Latest / UK Column Radio / Winging It- Why Is The UK Training Ukrainian Pilots?
Transcript
- 0:07Tim Davis, thank you very much indeed for speaking to UK Column. Tim
- 0:10is a twenty year veteran of the Royal Air Force, having flown fast jets
- 0:16and trained other servicemen on such for that period of time. I'm sure he
- 0:22can come on and talk a little bit about that. But Tim, what
- 0:25I'd like to start with is a reference to the constant flare of information we're
- 0:30getting from government about how the United Kingdom is helping Ukraine, to whether it's
- 0:37supply equipment or arms or ammunition. But in this case, most recently the
- 0:43training of ten pilots who said to completed basic training and some language training.
- 0:49And I think really to put that in context for the UK column audience,
- 0:54how significant is the training the basic training of ten pilots who may or may
- 0:59not go on to fly sixteen And can you try and set that within the
- 1:03context of a training year within the United Kingdom on those sorts of platforms is
- 1:11in fast jet but also thinking about the Ukrainians and the Russians. Yeah,
- 1:18there's a lot in that. I'm not an expert, Charles, but it's
- 1:19lovely to come and chat to about it. So I taught on what's called
- 1:23Phase four fast jet fine training here. So there are four phases in effectors.
- 1:27There's the clues and the name there isn't it really. So what the
- 1:30Ukrainians have done is they've been given what's called Elementary, not Basic necessarily,
- 1:34because if they're going to go into basic, they'll be flying a different aircraft,
- 1:37which we have ten that's called the T six text the two and I
- 1:40know that cause I brought them all into service myself when I was a requirements
- 1:42manager. So this is the Hawk TEA two. Obviously we can't fly them
- 1:47on. This has got engine issues at the moment. We've got twenty eight
- 1:49of those of which probably five or six are serviceable now. Whilst they sought
- 1:52the engines, there's no capacity, there's no capacity full stop. So they
- 1:56did something called Elementary, which is on the prefect aircraft, which is a
- 2:00big propeller at the front, but the actual cockpit layout is quite advanced.
- 2:04And we have twenty three of those, and I also brought those aircraft into
- 2:07the service back in twenty eighteen before I left. It's a much slower aircraft.
- 2:12It flies about one hundred and twenty one hundred and fifty knots. The
- 2:15Hawk here flew around about five hundred miles an hour four fifty knots, that
- 2:19kind of thing. So what they've done is they've had an introduction to Royal
- 2:23air Force fast jet training, but the very basic side of it, if
- 2:27that makes sense, the very elementary side of it, and it will give
- 2:30them enough to go on to an intermediate trainer. But I believe they're all
- 2:34now going to go on to Alpha Jet out in France, which is very
- 2:38similar to the Hawk here. So it's almost like they're missing a stage.
- 2:42And I understand why they can do that because the Prefect it can be quite
- 2:46a fast aircraft. You can sort of bridge Prefect into Hawk or into Alpha
- 2:51Jet. We don't do it in the Royal air Force because of the complexities.
- 2:53It needs a lot of care. They're probably not going to get that
- 2:57care, and there's a language barrier. I'm a guy that would say that
- 3:01you're very unlikely to see F sixteen in Ukraine without a whole world of support
- 3:07that we're probably not going to give. And I think this is a kind
- 3:12of stalling tactic where we pretend we're offering all this kind of stuff to Ukraine.
- 3:16It's going to come it's all these packages are going to happen. Norwegians
- 3:20are going to give you their older aircraft because they want to get back into
- 3:22some kind of future American deal for F thirty five or whatever. But I
- 3:25think it's unlikely. The training is complex. I don't think it's I don't
- 3:30think it's been comprehensive. We can't possibly make it comprehensive unless we fly him
- 3:35on the hawk here, which we've got no capacity to do. So it
- 3:38is what it is. I think it's a bit of a smoke screen,
- 3:40to be fair. I think that's exactly the impression that people have got.
- 3:45And so just on the numbers, I mean, if given best case scenario
- 3:50and the support that you describe was available and things ran to plan, First
- 3:55of all, how long would it take to have an operation capability from those
- 4:00ten pilots? But also how significant in the wider scheme of things is ten
- 4:06pilots. It's not significant at all. Also, you don't have a sustaining
- 4:12training capability as well, so that's another thing. You've got ten pilots,
- 4:15you're gonna put in sixteen, presumably to be frontline. There's no way of
- 4:18regenerating that capability in house you'd need. And this is I'll tell you what
- 4:23the funny thing is here, Charles, to be fair, and we're all
- 4:25hiding it. Of course, we're all hiding it. With Macron sending French
- 4:28troops out there and that kind of stuff. It's almost not even a proxy
- 4:31war anymore, do you know what I mean? It's a full on NATO
- 4:34versus Russian war. I mean, I remember, I don't want to get
- 4:36into detail here because you're not asking these questions. That's absolutely fine. But
- 4:40of course, when Russia asked if they could join NATO, they were told
- 4:43you, yes, you could, and then a few months later they were
- 4:44told no, you can't. You know, so it's obvious that data is
- 4:46an anti Russian pact. That's fine, we're not talking about that. But
- 4:49the thing about it is, of course, is that they will have no
- 4:55inherent indigenous capability to continue training their own pilots. F sixteen is a comp
- 5:00located airplane. So here's the thing, So we can spin this now.
- 5:02So if I trained a guy into this, I trained people on my virtual
- 5:04flight school and they're very capable, of course, But then if I was
- 5:06going to put them in a real airplane. I need to put them in
- 5:09real jets. I need to give them that real training, so simulated versus
- 5:13real training. Someone coming through this airplane here in the Royal air Force is
- 5:15probably taking about If we do it properly, it should take three and a
- 5:18half years. It's never been done. Even when I went through, I
- 5:20took about four or four in a bit. Now it's about seven because of
- 5:25the holes they've got to do in between, because we just you're backlogged on
- 5:28courses. The Ukrainians would be any different. Of course, British pilots don't
- 5:30have that language problem that Ukrainians have, and it is a language problem still.
- 5:34I've trained Katari's Saudis, I've trained Indian pilots, I've trained all sorts.
- 5:39Language is a huge issue. When you get into a cockpit like this,
- 5:42which is loud, it's hot, there's a lot of vibration. You
- 5:45need to be able to hear what's going on. I understand the language.
- 5:46So we've got to put someone even when they finish on this course here,
- 5:49it's still going to go onto this aircraft here like the Tornado which we don't
- 5:54fly, and them also Typhoon F thirty five that's going to take you a
- 5:56year, possibly six months to a year to train up on that, and
- 5:59then you're not ready or limited combat ready. No one's going to throw you
- 6:01into a fight. You're gonna get killed. So we still need to train
- 6:04you up. We still need another six months, maybe even more than that,
- 6:08where you then progress through onto different leadership aspects where then you can be
- 6:12taken into some kind of combat zone. So it's not as if we know
- 6:15the reason F six things aren't in theater. Is it going to get shot
- 6:18down? Full stop, there's no tow ways about it. I was an
- 6:20electronic warfare instructor, so I'm very familiar with the surfers to missile strategies that
- 6:25the Russians use. I don't speak out of turn about it, of course,
- 6:28but you could read about it on any kind of decent website. Now
- 6:30they are masters at ground based deair defense. That's why we don't have the
- 6:34permissive air environment over there. You see the Ukraine aircraft flying at treetop height,
- 6:40of course they are they flew any higher, they're going to get shot
- 6:42down. This is why we have Royal Airport's aircraft over the Black Sea targeting
- 6:46into Ukraine and telling the Russian sorry, telling the Ukrainians where everything is,
- 6:49all the Russian stuff is. We have that there because they can't be over
- 6:53Ukraine. The RF cannot be over it. They be shot down. They're
- 6:56almost shot down over the Black Sea. Remember weren't they in the aircraft were
- 7:00using there. So it's it's a bit of a ploy. It's a bit
- 7:02of a you can imagine this coalition is basically saying, look, we're gonna
- 7:08make it happen, but we're just kind of dragging it along a little bit.
- 7:11It probably means we can print more airplanes. American jobs always popular,
- 7:15of course, isn't it. You know how defense works, people's stock goes
- 7:17up. Of course, let's hold it long enough so we can all cash
- 7:19in on the death of young men, of course, on both sides.
- 7:23But I can't see it happening, to be fair, I hate to be
- 7:26that guy. I can't see it happening. And if you listen, I
- 7:28was listening to Richard Sheriff, General Richard Sheriff recently at Oxford Union speaking against
- 7:31George Galloway. Absolute warmonger, There's no two ways about it. There's absolutely
- 7:38When you listen to him. You listen to Richard Sheriff, and then you
- 7:41go and listen to Dubias Elwood and these kind of people. You're thinking,
- 7:43you're literally you're wanting to send young men to their deaths for no reason.
- 7:46This thing will end in a stale mate, we know it will. It's
- 7:49going to be Oh, let's stop here showing. Oh that's the same thing
- 7:51we had about two years ago. Was it where we've lost a lot of
- 7:54third of UK? Yeah? Absolutely, So what did we do as two
- 7:57years ago? Oh? Because Johnson went over there January last year and he
- 8:00kept you fighting because you want to increase all the defense stocks and we can
- 8:01get rid of our arms. I mean, the whole thing's it's a Smedley
- 8:05Butler, isn't it. War is a racket thing. But it's just so
- 8:07it's so transparent now it's kind of brutal really. So in short, I
- 8:11don't see it happening. Ten pilots isn't enough. We couldn't train anymore anyway.
- 8:16We haven't got the capability to train our own right now. So it's
- 8:20a bit of a sad state of the first child. That was actually going
- 8:22to be one of the things I was going to ask you about what,
- 8:24in having had to have given space to train ten pilots all be in an
- 8:28elementary capacity, what will the knock on effects have been for Navy or Air
- 8:33Force pilots here. Yeah, exactly, so they're not training. If you're
- 8:35training Ukrainians and not training British, that's the end. The funny thing is
- 8:39when I was training here, we used to get messages in saying we've got
- 8:43we've gotta what do we do? We sold some We sold some typhoons to
- 8:48Saudi Arabia I think it was, and on the back end of that deal,
- 8:50I know it was Qatar, that's right. We sold Typheens to the
- 8:52Qatar. On the back end of the deal, we gave them I think
- 8:54it was five or six Hawk ttoss It didn't really want. You can't really
- 8:58do much with six of these Ara planes because you're going to have some maintenance
- 9:01the whole time, and you need a bigger fleet. They've got a bigger
- 9:03fleet now, but at the time they didn't. And then we were told
- 9:05in about three weeks time, there's a bunch of Guitaris coming over to start
- 9:09training, and we said, well, angle Nele's talked to us about this.
- 9:11We've got British guys training. We also had some other countries, but
- 9:15we've got British guys training. So we've got to stop those British guys training
- 9:18and we've got to train the guitaris or because the government has said we made
- 9:20a promise to Qatar to train some of their part. That's all well and
- 9:22good, but no one's spoken to us. And even they had spoken IU,
- 9:24it wouldn't have mattered. We would have said, don't do it just
- 9:28yet. We've got British guys going through and they would have said, well,
- 9:30we made a promise. There's a disconnect. There always will be,
- 9:33and it's quite harmful really because the sceniors in the service will always go along
- 9:37with it because they want their They want the knighthoods and they want the lords
- 9:41and whatever whatever is going to get afterwards. They want to They're going to
- 9:43be a systems and the highs. I'm not cynical about that, because a
- 9:46lot of people my age obviously want thisactly the same thing. However, I
- 9:48never did. I wanted to just get guys through the flying training system to
- 9:52make this country more secure, and I didn't want to I didn't want to
- 9:54disrupt their training. So if you have a Ukrainian training, you don't have
- 9:58a British pilot tre And if you don't have that British pilot training, this
- 10:01is the thing that people forget. You don't have that bridge pilot going on
- 10:05to the front line. What you don't have then is another person coming back
- 10:07into the training pipeline as an instructor. So you have this double whamming.
- 10:11Now that means you haven't got any instructors now to train the pilots you don't
- 10:13yet have and you're going to have. So it impacts on two levels.
- 10:18And that's why when flying training breaks, doesn't break a little bit, it
- 10:22breaks a lot very quickly. But this is what we keep telling people,
- 10:24don't interrupt flying training. Keep flying training being the front line. Do tathing
- 10:28with the front line, mess around with the front line. Yet that's absolutely
- 10:30fine, but you've got to keep the output from flying training into the front
- 10:33line. If you stop that, you've got no one coming back to be
- 10:37instructors. And now you have this huge crash. And that's what we're seeing
- 10:39at the moment all across what we call the United Kingdom Military flying Training system.
- 10:43In different bits and pieces. We're seeing the fragmented failures. But so
- 10:48with that in mind, what's your assessment of the overall capability of the UK's
- 10:52capability at the minute and over the next sort of five seven years. It's
- 10:56funny as in a war fighting capability to me, yeah, yeah, well
- 11:01we'd obviously go with we Union flags on our back, and we don't go
- 11:03and we do the best we could. But you know, if you look
- 11:07at the I think I think the airports is thirty three and a half thousand
- 11:11something like that. Now anyway, if we look at Tesco's of three hundred
- 11:13and thirty thousand, I mean, it's a funny thing when we place so
- 11:16much importance in such a small amount of people. And I've said this recently,
- 11:20I think diamonds out in the diamonds out, isn't she fighting hooty rebels?
- 11:24One of the only Type forty five is that we really have that can
- 11:28actually do it. And that's not sustainable in any shape or form. I
- 11:33mean, it doesn't take much to impact one of these ships where you lose
- 11:37that capability. And when I was a naval officer for five years before transferred,
- 11:41you just don't have that ship there, it's not as if you can
- 11:43replace it. And I say this again with the aircraft, the amount of
- 11:46aircraft we have, they're so expensive now we don't have combat mass. We
- 11:50have a very technical, small amount of air I mean, this is why
- 11:54I mean when we talk about peasing, people talk about peasing Hitler and the
- 11:58peasing putain noise kind of thing. We are peace Hitler because you weren't ready
- 12:00to fight at war back in ninety thirty eight. That's the whole point.
- 12:03And when I'm saying no, no, we need to appease hit Her a
- 12:05little bit, sorry, appease put in a little bit here that there's many,
- 12:07many reasons for that, but we don't have the combat strength in any
- 12:11capability to deal with what Russia would present and is presenting now. And we
- 12:16are seeing of course, so you know it's not it's on multiple levels.
- 12:20It's not just here are our tanks here or your tanks we're going to go
- 12:22to war. There's a lot of cyber now, there's a lot of things
- 12:26that we don't see and we're not really aware of. Drones weren't something that
- 12:30people talked about until Ukraine really happened. All that technology was there, the
- 12:35efficacy was still in doubt, but of course now it's proving that it's it's
- 12:39worth something. So there's lots of capabilities, especially in the electronic magnetic spectrum
- 12:43EW electronic warfare, but we may well, we may well be a little
- 12:50bit more capable of But when it comes down to fighting forces, I noticed
- 12:54the Army the other day was going back in the trench warfare. The thing
- 12:56is we always lag as well. That's another thing. The The thing about
- 13:00the military that I realized having spent twenty years there is we were reactive to
- 13:07a lot of things, so it wasn't there was no real time for innovation
- 13:11as such. That tended to come out of the boffins in London, but
- 13:13there wasn't anything. It was all done in house on squadrons. And the
- 13:16problem with being in the military is you have no time to think of anything
- 13:18other than what you're doing. So if I spoke to any of my guys
- 13:22still flying now about Russia, they would have one ATV on me because all
- 13:26I do is read podcasts. I listened to things, you know what I
- 13:28mean, very experienced people that know more about it than me. International relations
- 13:31scholars guys like yourself, whatever, you have a great chat when you're in
- 13:35the military. You don't have any capability whatsoever to do that. There's no
- 13:37time, no time whatsoever. You're very good to doing that and very good
- 13:41at doing that. But your opinion would be Russia a bad, America good
- 13:45And that's almost like a good thing, Charles, to have that, because
- 13:48you don't want people questioning things in the military. This is why I argue
- 13:50against diversity in the military. I'm like, hang on a second. You
- 13:52want everyone thinking the same, you know what I mean, Let's not start
- 13:56mixing up some ideas as the wrong place for it. But so I push
- 13:58it against that. But that's not the reason I push against him, many
- 14:01other reasons. But I just think that you don't really have you don't really
- 14:05have it thought through at all. You don't know what you're doing. There's
- 14:09no end game in sight, there's no conclusion, there's no I was chatting
- 14:15to a guy the other day that's a very arrogant man who is in intelligence,
- 14:18telling me that he's got all worked out his plan. I said,
- 14:20what is the endgame for this? He said, oh, it's all a
- 14:22bit you know, hushash and I said, do you really know what it
- 14:24is like? Have you got an endgame? Is it really breaking up Russia
- 14:28in the fifteen independent? I mean, is that what you're really trying to
- 14:30do? And if so, how do you control that? By the way,
- 14:31because if Peterine's not there, you're gonna get something a lot worse,
- 14:33and you're gonna get fifteen of these a lot worse people. You know what
- 14:35I mean. It's not but of course you know, so I don't think
- 14:39we know. I don't think we have for the capability. Oh my god,
- 14:41there's a country we don't, absolutely not. We rely on America,
- 14:43we rely on everyone else. And if you look at what's going to happen
- 14:46to France when France goes in, you will see French deaths. There's no
- 14:48two ways about it. This is all to do with losing control with the
- 14:52African colonies. Is to do with the uranium. They're trying to get out
- 14:56of well, they can't get out of now, and they're trying to feed
- 14:58their their nuclear you know more. But as than me, of course,
- 15:01about sixty three percent of France is nucleus like ludicrous like that. So it's
- 15:07a lot of control and they're going in there now because the Russians are taken
- 15:09over these African colonies. And also what happens when France gets attacked, which
- 15:15will happen. Is that then a justification? But natively going because something's got
- 15:20to justify it, because right now we're not justified. Charles, Oh,
- 15:22that's the thing. There is no justification. So we're looking for something.
- 15:26So in short, no, of course, no we're not. We haven't
- 15:26got any capability whatsoever at the moment. I don't think really to work out
- 15:31how this thing ends. Yeah, no, I mean that provocation is I
- 15:35think exactly what people have been concerned about since this started. I mean,
- 15:37it really is drones you mentioned, and I wanted to ask you about that
- 15:41and now tell me how how much has the drone capability changed and indeed the
- 15:48countermeasures to any drone capability and how does it affect the overall airspace? Okay,
- 15:56I'm not an expert on drones literally what I've read, that's all.
- 15:58When I was flying, I didn't have any connection with drones orsoever. I
- 16:02don't want to speaking to your people pretending I'm a drone expert. You get
- 16:04a lot of people doing that, well, I think you're fine with drones.
- 16:07I've got one because I use it to look at the roof of my
- 16:10house and stuff with all the tars are cracking, you know what I mean.
- 16:11And then I send the report to a guy comes to charge lots and
- 16:14money to fix it. Insofar as drones, I did fly with one guy,
- 16:17actually, a very clever man came through MIT and he said he was
- 16:19still the worst person at MIT. That's how clever this guy was. He
- 16:22was absolutely phenomenal F sixteen pilot on exchange with us, and he went back
- 16:27when he left us, he was training with us on this air, teaching
- 16:30with me as an instructor. Went back to America. He was off the
- 16:33command of an F sixteen squad and he turned it down to go into drones.
- 16:36He said, no, the future is not these aeroplanes. The future
- 16:40is this was going back now, Charles, it must have been going back
- 16:42to twenty fourteen, twenty fifteen. That guy knew then that drones were the
- 16:48future. And all us laugh at him, said go and fly F sixteen's
- 16:49again. It'd be amazing. No, no, no, I know where
- 16:52the future is and he's on them now, and I haven't spoken to him
- 16:55since but he's obviously you know, this is all his kind of work.
- 16:57It has rapidly changed the battlefielders two ways about it. If you start looking
- 17:00at what they're doing two main battle tanks for a mavig pro or whatever it
- 17:04is with the whole world of explode, I mean, it's it's completely changes
- 17:07it. And this is where it comes down now to appreciating the electromagnetic spectrum
- 17:11and how if we can control all these waves going through the air electronic warfare.
- 17:15If we can control them, we can jam them. If we can
- 17:18deny that permissive environment to the enemy, we can get inside their ood loup
- 17:22things like this. Then obviously we stand a chance of winning. But I
- 17:26feel personally, like I have done for ever since things started, that we
- 17:30are on the back foot. We never really It's not that we didn't expect
- 17:34it as such. I think we did. I just don't think that we
- 17:38realized that we didn't. I didn't honestly believe that we were going to be
- 17:41naive enough. I'll say wee because I don't include myself in this. Our
- 17:45politicians were going to be naive enough to think that they stood a chance of
- 17:48winning a conventional war with Russia on the Russian border. I don't know why
- 17:52anyone would have thought that. And it's it's not even the amount of sacrificial
- 17:56elements of it's not even that it's the at the end state. It's this
- 18:00hybrid conflict. It's this these drones, as you say, it's the trench
- 18:04warfare. It's the fact that Russia's got five kilometers of depth of trenches,
- 18:08which is dug with the machinery. It did it within the first two months
- 18:11of the war and knew what was happening, and we're expected to take that
- 18:14ground back. No, it was never once that happened. Once a civil
- 18:17war from twenty fourteen carried on, you know, and Russia went, hang
- 18:19on a second, if you stop now, we'll average. It was going
- 18:22to stop in January twenty three, wasn't it. If you remember, Putin
- 18:25got together and he said, let's have a chat. You know, we
- 18:26don't want one a buffer. We don't want you to be something in neutral
- 18:30state. And it didn't. I think I don't, Yeah, I don't.
- 18:34I think that. I think drones are one of the many aspects.
- 18:37Not just that I think drones are there's many, many things in this that
- 18:41we didn't really see and we can't really counter, and I don't think we
- 18:45really have the appetite for it if you look at you know, the state
- 18:49of British politics at the moment. Yeah, no, I think I think
- 18:52you're right. I mean, I think unrealistic is probably the word that springs
- 18:55to mind every time Grand Chap tapens his mouth, So that will that will
- 18:59resonate, I think with the AD's just as a far you know, this
- 19:02is all part of a much bigger picture which I think is completely misreported by
- 19:08politicians and indeed the mainstream media. So I hope this doesn't sound like too
- 19:15rudimentary a question, but I think it would be such useful context You just
- 19:19describe the significance of the airspace, or rather control of the air in the
- 19:26overall battle picture, and how that manifests in this day and age. What
- 19:34are you saying, Well, no, I mean, just just an overall
- 19:40description of control of the air. I mean, how does it work,
- 19:44How does that fit with land and sea? How significant is it? You
- 19:48know, in its entirety? I mean, I suppose specifically with reference to
- 19:52what's going on in Russia and Ukraine at the moment, but I think for
- 19:56a lot of people, they hear, you know, we hear stories about
- 19:59pilots trained with his stories about new trains being brought. I mean, okay,
- 20:02we've we've discussed trains, but I think that the thing that will never
- 20:06come across from Westminster or intermediate at all, bit is what any of this
- 20:10really meet. Yeah, yeah, well, how many military men do you
- 20:14ever have now within that political sphere. I'm not saying you should, I'm
- 20:18just saying it's useful to have. Yeah, control of the air well,
- 20:22it's everything, isn't it. One of the thing about the British Army at
- 20:23the moment is they haven't fought battle in the last one, going back to
- 20:26what the Falklands now where they haven't had control of the air, so they
- 20:30haven't been they haven't experienced anemy aircraft coming in and targeting them at all.
- 20:36So the relationship between air and the Army really was one that was a bit
- 20:37strange because the Army had never seen the opposite. The Army had always had
- 20:41the Royal Air Force over the top, or the United States Air Force or
- 20:45the Coalition Air Force, so it never felt that when it was digging in
- 20:48or anything that anyone was going to put unless you twenty five over the top
- 20:51and be rocketing them whilst they were trying to do their operations. It never
- 20:55had it. It didn't have any experience of it. And until you have
- 20:57that experience of it, you fail to appreciate the importance of control of the
- 21:00year. I'm not saying it's a panacea. I'm saying it's one of many
- 21:03aspects. You know, you did the control of the intelligence. The first
- 21:06thing that happened in the Gulf War, I think this was ninety one,
- 21:08was the night before the big push all the tornadoes went and everything else.
- 21:11All the commanders of the surface to wear missile batteries and the triple A to
- 21:15the anti aircraft batteries, they had a phone call go into them, so
- 21:18they picked up their mobile phones and on the end of it was someone from
- 21:22the CIAM I six and they said, we know where your kids go to
- 21:25school. They knew the guy's name. We know you command this battery,
- 21:26we know your kids go to school, we know the name of your kids,
- 21:29we know where your wife goes to work. If you go to work
- 21:30tomorrow, mate, if you go to work tomorrow in the morning, we're
- 21:33going to kill your kids, we're going to kill your wife. We're gonna
- 21:36come and find you. We're going to kill you as well. And then
- 21:37the phone went dead, So something like seventy five percent of those commanders didn't
- 21:41turn up for work in the morning, and therefore we were able to go
- 21:44in. We're able to target those surface they missile systems. And this is
- 21:47what I mean. It's not just a kinetic war of dropping bomb on head.
- 21:51It's not just about that. A lot of it is that control,
- 21:53that intelligence, that how do we get rid of these senior people? How
- 21:57can we do do we know who these people are? So control of the
- 22:00air as important as it might be, isn't something we have right now.
- 22:03It's something that Russia is very good at. Because we went down the fighter
- 22:07route. This is actually bomber, but there was a fighter, AARIONT as
- 22:08well. Let's have fighters. Russia went, well, we're gonna have some
- 22:12fighters, but we're also going to mainly have surface to a missile system so
- 22:15we can saturate the airspace so anything coming into it we can target and shoot
- 22:18that down. That's something Russia did very well. It's something that we've really
- 22:22got a problem with because it's really hard to target those things with anything other
- 22:26than special forces, So we need to have special forces on the ground.
- 22:29Even when you do a special force on the ground, you still have military
- 22:32guys protecting those sites because they're so important, and the mobile as well.
- 22:34We don't always know where they are. This is one of the big problems
- 22:37that we've got on the moment. We can't just put aircraft in to use
- 22:41Harmer missiles against the radars that we don't really know where they are. We've
- 22:44got to have other aircraft up there to triangulate positions, to have a low
- 22:48down a battle picture, an electronic warfare picture of where the emissions are coming
- 22:52out of. We can't build that picture necessarily unless we have aircraft in there
- 22:56to build the picture and then other assets to target. So the coal needs
- 23:00to be very big. This is why in Iraq it was a very big
- 23:03coalition that went in there. We had to saturate the airspace first. We
- 23:06had to make sure we're to control of it, and then we can fight
- 23:07the ground battle. You do not want to be fighting a ground battle when
- 23:11you don't have control of the air It's ridiculous thing to do. Everyone's going
- 23:14to saturate, everyone is going to target you. You've got tanks, challenge
- 23:17of tanks rolling across being whapped by SU twenty fives and all sorts of stuff.
- 23:21I mean, it's hopeless if you don't have control of the air.
- 23:23And we don't have control of the air, and now the other control.
- 23:26What we don't have, of course, necessarily is these drones that are independently
- 23:30targeting. Although very local. Of course, the drones tend to be within
- 23:33a couple of kilometers of the operator, so that is a bit different.
- 23:37So yeah, it's very important, and we don't really have it. In
- 23:41order to have it, this is what I mean. You can't just put
- 23:42up some F sixteen's in Ukraine. They need to be fully supported with tankers,
- 23:48with airborne warning and control units, with electronic warfare platforms to tell them
- 23:52where these servers and missile systems are and what happens when they get shot down.
- 23:56It's like when the Leopard two tanks get hit. It's like when the
- 23:59Challenge get hit. Who wants to buy a Challenger or a Leopard two where
- 24:02you know it can get taken out by a drone? Do you want to
- 24:03buy an F sixteen when you know it can get shot down over Ukraine.
- 24:07I mean, are you really going to buy an Are we gonna give more
- 24:08there? Trynic Warfair jamming capability as well. That's an entirely secret as well.
- 24:11We don't want to have that stuff over what happens in the Russians get
- 24:15it we cut. There's no way we can go and get it back.
- 24:17If we have a ground picture and an air picture built together and we lose
- 24:19an aircraft, we can saturate that. We can bomb our own aircraft.
- 24:22We can get those things back. We can get the jammers back, we
- 24:25can get the munitions back if we given to Ukraine as we can't. I
- 24:26think they found some Starstreak missile shoulder launched missiles in Columbia. You know the
- 24:33weapons we put into Ukraine all over the world. Now we knew it was
- 24:34going to happen, of course, because the money's gone as well, isn't
- 24:37it. So Yeah, the command and control of the air, the air
- 24:40picture is incredibly important. I can't see how we're going to build up without
- 24:44an absolute commitment from NATO to go in which I think I don't know what
- 24:49they are. I don't know I'm so despondent of it at the moment,
- 24:52Charles, to be fair, and I think a lot of us are.
- 24:55I get attacked by a load of X colleagues all the time, and all
- 24:57I say is, look, if you read this book, have you spoken
- 25:00this guy, if you chatted to this guy, listen to this none of
- 25:03it. They've listened to none of it. And I think that's what makes
- 25:04it inherently dangerous, like almost they have too little knowledge. They think,
- 25:10well, they haven't thought that. This is the danger that there is no
- 25:12thinking going on, and it's almost makes it more dangerous. Then it's like
- 25:18Finland joining NATO. It's more dangerous to do that than it was to remain
- 25:22neutral, which is but they can't see it. So I don't know.
- 25:26Maybe you've got an answer, Charles, maybe your reader's here, you've got
- 25:27an answer. I'll certainly be much better in full No, Tim Davis,
- 25:32thank you very much. Indeed,