Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 6 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS - WEEK 6 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: What's going on, everybody? We have made it to week six,
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: college football. We don't have Jeremiah Smith on the slate
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: this week. We don't have Ohio State. We don't have
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame. No huge favorites. We got a good slate
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: ahead of us. What's going on, everybody? My name's Bill.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Put a dollar in front of it. You'll find me
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: on Twitter slash X. And with me, I have my
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: good friend and colleague, Kenny, a.k.a. HamHawk41. Just cashing tickets
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  Speaker 2: this season again already for that world championship. How's it
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  Speaker 2: going this week, Kenny?
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Kenny? It's going great. It's been a busy couple weeks.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: Looking forward to a weekend off and getting some fall football.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: It's feeling like that time of year.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what it's like where you're at
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: in Minnesota. We have 80s this weekend. So it's been
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: football weather all week. And it's been a fun week
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: too already. We've had, what, three days of college football,
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: a fourth one tonight. We're in the midst of 61
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  Speaker 2: straight days of football. So what better time? to be
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  Speaker 2: love doing it, but the YouTube algorithm isn't always our friend,
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  Speaker 2: and you can help us make it our friend. But
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: we're going to dig right into the college football slate
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: this week. Starting off with Texas A & M and Missouri.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: I really don't have a ton to say about Texas
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: A & M because they're one, oddly enough, like they're
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: one of the best boring football teams, I think, from
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: a DFS perspective. You know, they have the ceiling guys
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: that can get there in Craver and Horton. Their prices
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: jump out to me this week. Craver is questionable, so
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: maybe you go to Horton there, but it's weird to
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: see them in the low 5K, so that's something that
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: I think is enticing. And then Marcel Reed, I don't
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: really know what to say, but he might get you
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: a rushing score or two. He's in the low 7Ks,
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: just not super exciting. And then Reuben Owens, Priced down
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: a bit as well, but now Morrow's probably back and
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: going to be in the mix. So I don't know
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: how much of him you can get to either, especially
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: after watching what Missouri did to Florida last week. But
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: then the Missouri side seems like it's way easier to
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: break down. You got four guys that are getting all
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: of the usage. Simmons obviously touches the ball every play
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: outside of a wildcat. Jamal Roberts crushed last week. Obviously,
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: there's going to be a lot of recency bias there.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: but I don't think it's just recency bias. I think he,
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: like they have a good running game. And then when
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: they throw the ball, it's just going to Caden Lee
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: and Donovan Lubaday. Like that side seems really easy to
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: break down. How are you looking at this, Kenny?
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, the Missouri side, it's so consolidated that like,
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I would like to see a little higher than a
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: 26 point team total, but I mean, you could run
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: like in a small field, single entry or just smaller
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: field in general. You can just play everybody from Missouri
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: and stack them up. That being said, like, GVPs, I
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: really like these guys as one-offs. Simmons, I liked him
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: last week. He was a little bit cheaper. I don't
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: think I'm going to get there this week. But Roberts, Lee, Alibude,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: not a lot to add. I will say Caleb Goody
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: got a touchdown. And it's like now college players are
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: getting so old that we have Goody seniors. We have
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: seniors instead of juniors. But, yeah, and then, you know,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: A & M side. I just, Craver's a game time decision.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I might have some interest if he was not to
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: play in like Horton or Bethel Roman. But as we
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: get through the slate, we'll find that there's an abundance
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: of value wide receivers today. So A & M' s pretty
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: much no for me. Definitely in on some Tigers though,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: for sure.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think we've talked about it in the past.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: A & M is one of those teams that could
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: score 35 points, but nobody hits value on their offense
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: just because their defense is that good. They had two
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: defensive touchdowns a few weeks ago. So totally with you there.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: And speaking of value-wide receivers, we're going to jump right
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: in with this next game because if you look at
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: Arizona's availability report, it is jam-packed with skill players. Fafita
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: is expensive. I mean, $ 8, 900. It becomes a tough click,
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: but knowing what you're up against in this West Virginia
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: defense and seeing what teams have done to them, specifically
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: Iowa State last week, I think there's an argument that
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: he is easily a fair value. Kedrick Ruscano, 6K, I
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: think a solid price. He had 21 carries last week.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: He just wasn't very effective. So, again, the recency bias
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: is going to get me here. I think if Ruscano
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: gets 21 touches again, the ceiling drops. is certainly there,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: but these wide receivers is where we run into a
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: lot of question marks. No Giovanni Richardson, no Trey Spivey,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: no Chris Hunter, no Cole Rusk at the tight end position.
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: So that Isaiah Mizell as like the standout guy, who's
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: already gotten some opportunity, even with some of those guys healthy,
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: but we have names like Brandon Phelps, RJ Mosley, Caleb
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: Jett Smith, that are great. going to be on the
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: field a ton and not a single one of them
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: priced over 4K. We even have a min price RJ Mosley.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: So when you're looking at this, it makes it easier
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: to stack Fafita. And then you look at the other
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: side and you're like, Oh, West Virginia is expensive, but
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: they also have a great matchup and you have cheap
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: runbacks on the other side. Michael Hawkins just scores three
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: touchdowns a game. Cam Cook is tough because Michael Hawkins
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: takes all of his touchdowns. And then if you're looking
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: to stack, I mean, DJ Epps, seems like the one
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: guy you're looking at Jaden Bray, you get a pretty
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: significant discount, but this seems like a really juicy game,
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: super high total, uh, a lot of fantasy points on
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: the board so far this season for a lot of
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: these guys, just how do you handle the Arizona wide
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: receiver situation?
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's really solid, a 32 point team total
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: on the road. This totals only went up as the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: week has went on. Um, I think for me, as
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: I've thought about this more, like my Zell is definitely
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: the safest. Like that's your, like, I think if you're
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: playing a cash lineup, that is your first kind of
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: wide receiver click. Beyond that, you know, Phelps, Smith, Mosley,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: I tend to lean. So like last week, Iowa state,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I was kind of in on the Meyer case. I
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: thought slot receivers maybe had a good matchup. He did. Okay.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: But Cody Jackson had a really good game out wide.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: I think you can, it doesn't really matter what receiver
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: positions these guys are lining up. I didn't really find
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: an edge there. But when you're playing the ownership game,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: and then even you get like a little bit of
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: price discount too with like a Phelps and a Smith.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Tyler Powell's a tight end. I'm not super interested, but
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: I'm really intrigued in the Phelps and Smith. As I've
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: thought about it more, like you could do a Michael
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: Hawkins with two Arizona receivers. And I think that that's
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a really like, I would tend to lean that Hawkins
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: most of the time would outscore Fafita. Like if, you know,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: just apples to apples, like just with the amount of
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: touchdowns Hawkins gets and my son, like Smith could each
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: get there for their prices. And you'll want the Hawkins
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: over for feet at a hundred dollars more, like just
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: straight up. So I think that that's kind of a
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: good way to get different, but still play all the pieces.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Like it's just getting different, your construction, um, Sorry to
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: keep going about Arizona. There's just a lot here.
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: There's a lot to break down.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Riscano had 21 carries last week. He was not efficient
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: at all, but that volume definitely raises my eyebrows. He
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: didn't have any touchdown passes last week. So we did
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: see that West Virginia might be susceptible to some running
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: back passes last week with Aiden Flora. I don't think
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: that's going to happen again, but Riscano should not carry
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: my ownership. And in this game environment, like, if he
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: happens to eat up touchdowns or something, super intrigued by that.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: The downfall is there's always a Quincy Craig looming. Who's
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: been more efficient. I don't know if I'm going to,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'd get to Craig this week, but
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: it's intrigued. Like if there was like, if we were
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: really starved for value, Craig would be in my pool
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: probably as well. And then, yeah, West Virginia side, not
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: a lot to say, but I mean, Hawkins has been
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: just a fantasy, just fantasy God. He's, Ran so well
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: with touchdowns and it just limits Cam Cook's upside. cam
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: cook can like make 27 points like 3x value on
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: volume alone but when you're paying that price in a
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: gpp you want 40 point upside and i don't know
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: if he has i mean he does have that but
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: we haven't seen it yet because hawkins just absorbs these
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: touchdowns um But yeah, and then you kind of touched
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: on Epps. That's really the only one I'm interested in.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: You know, we saw Trough catch a touchdown last week,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: but I think just Hawkins and then a little bit
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: of Cook and then like every Arizona Wildcat. So that
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: that sums it up pretty well, I guess. Yeah.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: And when you're looking at a guy like Cam Cook,
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: we know his history. If you played DFS before Jacksonville
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: State last year, an absolute animal. And that was a
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: two headed monster with quarterback and running back with Caden
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: Creel at the helm there. And now we're getting it
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: to where they're both getting the volume. It's just Hawkins
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: is taking the touchdown. So what, like what, what ownership
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: are you looking for in a GPP before you're like, okay,
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: I need to get more cam cook to get a
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: massive amount of leverage. Like his ownership is going to
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: be nerfed because of the touchdown variance so far.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: You would think so.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I think that his ownership is going
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: to like, that's going to make him more viable for sure.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: And then just, I mean, Hawkins, he's priced up finally.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, he should probably even be a little like
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: the 95 to 9,800. I'm not going to get too
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: picky about that, but he should carry. So that's always
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: leverage there. I mean, it doesn't take much. It's always,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: you know, the injury or just the touchdown variance. So
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I don't know. Cam cook 5% over
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: under this week. Is that kind of where we're setting that?
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: It's probably a fair line and it's, it's one of
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: those things that, I've been waiting for it to go
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: in Cook's favor. It seems like every single week and
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: every single week it's just Hawkins. So I was going,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: I wins a lot.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Welcome.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: Let's have a weekend for sure. Uh, chat, we can
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: get the chat active. That'd be awesome. I mean, get
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: your questions in. We're happy to answer questions about any game,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: whether we've already covered it, no matter when you're coming in. Um,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: so if you have a question about an upcoming game,
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: a question about a previous game or the game we're on,
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: we're happy to answer them. Uh, we got a few, like,
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: obviously we got through a couple of games so far. So, um,
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: Questions about those, we're happy to go back if need be.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: But we'll move on to UCF and Oklahoma State. I mean,
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: UCF's just here every single week. They're maybe DraftKings' favorite team. But, again,
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: I'll take this game over Ohio State's game and Notre
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: Dame's game. On the UCF side, Kiwan Jenkins, dare I say,
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: looked decent last week. I don't know that I'm going
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: to go on a limb and say he was good.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: But he did show some life. Duke Watson's average per
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: carry is now down to 8.4 yards a carry, which
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: with the volume, you want 10 yards a carry to
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: be completely honest. And then in the wide receiver room,
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Josh Derry had a stellar game last week. But Dwayne
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: Thomas is questionable. He could be back. It looks like
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: Dylan Wade's going to be back, which is certainly going
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: to throw a wrench into the usage of these wide receivers,
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: which outside of Derry's game last week was kind of
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: already spread out. And then on the Oklahoma State side,
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: we're running into some pricing issues here. Drew Mestemaker at 8K,
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: a solid option with a 32-point team total. You could
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: argue he should be higher. Caleb Hawkins at 7,100 seems insane.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: He had 31 touches against West Virginia. And now that
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: was a pristine matchup. But 31 touches, I don't care
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: who you're playing. If you're going to get that sort
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: of volume, and it's not a one-off. We saw him
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: get that volume at North Texas last year. So 7,100
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: for 31 carries. I'll, I'll take that all day. Even
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: if he gets 75% of that, I think you're in
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: a good spot. And then right now, Wyatt Young's questionable.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: If he can't go, Miles Coleman might become the value
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: wide receiver play of the slate. And even if everybody
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: is healthy, I think you can look at Young. You
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: can maybe still look at Coleman, but like Justin Bowick
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: is the target leader for this Oklahoma state team. and
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: through four games, he has four touchdowns. So even if
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: the wide receiver room is healthy, uh, if you want
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: a piece of this offense, but can't quite get to
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: young Boix there at a thousand dollars cheaper. So with, uh,
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's fairly one-sided, but I think the pricing
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: is right on UCF that you can get a run
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: back if you want an OSU stack. Um, but another
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: game where even though the spreads pretty big, it's double digits,
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: we're getting a lot of points in this game.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. I, um, I guess kind of starting
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: with the UCF side, I really don't have a ton
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: of interest. I mean, just they've been really tough to pay.
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: Derry obviously had a great game last week. Um, we'll
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: kind of touch on some stuff later of talking about
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: the team he played last week. Um, but at 4,100,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: I think he's really fine at a run back. Same
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: with Duke Watson, but I don't think I'd play him
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: as a one-offs. Like I want them to correlate with
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: these Cowboys. Um, So one thing I kind of forgot
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: to look at is like Wyatt Young been on the
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: injury report every week. Is that like, I don't know
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: if I'm making that up or not. Um, or maybe
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: it's just been other receivers. I can't remember, but that's
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: really the like talking point and you touched on it.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: You know, if Young is out, Miles Coleman becomes a
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: pretty elite value play. Um, that being said, I don't like,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: I like an Oklahoma state onslaught. It's gettable for sure
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: this week. Um, you know, Chris Barnes is kind of
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: working his way in, um, I don't know. Like, it
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: seems like they've kind of favored Terrence Lewis a little more,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. I don't know how that's going
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: to shake out, but you could, like, I don't hate
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: a Chris Barnes, Miles Coleman, or Terrence Lewis, if it's
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: with Mr. Maker only and in like a game type stack. Yeah.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Not a lot to add to what you said. Like
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma state's really nice. And it's like one of the
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: spots where there's no weather issues or anything. And I
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: don't know, it's kind of tough to predict that. Like
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: you kind of maybe want like the extra touchdowns out
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: of Mestemaker or Hawkins. But I think there's a world
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: where they both can get there in an onslaught as well.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that's kind of what I have. What do
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: you think, Wyatt Young?
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: Just the Big 12's archives. It's just complete garbage. We
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: got this week and the weekend of September 26th. So
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: that was, I think, the last time they played, which whatever,
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: they don't have a full season. But it doesn't appear
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: he was on the injury report at any point that week.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: But that's all I got. Handcuffed by the Big 12.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: It's probably just that Burns, they've had other receivers on
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: there throughout the year that have been sprinkled in, and
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: that's probably what I was thinking.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I think the Oklahoma State side is the side
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: you're really looking at, but I don't think you completely
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: cross off UCF. Obviously, weather could play a huge factor
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: if we start to see more games impacted by it.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: you're going to stray to these games where the weather's
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: going to be good a little bit more. All right.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: North Carolina, Pittsburgh. We got some, some value here. Billy
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: Edwards at 5,300 Jordan ship wide receiver one at sub
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: five K CJ Sadler was back last week or last
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: game ran a ton of routes against Notre Dame. Just
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: didn't quite have the target share. So, you know, another
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: value option, but it's really shipping Thurman in this wide
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: receiver room. And I know we like attacking Pittsburgh through
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: the air, And, you know, North Carolina showed signs of
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: life against a really good opponent in Notre Dame. Maybe
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame's not as good as people are projecting them
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: to be. They argue strength of schedule. It seems like
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: every single year with Notre Dame outside of a couple
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: of games. But still, they've done more than other teams
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: against that, the Irish. And then on the Pittsburgh side,
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: you have Holden Gerner coming in as the backup. I
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: do think he showed some signs of life when he
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: came in relief for Heinzel. And it's yet to be
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: determined how much of a drop off it truly is.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: But Shaqiri and Turner seemed to be back to normal
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: last week. 20 touches, just had a touchdown sniped by Ferguson,
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: which sucked. But I mean, that's part of DFS. And
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: then the wide receivers, Katoris Hicks had a stellar game
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: against Virginia Tech. Sincerely saw his highest target share of
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: the year. One thing we're obviously continuing to watch week
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: after week is Malik Knight, because if he comes back,
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: he will throw a a bit of a wrench into
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: this wide receiver room. Cause he did have a decent
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: target share before going down. I don't know how much
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: it would hurt Hicks or Lee. It probably hurt more,
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: a guy more like Bryce Yates, who's seen an increase
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: in volume.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: So yeah.
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: What do you have on UNC pick? It's a lower total,
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: but I think, I think this is the spot where
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: you can maybe get a little bit different because of
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: the matchup.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, initially this week, like the first like dummy
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: lineup I built was I used Billy Edwards and paired
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: him with one of these wide receivers. Like I really like,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm always going to be one to attack,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: you know, Pittsburgh, you know, they're kind of a pass
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: funnel through there. So I definitely liked the Billy Edwards.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: I didn't realize that about CJ Sadler. Like I don't
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: mind him like with Billy Edwards specifically. I'll have to
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: dig into that more. Cause I mean, yeah, he was
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: out there a ton. Yeah. Not a ton to add
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: on North Carolina, like the passing side. One thing about
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: Turner that I, I, you know, we kind of, he
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: didn't get like necessarily the carry volume, but he caught
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a lot of passes. I can't remember the exact number
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: last week. And I, yeah, six. I mean, we've always
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: seen these pit running backs be involved in the past
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: game and now we've got a backup quarterback. Um, I
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: don't remember what they said, like how much football he's
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: actually played, but I know he's like a six year
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: college football player. So it's like, uh, um, I don't,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: but either way, like, I think Turner, like, I think
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: I'm playing that for the receiving upside. Um, But as
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: I've grown throughout the week and looked at I really,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: really liked Turner. Um, yeah, Boosie. I, uh, as far
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: as the receivers go for Pitt, I think it's, I
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: don't know. Cause it's like, if I play Grenier, like
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: I almost feel like I just, like, I don't mind
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: playing it with Turner. But I just don't have a
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: good feel of what that's going to be. But if
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: I play Grenier, I feel like I want to pair
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: him with a wide receiver. So I've still got to
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: kind of analyze that situation. That being said, I think just,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, Blue Hicks has been kind of the top guy. Sincerely,
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: he's out there, but he just keeps disappointing. And I
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: keep getting sucked in there too, and it's driving me nuts.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: But yeah, for me, Pitt, I think I'm just going
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: to kind of stay in the lane with the running back.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: I'll probably play some Grenier in like my 150 build.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: you know, as a, like a game stack, have him
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: ran back with a ship or a Thurman. But yeah,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: this game is intriguing. The total's not right there where
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: I'd like to see, but it's, there's definitely some spots. Yeah.
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: And with sincerely, I mentioned that he had his highest
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: target share of the year. He had five receptions, but
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: I think it was only for like 30 some yards
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: and he hasn't like, he didn't get the score. And
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: so it's just not going to pay off when he's
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: in the mid five Ks. So, yeah, before we move
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: on to the next game, just I need a temporary
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: excitement a little bit before we get there.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: I do want to touch on this question using the
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: stone 2.0, which another feature I'll show off here after
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: we're done going through the games. It's awesome. But do
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: you look at total ownership? Should you be trying to
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: achieve a specific number when you're looking at GPPs and
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: single entry? I can. I mean, I can touch on
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: single entry because I play a lot more cash, double ups,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: triple ups, multipliers, things like that. For single entry, I,
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: first of all, one note, I will enter a cash
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: lineup into a bunch of contests, but I always make
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: sure to enter it into a single entry as well.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: Because if it takes off and I happen to have
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: a guy with leverage in that lineup, I don't want
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: it to be stuck in only double ups or only
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: triple ups. I want a chance at that top prize
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: in the single entries as well. But typically for single entry,
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: I'll roll with my cash lineup and find one or
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: two pivot guys. And the other thing that factors in too,
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: because there's a difference between single entry GPP and then MME,
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: like the huge contests, the smaller the contest, I don't
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: think you need to get as cute with ownership. So
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: how do you approach that with the 150 max, the
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: flagship contest and those bigger with tens of thousands of
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: entries into it?
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: So- Um, I guess, yeah, single entry, like I kind
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: of do the same as you, like usually it's just
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: like my favorite lineup, um, GPPs. So I guess this
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: is the way I usually figure it. Um, and it's
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: kind of a, like, just, I really, I don't know
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: if it's like the right way as DFS is like
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: modernized anymore to do it like this, but usually I'll
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: get my optimizer set up I have all my groups, everything.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: And then I run 150 lineups. I look at the
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: lowest owned lineup and usually I set it below that bar.
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: I will say like two game slates, usually it'll be
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: a hair above that bar. And then we get into
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: a 12 game slate like this. Usually I'm probably dropping
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: 20 to 30% below that bar for 150 build. That's
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: pretty general. If you want, I can talk about like
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: more specific numbers in Discord more. I don't necessarily want to...
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: give away all the treats right here on a public show.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: But I'm more, more than happy to talk with you
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: about that on discord. But like I said, I don't,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: you know, in another way, you could just like make
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: a group of players. I haven't built with Saberson as much.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I need to get more experience on it. So I
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: don't know if you can quite do this. I'm guessing
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: you can, but just including like forcing one guy under 10%,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: that's a good way to do it. Cause a lot
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: of times like college football and it's bright pricing has
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: been tighter on DraftKings this year. So we haven't quite
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: had like the $ 4, 800 running back that's 70% owned. but
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: that's when it can kind of get funky to where
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: you might just want to force a lower, like, cause
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: you might want, like, it might be really good chocolate eating,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: but you just want to force like one pivot or
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: two pivots and even a big GPP, 150 max build. Yeah.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: That's a really good question. That was, that's an interesting
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: talking point. Yeah.
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: And some marketing that I'm glad organically came up because
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: we do talk about this kind of stuff in the discord. Well,
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: we have a stage every Saturday an hour before lock
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: where we'll talk about this kind of stuff too. Obviously
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: we'll go through our plays and our pools and what
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: we're looking at in terms of, you know, weather, et cetera.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if you saw the NFL chat
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: in our discord this week, Kenny, but one of the
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: heaviest process conversations I've seen, it went from, I want
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: to say like Monday night all the way through Tuesday
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: early afternoon, but a lot of good stuff in there
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: and just talking about, okay, it was showdown specific. Like
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: when do you go five, one, when you go for two, uh,
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: how do you load your captain? If you like three guys,
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: all of all different sorts of stuff. And it was
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: really good stuff. And, and even as somebody who's been
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: playing DFS for a long time, I learned a lot
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: just from reading our community's thoughts on everything. So just
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: another great reason to get into the discord again, experience
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: it for five days for less than 20 bucks. Uh, it's, it's,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: it's the perfect time to get in right now. This is,
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: this is the heart of football season football every single day.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: And it's awesome.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: I needed to distract you before we got to this game.
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: I needed to like get your mind turning. I know
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: you have a lot today and, you know, being our
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: resident Nebraska guy, Indiana at Nebraska, just a seven point favorite.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: I think this there's seven and a half point, but
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a hostile environment.
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: I think Nebraska is going to give them a run.
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: We already saw Northwestern do it. I mean, I think
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: Northwestern is a good football team, but Nebraska is, I
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: would say on that level. I'll make the end aside,
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: Josh Hoover. I mean, 8,500 feels a little bit overpriced.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: Now I'm going to say that, and he's going to
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: snipe a couple of rushing touchdowns on the goal line. But, um, like, uh,
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's a situation where you need to
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: stack him just because of how high his wide receiver
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: ceilings are. And it gets a little bit expensive too.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: I like Becker and Marsh, uh, but they're Marsh a
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: little bit more just cause he's cheaper, but they're almost
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: priced out of my range. Um, on this slate and
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: then turbo and BB, we've seen them both hit value.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: We've seen them both in the same game. It's just, again,
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: one of the tougher matchups Indiana's going this year and
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: with a timeshare and not knowing exactly how it's going
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: to go, that whichever one I play, I guarantee the
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: other one's going to have a better day. It just,
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: that seems like the way it's been with these timeshares
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: so far this year. And then Nebraska, I'm not going
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: to dig too much into because I know you're in
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: tune to what's going on there. But Jamal Rule is
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: a guy that's one of those cheap running backs that
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: you wouldn't anticipate is in a good spot against Indiana.
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: But at this price with his workload, he was out previously,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: but everybody had eyes on him early in the season
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: when he had that monster game and nobody had ever
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: heard of him except I presume you had heard of him.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: And then we have Quasi Gilmore or Gilmore, Quasi Gilmore.
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: who's really established himself as the alpha, and Naziah Hunter's
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: kind of taken a back seat. We have him as
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: wide receiver four right now.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: On the stone.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: So talk to me about your Huskers. Talk to me
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: about this matchup against Indiana. I want your biased and
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: your unbiased opinions. Start with an unbiased, objective DFS first.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Okay, unbiased. Kwasi Gilmer is the only good play that's
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: really going to garner ownership. That's going to project well
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: in this game. Okay. Um, so the Indiana side, I
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: don't have any interest in the running backs cause they're
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: priced up. I don't see a ceiling for them there. Um,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Hoover's too expensive for his role. Becker and Mars. I
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: both like a lot. They're both going to be lower
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: owned cause they're pay up wide receivers. I really liked
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Mars this week. Um, as a, like just a total
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: different direction for what we'll see. And I think it's
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: still like, you can just double punt, you know, you
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: got three receiver spots, double punt two of them play
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: with Nick Marsh and you know, the third one. Yeah.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: So the Nebraska side, Jamal rule going into the year,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: like Husker nation loved this guy. He had a really
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: good spring game. I wasn't, There's much buying the hype
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: just because it's a true freshman three-star. I think he–
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: like I looked on 247. He was like the running
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: back 88 overall. Not that that necessarily means anything. Like
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: Malachi Toney was a three-star. Now look at that. But
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: he looked so good. And I know it wasn't against competition,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: but he was like a star. And 4,900, like there's
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: going to be rotation with Nebraska's running backs. But what
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: I kind of anticipate, and this is just me, like
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: this is fully my opinion. I think Mosey is going
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: to be really phased out. He's been fine, but he
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: hasn't been as good. Like Nelson, the rule have both
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: looked good and rule. Like I said, he's pretty much,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: he got hurt against Michigan state missed last week. Um,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: he was a game time decision last week. So I
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: feel like he's good to roll. I like rule at like,
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, probably sub 3% ownership. Indiana has the highest
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: rushing defense grade on the slate, but Nebraska throws to
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: their running backs a ton. Um, And Calandra is like
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: a wild man back there making plays. He's not going
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: to be owned at all. He's kind of expensive for
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: me on the slate. I'll still have some shares of him,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: like especially pairing with a happy Gilmer. I mean, quasi Gilmer.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I yeah. And Gilmer, I think Gilmer had like 17
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: targets last week. And like, even like the way that
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: game started last week, Maryland kind of jumped out on Nebraska.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: And so they were kind of thrown, like they were
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: pushing the ball down the field and Calandria just loves
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: to pepper Gilmer. I think he's a great play. I
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: going into like when I first saw the slate on Monday,
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: I'm like, Oh, Gilmer's going to be like the cash
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: receiver this week. And then like the Arizona situation happened,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: but Gilmer's still going to be a pretty popular cash click.
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: And he's a, he's a great play at all formats.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: He's underpriced for his role. I mean, 17 targets, 4,900,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: like even if he has like two thirds of that,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: that's like elite, um, rest of the past catchers. I'm
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: not going to get there as much as like my
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: little heart desires. Um, the Zaya Hunter was obviously our
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: stud last year and he's kind of been phased out.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Barney's our slot. Um, Lyndon Meyer is a great tight end.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: He's not a great DFS play, but he is a
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: great tight end. Before I keep going too long, I
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: think I summed it up pretty good for a team
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: that's really not going to be that viable for DFS,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: which kind of sucks. DraftKings will do showdowns, like a
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: 10 o'clock showdown, 1.30 showdown. They took A & M
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: in Missouri over Indiana and Nebraska. I always like to
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: have a little 15-person showdown contest with my buddies when
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: they do include Nebraska. I was really disappointed that DraftKings
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: didn't make this a little 10 o'clock showdown. But, yeah,
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: that's all I have here. I'm definitely going to play some,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: but I might be the only one. Or Husker fans
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: in general might be the only ones. Yeah.
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: Well, the one thing I'll say is that it looks
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: like a competitive game on paper. Not the most competitive,
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: but certainly not as big of a spread as we're
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: seeing on some of these other games. And Nebraska being
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: at home helps. But I would side with you on that, too,
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: that they're not going to be a popular team by
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: any means. All right, moving on to– South Carolina, Florida. Ian,
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: who's not with us today, he is our resident Gator guy.
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: He gave me a few notes. And we discussed some
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: things last night with him. But South Carolina coming in,
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: really just, I mean, a lot of people surprised that
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: Beamer's still there. And I don't know about you, but
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: I don't want to be in Florida's path this week,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: no matter what my team has done so far this season.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: This is the last team I want to see. So
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: you're looking at the South Carolina side, maybe you can
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: play sellers, but I think he's still at risk of
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: getting benched. I mean, he, he gets there with his legs.
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: He can hit value with his legs. Um, but the
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: passing has been an issue and, and there was already
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: rumors that they were going to go to their backup
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: last week if he didn't perform. And, you know, he
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: apparently performed well enough that cutter woods didn't, didn't come
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: into play. Um, but I 7,200 is just a fair price.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: So it's, it's, I still think a little difficult, like
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: watching what Byron Brown did against them. I think Sellers
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: can do that with his legs, but I don't think
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: he has the throwing capability that Byron Brown has. Not
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: that Brown's this elite passer, but I think Sellers is worse.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: Matt Fuller, I mean, in terms of usage, I think
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: he's the one guy you look at on this team.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: He's just a little bit expensive in the 7Ks. But
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: by all accounts, we're paying up at running back this week.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: So I think he's definitely on the radar. And these
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: wide receivers, man. I mean, Mazeo Bennett is fine just
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: because he's cheap. Nick Harbour is just one of the
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: more disappointing players in college football over the past few years.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: And he's only got a 45% catch rate this year,
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: so it seems to be much of the same. And
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: then on the Florida side, Aaron Filo has just kind
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: of fine where he's at at 7,800. Jaden Baugh. was
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: shut down last week by Missouri. So I love the
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: idea of a bounce back here. I think this is
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: a good spot for him. Again, I think Florida is
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: a freight train without caring what's in its path this week.
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: And then in the wide receiver room, Vernell Brown is
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: listed as questionable. He was listed as questionable last week.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: Ian doesn't think he's going to play just because they
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: have Texas coming up and they want him like 100% healthier,
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: as close to as they can possibly get. So that's
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: going to leave Dallas Wilson a bit expensive for a
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: wide receiver, tough to pay up, especially when you have
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: like Nick Marsh for $ 100 cheaper, probably with more usage opportunity.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: But if Brown's out, you can look at Eric Singleton
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: at $ 4, 500. After Dallas Wilson, everybody else in the wide
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: receiver room is cheap if Vernell Brown doesn't go. So
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: a little bit of interest there. but really Boz is
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: the one that sticks out. And now this is another one.
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: This is a game that could be impacted by weather.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: I don't, it's like the total has gone down a
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: couple of points. I think it started at 60 and
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: a half. Now is it down to 58 and a half?
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: So not a huge shift, but a shift nonetheless. So
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: definitely something we'll watch, but I think Jane Boz and
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: play regardless. What are you looking at in this game?
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: And like, specifically South Carolina, I think Florida is, is
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: pretty clear. Yeah.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: South Carolina for me. I mean, you made a good
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: point on sellers. It was funny when you're like the
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: better pass to the Byron Brown. I was like, I mean,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: that's pretty bad or worst pass. That's pretty bad. I mean,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: in a trailing game script, I don't mind sellers fuller
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: for me. I just prefer so many other, like, I
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: don't want to pay 7,200 for fuller. I honestly don't
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: even have interest in Nick Harbor really. Bennett's out. Like I,
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: I just think it's a, crappy situation. Um, I'll definitely
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: play some like sellers boss stacks. Um, obviously don't need
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: to add it with bot. Like he's elite. Um, so
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: last week I really liked the Kentucky wide receivers against
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. And I like, I know Anderson had to
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: have gotten their Darby, like won me a seat last week. Rodriguez,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I think had over 10 points and sub 4k. Um,
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: I'd kind of be intrigued in Vernell Brown, but if
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: he doesn't play, like it does, like, I don't mind
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: like a Dallas Wilson or like Stockton played a lot
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: of slot snaps for them last week. But Singleton is
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: getting worked in. So I think it's worth looking at
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: the Florida receivers, especially since they have they're tied for
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: the highest team total on the slate. But I don't know, like,
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: I really don't want to play Wilson together. I don't
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: think like that's a lot of salary. So I think
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: just like one Florida play. for me, but I think there,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, Boz obviously just, I don't, I wish it
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: would have kind of kept him priced up where it
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: was because he's in a way better spot this week.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: I can't believe how much Missouri shut him down last week.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: That was pretty impressive by the Tigers. Yeah.
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: And one note on Stockton too, he does play from
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: the slot primarily, but even with his highest number of
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: routes run against Missouri, He was only targeted three times,
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: and that's a point that Ian made during our conversation
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: yesterday as well, is just that he's more of a
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: blocking slot wide receiver. So while he's on the field
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: a lot, it doesn't always turn into production. Now, anybody
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: who's on the field can score a touchdown at any time.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, we've seen RB4s. Like, look at last night.
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: It was that kid from Arkansas State, Timothy Carter.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: There was no shortage there. There's no shortage of backup
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: running backs and backup quarterbacks scoring rushing touchdowns last night.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Ethan Vasco, three carries for four yards and two touchdowns.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Unreal.
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: No, that was actually a pretty fun slate last night, though.
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: If you guys didn't watch, that South Alabama-Arkansas State game
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: was insane. That game was over three times, and then
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: it wasn't over, and Arkansas State was back. It was
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: fun right up until the end.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they said that that was the highest
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: scoring game of the year so far.
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it ended up being 56-42, I believe.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: 56-49.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: Oh, it was 49. They did score that other touchdown. Okay, sweet. Yeah,
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: it started getting late. My eyes were glazing over a
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: little bit by the time that game was done. All right,
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: back to Saturday. Texas at Oklahoma. One of the bigger
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: games of the week. Obviously, Bama-Georgia on the night slate
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: is one, but Texas-Oklahoma, Red River rivalry. Looks like it's
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: going to be a slog fest. Arch Manning is in
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: the seven K's though, which is not something we're used
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: to necessarily. So I think you can still get to
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: him here at his reduced price. It looks like Hollywood
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: Smothers is going to go. So that kind of gives
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: me pause on this running back room, especially, you know,
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: I know Oklahoma's not good, but I think they still
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: have a decent defense and can stop the run. Um,
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: and then these wide receivers, I think you can get
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: to any one of these three guys and they have a,
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: some upside in this matchup. Um, Wingo has been solid.
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: He just hasn't found the end zone in a couple
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: of games, uh, up until last week, I believe Mosley
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: was leading the team in targets. Cam Coleman is, he
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: had a two touchdown game, but he's been fairly quiet.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: And I think he's, I, of course I said this
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: a lot when he was at Auburn too, like this
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: week's going to be the week for Cam Coleman. Um,
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: but the ability is certainly there. Um, it's just, uh,
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: you know, a cost issue. And then on the Oklahoma side,
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: John Mateer is, in my notes, I just wrote, he's
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: kind of the laughingstock of college football right now. If
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: you look across the internet outside of Texas A &
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: M' s end zone design, I think John Mateer might be
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: the most memed thing with college football this year. So,
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: but at 6,400, I mean, if Oklahoma is going to
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: do anything on offense, it's probably going to start with him.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: because i don't know that i like this running back
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: room at all the volume just hasn't been there for
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: these guys and it's a tough matchup the wide receiver
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: room though is one spot i think you can get
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: to for dfs purposes because all of the usage is
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: funneled to satania and rocky beers uh satania obviously at
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: 5900 but beers at 4200 what's better than beers on
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: a Saturday afternoon. Love me a cold beer. Love me
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: a good tight end 4,200. I think he's even in
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: this game is viable in all formats. I think he
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: had nine targets last week. So if the opportunity is
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: going to be there for somebody 4,200, it's going to
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: catch eyes from my perspective, sloggy game. I mean, honestly,
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised if the under even hit in
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: this game, how are you approaching it for DFS?
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know how Mateer's going to know if
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: anybody's opened down the field since this is a neutral
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: side game and he won't be able to help the
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: crowd go crazy. I mean, this game just sucks for me. Like,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: I really want to like some pieces. And I mean,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: it's a good real life game. And this Red River
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: rivalry over the years, you've seen some off the wall
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: shit happen with like just it can get. back and forth, like,
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: just real quick. I mean, I don't think Caleb Williams
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: is going to be coming up. I don't think Oklahoma
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: has Caleb sitting on the bench to come in and
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: save him this time. But, yeah, I don't– like, the
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma side, like, I don't mind Beers or Cetegna. I mean,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: cheaper– you know, Cetegna's the cheapest I think he's been
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: all year. So, like, he's always viable. And then Texas,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: you know, you kind of touched on it. Like, I
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: think Cam Coleman is the cheapest he's been all year.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: And really you're just hoping for him to get, like,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: they got, okay, if they're projected for 23 points, he
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: gets two of them and goes over a hundred yards.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: That's going to work at 6,800. Um, but that's really
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: the only interest I have from the Texas side is
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: like Cam Coleman and like, I'm not going to stack
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: this game. Um, so yeah, not a ton to add
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: other than it's the Red River rivalry, you know? Yeah.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: It's, it's going to get a lot, it's already getting
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: a lot of hype. I mean, it's It doesn't matter
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: how good or bad these teams are. It's one of
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: those games where you just take everything out of it
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: because these teams get up when they play each other.
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: I do like that they both came over from the
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Big 12 together because it keeps the rivalry that much
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: more interesting. So, yeah, I think it could be a
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: fun overall game to watch, and it could be the
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: final nail in the coffin for Mateer, or it could
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: be the start of his comeback story, right? If you
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: can get a storyline out of it, all the better. Oh,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: before we get to this next game, Indiana-Nebraska on FanDuel.
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: So if you can create– because I think you can
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: create on FanDuel as well if you want to do
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: one with your buddies. So contests are pretty small. That's
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: because FanDuel doesn't prioritize their DFS product, but that's all
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: I'm going to say about that because I don't want
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: to get in any trouble. Ole Miss at Vanderbilt. Actually,
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not really scared of getting in trouble. I retract
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: that last statement. FanDuel sucks. But I think there's a
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: lot of opportunity on FanDuel, just because I think a
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: lot of people have that same mentality. They just funnel
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: on DraftKings, and there's room on FanDuel for more. Ole
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: Miss at Vanderbilt. This is another one of those games
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: that could be impacted by weather. The total started at 59.5
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: when I took my notes early in the week, and
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: now it's down to 54.5. So that's a five-point drop. Obviously,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: Vegas thinks that weather is going to have a big
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: impact as well. I don't think weather is going to
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: impact Trinidad Chambliss just because of his dual threat ability.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: He is a little bit expensive if you're just relying
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: on his legs in this game, especially when you have
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: Michael Hawkins in a better weather environment. And I don't
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: know if it's a better game environment, but he's only
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: $ 300 more. You can easily find that 300 bucks with
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: the way this slate works out. Kiwan Lacey is one
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: we're going to have to wait and see on. Even
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: if he's going to play, I would want to know
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: that he's going to get his full workload and his
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: 100% at 7,800 because I think this is a great
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: spot for him. If he didn't have any injury history
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: this season, if this was just a normal game, I'd
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: be all over Lacey at 7,800. But there is going
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: to be some pause. And Deuce is expensive, but for
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: good reason. And then, I mean, it's the normal– Normal
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: guys behind him, Odom, Ray, Fields, all in the 4Ks,
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: all fine. I mean, weather's going to be a big
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: part of this. And then the Vanderbilt side, Jared Curtis
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: is likely back. I think he's probable on the report. 6,800
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: is fine in a game that I think they'll probably
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: need to throw a lot, and I do think you
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: can get to this Ole Miss defense. Running backs, I'm
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: personally not touching. You know, maybe if the weather's bad,
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: they get a few more short passes and more opportunities
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: carrying the ball, but it's just– I never really liked
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: Vanderbilt running backs and then junior Cheryl, if weather wasn't
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: a factor, he's a guy I'd be all over because
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: it seems like he's the only one they're throwing the
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: ball to at least consistently. Uh, so I, I mean,
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: weather's going to be a part. It looked, there's a
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: lot of points in this game still, uh, on the
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: table potential. So I typically one we would look at
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: for DFS, but injuries and whether I play in a
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: big factor, I think.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: Um, Yeah.
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: The weather's kind of a pain in the butt. Like
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: I thought the total would drop more just looking at
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: this forecast. So my sports weather.com, which is Kevin Roth's website.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: He helps out. I think he does a part for,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: or does like NFL weather for ship it as well,
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: but it's been a really good source this year. Just
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: get like a simple breakdown. Like this game, let's looking
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: at it right now. It's like chance, like 75% chance
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: of rain. Like, starting and it only gets worse and
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: then 15 to 30 mile an hour Gus like that
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: just sounds pretty disgusting um you know like the Vanderbilt
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: side you touched on Cheryl Ole Miss has the uh
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: as like a terrible coverage grade like their third worst
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: on the slate and like them West Virginia and some
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: other team I can't remember kind of in a tear
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: in their own on the bottom of the slate I
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: think it sucks is like I mean if Cheryl's still
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: gonna take the ownership which I I don't know how
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: much content sites are going to lower Cheryl's projection manually
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: because of the weather. It's tough to predict the weather
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: and really tough to quantify how bad it's going to be.
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: It could be a really good fade spot. I would
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: love Junior Cheryl if there wasn't a weather spot. It'd
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: be a top wide receiver play for me. It might
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: be a good spot to get leverage in GPPs. Just
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: not mess with Vanderbilt at all. Ole Miss.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: I'm really interested in Kwon Lacey. Like, I'm– I don't know. Gosh,
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: dang it. And if it wasn't an injury, like, he
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: keeps re-aggravating his shoulder injury. And so, it's like, it's
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: even if he's 100% right now, he goes out, plays,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: he aggravates it. Like, it's sloppy. I don't know. It
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't feel very good. That being said, like, if he's–
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, sub-10% Kwon Lacey, price down, 10-point favorite on
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: the road in a rainy game. Like, that sounds– okay
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: like to me I think that that's fine Deuce Alexander's
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: been great but he's expensive and so like and even
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: pairing Chambliss and Deuce it's like you're eating up a
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: ton of salary right there I almost prefer if I'm
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: pairing Chambliss to take a shot with one of these
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: like the Odoms of the type you know he's the
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: tight end maybe a shorter a dot type guy Cunningham's
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: kind of been getting some more work too and I
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: think he was a pretty big recruit last year so
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's just a game. We're going to
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: have to watch the weather. I mean, I don't think
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: there's much to watch. Like I think we know what's
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: going to be coming, but maybe we can get some like,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know, videos of the field. And I don't,
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: so I don't, is this supposed to be like thunderstorms
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: or it's from the hurricane? Like, could there be a
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: lightning delay? Like, I mean, if there's a lightning, I don't,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: I don't see like an out for, for this, but I,
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. This game should be a lot cooler,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: but the weather just throws a wrench into everything. So
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: that's really all I have to say here.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and at this point, I don't want to put
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: full stock in the weather. That's something we hit pretty
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: hard on Saturday mornings as well because we have a
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: lot better forecasting at that point. But yeah, if we
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: get a lightning delay, that could flip this on its
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: head and all of a sudden this becomes one of
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: those ceiling-type games for DFS purposes. So another great reason
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: to be part of Ship It Nation. Big conversation in
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: the Discord on Saturday mornings. All right, back to the
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: Big 12, back to some better weather. We have Houston
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: at Kansas State. Houston kind of looked gross last week
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: for the most part, but that's because they were playing
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Central Florida. And as we mentioned, those games have gotten
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: sloggy this year. Connor Wegman, I found out this week
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: doing my research, he has the same birthday as me,
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: so I might load up on him this week just
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: for that. Great birthday. And he loves to run touchdowns in.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: which is great for DFS. He's got five rushing touchdowns
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: the last two games. But he also has three games
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: of three passing touchdowns or more this year. So we
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: know that the potential is there. If he can do
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: both in one game, look out. And K-State's pasty looks
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: good on paper. But teams have only averaged 19.5 passing
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: attempts per game. So is it because their defense is
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: that good or is it because teams aren't throwing on them?
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: So one of those things you have to look at
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: when you're looking into this game. But the running game,
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: Kansas State got run all over by Cincy. The last
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: time they took the field, both of Cincy's backs ran
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: for 120 plus yards. So that sets up well for
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: another two-headed monster, Makai Hughes and Rashawn Sanford. The thing is,
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: if Wegmans snipe in touchdowns, it just takes away some
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: of their ceilings. And the other thing is all three
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: of these guys are going to eat into each other.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: So it changes your approach a little bit. And then
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: the wide receiver and the top two guys are still
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: the same, Amari Thomas and Patrick Overmeyer. Thomas seems like
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: the better option. He's just $ 1, 600 more expensive. And then
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: Trent Walker has 13 targets the last two games, and
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: he's actually run more routes than Kobe Young despite being
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: on the field less. So higher target share, higher routes run,
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: just fewer snaps. But Trent Walker seems to kind of
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: be inching his way into that wide receiver three. I'd
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: still consider it like a 3A and 3B, or I
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: guess wide receiver two, but for DFS purposes, wide receiver three.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: But you could argue that Thomas Overmyer and Walker are
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: all underpriced. And then on the K-State side, Avery Johnson,
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: decent DFS here. His dual threat keeps him interesting. Even
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: at 8,300, he's the team's leading rusher, and he can
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: get there through the air. But this matchup doesn't really
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: scare me necessarily. Rodney Fields and Joe Jackson are splitting
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: behind RB1 Avery Johnson. Um, cheaper than the duo on
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: the other side, but I mean, for good reason, like
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: I think the opportunity is better for the Houston backs
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: and the K state backs. Um, and the other reason
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: is because Houston has allowed a 100, a hundred yard
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: wide receiver in every FBS game they've played this year,
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: which just sounds awesome for Jerron Tibbs. Uh, he left
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: in the first quarter of the last game coach said
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: he's fine. Um, Josh Manning is a target leader, but
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: part of that is because Tibbs missed time. And then
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: Garrett Oakley, I think, could see a pretty big increase
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: in usage because Will Ancho, or however he pronounces his
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: last name, is out for the season. Not that he
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: was like a target hog, but it's more tight end
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: snaps for Oakley and maybe even Lincoln Kier, if you
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: want to dig at the bottom of the barrel. And
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: then one interesting guy is Derek Sally. He's coming off
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: of a huge game, mostly because Tibbs was out. But
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: he showed up, like seven catches on 12 targets. And
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: the dude's 6'3, 235, and he's sub 4K. So if
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: he earned a bigger role, you're looking at a $ 3, 900
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: wide receiver that I think has massive ceiling if he's
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: on the field. It's just a matter of if he's
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: going to play it out that tips his back. But
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: I think there's a lot in this game to love.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: Not quite as high of a total as Arizona-West Virginia,
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: but a very competitive, high-scoring outlook. Yes, absolutely.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: I guess I've thought about this slate more and more.
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: I really, really like this game. Nobody's pulling a significant
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: amount of ownership, and with the tight spread, we could
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: get a back-and-forth here big time. I guess the Kansas
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: State side, you're talking about those wide receivers. So Sally,
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: he has 17 targets on the year, but they've been
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: on two games. He had 12 last week, and he
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: had five against Nichols State. I know he had a
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: great game, but I'm going to play it as he's
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: going to be phased out. He specifically played out wide
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: where Tibbs plays. So I really like Tibbs for that.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, the 100-yard receiver, like, Darry had his, like,
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: best game of the season last week. Like, he had
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: over 100 yards with a five-yard ADOT. But, yeah, I
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: really like a wide receiver from Kansas State. So that
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: kind of leads me to, like, liking Avery Johnson as well.
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Usually I wouldn't pair Avery, but I think that's how
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: I'm going to, like, even get More different this week?
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. Maybe I won't pair him.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: You can play him. I think it's fine to pair
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: him this week. The running backs for Kansas State is
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: just too muddled for me. And, like, even Jay Harris
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: has gotten in the box for him. So, it's like,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's really tough to figure out. That
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: being said, it wouldn't shock me if one of them, like,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: had a DK flame at the end of the day.
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: The Houston side. So, I know Wiegmann... like he had
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: all that rushing touchdown variance and he does steal it,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: but Kansas state's been specifically susceptible to running backs. Last week,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: both Cincinnati backs went over a hundred yards. Like you
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: talked about tab just happened to get all three touchdowns.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: I think I really like Ray Sean Sanford. I know
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: Hughes is tech. It's like a one, a one B situation.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Hughes hasn't been as efficient. And, you know, we saw
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: Hughes last year go to Oregon and not do anything.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: And then he comes back to Houston, you know, it's
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: a starter, but it's like more of a, a one cut. scheme.
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: And like, when I picture that, I can just picture
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Sanford one cut gone to the end zone. You know,
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: like last week, like JC French didn't have that great
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: of a rushing game. So I think I'm really going
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: to take a stand here and Sanford's going to be unknown,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: but I think I'm going to be quite a bit
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: overweight on specifically him. Underweight on Wiegman. The pass catchers
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: I like, but I don't like, there's some ceiling there
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: for all of them in this game environment. So like,
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: I think the way I'm going to play it, I'm
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: going to run back Wiegman with the Kansas state guy
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: and then kind of force. I don't know if I'm
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: going to play these Houston pass catchers as one-offs, maybe
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Amari Thomas, but like, well, gosh, I don't know. It's
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: really intriguing. I think you can like, this is a
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: good game stack. Um, that isn't going to be as
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I could just absolutely nuke in the afternoon. Um, Yeah,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: I love like Avery Sanford Tibbs. That's a sweet, sweet
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: large field, like single entry stacked. And then you can
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: play all the chalk around it.
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, especially when you're looking at their presses and what
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: their ceiling is. It's not that far off of some
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: of these guys that are going to garner ownership that
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: are in quote unquote better spots. So, yeah, a way
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: to get different in a game that's going to it's
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: projecting for a lot of points. So I like that
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: a lot. And I'm a sucker for Houston. I don't
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: know what it is. I get sucked into Houston every
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: single year in some way or another. It seems like
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: week to week. But yeah, I mean, this is definitely
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: a good matchup for DFS and probably in real life.
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: One that's not necessarily Duke at Georgia Tech. I think
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: we had a pretty good feel on both of these
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: teams yesterday. without any outside factors, but this is another
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: game where the total has dropped five points throughout the week,
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: and it's going to be impacted by weather in all likelihood.
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: So I'm just going to talk about Nate Shepard and
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Justice Haynes. Nate Shepard, I would not be surprised if
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: each of these guys has 40 touches in this game
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: if weather holds. And even at 9,700 for Shepard, he's
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: in play for me. Even at 8,200 for Haynes... he's
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: in play because there's a chance they each get 60
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: to 70% of their team's total volume. So that's really
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: what I'm looking at. If for some reason, weather isn't
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: a factor. I love Kevin Roche. He's Georgia Tech's leading
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: wide receiver. He's a ginormous tight end. And those are
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: throws Alberto Mendoza can make. So that's always going to
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: garner some interest. And he like the easiest guy to
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: spot on the field because of how big he is.
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: But yeah, other than the running back, like, what are
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: you looking at in this game? Are you waiting on
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: the weather? Like, I don't know that it's going to
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: change that much. My mind's pretty well set on how
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: I'm going to approach it. But you know, there's a
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: chance we wake up and everything's flipped on its head.
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm, I'm in agreeance with you. It's just like
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: Shepard or Haynes and I'm not even really like Haynes
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: is carrying a pretty hefty price track. I will say
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: with Hosley up, that's like, that gives them a chance
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: to have more volume. Initially this week, I kind of
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: liked a Georgia Tech wide receiver as a sneak, but
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to mess with it. There's just better spots.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: You can waste your money elsewhere. I don't have a
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: ton to add here.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Everybody watching, go tell your friends who aren't watching to
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: waste their money on this game. This is an exclusive
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: club here. I know we're public, but I feel like
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: we have our same core of audience week to week.
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: obviously we want that to grow, but yeah, the people
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: who don't watch, I think deserve to be punished there.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: I said it. All right. Illinois, Michigan state, a couple
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: of teams that are kind of reeling right now. Illinois
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: coming off of a bad loss to Purdue. Their defense
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: has taken some hits this week or this year, but
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: I think they're getting back to health. I mean, the
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Michigan state defense is too, just not quite as much.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: But Caden Hauser is 7k. I, I keep going back
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: to him in this matchup. I know their team total
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: is not super high, but even Caden Hauser, whether you
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: stack him with a wide receiver or not, because of pricing,
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: I think he can get there at 7K. And Michigan
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: State's pass D is mid, even when they're healthy. In
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: the running back room, big news is Khalil Valentine's out.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: So Aiden Lafrey should have a huge role. And he
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: is at 5,800. and a slate where we're seeing a
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: lot of pay up running backs. I do like him
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: a good amount. The question is, are they going to
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: run out to running backs? Cause they typically have a
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: two to three back rotation. And Jordan Anderson could fill
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: in Javari Barnett was quote. If he practices well, he'll
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: see a bigger role. So I guarantee we're not going
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: to know that Caden Fagan is min price. He transitioned
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: a tight end this year and he's bigger. He put
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: on some weight, but he's a running back previously. So
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: maybe they work him into the backfield a little bit more. Uh,
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: like it's, it's hard to predict what's going to happen
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: behind Lafayette and then the wide receivers, Colin Dixon, rightfully
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: so is 8,400. He's a stud. His target share is insane.
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: Even against Ohio State, he had five for 63 on
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: eight targets. He just didn't score a touchdown. That's the
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: only game he didn't score a touchdown in. And then
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: Hudson Clement is discounted a little bit, 4,600. But he's
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: averaging more than six targets a game. So all seems
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: fine and dandy, right? Jay Sean Platt is the X
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: factor here. I'll let you talk a little bit more
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: about him, but he's projected to be back. I know
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: there was a lot of hype early in the season.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: You watched him pretty closely because of best ball. So
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: I'll reserve that for you. But Jay Sean Platt at 4K,
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: whether you play him or not, it could have an
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: impact on these other guys in the wide receiver room.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: And then Michigan State, man, Alicia Milivojevic has been just
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: a disappointment this year. I thought he was going to
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: be way better. Now, if you read the fans reaction,
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: it's because he's not being allowed to throw the ball downfield.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: Is it because of the coaching? Is it because of
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: the protection? It doesn't really matter, but it's not doing
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: well for us in DFS. Cam Edwards is out. This
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: running game has looked pretty bad, although Patterson is projecting
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: really well, and he did have 18 carries last week.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: He only had 62 yards, but just looking at his props,
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: I think there is some potential here for him. And
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: then the wide receiver room, Frederick Moore has seen a
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: big increase in targets the last couple of weeks, and
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: he's sub 5K. Bullard, I think, Again, if they throw
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: the ball down the field, he's one of the guys
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: that could be on the receiving end of that, like
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: the big play potential. I still think Jaden Savory is
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: my favorite because he's the tight end, sub 4K. You know,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: Illinois' pass defense hasn't looked great. Michigan State's pass game
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: hasn't looked that great. I think in this game something's
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: got to give, but I feel like I favor the
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: Illinois pass defense a little bit more than Michigan State's receiving.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Michigan State. I think they're just going to be
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: a pass for me this week. I kind of tried
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: that experiment last week with Patterson. And that being said,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, the volume's there, but I just would rather
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: go elsewhere. So really this whole team's just a no
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Illinois side. So Laffrey, you'd think Laffrey would
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: be really solid right here. He actually had an okay
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: game against Ohio State too. I don't, I know that
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: like they, like it's kind of projected they will have
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: a rotation, but I don't think that like, I think
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: Laffrey's still has enough volume at his price. Um, I
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: think he's super viable, um, kind of want a touchdown
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: or two maybe from him. Um, but yeah, the passing
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: is really where I like this game. Um, I guess
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: I'll kind of get into it with Platt. Like he's, uh,
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: he's kind of projected. He was looking good in the
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: slot preseason and then he got hurt. Um, he was
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: a blend of cough preseason award watch list, which doesn't
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: really count for a whole lot, but, um, he was
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: on the radar. It's really tough to project this week.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: He's definitely somebody that could get you an absolute good egg,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: but it would not shock me if he ended up
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: with 20. Um, don't mind like a Hauser Dixon, Platt double.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: I think him being back affects tremble the most, but
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: I think it'll affect climate some too. He's been playing
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: in the slot a lot. That being said, Clement might
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: just have a different role. Um, you know, I kind
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: of think like back to last week, it was, we
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: were really starved for wider super value. I would have
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: liked Platt a lot more rather than this week. It's
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad slate to give him a shot. Um,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: so that being said, I almost like prefer him if
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: I'm going to run an Illinois double and that's kind
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: of where I'm going to put it as bad as
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: I want him to be a stud. Um, it's just
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: not quite there yet for me. Um, I mean, yeah,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: you know, and like really like last week, well, even
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: against Nebraska, Michigan State had a decent run defense. And then,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: you know, they're so beat up in the secondary that
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: I think it's an interesting spot for the Illinois passing stack.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. Is Jason Platt going to
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: catch the bomb that Malachi Coleman did to save me
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: from making that bold call last week? Because that was
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: very fortunate. Yeah. So, you know.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't disagree with that. Michigan State,
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: like I said, they're getting healthy, but the secondary is
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: still going to have some depth issues this week. They're
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: getting more healthy in the front seven. You know, their
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: stud linebacker, I think, is probable to play, or at
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: least questionable, which is an improvement. So, yeah, I like
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: the Illinois side.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: What's probably going to happen is it's going to be
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Clement's breakout game. Like, he's been played a lot this
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: year and is disappointed a ton. Mm-hmm. That's probably just
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: what he needs is Platt to come back, and then
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: he's going to have his big game once absolutely nobody
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: plays him.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: And that's a good point because Clement has gotten a
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: lot of volume, especially for somebody who's 4,600. He just
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: doesn't have a touchdown yet. That has to change, right?
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: All right, so we're playing Cam Cook, and we're playing
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: Hudson Clement for touchdown variance. It's got to come. All right, UCLA-Oregon,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: the last game on our slate, 11.5 points spread. And
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: this total is one that's gone up this week and
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: call me crazy, but I think UCLA can score some points.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: Obviously Vegas does as well. And so do the betters
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: as this total has been driven up, but the spread
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: hasn't changed. And it's a revenge game for Bob Chesney
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: coming from James Madison. It's a revenge game, I guess,
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: for Wayne Knight as well in that sense. And it's
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: something to look at last year when James Madison was
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: seemingly out of the game, they still played hard and
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: went and scored points. They ended up scoring quite a
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: few points that were, not going to get him the victory,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: but we don't care for DFS. Points is points. Nico
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: Yamaliaba has been good enough to get wins this year.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: Done a little bit with the arm, a little bit
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: with the legs. I mean, they might need to throw
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: a little bit more, but he's 6,200 against a team
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: that if you take out Portland State, Oregon's allowing more
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: than 30 points a game. So I think there's opportunity here.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: Wayne Knight, 8K is really expensive because he's still not
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: getting the volume necessarily. He's just so explosive. He's hitting
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: value on nine to 10 carries a game. But his
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: long rush is only 47 yards. So it's not even
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: like a spike play that's skewing these results. That's not
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: like he has a 75 yard touchdown that's increasing his
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: yards per carry. He's just super effective when he touches
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: the ball. His risk is still with Woods and Thomas
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: who both see the field, but I think he's viable.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: These wide receivers are a little bit tougher to get
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: to though. even in the 4Ks. I just think there's
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: better 4K options on the board. Samaj Morgan is getting
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: looks from me. Even though he doesn't have the targets
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: of Brian Rowe, Brian Rowe's catch rate is a lot lower,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: and we need you to catch the ball to get
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: DFS points. So maybe Samaj Morgan, but I'd really be
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: looking at Nico and maybe Wayne Knight. That's a tough
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: thing with UCLA. I think they can score points, but
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know where I'm going to get to them
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: quite yet. On the Oregon side, though, it's Dylan Rayola season.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: We're getting a sub-7K starting quarterback who is proven, who
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: played well against USC, and now he's going to get
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: the full game. On paper, the matchup doesn't necessarily look
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: great if you look at the whole, but UCLA's also
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: played San Diego State. Purdue threw for 425-3 on him.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: I think that Dylan Rayola can easily get there. The
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: running backs, just expensive. They're Pretty much in a 50-50 split.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: De'Ari Hill is, I guess, getting a little bit more
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: work in the pass game. So maybe you look at him,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: but he's also more expensive, probably for that reason. And
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: then the wide receivers, Evan Stewart, De'Corey Morris are the
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: top two guys. The guy benefiting most from the injuries,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: Messiah Hampton. He's got 11 catches on 13 targets over
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: the last few games. Jamari Johnson came back in a
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: big way against USC. I think he's viable at 5K.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: Seven catches on seven targets for 119. If he scored
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: the touchdown, he explodes and he's probably 55 to 6K
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: this week. I think all of these guys are priced fairly.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: One reason I'm looking at Stewart, though, is because he
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: plays a majority from the slot. And UCLA has been
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: getting like Purdue and Cal torched him in the slot.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: So if you want to look at a specific wide
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: receiver in Oregon, maybe that draws you to Stewart. But
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: I think all of these guys are on the table
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: and there's a lot of points to go around in
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a super, I guess it's not really
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: late hammers. It's the last game on the stone, but I, um,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I guess kind of starting with the UCLA side is
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: I've thought about this slight more since I guess we
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: had our meeting last night. I'm definitely, I'm really interested
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: in Nico and Wayne Knight and I think that's it,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: but I do have a lot of interest in them. Um,
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, Oregon did a 100-yard rushing game to Mastabaker
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: in a touchdown. Maiva scored a rushing touchdown last week.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: So I think UCLA hasn't really been in a trailing
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: game script. I think that maybe opens up some upside
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: for Ian Maleva. I don't think I'm even going to
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: worry about pairing him or taking a shot with one
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: of these wide receivers, even though they are projected to
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: be trailing. And then, yeah, Wayne Knight, like I know
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: he's splitting a lot and he's been explosive, but they
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: haven't really needed him um that being said like i
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: he is a hefty price tag and there is that
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: possibility um i'm not scared of organ's defense like i
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: kind of going into the end of the year they
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: would have a good defense but i am not like
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: i i'm totally fine with both these guys i don't
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: i think the only way to play them together is
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: if i had an organ onslaught on the other side
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: um but i'm definitely intrigued um organ you summed up
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: pretty well it's like pretty clear cut like i um
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: you know these top four pass receivers kind of just
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: gonna mix them in with raiola um the running backs
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: i don't think i'm interested in davis and still his
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: like I don't think he's going to get the yardage.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: He might get the touchdowns, but the yardage to really
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: unlock a ceiling deer Hill is always just interesting. Cause
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: he can like, he's more way more explosive. Um, so
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: I don't mind some shots there. I don't, this game
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: is like UCLA hasn't really been tested and like their
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Cowan doesn't look near as good as it is now.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: And like, I mean, Malik Washington throws so many interceptions
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: that like, it just, it wasn't even really a good, like,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, good, like sample, I guess. Um, but yeah,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: like Oregon's tied for the highest. Well, now they have
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: the highest team total on the slate by half a point.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: So really good spot here. I don't know how crazy
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: ownership will get with these guys. Um, but I think
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: they're fine. Um, the wide receivers will probably keep each
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: other in check. Like I would think Johnson's probably the
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: highest owned just cause he's like, I mean, he had
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: the volume game and he's the cheapest. Well, I guess
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Hampton's cheaper, but, um, yeah, it should be a really
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: good end of the slate. Yeah.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: I think, yeah. Looking at point per dollar, Johnson's probably
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: going to project the best because he's right in the
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: middle there. And I mean, I, right now we have
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: him as the second highest projected receiver, obviously, you know,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: news can change things, but I don't know that we're
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: going to get much from this game, but that's it
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: for the slate. I do want to peak. We do
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: also cover night slate, which is where the best game
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: of the day is for those of you watching on YouTube.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: It's not this one. Minnesota Purdue. Don't miss it. But
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: this is the blank stone. For anybody who's new or
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: hasn't seen our full stone, we have the Friday stone
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: posted on the site right now. It's a lot more colorful.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: It breaks down who our cash plays are, who our
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: high upside plays are. We have projections, ownership, obviously. But
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: then we have defensive grades. So, oh. Utah State's a
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: D plus on run defense. Do we look at Washington
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: State's running backs for that reason? But it gives you
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: a little bit more information to make your decisions, snap percentage,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: targets per game, rushes per game, pace, and obviously the
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: totals and spreads. So this is one benefit of Ship
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: It Nation. I think this is one of the coolest
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: tools in all of DFS. And then on top of that,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: we now have the Stone 2.0, which I've talked about
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit before, but it takes everything from the
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: stone and organizes it nicely. into essentially a spreadsheet. You
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: can filter it by, oh, I only want to look
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: at the cash consider. I want to look at high
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: upside guys. I want to look specifically at sneaky games.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: And you can filter it seven different ways to Sunday.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: But it gets you all of the information in a nice,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: tidy little spreadsheet. You can build lineups. You can save,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: I believe, up to 20 lineups, export, upload to DraftKings.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: So a lot of good... the user interface of this
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: is the selling point for me, just having all of
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: this information in front of you. So an awesome tool
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: that we've just released this year. So like I continue
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: to say it no better time than now to get
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: into ship at nation. But that's going to do it
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: for this week's show. Any other thoughts on Saturday's slate? Kenny, any,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: any nuggets on tonight? There's only one game with a
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: point total above 50, but I think it's still going
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: to be a really fun slate.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I, I, I guess I've kind of looked into it.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: I still need to build my lineups, but it should
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: be a fun slate. Here's one, I guess. This isn't DFS,
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: but this is betting. I'm going to bet on a
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: Bear Bachmeier anytime touchdown tonight. I think that's a good bet.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm going to go for. I mean, Hawkins,
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously Hawkins scores touchdowns against anybody, but with
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: LJ and Martin out, I think Bear Bachmeier is going
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: to get every opportunity to score a rushing touchdown tonight.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean, I haven't looked at the odds.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: It might still be plus money, but probably not.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Oh, no, no, it's not.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: Is it minus?
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: Okay, okay.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: I figured it'd be either minus or very low plus odds,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: but no, I like that bet. And then watching, yeah.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: Do you want to say this? You want to read
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: this comment out loud?
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Ganasamudhi?
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: Hey, we'll take it.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: Ganasamudhi? Yeah. Honestly, that one's like we just sounded out.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: That one's not as bad. It's just a lot of letters.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: It just seems like too many letters. It's scarier to
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: look at than it is to actually say. But yeah,
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: we're going to have fun tonight. We're going to have
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: fun tomorrow morning all the way into the evening. So,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: you know, we'll we'll keep it going and chip a nation.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: Like I said, no better time than now to join.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: But we're going to end the show like we end
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: every show with the big guys. Rule number one, college
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: football is fun. Enjoy building your lineups. Enjoy the sweat.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: Just be thankful that we get to watch college football
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: on our TV every single Saturday. And for the foreseeable future, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: And we have content at Ship It Nation every single day.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: But most of all, don't take a single day for granted.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: We never know when it's going to be our last.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: But for my man, Kenny, I am Dollar Bill. Let's
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: go out to the college football streets this weekend and
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: ship them for the big guy.