Latest / Kenny Wallace Media / Happy Opening Day!
Transcript
- 0:00What's up everybody? Charlie Marlow here.
- 0:02We made it. It's opening day, baby.
- 0:06Cardinals at the Dodgers, Game one of 162 coming up.
- 0:12It's a beautiful thing. Hope springs eternal.
- 0:17Every team is zero and zero with an absolutely clean slate, which
- 0:24is great, especially for a team coming off a 71 and 91 win
- 0:29season. When you say hope springs
- 0:32eternal, literally anything can happen.
- 0:36Anything can happen. I have no freaking clue what's
- 0:40going to happen to your 2024 Cardinals.
- 0:42Could they have a season like last year and win 71 games?
- 0:47I I don't think that's that's out of the question.
- 0:51Could they be pretty Dang good? And could they could they be in
- 0:55the hunt at the deadline? Could they add a pitcher or two
- 0:59and be a legit contender? I don't think that's out of the
- 1:03question. And you can say, Charlie you're
- 1:05you're taking the easy way out. I I have no freaking idea what's
- 1:09going to happen to this Cardinals team.
- 1:12The other day low hanging fruit. Brennan Schaefer and I podcast,
- 1:15I think I said 83 wins. I don't even know if that's a
- 1:18good prediction for the Cardinals because I think it's
- 1:21going to go one of two ways. If it's like last year, it ends
- 1:26up like last year. But if they have a a decent
- 1:28start and they're in the mix and they add like they did the
- 1:33previous couple years before last year, so we're talking
- 1:352021-2022, I think there's a very good chance the Cardinals
- 1:39then could could push for 90 wins and have a shot.
- 1:42But I I just, I don't know what's going to happen because
- 1:47there's so many unknowns in my opinion.
- 1:51If you would have asked me and we talked about this a lot if
- 1:54you'd asked me after the Cardinals kind of were were done
- 1:58making their moves and and and we we discussed this where I
- 2:02said, look, I actually think it's easier for this Cardinals
- 2:05team to get to let's say an 85 win mark or 85 plus wins.
- 2:10And a lot of people think because I think a lot of folks
- 2:13are looking at oh, they won 71 games last year.
- 2:17So you got to make like a 15 win improvement.
- 2:20That's not how I look at the 2024 Cardinals, and I know I'm
- 2:24repeating myself, but Adam Wainwright only got starts last
- 2:27year because the team was out of it, and he's going for 200 wins.
- 2:30He was statistically one of the worst starting pitchers in the
- 2:33history of baseball for a season.
- 2:35OK, it's very easy to improve by just deleting Wainwright from
- 2:39the rotation and adding anybody who's even league average, even
- 2:43if that's Zach Thompson, who's going out there and throwing to
- 2:46a 4 1/2 ERA. But he's league average.
- 2:49The other part is clearly at the trade deadline.
- 2:52They traded off everybody. You trade off Flaherty,
- 2:55Montgomery, the young Hicks, Stratton.
- 3:00Who am I missing? I can't remember.
- 3:01But the Cardinals weren't trying to win.
- 3:04They weren't trying to win baseball games for the final two
- 3:06months of the season. So to me, that's not a 71 win
- 3:10team. If the Cardinals were really
- 3:13last year trying to win the whole season, Wayno doesn't get
- 3:17those last ten starts. They don't roll out a 4A lineup
- 3:20for the last two months. OK, maybe they finished it.
- 3:23I don't know. 7778 wins, 76. Whatever it is, I'm not.
- 3:28I'm not going to argue with you folks if you disagree, but my
- 3:31point is now you're talking about A7 or an 8 win jump to get
- 3:36back to 85. Not a 15 win jump if you're
- 3:40thinking you're coming back from 71 wins.
- 3:43So that's how I felt after the Cardinals had constructed this
- 3:47roster. I have to say though, I don't
- 3:51know how you don't change your mind a bit when you start the
- 3:54season with six dudes on the injured list, and one of those
- 3:58guys is Drew Rahm. So I don't know if Drew Rahm was
- 4:01going to be on the roster anyway, but let's just say for
- 4:06sure five dudes who are going to be on your Opening Day roster
- 4:12are not there for Opening Day. They're all on the injured list.
- 4:16I mean pretty much the majority of your outfield.
- 4:20Tommy Edmond seems like he's going to be out for a long time.
- 4:24Lars new bar, it might just be couple weeks.
- 4:28Whatever it is, Dylan Carlson. Feel terrible for Dylan Carlson.
- 4:32Hopefully that's short, I have no idea.
- 4:35Kenan Middleton, a guy that I think the Cardinals hopefully
- 4:40will rely on this year as a as a a very good high leverage type
- 4:45reliever injured list as well. And the biggest one, especially
- 4:50if his injury lingers, is Sonny Gray.
- 4:52So maybe Sonny Gray misses what, 2-3 starts.
- 4:57He comes back, I hope he's good to go, full workload, throw 100
- 5:01pitches. But then also my worry with
- 5:04Sonny Gray is more that this thing comes back and and barks
- 5:07again later in the year and he has to miss another block of 345
- 5:11starts, whatever it is. So the guy who over the winter
- 5:17said, OK, 85 wins, I I think it's easier than you think.
- 5:20Now. Now I have to kind of chop away
- 5:22at that when you're starting the year with five injuries, really
- 5:25six guys on the injured list. But look, you can also, if you
- 5:30look at the schedule, everybody knows Dodgers first four games,
- 5:35you got Padres. And then correct me if I'm
- 5:39wrong, I don't have the order. Maybe perfect, But after that,
- 5:42it's Marlins, Phillies, Diamondbacks in some order.
- 5:46So that's 16 games through the 1st 5 Series before you play the
- 5:51A's. The A's suck.
- 5:52We all know that. And so let's say you're able to
- 5:56take care of the A's. You win the series or you sweep
- 5:58and whatever it is hopefully. OK, So then you're at 19 games.
- 6:02I just think that those 1st 19 games are very important because
- 6:06for the majority of those 19 games, you're going to be
- 6:08missing a lot of people. You're probably going to be
- 6:11missing Gray for 3/4 of that. You're going to be missing
- 6:15Edmond for probably all of it. You're going to be missing who
- 6:18knows, Carlson for at least half, new Park for at least
- 6:21half. It's a tough schedule.
- 6:23This team sucked last year. They need a good start in my
- 6:27opinion. They need good things to happen.
- 6:29Nobody wants to start the year 2 and 9 looking up and playing
- 6:34catch up all year long, but I think again, those 1st 19 games,
- 6:41if they're just 500, even a couple games below what?
- 6:47I mean if they're obviously if they're 9 and 10, if they're 8
- 6:50and 11, nobody's panicking. You got through a rough stretch
- 6:55schedule wise, hopefully got through a rough patch injury
- 6:58wise and you're rocking and rolling, feeling good.
- 7:02And hell, it's only at this point like April, what, 15th or
- 7:06something, it's right around tax day.
- 7:08You have the whole fricking season now to to get on your
- 7:11roll. So 1st, 1st, 19 games, 1st, 16
- 7:16games. Especially Very important for
- 7:18the Cardinals. So I think the offense is going
- 7:22to be good. OK.
- 7:24I think the bullpen could be really good.
- 7:27I have no idea about the starting rotation.
- 7:29I don't think it's going to be good.
- 7:31Could it be average? I think.
- 7:33I think you'd take average. If they were right in the
- 7:35middle, 15th, 16th in baseball, I think you'd take that.
- 7:38Could it be bad, though? I think there's a good chance it
- 7:40could be. It could be bad.
- 7:43I don't know. And then here's my other part.
- 7:47You have a team that's really old, and we know that.
- 7:52But most of these guys, they're they're not.
- 7:55They're not so old where you're thinking they're done.
- 7:59But the problem is, in my opinion, you don't know these
- 8:02dudes are done until they're done.
- 8:05Nobody knew Adam Wainwright was done until last year, when he
- 8:08proved he was done. If you remember, the year
- 8:11before, he was actually really good until that.
- 8:14What final month of season? And I can't remember what his
- 8:17ERA was for the year, wasn't it 3.7.
- 8:19So I'm talking about 2022. Correct me if I'm wrong.
- 8:22So what I'm trying to say is, look at Goldie for example.
- 8:27Goldie has been really bad in spring training.
- 8:30Do I think he's going to hit 100 for the year?
- 8:32No, but Goldie's not young now. Goldie does a lot of things well
- 8:37defensively, runs the bases, all that.
- 8:40But some of these guys also hit a hit, a point in your career,
- 8:44in their careers where they're just done.
- 8:46And so I think there's a good chance that could happen to one
- 8:48of these guys. I'm talking about whether it's
- 8:52it's Goldie when I say done, I mean no longer for him, an elite
- 8:56player or even a a positive OPS plus guy.
- 9:00I mean could could Paul Goldschmidt be A league average
- 9:04OPS plus guy? I think.
- 9:06I think that's a possibility. I wouldn't bet on it, but it's a
- 9:08possibility. But then the pitchers, for
- 9:10example. So look, Zach Thompson is, is
- 9:14young, but everybody else, Sonny Gray?
- 9:18Older, already banged up. Miles Michaelis older.
- 9:23Kyle Gibson older. Lance Lynn older.
- 9:26That's four dudes, don't you think?
- 9:29The odds are probably one of those dudes.
- 9:32One of those dudes might be done.
- 9:35I I don't know who it's going to be, but I'm saying is at the end
- 9:38of 2024, we might point to one of those pictures and be like
- 9:41that was it Sometimes it happens to dudes who are 35363738.
- 9:46Whatever it is, there's a very good possibility that happens to
- 9:50one of those pitchers now. Now maybe if it just happens to
- 9:53one of them, Cardinals can get through it.
- 9:54They can add a starter at the deadline, Add a reliever at the
- 9:57deadline like they did in 21 and 22 and still make the playoffs.
- 10:02I don't know. So I'm just sitting here arguing
- 10:05with myself. I have no freaking idea what's
- 10:08going to happen to this Cardinals team.
- 10:10But that's that's part of the beauty, That's part of the fun
- 10:14of baseball. And look, I know people can be
- 10:18pessimistic, we can be negative and all that.
- 10:20But baseball season's great. Cardinals baseball is the best.
- 10:24I've said for years. I'm not just, I'm not just
- 10:26saying this to the B fib. Saint Louis is the best baseball
- 10:29town in America. Baseball heaven.
- 10:32You know, we joke about the beef, but it's true.
- 10:34Baseball means more in Saint Louis than any other city or
- 10:38market in the United States of America.
- 10:40I'm not just pandering, I truly, truly believe that.
- 10:43So enjoy baseball season and it's awesome, man.
- 10:49Like I said, I'm taping this the night before so you could have
- 10:51this early morning. How about for once, I'm actually
- 10:55planning ahead? Look at those.
- 10:57Look at those buds or flowers, whatever the hell those are on
- 11:00the tree. So there.
- 11:01There you go. Hey, we made it, guys.
- 11:03We made it. Long winter, but we're here.
- 11:08Lot of injuries. Not an easy start versus the
- 11:11freaking monster. Checkbook Dodgers, as Miles
- 11:14Michaels calls them. Let's go, Let's go.
- 11:18This is what This is why you do it.
- 11:19This is why you put the the roster together to roll out the
- 11:23basketballs like the gym teacher used to used to do back in the
- 11:26elementary school and play. Just play.
- 11:29Let's see what we got. Let's see what we got.
- 11:31This team has been put together. It's banged up.
- 11:33Let's see what they got right out of the gate.
- 11:36Versus one of the best teams in all of baseball in the LA
- 11:40Dodgers. All right.
- 11:41Comment, like, subscribe. Thanks for watching.
- 11:43Share the videos. Please.
- 11:45Share the channel. Put in your group text, put on
- 11:47social media. We're going to do a ton of
- 11:49videos. We got the podcast.
- 11:50We got everything going. It's going to be an awesome 2024
- 11:53baseball season. I hope it better not be like
- 11:57last year. That was freaking shit.
- 12:00We can't have that anymore. That was a one off.
- 12:02We don't want that. Sometimes negative drama can be
- 12:06good for one year. It's different.
- 12:08But we're done with that. We need some positivity.
- 12:10We need some wins. We need the Cardinals to be back
- 12:14to being the Cardinals. All right, peace, guys.
- 12:16Enjoy the game. Baseball is here.
- 12:19You deserve it. Let's go.