Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Exposing Cowards In NFL Week 9

Transcript

Exposing Cowards In NFL Week 9 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
0:13
Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman and I'm going to be joined
0:15
Speaker 1: by Professional Better Simon Hunter. But first, it has been
0:19
Speaker 1: an insane night. For the past twenty four hours, betting
0:24
Speaker 1: markets around the world have been on a roller coaster
0:27
Speaker 1: trying to predict who was going to become the next
0:30
Speaker 1: president of the United States. Uh. There were moments last
0:33
Speaker 1: night where Donald Trump was a heavy, heavy favorite at
0:37
Speaker 1: nearly five to one. By eleven PM, he was down
0:39
Speaker 1: to two to one. As I record this ATIN on
0:42
Speaker 1: a Wednesday morning, Joe Biden, is it about three to
0:46
Speaker 1: one and climbing And we're gonna get to the football,
0:50
Speaker 1: I promise. But there's a very specific reason why I'm
0:53
Speaker 1: mentioning this. Uh. Last night, our friends Simon Hunter Professional Better.
0:57
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, my co host on the podcast, tweeted late
1:01
Speaker 1: last night that is sharp Better he knows have gone
1:04
Speaker 1: in on Trump, and that tweet sent gambling Twitter a
1:10
Speaker 1: flame for a moment um. Simon, We're gonna get into everything,
1:16
Speaker 1: and we're gonna talk about the phrase the pays. We're
1:19
Speaker 1: gonna talk about how someone won four hundred dollars this week,
1:23
Speaker 1: and we are gonna donate four hundred dollars to the
1:26
Speaker 1: charity of their choice to match it for participating in
1:29
Speaker 1: the phrase The Pays and reviewing the podcast. Um, before
1:33
Speaker 1: we jumped on, we were just talking about the presidential
1:36
Speaker 1: stuff and like it's fascinating just as a better I
1:39
Speaker 1: don't care if you're four Biden or for Trump from
1:42
Speaker 1: a betting perspective, like people are making serious bank on this.
1:46
Speaker 1: Explain what you just explained to Matt Mitchell and I
1:50
Speaker 1: before we jumped on the podcast. Man Mitchell, cue the music.
1:54
Speaker 1: All I do is we we no matter what we
1:57
Speaker 1: got money. I can't look at what a weekend and
2:02
Speaker 1: what a night for for me personally, but basically for
2:06
Speaker 1: this political stuff. This this guy we have in our group.
2:11
Speaker 1: He he's old man, he's like late sixties, early seventies,
2:15
Speaker 1: and he lives in Egypt and he's just day trades currency,
2:18
Speaker 1: that's what his real job is. But he's so good
2:22
Speaker 1: at political betting and especially American he's so good. So
2:26
Speaker 1: basically he reached out to my boss Bob, and Bob's
2:30
Speaker 1: one that sends it out to all of us. He's
2:32
Speaker 1: telling us what this guy is doing, what this guy's
2:34
Speaker 1: looking at So basically, this guy sent out to us
2:36
Speaker 1: that he liked Trump, he liked the value on Trump
2:39
Speaker 1: when he was sitting at one eighty, so it's like
2:41
Speaker 1: a one eightiot. Moved to one sixty. About ten minutes
2:43
Speaker 1: later because like obviously a lot of big money people
2:45
Speaker 1: are getting the same exact message, moved to one fifty.
2:48
Speaker 1: I took it again on Trump and I put it
2:51
Speaker 1: out on Twitter because I was just like, you know what,
2:53
Speaker 1: this this looks real, this looks like good value. And
2:56
Speaker 1: I put a disclaimer. I'm not red, I'm not blue,
2:58
Speaker 1: I'm green. I'm just putting this out there. I have
3:01
Speaker 1: no I have no idea, man, I don't know anything
3:03
Speaker 1: about politics. I don't watch politics. I'm just going off
3:05
Speaker 1: a person who is really well informed and on the
3:08
Speaker 1: inside of a lot of this stuff. And basically I said,
3:12
Speaker 1: if if Boden becomes a dog, you take it, and
3:15
Speaker 1: you just have free money on the middle. A couple
3:18
Speaker 1: hundred people are been a thousand bucks. That's all that
3:20
Speaker 1: comes in at a million dollar movement in a matter
3:23
Speaker 1: of minutes. So of course this guy was spot on.
3:27
Speaker 1: He told us check back in at ten thirty before eleven,
3:30
Speaker 1: not like ten o'clock East Coast time, and check the
3:33
Speaker 1: line and get take Biden already took Biden a plus
3:35
Speaker 1: two hundred. One said, moved that much, and then I
3:37
Speaker 1: took him again a plus three hundreds, because it's just
3:40
Speaker 1: crazy value to me, this is a coin toss, just
3:42
Speaker 1: like everyone else is saying, this was a coin toss
3:44
Speaker 1: kind of match up. I basically couldn't go to sleep
3:47
Speaker 1: because I just was just waiting for at the end,
3:50
Speaker 1: Like I know most people are in the same boat
3:53
Speaker 1: as us is there as Americans were just waiting for
3:55
Speaker 1: the results. I think it was like one am. Biden
3:58
Speaker 1: came out and he just gave like the huja speech
4:01
Speaker 1: of like we're doing good, like who knows, like we
4:04
Speaker 1: gotta wait for them to count it. Then Trump comes
4:06
Speaker 1: out and he's like I won, it's voter fraud or
4:09
Speaker 1: whatever he was saying, and I'm just like, holy hell,
4:11
Speaker 1: I don't I can't go to bed. I just need
4:13
Speaker 1: to know who won. So I finally passed out like
4:15
Speaker 1: two or three in the morning, and I woke up
4:18
Speaker 1: and Biden, what was what he was up to? Like
4:20
Speaker 1: three hundred this morning? Minus three hundred, right, yeah, he's
4:23
Speaker 1: in about minus three hundred right now. So basically, like
4:27
Speaker 1: people don't understand what these American books, they think they
4:29
Speaker 1: don't want to do it because there could be voter
4:31
Speaker 1: fraud or whatever it goes on if they can leg
4:34
Speaker 1: legally let people bet on the elections here, I just don't.
4:37
Speaker 1: I just think they don't want the volatility, like people
4:41
Speaker 1: like me, other people that took Trump and then took Biden.
4:43
Speaker 1: Is these big dogs. We we all just made over
4:46
Speaker 1: ten thousand, twenty thousand dollars easily last night. Never sweat
4:50
Speaker 1: it was like and not that I went to script,
4:54
Speaker 1: but like people thought I was gonna sixteen when Trump
4:57
Speaker 1: was running away with the election by eleven pm on
4:59
Speaker 1: the election night, where I just I trusted what he
5:02
Speaker 1: was saying about these late boats were gonna come in.
5:05
Speaker 1: It was gonna move the odds a ton. And yeah,
5:09
Speaker 1: if you're if you're a better and you don't, you
5:10
Speaker 1: don't have a dog in the race, like you don't
5:12
Speaker 1: really care about either side and you just wanted to
5:14
Speaker 1: make money. It was just an incredible night, especially if
5:16
Speaker 1: you don't have emotion attached to it. It's just it's rare.
5:20
Speaker 1: You you literally take a game straight up where both
5:22
Speaker 1: teams are dogs and you just know you're gonna hit
5:24
Speaker 1: the middle. So it was just God, it was a
5:26
Speaker 1: good night. Man. Listen, you're on a bit of a
5:29
Speaker 1: hot streak. Uh what transition here from the politics? I
5:32
Speaker 1: just wanted people to understand, like how a professional better
5:35
Speaker 1: is thinking about the markets and and really what the
5:38
Speaker 1: markets were doing. It was so volatile last night. It
5:40
Speaker 1: was so interesting, and we were seeing it in real
5:43
Speaker 1: time on the Action Network. Honestly, it's yesterday was the
5:47
Speaker 1: biggest traffic day we've ever had, um because the entire
5:51
Speaker 1: nation was focused on what are the odds? And I
5:53
Speaker 1: think there were a lot of panic searches for how
5:56
Speaker 1: can this person win? What are the odds for this
5:58
Speaker 1: person to win, not understanding that there are real betting
6:01
Speaker 1: markets attached, just wanting to sort of ease their minds
6:04
Speaker 1: as they watched John King flip his magic wall NonStop.
6:08
Speaker 1: But I think too, I think too, it's that we're
6:14
Speaker 1: not that we're we don't trust the media, But you
6:18
Speaker 1: know it is when when you're watching Senior Fox, they're
6:20
Speaker 1: just gonna spin it positive to their side. Regardless where
6:23
Speaker 1: people want a non they just want no bias. That
6:26
Speaker 1: that's why I think your site got so much traffic
6:28
Speaker 1: was you guys aren't picking a side. You're just literally
6:31
Speaker 1: telling people of the odds, and you're letting the market
6:33
Speaker 1: tell people what the odds are. So I think people
6:35
Speaker 1: just found comfort in it. Where if you were a
6:38
Speaker 1: Trump supporter, you're a happy seeing it was a huge favor.
6:40
Speaker 1: And if you're abiding guy, you were just nervously checking saying,
6:42
Speaker 1: oh my god, he keeps becoming a bigger dog. Where
6:45
Speaker 1: then you flipped it this morning, like we were just
6:46
Speaker 1: talking about one person woke up thinking of it was
6:49
Speaker 1: it was all good, and they just got quickly realized,
6:52
Speaker 1: oh my god, the market is shifted completely while I
6:54
Speaker 1: was asleep. So yeah, that that was fun. And I'm
6:56
Speaker 1: happy for the actually network getting all that traffic. Thanks brother,
6:59
Speaker 1: I appreciate it, and I'm happy that you're cashing some
7:01
Speaker 1: bets and while we all while we all wait for
7:04
Speaker 1: this pet to cash. Whichever side you're on, Uh, you
7:08
Speaker 1: can know that if you are listening to this right now,
7:11
Speaker 1: listening to me and Simon, you are listening to two
7:14
Speaker 1: of the hottest prognosticators in all of football. Three weeks
7:19
Speaker 1: ago we went five and note two weeks ago. We
7:21
Speaker 1: went three and two. This past week, Simon four and one,
7:24
Speaker 1: four and one in a week where I like, Sunday morning,
7:27
Speaker 1: I'm like, should we just take our bye this week?
7:29
Speaker 1: Because there's two weeks in the in the Draft Kings
7:31
Speaker 1: Pro Football pick Up contest that you and I are
7:33
Speaker 1: in that you gotta skip like you're it's it's required
7:36
Speaker 1: you skip. Simon, you pushed us, You pushed us to
7:42
Speaker 1: keep going. And remember remember remember this is a reminder
7:45
Speaker 1: for everybody. Simon is joining the pot every week together
7:47
Speaker 1: we have entered the Draft Kings Pro Football pick Up
7:49
Speaker 1: National Championship. We will decide what picks he should put in.
7:54
Speaker 1: And dude, it could not be going any better right now.
7:59
Speaker 1: Check you people listen to other podcasts and they paid
8:03
Speaker 1: people picks online for football picks when we just have
8:06
Speaker 1: this lovely free podcast just giving out winners. I mean,
8:09
Speaker 1: were podcast given out winners? But not only that, not
8:12
Speaker 1: only that, we're giving out cash, and we're giving out
8:16
Speaker 1: cash to people's favorite charity because we are bringing back
8:20
Speaker 1: bringing back the cash. Felill phrase to pay his contest
8:23
Speaker 1: in honor of our loyal listeners, sal who did like,
8:27
Speaker 1: what a classy, generous kind thing Sal did. Sal was
8:33
Speaker 1: the first winner of our phrase that pays contest where
8:36
Speaker 1: he got four hundred dollars in cash. He got four
8:38
Speaker 1: undred dollars in cash, and when Matt Mitchell called him
8:40
Speaker 1: and said you won, he said, can you give it
8:43
Speaker 1: to Autism Speaks. He's like, I always plan on giving
8:46
Speaker 1: it away. I never thought it was gonna be mine.
8:48
Speaker 1: He gave it to Autism Speaks. We were so inspired
8:50
Speaker 1: we matched his donation. So we've given eight hundred dollars
8:53
Speaker 1: to Autism Speaks um and every week going forward through
8:58
Speaker 1: the end of the year, we are still giving one
9:00
Speaker 1: lucky listener a hundred dollars for every game we win.
9:02
Speaker 1: So someone this week is getting four hundred bucks because
9:05
Speaker 1: we chose their review. Go review the podcast and use
9:10
Speaker 1: the phrase that pays, which I'm going to give you
9:11
Speaker 1: in a second, because not only are you gonna win cash,
9:15
Speaker 1: but we're gonna match it for charity. So whoever is
9:19
Speaker 1: winning this week wins four plus we're giving away four
9:24
Speaker 1: in cash to your favorite charity. To be eligible, go
9:27
Speaker 1: review the podcast using the phrase. Simon says, you win,
9:32
Speaker 1: we give, and if we like it and we randomly
9:35
Speaker 1: choose it, you will win the money and your charity
9:38
Speaker 1: of choice will win the money as well. And don't
9:40
Speaker 1: forget every pick we make, every stat we discuss, all
9:44
Speaker 1: the odds, all available in the free award winning Action
9:48
Speaker 1: Network app. So much, so much, so much good karma.
9:53
Speaker 1: I feel like that's what we got. We went four
9:55
Speaker 1: one last week. The Pats crushed us. Uh the Broncos. Dude, Broncos.
10:04
Speaker 1: Explain to people, Explain to the people our text on
10:08
Speaker 1: Sunday morning, because I literally, like, in the most passive
10:11
Speaker 1: aggressive way possible, tried to walk you off the Broncos
10:14
Speaker 1: eight different ways. Yeah, and like, um, people, who gotta
10:19
Speaker 1: understand me and Chad, we we're buddies. We're just ball
10:22
Speaker 1: we're ball busters. Like he he hated the Broncos pick,
10:26
Speaker 1: and he hated it all weekend. And the problem he
10:29
Speaker 1: doesn't understand that's just more fuel for my fire man.
10:32
Speaker 1: When when Chad's just doubt and I'm just like this guy,
10:36
Speaker 1: he's like I always talked about it. It's my profession
10:42
Speaker 1: is so weird where I may have this guy at
10:45
Speaker 1: the gas station while I go and see like once
10:46
Speaker 1: a week, you know, pull out my car and he
10:49
Speaker 1: goes five and on his picks and I go one
10:51
Speaker 1: and four in my picks and he goes, hey, this
10:53
Speaker 1: guy doesn't know much. He goes, I know just as
10:55
Speaker 1: much as a so called professional, just because he had
10:57
Speaker 1: one good week. And that's the forever battle as a
11:01
Speaker 1: professional wear I give out games and it's just never ending,
11:04
Speaker 1: people saying, well, how can you think this this team
11:07
Speaker 1: is terrible? This team is so much better. That's a
11:09
Speaker 1: bad number. And it's just like I'm playing a model
11:11
Speaker 1: and playing a system. Man, Like, I'm with you. I
11:14
Speaker 1: don't like to pick either, but if my model is
11:16
Speaker 1: saying this game should be a pick, we're getting three
11:19
Speaker 1: and a half lock up Denver easy bet, and holy hell,
11:23
Speaker 1: was that a sweat. I I'm watching it and uh
11:28
Speaker 1: they score and uh not that I trolled the Twitter followers,
11:32
Speaker 1: but I put it out too. And two just a
11:34
Speaker 1: mess with people, and of course people are like, oh,
11:36
Speaker 1: three and one, three and one. I was like, I know,
11:38
Speaker 1: I know, It's just it was just funny because everyone's like, oh,
11:40
Speaker 1: you're so lucky. I've never I've never wanted bet that
11:43
Speaker 1: I didn't get lucky on. I've never lost it bet.
11:46
Speaker 1: I didn't get on lucky on that's just gambling. So
11:50
Speaker 1: that was a sweat the Eagles one. I mean, people
11:53
Speaker 1: can say, again we got lucky, old scooch saying, man,
11:56
Speaker 1: what what's the scooch saying? The right side side is
11:59
Speaker 1: the winning side. So me and said, I don't care
12:02
Speaker 1: how lucky we get. We're just gonna keep counting our money.
12:04
Speaker 1: So yeah, it was fun. And then I gave out
12:07
Speaker 1: our picks, and well we'll break it down how what
12:11
Speaker 1: round robins are. But if you if you don't ever
12:14
Speaker 1: understand anything, like if I put out a round robin,
12:16
Speaker 1: you don't get it. You literally have built the team
12:19
Speaker 1: and nerrits of the Action Network that have gone through
12:22
Speaker 1: anything you can think of gambling slang or betting rules
12:25
Speaker 1: or anything. They have a whole page dedicated to round robins.
12:29
Speaker 1: It'll break down exactly how to do it, what the
12:31
Speaker 1: percentages are, what's the smartest way to play it. So
12:35
Speaker 1: when I gave it around robin, um, people don't understand
12:39
Speaker 1: it because I I should have put money lines, but
12:42
Speaker 1: I just put it like I gave out Cincinnati Bengals
12:45
Speaker 1: money line, gave out the Chicago Bears money, and I
12:49
Speaker 1: gave out the Broncos moneyline gave out the Vikings money
12:52
Speaker 1: line and um Miami Dolphins money line. And basically when
12:59
Speaker 1: you do around Robin like that, the goal is to
13:02
Speaker 1: go to for three. So you break it into twos
13:05
Speaker 1: because there's five teams. You just do it two by
13:07
Speaker 1: two and if you go to for three, you're gonna
13:12
Speaker 1: make a nice little penny. It's pretty much just the
13:14
Speaker 1: lazy man way, like you're pairing the Dolphins and the
13:19
Speaker 1: Bears the easiest, easiest ways. That example explain what it is, right.
13:24
Speaker 1: Just you can hold your hand out and you have
13:26
Speaker 1: your thumb, your five fingers. Each finger is a number,
13:30
Speaker 1: and you touch each finger to each other and that
13:32
Speaker 1: canceled each other out. So your your thumb goes your
13:35
Speaker 1: index finger that's one and two, then the fingernecks that's
13:38
Speaker 1: one in three. So you go through like that. It's
13:41
Speaker 1: you're literally I'm parlaying every all five of those games
13:45
Speaker 1: with each other. But there's no duplicates. So it's basically
13:50
Speaker 1: simple math. You you have five games, you're parlaying each
13:52
Speaker 1: one one at a time with each other. It's and
13:58
Speaker 1: like someone wrote on my Twitter, like I feel bad
14:00
Speaker 1: now if someone never played around Robin, I induced them
14:03
Speaker 1: to it. It's such an easy way to lose money
14:06
Speaker 1: because it's like like a week like last week, going
14:09
Speaker 1: four and one in that thing, I'm good now for
14:12
Speaker 1: like five weeks. Like that's if I if the Bears,
14:15
Speaker 1: which they showed up just one that thing, I run,
14:16
Speaker 1: I went five and now you'd be taking I'd be
14:18
Speaker 1: taking this call from Hawaii. I don't know. I might
14:21
Speaker 1: not retire, but I'd be like, all right, this season
14:23
Speaker 1: is over. I I peeked because five and O money
14:27
Speaker 1: line around Robbins is so rare, so rare to hit,
14:31
Speaker 1: and that Bears was a soul crusher man when they
14:34
Speaker 1: went through over time. I was just like, today's my day,
14:37
Speaker 1: Like this is gonna come through. But luckily most of
14:42
Speaker 1: the people that read the read my tweet. Some of
14:45
Speaker 1: them did the money lines, which paid out great, and
14:46
Speaker 1: other people just did the spreads with the Dolphins onening line,
14:49
Speaker 1: which also went five and not paid out great. So
14:52
Speaker 1: for most people that was their first time doing around Robin.
14:55
Speaker 1: I can promise you it's never this easy, like I'm
14:57
Speaker 1: saying too. For if you go to for three and
14:59
Speaker 1: around Robin with a dogs money lines, you pay up big,
15:02
Speaker 1: Like I know, stucky and Colin they do a college
15:05
Speaker 1: round robin. I like that way more than professional. Like
15:09
Speaker 1: this is the first one I put out this series
15:10
Speaker 1: because this week just lined up where I saw a
15:12
Speaker 1: ton of dogs that could win out right. That's rare
15:15
Speaker 1: in the NFL where it looks that easy. We're in college.
15:18
Speaker 1: You gotta go over a hundred games that picked from
15:20
Speaker 1: you can find win your dogs. So if you don't
15:23
Speaker 1: know much about and you like playing them, Colin Stuckey
15:25
Speaker 1: they do. They do a great round robin. That's a
15:27
Speaker 1: good followup for them. Colin is Stuckey. Action Network College
15:31
Speaker 1: Football Podcast. Catch it on Fridays. It's amazing. Listen, Simon,
15:35
Speaker 1: you're practically like a professional at dropping the contextually relevant
15:43
Speaker 1: shameless promotion and that's an impressive feat considering your relatively
15:47
Speaker 1: new to the business. Yeah, I'm slowly selling out chat.
15:49
Speaker 1: It's beautiful. I love it. I love it for you,
15:52
Speaker 1: I love it for us, um and I'm glad you
15:54
Speaker 1: was playing the round robin because we did get a
15:55
Speaker 1: bunch of tweets about that, and and Matt Mitchell want
15:58
Speaker 1: to make sure that that we Yeah, go to the
16:00
Speaker 1: Action Network if you if you still don't get it,
16:02
Speaker 1: they break it all down on paper. It's an easy
16:04
Speaker 1: to read. Just read it before you do it. I
16:07
Speaker 1: know a lot of people better blindly just because I
16:09
Speaker 1: put it out. You kind of want to understand the
16:11
Speaker 1: rules before you make these bets because it's not always
16:13
Speaker 1: going to be that easy to win. Um, all right,
16:16
Speaker 1: So we went four in one last week. The one
16:17
Speaker 1: game that I was desperate to get into our picks
16:20
Speaker 1: that we hadn't discussed last weekend was the Dolphins. We
16:24
Speaker 1: ended up using the Dolphins to replace the Bears because
16:26
Speaker 1: the Bears were just making me nervous even though they
16:28
Speaker 1: were clearly the right side at the end of the game. Um, dude,
16:34
Speaker 1: we are right now inty place out of what more
16:39
Speaker 1: than eight hundred people for the draft Kings. What do
16:43
Speaker 1: we win? One million dollars one point five million dollars
16:46
Speaker 1: and three and a half three and a half back
16:50
Speaker 1: of the lead to three and a half back of
16:52
Speaker 1: the lead. Now we gotta still have to choose two
16:54
Speaker 1: weeks where we don't make any picks at all. We're
16:58
Speaker 1: still gonna put those picks in the Action Network. Gap
16:59
Speaker 1: were still make picks, put them in the app, but
17:02
Speaker 1: we will not put those picks into the contest. We're
17:03
Speaker 1: not allowed. Let's set it up right here, right now,
17:10
Speaker 1: Thursday night, We've got the Packers visiting the Niners. The
17:15
Speaker 1: Packers are five and a half point favorites, and like,
17:17
Speaker 1: look this game all of a sudden, no Jimmy G
17:20
Speaker 1: no Kiddle. Uh. The Niners really starting to struggle with
17:24
Speaker 1: injuries more than they were even before. Um, this is
17:28
Speaker 1: the past, obviously, Yeah, and it like, honestly, going in,
17:34
Speaker 1: I like the Packers just because them losing our home
17:37
Speaker 1: to Minnesota and divisional game. I felt like this was
17:41
Speaker 1: gonna be a great spot, coming come into the West
17:43
Speaker 1: Coast and playing the forts here. But what do we know?
17:47
Speaker 1: We know the forty Niners, their run scheme has just
17:50
Speaker 1: been amazing against Green Bay. They played him twice last
17:53
Speaker 1: year and dominated them both times without even eating Jimmy G.
17:57
Speaker 1: It was just all running for the last year on
18:00
Speaker 1: screen Bay. So I can't feel great about it because
18:04
Speaker 1: I'm back in the backup QB here in the forty
18:06
Speaker 1: nine Ers against hardably one of the best quarterbacks ever
18:09
Speaker 1: to play in Rogers. But I'm gonna take the points
18:13
Speaker 1: and just trust that there's good value here on the
18:15
Speaker 1: forty nine ers at home in a short week, and
18:18
Speaker 1: that they can control the game running it. So I'm
18:21
Speaker 1: cool with pass and I don't really feel great about
18:24
Speaker 1: taking the forty nine ers. I just think this is
18:26
Speaker 1: situation i'll play where I'll have to take the forty Niners. Well, look,
18:29
Speaker 1: Chris Raybon has been all over Aaron Rodgers and sort
18:34
Speaker 1: of regressing the last five years, and he wrote a
18:36
Speaker 1: lot about it last year. I know he's got a
18:38
Speaker 1: great column coming up this week about how Aaron Rodgers
18:41
Speaker 1: is still not like playing at an all world level
18:45
Speaker 1: despite what everyone believes. And there was more evidence of
18:48
Speaker 1: that against the Vikings this past week. We saw it
18:51
Speaker 1: against the Buccaneers a couple of weeks ago. So while
18:54
Speaker 1: you may say, and we all may say is one
18:56
Speaker 1: of the best ever, like, he's not what he was,
18:58
Speaker 1: and there's a lot of evidence to bear that out.
19:02
Speaker 1: I'm glad we're not putting the Niners in the contest. However,
19:05
Speaker 1: you're you're blaming Rodgers for that loss last week. I
19:08
Speaker 1: didn't know he was playing middle linebacker for the defense. Listen,
19:13
Speaker 1: he's not Dalvin Cook ran for a thousand yards. I'm
19:16
Speaker 1: just saying, I'm okay, um Uh. I am on the
19:22
Speaker 1: side that Aaron Rodgers isn't as good as he used
19:24
Speaker 1: to be, of course, and so I don't think like
19:27
Speaker 1: I'm with you, man. I'm saying the Niners are part
19:30
Speaker 1: of the right side here at five and a half,
19:31
Speaker 1: even without half their team playing, because I think the
19:34
Speaker 1: Packers are way overvalued. That's all I'm saying. I love you.
19:38
Speaker 1: I love you too. All right, let's get to the
19:41
Speaker 1: early games. The aforementioned Chicago Bears there five and a
19:44
Speaker 1: half point underdogs at the Titans. Everything is split here.
19:48
Speaker 1: There's no real uh, there's no real advantage and the
19:51
Speaker 1: money there's no real advantage in the bets five and
19:54
Speaker 1: a half? What are you rating this that? Simon? Wow,
19:56
Speaker 1: I'm shocked by I'm shocked people are coming in on
19:58
Speaker 1: the Titans after or that Bengals game of just everything
20:04
Speaker 1: people say about the Titans game true. Their defense can't
20:07
Speaker 1: stop anybody. They're the worst past defense in football. I
20:11
Speaker 1: know they just got Desmond King from the Chargers, but
20:14
Speaker 1: is he really going to solve all their woes? Um.
20:17
Speaker 1: The biggest reason I just won't it's hard for me
20:20
Speaker 1: to just take the Bears right now is they got
20:23
Speaker 1: more injuries on the offensive line, and it's becoming apparent
20:29
Speaker 1: where I don't know if um Nick Foles is budding
20:34
Speaker 1: heads with Naggie, but you can just tell that he
20:35
Speaker 1: some of these plays that Naggie's calling, Nick Foles just
20:38
Speaker 1: does not like. He just does not think they're smart
20:40
Speaker 1: for the situations. And come Sunday, I'm gonna be on
20:44
Speaker 1: the Bears here. This number is way too big for
20:46
Speaker 1: a Titans team that they haven't proven anyone. They should
20:50
Speaker 1: be favored by more than three and a half three
20:52
Speaker 1: against the winning team. But I would wait on this one.
20:56
Speaker 1: You need to really know what's going on this Bears
20:58
Speaker 1: offensive line because if if I know times, I'm a
21:00
Speaker 1: great a great d line. But if if he can't
21:03
Speaker 1: get any protection for Nick Foles, it's hard to back him.
21:06
Speaker 1: So I'm cool up on that one the side. But
21:08
Speaker 1: I do like the Bears here. You know, it's interesting
21:10
Speaker 1: you say that about Nick Foles. I don't disagree, like
21:16
Speaker 1: I I feel like he is lacking confidence in what
21:19
Speaker 1: Nagi is calling. And I do feel like I saw
21:22
Speaker 1: this the other day that there are times we're full
21:25
Speaker 1: said that there are times Nagy is calling a play
21:30
Speaker 1: that he knows it's not gonna work, and that looks
21:33
Speaker 1: like it's happening constantly. Also, David Montgomery is is it's
21:39
Speaker 1: just not functional, like he's a corpse. He's not hitting holes.
21:43
Speaker 1: He dances every single time he gets the ball. Um
21:46
Speaker 1: It is not a team that has any running game
21:49
Speaker 1: to speak of whatsoever. And I will say so undisciplined,
21:53
Speaker 1: like forget about what happened with the wide receiver punching
22:00
Speaker 1: the defensive back for the Saints, like every single down.
22:05
Speaker 1: It feels like there is some kind of stupid mental
22:09
Speaker 1: mistake for the Bears that they will say is born
22:13
Speaker 1: of aggressiveness, but it's really just them not functioning as
22:16
Speaker 1: a team that understands how to do the little things
22:20
Speaker 1: to keep themselves in a position to wind. You knows,
22:24
Speaker 1: be that defense should not be giving up a one
22:27
Speaker 1: minute touchdown drive at home to Drew Brees before half.
22:31
Speaker 1: That that was that's on the coach, and so I'm
22:34
Speaker 1: with you. Uh, Lions are now four point dogs. They
22:39
Speaker 1: opened his two point dogs. They are now four point
22:41
Speaker 1: dogs against the Vikings. What's interesting in this game is
22:46
Speaker 1: that the bets and the money are coming in and
22:49
Speaker 1: the Lions what say you professional better, Sigmon Hunter. Yeah,
22:55
Speaker 1: maybe maybe Vegas laner trap here, but maybe the line
23:00
Speaker 1: move too, because Kenny Gallady is supposed to be out
23:02
Speaker 1: for Detroit and now he's a big piece for the
23:03
Speaker 1: wire of receiving corps. But this game's this game feels
23:07
Speaker 1: a field goal. It's like both these teams have big,
23:10
Speaker 1: glaring weaknesses and they have all offenses that can score
23:14
Speaker 1: for the most sport, and they can keep them in games.
23:16
Speaker 1: So when I'm looking at this, something to myself. So
23:19
Speaker 1: Minnesota just got a huge road win against Green Bay.
23:24
Speaker 1: They're coming home playing a Detroit team that just lost
23:27
Speaker 1: at home, that's going on the road that most of
23:30
Speaker 1: their games they played tight, and they just got blown
23:32
Speaker 1: out Detroit at home. So for me, this is an
23:36
Speaker 1: automatic play I'm gonna ride with. I don't know if
23:38
Speaker 1: it's a public or the sharps, but I like this
23:40
Speaker 1: Detroit number, especially at plus four. I'm happy to take that.
23:44
Speaker 1: You and I are in total agreement. And I will
23:46
Speaker 1: say last week, the first game that we loved, the
23:49
Speaker 1: very first game that we love that did not get
23:51
Speaker 1: a lot of attention. It seemed like a no brainer,
23:53
Speaker 1: Like you know, as the week goes on that you
23:55
Speaker 1: can always sort of aggregate what is everybody talking about
23:58
Speaker 1: and what are the picks and blah blah blah, and
24:00
Speaker 1: like nobody loved the Colts the way we did. We
24:04
Speaker 1: loved the Colts. And I look at this and I
24:08
Speaker 1: think the Lions are the team in which I'm going
24:11
Speaker 1: to do the opposite of what happened the week before
24:13
Speaker 1: almost every week, And because the swings in the reaction
24:18
Speaker 1: from the market to the Lions are so massive, and
24:22
Speaker 1: so you're always going to get value on the opposite side.
24:25
Speaker 1: Love the Lions here, let's do it. You know who
24:29
Speaker 1: I don't I don't love at all Daniel Jones. I
24:33
Speaker 1: think Daniel Jones is getting some kind of benefit of
24:36
Speaker 1: the doubt. But he's just a bad quarterback. He is
24:39
Speaker 1: inaccurate at this point in his career. He should not
24:42
Speaker 1: be making these decisions that he makes, uh, And I
24:46
Speaker 1: have just have no faith in him that Um, he's
24:49
Speaker 1: a guy who will end up getting through a game
24:53
Speaker 1: without making a catastrophic air that is going to send
24:56
Speaker 1: me into complete disarray. So John to plus three visiting
25:01
Speaker 1: Washington right now, and I know a lot of people
25:06
Speaker 1: are gonna think like this, is a coin flip game,
25:08
Speaker 1: so they're gonna take the Giants by personally, how this
25:12
Speaker 1: at Washington minus four, And it has more to do
25:16
Speaker 1: with the fact that Washington just has such a great
25:18
Speaker 1: d line and coming off a bye week, and the
25:23
Speaker 1: fact they lost the Giants in again they probably should
25:26
Speaker 1: have won at least went to overtime in. I love it,
25:29
Speaker 1: I love I love how this line's up for the
25:31
Speaker 1: Washington football team. So I understand why people think this
25:35
Speaker 1: is good to take the three and a half the
25:36
Speaker 1: three with the Giants, But I just think they're overlooking
25:39
Speaker 1: that this Washington team, they don't really make mistakes. Kyle Allen,
25:43
Speaker 1: he just doesn't turn it over, especially at the rate
25:46
Speaker 1: like you were just saying, as the Giants do. So
25:49
Speaker 1: I'm cool with fading Daniel jalens here and just back
25:52
Speaker 1: in this Washington football team. Do you like it enough
25:55
Speaker 1: that we want to put it in the contest right
25:56
Speaker 1: now or do we want to wait? Because the money
25:58
Speaker 1: and everything's coming in on Giants right now. So right like,
26:02
Speaker 1: that's that's why I put on the side. I hope
26:04
Speaker 1: to get a better number because three, like we talk
26:06
Speaker 1: all the time, we don't want to push in this competition,
26:07
Speaker 1: we either just want to win or lose. So hopefully
26:10
Speaker 1: this goes down a two and a half and I'll
26:11
Speaker 1: happily take Washington. Here. We still have coming up the
26:16
Speaker 1: big bet, your balls better the week, I don't even
26:19
Speaker 1: know what we call that. Still big balls better the week?
26:25
Speaker 1: We got that coming up. Now. We still haven't lost
26:27
Speaker 1: one yet this year. Man, it's like four and o
26:29
Speaker 1: or five and our big balls better the week last
26:31
Speaker 1: week Broncos Broncos. That's why. That's what I mean. You
26:35
Speaker 1: need a big balls to make that bet, you dude,
26:38
Speaker 1: We needed seriously big fucking balls, all right. The h Hawks,
26:42
Speaker 1: uh three point favorites on the road at Matt Mitchell's
26:46
Speaker 1: favorite team, Western New York's pride. The Buffalo Bills. Let's go.
26:57
Speaker 1: Let's the Bills make me wanna man, short home dog traveling.
27:09
Speaker 1: All the money coming in on Seattle, all the bets
27:12
Speaker 1: coming in on Seattle, give me one good reason why
27:16
Speaker 1: we don't take the Bills here. I know it sucks.
27:18
Speaker 1: This is a professional line. This is like situation where
27:22
Speaker 1: you just you have to take the Bills. I know
27:25
Speaker 1: Josh Allen hasn't played well. I know the defense has
27:28
Speaker 1: just been atrocious and they can be run on. But
27:31
Speaker 1: oh man, I have to take the bills. It's painful.
27:35
Speaker 1: We probably won't put it in because this this, this
27:38
Speaker 1: is too too risky. Where Russy in these situations, I've
27:43
Speaker 1: just been burned by him a lot where he he'll
27:45
Speaker 1: just cover this two and a half number. But I
27:47
Speaker 1: just have to play the bills, your home dog that
27:50
Speaker 1: hasn't been playing well against a team that just had
27:52
Speaker 1: a huge divisional win coming across the country. Like you said,
27:56
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm taking the bills here. This game
27:58
Speaker 1: feels like a hornet's net. I'm walking to a fucking
28:01
Speaker 1: hornets nest, all right now, be my companion. It definitely is.
28:05
Speaker 1: We're definitely walking to a hornets nest on this one.
28:07
Speaker 1: We are walking into a goddamn hornets nest. These are
28:11
Speaker 1: murder hornets. This number is gonna go up if it
28:16
Speaker 1: crosses three, if it gets to three and a half,
28:18
Speaker 1: And right now, eight percent of the money is coming
28:20
Speaker 1: and there's a lot of bets on this game already,
28:22
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the money is coming in, and the
28:24
Speaker 1: Seahawks of the bets are coming in on the Seahawks.
28:28
Speaker 1: This game gets the three and a half. I would
28:29
Speaker 1: have no problem putting in this in the contest. I'll
28:34
Speaker 1: put it in if there's any type of weather, if
28:36
Speaker 1: we get some snow or rain, I'm with you. I'll
28:38
Speaker 1: back the Bills here. But if it's a beautiful day
28:42
Speaker 1: up in Buffalo, there's no way I can back the Bills.
28:46
Speaker 1: I can't back Josh Allen will beat the Seahawks and
28:49
Speaker 1: the shootout. So I'm with you. We can put on
28:52
Speaker 1: the side because I do love this number. Matt Mitchell,
28:54
Speaker 1: if you could check in with the Action Weather Center
28:56
Speaker 1: and let us know before the end of the podcast
28:58
Speaker 1: what the forecast is gonna be at Orkhard Park on Sunday,
29:01
Speaker 1: that would be fantastic. Next game up right, Ravens two
29:05
Speaker 1: and a half point faves on the road at Indianapolis.
29:08
Speaker 1: This one is a sticky wicket unless your rating is
29:11
Speaker 1: telling you I got this. I feel confused. Yeah, I
29:16
Speaker 1: got it at a pick, So I love the Colts.
29:19
Speaker 1: Think you're getting a good number here. I cannot believe
29:23
Speaker 1: you're gonna make us bet the Colts in this one.
29:26
Speaker 1: That's a huge difference between two and a half and pick.
29:29
Speaker 1: Getting a home dog like this, I know I just
29:34
Speaker 1: this is I don't know. I maybe maybe I'm overvaluing
29:38
Speaker 1: um the injury to the old line of the Ravens,
29:43
Speaker 1: but I just don't see how the Ravens can really
29:47
Speaker 1: move the ball against this Colts defense. And we've seen
29:52
Speaker 1: the evidence now, Lamar, He's played good teams and big spots,
29:57
Speaker 1: and he keeps not playing up to the standard we're
29:59
Speaker 1: accustomed to. Those interceptions he through last week, we're absolutely horrible.
30:03
Speaker 1: He's throwing it right to defenders. And I don't know,
30:08
Speaker 1: I'm with you, this is uh, this is this isn't
30:10
Speaker 1: my big ball is better that week. But like I
30:13
Speaker 1: have to take the Cults here. I just think this
30:15
Speaker 1: is great value and this is this is a bad
30:17
Speaker 1: spot for the Ravens. Here are the contest worthy. I
30:22
Speaker 1: feel better if we had the Colts at three and
30:23
Speaker 1: a half. So if if, if the if the public
30:26
Speaker 1: and other people keep coming in on the Ravens here
30:28
Speaker 1: and we can get it back up to three three
30:30
Speaker 1: and a half, I put it. I put it on there.
30:32
Speaker 1: Not looking that way right now, everything money is split.
30:35
Speaker 1: Public is coming in on the Ravens, so we might
30:37
Speaker 1: get lucky, but the money is staying even, right now
30:40
Speaker 1: Panthers visiting the Chiefs. They're ten and a half point underdogs,
30:44
Speaker 1: getting the money but not getting the bets. Right. This
30:48
Speaker 1: is sharp. This is a sharp play. We talked about
30:50
Speaker 1: all the time on here. Teddy is a dog. We
30:52
Speaker 1: take Teddy every time as a dog. I know the
30:55
Speaker 1: Chiefs at home. I forget the exact staff, but it's
30:58
Speaker 1: they might be like on one against the spread, something crazy.
31:02
Speaker 1: And last week it was never ending people asking me like,
31:06
Speaker 1: how can you take the Chiefs as a three point
31:09
Speaker 1: nineteen point favorite? Twenty point favorite? And that's situational. I
31:14
Speaker 1: never will take favorites that big usually, but if if
31:17
Speaker 1: I have a good reading the game, I'm saying, well,
31:18
Speaker 1: this number should be twenty three. Happy to take the
31:21
Speaker 1: Chiefs for this week. I had this game at eight
31:23
Speaker 1: and a half for the Chiefs, so eleven and a
31:26
Speaker 1: half ten and a half with Carolina Panthers. I think
31:28
Speaker 1: I'm getting three points of value. I love this play
31:31
Speaker 1: for a good backdoor. So I'm on the Panthers this week.
31:35
Speaker 1: Are we putting this in our contest? Let's put it
31:37
Speaker 1: in for right now. I love it so right now
31:40
Speaker 1: that the games that we love, we have games that
31:42
Speaker 1: we love right now. We love the Lines plus four,
31:44
Speaker 1: we love Washington minus three, but we're hoping to wait
31:48
Speaker 1: because we think it might come down a little bit.
31:50
Speaker 1: We love the Panthers plus ten and a half. And
31:52
Speaker 1: by the way, we might get the Panthers more like this.
31:56
Speaker 1: This This could be a little bit of a rocket
31:58
Speaker 1: ship as the week goes on. Like it's still very early.
32:00
Speaker 1: Not a lot of bets on this game. We got
32:02
Speaker 1: three bets that we like right now out of the
32:04
Speaker 1: early games. I do like having the early games just
32:06
Speaker 1: because it, you know, helps me set up for the
32:08
Speaker 1: rest of the day. Texans visiting the Jaguires seven point favorites.
32:16
Speaker 1: This game is the proverbial corner TV game in our
32:22
Speaker 1: virtual landscape. We will not have any interest in this
32:25
Speaker 1: game unless you do now. It's too ugly, like the
32:30
Speaker 1: pro of me. I'm gonna take the Jaguars. I know
32:33
Speaker 1: they have the new QB in there, but you can
32:35
Speaker 1: run on the Texans and the Jaguars they like to
32:37
Speaker 1: running with Robinson. And everything I've seen from the Texans
32:42
Speaker 1: is that they're not I don't know, They're not this
32:45
Speaker 1: team that I can trust to be a seven point
32:48
Speaker 1: favorite or anyone that's a lot of points for such
32:51
Speaker 1: a bad team to be lying. And Texans have already
32:55
Speaker 1: beat the Jaguars this year, So you think they're gonna
32:58
Speaker 1: beat them two times? Just here? In both times? Why
33:00
Speaker 1: I more than seven points? I just can't see it.
33:02
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Jaguars this week, even though
33:05
Speaker 1: I know they've just been horrendous of late. But I'm
33:08
Speaker 1: gonna trust the number. I take the Jackson. Do we
33:13
Speaker 1: have breaking news, breaking news from the Action Network Weather Center.
33:17
Speaker 1: This just in from producer Matt Mitchell. Uh, it is
33:21
Speaker 1: beautiful in the Paris of Western New York this weekend. Uh,
33:25
Speaker 1: it shouldn't be sixty and sunny, so we might take
33:29
Speaker 1: this game off the board for us. Yeah, that's that's scary.
33:34
Speaker 1: Also an update on the continued lack of respect I
33:39
Speaker 1: yet in my house. As every one of the podcast
33:42
Speaker 1: who listens to the podcast is aware, I broke my
33:45
Speaker 1: thumb playing football with my son over the summer. I
33:49
Speaker 1: had surgery in September. I had three pins put in it. Um.
33:53
Speaker 1: I had surgery on Monday to have two of the
33:58
Speaker 1: three pins taken out. One had already been taken out.
34:01
Speaker 1: My son texted me the other day when it was
34:04
Speaker 1: clear Gardner Minshew was not gonna be playing because we're
34:06
Speaker 1: broken thumb, and he said to me, I'll never make
34:09
Speaker 1: fun of you for your broken thumb again, because that
34:12
Speaker 1: would be disrespecting the goat. At least your kids, guys,
34:17
Speaker 1: priority straight, that's what we're talking about. I am second
34:20
Speaker 1: in line behind Gardner Minshew because he's so good on
34:23
Speaker 1: mad and all right, all right, the Broncos our favorite
34:29
Speaker 1: team in the NFL. The Broncos. I think that at
34:32
Speaker 1: one point on Sunday, I just texted you they were
34:34
Speaker 1: down three. I texted you so fucking pissed. I'm like,
34:38
Speaker 1: fucking Broncos. And I knew like we were going into
34:40
Speaker 1: a Sunday night needing Carson goddamn wins to win by
34:44
Speaker 1: seven and a half. And I'm like, are you fucking
34:47
Speaker 1: kidding me that we're gonna have to salvage what looked
34:49
Speaker 1: like a great day that we wanted to fucking skip
34:51
Speaker 1: and we're gonna end up losing on the day because
34:54
Speaker 1: of the goddamn Broncos. And then Mr professional calm cool
34:59
Speaker 1: and collect it. Fuck you, Chad, how the Broncos plus
35:05
Speaker 1: three and a half on the road of the Falcons
35:07
Speaker 1: getting the money and the bets. Oh man, Yeah, it's smart.
35:13
Speaker 1: But to make uh, why are the Falcons favored by
35:16
Speaker 1: four points around anybody? Um, don't feel great about it
35:21
Speaker 1: because we just got so incredibly lucky back in the
35:23
Speaker 1: Broncos last week, and literally Drew Lock played one quarter
35:27
Speaker 1: out of four. He showed up in the fourth quarter
35:29
Speaker 1: and that's all we needed him for it to get
35:31
Speaker 1: us that cover. But I cannot back the Falcons here
35:35
Speaker 1: after their win on Thursday night. Um, I'm happy to
35:39
Speaker 1: take the plus four, but I would not put this
35:41
Speaker 1: one in the competition. No. Wait, this is a this
35:44
Speaker 1: is a total pass for me. Total pass. But here's
35:47
Speaker 1: the thing. We got three games in that we like. Reminder,
35:50
Speaker 1: we like the lines plus four. We uh like the
35:53
Speaker 1: Panthers plus ten and a half. We tend to like
35:56
Speaker 1: Washington Football team minus three. We're just hoping the number
35:59
Speaker 1: moves a little bit more because the money is coming
36:01
Speaker 1: in on Danny Jones, uh and the New York Football Giants.
36:05
Speaker 1: All right, let's get us to the late games. We
36:08
Speaker 1: still haven't gotten to the big balls bet of the week.
36:15
Speaker 1: I feel like we should use it on the Colts.
36:16
Speaker 1: I feel bad now because I'm looking at these all lines.
36:18
Speaker 1: It's like, oh, man, I mean, we'll get to the
36:21
Speaker 1: game I wanted to use it on, but it's like,
36:22
Speaker 1: I really want to use it here because yet, let's wait,
36:27
Speaker 1: let's wait, let's see and then we can decide we
36:30
Speaker 1: are moving into the late games. So right now, the
36:33
Speaker 1: first late game on the board is the Raiders Las
36:35
Speaker 1: Vegas Raiders visiting the Chargers. You know, it used to
36:38
Speaker 1: be Ted Hendricks, you know from Oakland visiting Dan Fouts
36:42
Speaker 1: for those of you who are old enough to remember that.
36:44
Speaker 1: Instead it's the Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Los Angeles Chargers.
36:48
Speaker 1: Chargers are a one and a half point favorite. It
36:50
Speaker 1: feels like the right side. And then you said the
36:53
Speaker 1: money and the tickets are coming in on the Raiders.
36:55
Speaker 1: Money and tickets coming in on the Raiders, and the
36:57
Speaker 1: line has moved from three to one and a half.
36:59
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm with you. I mean, we we can
37:02
Speaker 1: make this the big balls by the week, because I
37:04
Speaker 1: do love the Chargers in the situation. I love the
37:06
Speaker 1: Chargers right here. People got burned last week by the Chargers,
37:10
Speaker 1: and just a classic fashion, the Raiders just had a
37:14
Speaker 1: huge blow out win on the road. Now they're coming
37:17
Speaker 1: back across country to come play the Chargers. So for me,
37:21
Speaker 1: this feels like an auto play where you can't not
37:23
Speaker 1: take the Chargers as long as it's under a field goal.
37:26
Speaker 1: I'm happy to take the Chargers here and think they
37:28
Speaker 1: can get a win here. Big balls better the week
37:34
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers minus one and a half. For now
37:38
Speaker 1: we might get it like. I like it a lot.
37:44
Speaker 1: You know what I don't like Steelers two touchdown favorites
37:47
Speaker 1: on the road at the Cowboys pass, just pass you coward,
37:52
Speaker 1: you fuck you, you cower. What did you say? It's
37:57
Speaker 1: my nerves, sir. I just can't stand you anymore. Yeah,
38:00
Speaker 1: you're just a goddamn color. I won't have songs of
38:04
Speaker 1: we're afraid to fight staking of this place of honor.
38:07
Speaker 1: Hear me, goddamn cold. Yeah, we can pass it. And
38:12
Speaker 1: this would be the third Strade road game for the Steelers.
38:15
Speaker 1: So they've just beat the Titans, they just went and
38:18
Speaker 1: beat the Ravens. Now they're coming down to Dallas to
38:21
Speaker 1: play arguably one of the worst football teams we've ever seen. Uh, professionally,
38:27
Speaker 1: you should always take the Cowboys here, But as an
38:31
Speaker 1: idiot that I am. I'm gonna take the Steelers and
38:33
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna keep fading this Cowboys team. It's just
38:36
Speaker 1: I don't think they have adjusted enough. I think without
38:39
Speaker 1: Dak this point, this should be a twenty point spread
38:42
Speaker 1: of them at home, because what do we know about
38:44
Speaker 1: the Steelers defense? One of the top units on football.
38:47
Speaker 1: They might give up yards, but they get turnovers and
38:49
Speaker 1: they're staunch in the red zone. So in my mind,
38:53
Speaker 1: if we just get a half decent effort from the
38:55
Speaker 1: Steelers here and they don't just sleep walk through this game,
38:57
Speaker 1: I can see them covering this number. But I'm with you,
38:59
Speaker 1: I would not put this in the competition. Listen, you
39:04
Speaker 1: don't bet against the news, you know what I'm saying.
39:09
Speaker 1: I don't know if you watch that game the other
39:11
Speaker 1: day against I did because we had it in the
39:14
Speaker 1: competition and we needed it and we got lucky at
39:17
Speaker 1: the end there. But listen, if you listen to the announcers,
39:21
Speaker 1: ben Nucci's figuring it out. You can see it in
39:24
Speaker 1: his eyes. The game is slowing down. He so knows
39:26
Speaker 1: what are you doing now? And then he gets sacked
39:30
Speaker 1: eight times, gives up a fumble that gets us the
39:32
Speaker 1: lock like that was idiotic. Some of the commentary. I'm
39:37
Speaker 1: ben do Nucci figuring it out and the game slowing
39:41
Speaker 1: down for him. And also, I don't think people are
39:44
Speaker 1: considering enough people that are saying we got lucky. We
39:46
Speaker 1: also got Doug Peterson. This man literally gave the Cowboys
39:50
Speaker 1: six points. He kept going for it on his own
39:53
Speaker 1: side or on their side at the fifth yard line
39:55
Speaker 1: on fourth down they get stopped. Cowboys were getting maybe
39:59
Speaker 1: one or two first downs, and then Gregg the leg
40:00
Speaker 1: would kick a field goal. So I know people think
40:03
Speaker 1: we got lucky that the games hadn't even been close.
40:05
Speaker 1: That was just a terrible, terrible game altogether by the
40:08
Speaker 1: Eagles team. We got saved by good Eagles defense. But
40:11
Speaker 1: I'm with you if you're if you're the smartest guy
40:14
Speaker 1: in the room, you've been taking the Cowboys every week
40:15
Speaker 1: and the Jets every week, You're not the smartest guy
40:18
Speaker 1: in the room. You're just an asshole at this point.
40:19
Speaker 1: So I don't want to take the Cowboys on this one.
40:24
Speaker 1: Fighting words from Simon Hunter. My favorite football team the
40:27
Speaker 1: past two years is the Miami Dolphins. They have won
40:30
Speaker 1: us more money. I didn't even bet the Dolphins against
40:33
Speaker 1: spread this past weekend. We had him in the contest.
40:35
Speaker 1: I bet him on the money line. That's how I
40:37
Speaker 1: roll m L. Money line Millman, that's what they call me.
40:43
Speaker 1: Now you're a legend. Legend. Dolphins are four and a
40:46
Speaker 1: half point road dogs this week against the Cardinals. I
40:50
Speaker 1: feel like this is a tricky spot. Though tricky spot,
40:54
Speaker 1: but the same reason I was cool with you talking
40:58
Speaker 1: me into taking the Rams last week the same reason
41:00
Speaker 1: this week. It's this Dolphins secondary is one of the
41:04
Speaker 1: most underrated units on all football. They are arguably have
41:08
Speaker 1: two top eight cornerbacks, and when I'm looking at this game,
41:13
Speaker 1: I think to myself, what do we know about the Cardinals.
41:16
Speaker 1: They can't really run the ball, they're past heavy team,
41:18
Speaker 1: and it looks like the Dolphins just aren't gonna have
41:22
Speaker 1: two to do too much. Last week, they just dumbed
41:24
Speaker 1: the game down because they just got two defensive touchdowns
41:27
Speaker 1: and a quick return touchdown. So it makes me a
41:30
Speaker 1: little worried. Here. We're buying high a little bit on
41:32
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, but I don't think the number is too
41:35
Speaker 1: bad plus four and a half. I know there'll be
41:37
Speaker 1: a public dog this week, but I feel comfortable taking
41:40
Speaker 1: the Dolphins here in the game that I got as
41:41
Speaker 1: a field goal. So I'm happy back in the Dolphins
41:44
Speaker 1: this week. We are as they say, we're going back
41:50
Speaker 1: into the tank. Set it back to the well back
41:54
Speaker 1: because you know, dolphins like in Aquaria. Thank, get it,
42:00
Speaker 1: get it, got it, not good, get it. Get Jesus.
42:04
Speaker 1: That was cold cold alright. Saints and the Buccaneers. The
42:10
Speaker 1: Saints are five and a half point underdogs on the road.
42:14
Speaker 1: This number has moved up from four and a half
42:16
Speaker 1: to five and a half. And yet and yet this
42:19
Speaker 1: is a this is this is a prose. Joe's The
42:21
Speaker 1: numbers moved up because the bets have come in on
42:23
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. But the money's come in on the Saints.
42:28
Speaker 1: So the the tickets are coming in on the Saints ticket,
42:31
Speaker 1: No tickets are coming in on the box. Money is
42:34
Speaker 1: coming in on the Saints. Oh wow. Um, I'm shocked
42:39
Speaker 1: by that. I mean, I know the Buccaneers they played
42:41
Speaker 1: a really bad game against the Giants, but that was
42:43
Speaker 1: well overdue. They played two games in a row just flawlessly,
42:46
Speaker 1: and they were due for a letdown game, especially when
42:48
Speaker 1: they're looking ahead to this game. I can't the Saints. Man,
42:53
Speaker 1: they just I don't like it. I haven't liked what
42:56
Speaker 1: I've seen the last couple of weeks. Drew Brees, I
42:58
Speaker 1: don't like what I'm seeing from him. I don't like
43:00
Speaker 1: it either. I still know Michael Thomas still, like Sayinger
43:03
Speaker 1: has been out with COVID. It's we're in a point
43:07
Speaker 1: here where in this Buccaneers game. I hate that it's
43:10
Speaker 1: such a high spread, but I feel comfortable taken when
43:12
Speaker 1: I had to set six and a half for the Buccaneers.
43:14
Speaker 1: So in my mind, I'm getting a Buccaneers team that
43:18
Speaker 1: played a really bad game that I know they won
43:21
Speaker 1: by the skin of their teeth and it came down
43:23
Speaker 1: to two point conversion. But I just see them rebounding
43:26
Speaker 1: really big here at home in a primetime game with Brady.
43:29
Speaker 1: So I feel comfortable taking minus five and a half.
43:32
Speaker 1: You're the Buccaneers, you feel contest comfortable or you just
43:36
Speaker 1: feel comfortable like as it better. Um, that's tough to say.
43:43
Speaker 1: I love you know what. Yeah, let's put that in
43:45
Speaker 1: for right now. I do love it. It's been killing
43:47
Speaker 1: me these Sunday nights, though, because, like you just said,
43:49
Speaker 1: we gotta stay up until whatever it is eleven thirty twelve,
43:53
Speaker 1: and then I get up at four in the morning
43:54
Speaker 1: and start working on the next week. It is brutal,
43:56
Speaker 1: but in this situation here, like I just would Eagles
44:00
Speaker 1: last week, I feel like this is a good number
44:02
Speaker 1: for a primetime game with a favorite, So I'm comfortable.
44:04
Speaker 1: I'm with it. Let's take the Buccaneers. Listen, brother, listen.
44:09
Speaker 1: I do not if if the excuse we need to
44:13
Speaker 1: not take the Bucks is that we can't stay up
44:16
Speaker 1: with you. Listen, Like the fact I was up till
44:20
Speaker 1: two o'clock in the morning for the election stuff, and
44:23
Speaker 1: the Action Network editorial team UM was working until six am,
44:28
Speaker 1: and we had a meeting at midnight to go over
44:33
Speaker 1: our staffing plans because we saw like how crazy the
44:36
Speaker 1: night was going to be and want to make sure
44:38
Speaker 1: we were able to cover it all through the night.
44:40
Speaker 1: And like the the response I got from being able
44:44
Speaker 1: to stay up until midnight and be available to even say, hey,
44:48
Speaker 1: maybe we should talk about this was overwhelming. So there's
44:52
Speaker 1: no way I want to stay up to watch a
44:53
Speaker 1: game that I actually have to bet on UM, So
44:56
Speaker 1: I'm happy to not put it in just for that.
44:59
Speaker 1: Well put on the side. Well, because the worst worst case,
45:02
Speaker 1: you can just go back to you can go to
45:03
Speaker 1: bed at halftime. I'll just be the one sweating. I can't.
45:06
Speaker 1: I can't do it that way. I gotta sweat it.
45:08
Speaker 1: I gotta know I had to sweat. Listen, We're in
45:12
Speaker 1: thirty eight place in the Draft Kings contest. And the
45:15
Speaker 1: only reason I know that is because you had told
45:17
Speaker 1: me and Matt Mitchell earlier in the day that we
45:19
Speaker 1: were top forty uh with our finish and then if
45:23
Speaker 1: the bucks covered the bucks didn't cover, we would be
45:26
Speaker 1: um moving up the chains, and so like I had
45:29
Speaker 1: to stay up just for that, Like, and I had
45:31
Speaker 1: had surgery that day. Yeah, And it's funny the Top
45:35
Speaker 1: competition guys a lot of these guys. Every week, if
45:39
Speaker 1: you go through their picks, all they're doing is fading
45:41
Speaker 1: the Cowboys and the Jets with two of their picks,
45:43
Speaker 1: and then the three other picks they have left over
45:46
Speaker 1: either go two favorites and one dog or two dogs
45:48
Speaker 1: and one favorite. And it's been like, like I want
45:51
Speaker 1: to say, at the top fifty of the people. On
45:55
Speaker 1: Monday night played the Buccaneers, which was I'm not trying
45:58
Speaker 1: to say it was a stupid bet by then, but like,
46:00
Speaker 1: come on, so like in my mind it gives me confidence.
46:03
Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, these guys are kind of amateur.
46:05
Speaker 1: They're making amateur bets here. So right now we're mean,
46:09
Speaker 1: you're sitting. If we can just keep like like we
46:11
Speaker 1: talk all the time our our bed weeks or two
46:12
Speaker 1: and three, we're gonna we're gonna be in the top
46:15
Speaker 1: fifty come weeks sixteen. So I'm really excited right now.
46:18
Speaker 1: All right, the last game is the Patriots and the Jets.
46:20
Speaker 1: The Patriots are seven point favorites. This team's trash. The
46:23
Speaker 1: Jets are trash. Neither of us want to be able
46:26
Speaker 1: to want to spend our Monday night. Like to me,
46:29
Speaker 1: that Monday night, I'm circling that. That's when I'm finishing
46:32
Speaker 1: the Queen's gam But on Nextflix, I am not watching
46:35
Speaker 1: this game. Trash trash game. Uh bet in the Patriots
46:40
Speaker 1: just because I'm just gonna keep fading the Jets. It's
46:42
Speaker 1: just been good to me, and I can't give you
46:45
Speaker 1: a good read on it had this number at seven,
46:47
Speaker 1: so technically you're getting good value on the Jets. But
46:50
Speaker 1: I don't care taking Cam on the road against this
46:53
Speaker 1: horrible Jets team. All right, we're gonna get to the
46:56
Speaker 1: phrase that pay is. We're gonna announce our winner. We're
46:58
Speaker 1: gonna announce that we're giving the money away a charity again. Um,
47:01
Speaker 1: but we are through the board and first but first
47:05
Speaker 1: survivor contest. Oh, yes, survivor. We continue to survive because
47:10
Speaker 1: we had the Bucks last week. We were doing it
47:13
Speaker 1: and we talk all the time. We started with over
47:15
Speaker 1: half a million people. We are down below sixteen thousand
47:19
Speaker 1: people left. Yeah, and uh, there were those people are
47:25
Speaker 1: praying for that Bucks loss because that was thirty five
47:29
Speaker 1: of our pick pulls in that Bucks game, So that
47:31
Speaker 1: would have been huge for the other contestants of the
47:33
Speaker 1: Bucks would have lost that game. But as always mean,
47:36
Speaker 1: Chad prevail because we are the greatest of all time.
47:41
Speaker 1: I don't know if I have to check. I don't
47:43
Speaker 1: think we've taken Pittsburgh yet. That feels like the smart
47:45
Speaker 1: play this week. You get Pittsburgh either way in that
47:48
Speaker 1: tough division, we'll put them on there. And then the
47:51
Speaker 1: other play, which was risky, would be New England. We're
47:55
Speaker 1: just there's no other situation. The rest of you. You're
47:57
Speaker 1: gonna take us terrible New England team can't do it.
48:00
Speaker 1: That's terrible. That's a terrible idea. Terrible idea. So you're
48:04
Speaker 1: head from the man himself. We're just gonna lock in
48:07
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh first. I'll put out a poll anyway because it's
48:10
Speaker 1: fun seeing how people vote. But yeah, we'll lock in
48:13
Speaker 1: the Steelers for Survivor. Brilliant. I love it. I totally
48:16
Speaker 1: love it. Here's our round up right now, Steelers for
48:18
Speaker 1: Survivor poolled. We love the Lions plus four. We're gonna
48:23
Speaker 1: keep an eye in Washington minus three. We're hoping it drops.
48:26
Speaker 1: We are going to take the Bills off our list
48:29
Speaker 1: unless we can get them at three and a half.
48:31
Speaker 1: Right now, there are two and a half, but the
48:32
Speaker 1: weather in the Paris of western New York looks a
48:34
Speaker 1: little too nice for us to feel good at less
48:36
Speaker 1: than a field goal. We like the Colts, but we
48:38
Speaker 1: want that at three and a half against the Ravens.
48:41
Speaker 1: We like the Panthers a plus ten and a half.
48:43
Speaker 1: The Big balls better than week Chargers minus one and
48:49
Speaker 1: a half against against the Raiders. We're hoping that moves
48:51
Speaker 1: a little bit more. We also like Miami plus four
48:54
Speaker 1: and a half, so I think our five, our four
48:58
Speaker 1: right now for sure, Lion Panthers Chargers Fins, Lions Panthers
49:05
Speaker 1: Chargers Fins. And then we got a couple that we're
49:07
Speaker 1: waiting on. I love the man. We got a couple
49:09
Speaker 1: of good dogs and a couple of short home favorites.
49:12
Speaker 1: This feels like a really good weekend. Come Sunday, you're
49:15
Speaker 1: gonna at text me and say should we do the
49:16
Speaker 1: bye once again? I'm gonna be like, I love this board.
49:19
Speaker 1: It's gonna be hard to take a bye a week
49:20
Speaker 1: this week, but well we will let the fans know
49:22
Speaker 1: if we do take a bye, of course, but this
49:24
Speaker 1: feels this feels a good week. The problem is we're
49:27
Speaker 1: gonna feel good every week, so like because we're hot.
49:29
Speaker 1: We're hot right now, we're geniuses, like you don't want
49:32
Speaker 1: to get off this train, and so loving is this good?
49:35
Speaker 1: You know what I'm saying? All Right, it's time for
49:38
Speaker 1: the phrase that pays. Last week, we as fans to
49:40
Speaker 1: rate review the podcast. Those who did and use the
49:42
Speaker 1: winning phrase in the review were eligible to win up
49:45
Speaker 1: to five dollars and and have us match their winnings
49:51
Speaker 1: for any charity of their choice. We had loads and
49:54
Speaker 1: loads of reviews, seriously ridiculous number of views and they
49:57
Speaker 1: are so good. Um, you're doing another phrase to pay
50:01
Speaker 1: his contest from now through the end of the season.
50:03
Speaker 1: The winner earns a hundred dollars for every win Simon
50:05
Speaker 1: and I have in the contest. We're going to match
50:08
Speaker 1: go rate and review the podcast using the phrase Simon says,
50:12
Speaker 1: you win, we give. Simon says, you win, we give,
50:16
Speaker 1: and we will randomly choose the winner to get that
50:18
Speaker 1: cash and that charity match. The winner of last week's
50:23
Speaker 1: contest winning the cash and then telling us which charity
50:27
Speaker 1: he liked to send it to is Chris Jenkins. Here's
50:30
Speaker 1: his review. Another banning banner week for the gambling savants
50:36
Speaker 1: Chad and Simon. Although you maide this Bob Scucci making
50:39
Speaker 1: a line change line change on the pod, Simon Hunter
50:44
Speaker 1: has seamlessly stepped in the last two years. Not only
50:47
Speaker 1: is my wallet fuller, but I'm surprised to say Chad
50:50
Speaker 1: Moman's gambling abilities have also increased. Simon says, we love
50:55
Speaker 1: winning bing ming ming ming ming so much they decided
50:58
Speaker 1: to share the doe with loyal listeners. By the way,
51:01
Speaker 1: shout out to Matt Mitchell for convincing the boys to
51:04
Speaker 1: give the good karma, payout on that brutal Brown's loss,
51:08
Speaker 1: and keep the five star reviews coming so he can
51:11
Speaker 1: finally sleep soundly as the podcast flies up. The rankings,
51:15
Speaker 1: Chris Jenkins, you hit every KPI that we look for
51:18
Speaker 1: reviews rankings. Matt Mitchell, you are our winner of four dollars.
51:25
Speaker 1: You need to get in touch with Matt Mitchell Matt
51:27
Speaker 1: dot Mitchell at Action network dot com, or we'll reach
51:31
Speaker 1: out to you on Twitter via the d M so
51:33
Speaker 1: that we can find out which charity you want to
51:35
Speaker 1: send that money to. I love it and I tell
51:38
Speaker 1: people that keep the enemy um like this. I had
51:42
Speaker 1: this guy named Connery. I mean he was telling me
51:44
Speaker 1: that we helped him. Like so basically he's been trying
51:47
Speaker 1: to get an engagement rank for to propose to his
51:50
Speaker 1: fiancee and he won enough money off our picks to
51:56
Speaker 1: get an engagement rank to give to this curl. So
51:58
Speaker 1: he's doing He did it this this weekend and said,
52:01
Speaker 1: then man write that as a review. Chad's gonna love
52:03
Speaker 1: that story. So he's an idiot. You just lost that
52:06
Speaker 1: on four year eyes by. Just tell me my d
52:07
Speaker 1: M s where he should just write that review man,
52:09
Speaker 1: because that's awesome. We're helping get engagement ranks. Chad Simon,
52:13
Speaker 1: you got a d M and back, and we're bringing
52:16
Speaker 1: him on the podcast. Matt Mitchell's whole job is because
52:19
Speaker 1: he emailed me and said he liked the podcast, and
52:22
Speaker 1: we started talking and then he gave up his whole
52:24
Speaker 1: life to go get a degree in audio storytelling. It's Syracuse.
52:27
Speaker 1: We need a six whee old baby and a young wife,
52:30
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden he's working at the Action Network.
52:33
Speaker 1: Follow your Dreams, kids, This has been the favorite from
52:36
Speaker 1: the Action Network guy. I'm Chad Millman. He used Simon
52:38
Speaker 1: Hunter download from Apple, podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get
52:41
Speaker 1: your podcasts. Until next time, Allow your dreams, kids. Love you.