Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 310 | December 5, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - UFC 310 | December 5, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Fall System Stone were clear, were lifting. What's going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Everybody happy Thursday afternoon, Friday afternoon, Saturday morning. Whenever you
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: are tuning in UFC three ten, six pm Eastern Man,
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: Big Marley, we're sharing the stone like we always do
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: over here at Chipping Nation. Right away when I look
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: at fourteen fights, absolutely money right there. Two five rounders
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: as well, Shop Cat e Gary Pantosia and gonna be
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: such a great card. Very excited, real life DFS. I'm
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: all in on it, super super fun, t mobile the
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: last pay per view of the year, Sean Sali, They
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: may be what is going on, Big Marley? How's your
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: week going? Thoughts on this UFC three ten card we
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: got this weekend?
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: Good? Yeah, got a solid game tonight, so definitely can't
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: complain about that one. Looking forward to watching it after
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: we end the podcast. Hopefully I'll have a sweat going. Yeah.
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: I think this is a I mean, it's definitely not
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: my favorite pay per view, Like, I'm not pumped to
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: spend eighty dollars on these fights, I don't think, But
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: I do think it's an interesting DFS card and as
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: long as my lineups are live, then let's throw down.
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: That eighty bucks type thing. But there there's two that
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: everyone's gonna target, the two five round fights, and then
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: after that, it's kind of sprinkled all around, in my opinion.
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: So I'm looking forward to talking with you, although I've
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: already looked at your sheet and I think we're like
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: eye to eye already. So hopefully it's gonna that's a
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: good thing, and hopefully it's a good weekend for us.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: And I always love being I'd eye with you for sure.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: I love the hoodie, the UFC hoodie, and shout out
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: to you. Hopefully you will have a sweat. You've had
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: a lot of sweats this year in Showdown coming with
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: the third Nuts, it was solo solo that you last time.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're right there.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: You'll never complain about eleven thousand dollars the awesome.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Stuff, big Marlin.
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll take it right on.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Absolutely.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: What's going on? Rio, another guy very familiar with winning
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: a Boatlow to cheese. Good luck this weekend, Rio, NBA
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Street still one Showdown game left and on many watching
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: on playback.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: But do have Showdown content.
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: NBA Monday through Saturday, NBA Showdown right there, NFL is
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: going college football is going no better team NHL.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: Shut up, big nads. Of course, MMA is going on
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: no better.
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: You just went on mute? What he did?
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I just I hear you, now, okay, was I on
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: you for a little bit? Or I just was on mute?
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: It just went on me. It sounds different now though,
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: so something may have came undwe but I hear you though.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Oh gosh, I don't know. It says my microphone's good.
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: Actually, now I hear you better, so I think you're good.
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: You just what I'm eating again? Well yeah, oh gosh, Now.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I just stop. Hold on, We're gonna get there.
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: Sorry for the technical difficulties.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: All right, hopefully it's good. I just cannot move that.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: What I was saying is, though all these four shoutout
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: aids in NHL College Football team the best NFL going on.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: We do have a promo. This will be going away
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: pretty soon. Tambill mentioned it is Black Friday weekend. It
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: can't or last Friday. So this is up a little
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: too long. So I do not know when Tamba's taking
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: it down, but try it is working right now. B
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: F fifty does get you fifty percent off if you
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: want shift Demizer it's NEXTRA thirty dollars, so you get
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: ninety nine dollars if you want the NFL Season one
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: twenty nine with ship Demizer are all access monthly with
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: ship Demizer ninety nine dollars.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: Cut that in.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: Half, forty nine to fifty with DF fifty sixty nine
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: dollars a month, but no optimizer cuts it down to
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: thirty four fifty. No better deal out there. Again, I
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: don't know when this is gonna be pulled away. So
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: if you want to give us a try over at
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: ship in Nation B F fifty is the code, definitely
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: do get in the discord as well, where you will.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: See Sewn Nate be Hebrew. What's going on? IOH, hope
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: everything's going well.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: Let's talk some fights Big Marley again, any I guess
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: you kind of said yours and I agree, Like it's
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: gonna be the two five round fights that are getting ownership.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Pantosa's shop cut will be the highest owned. You see,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: there is a good amount of big favorites on this card,
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: but we do have a couple of closely lined fights too.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: Again fourteen of them. I'm not fights decking. I don't
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: love the dogs, but with fourteen fights that do expect
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: some to come through, got to probably eat some chalk
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: in MMA dfs. But like, I know, I won't be
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: jamming both these fights. Are making a rule that both
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: of them in all teams. Any initial thoughts though before
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: we go fight by fight.
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I was wondering your thoughts on that. I'm not
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: against jamming both of them, to be honest with you,
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: but I like the main event more, and I do
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: I might make a rule for that one. I just
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: have a hard time seeing that main event not on
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: the optimal lineup at those prices. But at the other end,
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: I think the Rockmanov side, it's usually aggressive enough to
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: pay off a ninety two hundred dollars in a win,
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: so that makes me want to be all in. And
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: then Gary is cheap, so he's the one I would
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: worry about. But in a five round fight, I don't know.
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: I might, I might make a rule. I don't know.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm gonna make a rule. We'll get to it.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: But I am making role Pantosia fight, Like, I just
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: think the pace will be so high it feels hard
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: at those prices. It doesn't get there if the shop
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: cut Gary fights on the feet enough and the upper
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: range is so loaded, one oh five might not be enough.
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: Like if he goes those wrestling early and often again,
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: we'll get to it, but I won't be making a
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: rule for that one. I don't mind at all if
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: you do. I think there's enough ways to get different.
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: But just playing one of those fights and fading the
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: other is a way to get different.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: For sure.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: With fourteen fights figures crossed, everyone makes weight. It is
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: easier that some three run fight does outscore them. Let's
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: get into it, though, Big Marley plenty to talk about
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: first fight of the night, Kennedy or Nijeku taking on Lucasbreski. Again,
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: I always pointed out for the stone. I put all
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: these odds in on Tuesday, and then I updated tomorrow.
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: But I like to compare what the odds were on Tuesday,
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: what I read off right now to see where line
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: movement went. So Kennedy now minus five hundred, so Bresky's
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: gotten some line movement Resky plus three seventy five. On
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: the other side, minus two sixty for this fight to finish,
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: Kennedy minus two fifteen, Bresky plus eight hundred. Easy for
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: me to start Bresky fade and twenty and below. No
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: winterest Kennedy second highest price fighter on or third highest
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: excuse me, price fighter on the card.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: I definitely like him more than Bryce Mitchell.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: He has the best inside the distance prop on the
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: slate with Hooper best run one prop.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: His ownership has to be in tech or.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: In check to an extent because of Pantosia Shopcut and
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: then Chase Hooper. If people are going all the way up,
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: he's plus what one sixty five last I checked in
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: round one? Yeah, plus one sixty five in round one,
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: Big boys Bresky stings. I'm gonna play some Kennedy. If
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: I had twenty percent, I'd be fine with it. If
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: I had forty five percent, I'd be fine with it.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: I do prefer Hooper in a vacuum, Pantosia in a vacuum,
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: shop Cott in a vacuum. However, Hooper three hundred more.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: That is a lot, and you can drop the three
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: hundred and get different that way. Pantosia shop Cut are cheaper,
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: obviously with more ownership. But I'll play some Kennedy. No
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Lucas and pretty easy for me.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: How do you see it?
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah? Very similar definitely on the Kennedy side. I don't
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: really have any interest in Lucas with one hundred and fifty.
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: I'm not going to x them out, though I'd be
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: fine with ten percent or so on bret Ski, just
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: because they're they're heavyweights. It only takes one big shot
• 7:52
  Speaker 3: for these guys. He's a plus eight hundred to win
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: inside the distance. That's about an eleven percent chance, So
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: I'm fine with that, or like five to eleven percent,
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: something around those odds. But if I'm just making ten
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: lineups handbuilt, yeah, I'm staying away from Bretzki, and it's
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: it's in Joku our pass, in check will our pass.
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: But I think this is a fight where just and
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: Check was better everywhere. I don't look for him to
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna go out there and look
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: for takedowns in this fight. But he could if he
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: wanted to, and he could have a lot of success
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: and score well in the decision if that were the case.
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: But he is primarily a striker, so I don't expect
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: that he could come with high volume and then get
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: a first round, you know, a late first round knockout.
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: One hundred and twenty points be on the optimal that way.
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: So I definitely want him. And you said, what twenty
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: five to forty percent, you don't really care anywhere from there? Yeah,
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: I don't mind that range. I'd probably say for me,
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: I'm probably giving like thirty five to fifty five percent.
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: I'll up at like ten percent. But it kind of
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: just depends on how which I can fit with him
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: and Hooper. I don't really know. I haven't built one
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: hundred and fifty lineup shit, but I just imagine I
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: want to be I want to try to be above
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: the field on Kennedy, so I would probably need closer
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: to thirty five or more to do that.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: The thing is, it's just like, because I know I
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: love Pantosia, like I might want eighty percent of him.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: I know I love Shofcut, I do prefer Hooper in
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: a vacuum at the end of the day, and like,
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: I don't like Hooper Kennedy teams because I want at
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: least one of the main events.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: For the most part save a little that way.
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: So I just at the end of the day, I
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: don't know how many I'm going to be able to
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: get to and chalk your teams I'll lean more Kennedy.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe i'd find saving the three hundred, but yeah, like
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: I don't think he has the wrestling upside like a
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: Chase Hooper or some of these guys do. Mos Bar Evilov.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: We'll get to that fight, I think, which is interesting.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: But I do expect the nine k range to definitely score.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: But no doubt Kennedy one of the biggest favorites, one
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: of the best inside the distance props, good card taking
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: on a very bad heavyweights.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Let's keep it roll. I love all these back to back.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: The biggest favorite, highest price fighter on the card, Chase
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: Hooper minus twelve hundred taken on Clay Gueda plus seven
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: fifty minus two hundred for this fight to finish, Hooper
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: minus two to fifteen inside the distance Clay Guida six
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: plus sixteen hundred Hooper in round one plus one eighty
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: looking at the stone, first thing that stands out to me,
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: I guess right here, thirty eight and twenty one record
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: for Guida, that's insanity. Hooper fourteen and three forty two
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: years old for Clay Gueda twenty five for Chase Hooper
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: six ' one. Chase Hooper is five to seven Guida
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: and then's four inch reach advantage for Hooper. I mean,
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: every single thing on the tail of the tape leads me,
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: excuse me to believe Chase Hooper is gonna go out
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: and mall this old man.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm picking.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Hooper knocking down Slava Clause keeps growing into his body
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: only twenty five years old. S's gonna be a problem man.
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it's Hooper easily. And do you have any
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: hot takes?
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: I guess yeah, Hooper are passed for me. I mean
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: Gwed is gonna be forty three years old like next
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: week or something like that. This is just a setup
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: fight for Hooper to win. Like Gueda is not a
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: guy who's gonna go out there with a ton of
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: power and knock him out. Usually you want Gueda to
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: go out there and mix in takedowns and just show
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: his cardio off, and that's how he's gonna win fights.
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: But not in this matchup. If you're gonna go out
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: there and get takedowns against you, you're in trouble. Probably
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: these guys actually grappled what he I don't know, within
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: the last year or so, I think, And uh, Hooper
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: submitted him with a calf slicer in round one. Calf
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: slices are nasty. I think he can submit him multiple ways,
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: and that's what I expect to see first second round submission.
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: I don't think Hooper's a guy like an Fluev who
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: can go out there and get ten takedowns in this fight.
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: But he can get one takedown, land thirty strikes, and
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: then get a submission at the end of the first round.
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: So I definitely like Hooper. I just I hate eighty
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: seven hundred dollars. I don't know how much I'll be
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: able to afford of him, so I almost think going
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: down to Kennedy saving that three hundred dollars just might
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: make the rest of my lineup look better. So maybe
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: I end up with more Kennedy than Chase, but I
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: don't know. I just like them both. I expect them
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: both to win. I would be pretty shocked to see
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: Hooper lose, but like if Kennedy got cracked and knocked out,
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: it wouldn't be the most surprising thing I'd ever seen.
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: So I do prefer Lucas to Guida on that side,
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: but I really don't have a big preference on the
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: Hooper verse Kennedy.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: That makes sense, I definitely prefer Bresky over Gwedev. Having
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: to pick too, I do prefer Hooper to Kennedy slightly,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: but because the three hundred savings, I'm with you, it's
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: not too strong of a lee and I'm not playing Gweedo.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: I probably wouldn't play Ueda in three thousand teams. Bresky
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: I'd get a little bit. I don't really have any
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: more to add. We're talking two of the biggest favorites
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: to start fourteen fights.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: I'll take a shot on these other dogs.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Guida and Breski will be two of the lowest owned
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: on the card, So if you want to take that route.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: But with fourteen fights, ownership more spread out, more combinations,
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: you don't have to get as as crazy I'd like.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: I'd rather fade the shot Ka Gary fight than i
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: would play Guidabreski.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Is how I'm going about it. What's going on?
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: Ross, Always appreciate your support. Yeah, last pay per view
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: and then one other card on the year. Then we
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: get a nice little one month break, but this one
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: should be a good one for sure.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: This weekend. To keep it rolling, Bag Marley next.
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: Fight on the card Max Griffin taking on Michael Kissa.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: So we see right here on the stone Griffin eighty
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: three hundred, Cases seventy nine hundred and the odds minus
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: one twenty two Griffin one oh two Case.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Well that's switch that was on Tuesday.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: Now we're sitting Case is the favorite and minus one
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: fourteen is the cheaper fighter. Griffin minus one oh six
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: inside the distance props very close, Griffin plus two eighty
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: five Kiyosa plus two ninety five right away what stands
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: out to me volume not great on either side, but
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: Michael Keisa three point three five takedowns per fifteen minutes.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Griffin over won himself, but we get a primary wrestler
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: in Kisa as the cheaper fighter who is now the favorite.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: And you see it right here for Big Marley. He
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: thinks he's indifferent to this fight, and I totally agree.
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: But Keisa is your preferred side. I see it the
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: exact same way, Kase of my preferred side. I don't
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: love I don't love Griffin much like it feels like
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: him winning a striking decision is his most likely path
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: and that's not going to score on this card, especially
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: in the mid tier we'll get to like Cody Dirta,
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: Joshua Van I think that's a banger Land word CHOI,
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: that's a banger.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: You gotta score in this range. So Kyasa are passed?
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Really for me? How do you see it?
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: Yeah, basically the same. I do want a good amount
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: of chase So he's one of my favorite underdogs on
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: the card because if Chase A wins, he's gonna put
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: up a good scores. It has to come on the ground.
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: He has no striking, so it's gonna have to be
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: multiple takedowns and lots of top control time and he
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: can score well in the decision. But I think he's
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: almost more likely for a couple of takedowns lots of
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: top control. Max eventually gives up his back CHESSA takes
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: rear naked choke. So that's how I have it going down.
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: CHESSA by submission. I want a good amount of it.
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: I probably get forty maybe more CHESSA in my lineups,
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: and then I use Griffin as more of a hedge.
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: I don't like Griffin very much in this matchup. I
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: think a knockout is his only chance to the optimal lineup.
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: There's no way he's just gonna be a three round
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: striking match, like he would dominate in that. But that's
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: just not a chance to fight. Chess is gonna be
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: going for takedowns. So there's gonna be time where Griffin's
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: spending time stuffing takedowns or on his back trying to
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: get up to his feet, where he's not scoring. And
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be the hardest for him to win the
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: first round when Chessa's fresh. So he drops the first
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: round and say he's taking that right away, loses that
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: at best in the second round. He wins that with
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: the second round knockout. I don't know if that's enough
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: at that point, So I'll keep him in the player pool.
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: But it's just a hedge to having lots of CHESSA.
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: If I had to make a number right now, give
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: me forty percent Chesa, like eight percent Griffin something like.
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: That for me in twenty and below, I might have.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: I'll probably max Griffin at ten percent, And yeah, I
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: like yasa good. Bit Like if I had twenty, i'd
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: be fine. I fight thirty, I'd be fine. Thirty five,
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: I think i'd be fine. Maybe that's the max I
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: want to do again. There's good fights in the mid
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: tier and fourteen of them. But you like your case
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: a lot as well, and the price the line movements,
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: what do you think. Let's see what ownership we have
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: right now twenty three that seems fair unless like this
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: line gets like minus one four is if it hovers
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: are on pickum. I think there's enough options in that range.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: It's still not gonna be crazy owned. So I like,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: yes stuff for sure. Don't love the Griffin side even
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: with leverage.
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and I'd say if his line goes up, ownership
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: will go up along with it.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Yep. Absolutely, just keep it rolling. Again.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: Appreciate every single one watch and most watch on playback.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: We asked from you to take two seconds of your day.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Hit that thumbs up. If you're on the phone, just
• 17:25
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• 17:28
  Speaker 2: Subscribe button also helps us out a ton nine thousand
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: members or subscribers we just got on YouTube. Awesome, awesome stuff.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: We appreciate every single one of you. Good to see
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: you as well. A Dwayne, Hope everything's going well with you,
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: my man.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: Keep it going.
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the car, this one should be some fun.
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Joshua Van taking on Cody Durden minus one fifty. Van
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: plus one thirty is Durden minus one thirty five for
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish Dan plus one forty inside the
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: distance Dirtin plus three fifty Looking at the stone, this
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: is the fight that stands up mo and why dark
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: green for Van in terms of volume eight point three
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: nine significant strikes per minute, pretty dark green for dirten
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: in terms of takedowns four point three to six takedowns
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: per fifteen minutes. Another thing that stands out Van eleven
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: years younger, dirt in two inches in height and reach advantage.
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: I see it striker Van wrestler Durdin. The fight is
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: expected to finish Price in the mid tier. I'm in
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: on this fight, man. I like them both. I think
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: Dirt is my preferred side of having to pick because
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: of the savings and when he wins, there's a lot
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: of takedowns and a lot of upside. But if I
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: had more Van than Dirt at the end of the day,
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: I'd be fine with that as well. I do think
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Van will be lower owned, and yeah, we have the
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: same thing pretty close, but I do think you'll be
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: a little lower owned due to the price.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I love the fight talk about it.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with what you said. I think it's
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: gonna be one of the highest pace fights on the card,
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: so I like both sides of it. If Dirden wins,
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: come with multiple takedowns, I would guess, you know, six
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: plus takedowns over the course of three rounds. Uh. And
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: then if Van wins, he can he can land one
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: hundred and fifty plus strikes in this fight too. Uh.
• 19:13
  Speaker 3: I do trust Van's cardio more in this fight, so
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: I leaned with him as my pick. I love his
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: box and I just think he's gonna pick apart Durden
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: if Dirdon can't get takedowns. But I could just see
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: it going either way, and I would probably rather side
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: with Dirdin at cost as well. Like that eight hundred
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: dollars probably goes a long way on this card, so
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: I probably side with him too. But yeah, I'm fine
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: with either one of them. Give me thirty percent Van
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: forty Dirt, I don't. I'm fine with any anywhere from
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: like a twenty five to forty five percent on either side.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: I'd say absolutely you and I see it, Lockstep. I
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: want to be overweight on this fight, and I do
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: hope our ownership stays true is total cumulative ownership on
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: this fight. I think it's just too under op At
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: the end of the day, clear pass on both sides.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: Let's keep it going. Next fight. We talked about this one.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: What three weeks ago we got the shout out to
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: my man Siggy. He wants is that he appreciates the shoutouts.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: But the Eric Anders Wiman fight maybe help Big Marley.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: We don't know for sure, but Big Marley did ship
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: the Q in that card four minutes before lock I
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: was able to take the discord. My donkey as couldn't
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: get in the swaps, but some.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Were able to.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we get the fight this week, Eric Anders taking
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: on it Chris Widman. I will say right away, though
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: this fight is at a catch weight of one ninety five,
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: they will not make them cut weights again to middleweight,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: so that's the only difference. Line Pretty similar to where
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: it was closing the last time. Widman a very small
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: favorite depending where you look minus one twelve minus one
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: to weight. I'm bet online plus one sixty for this
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: fight to finish. Anders plus two ninety Wideman plus three
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: eighty five. I already didn't like this fight on the
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: last card. But the last card, like we need, did
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: some value, so I cided winman side because the wrestling
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: and price. The price did close a little bit. I
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: believe it was eighty four hundred seventy eight hundred last time.
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: Now you see it's eighty two hundred and eight thousand
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: more fights on the card, so I think we need
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: more upside. I like this fight even less than I
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: did on that last card, but I will still be
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: playing some widman, I think mainly because three point four
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: or four takedowns per fifteen canny wrestle three takedowns seven
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: minutes of control time.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know you'd tell b Big Marley, but I
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: don't like this fight.
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: I know you liked Anders a bit on the last card,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: so yeah, you still have the same feelings.
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah. I really didn't care for this fight last time,
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: but I ended up with a little bit more of
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: it than I thought I would until I got that
• 21:46
  Speaker 3: message from you in discord, and then I just ran
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: to the office real quick global swapped. But yeah, I'd
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: agree on this card. I like it less. I just
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: like other underdogs more. I like their favorites more. I
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: was on Anders in the last one I'm still just
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: gonna stay on Anders because I think Widman is more
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: washed uh and I also think Wideman's more likely to
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: get knocked out, So give me Andrews with the higher
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: ceiling with the first round knockout. But I agree Wideman
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: could go out there and wrestle, So I'm fine with
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: either side of this fight. I prefer Anders. If that
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: extra two hundred dollars makes me go from hating my
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: lineup to liking it, then I'm cool going to Wideman.
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: But overall, this is a fight I'm looking to get
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: away from. But give me Anders to win by knockout
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: or a kind of a boring decision.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't love this fight much.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: I'll have probably a little more Wideman because of wrestling,
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: so I guess we differ a little bit. But Andrews
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: does have a knockout offside, like Widman after the leg injury,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: getting up there in age like he could definitely get
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: knocked out. I hope, I hope not, though I do
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: not want this fight to be optimal more than likely,
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: but it will be low long, so you do have
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: that going for you if you want to that keep herrowing.
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: Big Marley still plenty of fights to talk about. Great
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: work as always. Next fight an interesting one. Brian Battle
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: minus two twenty taking on Randy Brown plus one eighty
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: five excuse me, minus.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: One sixty for this fight to finish.
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: Battle plus one ten inside a distance Randy Brown plus
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: three seventy five. I was a little surprised at first
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: glance looking at the odds I always do on Monday,
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: usually just a first thought, I was like, man, they
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: are really giving a lot of respect to Battle off,
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: I mean against Randy Brown at UFC VET, who has
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: definitely fought better competition, big for the division. But the
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: more you look into it, like I get it, Battle's good, man.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: He has really impressed me. The durability, the chin on
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: this guy, and he just has like freaky power like
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: when he touches people, they definitely feel it. And I
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: think he has the outs to wrestling if he wants
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: to take that approach. So I mean minus two twenty
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: steep like no way. We loved Alberg and I said,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: like I would bet him at minus two twenty parlay piece.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: It was a boring fight.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: It got like I don't see that at all with
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: Battle at minus two twenty. But dfs wise what's interesting.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: He's right by Pantosia. Pantosia one hunder more evil of
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: two hunder more shot caught a couple hundred more. He
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: has to his ownership has to be in check. And
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: you look at this fight minus whereas its minus one
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: sixty to finish plus one time inside the distance for
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: battle battle my preferred side. I'm fine with Brown if
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: he wins a seventy two point decision and that's somehow enough,
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: but I still prefer Battle while being twelve hundred more
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: as my preferred play in this fight due to upside.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: How do you see it?
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, that's a great breakdown. I think this
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: is an awesome fight. It should be a fun one.
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: And uh yeah, the the line kind of looks a
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: little bit wide, but it's hard to disagree with it
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: based on how good Battle looked in his last fight.
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: But every single time he fights, he looks better than
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: he did the last time. But man, he just looked
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: so good in that in that last fight, where like
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: the pressure was the volume was there, the power was there,
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: he was shooting for takedowns, he was the one control
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: in the fight. Like he just looked he looked amazing
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: it looked like a title contender in that fight. So
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna pick Battle in this one. He's my
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: preferred play. I don't really love Brown, but it's a
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: seventy five hundred dollars. If he wins, he has a
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: chance to put up a decent score, so I'll keep
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: him in the player pool. I like other guys more
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: so i'd probably probably I see me maybe ten to
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: fifteen percent Brown, something like that, but I'd be fine
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: getting fifteen to thirty five Battle. I like him and
• 25:35
  Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to this fight.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, And like we haven't projected again, I don't like
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: saying all the ownerships. That's a big piece of our
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: product over here. I'm in a big ownership game, MMA projections.
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: You can see our projections and ownership always all our
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: content posted on Friday.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: But I will say eighteen.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: Percent we have for Battle one hundred more Pantosia fifty
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: one percent clear.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Leverage right there. And again you don't just gotta go
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: one for one, et cetera.
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: But it shows in that pricing range he's definitely gonna
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: be lower owned and a pivot with a solid inside
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: the distance prop a plus one ten I'm really interested
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: to get your take on this one, big Marley for
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: a multitude of reasons, real life, how the fight plays
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: out DFS, this one should be some I don't know
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: if I hesitate.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: It should be fun for people.
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: I love just watching peer grappling, MMA, scrambles, et cetera.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Like Eve Love, all he does is go to decisions.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: So fun, like people want to see people die. This
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: isn't the fight really to see. But yeah, I mean,
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: very very talented. Evla minus two twenty five taking to
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: al Jamain Sterling plus one ninety the most likely fight
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: to go to the distance on the card minus three
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: twenty five, so it's plus two to fifty to finish
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: Evila plus three fifty inside the distance Sterling plus six
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: twenty five. I mean, man, the one thing I had
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: was all of all eight fights of eve Love in
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: the UFC, all of them have gone to decision. He's
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: still averages one hundred and three DK points in his wins.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: That is absolutely crazy. Four of them scored less than
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: one hundred, four scored one ten plus, and three of
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: those four scored over one hundred and twenty. Does he
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: have that one hundred and ten plus upside in this one.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: Do you think Big Marley can Aljo get back up
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: and then just keep getting dumped. When he is taken down,
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: can Aljo get a backpack and secure a whole round.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: It's a good one. How do you see it?
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I don't know, man, This is a tough one.
• 27:31
  Speaker 3: Evuev could be a future champion. He's got a great wrestling.
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: He can land, you know, ten takedowns in a fight.
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: He's got the striking. Two I don't think he's like
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: championship caliber striking, but he's definitely Sterling Sterling level. I
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: would say at this weight class, he can hang in there.
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: I don't really know who wins the striking between these guys,
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: to be honest with you, So it's close there. Evloev
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: probably the better rest, but Sterling is just nasty on
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: the mast. Sterling could be the more dangerous grappler, and
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: I think he's live to get takedowns of his own.
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: If he gets takedowns, ken ev Loev do anything about it.
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: I have no idea what's going to happen in this one,
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: so I just threw three on both sides. I like
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: the fight, though, so I put it as a four star,
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: but this is a closer to a three star than
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: it is a five star for me, just because I
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: have no idea, and maybe the grappling cancels out and
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: we do see more of the striking than we would
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: want to see for DFS purposes. If that's the case,
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: I don't think either one of these guys is making
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: the optimal lineup. But at these prices, Sterling is my
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: preferred play. I'm gonna pick him to win because the
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: odds talked me into it, but I'll have a good
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: amount of both sides. I might have thirty percent of
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: both sides.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: I'm we are a little different, like I'm picking Evel Love.
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: He is my preferred play. I do think he probably
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: is the future champion. I do think he is the
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: better striker than Sterling, and because of all that, I
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: agree with you I was. I don't know if I
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: would have it a three or four star either, like
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: the Evil Upside, because he can get one ten plus
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: and a decision is so strong that way. But again,
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: he's priced between Pantosia and Chofcott. There's Hooper up there,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: there's Kennedy up there. He's taken on a very good
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: wrestler grappler himself. Aljo always has that five minute backpack
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: as our man, saying right here Dwayne, like he got
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: Priordy on with it.
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: One.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: He got him early. I think like.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: Thirty five seconds in he took the back. Jan couldn't
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: go anywhere as good as I think Evil it is,
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: I'm not. I don't think he really gets out of
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: Aljo's backpack. And then if that's the case, ten minutes
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: for Evil to get a ceiling, probably not there. So
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: I think I'd probably rather be with the fielder underweight
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: than take an overweight stand. But I do like evilov
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: is my preferred place, so maybe I just go close
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: to him with the field than a little underweight al Jo.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: But I mean, I don't even really know what the
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: Field's gonna do. Like this was the fight I was
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: most one of the fights I was most interested in
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: your ownership for because most likely to go the distance.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Evila very boring but both wrestling and obviously we know
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: what that does on DraftKings. So yeah, very very fun,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: interesting fight. I'm excited for this one. I'm with I'm
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: on the Evil up side. Though you prefer sterling slightly,
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: it sounds like, but not the very hot take.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: That's why you put them both.
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Ivlov is the guy with the higher ceiling by
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: a long shot. But Sterling is just one of those
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: live dogs who I would say, if Sterling wins, and
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: if Randy Brown wins like Sterling for two hundred less,
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: he probably scores more.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. I would. I would agree
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: with that for sure.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: The wrestling upside and on DraftKings Control timing Center is
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: just outweighs striking for sure.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Let's keep it going.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: We are about halfway through the cart a very interesting
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: one right here. Them mcgrimbo is taking on Vicente. Luke
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty plus one thirty is Vicente plus one
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: hundred for this fight. To finish the dog in Luk,
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: the better inside the distance profit plus one ninety THEMBA
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: plus three seventy five, I mean one thousand dollars difference
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: for the better inside the distance prop by a good amount.
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: I see U have four star for Luk, two for Grimbo.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: Give me the Luk side as well, and you want
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: to get real real hot or specific take, How's it
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: not Luk by dars? How's it not like the Michael
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: kiesa fight panic takedown or just him wanting to shoot
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: a little sloppy. This subprop for Luk open plus six
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: fifty now plus three fifty. Grimbo's probably gonna wrestle. Luk
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: loves to snatch up that neck. Grimbo's been sub twice. Yeah,
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm going right for it. Man, give me
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: the dog, give me the exact way that he does it.
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: If Beba wrestles, I think Luk can snatch something up. Yeah, start,
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: I guess thoughts on that? How do you think it
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: goes on the feet? Do you think THEMBA wrestles because
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: that is what he does, But Luk's nasty on the mat,
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: So yeah, what are your thoughts on this one?
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah? I think Luk is the better striker in this one.
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: Griimbo's probably the better wrestler, but I mean I'm not
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: positive that that's the case. And then Luk is the
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: more dangerous submission grappler, So I'm not so sure Luka
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: shouldn't be the favorite in this fight. My only worry
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: is that, like since that Neo fight and he had
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: the brain bleeding or whatever, what's his mental state? Like
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: is it just more of a mental thing where he
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: is more protective of his brain now, like he's like, well, shit,
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: I'm not doctor Rodge, but I probably don't want my
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: brain to bleed, so I should avoid getting hit in
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: the head. And if that's the case, then I mean,
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: his fights aren't gonna be that great. But the Luk
• 32:45
  Speaker 3: that we love is just high pace, action packed fights.
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: And if Luk wins at seventy six hundreds old Luk,
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: he's almost an optimal all the time. So I'm just
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: gonna I'm gonna rock with that. Hopefully he comes back.
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: He will training for Nick Diez in this fight that
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: I'm sure he was fired up. This isn't quite the
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: same thing, but coming in as an underdog. And then
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: I watched the first embedded and Grimbo's like, I'm gonna
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: shock the world like he thinks he's a big underdog
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: or something like buddy, you're you're the favorite. You're supposed
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: to win.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: So it's like, yeah, I don't like that mindset for sure.
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: Wake yourself as an underdog. Shit, I mean, Lucas, I
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: actually already bet Luk Uh. He's my favorite outright underdog
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: pick on the card, I think, so he's my preferred play.
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: I'll be overweight to him, underweight to Grimbo. I'm not
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: against exing Grimbo. I have to be honest with you,
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: but I'll probably get ten percent or so.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah. The reason I don't want to ask Grimble out is,
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, Luk looks. It wasn't a great look at all,
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: Luke against Buckley, Like it feel like Buckley hardly, hardly
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: hit him in the pocket and the dude flops to
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: his back and just quit like he didn't want to
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: get up.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: He just accepted the beating. I did not like to
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: see that at all.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: Like this is huge though, step up in competition for Grimbo,
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: the step down in competition for Luke. And then the
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: reason I won't fade Grimbo is a I think he's
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: gonna be low owned as a pivot in the upper tier.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: Luke might even be higher on so you get some leverage,
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: But mainly this four point eight nine takedowns per fifteen
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: minutes if he can get like I think he does,
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: try and get takedowns if he has success and he
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: can get out of some submissions. Like any guy that
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: will shoot for takedowns that has four plus upside nine
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: minutes of control time, low owned et cetera. If he
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: does just absolutely wrestle for days again, do I think
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: that happens? No? I am on the Luka side, but
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: trying to make a case for low own fighter. Anytime
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: like four point eight nine takedowns, this guy average per
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: fifteen will be low owned, and as a favorite, I'll
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: take a little sprinkle on that. So definitely prefer Luke.
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: Though we are in lockstep. There six fights left. I
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: think it gets some of these fights get really really
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: easy for me. A couple of big favorites, this one
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: real simple for me. Anthony Smith taken on Dominic Ray's
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: minus three seventy is Rayes plus two ninety five.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: Is Anthony Smith one of the most likely to finish
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: on the card?
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: I believe actually the most likely minus three hundred. Dominic
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: Ray is minus one seventy. Anthony Smith plus four hundred.
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: This line open minus two forty Rays now minus three seventy.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: I mean, dude, minus three two forty. What is this
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: book doing? Anthony Smith is cooked? I think he is
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: fully cooked him three light kicks, he can't walk anymore.
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: He'll be screaming, unfortunately about the family and breaking in
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: and stuff.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I think the dude is totally over the hill Reyes.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think he's over the hill.
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: Thirty four years old, sure, but only thirteen and four
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: seventeen pro fights. Like he took time off of the
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: John Jones fight, he had his moment against Span. I
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: think he makes this look easy. I think he ko's
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Anthony Smith in round one.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if I want I've been going
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: back and forth.
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: If I want Smith, he'll be low owned in a
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: great fight, expected to finish, and like it's big guy.
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: So I just think, naturally gain theory I should But my,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: I know ball, My, I know Mma. I don't want
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: seven points from Anthony Smith. So what are you doing
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: with them?
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah? I well, it depends on how many lineups I make.
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: I did. I handbuilt ten lineups just to kind of
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: get a feel for it. I ended up deleting them all,
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: so I don't have any right now. But in those
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: ten I had zero Anthony Smith. But he is alive
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: to win this fight. I mean, if Reyes doesn't show up,
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: he could get knocked out, he could maybe get outstruck.
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: But Anthony Smith is like less likely to show up,
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: So I'm really not worried. About Ray is getting outstruck here.
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: I think it'd be more just Smith catches him in something,
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: maybe even a stand in guillotine, or he lands a takedown,
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: and then Reyes could be in some trouble on the ground.
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: But Smith is alive, so I'd keep him in the
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: pool because I do think he would score well if
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: he wins. But I'm with you, give me Ray by knockout.
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: I think he's just he probably wants it a lot
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: more at this point. I saw a tweet from saying
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: like Anthony Smith doesn't even care about a win, like
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: and that's never a good thing. And you know he's
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: towards the end of his career, he's already got the whole.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: He made a statement like that, someone inferred that, or
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: like some random dudes just saying he doesn't think he
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: wants to win.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: It was like a tweet, and then I think in parentheses,
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: like from Anthony Smith, something like I don't even I
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: don't even care about a win something like that. So
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: I didn't click on it. I don't know how much
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: truth there is to it, but I could just definitely
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: see that being true. I mean, he's going out there,
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: he likes to fight, he's gonna get paid to fight.
• 37:42
  Speaker 3: He's got to. I've lined up, so I don't expect
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: Anthony Smith to go out there and and look great.
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: So I'm not totally against exing him out if that's
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: what you'd want to do, But I feel like ten
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: just in case. It is probably more my style. Just
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: I would. I'll need enough lineups to get there, and
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: I don't know how many of that takes. Maybe that's
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: I need thirty lineups to get the Smith. I'm not sure.
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, to be honest, like, I have them underweight, so
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: I might just set them at max ten percent. If
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: I got zero, fine the optimal. Like game theory, diversify,
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: you play a lot of lineups. He is only like
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: plus two ninety most likely fight to finish, get leverage
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: plus four hundred inside. The distance isn't bad. It'll be
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: low owned. Like I do think you should play some'm
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: Anthony Smith.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: It is just in my head. I think he gets dusted,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: so I would don't want too much. This is an
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: interesting fight right here.
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: Again, always when I'm reading off the odds, if I
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: would was watching the show, i'd be looking at the
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: stone and what I had on Tuesday and what we.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Have now, So my movement this one.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: So now Nate land Wheer minus one twenty Duo Choi
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: plus one hundred minus two ten for this fight to
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: finish open, minus one thirty Big Marley talk about steam
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty to finish now minus two both guys
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: great inside of distance props. Plus one forty five for
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: land where plus one eighty five for Duo Choi. Take
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: it away man, Nate the train Duho Choi? How is
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: this fight boring? Signed me up every day of the
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: week right in the mid tier as well.
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I mean it should be a fun fight.
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: All Landwire fights are fun fights. The way I see
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: this going down is first rounds close. Maybe you favor
• 39:29
  Speaker 3: Choi in that round because Landwire is a slow starter,
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: and also Choi is, in my opinion, more allowed to
• 39:36
  Speaker 3: get a first round knockout. And then after Landwire goes
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: back to his corner or gets tagged a couple times
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: in that first round and realizes he's in a fight
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: and he turns on crazy mode. That's when we want
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: Landwire and he's gonna put on a pace. He could
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: knock out Choi in the second or the third, but
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: I think his pace alone is enough to win those
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: rounds on the cards if it goes there. So Nate
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: is my my pick to win the second and the
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: third rounds. Maybe a good live betting spot, just kind
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: of hope that he drops the first, uh, maybe even
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: gets dropped in the first, and then you bet him
• 40:13
  Speaker 3: live after that if he's still alive and and I
• 40:17
  Speaker 3: think he could come back and win the second and
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: the third. So he's my preferred play. But it's another
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: one where it's like if I need that six hundred bucks,
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: then cool, give me choice. And I think he could
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: break the slate with the first round knockout before land
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: Wire even has a chance to get going. Herbert Burns
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: knocked out Nate Landwire, so.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Joy that knee was perfectly timed, insane and how David
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: Onama didn't get.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: Land We're out.
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: I mean, welcome soup from the man, like if he's flatlined,
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: and then the matt woke come up. I bet Onama
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: in that one, and I was like celebrating, and I
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: was like, what he just completely died?
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: I mean that was that was quite the fun. With
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: the line movement.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: I was so indifferent to the fight, and I was
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: I think I was like I was already initially leading Choi.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: A bit because of the savings.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: And I think Nate the train, just his name alone
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: and his style I think gravitates some people toward him.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Seeing the twenty cents come back in a couple of
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: days on Choi as well. I do think he probably
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: is better roun one, more dangerous, the better striker. Nate
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: just got that dog in him, where Choi necessarily might not.
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: But I mean, Troy's been in some phenomenal fights, the
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: Cup Swans and Fight back in the day. I think
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: I prefer Choi if having to pick it's close because
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: of the savings, can always just go Land where drop
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: the six hundred, go Choi and leave it. But I
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: won a lot of this fight. I think it's one
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: of the best on the card four fights left. This
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: one was another one. I was curious on your thoughts
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: and looking at your fight rankings. I think you and
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: I see it very similar. Bryce Mitchell Monster favorite open
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: minus five to fifty now minus nine to fifty taking
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: on Crome Gracie plus one to eighty for this fight
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: to finish, Mitchell plus two to ten inside the distance
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: Gracie plus five point fifty.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: Mitchell the second biggest favorite on the car, second.
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: Highest price, but his inside the distance is nowhere close
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: to some of these others at plus two to ten.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: And do you see it the same way Bryce better
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: striker probably cron wants it on the back. He will
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: flop to his back. He doesn't care that Bryce Mitchell
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: is a great grappler, wrestler, whatever. He will trust his
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: guard to try and submit anybody and take a shot there.
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: He doesn't want to strike. I don't I'm not sure
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: Bryce is gonna be scared or not going to his guard,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: But I do think that the striking advantage early plus
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: two ten to finish, like Jordaine didn't finish Gracy. It's
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: so hard to finish these guys. They'll flop to their
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: back any single time that they're hurt. You need a
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: big score from Bryce Mitchell. And this just feels like
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: one of those fights. Gracy's laying on his back, Mitchell's
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: kicking on or just staying on top a little bit,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: but not really close to anything. I love Hooper Moore,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: I like kennedymore like shot Cut more. Suppose are more
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: twenty entry below. I just can't get to Bryce. I'm
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: definitely not getting the crone either, so I'm fading this
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: one in twenty below.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Lets you talk to me the sum now.
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: I don't really care for this. I like this comment
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: a lot more than this fight.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: No.
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: I just think this is one of those fights where
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: like we need grappling to take place. They're both solid grapplers.
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: Bryce is a pretty good wrestler too when he wants
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: to be. But Gracie is a really dangerous grappler who
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: doesn't wrestle, so he's I don't see him getting any
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: takedowns against Bryce. He's gonna need Bryce to wrestle him,
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: and then that makes Kron live for the win. But
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: it's its submission or bust for him. I do agree
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: that Mitchell's probably the better striker, but if this is
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: a striking match, we don't want either side of it.
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: I do think Mitchell's dumb enough to want to go
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: out there and submit Gracie, which could be a good
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: thing for us, especially if he does so, made him
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: not good thing for us if we're not using him.
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: I guess good thing for him in dfs uh, because
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: maybe he could submit Gracie. I don't know he's decent.
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: I doubt it though, so I don't think the submission comes.
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: But he could rack up enough takedowns just with Kron
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: accepting them to where he scores one hundred and fifteen
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: points in the decision. But I also just don't think
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: that's like this, So I agree, I want to fade
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: this fight. I'm a little leery of exing out Mitchell
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: out of a player pool, though, So he's another one.
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: If I'm making twenty or less, sure, let's fade him.
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: But one hundred and fifty, I got to keep him
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: in there a little bit. I just prefer everybody around him.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that makes sense. One fifty.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: I I mainly talked twenty and below, since I think
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: that's what most people play. One fifty, I'm going to
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: I would play some Bryce Mitchell too, Like, I mean,
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: he's minus nine fifty wrestling grappling. It could be there,
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: like I do think. Yeah, like you said, he's dumb enough,
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: like the dude doesn't care. He thinks he's a better
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: wrestler grappler probably thinks he's better than this con anyway,
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: he's minus one thousand, he very well might go out
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: there and try and prove a point. So yeah, I
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: always love I love Bryce Mitchell though, that's for sure.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: All right, three fights left. This is a rematch from
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: a couple of years back, an interesting rematch, but Volkov,
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: I think deserves to get a shot again. Sero gon
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: a big favorite minus three fifty five over Alexander Volkov,
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: who's plus two ninety plus two to fifteen for this
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: fight to finish, plus three hundred for Gone, plus six
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: hundred for Volkov, easy bit, Big Marley. I'm fading zero
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: Gone because I want one hundred and ten plus in
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: the upper tier. He couldn't even get you know what,
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: eighty five or something like that in his first win,
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: which was in the Apex in a smaller cage and
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: five rounds. This one's three rounds out. He's out landing him.
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: I think like one thirty five to one fifteen. I
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: mean he didn't do it then, eighty five wasn't enough.
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: Definitely don't see him doing it here. Plus three hundred
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: just a striker point fighter. Yeah. If he beats me
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: on Den on the next week, Volkov, I'm going to
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: keep in the pool and cap them because I'm fading
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: Gray skied Breski Guida.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: I need dogs. We play a salary game, but I
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: think he's the same thing.
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: I think he gets outpointed, he loses, but I think
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: he does have excuse me, somewhat of a solid floor.
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: Not that I play dogs for a floor, but it's
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: supposed to go with the distance to land one hundred
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: and fifteen significant rights. He can land like ninety and
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: a loss and something again, we want wins. So I
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: don't love him, but I do prefer him over Gone,
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: even though I am picking Gone by decision yep.
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: I agree knocked out or bus for Gone. Yeah, he
• 46:38
  Speaker 3: did score eighty five points in their last fight. He
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: had five rounds to work with. There's no way he's
• 46:43
  Speaker 3: going to get there in a three round decision. And then,
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: on the other hand, like Gon was exposed on the
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: ground since then, so it would be smart of Volkov
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: to be looking for takedowns in this fight. If Folkoff
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: can look for takedowns, I think he could hang out
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: in top control the round if he wants to land
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: a lot of a lot of strikes in top patrol
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: and score well. I also think he could win a
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: striking based decision and score around ten x. So I'm
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: cool with Volkov exposure. I don't want to get crazy
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: with it, but I will like force him into lineups
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: if the ship Deviser is like not giving me anything,
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: I do want probably at least fifteen percent Volkov and
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: then gone. I don't know how many lines it'll take,
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: but he's a big boy. It wouldn't shock me to
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: see a first round knockout from him, and I would
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't want to miss out on that. So I'm
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: fine getting ten percent gone, but definitely not a guy
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: if I'm making just a couple of lineups that I'd
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: wanted my sweat to be on.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he's plus seven hundred and round one
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: like that. I just can't get there with how much Pantosia, Rockmanov,
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: Kennedy Hooper like he beats and he beats me and
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: I've been a gun guy, like he's burned me plenty
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: of times.
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: But I just don't think the upside is good enough personally.
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: But there'll be low even most definitely is the pivot
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: in the bottom or in the top tier to fight
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: left again. Both of these are five rounders. Appreciate every
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: single one watching. Always appreciate your support. Again, like bud
• 48:12
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• 48:14
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  Speaker 2: cut that in half you get comes out to what
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  Speaker 2: is it, thirty four to fifty, and then definitely do
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  Speaker 2: get in the discord as well. A lot of people
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: in the chat. Always in the Discord, best community out there.
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: Camp beats the deal.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: Comorine of that time.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: Five rounds Big Boy Favorites in the Big Boy Favorite
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: an important fight in the welterweight division. Shop cut rock
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: manof coming in minus four hundred taking on Ian Gary
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: plus three hundred on the way back minus two fifth
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: you for this fight to finish Rock minus one seventy
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: five Gary plus five twenty five. I kind of tipped
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: my hand. We said it earlier. I'm making a rule
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: for the Pantosia fight to have them. I'm not in
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: this fight, even though I will have a lot of it.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: The reason I'm not is Shotcott knocks him out in
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: round two or round three, but doesn't wrestle as much.
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: I think when it's on the feet, it's boring. I
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: think Gary's gonna bounce around the outside. It's gonna be
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: more point fighting. It's not gonna score there. I don't
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: love Gary because I think he's over owned. Because he's
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: a dog, a popular name, cheap five round fight, I
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: think he'll be over owned, so I want to avoid that.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely gonna be playing tons of shot Cut, but
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna throw a two on this. Do you think
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: he wrestles early and often? It's his easiest past the victory.
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: There's Ben talks already. Shot Cut tapped him out back
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: in the day when they trained.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: Together, et cetera.
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: It feels like a really easy The easiest past the
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: victory is wrestling if it's on the feet.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: Like, I want to be underweight this fight, So how
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: do you see it going on the right?
• 50:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I don't know. Because Rockmanoff could go
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: out there and strike and win a striking match over
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: the course of five rounds, so I also think he
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: could knock out Gary. Gary was dropped by uh Keenan song.
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: I was.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: I was at that fight. Slipped him in round and
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: one that was a mobile. Yeah that was crazy.
• 50:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah it was.
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: So.
• 50:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, you just wouldn't shock me at all to
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: see Rockmanov knock him out after seeing that, but yeah,
• 50:35
  Speaker 3: we would. I feel like we want Rockmanov to go
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: out there and look for takedowns and then Gary should
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: look to strike. If this is just a slow paced
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: striking match, Gary wins that, but if it's a high pace,
• 50:48
  Speaker 3: aggressive striking match. I kind of like shot Cut in that.
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: I think schof cuts the better wrestler, more dangerous for
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: sure with submission. So he's gonna be my pick, my
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: prefer play. And I was kind of thinking, I'm fine
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: going all in. Maybe I do go all in. I'm
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: not sure, but you might have talked me out of
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: making a rule at least because I could see just
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: the Gary slow paced kind of affecting Rockmanov and him
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: coming out a little slower than normal, especially with five rounds,
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: and maybe he just doesn't get there, especially if the
• 51:22
  Speaker 3: first round is not a banger. So I'm not against that,
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: especially at ninety two hundred dollars. And when I was handbuilding,
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: there were a couple of lineups that I didn't have Rockmanov.
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: But I also think, like maybe I had a couple
• 51:35
  Speaker 3: too many drinks or something. Something happened and I thought
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: it was three rounds at the time or something. So
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: that's why I deleted them all and I'll start fresh. Yeah,
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: give me Rockmanov to win inside the distance. I think
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: he probably puts up a big score in the process.
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: But Gary is a nasty striker man. I think he's
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: super live in this matchup. I want Gary exposure to
• 52:00
  Speaker 3: You can answer this after we talked about the next
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: five bound. I know he like more between Gary and Asakura,
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: but we can talk about them.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Asakura for sure.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: And the thing is, I guess I don't know how
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: likely it is because I don't love the dogs, but
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: I could see Gary winning a close decision and still
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: scoring eighty points. Like I don't think he's offensive wrestling.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: If he does get taken down himself and loses rounds,
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: he's not scoring there. And the reason also I'm not
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: going all in on this fight is I respect even
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: Gary a ton like I almost fed him big against MVP.
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: I think he's a very good fighter, and I think
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: this is tough for Rockmanov, so I think it's stuff
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: won't come as easy, which is why I just would
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: rather fade the fight more so than I still do
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: think Gary loses. He does get taken down at some point.
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: I again, fourteen fights just makes Hooper or Kennedy or
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: Evilov Pantosia just more options in the upper tier battle
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: first round knockout. I just think there's other guys that
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: for less ownership when I know I'm eating Pantosa chalk
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: and again, I'm gonna have plenty of two to five
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: round fight stuff as well, But when you fade one
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: of them, it's easier to eat a lot more chalk.
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: So I don't hate if making a rule for both
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: of them, no one bit. But we both do agree
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: we like the Pantosa fight more if having to pick right. Yeah, yeah, cool,
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: last fight. Let's get right into that fight again. Five
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: rounds Alexandra Pantoja minus two forty taking a kai Asakura
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: plus two h five minus two sixty for this fight
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: to finish. Pantosia minus one fifteen inside the distance Osakura
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: plus two eighty five. I'm gonna throw it two right
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: away Osakura. Obviously, people might be like, who the heck
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: is this guy rising? He's making his UFC debut. Usually
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: I'm like UFC debut getting a title shot?
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: What are we doing well?
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: At the end of the day, Pantosa is dominated this division.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: I really don't know who else you would throw there,
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: Like I thought Tyra. They announced Asakura fighting him before
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: the Tyra fight where Tyra lost her roy Bel, but
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: I thought Tyro maybe deserve it if he beat roy
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: Bel again. Regardless, they announced it before Pentose already beat Royvel. Moreno,
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: not really too much fresh blood in the division.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: But Asakura is a striker.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: Pantosia is definitely fine wrestling for days twenty five minutes.
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: Can Ossakura stuff them? If he can, He's probably the
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: better striker. That's a big if, though, as you can see,
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: the line doesn't really think Asakura will.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Stuff many takedowns. Though, how do you see it going?
• 54:31
  Speaker 3: YEA, so we think I don't know. I didn't dig
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: too deep into Asakora, but I didn't. We think he's
• 54:37
  Speaker 3: for sure the better striker in this matchup.
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: I think that I think if he wasn't, then Pantosa
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: should be like minus four fifty. I guess I'm not
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: too too confident in that. But yeah, I mean otherwise,
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: I think this line's insane. I don't think he can
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: wrestle with him. He's the bigger fighter. He does have power.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: I mean Ersag, who I respect greatly as well. I
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: thought he was the better striker against Pantosia, Like if
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: he's kept it on the feet. Round five, it was
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: two two. It was really close. But as clear as
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: day watching it, persic, don't initiate in the grappling and
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: you're beating him. I think I's occur probably is in
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: the similar thing, but I don't think it's like a
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: wide gap by any means.
• 55:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm just not sure. I just didn't
• 55:19
  Speaker 3: dig too deep. But he looked good. I mean he's aggressive,
• 55:22
  Speaker 3: he's just all action. It looks like I thought he
• 55:27
  Speaker 3: looked good on the on the ground too. He had
• 55:29
  Speaker 3: nice takedowns. He was good in top control. But man,
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: I'm just not used to seeing those knees to the
• 55:35
  Speaker 3: head when they're on the ground. I was like, oh
• 55:37
  Speaker 3: my god, like every single time. I'm just not man nasty.
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: That's a different sport over there in rising.
• 55:43
  Speaker 4: Uh.
• 55:44
  Speaker 3: But yeah, Panto's is my favorite freaking play on the
• 55:47
  Speaker 3: board just because I think he is probably maybe better everywhere.
• 55:51
  Speaker 3: He's a legit champion who can go hard for twenty
• 55:55
  Speaker 3: twenty five minutes. He scored one hundred and forty three
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: points in his last three fights, one hundred forty three,
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: hundred and forty three hundred forty three, so I expect
• 56:02
  Speaker 3: one hundred and forty three in this one. Uh. He's
• 56:04
  Speaker 3: my favorite play on the board, and then any lineup
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: I don't have him in, I'll have Vasa Kora, but
• 56:10
  Speaker 3: I might be like eighty twenty something like that, seventy
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: five twenty five. I'm not sure. I will have to
• 56:16
  Speaker 3: watch a couple more fights on this guy, but I
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: just think it's all pantosia. This is definitely an all
• 56:23
  Speaker 3: in fight. I want a rule where, well, shit do
• 56:27
  Speaker 3: I though, because Osakora goes out there, gets some down
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: neeeds him in the head fights over. I don't know.
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's gotta hope that's gotta be a less than
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: one percent out come, like you really gotta think that
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: he knows not to do that.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I'm.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: Making the rule and I'm gonna be about eighty I
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: think I like the eighty twenty stuff. I wrote exactly
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: that in the sleigh plan, like I want Petosia will
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: get ownership. We have fifty one percent. I wouldn't be
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: surprised he catches team to fifty six. I still want
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: to be overweight that like his pace is wrestling upside,
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: I mean even as volume, like as a wrestler, and
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: he gets eight take down still seeing the significant strikes
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: per minute fight supposed to finish. I mean he's nasty, man.
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: I I think Pantosa is a gamer for sure. I'm
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: not picking against him, and I want to be pretty
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: heavily eighty five fifteen eighty twenty like.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: I'm with you.
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah. So for now, that's that's how I'm gonna go
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: about it. But if I watch some more of this
• 57:22
  Speaker 3: Asa Kora and like al more, I'll update you guys
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: in discord. But for now, just all Pantosia.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: I love it.
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: That's fourteen fights and how we're talking UFC three ten
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: again six pm Eastern at the Tea Mobile Arena, fingers crossed.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: All fighters make.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: Weight again when they do weigh in, we have we
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: put in what they weigh in at. Our ownership projections
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: will be posted tomorrow. You will get that right on
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: the stone. The color coding goes up as well as
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: well as Core reports. Late Plan tier rankings break down
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: each tier and Big Marley's fight rankings. Definitely make sure
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: to go check that out. He puts how he thinks
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: each person wins. A little blurb about the fights as well.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: Slate Plan breaks down every single fight again. NBA is
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: going shut out, Rio, NFL is going, college football is going,
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: or NHL is going. I don't think NASCAR is. NHL
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: is going. Shout out to Big Nage, no better time.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: BT fifty. Not sure how long this will be up.
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: Tampbell mentioned today it's been up a little too long,
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: but take advantage. It is still working right now. B
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: F fifty gets you fifty percent off your first month.
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: Also does include ship to Miser Discord is included as well.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: Awesome stuff is always Big Marley. It's time for me
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: to get out here cheer for these packers who are
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: down ten. They need a little cheering help. So good
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: luck to you last week eleven K. I'm hoping you
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: get a ship for today and I see a screen shot.
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: Good luck everybody this weekend in the MMA streets. We
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: will see you in the ship in Nation discord for
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: Big Marley untitled Talent, Peace, good Luck, most.
• 59:05
  Speaker 4: Hands has had still hand, thems.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Have them still
• 59:21
  Speaker 4: Ants, And then se