Latest / Disguised Coverage / The Matchups That Will Decide Bills vs Ravens in the Divisional Round | DC
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: It's thirty eight.
- 0:00Speaker 2: All bills can win in here, Wake puts it down,
- 0:03Speaker 2: the kick is on the way, and d dock and
- 0:06Speaker 2: the bill good one? How the hell that one.
- 0:11Speaker 3: Home?
- 0:11Speaker 1: How one? They were a party one not party Way? Incredible?
- 0:17Speaker 4: Why not combat by my bell?
- 0:19Speaker 1: Jacksonville's perfect record on the line right here.
- 0:27Speaker 3: Quick.
- 0:30Speaker 1: Kicking, look excited.
- 0:31Speaker 3: Touchdown Kyle Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william who's
- 0:54Speaker 3: has to full back and he scores a touchdown. It's
- 0:58Speaker 3: wealthier to face tackle.
- 1:16Speaker 1: What's good? Folks, Family, friends, loved ones, enemies, friend of mees, wizards,
- 1:20Speaker 1: which is muggles mud bloods. People have been alert to
- 1:23Speaker 1: another episode of Disguised Coverage, The only podcast that gives
- 1:26Speaker 1: you an equal mount of blueberries in each muffin, presented
- 1:29Speaker 1: by the best Pizza in Buffalo, New York that is
- 1:31Speaker 1: won by Pizza Finally online menu in episode show notes,
- 1:33Speaker 1: They're here on YouTube or whichever podcasting Apple platform you're
- 1:36Speaker 1: listening to this show on. I am your host, Anthony Prohaska.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore an that's
- 1:43Speaker 1: pro two underscores a n T. Find me on Blue
- 1:45Speaker 1: Sky at pro ant no underscores over there on the
- 1:49Speaker 1: blue sky. In this edition of Disguised Coverage, the Buffalo
- 1:54Speaker 1: Bills survived and advanced against the Denver Broncos in the
- 1:58Speaker 1: Wildcard round, which means they are onto the Divisional round
- 2:02Speaker 1: of the playoffs as the two seed to host another
- 2:05Speaker 1: playoff game against a team that elstits no emotional response
- 2:10Speaker 1: from the Bills fan base. I don't really think anyone's
- 2:14Speaker 1: getting up too much for this game. I don't think
- 2:16Speaker 1: anyone really cares. There's no emotion or narratives or feelings
- 2:23Speaker 1: tied to this matchup whatsoever. But nonetheless, despite the very
- 2:26Speaker 1: who hum nature of Bills versus Ravens in the divisional round,
- 2:30Speaker 1: we are going to dive into all of the schematics
- 2:33Speaker 1: and the structural pieces related to the matchups that will
- 2:36Speaker 1: decide Bill's versus Ravens in the division round, as we
- 2:39Speaker 1: are ones to do here on this show. And I
- 2:42Speaker 1: say we because I'm not alone. Had a great time
- 2:46Speaker 1: with him last week, had a great time with him.
- 2:49Speaker 1: I was gonna count all that I tell myself to
- 2:51Speaker 1: count every time, and I always forget, and I try
- 2:53Speaker 1: to do it offhand, and I know I'm not gonna
- 2:54Speaker 1: be able to joining me for another playoff edition of
- 2:58Speaker 1: disguise coverage. Is mister j. P Acosta of ESP Nation
- 3:03Speaker 1: extending your record appearance streak here on the show, all
- 3:08Speaker 1: Timer about to put the jersey up in the rafters,
- 3:10Speaker 1: rocking a killer, killer Disney jacket. It stopped me in
- 3:14Speaker 1: my tracks as soon as you jumped on. You're awesome.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Thank you for taking the time. I'm pumped to talk
- 3:19Speaker 1: about this game with you. Welcome to the show, Thanks
- 3:21Speaker 1: for having me on.
- 3:22Speaker 4: I'm excited to talk about what is just a football game.
- 3:25Speaker 4: It is a football game between two teams that should
- 3:28Speaker 4: have no other importance in your day to day life.
- 3:32Speaker 2: It is a football game.
- 3:35Speaker 1: There's so much you and I were talking about it offline,
- 3:38Speaker 1: like the vitriol and like the intensity of this rivalry
- 3:44Speaker 1: that's kind of like brewing developing. So much of it
- 3:47Speaker 1: is entwined in the MVP case for last year spilling
- 3:52Speaker 1: into the VP case for this year. Fans are like
- 3:55Speaker 1: at each other's throats and normally not like Bill's Ravens.
- 3:58Speaker 1: Isn't anything crazy. You know, they played the playoffs several
- 4:01Speaker 1: years ago, but it wasn't like some game that was
- 4:03Speaker 1: like a flag planting moment for either fan base. Both
- 4:07Speaker 1: fan bases actually have kind of united over like hatred
- 4:09Speaker 1: over the Chiefs. But low and behold, we're here going
- 4:12Speaker 1: in this into this divisional game. I guess like set
- 4:15Speaker 1: the table for us a little bit, because again you
- 4:17Speaker 1: and I were talking about it offline, like the intensity
- 4:20Speaker 1: of what this matchup brings. Obviously we're gonna dive into
- 4:22Speaker 1: the schematics and all like the x's and o's and
- 4:24Speaker 1: bones of this game, but talk about the intensity of
- 4:27Speaker 1: this game, and then all of that within the backdrop
- 4:30Speaker 1: of like the final boss. You know, Pat Mahomes and
- 4:33Speaker 1: the Chiefs may be potentially kind of just waiting for
- 4:35Speaker 1: you at Arrowhead and all of that beak swept under
- 4:38Speaker 1: the rug. Like it's just it's wild, like the atmosphere
- 4:41Speaker 1: that's being created in this divisional round.
- 4:43Speaker 4: So after the Bills beat the Broncos on Sunday, Bomani
- 4:47Speaker 4: Jones put out tweet that said Bills Ravens is gonna
- 4:50Speaker 4: be like be like Lakers Celtics in nineteen eighty four.
- 4:53Speaker 1: So good, I see it.
- 4:55Speaker 4: More For all the anime fans, you'll understand this is
- 4:58Speaker 4: like if we got the hypothetic fight between Goku and Naruto,
- 5:02Speaker 4: Like it feels like everything matters about this game, but
- 5:06Speaker 4: at the same time, like this is the divisional round,
- 5:10Speaker 4: like this through the divisional round of the playoffs. It
- 5:13Speaker 4: of course, like we could say, like these two teams,
- 5:16Speaker 4: whoever wins, might end up winning the Super Bowl, Like
- 5:18Speaker 4: we could say that, yeah, but you still have to
- 5:21Speaker 4: go through Kansas City. You still have to play Patrick Mahomes.
- 5:26Speaker 4: This is it's so weird what's happened with the Chiefs,
- 5:30Speaker 4: And it kind of is a larger aspect of like, oh,
- 5:34Speaker 4: the Chiefs offense hasn't looked very good this season. They've
- 5:37Speaker 4: had so many one score games. This team, they just
- 5:41Speaker 4: don't look good on offense. They also have the highest
- 5:44Speaker 4: success rate in the NFL, I think since like twenty twenty,
- 5:48Speaker 4: Like they they just moved the ball, like they are
- 5:51Speaker 4: still really good at this football thing. And you still
- 5:55Speaker 4: have to go through Arrowhead, you have to go to
- 5:58Speaker 4: Kansas City. I think this game is going to be fantastic,
- 6:03Speaker 4: It's going to be phenomenal, but I think everybody kind
- 6:06Speaker 4: of just needs to take a chill pill. Everybody needs
- 6:10Speaker 4: to simmer a little bit. His game is going to
- 6:12Speaker 4: be awesome, It's going to be very fun. Let's just
- 6:16Speaker 4: let's all take a deep breath. At the end of
- 6:18Speaker 4: the day. This is a football game, like it is
- 6:22Speaker 4: a divisional round playoff game. But we don't have to
- 6:25Speaker 4: let everything that we see on Twitter or on Blue
- 6:28Speaker 4: Sky or people that don't have avatars at all or
- 6:34Speaker 4: last of twenty twenty five on Twitter.
- 6:37Speaker 2: We don't have to let them ruin our lives.
- 6:41Speaker 1: That's a really good way to like frame it and
- 6:43Speaker 1: put it. Yeah, it's so, I mean even like, where
- 6:46Speaker 1: where is it? Where's this comment from RJ? Like this
- 6:49Speaker 1: is where it's gone to? Like so RJ is a
- 6:51Speaker 1: diehard Bills fan, a bit emotional as he will even
- 6:54Speaker 1: attest to, but this is where he's at. If the
- 6:56Speaker 1: Ravens win, I want k C to beat them. Where
- 7:00Speaker 1: we're at right now like the Chiefs, And I don't
- 7:03Speaker 1: even I don't think this is even large, Like that's
- 7:05Speaker 1: where it's gone. And I think a lot of it
- 7:07Speaker 1: is driven by the fan base aspect, Like if you
- 7:10Speaker 1: encounter some really toxic fans, especially on social media, it
- 7:14Speaker 1: can really push you into that sphere. Like whether you
- 7:18Speaker 1: cover the game professionally or you're just a fan yourself,
- 7:21Speaker 1: like you Encar. I mean, I still think back to
- 7:23Speaker 1: ironically the Bills beat the Broncos when like all those
- 7:26Speaker 1: Broncos fans came after Nate Tice for his like Bronco
- 7:29Speaker 1: takes like a month or so, or like it's just nuts,
- 7:31Speaker 1: Like it's certain things will just kind of push you
- 7:33Speaker 1: into a direction. But that's where we're at for this game,
- 7:37Speaker 1: and I'm so excited to again have you on to
- 7:39Speaker 1: talk ball and just break down the pieces that don't matter.
- 7:42Speaker 1: But so there's such a like funny aspect to me
- 7:45Speaker 1: of in the back of my mind knowing how much
- 7:48Speaker 1: of this game or like the intensity around it could
- 7:51Speaker 1: all be for not if either of these teams win
- 7:54Speaker 1: and the Chiefs win, and then if you don't get
- 7:57Speaker 1: past the Chiefs again, it's still just like all that
- 8:00Speaker 1: shapes up in the framework of the AFC right where
- 8:03Speaker 1: it's still just I don't know, like, are the Bills
- 8:08Speaker 1: and the Ravens potentially the new maybe Steelers and Ravens
- 8:12Speaker 1: back during the Tom Brady time. We're like you have
- 8:14Speaker 1: like your moments of flirtation with a title or a championship,
- 8:17Speaker 1: but you still got to go through New England and
- 8:20Speaker 1: beat them, and you kind of can, but also not
- 8:23Speaker 1: really neither of them are proved in the playoffs thus far,
- 8:26Speaker 1: and especially on a year where yeah, like the Chiefs
- 8:30Speaker 1: had some better metrics than people acknowledge, but everybody just
- 8:33Speaker 1: focused on like the close, you know, non impressive wins.
- 8:37Speaker 1: Then all of a sudden they started to rev it
- 8:39Speaker 1: up a little bit down the end of the stretch
- 8:41Speaker 1: and like start to look like, Okay, they're turning the
- 8:43Speaker 1: lights on a little bit and get ready for a
- 8:44Speaker 1: playoff run. And we'll know because they play the Texans
- 8:48Speaker 1: Saturday four thirty, because the Texans are not allowed to
- 8:51Speaker 1: play at another time in the playoffs other than Saturdays
- 8:53Speaker 1: four thirty, and we'll know like is this winner hosting
- 8:57Speaker 1: a game or is this winner going to Arrowhead? And
- 9:00Speaker 1: for so much of it that's charged into it. I'm
- 9:02Speaker 1: exciting for the scheme of it because it really is
- 9:05Speaker 1: a good matchup in a multitude of waye but yeah,
- 9:07Speaker 1: just knowing that the winner has to then go to
- 9:10Speaker 1: Kansas City, and I just feel like that's so forgotten
- 9:13Speaker 1: because the MVP conversation and then this matchup and all
- 9:17Speaker 1: the pieces stacking on top of and again rightfully. So
- 9:19Speaker 1: we talked about it a little bit last week, like
- 9:22Speaker 1: Lamar and Allen are both having historically great seasons, like
- 9:25Speaker 1: ridiculously so in a multitude of ways. So I get it.
- 9:29Speaker 1: But yeah, it's just funny like knowing how what this
- 9:33Speaker 1: brings and then it's like, well, you still haven't beat
- 9:35Speaker 1: the game. You still have like two or more rounds
- 9:37Speaker 1: to go, and let alone like even just getting paid.
- 9:40Speaker 1: It's just why there's so many pieces to this, like
- 9:42Speaker 1: in the landscape and the grand scheme.
- 9:44Speaker 4: It's so much like if you watch a Marvel movie
- 9:47Speaker 4: and you get to the post movie credits and you
- 9:52Speaker 4: see the you see fanos, like he goes like, fine,
- 9:55Speaker 4: I'll do it myself. That's Kansas City, bro fair like that.
- 10:00Speaker 4: That's who that's who's in the back of this movie.
- 10:02Speaker 4: That's who's in That's who's that's who's there.
- 10:05Speaker 1: You know.
- 10:06Speaker 2: So I think this game is gonna be fantastic.
- 10:09Speaker 4: It's gonna be phenomenal schematically just game themes. But I
- 10:13Speaker 4: do have to advise everybody you don't have to argue
- 10:16Speaker 4: on Twitter, you don't have to argue on social media.
- 10:18Speaker 2: You can just ignore people. You don't have to. You
- 10:22Speaker 2: don't gotta. You don't gotta raise your voice.
- 10:24Speaker 4: You don't got you don't gotta do all this this,
- 10:26Speaker 4: that the other everything is going to be okay.
- 10:29Speaker 1: Yeah, don't be fine. There's a couple of comments here
- 10:32Speaker 1: that one I know you're really gonna like. The chat
- 10:34Speaker 1: has been on fire already. But Logan says to uh
- 10:37Speaker 1: Sarah Christine in the chat, he says, what the Dolphins
- 10:40Speaker 1: are to us is what we are to the Chiefs
- 10:42Speaker 1: in the playoffs, which is super spot on actually. And
- 10:45Speaker 1: then this one from Charles is great. He says, Lamar
- 10:49Speaker 1: winning the m v P is like solo rocket follow
- 10:52Speaker 1: We do not acknowledge him. I think that's so I
- 10:55Speaker 1: knew you'd like that one.
- 10:56Speaker 2: Oh man, it's incredible.
- 10:58Speaker 4: We're getting wrestling references, we anime, Marvel, and we got
- 11:02Speaker 4: some schematic stuff we're gonna get into.
- 11:03Speaker 2: I'm just never gonna leave.
- 11:05Speaker 1: No. I would say, the chat knows the energy that
- 11:07Speaker 1: you bring and how we work together. I like them
- 11:09Speaker 1: playing along and being a part of it. Yeah, it
- 11:11Speaker 1: just makes this so much better again. I think like
- 11:14Speaker 1: kind of encapsulates the intensity for this. Like the comments
- 11:18Speaker 1: the back and forth. It's yeah this as soon as
- 11:22Speaker 1: as soon as Baltimore beat Pittsburgh, I immediately was like, oh,
- 11:25Speaker 1: here we go. And then just like midway through Denver
- 11:28Speaker 1: and the Bills, I was just like, oh, like, I'm
- 11:31Speaker 1: not ready for this week. I'm not ready for the intensity,
- 11:34Speaker 1: the emotion and then for all of that to then
- 11:37Speaker 1: get ready potentially for another matchup with like the big
- 11:41Speaker 1: bad Wolf again. Man, Yeah, it's no pun intended for
- 11:44Speaker 1: that Chiefs massive Chiefs guy who was the wolf guy
- 11:47Speaker 1: who maybe robbed.
- 11:48Speaker 2: A bank or funny.
- 11:49Speaker 4: It's so funny because both these teams are so similar
- 11:53Speaker 4: and how they want to win and how they play football,
- 11:57Speaker 4: like they're kind of mirror images of the each other.
- 12:00Speaker 4: And you can even throw the Chiefs in here. They
- 12:02Speaker 4: are all they're all trying to match each other and
- 12:06Speaker 4: all chasing after each other, which I think makes this
- 12:08Speaker 4: so cool.
- 12:10Speaker 2: Like you can make a really you can make.
- 12:12Speaker 4: The case that all three of these, the top teams
- 12:15Speaker 4: left in the AFC, are all mimicking each other, trying
- 12:18Speaker 4: to do what everybody else has done.
- 12:21Speaker 2: But they're trying to do it better than everybody else,
- 12:23Speaker 2: which is.
- 12:23Speaker 1: What makes again like this matchup so fun and part
- 12:26Speaker 1: of why again we talked about it a little bit offline,
- 12:29Speaker 1: like it's understandable the quarterback part, and everybody all week
- 12:34Speaker 1: is gonna talk about Lamar and all and so on
- 12:35Speaker 1: and so forth. But these offenses, like the run games alone,
- 12:40Speaker 1: just that forget everything else, Like the run games alone,
- 12:42Speaker 1: the personnel, the concepts, the window dressing, like how they
- 12:45Speaker 1: get to what they get to. That's so awesome schematically,
- 12:50Speaker 1: but like that all takes a back seat because like
- 12:52Speaker 1: no one recognizes what's happening. It's just like, well, you know,
- 12:55Speaker 1: Dereck Henry's big and fast and Lamar is electric and
- 12:57Speaker 1: then Josh Allen does Josh Allen stuff. But like they're
- 13:00Speaker 1: the run game pieces, the offensive line, the personnel, like
- 13:03Speaker 1: just that, let alone. What's happening on both sides of
- 13:06Speaker 1: the ball. Defensively, the Bills being a little bit of
- 13:08Speaker 1: hot water but maybe turning and around. Defensively, the Ravens
- 13:11Speaker 1: what they've been since they since or was basically like Okay, Kyle,
- 13:15Speaker 1: we're gonna put you just a traditional safety and we
- 13:17Speaker 1: need to chill out. And ar Darius Washington is starting
- 13:20Speaker 1: to fill out a little bit, and just like what
- 13:21Speaker 1: the defense has become there. There's so many other fun
- 13:24Speaker 1: pieces aside from the quarterback part, but alas that drives
- 13:28Speaker 1: the narrative that drives the conversation. Maybe it'll fit into
- 13:31Speaker 1: our matchup pieces tonight, but JP, let's dive into it.
- 13:35Speaker 1: The matchups that will decide Bills versus Ravens. For those
- 13:37Speaker 1: of you that don't know and are playing with us
- 13:39Speaker 1: at home, myself and JP will be each going into
- 13:42Speaker 1: our top three matchup pieces that we think will decide
- 13:45Speaker 1: the Bills Versus Ravens game in the divisional round. It
- 13:48Speaker 1: could be extremely high level and wide scale, could be
- 13:51Speaker 1: very niche down in detailed. It could be schematic structural personnel,
- 13:56Speaker 1: position groups, coaching pieces, third downs, or something very situational.
- 14:01Speaker 1: Anything and everything is on the table. I don't know
- 14:03Speaker 1: his answers, he doesn't know mine. Helps make for a
- 14:05Speaker 1: nice organic conversation all centered around talking ball. JP, you
- 14:10Speaker 1: know the drill. You are the guests. Feel free to
- 14:12Speaker 1: start with whichever you feel free to start with, And
- 14:15Speaker 1: for those of you joining us live, feel free to
- 14:17Speaker 1: comment with your own answers and or tell us why
- 14:20Speaker 1: our answers are terrible or awesome. JP, the floor's course.
- 14:24Speaker 4: So my first one starts with the two most impactful,
- 14:27Speaker 4: two best players on the Bills defense, Tarreen Johnson and
- 14:29Speaker 4: Matt Malana. That is going to be the key for
- 14:33Speaker 4: the Bills defense in this game, specifically in the run game.
- 14:38Speaker 4: I'm sure we all remember the first play the last
- 14:41Speaker 4: time the Ravens played the Bills. I call it the
- 14:44Speaker 4: signature Derrick Henry thunderstrike. Believe me, as a Jaguass fan,
- 14:48Speaker 4: I have seen the Derek Brot. The moment that Dereck
- 14:56Speaker 4: Henry side with Baltimore, I put out hashtag not my problem.
- 15:00Speaker 4: He is no longer my problem anymore. Now I can
- 15:04Speaker 4: just appreciate the Derrick Henry lightning strike as it happens.
- 15:09Speaker 4: And what I mean is in the game against Buffalo,
- 15:13Speaker 4: and I believe that was like Week three, the raven
- 15:16Speaker 4: we averaged Week four, the Ravens averaged eight yards of carry.
- 15:21Speaker 2: That is unbelievable.
- 15:23Speaker 1: Yes, crazy, We've.
- 15:25Speaker 4: Seen a lot of great offensive performances this season, but
- 15:27Speaker 4: the Ravens running for eight yards of carry on the
- 15:30Speaker 4: Bills again without Taron Johnson and Matt Milano in the
- 15:33Speaker 4: run game was huge, and it was important because of
- 15:36Speaker 4: how they decided to beat. They did a lot of
- 15:39Speaker 4: the motion stuff, They did a lot of spread to run,
- 15:41Speaker 4: and then what they would do is they would condense
- 15:44Speaker 4: everything and if you wanted to play Arren Johnson, he
- 15:47Speaker 4: would have to hit three hundred pound pat ricard, which
- 15:50Speaker 4: I don't think is an answer that you want to.
- 15:52Speaker 2: Have in this football game.
- 15:54Speaker 4: And I found some stats pers sis is on off reports.
- 15:57Speaker 4: With Matt Malano on the field, they give up four
- 16:00Speaker 4: point one yards per carry. With Matt Malono off the field,
- 16:03Speaker 4: it is five point one yards per carry and a
- 16:06Speaker 4: point oh two epa per play with him off the field,
- 16:09Speaker 4: Karen Johnson on the field four point seven yards per carry,
- 16:12Speaker 4: with him off the field five point one yards per carry.
- 16:15Speaker 4: This matters so much because what the Ravens want you
- 16:19Speaker 4: to do is put your second level defenders in hell.
- 16:24Speaker 4: We have seen it with the Steelers game last week.
- 16:27Speaker 4: That was a textbook example of I call it the
- 16:31Speaker 4: Shaq and Kobe pick and roll because you don't really
- 16:35Speaker 4: know which one to stop, and the Steelers fit like
- 16:38Speaker 4: the entire game trying to figure out do we want
- 16:40Speaker 4: to stop Lamar, do we want to stop Derrick Henry
- 16:43Speaker 4: and ended up stopping neither. They tried to scrape exchange stuff,
- 16:47Speaker 4: but that wasn't working. And all all they did was
- 16:51Speaker 4: just motion a guy or motion the Wildcat run where
- 16:56Speaker 4: Derrick Henry stint Uh just kind of padded make it
- 17:00Speaker 4: it's Patrick and he went flying like an anime corecrater.
- 17:04Speaker 4: You send Lamar in motion on a Wildcat and on
- 17:07Speaker 4: that play you can see a Landon Roberts and Patrick
- 17:10Speaker 4: Queen go flying out the tackle box on Lamar Jackson
- 17:13Speaker 4: on a Wildcat carry. He's not getting the ball on
- 17:17Speaker 4: je Sweet, like what are we doing here? So and
- 17:20Speaker 4: it's even it's not even like the designer stuff. It
- 17:23Speaker 4: is the motions that they have to bring people in
- 17:26Speaker 4: and out of the box, the levers that they can
- 17:28Speaker 4: pull when they spread to run, but also when they
- 17:31Speaker 4: condense everything and go bullyball. They're one of the most
- 17:34Speaker 4: effective in twenty one and twenty two personnel.
- 17:37Speaker 2: They will also play an extra lineman.
- 17:39Speaker 4: Their their textbook play this season has been this little
- 17:42Speaker 4: Influence Power where they'll move her card in motion and
- 17:46Speaker 4: they will send three hundred pound Patrick Hard and three
- 17:49Speaker 4: hundred and eighty pound Daniel Foulele as pullers on power
- 17:53Speaker 4: for two hundred and fifty pound Derek Henry gets to
- 17:55Speaker 4: the hole and it's like what, Like, what are you
- 17:59Speaker 4: supposed to do here? Like you have to go through
- 18:01Speaker 4: six hundred pounds of people before you hit two hundred
- 18:04Speaker 4: and fifty pounds. Derek Hendry, who I love him in
- 18:07Speaker 4: this offense because it's so much designed for him to succeed.
- 18:11Speaker 2: They want to give him a runway.
- 18:13Speaker 4: Derrick Henry is not a like he's not a stop
- 18:17Speaker 4: and start like immediate quickness. He is a If you
- 18:20Speaker 4: give him a runway, you give him a lane, and
- 18:22Speaker 4: you let him build up speed, then he becomes a
- 18:25Speaker 4: hummer with the brakes cutoff. Like that's when he becomes
- 18:28Speaker 4: the most dangerous. And what you have to do if
- 18:30Speaker 4: you're the Bills. I'm curious how they defend the run
- 18:33Speaker 4: in this game, because when they've played teams like Denver,
- 18:37Speaker 4: when they played teams like Detroit, they sold out to
- 18:40Speaker 4: stop the run. In those condensed formations. They would bring
- 18:43Speaker 4: aid into the box, they would spend safeties down, they
- 18:46Speaker 4: were selling everything to play in the run game. But
- 18:50Speaker 4: I'm not sure if you want to do that against
- 18:52Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson, because you always you're leaving a guy on
- 18:56Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson, and this is probably the fastest we've seen
- 19:00Speaker 4: Jackson in his career, which is also terrifying. Bro We
- 19:04Speaker 4: saw the play against Houston on the full house zone
- 19:07Speaker 4: re touchdown where he just erases every angle and you're
- 19:11Speaker 4: just like, who are we supposed to stop here? So
- 19:14Speaker 4: my biggest point for this game has to be Matt
- 19:18Speaker 4: Malono and Taron Johnson being the force equalizers that they
- 19:22Speaker 4: have always been throughout their Bills careers because of how
- 19:26Speaker 4: light of boxes that they play. You have to have
- 19:28Speaker 4: them playing at their highest level in this game.
- 19:32Speaker 1: I love that point ties into my one of mine,
- 19:35Speaker 1: which I guess I'll piggyback on it a bit, but
- 19:37Speaker 1: you have to go off yours. It's so that first matchup,
- 19:41Speaker 1: that first play, Ravens run Crunch and it's just there.
- 19:46Speaker 1: It's immediate. Recard takes his man out, the right guard
- 19:50Speaker 1: takes his man, it's over, and the Bill has been
- 19:53Speaker 1: hit with crunch, a bunch and trap kind of in general,
- 19:56Speaker 1: but that was such a microcosm for the rest the
- 20:00Speaker 1: game where it just felt like the Bill's defense was
- 20:02Speaker 1: chasing their own tail and consistently out of position, and
- 20:06Speaker 1: the motion you're talking about the second level, and there
- 20:08Speaker 1: was There was no Mamlano in that game. There was
- 20:10Speaker 1: no Taron Johnson in that game. There was no Terrell
- 20:13Speaker 1: Bernard in that game. And then Taylor Rapp goes out,
- 20:17Speaker 1: so Cole Bishop is in there. So those were a
- 20:18Speaker 1: bit depleted defensively. The Ravens were a little depleted as well,
- 20:21Speaker 1: but conversation another time, potentially for that, the Bill's second
- 20:25Speaker 1: level was just in hell if the play was going left,
- 20:28Speaker 1: but the Ravens made you think it was going right.
- 20:31Speaker 1: Everybody on the Bill second level was going right. They
- 20:33Speaker 1: were just constantly out of position in the run. In
- 20:35Speaker 1: the past, they were getting out leveraged in the small
- 20:38Speaker 1: ways right, Like if the Ravens wanted to move them
- 20:40Speaker 1: here to set up a better blocking angle here, that happened.
- 20:44Speaker 1: If they wanted to move you two gaps over with
- 20:47Speaker 1: this jet motion, so Lamar could go play action and
- 20:50Speaker 1: out the front door on a boot and it hit
- 20:52Speaker 1: somebody on a slide route or on a dragon the
- 20:54Speaker 1: other way that was there, and it was wide open.
- 20:56Speaker 1: They married the run with the play action so well,
- 21:00Speaker 1: they're making you know, they're running one run play one minute.
- 21:03Speaker 1: I forget specifically, it was. It was the kind of
- 21:06Speaker 1: like naked boot to Henry in the low red zone.
- 21:10Speaker 1: But they ran it, yes, the exact same look the
- 21:14Speaker 1: previous play. They ran it and gave it to Henry.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Then they run the exact same look, but it's that
- 21:18Speaker 1: front side naked sprint out and he's wide open because
- 21:20Speaker 1: the Bill's like, oh here comes the run again. Oh
- 21:21Speaker 1: it's not a run. They get Justice Hill lined up
- 21:25Speaker 1: on Dorian Williams out there on the little wheel. Lamar
- 21:28Speaker 1: hits him for everything they had or they wanted they had.
- 21:31Speaker 1: It was just mismatch after mismatched schematic individual. And I
- 21:36Speaker 1: wonder with Taron Johnson in there with Matt Milano in
- 21:40Speaker 1: there with Bernard and there Bernard makes a huge difference
- 21:42Speaker 1: on his own just because of how I was called
- 21:44Speaker 1: an air traffic controller because of how he directs and
- 21:47Speaker 1: controls everything defensively for that Bill's defense. But Milano can
- 21:51Speaker 1: also wear that hat a little bit. Taron Johnson wears
- 21:53Speaker 1: that hat a little bit. Taylor Rap wears a bit
- 21:55Speaker 1: of that hat as well, in addition to the Guardian
- 21:57Speaker 1: Caffy wears on top of his helmet, So technically three
- 21:59Speaker 1: hats for Taylor Rap. That communication and that kind of
- 22:01Speaker 1: like I think pre snap communication structure and leadership structure.
- 22:06Speaker 1: I wonder how much that funnels in, and again to
- 22:08Speaker 1: your point with Milano and Tarin, I wonder how much
- 22:13Speaker 1: that equalizes a bit of that out leveraging we saw
- 22:18Speaker 1: that first time around, and or just you know, playing
- 22:21Speaker 1: the team once scouting that kind of going from there
- 22:25Speaker 1: and then also tying into you know, we talked about
- 22:28Speaker 1: a similar aspect when the Bill when I had you
- 22:29Speaker 1: one when the Bills played the Rams, the Rams did
- 22:32Speaker 1: the same thing. They just outleveraged the Bills with motion
- 22:34Speaker 1: in the pass and the run attack differently from a
- 22:37Speaker 1: past perspective with that offense versus what Todd Munkin does
- 22:40Speaker 1: with Baltimore but split zone all day, creating displacement. That's
- 22:45Speaker 1: a piece of I want to talk about in a minute,
- 22:46Speaker 1: but I think that's so spot on because I think
- 22:48Speaker 1: those two players in particular, combined with not being in
- 22:52Speaker 1: that first matchup and some of the reinforcements coming back,
- 22:55Speaker 1: I wonder how much that shades or shapes the game
- 22:57Speaker 1: this time around.
- 22:58Speaker 4: And I think this is a huge point because I
- 23:01Speaker 4: think the Ravers are gonna do a lot of gaps
- 23:03Speaker 4: gap scheme in this game des by how aggressive of
- 23:06Speaker 4: the nature that the front plays in Buffalo, and they're
- 23:09Speaker 4: able to play that way because Matt Milano and Taron
- 23:13Speaker 4: Johnson are back there to clean up mistakes.
- 23:16Speaker 2: But if you get bodies on them and you.
- 23:18Speaker 4: It's it's kind of the It's kind of like how
- 23:21Speaker 4: I talked about with the Broncos. You want to hit
- 23:24Speaker 4: their edges and eventually the edges would start to crumble
- 23:28Speaker 4: and they'd eventually start to fall apart. You got you
- 23:31Speaker 4: gotta hit him. I mean, I love Taron Johnson, He's
- 23:33Speaker 4: a psychopath. Taron Johnson is one hundred and ninety pounds.
- 23:37Speaker 4: How long is he going to hold up constantly having
- 23:40Speaker 4: to hit.
- 23:40Speaker 2: Patrick Riccard like that? That is And it's.
- 23:45Speaker 4: Again like it's a very meathead thing to say, but
- 23:48Speaker 4: getting hit in the cold hurts. Having to play the
- 23:51Speaker 4: run in cold weather really hurts.
- 23:54Speaker 2: Like that. You don't want to keep having to hit people.
- 23:57Speaker 4: And as soon as you lose that want to or
- 23:59Speaker 4: as soon as they as soon as the Ravens feel like,
- 24:02Speaker 4: oh we've got like five yards with Derrick Henry, do
- 24:06Speaker 4: it again. Because that's my favorite thing about the Ravens.
- 24:09Speaker 4: If they notice a matchup or they notice something, they're
- 24:12Speaker 4: gonna hammer you.
- 24:13Speaker 2: They're gonna hammer you.
- 24:14Speaker 4: They did it to the Steelers with the zone read
- 24:17Speaker 4: and the option stuff, and they just hammered them the
- 24:20Speaker 4: entire game, and the Steelers.
- 24:22Speaker 2: Could do anything about it.
- 24:23Speaker 4: So I wonder how the Bills are gonna defend the
- 24:28Speaker 4: gap scheme runs because again, Henry is a runway runner.
- 24:33Speaker 4: You got to give him a little bit of a
- 24:35Speaker 4: lame and you do that with gap scheme. You want
- 24:38Speaker 4: to try and get him going downhill instantly. If they
- 24:42Speaker 4: can shut off some of that water. I'm not saying
- 24:44Speaker 4: you shut down the Ravens offense. I don't think so.
- 24:46Speaker 4: But then you put the onus a little bit more
- 24:49Speaker 4: on the quarterback. And again this is not saying Lamar
- 24:52Speaker 4: can't do it, but as I've always said, you want
- 24:55Speaker 4: to make the game easier on your star players. That's
- 24:58Speaker 4: the whole that's been the whole crux of twenty twenty four.
- 25:01Speaker 4: Every great offense in the league ticks the onus a
- 25:04Speaker 4: little bit off of their quarterback. It makes the game
- 25:07Speaker 4: a little easier for them. So the mutant quarterback can
- 25:10Speaker 4: do mutant quarterback stuff make the game difficult on them.
- 25:14Speaker 4: You have to force the issue. And this game is
- 25:17Speaker 4: gonna be so physical. It has to be physical you.
- 25:21Speaker 4: You have to come out swinging against this Ravens game.
- 25:23Speaker 4: You got you gotta hit them in the mouth before
- 25:25Speaker 4: they hit you first.
- 25:27Speaker 1: So much of the get to your point, like the
- 25:29Speaker 1: game thematically this year, for like offenses has been limiting,
- 25:33Speaker 1: like true dropback situations or known passing situations for your
- 25:36Speaker 1: QB and yeah, you know you mentioned earlier, kind of
- 25:39Speaker 1: like what the Bills did against the Lions and some
- 25:41Speaker 1: of their other matchups too, Like I Lamar, and I
- 25:45Speaker 1: want to preface this with what I'm about to say
- 25:47Speaker 1: because I don't want people to take it the wrong way,
- 25:48Speaker 1: and I know people will because if their Bills fans,
- 25:51Speaker 1: they're so anti Ravens anti Lamar. At this point, Lamar
- 25:54Speaker 1: Jackson is a good pocket passer, like he can throw
- 25:57Speaker 1: from the pocket, he has touched, he has anticipation, he
- 25:59Speaker 1: has arm strength like he's a good like thrower of
- 26:02Speaker 1: the football. But I would take my chances with that
- 26:07Speaker 1: rather than let Henry get going or let Lamar's legs
- 26:09Speaker 1: get going, because it's just an easier access point for
- 26:12Speaker 1: the Ravens, like I would rather take Okay, hit the
- 26:15Speaker 1: top of your drop, be on time, not have pressure
- 26:18Speaker 1: coverage is bad, or someone gets open. Take all that
- 26:22Speaker 1: rather than just like, well the offensive line created displacement.
- 26:25Speaker 1: There goes Derrick Henry, or up we messed up the
- 26:27Speaker 1: scrape exchange or the read up there goes Lamar and
- 26:30Speaker 1: he's just keeping the ball. Like that is just too
- 26:33Speaker 1: easy of an access point for that Ravens offense. And
- 26:36Speaker 1: I think you do have to sell out kind of
- 26:38Speaker 1: stop that run a little bit. And if if Lamar
- 26:40Speaker 1: kills you with his arm and he throws for four
- 26:41Speaker 1: point fifty, which is possible, I really tip your cap. Okay,
- 26:46Speaker 1: we try to isolate you. Yep, you don't got it.
- 26:50Speaker 1: That's it. Like if you know someone's best thing is like,
- 26:53Speaker 1: well they hit the inside fastball. Cool, I'm gonna throw
- 26:55Speaker 1: them breaking balls on the outside of the plate. And
- 26:57Speaker 1: if they go three for three or four for four, bro,
- 27:01Speaker 1: good job, like you did it. But I'm gonna try
- 27:03Speaker 1: and limit your strength or mitigate it as much as possible.
- 27:06Speaker 1: And that ties significantly into so all that ties into
- 27:10Speaker 1: my first point real quick. I wanted to grab this
- 27:12Speaker 1: comment here from Bill. Bill said, I got here late.
- 27:15Speaker 1: Did you guys cover Bobby Babbage, Bill's DC his new
- 27:18Speaker 1: Green Dog, odd mirror front concepts. I want to speak
- 27:20Speaker 1: on this really quickly, Eric and I'll be going over
- 27:22Speaker 1: at the film and tomorrow. The odd mirror thing that
- 27:24Speaker 1: the Bills did a bit versus Denver. They've been doing
- 27:27Speaker 1: this for years. They sprinkle it in. Leslie Fraser and
- 27:29Speaker 1: McDermott did it in the regular I forget which regular
- 27:34Speaker 1: season game against Kansas City a couple of years ago,
- 27:37Speaker 1: like they've been doing this reears. They did it against
- 27:38Speaker 1: Kansas City earlier this year. They did it in Vaughn's
- 27:41Speaker 1: first game against Kansas City. It's something that they will
- 27:44Speaker 1: bust out. They did it against Cincinnati in the Divisional
- 27:46Speaker 1: round of the playoffs and they lost a couple of
- 27:48Speaker 1: years ago. It's something they will will will. I don't
- 27:51Speaker 1: know why I said it like that bust out from
- 27:52Speaker 1: time to time. And essentially all it is is three
- 27:55Speaker 1: down linemen. They'll usually replace one of the defensive linemen
- 27:59Speaker 1: with a linebacker and it's just a three man rush.
- 28:01Speaker 1: All you are looking to do is get the quarterback
- 28:04Speaker 1: off his spot, like you're shooting inside. It does not matter.
- 28:07Speaker 1: You don't really care too much about like rush lane integrity.
- 28:10Speaker 1: You're just trying to break the pocket and make the
- 28:12Speaker 1: quarterback evade. You're trying to flush him out, and as
- 28:15Speaker 1: soon as he gets flushed, that spy is attacking and going.
- 28:19Speaker 1: You saw it early on against the Broncos. They ran
- 28:22Speaker 1: it odd mirror, three down defensive lineman, two linebackers, and
- 28:25Speaker 1: then dime behind it. I believe, so six dbs bo
- 28:30Speaker 1: Nicks willingly kind of gets himself off the spot. Mulonald
- 28:33Speaker 1: Triggers closes down right away. So it's been used by
- 28:35Speaker 1: the Bills for a couple of years. Georgia really made
- 28:37Speaker 1: a famous Kirby Smart and that whole crew. Usually you're
- 28:41Speaker 1: playing man coverage behind it. Sometimes the Bills won't, but
- 28:43Speaker 1: the whole idea is just three three man rush, get
- 28:46Speaker 1: the QB off his spot, and then attack him with
- 28:49Speaker 1: that fourth rusher who's the aggressive spy. So it's still
- 28:52Speaker 1: kind of like a four man rush, even though it's not.
- 28:55Speaker 1: Kind of can it almost functions kind of like a
- 28:57Speaker 1: twist or a stunt a little bit. Even though it's not.
- 28:59Speaker 1: You can use that spy is a little hole player
- 29:01Speaker 1: even though he's not. It allows you to have your
- 29:03Speaker 1: hand in a lot of baskets. But good comment there
- 29:06Speaker 1: from Bill. I just want to clarify that a bit
- 29:08Speaker 1: so my first point JP, and it ties heavily into yours.
- 29:12Speaker 1: I titled the Bills defense versus the Ravens heavier personnel
- 29:17Speaker 1: groupings m H. And I wanted to lead with that
- 29:20Speaker 1: because a couple of points, no problem will appreciate you
- 29:23Speaker 1: being here. And good question you mentioned a I mean
- 29:26Speaker 1: you mentioned a bunch of points that are gonna be
- 29:28Speaker 1: important this one. I want to start with the first piece,
- 29:30Speaker 1: Henry and the runway. My biggest concern. We talked about
- 29:33Speaker 1: it last week when you're on the show. We saw
- 29:35Speaker 1: it a little bit against Denver what I'm about to say,
- 29:37Speaker 1: but then gamescript got him away from it. And the
- 29:39Speaker 1: Bills actually did decent in this area. And when I
- 29:42Speaker 1: talk about plus, they played it with some numbers. Displacement
- 29:46Speaker 1: is a worry for the interior of this Bill's defense
- 29:49Speaker 1: in that spine, the interior defensive line, the second and
- 29:51Speaker 1: third wave of dudes going all the way up through,
- 29:53Speaker 1: they will get displaced, they will get knocked back, they
- 29:55Speaker 1: will get driven off the ball. Double teams are tough
- 29:58Speaker 1: for them. They will literally get loan to like three
- 30:01Speaker 1: four five yards off the ball. That is a huge
- 30:03Speaker 1: problem against the Baltimore Ravens, right so that they'll also
- 30:08Speaker 1: get displaced. Just from an individual standpoint, the gap scheme runs,
- 30:11Speaker 1: you know, just a down block or we're running crunch,
- 30:13Speaker 1: so with a trap and a whamon, I'm coming upfield.
- 30:16Speaker 1: Oh here comes somebody into my ear holt bang, I'm
- 30:18Speaker 1: way out. Henry's got this wide open a gap or
- 30:21Speaker 1: b gap, and he's cruising and getting downhill in a
- 30:24Speaker 1: multitude of other ways. The displacement is such an issue
- 30:28Speaker 1: for this Bill's defense, and then attached to that because
- 30:33Speaker 1: they traditionally are a light box defense, because they want
- 30:35Speaker 1: to have numbers and coverage, because they are a nickel defense,
- 30:38Speaker 1: and even within that nickel defense, I think a key
- 30:41Speaker 1: point that we don't talk about enough with the Bills
- 30:43Speaker 1: defense is not only are they primarily in nickel defense.
- 30:46Speaker 1: And I love Taron Johnson. He plays like he thinks
- 30:48Speaker 1: he's six two to two fifty. He plays like he
- 30:50Speaker 1: thinks he's Levon Kirklin from like the ninety Steelers, Like
- 30:52Speaker 1: that's what he thinks he's like but aside from him,
- 30:55Speaker 1: Terrell Bernard is a very undersized linebacker, and even Matt
- 30:59Speaker 1: Mulano is also undersize. Like Milano is under two thirty,
- 31:03Speaker 1: Bernard is like two twenty three soak and wet. So
- 31:06Speaker 1: with those two and Taron Johnson, you have a light
- 31:09Speaker 1: second level. But they shoot and they play like velociraptors,
- 31:14Speaker 1: which is awesome. But I look at this Ravens team
- 31:17Speaker 1: and they you know, we talked about it a bit.
- 31:19Speaker 1: They are so like they can morph into anything offensively, Like, oh,
- 31:25Speaker 1: you want us to go like eleven and go spread cool?
- 31:27Speaker 1: You want us to go with multiple tight ends and
- 31:29Speaker 1: go spread cool. You want us to go condense with
- 31:31Speaker 1: a multitude of personnel groupings cool, run the ball, gap zone,
- 31:35Speaker 1: read stuff, our po stuff, past stuff like whatever. They
- 31:37Speaker 1: can hit you and really anyway they want. They are
- 31:40Speaker 1: a true buzz saw. I said it to you on
- 31:42Speaker 1: Blue Sky. I think, like a couple of weeks ago,
- 31:44Speaker 1: like if everyone in the AFC offensively like hits their
- 31:47Speaker 1: peak or hits their ceiling, I think the Ravens are
- 31:50Speaker 1: the scariest because you cannot stop them. They are a
- 31:52Speaker 1: buzzsa on Multitude of fashions. I think the Chiefs are second,
- 31:55Speaker 1: but the Ravens are just this buzzsaw. But particularly and
- 31:58Speaker 1: you mentioned one of these personnel groupings. So out of
- 32:00Speaker 1: twenty two and twenty one personnel, the Ravens out of
- 32:04Speaker 1: twenty two personnel twelve point six percent usage rate, which
- 32:07Speaker 1: is first in the league. Second in the league is
- 32:10Speaker 1: the Chargers at nine percent, so almost a four percentage
- 32:13Speaker 1: point higher usage rate, which is significant from a percentage
- 32:16Speaker 1: point standpoint, which again makes sense, right if you've got
- 32:19Speaker 1: Ricard and you've got Henry, who's matching pat Ricard and
- 32:24Speaker 1: Derrick Henry. Right, But you look at that and you think, okay,
- 32:27Speaker 1: they probably run the ball a ton out of it.
- 32:30Speaker 1: When they passed the ball out of twenty two personnel
- 32:32Speaker 1: zero point four to two EPA per pass, that is
- 32:35Speaker 1: third out of that grouping. But to put it in perspective,
- 32:38Speaker 1: the Ravens led the NFL in overall EPA per pass
- 32:42Speaker 1: in general at zero point three to three, So zero
- 32:45Speaker 1: point three to three is like the height they're at
- 32:47Speaker 1: zero point four to two out of twenty two personnel.
- 32:51Speaker 1: And then when they run the ball out of twenty
- 32:52Speaker 1: two zero point one to three EPA per rush, which
- 32:55Speaker 1: is seventh. For reference, the Eagles led the NFL in
- 32:58Speaker 1: an overall EPA per rush at zero point zero six,
- 33:01Speaker 1: so they're essentially doubling that when they run out of
- 33:03Speaker 1: twenty two and then they have a twenty one point
- 33:05Speaker 1: eight percent pass rate out of it a seventy eight
- 33:08Speaker 1: point two percent run rate. The Bills defense versus twenty
- 33:12Speaker 1: two personnel zero point five two EPA per pass allowed,
- 33:16Speaker 1: which is twenty second. Not great as the look on
- 33:18Speaker 1: your face indicates zero point one six EPA per rush,
- 33:21Speaker 1: which I thought would be worse, but it's not, which
- 33:23Speaker 1: is respectable middle of the league. Fourteenth. Then if we
- 33:25Speaker 1: dive into and so for those who don't know, twenty
- 33:27Speaker 1: two two running backs, two tight ends, we go to
- 33:31Speaker 1: twenty one personnel, two running backs, one tight end. Ravens
- 33:35Speaker 1: eighteen point eight percent usage rate in twenty one third
- 33:38Speaker 1: highest zero point five EPA per pass, which is eighth,
- 33:41Speaker 1: zero point zero eight EPA per rush, which is ninth
- 33:45Speaker 1: thirty one point one thirty one point three percent pass
- 33:47Speaker 1: rate run rate of sixty eight point seven. This is
- 33:50Speaker 1: interesting though. The Bill's defense verse twenty one personnel zero
- 33:54Speaker 1: point two two EPA per pass which is nineteenth negative
- 33:58Speaker 1: zero point three six e pa per rush, which is
- 34:01Speaker 1: second best. I found that very surprising is from a
- 34:04Speaker 1: number's perspective. So how much do the Ravens lean into
- 34:08Speaker 1: this heavy aspect? Do they go with a six offensive lineman?
- 34:11Speaker 1: They had I believe fifteen reps with an extra offensive
- 34:14Speaker 1: lineman on the field against the Steelers it really worked.
- 34:17Speaker 1: Do they lean into the extra offensive lineman sets kind
- 34:20Speaker 1: of like the Bills do? Do you see more twenty one?
- 34:23Speaker 1: Is it more twenty two? Do we see some twelve?
- 34:26Speaker 1: There's a multitude of ways. I think the Ravens can
- 34:28Speaker 1: go from a body type standpoint, because they can go
- 34:32Speaker 1: heavy and mash you. But also those same dudes that
- 34:35Speaker 1: mash you can still function as pass catchers in a
- 34:38Speaker 1: multitude of ways. How the Bills choose to match with
- 34:41Speaker 1: that all while trying to not get displaced, which is
- 34:45Speaker 1: something they struggle with. That's really where everything starts for me,
- 34:49Speaker 1: because I think they can get displaced regularly, Like even
- 34:52Speaker 1: if the Ravens just go spread and go like eleven
- 34:54Speaker 1: or something, but if they really go heavy and want
- 34:56Speaker 1: to get downhill and mash, especially with those gap scheme runs,
- 34:58Speaker 1: like you talked about. That's where I word because I
- 35:01Speaker 1: think there could be alleys like not just holes created
- 35:04Speaker 1: alleys and runways. And if Henry gets those alleys and runways,
- 35:08Speaker 1: I mean, what do you do? And then you have
- 35:10Speaker 1: to commit more? So then what does Lamar do? Lamar
- 35:12Speaker 1: keeps it or they go play action and now you
- 35:14Speaker 1: sold out more. Is Lamar getting to the edge by himself?
- 35:18Speaker 1: Is he getting to the edge one on one? What
- 35:20Speaker 1: do you it? Just it starts this huge domino effect
- 35:22Speaker 1: all from like those personnel groupings or just that general
- 35:25Speaker 1: attack minded philosophy for the Ravens offense.
- 35:28Speaker 4: So that actually is one of my points, which is
- 35:31Speaker 4: the Ravens passing out of twenty two persons.
- 35:34Speaker 2: That's the biggest thing.
- 35:36Speaker 1: Which is what they did a lot in the first matchup.
- 35:38Speaker 1: They went heavy and condensed to pass the ball, and
- 35:40Speaker 1: they took advantage of the Bills big time.
- 35:42Speaker 2: And even then they didn't have all their tight ends healthy.
- 35:46Speaker 4: Tylby Cole is back, and that means they have their
- 35:49Speaker 4: blocking tight end, like Tylvit Cohler is the blocker of
- 35:53Speaker 4: the three.
- 35:54Speaker 2: But you hit purple in the head.
- 35:56Speaker 4: They have so many guys who feel so many hats
- 35:58Speaker 4: like parts of Ricard has three hundred pounds full back.
- 36:01Speaker 2: You could you could make the.
- 36:02Speaker 4: Argument that if Patrick Carr put on the number seventy
- 36:05Speaker 4: two instead of forty two, he probably started tackling and.
- 36:08Speaker 1: Didn't he not crazy, didn't he He would he would
- 36:10Speaker 1: get some reps of defensive tackle or he was a
- 36:12Speaker 1: deckle in his career.
- 36:14Speaker 4: That's where Harball picked him up, picked him up and
- 36:17Speaker 4: was like, hey, I'm gonna turn you into a full back.
- 36:20Speaker 2: And Riccar was like, okay, all.
- 36:21Speaker 4: Right, all right, man, Like we've seen what Jim Harbaugh
- 36:25Speaker 4: try to do with Scott Mattlock and basically.
- 36:27Speaker 2: Try and turn him into Patrick Ricard. But Patrick Card
- 36:30Speaker 2: does that.
- 36:31Speaker 4: You have Isaiah Likely, who I don't think is a
- 36:35Speaker 4: great blocker.
- 36:36Speaker 2: But is very good on split.
- 36:38Speaker 1: Flow blocks, difference that's coming across and taking out that
- 36:42Speaker 1: edge car.
- 36:43Speaker 4: He he will detonate on guys coming back across the formation.
- 36:47Speaker 4: He is he is the bodyguard blocker for Lamar on
- 36:51Speaker 4: all those zone read keepers.
- 36:53Speaker 2: He is the bodyguard. He's kind of leading him out
- 36:56Speaker 2: the back.
- 36:56Speaker 4: Back door and he's gonna try and detonate on any
- 36:59Speaker 4: d defensive back that he sees and I think your
- 37:02Speaker 4: point is really good because it kind of ties into
- 37:04Speaker 4: what I said with how the Bills have decided to
- 37:07Speaker 4: defend these heavier formations. And I think they're so good
- 37:11Speaker 4: against twenty one because you see a lot more twenty
- 37:15Speaker 4: one in the NFL than you do twenty two. I mean,
- 37:17Speaker 4: with everybody trying to be let the forty nine ers
- 37:20Speaker 4: and then the Lions warning a lot of twenty one,
- 37:23Speaker 4: you see a lot more of it, but you really
- 37:25Speaker 4: don't see a lot of twenty two in the NFL.
- 37:28Speaker 2: You just don't.
- 37:29Speaker 4: And I'm curious how Buffalo decides to defend this game
- 37:35Speaker 4: because early in the first game they tried to match
- 37:38Speaker 4: it with three linebackers, and I thought that the Bills
- 37:41Speaker 4: defense always gets worse when they have to play bass
- 37:45Speaker 4: because you have to make the choice. You have to
- 37:47Speaker 4: take Taron Johnson off the field for a bigger linebacker,
- 37:51Speaker 4: or you have to hope Taron Johnson holds up in
- 37:53Speaker 4: the run game. Yeah, so if they decide to play
- 37:57Speaker 4: light against twenty two, you have to spin Taylor rat
- 38:01Speaker 4: into the box. You have to try and sell everything
- 38:03Speaker 4: out like you did against the Lions. But again, that's
- 38:07Speaker 4: opening up the door to lamar out the back way.
- 38:11Speaker 4: It's opening up all the boot action, it's opening up
- 38:13Speaker 4: all the stuff that they do with the tight ends terrifying.
- 38:16Speaker 2: It's they just have an answer for everything.
- 38:20Speaker 4: It's like, oh, you want to sell out against the run,
- 38:22Speaker 4: We'll just all right, We'll throw it over your head
- 38:24Speaker 4: to Mark Andrews, who very quietly Mark Andrews has been incredible.
- 38:28Speaker 1: After everybody wrote him off to start, I.
- 38:31Speaker 4: Say, like, he's getting all the targets. No, Mark Andrews
- 38:34Speaker 4: is still really freaking good. I look this up and
- 38:37Speaker 4: I wanted to figure out how well they passed the
- 38:40Speaker 4: ball out.
- 38:41Speaker 2: Of twenty two personnel.
- 38:42Speaker 4: And the thing that kind of surprises me the most, well,
- 38:46Speaker 4: not really, but the thing that kind of gets me
- 38:48Speaker 4: is the Ravens have the most passing attempts according to SIS,
- 38:54Speaker 4: out of twenty two personnel, but they're not dinking and dunking.
- 38:57Speaker 4: Out of twenty two personnel, their average throw dep is
- 39:00Speaker 4: eight point four yards, which I believe is fourth in
- 39:04Speaker 4: the NFL, but it's behind the Jets with two attempts
- 39:09Speaker 4: the Dolphins only had nine. Or the Dolphins had nine,
- 39:12Speaker 4: which is the only person in the top five that
- 39:15Speaker 4: actually like did anything, because then fifth is the Chargers
- 39:19Speaker 4: at seven point six, and then you have the Broncos
- 39:22Speaker 4: at eleven, like they they want to try and hit
- 39:26Speaker 4: you downfield hard and they want to try and get
- 39:29Speaker 4: you biting, like on the run face. And then the
- 39:32Speaker 4: perfect example of this was against the Bills the first
- 39:34Speaker 4: time that little sale route likely and Lamar is really
- 39:38Speaker 4: good at throwing that sale route. He is really good
- 39:41Speaker 4: at dis feathering it right over the top of the
- 39:43Speaker 4: linebacker or right over the top of the safety.
- 39:46Speaker 2: And I worry a little bit because.
- 39:48Speaker 4: This feels like the same type of game that the
- 39:53Speaker 4: Chiefs tried to play last year against the Bills, where
- 39:56Speaker 4: they tried to bring all the tight ends onto the field.
- 39:59Speaker 2: They did it differently.
- 40:00Speaker 4: Chiefs don't have a full back the Chiefs did thirteen.
- 40:03Speaker 4: So the Chiefs are really funny because everybody's treated Travis
- 40:08Speaker 4: Kelcey like a receiver and they went, Okay, we'll just
- 40:10Speaker 4: keep adding tight ends onto the field until you respect us.
- 40:14Speaker 4: So I think the Ravens do it differently because Mark
- 40:18Speaker 4: Andrews isn't necessarily a good blocker, and not Isaiah Likely
- 40:22Speaker 4: isn't necessarily a good blocker.
- 40:24Speaker 2: But Patrick Ricard is like that is his thing.
- 40:26Speaker 4: You're not gonna see Patrick Riccard with a reception or
- 40:30Speaker 4: a target at all.
- 40:31Speaker 2: He is in there to block, and.
- 40:33Speaker 4: He's in there to I mean, he'll sometimes be in
- 40:35Speaker 4: there as like an extra help on pass protection. But
- 40:39Speaker 4: how the Bills decide to match up against their heavier
- 40:42Speaker 4: looks is really going to be what decides this game.
- 40:46Speaker 4: And I think it's going to decide this game on
- 40:48Speaker 4: both sides.
- 40:50Speaker 1: So that's like part of like I guess I have
- 40:52Speaker 1: a sub bulletin for this one. Is our bullet not bulletin.
- 40:58Speaker 1: I don't know why I'm falling apart already, and this
- 41:00Speaker 1: is on Tuesday in the week. We're still early in
- 41:02Speaker 1: the show. I'm falling apart of the show, and flight's
- 41:04Speaker 1: only Tuesday on falling apart for the week is over. Like,
- 41:07Speaker 1: the Bills have been so successful with Alec Anderson on
- 41:11Speaker 1: the field as that extra offensive lineman. And what I
- 41:13Speaker 1: really like that they do is he'll be like the
- 41:17Speaker 1: extra offensive lineman and they'll have like multiple tight ends,
- 41:19Speaker 1: or they'll go heavy, or they'll use him as like
- 41:22Speaker 1: an inline tight end and then do creative stuff in
- 41:25Speaker 1: the run game, or they'll go play action and now
- 41:29Speaker 1: instead of having a tight end on a defensive end
- 41:31Speaker 1: in play action, now you got big on big and
- 41:34Speaker 1: they can hold up longer. In pass protection, they can
- 41:36Speaker 1: try to attack downfield a little bit because they hold
- 41:38Speaker 1: up better, especially if you put them on Spencer brown
- 41:40Speaker 1: side and then have Dian Dawkins one on one or
- 41:42Speaker 1: the other, because Dawkins has been killing it this year.
- 41:44Speaker 1: But Alec Anderson's presence, Reggie Gilliam's presence, I mean, the
- 41:48Speaker 1: Bills were pulling off the past several we started to
- 41:52Speaker 1: seeing in Detroit and then even more so as the
- 41:54Speaker 1: end of the season went on. Not so much against
- 41:56Speaker 1: New England in the last game of the year because
- 41:58Speaker 1: they didn't have to, but we started to see like
- 42:00Speaker 1: new wrinkles to the Bills run game offense, more pistol,
- 42:03Speaker 1: but more gap scheme stuff like traditional counter than running
- 42:07Speaker 1: that blast motion into counter. We saw an actual power
- 42:12Speaker 1: against against Denver and the Bill. The Bills are not
- 42:15Speaker 1: like a power encounter team. The mostion you'll get from
- 42:17Speaker 1: either of those is counter, but it's like QB bash counters,
- 42:20Speaker 1: which is like counter, but also like not traditional counter.
- 42:24Speaker 1: They're leaning into like all kinds of gap scheme stuff,
- 42:26Speaker 1: and they'll go heavy with Gilliam and an extra offensive lineman.
- 42:29Speaker 1: And then for the Ravens defense, how do you counter that?
- 42:33Speaker 1: Because I like I like Modin Humphrey, I always have.
- 42:37Speaker 1: I feel like he's always got a lot of flak,
- 42:39Speaker 1: but his ability in the slot to cover and he
- 42:41Speaker 1: had a great lockdown game against the Bills the first
- 42:44Speaker 1: time around. But he fits the run with purpose that
- 42:47Speaker 1: Houston game several weeks ago. He's making plays at the line,
- 42:50Speaker 1: he's inserting, he's taken on blocks, he's making tackles like
- 42:53Speaker 1: he has no problem fitting the run. And honestly, like
- 42:58Speaker 1: like him against Dalton Kincaid is advantage Humphrey. Even him
- 43:02Speaker 1: against Shakir might be advantage Humphrey. Him versus Matt Collins
- 43:05Speaker 1: would be a dog fight, like give me that like
- 43:08Speaker 1: that fit on the rum. But if the Bills go heavy,
- 43:12Speaker 1: do the Ravens want to go on and nickel or
- 43:15Speaker 1: just the how does that Bills heavy? Because the Ravens
- 43:18Speaker 1: heavy is a true heavy like with likely Andrews, Ricard Kohler,
- 43:23Speaker 1: the Bill's heavy Knox is legit. But is it like
- 43:26Speaker 1: Knox Gilliam, Alec Anderson, is it Knox, Kincaid, gilliam Is
- 43:30Speaker 1: it knocks Kincaid Anderson, And now like, how many bodies
- 43:34Speaker 1: are attached to the line, what kind of surface are
- 43:37Speaker 1: you presenting. I think that's a cool one as well,
- 43:39Speaker 1: because that can dictate a little bit to the Ravens
- 43:42Speaker 1: defense and the Bills run game. Personnel groupings and alignments.
- 43:46Speaker 1: Joe Brady has wielded all of those to kind of
- 43:49Speaker 1: take the pressure off Allen this year, which has helped
- 43:52Speaker 1: him be more of a mutant alien unicorn because he
- 43:54Speaker 1: doesn't have to do it all the time.
- 43:56Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think that also kind of plays into
- 43:59Speaker 4: one of the things that I say specifically about this
- 44:01Speaker 4: game and about this team and about the Ravens and
- 44:06Speaker 4: kind of basing it on how the game went in
- 44:08Speaker 4: Week four, Travis.
- 44:09Speaker 2: Jones dominated that.
- 44:11Speaker 4: Yeah, that is the one guy that the Ravens are
- 44:16Speaker 4: second in the NFL and EPA for play giving up
- 44:19Speaker 4: against the run.
- 44:19Speaker 2: They are really good against the run.
- 44:21Speaker 4: But it's unlike the first team the Vikings, where they
- 44:23Speaker 4: kind of they kind of get flow and they try
- 44:26Speaker 4: and steal gaps. No, the Ravens are just as big
- 44:29Speaker 4: as hell and they are mean as hell.
- 44:31Speaker 1: And Michael Pierce didn't play the first time the Bills
- 44:33Speaker 1: played the Ravens either.
- 44:34Speaker 2: Yes, and Michael Pierce is basically a fire hydrant.
- 44:39Speaker 4: I think he might he might not reach six feet,
- 44:42Speaker 4: but he is built like a cul de sac and
- 44:45Speaker 4: you can't move him. You can't move these guys. But
- 44:50Speaker 4: where Travis Jones really made an impact was in the
- 44:52Speaker 4: passing game. He drew holdings, he drew a sack, he
- 44:55Speaker 4: got a sack. He was an impact pushing the pocket.
- 44:58Speaker 4: And I think that's the part where if you want
- 45:01Speaker 4: to try and get the Ravens defense in base, I
- 45:03Speaker 4: would understand that because Malik Harrison will be.
- 45:05Speaker 1: On the field advantage of him in the past.
- 45:09Speaker 4: Malik Harrison is really good as a run defender. You
- 45:12Speaker 4: can see some of the stats that they play in
- 45:15Speaker 4: the run. They are incredible with Malik Harrison on the
- 45:20Speaker 4: field and base. When they play the run with him
- 45:22Speaker 4: on the field, they're a negative point one four EPA
- 45:24Speaker 4: for play elat and against the run. Like when they
- 45:27Speaker 4: go base and he is the off ball linebacker. He's
- 45:31Speaker 4: really good at that. But I wonder how they're gonna
- 45:34Speaker 4: insulate it. But then that that answers the question with
- 45:37Speaker 4: Kyle Hamilton back and our Darius Washington back, they can
- 45:41Speaker 4: play the light boxes because Rokwan Smith hasn't had a
- 45:45Speaker 4: great year in pass coverage, but he's a monster fitting
- 45:49Speaker 4: the run. Leeke Harrison is a monster fitting the run.
- 45:53Speaker 4: And so one of my worries for the Bills offense,
- 45:55Speaker 4: like we said, with the Ravens becoming one dimensional, forcing
- 45:58Speaker 4: your mutant quarterback to have to be Superman every single play,
- 46:03Speaker 4: I worry a little bit about this Ravens run defense
- 46:08Speaker 4: and forcing Josh Allen to be Superman all the time,
- 46:12Speaker 4: which he can be, but that's not how the Bills
- 46:15Speaker 4: have won football games this year.
- 46:16Speaker 2: If you think about all the games where Josh Allen.
- 46:19Speaker 4: Has had to become like where the Superman cape all
- 46:23Speaker 4: the time, it has been those games where they struggled
- 46:25Speaker 4: a little bit. It's the Texans, he went nine to thirty,
- 46:28Speaker 4: they lost the game to the Rams where Josh Allen
- 46:30Speaker 4: went super nova like it's it's those those games, and
- 46:34Speaker 4: even the Ravens game, of course Gamescript kind of threw
- 46:37Speaker 4: it off. But the run defense that the Ravens can
- 46:41Speaker 4: play and force you into those uncomfortable third down situations
- 46:46Speaker 4: where that's when they really start throwing shit at you.
- 46:50Speaker 4: There's I will never forget the repigans of the Bills
- 46:53Speaker 4: where they have everybody walked up and Kyle Hamilton hauls
- 46:57Speaker 4: ass to the back half of the field and I'm
- 47:00Speaker 4: just like, what what do you do? Like, I don't
- 47:02Speaker 4: know what else you're supposed to do in that situation.
- 47:04Speaker 4: So I'm really intrigued with how the Bills attack this
- 47:08Speaker 4: Ravens defense that is so damn good against the run,
- 47:12Speaker 4: and I think it's good in a different way from
- 47:14Speaker 4: the Broncos because while the Broncos edges are better against
- 47:18Speaker 4: the pass and they run, the Ravens are gonna try
- 47:22Speaker 4: and hit you in the mouth like. Their worst running
- 47:26Speaker 4: defender on the edge is probably Ojabo, but he's he
- 47:29Speaker 4: comes in as a designated pass rusher. Calvan Noy has
- 47:32Speaker 4: seen everything and has eleven and a half sacks this year,
- 47:35Speaker 4: which I have no idea where.
- 47:36Speaker 2: That came from. But oh way, monster in the run game.
- 47:41Speaker 4: What sometimes what they'll do They'll play Malik Harrison on
- 47:44Speaker 4: the edge and have Tritton Simpson on the field, who
- 47:47Speaker 4: is better in pass coverage.
- 47:48Speaker 2: So that's what I'd also worry about.
- 47:50Speaker 4: It's the chess pieces that they can move around to
- 47:54Speaker 4: match the chest pieces the Bills can move around.
- 47:57Speaker 1: I love that point and I love that piece, and
- 48:00Speaker 1: it was it was super important and impactful. The first
- 48:04Speaker 1: time around when these teams played, the Bills couldn't move
- 48:07Speaker 1: the ball grade on first and second down. The run
- 48:09Speaker 1: game wasn't clicking, and they were in a lot of
- 48:12Speaker 1: what we talked about earlier that offenses are trying to
- 48:15Speaker 1: avoid this year in the theme of the NFL. They
- 48:17Speaker 1: ended up in a lot of known passing down in
- 48:19Speaker 1: distances or true drop back situations, and the Ravens just
- 48:23Speaker 1: teed off with designer coverages rushes. The one that was
- 48:26Speaker 1: in my mind, so you're talking about the one that
- 48:27Speaker 1: Hamilton had, I remember that the one that got me there.
- 48:32Speaker 1: They end up they show pressure and they drop Kyle
- 48:38Speaker 1: Hamilton and Metabique as like low hole players each and
- 48:43Speaker 1: I like that's when I was like, oh this, like
- 48:45Speaker 1: you're done, Like they're just they're just feeling it and
- 48:48Speaker 1: they are in it. But it was because they could
- 48:49Speaker 1: the Bills kept being in like third and nine, third
- 48:52Speaker 1: and eleven, third and eight, and then especially because this
- 48:55Speaker 1: was pri Amari Cooper, Wiggins and Humphrey especially, are athletic
- 49:01Speaker 1: enough and good enough as corners to limit and mitigate
- 49:05Speaker 1: the separation that the Bills could potentially generate. So you
- 49:09Speaker 1: have to manufacture a lot of it with scheme and
- 49:12Speaker 1: designs and how you're gonna get guys open. But that's
- 49:15Speaker 1: messed up if your quarterback is pressured or the defense
- 49:18Speaker 1: knows you have to pass it. Like there were so many. Actually,
- 49:21Speaker 1: you know what's funny is I changed if I have
- 49:25Speaker 1: If I removed this banner here, it doesn't show it
- 49:28Speaker 1: on this one. I had like under for most of
- 49:31Speaker 1: the shows, Like the banner underneath my Twitter handle will
- 49:33Speaker 1: say game script enthusiasts. I changed it to that after
- 49:36Speaker 1: the raven well after the Texans game, because both of
- 49:39Speaker 1: those games that the Bills lost, gamescript mattered so much
- 49:44Speaker 1: offenses were able to stick with the run. The Bills
- 49:46Speaker 1: offense got away from their run game because of what happened,
- 49:49Speaker 1: and at that time, the instructure passing game was just
- 49:51Speaker 1: not it. But the Ravens really set that blueprint where Okay,
- 49:55Speaker 1: we're not gonna let you run the ball. It's third
- 49:58Speaker 1: and long, find somebody open, do something, and we know
- 50:02Speaker 1: you're gonna pass. So now we're getting into crazy coverage
- 50:04Speaker 1: stuff because we have this crazy mix and against a
- 50:08Speaker 1: little different now with how they use Hamilton. They deploy
- 50:11Speaker 1: him tremendously. In that first matchup, he's covering the flat,
- 50:13Speaker 1: he's in the middle, like hook curl.
- 50:15Speaker 4: The Shakir tackle to start the game was the like
- 50:19Speaker 4: it was the second oh shit moment. Yes, as like
- 50:22Speaker 4: as like a neutral observer of this game, it's like, oh,
- 50:24Speaker 4: the Ravens didn't come to mess around in this game.
- 50:26Speaker 1: No, I was watching all they were deploying him. Yeah,
- 50:28Speaker 1: when he did that, I was like, oh no, like
- 50:30Speaker 1: strap in, like this is it's gonna be rough, and
- 50:32Speaker 1: they were getting in everything. And now again Hamilton is
- 50:35Speaker 1: more traditional safety now. I like his pairing with Ardarius Washington,
- 50:38Speaker 1: who Washington is so he's so fun. I compare him
- 50:42Speaker 1: to I say, the way he moves and hits, I
- 50:45Speaker 1: call you call him like a red shell in Mario Kart.
- 50:47Speaker 1: It's just like he'd seeking and he's gonna detonate or
- 50:49Speaker 1: get detonated on like he's either gonna go belly up
- 50:52Speaker 1: or he's taken. He's going through you. But but he's
- 50:55Speaker 1: he is.
- 50:56Speaker 4: I made the comparison on Blue Sky of if Josh
- 50:58Speaker 4: Allen plays football like Golden Retriever, Baker Mayfield is the Chihuahua.
- 51:02Speaker 4: Our Darius Washington is the chuahua that defense.
- 51:05Speaker 1: Absolutely he is. Yes, Eddie's gonna He's that one that
- 51:09Speaker 1: you're trying to like walk into like your girlfriend's like
- 51:13Speaker 1: Mom's house for dinner and she has to chuah on
- 51:15Speaker 1: and the chua is like all over your ankle, bite
- 51:17Speaker 1: in your leg and won't give them. You're just like trying.
- 51:18Speaker 1: You're you have like you're holding a plate of food
- 51:20Speaker 1: that you brought. You're trying to shake it off and
- 51:22Speaker 1: you just won't get He gives them good.
- 51:26Speaker 4: The fourth down play against the Texans where mixing, it's.
- 51:29Speaker 1: Like fourth and one in the low red zone.
- 51:31Speaker 4: In the low red zone, Darius Washington comes flying down
- 51:34Speaker 4: the field and stops him for no game, just turnover
- 51:38Speaker 4: on downs. That is what ar Darius Washington does. Like
- 51:41Speaker 4: you said, he is the red shell of that defense
- 51:44Speaker 4: where Kyle Hamilton will be deployed in a lot of
- 51:47Speaker 4: different areas. They asked Ardarius Washington to do one thing,
- 51:51Speaker 4: which is hit people really hard.
- 51:53Speaker 1: Yeah, and it'll come through. Like even against the Steelers.
- 51:56Speaker 1: It ended up being a four yard game, not because
- 51:58Speaker 1: Washington but because the Ravens line got to place. He
- 52:01Speaker 1: meets Naji Harris in the hole. Our Darius Washington is
- 52:04Speaker 1: listed at one seventy seven. Naji Harris is listed at
- 52:06Speaker 1: two twenty and he and.
- 52:09Speaker 2: I don't believe either of those.
- 52:10Speaker 1: No, No, our Darius Washing is maybe like one seventy
- 52:14Speaker 1: two tops, and Naji is probably like two twenty five,
- 52:17Speaker 1: two thirty Like.
- 52:19Speaker 2: Nazi, he'supposed to two forty. The Steelers lie on a
- 52:22Speaker 2: lot of their weight, Tod Starnel.
- 52:23Speaker 4: Washington's not to seventy, Nase's not too twenty. Like, you
- 52:27Speaker 4: don't have to keep lying about leastly.
- 52:28Speaker 1: We can see we have ice. Yeah, Like and our
- 52:31Speaker 1: Darius sticks him and picks the ankle and holds it
- 52:34Speaker 1: on and Wiggins helps clean it up a little bit. Yeah,
- 52:36Speaker 1: just what they can do from a body type standpoint.
- 52:39Speaker 1: And I don't think this is unique to the Bills
- 52:40Speaker 1: and how they can get the Bills problems. But so
- 52:43Speaker 1: much of the Bills offense is like, well, we've got
- 52:45Speaker 1: these two tight ends that allow us to run the
- 52:47Speaker 1: ball but also pass the ball. We've got Matt Collins
- 52:50Speaker 1: and Khalil Shakir and Keyan Coleman, these receivers that can
- 52:54Speaker 1: block but also function as pass catchers. And then the
- 52:56Speaker 1: Ravens are just like we got Kyle Hamilton and Ardarius
- 52:59Speaker 1: washing Ertain and Marlon Humphrey and Rokwan, so we can
- 53:04Speaker 1: whatever you want to do, we can kind of match it.
- 53:06Speaker 1: And that was really on display that first time. So
- 53:09Speaker 1: getting them out of that this time, yeah, I that's
- 53:12Speaker 1: such a oh, it's such a good matchup piece because
- 53:14Speaker 1: it really it put the Bills into an uncomfortable spot
- 53:18Speaker 1: right from the get go, where it was they ironically
- 53:22Speaker 1: what we're kind of talking about with Lamar a little bit,
- 53:24Speaker 1: the Ravens did, Okay, we're taking away the we're taking
- 53:27Speaker 1: away your support system, Josh. So if you beat us
- 53:30Speaker 1: because you go super nova like you said, okay, If
- 53:34Speaker 1: Alan rushes for eighty five and throws for three seventy, okay,
- 53:39Speaker 1: that's why we lost likes. And that's what I'm doing
- 53:42Speaker 1: if I'm the Ravens like, and that's not to knock
- 53:43Speaker 1: Josh Allen or anything. I'm not letting the run game
- 53:46Speaker 1: get going aside from Josh Allen, like, make Alan have
- 53:49Speaker 1: to put on the cape and beat you the whole time.
- 53:51Speaker 1: And if he does, okay, like you lost to a
- 53:54Speaker 1: dude who balled out, Like there's no shame in that.
- 53:56Speaker 1: I'm cool if if Mellow scores fifty and you cool
- 54:02Speaker 1: it happened, But like I might let Mello score fifty,
- 54:05Speaker 1: and if I make everyone else inefficient, cool, we win
- 54:08Speaker 1: like what one twenty to like ninety five but Mellow
- 54:11Speaker 1: had fifty.
- 54:12Speaker 2: Cool.
- 54:12Speaker 1: I don't care. Like it can work both ways, but yeah,
- 54:15Speaker 1: I think you have to try and put that owners
- 54:16Speaker 1: completely on Josh, not allow anything else to kind of
- 54:19Speaker 1: work for you in a similar way that if you're
- 54:20Speaker 1: the Bills, you got to make Lamar do it all
- 54:23Speaker 1: like with his arm and yeah, which is again so
- 54:25Speaker 1: fun of this.
- 54:26Speaker 2: Conversation is so similar. Yes, like it's they are mirror
- 54:30Speaker 2: images of each other.
- 54:32Speaker 4: Again, hate make the air anime comparison, but it feels
- 54:35Speaker 4: like the Naruto Saske.
- 54:37Speaker 2: Thing where they are they are mirror images of each other.
- 54:41Speaker 4: But that's why they keep fighting, Like, that's why they
- 54:43Speaker 4: keep That's why they always end up in this situation.
- 54:45Speaker 4: It's why the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills always end up here.
- 54:50Speaker 4: Because they are all so similar. And that's not to
- 54:54Speaker 4: not to not what they're doing over there, but that's
- 54:56Speaker 4: why the Bengals aren't there yet. They haven't gotten too
- 55:00Speaker 4: We haven't got to that point where they're similar to
- 55:02Speaker 4: the Ravens, Bills and the Cheeks.
- 55:05Speaker 2: They don't. They don't do the same stuff.
- 55:07Speaker 1: No, that's fair. It makes me think of when like
- 55:09Speaker 1: Vegeta thought he became a super saying but he really
- 55:12Speaker 1: hadn't yet, and he was like, well, I'm a super saying,
- 55:14Speaker 1: I got this power this and then and we was
- 55:15Speaker 1: like and we were all like, no, your hair's not gold,
- 55:18Speaker 1: and you're you're not there yet, like you're still strong
- 55:21Speaker 1: and you can do stuff, but no, you're not super
- 55:23Speaker 1: saying yet, which hurts me in my heart because Vegeta
- 55:25Speaker 1: is my favorite. He needs I just want one one
- 55:28Speaker 1: one saga one time where he wins it and he
- 55:31Speaker 1: does the thing. I'm so sick. I'm always come into
- 55:34Speaker 1: up second.
- 55:35Speaker 4: I need them to animate the planet Eater morow Art,
- 55:39Speaker 4: because that is what you're getting with Vegeta, and that
- 55:43Speaker 4: that's what you're getting with Goku.
- 55:45Speaker 2: Like it. It's incredible.
- 55:47Speaker 4: I read it though my brother asked me to read
- 55:49Speaker 4: it and I'll blown away.
- 55:51Speaker 1: My cousin bought it for me because I'd always done
- 55:53Speaker 1: the show stuff and then he got me like the
- 55:54Speaker 1: mangas and like actual stuff to like read, and yeah,
- 55:56Speaker 1: I was, Yeah, I it's so good. I can't. I
- 56:00Speaker 1: can't allow that to get too much of the foe
- 56:01Speaker 1: from my break because we're gonna get so distracted.
- 56:03Speaker 2: I can't.
- 56:03Speaker 1: I can't allow it to happen. Oh, but I really
- 56:05Speaker 1: want to know. I can't let it happen. My second
- 56:09Speaker 1: point tied to some of the past stuff. But Josh Allen,
- 56:14Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, top to MVP candidates, they do all of
- 56:17Speaker 1: these things amazingly well. Their pressure numbers are very, very
- 56:22Speaker 1: very interesting in a good way. So just for some
- 56:25Speaker 1: overall numbers, Josh Allen pressured on one hundred and seventy
- 56:29Speaker 1: six of his five hundred and forty two drop backs.
- 56:32Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson pressured on two hundred and four of his
- 56:35Speaker 1: five hundred and forty drop backs, so two drop back difference,
- 56:38Speaker 1: but a significant amount of pressures more on Lamar than Alan.
- 56:42Speaker 1: Josh Allen first as in best in the league in
- 56:45Speaker 1: terms of percentage of pressures converted to sacks eight percent.
- 56:49Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is fourth at eleven point three, so extremely close.
- 56:54Speaker 1: Both of these guys, they get pressured. And this makes sense,
- 56:56Speaker 1: right if you're watching how both these guys play. Guys
- 56:59Speaker 1: get into the backfield, Well, Lamar's just running away from everybody.
- 57:02Speaker 1: Allen's either running away or stiff arming defensive lineman or
- 57:05Speaker 1: shaking them or doing whatever he wants to do EPA
- 57:08Speaker 1: per drop back when under pressure. Josh Allen is third,
- 57:11Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is first, rating under pressure Josh Allen thirteenth,
- 57:16Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson first. Both of them are tied with touchdowns
- 57:19Speaker 1: under pressure or for touchdowns under pressure at fifth. They
- 57:21Speaker 1: each have nine completion percentage over expected under pressure kind
- 57:25Speaker 1: of man for both. Allen is fourteenth, Lamar's twenty fourth.
- 57:29Speaker 1: Big time throws under pressure, Josh Allen is tied for first.
- 57:33Speaker 1: He's also first in the overall percentage of Big Time
- 57:36Speaker 1: throws under pressure. Lamar tied for eighth in total big
- 57:39Speaker 1: Time throws under pressure, tie for fifteenth in percent. Pressuring
- 57:43Speaker 1: either of these guys is difficult. Getting home against either
- 57:47Speaker 1: of them is difficult. We talked about it as one
- 57:49Speaker 1: of our points last week for the Broncos defense against
- 57:51Speaker 1: the Bills offense. Can you pressure Allen? Which is hard?
- 57:54Speaker 1: If you pressure him, can you get home so much?
- 57:56Speaker 1: I think of that battle is tied to what we
- 58:01Speaker 1: see because I think you have to force You have
- 58:05Speaker 1: to force both offenses because they operate similarly, although differently schematically.
- 58:09Speaker 1: You have to force them to be siloed. You have
- 58:11Speaker 1: to force them to live in this drop back like
- 58:13Speaker 1: passing in structure kind of world. But you risk by
- 58:17Speaker 1: making them drop back, you risk? Okay, do they scramble?
- 58:20Speaker 2: Like?
- 58:21Speaker 1: Do they get away? Are they evading Lamar? It seems
- 58:25Speaker 1: every week pulls off where he like jukes three dudes
- 58:27Speaker 1: in the pocket and then somebody leaks out and he finds.
- 58:29Speaker 2: Like the Avatar, he's in the Avatar state.
- 58:34Speaker 1: Yeah, I said he was an alter stint last week. Yeah,
- 58:37Speaker 1: he's just moved so differently. The justice will touch down
- 58:40Speaker 1: where he jumped.
- 58:41Speaker 4: And the thing about Lamar and I think the coolest
- 58:43Speaker 4: thing about watching these two quarterbacks with those numbers, like
- 58:45Speaker 4: you said on the pressure is how they operate differently
- 58:48Speaker 4: but they still get the same results. Lamar drifts a
- 58:51Speaker 4: lost in the in the pocket. He will drift backwards underpressure.
- 58:55Speaker 4: But that's because he can just glide. He'll just move away.
- 58:59Speaker 4: It's like ultra instinct where he'll just get run, one
- 59:03Speaker 4: move up, one move this way, and then like everybody
- 59:06Speaker 4: just falls apart. Where Josh Allen I think a lot
- 59:09Speaker 4: has been made of the scramble to the right.
- 59:10Speaker 2: Don't know, scramble the right, which is fair.
- 59:12Speaker 4: But Josh Allen's average depth of target under pressure is
- 59:17Speaker 4: thirteen and a half. He's not he's when he gets
- 59:21Speaker 4: out the poker when.
- 59:22Speaker 2: He is pressured. He's not throwing a check down.
- 59:25Speaker 4: He's like, Okay, I'm gonna go throw this downfield, whereas
- 59:28Speaker 4: Lamar is like, okay, I'm gonna I'm gonna move out
- 59:31Speaker 4: a little bit. I'm gonna evade some of the pressure
- 59:34Speaker 4: and then I will start to try and run a
- 59:36Speaker 4: little bit. Because his scramble rate under pressure is fifteen
- 59:40Speaker 4: point four percent, which second. Josh Allen is third at
- 59:42Speaker 4: fourteen point six. But you can see how they how
- 59:46Speaker 4: they pull each other's levers and under pressure. So I
- 59:50Speaker 4: do I do wonder how both these teams attack pressuring
- 59:54Speaker 4: and what they try and do. Because I thought the
- 59:55Speaker 4: Broncos game plan was good, was a good idea, but
- 59:59Speaker 4: terrible an execution. Jonathan Cooper was on the right side
- 1:00:03Speaker 4: a lot, and I think Spencer Brown also does a
- 1:00:05Speaker 4: good job of this where he kind of steers people
- 1:00:08Speaker 4: inside to give Josh Allen that lane.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: For the scramble, Like he does what he can to
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: help ail and get out that front door.
- 1:00:16Speaker 4: Yeah, he's really good at the excuse me part of me block. Well,
- 1:00:19Speaker 4: he'll go like this and just kind of getting the way.
- 1:00:23Speaker 4: But Jonathan Cooper did a bad job of leaving his
- 1:00:26Speaker 4: outside shoulder.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: He leaves outside shoulder free.
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: He didn't he didn't give himself any ability to slow
- 1:00:33Speaker 4: down that scramble, that scramble through, which is what I
- 1:00:36Speaker 4: kind of think the Ravens did well when they played
- 1:00:38Speaker 4: in Week four, whereas the Steelers, they wanted to try
- 1:00:42Speaker 4: and get get him but kind of don't make him
- 1:00:46Speaker 4: go up too early or because Lamar is gonna drift backwards.
- 1:00:50Speaker 4: So you see a lot of TJ and Outside Smith
- 1:00:53Speaker 4: going around to try and get Lamar to go up
- 1:00:56Speaker 4: into the pocket into Cam Hayward. But I wonder how
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: the Bills go about it because they don't have guys
- 1:01:03Speaker 4: who are Ben Deer like TJ or high Smith or
- 1:01:06Speaker 4: even herbig they have more of the we're gonna crust the.
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: Pot mm hm.
- 1:01:11Speaker 4: So if you let if you crust the pocket and
- 1:01:13Speaker 4: you give themar that little outside lane, that's when I
- 1:01:17Speaker 4: think we'll start to see a little bit of scrambles
- 1:01:19Speaker 4: and you'll start to see them commit to a spy.
- 1:01:22Speaker 4: But then you're taking a guy out of coverage. But
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: how these two teams, again, it's so cool because they're
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: so similar. How these teams go about managing the pressure,
- 1:01:31Speaker 4: It's going to be really cool.
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: Yeah, I look for the Bills defensively. As part of
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: the reason why I brought up that question earlier. I
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: really do expect them to lean a little bit into
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: that odd mirror package, especially on third down, so they
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: can get them into third And again, it doesn't necessarily
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: have to be man behind it, like when they did
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: it against Denver early on they played two man behind it.
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: But it could be a variety of zone coverages whatever
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: they want to get in. It could be man, it
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: could be combo splitfield. I don't care using you know,
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: give me greg orson on one side, give me von
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: Mill around the other, give me ed Oliver on the inside.
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: One of you just do something and get Lamar off
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: his spot, and then then it's still another battle because
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: then it's like, all right, cool is it Milano versus
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: Lamar and one on one? Like who's winning that? Like
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: Lamar just has this uncanny what was the what game?
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: I think it was the Thursday night game? Was it
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: against the Bengals? Maybe the one where like it's in
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: the red zone and he drive, he drifts back, yeah,
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: and then gets up the sideline and ends up getting
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: like the first down. So he runs like seventy yards
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: for like a twelve yard gain in a first down.
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: But there's just so much of his movement, even though
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: the touchdown this past weekend against Pittsburgh, he's got Bateman
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: open on a little dig in the end zone, like
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: I don't know if he didn't want to throw it
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: or didn't see it, and then you're like, okay, he
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: screwed up. And then it's like, no, I'm just gonna
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: juke three dudes pressuring me and then step up and oh,
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: my run backs open. Let me just dump it down
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: to a touchdown. Like there's just so much of that
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: chaos management for him, and Alan does it as well,
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: but to your point like they do it differently. And yeah,
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: so the QB parts under pressure and also just some
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: some run aspects for each of them. I wanted to
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: bring this up. So this is without quarterback sneaks and
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: without QB neals. None of that stuff is included. This
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: is per Sports Infos Solutions Josh Allen versus Lamar Jackson.
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: Rushing stats EPA per rush Josh Allen zero point five
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: to four Lamar Jackson zero point twenty five. Oh, I
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: should mention Josh Allen attempts sixty four Lamar Jackson one
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: hundred and nineteen, so significantly more for Lamar, which makes
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: sense given the type of offense and player that he is.
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: So attempts Allen sixty four, Lamar one nineteen. EPA per
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: rush Allen zero point five to four Lamar's zero point
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: two five, so almost double overall EPA Allen thirty four
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: point four to three Lamar twenty nine point nine three
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: does make a sense a little bit. Allen's rushed for
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: so many touchdowns, so boom success rate Alan sixty eight
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: point eight percent, Lamar fifty eight point eight percent. Broken
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: tackles and mistackles per rush Allen thirty one point three
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: Lamar thirty one point one yards per rush, Allen seven
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: point five, Lamar seven point seven scrambling EPA per attempt,
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: Alan zero point six y nine. Lamar's zero point four
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: to three scramble EPA Allen twenty eight point four to one,
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: Lamar seventeen point oh four scrambling success rate Josh Allen
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: seventy five point six, Lamar sixty seven point five. Both
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: of them extremely lethal with their legs. Can you mitigate that?
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: Take it away in some way? Also, it's funny two
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: from a Mahome standpoint, that scramble EPA per attempt Alan
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: again is at zero point sixty nine. That's third. Mahomes
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: is first with a scramble EPA per attempt like zero
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: point eight five.
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: Yep.
- 1:04:43Speaker 4: That is the you know, the the meme of the
- 1:04:47Speaker 4: f U three. That's Patrick Mahomes version where he's gonna
- 1:04:51Speaker 4: scramble for nine on third and eight, eorl scramble with
- 1:04:54Speaker 4: twelve on third and ten, just like what the hell?
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: It just kills you with his stupid little shimmy and
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: a scheff and then he comes back to me and
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: he doesn't. Let's bring everybody back, and you just want
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: to oh and yeah, I look at the ball.
- 1:05:06Speaker 4: Like why, like away from his body, like just somebody
- 1:05:10Speaker 4: go after the.
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: Ball, somebody.
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: And then he gets to the sideline and he sticks
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: it out in front. He gets to come on just
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: all his mannerisms like yeah, it's just it's not but yeah,
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: him sitting there at zero point eight five for Mahomes
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: for scramble e paper is insane, Like almost the point.
- 1:05:26Speaker 4: It's so fascinating because we're really kind of seeing the
- 1:05:30Speaker 4: evolution of what the elite, what the elite quarterbacks can
- 1:05:34Speaker 4: do versus guys that are just really good. And it's
- 1:05:39Speaker 4: these points that are like the scramble stuff that you mentioned,
- 1:05:43Speaker 4: the success rate on scrambles, the first down rates, that
- 1:05:47Speaker 4: is what separates the good from the elite.
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: It's what separates.
- 1:05:51Speaker 4: The the I always says Lamar Mahomes, Josh Allen. Our
- 1:05:57Speaker 4: quarterbacks one through three all fighting for everybody else is
- 1:06:01Speaker 4: fighting for four at this point, Like there is a
- 1:06:04Speaker 4: gap at this point, and it's because of what they
- 1:06:07Speaker 4: can do under pressure and what they can be a
- 1:06:10Speaker 4: force with their legs.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: Yeah, and that that's.
- 1:06:13Speaker 4: Kind of where you say, like, oh, we want to
- 1:06:17Speaker 4: try and make this a Lamar beat us, Josh Allen
- 1:06:20Speaker 4: beat us type of game. They can do that, but again,
- 1:06:24Speaker 4: if you're forcing them to have to do this every
- 1:06:27Speaker 4: single play, like you're gonna play that volatility chaos game,
- 1:06:33Speaker 4: but it might be your best chance because you have
- 1:06:36Speaker 4: to play chaos against both these guys.
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: And it kind of just takes, like I'm just thinking
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: of like if you play the odds, it just takes
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: that one game and that one time. I'm thinking of
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: the football movie Little Giants. It's like and the coaches
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: see you keep beat his older brother, like riding the
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: bike down Cherry Hill or whatever, and you just need
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: that one time, that one game, that one time, and
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: that's it, Like you if you play that bear game.
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: We talked about it last week, like we haven't seen
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: that yin and yang aspect of Josh Allen, where oh,
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: like he created this game and you know he did
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: not play well against Houston. That's about the as closest
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: as we've got, but we haven't seen like the three
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: interceptions spiraling snowball type of game from Allen. Do you
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: want to play that game because that guy's still in
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: there and maybe your best chance is trying to get
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: some of that guy to come out and similarly kind
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: of for Lamar a little bit. It's yeah, I think
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: it's such a fun conversation of how each defense approaches
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: each offense, how each offense likes to operate. They're very similar.
- 1:07:36Speaker 1: The body types are different, what they lean into tendency
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: wise and concept wise is different, but the philosophy, the idea,
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: like the structure and mode of attack is very similar
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: in terms of how they like to operate. Which again
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: maybe I mean it's funny. I don't think this holistically
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: with it, but you know, Harbaugh and McDermott are both
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: Andy Reid guys and part of that tree and maybe
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: somehow some of that comes back into and that's why
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: we see some of it. So I've given my two,
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: you've given your two, correct, Yes, Okay, cool, Now you're
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: number three. What do you got?
- 1:08:09Speaker 4: My number three is a specific matchup. It is whichever
- 1:08:13Speaker 4: receiver is lined up against Brandon Stevens.
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: Dude, I was gonna do the same one, but I
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: did it. I literally was gonna do that.
- 1:08:19Speaker 4: I was like, I feel bad for Brandon Stevens and
- 1:08:21Speaker 4: I and I put this out posted on Blue Sky
- 1:08:23Speaker 4: A couple of days ago. What is a worst position.
- 1:08:26Speaker 4: There's no worst position in the NFL than be in
- 1:08:29Speaker 4: the corner. Everybody picks one that sucks like there's nowhere
- 1:08:33Speaker 4: else to go, Like you, you are the one guy
- 1:08:35Speaker 4: that they picked on. But if you look at how
- 1:08:38Speaker 4: to attack this defense, you have to go down the
- 1:08:40Speaker 4: sideline against Brandon Stevens. So this season I went and
- 1:08:43Speaker 4: looked it up per sis with a minimum of fifty targets,
- 1:08:46Speaker 4: so you've been targeted. Amongst the high volume guys in
- 1:08:50Speaker 4: the NFL. Brandon Stevens has allowed a point five to
- 1:08:53Speaker 4: four EPA, which is first in the NFL. He's also
- 1:08:59Speaker 4: allowed a six three point four percent positive play rate,
- 1:09:02Speaker 4: which is second in the NFL, only behind Deyontay Banks,
- 1:09:06Speaker 4: who it also has a point three point three to
- 1:09:08Speaker 4: three EPA per target. But he is the one guy
- 1:09:13Speaker 4: that you want to pick on, and he saw it
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: a lot against the Steelers. When the Steelers explosives happened,
- 1:09:20Speaker 4: it was against Brandon Stevens. The Van Jefferson touchdown, Brandon Stevens,
- 1:09:23Speaker 4: the George Pickens, whatever George Pickens does. Yeh, Brandon Stevens.
- 1:09:28Speaker 4: That is the one guy that you go after, and
- 1:09:30Speaker 4: a lot of teams know it. But how the Ravens
- 1:09:33Speaker 4: have tried to insulate Steve Stevens is a lot of
- 1:09:37Speaker 4: their quarter quarter half stuff. He is the half like
- 1:09:40Speaker 4: he's to the half side of the field.
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: You're not you're not. We're not locking you onto a guy.
- 1:09:46Speaker 4: We'll just let you play this half of the field
- 1:09:48Speaker 4: and then we'll have like Kyle Hamilton be like to
- 1:09:52Speaker 4: that side.
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: Will let you be the deep half. They'll give you support.
- 1:09:55Speaker 2: They've insulated him well.
- 1:09:58Speaker 4: But I worry about those high levels situations, and I
- 1:10:01Speaker 4: worry about specifically when the Bills. The Bills receivers don't
- 1:10:07Speaker 4: aren't great when it comes to separation on the outside,
- 1:10:11Speaker 4: but they can go up and bully you on the outside,
- 1:10:14Speaker 4: which is what Brandon Stevens struggles against. He's fine against
- 1:10:17Speaker 4: guys that are smaller and a little quicker, but against
- 1:10:20Speaker 4: bigger body guys like George Pickens and like Mike Williams
- 1:10:23Speaker 4: and Van Jefferson, he struggles a little bit. So I
- 1:10:27Speaker 4: wonder if this becomes if it's third and long, like
- 1:10:30Speaker 4: you said, and they're showing a weird pressure look, is
- 1:10:33Speaker 4: this just the fine Brandon Stevens and go with him
- 1:10:36Speaker 4: chuck it up, like, is this the It's like in
- 1:10:41Speaker 4: Samlot when us when it comes up to bad and
- 1:10:43Speaker 4: it's like everybody come in, Oh yeah yeah, wave them
- 1:10:46Speaker 4: all in. It Is this gonna be that type of game?
- 1:10:49Speaker 4: I feel bad for Brandon Stevens because it's very similar
- 1:10:52Speaker 4: to whenever the worst guy in the start and five
- 1:10:55Speaker 4: a basketball game is just getting picked on.
- 1:10:57Speaker 2: Yeah, just getting hammered in the pick I sewing them all.
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: Io, clear it out, one on one, just take him.
- 1:11:04Speaker 4: Like I'm a heat fan. I remember Norris cole I
- 1:11:08Speaker 4: remember Mario Chalmers. There was nowhere else to go because
- 1:11:12Speaker 4: you had Lebron Wade and Boss. You gotta go at
- 1:11:15Speaker 4: Mario Chalmers. So I worry a little bit about that
- 1:11:19Speaker 4: aspect of the game for the Ravens, But I think
- 1:11:22Speaker 4: that's an opportunity for Like I said, when you get
- 1:11:25Speaker 4: to those third and longs, is this a fine Brandon
- 1:11:29Speaker 4: Stevens and go at him with one of the bigger
- 1:11:31Speaker 4: body receivers.
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: I love that point. And I came so close to
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: making this one because I Wiggins is Wiggins is undersized,
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: but he's got speed. He handled himself very well against
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: Keon Coleman last year with Clemson versus Florida State, and
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: I like Humphrey Anda. He's playing in the slot, but
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: he can still play outside. I had a very similar
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: thought like wherever Brandon Stevens goes, I throw at Brandon Stevens.
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: Like if it's key On Coleman versus Brandon Stevens, I
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: got no problem throwing it up there. I also think
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: if it's Stevens versus Amari Cooper, I'm looking for Mari
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: to separate right at the line with his release package,
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: which is still outstanding. The long speed isn't necessarily there anymore,
- 1:12:09Speaker 1: but he can still release off the line and cook
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: you and drop you at the line if you are
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: not Chrispin sound. I look for that to be the matchup, because, again,
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: if you're just looking at this Baltimore defense from an
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: individual player standpoint, there's not a ton of weaknesses individually,
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: and then schematically there's some holes, but they cleaned up
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: a lot throughout the year. The one that's obvious is
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: Brandon Stevens. And then the part of me that thinks
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: former Buffalo Bill is all pro corner Shredavious White is
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: there in Baltimore, like is there where? Like where they
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: pull Stevens and they put Trey in there, and now
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: Trey is on the field. Like I think of all
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: these little like matchups within the matchups and those little pieces,
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: but I do think, you know, I don't remember what
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: game it was. I think it was earlier this year,
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: and the announced team was talking about how well I
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: feel bad saying this because like he's in the NFL,
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: so he's like good at football. But the broadcast team
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: was talking about how good Brandon Stevens has been, and
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: I was just like, what are we doing? Like he's
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: not been good, like he's bad, Like he's just getting
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: roasted and he was getting roasted in this game and
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: oh what game was it? And the broadcast team being like, yeah,
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: it's really out of character for Brandon Stevens. I was like, no,
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: it's not. He gets being a lot. What are we
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: talking about? And some of it is just volume, like
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: you're just gonna be like, well, if I'm gonna throw
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: it one guy, I'm gonna throw it him. But the metrics,
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: the efficiency piece of it, the totals and the volume, yeah,
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: does not speak well for him. And to your point,
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: you can beat him in a multitude of ways, and
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: I like that, like if I if I'm sensing pressure
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: or I'm sensing blitz or man or even cover one,
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: and I got that single high post. Even though Washington
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: has some juice, Hamilton's got juice and range when in doubt,
- 1:13:46Speaker 1: like if all things are terrible, and I'm like, uh, well,
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: I know I got key on one on one with Stevens,
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: screw it, I'm dropping back and if I see the
- 1:13:53Speaker 1: post safety stay, I'm chucking up the keyon and see
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: if he can win one. Like that seems kind of
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: a pretty good, like in case of emergency, like great
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: glass release Keon Coleman, jump all versus Brandon Stevens. But again,
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: a multitude of dudes and where else are you going
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: to attack them? I think that's really smart play.
- 1:14:07Speaker 4: So I actually wasn't thinking of Keon Coleman or Amari
- 1:14:10Speaker 4: Cooper when I thought of I was thinking of Mac.
- 1:14:14Speaker 4: I always think of the MATC Collins Lobo Ball because
- 1:14:18Speaker 4: I call him Lobo because he looks like Lobo from DC.
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: Because he's just a manie. He's a maniac.
- 1:14:24Speaker 4: He is I say, he's an edge defender playing receiver.
- 1:14:28Speaker 4: He he likes the block and he can do. He
- 1:14:31Speaker 4: can do some of the fade route stuff. But the
- 1:14:33Speaker 4: fade route stuff happens when you have a bigger a
- 1:14:36Speaker 4: bigger guy because a smaller corner and he goes bullyball.
- 1:14:39Speaker 4: And Brandon Stevens, like I said, has struggled against those
- 1:14:42Speaker 4: types of receivers. So if they if you get those
- 1:14:45Speaker 4: obvious pressure situations where it looks like they are going
- 1:14:50Speaker 4: to leave Stevens on an island against Hollins, that's when
- 1:14:55Speaker 4: you have to take those chances, take those shots against him,
- 1:14:58Speaker 4: because that's probably your best shot of going downfield against
- 1:15:02Speaker 4: this team, especially if you get those obvious third downs
- 1:15:06Speaker 4: where they're trying to throw everything at you. Just make
- 1:15:09Speaker 4: it simple, just throw throw the fade route. And I
- 1:15:12Speaker 4: know it's it's a fifty to fifty thing, but I
- 1:15:16Speaker 4: will take my chances with a key On Coleman, even
- 1:15:19Speaker 4: a Marii Cooper in those situations.
- 1:15:20Speaker 2: But mac Collins.
- 1:15:22Speaker 4: Mac Collins was the guy I was thinking of, because
- 1:15:24Speaker 4: he's not gonna draw the uh, he's not gonna draw Humphrey,
- 1:15:27Speaker 4: and he's not gonna draw Wiggins.
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: Although they don't they don't rotate their.
- 1:15:32Speaker 4: Corners, they're not gonna He's probably not gonna match Higgins
- 1:15:36Speaker 4: or not heregas Wiggins and Humphrey.
- 1:15:38Speaker 2: This is gonna be.
- 1:15:40Speaker 4: I almost want to say Mac Collins against Brandon Stevens,
- 1:15:43Speaker 4: but specifically the Brandon Stevens matchup.
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: You have no idea how happy that would make Bill's fans,
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: because Mac Collins has become this like folklore like hero
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: to the team, like just the all the caricature stuff,
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: like not wearing the shoes, and then how cool he
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: looked it came if the hair was out and he
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: was wearing this cut up shirt every day. And then
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: like what he's done as a blocker, what he's doing
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: and like talking trash after plays and making some big catches,
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: like he would be so solidified as like a Bill's
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: fan favorite. If he came out of this game with
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: like eight catches for one hundred and like twelve yards
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: in a touchdown because he just ate up Brandon Stevens man,
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: that would be and you know it's possible, given just
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: where Stevens a struggle, it's very fair. I have a
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: couple that I keep kicking around I ro like good.
- 1:16:35Speaker 4: One of mine was the passing out of twenty two
- 1:16:38Speaker 4: The okay, the bigger deefits, so I had to I
- 1:16:41Speaker 4: had to audible a little bit, so I feel you.
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: That's fair, that's fair.
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: I don't. Yeah, all right, I'm gonna go with this one.
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: I do this every time, but I always like cheap
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: combined things in a one, but I left him sile
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: this time. I'm gonna so I'm gonna do. I just
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: generically titled this one which offense helps out their QB more,
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: And I want to really focus on from the running
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: back run aspect because both of these teams are very good,
- 1:17:04Speaker 1: so running back carries only for run game stats, so
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: no quarterbacks up in any way, shape or form. The
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: Bills three hundred and sixty one attempts, the Ravens three
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: hundred and ninety seven EPA per rush. The Bills zero
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: point zero one, which is eighth, the Ravens zero point
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: zero seven, which is first total EPA, The Bills three
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: point one six, which is eighth, the Ravens twenty seven
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: point seven to six, which is first success rate, the
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: Bills forty two point four percent, which is twelve, the
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: Ravens forty eight point one percent, which is second. Broken
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: and mistackle, I know it's nuts broken and mistackles per
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: rush the Bills fifteen point five, the Ravens twenty point two.
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: I know, percent of runs where they're hit at the
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: line of scrimmage the Bills forty two point nine percent,
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: the Ravens forty point eight. Stuff percentage or the amount
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: of runs where you are hit at the line of
- 1:17:57Speaker 1: scrimmage or tackled for a loss, the Bills eighteen point three,
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: the Ravens fifteen point nine. We talked about it a
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: little earlier. The run game metrics for each team a
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: metrics scheme, all that aside from the Allen run stuff
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: and the Lamar run stuff, whether by design, whether scrambles
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: all that stuff, forget it, throw it out the window.
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: Both of these teams have legitimately good run games like
- 1:18:21Speaker 1: in the Ravens obviously, Derrick Henry's Derrick Henry. But Justice
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: Hill has juice. He's got speed. They know how to
- 1:18:28Speaker 1: use him. He's shifty. He will get you if you
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: are short on your edge or you give the slightest
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: sliver in the hole.
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: He's he can bounce those duo rows easy.
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: He will take that all day. And if your angle
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: is short coming down. If the matchup they want to
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: create is one on one if the unblocked player is
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: that outside corner and you're coming up, and this is
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: usually good for the Bills because Douglas and Benford are
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: very good playing to run, but if you're short on
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: that edge, kind of like how Riley Moss was against
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: James Cook when they ran due when he bounced it
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: and beat them with the corner. Hill can do that
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: against the majority of dues because of how fast he is,
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: so it's not just Henry like Hill can do some
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: things as a runner in addition to being a pass catcher,
- 1:19:06Speaker 1: and the Bills James Cook wildly productive year this year.
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: Ray Davis has been good. We'll see if he plays
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: this week if he clears concussion protocol. After Josh Allen
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: sent him. That was a hospital ball from Josh Allen.
- 1:19:22Speaker 4: And he he knew it and yeah, it reminded me
- 1:19:26Speaker 4: of the Peyton manning Austin Collie where it was just
- 1:19:30Speaker 4: every time Austin Collie over middle.
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: Bam, done and you knew what was happening. Yeah, it
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: was like, oh, no, like it.
- 1:19:36Speaker 4: It felt like one of those moments where it's like,
- 1:19:38Speaker 4: I hope like nobody like spirals. After that, that came
- 1:19:42Speaker 4: in a huge moment in the game for both for
- 1:19:44Speaker 4: both teams. So I hope Ray ray Davis okay, because
- 1:19:47Speaker 4: like you said, he adds he has another element of
- 1:19:50Speaker 4: physicality to the run game. I think James James Cook
- 1:19:53Speaker 4: is physical, but in the way that he is going
- 1:19:56Speaker 4: to always fall forward, yes, whereas like Ray Davis is
- 1:19:59Speaker 4: gonna try I had run you over. He's not gonna
- 1:20:02Speaker 4: try and bounce it. He's not gonna try and go
- 1:20:04Speaker 4: around you. He knows one speed, he's got the uh.
- 1:20:08Speaker 4: He's the pitcher with one pitch. He's got the fastball.
- 1:20:11Speaker 4: He's always gonna throw that fastball. And you better be ready.
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: You were gonna burn calories trying to tackle Ray Davis
- 1:20:17Speaker 1: like he is gonna make you earn the tackle that
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: you get against them. And yeah, when I when I
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: saw the trajectory on the throw, even before I saw
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: the hit, there was so much arc on it, and
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: I really was, like I would my thought was either
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: oh no, or my thought was, oh, this is a
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: touchdown because there's gotta be no one back there because
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: Alan puts so much touch on it, and I think
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: would saved it from escalating. Like you, Brandon Jones knew
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: it immediately, like you saw he felt bad like he
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: was just like oh, and I felt for him like
- 1:20:46Speaker 1: it didn't look intentional. He tried to turn, but he
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: still clocked him. So yeah, does Davis play? And even
- 1:20:51Speaker 1: if he doesn't. Ty Johnson is such a fun.
- 1:20:56Speaker 2: Army, crucial part of this row.
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: He's arguably like their best scramble drill piece when it
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: turns into scramble drill or off script, like he turns
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: into Randy Moss, like he's just making ridiculous catch after
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: ridiculous catch all over the place. He's also their best
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: pass protector. There is a rep for those who who
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: haven't seen or maybe didn't pay attention to detail the
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: little out and up, not little, but the big out
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: and up to Dalton Kincaid later in the game where
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: Alan recognizes Cover zero and he chucks it up to Kincaid,
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: drops it in the bucket. K k reaches out, catches it.
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: Ty Johnson flips stranad on the Blitz, gets under him,
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: pops him, flips him and it's not one of those
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: like flips. Hi. Mister Nard gets up and gets a pressure.
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: Ty Johnson crushes him like it's absolutely he is their
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: best pass protector. He's a good receiver coming out of
- 1:21:45Speaker 1: the backfield as we saw against Denver big play wise,
- 1:21:48Speaker 1: smart finding space, finding zones, but also as a runner
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: like he can do so much. I think the run game,
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: the running backs for each team will matter so much
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: in terms of who helps out their QB more and
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: tying into that like the pass catchers. If Zay Flowers
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: is out again, which is kind of trending, he is,
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: who's the pass catcher that steps up? Is it another
- 1:22:07Speaker 1: game where we're finally wondering if Okay isra Sean Bateman
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: the kind of the prince that was promised? Or is
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: it a heavy tight end game? And we see the
- 1:22:15Speaker 1: tight ends for the Ravens have like fourteen catches for
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty something yards and flip side of
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: the Bills. Is it you know they're regular cast to
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: characters for the wide receiver spot. Is it Cooper is
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: or is it secure like it has been? Is it Coleman?
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: Is it the tight ends? But I think it's all
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: starts with that run game because both teams use that
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: to set the table for all the mismatch creation you
- 1:22:38Speaker 1: get with your quarterback whether it's read option stuff, whether
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: it's play action stuff, whatever. The run games from a
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: non quarterback perspective set the table for both offenses. And
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: if you can't stop that, you are dead. And if
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: neither defense can stop that, I don't know, We're probably
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: looking at like a game that is over in like
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: two and a half hours real time because the clock
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: isn't stop and each team is just running the ball
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: down the other's throat and they're scoring. And then it
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: becomes like, okay, who can tighten up in the red zone?
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: Which is honestly another one too that I don't want
- 1:23:10Speaker 1: to get into it too much, but I had listed
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: like who can and someone said it in the chat earlier,
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: who can turn seven into three? And who can turn
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: three into seven? Like you get driven down on but
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: you get to the red zone, you tighten up a
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: little bit. Who can make those little tweaks here and
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: there to do just enough? But yeah, so much of
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: it starts with the run game, and like we said
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: and tied it into other points, if you can't stop
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: that run game for the Ravens, it's similar to the Bills.
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: If you can't stop that running back run game, Brady
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: will just Oh you're not doing good against duo. I'm
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: gonna run it like seventy four more times. That's it.
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: Oh you're having problems with mid zone week, Here it
- 1:23:42Speaker 1: comes over and over. Oh tackle pull dartwork or tackle
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: long trap. Guess what, Here it comes another million times,
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: like he will spam the hell out of it. Same
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: way with what Monkin does with the variety of gap
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: scheme stuff they use, or just the Steelers game. Oh,
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: you're having a problem with your scrape exchanges and gap
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: stuff against read options. I'm just gonna run it over
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: and over again. Oh you're not gonna take Lamar, Okay,
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: Lamar is gonna keep running for twelve yards and sliding. Like,
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: if you can't stop those running games from the core aspect,
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: you're dead if you're either defense.
- 1:24:13Speaker 4: And that's why it's again very meathead football guy to say,
- 1:24:18Speaker 4: but tackling is so important in this game. The Ravens
- 1:24:23Speaker 4: are first in the NFL and open field rushing.
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: Yards FD and fantasy.
- 1:24:29Speaker 4: If they get into the open field, they are making
- 1:24:32Speaker 4: you miss. And a lot of those they don't just
- 1:24:34Speaker 4: stop at ten yards or twenty yards. Those turn into
- 1:24:37Speaker 4: forty yard touchdowns like Derrick Henry where three guys run
- 1:24:40Speaker 4: with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry erases angles which god
- 1:24:44Speaker 4: he might be? And I was talking about this with
- 1:24:47Speaker 4: some out of the coworkers. He might be the most
- 1:24:49Speaker 4: unique running back in NFL history because he's a two
- 1:24:52Speaker 4: hundred and fifty pounds scat back. Like he doesn't run
- 1:24:55Speaker 4: like how you expect a two hundred and fifty pound
- 1:24:57Speaker 4: running back does. And he has the speed to just
- 1:25:00Speaker 4: pull away from everybody. So tackling is gonna be important
- 1:25:05Speaker 4: from the get go. And I'm talking about like again,
- 1:25:08Speaker 4: like we said in the Week four game, tackle Kyle
- 1:25:10Speaker 4: Hamilton put on Khalil Shakira on the screen. That sets
- 1:25:13Speaker 4: the tone. That physicality sets the tone. You have to
- 1:25:17Speaker 4: set the tone. Somebody has to force the issue in
- 1:25:20Speaker 4: this game. You can't sit back and just wait for
- 1:25:24Speaker 4: them to get to the red zone and then hope
- 1:25:26Speaker 4: they score three only kick a field goal. You got
- 1:25:29Speaker 4: to force the issue against both these teams. And that's
- 1:25:31Speaker 4: why the pressure aspect is so big. You want to
- 1:25:34Speaker 4: force the issue against these quarterbacks. You don't want them
- 1:25:37Speaker 4: to just sit back and oh, we can run the
- 1:25:39Speaker 4: ball really well and then we can just play action
- 1:25:42Speaker 4: it or I don't have to do much until we
- 1:25:44Speaker 4: get to like the red zone where I have to
- 1:25:45Speaker 4: be superhero. Like that's so important in this game. Tackling
- 1:25:50Speaker 4: the little stuff in this game, and I say it
- 1:25:53Speaker 4: all the time, when the margins get real close between
- 1:25:58Speaker 4: teams that are of equal talent.
- 1:25:59Speaker 2: It's that little stuff. It's the tackling.
- 1:26:02Speaker 4: It's the like we saw with the Bucks in the playoffs,
- 1:26:05Speaker 4: like the fumble, the bumble snacks, the miss time snaps,
- 1:26:09Speaker 4: the not going, not getting the first down and running
- 1:26:11Speaker 4: out of bounds at nine, like that stuff matters in
- 1:26:14Speaker 4: a game that shaping up like this one to be
- 1:26:17Speaker 4: a much more ground based. You're not gonna get a
- 1:26:19Speaker 4: lot of possessions. Every single yard. Every single thing matters
- 1:26:24Speaker 4: at this stage of the playoffs. So just the little
- 1:26:28Speaker 4: things are gonna be something that I'm looking out for.
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: Good call. And I forget, I was trying to remember
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: while you were speaking. It was during one of these
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: playoff games. It might have been one of the college
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: ones Thursday or Friday, or one of the NFL ones.
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: I forget what team, but it was, Oh no, I
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: think did Romo say it? It was either a player
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: senator or the broadcast team. But their coach always drilled
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: into them like when it gets down to the playoffs,
- 1:26:55Speaker 1: or the old adage for them was like, it's not
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: who makes the most not who makes the most big plays,
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: it's the team that makes the fewest mistakes and this
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: team that kills himself the least. And oh it might
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: have been, Oh it was Aikman during the uh or no,
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: uh yeah during that oh yeah, during the Viking game,
- 1:27:14Speaker 1: thank you. Yeah, he was talking about Jimmy Johnson and
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: he was saying, Jimmy Johnson, Yeah, my old coach, Jimmy
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: Johnson used to say, it's not the team that makes
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: the most amount of big plays, the team that makes
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: the fewest mistakes. And yeah, because Donald and Vikings, I
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: think you said it on Blue Sky or Twitter, Darnald
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: turned back into a pumpkin, re entered pumpkin mode or so.
- 1:27:29Speaker 4: Yeah, they spiral and that was again, that's something that
- 1:27:34Speaker 4: in the playoffs, one mistake, one set, or one negative
- 1:27:40Speaker 4: play can spiral you. And it it takes a really
- 1:27:45Speaker 4: well coached team. It takes a team that has a
- 1:27:48Speaker 4: lot of belief in themselves. Yep, you can't let though
- 1:27:52Speaker 4: you can't let one mistake turn into two then to
- 1:27:55Speaker 4: turn into four, because not only will you put yourself
- 1:27:58Speaker 4: behind the eight ball, but you're giving them more opportunities.
- 1:28:01Speaker 2: You don't want to if you give the Ravens or if.
- 1:28:03Speaker 4: You give the Bills more opportunities at at that eventually
- 1:28:07Speaker 4: they're gonna get on base. Eventually, those rbi are gonna
- 1:28:09Speaker 4: start coming in. Eventually they're gonna send one over the fence.
- 1:28:13Speaker 4: So you have to be able to continue to mitigate mistakes.
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: Yeah, and they they You know, it's funny to use
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: the baseball like analogy there, like the one I was
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: thinking of, Like when you get to playoff baseball, and
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: this is in a multi game, you know series. If
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: your starting pitcher is looking shaky after like an inning
- 1:28:30Speaker 1: and the third it's playoffs, you're out. I guess somebody
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: else in the bull bit and he's coming out like
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: we're not taking any chances. In football, it's even more
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: so because it's it's do or die, survive survived advanced
- 1:28:40Speaker 1: single elimination. Like if you screw up your first and
- 1:28:43Speaker 1: second quarter real bad, there's a chance you might not
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: be able to recover for the second half and you're done,
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: or maybe you screw up the first so bad that
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: it's over, or maybe you're playing the Chargers and they
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: don't take advantage of how bad you're screwing things up
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: and you can still come back and win, like.
- 1:28:57Speaker 2: And then they screw it up right, and.
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: Then they screw it up like. It's just you cannot
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: afford to make those mistakes and if you do. And
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: I think this is why it's also important for this game,
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: Like we haven't seen Alan be that guy that he
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: used to be, because Alan would make a mistake and
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: he would want to make up for it so much
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: that he would make another, and he would make another,
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: and you would see that he was trying so hard
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: he was pressing, similar to kind of like a pitcher
- 1:29:21Speaker 1: who's like trying really hard to locate his pitches and can't.
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: The harder they try, the more they miss, the more
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: they're walking guys, and you know they're trying to throw
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: good pitches and they're just not. We've seen that from
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: Allen in the past, we have not seen it this year.
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: No Jenks fingers crossed. Lamar can be that guy where
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: things start to spiral for him in this Ravens offense,
- 1:29:39Speaker 1: you can tell like he gets down or they get down,
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: does that creep up? Who makes the least amount of mistakes?
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: Like there's oh man, there's so many different ways, like
- 1:29:50Speaker 1: you could go about analyzing this game and talking about
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: the matchups in this game, and I really think we
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: hit major ones tied in with like subplots and avenues,
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: tangents and different offshoots and branches. But it just I'm
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: very excited for this game, like as much as we
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: talked about like the craziness of it in the emotion
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: and the fan base hate each other and you know,
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: the chiefs waiting potentially for whoever goes down the road. It's, oh,
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: this is a good one. I gotta stop. Carl, thank
- 1:30:17Speaker 1: you for being here. Thank you very much for the
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: super chet. Carl says, and ironically ties on what we're
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: talking about. He says, will the turnover dinferential be a
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: key matchup that decides this game? The Bills are positive
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: twenty four to the Ravens positive six justin fumbles the
- 1:30:31Speaker 1: Ravens five tasu to seven and the Bills sixteen. Wow,
- 1:30:37Speaker 1: so sixteen takeaways on fumbles for the Bills, two giveaways
- 1:30:40Speaker 1: the Ravens five takeaways, seven giveaways. Yeah, the Bills turnover
- 1:30:44Speaker 1: numbers this year have been nuts. That's also, ironically another
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: kind of sub put I had here. Can the Bills
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: continue to get stops like they did against Denver or
- 1:30:53Speaker 1: do they turn into more of the defense they were
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: in the regular season, which was we're not forcing a
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: lot of three and ounce, we're forcing a lot of punts.
- 1:31:01Speaker 1: You're either gonna drive on us and get a field goal,
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: or you're gonna drive on us will get a fourth
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: down stop, or you'll drive it a little bit. And
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: then we're getting a turnover. We're punching the we're peanut
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: punching the ball out or getting a strip sack fumble
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: or getting an interception. Turnovers have been a super key
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: important part in to Carl's point here and kind of
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: our conversation that we were getting at JP, like the
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: the mitigating mistakes, who makes less of them? It's not
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: maybe it's not about the big places, it's about mitigating
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: those mistakes. The Bills defense has like they are purposefully
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: going after the ball. That's been their mo all year,
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: and that I mean that can swing the pendulum so
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: significant in their favor. But the Ravens are fast and
- 1:31:39Speaker 1: aggressive on defense, they'll look for turnovers as well, but
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: the numbers are just I mean, part of this for
- 1:31:44Speaker 1: the Bills is they take the ball away and then
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: the offense hasn't turn it over, so they're turnover differential
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: is beautiful. Yeah, I think that. I think this will
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: play a part, and honestly, it just ties into what
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: we were speaking about.
- 1:31:54Speaker 4: I definitely do think it does. I think part of
- 1:31:56Speaker 4: that for the Ravens is they played the Steelers that
- 1:31:59Speaker 4: one Steelers game and akershure, where like we talked about earlier,
- 1:32:03Speaker 4: the Steelers just know how to turn every game in
- 1:32:07Speaker 4: Pittsburgh into just the sloppiest, messiest, fumble, lightesty game. It's
- 1:32:13Speaker 4: it's their domain expansion, it's every game turns into something
- 1:32:17Speaker 4: very weird. And they I think they fumble two or
- 1:32:21Speaker 4: three times in that game.
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: But yeah, the first drive Henry right before the end
- 1:32:27Speaker 1: of the first half, justin Tucker missed kicks like the
- 1:32:30Speaker 1: Ravens should have won that game, but yeah, they turned
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: it over like four times, missed multiple kicks. Yeah, all
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: just horrible stuff.
- 1:32:36Speaker 4: All and even one of the Lamar interceptions was a
- 1:32:39Speaker 4: one where Peyton Wilson makes like the most incredible play
- 1:32:42Speaker 4: that you'll.
- 1:32:42Speaker 2: Ever see, yep.
- 1:32:43Speaker 4: And so I think a lot of those turnovers happened
- 1:32:47Speaker 4: in that really weird Steelers game. And something that both
- 1:32:52Speaker 4: Lamar and Josh have done a great job of this
- 1:32:54Speaker 4: year is avoiding catastrophic plates we've all seen. Lamar has
- 1:32:59Speaker 4: like forty touchdowns the four interception, which is an ungodly
- 1:33:03Speaker 4: number at the stage.
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: Of the season.
- 1:33:05Speaker 4: I think Josh Allen has six, but he's done so
- 1:33:08Speaker 4: well in avoiding sacks and turnovers yep, where I think
- 1:33:12Speaker 4: Lamar also avoids stacks.
- 1:33:14Speaker 2: But it's the it's the.
- 1:33:15Speaker 4: Ability to not turn negative plays into chaotic play. So yeah,
- 1:33:21Speaker 4: it might be an incompletion, but you're not turning into
- 1:33:23Speaker 4: a strip sack, you're not turning into a fumble, you're
- 1:33:25Speaker 4: not turning into an interception. So then at that point
- 1:33:29Speaker 4: the turnover margin does matter. It matters to get the
- 1:33:34Speaker 4: ball to your offense a whole lot more and to
- 1:33:36Speaker 4: turn those into touchdowns. You can't just let the turnovers
- 1:33:40Speaker 4: lay there. You gotta make something happen with it. And
- 1:33:44Speaker 4: another small aspect of this game is something that you
- 1:33:46Speaker 4: brought up, which is the kickers in this game, justin
- 1:33:50Speaker 4: Tucker been a little bit of a roller coaster to
- 1:33:53Speaker 4: start the season. Second half of the season, he's been really,
- 1:33:56Speaker 4: really good. Tyler Bass also been very similar, where it's
- 1:33:59Speaker 4: been a little up and down.
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: Yeah, they was like they both had the yips.
- 1:34:03Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think they've got the Raiders have kind
- 1:34:07Speaker 4: of lost the idea of if we crossed the forty,
- 1:34:10Speaker 4: we enter justin Tucker range. So do they lose a
- 1:34:15Speaker 4: little bit of that with how Tucker struggled and again
- 1:34:18Speaker 4: with Tyler Bass, Like how often are you going to
- 1:34:21Speaker 4: see these teams rely on the special teams, rely on
- 1:34:24Speaker 4: the kickers in a game where.
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: Like, oh no, I didn't even think about that. This
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: game for us, it's like it's the margins.
- 1:34:34Speaker 4: You know, they say special teams make special teams, So
- 1:34:38Speaker 4: you're gonna you're gonna have to rely on a Tyler
- 1:34:41Speaker 4: Bass in this game. You those margins where if he
- 1:34:46Speaker 4: misses one, Tucker makes one. If it's a it's it's
- 1:34:49Speaker 4: gonna come down to those in a game where these
- 1:34:52Speaker 4: two teams are both equally talented.
- 1:34:56Speaker 1: I didn't even think about the kicking piece until literally
- 1:34:58Speaker 1: right now, and I should have. Yeah, both and You
- 1:35:00Speaker 1: know what's funny is Tucker missed multiple kicks. I think
- 1:35:03Speaker 1: the last time they played in the playoffs in Buffalo
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: in that divisional round, which was at that time was
- 1:35:07Speaker 1: even more unheard of for Tucker. He didn't miss like anything. Yeah,
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: there might be some cold and some wind. Do we
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: get some snow? How does that affect each kicker? Do
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: we see more do we just see more full throttle
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: offense and it's just more fourth down attempts and just
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: everybody's going for points this game, this game really could
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: go in a multitude of ways. Like I could see
- 1:35:28Speaker 1: it being a slow, physical, methodical, rough, beat him up
- 1:35:35Speaker 1: type of game for both sides. I could see it
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: being like fast paced and high scoring because of the
- 1:35:41Speaker 1: run and also because of the past. Like there's so
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: many ways, and I do think I feel like, if
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: you're the Bills, you have to come out swinging defensively
- 1:35:51Speaker 1: like you did against the Lions. You come out and
- 1:35:54Speaker 1: you blitz, you attack, you load the box. Lamar's not running,
- 1:35:57Speaker 1: Henry's not running. We're gapping out every which way we
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: can because unfortunately we don't have enough guys who are
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: winning individually upfront, So we gap out and we take
- 1:36:06Speaker 1: our chances that, Okay, is Rashad Bateman gonna beat Douglas
- 1:36:10Speaker 1: or Benford regularly? Is whoever wide receiver number two is?
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: Are they beating our other corner regularly? You know what
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: are we doing from that perspective, and just mash and
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: beat them up? You have to. And then the Ravens
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: on the similar aspect, Yeah, like your real running back
- 1:36:24Speaker 1: run game is not beating us Buffalo Bille. So Allen's
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: got to put the cape on? Can he put the
- 1:36:28Speaker 1: cape on? Oh? The MVP cover. There's so many There's
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: so many things to talk about here. I'm very I'm
- 1:36:35Speaker 1: very interested for this game obviously for a multiple reasons.
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: And then again, all within the backdrop of does the
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: winner have to go to Arrowhead?
- 1:36:44Speaker 4: They might play the best game of the season, and
- 1:36:47Speaker 4: it all will just be because you have to go
- 1:36:51Speaker 4: to Kansas City and they will turn that game into
- 1:36:55Speaker 4: I hate to say it, because I'm They're like the Patriots,
- 1:36:59Speaker 4: where every you gotta you gotta go. It's like, oh,
- 1:37:02Speaker 4: we had a great game, you gotta go to Foxborough.
- 1:37:05Speaker 2: Yep.
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: Funny everyone going to Arrowhead and losing twenty three to
- 1:37:09Speaker 1: sixteen or some ugly score that everyone's dead, like no
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: one feels good about it. After everyone's just like.
- 1:37:14Speaker 2: It's gonna be like.
- 1:37:17Speaker 4: On some bullshit, buter kick that like joints off the
- 1:37:20Speaker 4: crossbar and everybody just goes home, Like what why did.
- 1:37:23Speaker 2: We let that happen?
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: Yeah, we all just feel empty. We just feel gross.
- 1:37:26Speaker 1: And you know what's funny. I was running through all
- 1:37:28Speaker 1: these games, like how they beat the Bucks this year,
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: how they beat the Falcons, like the victory against the Broncos,
- 1:37:34Speaker 1: like all the victory against the Bengals, like all these
- 1:37:37Speaker 1: games that were just so like lah, but they just
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: keep winning and then they look better down the stretch. Yeah,
- 1:37:45Speaker 1: to your point, this could be the game of the
- 1:37:47Speaker 1: year and you could win the game of the year
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: just to have to go to Arrowhead and like potentially lose.
- 1:37:54Speaker 4: Like it's just like that's that's tough. I don't know
- 1:37:58Speaker 4: how else to describe it. Like, I like, I feel
- 1:38:01Speaker 4: for whoever whoever wins this game, because you know that
- 1:38:04Speaker 4: they're gonna have to go and play once again the
- 1:38:06Speaker 4: game of their life. And it's just like, man, you
- 1:38:10Speaker 4: gotta you have to empty the clip in this game
- 1:38:14Speaker 4: and then empty the clip in the next game after that,
- 1:38:16Speaker 4: because the Chiefs are absolutely going to bring it.
- 1:38:19Speaker 1: You have to, yeah, empty the clip and then quickly
- 1:38:21Speaker 1: reload and empty again. Like I hope you have like
- 1:38:24Speaker 1: a high capacity mag or something and you're just ready
- 1:38:27Speaker 1: to fire them off.
- 1:38:28Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: This game, oh man, Yeah, I'm pumped for this. Any
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: any final thoughts or words of wisdom, anything else that
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: you have left in the clip that you want to
- 1:38:36Speaker 1: empty out before we start to wind down here.
- 1:38:38Speaker 4: So one of my final thoughts is again surrounding special
- 1:38:41Speaker 4: teams and field positioned specifically in this game. The special
- 1:38:46Speaker 4: teams for both these for both these units have to
- 1:38:49Speaker 4: try and flip the field. This is gonna be a
- 1:38:51Speaker 4: big game in terms of making them have sustained long drives.
- 1:38:55Speaker 4: And that's something that the Bills and the Ravens both
- 1:38:57Speaker 4: did really well in the wildcard round. I think they
- 1:38:59Speaker 4: both have plate drives of like thirteen plays that ended
- 1:39:03Speaker 4: in touchdowns. They're able to have those sustained drive. So, whoever,
- 1:39:07Speaker 4: whichever special teams gets the first big like return, you know,
- 1:39:13Speaker 4: like maybe it's a you know, Keith Mitchell has been
- 1:39:15Speaker 4: doing returns for UH for Baltimore. It's been a lot
- 1:39:20Speaker 4: of Tylan Wallace, who Tyler Wallace very quietly been pretty
- 1:39:24Speaker 4: good as a return like he had the I think
- 1:39:27Speaker 4: he had a game winning return last year, and it's
- 1:39:33Speaker 4: he is a really good punt returner. So I wonder
- 1:39:36Speaker 4: if this game is gonna be a lot of you know,
- 1:39:40Speaker 4: like we saw last week, Khalails Shakir putt returns. Is
- 1:39:45Speaker 4: this gonna be a Shakiir punt return game. It's gonna
- 1:39:47Speaker 4: be because Codrington wasn't playing, But is this gonna be
- 1:39:51Speaker 4: Shakir as a putt return?
- 1:39:53Speaker 2: And I think you actually want to.
- 1:39:55Speaker 4: Do that because I think he offers a little bit
- 1:39:57Speaker 4: more like wiggle, So maybe we see a little more
- 1:40:00Speaker 4: Khalil in special team.
- 1:40:02Speaker 2: So it's just those kind of little things.
- 1:40:05Speaker 4: And then, like you always talk about, it's the game, sprit,
- 1:40:09Speaker 4: I wonder if whoever gets the ball first, are they
- 1:40:12Speaker 4: gonna take the ball. Yeah, I know you you run
- 1:40:16Speaker 4: the risk of giving them the ball to start the
- 1:40:17Speaker 4: second half, but getting out to a lead early might
- 1:40:22Speaker 4: be bigger than that.
- 1:40:24Speaker 1: Fair. Yeah that matters a ton. I've thought of that
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: so much with this Bills team this year, Like the
- 1:40:29Speaker 1: Bills being up seven, nothing changes. It sounds so small
- 1:40:34Speaker 1: but changes so much versus being down three nothing or
- 1:40:37Speaker 1: especially seven on the other end, especially going against this offense,
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: and vice versa on both sides. Yeah, I'm you. Honestly,
- 1:40:44Speaker 1: you could just do gamescript as a topic or a
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: show in and of itself and all the aspects that
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: go with it. I think, Yeah, that was very well said,
- 1:40:51Speaker 1: kind of wrap things up. I'm also too, just I
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: wonder how much do the Bills tweak any The Bills,
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: at the end of the day, for better for worse,
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: defensively are always who they are, Like you know what
- 1:41:05Speaker 1: they're gonna be, like this four down overfront nickel light box,
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: one gap penetrating upfield, and we've seen teams take advantage
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: of it. We've also seen the Bills adjust well and
- 1:41:17Speaker 1: course correct out of it. So do the Bills tweak anything?
- 1:41:22Speaker 1: Do they adjust fast enough and good enough? Do they not?
- 1:41:26Speaker 1: Do the Ravens do something different? There's so much of
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: this game will be not decided by but dependent upon,
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: like the first quarter or those first couple of drives.
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: How many drives do each team get? How do they
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: move the ball or not move the ball? And then
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: we get into the chest match of we know what
- 1:41:45Speaker 1: you know, and you know that, we know that. You
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: know what we know, and it's just okay, who's doing what?
- 1:41:51Speaker 1: And there's because they both play similarly and have that
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: similar like ideological approach to the game. Man, I'm so
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: like crazy hype, and also I hate that it's the
- 1:42:03Speaker 1: Sunday night game night technically, like I don't want to
- 1:42:06Speaker 1: wait all like, just give me. I was hoping it
- 1:42:09Speaker 1: was gonna be at the Saturday night game, but I knew.
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: I was like, no, they're gonna make this game like
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: wrap up the week I figured, which is cool, but
- 1:42:15Speaker 1: also I don't want to wait.
- 1:42:18Speaker 2: But it kind of goes into the Kansas City aspect
- 1:42:20Speaker 2: of it as well.
- 1:42:22Speaker 4: You're already gonna know by by Sunday night you will
- 1:42:25Speaker 4: know either if you have to go to Arrowhead to
- 1:42:28Speaker 4: play or if you get a home game in the
- 1:42:31Speaker 4: AFC Championship, which is massive for both teams.
- 1:42:36Speaker 1: Imagine that even like amping up a little bit more too.
- 1:42:38Speaker 1: If Case loses to Houston and you go into this
- 1:42:41Speaker 1: game knowing like sweet, if we win this, we get
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: Houston at home, whoever it is, Baltimore or Buffalo. Yeah,
- 1:42:47Speaker 1: does that add any more? Like if this game needed
- 1:42:49Speaker 1: any more fuel or emotion to it. Like it's already
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: like do or die Final four in the conference, But
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: does that add anymore? Man? Man, this is gonna be
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: an awesome game.
- 1:42:59Speaker 2: It's so fun. It's always amazing.
- 1:43:02Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't wait to I'm going to be diving
- 1:43:04Speaker 1: into more Bills and Rayvens tape as we go forward,
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: and then dissecting the tape after. Yeah. I hope this.
- 1:43:09Speaker 1: I hope this lives up to it and it's not
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: like thirteen seven and we're just it's like ugly and terrible.
- 1:43:16Speaker 4: I hope we get the game that we were supposed
- 1:43:18Speaker 4: to get week four, Yes, which would be nice. This
- 1:43:22Speaker 4: game is this game should be the game that we
- 1:43:24Speaker 4: were supposed to get early in the season, but Bill's
- 1:43:26Speaker 4: defense was just injured.
- 1:43:28Speaker 2: Doll Hill.
- 1:43:29Speaker 4: Yes, so this should hopefully be like the game of
- 1:43:33Speaker 4: the year.
- 1:43:35Speaker 1: I'm very pumped for it. I know you are as well.
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: I know the folks in the chat are. I'm very
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: glad that you were able to join me and I
- 1:43:40Speaker 1: could have this conversation with you. I was pumped. This
- 1:43:42Speaker 1: is Yeah, this is arguably the game of the year.
- 1:43:45Speaker 1: It's the most important game of the year for both
- 1:43:46Speaker 1: teams because it could be the last game of the
- 1:43:48Speaker 1: year for while it will be the last game of
- 1:43:49Speaker 1: the year for one of them. But JP, you were
- 1:43:51Speaker 1: awesome as always. In case people don't know who you are,
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: even though they should, because you're essentially a co host
- 1:43:57Speaker 1: at this point with how many times been on the show,
- 1:43:58Speaker 1: tell everybody who you are, what you do, where they
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: can find you all that stuff.
- 1:44:03Speaker 4: I am the football writer at sp Nation. Wherever there's
- 1:44:06Speaker 4: football being played, you'll probably find me there. That means college, NFL,
- 1:44:11Speaker 4: NFL draft stuff. Wherever there's football being played. I mean,
- 1:44:15Speaker 4: Adrian Pearson Junior is running running around in eighth grade,
- 1:44:19Speaker 4: and is that a thing? The thing is thirty Adrian
- 1:44:23Speaker 4: Peterson Junior, which god, I feel ancient, but established the
- 1:44:30Speaker 4: fun every Wednesday. Football is fun, and we're establishing that
- 1:44:33Speaker 4: there's gonna be a lot of cool nuggets about this game.
- 1:44:36Speaker 2: About every game for the divisional round.
- 1:44:37Speaker 4: I wrote about every game from wild card weekend, and
- 1:44:39Speaker 4: a lot of stuff that I wrote ended up actually happening.
- 1:44:41Speaker 4: So I think that's pretty cool. And you just follow
- 1:44:44Speaker 4: me on Blue Sky at Jpacosta thirty two and then
- 1:44:48Speaker 4: on Twitter at Acosta thirty two Underscore JP. Blue Sky
- 1:44:52Speaker 4: is also Acosta thirty two JP. I forgot that I
- 1:44:54Speaker 4: put it in the tagline. Here, We're firing on all cylinders, baby,
- 1:44:59Speaker 4: We're the NFL season's almost over.
- 1:45:02Speaker 2: My brain is at like twelve percent.
- 1:45:04Speaker 1: Bro, I'm so like I was thinking about it, like, man,
- 1:45:07Speaker 1: what's the regular Season's over? I can relax and then like,
- 1:45:11Speaker 1: but I was like, no, I can't. I get like
- 1:45:12Speaker 1: a week and then I have to dive in all
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: the college tape and start prospect ranking greeting. This is
- 1:45:17Speaker 1: the first year in the last several that I'm not
- 1:45:19Speaker 1: going to the Senior Bowl, and so I was like, okay,
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: but it's still it never ends. As soon as every
- 1:45:25Speaker 1: time you think like, oh, there's like the off season,
- 1:45:27Speaker 1: there really isn't it. You have to wait until like May,
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: like the first week of May, and then you can
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: just be like and then once June starts, you're like, no,
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: I gotta breathe again.
- 1:45:35Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:45:36Speaker 1: Just it's intense, but you your work is awesome. All
- 1:45:39Speaker 1: year round college stuff, NFL stuff, the tweets, the whatever
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: we call them on Blue Sky. I know I'm not
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: calling them skeets or whatever posts, but yeah, you post
- 1:45:49Speaker 1: there you go. Yeah, your content is great no matter
- 1:45:51Speaker 1: what it is established, the fun is awesome. You're awesome
- 1:45:54Speaker 1: every time you come here. Again, I genuinely value you
- 1:45:57Speaker 1: as a person and the work that you put out.
- 1:45:58Speaker 1: This conversation was awesome. I know bunch of people in
- 1:46:00Speaker 1: the chat enjoyed it. Yeah, you were absolutely tremendous. As always,
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: I will DM you after this as is tradition to
- 1:46:06Speaker 1: sing your praises once again and thank you, even though
- 1:46:09Speaker 1: I'm doing the exact same thing here. I appreciate you.
- 1:46:11Speaker 1: Enjoy the rest of your Tuesday. You're awesome. Thank you
- 1:46:14Speaker 1: very much. Oh, thank for having me later later, Mister
- 1:46:19Speaker 1: J p Acosta tremendous guest, setting the record for most appearances.
- 1:46:24Speaker 1: I think every time he appears at this point he
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: is just essentially setting more records over and over and over. Yeah, yeah,
- 1:46:31Speaker 1: thank you, r J says. Yeah. JP is definitely the
- 1:46:33Speaker 1: unofficial co host at this point. Yeah, that's fair, good
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: point from your Lutan's JP's a phenomenal following the matter platform. Yeah,
- 1:46:40Speaker 1: he's awesome. It's just objective football analysis, film stats. He
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: covers a multitude of topics and runs the gamut in
- 1:46:49Speaker 1: every way, shape, or form.
- 1:46:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:46:51Speaker 1: He he's awesome. Yeah, I was pumped to be able
- 1:46:55Speaker 1: to have him for this episode. Who knows if the
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: Bills advance. Maybe I am very superstitious, So if the
- 1:47:01Speaker 1: Bills win this week, I might have to try and
- 1:47:04Speaker 1: have them on again next week to continue the trend.
- 1:47:07Speaker 1: Maybe that's what we've been missing. Maybe that's what the
- 1:47:09Speaker 1: Bills have been missing, is you know, JP on these
- 1:47:11Speaker 1: shows in the playoffs, so we'll kind of see potentially
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: what we get there. Want to throw up some love
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: for the sponsor of this show, One Pipe Pizza. You
- 1:47:19Speaker 1: folks know the drill at this point, the best pizza
- 1:47:23Speaker 1: in a very very well said lou lousas. I'm not superstitious,
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: but I am a little stitious. Absolutely One Pie Pizza
- 1:47:30Speaker 1: the best pizza in Buffalo, New York. I don't say
- 1:47:32Speaker 1: that because they sponsor the show. They sponsor the show
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: because I think they're the best pizza in Buffalo, New York.
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: Sweet sauce pie cup and char pepperoni, homemade blue cheese.
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: They also have great options beside that, like really good
- 1:47:44Speaker 1: salads if that's type of thing they do. All these
- 1:47:46Speaker 1: catering options, great mac and cheese, great breakfast pizzas. They
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: are tremendous in a multitude of ways, and they do
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: a lot of good stuff in terms of drives and
- 1:47:54Speaker 1: initiatives and giving back to the community, Toys for Tots
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: every holiday season, partnering with roswan to try to not
- 1:48:00Speaker 1: out cancer, partnering with the SPCA, partnering with the Alzheimer's Foundation.
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: They give back in a multitude of ways. So they're
- 1:48:05Speaker 1: really good people making really good food. Get yourself someone
- 1:48:09Speaker 1: Pie Pizza. If you live in the Buffalo area or
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: if you're in town for the game this weekend, get
- 1:48:13Speaker 1: yourself some one Pie Pizza. The online menu, address, details,
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: phone number. All that stuff can be found in the
- 1:48:18Speaker 1: episode show notes, whether here on YouTube or whichever podcasting
- 1:48:21Speaker 1: Apple platform you are listening to this show on. Man,
- 1:48:26Speaker 1: This has been a very detailed episode as always, as
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: I hope you folks have come to expect and recognize
- 1:48:32Speaker 1: here on disguise coverage, I'm gonna throw up the ban
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: and it says tootles, folks, because we are going to
- 1:48:36Speaker 1: start to wind down here. If you have not already,
- 1:48:38Speaker 1: please please think you drop alike on this video here
- 1:48:41Speaker 1: on YouTube. If you're watching live or you're watching post
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: live later likes are the life bloods, life bloods, lifeblood
- 1:48:47Speaker 1: of these streams and goes to significantly long way to
- 1:48:49Speaker 1: or telling myself in the entire team to track and
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: trend in front of more eyes and ears. So if
- 1:48:53Speaker 1: you enjoyed this content, please please think you drop alike
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: on this video. I appreciate all the kind words coming
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: in myself and for JP at the end here, but
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: throughout the entirety of the episode, I don't like to
- 1:49:04Speaker 1: bring up to I see all them, and I appreciate them,
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: but I feel corny bringing up positive stuff for myself
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: when it's just me by myself. But I see it,
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: I recognize it, and it means a lot. So thank
- 1:49:13Speaker 1: you very much to you folks. Thank you very much
- 1:49:15Speaker 1: to Carl for being here and for your super chat earlier.
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: Very much appreciated. If you are listening on one of
- 1:49:20Speaker 1: the podcasting apps or platforms that's cool, Please rate and
- 1:49:23Speaker 1: review and subscribe to disguised coverage on whatever audio platform
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: you are listening to. Disguised coverage on ratings and reviews
- 1:49:32Speaker 1: and subscriptions go a long way. Turning on notifications on
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: YouTube or the audio platforms or even just word of mouth.
- 1:49:39Speaker 1: Telling you know a family member or a friend or
- 1:49:42Speaker 1: a loved one if whether they're Bills people or they
- 1:49:44Speaker 1: just enjoy good football conversation. I hope you found this
- 1:49:47Speaker 1: to be good football conversation. Yeah, tell your family and
- 1:49:49Speaker 1: friends and loved ones about this show. If you hated
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: this show, tell your enemies and try and ruin their
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: day by making this making them watch this show. Check
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: out all the other content on the cover one channel.
- 1:50:00Speaker 1: We have to cover pretty much every single day of
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: the week with various levels of Bill's content and a
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: variety of forms. Joy the rest of your Tuesday night.
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: I appreciate you, folks, and whatever form or fashion your
- 1:50:11Speaker 1: support comes in. Myself and Eric will be diving into
- 1:50:13Speaker 1: the film room on Wednesday, January fifteenth of this week.
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: So if you're watching live or post live here on
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: Tuesday or early on January fifteenth, we'll be dropping that
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: episode tomorrow on the fifteenth. And yeah, if you're going
- 1:50:28Speaker 1: to game this weekend, have a good time, be safe,
- 1:50:31Speaker 1: party responsibly, table jump responsibly, all that kind of stuff.
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: Enjoy your weekend, folks. Enjoy the rest of your Tuesday.
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: Enjoy the rest of your week I hope you and
- 1:50:39Speaker 1: your family and friends and loved ones are all doing
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: well and staying safe. Be kind of one another, take
- 1:50:44Speaker 1: care of one another, stay calm, trust the process. Godspeed.
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: I will see you in the film room or next Tuesday,
- 1:50:52Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguise coverage. But
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: until then, I appreciate you folks more than you know.
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: Thank you for tuning into this episode and every way
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: that you did. Godspeed, and as always, go Bills.