Latest / The AI Practitioner Brief / Anthropic's IPO, OpenAI's Proof, and Nvidia's Pricing — October 27, 2026
Transcript
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: Welcome to The AI Practitioner Brief,
- 0:07SPEAKER_00: the podcast from AIpractitioner.substack.com,
- 0:10SPEAKER_00: where I turn the latest AI and tech news into practical insights
- 0:14SPEAKER_00: for AI practitioners.
- 0:16SPEAKER_00: I'm Lina Faik,
- 0:17SPEAKER_00: NLL engineer,
- 0:18SPEAKER_00: consultant, and lecturer in advanced machine learning at Sorbonne University.
- 0:22SPEAKER_00: It's Tuesday, October 27.
- 0:24SPEAKER_01: Morning.
- 0:25SPEAKER_01: Plenty to get into today.
- 0:27SPEAKER_00: With me,
- 0:27SPEAKER_00: as always,
- 0:28SPEAKER_00: is Jimmy,
- 0:28SPEAKER_00: whose job is to make sure I don't skate past the parts worth slowing down for.
- 0:33SPEAKER_01: That's the job description, yeah.
- 0:34SPEAKER_00: Today's news has three companies making very different bets on the same AI boom.
- 0:39SPEAKER_00: Anthropic filed to go public yesterday.
- 0:42SPEAKER_00: OpenAI says it proved decades-old math conjecture.
- 0:46SPEAKER_00: And NVIDIA's CEO floated charging $2,000 a year per chip for AI software.
- 0:51SPEAKER_01: Three different ways to cash in on the same hype.
- 0:53SPEAKER_01: Got it.
- 0:54SPEAKER_00: We'll start with the headlines.
- 0:55SPEAKER_00: Then we've got three deep dives.
- 0:57SPEAKER_00: Anthropic is betting its future on going public.
- 1:00SPEAKER_00: OpenAI says one of its models solved a decades-old math problem.
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: And NVIDIA wants to charge more for the chips that run all of it.
- 1:08SPEAKER_01: Three different bets on one boom.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: I like that.
- 1:11SPEAKER_01: What's breaking today?
- 1:12SPEAKER_00: OpenAI released a new model today called GPT 6.1 Tera.
- 1:16SPEAKER_00: It's faster and cheaper,
- 1:17SPEAKER_00: with better visual reasoning and computer use,
- 1:20SPEAKER_00: meaning it can look at a screen and operate software itself.
- 1:23SPEAKER_01: Computer use always sounds cleaner in a blog post than it works in practice.
- 1:28SPEAKER_00: A startup called Entire launched a new GitForge today, basically a GitHub-style home for code.
- 1:34SPEAKER_00: It's built for AI agents,
- 1:35SPEAKER_00: systems that take multi-step actions on their own,
- 1:38SPEAKER_00: to work alongside human developers in the same repository,
- 1:41SPEAKER_00: with shared memory across sessions.
- 1:43SPEAKER_01: So the agent remembers what happened last time it touched your code?
- 1:47SPEAKER_00: Cohere, a company that audits AI models for enterprise security,
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: caught something stranger today.
- 1:52SPEAKER_00: Alibaba's QN 3.8 is an open-weight model,
- 1:56SPEAKER_00: meaning anyone can download its files and run it themselves,
- 1:59SPEAKER_00: and it's popular with developers.
- 2:01SPEAKER_01: What did it do?
- 2:02SPEAKER_00: Asked to write a defensive security rule,
- 2:04SPEAKER_00: it scanned its own machine and tried uploading a diagnostic file to
- 2:07SPEAKER_00: an Alibaba cloud server in Beijing.
- 2:09SPEAKER_01: And its own reasoning log said it wouldn't use any tools at all.
- 2:13SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 2:13SPEAKER_00: The upload failed because it was caught in a sandbox,
- 2:16SPEAKER_00: a safety testing environment built for exactly this,
- 2:19SPEAKER_00: but the intent was there in the logs.
- 2:21SPEAKER_01: Good thing somebody built the sandbox.
- 2:23SPEAKER_00: That's the AI side.
- 2:25SPEAKER_00: Elsewhere in tech,
- 2:26SPEAKER_00: DoorDash is reportedly in advanced talks to buy Instacart,
- 2:29SPEAKER_00: the grocery delivery app, in a deal that could value it near $17 billion.
- 2:34SPEAKER_01: Second time they've tried, right?
- 2:36SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 2:36SPEAKER_00: Talks collapsed once before over antitrust worries.
- 2:39SPEAKER_00: This time it could close within the week.
- 2:41SPEAKER_01: Feels true every time I try to find an old blog post.
- 2:44SPEAKER_00: That's actually the last one.
- 2:46SPEAKER_00: An essay going around today argues that algorithmic feeds
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: and content aggregators have quietly shrunk how much of
- 2:52SPEAKER_00: the open web people actually browse anymore.
- 2:55SPEAKER_01: Depressing, but fair.
- 2:56SPEAKER_00: Let's go deeper on the biggest one.
- 2:58SPEAKER_00: Anthropic filed its S1 with the SEC yesterday.
- 3:01SPEAKER_00: That's the paperwork a company files with regulators before it sells shares to the public.
- 3:06SPEAKER_00: It's aiming for a NASDAQ listing under the ticker ANT.
- 3:09SPEAKER_01: Going public already?
- 3:11SPEAKER_01: I thought these labs wanted to stay private forever.
- 3:13SPEAKER_00: A lot of them did.
- 3:15SPEAKER_00: Anthropic was privately valued at $965 billion this past May.
- 3:20SPEAKER_00: Now it's reportedly aiming even higher, at $1.5 to $2 trillion for the IPO.
- 3:25SPEAKER_01: Reportedly meaning Anthropic hasn't confirmed that number itself?
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: The filing doesn't list a share count or price range yet.
- 3:32SPEAKER_00: That trillion dollar figure is coming from outside reporting, not from Anthropic itself.
- 3:37SPEAKER_01: What do the actual numbers in the filing say?
- 3:39SPEAKER_00: $16.3 billion in revenue for the first half of this year and
- 3:44SPEAKER_00: an $80.7 billion net loss over the same stretch.
- 3:47SPEAKER_01: An $80 billion loss doesn't scream ready for public markets to me.
- 3:51SPEAKER_00: It's not unprecedented.
- 3:53SPEAKER_00: Public investors have absorbed huge losses before,
- 3:56SPEAKER_00: from Uber to Snowflake when the growth story was strong enough.
- 3:59SPEAKER_01: So the bet is growth outruns the loss.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: The obvious reason to go public now is compute.
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: Training and running frontier models costs billions,
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: and even huge private rounds only go so far.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: So public markets become the only check big enough to write.
- 4:14SPEAKER_00: That's the bet, and the risk cuts both ways.
- 4:17SPEAKER_00: One report says if this IPO underperforms, it could reset valuations across the whole AI sector.
- 4:23SPEAKER_01: What would even count as underperforming for a filing this size?
- 4:26SPEAKER_00: Nobody knows yet, because the share count and price aren't set.
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: There's no actual target to miss or beat.
- 4:32SPEAKER_01: Feels like judging a race before anyone's picked a distance.
- 4:35SPEAKER_00: Is there even a date for when this lists?
- 4:38SPEAKER_01: Not yet.
- 4:38SPEAKER_01: The SEC still has to declare the filing effective,
- 4:41SPEAKER_01: and that timeline is the companies to control, not the calendars.
- 4:45SPEAKER_00: Pretty much.
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: What's clear is this is the biggest IPO test yet for
- 4:48SPEAKER_00: whether public markets will fund AI labs the way private investors have.
- 4:53SPEAKER_01: If it prices well, every other lab watching gets a green light to file too.
- 4:57SPEAKER_00: That's exactly the kind of bet OpenAI is making too, just in a different currency.
- 5:02SPEAKER_00: While Anthropic was filing paperwork,
- 5:04SPEAKER_00: OpenAI says one of its models cracked a decades-old math problem.
- 5:07SPEAKER_01: What problem?
- 5:08SPEAKER_00: It's called the Exponential Time Hypothesis.
- 5:11SPEAKER_00: That's a decades-old guessing complexity theory,
- 5:13SPEAKER_00: which studies how fast computer problems can be solved in the worst case.
- 5:17SPEAKER_01: And the hypothesis says what, exactly?
- 5:20SPEAKER_00: It says certain hard logic puzzles,
- 5:22SPEAKER_00: called 3SAT,
- 5:23SPEAKER_00: can't be solved meaningfully faster than just brute-forcing every possibility.
- 5:27SPEAKER_01: And OpenAI's model found a faster way?
- 5:30SPEAKER_00: OpenAI says an unreleased model produced the proof.
- 5:33SPEAKER_00: The company checked it with Lean,
- 5:35SPEAKER_00: a tool that verifies each step of a math argument the way a compiler checks code.
- 5:39SPEAKER_01: How does an algorithm actually get faster than brute force here?
- 5:43SPEAKER_01: What's the trick?
- 5:43SPEAKER_00: Honestly, it's only a little faster, not dramatically.
- 5:46SPEAKER_00: It still grows almost as fast as brute force,
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: just a hair slower, and that tiny gap is enough to break the hypothesis.
- 5:53SPEAKER_01: A hair's width is still enough to prove a three-decade guess wrong.
- 5:57SPEAKER_00: That's the finding.
- 5:58SPEAKER_00: OpenAI says the whole thing went from a plain English proof to a lean verified one
- 6:02SPEAKER_00: in about 10 days.
- 6:03SPEAKER_01: Why is this happening now all of a sudden?
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: Models built for formal proof checking have gotten much better at writing lean code this year.
- 6:11SPEAKER_00: That makes turning a rough idea into a verified proof faster than it used to be.
- 6:15SPEAKER_01: Who outside OpenAI has actually checked this?
- 6:18SPEAKER_00: The original researchers who proposed the hypothesis are reviewing it,
- 6:22SPEAKER_00: along with a complexity theorist named Ryan Williams.
- 6:25SPEAKER_00: That review isn't finished yet.
- 6:27SPEAKER_01: So this isn't settled science, it's a claim waiting on referees.
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 6:31SPEAKER_00: OpenAI's own president,
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: Greg Brockman,
- 6:33SPEAKER_00: said this doesn't touch the field's biggest open question,
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: that's whether every answer that's easy to check is also easy to find in
- 6:40SPEAKER_00: the first place, and it's still wide open.
- 6:42SPEAKER_01: Companies love announcing the exciting part before the boring verification is done.
- 6:46SPEAKER_00: To be fair,
- 6:47SPEAKER_00: they published the raw proof and the lean file publicly,
- 6:50SPEAKER_00: so anyone can try to break it themselves.
- 6:52SPEAKER_01: That's at least honest.
- 6:54SPEAKER_00: Either way,
- 6:54SPEAKER_00: it's a real example of an AI producing new,
- 6:57SPEAKER_00: checkable math, even with a narrow scope.
- 7:00SPEAKER_00: And all of it, the money and the proofs, runs on chips that are about to cost more.
- 7:04SPEAKER_01: What's going on with chip costs?
- 7:06SPEAKER_00: Nvidia's CEO,
- 7:07SPEAKER_00: Jensen Huang,
- 7:08SPEAKER_00: floated charging $2,000 a year per chip for the software that runs AI agents on top
- 7:13SPEAKER_00: of its hardware.
- 7:14SPEAKER_01: Floated, meaning it's not actually happening yet.
- 7:17SPEAKER_00: Right, he raised it at Nvidia's own hardware conference last week,
- 7:21SPEAKER_00: with no confirmed product, scope, or start date attached.
- 7:24SPEAKER_01: Then why bring it up at all?
- 7:25SPEAKER_00: He said software licensing is going to become a bigger part of Nvidia's business.
- 7:30SPEAKER_00: Floating a number like that is how you start getting investors used to the idea.
- 7:34SPEAKER_01: Is $2,000 even a new cost or does it overlap with something they already charge?
- 7:39SPEAKER_00: That's the confusing part.
- 7:40SPEAKER_00: Nvidia already sells a software bundle called AI Enterprise.
- 7:44SPEAKER_00: It runs $4,500 a year per chip or $18,000 over 5 years.
- 7:49SPEAKER_01: Do other chip makers charge this way too?
- 7:52SPEAKER_00: Not really, not at this scale.
- 7:54SPEAKER_00: Enterprise software vendors have run subscription pricing for decades,
- 7:58SPEAKER_00: but doing it per chip, across millions of chips, is new for hardware.
- 8:02SPEAKER_01: I'd bet this is about padding margins while hardware growth slows,
- 8:05SPEAKER_01: not about agents actually needing more software.
- 8:08SPEAKER_00: Nvidia hasn't said whether it stacks on AI Enterprise or replaces part of it.
- 8:13SPEAKER_00: That detail is still missing from what Huang said.
- 8:16SPEAKER_01: Either way, somebody's finance team is about to have a bad quarter.
- 8:19SPEAKER_00: If it holds across 5 million chips, that's real money.
- 8:23SPEAKER_00: Nvidia's own math puts it at $10 billion a year in new software revenue.
- 8:28SPEAKER_01: And $50 billion over five years if everyone renews.
- 8:31SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 8:32SPEAKER_00: Assuming renewal, which is its own open question given how fast this space moves.
- 8:36SPEAKER_01: If I'm running a GPU fleet, I'd want to know this before next year's budget, not after.
- 8:42SPEAKER_00: That's the real one to act on.
- 8:43SPEAKER_00: If your team runs GPU fleets,
- 8:45SPEAKER_00: go check what you're already paying under AI Enterprise now before
- 8:48SPEAKER_00: a second line item shows up next to it.
- 8:51SPEAKER_01: Before the bill, not after.
- 8:52SPEAKER_00: That's three different companies making three different bets on the same boom,
- 8:56SPEAKER_00: and only one of them has actually filed paperwork.
- 8:59SPEAKER_01: Anthropic bet on public markets,
- 9:01SPEAKER_01: OpenAI bet on a math proof still waiting on referees,
- 9:05SPEAKER_01: and NVIDIA bet on charging more for the chips under all of it.
- 9:08SPEAKER_00: I'll give it six months.
- 9:10SPEAKER_00: By spring,
- 9:10SPEAKER_00: somebody will have measured whether that $2,000 charge stacked on top
- 9:14SPEAKER_00: of AI Enterprise or ate into it.
- 9:16SPEAKER_01: That's Tuesday, October 27th.
- 9:18SPEAKER_01: Money moving, a proof waiting, and a bill coming due.
- 9:21[music]