Latest / Energy Empire / Inside California's Plan to Fix the Utility Business Model with Senator Josh Becker
Transcript
- 0:00I'm so sorry, Josh, that like I had some role to play in getting
- 0:04you down this rabbit hole. I mean, my God, is this getting
- 0:08technical so quickly. But I mean, but it is super
- 0:11important. I think we could actually really
- 0:13increase credulization through this bill.
- 0:16And listen, it's a it's a populist issue.
- 0:18Figuring out affordability is a populist issue.
- 0:20And you know, if we can say, hey, this is, this is right way
- 0:23to do it, then we we can work together with them on it for
- 0:26sure. Hello, my name is Jigar Shah and
- 0:33I'm a clean energy entrepreneur. Hi, I'm Arnab Powell and I'm a
- 0:37clean energy policy enthusiast. Wow.
- 0:41And you're going to have to keep scripting that and trying new
- 0:44things every time. Or not.
- 0:46I know I still haven't gotten it yet.
- 0:49Well, today we are going to have our good friend Josh Becker on
- 0:54and talk a little bit about. You know what he's doing to
- 0:57transform the state of California.
- 1:00Sort of exciting times. Yeah, I mean, it's state Senator
- 1:03Josh Becker for us, So we, we got to get that right.
- 1:06Not only is he, I think, you know, one of the leaders in this
- 1:10country on our issues and this space in general.
- 1:14I he's just a, a, a very interesting human being.
- 1:17And I think he's got a, a great background in life story and I
- 1:20think he's really, you know, formed a community in the
- 1:23legislature. So I think it'd be interesting
- 1:25to just here where he thinks where we're at, because I think
- 1:28in a in a world where we see a lot of negativity, I think he's
- 1:31still doing a lot of positive things.
- 1:33Well, one thing I was curious about though was, I mean, you're
- 1:36also following closely. The governor's race, right,
- 1:38because. I mean it.
- 1:39Feels like a lot has changed, right?
- 1:41Like Swalwell had to drop out. Now there's like a few other
- 1:45candidates. But it still feels like a, you
- 1:47know, like neck and neck race with three different people.
- 1:50Yeah, I mean, in some ways the race is completely changed, and
- 1:53in other ways, it's the exact same as where it's always been,
- 1:56which no one really knows is going to be next governor of
- 1:58California. It seems like former congressman
- 2:02and Attorney General Becerra and, you know, your friend Tom
- 2:06Steyer seemed to be in the lead here.
- 2:10And then there's two Republicans who might have a chance that
- 2:13normally wouldn't. So, you know, I think for the
- 2:16first time in the generation, like people have no idea what
- 2:19the governor of California is going to be.
- 2:20That's crazy. Well, excited to talk to Josh
- 2:23Becker. Thanks for joining us as always
- 2:25or not, you're always the person who brings all the best insights
- 2:29to these kind of conversations. Yeah, I, I don't know if that's
- 2:32actually true, but I just like being on this podcast, so thanks
- 2:35for having. Energy Empire empire is powered
- 2:43by octopus energy. I hear it at every conference.
- 2:47We need more generation, more transmission.
- 2:51You're saying we don't? We do, but we're ignoring
- 2:54something faster. Sitting in people's homes and EV
- 2:58is basically a 60 kWh battery idle most of the day across the
- 3:04US. That's gigawatts we're not
- 3:06using. Utilities have pitched demand
- 3:08response for 20 years and it still hasn't scaled.
- 3:13Why is this time different? Because we're not asking
- 3:16customers to change behaviour, we're automating it.
- 3:19The grid treats customers like demand that actually distributed
- 3:23infrastructure. Connect those assets and you can
- 3:25shift load overnight at scale. So the constraint isn't
- 3:29technology, it's coordination. The solutions already deployed,
- 3:34we just need to use it. Thanks, Natasha.
- 3:37That was Natasha Crowe, vice president of marketing and comms
- 3:41for Octopus North America. If that's the version of the
- 3:45Grid you want, check them out. The link is in the show notes.
- 3:54Josh Becker as I live and breathe.
- 3:57Welcome to the podcast. Good to be here.
- 4:00You and I go so far back. I mean, I think we first met
- 4:03probably in the arts. Right.
- 4:05And then you were a venture. Capitalist, you did all sorts of
- 4:08cool stuff. You served in government, right,
- 4:10on an important committee, and now you're an elected senator
- 4:14that not only is elected from one of the most important parts
- 4:18of California, but you're actually, you know, like running
- 4:22a lot of the energy policy in the state of California.
- 4:24Yeah, I mean, ran for the legislature is the best thing
- 4:27I've ever done. I mean, I love it here.
- 4:30I love my colleagues getting good stuff done and it's a lot
- 4:33of fun. Well, let's just jump right into
- 4:35it. I think as you know, the climate
- 4:38work in California continues. We have deployed so many
- 4:42batteries, solar, wind power, clean energy broadly, and it
- 4:47worked right. Wholesale market prices have
- 4:49never been lower. And so we.
- 4:50Have a huge amount of power, and so much so that we're actually
- 4:54now sharing all that excess power with.
- 4:56Friends in neighboring states like Nevada and Arizona and and
- 5:00Oregon. But you know, but one of the
- 5:02things that's been stubborn to deal with is, you know, the
- 5:06wildfire costs and the the overbuild on the wire side,
- 5:10which is really driven rates up. And you've got a whole bunch of
- 5:13ideas on, you know, how to really start to control those
- 5:17costs. So we'd love to hear more about
- 5:18your agenda this year. Yeah, we got a lot of ideas.
- 5:21We'll see what to see and get them passed.
- 5:23But yeah, listen, I you know, we've all been at this a long
- 5:25time. I remember I worked on EP as
- 5:28first Clean Air Marketplace conference in 1992 and walking
- 5:33around and saying, Oh my God, I'm sure all this great
- 5:36technology will be deployed in no time, including these
- 5:38electric vehicles and, and, and didn't happen.
- 5:41So I realized, you know, we need both innovation and markets.
- 5:45I mean, sometimes people promote and we love when we have friends
- 5:49on the right who, who actually embrace clean energy, but they,
- 5:51you know, they say, you know, innovation over regulation or
- 5:54you know, markets not mandates. And the truth is we really need
- 5:58both. I mean the success, even though
- 6:00we have a cap and invest system here in California, really a lot
- 6:05of our gains in electricity came because we had the renewable
- 6:07portfolio standard. We said you have to have 5% of
- 6:10clean energy for utilities, then 15%.
- 6:13Nobody thought we'd get that, then 25%, then 50% and on up.
- 6:16So it's been that combination here.
- 6:19But what we're seeing now is a real concern in California
- 6:23really across the country around rates.
- 6:26And we've a number of different things that we'll, I'm sure
- 6:28we'll talk about, about what we need to do.
- 6:31But part of that is to use our existing grid more effectively.
- 6:35So you've been a senator for some time.
- 6:38I feel like when you were first elected, nobody really paid that
- 6:42much attention to their electricity bill.
- 6:44They didn't really understand all the components.
- 6:47It now feels different, right? It feels like people have all
- 6:51become investigative journalists and like actually.
- 6:55Are digging deep into you know how where this is coming from
- 6:59and it does feel like folks are starting to understand that
- 7:04they're sort of taking on. The investment strategy of PG&E,
- 7:08right, this isn't just about the number of kilowatt hours that
- 7:10they're using I. Don't know how.
- 7:12How is your constituents like? How have they evolved in terms
- 7:16of their thinking about electricity?
- 7:17I mean, the reality is, is just, we've already seen the, the, you
- 7:21know, the warming in my area when I first moved to 25 years
- 7:24ago, you know, you didn't need air conditioning, Nobody had air
- 7:27conditioning. And then you need, we had one
- 7:29wall unit because it fit, you know, my daughter's room face
- 7:31the sun and then another wall unit.
- 7:33And then we had a mobile unit and cost started to go up.
- 7:36You know, fortune for us. We got heat pumps.
- 7:38So we now have air conditioning as well as greenhouse gas free
- 7:42heating. But you know, people just
- 7:44started paying a lot more attention to the bill.
- 7:46So they don't really know all the specifics.
- 7:48They just know they're really unhappy.
- 7:50So, you know, I think as California tries to electrify
- 7:53the rest of the economy, you talked a little bit about, you
- 7:56know, agriculture and some of these other things.
- 7:58But I think. One of the things that we're
- 8:00faced with right now is, as you know, gasoline prices have gone
- 8:03through the roof, and folks are thinking about, you know, EVs
- 8:06too, right? And so it feels like there's
- 8:09unlikely bedfellows that have come together right now to
- 8:13actually do big things, right, to actually change things in a
- 8:17fundamental way such that we can reduce electricity bills by
- 8:212030%. You know, like, I think when Tom
- 8:23Styer first said that in his campaign, maybe in January, we
- 8:27said, oh, we can reduce rates by 25%.
- 8:28I think people are like, he's being hyperbolic and now it
- 8:31feels like everyone's talking about reducing rates by a lot.
- 8:34That's certainly been the focus, you know, here in the
- 8:37Legislature for a long time. With respect to Tom.
- 8:40We've been working on this for a long time.
- 8:41I mean, you take a look at the bill last year, for example, we
- 8:45said that, you know, a lot of the utility spending is, you
- 8:47know, on wildfire. We can't really make sure we're
- 8:49getting the bang for the buck and aligning what's going to be
- 8:52done at a local level, regional level, state level in terms of
- 8:56the spending. Utilities are spending $10
- 8:58billion a year on wildfire. Great.
- 9:00But are they doing the hard stuff, right?
- 9:02Are they doing the stuff they should be doing and are we
- 9:04getting the bang for the buck in doing that?
- 9:06We took $6 billion of their spend on wildfire.
- 9:11We said you have to use to do that with securitized debt, not
- 9:13with equity. So you can't rate base that
- 9:16there's a lot of screaming and but you know, it did happen.
- 9:19You know, really the big risk for utilities is the existential
- 9:24risk is, you know, wildfire and bankruptcy.
- 9:26And we, you know, started to take that off the table with a
- 9:30wildfire fund that we set up. So and this year we'll have
- 9:33taken another big look at sort of the liability piece of all
- 9:37that. So you you put forward Senate
- 9:39Bill nine O 5 and you really try to go directly at the utility
- 9:43incentives. Do you want to talk a little bit
- 9:45about the problem you're trying to solve with that bill?
- 9:47Yeah, we're trying to get, you know, lectures raised down
- 9:50again. And fundamentally, one thing I
- 9:54learned, you know, being in the private sector, you know, it's
- 9:56all about aligning the incentives.
- 9:58And fundamentally right now, you know, the utilities are on
- 10:00bigger profits and exactly have bigger bonuses by spending more
- 10:04money. That's just the way the
- 10:05incentives are are set up and we do see some good signs out
- 10:09there. The PG&E is piloting a lot of
- 10:11good ideas like flexible interconnections and try to work
- 10:14smarter. But as they say, you know, I
- 10:16hope it's not a strategy. We need to make sure that we
- 10:18have the right incentives to though, you know, be incentives
- 10:22to do the right thing. Now part of that is looking at
- 10:25the return on equity. There's certain investments like
- 10:27undergrounding, for example, that shareholders would agree
- 10:31to, you know, demand a, a lower return on because those are
- 10:34things that again, get to the fundamental existential risk of
- 10:37utilities versus something like, you know, buying a new
- 10:40transformer. So there's part in there to look
- 10:43at having a different return on equity.
- 10:45And you know, there's part around getting the, the
- 10:48incentive structure of the VP level and higher the utilities
- 10:51to keep rates below inflation because that's, you know, that's
- 10:54at the end of the day the measuring stick that we're
- 10:56trying to do. So there's a number of pieces in
- 10:59there, but really trying to get those incentives right.
- 11:01Well, one of the things that you keyed in on is also around
- 11:06executive compensation, and you're really trying to link
- 11:10executive compensation to controlling electricity cost.
- 11:14How do you think that would work and why does it matter?
- 11:17Well, instead of rewarding the people running utilities for
- 11:19maximizing spending and profits, we want to create some cost
- 11:23discipline. And this will say 20% of your
- 11:25annual compensation is based on keeping rates from rising faster
- 11:29than inflation. So we're not even talking about
- 11:31lowering rates, just keeping them from rising in real terms.
- 11:34If you can't do that, if you can't, you know, keep raising
- 11:37rates, then you don't get the bonus.
- 11:39So I think it's important because, you know, only the
- 11:41people running the utility day-to-day and the people make
- 11:44thousands decision what to do and what not to do.
- 11:46They're the ones that figure out how to prioritize, how to be
- 11:48more efficient, how to deliver safe, reliable, clean,
- 11:51affordable power within a budget that doesn't raise rates.
- 11:54So, you know, every business in the world has to figure out how
- 11:57to operate within a budget of what their customers are willing
- 12:00to pay. And we have a monopolistic
- 12:02system here. And so they don't have some of
- 12:04the same constraints. And so this will put some of
- 12:06that discipline back in. Now the other thing that you
- 12:08focused on is metrics. As you know, any good business
- 12:11person knows you manage what you measure and you've got specific
- 12:15things in there that you want them to measure.
- 12:17We do want to go through that. Yeah.
- 12:18I look at this really more of like a, you know, a dashboard
- 12:21sort of school card. So you ask them to do a lot of
- 12:23different things. So, you know, we don't want to
- 12:26focus just one aspect of their performance.
- 12:28So this is like a, you know, KPI that you would see at a company
- 12:32for utilities. We care about safety,
- 12:34reliability, cost drivers like spending and utilization of
- 12:38assets, customer service like how quickly can they handle
- 12:42customer requests or to interconnect new generators and
- 12:46climate targets like what percent of electricity is coming
- 12:49from zero carbon sources. So by laying out a set of
- 12:52performance metrics, we just see this is just good government,
- 12:55we're running clarity that these are the things that that we
- 12:58really care about and we've seen that.
- 13:01Again, just think this or this could be very helpful.
- 13:04You know, I mean there does seem to be a very large anti utility
- 13:09sentiment right as bills have gone.
- 13:11Up and you know, I think for a while people thought it was a
- 13:14California. Thing, but now you're seeing
- 13:16that with Duke Energy in North Carolina, you're seeing that
- 13:18with Con Ed in in New York City, you're seeing that with a lot of
- 13:21places where people have had higher rates.
- 13:24And I'm curious, you know, whether you think that, you
- 13:28know, these bills are anti utility or anti investment.
- 13:31Listen, you know the way our system is set up, we need health
- 13:34utilities, their their ability to raise capital and do all the
- 13:38important work that it takes to operate their grid while also
- 13:41reducing the risk of fires switching over clean energy,
- 13:43supporting low growth to power economy.
- 13:46You know, they're vital to the success.
- 13:48And ultimately, you know, their borrowing costs do affect the
- 13:51costs that get passed on to to repairs as well.
- 13:56But, you know, we need to trust them as partners in this
- 13:58mission. Again, I think we have some some
- 14:00good leadership now that we're working with, but we don't want
- 14:03to constantly worry that they're trying to bloat their spending,
- 14:06say as much as possible to maximize profits for investors.
- 14:09So, you know, this is really like, OK, let's talk about how
- 14:12we fix that problem. Let's align the incentives and
- 14:15then get back to working together to deliver safe, a
- 14:18reliable, affordable, a clean power.
- 14:21So I I think that there is a way that again, we can work
- 14:25constructively but within the right framework.
- 14:29Well, you know, back in the 19. 70s Amber Lovin's talked about
- 14:32the soft path, right, which was really energy efficiency and,
- 14:36and all of that stuff. And California frankly, has led
- 14:38the way on the soft path, right? And figuring out how to do more
- 14:41with less. And it's grown its GDP
- 14:44tremendously without having to grow electricity sales as much,
- 14:48right? I, you know, part of where we're
- 14:50headed now, as you referenced it earlier, is grid utilization.
- 14:54And you know, and like figuring out how we actually use the
- 14:57grid. We've already paid for more
- 14:58efficiently before we build more stuff, which we will need to
- 15:01build more stuff. But how do we use what we
- 15:03already paid for more efficiently?
- 15:05Do you think that that's too wonky?
- 15:06I know we talked. About it with Line Vision and
- 15:09our good friend Rachelle and you know, Arnab went through the
- 15:12deploy action report that, you know, they had put out earlier
- 15:15in a previous podcast. And so I don't know where do you
- 15:18put that because, you know, energy efficiency obviously is
- 15:21well known, but you know, gradualization feels a little
- 15:23technical. Well, the way that.
- 15:26I've been able to explain it that I think resonates with, you
- 15:31know, most folks I've talked to is to say our grid is like,
- 15:33think about like the Walmart parking lot.
- 15:36They don't build the Walmart parking lot for, you know,
- 15:39January 6th, Tuesday at 10:00 AM.
- 15:42They have to build it for the Saturday before Christmas and
- 15:45therefore, you know, most of the time there's a lot of excess
- 15:48parking and our quids like that as well.
- 15:50The quid is only strained, and this was a big realization for
- 15:53me. In California, the quid is
- 15:56strained around 40 hours a year. 40 hours, that's like less than
- 16:01a half a percent right of the hours a year.
- 16:04Yeah, but we can't fail. No governor wants to fail.
- 16:07No legislature wants to have blackouts.
- 16:09And so we have to meet that peak.
- 16:11And so, you know, traditionally we just sort of build, build,
- 16:14build to make sure we have that peak.
- 16:16And that reality is we have massive excess capacity most of
- 16:20the time. And so I think we explained it
- 16:22that way, people that kind of brings out the light bulbs to
- 16:24say, Oh yeah, OK, good. So we want to do 2 things.
- 16:28One and this is, you know, we can align with utilities on
- 16:31this, bring on beneficial load all the electric vehicle load a
- 16:35data centers. If we do it the right way, which
- 16:37I'm sure we'll talk about it, that can be beneficial load all
- 16:39these. You know, I have a bill this
- 16:40year around industrial. You know, there's emissions
- 16:43generally 23% of California's emissions, it's an error.
- 16:46We've made almost 0 progress, OK.
- 16:48How can we provide the right incentives to electrify that of
- 16:52that food processing plant in Fresno and get them on the grid,
- 16:56give the incentives to at the time, especially the time of day
- 16:59when we've got massive excess capacity.
- 17:01So this caused beneficial load and then this other piece of
- 17:05other ways of meeting that peak, right?
- 17:07How can we cut it rather than just building, building,
- 17:10building, how can we shift load during that peak and provide all
- 17:13the all the right incentives, reward people for doing the
- 17:16right thing. All those, you know, batteries
- 17:19that people have now installed in their homes and ultimately
- 17:21all those batteries that the Super powerful ones that are in
- 17:23people's cars, How can we use that to shift the peak so that,
- 17:28you know, again, we don't have to worry about about hitting
- 17:32that mount. So we sort of explain it that
- 17:34way. It seems to be resonating.
- 17:35That's great. You know, the other thing I'm
- 17:37curious about though is you were talking about metrics before.
- 17:40Is this something else that we need to collect data on in terms
- 17:43of gradualization and so that there's more transparency around
- 17:46it? Yeah.
- 17:48Well, we know today that California's generation capacity
- 17:50is only used about 45% of capacity on average.
- 17:55So that's pretty low, but it's not the main problem.
- 17:58As we talked about, the spending problem is really happy mostly
- 18:01the distribution level. Every time someone needs a panel
- 18:05upgrade, the utility puts in a bigger pole transformer.
- 18:08We're upgrading circuits and substations all over the state
- 18:11with little regulatory oversight just to deal with a potential
- 18:14problem forecast for some time in the next five years.
- 18:18In some scenario when the utility is looking at a place on
- 18:23distribution grid where there might be a problem 10 hours a
- 18:26year, but most of the time the utilization is less than 50%.
- 18:29Probably far cheaper to install a battery or make use of some
- 18:32demand flexibility from customers in that area rather
- 18:34than upgrade that infrastructure.
- 18:36But that's not really happening today.
- 18:38And that's what one thing I think that we need to change.
- 18:41So kind of rate in the the the build baby build approach to
- 18:45managing distribution system really to understand at a much
- 18:48more granule level what the utilization is for all these
- 18:51individualized circuits. And I think we're going to see
- 18:53very low numbers. You know, Australia, they were
- 18:55finding utilization rates less than 20%.
- 18:58Oh yeah, no, I think in California PG&E is estimating
- 19:01that their wires are used less than 35% of the time.
- 19:03So it's it's pretty low. I totally agree.
- 19:06So switching over to my hobby horse, you know, you've also
- 19:10instituted or put forward Senate Bill 913.
- 19:14And you know, I've been frustrated by the fact that
- 19:16there's 3000 megawatts of behind the meter battery storage,
- 19:19right? You've got the DSGS program,
- 19:21you've got people with electric vehicles, you have people with
- 19:24smart thermostats, you have people with smart appliances.
- 19:27And there doesn't seem like there's actually any way for
- 19:31them to get compensated for helping out their neighbor at
- 19:34strategic times, particularly those 40 hours a year you were
- 19:37talking about. So what's?
- 19:38Broken in the current system. Yeah.
- 19:41Well, first of all, you know, you've helped educate me on
- 19:44this, you and Arna both over the last couple years.
- 19:47And I think it's helped us focus in in this area.
- 19:52You know, California's added 17 gigawatts of battery storage,
- 19:57most of that just since I've been here in the last six years.
- 20:00We have two, two and a half million EVs, very powerful
- 20:02batteries, 2 million heat pumps, and we can, you know, continue
- 20:05to add more distributed capacity resources each year.
- 20:09And that, you know, process is largely due to the measural
- 20:13benefits that people get. They're saving money through
- 20:15price incentives. However, we really need to be
- 20:18doing a better job to let them shift their behavior when the
- 20:21grid needs it. So we have mechanisms to do
- 20:24this. We have something called the
- 20:24Resource Adequacy program in California and with Kaiso's
- 20:28reliability markets, the problem is that the requirements for
- 20:32participation in that program and RA program and Kaiso's
- 20:35market rules have not evolved in a manner that considers the
- 20:39attributes or operational characteristics of those
- 20:42resources. So for example, the current
- 20:44concert does not credit electricity that's exported past
- 20:48the customer's utility meter. So RA valuation is currently
- 20:51limited to how much electricity customers are using a joint
- 20:55demand response events. So valing the exports past the
- 20:58customer's utility meter will allow customer owned resources
- 21:01to provide additional value, you know, beyond that reduction of
- 21:04net. Demand I'm so.
- 21:06Sorry, Josh, that like I had some role to play in getting you
- 21:10down this rabbit hole. I mean.
- 21:12My God, is this getting technical so quickly?
- 21:15But I mean, but it is super important.
- 21:17I think we could actually really increase gradualization through
- 21:20this bill. Yeah, Yeah.
- 21:23I mean the reality is, I mean, listen, to simplify it, it's
- 21:25just like the market rules are not set up.
- 21:28And we've been, you know, playing around with that for a
- 21:31number of years trying to change this or that.
- 21:33And you know, that's the problem we're trying to solve, solve
- 21:35here. I mean, you know, they forecast
- 21:38to give another 4 to 6 gigawatts of customer set of battery just,
- 21:41you know, by 20-30 alone. And we mentioned, you know, EVs
- 21:44are another resource with bidirectional charging.
- 21:46So we have to change the market rules to allow those folks to
- 21:51participate. Totally.
- 21:53So you're saying the market rules aren't set up, You know,
- 21:57why is that? And like, why don't they they
- 22:00count today. Why are you having to do all
- 22:02this? Well, I mean, listen, I mean, I
- 22:06think for good reasons, they've set our rates or agencies have
- 22:09set requirements for what qualifies as resource adequate
- 22:13adequacy. They want to ensure that
- 22:14utilities are procuring resources that help me local
- 22:18system and all the resource out O that oversight is important.
- 22:22But those same requirements you can make it really difficult for
- 22:25these resources to count in the same way because they have
- 22:29different attributes than traditional.
- 22:32Well, I don't know. I'll interrupt you here, Josh.
- 22:34And I'll say because you can't say it.
- 22:36That the CPUC basically. Has gone to war with distributed
- 22:39generation and didn't really like them participating.
- 22:43And so even though the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is
- 22:46required under third quarter 2222.
- 22:49You know, California independent system operator to provide this
- 22:52benefit. They have done everything in
- 22:54their power to sabotage how much people get paid.
- 22:57I thank the Lord that you've decided to put this forward to
- 23:00try to rectify a wrong here. I mean, it's crazy that people
- 23:04have spent all this money on batteries and can't get
- 23:06compensated to help their neighbor.
- 23:10Yeah. I mean, listen, fundamentally, I
- 23:11mean, they, you know, they say they're working on this and
- 23:13they're, you know, they have a few pilot programs and things
- 23:15like that. But yeah, this cuts to the
- 23:17chase. You know, this requires them to
- 23:20consider this atrophy, you know, allow flexible contract terms
- 23:22and program rules and things that we need to make these
- 23:25resources count. So I'm really excited about it.
- 23:28I'm hopeful we can get this one through this year.
- 23:32And you think 913 is what it's going to take for these home
- 23:37batteries to to count the same as a big power plant for for RA
- 23:42or are you it is it like the first step?
- 23:44And then we have to work with the new governor and, you know,
- 23:47work on implementation, Like, what does this look like?
- 23:49Because you're good at passing bills.
- 23:51But you're one piece of the puzzle here, right?
- 23:54Yeah. I mean, I think that we have to
- 23:56make it easy to sign up. And what's great is that, you
- 24:00know, under the DSGS program kind of proved that, you know, I
- 24:03had a friend who had a Powerwall and they received an alert, said
- 24:07do you want to participate, you know, have your battery
- 24:09participate in this program. And they said yes and clicked a
- 24:13button. That was it.
- 24:14I mean, it should be that easy to participate.
- 24:17So, you know, again, it's about finding the incentive, you know,
- 24:20changing the market rules so they're they're fair in this
- 24:24way, but then also making it easy for people to sign up.
- 24:26Well, and the reason it's so important?
- 24:28As you and I have talked about is it's Looney Tunes to me that
- 24:32all of these companies are based in your district.
- 24:34They're all based in California, right?
- 24:36They all got their start in California.
- 24:38They've got their headquarters in California and their biggest
- 24:40markets are in Massachusetts and Texas.
- 24:43And so I really. Like the fact that you're
- 24:45stitching all of this together in a way such that these
- 24:49companies which have gotten their venture capital in
- 24:51California can actually start to deploy their solutions in
- 24:53California. And so, I mean, I think it's, I
- 24:56think it's. Glorious work you're doing here
- 24:58with SB-913. Yeah, that's.
- 24:59Right. And we had a big win in
- 25:00Virginia, as you guys know. You guys were a big part of
- 25:03that. You know, Maryland and
- 25:06California should be leading. That's actually one of my big
- 25:09things is to actually, you know, especially in a time of the
- 25:12headwinds from the federal administration with absolutely
- 25:15backward policies on clean energy, we need to get the
- 25:18leading edge climate states to work together to share ideas.
- 25:22So I really enjoy that when I'm reaching out to other state
- 25:26legislators in leading edge climate state to to share ideas.
- 25:29And again, this is 1 where Virginia led and that's great.
- 25:33And you know, you got to get California gear too.
- 25:36And for the record, you know, Virginia got the first bill
- 25:39signed by the governor, but you, you had a bill last year that
- 25:42would have done some of the data elements of that.
- 25:44So, so you do get some credit for going first even if we
- 25:47didn't get it signed first, I'll take it.
- 25:52I think that's exactly right. One of the things I'm also
- 25:55curious about is it I, it feels like there's a bunch of
- 25:57batteries going in, as you suggested between now and 2030
- 26:00because of the NEM 3 point O fight, right?
- 26:03Where basically all net metered systems now need to have
- 26:06batteries. You've got a bunch of electric
- 26:08vehicle manufacturers who are suggesting that they're going to
- 26:11have vehicle to grid technology added to all of their cars.
- 26:14Rivian just announced that, right, Because they want to be
- 26:16able to help you run your house off your car if you know you're
- 26:20an emergency situation. You've got Reem and AO Smith
- 26:23saying that all new water heaters that they ship are going
- 26:25to be smart water heaters, right?
- 26:27You got Carrier coming out saying they've got all these
- 26:29heat pumps now with a battery associated with it.
- 26:33I mean, it's exciting times, right?
- 26:35But one of the things that I find fascinating is that no one
- 26:38seems to be including the the community choice aggregators,
- 26:42right? I mean, how do you find we have
- 26:44all these different people in California, right?
- 26:47And you have the utilities, they're sort of responsible for
- 26:49the wires. That's where the savings are.
- 26:51But you got the community choice aggregators, which are host,
- 26:54they're supposed to be prosumer, right?
- 26:55They're supposed to be the ones who the customer likes, they get
- 26:58their bill from them, etcetera. Yeah.
- 27:01I mean, how do you bring it all together to to get Californians
- 27:05to realize that this is really a revolution that they should be?
- 27:07A part of. Yeah, well, the community, it's
- 27:12a good point. The community choice
- 27:13aggregators, like they're made-up.
- 27:14Their board is all local electeds and that should be
- 27:18their strength, right? They're closer to the ground, so
- 27:22to speak. And I've actually said to my
- 27:23team, you know, every newsletter I send out, I have 100,000
- 27:26people that open my newsletter, you know, anytime that if they
- 27:28have a promotion or an incentive or, you know, a program for
- 27:32people to sign up to, you know, sign up their batteries,
- 27:34whatever it is. Yeah.
- 27:35That we help spread that word too.
- 27:37So yeah, I think it's a good point.
- 27:41We have to remember all this stuff is still kind of
- 27:43relatively new where people hand batteries in their homes at all,
- 27:48let alone batteries that could be then used to help and support
- 27:52the grid and knit together to form critical infrastructure.
- 27:55So you don't want to be too hard on ourselves, right?
- 27:57This is all still, you know, relatively new stuff.
- 28:00But I think, you know, we, we do have that opportunity.
- 28:04This is simplifying the utility bill will also be helpful.
- 28:08It's super confusing right now, you know, for my wife and I,
- 28:11when we try to go through it, we have the climate credit that
- 28:14comes from our cap and invest system.
- 28:17We took some steps this year to both enlarge that and have it go
- 28:21the times of the year when people really need that.
- 28:24So, and hopefully be more prominent.
- 28:26So they actually sort of feel that as well.
- 28:28So I think there's a, a chance here.
- 28:30We've stopped rates, you know, largely from from increasing.
- 28:34And again, you know, kudos to some of the utilities who are
- 28:36doing some good work on that area too.
- 28:38But now we need to start actually lowering rates.
- 28:42And, and then we that's, you know, how, how ultimately that
- 28:46that trust has won. But I think that education piece
- 28:49around this whole new area is really important because it's
- 28:52most people still don't quite grok it just yet.
- 28:56Yeah. And look, I, I think we should
- 28:57look at this positively and I think we should look like, look
- 29:00at like, what does success look like here?
- 29:03I think you know, and we've talked so much in the weeds
- 29:05about everything, but I do want to take a little bit of a step
- 29:08back. You know, you're, you know, one
- 29:10of the things I think you know is makes it easy to work with
- 29:13you is you know, you're, you're you're pro climate, you're
- 29:16you're pro consumer, you're pro technology.
- 29:20All those sort of, I think positions are put you in a good
- 29:24place to help bring down costs for folks.
- 29:27But bringing down costs isn't always just a, a partisan issue.
- 29:31I think there's plenty of Republicans that want to bring
- 29:33down costs. And, you know, while you always
- 29:36stick to your values, like you were always open with working
- 29:40with progressives, moderates, Republicans, if it's in the name
- 29:43of the things you, you believe in and care about.
- 29:46And, and my longer winded question here is it may not
- 29:48matter in California, but like, can we get Republicans to
- 29:52support us on this stuff? Because it's pretty kitchen
- 29:56table. It's pretty common sense.
- 29:58Use more of your grid, bring down costs.
- 30:01Like like where do you think they stand on this?
- 30:03Yeah, I think, I think it got some.
- 30:05I have to go back. I think, you know, certainly we
- 30:08did the western grid. We got Republican votes for
- 30:10that. Certainly we did get Republican
- 30:12votes for, for for 913. So I think, you know, treated in
- 30:16that way as like, hey, this is a way to save people money.
- 30:21I mean, listen, it's a it's a populist issue, right?
- 30:24How you know, figuring out affordability is a populist
- 30:26issue. And you know, if we can say,
- 30:29hey, this is this is right way to do it, then we we can work
- 30:32together with them on it for sure.
- 30:33OK, so if it's 2030 and you know, we now have what, less
- 30:38than five years to 2030, the next four years, right?
- 30:41You know, like what, what would you hope the average customers
- 30:46electricity bill looks like? What's different about how they
- 30:50deal and interact with the grid then how they currently do?
- 30:53Well, this I think fundamentally the success is when you know,
- 30:57people want that EV because they're going to save money.
- 31:01They want that heat pump not only because it's great for the
- 31:04environment, but because it's going to save money.
- 31:07And honestly, really, you know, back to a day when, you know,
- 31:11people aren't even thinking about their utility bill that
- 31:13much, it won't be one of the the top issues on their mind because
- 31:18they'll be both seeing the benefits of all these new
- 31:21technologies, get the air conditioning with their heat
- 31:23pub, all the advantages of it, EV, all the maintenance
- 31:26advantages, all that while also saying, yeah, this is a really
- 31:30good way to save, to save money. So I mean, I think that's the
- 31:35vision. I mean, the great thing, you
- 31:36know, I was really proud to represent our state and our
- 31:39country at the climate change talks in in Belem in Brazil.
- 31:43And, you know, I got to talk about how for, you know,
- 31:47Californians, it's it's, you know, that clean energy's not
- 31:51just a moral but a economic imperative.
- 31:55And we've seen the benefits from conservation.
- 31:57We saw those benefits early on as a state.
- 31:59And we can be a leader in in these ways as well.
- 32:03And you know, what's fun about it, As you said, the
- 32:05technologies are here, a lot of the ideas are here.
- 32:08It just kind of putting it all together now into place.
- 32:11I think we know what we need to do.
- 32:13And I'm just excited. We got some great colleagues.
- 32:16We're at peak wonkiness here at the in the state Senate.
- 32:20We've got a lot of really smart people.
- 32:21My colleague Henry Stern, who I met doing clean tech for Obama
- 32:24years ago, my colleague been out and you know, across the board,
- 32:28our Pro Tem has been a wonderful leader on these issues.
- 32:31So I think we've got the right people.
- 32:33The other thing we just last thing we just hadn't talked
- 32:35about, tell me if you want to talk about is fixing that
- 32:39wildfire liability problems. We said a lot of the things is
- 32:42stuff we stuck into rates. All of our public interest
- 32:44programs are care and fair programs where low income
- 32:47customers get discounts. That's stuck in a rate.
- 32:50So that's a three $4 billion program.
- 32:53And so one of the things that that we didn't mention that nine
- 32:57O 5 does is it creates what we call a power fund and that's
- 33:01really the vehicle to take those costs out of rates and into the
- 33:04general fund. Now we have to wait till there's
- 33:06actually money for the legislature to appropriate it,
- 33:08but we're going to get that structure set up.
- 33:10So if open AI goes public and Throbic goes public, if, if the
- 33:14budgets are really high next year, we can power up that power
- 33:19fund and we can take those things out of rates.
- 33:22Otherwise it's a really regressive way to pay for those
- 33:27programs. They should they benefit the
- 33:28whole state, the wildfire prevention benefits the whole
- 33:30state. We should pay that out of the
- 33:33general fund, not out of rates. And that's, that would be really
- 33:36helpful as well. So if we're if we could do that
- 33:38as well as the pieces we're talking about using the existing
- 33:41grid more effectively, then I really think we can lower rates
- 33:46substantially while keeping our, you know, really world leading
- 33:49progress in in clean energy going.
- 33:52So I'm super excited. I'm very optimistic.
- 33:54I think the the takeaways you would like to make electricity
- 33:59bills boring and cheap again, right?
- 34:01Yeah. I mean, that's it.
- 34:02We, when people like, don't think about it honestly, then,
- 34:05then we've won. Well, you know, I mean, you are
- 34:08going to. Have SpaceX go public this year
- 34:10so maybe they'll fund it. Yeah.
- 34:12I mean, we've lost a couple of those taxpayers, but they're
- 34:15actually 8000. I just heard the other day is
- 34:178000 SpaceX employees in in California.
- 34:22So that'll also be good for our general fund.
- 34:25You know, we're very income tax dependent states, so we could
- 34:28have some good budgets ahead. You know, the other thing for me
- 34:31honestly is that I just, you know, one of the things that I
- 34:35find fascinating is 2025 was the year that, you know, President
- 34:40Trump really politicized clean energy, right?
- 34:43And I think before then it was largely A bipartisan issue,
- 34:47right? It was really deep politicized.
- 34:48I mean, you've got a lot of wind power from North Dakota all the
- 34:51way down to the Texas Panhandle, right?
- 34:53You've got a lot of solar power in Texas and lots of other
- 34:56places. Folks are going solar and rural
- 34:58America now just because, you know, it's a lot cheaper than
- 35:00what they're of getting other things from.
- 35:02So a lot of what I'm looking for out of, you know, your bills,
- 35:06but also all of this momentum around the country is.
- 35:10Really getting people to feel fully empowered by this
- 35:14technology, right? Because I I do feel like a lot
- 35:17of people believe that electric utility bills are a.
- 35:20Tax, right, A tax. It just comes in the mail.
- 35:23They have nothing that they can do to control it whatsoever.
- 35:27And I think. A lot of what we're doing is in
- 35:30we're empowering you, right We actually.
- 35:32Are going to give you the. Keys to be able to control your
- 35:35future, and I think that's going to be an exciting time.
- 35:38Yeah, I mean, listen, we've seen, you know, there was
- 35:39certain initial wave of this and I was there for that.
- 35:41I was a seed investor in O Power basically just, you know, kind
- 35:46of turn the the mark, the utility bill into marketing
- 35:49document for energy efficiency compared people to their
- 35:52neighbors said, hey, here's how much you could save if you're
- 35:54doing just what your most efficient neighbors were doing.
- 35:56And that was great and that, you know that for a while that
- 36:00worked and showed you could lower bills, you know, 2 to 4%
- 36:03just by just by doing that. And then there's another wave of
- 36:07devices where we really try to like, say, Hey, we're going to
- 36:10like empower people to understand, you know, exactly
- 36:12how much their, you know, stove is, is, is using, you know,
- 36:17versus this other appliance and this other appliance.
- 36:19And the reality is it was still too complicated and people just
- 36:21didn't care enough. But now, and we invested
- 36:24billions of smart meters, but they just weren't really that
- 36:26smart ultimately. But now we're seeing that next
- 36:29wave of things where you could just prioritize things in your
- 36:31home. And that way you don't have to
- 36:32spend money on that costly electricity panel upgrade, But
- 36:36there's no need to do it because you could say, Hey, I don't need
- 36:38my car charging and my hot water heater going and my, you know,
- 36:43induction cook top all at the same time, right?
- 36:45I can prioritize those. So you know, there is AAI think
- 36:51this wave will be sort of different than that previous
- 36:54wave. So I think I get the last
- 36:56question here, but I think I don't have to make it a two-part
- 36:59question for you. The the first part, though, I
- 37:03want to I want to click back to to a point that you you talked
- 37:06about your colleagues. I think one of the things that
- 37:08frustrates, I think people with politicians is they feel like
- 37:13their problems aren't being addressed.
- 37:15And I think Jigger and I have worked so closely in the
- 37:18legislature with so many of your colleagues, not just the Senate
- 37:21ones, but Assemblywoman Petrie Norris and Irwin and
- 37:25Assemblywoman Boehner. And there's just so many people
- 37:28who get this problem and they are actually trying to fix it.
- 37:34And in a world where it's easy to be so cynical about
- 37:37politicians, especially with the things you see coming out of
- 37:40Washington, DC, like I, I think like it's just it's nice to know
- 37:44that people are actually trying to make it better.
- 37:47So I applaud you and all your colleagues for that.
- 37:50That's not the question. Of course.
- 37:52The two-part question is, you know, so like what?
- 37:57And we talked about this a little bit, but if we get this,
- 38:02you know, next phase of the energy transition, right?
- 38:05You know, and we, the last phase was getting us to renewables,
- 38:08reducing emissions. Like like what does the next
- 38:11phase of success look like? First of all, I want to
- 38:14acknowledge, you know, even in, in like the, the height of the,
- 38:18the success, the IRA, you would come hang out in California,
- 38:20right? And really get to know the
- 38:21legislatures. And as you said, we've like
- 38:24amazing people, like really terrific wonky people in the
- 38:28depth and in the details working to figure all this out.
- 38:32And you, you've seen that, acknowledge that.
- 38:34And I appreciate, you know, and I think, you know, nationally
- 38:36now folks are focusing on state legislators and I have
- 38:39incredible colleagues in state legislators across state
- 38:42legislators across the country. And that's really where the
- 38:44action is, right? We've got the ability to do
- 38:47this. And so ultimately, you know, we
- 38:49focus on greenhouse gas reductions, right?
- 38:51So when I started, we had 405 million metric tons and we got
- 38:54to get to 0. So that's ultimately my metric.
- 38:57We're down about 385 right now. And, and you know, you know,
- 39:02our, our ambitious plan, you know, the, the scoping plan says
- 39:05we got to get to 75,000,000 metric tons by 2045.
- 39:08And then we need Cdr, which I've also spent a lot of time on
- 39:11carbon dioxide removal to get to the rest.
- 39:13So those are the ultimate metrics, you know, in this
- 39:16space. But I think getting there, you
- 39:18know, when the the first part is electrify everything, right?
- 39:20We've adopted that mantra. We got to electrify everything
- 39:22and we can't electrify everything if rates are really
- 39:24high. So that's where we're focused on
- 39:26lowering the rates, electrify everything while we continue to
- 39:29build out that clean energy generation, you know, work on
- 39:33permitting And I, you know, that's where I'm alive with
- 39:36industry. You know, we have to streamline
- 39:38permitting and sighting and get stuff done faster.
- 39:41You know, we did the largest solar and storage project in the
- 39:45world, the Darden project in under a year with the with the
- 39:49new opt in, you know, 2O5 permitting process that we have.
- 39:52So, you know, we, we have to do all those things.
- 39:55But really let's try everything when we get the renewable and
- 39:57then focus on some of these hard to decarbonize industries.
- 40:00That's why I'm focused on industrial emissions.
- 40:02It's not, you know, the sexiest thing, but we have to find ways
- 40:06those are hard to decarbonize industries.
- 40:08The very first bill I passed in the state legislature, working
- 40:12with Ken Branson, my own old classmate.
- 40:15He met with this men industry and spent a lot of time with
- 40:18them and they said, yeah, we want to do this.
- 40:21And we set a plan. We said passed a bill to for 40%
- 40:25reduction by 20-30 emissions and and 100% by 2045.
- 40:29And at the time is the only piece of the California economy
- 40:32that had a net zero target on it after our bill was passed.
- 40:36And so the way I look at it, my team and Erica, Isabel, we we
- 40:41look and focus on what are the major source of admissions.
- 40:44Of course, transportation is 50%.
- 40:46So we spend a lot of time on this podcast talking about it.
- 40:49But then you know, buildings and the 15%, the grid another 15%,
- 40:53industrial agriculture 7%. So we have to tackle each piece
- 40:58of that. And so I bills in all those
- 40:59areas. Well, the thing that makes me so
- 41:01inspired by what you're doing, Josh, is that you're anchored in
- 41:06the science, but you like a good rock concert like anybody else
- 41:11does. And, and we're in a place right
- 41:13now where we're making this fun, right?
- 41:16Like we really are. Like, I just think when you
- 41:18think about how many entrepreneurs are coming up with
- 41:21cool stuff, they're raising $100 million rounds.
- 41:23They're going to go public this year right there.
- 41:26But they're also changing the face of the electric utility.
- 41:29Right we were. Dead set against any of this
- 41:32stuff you know, just two years ago like everybody was just like
- 41:36Nope, we're going to build new generation, you know, upgrade
- 41:38transmission, upgrade distribution, right Today you
- 41:42got the unions that are fully for distributed generation and
- 41:45recognize that having a two way transactive grid where people
- 41:49basically build micro grids in their house and help their
- 41:52neighbors with those micro grids is the.
- 41:54Future. That's a big.
- 41:55Change in two years and I've talked to legislators around the
- 41:58country and they are inspired by your work and they're inspired
- 42:02by the work that you guys continue to do.
- 42:04And so thank you. Thank you for all the work that
- 42:06you're doing and all the work you're continuing to, you know,
- 42:10push through. Yeah, well, it's fun, you know,
- 42:13but in the past, I worked as, you know, you know, I was doing
- 42:16startups and with my professional life and I do
- 42:19politics, you know, on the side and then, you know, with clean
- 42:21energy. And we did when we started with
- 42:23clean tech for Obama, You realize you can combine those
- 42:25passions, right? We can make the world a better
- 42:27place and also, you know, create the conditions for this industry
- 42:30to rise. And that's been super fun.
- 42:33And, you know, this is a great place to do it.
- 42:35And I just appreciate that You care about California.
- 42:38You know you want you know, you know that California has to work
- 42:40right. I always say like, you know, we.
- 42:43It does. You can't be that, hey, we tried
- 42:45hard and did some good stuff and, you know, but ultimately
- 42:48didn't succeed. But California has to work as a
- 42:50model. And I appreciate your
- 42:52commitment, both of yours. And, you know, organizations
- 42:54like deploy, getting people involved in the process and in
- 42:58state legislatures, that can have a huge impact.
- 43:01And you know, it's fun, as you said.
- 43:04Well, have a fantastic legislative session, my friend.
- 43:07OK. We'll talk to you guys again.
- 43:09Sounds good. Energy Empire is supported by
- 43:17S2G Investments. If you haven't checked out their
- 43:20podcast, I highly recommend it. They have a.
- 43:23Great recent episode on the long term effects of the Iran war and
- 43:27the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
- 43:29In the episode, Sanjeev Krishna and Frank O'Sullivan and Bala
- 43:34Nagarajan make a compelling case that this disruption could be
- 43:38the most powerful accelerant for renewable energy in a
- 43:41generation. And in future episodes, they'll
- 43:44be exploring how those forces are reshaping our food systems
- 43:48and ocean intelligence. Sound interesting?
- 43:50Go find the S2G podcast and start with The global energy
- 43:55order has changed. Now what?
- 44:02Well. That didn't disappoint.
- 44:04Josh Becker always brings it, and it feels like he's got a
- 44:08pretty full agenda. California.
- 44:10Yeah, I mean, someone's got to have a full agenda somewhere,
- 44:13and I'm glad our friend is the one who's carrying the the
- 44:17mantle here. One of the things though, that I
- 44:19found fascinating and we heard about this when we had did our
- 44:22conference in Sacramento, was that, you know, pH and E is
- 44:26really laying it out for people, right?
- 44:28They're saying if you let us build data centers and you do it
- 44:31by, you know, focusing on gradualization, right, then we
- 44:37can get bills down by 20% for everybody because we can spread
- 44:40the cost of wildfires and the cost of the wires that we
- 44:44already paid for. Across a much.
- 44:46Larger set of kilowatt hours. And so I thought that was
- 44:48fascinating. And I'm, you know, like it feels
- 44:51very esoteric and in the weeds. And so I wonder, you know,
- 44:56whether you think, you know, we can really get.
- 44:58The level of mindshare around, you know, pulling that off.
- 45:03Look, we've met with PG&E multiple Times Now and they've
- 45:07they've gone out of their way to sort of tell us what they're
- 45:10doing. And look, I believe them.
- 45:12I believe that they have a pathway to reduce rates.
- 45:16Will they actually do it is what remains to be seen.
- 45:19I believe that they are trying. I think the other thing that
- 45:22I've told them directly, which I'll tell everyone here, is if
- 45:25they go to the legislature and to the state and say, hey, we're
- 45:29already doing this, we're going to try, no one's going to
- 45:32believe them. So they have a technical problem
- 45:35and they have a human problem that they have to deal with.
- 45:38And a lot of. This is going to come down to
- 45:40who wins the primary, I think within the governor's race,
- 45:43right? Because some of those
- 45:44candidates, I think are going to be a lot more aligned, I think
- 45:49with that vision that PG E is putting forward, which frankly,
- 45:51I'm aligned with. I mean, I, I mean, I, I'm not
- 45:54sure that we're going to build 1500 MW data centers in
- 45:58California that require, you know, 800 MW behind the meter
- 46:01natural gas. To get built, but it does.
- 46:04Feel like all of those 3000 megawatts worth of batteries
- 46:08that are registered into the DSGS, you know, program that you
- 46:13know, could be used in a virtual power plant could be used to
- 46:17unlock a bunch of data center capacity.
- 46:19Yeah. I think, look, a lot of this has
- 46:21to be PG&E laying out what their intentions are and the other
- 46:25utilities in California. I think them giving on some
- 46:29things of understanding that the status quo and how we've sort of
- 46:33had this model for years is no longer working and there needs
- 46:37to be a new model which is could be good for everyone.
- 46:40Part of that is this idea that they'll interconnect folks and
- 46:44not serve them every minute of every hour of every day and ask
- 46:48them require them to bring. Their well they don't now.
- 46:50I mean with all the frequent public safety shut offs, I mean
- 46:53folks are out of power for several days a year.
- 46:56Yeah. Well, in this case, it would be
- 46:58upfront understood with these, you know, larger loads.
- 47:01But part of it is them agreeing to change the way that they plan
- 47:05their resources, right? Like what we've been talking
- 47:08about from the beginning is like they need to be like, hey, look
- 47:11like we aren't just planning to, you know, meet demand at all
- 47:15times. We aren't planning to only for
- 47:17reliability. We're planning for reliability
- 47:19and efficiency and that's going to totally change the way his
- 47:22utilities work. And I think what what we've been
- 47:25open to PG&E about is that you guys need to get on board with
- 47:28that. And the same goes with Edison
- 47:30and San Diego Gas and Electric and the other utilities.
- 47:32And that'll be the first step to actually bringing down costs for
- 47:35folks. Well, the one thing I think that
- 47:37is confusing for everybody, which I think we have to keep
- 47:40reminding everybody about, is that California generation costs
- 47:44have never been lower. I mean, the fact that we've
- 47:46built so much solar and wind power has actually reduced the
- 47:50cost of generation in California.
- 47:51I mean, you have negative prices a lot, right?
- 47:54And then we built batteries. And so the duck curve is gone,
- 47:56right? Like it doesn't look like a duck
- 47:58anymore. It looks like it's flattening
- 48:00out, right, with all that battery capacity.
- 48:02And so this really is a wildfire problem, right, which is climate
- 48:05related and a wires problem, right?
- 48:08We got to get a lot more out of the grid that we've already paid
- 48:10for. Yeah.
- 48:11And look, we can do the best we can on the wildfire side, but
- 48:14there's going to be some things that are out of out of our
- 48:16control and we have to manage it better.
- 48:18And I think there's a lot of smart people thinking about that
- 48:21on the wire side. I think that's where we can we
- 48:23can make a lot of progress, right.
- 48:25And I think that's where we need to retool the business model,
- 48:29retool how people plan, retool how, you know, large loads,
- 48:34interconnect. And I think everyone's got to
- 48:37join forces here or I think you're going to see all these
- 48:41people that are upset right now in the state of California want
- 48:44wholesale change. And, you know, maybe that's the
- 48:46way we need to go. We'll see.
- 48:48Well, Arnab, it is always a pleasure to have you on.
- 48:51You always bring a lot of insights to what we're
- 48:53discussing here, so thanks for being available.
- 48:56Thanks for having me. Hello, welcome to Ask Jigger, a
- 49:05weekly segment on Energy Empire where I answer your energy
- 49:08questions. Ask Jigger is supported by our
- 49:10friends at Octopus Energy. If you want to submit a
- 49:13question, the link is in the show notes.
- 49:16All right, let's get into it. Our first question is from our
- 49:19good friend Andy Revkin and he asks when you were running the
- 49:23energy loan program, there was an abundance in federal assets
- 49:26for clean energy and efficiency. You wisely told me that the key
- 49:30need was for a community based energy mavens to connect local
- 49:34decision makers with federal resources.
- 49:36What's your advice to local leaders now?
- 49:38I would say that my advice is the same, right?
- 49:41I mean, I think when you think about how much energy costs have
- 49:44gone up and just how many solutions we have that are right
- 49:48to go, whether it's solar and battery storage or whether it's
- 49:51electric vehicles, whether it's heat pumps or insulation or you
- 49:55know, these days there's next generation technologies for
- 49:58heating, ventilation and air conditioning, right, to really
- 50:00reduce your costs of managing your HVAC units at your work.
- 50:07We have a lot of technologies that have paybacks that are less
- 50:10than four years that just aren't being installed.
- 50:13And when you ask people, they say, well, we've never heard of
- 50:16them. We don't know those companies,
- 50:18right? I mean, and so I talk about a
- 50:19lot of those companies on my LinkedIn or on my podcasts or on
- 50:25Twitter. But I think that we've got to
- 50:26collect that information and we've got to go to City Council
- 50:30meetings. We've got to go to County
- 50:31Council meetings and we've got to go to the school board
- 50:34meetings and say, hey, you know, this stuff is cost effective.
- 50:37How about we figure out how to deploy it at this moment of an
- 50:41energy crisis? The next question is from Joe
- 50:44Murray. And he's a student at Duke
- 50:48University, and he was talking about being at a Goldman
- 50:51recruiting event this past fall and asking a managing director
- 50:56what he thinks about virtual power plants and how it'll
- 50:58influence valuations for utilities.
- 51:01Look, I think that at the end of the day, the virtual power plant
- 51:05grid utilization stuff that I'm working on, other people working
- 51:08on is not going to reduce utility stock prices.
- 51:12I think what it'll do is to get them to stop overspending on
- 51:16infrastructure that is underutilized.
- 51:19And so today, we're faced with 9% rate increases for as far as
- 51:23the eye can see. Whereas if they deploy virtual
- 51:27power plants, if they deploy grid enhancing technologies,
- 51:30advanced conductors, lots of stuff that's lower cost, then
- 51:34you could imagine using the grid that we've already paid for more
- 51:38efficiently and keeping rates flat, right?
- 51:41And then if you then add data center load growth, then you
- 51:45might actually be able to reduce the utility bills by 10%, right?
- 51:48So I think that this is not a bad thing for utilities as much
- 51:53as it's a culture change. And they're used to doing things
- 51:56the old, most expensive way. And we got to get them to do
- 51:59things in a way that's smarter for their ratepayers and their
- 52:03governors, frankly, many of whom are running for election right
- 52:06now. The next one is from Rod Adams.
- 52:10He asks, please explain why nuclear energy supporters should
- 52:14love cheap battery storage. And the answer is because it's
- 52:19not about nuclear and it's not about solar and it's not about
- 52:22wind. It's not about natural gas or
- 52:24coal or hydro. It's about the grid.
- 52:27The grid is the greatest engineering accomplishment of
- 52:32the 20th century, not any of those one technologies.
- 52:36And battery storage actually allows you to manage the grid
- 52:41better. So we have the largest commodity
- 52:43supply chain in the world that doesn't feature storage in the
- 52:47electric utility system. What do you think about our food
- 52:50system? Or We're all learning about
- 52:52storage with the Straits of Hormuz challenge in fuels or
- 52:55whether we talk about other commodity supply chains, we
- 52:59feature storage. But in the grid, we don't really
- 53:03feature storage except for some, you know, like pumped hydro.
- 53:06And so now I think we're adding storage.
- 53:08And the storage helps nuclear, it helps solar, it helps wind,
- 53:12it helps natural gas, it helps everything run better.
- 53:15And higher grid utilization is how we get to lower electricity
- 53:19bills for everybody. Our last question is from Karma
- 53:22Dispensary from the energy subreddit on Reddit.
- 53:27And he says or she says, I live in Northern California and the
- 53:33utilities feel less reliable every year after buying a place.
- 53:36We're in the process of getting enough solar and batteries to be
- 53:40entirely self-sufficient. I know there are many benefits
- 53:43to distributed grids. I can't shake the impression
- 53:46that if everyone makes this decision, grids will be much
- 53:49worse off. Fewer users to spread capital
- 53:53investments over. Is mass disconnect something you
- 53:56think about much and if it is a significant threat to the grid?
- 54:01Look, I think mass affection is a.
- 54:04Significant threat to the grid. As is not metering 2 point O as
- 54:09you get to 10% of all the homes in California having solar on
- 54:13them. But now we have NEM 3 point O.
- 54:15NEM 3 point O features a much higher fixed cost and it also
- 54:20features that you don't really get paid much to export power
- 54:24back into the grid. So you're really running your
- 54:26home more like a micro grid where you basically take it off
- 54:30grid, right? That's awesome because remember
- 54:34we are going to have to electrify everything.
- 54:36So right now the United States, our primary energy is roughly
- 54:4025% electricity, 75% non electricity.
- 54:44China is at 35% electricity, 65% non electricity.
- 54:50So we should be able to meet what China has done if we went
- 54:53from 25% electricity to 35% electricity, right?
- 54:56That means a lot more electric vehicles.
- 54:58It means a lot more heat pumps, it means maybe induction stoves.
- 55:02All of that is increased demand on the circuit that your home is
- 55:06on. And the question becomes how do
- 55:08we get the utility to use the battery that you're going to
- 55:12install as part of the grid? And that's a lot of the work
- 55:15that we've been doing in. California through a nonprofit I
- 55:18support Condeploy Action. But it's also a lot of the
- 55:22arguments that we're having across the country.
- 55:24So when you think about data center load growth, when you
- 55:27think about all these other things, figuring out how to do
- 55:30virtual power plants with your battery is how we actually get
- 55:34to electrify more of the grid, more of our primary energy while
- 55:39reducing electricity costs for everybody.
- 55:42So. Everybody should be.
- 55:44Thanking you for putting solar and battery storage in and when
- 55:47the utility finally offers you a virtual power plant, you should
- 55:51opt in and get the discount that they.
- 55:53Offer you for doing that that's it for this week's ask Jigar
- 55:58thanks to our great friends at octopus energy for supporting
- 56:01this segment if you've. Got a question you want me to
- 56:04answer? Send it in.
- 56:06The link is in the show notes. As usual, we want to thank our
- 56:14podcast sponsors. We really just couldn't do it
- 56:17without him and really want to thank Simon who is sitting there
- 56:21behind the scenes just making us all sound good by selectively
- 56:24editing out all the dumb things that I say.
- 56:27And you can find us anywhere you listen to podcasts.
- 56:30So, you know, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, you know,
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- 56:39And folks have been emailing us. Like crazy, which is great.
- 56:41You can get to our e-mail address through our energy
- 56:45Empire dot FM website. Super easy and we're actually
- 56:48pretty responsive surprisingly to me.
- 56:50But really want to thank everybody for being here.