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Thursday MLB + WNBA Best Bets 7/4/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: broins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: What data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: until I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: The slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. Yeah, what's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you for better off dead Thursday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: July tenth, and we are slump and man, the slumping
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: is continuing. Gave out two plays yesterday and Major League
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: Baseball unders, and of course, once again my best lean
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: in the WNBA was an easy correct call and it
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: was not a bet that I gave out on the show,
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: the return of Caitlyn Clark being not very good at
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: all for Indiana's they got crushed in that. I gave
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: out Golden State, I believe plus the points as a
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: lean should have added as a play man. I was
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: just a little bit hesitant about that, and then they
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: got an easy win on the first under I gave
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: out in Baseball yesterday with Blue Jays White Sox.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was just really easy.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Just you gotta hope that game doesn't go into extra innings,
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: although even if it did, it was so low scoring.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: I think it's still probably would have gone under, but
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: we know what the ghost runners. When you play unders.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: If that thing goes to extra innings, all bets are
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: kind of off, man, except your bet still counts. They
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: got to get rid of the ghost runners, but we
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: didn't have to worry about it. That game is a
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: two to one final. Both starters got us got us
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: there for that game, and then the bullpens. Toronto actually
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: needed to use decent amount of their bullpen, but it
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: got there. Tampa Bay Detroit did not get there. Both
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: starters were decent enough. I mean they got reasonably deep
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: into the game and it was a three to two
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: game basically based on the what the starters did. I
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: think Lattel gave up three runs, Olsen gave up two,
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: but then the bulpend for Detroit imploded I believe was
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: the case. So Tampa wound up winning the game, so
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: that it was one of the I said that the
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: money was coming out on Tampa yesterday, so the professional
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: betters had that one correct. But I liked the under
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: in that game, and that was the loser, and it
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: was mostly thanks to Detroit's bulpen, although first five inning
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: actually still went over as well. Because those five runs
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: that got scored against the starting pitchers also came against
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: also came within the first five innings, I should say, so.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: Either way, you bet it, it was a loser.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: So at least that makes me feel a little bit
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: better when it's just a total loser.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: The whole way around, Just like me, why not? All right?
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be Well, it's Thursday, so you know,
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: we have not that many games going on baseball.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: It's usually a shorter board.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: I tried to find something, but I'm actually passing on
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: the entire card today. I'm gonna drop the analysis here.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: We're doing the show, but I'm not gonna have any
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: anything that's gonna rise to the level of a play
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: for me today. I just can't find anything around like,
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: oh yeah, like I want to do that. But we'll
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: talk about the games here. We do have two WNBA
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: games Minnesota. We have an afternoon game here with Minnesota
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: and La Minnesota from six and a half to seven
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: as a road favorite. Minnesota probably the best team in
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: the WNBA at this point, but they are coming off
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: a loss. But they were at Phoenix yesterday. Phoenix fairly
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: tough team. Minnesota took that loss a rare loss from
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: Minnesota yesterday, but Minnesota now want to back to back
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: with some travel. I don't know that it's the greatest spot.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: And that was a fairly big game against Phoenix because
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: Phoenix has been.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: Playing pretty well.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is the team that's closest to catching Minnesota in
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: the West right now. So I don't love the spot
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: from Minnesota. I would probably be looking to fade them.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: But the Sparks are coming off beating Indiana, so they're
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: coming off their own pretty big game. They have extra
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: rest here, but they are returning home so to stay away.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: But I thing Minnesota is in a pretty bad spot there.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: And then Vegas is at Washington. It seems like Vegas
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: just can't figure Washington out, man, because you would think
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: with what's happened so far this season, Vegas almost had
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: their home opener spoiled by Washington and they had to
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: escape with a win. They almost lost that game. Then
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: they played Washington again in Vegas much more recently, and
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: they lost that game outright. So it almost seems like
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: Vegas is just matching up poorly against Washington that you
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: don't have to think that that means they're gonna take
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: Washington seriously now because Washington's almost handled them two losses
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: in Vegas, so you think this is kind of a
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: road revenge angle here, right The Vegas isn't gonna overlook
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: them here, but Vegas is coming up a pretty tough
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: game against the Liberty and they're playing a fifth straight
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: road game, which is pretty rare in the WNBA. I
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: think Vegas not exactly playing the best basketball either right now,
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: so I worry about it.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: It's not a great spot for Vegas, even though you
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: think they would be motivated.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Washington's up from a one point favorite to a.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: Two and a half point favorite here at home, so
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, to me, the line seems like it's a
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: little bit too high. Though, like I still think Vegas
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: is the better team over Washington. There is still that
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: revenge scenario going on here. Washington though no travel, They're
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: staying at home. They're coming off a win over a
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: bad Chicago team that was a close game, so it's
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: a stay away and I think probably the line move
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: mostly has to do with Washington having the better travel
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: situation here, but there is that revenge motive for Vegas
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: there that I think might come into play in that game,
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: So Mileen would probably slightly be to Vegas in that game.
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: To be honest, for that reason, I think the line
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit too high on Washington, Scott,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: what's up, man, who's trying to take your crown?
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Somebody's trying to overthrow you, kick you off the throne.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: Good morning to you as well, man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: We'll talk about Major League Baseball here. Baltimore and the
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: Mets got rained out yesterday, so we do have a
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: doubleheader now between Baltimore and the Mets here today. David
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: Peterson was scheduled to pitch against Sugano yesterday, and now,
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: of course, as we see it with a lot of
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: double headers, I analyze that matchup yesterday. But now the
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: pitchers have been split up, so Peterson is gonna be
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: pitching the afternoon game, which is gonna be at noon Eastern,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: and Sugano is getting the night game here. So now
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: David Peterson is going up against Charlie Morton, and this
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: is kind of an interesting match up here, to be honest.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Now, So now, of.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Course, because these teams didn't play yesterday, we have rested
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: bullpends now, but that it gives the bullpen edge to
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: the Mets. Man, I mean they probably already had the
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: bullpen egy. I mean Baltimore's bullpen is awful. Mets have
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen, so that is something to keep in mind.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: David Peterson, though, I'm just not a fan of him, man.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: I know his ERA is good, three point one eight
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: one point two to seven whip not that good.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: He is also significantly.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Worse on the road four point four to four road ERA,
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: So you could definitely fade him on the road if
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: you pick your spots right. And he's not pitching that
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: well recently, Man, he had a four point five to
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: five ERA in June. The Mets lost four out of
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: his five starts the month, and the only one that
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: they won was a complete game shutout against a bad
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: Washington team. All four Roads starts were losses. He bounced
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: back with a winning start against Milwaukee, although he did
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: walk three guys in that start, and he's walked three
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: batters in every one of his last four starts. So again,
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: Peterson's putting a lot of guys on base, dude, So
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's that trustworthy.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: And the two starts prior to the Milwaukee one.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: Which was a home win for him. The two starts
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: prior were on the road. He gave it five runs
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: in each of them and didn't even make it five
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: innings in either. So I think he's regressing. He's not
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: in good form, even though he is an extreme ground
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: ball pitcher, which is kind of how he keeps getting
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: away with putting this many guys on base. But his
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: walk numbers are just still not good. I don't trust Peterson, dude.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: He is up against a fairly weak Baltimore offense. His
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: numbers against them are okay. In thirty one at bats,
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: ten strikeouts is pretty good. Two walks isn't bad either.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: Two point fifty eight average also pretty good. Seven to
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: twenty two ops getting a little bit delightly higher territory.
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: But again, I just don't trust him. He's been awful
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: on the road. He's in pretty bad recently. I think
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: recent form means something. Man and Charlie Morton as old
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: as he is, as bad as he was at the
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: beginning of the season, I know professional betters have been like, well,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: he's gonna regress again.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: It hasn't happened yet.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Since Morton was demoted to the bullpen, and then they
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: brought him back into the starting rotation.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: He's actually been really good, which is very.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Crazy to think about, but I think, I mean, he's
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: in the better form over Peterson right now, so I
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: think Morton might be the preferable the two starters in
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: this game. He's got a five point four to seventy
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: RA and one point five to five whip, which is bad.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: But his start to the season was horrific. Man.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: He's slightly better at home five point one two, yeah, right,
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: but once he so he got demoted to the bullpen
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: after he was getting absolutely trashed. Baltimore lost the first
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: twelve games that he appeared in, including bullpen appearances. They
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: brought him back into the starting rotation, and I forget
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: which one was his first start and they brought him
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: back into the rotation. It might have been this loss
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: to Washington, but he did have six strikeouts and only
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: allowed one run in that one, so that even that
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: wasn't even his fault. The bullpen gave up nine runs
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: in that game. Terrible Baltimore bullpen. Then after that, Baltimore
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: won five games in a row with him on the hill,
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: and they've won six of the last seven games that
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: he started, So it's like, do you really want to
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: fade that right now? I mean, Morton, he's not really
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: showing that he's regressing right now. I mean, he's in
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: good form right now. He had one bad start, but
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: it was at the A's Stadium, which, as I point out,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: is a very difficult stadium to pitch in. I give
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: up four runs and two and a third innings in
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: that one, and they still won that game. By the way,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: I think I actually had Baltimore as a play on
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: the show in that game. He was bad in that
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: game and walked four guys. But other than that, he
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: hasn't walked more than two in any of these other starts.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: He's not given up more than three or in runs
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: in any of the other starts. He's gone at least
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: five innings in all the other starts. And the start
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: that they lost was a close extra innings game against
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Texas where he didn't do that well but well enough
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: that they were in that game. Last time out at Atlanta,
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: he had seven strikeouts.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: His strikeout rate has actually been fairly high too.
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: He's struck out seven or more what is this four
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: of the last six starts or something like that. So Morton, yeah,
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's crazy to think about, but he's in
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: good form right now. His numbers are, I mean, they're
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: mediocre against the Mets. They do have a lot of
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: experience against them. One hundred and seventy nine at bats,
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: fifty two strikeouts, twenty six walks is definitely way too
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: many walks, two fifty seven batting average not bad, eight
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: oh one ops, it's a little bit high, and one
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Sodo destroys him. He's eight for twelve with three home
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: runs off him seven walks. The rest of their hitters, though,
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: don't do particularly well against them, so it's mostly Sodo.
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: If you want to look for player props there, again,
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: I recommend hits plus runs plus RBI. Sodo does do
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: a lot of damage against Morton, but other than that,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: there isn't a whole lot. So I would my slight
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: lean in this one would be Baltimore in the first
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: five innings because I don't really want to deal with
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's bullpen, which is obviously the worst bullpen.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Mets are a.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: Road favorite here because they have the way better record.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: They're up for minus one thirty minus one thirty five,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: and you know the public are going to be all
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: over that Mets team there, and they are eighty three
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets only seventy five percent of the cash,
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: So I think it might make sense to fade fade
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: the public in this one and actually grab Baltimore. But
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: I would not want to include their bullpen, so I
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: would lean first five innings. Baltimore is an underdog there
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: from Morton. To actually maybe outpitch Peterson in this game,
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: I think it is certainly possible, but based on both
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: pitchers just having only okay matchup numbers, neither of them
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: are really that good either. On with Baltimore's bullpen and play,
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: I think the full game over is.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Also maybe a way to look here.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: The total is up from nine to nine and a half,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets eighty eight percent of cash
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: on the over, so the over might make a little
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: bit of sense as well.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Twins Cobs.
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: The Twins are on the verge of sweeping the Cobs,
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: which is probably not what was expected here.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Twins got the win again yesterday four to two.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Although I mentioned that game yesterday, I like Festa over
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Horton in that starting pitching matchup. I usually I'm gonna
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: go with Horton man when it's Scott Horton, but not
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: cade Horton. There Festa not a bad pitcher man. We
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: might see as he progresses, he might actually be pretty
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: good now. The problem with today's game from Minnesota, though,
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: is that Minnesota did use all of their best relievers yesterday,
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: and Minnesota's bullpen hasn't been particularly good recently. So Minnesota,
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: whatever you do with Minnesota, you want to make sure
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: you take that into account. Their bullpend. It's probably something
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: you want to look to fade here. Chicago's bullpen, Cubs
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: bullpen is a little bit better and a little bit
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: better rested coming into this. But the starting pitching, I
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: don't know if I love it for the Cubs. With
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: Colin Ray on the mound for them, I'm not a fan.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: Four point one to three ERA one point three to
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: one whip very high. I mean it's a pretty high whip.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Not good.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: He actually has exactly the same ERA in er on
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: the road and at home.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: He's been okay recently though.
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: The Cubs have actually won five of his last six starts,
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: which was a start where he got absolutely drilled by Seattle.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: But if you take that out. Well, actually three.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Of his last five starts are actually four of his
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: last six starts. I guess he's allowed two or fewer
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: earned runs, So he has had some good starts in here.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: He's not striking out a lot of guys, he doesn't
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: do that. He doesn't blow guys away, but he's limited
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: the walk numbers. He hasn't put a lot of guys
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: on the base pass good start last time out of
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: line one run excuseually against Saint Louis on only two
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: hits and six to two thirds innings, four strikeouts, two walks.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: So he is in decent form right now. But I'm
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: not quite sure that I trust him, man. I mean,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: he's still there are times where he becomes way too hittable.
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: Sometimes he gets he just gives up way too many
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: home runs.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: He gave up six home runs in June, which was
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: why cra in June was five point one point nine.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: Give him another home run last time out, so that
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: is something to worry about. Although against the Twins he
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: does have good numbers in fifteen at bats two hundred average,
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: six hundred oh ps and two strikeouts, no walks, so
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: he has actually done fairly well against the Twins, specifically
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: in the past, and they don't have a whole lot
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: of experience against him. He's going up against Chris Paddock,
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: who I think probably has a higher ceiling than Ray.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's a younger guy.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: But he's a little bit more inconsistent four point sixty four. Well,
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: they're both pretty inconsistent with Paddock. I think he's just
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: very hard to handicap for me. He has a four
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: point six four ERA one point two to two whips.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: His whip is actually not as bad as his ERA looks.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: He is better at home three point five to nine
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: home ERA. Recently, I mean he's been mediocre at best,
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: I would say. I mean Minnesota lost a bunch of
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: his games recently. In June, they lost five of his
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: six starts, although only one of those starts did he
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: really get completely blasted. I mean, some of that had
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: to do with Minnesota not being a good offense either.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: He did have a twenty three to five strikeout walk
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: ratio that month. Last start, the first start in July
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: for him, he had five strikeouts, no walks or yeah,
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: five strike outs no walks, give up two runs against
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay. So he had a pretty good start there,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: had a high six point six e RA in June, though,
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: because again he's given up too many home runs Man,
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: just like Ray, six home runs allowed in June, So
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: that's been a problem for Paddock as well recently against
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: the Cubs. He does have good numbers though in forty
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: one at bats. Cubs have a really good offense, but
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: he's held him to a one to seventy one batting average,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: four fifty three ohps, eleven to two strikeout walk ratio.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: So I actually think Paddock might be the preferable of
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: the two starters here. But just like I said with Baltimore,
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: I don't like Minnesota's bullpend very much, so I think
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: maybe you could look first five innings again here on Minnesota. Again,
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: none of these are even close to rising the level
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: of a play for me.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna give that out as a play.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: But the Cubs, they're a public road favorite here, man,
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: just like the Mets arm up for minus one oh
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: forty minus one twelve eighty nine percent of tickets, only
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of the cash money looks like it
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: is coming in against the Cubs year, and because both
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: pitchers do allow a lot of home runs and they
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: are fairly hittable at times. We see money coming in
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: on the over, so kind of a similar handicap to
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: that other game.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: I would agree with the over as well. In this one.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: The totals up from nine to nine and a half
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: seventy nine per tickets, ninety six percent of cash on
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: the over, so I do agree with the market reads
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: on the side and total.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: In both of those.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: First two games there Scott way too hittable. Yeah, that's right,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: these pitchers are whores. Man second game of the double
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: header between the Mets and Baltimore sometimes I just talk
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: about the entire double header at once. The game two
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: of doubleheaders, they're always hard to handicap man because you
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: don't know what the bullpen usage is gonna be like
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: in the first game.
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: But I think the one thing that's.
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: Guaranteed is that Baltimore's bullpen is a fade regardless. They're
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: a bad bullpen, and if they use their bullpen in
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: the first game, which they probably will have to, you're
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: probably gonna want to look to be fading Baltimore's pitching.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: The problem is we don't even know who's pitching for
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: the Mets here, so the Mets might be going with
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: a bullpen game, So this second game, it looks like
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be an over type of game, and I
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: think the books have put out a high total on
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: this for that reason, because you're getting a Mets bullpen game.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: Both bullpens might get used in the first game. And
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: then Sugano for Baltimore, he's just fallen apart recently.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Man. This is his first season in the major leagues.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: He was pitching in Japan for a long time. He
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: was good early on this year and I liked him.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: I had a couple of spots right where I made
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: plays on Baltimore with him pitching, and it went okay.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: But he's been bad recently.
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: His ERA is up to four point four to four
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: one point three to one whip. He's been worse at
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: home as well, four point nine to one ERA at home.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: After he was chugging along pitching well, heading a lot
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: more than four runs in any start all season, he
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: gave up seven and then six in his last two
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: outings against Tampa and Texas, and they actually won the
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: tamp start anyway, because they had an offensive explosion for
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: twenty two runs in that game.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: For specific, twenty two runs just.
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: From Baltimore in that game, just to be clear, twenty
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: two to eight final thereafter, Baltimore was losing that game,
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: I think seven to nothing at one point and maybe
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: six nothing early on. His two starts before that weren't
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: good either, Actually, the three starts before that weren't good.
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: He didn't make it five innings in any of the
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: previous three, allowed three runs in all of them, and
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: somehow Baltimore.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Actually won two of those three other starts.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Baltimore was putting up a lot of runs behind Sugano,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: but you can't trust a guy who's pitching like this man.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: He's allowed five home runs in the last two outings,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: seven home runs in the last four outings.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Strikeout walk ratio is bad now as well.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's not a strikeout guy, but still fifteen
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: strikeouts over that span. But also what is this seven walks,
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: So again he's walking too many guys. He's given up
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: way too many hits as well over that span. I mean,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to do the math here on this,
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: but it's a lot of hits, way more hits the
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: n nings pitch.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: So he's just not pitching well.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: Mets haven't seen him before, so that's maybe one advantage
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: that you would have is that a pitcher like this
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: who hasn't been seen before by an opposing lineup, the
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: lineup ken struggle to figure him out early on. But
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: that hasn't been the case with Sugano recently.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's faced a couple of lineups that haven't
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: seen him before, so you think, maybe, well, some of
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: the reason why he's doing bad now is because he's
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: facing lineups for the second time and they've seen him
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: so now they know how to hit him. But he
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: has faced some lineups for the first time still in
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: this recent stretch, and they've hit him well as well.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: So he's just not pitching well.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: The over is worth a look in this game, even
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: though you don't even know who the Mets pitcher is
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Other than that, I would probably not touch this game.
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: The books threw a total of ten up there, which
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: is a very high total. Thinking the same thing that
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: I'm basically saying here is you're getting a Mets bulp
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: end game with maybe an unrested bullpen against a bad,
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: maybe unrested Baltimore bullpen plus struggling Sugano that does look
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: like it's arrested.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Be for an over in that game. Miami at Cincinnati.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati did bounce back with a win yesterday after losing
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: the first two games of the series. Miami still not
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: a good team, man, even though they've been hot recently.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati fell to five hundred with four straight losses, and
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: finally that was enough for them and they won seven
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: to two yesterday.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Abbot.
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: I should have mentioned this yesterday because Abbot was actually
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: named to the All Star Team as well, and I
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: mentioned this a lot of times when a guy's name
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: to the All Star Team if it's his first All
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: Star appearance, which I'm not sure if it is for
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: Abbot or if it isn't, but a lot of times
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: they actually get distracted by it and they don't pitch well.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: So luckily I didn't mention that yesterday because Abbot pitched
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: really well again, bounced back from one bad start yesterday.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: Neither bullpen got used very much at all yesterday, so
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: both bullpens are rested here, but neither bullpen is really
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: that good either, so we're looking at two fairly bad bullpens,
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: even though they are arrested, and we got to figure
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: out what's gonna go on with the starting pitching here.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: So Cincinnati did get the win yesterday. Cal Quantroll is
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: pitching from Miami here. He's not great five point four
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: ERA one point four to three whip worse on the
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: road five point eight five road ERA. This is a
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly ballpark as well. Last time on he only
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: lasted three and two thirds, even though I had a
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: play on Milwaukee that I gave out on the show
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: in that game and.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Miami didn't allow any more runs in the game either.
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: Bullpen had to pitch in that game for five and
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: a third innings and they didn't give up any runs.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: It's just ridiculous, man, absolutely ridiculous.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: It's Quantrell. I mean he has not been pitching that well.
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: I mean he's not giving up a lot of runs,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: but he's just not going deep into games.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Even though Miami has won his.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Last four starts, he's allowed two and three runs in
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: all of them, but he's only gone five innings once
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: in that span. So he's almost like a kind of
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: an out opener. Now. Basically, he comes in, he gives
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: you a few innings, keeps you in the game and
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: then you take him out. I mean, I don't think
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: that's a recipe for success them. And even though I
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: know Miami has been winning with him on the hill recently,
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: I just don't think that can continue with how bad
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: his numbers have been. Strike a walk rate hasn't been
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: that good either, even though he did have a six
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: to one strike a walk ratio last game.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: He's not really a strike up pitcher.
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is fairly low, but he just doesn't
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: strike out a lot of guys. So yeah, I don't
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: expect that recent success that Miami's had behind him to continue.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: He doesn't go deep into games and then Miami's bullpen
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: has to come in.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: Doesn't look good.
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: His numbers aren't very good against the Reds and thirty
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: seven at bats two seventy.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Average, eight eighty four ohps.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: Stevenson and Trevino each have a home run off and
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: actually Benson does as well. Seven to one strike a
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not that bad, But overall, I would expect
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: Quandrill to struggle in this game. He's going up against
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Nick Lodolo, who has the better numbers on the season
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: between the two three point five eighty RA one point
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: one four whip. Lodolo has struggled in Great American Ballpark though,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: man it's a hitter friendly park. He has a four
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: point six y nine ear and he's allowed eleven of
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: the fifteen home runs he's allowed this year at home,
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: so Lodolo has been getting pretty much shelled at home.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if you really want to back
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: Lodolo at home either though, even though in his last
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: three home starts he actually did pretty well, including against
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: San Diego and the Yankees, both teams can hit pretty well,
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: and then also against Minnesota, and even if you go
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: all the way back to the Arizona start, he actually
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: was pretty good in all those starts at home, not
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: allowing any more than three earned runs in any of
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: those starts. So he actually has been a little bit
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: better recently. His strikeout rates been a little bit higher recently,
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: he hasn't walked too many guys recently, and he's limited
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: the amount of runs recently. Cincinnati had won three starts
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: in a row behind him before he lost at Philadelphia,
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: but he got no run support. He went six innings,
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: eight strikeouts in that game, three earned runs allowed, two walks,
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: not bad so Lodolo is actually at least in better
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: form right now.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: His numbers against Miami aren't.
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: That good though, even though their offense sucks forty at
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: bads against them two seventy five average, seven to fifty
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: six ops, eleven of five strike out walk ratio not
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: exactly that great.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: So because Lodolo is pretty bad at home, I.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: Don't think we're gonna get much on a quantrill the
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: We're gonna turn it over to the bullpens at some
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: point in this game. This looks like an over game
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: to me as well, man, even though I know this
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: is getaway day where teams play a little bit earlier
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: in the day, and a lot of times hitters are distracted,
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: kind of looking towards the next series and whatever. So
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: a lot of times you get unders in some of
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: these games. So I think this is an over heavy
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: board today, man. And you could tell, because I mean,
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: the ospeakers are putting up like pretty hiked totals.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: On a lot of these. This one is at nine,
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: with money coming in on.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: The over, a little bit juice on the over, sixty
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: on the over. So the public always likes overs, but
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: I think they might be able to win some of
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: these overs. I think that's an over type of game
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: as well. Seattle at the Yankees. Seattle's trying to avoid
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: a sweet peer. The Yankees have put up a lot
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: of runs recently, a lot of runs in this series,
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: nineteen runs.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: In two games for the Yankees.
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: Yankees have been hitting really well, but they might not
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: put up as many runs in this game because they're
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: gonna have to face Brian Wu here, so they're finally
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: running into a very good starter for Seattle. The Yankees
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: did use some of their best relievers yesterday again, including Williams,
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: their closer, even though he's not really having that great
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: a season.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: So I think Seattle does have a bullpen edge in
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: I think they have a slightly better bullpen and they're
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: a little bit more rested after yesterday because the Yankees
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: had to use some of their better relievers to hold
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: on to the win yesterday. And I like Seattle's starting
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: pitcher better in this game too.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: I like Brian wu.
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Two point seven to seventy ray in the season a
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: very low point nine to six whip. He has been
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit more beatable on the road though the
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: three point four to seven roadra pitches really well at
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly park at home in Seattle. But I mean,
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: he's been really good basically all season.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: Man. He's allowed more than.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Three earned runs I think four times all season, never
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: aligned more than five iron runs in any and I
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: think that was yeah, that was twice, So I mean
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: he's pitching really well. He had a three point one
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: to ninety RA in June thirty three to eight strike
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio, but his team lost the majority of
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: those starts, three out of the five because he gets
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: basically no run support. He said three shutouts in his
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: last four starts, which is also pretty impressive, even though
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: one was against Pittsburgh, who are not very good and well,
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: one wasn't a shutout because two unearned runs scored against Texas,
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: but they're not a very good offense either. He didn't
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: allow any earned runs in that game though, even though
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: he allowed a home run, it was an unearned run
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: on the home run as well, so that still, I mean,
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: he was really good in those starts.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: WU was just really good overall. Man.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: Against the Yankees, He's done well against them in the
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: past forty seven at bats fourteen to one, strike a
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: walk ratio one seventy batting average forty five ohps. So
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: even though WU is more beatable on the road, this
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: is a more hitter friendly park. I kind of like
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: how this sets up for Seattle's pitching staff here, man,
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: and I haven't looked to see who the Yankees playing next.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they have a big series up
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: next to they do have the Cubs as we roll
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: into the All Star break, that's a pretty big series, man,
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: Like people are gonna hail that as like a World
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: Series preview between the Yankees and the Cubs. So after
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: winning the first two, it is possible the Yankees overlook
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Seattle in this game as well. And this is gonna
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: be the toughest starting pitcher the Yankees have faced this series.
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: And the Yankees are going with a not so good
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: pitcher with Stroman on the mound here. He's been injured
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: most of the season, but when he has pitched, he
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good. Seven point one four ERA one point
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: six to six WHIP. He's even worse at home to
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: seven point eight four home ERA, allowing three of the
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: four home runs he's allowed this season at home.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Since he came back from injuries made two starts.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: He did okay in a start against the A's, only
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: allowing one run, but he only had one strike on
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: two walks in that game, which is not a good ratio.
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: At the Mets, which is a step up in facing
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: an all like that. He went five innings a lot
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: seven hits, which isn't that great. Three on runs four
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: to one strike a walk ratio is okay. But Stroman
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: he's been struggling this year. Man, I don't know that
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: we're gonna get a great appearance out of him. He
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: does have good numbers against the Mariners in the past, though,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: fifty four at bats two four average six to ninety
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: one oh ps. So even though I think wu is
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: certainly the better pitcher and way better for him than
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: Stroman is, Stroman has at least been serviceable since he's
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: come back, and he does match up well against Seattle.
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if I actually love it. I
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: would lean to Seattle though the Yankees obviously have a
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: big offensive edge year, but other than that, the pitching
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: is a big edge for Seattle in this game. But
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: I think it's a little bit less of an edge
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: just because Stroman does match up well against him. The
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: Yankees are a very small favorite, so to me, you'd
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: think that the public would be coming in on the Yankees, right,
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: because why wouldn't you be. It's the Yankees, they've dominated
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: the serious so far, and you're getting a very small
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: price down for minus one to nine to minus one
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: oh seven. To me, it almost looks two easy to
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: take the Yankees. But maybe the public does look at
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: the eras and they know who is the way.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: Better pitcher here.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: Seventy two percent ticket, seventy nine percent of the cash
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: on Seattle, So I do think the money is still
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: actually coming in on the Seattle side, although I'm surprised
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: to see that much of a public ticket percentage on them.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: The books did also throw a high total of nine
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: out there in this game too, books kind of thinking
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: this is going to be a higher scoring game. And
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I quite see that the money
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: is coming in on the over as well. Fifty six
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: percent of ticket, sixty two percent cash on the over.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: I would slightly lean to the under in this game,
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: to be honest, even though I don't know if we
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: I don't know if we could really trust the state
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: that the Yankees bulp And is in. But the starting
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: pitching might not be that bad in this particular game.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: At least Stroman does have the good matchup numbers. So
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: this is an over that I don't really agree with,
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: whereas I have agreed with the other one. So keeping
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: all that in mind, my Boston Red Sox are now
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: starting a series against Tampa. I think this is the
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: only or no, I think this series in Cleveland Chicago
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: are the only these are the only series that are
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: new series starting today. So the Red Sox, they're not traveling,
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: they're staying at home. They're hot right now. They've won
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: six games in a row. But you got to keep
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: in mind, man, they swept Washington and Colorado. So I mean,
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: I think we have to dial it back a little
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: bit on the Red Sox. I mean, on the one hand, yes,
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: I think the Red Sox are better than you think
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: they are.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: They're better than the record looks.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: Red Red Sox offense has actually been quite good as
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: they picked it back up recently with all these young
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: studs they have in their lineup now, and the Red
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: Sox lost a lot of one run games early in
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: the season. So the Red Sox are probably a little
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: bit better than they look record wise, but I don't
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: think they're as good as this latest run that they've
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: been on because I mean they're beating up on bad teams.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Man, I mean, Colorado was just historically bad.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: Although the Red Sox did what they were supposed to do,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: they did not even have close games. They blew out
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: Colorado in all three of those games, scoring twenty nine
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: runs in the series. So it does mean the Red
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Sox offense is in good form now. Now they have
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: a bigger series, yet, they gotta face Tampa Bay a
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: divisional series here. Tampa is traveling in from Detroit. Tampa
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: did have to kind of use more of their bullpen
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: in that series. The Red Sox had an easy series,
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: so Red Sox bullpen probably has a little bit of
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: a rest edge here. I probably think Tampa Bay's bullpen
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: is the better of the two, but Tampa Bay has
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: used a lot of their relievers recently, including yesterday, so
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox bullpen might actually have a slight edge
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: just because of the rest scenario. The starting pictures, though,
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: I don't like either of these pictures. Taj Bradley for
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: the Rays not doing too well. Four point seven to
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: ninety RA, one point three whip. Those are not good numbers.
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: He's been better on the road though, away from Steinbrenner Field,
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: which is a very home run friendly park. He's allowed
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: eight of the twelve home runs he's allowed this year
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: at home, so he has been better on the road
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: four point zero four ERA.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: On the road not as bad. He's kind of been.
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: He's been like really good in some starts and really
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: bad in some starts, so he's kind of difficult to
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: figure out man just overall, he isn't really pitching that
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: well though. He had a five point seven to two
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: ERA in June twenty five to eleven strike a walk
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: ratio way too many walks. So the last time out,
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: gave up three runs, five strikeouts, one walk against the Twins.
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: Not a terrible start there, although the Twins are not
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: a very formidable offense. He's now facing the Red Sox,
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: who are a pretty good offense at home, and they
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: are hot right now. Red Sox have done okay against
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: Bradley in the past forty six at bats, two sixty
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: one averages in that bat but a seven eighty four ohps,
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: so he has allowed some hard hits to the Red Sox.
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: Fourteen to three strike a walk ratio is not that bad.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: It's a lot of strikeouts. Bradley does have some strike
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: up potential in there, but still overall he doesn't really
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: do that well against the Red Sox. Walker Bueller is
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Red Sox, though, and I just I
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: don't know if we're ever gonna see a resurgence from
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: this guy.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: As I always point out, he just has never returned
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: to form after his injury issues. He's never been what
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: he once was. Man, I didn't think the Red Sox
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: should have picked him up over the over the off
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: season or whatever. There some of the other Red Sox additions,
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: like a Geolito though they actually I thought they picked
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: him up over the off season Giulito, but they actually
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: had him last year because I'm watching the Clubhouse documentaryund
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: Netflix and he was actually there. I think Giolito was
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: just hurt like all year last year, which is why
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: he wasn't really in games last year. But Gilllito is
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: actually starting to pitch pretty well. Bao is actually surprisingly
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: starting to pitch fairly well for the Red Sox. So
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: some of these starring pitchers are actually doing doing pretty
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: well for the Red Sox. Now Walker Bueller is not
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: one of them, though. He just can't get it together.
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: He has a six point two five ERA one point
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: five eight whip, just horrendous numbers on the season, though
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: he actually has been way better at home with a
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: three point nine to three home ERA. He's a lot,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: a ton of home runs seventeen home runs on the season,
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: of the only six of them at home, right, so,
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Fifteen home runs. They can't do math anymore.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: Fifteen home runs, only six of them at home, though,
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: so he's actually been significantly better at home three point
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: nine to three e R at home last time out.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: He was decent at Washington to give up two earned runs.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: Still give up eight hits though, so still some issues
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: there with being too hit a ball and the prior
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: three games he got torched. Dude, I mean four of
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: the prior of the prior five games, the Red Sox
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: lost all four. Uh, he didn't even make it past
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: four innings in any of them, and he gave up
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: at least five or four in runs in all four
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: of them, and five or more than three of the
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: four so he was getting absolutely torched in most of
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: those games. So just because he did well against a
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: weak Washington lineup that he actually matched up well against historically,
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure we're going to see a good performance
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: out of Buller, although at least he is better at home,
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: but up against Tampa Bay in his career he has
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: actually been good and forty three at bats eleven to two,
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio two o nine average, a lot
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: six thirty three ohps. So I mean maybe we prefer
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: Bueller over Bradley slightly. And I think Boston maybe has
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an offensive edge and a slight
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. So overall, I think the Red Sox have
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: a slight edge here, not much. They're up for minus
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: one to five to minus one eleven. Money is coming
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: in on the Red Sox sixty three percent tickets, seventy
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on them. I wouldn't really
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: want to deal with it, though, I mean, I don't
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: think you could trust Bueler. I think an over might
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: make more sense in this game. Another over. Yeah, total
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: is out there at nine again a high total, eighty
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: three percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, the over is definitely.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: Gonna be public with both of these teams putting up
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: some high run totals recently. But with this game, I'm
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: not sure that the over is wrong. I think you
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: could see some runs in that game, so that's probably
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: the lean in that game more than anything else.
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up man?
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: Uh? Pulling for my Red Sox, Thank you, sir. With
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: the Royals being off today, Royles actually won yesterday right
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: with Boobitch on the mound. I was worried about him because, yeah,
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: they won barely four to three. I was worried about
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: him a little bit just because I think it might
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: be his first All Star appearance, So there's that like
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: distraction spot. But I think he did pretty well yesterday,
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: but he was facing a very bad Pittsburgh offense. We
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: have the other game where we're starting a new series.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is at the White Sox. Cleveland could be in
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot here, man. I Cleveland is coming off
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: sweeping Houston on the road. Just crazy that they were
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: able to pull that off. I mean I thought Cleveland
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: was in a good spot in the first game because
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: Houston was coming off a huge sweep of the Dodgers
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: and returning home from a road trip. So that was
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for Houston in that first game. But
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty surprised that Cleveland won all three games in
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: the series.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: They actually scored twenty.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: One runs in the three game series, and this is
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: a Cleveland offense that's been very bad, so I'm actually
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: really surprised by that. But now they're going from Houston
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: to the White Sox, stepping way down in class to
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: face the last place White Sox, to me, seems like
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: it is a letdown spot for Cleveland. That would be
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: my opinion here. I still want the Cleveland's very good.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: Their offense isn't good. I don't trust their bullpen on though.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: They didn't use a lot of their bullpen at all yesterday,
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: so their bullpen is rested in this game at least,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: and it still might be better than the White Sox bullpen,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: which is a very bad bullpen. White Sox are not
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: traveling and they're actually coming off ending a lost street
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: because they actually avoided the sweep and beat.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Toronto yesterday in that game.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: I gave out the under in that game yesterday, which
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: was a winner.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: So White Sox are at least staying at home.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: So the White Sox to have some situational edges in
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: this game, and they are a home underdog here, so
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: it might be worth considering maybe looking towards the White
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: Sox here. Logan Allen is pitching for Cleveland. He's not great.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Four point h seventy r a one point four to
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: three whip. I mean, those are not good numbers.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: That whip is bad.
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: He's a little bit worse on the road four point
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: two to three roadyra. But he's putting close to one
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: and a half guys on basin inning men. I mean
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: that is a problem. Five of his last six starts,
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: he's allowed exactly two walks in all of them, so
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: that's not a good side of though he's limited the
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: damage run wise. Even though Cleveland has lost four of
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: his last six starts, he's actually allowed no more than
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: four and runs than any of them, so he's not
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: allowing that much runs really, He's just he's consistently mediocre. Basically,
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: he's not getting totally torched in any of these starts,
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: but he's not dominating in any of them, so he's okay.
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: But he has allowed six home runs over that span. Two,
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: which is kind of a problem. He's allowing some hard hits,
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: so that's not good. He's going deep enough into most
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: of these games, going at least five and a third
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: in all six of them, so that's not that bad.
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: So he is okay, and he is facing a weak
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: White Sox lineup here. But the White Sox have actually
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: hit him well in forty six career of bats three
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: twenty six average eight to twenty four ops, and that's
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: with no home runs for the White Sox, so some
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: of their hitters have hit him well, even though they're
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: basically doing all the damage with doubles. Eleven to three
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio, so pretty high strikeout rate. But
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: overall he has not done that well against the White Sox,
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: so Alan is pretty fadable in this game. The problem
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: is if you like the White Sox, he got to
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: deal with Johnathan Cannon, who also is not doing well
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: point five ERA one point four to six whip. I
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: mean that's not good. He is better at home three
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: point three to eight home e RA way fewer starts
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: at home, though, but definitely better at home Cannon recently.
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: I mean he's not going deep into games, man, I
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: mean he had a couple of starts in June. He
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: had He was out of the majors for a lot
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: of June, so I don't know if he was hurt
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: or maybe they send him down to the minors. He
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: only pitched three innings in each of his starts in June,
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: but they were kind of maybe keeping him on a
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: little bit of a pitch count. He did have a
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: five and a third inning appearance last time out at
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: Course Field and did okay, only a long tour in runs,
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: but he only had one strikeout two walks. So Cannon
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: has a very inappropriate name for what he really is
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: because he does not have a canon.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: He does not strike guys out.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: He's more of kind of a command pitcher, but he
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: gives up some hard hits. He gives up too many
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: hits sometimes. He's not that great with his control. He's
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: just he's very mediocre man. So I don't know what
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: we're gonna get out of Cannon here. I don't really
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: trust Cannon, so I wouldn't really want to have money
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: banking on him.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: His numbers aren't great against Cleveland either.
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: In thirty six at bats, two seventy eight average eight
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: point fifty ops that's not very good either. Ten to
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: four strike a walk ratio is a decent amount of strikeouts,
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: but that's still not a really good ratio either, So
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: I don't trust either its target or so to me,
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: this almost looks like an over to me as well,
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: because I don't really trust either bullpend very much either.
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: Even though the bullpens are somewhat rested here, we have
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: a total sitting an eight and a half. It looks
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: like it's moved up slightly, so the juice on the
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: under isn't there anymore. Seventy two percent of tickets and
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: cash both on the over slightly into the over, and
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: I still slightly lean to the White Sox just because
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: I think the spot is just bad for Cleveland. I
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: think it is a letdown spot off of that big sweep.
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: Eighty four percent of tickets, only sixty nine percent of
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: the cash on Cleveland, and they are a road favorite,
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: so it may make sense to take the shot with
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: the White Sox if you want to go first, five
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: innings or full game. I think it doesn't even really
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: map because like it's like the starter and the bullpend
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: both aren't really good, so it's like which which one
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: of those is gonna be the bigger problem. How can
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: you even predict? Who knows Cleveland's down? For mine is
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: one thirty one twenty eight though, So the it looks
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: like the professional money is indeed fading Cleveland here and
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: grabbing the White Sox potentially worth a look, I mean,
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: I do lean that way, because I mean, you're at
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: least getting a decent price as a home underdog there,
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland maybe doesn't deserve to be a favorite like
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: that on the road off in this type of spot.
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: So that's what I think about that game. Will what's up?
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: The Mariners, Yeah, they're not playing well, but I hope
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: they win today, man, just because I don't like the
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: Yankees stacks?
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: What's up? That's right?
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: Toad with a bang? Or in the intro? There, what's up? Everybody?
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: All right? What else? We got here?
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: And we have Washington at Saint Louis finishing up this series.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Teams have split the first two games, with Saint.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: Louis winning yesterday eight to two, I believe or no
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: Washington excuse in winning eight to two yesterday. Gore actually
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: did have a good start yesterday and outpitch Polante a
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: little bit. More bullpen usage from the Nats, though, so
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: I think the bullpen advantage is on the side of
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis today. Saint louis not a good bullpen, but
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: better than Washington's. Washington's bullpen is bad. As far as
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching, I don't love either starting pitcher or
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: Michael sarak Or for Washington five point four r A
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: not good. He does have a good whip one point
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: one four. He's not putting that many guys on base,
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: but I still don't trust him. He's been pretty much
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: the same home in away doesn't really matter. He's coming
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: off a really bad start against the Red Sox along
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: seven or in runs, only going four in He's nine hits,
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: allowed two walks, put a lot of guys on base
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: in that game. Did have six strikeouts, which is pretty good,
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: but so raka. I mean, the thing you're gonna get
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: with him is he strikes out a lot of guys,
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is a little bit too high, and
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: he gives up a lot of hard contact. It looks
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: like he's giving.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Up a lot of home runs.
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: Man ten home runs and only sixty three and a
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: third innings, so he's not even giving up that many hits.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: He's just giving up a lot of home runs, which
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: maybe mean he's not as bad as his ERA looks,
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: because his strike out walk rate is certainly pretty good.
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: He did have a thirty nine thirty six to nine
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio in June a three point four
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: to nine ERA, so that wasn't that bad. Although his
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: team has not been behind him. His bullpend sucks, his
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: hitting sucks, so team effort man, the team has not
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: helped him out at all. He's been okay, I mean,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: and all the starts in juniing in a lot more
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: than four and runs in any of them. Did get
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: torched though against the Red Sox last time, so I
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: don't know if he's exactly in the greatest form.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: That could be a little bit of a blip.
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: Though his numbers against Saint Louis, there aren't a whole
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: lot of numbers to look at here. They only have
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: eight at bats against him. Gorman does have a home
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: run off him has a four to zero strike out
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, so again, a high strike out rate. There's
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: a lot of two fifty average to them in eight
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: seventy five ops. It's a high OPS because of that
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: home run. But it's not a lot of not a
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: lot of at bats to look at there though, So
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: maybe so Raka will actually do okay here. So maybe
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: Soroka is the better of the two starters yere because
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: he's up against Miles Miko. So you want to talk
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: about allowing a lot of home runs, Yeah, this guy
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: fits the bill for that five point two six ERA
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: one point three four whip.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: He's not doing well this season.
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit better at home with a
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: four point eight two ERA, but he is getting trashed recently.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: He gave up six home runs in June, and over
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: his last two starts alone, he's allowed eight home runs
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: in ten innings.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: That is insane.
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: He got absolutely destroyed by the Cubs last time out.
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: I think it was one of those wrig League games
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: where the wind was blown out and he allowed six
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: home runs, which, yeah, it's a little bit of an outlier,
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: but man, this guy does allow a lot of home runs.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: Fifteen on the season. Not great.
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: He's not a high strikeout guy. He just doesn't do
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: that well overall. Man, He's allowed fourteen runs over that
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: span in the last two starts, last ten innings, seventeen
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: hits allowed nine to one strego walker ratio not that bad.
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: But other than that, he's just getting drilled recently. Man
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: and his team has lost four of his last five
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: starts as well, so I don't think you could trust
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: him either. His numbers are mediocre against Washington and eighty
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: nine at bats nineteen to six strego walk ratio not bad,
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: but two point fifty three average seven eighty four ops
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: a high ops if you want player props. Josh Bell
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: is ten for thirty four, with two of them runs
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: and five walks off him, so Bell hits him quite well.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: Miko Last doesn't look like he's trustworthy either. Don't love
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: either bullpen either. Not in love with either starter here,
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: so this looks like another over to me.
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: The total is sitting at eight and a half.
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: It looks like it's headed up towards nine though, And
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: you know I always point out nine is a key
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: number in baseball, Man, because you have to break a
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: four to four tie up, so you need that ninth run.
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: Min Leam would be over in this game. Eighty six
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: percent tickets, ninety seven percent of cash on the over.
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: It's a reasonable price on it to a reasonable total
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: at eight and a half. So I think you could
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: go over that, especially if you can get yeah, over
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: eight and a half instead of over nine there, and
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: you don't have to even go over the key number there.
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: Uh fuck the Yankees, Yeah, that is true. Yankee suck
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: Stroman likes to stroke men.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: He might.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man that whatever that thing is, I
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: called it a do rag. I don't know what that is, man,
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: He has something like under his hat. I can't tell
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: if it's like a do rag or might you just
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: be something that like if he wears glasses. It might
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: just be something that keeps his glasses on. But I
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: don't even think he does wear glasses. I don't know
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: whatever it is. It looks really really weird and stupid.
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know what you're referring to, Will, but all right,
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: good god, yes, number three.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't know what we're talking about.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: Anyway, over looks like maybe worth a looking Washington Saint Louis,
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: Atlanta finishing their.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Series at the A's.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: They've split the first two games of this yeraries with
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: blowout wins in opposite directions, with the A's winning to
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: end to one in Game one and the A's losing
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: nine to two yesterday, actually shocking. Bryce Elder pitched really
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: well yesterday, which is not something you ever really expect.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: He's not good on not a lot of bullpen you
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: suggesterday in the game for either team, but the A's
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: bullpen is certainly very bad. The A's have the worst
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: of the two bullpens. Strider, I think is the way
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: more talented of the two pitchers on the mound today.
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Three point nine three ERA one point one to six
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: whip bouncing back from injury, pitching pretty well for Atlanta here,
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: but he has been worse on the road four point
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: six' eight E r on the, road and he's in
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: a very hitter friendly park, here so maybe you won't
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: do as well. Here but going all the way back
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: to a start Of june, eight he's lowed three or
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs in every start he's gonne at least
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: five innings in every one of those, starts pitching. Well
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: had a forty two to fourteen strike a walk ratio
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: and three point six E ra in the entire month Of,
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: june which is too many, walks but a very high
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: strike out rate as, Well so he's a little bit,
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: wild but he's striking out a.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: Lot of guys and he's not allowing a lot of,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: hits so that's.
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: Good last time out Against, baltimore he did allow two home,
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: runs which wasn't. Great still limited them to three or
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: in runs six to one strike a walk, ratio but
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: his team lost the game because they basically couldn't score
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: up against The. A's they have almost no history against.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: Him they only have six at bats against, them but
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: they have a five hundred average in one thousand and
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: six to sixty seven ops.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: Entirely Because wins is three for four.
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: With a double home run in four RBIs off, him
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: So wins specifically has hit him really. Well but other than,
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: That strider is very unknown to The a's. Offense so
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: a young talented pitcher Like stryder could be hard for
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: The a's to figure out man early. On So strider
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: may indeed have an okay.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: Here he's going up AGAINST Jp, sears who is not
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: doing that great four point seven to SIXTY ira one
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: point two seven.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Whip he's even worse at.
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: Home he's allot a lot of home runs in the
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: stadium and he's really struggling to adjust to this triple
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: a stadium The a's are playing in right, now five
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: point six THREE era at. Home twelve of the eighteen
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: home runs he's allowed to have been at. Home, man
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: he's allowing a lot of home runs at. HOME i,
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: mean that's not. GOOD i, mean that's been the reason
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: why he's been getting wrecked like, this although.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: He's in decent form right.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: Now over his last three, starts he has an alumn
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: with the three on runs and any, starts and he's
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: allowed exactly three on runs over that entire.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Span two straight shutout.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: Performances and he's gone at least five innings in all
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: three of, those and one was against The, yankees his former.
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: Team so he's actually in decent form recently at, least
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: although his walk numbers have not been that. Good seven
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: walks over that span as, well compared to whatever that
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: is fifteen, strikeouts so it is too many walks for
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: seers over that. Span last time, out it was against
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: a pretty Bad San francisco. Offense but he is still
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: pitching a little bit better. Recently he's a serviceable pitcher
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: a lot of the. Time he does have good numbers
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: against The braves forty three at bats against some two
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: pho nine average five oh nine, ops so The braves
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: have not hit him well in the. Past six to
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: four strikeout walker ratio is not, good but the rest
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: of his numbers are, good so to, ME i don't
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: want to deal with the bullpens at all in this,
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: game BUT i could see this game being an under
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: early in the. Game the total is very. High of,
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: course it's at this as. Stadium it's at. Ten it's
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: gone up to ten with. JUICE i don't know IF
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: i would totally agree with that, one. THOUGH i think
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: the starting pitchers could do okay in this. Game it
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: looks like they might match. Up, okay sixty tickets only
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on the, under so it
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: looks like the public coming in taking an, under even
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: though both games have been pretty high scoring in the
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: series so, far and public's gotta know The a's play
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: all these high scoring games at, home SO i don't
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: know what.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: The deal is with, that but.
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: Whatever the case, Is, yeah for some, reason it looks
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: like the public ticket percentages on the. Under BUT i
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: would go under first five innings IF i was gonna
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: look at this. Game maybe you could get like an
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: under five in the first five innings or something like
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: that might be the best lean. There texas At anaheim
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: teams have split the first two. Games we've seen a
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: lot of runs in this Year's oh no excuse. Me
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: we had three games so far in this years And
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: anaheim's won two of.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Them my. Mistake every game has gone over the total so.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: FAR a lot of runs being scored in this series so,
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: Far but part of it is That anaheims wulpen is.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: Terrible So Animes.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: Willpin not only are they, bad but they used a
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: ton of their bulbend. Yesterday seven pitchers came out of
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: the bullpen yesterday and they had to use some of
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: their better relievers to save the game. Yesterday So Anaheims
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: wilpin is in worse. Shape even Though texas had to
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: use some of their better relievers as, well neither started.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Dwell in the game at.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: All texas's bullpen is the better bullpend, though and probably
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: in better shape. Here just Because Anaheims wulpen got absolutely torched,
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: YESTERDAY i don't know if we could trust either starter.
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: Here Patrick korbman pitching for The rangers four point one
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: to EIGHTY ra one point two to Nine Whip it's
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: a pretty bad. Whip and you, KNOW i keep talking
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: about how bad he's been in recent, seasons though he's
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: been okay this, year but he's starting to pitch. Worse
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: he's been worse on the. Road four point four to,
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: seven Roady. Ira he's been very mediocre over the last several,
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: starts giving. UP i, mean he's still he's basically Like Logan. Allen,
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: recently he's been consistently, mediocre allowing between two and five
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: runs in every single. Start Although texas has lost four
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: of his last, six he's not exactly pitching great anymore
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: at this. Point he's allowing a lot of, hits more
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: hits than. Innings pitch twenty four to, six strike a
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: walk race year In june wasn't that. Bad and he
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: is coming off a six, inning two run performance with
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: three strikeouts one walk Against San. Diego but he doesn't
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: strike out a lot of. Guys, Man he's not walking
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: that many. Guys the thing about him is he allows
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: hard contact and allows too many, hits and that seems
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: like it's kind of creeping up on him. Again his
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: numbers against The angels are actually. Okay in ninety six
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: at bats twenty to eight strike a walk. Ratio too
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: many walks but two sixty average six point fifty one oh.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: Ps So coorbman has done pretty well Against anaheim in his,
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: career and he's going up Against Jack, kohanawitz SO i.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: Think it's the less trustworthy of the.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: Two. MAN i, mean he's been worse Than KORbin this.
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: Year man five point four TWO, era one point five
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: to FIVE. Whip that's. Bad he's been pretty much the
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: same home and. Away it doesn't really. Matter not pitching
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: that well recently, either not going deep into games though
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: He's he's also a lined between two and four runs
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: in every, start but he's not going deep into these.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: Starts twenty one to eleven strike out walk raceio and
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: six point three to ONE era in the month Of
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: june wasn't good because even though he wasn't allowing that
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: many runs, overall he just wasn't going deep into like
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: any of these.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: Games he's not a big strikeout.
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: Pitcher he allows too many Walks mediocres start last time
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: out five and to thirty and he's allowing three on
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: runs Against toronto one to choose strike out walk racio really. Bad,
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: again doesn't get strikeouts walks too many. Guys texas hits
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: him okay in the past forty at bats.
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: One to cho strike a walk.
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: Ratio both home runs he's allowed to have Been garcia
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: to seventy five average allowed seven to.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Fifty one oh.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Bs so in this, game given THAT i don't really
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: love either starter or, here don't like the bullpen, situation
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: both bullpens are. Unrested anheim's bullpens, sucks SO i think
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: this is another over so many over leans, Today man
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: totals flip from nine a half juice to the under
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: the nine a half juice to the over seventy tickets
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the cash coming in on the over.
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Here this was like an over game to me as.
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: Well, Man and it looks like the money's coming in
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: On anaheim for some, reason even THOUGH i don't see
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: how you can Trust. Cohana it's Over korab and the
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: line is flipped On anaheim from plus one of four
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: to minus one twelve and they have eighty percent of
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: the cash on them despite sixty five percent of tickets
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: being On Texas public lik In. Texas THAT i don't
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: understand BECAUSE i Think anaheim is still their run differential is.
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: Terrible there's still worse than their record, Looks SO i
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: do not understand that at. ALL i do not agree
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: with the market read in that, one BUT i think
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: the better way to look at that game is an Over,
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: andrew what's up? Man just in time for me to
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: talk about Your angels team. There, yes good morning to.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Everybody so those are my thoughts on that, game and
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: then we'll finish this off with The Arizona San, diego
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: which is one of the better series that's going on right.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: Now San diego.
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: Has lost two of the three, games So arizona's taking
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: two of the first three of the, series including yesterday
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: eight to, two which was the biggest margin of victory
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: in the series of Our Dylan cees normally has been
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: good at home this year at, least but he did
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: not have a good performance. Yesterday cease has been way
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: worse this year than last. Year man, Crazy he ceased
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: to be good and fought actually put together a really
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: nice performance. Yesterday so we have a situation now Where
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: San diego still is in a situation where their bullpend
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: is fairly. Unrested although they didn't use their best relievers
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: yesterday because they basically use all of them the day before.
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: That so both bullpens are fairly rested at least after.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: Yesterday But arizona's bullpen is the worst of the two by.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: Far SO i Think arizona does have a bullpend disadvantage
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: in this, game BUT i actually think they have a
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: starting pitching. Advantage AND i Think, arizona of course has
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: an offensive. ADVANTAGE i, mean they have one of the
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: best offenses in, baseball BUT i think they have the
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: better starting, pitcher which is kind of sneaky because if
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: you look at these pitchers, theras you would think the.
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: Opposite BUT i think the eras are very. Misleading Eduardo
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: rodriguez is pitching For. Arizona five point seven EIGHTY ra
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: one point six to two. Whip, yeah that is a,
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: horrible horrible number. There both those numbers are. Bad he's
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: been a little bit better on the. Road five point
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: twenty six roady ra pitching in a pitcher friendly park.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: Game and, YES i, know he got absolutely hammered last
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: time out Against Kansas. City, Somehow Kansas city had twelve
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: hits and eight runs off in three homers and four
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: to third. Innings yet he's still had a seven zero
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio on that. Start absolutely crazy that he
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: was striking out that many guys but allowing that much hard.
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: Contact probably he was throwing a lot of hard fastballs
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: in that, game which is what he. Does but you
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: don't see a line like that that. Often but prior
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: to that, start he actually was really good In june
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: at one point nine eighty R ra In june twenty
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: eight to nine strike a walk. Ratio so again he
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: was a little bit, wild which is kind of his.
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Issue his issue usually is not that he gets hit that.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: Hard his issue is usually that he gives up too many.
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: WALKS i, mean he has a lot a lot of
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: home runs this year, too a lot of it because
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: of that most recent start, though Man so usually his
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: issue is more of the wildness than anything. Else but
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: he's been pitching decently. OTHERWISE i think he might do well.
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: Here San diego has seventy eight at bats against, him
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: but they only have a two toh five average against
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: him lifetime and six oh four, ohps so E rod
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: does match up pretty well Against San. Diego eighteen to
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: seven strike a walk ratio is not that, good But
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: machado has five of those walks and overall only six
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: for thirty nine off, Him So machado hasn't even hit
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: him that. Well SO i Think rodriguez does match up
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: pretty well Against San. Diego and he is the way
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: better pitcher Than Randy vazquez Man. Edwada, rodriguez he is a,
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: way way better strike up. Pitcher he's just a better
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: pitcher with better stuff Than. Vazquez you look at the
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: eras you would think, otherwise But, VAZQUEZ i just don't
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: trust him at. ALL i know his era looks good
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: three point seven to. Nine his whip is one point three,
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: six which is not. Good puts too many guys on.
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: Base he's been better at home, though three point one
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: to two home era. Fine coming up a decent start
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: at home Against. Texas they're a weak. Lineup give up
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: two runs at six, innings only three, hits but he
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: walked three guys and only struck out.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: One so again that's not a good.
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Ratio his strike out walk ratio is is just. Terrible
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: man on the entire, season only his forty nine, strikeouts
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: he's not a strikeout. Guy forty two, WALKS i, mean
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: that's still too high a walk. Rate. Man he doesn't
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: allow that many, hits but, man he walks too many.
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: Guys month Of june four point three FOUR, era which is,
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: okay but sixteen to twelve streke a walk regime still not.
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: Good failed to go five innings in four of the
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: six starts over that, span so the fact that he
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: allowed four or fewer in runs in every start matters
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit less when you're not going that deep into.
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: GAMES i don't trust Vascaz, man although his numbers are
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: good Against arizona forty four at bats to twenty seven,
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: average six sixty three ops allowed nine to three strike
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: a walk, ratio so his numbers actually are decent against
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: arizonahich is WHY i can't get there with this one.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: Either.
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: MAN i slightly lean To, arizona, though and that's where
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: the money is coming, in just BECAUSE i do Think
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: arizona has the better starting pitcher and the better. Hitting
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is not, better, though SO i think Maybe
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: arizona in the first five innings might be a better
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: way to look at, this because you have the benefit
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: of just the starting pitching matchup and the. Hitting if
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: you do, that and then you can Avoid arizona's terrible
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: bullpen on the full, Game arizona's up for minus one
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: to nine to minus one to. Sixteen money is coming
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: in On, arizona and they're road favorite for a reason, here, Man,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: like people are gonna look at this and maybe, wonder
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: why Is San diego a home underdog here When San
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: diego's fairly good at home and they have the better. Record,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: well oddsmakers are telling you something with that, number, man
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: and the professional money seems to, think, oh there's something
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: going on with, that and professional money. Agrees now sixty
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash now In, arizona sixty nine
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets though On San. Diego but, AGAIN
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: i Like arizona in this, game BUT i think first
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: five innings makes more sense BECAUSE i, mean you're still
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: fading public, sentiment which is, good but you're Leaving arizona's,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: bullpen which is terrible out of the.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: EQUATION i think that's gonna do it for.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: Me. Man i've not been to A Red sox game this.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: YEAR i usually go to at least one or two every,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: year BUT i have not been to one this year so.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: Far MAYBE i will on. It the last TIME i
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: went was late last. SEASON i went to a game
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: against The Blue, jays which of course The Red sox.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: Lost it is a fun, time. Though no sandwich today
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: when you mean baseball doesn't really have, sandwiches if you're
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: talking about the sandwich, spots the sandwich, spots they don't
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: happen in baseball due because the sandwich basically means you're
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: coming off a big game and you have another big
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: game up. Next we might find them A, Wnba but
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: baseball doesn't have sandwiches because baseball.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: Is a sport where you play.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: Series so you're really more looking at like letdowns coming
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: into a new series potentially or something like, that or
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: look aheads looking ahead to a bigger. Series i'm gonna
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: be On jose's show again. Tonight we're doing More hopa.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: Readings we're finishing that book. Off we have maybe five
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: more episodes or so, Left So i'm gonna be on
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: his show. TONIGHT i think it's gonna Be patreon only at,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: first and then it will be public like within the
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: next within the next few, days probably catching what's, up,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: MAN i don't understand what that. Means you want to,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: bet like you wanna take you want to play in
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: the stock market against THE.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: Wnba there's no way you should do.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: That THE wnba is more popular now than it's ever,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: been and it's because Of Caitlyn, clark which THE wnba.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: Hates Caitlin clark for whatever, reason they all hate. Her
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: they didn't make her the cover athlete ON wnba TWO
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: k twenty six or. Whatever it's Stupid Angel, reese who's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: one of the ugliest players and plays really ugly and
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: is not even that good of a, player so it's
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: ridiculous that she got the cover athlete.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: Again there's all This Kaitlyn clark. Hate it might be race.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: RELATED i don't know that's gonna do it for, me.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: MAN i haven't given it on any plays. TODAY i
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: apologize for, that BUT i just don't love this board.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Today so it's a rare pass for.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: Me. Today you'll rarely find me.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: Passing but WHEN i do do, it it's usually a
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: day like this during the lull during baseball, season when
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: it's A monday or A thursday with a little bit
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: of a shorter. Card clark is THE wnba and she
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: just came back. Yesterday but her team's gonna have to
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: pick it. Up. Man they're gonna try to make the
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: playoffs because they've been playing pretty, poorly so some of
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: it because she's been. Hurt they need to get that
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: rhythm back and get that chemistry. Going, man with their
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: full line up. THERE i Like Sophie cunningham though she's
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: On indiana as. Well she's pretty. Hot that's gonna do it.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: Again learn To tone On, Twitter better Off. Dead you
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: can find me, everywhere, Man we're on, YouTube we're on
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: the audio. Platforms, please you, know like, subscribe, comment. Listen you,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: know it helps helps me out in a whole bunch
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: of different. WAYS i am On instagram as, well BUT
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: i will not be posting anything there today BECAUSE i
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: don't have any anything to talk about, really BECAUSE i
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: haven't given out any plays today.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: Covering in.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: You because my YouTube yuk, channel which we're gonna have
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: some things going on, THERE i am posting EVERYTHING i
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: post To twitter on that channel. Now BUT i am
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: going to be doing A patreon, soon which is gonna
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: be at learn To toad And i'm gonna have Like
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: yuke stuff For patreon, only and maybe i'll do Extra
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Better Off Dead patreon streams as well or something like.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: That The yuke STUFF i Think i'm gonna.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: Offer yuke requests to get prioritized at the highest level
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i just get too many. Requests, MAN i just
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: can't do all of them so and some of THEM
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: i just can't do. Anyway but we'll see how that,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: goes and THEN i will HAVE i Believe i'm gonna
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: do A spotify feed that's gonna be like a, podcast
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: but it'll be all The yuke stuff THAT i have
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: up BECAUSE i don't THINK i can get On spotify
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: as like an artist for. It So i'm considering doing.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: That haven't gotten any feedback on that. Whatsoever when they're
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: at you guys might want something like, That so let me.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Know BECAUSE i do want to get A patreon. GOING
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: i want to get some, money, man uh as you,
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: know as it's been, GOING i MAYBE i should just professionally,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: Bet but now that's gonna be untenable as well because
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: of the big beauty For. Bill so isn't that great
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: being blackballed, from you, know the corporate. Industry SO i
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: can't really get a software a job right, now And
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: i'm not being able to professionally bet.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Either. Now isn't that just an awesome situation for? Me peace? Out,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: everybody let's have a Good, thursday and that's gonna do.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: It