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NFL Week 9 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. The Crown is yours.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz and
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: the crew is back on this fine Tuesday morning. Kendra Middleton,
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: the Prime Minister Stuckey. On today's episode, We've got our
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: plant the Flag. Game of the week for Week nine
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: in the NFL, which, please God, be better than Week eight.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football Preview, a breakdown of the top storylines
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: in terms of the betting perspective, and of course, the
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: main event Evans Primer coming up at the end of
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: the episode.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Be sure to stick around for that. We had an
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: eighteen inning game in baseball last night.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: The sports equinox was equinoxing and Kendra's back from Scotland.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: Kendra, how was your trip overseas?
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: It was good.
• 0:53
  Speaker 4: I was glad to have the break. I'm ready to
• 0:56
  Speaker 4: grind through the Super Bowl, though. Oh I didn't see
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: the Lockness Monster, I didn't learn how to play bagpipes.
• 1:01
  Speaker 4: And I did figure out that they don't wear underwear
• 1:04
  Speaker 4: under kilts at all.
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: No one Dei's they freeball that shit.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: I always I always sort of assumed what was the
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: most fun thing you did while you were over there.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: Ooh, good question. Most fun thing.
• 1:19
  Speaker 4: I am not a huge history person, but I really
• 1:22
  Speaker 4: enjoyed learning about the Mary Queen of Scott's situation, how
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: that there was like that giant power struggle, and I
• 1:31
  Speaker 4: also got to see a bunch of the Harry Potter
• 1:33
  Speaker 4: graves and how there was like a dog that basically protected.
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: Edinburgh for a while.
• 1:38
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with the dog probably, but lots of
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: lots of fun things.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Okay, we'll get a maybe you'll get a breakdown video
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: as well on the social channels. Not a horrible idea, Stucky.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: You want to give us a recap of Monday Night
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: football twenty eight to seven. The commander is not able
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: to get it done for us.
• 1:55
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I did miss their chances early and then died late.
• 1:59
  Speaker 5: I mean, they'd five trips inside the forty first four
• 2:02
  Speaker 5: trips inside of the forty zero points and you can't
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: do that against the Chiefs. They also went zero of
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: two on fourth downs. Chiefs went two of two and
• 2:11
  Speaker 5: then the second half was all Chiefs dominant second half
• 2:15
  Speaker 5: by Kansas City washing them more injuries. That team is
• 2:20
  Speaker 5: just decimated. McLaurin didn't finish. They lost their left they
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: lost Tunsil, they lost another defensive lineman. They're just in
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: rough shape. But yeah, they couldn't take advantage early. They
• 2:34
  Speaker 5: came out hair on fire and just couldn't take advantage.
• 2:38
  Speaker 5: There was a fumble that they couldn't pick up which
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: was a huge turning point, and a couple fourth downs.
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I will say the Chiefs are playing their
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: offenses on fire, but I will say the team has
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: been pretty fortunate overall. They have nine fumbles on the year,
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: they've recovered all of them. They are fourteen of seventeen
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: on fourth down. This is a non sneak team eighty
• 3:05
  Speaker 5: three percent. That's getting up to like that's like Washington
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: Territory last year opponents are four of sixteen on fourth
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: down twenty five percent. So there might be some And
• 3:17
  Speaker 5: that's basically what these football games come down to, turnovers,
• 3:20
  Speaker 5: fourth downs, Right it's usually like five or six plays
• 3:22
  Speaker 5: that will decide a game and or cover, and the
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: Chiefs have been getting those plays. But they're also their
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: offense right now is looks pretty unstoppable.
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: How different do we think that game is if Jaden plays,
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: Because I definitely think it's a lot different of the game.
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: I mean, Mariotta was fine in the first half, they
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: just couldn't They turned it over. There was a throwoff
• 3:43
  Speaker 5: Deebo's helmet that ended in an interception. The fourth down
• 3:48
  Speaker 5: play calls were bizarre. I thought there was a.
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: Bad terrible what's that.
• 3:52
  Speaker 4: I didn't think his decisioning was good whatsoever? And he
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: was slow to make them.
• 3:56
  Speaker 5: Yeah, second half it was. It was especially bad. But
• 3:59
  Speaker 5: there was a spot on a fourth down that was
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: awful that took points off the board.
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: But umpires also going in the favor of the Chiefs.
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: That was a terrible spot on that. What is the
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: point of that?
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: I was in I was watching that game in the
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: shower because I have like a thing I can put
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: my phone on the wall in the shower so I
• 4:15
  Speaker 4: can watch games and ESPN while I washed my hair.
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: I was literally screaming like no, in my shower.
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: Yeah, it wasn't even close, you Like, I got up
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: by a half yard and they marked it a half
• 4:25
  Speaker 5: yard short. That was very bizarre. But now it's it's
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: on to week ten or week nine, and there are
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: lots and lots of injuries to track.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: As per usual, let's get to our quick three, our
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: top three takes our storylines. Heading into Week nine, the
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Pats and the Broncos have each won five straight games,
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: the Patriots five and zero against the spread in those
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: five the Broncos are three and two Ats within that
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: five game stretch. But who are we buying more stock
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: in right now? Between the two hottest teams in the NFL? Kendrey,
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: you are our resident Patriots experts? Are we all in
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: on this team? They just look so good, so fluid
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: on offense. Rabel is a phenomenal coach. Hard not to
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: buy stock here. Trees don't grow to the sky, but
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: they have it Atlanta this week, and Atlanta looks like
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: they are on major fraud alert.
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's tough because the Patriots not only have, in
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: my opinion, probably the easiest schedule in the NFL, but
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: as far as luck being healthy at this point in
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: the season, they're probably the healthiest team in the league
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: right now. And I get that Will Campbell's not gonna
• 5:42
  Speaker 4: have to go up against Miles Garrett every week. Stefon
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: Diggs is playing at a level people didn't expect him to.
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: A lot of people, including myself, were wondering what Drake
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: May was going to look like this year, but it
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: looks like him and Josh McDaniels are forehead kissing each
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: other every night before bed. Everything is honey Dory there.
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: So I think that the Patriots are lucky with the
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: schedule and lucky with the health. I don't think that
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: both of those things last forever. I don't think that
• 6:03
  Speaker 4: they have the depths on the roster or that the
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: Broncos do so despite the fact that the Broncos don't
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: cover the spread at the highest clip in comparison. I'm
• 6:13
  Speaker 4: going to go with the Broncos because I believe in
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: their talent, I believe in their depth, and I believe
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: in kind of the seniority that they have in the
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: locker room a little bit more than the Patriots.
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: But I will say I do with the Patriots. They're flowers.
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: They are out kicking the coverage that I personally thought
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: they would this season. I'm going to go with the Broncos,
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: but I have to respect what the Patriots have done.
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: I just expect that luck to run out at some point, and.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: The Broncos are getting points on the road against Houston
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: this week, the Patriots laying five and a half against
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons stucky.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: If you want to look at this season long that's.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Fine, But in terms of this coming weekend, is there
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: are there one of those two where you're still willing
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: to invest in a team right now who's stock is
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: as high as it could be yet.
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: I don't think it's not the Broncos. I mean, the
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: Broncos won five straight. They beat Jake Browning, the Jets
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: by two, the Giants by one. In the game they
• 7:03
  Speaker 5: should have lost, they were down twenty and then the
• 7:06
  Speaker 5: you know, the Road Cowboys, they blew them out. And
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: then the Eagles they were down seventeen three and they
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: had a good comeback. But it hasn't been that impressive.
• 7:14
  Speaker 5: If you dig into the competition, I would take the Patriots,
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: Like if I wanted to buy long term, it's the
• 7:19
  Speaker 5: Patriots because Drake May he's playing extremely well. His deep
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: ball has been unbelievable, and I would just take him
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: over Bo Nicks any day of the week. Plus, Broncos
• 7:31
  Speaker 5: is gonna be without Patrick Sutan for quite some time,
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: and that's huge because he enables them to do so
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: much defensively. I could be interested in the Falcons this
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: week they need Penix back. He's clearly better than whatever
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: whatever Kirk Cousins is out there now. But they have
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: a bunch of other injuries, Like their defense wasn't the
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: same because Zach Harrison has been great. He was a
• 7:53
  Speaker 5: late scratch to play without Jalen Walker, Jesse Bates got hurt,
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: Billy Bowman didn't play, so they hadn't deep Devon Divine Diablo,
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: who's been a big loss. He's on ir though, and
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: then obviously they miss Drake London. So there's a lot
• 8:08
  Speaker 5: of injuries to watch, including Pennix for the Falcons. The Patriots,
• 8:12
  Speaker 5: on the other end, they've been fairly healthy. Texans Broncos game,
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: it's if you get Nico Collins back. That's very important.
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: Without certain but the concern there is does the Broncos
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: defensive line ruin the game for the Texans?
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: The Texans are c J. Strapp can still pick apart
• 8:33
  Speaker 5: defense as if he has time, and San franc can't
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: generate any pass rush, but Denver obviously ken, so is
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: that going to ruin the game. I think you're gonna
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: need Collins this week, so we'll see if he can go.
• 8:43
  Speaker 5: I don't think Christian Kirk will, but that's certainly worth monitoring.
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: And then just a note on injury reports. You want
• 8:49
  Speaker 5: to look at an injury report, go to the Giants
• 8:52
  Speaker 5: and forty nine ers for this week. That is as
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: long as you'll see in the NFL on both sides.
• 8:59
  Speaker 5: The forty nine is it gonna be is Brock party back?
• 9:02
  Speaker 5: I think, but we'll see. But they've had more injuries
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: on defense last week. We'll see if they get anyone
• 9:07
  Speaker 5: back on offense. But the Giants also Holland Flop a
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: debo like Art Green who was starting, he got hurt.
• 9:14
  Speaker 5: They were down to like a practice squad guy. And
• 9:16
  Speaker 5: Deontay Banks who's unplayable. So there's a ton of injuries
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: to watch in that game and a number of others.
• 9:23
  Speaker 5: But like I mentioned the Panthers, we'll see about Bryce Young.
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: They had some offensive line injuries, they had some key
• 9:29
  Speaker 5: defensive injuries last week. They got really beat up. And
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: they're going to Green Bay, who could be even healthier
• 9:35
  Speaker 5: this week, so they could be in trouble. Those are
• 9:39
  Speaker 5: some of the ones I'll point out. And then the Raiders,
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: are you gonna get Meyers, Bowers and Crosby obviously a
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: different team with them back, and then you have for
• 9:50
  Speaker 5: the Jags, the Jags Podcast, Murray BTJ, Devin Lloyd are
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: ones to watch there. So yeah, there's a There's definitely
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: a lot than Jaden and Dan on Monday Night Football
• 10:02
  Speaker 5: or Sunday Night Football. We'll see if he can go.
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: But there are a lot of injuries in the last one.
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: I keep saying the last one. But Lamar Jackson, we're
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: gonna do this dance again. He's expected to play.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: The line indicates that he is in there against last week.
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: I don't believe anything anymore.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: What does it matter, Just by the way and move
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: on with your lives. I am predicting it right now.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Thursday's pickle game for Kendra is Jags Raiders. I'll just
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: that one's sitting at three. Both teams off a bye.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Who the hell is Jacksonville. There's no way that you're
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: going to have.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: We want the super Bowl.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: It's already over super Bowl.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Speaking of the teams inside of the AFC South, the
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Colts have the most ridiculous point differential in the NFL
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: there at plus one sixteen. The next closest is Kansas
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: City at plus eighty three. Yet the Colts are just
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: three point favorites on the road against the steel this week,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: so it looks too obvious again to take Indianapolis, which,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: by the way, we never do.
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: I would love to go.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Back in time and not be a Jags podcast and
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: just be a Colts podcast. Why do we not throw
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: this team in our parlay every single week? Somebody please
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: explain the stasses I have.
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: Our plan. Week twelve is when we fade the Colts.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: And here's why.
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: From week twelve, their schedule goes at Kansas City home
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: versus Houston, at Jacksonville they haven't won a game in
• 11:37
  Speaker 4: Jacksonville in ten years, at Seattle home versus San Francisco
• 11:42
  Speaker 4: home versus Jacksonville, and then they close out at Houston.
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: We start fading the Colts week twelve.
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: I might start this week. I mean, look, I've upgraded
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: the Colts so much, but that the Packers just cloes
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: two and a half minus one twenty in Pittsburgh. Like
• 11:58
  Speaker 5: we're saying the Colts are better than the Packers.
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: No, I saw I saw the Packers power raided number
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: one in the NFL.
• 12:07
  Speaker 3: I don't believe Ben Jordan Love I don't.
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: I mean, he just I believe in love. See, I'm
• 12:12
  Speaker 5: like you, I believe in love.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: But the thing that we've had, the thing this is
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: about Pittsburgh as far as the.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: Like their defense has been so awful.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: As we continue to upgrade the Indianapolis Colts, we have
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: to continue to downgrade the Pittsburgh Steelers too.
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: But I mean, I just can't get to especially three
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: and a half. I'll have to play the Steelers here.
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: I mean, the Colts defense isn't any good either. The
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: Packers defense is good that they the Colts don't have
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: a pass rush.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: Forty nine and a half, by the way, is the total.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: Maybe we played the over there.
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: Could be some weather there which would help Pittsburgh. And yeah,
• 12:50
  Speaker 5: I mean it's just a number. Just comes down to numbers.
• 12:52
  Speaker 5: I mean, like if the Packers and Colts but in
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: the neutral field, I would certainly have the Packers favored
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: over the Bolts. So yeah, I'm interested in the Steelers,
• 13:05
  Speaker 5: especially if I can get a three and a half.
• 13:07
  Speaker 5: It's weekly you couldn't even get a you couldn't even
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: get a clean three with the Steelers against the Packers. Yeah, like, no,
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: I'm I'm potentially interested in the Steelers this week.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: I uh my, my new fangled numbers actually make this
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Colts minus two. So if I was playing that, I'd
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: have to be on Pittsburgh also. But my general point
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: in saying all of this is I'm tired of either
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: fading or just not betting on the Indianapolis Colts. Now
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: does that mean that you have to go run to
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: the window and bet them. No, But there are those
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: teams that every year US Sharp's just sleep on and
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: they're out here just making people money every single week,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: and Indianapolis is definitely doing that now the biggest game
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: of the weekend.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: Chiefs at Bill No.
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: Because the second we do is when they'll come out.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: That's why you have to You do have to compose yourself.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking more like retroactively, we should have just been like, no,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: this is the team, this is this year's Minnesota Vikings
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: with Sam Darnold, and just ride that train. There's always
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: a team where you can just they'll just sort of
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: take you to mid season profitability. And Indianapolis was that
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: we'd missed the boat on it, and I think we
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: should just call spata spade here. Fine and fine, okay,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: thank you for giving into that. Chiefs at Bill's biggest
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: game of the weekend. I am not in charge of
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: your social calendars out there, but if you have plans
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: at four to twenty five pm on the East Coast,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: you should probably go ahead and cancel those. We did
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: see this flip already. The Chiefs or the Bills opened
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: as favorites. The Chiefs are now favored there on a
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: short week. The Bills off of a blowout win against
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: They look pretty damn good. This is a tough one
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: any early read.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna wait until the last minute, but I
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: will be on this game because it's just too big
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: not to have.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: Some action on it.
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: I'm annoyed by the NFL schedule makers once again.
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: Why why is this a four o'clock game? Why? Like,
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: I do not understand why they continue to do this
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: to us. This needs to be a like this Thursday
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: night matchup? Are we serious? We didn't look at this sooner?
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: You would rather have this game on a Thursday night?
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Four twenty five is like to me, that's the best
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: window for games like this.
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: No, I want this in primetime at night. I want
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: this to be you know, I want this to be
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: all I'm watching. All I'm caring about. All I'm investing
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: in this is the two you know, top teams heading
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: into the season playing each other. That's what I want.
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: I want it stand alone by itself. That being said,
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: you're the only one is.
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: Is act to be just paying attention to this because
• 15:40
  Speaker 5: the other games are Jags, Raiders and Saints Rams.
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there's okay, we have three games. We turn the
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: others off.
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: Drags podcast.
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: What you're saying, you have to watch the Raiders like
• 15:50
  Speaker 5: the Chief Spills of base essentially have thero own window here.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Just turn your lights off, make it feel like it's
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: at night, and treat it like a primetime game.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: That's why.
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: Well, you know what, this this game, unfortunately for me,
• 16:03
  Speaker 4: is not going to be on my big TV because
• 16:05
  Speaker 4: I'm going to be jagging off unlike you fake fans.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: Anyways, I'm on the Bills.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: I'm not a Jags fan. You guys are forcing me
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: into this every single week.
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: I do have the Bills, worst team in the state.
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: Don't do me that well.
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: We get primetime games though.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: I do have the Bills, and a teaser bought them
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: up to seven and a half paired with the Bengals
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half against the Bears. So if
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: you wanted some way of playing into this early in
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: the week, I I feel like that's a good one piece.
• 16:33
  Speaker 5: Uh, the injuries are bad, Like I'm worth watching it,
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: Oliver the I are.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: The Chiefs.
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: You want to watch their offensive line injuries looks Josh
• 16:42
  Speaker 5: Simmons I think is going to be out again. But
• 16:44
  Speaker 5: Tray Smith is questionable. That matters a lot more against
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: Buffalo than it does against Washington. Whoever they have left
• 16:52
  Speaker 5: on their defensive line, but maybe not because Buffalo d
• 16:55
  Speaker 5: lose that. Oliver Dae Kwon Jones is questionable. Their safeties
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: are a mess. Matt Malono and Terrell Bernard are questionable.
• 17:02
  Speaker 5: So like this defense is in rough shape. So but
• 17:08
  Speaker 5: like is they should be able to run the ball
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: in Kansas City. It's Josh Allen at home. I mean,
• 17:15
  Speaker 5: this is a Buffalo team that for the moment, I
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: think they have three losses at home over the last words. Now,
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: they did lose at home earlier this year. A lot
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: of that is the defensive injuries. Their defense hasn't been right.
• 17:24
  Speaker 5: Now you're going up against this Chiefs offense. But chief
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: short week traveling on the road, Bills have this circle.
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: They usually have the Chiefs number in the regular season,
• 17:33
  Speaker 5: but those defensive injuries.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: Four and L I believe is the number.
• 17:37
  Speaker 5: Or yeah, defensive injuries might be too much. But nowan
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: I'll keep this close, so I don't mind that teaser piece.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: Let's look at Thursday Texans.
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: I would pair with Texans too. Like Texans up over
• 17:47
  Speaker 5: a touchdown in a game with a total of thirty nine.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: The Texans are favored now though, would you still play that?
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: Oh no?
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: As far as a teaser, no, no, no Little Wi
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: at San Francisco.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Oh no, I'm sorry. That was last week's game. I
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: was thinking about no Denver. And by the way, excuse yeah,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: I mean the teasing Denver. Sure, Bo Nicks is a
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: teaser god. Evan Abrams puts this in his primer every
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: single week. This guy, when you use him, buy up
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: some points. He doesn't miss. So that I like that angle.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: As far as the Broncos goes, Thursday Night Football Ravens.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Dolphins Thursday Night Football.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Dolphins seven and a half point underdogs, total sitting at
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: fifty and a half, both teams coming off of double
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: digit wins. But this number is where it is for
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: a reason. Lamar is supposed to be back for Baltimore.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: John Harball played some games with the injury report last week.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: We'll slap on the wrist, move on. Get Lamar back now.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: Both teams sitting on two wins right now, and a
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: win for either one more likely the Ravens could actually
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: make a case to make a play for a wild
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: card spot. I think the Ravens are actually favored right
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: now to win their division, so pretty wild stuff. This
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: is a big game, even though you have two teams
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: record wise that have been terrible. The Dolphins four and
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: two against the spread over their last six games, so they're.
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: Not dead yet.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to be on Miami. Can somebody
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: talk me off of losing money on my own team?
• 19:16
  Speaker 3: They suck? Have you not been watching the games every.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: Two as last six weeks?
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: You know? But everybody's injured for them. The Ravens are
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: finally getting healthier. It's Baltimore and nothing for me here.
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: They've got to absolutely blow doors, not just win, to
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: get the confidence up, to get back on track to
• 19:35
  Speaker 4: actually be back in the playoff conversation. They don't have
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: to just I mean they do have to just win,
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: but they've got to win convincingly. Now it's not just
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: they're they're convincing, you know, the general public. They've got
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: to convince themselves that they are not the team that
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: they have shown everybody the last couple of weeks despite
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: the injuries that they've had, because some of the losses,
• 19:52
  Speaker 4: even with the injuries, are inexcusable. In my opinion, I
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: don't know what's going on with this team. It's got
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: to be Baltimore and nothing for me here. The Dolphins
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: no business doing what they did to the Falcons the
• 20:02
  Speaker 4: other day, and the Falcons I think are a good team.
• 20:05
  Speaker 4: I think it was just a bad spot for them.
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: It was an easy get up spot for the Dolphins.
• 20:08
  Speaker 4: They had nothing to lose. They could just go out
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: there and ball with the injuries that they have. But
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: they they're just they're they're like roadkill. When you feel
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: bad for them and they start kicking again and you're like, damn,
• 20:20
  Speaker 4: like they're eventually going to die. Should I just put
• 20:22
  Speaker 4: the car in reverse? And and their misery right now,
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: that's where I see the Dolphins.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Wow.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Just a disclaimer, no animals were injured during the use
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: of that take. Maybe we should put an eye patch
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: on Tua. That seemed to work the one eye Toua
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: was hurling touchdowns left and right. Stucky, you're the Ravens, whisper,
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: What are you seeing matchup wise Thursday night?
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: I just don't know. On themar and to lay over
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: a touchdown on a short week, and then like if
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: he does play the other like I like that spot
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: against the Bears. Regardless coming out of the by the
• 20:58
  Speaker 5: Bears defense has been a paper to Lamar has not
• 21:02
  Speaker 5: been efficient. But if Lamar plays is how is he
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: gonna look? How's the ofphense gonna be called? Is he
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: going to be healthy? Is he going to be fully mobile?
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: There's so much on certain the end. It's a short week.
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: I hate Thursday night football games already. The Dolphins also
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: had a ton of injuries last week, a lot in
• 21:18
  Speaker 5: the secondary. Storm Duck who just came back. I think
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: it will be out. Fitzpatrick got hurt. I mean it
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: goes on. That team is just decimated. And they caught
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: a sleepy Falcons team without Penix, without London, without like
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: four or five starting defenders, and they just caught him
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: on a good day. This is still a really bad
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: Dolphins team. But like, I have no interest in this
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: game whatsoever, will not be betting it.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: It is a bad Dolphins team, and I have no
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: believe me, I have no delusions about what this Dolphins
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: team is.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: But still, uh, I don't know. I think you might
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Thursday night.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: To me, it's about the perception not meeting up with reality.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: The perception of Miami is what you said, Kendrid. It's
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: that their roadkill, that they've given up on their coach.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: And outside of getting blown out by the Cleveland Browns,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins play every team they go up against tough,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: and their schedule hasn't been easy. They've faced the Bills,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: They've gone up against the Patriots. I mean, they're covering
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: spreads against good teams, and yet the perception on them,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: even after a win is still Yeah, but this team sucks.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: They do, but they're good enough to cover numbers, especially
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: when you get over a touchdown and an extra point.
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: Legitimately, two years ago, my dog body slammed a rat
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: in the backyard and I thought that it had died,
• 22:37
  Speaker 4: and I went back out there two days later with
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: a shovel to put it in the trash, and it
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: started squeaking, and the body had already molded, and I
• 22:43
  Speaker 4: had to go out there and smash the head of
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: the rat in with the shovel so that it would die.
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: So I put it in the trash. That is this
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: Dolphins team.
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: My dog has broken the ribs and pounced on this rat,
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: and it just every once in a while shows a
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: sign of life.
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: The Ravens are gonna go out there be the shovel
• 22:59
  Speaker 3: that I had to be.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: You know, this is where my stubbornness gets me in trouble.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Put your fucking shovel away. I'm taking the Dolphins plus
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: the seven end.
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: Do you collared?
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: We're about to plant our flag presented by Draft Kings,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: but first the word from our very own Kendra as
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: we chat about our great friends at DraftKings.
• 23:18
  Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in
• 23:21
  Speaker 4: partnership with DraftKings. Favorites listeners get a great offer right now.
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: New customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
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  Speaker 3: For new customers.
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  Speaker 4: That's code favorites when signing up with DraftKings for three
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  Speaker 4: in bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is yours.
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: All right, Kendra, what do you got? Where are you
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: planting your flag?
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Flag?
• 23:52
  Speaker 6: And a shut up.
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: I'm trying to plant my flag here. Okay, you're really
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: planning your flag in that thing.
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: We were filling out our notes what's the same time
• 23:59
  Speaker 4: early and typed in the same game, and I decided
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: to pivot, and I'm gonna let you have it just
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: in case it's wrong. I want to say that this
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: slate feels like fools gold because it feels so good.
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: It feels like an easy slate to be able to
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: gamble on, which is what makes me think that I
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: might not have the best week because it feels too
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: good to be true.
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: However, I think I'm gonna go with the Bears.
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: Stucky alluded to the point that the Bears defense has
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: not been what some of us expected. It's, you know,
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: highest caliber to be so far this season. They're playing
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: the Bengals, though I get that the Bengals. Joe Flacco's
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: had some chemistry with Jamar Chase. They're kind of progressing
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: a way, but they're just unreliable. I think that what's
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: gonna happen is the Bears are going to be able
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: to outscore that offense, regardless of the chemistry that they have.
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: The Bears are the better team, don't think too hard
• 24:49
  Speaker 4: about it. The Bengals are a bad team. They need
• 24:51
  Speaker 4: Joe Burrow, They're beaten up, they're discouraged. I'm going with
• 24:54
  Speaker 4: the Bears. I'm closing my eyes and I'm just hitting
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: the smash button. I'm like that lizard and like that
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: Disney meme that was going aro.
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: For a while. That's just like lizard, Lizard, Lizard. That's
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: me with this game.
• 25:03
  Speaker 4: I can't even think about it. It just it's what
• 25:05
  Speaker 4: feels right. It feels the best to me. I'm going
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: with it, closing my eyes.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: I'm just worried about what Chase is going to do
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: to the secondary. But that's why I bought the points up.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Can't talk you off of the Bears minus the two
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: and a half. Stucky you where you at?
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: I haven't bet anything yet this week. There's a lot
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: of favorites that I think are a little overvalued. I
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: don't know if I'll get to Maybe that's as a
• 25:25
  Speaker 5: result of this past week. I think favorites had their
• 25:27
  Speaker 5: best day and best weekend in twenty five years or something.
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: Eleven ats this week a.
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: Good season for him.
• 25:36
  Speaker 5: None were even close, So I think there's a couple
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: that are overvalued. I haven't played anything yet, but I'll
• 25:41
  Speaker 5: just go back to what I said before. I can't
• 25:43
  Speaker 5: get to this cold Steelers number. So I'll plan my
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: flag on the Steelers plus three minus one to five.
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: But wait, I think you're going to get to three
• 25:51
  Speaker 5: and a half. So but I'll plan my flag now
• 25:53
  Speaker 5: on the Steelers. The Bears Bengals, I mean you Kenjri,
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: you might also not get Flacco, could be browning Flacco's
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: younger shoulder injuries day to day, so that would be beneficial.
• 26:03
  Speaker 5: The Bears, I mean there they're secondaries and just such shambles.
• 26:06
  Speaker 5: We'll see if Stevenson can come back. But Gordon and
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: Johnson on I are but the Bears should be able
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: to move the ball. On the Bengals, I mean the
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: Jets with a bunch of backup receivers and at Justin
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: Field's put a five hundred yards. That's right insane. So
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: the Bengals defense is pathetic. Their offensive line is still bad.
• 26:21
  Speaker 5: I mean that should be a shootout, but there is
• 26:24
  Speaker 5: a chance that Flacco doesn't go, and it's clearly a
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: downgrade when when Browning is in there. But like some
• 26:33
  Speaker 5: other games that I think are a little too high,
• 26:36
  Speaker 5: I mean the Giant s Niners. I mean, I gotta
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: wait on the injury report there. Let's see maybe if we.
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: Talked about how Joe Flacco did a toush push. Though
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: that old man did the toush push, anybody.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: Could do it.
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: Any everyone needs to adopt a sneak. I'm interested in
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: the Cardinals at three. I do think the Lions are
• 26:57
  Speaker 5: a tad too high. See what their secondary looks like.
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: I just think that should be seven. The Titans are
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: too high, But am I going to bet them? I
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: don't know. I doubt it. I do think the Falcons
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: are too high right now. But I need more clarity
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: on the injury situation. Like I need Panics back, I
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: need London back. A couple of defenders would help. And yeah,
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: I think that's about it on the radar for now.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: How about the Carolina Panthers. That's thinking about putting them.
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: I thought about them too.
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: I never thought I would say this. I need Bryce
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: young Beck.
• 27:34
  Speaker 5: They also had more offense. They had a couple offensive
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: line and more offensive line injuries last week, and they're
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: already down offensive linemen. Derek Brown is like so important.
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: Their defense got hurt. Their defense had a couple injuries,
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: like their Rundy has been really good, had a couple injuries,
• 27:48
  Speaker 5: and the Bills did whatever they wanted. So I would
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: be a little cautious.
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: There, Andy asked Dalton. I can't do it.
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: You don't want to.
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: I'm betting.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not betting on Andy Dalton three turnovers last week.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: He looks beyond washed. I play at the flag game, though,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: I was thinking about the well not to think. I've
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: already bet the Detroit Lions at minus eight and a half.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: That number is not going anywhere. But uh, but I'm
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the forty nine ers minus two and
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: a half. I am over the Max Jones experience. We
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: might be getting Brock Purty back. I would love that
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back opportunity after getting dominated by a desperate
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: Houston team and the Giants are falling apart. The neighbors
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: injury was a big blow to the offense. I think
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: the Scataboo injury hurts their identity. Yeah, I think it's
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: much worse in terms of what and I mean the
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: the unquantifiable swag that him and Jackson Dart had. There's
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: a reason why Dart had the reaction he did when
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: when he saw Skataboo's leg twisted all sorts of ways.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: I think that might have been the straw that broke
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: the Campbell's back. The Giants were a nice story.
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: But it was fine.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah it was. It was a lot of fun.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: But this is a big bounce back spot for about it.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: Solidarity Bears minus two and a half is in the
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: plant the flag spread here forty nine Ers minus two
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: and a half and the Steelers plus three, but Stucky
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: advising that you wait until you get the plus three
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: and a half. Those are a plant. The Flag Games
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. Now time for the main event. No
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: betting week can start without it. It's the primer courtesy
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: of Evan Abrams. Yeah, into the show, Evan, how much
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: fun have you had listening to us yell at each other?
• 29:30
  Speaker 6: So you guys said eleven and two ats or favorites.
• 29:33
  Speaker 6: That was in week eight, best win percentage for favorites
• 29:35
  Speaker 6: in a single week since December of eighty five. I
• 29:38
  Speaker 6: think the crazy thing is all eleven favorites covered by
• 29:42
  Speaker 6: seven plus points, which is the most I've seen in
• 29:45
  Speaker 6: a week in over thirty years. So really insane in
• 29:48
  Speaker 6: the fact that no game was even close for other
• 29:50
  Speaker 6: than the two upsets. The other note favorites thirty three
• 29:54
  Speaker 6: and ten straight up the last three weeks, so dogs
• 29:58
  Speaker 6: really not even winning on the mon as well in
• 30:01
  Speaker 6: that span. In terms of everything else, the one thing
• 30:04
  Speaker 6: you might notice from the slate this week is a
• 30:07
  Speaker 6: lot of high totals. So right now we have five
• 30:10
  Speaker 6: totals of fifty plus that would be the most since
• 30:14
  Speaker 6: Week ten of twenty twenty one at this point, and
• 30:16
  Speaker 6: we even have a few in the forty eight and
• 30:18
  Speaker 6: forty nine, so have to see how that goes. But yeah,
• 30:21
  Speaker 6: a lot of high totals this week. A few other
• 30:24
  Speaker 6: things I'll just throw at you. GoF eight to zero
• 30:27
  Speaker 6: against the spread versus the Vikings with the Lions. Wow,
• 30:30
  Speaker 6: he is absolutely dominated. Minnesota.
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: Oh love Tennessee.
• 30:35
  Speaker 6: We talk about this all the time, But got to
• 30:37
  Speaker 6: say it. They've lost eleven straight ats at home, so
• 30:40
  Speaker 6: they are getting ten points against Harbaugh, who usually crushes
• 30:44
  Speaker 6: on these road trips out east in Central does really
• 30:47
  Speaker 6: really well with those Chargers teams. But boy is at
• 30:50
  Speaker 6: a high number. And here's the best one. Colts and
• 30:53
  Speaker 6: Ravens can both cash their win totals this week. Colts
• 30:57
  Speaker 6: can go over seven and a half, Ravens can go
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: under eleven and a half.
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: With a loss.
• 31:01
  Speaker 6: And it is only week nine, so can't wait for
• 31:04
  Speaker 6: that stuff.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: Wow, that's really good stuff. Do you have anything on
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: the Patriots? This feels like they're tied right now with
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: the Broncos in terms of winning streaks in the NFL,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: but they're also doing it in terms of covering the number.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: They're on the heater of all heaters right now. Is
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: there a cell point for them? Is there anything in
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: the primer this week about hey, ease up on trying
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: to tail this team as trees don't grow to the sky.
• 31:36
  Speaker 6: I feel like I kind of just used the same
• 31:37
  Speaker 6: stat I used last week because I went one in
• 31:39
  Speaker 6: one with Chicago and New England. But the fact that
• 31:42
  Speaker 6: teams are a four plus game straight at Ats who
• 31:44
  Speaker 6: didn't make the playoffs fifteen and twenty seven against the
• 31:47
  Speaker 6: number two and fifteen since twenty twenty two. So at
• 31:50
  Speaker 6: some point New England comes back to the mean. But
• 31:53
  Speaker 6: the crazier thing is those MVP odds. Drake May opens
• 31:57
  Speaker 6: the year at fifty to one, but crazy thing. Entering
• 32:00
  Speaker 6: Week five he was one hundred to one and now
• 32:03
  Speaker 6: he's five to one. So that is a massive, massive
• 32:07
  Speaker 6: correction based off the season that he's had so far,
• 32:10
  Speaker 6: two thousand passing yards, seventy five percent completion percentage to
• 32:14
  Speaker 6: eight games. Only Drew Brees in twenty eighteen pulled that off,
• 32:18
  Speaker 6: so what he's been doing is really really crazy. I
• 32:21
  Speaker 6: think the other thing when it comes to this game
• 32:23
  Speaker 6: is Atlanta Outdoors has been pretty bad, and I think
• 32:27
  Speaker 6: it's a little bit different in terms of how they've
• 32:30
  Speaker 6: performed zero to two this year, but losing by twenty
• 32:32
  Speaker 6: points per game an outdoor game since twenty twenty just
• 32:36
  Speaker 6: eleven and eighteen, So maybe a bit of a tough
• 32:38
  Speaker 6: spot there.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: Damn because Stucky, this feels like the ultimate buy opportunity.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: This is this is the kind of game that you
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: bet on with the Falcons plus the five and a half.
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: They just got blown out by a bad Dolphins team.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: Ultimate sell high. Everybody is on their knees for the
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: New England Patriots right now. I'd be surprised if you're not.
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: I needed injuries like I need. I need Panics, I
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: need I need London. I need some of the defenders
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: back or at least a couple.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, great stuff, Evan, appreciate it. Make sure you go
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: and check out the primer Actionnetwork dot com or on
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: the Action Network app, and that will do it for
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: today's episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Gifford Gold. The Favorites will return on Thursday, two days
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: from now, day before Halloween.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: So maybe we have to wear costumes, guys.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: We'll hash that out on our slack channel Action Network
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: YouTube pages where you can find us. We will talk
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: week nine best bets on Thursday, plus our two Kings
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: We'll see her here right here.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: Next time on the Favorites presented by DraftKings wear Out.
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler