiting from turnovers just like they did all last year.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: Chicago shot themselves in the foot too, though, with a
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: bunch of penalties. So that kind of, I guess, negated
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: the turnovers maybe a little bit. But Chicago absolutely dominated
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: possession in this game. They more than doubled Atlanta's time
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: at possession here. Some of it was the turnovers. Penix,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: you know, had like a stupid fumble at one point. Overall, though,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: I would say Chicago was better than it looked like
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: on the scoreboard, though. They were up 31-7 in this game,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: even though you might argue that that score at that
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: point was a little bit misleading. But it was 31-7
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. And Atlanta almost came back, which
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: would have been completely insane. They got back to within
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: one score in that game. But Chicago played better than
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: it looked on the scoreboard. So that's another indicator for Chicago.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: And I'll give you another reason for Chicago here. Is
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: that the home teams usually do a little bit better
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: on Thursday night because... It's a quick turnaround time for
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: both teams. And if the teams are unfamiliar with each other,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: the home team has more of an advantage because the
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: road team has to travel and figure out how they're
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: going to defend this team they're going up against that
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: they're not familiar with, going to an unfamiliar venue, and
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: they have less time to do it. They usually have
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: one day fewer practice time because they have to quickly
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: turn around. They're having to turn around from Sunday, four days,
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: quickly turn around and play on Thursday. These Thursday night
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: games are so stupid. but it leads to handicapping, um,
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: advantages sometimes. So all of those things would favor Chicago here, right?
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: Like these teams are not familiar with each other. Um,
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: and that usually helps the, uh, the home team here.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: I'll push back on it to some extent though, uh,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: new England, they have the better deep vents than Chicago
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: does and they're getting points. So, you know, I like
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: the better deep vents getting points. So it sounded like
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I was making a pretty good argument for Chicago, but
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: now I'm going to also make a case for new
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: England here. Um, Yeah, New England, they're the better defense.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: Better defense getting points is the way that you want
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: to look more often than otherwise. New England is also
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: coming off a win that I thought would be less
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: impressive looking. Like Bears going in and winning a high-scoring
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: game in Atlanta. Doesn't that look better than New England
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: only beating the Jets by seven in an ugly low-scoring game?
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: I think it does. So I'm kind of surprised the
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: public's all over New England here. Really, the public loves
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: this Bears offense, man. They love Caleb Williams. To me,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: I thought the public was going to be leaning towards
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: the better offense instead of the better defense. This New
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: England win against the Jets was not particularly impressive. New
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: England was barely winning this game for most of it.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: They had a seven-point lead multiple different times in the
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. They extended it to 10 at one point.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: before the Jets backdoored the cover with a late field goal.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: Luckily for me, I guess, because I had that pick
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: correct with the Jets in my pools. Patriots outgamed the Jets, though,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: and they did turn it over twice. So Patriots were
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: minus one in turnovers. The Patriots maybe should have won
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: this game a little bit more easily than it looks
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: like on the scoreboard. Given all that, putting all that
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: into a blender, I mean, you know me, I'm all
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: about scheduling dynamics, and I'm looking at this, and I'm thinking,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: Chicago had a higher scoring win at Atlanta. That looks
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: more impressive than New England having an ugly lower scoring
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: win against the Jets, doesn't it? So to me, that
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: had me a little bit, like, leaning a little bit
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: towards New England. And then Chicago, you know, I'm not
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: going to say they're going to overlook a Thursday night
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: game because it's an isolated primetime game. But I don't know, man,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: because they got the Seahawks on deck. I know the
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: Patriots have been pretty good. They're 4-2, whatever. And unfortunately,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: these are two teams that I gave out. I didn't
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: really give it out, but my win total leans that
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: I gave out, these are two of them that I
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: gave out for unders. And one of these teams is
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: going to be at five wins after tonight's. Well, I'm
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: hoping for a tie, I guess. I don't know. A
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: tie would help me, I guess. Both teams don't get
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: a win. That would be awesome. I don't know. Yes,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: I have no idea what this video is that we're
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: talking about for a Indians video that he's referencing. But yes,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: one of these teams is likely going to be at
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: their fifth win. So one of these teams is probably
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: going to go over their win total. Not happy about that,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: but it is what it is. Anyway, Chicago, though, this
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: is a possible look ahead to the Seahawks. You know,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Seahawks won the Super Bowl last year.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: So possible look ahead there. However, I know the Patriots
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: were in the Super Bowl last year. Primetime isolated game,
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: you're probably not going to overlook the Patriots. So what
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: the hell do we do with this game, man? My
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: initial instinct said New England in this game and taking
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: the three points here. Very, very difficult game to handicap.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: There's no way that I'd be touching this game with
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: my actual money. I don't even know what I'm going
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: to do in my... I'm not going to put it
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: in my contest entry or anything like that either, obviously.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: I have no strong opinion on the side here. My
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: initial read, based on what we saw last week, was
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: to lean towards New England here. I don't know if
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: that's what I'm going to do in my... Because I
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: have to pick every game on ESPN, and I was
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: 13-1 doing that last week. And I think I'm like,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: what am I now? 61 and 32 or something like
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: that i'm at i'm at an unsustainably good rate there
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: and picking every game if i'd done that i'd be
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: up a ton of money um ridiculous and i think
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: i'm tied in 14th place at all vspn right now
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: against the spread but it's not gonna last man unless
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: i'm not gonna do what i did last week again
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: there's no way but if i can be consistent enough
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: throughout the rest of the season, maybe I got a
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: shot to do something there. Don't know who I'm going
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: to pick, though, in ESPN here. This game is real difficult.
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: Right now, my lean is slightly towards New England, but very,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: very difficult game to figure out The money is indicating
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: towards Chicago. Like I said, New England's a public dog,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: so I don't love that at all. The total's somewhat
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: high at 50.5, and the money's coming in towards the over.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: 51% of tickets on the over, 63% of the cash
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: on the over. I agree with the over, and I
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: actually think the over may be the better way to
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: play this game rather than trying to figure out the side.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: Chicago's just an over team in general because they have
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: a good offense and they don't have a good defense.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: So that helps the case for the over, although the
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: over and Chicago are probably correlated, though, right? Like I said,
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: New England is the better defense here, and if you
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: like New England, they probably need to slow the game
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: down and keep this game in check. So New England
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: is probably correlated to the under, even though I might
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: be leaning towards New England, but I don't know. I
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: do like the over in this game, though, for a
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: couple of reasons. One being what I already said, Chicago
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: is just a style of team that is conducive to
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: an over. But the other reason is that these teams
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: are not familiar with each other. On a quick turnaround
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: on Thursday night, we have two teams that are not
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: familiar with each other. That helps the offense more than
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: the defense because the defenses have to figure out how
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: to stop these offenses. If you're not familiar with those
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: offenses and you're not used to stopping them, usually that
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: helps the over. It helps the offenses a bit more.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: So I would definitely not disagree with the over in
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: this game, especially if you can get it under that,
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: like if you can get it below, not under, but
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: below that key, you want to play the over, but
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: below the key number of 51, 51 is a key number.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: So if you can play this thing over 50 and
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: a half, It makes sense to me. And that's one
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: of the higher totals that you'll get in the NFL.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: Anything in the 50s is high in the NFL. And
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: like I said, when a total is high, it's high
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: for a reason. The odds makers think they'll be scoring
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: in this game. And I agree. I also think so.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: So yeah, if I was going to do anything with
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: this game, the over, I think is what makes the
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: most sense. And that is it. I think I have
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: to figure out a new thing. This image that I'm
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: putting up here with the static here seems like it's
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: kind of slowing everything down in StreamYard. So maybe I
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: have to think of something better to do here. It's
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: an ugly, ugly board today, man. My only play today
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: is the Nashville Predators on the money line at this
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: ridiculous plus 132 price here. So I know we're getting
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: ballsy with another hockey money line underdog. It's a fairly
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: significant underdog. But if you want to make the plus
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: one puck line thing out of it, you could do
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: that too. I'm just saying go balls to the wall.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: So my only play today, we're fading my Boston Bruins
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: in what I think is a horrific spot that they're in.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: We'll take Nashville in hockey, and that's my only play today.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: That's going to do it. Learn to tote on Twitter.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: Learn to tote on Instagram. Learn to tote on TikTok. Like,
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here. Find me on all the platforms.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: You get all these clips I've been putting out recently.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: If you like, subscribe here. You'll get notified when I
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: go live. Obviously, we'll do more football content. We have
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: the night football podcast. Shows coming up for the weekend
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: tomorrow night.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 3: Oh, boy.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: The long-ass college football show. There are a lot of
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: college football games that I like this week, too. A
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: lot of letdown spots and stuff like that. I have
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: to kind of parse through it and figure out what
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: the best plays are. I got a few that I
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: pretty much know are going to be plays, and we'll
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: take it from there. If you know me, you probably
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: know what some of my plays are going to be.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: The people that don't understand what I do are really
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: going to hate this shit, but we go with what works, man.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: I've been doing this for decades, so you can question
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: what I'm doing, but, you know, long-term results are there.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: So what else? Covered in you because my ukulele channel
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: on YouTube, you can check that out. This show, Toadstool Sports,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: is on audio, so check it out there too. That helps.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: All the audio stuff helps. Spreaker, Spotify, Apple, listening over
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: there helps. Just throw it on in the background. That
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: all helps. What else? I said covered in you already, patreon.com
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: slash learn to toe. If you want to support me
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: over there and let me think. Oh, sorry. Hindi and
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: loser cast. I'm like, wait, I knew there's something I'm missing.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: Loser cat. I was missing loser cast every Tuesday night.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: Check it out. That's going to do it. Peace for now.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 4: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Let somebody answer.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 4: Let somebody know you do not have.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: To lose this round alone.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 4: Hold on, not tonight, not now Hold on, hold on
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 4: Let me pull you out That bad luck bites hard
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 4: But it don't get the crown Hold on Hold on,
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 4: stay with me now Hold on, hold on You're still
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 4: here now
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 3: Piano plays softly