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Episode 254 - 4/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 254 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week rolls on almost
• 0:41
  over almost a big Friday coming up and then of course, a big
• 0:44
  weekend ahead. And we're going to get right
• 0:46
  back to it with Major League Baseball today, guys.
• 0:49
  And I tell you what, last night about as bad as it gets, man, I
• 0:53
  don't remember what's a golden sombrero O for four, what's O
• 0:56
  for five, Something even worse. But that's what happened last
• 0:59
  night, guys just could not catch a break O and 5 -, 5 units.
• 1:03
  And really, that was a test case of just baseball being cruel.
• 1:06
  Again, looking at the games we played, I would still play quite
• 1:09
  a few of them. I mean, I'll give you a perfect
• 1:11
  example here with some of them. You look at the the Cubbies
• 1:14
  there early in the day, got the Cubs at around -165.
• 1:18
  They closed at around -175 some closing line value.
• 1:22
  They get rolled 6 to 2 by the Texas Rangers.
• 1:25
  The Athletics, I bet them -120 we talked about them on the pod
• 1:28
  -125 they closed at -135 -, 140 CLV.
• 1:34
  They lose 2 to one, can't do anything offensively.
• 1:37
  Hurts even more that we had the over and of course the the first
• 1:41
  losing over. Finally went under at Sacramento
• 1:43
  Ballpark, but couldn't get any bats going there for the A's.
• 1:46
  And then the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta Braves bet them at
• 1:49
  around -135 they closed around -145 -, 150.
• 1:54
  They took the lead there late on a Austin Riley home run and then
• 1:57
  immediately gave up a bomb to Bryce Harper and then Trey
• 2:00
  Turner and couldn't get anything going in terms of a comeback.
• 2:03
  So the Braves lose 4 to 3. So Cubs, A's and Braves all CLV,
• 2:08
  all losses. Again, closing line value.
• 2:10
  You're going to have, you know, long term debates on Twitter and
• 2:13
  some people say it's meaningless.
• 2:15
  I think the truth about CLV is that it doesn't guarantee a win,
• 2:18
  but it does tell you you're betting better numbers and
• 2:20
  beating the market and reading the market correctly.
• 2:23
  So long term, if you have two betters who one better, you
• 2:27
  know, is always getting beat by the market, you know, betting a
• 2:30
  -, 165 and the team closes -150 and then another better who's
• 2:35
  beating the the market getting COV betting -150 and it closes
• 2:38
  -165 you know, any day single, you know, in day one day in
• 2:43
  particular, you know, the better without the COV Michael 3 and O
• 2:47
  the better with the CLV Michael O and three.
• 2:49
  But we're always playing the long game guys.
• 2:51
  If you can consistently get better numbers than what they
• 2:53
  close at long term, that better is going to be much more
• 2:56
  successful than I would argue the lucky betters here who
• 2:59
  again, just, you know, didn't have these sharp plays come
• 3:02
  through, which is always frustrating.
• 3:04
  So the other one that was frustrating to me was the Red
• 3:06
  Sox. They lose 2 to one another game
• 3:09
  there where a little bit of CLV, you know, Red Sox around -125
• 3:12
  closed around -130 but the Red Sox couldn't do anything in
• 3:16
  extra innings. They had a guy on 3rd with one
• 3:18
  out. Trevor Story strikes out.
• 3:20
  So it's tough. You know, Braves, Red Sox, A's,
• 3:24
  all these were one run losses. And then again, CLV and these
• 3:27
  plays didn't come through. So I think that to me is why
• 3:30
  baseball can be frustrating. Like we've been off to a pretty
• 3:33
  good start and MLB and then at the back of your head you're
• 3:36
  always like, oh, you know, whiskey and a revolver.
• 3:38
  That's what people joke about, how baseball can be so
• 3:40
  frustrating. It's a long season, so we're not
• 3:42
  going to try to overreact. Obviously, O and 5 -, 5 units is
• 3:46
  pathetic, embarrassing, disgusting, terrible, awful.
• 3:50
  You know, we can, we can harp on it, we can cry all day.
• 3:53
  We can go, you know, smash a glass window and take out our
• 3:55
  aggression. But that's not going to change
• 3:57
  the outcome. So we're just going to stick to
• 3:59
  it, keep grinding, not get too low after a bad night like that,
• 4:03
  and see if we can bounce back and post a winning day for
• 4:05
  today. So that's my little, my little,
• 4:07
  you know, Doctor Melfi's couch, Tony Soprano with panic attacks
• 4:12
  when you know, we're not catching a break and having a
• 4:14
  bad night again, it's it's, it's easy to say it's harder to do,
• 4:18
  but we just got to keep grinding and not let a bad night faze us
• 4:21
  too much. But with that being said, the
• 4:23
  beauty of betting is that you can go O and five and have a
• 4:25
  terrible night, but you still can wake up.
• 4:27
  The sun shines and you have an opportunity to bet on more games
• 4:30
  and hopefully have a winning day and claw your way back.
• 4:33
  So that being said, 3 plays today in Major League Baseball,
• 4:36
  we do have a smaller than usual slate with only six games
• 4:39
  overall, but I did find 3 of the later games here all offering
• 4:43
  some value. So a three pack.
• 4:45
  I got one favorite and I got 2 totals for you.
• 4:47
  Couple totals here, Hopefully we can get at least one of them.
• 4:50
  Well, that being said, let's strap up, strap in so we can
• 4:53
  bounce back after a horrific night last night.
• 4:56
  So first one on the board that I want to talk about.
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  This is a 3:10 PM Eastern Time first pitch, the Milwaukee
• 5:02
  Brewers visiting the Colorado Rockies.
• 5:04
  So going into it, let's set the stage.
• 5:06
  Talk line movement and I'll give you my play for this one.
• 5:09
  Now the Brewers come in seven and five on the year.
• 5:11
  They've won the 1st 2 of this three-game series.
• 5:13
  They won the opener 7:00 to 1:00 as -165 Rd. favorites.
• 5:17
  They won again yesterday. Should have taken them, should
• 5:19
  have taken the over 17 to 2 as a -, 145 Rd. favorite.
• 5:24
  Almost a football score right there.
• 5:25
  You know, a couple scores and maybe it maybe a safety.
• 5:29
  But anyway, in this late afternoon series finale up in
• 5:31
  the Rockies, we have the Brewers starting Quinn Priester, who was
• 5:34
  making his 2025 debut. I'm aware of him because he was
• 5:37
  on the Red Sox and he just got traded to Milwaukee.
• 5:40
  Top prospect here. Hasn't really broken through in
• 5:43
  the majors yet, but the Brewers are down a lot of starting
• 5:46
  pitchers, so I think that's why they made that deal.
• 5:48
  Meanwhile, the Rockies 2 and 9, they're going to go with the
• 5:50
  fellow ready, Ryan Feltner, O&O 3.6 OERA.
• 5:53
  So what have you seen across the market here?
• 5:56
  Will this game open with Priester on the bump?
• 5:58
  Bit of an unknown here with Milwaukee, a very, very short
• 6:01
  favorite just around -110 across the board.
• 6:04
  And it's always notable to me when you have a guy making his
• 6:06
  debut, MLB debut, season debut, debut on a new team, you know,
• 6:11
  where's that initial move, especially when it's a very low
• 6:13
  number, You know, are the wise guys saying, hey, you know, we
• 6:16
  like this spot for this, this new guy because maybe he's going
• 6:19
  to surprise some people with the lack of familiarity with the
• 6:21
  opponents in the batter's box. Or, you know, do you want to
• 6:24
  fade this guy because maybe he's in a tough spot, maybe doesn't
• 6:27
  perform very well. Well, looks to me like sharps
• 6:30
  are saying let's ride Milwaukee and Quinn Priester in his debut
• 6:33
  because the Brewers after opening around -110 have now
• 6:36
  gotten steamed up to -120 -, 125, some shops even -130 so
• 6:41
  pretty clear steam move there in favor of Milwaukee.
• 6:45
  Now if you look at the bet split, Brewers only half the
• 6:48
  tickets at Circa, but nearly 2/3 of the money.
• 6:51
  So good low bets, higher dollars, bet split in their
• 6:53
  favor. We got a lot of system matches
• 6:55
  here on the Brew Crew. One system that I call kind of a
• 6:58
  value play is when you're a non division favorite -135 or less.
• 7:02
  Again, it kind of it's a short price here to lay, but this
• 7:05
  season it's 36 and 2955 percent, 1% ROI.
• 7:09
  Nothing crazy, but since 2019 this is a big sample size play.
• 7:13
  It's a grinder system, 1683 and 1339 with a 3% ROI.
• 7:20
  So it's been a pretty good system historically.
• 7:23
  Non division favorites with Steam $0.10 or more, 37 and 18
• 7:26
  this year, 67 percent, 13% ROI. We also have the road favorites
• 7:31
  with Steam who missed the playoffs the previous year.
• 7:33
  That's around 60% this season. So we got quite a few games or
• 7:37
  quite a few system matches that are lighting up here on
• 7:39
  Milwaukee. Now, the Brew Crew, I'm going to
• 7:41
  hope that their bats continue to to show up today at the Colorado
• 7:45
  big edge at the plate, they're hitting 246 on the air, 15
• 7:48
  homers, 66 runs scored. Colorado is only hitting 232
• 7:52
  with eight homers and 33 runs scored.
• 7:55
  I did notice and again, I didn't play it, but I got to admit it's
• 7:59
  always difficult to play an under at course field because,
• 8:02
  you know, the ball travels further because of the altitude.
• 8:04
  But it does look like sharps lean under 10 1/2 total open 10
• 8:08
  1/2. It's really juiced under -115 -,
• 8:11
  120. And you do have some shops that
• 8:12
  are down to 10 DraftKings only 38% bets, but nearly half the
• 8:16
  money is on the under. And we do have the wind blowing
• 8:18
  in a little bit. Mid 60s, five to 10 mile per
• 8:21
  hour winds blowing in from from right center.
• 8:24
  We add it all up here, guys. We got Milwaukee rolling first
• 8:27
  two games of the series. And even though we got a new guy
• 8:30
  on the bump for the Brew Crew, got a sharp line move here on
• 8:33
  Milwaukee with a lot of system matches.
• 8:34
  So I'm going to back Quinn Priester, shop around.
• 8:37
  I got Milwaukee at -125 now couple totals for you.
• 8:42
  Let's go to another afternoon game here today, 4:10 PM Eastern
• 8:45
  Time, first pitch, the Blue Jays against the Red Sox after the
• 8:49
  Sox let me down last night, couldn't do anything
• 8:52
  offensively, which is frustrating.
• 8:54
  Anyway, we have the Blue Jays coming in eight and five.
• 8:56
  Blue Jays have taken the first three games of this four-game
• 8:59
  set. They've won six to two, six to
• 9:01
  one and two to one. Red Sox 6:00 and 7:00, again, a
• 9:05
  good start to the year. And now they are are at risk of
• 9:08
  being swept at home against the Blue Jays.
• 9:10
  So in terms of the side, you know, not a ton of movement.
• 9:13
  You know, Red Sox open, you know -115 -, 120, they are down to
• 9:17
  like -110 at some shops. So it looks like a little bit of
• 9:20
  money is actually maybe leaning here toward Toronto.
• 9:23
  Just saying, hey, maybe Sox are scuffling and just keep playing
• 9:25
  the Jays because they're hot. But I'm going to bypass Toronto
• 9:28
  and I'm going to play the under here.
• 9:30
  I like this game to the under. Hopefully we can get a, you
• 9:33
  know, an under to hit, but first thing I notice is the pitching
• 9:36
  match up now. We got Chris Bassett going for
• 9:39
  the Blue Jays. He's one and O 0.71 ERA.
• 9:42
  He's been really good to start the season.
• 9:44
  Walker Buehler has not been great one and one 8.68 ERA, so
• 9:48
  he struggled. He's also facing Toronto, who
• 9:51
  he's never really faced before. So maybe that's an advantage to
• 9:53
  Bueller and hopefully the under. Now, one thing I noticed about
• 9:56
  the total is that it looks really sharp toward the under.
• 10:00
  It open at 9:00, which is a relatively high total.
• 10:03
  We have seen that nine get juiced up. 9 under -120 not only
• 10:08
  that, but it actually fell to 8 1/2 at a few shops earlier today
• 10:11
  and came right, right back up to 9.
• 10:13
  But off the opener, it's been nothing but sharp under money.
• 10:16
  I got under 9 -, 120 at Caesar's and the two other angles I like
• 10:21
  for this under 1 is the weather. I can tell you, you know, I'm
• 10:25
  on, you know, the outskirts of Boston here, but it's kind of
• 10:27
  cold. It's like 45° and the wind is
• 10:30
  blowing in from mostly right center at 10 mph.
• 10:35
  So it's cold, it's a bit raw, the wind's blowing in.
• 10:38
  Typically that is a windy under system match.
• 10:40
  Wind blows 10 mph or more. We see that under cash and MLB
• 10:43
  upwards of like 55% historically.
• 10:46
  But then also I was digging in to both these teams in
• 10:48
  particular when it comes to totals and both are pretty good
• 10:51
  under teams. Toronto, believe it or not, is
• 10:53
  10 and three to the under this year.
• 10:55
  It's actually the number one under team in baseball.
• 10:58
  The Red Sox are 8 four and one to the under that's the 4th best
• 11:01
  in baseball. So we have a total at 9 really
• 11:04
  juice to the under. It even touched 8 1/2 at some
• 11:06
  shops. It's cold and the wind's blowing
• 11:08
  in. And we have a series where the
• 11:10
  under is, I believe 3 and O this series.
• 11:13
  And we have two teams that are really good to the under overall
• 11:16
  this year. So you can make a case for
• 11:18
  Toronto. Maybe you want to make a case
• 11:20
  for the Red Sox avoiding the sweep.
• 11:21
  I'm going to bypass the side, see if we can get a lower
• 11:24
  scoring game. I'd like the Sox to win for my
• 11:26
  over 85 1/2 win total, but I'll take any game that stays below 9
• 11:30
  runs, so give me the under 9. Red Sox and Jays under 9 -, 120
• 11:36
  last night of the night. Philly, Atlanta.
• 11:38
  Of course, Atlanta put them on the list of CLV plays that came
• 11:42
  up short by a run yesterday. But anyway, we have the final
• 11:47
  game of the series in the pitching matchup.
• 11:50
  Let's start with that. We have Jesus Lizardo, the lefty
• 11:53
  going for Philly. He's 2 and O 1.5 O ERA this
• 11:56
  year. He's been great and Spencer
• 11:58
  Schwellenbach the ready going for Atlanta.
• 12:01
  He's also been great one and O 0.00 ERA.
• 12:05
  So what are we seeing across the market?
• 12:07
  Well, I mentioned I'm on the I'm on the under or I didn't know
• 12:10
  know if I mentioned that yet, but I am.
• 12:11
  But anyway, in terms of the side, just so you know, it has
• 12:13
  dipped a little bit toward the toward Philly.
• 12:16
  You know, you had the Braves open at some shops -125 -, 130
• 12:21
  you're downwards of about -120 I see a -, 119 out there.
• 12:24
  So has moved a little bit toward the the fills in this spot.
• 12:28
  But the under is jumping out to me now.
• 12:30
  It opened at 8 immediately got that down here to to 7 1/2.
• 12:35
  And not only has it fall and a half run, but it's not like one
• 12:38
  of those, you know, falls where you fall down and then you get
• 12:40
  juiced to the over. Like it may rise back up.
• 12:43
  No 8 down to 7 1/2, and now 7 1/2 is under -120 some shops
• 12:48
  even -125 so it's fallen and it's still showing liability on
• 12:52
  a lower scoring game. So tells me we've got a lot of
• 12:55
  smart money coming in here. It's really just the under.
• 12:58
  It's fallen. We have DraftKings pretty good
• 13:00
  splits here. 49% bets, 67% dollars on the under.
• 13:04
  If you look at these two pitchers again, Lizardo's made
• 13:07
  two starts. He went 5 innings and gave up
• 13:10
  two runs against Washington. He went 7 innings and gave up no
• 13:13
  runs against the Dodgers the last time out.
• 13:15
  And that's a great lineup. And Schwellenbach has been great
• 13:18
  as well on his first start, 6 innings, no runs against the
• 13:22
  Padres. His second start, 8 innings, no
• 13:24
  runs against Miami. So we got 2 good pitchers on the
• 13:27
  bump. We have good sharp bet, split
• 13:30
  liability and movement under and two pretty good under teams.
• 13:34
  Not quite as good as Toronto and Boston, but Philly this year is
• 13:37
  7 and four to the under. That's the fifth best under team
• 13:40
  in baseball. And the Braves are 6, four and
• 13:42
  one to the under. They're the 9th best under team
• 13:45
  in MLB. So can we get a four to
• 13:47
  three-game, 5 nothing game? Again, I don't care who wins
• 13:50
  this one, but see if we can maybe get an under, which would
• 13:53
  be nice between not the Phills and Atlanta.
• 13:56
  So Long story short, I'm rooting for another lower scoring game.
• 13:59
  Here I am on the under under 7 1/2 and I got that at -120 I
• 14:05
  believe it was either Caesars or FanDuel.
• 14:08
  So Atlanta, Philly under 7 1/2, Boston and Toronto under 9 and
• 14:12
  the Brew Crew. Can we find a way to maybe catch
• 14:15
  a break today and and go 2 and one that is the goal and try to
• 14:19
  claw our way back from the hole that we dug last night, which
• 14:22
  again, I can't get over. What a frustrating night.
• 14:25
  But hey, that's sports betting. It ain't easy.
• 14:26
  You got to have thick skin if you want to play this game.
• 14:29
  Anyway, that about does it for episode 254 of the ASG Pod
• 14:32
  Powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod, of
• 14:35
  course, where we wrap things up. I start first by saying thank
• 14:38
  you. Thank you for taking the time
• 14:39
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 14:42
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven betting
• 14:44
  breakdowns with me means even more to me.
• 14:47
  Like it's easy when we're winning people TuneIn winners.
• 14:49
  Yeah, we're hot. But I almost, you know, love you
• 14:52
  guys and respect you more after a bad night because it means
• 14:54
  that you're you're in it for the long haul.
• 14:56
  You see the forest amongst the trees.
• 14:58
  Bad nights happen, but you value the insights.
• 15:00
  The insights are there. The closing line value was
• 15:02
  there. We kept these games pretty good.
• 15:04
  We just had a kind of a a no luck or unlucky night, which
• 15:09
  sometimes that's going to happen.
• 15:11
  But anyway, you guys, if you do enjoy the pod, if you want to
• 15:13
  let me know, let me know you appreciate the insights.
• 15:15
  Do me a solid give this podcast a five star review.
• 15:18
  If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, If you want to leave
• 15:21
  a nice comment under the review section or click the follow
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  button. That way you get alerted as soon
• 15:25
  as it drops each day. They'll be much appreciated as
• 15:28
  well. If you want to recommend the pod
• 15:30
  to A to a friend, a colleague, someone who might might might
• 15:34
  value or you know, respect or need the insights, maybe maybe
• 15:38
  the flat bedding approach, maybe something like that.
• 15:40
  But if you want to do that to word of mouth is always a great
• 15:42
  recommendation. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 15:46
  betting breakdown. I know you didn't enjoy the
• 15:47
  results last night, neither did I, which is an understatement.
• 15:51
  But if you value the insights you want to learn more about
• 15:53
  data-driven betting, whether it's you letting me know you
• 15:56
  appreciate the pod or gifting some knowledge to a friend or
• 16:00
  colleague or coworker or family member, you know what you should
• 16:03
  do. You should go to Amazon.com and
• 16:04
  type in the Everything Guide to Sports betting.
• 16:07
  Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 16:09
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 16:11
  It's my baby. First book I ever wrote.
• 16:13
  How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
• 16:16
  movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
• 16:18
  person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 16:21
  a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
• 16:24
  everything Guide to sports betting.
• 16:26
  I also have a new book coming out, the NFL Sharp Betting
• 16:28
  Playbook. If you want to pre-order a copy
• 16:30
  on Amazon, I would very much appreciate that.
• 16:33
  And when you bring either the Everything guide or the NFL
• 16:36
  Sharp Betting Playbook to the sports book, I'll sign them both
• 16:39
  for you. I'll buy you a beer.
• 16:40
  I'll buy you a beer and a shot after last night and we'll sweat
• 16:43
  some games together at the book next.
• 16:46
  Have you downloaded Juice Reel or Rhythm yet?
• 16:48
  My two favorite sports betting apps.
• 16:50
  They help me win. They're going to help you win
• 16:52
  because they are all data-driven, no opinion, no
• 16:55
  bias. They help us to basically
• 16:57
  breakdown games with the cherry on top of, hey, you know, these
• 17:00
  are kind of sharp numbers and predictions.
• 17:03
  Let's look for discrepancies between what the betting market
• 17:05
  is offering and what the AI models are predicting.
• 17:07
  So Rhythm is great for their game bets and player prop models
• 17:12
  for pretty much all the sports. We have MLB live right now, NBA
• 17:15
  pretty soon we will have WNBA here coming up this summer.
• 17:20
  But then also Rhythm also a juice reel I should say, where
• 17:24
  you can follow the all systems go.
• 17:25
  Best bet plays for $4.99 a week. Again, it's a tip jar.
• 17:30
  Enjoy the pod. Let me know by by tipping your
• 17:32
  podcast host and signing up for those 499 plays.
• 17:35
  It would really mean a lot to me.
• 17:37
  Hopefully they'll get some good numbers and hopefully they'll
• 17:38
  come through, you know, beating the closing lines only half the
• 17:41
  battle. You can also get the robo
• 17:43
  Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage
• 17:46
  plays as well as shopping for the best line futures and
• 17:50
  betting breakdowns for bets and dollars on all spread money line
• 17:53
  in total for all the games based on people have synced up their
• 17:56
  sports books to the app. Next, if you're betting on
• 18:00
  sports, you got to have a live odds page.
• 18:02
  If you don't know what the what all the First off, what the
• 18:04
  games are the games that are going to be played today.
• 18:07
  You know what can I bet on? That's your first question and
• 18:10
  then you got to know what the line opened at, how it's moved,
• 18:13
  line history in between to kind of give you more insight into
• 18:16
  the matchup. You know, where is the point of
• 18:18
  buyback? Did it, you know, if the total
• 18:21
  stayed the same, did it really stay the same or did it go up
• 18:23
  and come back down? These are the things you got to
• 18:26
  know and then be able to shop for the best line and get the
• 18:28
  best price. So if you're looking for a live
• 18:29
  odds page, I would highly recommend Odds Logic.
• 18:33
  If you just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123, you will
• 18:37
  then get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month to give
• 18:41
  it a shot and I think you're going to enjoy it.
• 18:44
  Lastly, that about does it for today's pod.
• 18:47
  As always, you know, win, lose or draw, we're going to keep
• 18:50
  grinding here, but I will always tell you that I will see you at
• 18:54
  the sports book. Whether I see you at the Borgata
• 18:56
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 18:59
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
• 19:02
  Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
• 19:05
  in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts, or of course, the
• 19:08
  Nash. Or I'm sure I'll bump into you
• 19:10
  guys at some point. My new local book.
• 19:11
  I never thought I'd. I live 1515 minutes away from a
• 19:14
  sports book. That's pretty cool.
• 19:16
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
• 19:18
  down, where Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest
• 19:20
  juice possible is found at the South Point.
• 19:22
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 19:25
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 19:27
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 19:30
  And sadly, we got no winning tickets to show to each other.
• 19:33
  You're going to show me those five losers with COV losing by
• 19:36
  one run and we're just going to shake our heads and and if we're
• 19:39
  not going to cry, we're just going to laugh.
• 19:40
  We're going to recycle those tickets and get back into it
• 19:43
  today as always, O and 55 and O2 and three, three and two, four
• 19:48
  and one, one and four off a great night or a terrible night.
• 19:51
  We just continue to grind. Never get too high when we're
• 19:54
  winning, never get too low after a night like last night, we've
• 19:57
  got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint and play the
• 20:00
  long term system. And you guys know by now that
• 20:03
  system is a data-driven approach where we can?
• 20:05
  Simultaneously back games with our head and not our heart,
• 20:08
  against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 20:11
  avoid parlays and ideally get that CLV.
• 20:14
  Even the last night it did us no good, but it's still a sign that
• 20:17
  hey, we're reading the market and doing our job.
• 20:19
  The players on the field are not doing theirs.
• 20:21
  So what are you going to do? Anyway guys, hope you guys have
• 20:25
  a great night and we'll see if we can get back at it tonight
• 20:28
  and hopefully get into the weekend here with a big Friday
• 20:31
  as well. I do want to let you know I will
• 20:33
  be on VSON Live tonight on SiriusXM with my buddies Patrick
• 20:37
  Maher and Dustin Sweetlson tonight at 8:00.
• 20:40
  So look forward to seeing you guys there.
• 20:42
  And I'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big Friday
• 20:44
  edition of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered
• 20:48
  by Rhythm. I'll see you guys tomorrow and
• 20:50
  good luck.