Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA The Open | July 16, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Yah fall Systems going clear to the lifto what's up every one? Tyler Tamberline
- 0:37here aka Totag and Tambo back for the final major of the season, the
- 0:42Open PGA DFS show here on the ship at Nation YouTube station. Do us
- 0:46a favor on the way in smash the like. Subscribe to the channel.
- 0:49We're gonna have a lot more content coming your way because NFL just around the
- 0:52corner. You still got MLB, MMA, NASCAR, a bunch of other
- 0:56stuff going on, So make sure you subscribe to the channel. Got my
- 0:58guy Hoopster here with me, has always got an interesting week ahead. There's
- 1:00lots to talk about here, so Hoop bring you in, man, We'll
- 1:03get right to it. Open the Open British Open as some used to call
- 1:07it, or still do. What's going on? My friend? How you
- 1:08doing? Yeah? Excited to be here, Excited to break it all down
- 1:11and get to you know, the last major and then you know, the
- 1:15next time we're gonna see a field this strong, I think is probably when
- 1:18the playoffs get started. You can correct me if I'm wrong there, but
- 1:21uh, it's fun to get all the live guys back in the mix,
- 1:23and you know a little bit different time slot as we talked about last week
- 1:27at the early golf for for the folks here on this side of the pond,
- 1:34and it's a loaded field. We get all the big boys in it
- 1:37pricing. You know, well, we'll go through it kind of talk tier
- 1:40by tier. But yeah, excited to talk talk about it. And as
- 1:44always, you know, some of the contents already dropping over at ship at
- 1:47nation dot com. We got our value report already up and ready, got
- 1:51our course fit rankings already up and ready to go. And you know you'll
- 1:53start to see the rest of this stuff kind of get filled out here within
- 1:57the next couple of days. So yeah, excited to excited to dive in
- 2:00here. Yeah, shout out the new ones first in today. Lots of
- 2:02good people here in the chat with us, Nate, Nick b Waald Notes
- 2:07and Petrini. Just lots of good people there. Oliver, appreciate you that
- 2:09it was a nice weekend at the cottage with the family, So shout out
- 2:13to you for the support there. Thank you and just everybody else there.
- 2:15Mark my guy, been a minute. Nice to have you here. Jacob
- 2:17Stubbs, Lots of good people out here in the chat. We'll keep it
- 2:21involved as we go throughout, but we'll show off the site here in a
- 2:23little bit. Definitely want to talk quickly because if you missed it, we
- 2:25had to clarify a few things. So Hoop and I did the NFL launch
- 2:30early bird show. Enough people watch this or we'll watch it on replay later
- 2:34on, So I just want to get ahead of it now. When we
- 2:36posted up the breakdown of everything and wanted to talk to people, and we
- 2:40said, you know, you'd have one week, it was actually already printed
- 2:44on the site that it would expire August fifth from a previous graphic that we
- 2:47were doing for Shipdemizer launch, because that's when ship Deemizer launches. It starts
- 2:52on August fifth. So we're just gonna go ahead and honor it. So
- 2:54if you weren't aware, and we'll just talk about this quickly. We broke
- 2:58it all down. NFL has come back. I know this is a PGA
- 3:00golf show for a major, but to make it clear and up front,
- 3:04we always do our marketing off the top and make it simple. The reason
- 3:07that still matters is because, for example, if you were thinking of signing
- 3:09up this week for PGA, but you were gonna plan to sign up with
- 3:14us for NFL. Anyway, when you sign up for the two ninety nine
- 3:16NFL package, you get NFL, you get ship Demizer with NFL, and
- 3:22you actually get free all access, so at ninety nine dollars a month value
- 3:25based on having the optimizer, having all the content all of the sports for
- 3:30Baseball, for MMA, for NASCAR. We're gonna have other stuff going on
- 3:36soon too, but just to note that, you'll get that and then the
- 3:38CFP content that's coming free as well. So right now it's August fifth,
- 3:43this will expire where you can hop on pay the two ninety nine but whop.
- 3:46You talked about it for sure, and the you know the benefit of
- 3:50signing up now, the sooner you sign up, the more action you get,
- 3:52like this week you get the major right go ahead. Yeah, I
- 3:55mean the main point behind all this is, you know, we talked about
- 3:59it, and obviously we wanted to get our NFL product and packages out to
- 4:02the public as early as possible. But it's like, man, do we
- 4:04feel good taking someone's money early to mid July and then they have to just
- 4:10sit around and wait to get any value out of what they just purchased and
- 4:14We're like, no, we're not going to do that, but we did
- 4:16want to get the package out early, get the word out there. So
- 4:18we came up with this idea where if you sign up for an NFL package,
- 4:21you get everything on our website for free leading up to NFL and we're
- 4:28going to run it one week and you know, like you said, we're
- 4:30going to just extend this thing through August fifth, and you know, it
- 4:35makes decisions pretty damn easy. If you're thinking about signing up for PGA,
- 4:40but you know you want to come on board for NFL, just sign up
- 4:43for the NFL package. You get the open content for free this week.
- 4:46So that's going to be any deal in the industry. I know all other
- 4:49people are getting out some deals and trying to get people to sign up for
- 4:53their Open Championship content. Well, if you sign up for an NFL package,
- 4:58now you know some people, knowing their head, I'm gonna wait till
- 5:01NFL to sign up. There's no need to wait. You pay them money
- 5:03now you get everything for free for essentially two months. So if you want
- 5:09our Open Championship content and you're thinking about signing up for NFL package, here
- 5:15it's just a no brainer. Sign up now get everything for free. Mmas
- 5:18this weekend, MLB will be back, All the PGA events leading up to
- 5:24NFL will be free, All the MLB slates leading up to NFL will be
- 5:29free, All the MMA slates leading up to NFL will be free. So,
- 5:33I mean it just makes sense. We're excited to get this out there.
- 5:38We're excited for people to take advantage of a lot of people are taking
- 5:41advantage of it and loving their investments so far. I'll tell you that much.
- 5:45Yeah, a lot of stuff going on last week too, like from
- 5:46the winner circle you talk about, or maybe it's the shippers square over here
- 5:49at ship in Nation. But we got it. Like our guy Hebrew got
- 5:53his second FBWC seed. We had Jay Bannock won thirty k in round one
- 5:58and then had a bunch more on Sunday as well, won a King of
- 6:00the Desert seat I saw. Also Shalub had another huge week, Big Buck
- 6:04guy ninety one hundred, just going down through it. Like Shalub won thirty
- 6:09seven k. Jay Bannick that was the first thirty k. I know he
- 6:12won more than that, twenty six thousand on Sunday MC ten thousand dollars hoop,
- 6:16Showdown Core plus the Showdown Stone equals this. Look at that ten ten
- 6:21k buck guy. This was an mlbit and that's a good point the previous
- 6:26one. I just want to touch on that because that's kind of what we're
- 6:28all about, you know. Not. We don't want you to just come
- 6:30on and just say I got to plug in the cores and I'm good to
- 6:32go. Like that's just one piece of the content that we offer. We
- 6:38wanted to look at everything and take everything into account. And man, that's
- 6:42a great example of it right there, taking my core, combining it with
- 6:45other pieces on the content. Boom, ten thousand dollars hit. Love love
- 6:48seeing stuff like that. Shout out the Monday couple a lot of people.
- 6:53This Mega Mine is something that's been the NonStop, just consistent piece. Is
- 6:58like the Megamilli. This weekend, Shaloub has ten tickets Degenerate seventy five.
- 7:01Our guy James one two just this past weekend. I got one in there.
- 7:05Monday got too. Just a ton of members got these tickets. WS
- 7:09has like four or five. It's just gonna be packed full. There's James
- 7:12there another big win sky City with five k too hearted was the other one.
- 7:16He's got a ticket there. I think that's another one. Just a
- 7:19bunch of these big hits here that you're seeing. The road title and myself
- 7:23talk about the other content. I loaded it says right here, I wrote
- 7:26it to the chat, loaded up content, built two lineups. I ship
- 7:29the King of the Bracket. There's only sixty four seats available all the top
- 7:32players in this. I'm just using title and big Marley stuff that all comes
- 7:35included as well. So again, now's the time. We don't got to
- 7:39keep going through it. We'll show it to you. It's very easy.
- 7:41If you go to the site, you just click this banner at the top.
- 7:45It auto takes you into the promo and then it will auto code you
- 7:47into the discord and on the site to have access to everything we've got right
- 7:51now for PGA main and showdown all the MLB stuff when we get back from
- 7:56the All Star Break, MMA coming up again this weekend and all through until
- 8:00NFL starts, CFB starts, I believe August twenty fourth. We're gonna meet
- 8:03on that with the team this week, but we are gonna have all this
- 8:05coverage for you guys. NASCAR with our guy Eric out there, he's got
- 8:09all this stuff covered and then other stuff's just on break right now. But
- 8:13just to note, when you go to join the nation, if you don't
- 8:16click that link at the top and you just go to single sport, you
- 8:20go down to football plus optimizer for the three forty nine, you use code
- 8:24NFL fifty and that will drop it to the two ninety nine if you didn't
- 8:28click the link at the top. And then lastly, I will say this
- 8:31if you're a PGA on that's what I was gonna say. You read my
- 8:33mind. Yeah, we're this is a key time though, hoop. That's
- 8:37I want to bring this up. And then we'll get double with the marketing
- 8:39well before the ten minute mark. But if you're a PGA only member and
- 8:45you know you're gonna be with us for NFL, but you know the major
- 8:48is kind of like your last hurrah, so I don't quite understand the other
- 8:50Side's like sign up for the Open it's for one week, like you can
- 8:54do that for fourteen bucks or for nineteen with an optimizer, then way cheaper
- 8:58than anywhere else, Way more affordable and more valuable too. Based on the
- 9:01screenshots we just showed you. But if you want to just get out of
- 9:03your monthly and you're gonna buy the football, buy it anyway because it's two
- 9:07ninety nine and you'll now have all access until it comes back anyway. So
- 9:11what if you just check in here or there, You still got the best
- 9:15price. You still got the access. There still is a bunch of playoff
- 9:18events. There still is the three m the window. There's still a ton
- 9:20of stuff for the Olympics where there can be some stuff there too, So
- 9:24lots of good coverage even if you're just PGA only, to still get it
- 9:26all leading up to NFL, but not have to just pay for PGA monthly
- 9:30and be able to lock in that NFL deal as well. Anything else?
- 9:31Whoop that you want to add before we get into the zone. No,
- 9:33no, you nailed it all. But yeah, the one thing for sure
- 9:37is if you are a PGA only person and you think you're going to be
- 9:39with us for NFL, like now is the time to make that switch.
- 9:43And again, you know we would make more money if you stayed on for
- 9:48PGA all the way through and then let that expire and then signed up for
- 9:52NFL. We would make more as a business if you decided to do that,
- 9:56but we're looking out for our people. It makes sense for you.
- 9:58If you're PGA only and you know you're gonna be sticking with us for NFL,
- 10:03make that switch now. It's gonna save you too, basically two months
- 10:07of whatever you're paying for your PGA package. Speaking of MMA, because title
- 10:11won the King of the Bracket this week, I won King of the Bracket
- 10:13this week, and then g Butt two says I won three of the first
- 10:16fourteen tickets following the Stone in MMA, I'm maxed out now. There's only
- 10:20sixty four seats and it's the best players in dfs in MMA DFS fighting for
- 10:24these seats and you can just go on and use the content it's included as
- 10:26well. So and it's all good. Ricky. We appreciate you. If
- 10:30you don't buy or you never buy, we always keep these shows free.
- 10:33There's gonna be the same free shows you had for NFL last year. We're
- 10:35not changing our model when it comes to that, so you can always stick
- 10:39around get some information from these shows. Our Guy Courtney testimonial right here.
- 10:43Shout out to Courtney the best information every week that's gonna stay free. So
- 10:46you can keep on that and then sign up. And that's my guy,
- 10:48Gary, That's what I didn't know. His name was g Butt two in
- 10:52the thing. Gary's the man. So shout out to Gary, appreciate you
- 10:54man. Hopefully get to see you at one of these events during the NFL
- 10:58season. I did hear little he told me, which is sad news to
- 11:01me and my chance of getting a first place trophy. But I heard King
- 11:05of the Beach is going to be cut off this year, and it's just
- 11:07gonna be King of the Desert NFL and PGA as well as the obvious FFWC,
- 11:13which is the big boy that we all want to get into anyway,
- 11:16So nothing else for me. Who let's talk about this open and let's start
- 11:20with weather. You know there is talks about the weather right now. Obviously
- 11:22it's Scotland, it's windy. We're finally getting some of that stuff. Unlike
- 11:26last weekend, our guy Lee, who you talked about, who's got the
- 11:28value report free up on the site right now, talked about it not playing
- 11:33anything at all like twenty sixteen. Where twenty sixteen was windy, crazy weather,
- 11:39different stuff coming in leading up to it. It was this year he
- 11:41talked about it being a lot wetter out there, so we already thought we
- 11:45see some of that. Now the wind is picking up, the temperatures are
- 11:46still cold, but right now it looks like honestly to me, early but
- 11:52just a take like pmam shows like a little bit of an angle, just
- 11:56because Friday afternoon looks to get pretty wild. And then the other thing is
- 12:00Thursday morning is the coldest, only slightly, but the coldest temps of the
- 12:03week, and a little bit windier. Thursday afternoon a little less windier,
- 12:09as high as the temps kind of can get on Thursday, and then on
- 12:11Thursday, on Friday morning the temps are as good as Thursday afternoon, but
- 12:16with lower winds, and it doesn't get that much warmer Friday afternoon while the
- 12:20winds pick up heavily. So just I don't know, I think you can
- 12:22do whatever. It's it's Scotland, it's golf's there's tons of stuff you can
- 12:26do. But that's one angle I would look at early on and give any
- 12:28other thoughts there. Yeah, similar mindset. I mean again, I said,
- 12:33I know, I said the same thing every single week when we have
- 12:35this conversation, because it really has. I mean, there really hasn't been
- 12:37a distinct advantage recently where it's like you have to do this sort of you
- 12:41know, last year, I think we saw a lot of that where you
- 12:45know, it looked like there is gonna be a big time weather advantage.
- 12:48I haven't seen a lot of that this year, and I think this week
- 12:50is the same thing. Pm Am. Maybe a slight advantage if you'd like
- 12:54to do the wave sex like you do naturally, I think it makes sense
- 12:58to do both sides that way, but in terms of a distinct advantage based
- 13:03on the weather, again, not seeing it. And I know I've said
- 13:07the same thing for a while here because we just really haven't had a lot
- 13:09of it this year. Yes, and I also haven't seen it to your
- 13:13point, I guess where you know what you always say, I like doing
- 13:16it, and even when we've seen like pretty good like last week, I
- 13:20would say it was a pretty good edge if you stack that wave. But
- 13:22then you still get a guy like Aaron Rye who gains four strokes putting on
- 13:26Sunday and creeps his way up to the top, and he's from the opposite
- 13:28waves. He still can mix it and get away with it, especially because
- 13:31a lot of these guys can play in the wind or they have that sort
- 13:35of skill set where it still helps them out. But if you're just looking
- 13:37for an angle or an edge, I got no problem with stacking waves even
- 13:41if it's not full weather related. Obviously, the year that was the biggest
- 13:45wave edge was twenty sixteen, I believe I think it was twenty sixteen.
- 13:48That's true when it was like that crazy edge, and it was not only
- 13:50was there that edge, but then you also had to have Stenson and Mickelson
- 13:54who just crushed Jbie Holmes and the rest of the guys behind them on that
- 13:58leaderboard. So just the note it was nothing really do to me with the
- 14:01course as much as the weather that year, But definitely think that's important going
- 14:05into it, just to keep that in mind. Watch it till the very
- 14:07end. Someone said in the discord, too, our content always goes up
- 14:09pretty early. The stuff stays the same. Get the initial projections out on
- 14:13Tuesday, the initial stone out on Tuesday, the ownership and all that stuff
- 14:18turns final on Wednesday. Well, the tournament starts earlier. Overseas like this,
- 14:24your prep time doesn't really change as much because like if you always build
- 14:26lineupse at nine pm Eastern, you can still get all the same content in
- 14:30we're going a day earlier, but that's because now at least we'll wait and
- 14:33see what happens. Haven't talked to him yet today, but so im posted
- 14:35there in the discord earlier, our guy degener seventy five is supposed to be
- 14:39doing the emergency stream. He said he's seventy thirty right now to the positive,
- 14:43so hope he's doing well. We're gonna cheer for that. But just
- 14:46to know, we bumped the show up just so we could have him tomorrow
- 14:48us today, get you guys some content a little bit earlier. The first
- 14:52look didn't make as much sense with the pricing being out for so long.
- 14:56We all kind of knew what was going on. And we'll get to the
- 14:56tears here in a second, but just to say, you know, the
- 15:01prep time is kind of the same hoop, like, it's just the tournament
- 15:03starts a lot earlier, and it's a maybe it's a business decision where you
- 15:09you have to stay up and wait for those late withdrawals now usually not at
- 15:11a major, but just to note that would be what changes versus your actual
- 15:15prep time. Yeah, last last week's business decision was looking good for a
- 15:20while until it wasn't looking very good. It went. The business decision blew
- 15:24up rather quickly. It was looking good for a few but man, that
- 15:28was was a painful finish for JT. Oh Man, that was really good.
- 15:31It was looking good too. And it sucks too because after all the
- 15:35talk on the show last week about JT. Of course my best team of
- 15:39the week, I had it in everything the five point fifty five, it
- 15:43was a six or six with Ludwig and JT. Like man, if JT
- 15:46just keeps it up, that team is probably, you know, in contention
- 15:50to win. Uh yeah, the business decision last week not not very good.
- 15:54But what was the correlation to this week? I'm sorry you got me
- 15:58distracted? Oh no, I did. Some people, even like Kim,
- 16:00just set us up in the discord said it's false. You know, she
- 16:02builds first thing Thursday morning. Yeah, yeah, yeah, some people do
- 16:06that. I'm just saying, it's to each their own. It's it's you
- 16:07gotta deal with what's put in front of you. I'm just trying to say,
- 16:10it's not gonna get the content out any super bag. Yeah, oh
- 16:12yeah, yeah, you gotta work on your ear schedule. It's not gonna
- 16:15change anything. I mean, it's like a lot of people, regardless of
- 16:21the slate they're playing, they'll build up to lock. Like the fact that
- 16:22it's at two three in the morning doesn't change anything versus seven or eight in
- 16:26the morning. You're gonna do the same thing. You just yeah, you
- 16:30gotta adapt to and make it work for you. That's what we're all about.
- 16:32But I mean, our stuff will still be up usual time and plenty
- 16:34of time to get after it. So I think that's gonna be the key
- 16:37sort of every event. But this is the last major of the season,
- 16:41so I get it overseas, et cetera. But let's move on. Let's
- 16:44go into the next segment here. Just talk about these tears real quick.
- 16:47And I'm just curious your thoughts on ownership, Hoop, because we got a
- 16:49almost thirteen thousand Scottie Scheffler, he's twelve eight. They did bring us the
- 16:53five K ranges. Is not a first look. We're jumping all around here,
- 16:56but just to say it, it's still interesting to me that I don't
- 16:59know, like early thoughts on ownership when it comes to these guys up top
- 17:03because Scotty, I don't know, man, like it's it's twelve eight.
- 17:06I've heard enough talk about you may not even need him if he wins.
- 17:08The people have said it's all about when everybody else does, like just all
- 17:11kinds of stuff being mentioned. And I don't know if the ownership is going
- 17:15to get as high as we think on Scotty, being that people do love
- 17:18Rory Zander Bryson's been crushing at these majors, all these guys down in the
- 17:22nine case too, So give me your thoughts on ownership here up at the
- 17:26top. Yeah, you know, I think he's a guy that could end
- 17:30up, you know, walking it back a little bit. I mean a
- 17:33lot of sites have him upper twenties, potentially thirty. I wouldn't be surprised
- 17:37if it's more twenty three, twenty four, twenty five ish, when it's
- 17:41all sudden. Don't a little differ depending on the contests that you're in.
- 17:45I think the higher stake stuff probably you know, it probably does hit the
- 17:49thirty ish range, but you know, the the you know, million maker
- 17:55twenty five dollars million maker, would not be surprised if it comes down,
- 17:57you're looking at significant discount. I mean thirteen hundred dollars discount down to Bryson,
- 18:03fourteen hundred down to Rory, sixteen down to Zander and then a full
- 18:10like seventeen or wait, no, twenty seven hundred down to like Ludwig,
- 18:14who people like, and people are gonna like Mari Kaala, which is a
- 18:18twenty nine hundred dollars discount, and you can play them together. Don't get
- 18:21me wrong, but there's just a lot of options here in viable options.
- 18:26People are gonna like Bryson because of how well he's played at the majors.
- 18:30People are gonna like Rory because you know the narrative of you know, shitting
- 18:33the bed at the US Open, bouncing back his side of town like that
- 18:37sort of thing. Xaner has just been great all year, you know,
- 18:41John Rominson, one guy probably doesn't get much ownership because it's been it's been
- 18:45rough for him. But people are gonna like Ludwig two so and Mari Kaala.
- 18:48Like I said, so I could see it coming back a little bit.
- 18:51So I am in lockstep with you. But the one thing I will
- 18:53say with the five K range, what it continues to do is you're taking
- 18:57guys that are typically in the eight ks, they're now in the seventh.
- 19:00Guys that are typically in the seven K range, they're in the sixes,
- 19:03which just makes it easier to build team. So at the end of the
- 19:07day, all these guys up here are going to get some degree of ownership,
- 19:11and that's what we're seeing in ownership project projections. All these guys besides
- 19:15Ron, probably twenty plus percent owned. So in order to make a stand
- 19:22or in order to get overweight, you're gonna have to You're gonna have to
- 19:26do some stuff. You're gonna have to maybe fade one of them, You're
- 19:27gonna have to, you know, build more stars and scrubs that sort of
- 19:30thing. There are a lot of really really standout values. And then yeah,
- 19:34if you want to go from Scotty all the way down to John Daly,
- 19:37you're saving yourself seventy eight hundred bucks. So's there's that there too.
- 19:41That's good. That was a nice one there. And Nick's the thing.
- 19:44Maybe it's because of his business partner that I know this, but you almost
- 19:47have to pick up on this. I don't even think Hoop knew the Jason
- 19:51until I brought it up, but I was like, if he's literally going
- 19:52in your tier rankings, that's how much you like this guy after all the
- 19:56shit you talked about him. So it's more about finding it out, learning
- 20:00about Hoop and knowing a little bit more as you go along. But I'll
- 20:03always try and bring it to the people and Hoop, you brought up a
- 20:04good point there, just in that you know we've brought up every time,
- 20:08but just to note it and jumping ahead for sure, like Sung Jay sixty
- 20:14nine hundred, Adam Scott sixty seven hundred, Louis people like this week is
- 20:18sixty eight hundred, Henley is sixty seven hundred. So all this did with
- 20:25this five K range as usual at this major where it's such a strong field
- 20:29is pump a bunch of really playable guys, so a lot of lineups I
- 20:32can see. We'll definitely have two six K guys in it, no problem,
- 20:34And I just don't know if it still makes it Scotty be the guy.
- 20:37I think there's just so many combinations up there. And when I do
- 20:41the show with Mayo tomorrow, we'll do some of the roster construction and builds
- 20:44and see what people actually do. But the one interesting guy on top and
- 20:47just combining him into the ten K and above range is Morikawa. He is
- 20:52like every build right. You can start with Morikawa, and I've seen it
- 20:56where you can get like Morikawa, Hat and Fleetwood. Even if you think
- 20:59you're sneaky with the three nine K guys, you can still do that.
- 21:02You can do Moricow and someone else. You can do below him, I
- 21:03mean, or you can do Scotty Moricow. You can do Rory Rory Cowa.
- 21:08Remember I talked with these colin Rory Kawa and you play McElroy and call
- 21:11Morikawa together. You can do those. You can do Xander Morikow, you
- 21:15can do Ron Morikawa. There's just a ton of different builds that involve him.
- 21:18So I think he's gonna get extreme ownership in this spot. I think
- 21:23Hatton and Fleetwood still get ownership, and I'm not sure yet. Still do
- 21:29you think Bryson actually crosses twenty because you think based on the major results,
- 21:33But I just think people just love Rory no matter what he does, they
- 21:37still love him. And then when you've got Xander Ludwig below and Scotty up
- 21:42top, it's one of the two and I just have a hard time seeing
- 21:47Scotty get squeezed so squeezed by that, I mean like fifteen to eighteen percent.
- 21:52But I could just see where Bryson is the one that ends up being
- 21:53less than Scotty, Rory, Xander, and the guys below. Yeah,
- 21:59but what is less like probably like eighteen percent or something. Maybe, I
- 22:03mean, he's still going to get some degree of ownership. I agree with
- 22:06you in the fact that he's the one that might have a chance to get
- 22:11a little bit more squeezed here and get under that twenty percent, because I
- 22:14know Scheffler's going to be over twenty. I know Rory's going to be over
- 22:17twenty. I know Xander probably gonna be over twenty. I could see Rory
- 22:23more than Scotty. I think that makes sense this week in terms of ownership.
- 22:29So it's gonna be those two one in two probably Xander and then Bryson.
- 22:33If we're looking at all these guys that are above eleven, K,
- 22:37what's the split, what's the difference? You know, I could see the
- 22:40lowest guy being eighteen and it's probably is going to be Bryson. So it
- 22:44wouldn't shock me if he's the lowest out of the group, but it's still
- 22:47just too easy to play these guys. The ownership's going to be there.
- 22:51And the reason the ownership is there because it's easy to play multiple of these
- 22:56guys. When we don't have the five K range, it's very hard to
- 22:59play multiple of these eyes in the same lineup. When you do have the
- 23:00five K range, it's very possible. You know, just plugging in Xander
- 23:04and Rory. You got sixty eight hundred, Just play one of the play
- 23:08a six K guy. There's viable guys all over the place. You're now
- 23:12back to seventy one hundred and there's a ton of good dudes here. You
- 23:15talk about some ja at sixty nine. There's a bunch of guys in that
- 23:18range. The fact that you can play two of these guys in the same
- 23:22lineup just make makes all their ownerships go way up. We've been having this
- 23:25conversation basically all season long since they've introduced this five K range. If you're
- 23:30doing the five K range, DraftKings, please put these guys over thirteen K
- 23:34and then the next tier at twelve K. Make make a decision, Make
- 23:40us make a decision. I get it for the major. They want to
- 23:42fill these contests, but it's just so bad for roster construction. The best
- 23:47golfers just automatically get the big time ownership, and that's what we're gonna see
- 23:49this week. I'm arguing the opposite of you this week, and that's what
- 23:53I'm saying only because I actually think the pricing has made that happen. That's
- 23:56why there's a potential for Scotty getting capped versus what we've seen in the past
- 24:00and what it's actually done. I think this week is made it so that
- 24:03it's spread almost everything out except for Sung jayants six wells. Because it's a
- 24:07major, though, and we have all the best golfers that because this is
- 24:11the strongest field. That's only is it's not because of the pricing that this
- 24:14is happening. It's because there's it's a major and we have this loaded field.
- 24:18Yes, but to your point of what you made earlier about the five
- 24:21k range bringing more into the six k, yes, okay, Sung Jay
- 24:23and Scott. Sung Jay's been playing incredible. Side note, besides the majors,
- 24:27Scott almost won last week, but pricing was already out. What could
- 24:30they do? How often do I get flak for Adam Scott and then he
- 24:33almost goes and wins the event to the Adam scott Ish Open winner and it
- 24:37did not happen, so it was even better. It was Rob Bobby McIntyre,
- 24:41your boy Bobby mack is back. But just to note it, it's
- 24:45like, there's so many ways to go here, and I would not bring
- 24:48up the Bryson thing just to move off this top in a second. But
- 24:49if it was like three or four percent, I actually think we got to
- 24:52check. I think a lot of people talk about Bryson and maybe they're not
- 24:56they don't be about him. And what I mean by that is I actually
- 24:59think we could ten percent delta. Like I think that by the time tomorrow
- 25:02night hits, people go, really, Scotty's gonna be twenty five. Nope,
- 25:06not letting that happen. Let me jam Scotty in fifty percent. Okay,
- 25:08now he gets the boost or people were already locking Rory, We're all
- 25:12in on him. Xander's definitely getting played. I think you could see where
- 25:15Bryson is sixteen and these guys are twenty six to twenty eight, and then
- 25:18I'm not saying that makes him the play I'm saying, I just want to
- 25:22note that up top that I definitely think people might be mentioning Bryson, but
- 25:26I just don't know if they're going to completely be about him when it comes
- 25:29down to clicking the button tomorrow. We'll have to wait and see. Also,
- 25:32quick note, if it does become a PMAM push overnight and into tomorrow
- 25:36evening, Bryson and Rory are AMPM versus Scotty and Xander are PMAM. So
- 25:42if people do go that route, we'll see. But just to note it
- 25:45like that, that could be a thing as well. Yeah, we'll see.
- 25:49The one thing that's working against that narrative is the fact that you don't
- 25:53get to play Bryson almost every week. We only have the opportunity to play
- 25:56him at these majors. Are people excited just to click that name because you
- 26:00don't get to do it as often as the other guys. That's one thing
- 26:03that could work against that. But I do agree that I think of all
- 26:07these guys up here, he's the one that comes in the lowest. It's
- 26:10just a matter of what the number ends up being. Yeah, and I'll
- 26:11also add the caveat to him. I'll wait and see Tomorrow night. Rom
- 26:15is definitely nice here at ten four, just if you believe in the long
- 26:18term talent. Obviously he's been horrible at the Majors this year, but he's
- 26:22actually played good. I know it's live events and whatever you want to give
- 26:25credit for or not. I don't care about that stuff. I'm just letting
- 26:26you know that that at ten four, and you could start your lineup with
- 26:30them. Maybe that is a ten four, right, you know you got
- 26:33that one, so you can put him into your lineups at ten four.
- 26:36Nobody's gonna get there, you know, at the end of it, because
- 26:38Ludwig is there, Morikawa is there, and then Hatt and Fleet would all
- 26:41the guys below, all the dudes above. So no, he's the guy
- 26:45that we know for a fact just can't get it there. So I got
- 26:48to add that in as well. Anything you want to add on Ludwig moricaua
- 26:51if not take us into the other nine k guys below Morikawa because we know
- 26:56what he is. Let's talk about Baveland down to Kopka. Yeah, the
- 26:59problem he's ten four and he should be like eight four, all right,
- 27:03Like he's he's lost up here and he's Yeah, it's it's not good for
- 27:07him. I think just I get the ownership thing, but he's just not
- 27:11very good anymore. He's messed up. Mori KAA obviously gonna be very highly
- 27:15owned nine to nine. Like you said, just fits all the bills,
- 27:18like, you can do anything with him. You can play him with Scotty,
- 27:21you can play with Rory, you can play with all those guys up
- 27:22top. A lot of people like going balance. You can start with them
- 27:27just a lot. You can play them in any sort of roster construction stars
- 27:30and scrubs, balance, semi stars and scrubs, semi balance, you know,
- 27:34whatever it may be. He fits in all of them. Been playing
- 27:37some incredible golf, he'll be you know, I think you could contend with
- 27:41some of those guys up top in terms of ownership. Someone mentioned it in
- 27:44there, Andrew. I believe it's gonna be the highest owned on the slate.
- 27:47I wouldn't be surprised if he got up there, you know, upper
- 27:48twenties. I don't know what it's projected at right now. Having dug super
- 27:52deep, Yeah, he's showing to be like a little less than those guys.
- 27:56I think you get up there with those guys because if you come down
- 28:00here like there's like he's just so much better than everyone in this nine K
- 28:03range. People like Ludwig, but you have rom there, They're not gonna
- 28:07like him. It's just it just fits everything with Markle Hovland. Haven't been
- 28:11playing any of Hovland. I think Hovelin's a classic situation. If you've been
- 28:15trying to get him right and you've been playing him, stay on that train,
- 28:18because he could probably flip the switch at any point. If you've been
- 28:22fading them, I think you just stay off them. I've been fading them.
- 28:25I will stay off them. It's very easy for me. Ninety seven
- 28:27hundred. He's another guy that you know could easily he belongs in like the
- 28:32eight K range because he sucks recently. Hatt and Fleetwood I think makes sense.
- 28:37I can't lay very interesting at ninety one. I haven't seen him since
- 28:41the Travelers, but he finished fifth prior to that third at the US Open.
- 28:44Ninety one. Very fair price tag for him, and then Brooks.
- 28:48It's a little bit I guess surprised by the price tag because I guess you
- 28:51know, all these majors, he's been up in that top tier. Now
- 28:53he's way down here. At nine K, it's like him and Bryson have
- 28:56kind of flipped spots where you know, Bryson's one that's in the top tier
- 29:00now and Brooks is down here. The results that the majors haven't been great.
- 29:03You know, He's supposed to be this big game hunter and he hasn't
- 29:07been doing much hunting in the big games recently. So at nine K,
- 29:11you know, I might take some stabs on him, but you know,
- 29:14Marikawa clearly stands out, you know, can't lay at nine to one,
- 29:18I think definitely stands out. So those are two guys will definitely be looking
- 29:21at in this range. Yeah, I think it's very easy to play more
- 29:23Cowhattan Fleetwood and mix even all three of them, but at least two of
- 29:27them. We talked about them morekw thing enough, so I'll move off that
- 29:30one. But I think there is the leverage guys in here, like Hobland.
- 29:33You know, he's shown up at other opens, and I think it's
- 29:37because, like a lot of what we talk about with him, his biggest
- 29:38problem is always be around the green stuff, and you don't always have to
- 29:41have that in a link style course. So I think he's a fine guy
- 29:45at ninety seven hundred that you could go to. I think the guys at
- 29:47the bottom are interesting though, like Can't Lay and Koepka, you know,
- 29:49ninety one and nine and nine thousand. That's sort of, you know,
- 29:53just a savings right when you look at what you're looking at up top and
- 29:56going down to them, it's just such a discount. So when people are
- 30:00going balanced, I think they're trying to get Morikawa and one of Hatton and
- 30:03Fleetwood, or they're just starting with Hatton and Fleetwood, or they think they're
- 30:07getting aggressive by going Kawa, Fleetwood, Hatton, and then we're still playing
- 30:11those upper six K guys. So it's like you do have a unique build
- 30:14because you're skipping the five figure guys, the seven K guys, et cetera.
- 30:18But the chalk isn't the seven K guys this week as much as it
- 30:21is the song Jay Scott's Henley's Louise down Low that you may want to end
- 30:26in the sevens as a way to get different. And I'll talk about all
- 30:27that and more under their roster construction thoughts in the slate plan over on Shipping
- 30:32nation dot com. But just to say it, the guys down low that
- 30:36are below Fleetwood, hatt and Marikawa are can't lay in Brooks, and I
- 30:40think they're the more interesting options there. And then even then as we segue
- 30:42into the aksop, we've got Finow and Matsiama where people are looking to land
- 30:47on top of Tom Kim. I do think the ak range gets a little
- 30:51bit more squeezed, like as usual at these things, where it's like even
- 30:55if you say, well, no, I hear everyone's playing fen now,
- 30:56I think it's like fourteen or fifteen percent. We'll see, But it just
- 31:00feels like that with him and Hideki and those guys, because if you're playing
- 31:03Moricau as much as you are, if Hatton's getting steamed up with Fleetwood,
- 31:07if all those guys at the top are getting played and you have six k
- 31:11guys to make them work, you're not always having the land in here.
- 31:14So well, that may be your one landing spot or two. If you're
- 31:17playing two of them, it is gonna be those two or three. Two
- 31:18of those three guys, Penaw, Matsiama and Tom Kim. I still think
- 31:22they end up being held in check. Just obviously they'll be higher own than
- 31:26like cam Smith and Matt Fitzpatrick and guys like that. So what's your take
- 31:30on this eight km range? Yeah, I mean it starts with cam Smith
- 31:34at eighty nine and I don't know again, and kind of similar to like
- 31:37Hovlin with me, like if you've been playing them in these majors, maybe
- 31:41stick with them. If you haven't been playing them, I think it's fine
- 31:42to stay off. I haven't been playing them, so I'll be staying off.
- 31:47Penal at eight seven's been playing some great golf. I do like him.
- 31:51I don't think the ownership is going to be you know, the one
- 31:53thing that I feel pretty confident about this week in terms of the ownership is
- 31:57like roster construction, it's just begging you to go stars and scrubs in some
- 32:01way, shape or form. It's bagging you to play some at least one
- 32:05guy up top. Maybe too, it's begging you to pair that guy up
- 32:08top with you know, a guy like Mari Kawa. So I think everyone
- 32:13in the ak could get squeezed just because man like you can go to you
- 32:16can go to Sunjay and Adam Scott like you talked about, and then just
- 32:21get whatever the hell you want, and it's just going to force everything to
- 32:23the top. So yes, people are gonna talk about Tony Fleet, Tony,
- 32:29Tony Fino, but are they really gonna, you know, click them
- 32:31at a high rate. I just think all these guys have to be kept
- 32:34in check. So I do like Fino, Matsiama, not a ton Tom
- 32:37Kim not super excited. I do like Lowry at eighty two. I think
- 32:42it's a good spot for him and then wind them kind of similar to last
- 32:45week. I didn't love him, but I played him because of the price,
- 32:49and I think I'll just do the same this week. I don't necessarily
- 32:51love him, but at eight K, like we saw it in round four
- 32:54last week, he can just get hot and make a ton of birdies when
- 32:59you're giving me a guy like him under the average spot of a roster spot
- 33:02on DK, the average price of a roster spot on DK, like,
- 33:06I'll take it. With Windham Fitzpatrick, who has been a disaster, I
- 33:09feel really good stand off of him. So it's like Fenw, Lowry Windham
- 33:14are the ones that kind of stand out to me in this eight K range.
- 33:16But I do think all of them have a chance to go very low
- 33:20on because of the way we're being pushed in terms of roster construction. Yeah.
- 33:24One of the things I always wonder though, is like the Windom round,
- 33:27because we've looked at this enough and then you do like a deep dive
- 33:29on it, so we say, like, is there a glimmer of hope
- 33:31when a guy gets hot like that on a round four and then he just
- 33:35sticks with it. But the one thing about Windham that I look at,
- 33:37I know some will look right away at the four strokes gained putting, that's
- 33:40just part of it, but it's actually more of a product of how he
- 33:43got there. And there was like seven spike holes and then there was like
- 33:47five holes where he got crushed on approach. So clearly to me, what
- 33:52Wyndam Clark was doing was just he's completely out of it on Sunday or for
- 33:54the most I know, he ended up getting a T ten that looks good
- 33:58on paper, but he was out of it. He fired at pins.
- 34:00It worked on a bunch, it didn't work on others, but he could
- 34:04save. Part wasn't extremely hard conditions or anything like that. Will he have
- 34:07that same mentality coming into this week and just firing away or was it more
- 34:10of a product of him being out of it? So was just on a
- 34:13deep dive rather look at it from that angle. But I definitely don't hate
- 34:15it. Another thing I'm noticing who just because we talk way more about this
- 34:19than we do the picks and the plays or the course setup or this that
- 34:22and the other. Like it's all important stuff and part of the puzzle,
- 34:24but I care way more about beating the field we're up against. And Rory
- 34:30Ampm, Patton Fleetwood, both AMPM, Tony fenow Am, Tom Kim Am
- 34:37haven't got to the seven so we'll save that. But we'll jump ahead for
- 34:40the spoiler alert. So what we already did talk about sung Jay Am,
- 34:44Henley Am, Scott Am. If you just want to go for carnage,
- 34:49and even if there isn't a weather advantage, you are going to be so
- 34:52different naturally just by going pm AM on some of your stacks that it's just
- 34:55right there for you. It's sitting right in front of you. Almost all
- 34:59the chalk is AM at least early on the books here, So we'll see
- 35:02how that plays out. But I like your called the eight K range.
- 35:06The reason I brought that up, there's only two guys from seventy nine to
- 35:09ninety one hundred that are in the AMPM wave and it's final, and Tom
- 35:14Kimp you can still play can't land ninety one hundred and Brooks, who we
- 35:17talked about. In that nine k range, you can play Cam Smith if
- 35:21you've been on them, Hedeki Matsiama Lowry who fits the bill and the trends
- 35:24and everything else and has a Claire jug of his own, fits Patrick Clark,
- 35:29you know, whatever you want to do there. I'm just saying that
- 35:30those are all guys that you could fit in. So interesting to note.
- 35:34And then in the seven K range, let's move on to that. Now
- 35:37there is only eighteen golfers and I guess like Nieman Bobby Mack with the betting
- 35:44odds, Rye Bigala Norin like Connors may be steamed. But what are you
- 35:51seeing here in the seven K range right now? It's kind of like what
- 35:53you said, I think, like it doesn't seem as though a lot of
- 35:55people are landing in this range. Yeah, And it just seems like this
- 36:00is the first range to me where you start to see maybe some of that
- 36:02sticker shock where it's like, man, these guys are this cheap, Like
- 36:07then this name is only you know, seventy whatever, one hundred. I
- 36:09think this is the range where you start to see that, So I would
- 36:13anticipate that would make me believe that ownership is going to be high. But
- 36:16like you said, it's not necessarily showing up because everyone's just going to go
- 36:20to the six k range. Wheck, it's even more extreme in terms of
- 36:22the pricing. But there's you know, viability here for sure. Nieman seventy
- 36:28eight. You know, Bobby Max seventy seven, incredible win last week for
- 36:32him. Brian Harmon, you know, won the Open last year. Seventy
- 36:37six hundred should be a nice setup for him. Cam Young starting to play
- 36:40pretty solid. However, the Cam Young fan be a little cautious, Like
- 36:44the T six at the Rocket Mortgage. I mean he was like the only
- 36:49viable golf I mean there was not many good golfers at the Rocket Mortgage,
- 36:52and we can attest to that because we are there in person. But you
- 36:57know, the T six there is not great. Seventy five hundred for Cam
- 37:00Young, What do you do, min Wu. We're just paying what ninety
- 37:02four hundred for him last week? Now he's seventy four and justin Thomas seventy
- 37:07four hundred. Max Homa has been a disaster seventy three. But then you
- 37:13get down to the bottom. I think of this range and you got Corey
- 37:15Connors at seventy three, Like, I guess I just don't get that price
- 37:20tag. I think he's been good all season long, very consistent, top
- 37:23twenty machine. Now he's like what probably like the thirtieth most expensive guy on
- 37:28the slate. People are gonna like him, people are gonna like Rye,
- 37:31people are gonna like Thi Gala. Dustin Johnson has been bad seventy one hundred,
- 37:38So I don't know. I think like Connor's, Rye, Thigala are
- 37:43the names that people go to here, So maybe the top tier gets overlooked
- 37:47a little bit. There's a lot of names here. There's a lot of
- 37:51names, a lot of guys that you don't typically see in the seven k
- 37:53range, but like Corey Connors at seventy three hundred just stands out as an
- 37:59extreme value to me. I've continued to try the Max Homer thing. I'm
- 38:04just done. I'm calling it quit. Like he's been a disaster, you
- 38:07know, No, it's not gonna be major Max week now. But there's
- 38:13names here. I mean, there's definitely names, but I think a lot
- 38:15of the ownership goes to the lower range with guys like Connor's Rye Fie Gallop.
- 38:21Yeah, this is the interesting note. I know exact even in Sol
- 38:22who gives a ship, but just to say, like he almost qualified,
- 38:25right, justin Rose got in and Sergio was close, blew up a little
- 38:29bit on his cue, but yeah, he's playing good enough that he goes
- 38:31on to then get a win in a playoff. Anderman Lahiri ander bond Lahiri
- 38:36sorry missed like a two foot putt to force a playoff. This also,
- 38:39man like just take a hike, Like, I don't care if you're four
- 38:43against Cam Young. This is like, this is the worst to me when
- 38:45people do this. It's like second and eighth, what happened here? Where's
- 38:50his results? Second? Which was like the eagle when Rory had to go
- 38:53for it at Saint Andrews and that's what bumped him up again, And like
- 38:58where's Cam Young seventy five hundred this week? Oh he loves it here.
- 39:01It's not even the same course, first of all, not even close.
- 39:05Second of all, it's two results, Like you said, he blew the
- 39:07rocket mortgage, Like guys like it until they don't. You're taking a two
- 39:13year sample size. You go back. You know Adam Scott loved it here
- 39:17back in twenty and fourteen and fifteen when he came fifth and tenth. You
- 39:22know what happened after that forty third, twenty second, seventeenth miss cut forty
- 39:27six fifteen. It's not even the same course. So it's like that to
- 39:30me is just you know, all great course history, great event history of
- 39:34what sample size two like, we got to just stop doing that. Play
- 39:37the game, play dfs. Stop worrying about that. That's just content talking
- 39:42pieces. I use it, we all use it. It's just a note
- 39:45to make something. But it's like in talking about it, don't use that
- 39:47as your b all end dollar. Why you land on a guy as even
- 39:50a tiebreaker, Like it's not even the same place, right, It's not
- 39:53even anything the same, So keep going here, like you mentioned it.
- 39:58I think the guys that do pick up the Steam team, Rye Connors,
- 40:01Thigala, Noorrin, definitely all those guys. So that would leave Sam Burns,
- 40:07who could be pretty interesting seventy two hundred. I wouldn't have a problem
- 40:10clicking him. I think course fit rankings like Dustin Johnson, but it's supposed
- 40:15to be course fit rankings are when they're playing their A game. I don't
- 40:20think we've got the Dustin Johnson A game anytime recently, so I wouldn't love
- 40:23it for that, But I would just say, you know, you're getting
- 40:27a seventy one hundred dollars guy. It's like, you know, what can
- 40:30you find with him? Stepstraca. I'm actually not sure that people are gonna
- 40:35go back to him. And I would say that if the other guy that
- 40:37I could see get steamed here is Akshay Batilla. You had another lefty win
- 40:40the Cleric jug last year, Brian Harmon. Maybe people just look at his
- 40:44talent, how good he's been and how close he's been on lots of stuff
- 40:46where they go to him at seven K, Sostraca, Sam Burns, a
- 40:51couple guys down low that could be left alone, and then I guess Speith
- 40:55at the top. It would just be here, here are our guy James
- 40:59right now, my ear Dejender's seventy five. You play Speef when nobody's playing
- 41:02him, and this will be a little bit different. I guess like I
- 41:06would look at it more from from this perspective. But let me see,
- 41:09let me just make it simple for our crew. Don't play speif I don't
- 41:14care who's playing them, who's not playing them this week, We're not playing
- 41:15sweath. Let's let's keep it simple. He's been so bad all year,
- 41:20That's what I mean. So it's one of those things that just hasn't shown
- 41:22up, even where he has shown up, but seventy nine hundred, I
- 41:25mean it's again, lots of other options are even click instead. I just
- 41:29don't think anybody's playing him when there's other options around him. So talent wise,
- 41:35if you're looking long term, speak DJ some of those guys. But
- 41:37you know you can easily move off the upper six k ranch hoop is where
- 41:42the conversation is going to be had here. What do you do with Sung
- 41:45Jy? What do you do with Adam Scott? You know, Davis Thompson
- 41:47is there, who's been hot? See who? Kim had a nice round
- 41:51on Sunday? Maybe he was just firing our pins. I'm gonna deep dive
- 41:52on him. Actually, well while you look into it, but what's your
- 41:55thoughts on this upper six k ragn knowing what we know? Yeah, I
- 42:00mean it's the same as last week. We came on the show and like
- 42:01you could go through and so many guys that you can play in the sixth
- 42:06K range, so many viable options that look good on on paper, which
- 42:10again is the reason why we're seeing all the guys up top and the eleven
- 42:15K range get substantial ownership because you're able to do it and still feel good
- 42:19about your lineups. Just so many guys on play I mean, most disrespectful
- 42:22price egg on the slate. Su JM sixty nine hundred dollars gonna be very
- 42:25popular. He's going to be the most popular guy under I mean he's gonna
- 42:30be the most popular guy probably outside of the top end golfers, like outside
- 42:35of like Scottie Rory's and or. He is going to be extremely popular at
- 42:38sixty nine. It's been playing well, however, he has not played well
- 42:43at the Majors. Missed the cut at the US Open, miss the cuteth
- 42:45the PGA Championship, missed the cut at the Masters. So he's missed the
- 42:49cut on all other three made. But he's playing better now than he has
- 42:52all season long. He's gonna be very popular at sixty nine. Subu Kim.
- 42:57Like you talked about sixty eight hundred, Louis Us, I've been playing
- 43:00well on Live sixty eight hundred. His odds to win the event, so
- 43:06he's sixty eight hundred. His odds to win the event are sixty to one,
- 43:09sixty to one, and he's sixty eight hundred. Henley Adam Scott will
- 43:14be very, very popular after the second place finished last week. He is
- 43:20sixty seven hundred. People love playing Benny on Dean Burmester, Keegan Bradley,
- 43:27the mckivin guy. Missed the cut on the number last week. I believe
- 43:30Yeah, he's two under missed it. He was seven k last week.
- 43:34He's sixty five. People feel good going back to him. Morok, Danny
- 43:39McCarthy, JT. Post and Tom Hogy hadwin, Eric Cole, Victor Perez.
- 43:47You keep going down. We get Chris Kirky at sixty one, you
- 43:51get Southgate, who's playable, Romaine Langquist or however you pronounced his name,
- 43:57six K McNeely, six K, Glover, six k. There's just so
- 44:00many guys that are viable option. This week, it's gonna be the same
- 44:05as last week. It's gonna get spread out outside of Sunjay Sunday is gonna
- 44:07get ownership, Adam Scott probably gets ownership. The rest of these guys,
- 44:10you don't have to be worried about ownership because you know where most people are
- 44:14gonna go to in this range. So you know, it's just a matter
- 44:16of how many guys, how many of these guys you want to play?
- 44:20What do you want to do with your rosters? If you're coming down here
- 44:22frequently, you're gonna be able to get a lot of exposure to the guys
- 44:24up top. And again I said a couple times atout the show where pricing
- 44:29is forcing us in a direction. Pricing is forcing us to play multiple six
- 44:34K guys, and that's probably what a lot of the field ends up doing
- 44:37this week. We talked about it. Sometimes people are hesitant to play multiple
- 44:39six K guys. Well, not when the six K range looks like this.
- 44:43Most lineups are gonna have two six K guys, which is gonna that's
- 44:45why we're seeing the big ownership up top, because it's gonna be easy,
- 44:49easy to play those guys up top with all the options down here in the
- 44:52six K range. And that's why I said at the top of the show,
- 44:53like eventually people probably get to this thought. So Andrew brings a good,
- 44:57good thought back to the chat. Is that's the one and where like
- 45:00I said, eventually people say, you know what it looks like people,
- 45:02because like Hoop said, it's a major. The pricing is still, you
- 45:05know, soft enough that you have these guys like im and Scott and all
- 45:08these guys where people just say, you know what, if I want Rory,
- 45:10I can play him. If I want Rory and Cow, I can
- 45:13play them. It's like they can get to all the dudes. So if
- 45:15someone, as people find out that one guy is being left alone more than
- 45:19he should be. To me, that's gonna be Scotty when they come around
- 45:22on that thought. That's gonna boost from Scotty and take away from somebody else.
- 45:27To me, it's gonna take away from Bryson. Tim. We gotta
- 45:30we appreciate you, gotta quote your sources. Shout out to our guy,
- 45:32ron Klass. I knew at the minute you put up thirty nine rounds,
- 45:36but this is another take. Okay, thirty nine rounds, even if you
- 45:38want to call that a good sample, then play them. But don't tell
- 45:43me you you know, don't. I'm playing ac shake because these wins.
- 45:45Okay, you better be playing John Rahm, who has almost double his rounds
- 45:49and almost just as good in the wind. You better be playing Jordan's Speed,
- 45:52who has one hundred and seven rounds and is right behind them. You
- 45:54better get in on Jason Day one hundred and thirty four rounds and is right
- 45:58up there with them. So again, people picking and choosing their spots for
- 46:01these things, play dfs. We're not playing the best win guy, the
- 46:06best, this the best that like, we got to play the game that
- 46:07we're up against. And so if you're doing that, you should be building
- 46:10stack lineups like that. If that's what you're thinking, like, go ahead
- 46:14and play all those guys and then when one of them gets blown away in
- 46:16the wind instead of plays well in the wind, your lineups get blown away
- 46:20too. So just keep that in mind when you're doing it. This would
- 46:22be a way to do it. That's what we should have done with JT
- 46:25last week when who made the business decision. We should have said, you
- 46:28know what, let's give him a shot one round he does or he does
- 46:31not, let let's do that and see. And we didn't have a keeper
- 46:35cut. We got a we got a mid range of a first look and
- 46:38a main so we didn't bring that into the mix. But I will just
- 46:42say it'll be back shut out the black mask media always here supporting, appreciate
- 46:45that's good. I do like that. I do like that that statement from
- 46:50the Jena It does make sense because that guy ended up being like, look,
- 46:52twenty percent owned. It was a crazy number. Yeah, what was
- 46:55the exact I like how you called it, play your own turd? Yeah,
- 46:59I love that, But I love that man, who someone should say
- 47:02what it actually was? It's more funny. I know it's a little more
- 47:05vulgar, but what was it like? Uh, find your own piece of
- 47:07shit, not somebody else's, but it was. It was very good.
- 47:12I think that that'd make for a good T shirt. Whatever the actual thing
- 47:15is, the actual thing is, that's good. Delbert called it out too.
- 47:19This is another one I think I called I'll call this maybe James has
- 47:23it on the stream tomorrow night. You could see some late steam on Louijo.
- 47:27There's a lot of talk. I mean, it's a crazy number.
- 47:34I think it was one fifty or something, but uh no, no one
- 47:37can remember it. It wasn't that picture it's it's not it's uh, it's
- 47:44not in there. You still don't have it, you know me, Jordan,
- 47:45I'm always trying to keep it clean on these shows. So I just
- 47:49I was trying to look for that one. Let's see this guy, mister
- 47:52awaken Up says, here's a narrative since a live golfer won the last major.
- 47:54Now I'll be Rory's this like what is going on? Like, come
- 47:59on, guys, is just not gonna be that play your own slaptick there?
- 48:01It is, okay, such a good saying. I kind of like
- 48:05the I like the turd version a little better. Yeah, they both sound
- 48:09good. It's just more comical that that is the truth. And it's just
- 48:13me like, you're never going to get someone all to yourself, but getting
- 48:15twenty four percent Tom mckibbon versus you know, a three percent or a four
- 48:20percent somebody else that just goes off. That's kind of the take where even
- 48:23if you had that, you know, even you had him and he did
- 48:27get it right, would it have really meant you think? It's hard to
- 48:29say. I don't know if there' anything else down here I had to bring
- 48:31up. I was just trying to look at other angles, but pretty spread
- 48:36out down here, hoop, Like you know, a lot of options,
- 48:37a lot of different ways you can go. Do you have a Tiger Woods
- 48:39take? You've been off speed, You've been off Hoblin, You've been off
- 48:44all all these other talents that have been good in the past. I'm so
- 48:47sick of the quotes like from I love Tiger obviously, and what he's done
- 48:52is great, but I'm just so sick of like the quotes from him,
- 48:55like every single major. I think I can go out and win. His
- 48:58ass knows he can't go out win like he knows he can't. Like just
- 49:00be honest, like I get it. I get it from a competitive standpoint.
- 49:04You got to say that shit. But I'm like, I'm so sick
- 49:07of it all. I'm just like I'm over it. Like I'm over it.
- 49:08It's over. He's done. He should retire from golf. Honestly,
- 49:12you should just be done at this point. Hang it up. I mean,
- 49:15it's just it's just every major, it's the same thing. The quotes
- 49:20are the exact same, Like he ain't doing it no more. It's done,
- 49:23he ain't coming back. It's over Montgomery over here, guys, we
- 49:28got hoop. Montgomery Collin's cousin him say that, and Tiger told him where
- 49:32to go. Man, he said, he's got He's got the receipts to
- 49:36back it up. Like he can't get the job done anymore. Let's let's
- 49:38let's just let's wrap that up. He's wrapping up two thirty to make the
- 49:42cut. You have to make the cut. You think Tiger can make the
- 49:47cut here because this is the other thing, good good timing to show off
- 49:51the NFL again. NFL is coming back. Well, we'll note it one
- 49:53more time. Get it on the Early Bird special because the thing with this
- 49:58whop, this is like ball two point zero every major. Tiger looks good.
- 50:02He's in the best shape of his life. He looks it's like it's
- 50:07NFL training camp. Definitely training, Yes, yes, yeah, there's another
- 50:12note. The initial stone and the projections are out. So if you were
- 50:14looking to get started, and yeah, Tim, it does look like he
- 50:16drops some weight for sure, I mean hopefully he does well. We all
- 50:20want to see Tiger do well. It's awesome when he's in the mix.
- 50:22I won't be getting involved in the DFS streets, but you know, just
- 50:25a note, he's there. Glover was one guy that stood out. I
- 50:29guess Glover, McNeely, Grioh and Griffin sort of that four, I guess
- 50:34is it all triple Is it Triple G, Glover, Grio, Griffin.
- 50:37Yeah, the triple G squad down there looks all right in that range.
- 50:42After that, I don't see too much that I'm reaching for against. Some
- 50:45of these guys may trickle in, but I'm really one more to take stands
- 50:49when I get down there where if I'm playing somebody, I want to have
- 50:52enough of them to make it work up top, but it could switch the
- 50:53one time it does change. Someone asks me about this, and I always
- 50:57talk about it in our discord. We've talked about it on our course.
- 50:59The educate course, of course comes free when you sign up at Ship and
- 51:01Nation. But just to note, like if I'm going heavy, if I'm
- 51:05going seventy percent on a guy up top, then I'm more likely to let
- 51:09somebody trickle in because now I have so many versions that involve my week on
- 51:14that guy. Anyway, Let's say I have seventy percent more Kaua, Well,
- 51:16if I'm already that invested, and it comes down to what more Kawa
- 51:19does pretty much for my week. Then I do kind of want more guys
- 51:22down load to trickle in because I'm clearly taking my stand up top. But
- 51:27if I'm not doing that and I'm playing a more balanced portfolio, then I'm
- 51:30looking to get enough of these guys down low that they can all mix together
- 51:34and go that way. So just a note on that, I would bring
- 51:37that point up as well. Whop any other final thoughts, strategy bits,
- 51:39anything else you want to talk about before we do the final stuff. Here
- 51:44the last guy in this five K range that people are talking about, and
- 51:47there's been a couple comments in the chat mana sero, what are you doing
- 51:52with him? I know a lot of people want to be on him.
- 51:55What do he finished last week? He was yeah, T fifteen last week,
- 52:00but he's a name a lot of people are bringing up at fifty four.
- 52:05Yeah, I think the round one and two last week, right is
- 52:07what people are looking at. Obviously, the weekend did not go very well
- 52:09for him. He had five birdies the entire weekend after putting up eight on
- 52:15Friday alone, and then on Thursday he had six birdies in an eagle.
- 52:20So I mean it's a tale of two two separate rounds right the Thursday Friday
- 52:23versus the weekend. So not too sure that I'll land on him very much.
- 52:28I think that's just like a Chase scenario. But one guy I was
- 52:31going to look up was Sewu Kim. He actually did the same thing I
- 52:36said about Clark on Sunday, So just a note on him, like he
- 52:38had five six two. Yeah, he went super low, but I'm saying
- 52:45it was the same thing. He was just firing away at these pits,
- 52:46like there was three or four holes he was way off, and there was
- 52:50five or six that he was dialed in and just nailed it and then obviously
- 52:52went and made his stuff. So I can't see I mean, just being
- 52:55open here, I don't see a lot of these guys that I end up
- 52:59getting to. I don't see a lot under I don't see really, I
- 53:02don't see very very much at all in the five K maybe some Ben Griffin
- 53:06seems like a substantial different difference in talent from the six K down to the
- 53:10five I mean, there's legit dudes in the six K range. You come
- 53:14down here, it's things out pretty quick. Nick Taylor, I don't mind
- 53:19playing him at fifty nine he's another name, but man, it's it does
- 53:23not look good so much in Campo. He finished twenty six last week.
- 53:29Yeah, I don't hate that at fifty five. Maybe he's the pivot off
- 53:32manisera who you know, more people would get to I think in that situation,
- 53:37Yeah, a lot of these coming up. You know, no Evr
- 53:39in the field, so Rinn not even in the kuda anymore. He was
- 53:42the tournament favorite and w D. But our guy Rinn brings up Campio.
- 53:45We got PGA daily, says Catlan, John Catlan. We've got who else
- 53:51do we got? Manaseero came up again. I'll talk about this in a
- 53:54second. But you and Ferguson, Guido, all these guys that are getting
- 53:58brought up Jasper spenceon, Yeah, let's get in on that action. I
- 54:00think he was all right seeing Marcel seeing like these guys if you're mentioning them
- 54:05and you got that gut feel. Last week, for me, it was
- 54:08our guy, you know, Romayne lang Gass generally led us up and he
- 54:14ended up crushing. But that was the guy I had a gut feel on.
- 54:16I still didn't listen to my own stuff. So do as I say,
- 54:20not as I do. I didn't put him in my mains, and
- 54:22I thought like, if I just put him in a main lineup where I
- 54:23can get everybody else in, he was the guy I was thinking about.
- 54:27So if you guys have that type of feeling on somebody, I think you
- 54:30should definitely pile them into your lineups and get enough of them that it matters,
- 54:32or play them in a spot that it matters, and then do everything
- 54:36else with that and then just some talks on like the soft pricing and leaving
- 54:39cash on the table. I will say this, I'm not looking to leave
- 54:43thousands or anything. But if you're in the twenty five dollars million Maker or
- 54:46that five dollars massive lottery, you know forty nine to nine is a cap
- 54:51or something, or forty nine eight is a cap, you're gonna be fine.
- 54:53Like, I just don't see a world where it's absolutely necessary that the
- 54:58exact fifty k lineup hits that is optimal that you need that wins the tournament.
- 55:01So to get unique in those you're definitely gonna want to leave some money,
- 55:06even if you're not forcing it, but just to make it make sense
- 55:08where you're not going to be duping with a lot of other people, and
- 55:12actually, I want to look at this for two seconds. This is interesting.
- 55:15Just got brought up. Nick brought up Sharma. He's your guy and
- 55:20the running man too, said, Sharma made me some money on showing out.
- 55:22He was the guy that I looked up when I was doing some of
- 55:24these comparisons. Slow and steady. You know, a T thirty nine may
- 55:29not be for everybody, but at his price it does quite a lot.
- 55:30And he had you know, four birdies on an eagle or on Friday,
- 55:36he had six birdies on Saturday, he had nine birdies or something on Sunday,
- 55:40and it was all equal across the board. It was not just a
- 55:45case of a guy sitting there firing at pins. He was just playing the
- 55:46golf. He plays playing as the course set up, play it as it
- 55:50lies type thing. Like, he's just doing his own thing and had a
- 55:52pretty decent week at T thirty nine is not game changing, but it's very
- 55:55solid for that type of price tag. And you know, this week gets
- 55:59a small bum I think, but maybe maybe not even really. I think
- 56:01he's still he had only fifty nine hundred, So if you want to go
- 56:05to him, I would have no problem with it, but at least a
- 56:06guy when you do the digger, the deeper, dig, dig deeper,
- 56:09and do a deep dive, you'll find that it wasn't just that one final
- 56:13round going out fireing away a pins. It was everything leading up to it,
- 56:16and then it all kind of clicked in that final round. So I
- 56:20actually think that's a bit interesting as well. And then yeah, Austin Eck
- 56:22wrote was another one that stood out. I'll just check it quickly. I
- 56:25don't mind playing him. He missed the cut, but he was pretty fine
- 56:30in round one beyond a couple of holes there. And then in Red missed
- 56:35it on the number. He missed it on the number, So I mean
- 56:37he was right there. Yeah, i'd I'd be fine with that. I
- 56:39mean, realistically, some of that he probably heads over right away and starts
- 56:44getting some more practice in and stays sharp and does all that. So I
- 56:46don't hate somebody like that. Hughes Mackenzie Hughes, I don't hate. I'm
- 56:51just you know, searching for some names here. VALLAMACKI screwed a bunch of
- 56:53people last week. Uh missed it on the number. He was right at
- 56:58that two underd He's fifty six. Someone mentioned Zach Johnson, like, I'll
- 57:02never be on Zach Johnson, so that's an easy no for me. But
- 57:07once he start getting down below the mid five, it's I've never even heard
- 57:10of these dudes down here. To be honest with you, are you going
- 57:13back to your guy Matthew Jordan. Oh yeah, absolutely, that was all
- 57:16you too. By the way he was on, yep, I'll be right
- 57:22back on him. He could not hit an iron in round four, my
- 57:24goodness. Talk about maybe he was just trying to fire up pins. If
- 57:29that was the case, it did not go well. The work, It
- 57:31didn't work very well thirteen holes where he just completely screwed it up. So
- 57:36yeah, yeah, I like Vic Perez. I like Romayne again, I
- 57:38like we talked about Sharma second ago, like some of those guys, if
- 57:42I'm going there would be the ones to make it. And then Southgate was
- 57:45the only other one that we'll look at here. I think he missed the
- 57:46cut as well. He shot even but yeah, it didn't net really do
- 57:51too much. But I think in general, just you know, keeping an
- 57:52eye on that type of stuff is definitely the way to go. Anything else
- 57:54you want to add their Hooper, good to good to Roll, Yeah,
- 57:58good Roll can hit on this promo again. Man, Now is the time
- 58:01we talked about it. Yeah, definitely are go ahead, there you go.
- 58:06I was toady. If you want to get in, now is the
- 58:07time, like the Open people are setting up to sign up for that.
- 58:09You can actually use this towards the Open and you'll get everything for free,
- 58:14all access completely. So if you're gonna sign up with us for NFL anyway,
- 58:17you can see what the other sites charge four twenty five, five sixty
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- 58:28college football content will be free as well, on top of all access leading
- 58:31up. We did extend it, so who brought that up? I'll just
- 58:35go back real quick and said, like, you know what, let's just
- 58:37move it along. Who cares, We'll include it anyway. So just to
- 58:40show you guys one last time before we get out of here, the promos
- 58:44here, it auto locks into the two nine nine. You'll immediately be coded
- 58:46properly to get all access to the entire site. So everything for PGA,
- 58:51including showdown all the MLB stuff as I get back. It gets back from
- 58:54the All Star Break MMA an event this weekend, and then beyond all the
- 58:59college football when it comes out. I believe it starts August twenty fourth,
- 59:01I think that's week zero, and then all the NASCAR along the way as
- 59:06well. On top of that, you get the education courses, which spoiler
- 59:08alert, you can try all them. But on top of it, MMA
- 59:12is going to be coming out here pretty quick as well. So our guys
- 59:14Marley and Title put it together and I'm going to formulate that up so that
- 59:17you guys have the MMA course also, So it's going to be another good
- 59:21one over an hour of action, pack, strategy talk, process breaking it
- 59:24all down so that if you want to jump into the game, you can
- 59:28come into it without just being a complete degenerate and firing away. You got
- 59:30all the content and you got the education to go with it to kind of
- 59:34know what you're doing. And then of course the discord is there for you
- 59:37to be able to talk with everyone as well. Yeah, appreciate the kind
- 59:40words from our guy Black Mass Media. He's with us all in a fall
- 59:44season. I mean he was there for basically all the shows so he knows
- 59:46what's up and this deal right here. It's one of those deals where the
- 59:51earlier you sign up, the more value you get out of it. So
- 59:53you sign up today, you get everything for free leading up to NFL.
- 59:58If you wait two weeks, you're missing out on this two week period of
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- 1:00:08you're getting more value out of it. The earlier you sign up, the
- 1:00:12more value this package provides for you. So it's very simple. Yeah,
- 1:00:16don't hate it. Brett burns around one leader. Maybe we'll see, but
- 1:00:20yeah, it's all right here. We extended it. We are going to
- 1:00:22honor it. It expires August fifth, so you can get in now.
- 1:00:24You save the fifty bucks, you get the college football free all season,
- 1:00:28you get the free all access the sooner you sign up, the sooner you
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- 1:00:37to use any code or anything. You just click the two ninety nine link
- 1:00:39and you're good to go. That's gonna do over this one, guys,
- 1:00:42final major of the season. Truly excited for this one. Set your alarms
- 1:00:45be in there, ready to go for whoop for myself to tack and tambo
- 1:00:50let ship it lost her Name's names has had, ms must a