Latest / What the Flux / Temple & Webster’s sofa upgrade | Seven West Media’s worst year yet | Treasury Wine no longer selling wines
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:01Speaker 2: I'm Brett and I'm Justin and Monday, this seventeenth February,
- 0:04Speaker 2: FLUXPAM Tomorrow is the big day.
- 0:07Speaker 1: The RBA will be making its big announcement on the
- 0:09Speaker 1: cash rate. Get this one. Seventy three percent of experts
- 0:12Speaker 1: surveyed by Finder are predicting a cash rate cut, including
- 0:16Speaker 1: all four of the big four banks. If you don't mind,
- 0:19Speaker 1: could save us one hundreds, possibly even thousands fee man.
- 0:22Speaker 2: And speaking of which, we are very excited. We have
- 0:24Speaker 2: a big feature in the Flex app tomorrow doing a
- 0:27Speaker 2: big deep dive on the RBA's decision. If it goes down,
- 0:30Speaker 2: we'll explore why. If it stayed the same, we'll also
- 0:32Speaker 2: do a deep dive on that. To make sure to
- 0:34Speaker 2: check out the Flux app for all your insights on
- 0:36Speaker 2: the big cash rate decision.
- 0:37Speaker 1: Three insightful stories today Jasi Boy, Let's do it for
- 0:41Speaker 1: our first temple and Webster has seen it share price
- 0:44Speaker 1: fly to an all time high after its revenue jump
- 0:47Speaker 1: twenty four percent off the back of bathroom fixtures and couches.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Making the people wear couches online without sitting on them.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Absolutely not for me. So what is going on here.
- 0:57Speaker 1: Well, Jessie Boy. Temple and Webster was founded in twenty
- 0:59Speaker 1: eleven and listed on the ASX in twenty fifteen.
- 1:02Speaker 2: And it was a pretty chopy few years for them.
- 1:04Speaker 2: Their share price dropped nearly seventy five percent in their
- 1:07Speaker 2: first three months of listing.
- 1:08Speaker 1: But Temple and Webster has weathered the storm since then
- 1:11Speaker 1: and grown to become the largest online furniture retailer in Australia.
- 1:15Speaker 2: In fact, they made it sells more than two hundred
- 1:17Speaker 2: thousand products.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Now, Temple and Webster have announced that their sales have
- 1:21Speaker 1: risen by twenty four percent for the past six.
- 1:23Speaker 2: Months, largely thanks to a big increase in purchases of
- 1:26Speaker 2: couches and of course those bathroom fixtures you always talk about.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Yep, that's me. And as a result, Temple and Webster's
- 1:33Speaker 1: share price has jumped more than fifty percent for the
- 1:35Speaker 1: last twelve months.
- 1:36Speaker 2: And the man, of course, that's thanks to the increasing sales,
- 1:39Speaker 2: but more importantly it's thanks to their increase in profit margin.
- 1:42Speaker 1: Oh you went there, juzzy voice. I'm wondering what is
- 1:44Speaker 1: the key learning?
- 1:45Speaker 2: A profit margin is how much profit a company keeps
- 1:48Speaker 2: after covering all its costs.
- 1:49Speaker 1: And in the retail industry, profit margins are notoriously tight.
- 1:54Speaker 2: Like supermarkets that often just make a few cents on
- 1:56Speaker 2: every dollar.
- 1:57Speaker 1: And Temple and Webster pulled off a profit mark or
- 2:00Speaker 1: four point two percent in the last six month.
- 2:02Speaker 2: Which is way above their expected margin of one to
- 2:05Speaker 2: three percent.
- 2:06Speaker 1: And growing margin means they're not just selling more stuff,
- 2:09Speaker 1: they're making more money from what they sell.
- 2:11Speaker 2: That might be cutting costs out of their goods.
- 2:13Speaker 1: It might be getting more efficient with something like AI
- 2:16Speaker 1: for their customer service as they claim to be doing.
- 2:18Speaker 2: Or charging higher prices without losing customers.
- 2:21Speaker 1: And in a sector where margins are often raiser thin,
- 2:24Speaker 1: even small improvements can become significant gains.
- 2:27Speaker 2: Yeap. For our second story, seven West Media has seen
- 2:31Speaker 2: its worst ever half year results as it tries to
- 2:34Speaker 2: transition away from its free to air TV and newspapers
- 2:38Speaker 2: traditional media companies in a world of hurt right now,
- 2:41Speaker 2: tell me more? Okay? So seven West Media is the
- 2:43Speaker 2: company behind the seven network as well as the West
- 2:45Speaker 2: Australian newspaper group.
- 2:47Speaker 1: Yep, we're talking home and away my kitchen rules can't
- 2:50Speaker 1: forget better homes and gardens.
- 2:52Speaker 2: But then, despite these banger shows. Seven West Media has
- 2:55Speaker 2: struggled over the past twelve months.
- 2:57Speaker 1: That's because of a major softening of the TV advertising
- 3:00Speaker 1: market this year.
- 3:01Speaker 2: Yeah. As a result, seven West Media saw their net
- 3:03Speaker 2: profit drop sixty eight percent to just under eighteen million
- 3:06Speaker 2: dollars for the six months to December thirty one.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Don't forget the revenue fell by more than six percent.
- 3:11Speaker 2: But the man, there was a little peep, a little
- 3:13Speaker 2: squizz of good news.
- 3:15Speaker 1: Oh what little nugget do you have for me? Does you? Boy?
- 3:16Speaker 2: Well? Seven increased its AD share to nearly forty four
- 3:19Speaker 2: percent of the whole TV ad market.
- 3:21Speaker 1: The problem is that this is a growing share of
- 3:24Speaker 1: a declining market.
- 3:26Speaker 2: But despite all of this, seven West media share price
- 3:28Speaker 2: actually jumped because it's focus on competing in the BVOD space.
- 3:32Speaker 1: Interesting, So what is the key learning here?
- 3:34Speaker 2: Broadcaster Video on Demand or b VOD is the name
- 3:37Speaker 2: of the service that allows viewers to access TV content
- 3:40Speaker 2: from traditional broadcasters online.
- 3:42Speaker 1: We'd be talking seven plus nine now ten play sps
- 3:46Speaker 1: on demand, ABC iView are.
- 3:48Speaker 2: You rilling them all off? B Man Expert and BVOD
- 3:50Speaker 2: is fast becoming some of the hottest property in the
- 3:53Speaker 2: AUSSI ADS market.
- 3:54Speaker 1: Firstly, viewers love it because it's free, unlike streaming service rivals.
- 3:58Speaker 2: Secondly, it means you don't need to be in front
- 4:00Speaker 2: of your TV at seven pm sharp to catch Irene
- 4:02Speaker 2: on Home and.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Away Jazi Boys Irene still going around, I believe so.
- 4:07Speaker 1: And Thirdly, advertisers love it because it's a cheaper way
- 4:10Speaker 1: to target your audience with much better analytics and be man.
- 4:13Speaker 2: It's fair to say that seven West Media and its
- 4:15Speaker 2: competitors are investing heavily in BVOD for the future for
- 4:18Speaker 2: good reason.
- 4:19Speaker 1: In twenty twenty four, TV revenue was down nine and
- 4:21Speaker 1: a half percent year on.
- 4:23Speaker 2: Year, whereas in the first half of twenty twenty four
- 4:25Speaker 2: BVOD revenue jump nearly fourteen.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Percent and with nearly fourteen million b VOD viewers on
- 4:30Speaker 1: seven plus, this is becoming a key part of seven
- 4:32Speaker 1: West story. For our third and final story, Treasury Wine Estates,
- 4:37Speaker 1: the wine giant has taken its lower priced wine brands
- 4:41Speaker 1: off the sale slash divestment market after failing to find
- 4:44Speaker 1: a buyer.
- 4:45Speaker 2: Talk about a little one eighty year b man. So
- 4:47Speaker 2: what is going on?
- 4:48Speaker 1: Treasury Wine Estates is the ASX listed wine maker behind
- 4:52Speaker 1: some big brands that are sold around the world.
- 4:54Speaker 2: We'd be talking Squealing Pig, Nineteen Crimes, pepper Jack, but
- 4:58Speaker 2: jazz Boy.
- 4:58Speaker 1: You cannot leave out Treasury's Golden Goose. It's cash cow,
- 5:02Speaker 1: it's gravy train, and it's the biggest money spinner. I'm
- 5:05Speaker 1: talking penfolds.
- 5:07Speaker 2: Very true. But be man, let me tell you one thing.
- 5:09Speaker 2: They also own a heap of cheaper brands like Wolf Blast, Linderman's,
- 5:12Speaker 2: Yellow Glen, and Blossom Hill, as well.
- 5:15Speaker 1: Cheap Alert and Juzzy Boy. In August last year, Treasury
- 5:17Speaker 1: announced plans to sell the lower priced brand portfolio.
- 5:21Speaker 2: That's because interest in cheap wine has been declining and
- 5:24Speaker 2: the margins are pretty thin.
- 5:25Speaker 1: But now Treasury has announced it won't be selling the
- 5:28Speaker 1: cheap brands anymore.
- 5:29Speaker 2: And that's because it couldn't find a buyer at the
- 5:31Speaker 2: price they wanted.
- 5:32Speaker 1: Apparently they only received low ball offers.
- 5:34Speaker 2: So now they're only up to it and accepting that
- 5:36Speaker 2: it's their own responsibility to maintain these brands.
- 5:39Speaker 1: But given these brands aren't part of the broader growth story,
- 5:43Speaker 1: you've got to imagine these brands will just continue to
- 5:45Speaker 1: decline further and further and further.
- 5:47Speaker 2: So true, So what is the key learning here?
- 5:49Speaker 1: A failed sale can be worse than no sale at all.
- 5:53Speaker 2: Yeah, announcing that a brand or a business is up
- 5:55Speaker 2: for sale only to get zero decent offers can be
- 5:57Speaker 2: a pretty bad look.
- 5:58Speaker 1: Makes people wonder what's wrong with that asset. It can
- 6:01Speaker 1: spook investers as well, and just boy, it can even
- 6:04Speaker 1: leave employees and customers feeling a little uneasy about the
- 6:07Speaker 1: future of the company or those brands.
- 6:08Speaker 2: In fact, be Man Treasuries already written down the value
- 6:11Speaker 2: of these brands on their books by three hundred and
- 6:13Speaker 2: fifty four.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Million dollars and still could not find a buyer and
- 6:17Speaker 1: be Man.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Because of these potentially negative impacts, companies often prefer to
- 6:20Speaker 2: negotiate sales confidentially and.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Only make public announcements once a deal is done.
- 6:25Speaker 2: But now Treasury Win needs to get back to work
- 6:27Speaker 2: with these underperforming brands and hope they can sell a
- 6:30Speaker 2: lot of Blossom Hill.
- 6:32Speaker 1: See.
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- 6:48Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Wednesday.