Latest / Toadstool Sports / MLB + WNBA Dildo Props + NFL Preseason Best Bets Thursday 8/7/25

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MLB + WNBA Dildo Props + NFL Preseason Best Bets Thursday 8/7/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: my bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: can possibly have, act with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday it did not go well for me. Ohn five.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for better
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: off dead.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: This is Thursday.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Gotta get one earphone off, man, because I don't really
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: need the earphones for this. Just I am monitoring my
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: own voice. But like, I don't know, man, I just can't.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I can't deal with and I've like tonights in my
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: left ear, so it's a whole thing.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Man. I basically like, I don't know.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I think I talked too loudly unless I like, at
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: least have one ear exposed.
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: We were two and one on the show yesterday. I
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: apologized for the being busy in the middle of the
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: day yesterday so I couldn't get those afternoon plays out
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: on Instagram. At least one of the ones that was
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: a winner Miami. I was too late to get it
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: out on an Instagram. But of course you guys watched
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: the show this morning. Whatever saw my tweets? You had
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: that as a play. It was looking like we were
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: gonna go three and oh yesterday, man, we had Cleveland
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: of the Mets that went under in the first five innings.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: It was three to nothing at the end of the fifth,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: and then the full game went under. I think it
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: was four to one finals something like that. So the
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Bullpens actually did well. The full game was actually easier
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to hit the under than the first five, I guess,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: but that was a cash either way, you did it.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: Miami got the win against Houston. They held on.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: I think they had a six to two lead at
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: one point in that game something like that, and what
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: up six to four, So we got that one done
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: as well, and the Atlanta.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: Braves could kiss my ass.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Basically, Spencer Strider had an awful start and not what
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: I expected at all in that game. Expected the Braves
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: to do a little bit better offensively than they did
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: to their offense didn't really do anything until later in
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: the game. They actually almost were able to somehow come
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: back in that game, so full game it would have
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: been a little bit more interesting. But if the Bets
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: gonna lose, then I prefer to lose early, so and
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: more in obvious fashion, like, don't even tease me, man.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: So the Braves obviously did not get there in the
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: first five and it was looking like it was going
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: to I was like, we're having a three and oh day, baby.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: The Braves are up one and nothing. I'm like, all right,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: here we go. Then it was one to one.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I'm like, all right, well, they're at home, so they
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: could still get this done. Nope. Then they just Strider
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: just imploded in.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: The fourth inning, I think, and maybe the fifth as well,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: and then it was all over. I think it was
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: five to one at that point, and the Braves actually
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: caught it to five to four by the end of
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: the game. But we had the first five loser either way,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: but again, I'll take.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: The more obvious loser.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have any best bets today, man, I
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: am just gonna do a rundown of everything that we
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: have today.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: There's not a lot going on.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: There are only four baseball games, there's DOUBLEBA, and there's
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: NFL preseason. I don't think anything rises to the level
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: of being a play for me.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: And as I keep pointing out, I'm just giving out picks.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: I'm giving out the bets that I would make if
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: I was actually betting right now because I am, you know,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: trying to be a little bit more conservative with funds for.
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: The time being.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Let's go to WNBA man, and I'll talk about what
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: you guys want me to talk about after I break
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: down the actual games.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: Atlanta at Chicago.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: All these games are actually kind of late eight pm
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: and then ten pm Eastern for these games. Everybody knows
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's one of the better teams in the league.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: Man in Chicago is terrible.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: Chicago's dealing with injuries as well, So we don't even
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: know exactly who's going to be in and out of
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: the lineup for Chicago here. Angel Reese has been injured.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: Looks like she is probably not playing in this game.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: She's listed as still being out. We have a bunch
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: of players, game time decisions for Chicago. Obviously, Atlanta has
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: to be the favorite. They're up from ten to ten
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: and a half here Atlanta. I mean it's possible the
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: overlook Chicago a little bit though. We've a three game
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: win streak for them going on the road now to
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: face Chicago. They are doing it with momentum in Atlanta
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: is probably still gonna try to win some of these games.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Because they're only one game out of first place now
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: in the Eastern Conference. But will they take Chicago Seriously,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: It's kind of hard to do that when you know
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: that Reese is out in Chicago hasn't been playing that well.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Chicago might actually be in the better momentum spot a
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: little bit, and they're in the better travel spot because
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home. But what they did is they
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: just broke a long lost streak that they had. Man,
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I did lost eight nine games in a row, whatever
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: that was. Whenever you have a long streak like that
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: and the streak ends, whether it's good or bad, whatever
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: that result is can kind of carry over into the
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: next game. So I think this might be a new
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: momentum starter for Chicago. So I would slightly lean to
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Chicago in that game. Certainly would
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: not be a playout one. You can go to the
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: game for five bucks man and looking at these three
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: games here, Man, if there's gonna be a dildo thrown
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: in one of these games, it's gonna probably be in Chicago,
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Warren Phoenix, because we've seen it happen in both of
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: those locations already, So it's probably gonna be one of
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: those two games, Andrew, what's up, man, I'll pretend that
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: that's a green egg plant, that's true. Yeah, but anyway, Yeah,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised that this is actually the game that
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: has the lowest ticket price. You would think it would
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: be Connecticut in LA because why would anybody want to
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: go to that game? And that is the highest low
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: ticket price whatever, which.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: Is still like nothing.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, dude, nobody cares about these games, Like nobody
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: even really wants to go to the games. What's the
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: most hilarious thing is that the betting handle since bet online,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: which I'm gonna get to I have the tab up
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: bet online, they started putting out dildo props. I think
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: after the first or second dildo occurrence happened and now
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: we've had three, they put out bets on the dildos,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: and the handle in the at the sports books has
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: been greater on the dildos than on the actual WNBA games,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous, but I mean makes sense. I mean,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: that's what everybody's talking about. Could really kind of be
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: the best thing for the WNBA. Just turn into a
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: joke and at least you know people will watch you
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: for that reason.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: Connecticut at LA.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Speaking of jokes, I actually think LA is kind of
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot in a way though, because they
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: are coming up two big wins over Seattle in Indiana,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: though it was Indiana without Kaitlyn Clark because she remains out.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: So something needs to get people's eyes on the WNBA, right,
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: So maybe it's a conspiracy. Oh, Caitlin Clark is out,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Let's start throwing dildos and then people will start watching
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: the WNBA.
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Could be that, I don't know, but yeah, LA did
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: win those last two games.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: They're facing a Connecticut team that they already just being
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: on the road not that long ago, by fifteen points,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: so they might not pay a whole lot of attention
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: to Connecticut here, and people looking at that might say, well,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: if they won by fifteen on the road, this is easy, right.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: They're only laying nine now at home, down from eleven
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: and a half to nine, so there's been some significant
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: movement actually towards the Connecticut side, and I do agree
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: with it.
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: It would be the strongest.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Lean that I have in the WNBA today, although I'm
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: not gonna play it, but it is a little bit
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: of a road revenge spot for Connecticut. They are already traveling,
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: so they were already in Phoenix, so they don't have
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: a ton of travel here between Phoenix and LA and.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Did lose both of those games.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: They've been playing a little bit more competitively recently, so
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: maybe we'll get something out of Connecticut there and then
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Indiana still without Caitlin Clark at Phoenix, Phoenix has been
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: playing decent. Phoenix is actually a pretty good home team.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: They're on a two game win streak here. They actually
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: returned home and they didn't suffer the return home distraction
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: spot against that very very weak Connecticut team.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: They still won pretty easily.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: Announce their second game back home doesn't really look like
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot to me for Phoenix. Indiana is playing
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: a fourth straight road game and they just lost a
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: long win streak despite not having Kaitlyn Clark. Indiana was
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: playing pretty well, man, they'd won five games in a row,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: and then they finally lost a game at LA and again,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: you lose a win streak like that, sometimes that loss
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: hangs you over into the next game. So I would
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: slightly leant to Phoenix in this game, but the money
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: seems to disagree, as Phoenix is down.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: From six to four. So we'll see what happens in
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: those games.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: But if I was gonna recommend to play on any
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: of them, it would be grabbing the points with Connecticut,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: although I know the line is not where it once
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: was in that game. And then we have this article
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: about bet online here you could still bet on these things.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: When the third dildo came down, you could bet on
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: the color of the doldo. You could bet on what
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: the first thing like, whoever was the first person to
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: touch it, what they did with the dildo, whether they
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: picked it up or kicked it, you could bet on that.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: And you could bet on which side of the court
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: it landed on. So I think it landed on the
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: home side, which was at Actually I believe it was
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: at LA. So maybe maybe the La game will be
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: the dildo game.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: Was it La?
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: I lose track, man, I think it was because it
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: was that La Indiana game I'm pretty sure is where
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: the doldo happened. It was definitely Indiana because the doldo
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: actually hit Sophie Cunningham, who is my favorite WNBA player
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: at this point, by the way, not just because I
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: think she's hot, but she was the one that tweeted
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: out like stop throwing dildos, You're gonna get us hurt
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: or something like that. Crazy, that's a real tweet. And
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: then I think somebody actually intentionally probably threw the dildo
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: in her direction and she kicked it. So if you
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: had bet on any of that, the kick one landing
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: on the home side one and it was green again,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: So all three dildos have been green so far. In
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: that one again, and now you can bet on various
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: things again. You can bet on who the first person
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: to touch the fourth dildo will be, whether it's a
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: ref an employee, a player, coach fan. I think probably
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: it seems to me like the either ref or arena
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: employee would have to be the way to go there,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: because I know Sophie Conningham was the first person that
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: touched the third one. So getting the player at plus
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: two hundred actually seems like if you have been online,
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you do, but it seems like
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: a player at plus two hundred seems too tempting to me, right, like, oh,
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: you get too want odds on what happened with the
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: last dildo. There's a reason why it's only plus two hundred, man,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: So I would go with either the ref or the
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: arena employee on that one. Don't really know which one
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be. Probably the ref would actually be more likely.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's why the odds are the way that
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: they are. But probably ref would be what would happen
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: because the ref is on the court.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: The arena employee probably isn't.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: As close to where the action is at the time,
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: so it would probably be a ref unless the ref
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: is like, I'm not touching that dildo.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know where that's been.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: And that's the thing, right, because I don't know what's
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: gonna happen with these bets now because the WNBA actually
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: now is not allowing bags into the games at all.
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: So usually the.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: Bags get you know, inspected, checked, and then people come in,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: which I don't know how when a bag gets inspected,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: how a neon green dildo gets through, But it's like
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: the tsa man, everything gets through. So now people, you know,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna try to bring a doldo in, they're
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: gonna have to do it in their butts. But you know,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: to carry on the trend, people have done crazier things,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: I think, So who's gonna be the next hero. Who knows, man,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: we saw the dude that through the third dildo is
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: this like fat, long haired, eighteen year old, like basement
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: dwelling looking dude.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: He's an incell man.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: But that guy, I mean, he's in jail right now,
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: so he won't be able to do it. But if
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: he wants to bring a Doldo to the next game
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: in whatever city's in, which I think he's in La
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: or whatever, you gotta hide it in your buttthole.
• 12:24
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: That's the only way you can bet on the color
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: which green versus not green. Green is at minus two
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: fifty because of course, every one of the first three
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: has been green, and there was another green one in
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: the stands I guess in the previous game, so there
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: was almost a fourth green dildo.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: That's why the green is favored.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: But you gotta think people are still gonna be betting
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: green because it's been green every single time. At some point,
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: somebody's probably gonna switch it up and toss a different doldo,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: especially if people are trying to sneak the dildo in.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: It might be black, you know what I mean. So
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: then you can bet on these other colors here. If
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: it's not green, this bet becomes you know active. Basically
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: if you bet on this non green one. I think
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: if a green doldo gets thrown, your BET's just gonna
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: push like it won't happen, because that would be the
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: fourth doldo will be green. But if it's any other color,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: this bet would happen a blue for some reason as
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: the best of the lowest odds a plus one hundred.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know why, but you would think black brown
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: would be the right way to go there at three
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: to one, because again black, I think would be the
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: easiest to sneak through, even though a black one is
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be bigger, so you gotta keep that in mind too.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: So maybe white Caucasian is a little bit of value.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: There at plus six hundred. I love how they specify either.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: White or Caucasian because it could be like literally a
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: white dildo, or it could just be you know, the
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: white skin color dildo, which is a very typical, uh
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: you know, it's.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: The most lifelike dildo color.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: So the Caucasian doldo not Caucasian, which that would be
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: an easy one to sneak in. An Asian dildo. You
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: could sneak that one in your pocket, man, that would
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: be easy. They have you empty your pockets though, sir,
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: what is that? Oh it's a key chain.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so I don't know, man, So I think you
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: could see some There might be some value the six
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: to one on the white Caucasian, to be honest, or again,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: black brown at plus three hundred, because I think it
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: might be easier to sneak the.
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: Black one in.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: You can kind of hide it a little bit, even
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: though the black ones tend to be big. But if
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: you find a regular sized black dobldough, you know, that
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: might be the way to go there. I love how
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: we're talking about dildos on the betting show. Now, man,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about MLB here. Now, I know the fun
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: fun is over. I should have saved the doldo to
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: the end. But do we really care about NBA WNBA?
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: A's at Washington are finishing their series here. Washington won
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: the game yesterday two to one, after they lost the
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: first game of the series badly six to seven. Washington
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: had lost seven games in a row, I believe is
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: what that is prior to that, So maybe Washington has
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum now after getting that game,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: maybe that'll propel them forward a little bit. I mean,
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: this is really the this is the dregs though here man.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: I mean this is the afternoon game at twelve oh
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: five Eastern. Two of the worst teams in baseball to
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: some extent. I mean they're not as bad as you
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: know Pittsburgh, Chicago, White Socks, Colorado, but A's Washington. I
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: mean this is an ugly matchup. I mean they're two
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: of the worst bullpens at the very least. The A's
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: have some pretty exciting hitters, though Nick Kurtz likely to
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: be Rookie of the Year.
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Zachs Eucless is Greek, right, not Italian, so that's definitely
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: not my name. I am a fan of Euculus, though
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: his career was ended short man because of all his injuries.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: Definitely liked him as a Red Sox player. He was
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: a grinder man. He drew a lot of walks.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: A's Washington. Again, bullpens are terrible in this matchup. What
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: I clicked on Atlanta, The A's used two relief pitchers yesterday,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: so not a lot of bullpen usage there.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: Four for Washington.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: So Washington is at the bullpen disadvantage here in this game,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: at the very least, I think the A's would have.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: A bullpen advantage.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Is never the case, but it might be in this game, which,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: by the way, Mason Miller, their closer.
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: They traded over to San Diego. The other night.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: He gave up a home run on a one hundred
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: and four mile an hour fastball, which I guess was
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: the fastest pitch to be hit for a home run,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: either this season or in Major League history. I forget
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: what it was, but Guriel on Arizona took that one yard.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: He connected man with the one oh four mile an
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: hour fastball from Mason Miller.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: These MLB hitters, man, they.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Can crank the fastball like they can catch up to
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: it and if they make contact with it, it could
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: go I've been anyway back to this game.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: Jacob Lopez is pitching for the A's.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: He's been really up and down a three point nine
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: to ninety ra this year, one point three to four whip.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: He's been worse on the road, which is pretty surprising
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: because that a stadium has always point out is really
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: really horrific to pitch in very hitter from the park.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: But four point nine to six, Roady. I, so Lopez
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: has actually been worse on the road. He hasn't given
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: up a run over his last two starts, which is
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: pretty good, but only combined for nine and the third
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: innings across those two starts, so it starts looking a
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: little less good. And then you see why that was
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: the case. He threw ninety five pitches in each start
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: because he was just walking a ton of guys. He
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: walks six guys and struck out nine over that span,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: so that's too many walks. His walk rate is definitely
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: too high right now. I don't know if we could
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: really totally trust lopezl the Washington's never seen him before,
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: so maybe Lopez is a little bit of an edge
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: there against Washington's offense, just because they're totally unfamiliar with them.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: They kind of have to try to figure him out. Lopez,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: by the way, not a guy that throws hard, although
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: his off speed stuff does seem.
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: To have the ability to fool major league hitters. Mitchell
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: Parker is pitching for Washington.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: He has not been good this year five point three
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: five ERA one point four to seven, Whip a little
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: bit better at home four point seven to seven ERA,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: so he's at least respectable, but his.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Last start was anything but respectable.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: He got bombed by the Brewers and four innings, twelve
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: hits allowed, eight Aron runs. Absolutely horrendous performance from him. Uh,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: I would say he's not a good form right now,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: made he's pitching, okay, the prior to starts, A's don't
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: have a whole lot of history against some only Ershella, however,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: you Ursula the Sea Witch or Ursula he has. He's
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: two for two off of Parker, but the rest of
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: the A's bats have never faced him before. So I
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: guess you could debate maybe Parker has a little bit
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: of an advantage in some way because the A's hitters
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: haven't seen him before. But I'm not sure that's really
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: gonna come to fruition because he's not a good pitcher.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I would trust either of these
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: pictures necessarily Man and again, I still don't trust either Bullpen.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, you can't possibly, So I was kind of
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: thinking an over kind of made sense in this game,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: even though we've seen like yesterday it went way under shockingly,
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: but whenever you see A's Washington, it's like it's gotta
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: be like lean.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: Towards the over right.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Totals flip from ny juice to the over, to juice
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: to the under though eight tickets ninety five percent of
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over though, So I don't know
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: if we should read into that move on the toll
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: little more or the up percentages. Maybe the move matters
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: more on the total, because these percentage numbers, when they're
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: both high like that, it's not really that much of
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: an indicator. Could kind of get fucked up a little
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: bit here. Ninety five is probably not even accurate, So
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: probably the money actually did come in in the under,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: which kind of surprises me. The A's are also a
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: road favor here up for minus one twenty five to
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: minus one forty six. They do have the better hitting,
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: and I think that they actually have the bullpen edge
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: in this game, as I said, and probably arguably they
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: actually have the starting pitching edge too, So I don't
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: disagree with the A's side in that game.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: Eighty percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the cash on.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: The A's, But they're I mean, laying a favorite price
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: with the A's on the road. It just does not
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: seem like a good idea. Home underdogs tend to be
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: a decent way to look generally in MLB, especially this year.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously that's not a game I'm recommending a
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: play on, but just trying to analyze it. White Sox
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: finishing their series with Seattle here. Seattle's on a three
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: game win streak. They're about to potentially sweep the White
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: Sox here. They have an arguably bigger series up next
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay, although Tampa Bay is really kind of
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: falling off. Will Seattle overlook Chicago in their last game
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: of the series, maybe because Seattle's just pretty much dominated
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: them in the series. Seattle obviously is the better bullpen,
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: though they use three relievers yesterday, so did chicag although
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: they used Alexander for a ton of pitches. He basically
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: was long relief in that game.
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: But some of their like.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Better relievers are available here for the White Sox. Although
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: you do have to take into account the fact that
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Seattle is still playing for something because they're trying to
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs and the White Sox know that they're
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: out of it, so there is that kind of motivational disparity,
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: But that's gonna be factored into the line Obviously, Seattle's
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: a big favorite. I mean, Seattle is the better offense,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen, and they have the better starter here,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: so they have the edge across the board. Shane Smith
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the White Sox. He's a rookie.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: He started off really well this season.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: Which I like because you know, he's a guy from
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: my area here, Danvers, Mass so he's a new I
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: was sure guy. I'm a self sure guy. Smith has
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: really kind of fallen off. Then maybe it's because he's
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: just not used to throwing this many innings in a
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: season or in.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: A short span.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because I think he does have good stuff,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: but I wouldn't trust him at this point, this late
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: into the season. Four point twenty five vro one point
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: three to one whip not very good. He rays exactly
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: the same home and away, so he doesn't have significant
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: splits at all.
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: He did actually pitch in.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: The All Star Game, I guess because somebody needed to
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: make the team from Chicago.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Do they still have that rule? I don't know.
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: I went a third of an inning scoreless in the
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: All Star Game, leading into that his team had lost
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: five straight starts of his and he'd failed to make
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: it five innings in any of them, and he allowed
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: five or more earned runs at all but one of
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: those starts, so that's not a good sign. He came
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: out of the All Star break and he was not
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: very good against Anaheim again, failed to go five innings.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Although they're limiting his pitch count a little bit at
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: this point, or maybe they were doing it just around
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: the All Star appearance, I'm not sure, or maybe they're
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: just trying to keep from like totally blowing him up
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: or burning him out. But he also walked four guys
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: in that game against Anaheim. That's not a good sign.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: Smith.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: His numbers are a bit all over the map against
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Seattle because it's a very small fourteen at bats sample size.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: He's selling them the three hits at two fourteen average,
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: which is quite good, but nine to twenty four ops
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: because there are a couple walks in there. All of
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: the hits are for extra basis, two doubles and a
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: home run from Julio Rodriguez. So Smith, he's a little
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: bit dicey coming into this game.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Man. What's up, Jamane? What's going on?
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: Uh? What happened with Cannon yesterday? It looks it looks
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: like Cannon was out of the game pretty early, right.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what happened in the game, But
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: Tyler Alexander threw a lot of pitches in that game,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: is all I know. I wasn't paying attention to what
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: happened in the game. Logan Gilbert is pitching for Seattle here.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: He's been really good. A three point four to five
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: ERA point ninety eight whip is anything. A sub one
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: whip is like elite, man like. There are very few
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers with this innings under their belt that have
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: a whip that good. It's basically like Gilbert schemes, probably
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: school ball like.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: There aren't that many people that qualify. He's really good
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: at home too.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: He's actually not very good on the road, but at
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: home two point two seven ERA been pretty good recently,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: though he did a lot of four and three on
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: runs in his last couple of starts.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: His strikeout rate remains really high.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: It was thirty eight to ten strike a walk ratio
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: in July, and he had seven strikeouts no walks in
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: his first outing in August against Texas. Not a good lineup,
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: but still he is burning through hitters right now.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: He struck out seven or more in all but one
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back to late June, so
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: he's definitely a fooling hitters man. The White Sox not
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: a good lineup, although the White Socks actually have decent
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: numbers off him. In forty two at bats, he has
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: twelve strikeouts and only one walk against them, so that's
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: a good sign for Gilbert. But the White Socks have
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: actually hit him two eighty six batting averages seven to
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: seventy nine ops with a home run from Reb Junior.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, Man, Gilbert, it might not be
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: the absolute greatest matchup for him. I still think Seattle
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: should win this game. I mean they're already up to
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: minus two seventy though on the money line, I don't
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: think there's any way that you can play them at
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: a price like that. Sixty three percent tickets only sixty
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash. I actually think that this
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: game could potentially go over man, even though the money's
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under seventy six percent of ticket,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash on the under. I know
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Gilbert's really good at home. I know it's a small
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: sample size against the White Sox, so it doesn't mean much,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: but for some reason, to me, it looks like it's
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: not the greatest matchup for him.
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Man, it's a low total seven and a half because
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: it is Seattle. A lot of low scoring games at Seattle.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: I know White Sox bad offense, Seattle's is fairly good,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: but I mean to me, because that line is so low,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's not a lot of room for error
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: in that one. So I could see that game going over,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: although I certainly wouldn't bet on it.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: What do I have down so far?
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I was talking about WNBA dildo props, so you didn't
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: really miss anything. There are only four MLB games today
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: and I'm not recommending a bet on any of them.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: Curtis, good morning. What's up man?
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean these MLB games. I mean, I'll I'll
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: give you what I think the best leen is in
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: the MLBER. These last two games are actually more enticing,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: at least more interesting, more enticing to bet on than
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: the other two. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, so these two games
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: are actually new series. Pittsburgh is staying at home. They
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: just lost the series to the Giants. Pittsburgh is out
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: of it, though, So Cincinnati has a motivational edge here
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: because Cincinnati is in the playoff hunt, so they're above
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: five hundred, and I mean, Cincinnati is going to show
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: up in this game, but they are coming up a
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: big series against the Cubs. They're traveling for Chicago to Pittsburgh,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: which isn't a ton of travel, but it's more travel
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: than what Pittsburgh is doing. But the thing that I
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: think what we're looking at in this game, though, is
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: that you're paying the Paul Skeens tax if you like Pittsburgh, Like,
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: is there any way is there any reason Pittsburgh should
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: be heavy of a favorite in this game, which I'll
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: talk about the line when I'll go back to a
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: pregame and show that line again. But I would say no,
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: that Pittsburgh should not be favored by this much. If
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: you look at the bullpen usage, Pittsburgh yesterday five relief pitchers,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: which is not that good. Cincinnati only used two, So
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati generally, I would say they don't have the better bullpen.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is actually not that bad. But Pittsburgh used five
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday, and yes, there is a chance Skeens
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: gets them fairly deep into this game because he is good,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: and he is good against Cincinnati too. But if it
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: gets to the bullpens and it's close, I think Cincinnati
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: starts having the advantage because they have the more rested
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: bullpen and they have the better offense of these two.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's offense is terrible, so you gotta keep all that
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: in mind. Brady Singer is pitching for Cincinnati. Not great
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: numbers this year four point three six ERA, one point
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: three to one whip. This is his first year with Cincinnati.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: He's way worse on the road to five point seven
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: three ERA, which does worry me about if you want
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: to potentially play the reds here, although I actually do
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: agree with the Red side in this game. Singer he
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: had one really bad start where he blew up against Washington,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: but other than that, going back to the beginning of July,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: he hasn't a lot more than three earned runs in
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: any of the other starts. Over the last two starts,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: he's gone thirteen and a third innings only along seven
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: hits to a one earned run total, and has an
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: eighteen to two strike at walk ratio against Tampa and Atlanta,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: although both of those games are in Cincinnati. Where he
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: has pitched better, as I said, but he's pitching pretty
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: well over those last two games, man, so he's in
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: good form. He is fooling hitters, which is a decent sign.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: He's going up again. It's against a really weak Pittsburgh
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: line up here, because he's man clicked on the Phillies Pittsburgh.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: Fifty seven at bats, Singer as a fourteen to seven
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio against them, which isn't that good,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: but he's telling.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: Them a pretty low number.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: It's a two forty six batting average at six to
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: twenty six oh ps. So I think Singer should actually
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: be able to do pretty well in this game. Betting
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: on preseason football I almost never do, and I'm gonna
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: talk about it after I talk about baseball, because it's
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: gonna be a short episode today. In baseball, there's only
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: one more game to talk about after this, But if
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: you stay with me, I will talk about the preseason
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: games tonight. It's gonna be quick, but I'll basically tell
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: you why betting on a preseason is so difficult, because well,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about it when I get to it, but
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: it makes it very very difficult to actually like get
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: value because the professionals are just looking out for stuff
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: and they just hammer the lines really early. Paul skeins
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: as I said, he is pitching for the Pirates today.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know how good he is. Two point
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: zero two ERA and point nine.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: To two whip really ridiculous, even better at home one
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: point eighty seven home ERA.
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: He's continuing to pitch well.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: Iven though he gave up four runs last time he
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: was at Course Field, still had eight strikeouts.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: I'll give him a pass for that one.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: He had three straight shutout performances prior to that, had
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: five shutout performances in the month of July, or excusely
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: two straight. One of them was in All Star Our
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: Game appearance. But he had four actual shutouts through five
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: and six innings in each of them in the month
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: of July. So obviously he's pitching well. We don't need
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: to be labor that up against Cincinnati. Like I said,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: he has good numbers as well, thirty nine at bats,
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: eighteen strikeouts, two walks, one seventy nine average four to
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: seventy six ohps.
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: So I know it seems difficult.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: You don't necessarily want to really bet against schemes here,
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: but I think that is the best way to bet
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: this game is to grab Cincinnati. Grab them on the
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: run line, maybe plus one and a half runs, because
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh can't score. So if Singers keeping them in this game,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I think once it shifts to the bullpens and you
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: get Cincinnati's offense against Pittsburgh's offense, I think Cincinnati can
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: come within that one run there, man, especially against Cincinnati's motivation.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: Am I talking myself into betting this one. It's tempting.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: Fifty two percent of tickets, fifty nine percent of the
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on Cincinnati. Money is coming in on
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: their side. Pittsburgh down for one seventy it minus won
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: sixty six. I know you're having to fade Skimes, who's dominant,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: and he's dominant against Cincinnati, but again, I think Singer
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: could at least duel him enough that Cincinnati's still in
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: the game at that point. Money looks like it came
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: in on the under. Initially because it was at seven
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: juice to the over. It minus won twenty. Now minus
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: went fifteen, but fifty percent to take a sixty eight
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: percent of cash.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: On the over.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Man, Yeah, I mean it looks like the Casher sentines
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: on the over in that game, I wouldn't agree with that.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I would be leaning towards an under in this game,
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Like it seems like both starting pitchers should have a
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: decent matchup here, So I would lean to the under
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: But I wouldn't really want to deal with Pittsburgh's bullpen.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: But first five inning under you'd probably have to go
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: under like three and a half or even three. So
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: that doesn't seem like a great idea either. But you
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: know what, I think I'm gonna deal with. Fuck it,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: let's we gotta have some action today, right, Even though
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: that's it's never a good idea to try to force something,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: But I actually I kind of like this play reason reasonably. Well,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: let's see what the what can we get on this?
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: You can get plus one and a half. You have
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: to pay a lot for the plus one and a half. Fuck,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: you have to pay minus one fifty four for the
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half on Cincinnati. I mean, you
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: can go straight up money lineuplus one forty six, or
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: you can split the bet. Yeah, you know what, let's
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: split the bet. Hang on a minute, so let me
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: see what the numbers will be on this If you
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: split it half and half so that each each half
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: of the bet is to win like half of what
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: your regular unit size is, if that makes sense. So
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: like if I normally bet to win three hundred, and
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I would bet to win one fifty on each side
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: of this, and it actually comes out to betting basically
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: about what you would bet at minus one ten, if
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: that makes sense, Like you're basically betting around three thirty
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: to win three hundred on the game. But if you
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: do this and Cincinnati loses by one, you'll actually still
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: win a little bit of money. You'll like come out
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: slightly ahead on that and you know, nothing crazy, but
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: you win a little bit.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: Let's do it.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be the MLB Cincinnati again. I think
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: the motivational aspect of it puts this over the edge.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: You have to pay minus one fifty four for the
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half run line though, and then
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: the other half is gonna be on the money line
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: at what is it? Plus one forty six looks like
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: the best number out there, So that's gonna be a play.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: There you go, the Reds split bet plus one and
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: a half minus one fifty four. Like I said, so
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: that part of the bet, you have to pay more
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: for it, but if they come within one run, even
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: if they lose the game by one, you'll still actually
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: win a slight amount of money. So I like doing
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: weird shit like that in the in the w in MLB. Frankcona, Yeah,
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: I like Frankcona man, and mean, he's one of my
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: favorite dudes, one of my favorite managers. I mean obviously
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: as a Red Sox fan. I mean, he was probably
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: the best manager that they've ever had. Man, I'm sad
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: that he's not there anymore. He basically wins wherever he goes, man,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: So the Reds definitely could do something.
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: They can make a little bit of noise here. Man.
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: They got to make the playoffs to do it.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: But and they're gonna need Hunter Green back because he's
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: a really great starting pitcher. I don't know if he's
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: coming back though or not. I don't know what happened
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: to him. I know he's injured.
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Frankcona a lot. Man. He was
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: definitely a big.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Reason why the Red Sox were able to reach that
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: next level. And h he was there for see there
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: for three World Series wins or just two. I can't
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: even remember now my brain is just done right now.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Francona, I mean he seems like a funny
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: dude too, so I like that aspect about him as well,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: and the like the chemistry. Part of the reason the
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: chemistry is so good with the Red Sox was Frankcona.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, these guys wanted to play for him. He's
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: a former player as well, even though he was never
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: a good player, he knows like he knows the deal,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: so the players definitely respect him for that.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: Miami ed Atlanta is the last game here Cincinnati.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: Oh, I already said there. Cincinnati was coming in from
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Chicago anyway.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Miami ed Atlanta.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Atlanta lost the one they were the one loss I
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: had yesterday in my two and one day yesterday, Atlanta
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: three losses in a row. Now, I thought it was
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: a good spot to look for Atlanta yesterday it's er
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: took strides in the wrong direction and let us down.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's staying at home and now they getting an easier
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: opponent in Miami here. Miami again, they've been playing above
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: their pay grade though. I mean, it's crazy that they're
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: nine games ahead of Atlanta in the standings when I
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: still think Atlanta is actually the better team, which is insane.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: Miami beat Houston yesterday, so they salvage the last game,
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: which that was the other play that that was one
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: of my wins yesterday was Miami. They were able to
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: salvage that last game against Houston. They're now traveling, I believe,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: or no, they're Yeah, they're traveling from home, right, Yeah, yeah,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip. You start a road trip
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: with momentum, you do tend to be a little bit
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: focus Atlanta.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, they know they're dead.
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I mean Miami probably knows they're not going anywhere either,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: but Miami might actually come into this game with a
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: little bit more motivation. Bullpen scenario, Atlanta used three relief
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday. I believe Miami used more than that. Miami
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: used four. Generally, I would say Atlanta has the somewhat
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: better bullpen, but I think it's a little bit of
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: a wall USh, although looking at this game, I would
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: probably be focused on the first five innings in this game. Nonetheless,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: as far as the offenses, I mean, it's tough to
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: gauge which offense is better at this point too. I mean,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Miami's has been playing above what they should because they
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: really don't have that much talent. Atlanta has more talent,
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: so I'd probably generally say they're the better offense. But
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: like over the course of the year, I think Miami
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: actually has slightly better offensive numbers. I don't have the
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: page up right now because I wasn't gonna actually play
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: these games, but as far as this game, I think
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchup definitely favors the Marlins.
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: Uri Perez.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: You know, I like this guy two point seventy RA
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: this year, and he's got one of those very desirable
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: sub one whips point nine to four whip. Uri Perez
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: is pitching well, man a little bit worse than the
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: road three point one eighty R, but he's doing well recently.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: I know he's gotten a little bit wild over the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: last few starts, multiple walks in each one of those starts,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't allowed more than two hour runs in
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: any start going all the way back through the getting
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: of July.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: He's been really, really good.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: And he went six innings of shutout ball against the
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: Yankees in his most recent start. Again, he did walk
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: three guys, but he had five strikeouts only allowed two hits,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: so he was still fooling the Yankee hitters. And that
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: was the game where Jazz Chisholm made that stupid move
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: where he was somehow he was running from first base
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: on an infield pop fly, and obviously it was at
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: pop out in the infield. Chisholm got doubled off of
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: first base because he's that much of an idiot. That
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: was while Perez was still in the game. Perez, I mean,
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: I like this guy, man. I mean, he's a looming
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: presence on the mound. He looks crazy out there at six'.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Eight he has this like, weird weird wind up that's almost,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't, know it almost kind of hypnotizes.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: You in a. Way it's. Weird you gotta watch. Him pitch.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: Man Juri perez up Against atlanta doesn't have good, numbers
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: Though atlanta's seen him a little bit because he's been
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: in this division twenty at bats not a, ton but
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: three to two strike a walk ratio is not that.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Good Albe's albis has a home run off, him and
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: he's a three fifty batting average in one thy fifty nine.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: Ohps SO i don't.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: Know If i'm really totally ready to jump in on
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: on The marlins, here BUT i still Like perez over At.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: CARRASCO i, mean you look at these two.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: Pitchers it's like you have one young stud In Uri,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: perez who can really fool guys up against an old
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: junk Pitcher Carlos, carrasco who's like, whatever sixteen.
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: Years older Than.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: Perez corosco's numbers are awful this year five point six EIGHTY,
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: ra one point five to three.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: Whip that's.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Bad, obviously he was actually on The, yankees WHICH i
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: misremembered that he was on The yankees at the beginning
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: of the, year and THEN i think The yankees sent
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: him To TRIPLE a or designated him For simon or,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: something AND i don't know if they wout up trading,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: HIM i guess To. Atlanta but he was not doing
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: well with The. YANKEES i mean not, shocking because he's
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: not very good at this.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: Point he's he's.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Old i've faded him in recent seasons a lot as.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Well he pitched well in his one star With atlanta
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: so far At, cincinnati which is again a hitter friendly,
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: park but he went six, innies gave up three and,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: runs five, strikeouts two, walks seven. Hits it was a
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: pretty respectable performance From carrosco in that. Game does that
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: mean THAT i buy him that he's totally, Back, no not.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Really The marlins don't have a whole lot of history against,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: him so they're unfamiliar with. Them but there's so much
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: game footage on this. GUY i, mean he's not really
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: a guy THAT i think takes that long to adapt.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: To they do have five played appearances against, them or
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: five at. BATS i guess more play appearances than, that
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: maybe five at, bats four hundred batting, average twelve hundred.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Ops And sandy Al contra actually is in there listed
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: at zero for two or two, strikeouts but he's a,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: pitcher so he's not. Pitching Edward cabrera is also a,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: pitcher and he has one double against, him so that's
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: not a good sign that he's given up hits to.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: Pictures BUT i Guess edwards is really the only actual.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Hitter edwards isn't a pitcher, too is? HE i don't think. So,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: no he's a short.
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: Stop, yeah so he he's one for two with a. Double.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah So, corosco you could basically say That miami is
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: very unfamiliar with.
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: Him SO i guess the unfamiliarity edge does go To.
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: Carrasco but looking at these two, pitchers there's like no
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: question That perez is the better of these two, pitchers
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: who's been way better this, season And miami is actually
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: a road. Favorite possibly for that, Reason miami again surprisingly
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: has the better. Record they're gonna be actually public because
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: the public is just Fading atlanta game after, game and
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: usually the professional money is saying.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: Nah usually the professional money is actually coming.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: In On, atlanta even though My atlanta's been the biggest
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: money burner In Major League baseball this. Year, mats MAYBE
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: i shouldn't have given them out as the play, yesterday
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: but AGAIN i picked spots WHERE i try to get
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: it right on these on these, teams, Man But, ATLANTA i,
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: think uh. Yeah money, WISE i think they've lost the most.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: Money like if you've played every team every game on
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: the money, LINE i Think atlanta's cost you the most
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: money this season eighty percent of, tickets eight nine percent
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: of cash On. Miami they're rough for mist one to
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: sixteen to minus one to. NINETEEN i agree with The miami, side,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Though SO i would play that IF i was gonna
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: play this, Game i'd probably Play miami in the first five,
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: innings just Play perez to Outpitch, carrasco WHICH i think should.
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: Happen but again we will see obviously total dropped from
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: nine to eight and a, half essentially fifty five percent
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the under thew and fifty nine percent
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the. OVER i don't know what
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: to make of those conflicting market signals. There, again with the,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: TOTALS i usually kind of put more stock in the
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: actual move that, happened BECAUSE i think it's less likely
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: that that the totals being like set up to a
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: degree where it would go almost, well not really through
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: the key number and, nine but it went all the
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: way down from nine juice to the, under eight and
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: a half juice to the, under which is a fairly
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: significant move off of a key number of nine at
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: the very, least so money coming in on the. Under
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: kind of expecting both pitchers to do. OKAY i could
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: potentially see that happening with you, Know miami's offense not
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: really that good In carrasco being unfamiliar to, them BUT
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: i don't know IF i trust, it AND i do
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: Think Euri perez will do better than his matchup numbers
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Against atlanta would, suggest because of Course atlanta had good
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers Against quintana and they didn't hit him very
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: well yet last. Night so uh, YEAH i mean that's.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: That we'll go to A nfl. HERE nfl, SCHEDULE i
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: don't even have it, up but we do have. Preseason
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: you wanted to talk about THE, Nfl it's happening. Now,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Man they're gonna try to advertise these. Games but AS
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: i was alluding, to the reason WHY nfl is so
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: hard to bet in the preseason is because the line
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: will come out, initially and if that line is, off
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: it'll move real quickly when information comes. Out because the
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: information in the preseason is who are the starting players
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: going to, be especially the starting, quarterback like who's going
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: to start this game at? Quarterback and that can influence
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: the line so. Much so you have Like Colts ravens.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Here The colts are already up from minus one to
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: now minus six and a.
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: Half and they were at four. YESTERDAY i think the
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: line was.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: Four so this line keeps moving up and there are
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: obvious reasons for, this but the public is going to
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: look at this and, think how AM i getting six
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: and a half on The ravens, here which AGAIN i
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: think if you missed the boat on The, colts you
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: miss the. BOAT i don't think you can lay six
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: and a half of The. COLTS i would certainly not do,
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: that especially when the total these first preseason games are
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: always low scoring for the most. Part thirty six and
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: a half is what the totals up to from thirty. Four,
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: yeah it's moved up a little, bit BUT i would
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: not lay a number like that on The. COLTS i
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: would have laid this at probably three or below on The.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: COLTS i think there was some pretty solid value getting
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: them at that.
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: Number but, again.
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: Preseason it's so hard to you have to really time,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: it man, like you have to know what's gonna. Happen
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: basically right when the line comes out and it starts,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: moving you gotta go get that.
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: Number SO i probably would have laid three or.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: LESS i, mean if you want to play The colts
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: money line and parlay them with something, ELSE i don't
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: like parlays because you never get the, best you never
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: get advantageous odds on. Them BUT i do think The
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: colts are gonna win this. Game so if you want
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: to somehow try to play The colts in this. Game
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: you could go over their team. Total that might be
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: the best way to play this game Is colts over
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: their team. Total now that you can't lay the six
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: and a half on The, colts play them to score
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: points in this.
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: Game that might.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Happen and the reason for, that the reason why the
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: public is wrong, here sixty three percent of the tickets
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: on The, ravens only fifty percent of the cash because
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: obviously the, public we all know The ravens are the better.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Team that's very. Obvious everybody knows. This so then why
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: the hell are The ravens of six and a half point.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: Underdog here with this?
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: GAME i think this game is In baltimore, too, RIGHT
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: i don't know if these games are at neutral sites
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: or anything like. That let me, See, yes it's In,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: baltimore so obviously that makes no. Sense if this is
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: a regular season, Game baltimore would be, whatever like probably
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: a touchdown, favorite if not more, so what gives, WELL
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: i think you know the answer to.
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: That it's.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Preseason and even though Both harrbab brothers are usually known
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: for going all out in the preseason and wanting to
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: win the preseason. Games we Saw Jim harribad just win
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: with The, chargers WHICH i gave that out as a
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: lean on the. Show that would have been an easy
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: win HAD i bet that. One that one was still
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: at a good price to The. Chargers so that was
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a good idea THAT i gave it on the. SHOW
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: i should have actually recommended as a. Play Jim harriba
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: did not Play Justin herbert though he didn't he didn't
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: play as starters in that. Game it was just a
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: matter OF i thought The chargers had the better quarterback,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: depth so that would go.
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Along that goes a long way in the.
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: Preseason John harriblaugh is known for like kind of going
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: all out and trying to win preseason games, too but
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: not as much so. Recently recently he's been more of
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: the standpoint that it's just, like, well, yeah we want
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: to play like we'd like to win these, games but
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: obviously you have to weigh that with you don't want
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: to get your guys Injure, man The ravens have so
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: much talent on this, offense BUT i think it's obvious
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: what's going on with this. Line The ravens are not
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: playing their best players. Here man they're not Playing Lamar.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: JACKSON i, mean you'll probably see some of their other
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: starters in the game because you want to get them
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: like used to playing again and. Whatever but they're not
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: gonna Play. Jackson they're probably not gonna play their key offensive,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: Players Derek. HENRY i would not expect those guys to
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: be in this game. Whatsoever and that's why the money
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: came in on The. Colts although again six and a
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: half is just way out of. Control you can't lay
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Here but The colts they have
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: a quarterback battle here man Between Daniel, JONES i believe
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: And Anthony, richardson WHO i think is actually not hurt right,
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: Now SO i think both those guys are.
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: Gonna in this.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Game so The colts are actually gonna be trying to
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: run their offense here and trying to score because they
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: actually have not decided on a starting quarterback to start
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: the season. Yet so that's the reason why this line
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: is like. This The colts are gonna be playing whoever
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: their starting quarterback is gonna, Be man are both, Options
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: so you're GONNA i think you're gonna see both of
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: those guys play heavily in this. Game would be my,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: guess and that's why the line is way up on The.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: Colts so, again do with all this.
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Information what you.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Want it's basically the same thing happening at every game. Today,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: man you Have bengals At, eagles WHICH i assume all
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: these games are just at the home stadium of these
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: of these, teams, Right, yeah so that's In, philadelphia and then,
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: YEAH i know That vegas is At seattle because that's
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: a big storyline as. Well bengals were two point underdog
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: and all of a sudden they're six point.
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: Favorite fifty two.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: Percent take a seventy five percent of the cash coming
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: in on The, Bengals so the money is coming in
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: heavily on The. Bengals they're the money. Side and again
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: why is? That, like why are The eagles The Super bowl?
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Champions why are they an underdog of six points now at? Home,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: Again i'm not saying you should lay SIX i don't
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: think you. Should if you wanted, to like, moneyline parlay
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: a couple of these guys are the favorites, here you
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: could do. That but, AGAIN i don't think you get
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: the best price on. It BUT i expect The colts to.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: WIN i expect The bengals to. Win there's a reason
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: why the line has moved like. That but, again it's
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: moved so far so fast that it's just out of.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: Control there's no value in laying. It you don't want
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: to take the worst, number, man there's no value in laying.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: That or, again probably better than the, parlay it would
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Be colts over their team total And bengals over their
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: team total totals up from thirty five to thirty six
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: and a. Half, Bengals why is the line moved to that, Degree,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: well The bengals are being, stupid AND i think it's
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: because The bengals have started off really poorly in the
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: regular season a couple of years in a, row and
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: last year losing to The.
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: PATRIOTS i think it was because that was at home.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: TOO i think for The bengals that was because The
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: bengals had a lot of guys opting out and like
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: disputing contracts and stuff that they were not ready to
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: go in their first. Game BUT i think The bengals
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: are basically, saying, well we've had enough of, that so
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: you know what we're Gonna we're gonna Play Joe burrow
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: in the first preseason.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: Game so that's actually what's.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: Happening Joe barrow is playing in this, game and according to,
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: HIM i forget what their coach's name, Is.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: Taylor is That Zachary, taylor not the former.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: President i'm not sure he's that good of a coach,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: man but he basically said he Expects Joe burrow to
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: play several series in this. Game so that what does
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: that mean That borrow's gonna play like the entire first
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: half of this. Game he, MIGHT i don't, know but
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: that's the reason why this line is where it. Is
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: The eagles are not playing their. Starters there's gonna be
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: no tush. Pushing they're not Playing Jalen, hurts they're not Playing.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: BARKLEY i wouldn't. IMAGINE i don't think any of those
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: guys are getting into this game for The. Eagles The
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: bengals are Starting Joe barrow, though AND i don't know
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: if they're starting their other guys around, him but he
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: is going to be playing seemingly a significant amount of this.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: Game so that's why the line is where it. Is
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: so obviously you have to tip the edge to The
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: bengals for that, reason and that's why the line is
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: moved like, that but again it's gone too. Far So
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: bengals team total, Over colts team total. Over AND i
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: would say the same thing about The. Raiders we see
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: that having similar line movement as. Well raiders flipped from
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half on the road to minus
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: four and a half now on the, road sixty percent
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: of the cash on The, raiders fifty one percent of
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: tickets on The. Seahawks The seahawks are getting a little
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: bit of public, action people still riding That Sam donald.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: WAVE i guess, man because, Oh Sam donald was so
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: good From minnesota last, year, right and then he completely
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: fell apart and the clock struck midnight on That cinderella
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: story of his and once he got, pressured he completely
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: fell apart Against detroit and then against The rams in the.
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: Playoffs he was. Awful it's no. SECRET i do not
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: Think Sam donald is. GOOD i don't like. HIM i
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: don't think he's ever been. GOOD i think last year
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: was a fluke from the most. Part and he had
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: basically the best wide receiver in football on his team last,
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: year which is not gonna be the case anymore with The,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: seahawks even though, YES i know they Have Cooper. Cup
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: but even though the public's gonna come in on The, seahawks,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: BASICALLY i, think, well they're, looking, Well raiders, Sucks Seahawks donald.
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: Whatever but if that's what they're, thinking they're.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Idiots Because Sam, donald we know he's The seahawks, starter
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: SO i don't think he's playing in this. GAME i
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: think The seahawks are going with. Backups whoever the backups.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: Are the reason this line moved like this is because
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: The raiders are Taking they're playing into the. Storyline, man
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: It's Pete carroll And Geno smith on The raiders now
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: both Former. Seahawks they're returning To. Seattle that's the huge
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: storyline of The Night. Man even though it's a late
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: night game TEN, pm it's probably gonna be the game
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: that draws the most attention out of these. THREE i
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: would Imagine Bengals eagles looks like a good matchup two,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: Though but, this you, Know seahawks Versus raiders STORY i
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: think is the biggest. Storyline even though these TEAMS i
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: don't think either of them are gonna be good this.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: Year but The raiders they're Playing Geno smith in this,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: game so that's why the line has moved like This
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: raiders starting quarterback will be. There he's used to playing
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: in the. Stadium, OBVIOUSLY i don't expect him to get any,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: like to get that much.
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: HATE i, mean it's a preseason. Game it doesn't.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: MATTER i think The seahawks fans Like Gene, gene you,
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: know SO i think they're gonna give him a standing.
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: Ovation.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: MAN i think he's gonna get very little hate in this.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: Game SO i Think Gino smith is gonna show up
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: and want to play, well you, know for his former fans.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: There it's a preseason. Game, again it doesn't matter that.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: Much so that's WHAT i expect in this. GAME i
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: think The raiders are gonna win this game for those.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Reasons but so again that's really it's the quarterback situation
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: influencing all of these lines to that, degree the quarterback
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: can influence lines like.
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: That.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Man professional money is what really does with the professional
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: money coming, in but it's because of the quarterback. Situations
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: so hopefully that information is. GOOD i think if you
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: want to play any of these, GAMES i wouldn't lay
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: the favorite price with any of those. TEAMS i think
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: it's out of. Control the total in this last. Game
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: The Seahawks raiders game is up to thirty. Seven, now
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: again really low totals in preseason week. One it's notoriously
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: low scoring in preseason week one because the offenses kind
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: of aren't ready. Yet you, know they don't really have
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: like all their's like they're not in rhythm yet pretty.
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: Much so that's why it has. Weapons but, again expecting
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: those three teams to, WIN i think you can still
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: get a better price attacking their team totals.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Over so that's WHAT i would do in all of those.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: Games, Colts, Bengals raiders over team totals is the way
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: THAT i would attack those. Games But i'm really not
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: a preseason, better but that's the way it's gonna, be.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: Man and then, again the actual Play i'm gonna give
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: out Is Major League. Baseball we're gonna Fade Paul. Schemes
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: we're gonna Go Cincinnati reds half plus one and a
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: half on the run line and half the bet on
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: the plus one forty six money. Line So i'll give
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: on one play today WHEN i THOUGHT i was gonna
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: give out.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: None and you know.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: That's always a problem WHEN i, decide, Oh i'm not
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: gonna give out any play and THEN i JUST i
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: get kind of caught up in the moment AND i
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: talk myself into. It those haven't worked out that well
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: for me so, far but hopefully this one does run
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a decent streak going on. HERE
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: i THINK i was what WAS i was three and?
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: One THEN i THINK i had a one on one,
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: day and then yesterday two and. One so four and,
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: two six and three is the run That i'm currently,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: ON i, think which IS i think all baseball plays
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: too might have been ONE wnba player. There whatever it
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: is been doing okay over the last week or, So
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna do.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: It, man, everybody thanks for hanging.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Out Learn It toad On, twitter Learn It toad On,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: instagram OR i GUESS i have to put a video
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: up there talking about the reds now BECAUSE i was,
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: like oh, GOOD i don't have to do Any instagram videos,
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: today but learned a toad on there as.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: Well better off, dad, obviously.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: YouTube B t T O r on YouTube audio Platform, Spotify,
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: apple you, know help me, out like, subscribe comment, rate
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: do all the. Things, Man let's help push this thing
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: further and you, know get get me up to enough
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: subscribers on YouTube that we can monetize this joint as.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Well covered In you because also my ukulele project on,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: YouTube WHICH i have to get some More uke songs
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: up on that.
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: CHANNEL i probably have to put all the.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: ORIGINALS i just put out The lolita album THAT i
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: put out yesterday whatever her name, Is Lolita.
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: Diaries excuse.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: Me, YEAH i put on an album on her birthday
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: for her, Yesterday so MAYBE i should put all of
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: those songs up in a separate playlist On covered In
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: yuke on the.
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: YouTube i gotta get a handle on, that.
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: MAN i do have A, Patreon, patreon dot, com slash
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: learn to toad where you get ukulele benefits right now
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: you get A spotify yuke feed at one of the
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: levels and prioritize requests at one of the. Levels and
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: thinking of adding more stuff to, that WHICH i should.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: DO i gotta just figure out HOW i want to
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: proceed with. It that's gonna do it for. Now thanks,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: everybody and let's have a Good. Thursday, peace