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Sunday MLB + WNBA Bets 6/29/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Some guys is towed back with you.
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: This is better Off Dead Sunday, June twenty ninth, edition,
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: one on one on the show yesterday, as the slump continues,
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: I guess I mean it was a losing day. Not
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: happy about it, obviously, as we had Cleveland on the
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: money line in the full game and if I'd given out,
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: If I had given it out as a first five
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: inning play, it would have won. I mean, Cleveland was
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: winning the game six to one into the fifth inning,
• 0:28
  Speaker 2: so I basically handicapped the starting pitching matchup right. Although
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Chaconi didn't do as well as I thought he would,
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: he did better than mekl Us as far as not
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: allowing as many runs. He did give up a couple
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: of runs in the fifth inning, so six' three at
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: the end of the fifth Still Saint. Louis it's not
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: like they have a great. Bullpend cleveland's is, okay not
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: as good as last. Year's But cleveland's bullpend absolutely imploded
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: and wound up losing the game nine to, six And
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: cleveland didn't even score.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: Again this terrible.
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Offense JUST i hate, it, MAN i hate it when
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: the first five inning wager. Wins but you go full
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: game and it doesn't. Win, man it's just so. Frustrating
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: it's almost LIKE i should go first five innings more
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: THAN i actually.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: Do that pissed me.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: Off and then the first five inning play THAT i
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: gave out with the under In, Philadelphia atlanta hit and
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: the full game UNDER i believe hit as well because
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: the game landed. Seven SO i think probably the lowest
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: the game was was seven and a. Half full, game
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: it was PROBABLY i think it was higher than. That
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: it was eight eight and a, half so it definitely
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: went under either way you played. It but it was
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: a two to nothing, Game atlanta winning at the end of,
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: five so that got there as. Well schwellenbach did very
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: well in the game yesterday And lozardo was good enough
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: to get us through. That so we'll move on to
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: today and we'll talk ABOUT. Wnba we have FIVE wnba games.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: Today AS i bring up the baseball, slate Obviously i'm
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: gonna actually give out a play ON wnba, today WHICH
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: i have not had A wnba playing a.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: Week ALTHOUGH i am up on the season.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: BARELY i THINK i. HAVEN'T i Think i've forgotten WHAT
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: i what AM i?
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: Like nine and?
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: Seven maybe it's not, great but really a couple of
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: losses in there that should have been. Wins i'll clarify
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: again That i'm not actually putting money on these right,
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: now just so you, know BUT i am giving the
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: Analysis i'm giving out the place as IF i were betting.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: These got to be a little bit conservative right, now,
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: man a little bit risk averse right. Now and as
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: far as me tracking all these bets as the way
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: THAT i, do IF i had been betting everything That
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: i've given out on the show so, FAR i would
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: be somewhere right around even still this. Year so not
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: great halfway through the, year but definitely chance to move
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: up and football might it might help us out later
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: in the, season so we'll see All THE nba and
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: baseball are really my top two sports like throughout the
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: last couple of. Decades so all, right basketball women's. Basketball
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: we do have The liberty At. Atlanta this is actually
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: gonna be an interesting game as It laya has been playing.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: Well they Have brittany grind who The liberty have been
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: falling off a little bit recently even though they are
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: one of the best. Teams this line is flipped From
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: atlanta BEING i guess a three and a half point
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: dog to a. Favorite, now SO i don't know if
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: there are injury issues here or actually it's a pick'em.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: Price now let me, see it looks, like, Yeah jones
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: is still out for The. LIBERTY i think that's their
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: big injury issue, Here john Kel, jones however you pronounce her,
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: Name she's still. Out that's the one major injury for The. Liberty,
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: still they're a pretty good team, though and this is
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: gonna be a competitive. MATCHUP i don't know what to
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: think about this Is. Atlanta to just lose a close
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: game To, minnesota that's a tough game to be coming
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: off of. Us so they're not exactly in the greatest
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: spot as they're winning that game throughout the second half
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: and lost close to the. End that's a tough, loss
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: tough way to. Lose liberty are coming off pretty ugly
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: loss really To. Phoenix not a great performance from. Them
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: they've lost three of their last four. Games but they
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: are playing a third straight or fourth straight road, game excuse,
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: me and they're going From phoenix all the way To.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: Atlanta not exactly the easiest spot to be in for
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: The liberty, either playing this so many road games in a,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: row So i'm just gonna stay away from that.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: One that is not going to be the play THAT i.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: Recommend chicago AT la is a little bit addressing BECAUSE
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: la actually just lost At chicago during their recent road,
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: trip so it is a little bit of a quick
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: revenge spot here FOR, la AS la was a favorite
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: in that game and they lost To. Chicago chicago had
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: not been playing well Though chicago was playing a little
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: bit better, now but if you look at what happened
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: in that, GAME la was dominating the game, Early they're way,
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: ahead and then they just completely fell apart in the second.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: HALF la wound up shooting really poorly from three point
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: range twenty six point nine. Percent they lost the turnover.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: Battle they did lose the rebound battle as. Well. Chicago
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: they are still a decent rebounding team at, least but
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: they're scoring has not been exactly up to bar and
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: they're still without A, vanderslout WHO i think is out
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: for the. Season but NOW la back at home Here
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: chicago having BEATEN. La they did lose To Golden state
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: last time, out, though so they are coming off kind
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: of an ugly. Loss BUT i think the revenge factor
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: quick revenge like quick adjustment period MEANS la is probably
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: gonna be the right side. Here, HOWEVER la is coming
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: off a pretty big win Over indiana and returning home
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: from a road. TRIP i, mean anytime you Beat, indiana
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: you're gonna be kind of excited about that, now even
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: If Kitlyn clark's not in the, lineup WHICH i don't
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: think she was because she's been.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Hurt, yeah, so but still pretty big.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: Win Over indiana, nonetheless and now they're returning home from,
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: that so it is a return home, spot which in
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: many other SPORTS i point that out as being a distracted,
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: spot not necessarily.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: As much so in THE.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: Wnba looks like the money has come in ON la,
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: though AND i mostly do agree with. That from six
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: to eight and a, HALF i just THINK i think
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: the revenge, factor the quick revenge, factor is probably the
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: thing that puts this.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: That has me leaning one.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: Side versus the, other although there are conflicting, factors So
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: i'm not gonna give this out as a play fifty
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: percent of, tickets eighty three percent of the cash On,
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: chicago though In chicago has been playing a little bit better,
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: recently SO i guess take from all that what you, Will,
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: david what's up? Man thanks for hanging, Out Uh vegas At.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: Phoenix this is gonna be the PLAY i. Recommend i'm
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: gonna recommend taking the points With vegas here because this
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: is not only a quick revenge, spot BUT i think
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: it lines up a lot nicer For vegas AND i
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: think this is a spot where at this, POINT i
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: think the public is gonna tend to look at this
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: and just, think, Well phoenix is just a way better
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: team than The aces, now, Right AND i mean the, Oddsmakers,
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: yeah obviously they're Lining phoenix as a favorite here at,
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: home telling you they're the better. Team but The, ACES
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: i mean they're starting to kind of get it together
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit their defense is a problem early, ON
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: i having to deal with Like Kelsey plumb being gone
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: from the team now and bringing In Jewel. LLOYD i
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: think it's their new starter that they have there that's
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a change where you have to
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: get some chemistry going. On ace has also lost their best,
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: Player Asia wilson for a few games, here SO i
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: think The aces might be a little bit undervalue right.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: Now and, yeah they were one of the worst defensive
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: teams early. On but they're playing a little bit better.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: NOW i think the rebounding has kind of improved as.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: Well SO i think looking at, THIS i think these
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: teams are a little bit closer than what the records
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: will kind of tell. YOU i, mean, obviously if you
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: watch my, SHOW i haven't really been that much of
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: a fan of The, mercy ALTHOUGH i do have to
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: admit The mercury better THAN i thought they. Were but
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: look at this stretch at the wrong they won six
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: games in a. Row so, yeah it's, like, well do
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: we want to step in front of that train While
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: i'm going to because some of these, WINS i, Mean
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: dallas at Home, CONNECTICUT i, mean if you Beat connecticut at,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: ALL i, mean that's not anything to hang your head.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: On connecticut's the worst team in the. League dallas also,
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: Bad chicago also.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Bad but then they did beat The liberty in their last.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: Game so Now phoenix is coming up beating The liberty
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: by a double digit scorer man and scoring over one
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: hundred points and two straight. GAMES i think you gotta
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: be looking at this as being a let down spot, here.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean a.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Hundred points being scored in A wnba game doesn't happen that. Often,
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: Uh phoenix, again like doing this to one of the
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: best teams in the.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: LEAGUE i, mean that's just.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: CRAZY i just think it sets them up for a
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: letdown spot, here. Man and if we look at how
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: the game played, out if there's anything to see, here
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: we did Have phoenix just shot out of their minds
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: in this game fifty two point six percent from the. Field,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: yeah both team shot over fifty, percent But phoenix was
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: also forty six point two percent from, three which is
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: a bit of an. OUTLIER i, mean you usually don't
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: SEE wnba teams shoot like that from three point. Range
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: you don't even SEE nba teams do. It SO i
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: think we're gonna see a bit of regression For phoenix.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: Here and by the, way not only, that but this
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: is a revenge spot because they Beat Las vegas on
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: the road not that long, ago AND i MENTIONED i
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: actually lead To vegas getting the points in this, one
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: and they just barely didn't cover. Here they lost by
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: six as four and a half point underdogs.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Here and in this, Game vegas.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: Was just A i mean they shot terribly thirty five
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: point nine, Percent they had a horrific turnover. Rate they
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: actually won the rebound. Battle they lost the turnover battle
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: at home twenty two to. Thirteen so if The aces
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: can clean that up and just fix, FUNDAMENTALS i, MEAN
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: i think this game would have looked a lot. Different,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: yeah both teams really didn't shoot well in this. Game But,
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: VEGAS i, mean losing the turnover battle like that at,
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: HOME i think is something that's not really that, sustainable
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: even though of course they are on the road. Now and,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Yes phoenix did actually beat The liberty twice during that,
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: stretch SO i thought that was gonna be a little
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: bit of a revenge spot for The liberty, there and
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: it was. Not BUT i just think this is gonna
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: be a spot Where, VEGAS i, think is going to. Adjust,
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: Man SO i think it's a big letdown spot For.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: PHOENIX i think it's a little bit of a revenge
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: spot for The aces. Here and The aces are coming
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: off an ugly home loss To. Washington washington just seems
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: like they were able to play Play Las vegas well
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: In vegas for whatever. Reason and this was a game,
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: WHERE i mean it was not even. Close washington had
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: a huge lead throughout this, game but look at This
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: washington shot fifty two point six percent from. Three are
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: you kidding? Me that is never gonna happen. Again so this, game,
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: again this is another major major. Outliner washington actually was
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: missing one of their best players, Too, SYKES i, Believe
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: and they were Missing angstler as, well But SYKES i
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: think was the BIGGER i don't know the personnel that,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: well BUT i think she was their biggest player who
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: was out for this. Game, yeah it was just. Ridiculous
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: they hit ten three pointers in the. Game they also
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: had twenty free. Throws they were twenty for twenty five
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: And vegas only got to the line twelve times and
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: hit eleven of their free. Throws So washington also got
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: way more free throw, attempts which is also kind of
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: it's an indicator that maybe the refing was a little
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: bit one sided as.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Well SO i don't see that happening.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Again so you're seeing a lot of like outliers in
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: some of these box scores here for both of these.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Teams it's a bit of a revenge spot. Here it's a.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Letdown vegas plus the points and unfortunately it looks like
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: we could have gotten seven to seven and a half
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: at some point and it's now down to six and a,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: HALF i still would take the points. Here, YEAH i,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: mean that's A i don't know IF i have anything
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: else to say about, that although seven is a key
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: number in basketball because it is the three score thresholder
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: teams stop intentionally. Fouling but weird things happen to THE wnba,
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Man so hopefully the six and a half is good
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: enough On vegas and that one. Stacks what's up? Man
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: thanks for hanging out. Everybody then we Got connecticut At.
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: MINNESOTA i, mean this is the least interesting. Game you
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: basically have the worst team in the league against the
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: best team in the. League best team is up from
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: an it and a half point favorite to a twenty point,
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: favorite so the very rare twenty POINT wnba. FAVORITE i,
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: mean there's not a whole lot else to say about.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: This minnesota is coming off a pretty big win Over,
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: atlanta so they might not totally pay attention To. Connecticut
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: BUT i, mean it's just such a. Mismatch it comes
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: down to do you really think are to cover a
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: twenty point? Spread and that is a pretty big ask
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: in a game where you just might not give a
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: shit about. It And connecticut has lost so many games
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: in a, row now eight games in a, row whatever that.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: Is they're the worst team in the, league there's no
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: doubt about. That playing a fourth straight road, game so
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: it's not even really a good spot For. Connecticut so
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: even If minnesota doesn't show, up they probably still should
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: at least win that. Game but ask him to cover
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: a huge spread like that is a different. Story and
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: then we Have seattle At Golden. State Golden state has
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: actually been playing pretty. Well a, noo they're above five
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: hundred after beating The Chicago Sky.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: BUT i, mean you dial it back a little. Bit
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: some of these wins are not as.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Impressive, however pretty much their most impressive, WIN i would,
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: say was the one Against. Seattle and now they're Playing
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: seattle again here on the same, floor so they actually
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: Beat seattle not that long. Ago Golden state was a
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: nine and a half point underdog in this, game and
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: if you look at, that if we see any, outliers
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: we can try to figure out what went on in this.
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: Game both teams shot really, badly although gold well from
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: three point. Range both teams shot really. Bad The Golden
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: state did you forty eight point three percent from field goal?
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: Range they did shoot a little bit higher than you
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: would expect from field goal, range but they did also
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: dominate the rebound, battle which is kind of.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Surprising so.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: The field goal percentage maybe a little bit unsustainable from that.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Game it doesn't look like it's like a massive outlier
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: or anything like. That But, SEATTLE i think they're gonna
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: remember that. Game AND i Think seattle is gonna be
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: up for this because they know they lost To Golden state.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Last time they faced.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: Them seattle coming off an easy win over The Connecticut
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: sun doesn't really, matter and now they're starting a road
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: trip and a lot of times you are focused when
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: you start a road, trip AND i think because you
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: know that the last time you went To Golden, state
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: you lost and you had a bad, GAME i Think
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: seattle is going to be up for. This so probably
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: slightly Into, seattle a bit of a revenge. Spot and
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: whereas last time they were here they were like eight
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: nine point favorites or, WHATEVER i just, showed they're only
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: a five and a half point favorite, Now SO i
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: think you're getting a little bit of line value On
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: seattle as, well Because Golden state has been playing really well,
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Recently so, yeah the books have had to adjust Because
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: Golden state's probably better than we thought that they, were
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: but isn't enough to justify adjusting this point.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Spread three four?
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Points AND i don't think there's really much of a
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: personnel change here between the two games, either probably not totally.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: Justified so Probably seattle would be the way to lean
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: here through up from five to five and a. Half
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: But i'm not gonna do anything with that. Game read
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: hard at what's up, MAN. Wnba, dude if you can
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: make money on, it THEN i say do it. Again
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: Las Vegas aces plus the points is the one Game
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: i'm recommending.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: THERE i am gonna recommend two Major.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: League baseball, plays one side and one, total both full. Game,
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: ACTUALLY i believe is What i'm doing this. Time let's
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: go To Major League. Baseball, male let's try to run this.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: DOWN i, KNOW i get REALLY i get really long
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: in the tooth with These Major league Base ball analyses
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: here AS i get super, AUTISTIC i break down the pitching.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: Matchup it is what it. Is Saint Louis is At.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Cleveland don't really even want to talk about this series
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: after what happened yesterday to, me With cleveland having the
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: big lead and then blowing it and never scoring. Again
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: man first five inning would have. Won i'm still pissed about.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: IT i hate when that. Happens cleveland lost the game
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: nine to. SIX U Saint louis did use some of
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: their better relievers yesterday because the wound up taking the
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: lead and they had to bring in some of their
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: high leverage relief pitchers to finish the game. Off SO
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: i actually think the bullpen situation is a little bit
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: better For cleveland in this, Game and Maybe cleveland's bullpen
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: is even actually a little bit better Than saint Louis,
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: is because neither bullpen is really that. Good but the
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: starting pitching match UP i think is definitely in favor
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: Of Saint. Louis With libratare, Pitching he's having a pretty
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: good season three point nine to SIX, era one point
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: one to FIVE. Whip he's been a little bit worse
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: on the road four point two to THREE, era but
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: not really significant this. Month he has a good strikeout
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: walk ratio fifteen to, three but he has a six
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: point five to FIVE era because he had one really
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: bad outing Against Kansas city go figure against a really bad,
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: offense and then he started bouncing. Back his last two
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: starts have been. Good they've both been wins for him
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: and for the. Team he's got at least six innings of,
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: both allowing only two runs in. Each one was against
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: The White, sox so nobody really cares if you beat
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: The White.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Sox they suck.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: Offensively but he did also beat The, cubs who are
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: obviously one of the best hitting teams in, baseball so
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: that is. Impressive he's, gotten you, KNOW i, mean his
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: command has been there all, month so it's not like
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: it's returned or anything like. That but he's allowed fewer
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: hard hits the last two times, out so he is
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: pitching a little bit better the last two times out Against.
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: Cleveland he has good, numbers but it's a very small
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: sample size of nine at bats two twenty two average
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: allowed five to twenty two. OPS i am leaning Towards
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: libratore probably doing well in this. Game he's up Against Logan,
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: allen Who i'm not really a fan of four point
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: twenty FIVE vra but a one point five, WHIP i,
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: mean you cannot put one and a half guys on
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: base per, inning, man, like you just can't do that
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: without suffering a lot of damage, Eventually So. ALAN i,
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: mean he's obviously walking too many. Guys his home road
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: splits are pretty. Insignificant this, month he has a sixteen
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: to seven strikeout walk ratio of four point THREE, Era
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: so he's kind of just continuing to pitch mediocre like
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: he always does and put too many guys on base
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: via the.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Walk, yeah there's not a whole lot else to say about.
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: THAT i, mean you kind of know what you're gonna
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: get out of, him and he puts enough guys on
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: base that there is a chance that he gives up a.
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: Lot Saint louis has basically never seen him. Before Only
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: hampson has ever seen him, before although he is three
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: for eight with a double two, RBIs two strikeouts and
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: no walks against.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: Him So alan does have a lot of.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Unfamiliarity, though which could maybe give him a little bit
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: of an edge in this. Game probably would Lean Saint
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: louis first five this, one, though just because the starting
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup does favor. Them we See cleveland being public,
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: again even though they've lost both games in the. Series
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: that doesn't totally make sense to, Me cleveland being a
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: public home. UNDERDOG i, MEAN i don't know if these
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: percentages are, accurate it doesn't make sense to. Me sixty
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets on them only fifty eight percent
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: of the, cash And Saint louis has dropped a little
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: bit from minus one ten to minus one oh. Seven, yeah,
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i would probably take the shot With Saint louis
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: first five innings money line BECAUSE i don't want to
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: deal With Saint louis's bullpen in the rest situation that
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: they're in or lack. Thereof so that's HOW i break
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: that one. Down next, Time i'm gonna give out a split.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Play this is my side play is The Pittsburgh. Pirates
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: and watch this lose because AFTER i gave it a
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: lien On pittsburgh and each of the first two games
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: in the series against The, mets And pittsburgh won both
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: GAMES i think like nine to one and nine to
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: two or something like, that so easy wins For pittsburgh
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: in both. Games and now watch this be the game
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: that they, lose the time THAT i finally give out
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: a play on. Them Although pittsburgh has had the market
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: read on them in every game in the, series and
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: they do again, today AND i think it's a spot.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: To actually do.
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: It, MAN i, mean the way this is lined up
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: for The mets has not been good for. Them, like
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: they Had blackburn pitching yesterday and that's never really a good.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: Sign and Now montaze is pitching, today Which i'll talk
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: about in a, minute probably not a good sign. Either
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: both teams use a lot of their relief pitchers, yesterday
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: SO i am a little bit worried about The pittsburgh.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Bullpen but The.
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: METS i think The mets used more of their bullpen
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: yesterday actually Because blackburn was out of the game really early.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: ON i let me.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: Sing, Yeah so both bullpen's are in pretty bad. Shape
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: The mets definitely have the better bullpen, significantly but The,
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: METS i, mean they ran through their bullpen. Yesterday man's
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: the bullpen situation is kind of even on both. Sides
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: and if The mets have to go to their bullpen
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: earlier Than pittsburgh does again in this, game which we'll
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: see if that does, HAPPEN i think it's gonna be
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: a little bit bad for. Them you could Play pittsburgh
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: first five. INNINGS i don't want this to be a
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: situation where the first five inning plays correct again and.
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: The full game.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: Isn't BUT i am going full game, here partially just
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: SO i can get the split bet. Here i'm recommending
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: playing half of the bet on the money line plus
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: one thirty other you could just go straight money line
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: and just go balls to the wall and Go pittsburgh
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: to win the game in a nice home underdog price again,
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: here or mitigate the risk a little bit and put
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: half of the bet on the plus one and a
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: half runs at minus one twenty.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Five it's a cheap price out there right.
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: Now it's some of these, books, Man so you could
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: do that and you don't.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Have to pay that.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: Much, basically if you split half in, half the total
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: that you're putting into this basically is about the same
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: that you'd be putting into a normal.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Bet, ACTUALLY i think it's a little bit.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Less you're not quite paying the minus one ten juice
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: fully to do, this.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: SO i think it's the way to.
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: Go and then you get a situation where If pittsburgh
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: does lose by exactly, one you'll win a little bit of.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Money won't be, significant but it'll be a small. Win,
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: obviously if they win out, right you'll win the bet.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: Fully and then if they, lose you know you'll lose your,
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: bet but that would be the. Case, anyway you lose
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit more than if you just play the
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: money line straight up at plus one. Thirty you'd lose
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: less by them losing in that. Case BUT i think
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: this is the way to go. Here we Have montage
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: pitching for The mets. HERE i don't think this is
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: a good, situation. MAN i, mean, yeah but he's got
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: a ZERO, era oh, okay ZERO r a one point two.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Whip but remember he just came, back, man he was.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: Injured this is his first go around with The mets.
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: HERE i had him pitched since last year and he
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: made one start so far this.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: YEAR i wasn't.
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: Expecting much out of, him and he did shut Out
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: atlanta for five, innings which is. Good he did also
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: walk three, guys so there was some good and some
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: bad about the start For. Montas BUT i just don't
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: think he's really that good of a pitcher in, general.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: Man as you can see career numbers four point zero
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: SIX era and one point three to one.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Whip that career whip is definitely way too.
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: High so this laid into his. CAREER i think you
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: pretty much know what you're gonna get out Of. Montage,
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: yeah those walks could have been because of some nervousness
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: returning to the game and, whatever but it could just
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: mean he's walking too many, guys which has kind of
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: been the case throughout his, career so that could be the.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Case we'll.
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: See pittsburgh is actually somewhat familiar with him because he
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: was on The Cincinnati. Reds they do only have four
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: hitters have seen him, before but they have done well
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: off him in thirty one at, bats two ninety average
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: against some fam as a home run off, him seven
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: to fifty three, ohps so decent numbers Against. Montas WHEREAS
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: i Think pittsburgh's got the starting pitching edge With burrows
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: on the, mound who is a rookie AND i know
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: his numbers don't look good four point four to.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: FIVE, era one point three TWO. Whip but if you
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: look At, burrows.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: He had a couple of bad starts to start his
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: major league, career which you know there is some nervousness evolved,
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: there and then since, then he's really only in one
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: other bad outing Against texas out of the five outings
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: that he had In. June that was the only other bad.
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: One other than that he allowed two or fewer runs
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: in all the other. Outings granted one of them was
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: actually a relief appearance in his last, outing Which i'll
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: get to in a, Minute but overall this month he
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: is a two point eight SIX era and twenty five
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk. Ratio he definitely does have
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: strikeout ability and thirty to nine over the course of
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: the entire, season which is. Good so that does tell
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: you he has. Command he's not walking too many, Guys
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: he's racking up a lot of, Strikeouts he's not really
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: allowing too many hits, Either So, BURROWS i, Mean i'm
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: kind of liking What i'm seeing out of this. Guy
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: he was a decently touted, prospect and after he did
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: poor Leaguegainst, texas they actually put him in the bulp
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: and he came in in relief Of Paul skeens his
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: last time out in That Skeen's missierowski game Where skeens
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: actually give up four runs in an inning in the,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: game ALTHOUGH i Think skeens lasted into like the fourth
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: inning in that game or something that he gave up
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: four runs in whatever inning he got pulled. From burrows
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: came in and did alright with two and a third scoreless,
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: innings didn't even give up a. Hit SO i think the,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: fact like when your picture you get like kind of
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: relegated to the, bullpen that kind of sparks you a little, bit,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: right because if you're you want to be a starting,
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: pitcher you want to get back into that starting, rotation
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: so you want to prove. Yourself SO i think that's
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: gonna help Spark burrows here as. Well and we saw
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: it happen with even with a guy who's completely the
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: opposite Of, burrows and That borrows is a, rookie but
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: With Charlie, morton who's an, old old, veteran maybe the
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: oldest pitcher in the league at this, point he got
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: relegated To baltimore's.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Bullpet when he came, back you started pitching way.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: Better so a lot of times that can kind of
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: spark you and get you focused and fix some of
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: the things you know you could work, with like different,
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: bullpen different, coaches, whatever fix whatever's going on with. You
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: SO i like How borrow's lines up for this one,
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: man AND i mean he's gonna be pitching basically on
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: almost on normal. Rests it's a little bit short, rest but,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: again you only made thirty one pitches in that, game
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: SO i think he'll he'll be ready to. Go and
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: he's never been seen before by The mets except For,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: sodo WHO i don't know. How sodo hasn't it bad against.
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: Him he's zero for one with a walk against. Him
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: other than, that nobody's ever Seen burrows f unless Am i'm. Mistaken,
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: OH i Guess borrows dippitch once last, Year so this
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: is technically his rookie season this year because he only
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: made one appearance last, year so maybe that was When
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: soda faced. Him but, basically The mets have never seen it.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: Before so when you have a young rookie pitcher like
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: this who's never been seen, over they have a big familiarity.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: Edge SO i think the familiarity edge here is way
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: on the side Of. Pittsburgh here on the side Of.
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: Burrows and we see again The mets are ridiculously public
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: again eighty eight percent of the tickets and cash on,
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: them but the line has reverse moved against them in
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: a big, way down for minus one sixty to minus
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: one thirty. Eight so we see a lot of market
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: indicators On pittsburgh.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: HERE i like it.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: Of Like pittsburgh in every game of the, series And
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna do it again here, man and The, mets
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: they are falling. APART i, mean they've lost a ton
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: of games. Recently even though it looked like they were
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: kind of riding the ship when they've Beat atlanta twice,
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: recently has not, happened as they've been bad in this. Series,
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: uh The mets had a players only meeting, yesterday AND
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: i don't know if it's gonna help them or. Not,
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: man to be, HONEST i, mean it seems like there's
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: kind of chaos going on with The mets right, now
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: like something is not, right AND i don't know if
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: a player's only meeting is.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: Really gonna fix an issue here where it.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: Looks like this matchup doesn't look. Good and, YES i
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: know a lot of TIMES i will like to play
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: on a team that's trying to avoid the speed the,
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: sweep especially when they're the better.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Team, obviously The mets are still the better.
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: Team they have the way better, offense, especially BUT i
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: just don't like the matchup here at. ALL i don't
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: like what's going on with The mets locker room. Here so,
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: yeah the market seems to agree with Me Pittsburgh pirate's
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: gonna be a play, There, christopher what's up?
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Man? Oh thanks for, reposting? Sir all?
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: Right uh let me, SEE i didn't realize that reposting
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: it up like posted a comment AND i haven't streamed
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: Of twitter that. MUCH i didn't realize it posted a
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: comment in the comment. Section yankee against The. A's The
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: yankees got obliterated, Yesterday so after The yankees shut out
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: The a's in the first, game The a's shut them
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: out yesterday seven and. Nothing rooker And Nick, kertz our
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: favorite favorite name in. Baseball Nick kurtz got a home
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: run yesterday as. Well he's been hitting really. Well, actually
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: neither team used a lot of their bullpen at all,
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: yesterday so both bullpens in pretty good rest shape coming
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: into this. Game but though of, course The a's bullpen
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: is really bad and The yankees bullpen is. Decent we
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: Got Louis severino pitching for The a's. Here not not
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: good numbers four point eight three E, ra one point
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: three to five, whip but he has extreme home road,
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: splits Whereas Roady ira is actually two point two, seven
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: although that has actually gone up His Roady ray was
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: actually like below one until his last time out where
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: he actually got shelled last time out Against detroit to
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: give up two of them. Runs he hadn't given up
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: a home run on the road all, SEASON i think
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: until that. Outing But detroit is a tough team to
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: face on the road. There maybe you'll give him a
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: little bit of a pass for. That but he's just
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: not a good form right, now, Man i'm. Sorry fourteen
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: to nine strike a walk ratio this. Month his team
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: has lost four of his five starts this. Month they've
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: lost eight of his last nine starts seven point ONE
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: era this. Month fourteen to nine starting a walk ratio
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: is not good at. All SO i don't think Seven
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: reno is very. Trustworthy and against The, yankees he does
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: not have good. Numbers thirty five at bats in his
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: career against these, hitters three seventy one average, allowed one
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: twenty one oh. Ps none of that is. Good so
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: it's not looking great for Seven reno, here. Man and
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: he's up Against Marcus. STROMAN i, mean this is gonna
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: be interesting Because stroman's not that good if you look
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: at his career. NUMBERS i, mean last year was his
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: first season with The, yankees and it did not go very.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: Well four point three one era one point four to seven,
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: whip and of course he wears it's like this like
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: two rag thing under.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: His, hat AND i just think it looks totally.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: STUPID i, MEAN i don't, KNOW i don't know what
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: the deal, is, Man just LIKE i don't.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: Know he looks very.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: UH i mean in a way he looks like nineties
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: hip hop, though SO i guess there is something to
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: be said about, that, maybe BUT i just don't think
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: he's a very good pitcher. Man he did have better
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: seasons when he was in The National, league but not
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: really that. Great, Overall he's been a mediocre pitcher and
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: he pitched three times early this season for The. Yankees
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: he didn't make it past four and two thirds innings
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: in any, outing gave up at least three or in
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: runs at all three, outings and two of them are
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: Against pittsburgh And San, francisco which is not a good
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: zion against two teams that can't hit at, all resulting
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: in him having an eleven point five seven E r
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: and two point zero four whip this. Season of, course
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: those numbers are going to get. BETTER i, mean he's
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: not gonna continue pitching this. Badly but he's not good,
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: either and against The a's he actually does have good
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: numbers against The a's for the most, part in twenty
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: three at bats to seventeen, average although somewhat high SEVEN
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: o five.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Ops that is it's one of.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: These it's some of these stats where you sometimes we'll
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: see stats where like the batting average allowed is really,
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: good but the ops allowed is really high or somewhat,
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: high because he has a lot of home run To
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: butler and a six to five strike out walk ratio
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: is not very. Good so there are some reasons to
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: be a little bit hesitant About stroman as. Well and
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: he's coming back from injury, here so he's been out
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: since Like, APRIL i think of this, year Maybe, may
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: so he's been out for like a couple of. Months
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: so how well Is stroman gonna do in this? Game
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: that is also a. Question it remains to be. Seen
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: SO i think PROBABLY i would be looking towards an
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: over in this, game especially after we've seen two shutouts
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: in this series so. FAR i think we might see
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: some fireworks in this. One and the totals gone up
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: from nine to ten already eighty three, percent takets ninety
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: five percent of cash on the. Over of, course the
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: public is gonna come in on the over because they
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: Like yankees games to go over the total, obviously and
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: The a's can hit a little bit as. Well but, again,
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i think we're gonna see this go
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: over the. TOTAL i, mean The a's bullpen's, bad even
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: though the bullpen's. Arrested The yankees bullpen has been iffy
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: at times as, well so and the starting pitching is
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: definitely questionable. Here, OVER i, think is what makes, sense
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: and the oddsmakers are gonna put a line that high
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: for a, reason and the money again has already come
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: in that, way so it's like professionals and public are
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: all agreeing on the over in that. Game philadelphia Ed
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: atlanta is gonna be my other, play so my first
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: two players are gonna be given out early in the. Show,
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: Here i'm gonna give it an, under just LIKE i did,
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: yesterday except this is gonna be a full game under
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i don't want to go under three and a
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: half in the first. FIVE i hate trying to go
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: under three and a half in the first, five So
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna suck it up and try to deal with
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: these bullpens that aren't really that, good and hope that
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: we get our starters to go decently far into this,
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: game get us through a lot of, it and then
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: hopefully the bullpens can kind of just hold it at
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: the end and we'll get under this total of eight
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: and a. Half that's WHAT i like. Here if you
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: want to try to go under first. FIVE i, mean
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: most of this handicap is gonna be about the starting,
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: pitching so it does also make sense to look under first.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Five it's just THAT i think there's almost no leeway
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: there with going under three and a, half SO i
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: hesitate to do.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: It where's this game come?
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: On?
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: MAN i hear it?
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: Is total has a flip from eight and a half
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: juicy over to eight and a half. Juicy the under
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: seventy takes ninety one percent of the cash on the,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: under so the money to me looks like it is
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: agreeing with this coming in on the.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Under the bullpens at least are not.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: Totally used, up BUT i don't think after, yesterday only
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: a couple of relief pitchers came in for both teams,
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: yesterday and the high leverage relief pitchers did not get used,
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: yesterday so that helps this under as. Well so that
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: means the better relievers are still available because this game
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: was pretty much out of, hand so the best relievers
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: did not have to come into the game yesterday in
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: the six to One atlanta.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Win Ron. Jr suarez is pitching From.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: PHILADELPHIA i, MEAN i keep SAYING i think he's gonna
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: regress just like he did last. Year but he's been
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: pitching well so. Far two point EIGHT, ra one point
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: oh three whip hasn't really showed size is slowing. Down
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: he's been better on the road of the one point
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: two ROAD, era which is where he is, here and
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: he's been in good form this month with a one
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: point THREE era in five, starts twenty eight to six
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: strike a walk. Ratio he struck out at least six
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: batters in his last three. Outings, granted he's Facing atlanta,
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: here which is a little bit of a step up
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: from some of these recent opponents, offensively but he did
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: Beat atlanta earlier this season as, well shut them out
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: for six innings and struck out. Eight although he walked
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: three guys in the, game that was still a good
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: outing and overall Against. Atlanta even though, yeah they're very
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: familiar with, him they haven't done well against him in
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty at. BATS i know a lot
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: of times when an offense is that familiar with a,
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: pitcher the advantage kind of goes to the, Offense BUT
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: i don't think so when the pitcher does well against,
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: them typically two thirty three average.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Allowed to them in seven one.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: Ops those are pretty decent pitching numbers in a very
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: big sample. Size so, overall the bravest hitters have not
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: done that well Against Ronja. Suarez we do Have Austin
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: riley probably has the best numbers against, him nine for
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: twenty eight with two on runs and four. WALKS a
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: couple other guys hit him, okay but other than, that
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: not a whole. Lot going on forty four to sixteen
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: strike a walk, ratio seven home runs. ALLOWED i, mean
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: the home runs looks, bad but it's not really when
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: the sample size is that.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Big the strikeout walk ratio is a little bit.
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: Concerning suarez in the past has had issues with control at,
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: times BUT i think he'll get us a decent start,
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: year and he's up Against Spencer, strider who is making
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: strides coming back from his injury, here and he's starting
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: to pitch pretty. Well four point zero seven E ra
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: still doesn't look, good but a one point one four
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: whip is obviously. Good he's been better at, home so
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: both these starting pitchers have the home road splits in
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: their favor here three point one EIGHTY ra at, home
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: so that's. Good against The, phillies he's been really good
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: in a huge two hundred two at bat sample. Size
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: he's absolutely dominated In philadelphia dude eighty two to seventeen
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: strigo walk ratio that is. Insane, yeah he's still allowed
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: seven home runs to, them but he's only allowed thirty
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: five hits to them. Totally he's held him to a
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: one seventy three average five forty nine oh.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Ps Only marsh has.
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: Really done well against, him six for nineteen with two
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: on the, runs three. Walks basically all the other hitters
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: have pretty much struggled against. Him So strider has actually
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: been really dominant against a really good Hitting phillies. Lineup
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: so that's a good sign as. Well And, strider LIKE i,
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: said he's been making. Strides he's been pretty good, recently
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: three point eight sixty in five starts this. Month thirty
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: eight to eleven straggle walk, ratio and he actually stepped
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: it up his last two.
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Outings getting a wins in both of.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Them he's got him wins on his last three, outings
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: but the last two were against The, mets which is
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: another good sign because he did that against a good.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: Team he did Face Philip outfit earlier this year and
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: held him down and only allowed one, run but he
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: only lasted.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: Four and two.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: Thirds he was very inefficient in the, game and he
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: walked four. Guys but his control has been a little
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: bit better for the most part since, then except that
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: he did walk four guys in his last, outing but
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: his control has still been a little bit better this
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: month with a thirty eight to eleven strike out walk,
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: Ratio so at least his strikeout rate has been very very,
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: high and he hasn't a looted a lot of, Hits
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: so when you're striking out a ton of guys that
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: you're basically, unhittable you can kind of tolerate walking a
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: few more. Hitters and, again, overall his whip is pretty,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: good SO i like. IT i like both starting pitchers
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: in that. ONE i think the bullpens are in okay
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: shape coming into that, one so under in the full
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: game in that.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: One let's try to get through all.
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: This.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: Man this is, Man i'm taking forever to get through these. Games.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: Today tampa At.
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: Baltimore this series has been, crazy, Man baltimore winning the
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: first game twenty two to, eight and THEN i told
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: you there might be a domino effect in yesterday's. GAME
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: i thought might go over as, well and it, did
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: as it wound up being an eleven to Three tampa win.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: Yesterday so now we've seen both teams win in a
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: blowout in the.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: Series it's been a crazy. Series.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Man, baltimore their bullpen is in way worse shape coming
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: into the game. Today is they used a lot of
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: their bullpen, yesterday Including, bluewett Who atlanta got rid, of
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: and he has been blowing it still With. BALTIMORE i
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: mean he's. Terrible baltimore's bullpen is bad to begin. With
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: and now these bunch of relief pitchers, yesterday Whereas tampa
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: only used one relief, Pitcher rock to just finish the
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: game off because the game was already in. Hand So
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: tampa has the better bullpen and they were able to
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: rest them. Yesterday So tampa definitely has a bullpen advantage
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: coming into this, game AND i actually Think tampa probably
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: is the better team offensively at this point. Too Taj
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: bradley's pitching For, tampa though he has not been that
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: good four point five to SEVEN, era one point two
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: to EIGHT. Whip he's been better on the road, though
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: three point three to Two ROADY, r so the road splits.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Line up decently for.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Him his LAST i, mean his recent starts have been
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: all over the, place. Dude he gave up seven runs Against,
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: miami he only went four, innings only lasted four. Innings
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: in his next outing against The, mets walked four, guys
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: gave up five, runs but none of them were. Earned
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: very strange. Outing then he only went one in a
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: third Against. Baltimore this Same baltimore team absolutely annihilated him
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: and put up six earned runs against.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: Him he had a terrible.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: Outing then his last owning he bounced back really nicely
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: with a six to two, Third and he shut out
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: and only let two hits Against Kansas city and only
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: walked one guy and struck up.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Four so, again he's all over the place.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: Here tampa's won his last three, starts BUT i don't
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: know if we could Trust bradley five point zero NINE
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: era this, month twenty three to ten strikegle walk ratio
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: is not really that, great and Again baltimore really lit
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: him up in the last, game and his numbers are
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: not good Against. Baltimore in fifty career at, bats a
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: fourteen to two striggle walk ratio is really, nice but
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: he's given up six home runs to six different, hitters
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: so basically half Of baltimore's hitters are more than half
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: of hit a home run off. Him three sixty average
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: a lot of one five ops does not bode well
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: For bradley in this. Game So tampa does have a bullpen,
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: Edge so if you Like, tampa you're gonna have To
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: you're definitely gonna have to go full game if you
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: Like tampa here and let the later parts of the
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: game try to catch you. Up but you are Facing
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: Dean creamer as, well and he's not very good. Either
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: four point SIXTY ra one point three to four whip
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: For baltimore. Here he's actually been better at, home though
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: two point ninety ARE era at, home so both starting
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: pitchers actually have the home road split in their.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: Favor. Here creamer four point three E ra this.
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: Month twenty one to six strikele walk ratio is actually
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: pretty good, though and his last three starts he actually
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: has a nineteen to five strikele walk. Ratio The baltimore
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: has lost three of his four starts this, month but
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: his last start against The, yankees he actually stepped it
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: up and pitched pretty well and got no run support behind.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: Him in that, game he only allowed one run in
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: five and two thirds and struck out seven and walked
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: one against The. Yankees that was a good. Outing so
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: what are we gonna get out Of creamer? Here it's
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: difficult to, say but he actually does have okay numbers Against.
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: Baltimore in seventy five at. Bats he's on him a
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: two to fifty three, average which is, low but a
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: seven eighty nine ops so it starts looking a little
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: bit less. Good nineteen to ten strike a walk, ratio
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: so too many, walks too many home runs, allowed four
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: home runs allowed, said it starts looking like, okay, Yeah.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: CREAMER i mean, Overall i'm willing to Say creamer is
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: still not really that. Good so and his numbers Against
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: tampa are not good enough THAT i would want to
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: do anything with the creamer side, here the money.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: Is coming in On.
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: Tampa we have fifty one percent of tickets On baltimore
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: in this. One for whatever, reason public didn't Like baltimore
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: in either game so far this, series And tampa blew
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: them out, yesterday and now all of a, sudden the
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: ticket percentage slightly On baltimore doesn't make any. Sense fifty
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash On, tampa, however And tampa's
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: flipped from plus one on four to my is one to.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: Wight so the money is coming in on The tampa
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: side for whatever, reason and on the, under which seems.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Crazy and In may eighty four percent of tickets on
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: the over but sixty three percent of the cash on the.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: UNDER i don't love either starting pitcher, here And baltimore's
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: bullpen is bad and in bad, shape So i'm not
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: looking to go under in this.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: Man money has come in and it's dropped the it's
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: toll from nine and a half to nine a. Half
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: juice the under as, well but, yeah, PROBABLY i, MEAN
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: i lean over in this game, slightly but you're going
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: against the market if you do, that WHICH i don't.
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: Love slightly lean with the market on The tampa bay,
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: side just BECAUSE i do think that once it comes
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: down to, it you get the bullpen situation coming into
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: play and. WHATEVER i Think tampa may wind up having
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: the edge in the, end BUT i.
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: Don't necessarily Love tampa earlier in the.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Game earlier in the, GAME i think you might be
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: seeing some Runs toronto At. Boston and this has been
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: another series where we've had a blowout for either, team
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: as we had a nine to Nothing toronto win in
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: the first, game which was the return home spot For.
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: Boston so this series has kind of played out based
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: on the scheduling. Situation that was a bad scheduling spot
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: and a good pitching matchup For. TORONTO i should have
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: given it out as a play to be, Honest Red
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: sox lost nine to. Nothing but then after that embarrassing,
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: loss they refocused and they got a nice win fifteen
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: to one. Yesterday so now what happens in this, Game,
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: well we got to look at the match up, here
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: because YESTERDAY i think it was a good spot for
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: The Red. Sox even THOUGH i still didn't like the
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: matchup for The Red sox, yesterday they had a good
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: focused spot there after returning over from the, road Tri
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: i've been doing really bad and their offense have been
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: really bad since The devs, trade and yesterday it burst open.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: Man so maybe The Red sox are starting to find
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: something here with this young lineup that they have, here
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: and they are Getting yoshida back soon as, well and
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: they might be calling up the password. Soon so hopefully
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: The Red sox do, that and they have this like
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: young core that is actually pretty. Talented So i'm kind
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: of excited about you, know maybe within a couple of,
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: years maybe The Red sox will be a really good offense.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: Again for the starting pitching match Of, heer, well, actually
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: yesterday we're gonna.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: Look at the bullpen. Situations, WELL i don't even THINK
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: i looked at it. Yesterday let me.
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: See so The Red sox bullpen is in better shape.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: Here they only used one relief pitcher. Yesterday gilito actually
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: pitched well again for The Red. Sox Yesterday bassett got
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: lit up and The Blue jays had to use four relief.
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: Pitchers so The Blue jays bullpen rest situation is not as,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: good but they do have the better. Bullpen and then
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: ACTUALLY i never broke this game down at.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: All what AM i?
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: DOING i completely skipped it WHEN i looked at every
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: game this, morning so we're doing it on the fly.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Here Eric lauer's pitching for The Blue jays two point
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: two ONE, era one point zero ONE, whip so he
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good this. Year his home road splits are
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: basically the. Same, Uh baltimore's won his last four. Starts
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: i've actually won what is that seven of his last
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: nine starts or seven of his last nine. Appearances at
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: least Bald toronto excusually has won those. Games he's not
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: going that deep into games, though So toronto's already kind of.
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: OVERWORKED a bullpen is gonna have to come into this
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: game because lower typically gets. You recently has been getting
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: you close to about five innings in the. Game although
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: he has been good this month with a one point
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: seven twenty one to seven straio walk ratio against The Red.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: Sox he has not been good, though in thirty five at,
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: bats three fourteen, average oneenty thirteen.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: Ops But Trevor story has done most of that.
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: Damage he's eight for twenty, two often with three home
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: runs and ten. RBIs so if you want a player prop,
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: THERE i recommend hits plus runs plus RBIs Trevor Story
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Rex Eric lower so LOWER i mean, overall though he
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: still might not do quite as well in this. ONE i,
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think he's been kind of pitching over his
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: head a little bit bit because he is kind of
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: like a guy that goes back and forth between being
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: a reliever and a. Starter but he's up Against Walker,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: bueller and you, KNOW i don't like ber at. All
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: he's awful six point two NINE, era one point five
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: to seven. Whip he's been better at home, though three
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: point three to one E r And. Fenway so maybe
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: there is some hope For bueller in this. Game and
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: he's actually been good Against toronto to in thirty at,
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: bats he's actually dominated. Them they only have four hits against.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: Him the only extravse hit is A George springer home.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: Run he has a twelve to two strike a walk
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: ratio against, him a very high strikeout rate against. Them
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: there one thirty three average and four to twenty one oh.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: Ps So bueller has actually Dominated. Toronto so this might
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: actually be a spot where The Red sox are the right.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: Side toronto's very public seventy one percent tickets only sixty
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: five percent of the CASH i think now that The
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: Red sox broke that lost streak and broke that like hitting.
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: Slump it might help give them some, momentum and you
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: break that like negative momentum a lot of.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Times that's.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Big SO i think it is a little bit of
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: a better spot For. Boston their bullpen is again at
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: least rested. Here uh, excusing we do See toronto being
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: very public one per, ticket sixty five percent of the,
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: cash So, toronto they're a very public side, here, Man
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: even though The Red sox usually get the name, recognition
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: the public wants not only the team that has the better,
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: Record but they're gonna see Lour zra is so much
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: better Than bueller's and they're gonna be On toronto. Here
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: but it looks like The Red sox are shaping up
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: to be an anti public small home favorite, here maybe
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: even a little bit of a home underdog. Still but
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: they flipped from plus one oh two to minus one
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: oh five, here so based on the market, read it
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: does look like The Red sox are the right side.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: THERE i don't fully Trust, bueller so it's not gonna
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: be a play for, me BUT I i'll agree with
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: the market AND i will lean slightly to The Red sox,
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: there My Boston Red Sox San diego At. Cincinnati cincinnati
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: won the first game eight to, one loss yesterday six to,
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: four so again we're having another rubber match. Here abbott
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: pitched pretty well for The reds again, yesterday but the
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: bullpend didn't hold up their end and they wound up
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: losing the. Game both bullpen's actually used a lot of
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: their relief pictures. Yesterday San diego used basically all of
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: their highest leverage relief pictures, yesterday which is not great
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: because even Though San diego has a good, bullpen that
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: might kind of even the playing field here Where cincinnati's
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: bullpen is. Worse but with the rest situation, here both
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: bullpens are unrested, though so maybe he still Give San
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: diego a little bit of an edge of the, bullpend
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: BUT i think it's a bit more of a. Wash
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: coleck is pitching for The padres. Here three point nine
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: to FIVE era looks, good but a one point three
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: whip is not very. GOOD i think this guy we're
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: starting to see some regression out of. Him he has
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: been good on the, road, though with a two point
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: one to THREE, era which makes no sense.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: Because of his home stadium is.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: A pitcher friendly, PARK i don't, know and this park
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: he's pitching it is certainly not picture.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: Friendly But coleck he started to.
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: Regress he's been really bad over the last three, outings
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: going more than four and a third innings only. Once
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: he's given up at least three runs in all. Three
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: he has a what is that a thirteen to four
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: strogle walk race yearch isn't that, bad but he's putting
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: more guys on. Base he's being less efficient with his.
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: Pitches he's not going that deep into these.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Games.
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: Overall he has an eighteen to ten Strigo walker race
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: yeer this, month which is not. Great, granted, yes he
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: did face two good offenses out of the last three opponents,
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: There arizona and The, dodgers and then he Faced. Washington
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: they're not good and he didn't do well there. Either
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: his team has lost his last four outings Against. Cincinnati
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: they don't have a whole lot of experience against Colec
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: they're only one for four offen With espinal with the
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: only hit two fifty average five hundred, ohps.
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: So not a whole lot to see. There coleck is
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: a little.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: Bit unfamiliar with, them BUT i Think lodolo is actually
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: the more trustworthy of the two pitchers here three point
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: six THREE era and one point one TWO. Whip one
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: issue Is lodolo has been way worse at home though
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: five point h six E r In Great American. Ballpark,
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: here he's given up ten of the twelve home runs
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: he's allowed this year at. Home so this, BALLPARK i,
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: mean it is a home run ballpark and he has
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: had issues with the home run, here so that's not
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: great For. Lodolo mixed mixed numbers this Month man where
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: he's only gone more than four to third and two
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: of his four starts this, month But cincinnati's won three
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: of the. Four he has a five point four to NINE,
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: era which is really, bad but a lot of it
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: is because he got wrecked At, cleveland and his three
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: home starts this month have actually all been a little bit,
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: better and he has a twenty to four strike a
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: walk ratio over all this, month which that tells you
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: he actually is in command of his pitches right. Now
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: so some mixed signals there For lodolo, recently but Against
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: San diego he has actually been pretty dominant in twenty
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: seven at, bats he sell him to an seventy four,
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: average only two, hits one home run From machado seventy
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: four average and three point fifty two oh. Ps lodolo
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: maybe is a picture that is a play on pitcher
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: in this specific matchup, here, man even though you gotta
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: worry about how he pitches at, home BUT i think
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: he is the better and more established pitcher Than Colek,
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: HERE i would throw out how the splits look a
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: little bit, here AND i Think lodolo might be the
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: right way to look. Here and With San diego having
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: used all their best relievers, YESTERDAY i think full game
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: is fine in this game or first five, Innings cincinnati
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: money line is probably the lean. Here they're down for
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: my has one thirty two mins one to twenty, nine
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: fifty two percent of tickets with seventy eight percent of the,
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: cash so the cash.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Is coming in on.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Them Just lodolo has such good numbers Against San diego
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: and that's not a huge sample. Size that's kind of
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: what clinches it for me. There Chicago cubs are At.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: Houston houston won the first, game so we're gonna have
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: another rubber match here seven to. Four but they lost
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: ugly twelve to three, yesterday which kind of broke The
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: astros winning momentum. Here The astros are still really good
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: at home thirty one to, fourteen thirty one and fourteen at.
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: Home mccullors just did not have it. Yesterday man unfortunately
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: trying to come back from injury for the second time this.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: Year he just didn't have. It SO i hope he
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: wasn't getting death. THREATS i talked about that whole situation.
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: Yesterday The cubs actually used a little bit more of
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: their bullpen and The astros because the game is out of,
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: hand they didn't use any of their best. Relievers so
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: The astros bullpen is a better shape coming into, today
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: and they're the better of the two. Bullpens SO i
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: think The astros do have a bullpen.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: Edge, here AND i think they have a starting pitching
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: edge as.
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: Well With jamison Ty one pitching for The cubs four
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: point four to SEVENTY, ra although it is one point
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: one to zero whip is pretty, good But tyone he
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: gives up a lot of hard. Contact, man he's given
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: up twenty excuse he's gonna yeah twenty one home runs this,
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: year which is way too many home, runs and it's
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: pretty even between home and home and away, too so
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: more on the road. Actually and he's been really bad
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: over his last two, outings going eight innings total over
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: the last two, outings allowing thirteen to earned, runs five
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: home runs over that, span three walks to five. Strikeouts
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: he has not had it in his last two. Outings
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: it has not been good and it might not get
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: better for him because The astros actually have good numbers against.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: Him in fifty two at, bats they have a three
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: twenty seven average and eight forty eight ops against, him
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: although they have a lot of doubles seven doubles but
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: no home runs six to Four strago Walk ray just
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: so ty home doesn't appear to match up well Against,
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: houston and he's going up against from Ber, valdez who
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: is pitching really well two point eight EIGHT era one
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: point one to three Whip valdez also better.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: At home two point zero four HOMEY. Ra he's been
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: really good at. Home the only.
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: Issue with him is he's walked nine guys over the
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: last two, starts so his wildness has, returned but he
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: only gave up two runs in thirteen innings combined over
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: those two starts, still so even though his wildness was
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: all over the place, there he still was basically unhittable
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: almost and still wound up giving up two runs and
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: one outing and zero in the next Against. No Less
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: and in the previous start it was the two runs
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: he gave up against The a's in That a's hitter friendly.
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: Stadium So valdez is still able to get through these lineups.
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: Man and before those two starts he was racking up
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: a ton of, strikeouts so his strikeout raid is still really,
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: high uh twenty nine to thirteen this month strikeout walk. Ratio,
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: again that's way too many walks two point one sixty ra,
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: though and The astros have won his last nine, starts
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: so The astros have been winning behind behind. Him he
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: has been pitching. Well The cubs have a really good.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: Lineup some of the guys haven't seen him. Before most
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: of their best hitters have Seen voldez a little. Bit
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: it's not a huge sample size twenty eight at. Bats
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: Justin turner has a lot of at bats against him
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: and does well five for, eleven but most of the
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: other hitters have not done a whole lot against the
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: overall two eighty six average allowed seven h three ohps.
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: OVERALL i think that's not that.
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: Bad SO i think you get a starting pitching advance
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: With valdez.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: HERE i think you have a bullpen edge.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: HERE i was close to making this a play On,
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: houston and the money is coming in On. Houston they're
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: a little bit, public which kind of surprises me a little,
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: bit although both teams do have good records seventy seven
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets eighty seven percent of the. Cash
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: With valdez on the, mound you do have to pay
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: a little bit to get. Him But houston down for
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty five to minus one fifty, two so
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: in the minus one fifty. RANGE i think it's a
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: situation where maybe you look for a minus one run
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: line on them, instead or split a minus one and
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: a half run line and put a little bit half
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: the bet on the money line as. Well maybe do
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: something like that With, houston BECAUSE i do lean To
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: houston in this. GAME i do think they have the
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: edge of multiple. WAYS i do worry About valdez's recent
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: wildness Though colorado At milwaukee we might have to start
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: taking notice About quinn Priestern man because his numbers have
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: been really. Bad SO i had been making fun of
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: him when he was On pittsburgh or. Whatever but he's
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: still young and he had another really good outing. Yesterday
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: though granted it's against a really Bad colorado, offense but
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: he one hit them through seven innings of eleven, Strikeouts
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: so you might have to start looking At, priest but
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: maybe before the osmakers catch up to, him Because priest
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: has been. Good. Man both of these bullpens are, bad
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: but didn't see a lot of usage. YESTERDAY i think
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: you got to give the bullpen advantage To, milwaukee, though
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Because colorado is just bad. Overall Herman marquez is pitching
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: For colorado.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: Today not.
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: Good five point seven to NINETY, ra one point six
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: to four whip is, Terrible he's putting way too many
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: guys on, base and he's actually been worse on the
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: road six point nine roady ra.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: Away from, corps so go.
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: Figure his last, outing he gave up six, runs but
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: none of them were earned against The dodgers and had
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: six strikeouts and no, walks so that was not exactly
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: a bad. Start so, Surprisingly marquez has actually been pretty
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: good this, month with a twenty four to Five straggle
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: walk ratio in five. Starts he's only gone less a
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: fewer in the five innings once in that game against
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: The dodgers where they cut him, short cut his pitch count.
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: Short uh so he wasn't even pitching inefficiently. There two
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: point nine TWO era this, Month so, Oddly marquez has
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: actually been pitching a little bit better. Recently and against The,
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: brewers only four of their hitters have seen him. Before and, uh,
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: Well quintana's listed and so you can kind of throw
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: him out because he is a. Pitcher but thirty three at, Bats,
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: uh he has a ten to four stray a walk
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: ratio against. Him, Yeah yelich And hoskins both of a
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: home run off and which isn't that great of a,
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: sign but he has sell them to twelve average and
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: seven to twenty two o. Ps the ops a little
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: bit high because of those home. Runs but other than,
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: That marquez actually seems like he's in decent form right.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: Now doesn't match up that badly in this. One he's
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: up Against Chad, patrick.
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: Who is a.
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: Rookie three point seven to TWO era this, year not,
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: bad one point three to two whip a little bit.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: HIGH i, mean he's walked too many.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: Guys he's in better at home three point three to
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: THREE era here at home this month SIX era not,
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: good although a twenty eight to nine strike a walk,
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: ratio so he has a really high strikeout rate this.
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: Month But milwaukee's lost four starts in a row of
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: his although he did face some difficult offenses In San, Diego,
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: Atlanta Chicago cubs his last three, starts so he gave
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: up five to four and four earned, runs which is
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: not a great. Sign but he did put up nine
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in last outing in eight two starts before that
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: nine Against. Pittsburghugh pittsburgh's offense not, good but even, SO
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: i don't Think i'm ready to say that he's that.
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: BAD i still kind of Like, Patrick and of course
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: he's facing a really Weak colorado offense, here And colorado
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: has never seen him, before SO i think that does
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Give patrick a little bit of an. Edge, again hitters
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: have to kind of adjust and figure out a young
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: pitcher that they're not familiar, with So i'm thinking maybe
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: the under is worth a look in this, game even
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: though it seems crazy with these two bultpens and, whatever
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: but both starting pitchers actually might do okay. Here totals
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: down from nine to eight and a. Half basically pretty
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: big swing from nine juice to the over eight and
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: a half juice to the. Under although we do see
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of tickets on the, over that's not, surprising
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: but eighty percent of the cash on the, over so
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in on.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: The, OVER i don't really agree with.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: THAT i agree with that line, move WHICH i think
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: is significant going through a key number of nine like.
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: That SO i think under is worth a look in that.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Game and if you really don't like The, bullpens under
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings might make sense.
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: There dodgers At Kansas. City Kansas city finally.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: Got a win, yesterday, man and they broke that horrible law,
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: streak which, might LIKE i, said with The Red, sox
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: that might help propel them forward a little bit and
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: give them some. Moment and of course they couldn't do
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: it WHEN i actually give out a play on them
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: when they out hit The dodgers eleven to. Four, no
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: they can't win that, game of, course but they win
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: the next. Game they win it, yesterday WHICH i mentioned
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: THAT i thought it was gonna be a little bit
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: rough for The, dodgers yesterday because it was gonna be
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: a bullpen. Game otani went two winnings in the game,
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: yesterday but Then dodgers turned over to some of their bad,
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: relievers are their worse, relievers.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: And they did not do.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: Well Kansas city has the better bullpend, Anyway so even
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: though The dodgers do have their high leverage relief pitchers
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: ready for this, game we don't even know who's pitching
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: for The dodgers. Today it's an.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: Undecided so it looks like even though The.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: Dodgers used half of their bullpend, yesterday they're going with
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: a bullpend game.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Here that doesn't look.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: Good to me for The dodgers here, man and they're
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: up Against Boo, bitch who has been good For Kansas.
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: CITY i, mean he's been good overall two point one
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: to EIGHTY, r one point one to three, whip a
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at home two point five to ONE,
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: era but that's still good this month four point three SEVEN.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: Era so he has been giving up some, runs but
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: it was mostly one start against The, yankees so you
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: can kind of give him a pass for. That and
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: he has a twenty six to seven austrail walk ratio this,
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: month So he's still pitching pretty, well although his team
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: has lost three of his last four starts because he's
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: gotten very little run support behind, them.
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Which that is a concern Because Kansas city can't.
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: Hit but maybe they'll be able to hit against A
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: dodger bullpen. Game But Boo bitch has not done well
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: in a very small sample size against The, dodgers a
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: thirteen at bat sample, Size he's given up six, hits a,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: double two home, runs seven walks to only three. Strikeouts
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: that's not good for sixty two average one thousand and
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: six to sixty seven oh. Ps so a lot of
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: These dodgers hitters have hit him. Well otani's three for
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: four with a double on a home run off, Him
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: Enrique hernandez hays the other home, run plus three, walks
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: And otani has two walks Of. Bubich this might not
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: be the best matchup for him. Man So i'm thinking
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: maybe the over is looking like a. PLAYER i, mean
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: the offense is finally bust out, yesterday so maybe Finally
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: Kansas city's offense will be able to do, something which
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: they did. Yesterday but maybe they'll be able to continue
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: that against a bulp end. Game it's looking like for The,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: Dodgers Yere boobach doesn't match up well against this Potent dodgers.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: Offense line has gone up a little bit from nine
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: and a half to nine a half with, juice and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: in A boobach, game you're not really gonna see a
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: nine and a half that often because he's pitching so
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: well this. Season he's really like one of the top
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: fifteen pitchers in. Baseball but the matchup doesn't look. Good
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: The odsbregers are telling you something by putting the line
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: out that, High SO i Think over is maybe worth
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: a look in that.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: Game, zach what's? Up?
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: Man you come in with The royals comment baby right on.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: TIME i, mean as far as the side in that,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: game it is a cheap. PRICE i, mean The dodgers
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: are the way better. Offense so it does look very
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: tempting to take The dodgers down for minus one fifteen
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: and minus won thirteen and they do Hit boobach, Well
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: but of Course boobach is gonna be better than Whoever
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: la is thrown out there with the bulp end. Game
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: but if you do like The, dodgers you're at least
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: getting the better team and a cheap. Price for, ones
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: although now they're up to minus one twenty. Three it
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: looks Like San francisco at The White SOX i should
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: have gone ahead and given out the under as of play.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: Yesterday.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: MAN i it seemed very strong to me for the
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: most part yesterday With Robbie ray Against Adrian.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: Hauser they both pitched well.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: Yesterday it was a one nothing, final and both these
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: offenses are still.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Struggling.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean of, course The White sox offense is.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: Bad The giants, offense even With, devers this has been
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: a struggling. Offense, Man so the, UNDER i WISH i
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: gave it out, yesterday, man because that was that was
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: an absolute underplay. YESTERDAY i THINK i probably MENTIONED i
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: leaned to the, under BUT i did not give it
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: out as a. Play i'm less tempted to do so
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: with this pitching matchup. Today though both bullpens are decently.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: Rested San francisco has the better bullpenal though they've been
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: getting really really overworked. Recently White sox bullpen is not.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: Good Vera lander is pitching For San francisco. Today he's continuing.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: To try to do.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: It four point five TWO era one point four to
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: One whip still doesn't have a win on the, season
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: although partially that's because his offense is so bad behind.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: Him but he hasn't been that. GREAT i, mean he's
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: getting towards the end of his career. Here That whip
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: is not. Good, obviously you can't allow more than he
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: can't allow almost one and a half guys on base per.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: Inning.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: Man he's been a little bit better on the road
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: four point one to FIVE. Roadira it's not like he's been.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: ATROCIOUS i, mean he's given up more than three in
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: runs twice all. Season so he is pitching like very
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: mediocre but pretty. Consistent this. Month he does have an
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: eleven to two strike a walk race year in two,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: starts which isn't that. Bad but it was against bad
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: Offenses cleveland And, miami and he got no run support
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: in either start and his team lost both. Games but
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: it does look like he's in okay form at.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Least some of those last couple of starts up against
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: The White.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: Sox, obviously you know he has good numbers because a
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: lot of these numbers are from past. Seasons you, Know
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: Verlanders hall Of fame pitcher fifty three at bats against,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: them sixteen to five strike a walk ratio too a
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: way to average allowed six to sixty. Three, ohps you
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: want to look for some player. Props luis Rebt Junior
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: Robert junior four for six with a double and a
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: home run in five RBIs Off, verlander so he might
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: be worth a. LOOK i Think verlander might do decently
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: in this, game, THOUGH i mean he's facing a bad offense.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: Here he's up Against Jonathan, cannon who's coming back from THE.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: Dl he's been out since Early, june and he was
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: not doing that. GREAT i believe he was a rookie last,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: year or maybe he didn't qualify as a rookie last.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: Year four point six to six E, ra one point four,
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: whips so he's not doing that well. Here he has
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: been better at, home, though three point four to FOUR
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: era at. Home his last start before he went.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: On THE dl was.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: Bad he only went three, innings was extremely inefficient with
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: his pitches eighty five, pitches gave.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: Up three home, runs three, walks five in runs Against.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: DETROIT i Mean detroit is a good, team but very
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: bad start From. Cannon although prior to those last two
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: starts he had had a nice run of numerous starts
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: in a row where he wasn't that. Bad he's only
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: allowed three on runs twice all. Season two of those
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: were those last two. Outings the other one was against The,
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: mats and we know can hit pretty, Well so Maybe
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: cannon not that. Bad The giants of that much experience against,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: him they're only one for twelve of them With. Canizner
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: is that he pronounce his name not Not Noah knigga
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: or or what's the.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: Other Nick, Kurtz It's Andrew.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: Nisner canisner has the one hit against him eighty three
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: average For cannon Against San francisco four to.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: One story of walk raation here two thirty seven.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: Ops so, AGAIN i, mean it is looking like maybe
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: the under is at least worth considering in this. GAME
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: i don't think it's anywhere near as strong as, yesterday
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: but totals up a little bit from eight and a
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: half to eight and a half with juice eighty PERCENT
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: i think is ninety four percent of the cash coming
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: in the. Over the matchup numbers look good for both starting,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: pitchers BUT i just think both starting pitchers are a
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: bit questionable, here SO i don't love. It seattle At
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: texas another situation where we have a rubber match. Here
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: this is a big divisional series, Here man is both
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: these teams are right there kind of battling. Here there's
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: basically in the wildcard. Race they're battling for second place
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: in The Al west right. Now texas got the win
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: yesterday and actually got a good start From kumar Rock or.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: Yesterday WHO i, MEAN i kind of want to see
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: him start doing, better, man and may make it a
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: little bit easier for him to handicap and maybe we'll
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: get a little bit of value on him a little.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: Bit but he actually had a nice pitching duel With
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: wu yesterday And wu out pitched.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Him but then The Texas.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Rangers wound up scoring late and winning an extra, innings
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: so and it looks like all of The texas runs
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: in the game were unearned, yesterday so that's kind of.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: Crazy texas won on fielding mistakes By seattle, yesterday So
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: seattle might be a little bit pissed about. That both
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: teams use four relief pitchers. Yesterday so we have two
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: good bullpens, though and they're in a similar rest. Spot
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: we'll see about the. Bullpens the bullpens are not exactly
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: in the best rest shape. Here Luis castillo pitching For.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: SEATTLE i, MEAN i think he's the more consistent of
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: the two pitchers here three point six to NINETY, ira
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: one point two to SEVEN. Whip he's been worse on
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: the road, though so that is a. Worry five point
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: one to Seven ROADY. Ra he's pretty bad on the.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: Road he did give up five runs last time out At,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: minnesota which wasn't that. Great overall this month mediocre four
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: point FIVE era in five, starts twenty five to nine
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: stradle walk, ratio and his team has won three of
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: the five. Starts he's been consistent though at, LEAST i,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: mean he's only allowed more than three on runs three
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: times all, season one of them being that most recent. Start,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: overall still pretty consistent Against. Texas he does have pretty
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: good numbers in ninety three at. Bats This texas offense
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: has not been very strong twenty seven to five strail
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: walk racio two thirty seven average allowed six to sixty
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: three oh. Ps SO i think we might See castillo
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: d okay, here and he's up Against Jack, lighter who
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: is still a young, guy still trying to figure it
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: out here four point five to FIVE vrra one point
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: three to. Two whip hasn't been good over his last two.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Outings gave up six runs against a pretty Weak Kansas
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: city offense three home runs allowed in that, game and
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: then give up three on runs against another week offense In.
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh that's not. Good he has six point seven FIVE
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: era this, month fifteen to nine straggle walk ratio is not.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: Good too many. Walks he's allowed five home runs this,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: month more than one hit per, inning and his team
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: has lost all four of his starts this, month and
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: they've lost a lot of his. Starts man nine of
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: his last eleven Starts texas has. Lost that's not a
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: great sign For lighter. Here Against, seattle his numbers aren't
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: really that good. Either in forty two at, bats ten
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: to five straggle walk ratio has allowed five home runs to,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: them Although rodriguez And raleigh have two, apiece so maybe
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: some player prop potential there as. Well two eighty six
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: average allowed one twenty eight. Ops SO i don't Trust lighter.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: HERE i Think castillo is the more trustworthy pitching, here
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: and the money is coming in on that. Side On,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: SEATTLE i agree with that it's a pretty cheap money
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: line down for twenty one, eighteen fifty seven percent of
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: the cash On seattle fifty four percent of tickets On.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: TEXAS i would agree With. SEATTLEY i think the bullpen
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: situation is pretty even both. Ways, so, Uh seattle has
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: the better offense as. Well uh SO i trust they're
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: starting pitching a little bit. More there haven't made it a,
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: play but.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: And MAYBE i.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: Should like last Time castillo was, PITCHING i, said it's
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: almost a play for. Me and then it was a,
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: win although it was a close Win washington At. ANAHEIM
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: i MENTIONED i thought this is gonna be a high
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: scoring game again, yesterday another kind of domino effect with
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: two bad, bullpens very high scoring games in both games this,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: series especially the first. Game but yesterday still went over
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: the TOTAL i believe, Right, yeah it was eight and a,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: half so it went, over although it took it to the.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: Seventh then he both starting pitchers actually did well, yesterday SO.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: I had that.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: Wrong there weren't that many hits in the, game but
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: it was a big seventh inning outburst from The angels
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: against a really bad nat. Bullpen After soroka And hendrix
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: actually both pitched well. Yesterday but we're looking at two
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: overworked bullpens that are bad, Bullpens so that's something to
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: keep in mind. Here these bullpens. Suck Mitchell parker is
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: pitching For washington, here his numbers aren't good four point
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: five NINETY, ra one point three to TWO. Whip he's
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: been worse on the road five point seven ROAD, era
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: so the matchup numbers are not looking good For Mitchell.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: Parker this, Month he's been mediocre four point four to FOUR,
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: era nineteen to seven strail walk, ration five. Outings washington
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: lost four of those outings and they finally won one
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: his last outing Against San, diego but he only had
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: one strikeout in that out because that's not a great
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: sign For Mitchell. Parker but he does have good numbers
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: Against anaheim and limited at bats seventeen at bat sample.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: Size he gave up a home run To adele but
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: five zero strail walk, ratio one seventy six, average five
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: eighty eight, ops so he does have good numbers overall Against.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: ANAHEIM i feel LIKE i make a dell the singer
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: references to, offense SO i refrained from doing. So, there
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: he's up Against Jack, kohanowitz who has not been pitching well,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: either even THOUGH i kind of liked the you, know
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: just the fact this guy's a really looming presence on the.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: Mound he's not a hard, thrower but he does have
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: crazy breaking. STUFF i thought he'd wind up doing, better
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: but he hasn't done so. Yet five point four to NINE,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: era one point five to five whip not good at. All,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: FIVE i, mean Moz ira is just bad both. Ways
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: it's in the fives both In holmian on the.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Road not a whole really insignificant splits, THERE i should.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: Say Against washington twenty three at, BASS i mean this
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: is a weak. Offense he's a kind of mediocre against him,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: though because he's alloted four, doubles a home run To Jacob.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Young two sixty one average allowed to them but in
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: eight twenty six ops is a little bit high to.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: ME i just kind of think both pitchers are.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: Untrustworthy you can't trust Either bulp and SO i again
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: Thinking over might be worth a look again in this.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: Game total up from nine and a half to.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: Ten public is all over that ninety percent of the
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: tickets but ninety two percent of the, cash and the
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are only gonna put a line that high out
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: there if they think it's gonna be a high scoring,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: game and the money has come in and pushed it to,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: ten so that is kind of a signal that the
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: professional money does think it's gonna be high.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Scoring miami At.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: Arizona we have a situation Where arizona's lost three games
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: in a rowing out to bad teams White, socks and
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: lost both games To miami, here so they're gonna try
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: to be A they're trying to avoid a sweet Paer,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: man which would be really embarrassing to lose at, home
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: and a sweep To miami Where arizona at the very
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: least has the way better offense and they have been
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: a big favorite in this. Series but they're a mess right.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: NOW i, Mean they're pitching is just a. Disaster they
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: don't have very good starting pitching at this. Point they
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: don't have a good. Bultpen With Corbyn burns out of,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: there it's really difficult for, them so that's not.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Good yesterday was.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: An eight to seven final to win extra, innings so
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: it's looking like another situation where you want to fade
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: these bullpens of The miami actually kind of saved their bullpen.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: Yesterday it'll win, nonetheless and the D backs use a
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: ton of their, bullpen as they used six relief pitchers
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: yesterday To miami's. Two So arizona's bullpen already not a good.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: Bullpen it's a very bad rest. Shape so at Least
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: miami's bullpen is in a better rest. Position but their
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen is. BAD i think they have the worst of
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: the starting pitchers as, well with Cal quandrill pitching five
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: point five SIX era one point four to six whip
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: obviously not, good worse on the road six point one
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: to seven roady Ra he's in a bad pitching park.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: Here it's a very hitter friendly park. Here this month
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: four point eight TWO, era thirteen to five struggle walk
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: ratio not good last two. Outings this team won both
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: of those, outings but he only went four and four
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: and two thirds innings in those. OUTINGS a thirteen to
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: five struggle walk ratio this. MONTH i, mean there's not
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: a whole lot to see. THERE i, mean he's been
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: at least limiting the, damage like he hasn't allowed more
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: than three on. Runs and then he start going all
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: the way back to Late, april which is, Okay like
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: he's kind of going out there and get the job,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: done but he doesn't go deep into. Games his numbers are.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: Bad he's just not a very good. Pitcher against the D,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: backs he actually has okay. Numbers it's sixty three at,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: bats excuse, me sixty three at. Bats he has a
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: sixteen to two strike a walk, ratio two fifty four,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: average seven to thirty seven ops. Quandri that ops is
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: a little bit, high but overall his numbers are not
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: really that bad against this offense, here even Though arizona
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: does have a really powerful, offense and they've probably Seen
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: quantro quite a bit because he was On colorado. Recently
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: he's up Against Eduardo, rodriguez who has bad numbers on the,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: season five point FOUR era at one point five to
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: eight Whip Home road splits basically the, same so not
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: a whole lot to see. There but e rod has
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: actually pitched a lot better this month in four, starts
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: two point zero FIVE era and twenty two to six
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: strike a walk, Ratio so he's been a lot better this.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: Month That he struck out ten last time out against
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: The White, sox shutting them out for six. Innings AND
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: i know it's The White, sox so you gotta take
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: that with a grain of salt because they're not a good.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Offense but that's still pretty.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: Impressive so it looks like A Eduardo rodriguez kind of
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: coming back in a form. Here and he's not allowed
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: more than touring runs in any of those last four,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: Starts SO i prefer him Over quantrone Against. MIAMI i,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: mean his numbers are kind of hard to figure out.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: Too he's thirty four at bats against. Them they have
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: a two ninety four average against, them which is pretty
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: high against, HIM i should say that's pretty, high but
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: a pretty low six seventy six. Ops he's only allowed
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: three extra race, hits all. Doubles he has eleven, strikeouts
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: no walks against, them hasn't allowed anyone runs to, them
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: so and it is a weak, offense SO i kind
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: of expect e rod to have the upper hand. Here
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: BUT i really don't love a very Unrested arizona, bullpen
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: SO i would.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: Maybe be looking to play. Man it's.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: Difficult Maybe arizona like a run line in the first five,
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: innings maybe in this game something like. That they're very public,
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: again eighty seven, percentage it's ninety six percent of the.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: CASH i do think they're gonna be motivated to try
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: to avoid the. SWEEP i, mean if you want to
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: go full, game it's a little bit dicey Because arizona's
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: bullpend very unresty, Here SO i probably would not recommend.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: That even Though miami's bullpen's not, Good arizona obviously has
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: the better. Offense, YEAH i, MEAN i would probably limit
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: it to first five in some, way probably the best
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: way to look at that, game to be. Honest and
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: Then minnesota At detroit is The sunday night game to
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: finish this, off we get AN Al central matchup Where
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: MINNESOTA i, mean at LEAST i would say they're better
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: than their record. LOOKS i think they have a better
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: run differential than what their record. Looks detroit lost the
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: first game of the series four to. One they won
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: ten to five. Yesterday not a lot of bullpen usage either.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: Way ober struggled, again gave up four home runs again. Yesterday,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean it's just very sad to see the
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: implosion Of ober like this because he's been a guy
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: that said dees has strike a walk members for a,
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: while but he's just not getting it. Done this pitching
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: matchup is gonna be interesting, here but it clearly Favors.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: DETROIT i mean both.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: BULLPENS i MEAN i would, say, Well detroit's bullpen is
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen In minnesota's bullpen has kind of struggled,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: recently SO i think both bullpen's be, rested But detroit
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: as a bullpen. Edge they have a starting pitching edge,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: here which isn't saying much because school ball is on
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: the mount, tonight so he gets The sunday night game.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Tonight Chris paddock is pitching For minnesota and he started to.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: Regress four point six FOUR era and one point two
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: to three whip not. Great he's been way worse on
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: the road to five point four to eight ROAD, era
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: so looks like we're probably gonna not get a great
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: performance out Of. Paddock paddock has completely fallen off man
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: after he had a horrible start to open the. Season
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: he had a lot more than three ear runs in
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: any start all Through April, may all the way up
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: until his last three, starts and he's allowed more than
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: three and runs in all three of them Against, Houston, Cincinnati.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: Seattle streike At walker is just still good over this
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: month twenty, five but six point one ONE era.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: He's been getting.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: Hit he's given up home, Runs he's given up some hard.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: Hits So, PADDOCK i, mean his reason for him is not.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: Great it's definitely a concern all Begainst. Detroit his numbers
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: are bad and twenty four at. Bats it's a small sample,
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: size But baiez has a home run against. Him he's
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: a lot of three seventy five average oneenty twenty eight
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: oh ps five to three streggle walk. Ratio So paddock
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: looks like he's really up against it. HERE i, mean
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: it's not saying much again by saying that School ball
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: is the better of the two pitchers and as the better,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: MATCH i mean School ball probably the best pitcher in.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: Baseball two point two ninety ra point eight seven. WHIP i,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: mean what else is there to? Say, really he's really
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: good both home and, away doesn't really. Matter splits are
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: almost actually completely. Even his team has won every one
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: of his starts this, month all four of. Them two
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: point three to ninety ra this, month twenty six to
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: six stregle walk, Ratio so he is still in good
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: for him right. Now prior to, that his team had
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: lost one start of his against The, city where he
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: shut Out Kansas city.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: And he got no run. Support he had.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: Won his team had won six games in a row
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: prior to that, one so they've won ten of his last.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: Eleven School ball obviously is just really difficult to. Beat
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: and he is really good Against minnesota and sixty four
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: at bats twenty seven to, four strike out walk ratio
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: domination one twenty five average for seventy three obs despite
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: the fact that he's allowed three on runs so them
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: two of them To, buckston one of them to jetfers and.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: Jetfers that's his only hit in eighteen at bats is
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: a home, Run So schooble does dominate him still as.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: Well SO i, mean it looks like you want to
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: be looking To detroit in this game in some. Way
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: they're public seventy percent ticket seventy eight percent of the,
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: cash though money line has dropped a little for minus
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: two sixty five to minus two to fifty. FIVE i
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: mean it might be a situation where you do go
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: run line here minus one and a half on the
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: run Line detroit in front of the big. Lights they're
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: really good at. Home they have a big pitching edge.
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: HERE i think they have the better. Offense he and
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: the better, bullpen SO i do think they have every.
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: Edge not quite giving this out as a, play BUT
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: i would agree with. It if you want to do,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: this minus one and a half on the run line
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: probably is the, way even though Again, detroit if they're winning,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: already they're not gonna get that last at bat in
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: the ninth. Inning but that is the way THAT i looked,
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: there and that's, it, man that's gonna do.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: It the two plays THAT i gave are three PLAYS i.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: Gave out because one IN wnba W Nba vegas plus
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: the points baseball split play half on the plus one
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: and a half run line and half on the money
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: line with The Pittsburgh pirates and under full Game philadelphia And.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: Land going back to the well, there that's gonna do.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: It learn to tone On. Twitter thanks guys for hanging.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: OUT i am starting up some. STUFF i have better
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: Off Dead instagram, now which is off dead?
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: Better is the?
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: Uh the handle That i'm musing as sounds like off
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: track betting BECAUSE i screwed up on YouTube AND i
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: did have better Off dead at, first and THEN i
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: forget WHAT i did with. IT i THINK i screwed
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: something up and they didn't let. ME i had to
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: recreate the account and they told me that that was
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: already in. USE i had to go with Off Dead better,
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: Instead but it is kind of. FUNNY i think it
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: has a ring to. It so that's What i'm. Doing
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: SO i am gonna be On instagram now AND i
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: am trying to get this up on audio platforms now
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: to try to monetize a little. BIT i am using
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: spreaker now for these, episodes trying to get them up
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: so hopefully soon you will see Better Off dead on
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: the audio. Platforms this is not a very visual show,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: really even THOUGH i show all the like markets and
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: stuff and, whatever AND i bring up the pages for
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: the players so you can sit and listen to it as.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: Well so we're gonna get it up on the audio.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: Platforms if you see it out there on the, audio please.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: Listen just give me some, listens, man and then there
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: will be ads and. Them that's how it's gonna help
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: make it a little bit of. Money so tell people about,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: it spread the word. Whatever don't know If Tower gang
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: is coming, back but Again patreon dot com slash Tower,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: gang you can check that. OUT i am gonna start
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: doing ukulele stuff as well covered in yuk is The
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: ukulele channel Where i'm gonna start doing stuff.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: THERE i don't know What i'm gonna do.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: Yet i'm waiting to overcome this illness completely to start
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: figuring stuff out with, that so be on the lookout for,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: that And i'm gonna probably have A patreon where you
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: can support, me AND i will offer some. BONUSES i
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: don't know what the better off dead bonuses might be.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: Yet for the yuke, STUFF i think What i'm gonna
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: wind up doing is make A Patreon. Spotify i'm gonna
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: put the episodes of it out On spotify basically through The,
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: patreon so that way you can listen to. It it'll
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: be like a, podcast but it'll actually be like a
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: playlist of my Ukulele so if people are interested in,
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: that that would be like A patreon. BONUS i guess
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: that's What i'm thinking about doing at, least so we'll.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: See it's still in the, works but that's what's going
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: on With toad right. Now thanks for hanging, out. Guys
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: learn To toad On twitter once. Again have a Good.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: Sunday peace.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: Out