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Mariners/Tigers Phillies/Padres MLB + WNBA Best Bets Sunday 7/13/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with Wickens, the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I could.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: Possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Slump, the slump, discontinus, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: I'm back with you for better off Dead Sunday.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: I don't even know is it Sunday. I think it
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: is July thirteenth.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I think this is the last Major League Baseball day
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: before we head into the All Star break, where I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: will probably still do the show if there is WNBA
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: to talk about, so you get just WNBA. Typically, because
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I haven't really done WNBA before, I've typically just taken
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: those days off off because I don't really I don't
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: talk about the home run derby or anything like that.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I don't do any betting or anything like that, any
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: analysis on the games that are going on during the
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: All Star breaks, So usually just kind of take it off.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: But if there is WNBA, I'll probably do some short
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: videos related to that, short episodes. I guess Yesterday one
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: and oh on the show, being very selective Yesterday, I
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: didn't love the board yesterday, coming off a four and
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: oh day the day before that, so a nice five
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: and oh little run here, which I wish I was
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: actually betting these games right now. I'm giving the plays
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: out as if I were betting them, but because I'm
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: good serving money right now, not I don't have like
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: the bank roll to actually like bet these things right now.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: But unfortunately, because I would have won money over the
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: last couple of days, it's been a good little run.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: Nancy, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, good morning.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out two baseball plays today and being
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: pretty selective again today. Really, yesterday the wind was pretty easy.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: The one that I had Atlanta Saint Louis over the
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: total Atlanta I mentioned, we didn't even know who their
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: starting pitcher was gonna be, and it wound up being
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: a bullpen game for them, as I expected, and it
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: did not go terribly well for the pitching on either side,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: which is exactly what I expected.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: So we had a six' five final in that.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: Game that game was three to, THREE i think in
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: the second, inning so it actually probably should have wound
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: up being higher scoring than it actually, was but we
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: still got the win. There all, right let's talk ABOUT
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: wnba first, Today i'm not gonna have any plays in these.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: Games we do have four games today, Though dallas And
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: indiana's the first game, up and that's a BIG abc
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: game because this is the first time they're actually gonna
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Have clark getting the rematch Against, beckers which is gonna
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: be a revenge spot For beckers basically because they faced
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: off in college AND i don't think they've actually played
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: against each other since, then WHICH i believe was The
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: Final four two years, AGO i want to, say When
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: iowa Beat. Yukon So beckers does have that little bit
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: of a revenge angle on her, SIDE i guess For dallas.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: Here, now these two teams did just.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: Play not that long ago In indiana won At, dallas
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: But clark was injured in that.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: GAME i believe she didn't play in that.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Game she was injured at that, point so the two
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: of them have not actually faced off against each, other
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: even Though dallas did actually lose that game To. Indiana
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: so it's it's kind of a double revenge spot because
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: of that For. Dallas Because indiana went Into dallas beat
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: them On dallas's, Floor beckers has that little.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: Bit of a revenge angle. Here SO i Leaned dallas
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: in this.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: Game indiana coming off that win Over atlanta to which
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big win for, Them BUT i still
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a game where both teams are
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: Up it is a big game for both.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Teams dallas coming off a couple of pretty ugly losses
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: To phoenix At. Chicago it is a third straight road,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: game which is not that easy for, them although a
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: short travel spot From chicago To. Indiana so, Yeah i'm
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: going to lean slightly To dallas in this, game But
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: i'm not gonna recommend to play on it the.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: Low the line has moved in that.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Direction it's down from ten and a half to nine
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: and a, half sixty two percent of tickets On, indiana
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash though On. Indiana but
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: that's actually probably the strongest lean and my STRONGEST wnba,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: lean even WHEN i don't give it out as a,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: play has actually been hitting at a pretty high.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: Rate so, take, uh take all of THAT uf for
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: what you.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: WILL i Guess atlanta coming off that pretty big game
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Against indiana and lost To indiana is now going To New.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: York this is a big.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Game these are the top two teams in The Eastern
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: conference right now in the standings at Least liberty coming
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: off a big win over The aces as, well which
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: even though The aces aren't playing, well that's still always
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: kind of a big, game and The aces are always
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: kind of in the mix there as being one of
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: the most competitive teams in the.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: League liberty are somewhere around a three.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: And a half point, favorite ye up from three and
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: a half to.
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: Three and a half With.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: JUICE i don't really have too many feelings on this
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: one at, all, MAN i don't even really have a
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: lien on, that but just pointing out what's going on
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: in that. Game, really there's really not a whole lot
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: to look at as far as the. Situation the big
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: mismatch of the, days of course Involving, connecticut because they
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: are that. Bad they're, Terrible they're going TO la and this.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: ONE la is coming off a pretty tough game Against,
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: minnesota coming off a few big games in a. Row
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: really they played The, Liberty indiana and Then, minnesota so
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: they are stepping down in. Class but it could be
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a hangover spot because they're coming
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: off such big. Games so maybe they won't cover this
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: big number. Here connecticut coming off losing To seattle after
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: they Beat, seattle which was one of the crazier results
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: that you'll see this. Season kind of a weird outliner
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: THAT i told YOU i Thought seattle was in kind
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: of a zigzag spot the although they actually didn't cover
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: in the next. Game that's how big the line. Was
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: But connecticut is coming off of. That connecticut is just
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: not good. Though, man the line has dropped a little
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: bit from eleven and a half to. Eleven you are
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: asking a lot of la to cover that. Number then
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: we do With washington At. Seattle washington coming off a
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: big win over The. Aces to, me it seems Like
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: washington just has The aces.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: Number.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Man they play really well against The, aces like every
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: time they play. Them for whatever, reason now they're having
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: to go To seattle another big. Game seattle is a
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: good team as, well BUT i don't know If washington
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: can continue that effort multiple games in a row like.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: That And seattle is coming off that pretty easy win Over,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: connecticut so then staying at home likely that they'll be
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: focused here for this, GAME i would. Imagine So seattle
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: is up from five and a half to. SEVEN i
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with that.
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Line.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Move probably would lean Into, seattle though you're kind of
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: pushing it with the number being a little bit higher
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: than what it was. Before not gonna recommend to play
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: in any of those, games, Though, anna what's? Up we
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: have all women in the in the chat. Today THAT'S
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: i think that's a first For better Off. Dead it's all.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Ladies what's, up. Everybody let's let's keep it that. Way
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: let's fix the, ratio, man let's let's have let's have
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: no men come into. This let's not make it a sausage,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: party although sometimes you do want to hang out with
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: the boys. Though all, Right Major League Baseball.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Cubs At.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: YANKEES i believe they've split the first two games of the.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Series it's been a competitive series in that respect at. Least,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: oh thank, you AND i love you guys as, well
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: or you, LADIES i should say this. Game on the,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: surface it looks like this is a huge pitching mismatch
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: With Ima naga on the mound for The Cubs warren
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: for The. Yankees But i'm gonna say That i'm not
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: quite sure that that is the way to look at this.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: Game so The yankees won the first game of the
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: series easily eleven. Nothing they lost yesterday five to. Two
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: cubs got a really nice start From boyd. Yesterday yankees
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: did have to use a lot of their relief pitching
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: yesterday As freed really not get them deep into that,
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: game one of the worst starts For freed on the.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Year so The yankees are probably a little bit of
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: a bullpen disadvantage, here bullpen rest, wise and probably. Otherwise
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: even if you look at The Bullpenny, rays The cubs
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: are actually up in the top third of bullpen the
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: ras Now yankees down kind of in the bottom. Half
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: So cubs do have the bullpen. Advantage so you look
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: at this and, think we'll wait a. Minute we're getting
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: The cubs in an underdog, price and they probably have the
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: better starting, pitcher and the bullpen is in better, shape
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: and the offenses are kind of comparable between these two.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Teams so why wouldn't we want to grab The cubs? Here,
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: WELL i don't know if we could totally Trust. Imanaga,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: MAN i know he's been really good throughout his career
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: with The cubs so far this year and including this
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: year two point eighty ra point nine to eight Whip
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: he's been really good on the road as, well one
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: point three four eram the.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Road he's actually had most of his struggles at.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Home he's been decent this month with two starts so
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: far this month five zero strike a walk, ratio so
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: his strikeout rate is kind of down, though.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Which worries me a little.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Bit three point nine to SEVEN, era he allowed three
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: home runs To, cleveland which is just really, bizarre but
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: he held them to just those three runs coming of
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: a nice six inning outing two runs allowed against, MIND
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: i didn't walk anybody in that entire, span so his
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: command is still, there even though he's not really fooling
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: hitters by way of the strikeout. Here but up against The,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: YANKEES i don't. KNOW i kind of questioned a little,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: bit even though The yankees are not familiar with, him
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: AND i always say When i'm an opposing offense is
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: not very familiar with an opposing, picture a lot of
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: times it does mean the advantage is on the side
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: of the picture because the hitters don't know what to, expect.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: Right they haven't seen this guy before in like a
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: live game, environment so they kind of have to figure him.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Out but When Ima naga did face the Two yankees
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: hitters that have faced him, Before chisholm and Gold, schmidt
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: they're four for, ten often with a home run for Gold. Schmidt,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: man so they actually did well against him four hundred
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: average one thy two hundred zero. Ps SO i have
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: to kind of dial it back a little bit on
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: WHAT i think about this, game, man even though, overall,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: YES i think He moanaga is the better picture Than Will,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: warren who is not doing that well for The yankees
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: four point SEVENTY, ra one point four. Whip he's been
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: good at home, though two point nine to Six Homie,
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: ira so his home road splits are pretty, crazy way
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: better at. Home he's not in good form though over
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: the last few, Starts, Man he's walked at least two
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: when his last.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: Four Starts apiece two starts, ago.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: He got bombed for eight runs Against, toronto did bounce
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: back with a shutout Against seattle for five and two,
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: thirds but he still walked two guys only struck out.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Four so over the span of the last.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Four games here we can go back to we have
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: what has he got twenty one strikeouts and twelve, walks
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: and that's not a great, ratio, Man so he is
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: walking too many. Guys The, cubs, however have not Seen warren,
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: before so, again it could be a little bit of
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: an advantage To warren just because he's facing a lineup
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: that is totally unfamiliar with. Him although generally, YES i
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: would SAY i still Prefer Iman naga of the two.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: STARTERS i prefer The cubs bullpen as.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Well Ima naga overall is the better of the two,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: pitchers and he's in the better form right, now but
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: the money is not agreeing with. That The cubs look
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: like they're actually a public underdog, here maybe just because
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of knows The monaga's name him at this
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: point and they know that he has a way better
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: era Than. Warren we have fifty nine percent of tickets
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: only fifty six percent of the cash.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: Though on The cubs as a.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Road, Underdog so it looks like The yankees are surprisingly
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: kind of an anti public home. Favorite so this might
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: be one spot where The yankees are actually, playable where
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you have to pay way too
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: much to play The, yankees but in this, CASE i
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: don't think the price is really too high on The.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Yankees but given, THAT i still think The cubs have
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: a pitching advantage of this Game i'm gonna stay off.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: Of but the market is disagreeing with.
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: That but given THAT i do think The cubs have
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: the pitching, ADVANTAGE i still kind of have to lean, To,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: well you should probably take The cubs as the underdog,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: here but the market is really scaring me away from that,
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: completely So i'm not gonna do. That AND i don't
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: love what the matchup really looks like either against those
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: opposing hitters for The. Cubs side, There, andrew what's up?
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Man thanks for hanging out all Right miami At, Baltimore
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: AND i MEANT i don't Like imanaga's a matchup numbers
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: so far against the eighties hitters we've seen him. Before
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Miami baltimore one of the ugliest series that's happening right.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: Now baltimore won the first game and then got shut
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: out six to nothing.
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: Yesterday pretty.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Ugly rogers actually did pitch pretty, well WHICH i did
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: SAY i thought he. Would The orioles bullpen really kind
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: of blew, it although they're already losing the, game but blew.
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: It. WHO i don't know why any team would even
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: want this. Guy.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Man they got him off From, atlanta or Maybe atlanta
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: just released him and The oriols.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Decided to sign this.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: Guys if that's gonna do anything to help their bullpen,
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: issues probably. NOT i, mean it's obviously it has not
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: worked out so. Far This orioles bullpen is. Bad miami's
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: bullpen is bad as, well although after, yesterday Maybe miami's
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: bullpen is.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: A little bit less used than The orioles.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Bullpen although both bullpens didn't really have to get too
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: involved in the.
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Game we do have a.
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Matchup of two pretty interesting young, starters, though so that
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: makes this a little bit less of an ugly. Matchup
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: With Yuri perez pitching For. Miami he's still a really
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: young guy and he's starting to pitch well. Again his
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: career kind of got derailed a little bit by some
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: injuries really early on in his. Career he actually started
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: his major league career at a really young. Agent he
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: was putting up good, numbers got, hampered got like sideline
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: with some injury. Issues he's coming back in his last
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: couple of starts have actually been pretty. Good his cra
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: this year is, four but his whip is a pretty
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: solid one point zero. Four he's been worlse on the
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: road four point nine to Six Roady. Ira but we're
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: looking at a pretty small sample size. Here last two,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: starts he went five innings in each of, them only
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: allowed one run over the entire span of eleven, innings
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: and only three, hits which is really impressive and probably
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: even more impressive than that a fifteen to one strikeout walk.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: Ratio so he's coming off basically two dominant starts Against
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: minnesota and then At cincinnati is probably more impressive because
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: they're a decent offense and they playing a hitter friendly.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Park So perez seems like he is now in form
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: again man and he's starting to kind of look like
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: his old.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: Self based on the numbers.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Here orioles also have no experience again some Only loreano
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: has ever seen. Him he is one for, two often
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: with a, single but other than, that nothing going on.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: There So baltimore is basically unfamiliar With. Perez should be
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an advantage To. Perez so we're looking, like,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: well maybe it makes sense to lean To miami, here
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: AND i, do BUT i don't know THAT i necessarily
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: want to give this out as a play Because Brandon
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: young is a total wild card man for The. Orioles
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: he's a young pitcher as well who does have some,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: talent it hasn't shown yet this. Year his numbers are
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: bad six point one four E ra one point seven to.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: Three, whip very bad home road, splits pretty.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: Insignificant starting to pitch maybe a little bit better over
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the last couple starts ten to. Two strike a walk
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: ratio over the last two starts six zero in the
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: last start against The, mets who are a pretty good,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: offense and he held them to two runs in five
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: and a third, Inning so that was a pretty good
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: start from.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: Him so he.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Is kind of trending in the right direction at, least
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: so maybe young we'll actually be able to get something
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: done here because he is stepping way down in class
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: to face a pretty Bad marlins, offense and The marlins
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: have never seen him, before so we could have maybe
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge on both.
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: Sides, here on both starting pitchers.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Here ALTHOUGH i Prefer, PEREZ i MEAN i Think perez
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: we have more numbers to work with in his career,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: really so we can kind of figure out. Well perez
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: has already shown that he can really actually dominate at
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: the major league. Level young has not really shown that,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: yet So i'm gonna SAY i think the best lean
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: in this game is actually still To Miami baltimore sitting
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: at minus one. Twenty they're public sixty eight percent of the.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: Tickets baltimore being public seems just. Wrong sixty one percent
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: of the cash on, THEM i. THINK i do Think
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: perez does have the upper. HAND i don't like either.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Bullpen Obviously baltimore does have the better offense of the,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: two but even, SO i Think perez he's the prefer
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: to the two. Pitchers ALTHOUGH i could see both pictures
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: went okay early on in this, game a first five
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: inning under wouldn't be maybe the worst way to look
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: at this BECAUSE i hate the, bullpends but the starting
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: pitching could maybe limit the runs in the early part
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: of the. Game we have seventy five percent tickets on the,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: over only sixty eight percent of the cash, though so
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: that might be another way to look at that. Game
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: My Boston Red sox are Hosting. Tampa Red sox have
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: won every game in the series so far by one.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Run so even though The Red sox have won nine
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: games in a, row NOW i believe it is what
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: this is on the.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: Vergion of another.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Sweep but, AGAIN i mean they beat two bad Teams, Washington.
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: Colorado they won every game in The tampa series here
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: so far by one, run which still has allowed The
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Red sox to Overtake tampa in the. Series Red sox
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: are deathly hot right, now but obviously every one of
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: these games in the series could have gone maybe either
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: way based on a few things happening. Differently As tampa
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: out hit The Red sox in the first game of the,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Series Red sox won on a walk off home run By.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Rafaela in the second game, yesterday The Red sox did
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: get a dominant performance With. Crochet he went the complete
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: game yesterday exactly one hundred, pitches very solid. Outing tampa
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: pretty much saved their entire bullpen as. Well boz pitched
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: pretty well as, Well so that was one THING i
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: did get right on the show. Yesterday didn't give it
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: out as a, play BUT i MENTIONED i like the
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: under in the first five innings In tampa And Red sox. Yesterday,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: Today i'm thinking Maybe tampa is worth a look to
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: to try to stave off the sweep here and try
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: to avoid the Sweet pears or headed into The All star. Break,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't know If i'm not gonna recommend it
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: as a, play but that might be a little bit
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: of a lean. HERE i mean both bullpen's arrested, HERE
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: i look at the bullpen eras so The.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: Red sox have actually crawled way up in the.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Standings, man The Red sox bullpen has actually been a
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: lot better. Recently they were pretty bad to start the,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: season so they've gone way. Up Although tampa's bullpen still
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: isn't that bad.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Even though they're kind of in.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: The mid tier bullpens, Now so both bullpens still pretty.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: Good all The Red sox probably have to be given
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit of the, edge as weird as that
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: sounds to. SAY i don't think The Red sox have
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching as, though BECAUSE i Like Ryan pepio
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: having a pretty good season for The rays here three
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: point three TWO, era one point one to four whip
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse on the, road three point seven
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: to two still pretty good though the last couple. Starts
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: he did walk three guys, apiece which is a little bit,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: concerning but he also had a fifteen to six strike
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio went exactly six innings in both against
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: The a's and The tigers allowed two runs in each
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: just start limited them to seven hits in twelve. Innings
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: so he is pitching pretty well as it is right.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Now and he does have decent numbers against the reds or,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: no he. Doesn't actually EXCUSE i thought he had decent
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: numbers against The Red, sox but he does. Not in
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: sixty six at, bats they've actually hit him pretty well
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: to eighty eight. Average, yeah so my mistake eight seventy eight.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Ops so unfortunately For pepio and for maybe leaning to
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: The rays, here he doesn't actually do that well against
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: The Red sox and they are.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: Pretty familiar with.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: Him he had a really mediocre start last time out In,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: boston last time out they. Faced last time The Red
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: sox faced him was In Famway, park which is where this.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Is he did have nine, strikeouts which is pretty, impressive
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: but he allowed three, runs so he didn't really limit
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: the damage that much in that. Game but he might
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: still be able to keep by his team in the.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Game not nice, guy what's up, Man good to see.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: You if we Cover.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: MMA i don't know a whole lot About. MMA i,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: MEAN i very occasionally will throw bet down ON. Mma
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: it's very, rare probably like once or twice a year.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Maybe.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: YEAH i Mean i'm not uninterested in, it but it's
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: just something that doesn't really get onto my. Radar it's
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: just way too much to cover Because i'm already covering
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: all these other.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: SPORTS i have been talking To. Cheney if you Know, chaney.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: You probably do because she was at The she wasn't
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: At Pro grow this time, Though, well you were at Bro.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: Grove not nice.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Guy you were at the last, two, Right she was
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: at the previous, one not the most recent. One she KNOWS,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: mma so we have been kind of talking about like
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe i'll DO i don't, know like kind of a
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: separate LIKE mma show or she just.
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: Tells me ABOUT mma BECAUSE i don't know whole lot about.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: It she knows more THAN i do for. Sure. Yeah,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: SO i mean that has been.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: Discussed it is not really, materialized which is kind of
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: my fault BECAUSE i just have not really followed up on.
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: IT i JUST i need to have the time to do. It.
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: Man it's kind of a, lot a lot to, do
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: but maybe we could do it because it is it
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: is just a once a week thing at least it's
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: always Just saturdays.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: If i'm not.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Mistaken so, YEAH i mean it probably would be. Fun
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: we need to come up with a catchy name for
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: it if we want to do, it but she is
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: at least mentioned potentially wanting to do. That Red sox
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: Have Brian bao pitching. Today you know That i've had
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: my issues With, bao although he is starting to pitch. Better,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Man and if you watch The Red sox On netflix Documentary.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: BAO i think he had some distractions last year because
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: his wife and kid were still in The Dominican, republic
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: and this year they were actually able to get into
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: THE us Because trump's immigration stuff.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: Ain't worked at.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Baby but, Dude i'm gonna tell you if if any
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: immigrants should be allowed into THE, us it should be
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: ones that are gonna help The Red sox play. Better All.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: Right that is my stance on.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Immigration and Let Brian beo's family in which has. Happened
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: they're in THE us, now SO i think maybe that
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: is kind of contributing to him pitching better this. Year
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: he did start off quite bad again this, year but
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: as of, late he's actually pitching a lot. Better he's
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: coming off a complete game Against, colorado, THOUGH i mean
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: it was not a course field.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Either colorado terrible.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Offense but still you go nine innings along two, runs five,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: hits ten to one strike a walk ratio against any
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: major league, Offense i'll.
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: Take notice of. THAT i, mean that's pretty.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Impressive he does have a thirteen to two strike out
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: walk ratio this month over the last two. Starts he
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: picked up the win in both games as, well only
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: allowed four earned runs and six hits in fourteen. Innings
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: definitely two good starts, man both at, home So BeO
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: is pitching. Better three point three eighty right at home
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: is still pretty good as, well even though his home
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: road splits are actually more road friendly Against, tampa his
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: numbers are not good, though in ninety seven at bats
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: three point forty batting average allowed in eight to fifty three,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: ops So tampa has.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: Been able to hit him in the.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Past twenty three to six strike out walk ratio pretty,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: good But i'm still not quite ready to Trust beao
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: as far as like putting money on him or anything like,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: that SO i think it's a stay. Away, surprisingly both
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: pitchers actually look like they don't have great numbers in
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: the matchup in this, one so it's a stay. Away
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: it looks Like tampa's public, SOMEHOW i don't know how
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: that's even. Possible The Red sox or the more you,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: know well known name and The Red sox are just
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: on fire right, now SO i really don't understand how
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: the public would be On. Tampa sixty eight percent of,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: tickets sixty one percent of cash look like that is On.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Tampa but we do see The Red sox have dropped
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: from minus one thirty to minus one. Thirteen i'm still
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: gonna say slightly lean To. TAMPA i, MEAN i Think
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: pepio is sort of the more trustworthy of the two. Starters,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: still it does look like money is coming on the under,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: though which is even more surprising based on me matchup. Numbers,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: well both pictures are in good, form but based on
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: these matchup, NUMBERS i wouldn't want to touch the under.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Either but the total has dropped from nine to eight
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: and a, half fifty four percent of the tickets on the,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: over sixty one percent of cash on the under.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Willing to accept what, EXCEPTION i don't.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Know, WELL i don't know if it would just be
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: the main, Card like if we did AN mma, show
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: we'd probably just cover the Entire saturday. Card, uh you
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: know me and my. COMPLETIONS i cover EVERY mlb game right.
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: Now i'm in. In.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Uh towards the end of THE nfl, SEASON i was
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: covering EVERY nfl game as. Well i'm definitely not gonna
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: do it with the college sports.
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: Though there's way way too.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: Many to do, that BUT i have been doing it.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: HERE mlb is actually a lot to cover every game,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: Too SO i don't. KNOW i don't know WHAT i
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: want to Do Man colorado At. Cincinnati cincinnati won yesterday
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: after losing the first. Game both of these were one run.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Results Brady singer got them a pretty good start yesterday
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: for The. Reds there more of The rockies bullpend got used.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Yesterday rockies bullpen's really bad anyway as. Well neither of
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: these bullpens are, great but The rockies bullpen is definitely
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: the one that's at the disadvantage. Here Austin gomber is
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Rockies he's been not great five point
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: nine TWO, era one point five to SIX. Whip he's
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: been better on the road, though three point seven to TWO.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: Era he has struggled in course field so. Far but,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: again The red stadium is also a pretty hitter friendly.
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: Park he hasn't been great over his last couple of
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: starts this. Month he hasn't really been great this entire.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: SEASON i, mean he's only made what is, it five
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: starts this. Season none of it has really been. Good
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: rockies have lost the last four of. Them last, outing
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: he'd give up four earned runs and only went four
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: and two thirds against The Red. Sox five to one
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is, good but overall not a good.
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: Start he's not really a good form right.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: Now previous, start he only had one strikeout Against houston
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and gave up eight.
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: Hits so he was kind of lucky to.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Escape that only along two earned runs in five innings
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: against The. Reds his numbers aren't good in thirty seven at,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: bats two ninety seven batting, average nine oh ONE, ops
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: so not really expecting a whole lot out Of Gomber.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Here he's up Against Nick. Martinez was definitely the better
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: of the two, pitchers but.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: His numbers have been getting worse as.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: Well four point eight FIVE, era one point two to
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: one whip basically really similar home road, splits But martinez
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: his numbers of skyrocketing because his last.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: Outing HE i don't even know how this.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Happened he gave up ten earned runs Against miami in five,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: innings seven, hits, allowed three, walks and all of those
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: earned base runners scored and there were no home runs
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: From miami against. HIM i don't know how he could
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: have possibly been that bad in that game against a
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: really Bad miami.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: Offense it was At.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati but even, so which, is you, know a hitter friendly,
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: park LIKE i, said but, still that is a horrific.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: Start he has not been good this.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: Month he gave up four runs the outing before that
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: against The Red, sox which at least that's that's a
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: start that you can at least, Forgive but That miami
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: start is pretty much. Unforgivable. Man so on the one, hand,
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: yeah it was so, bad and he's not as bad
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: as that start, looks so maybe he will bounce back
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit but, man since he had that really
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: great eight inning performance Against San diego after he came
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: out of the bulp and in two outings prior to,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: that he's been all over the.
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: Place.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: Man he had that amazing outing Against San, diego going eight,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: innings a, long one, hit and then since then he's
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: been pretty, bad so maybe a little bit of a
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: like just a lingering hangover from having that great. GAME
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: i don't, know hasn't good for. Him but at least
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: he is facing a Bad colorado offense, here and he
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: has done well against them in thirty two at bats
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: to nineteen average allowed five point fifteen. Ops so If
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: martinez is going to bounce back and have a better,
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: start it should be in a game like this against
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: a really bad.
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: Offense ROCK i, mean Excusan, nott The. Rockies The reds
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: are just way too much of a.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Favorite, though down for minus two forty five to minus
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: two FORTY i don't think you can Play cincinnati at
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: a price like this eight nine percent of, tickets ninety
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash than.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Them but this, ONE i, mean this is just a
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: complete stay away from me.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: MAN i, MEAN i don't even know what you would
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: want to do to maybe even attack this. GAME i,
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: mean if you want to maybe go With gomber to
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: kind of just give it up in this game and
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: get hit, around maybe A reds team total, over but
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: you'll probably have to get them over about six runs
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: in the, game and they have not done that in
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: the series so. Far so that would be a stay Away,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: scott what's up? Man thanks for hanging out trying to
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: read through all these comments here real, Quick, yes, sir.
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: Are you calling me?
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Beautiful it's pretty, gay, dude that's even more gay sucking today's. Dick, yeah,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: HOCKEY i do alright with, hockey. DON'T i don't talk
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: about every hockey game OR nba game though during those,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: seasons ALTHOUGH.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: I GUESS i probably.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Could but, oh the immigration policy, Exception, yeah, yeah that's.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: Right sunday, Chaos oh, yeah, forgot. Forgot i'm gonna be
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: on that. Tonight, yeah that's. Right the, acronyms which? ACRONYMS
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: i throw one out And i'll tell you what it,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: means all.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: Right let me.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: SEE i mean you mean E ra and whip e
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Ras earned run, average so E ra is the amount
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: of earned, runs so which are runs that are scored
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: not as a result of, errors so basically runs that
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: are actually earned by the. Hitters that's how many earned
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: runs a picture allows per nine. Innings, TYPICALLY i would
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: say a GOOD era is something like below. Four like
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: four is kind of The mendoza line in my.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: Opinion for. That whip is walks and hits per innings.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: PITCHERS i think it's a better indicator because that's how
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: many earned base runners the pitcher allows per. Inning SO
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: i like that a little bit. Better it's how many
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: walks and hits they allow per. INNING i would say
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: anything below one point, two that's kind of The mendoza.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: LINE i look at there is a good. Whip so that's.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah so that's What i'll tell you about the the acronyms.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: There all, right what DID i just talk?
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: About?
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Oh, Yeah next up is the game Where i'm gonna
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: give out a play on The Detroit.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Tigers how about? That, man it looks like they.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: Are really faltering into The All star, break but they're
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: trying to avoid a sweet peer Mad and not only,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: that but you gotta think The tigers are gonna show
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: up to play, here and, man they're at.
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: Home they're good at.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Home And seattle has absolutely embarrassed them in the. SERIES
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: i Mean seattle one twelve to three in a game
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: WHERE i Believe scooballs started that game and gave it four,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: runs and Then seattle really just tacked it on towards
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the end part of that. Game and then yesterday fifteen
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: to seven was the final For seattle. Yesterday So seattle's
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: put up what is, that twenty seven runs in two.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: GAMES i, mean that's absolutely. Ridiculous it's. Unsustainable seattle's, Offense,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: yeah they're all, right but they're not this.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: Good detroit is still thirty two and seventeen at.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Home, mariners even after those two, wins are only one
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: game above five hundred on the, road So detroit is
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: better at. HOME i Think detroit might be pissed off
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: enough if they want to at least get something before
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: they go into The All star break and actually get
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: a game here Against. SEATTLE i think you're getting a
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: cheap price On detroit, here, man given that they are
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: still probably the better team Over, seattle even THOUGH i
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Think detroit.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: Maybe not as good as the record.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: Looks if you look at their like run differential and
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: stuff like, that they're, good but they're not one of
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: those like top teams really like THEY'RE i think they're
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: probably maybe top several in the, league but they're not
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: like right at the, top which is how many runs
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: they've scored versus how many runs they've. Allowed seattle's fliped
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: from plus one o nine to minus one oh. Eight,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: now so you're almost Getting detroit in an underdog price.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: HERE i just think that's going too.
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: Far.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Man seventy percent of, tickets eighty six percent of the
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: cash looks like it's On detroit, though so to, ME
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: i don't, know it looks like the higher cash percentage
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: maybe is coming in On.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: Detroit even though the line did. Flip that could have.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Been maybe some manipulation in the line maybe not actually
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: like a real money move, there if you know WHAT i,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Mean because a lot of times when the line is
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: right around to pick, them you'll see some of those
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: guys that manipulate the, lines that want to just play
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: both sides as an, underdog try to like just jockey
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: the line to do. THAT i can Get detroit again
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: at a really cheap price at about minus one oh,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: five AND i actually think that's the way to go
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: in this. Game both bullpen's are pretty used up right, now,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: man AND i Know detroit's bullpen has been. Struggling they're
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: actually they have an above four bull penny ra, now
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: which is not. Good they're in the bottom half of
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: bullpens bordering on being bottom third, now which isn't. Good
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: seattle's kind of mid tier, THOUGH i Mean seattle's right
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: here at three point seventy.
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: Four so even.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Though detroit did use some of their bullpen, yesday both
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: teams Did, Man SO i think we could still include
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: the bullpens in this game BECAUSE i Think detroit is
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: gonna want to be going for the win. HERE i
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: like the starting pitching matchup For detroit as, well surprising
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: because on the surface you would think THAT i would
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: not Like flowherty Over, gilbert but if you dig into the,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: MATCHUP i actually kind of Do. GILBERT i know he's
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: been good for The mariners three point seven to TWO
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: era one point zero one.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: Whip his home.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: Road splits are actually really really, significant and he is
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: way worse on the road this year with a six
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: point two ROAD, Era so we have that going for
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: us here if we want to Fay, Gilbert he's been
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: really bad on the road away from the pitcher friendly
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: confines Of, seattle and he has not been good in
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: his couple of, starts not only just this, month but
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: its last four. Starts he hasn't more than five and
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: a third innings in any of. Them he's allowed four
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: earned runs and three of the four and the other
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: start was against a Bad Kansas city, lineup and he
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: didn't even make it five innings in that. One his
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: last two, starts he's walked five guys in ten innings
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: that's also not, good and allowed five earn runs over that.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: Span twelve strikeouts was, good so strikeout rate has still been,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: there but his walk rate has gone way up in
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: his last couple of starts this.
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: MONTH i know one of them was against The.
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: Yankees, yeah it's definitely difficult to face The, yankees but
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: he did have a bad start Against texas and that
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: start Against Kansas city recently wasn't good, Either so he's
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: not doing well against weak lineups. Either And detroit has
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: hit him pretty well in forty eight career at. Bats
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: they have a three twelve batting average off. Him seven
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: to forty nine ohps is not exactly that. High they
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: haven't really hammered him for that many hard, hits but
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: still they've been able to hit him at. Least SO
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: i don't think we Trust gilbert, here and we're gonna
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: have the advantage of both home road splits. Here even
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Though Jack flaherty has not been pitching well four point
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: SEVEN era up quite high one point two to four
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: whip though isn't as. Bad he's been way better at home,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: though three point seven to TWO, era so again we
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: have the advantage of both home roads splits here In.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Flaherty after he had a Rough june last, month he
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: had two really rough starts Against cincinnati And Tampa bay
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: did proceed to walk four guys against The, a's although
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: he did strikeout seven and he made it six innings
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: in that. One but then after that his two starts after,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: that he's actually been a lot better this. Month he
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: has a three point nine to seven E ra in
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: the two starts this month Against washington Against. Tampa tampa's
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: fairly good Though washington not, really but still seventeen strikeouts
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: in eleven and a third innings. Pitched, yeah he allowed twelve,
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: hits which is a little bit, high but only three,
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: walks so his strikeout race strike out walk ratio isn't.
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: Good he only had three and towrn runs in those two,
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: starts so that's good as.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: Well SO i Think flaherty is kind of coming back
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: into form a little bit, here and he has actually
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: done really well Against seattle and forty seven career at,
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: bats he has a seventeen to four strike a walk,
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: ratio one seventy batting average and five ninety, ops so
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: he has actually done really well against. Him Just A
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: rosarina and Mastra bloni one of the one of the
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: most ridiculous, names and they each have a home run off.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Them Mastra, bloni man IS i believe That's italian for good.
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: MASTURBATION i believe is what that means in good jerking
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: off In. Italian, there, man that name is just insane.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: Man AND i THINK i. Forget he was up against
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Some yankee pitcher the other day who had a name
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: that sounded also like jerking, off AND i can't remember
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: who it, was but somebody put like this the overlay
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: the score overlay on, there which shows you who the
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: bat or and the pitcher were at that given. Time
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: it's so, ridiculous, dude but that is one of the
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: most ridiculous names in, Baseball miles Master, Bloni, yes, Sir
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: so all that being, said, Yes i'm giving out The
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: Detroit tigers as a play here. Man so, yeah if
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: that wasn't, Clear, YEAH i think we got the starting
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup edge. Year bullpens to me are a little
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: bit of a. Wash we're getting the advantage Of detroit's
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: home advantage at least and them being probably really pissed
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: off after being embarrassed in the. Series seems to me
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: like the public isn't really gonna want to be on
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: them as much after what they've done in the. Series
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: AND i don't think the public are really huge fans
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Of Jack. Flaherty i'm not, either But detroit's gonna be
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: a Play i'll give out. Here cleveland At Chicago White.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: SOX i, mean this is an ugly game between two ugly. Offenses,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: man both bullpens did not get a lot of usage,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: yesterday so that's at least good for the. Bullpens Joey
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: cantillo is pitching For. Cleveland he's really hard to figure
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: out so, far and he hasn't had a whole lot
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: of a career. Yet three point seven to NINETY ra this,
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: year but a one point four to six whip is very.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: High he's been better on the, road, though two point
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: one to eight year in the.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Road i'm all sample sized so.
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: Far he was coming out of a, bullpen so he
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: has made a lot of appearances this, year most of
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: them out of the.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: Bullpen they moved him to kind of like an opener.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Role, now though they have been increasing his pitch, counts
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: so he actually threw eighty four pitches last time, out
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: so they're kind of it almost looks Like cleveland is
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: working him back into like a starter role, here so
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: you might actually see him go a little bit more
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: in this. Game it's possibly he winds up going about
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: five innings in this, one especially because he's going up
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: against a really Weak White sox, Offense so maybe they're
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: gonna ramp him up a little bit more as we
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: get into The All star.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: Break but he's been.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: MEDIOCRE i would say over his two starts that he's
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: had this, month he's gone four or fewer innings in
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: both of, them only about three runs combined over the
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: seven to third innings for a three point six eighty
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: ra twelve to six strike a walk ratio is a
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: really high strikeout, rate but a really high walk. Rate
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: So cantillo does have the ability to strike guys out
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: at a high. Rate but he's also, wild and that's
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: been the case even when he was coming out of the.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN a lot of strikeouts in a law of, Walks
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: so that's what you're gonna get out Of, cantillo at
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: least right. Now he's been good against The White sox
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: throughing sixteen career at, bats eight strikeouts against, him and
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: he's held him doing a one to eighty eight batting
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: average and four thirty eight oh. PS i know it's
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: a small sample, size But, CANTIO i, mean he is
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: a talented. Pitcher he does have the ability to shut
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: down This White sox.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: Offense at Least.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: Arizona Aaron savallee is pitching for The White. Sox they
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: picked him up not that long ago in a TRADE
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: i believe With milwaukee uh five point one to SEVEN
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: era over the course of the whole, season one point
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: five to FIVE.
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: Whip those numbers are.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Bad he has a four point five eight HOMEY ra
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: both that's With milwaukee and The White sox. Combined since
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: The White sox have picked him, up The White socks
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: have lost all five games that he. Started he's been not,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: horrible but not good either over his last couple of
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: starts four to four strike a walk ratio though this
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: month against The dodgers of the that's a pretty difficult.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: Assignment and Then toronto has at least been hot, recently
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: but he has a SEVEN era over those two, starts
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: and only went nine innings total in the two starts
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: and didn't have any strikeouts the last time out Against.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Toronto so things are not exactly great For savale here
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: up Against, cleveland, though they're a weak offense and he's
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: done well against them in the past forty career at
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: bats against them eleven to one strike a walk ratio
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: one twenty five, average allowing three twenty one. Ohps, so
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: because both of these offenses are so bad and they
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: both actually match up pretty poorly against the, PITCHERS i
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: kind of think it under maybe is worth a look
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: in this.
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: One we're looking at eight and a.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: Half the bullpens are at least kind of, rested even
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: though they're not great, bullpens but the offenses are so weak,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: here or maybe if you want to go under first
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: five innings you could do that as. Well then the
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's kind of leaning towards the over
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent tickets eighty six percent of cash on the.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Over to, me it seems like based on the starting
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup though on how bad the offenses, ARE i
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: kind of think an under might be a little bit
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: better for that. One not nice, Guy, yes, SIR i
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: don't know what exactly are. Laughing i'm at least trying
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: to be funny. Here mets At Kansas. City Kansas city
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: has lost both games in the series so, far unfortunately
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: For Kansas. CITY i don't know what, happened, man Because
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: lorenzo was supposed to start. Yesterday maybe he's. HURT i
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: don't know what, happened but the rules wound up having
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: to go with the bullpend game.
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: Yesterday so that's.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: Pretty bad because The, ROYALS i, mean one of their
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: advantages they usually do have is that their bullpen is fairly,
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: good but right, NOW i, mean their bullpen might be
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a. Disadvantage The mets bullpen isn't
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: that much worse than, theirs and The roles used a
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: lot of their bullpen yesterday because they had to pitch
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: the whole game. Yesterday The mets did use some of
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: their best, relievers, though because it was a close. Game
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: The mets did have to use their closer to finish
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: the game off, Yesterday so bullpen situation, well not exactly
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: terrific on either side for the two.
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: Teams.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: Here the city is trying to avoid the sweet peer
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: at the very, least and maybe has a little bit extra.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: Motivation Clay holmes is pitching for The. Mets i'm not
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: a huge fan Of Clay. Holmes three point two to
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: NINETY ra this year is pretty, good, though one point
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: two to six whip. Decent he's been slightly worse on
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: the road three point four or FIVE. ERA i don't
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: trust him. Though In his walk rate has been really
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: bad over his last five. STARTS i mean he's, had
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: let's try to do the math real quick, here seventeen
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: walks and sixteen.
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: Strikeouts over the last five.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: Starts more walks than strikeouts over the last five. Starts
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: that is not a good, sign So. Holmes that means
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: his command has been way. Off he's not fooling. Hitters
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: that's a really bad. Sign the two starts this, month
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: he has a six point ONE era five walks to six,
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: strikeouts which is also not very. Good one of the
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: starts was Against, baltimore who's not really that great of an.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Offense milwaukee at least is a decent, offense and he's
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: struggled in that start.
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: Too So, holmes he's not a good form right, now.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Man SO i actually think he is, fatable but he
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: does have decent numbers Against Kansas. CITY i, mean their
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: offense is really. Bad thirty two at, bats he sell
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: him to two fifty average sixty nine. Ops So, holmes
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: he's in bad form right. NOW i do think he is,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: fatable but he does have decent numbers Against Kansas. City
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: keeping all that in, MIND i do Prefer Kansas city starter.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: Here Noah. Cameron you, KNOW i have an affinity for young. Guys.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Man that's just the way that it.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Is Noah cameron is a talented young starter, here and
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: he's doing well in his major league debut season. Here
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: two point five to SIXTY, ra point nine to SIX
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: whip on the, season nice. Numbers he actually has been
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: worse at, home, though with a three point nine to
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: three HOME ra even though it is a pretty pitcher friendly.
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: Park but he's been good this.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: Month he finally ramped it up to a seven inning
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: performance last time out Against pittsburgh after he failed to
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: go five innings and two straight starts and his team
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: lost a bunch of games in a row behind, him
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: but some of that was not his. Fault but this
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: month he's only allowed tour in runs and eleven and
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: two thirds, innings twelve to two strike out walk. Ratio
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: so he has been good this. Month he seems to
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: be rounding back into, form and The mets have never
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: seen him.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: Before SO i think.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: The unfamiliarity edge when you have a, young talented pitcher Like,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: CAMERON i think being unfamiliar to the opposing hitters is
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: actually a good. Thing it's it's an advantage because the
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: hitters have to kind of figure him out first couple
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: of times they see. Him SO i lean To Kansas
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: city in this, game and the money is agreeing with.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: Me mets are down for minus one twenty. Five he
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: might just one eleven fifty six percent of tickets on The,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: mets sixty eight percent of the cash coming in On Kansas.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: City so a pretty strong market read On Kansas city. Here,
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: obviously The. Mets the one advantage that they have in
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: this game that's a huge advantage of their offense is
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: the way better. OFFENSE i worry About Kansas city's bullpend,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: though with so much bullpend You sugg, yesterday even THOUGH
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: i know there's a thing where there is some handicappers
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: talk about this when a team has a bullpen, game
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they actually do l in the next.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Game but when it was an unexpected bullpen game like
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: that and you weren't prepared to use your bullpen like
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: that and you used a ton of, IT i don't
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: think it's a good. Thing SO i think the way
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: THAT i would probably play this Is Kansas city money
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: line in the first five innings and just go with
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchup being In cameron's. FAVOR i think
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: that would probably be the WAY i would lean in that.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Game not gonna give it out as a Play Gray.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: Pilled what's, up, Man Jewels, Yep i'll see you, tonight.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Man all, Right so, yeah first five Inning Kansas city
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: would probably be the way to lean in that, game
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: in my. Opinion pittsburgh At. Minnesota pittsburgh got absolutely trounced.
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: MAN i thought it was a bad setup For. Minnesota
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: minnesota did not have a listed. Starter they wound up
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: going with basically a bullpen. Game but they kind of
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: saved their bullpen Because adams pitched four innings and their
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: pitching did fairly well. Yesterday So minnesota's, bullpen even though
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: it's not a great bullpen right, now their, bullpen their
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: better relievers are available, today so that's gonna help, Them
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Whereas pittsburgh to use more of their pen yesterday Because
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: borrows was way worse THAN i. Expected borrows couldn't even
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: get it done at all against this Bad minnesota.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: Offense that's not a good sign For.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh ALTHOUGH i do Like pittsburgh's starter, TODAY i don't
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: love their bullpen at. ALL i mean their bullpen is pretty.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: BAD i mean we're actually where are? There, actually maybe
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: they're not as bad AS i. Thought they're kind of mid. Tier,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Actually pittsburgh's bullpend Here MINNESOTA i think actually might have
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: the worst one. Now, Yeah minnesota is kind of in
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: the bottom third of bullpens, now BUT i think after,
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: yesterday too much bullpend usage for The. Pirates BUT i
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: do like The pirates. Starter Mitch. Keller he's been good
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: this year man three point five EIGHTY r one point
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: one seven. Whip he's been even better on the road
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: three point h nine er on the. Road he's in
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: pretty good form over his last few starts here as. Well,
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: actually going all the way back to the beginning Of,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: june he's been fairly. Good even though he had a
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: four point three e r In, june but a twenty
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: one to six strike a walk ratio is pretty. Good
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: fewer hits and in he's, pitched so he kind of
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: got a little bit unlucky In june was because he's
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: allowed too many home. Runs he's only allowed nine on the, season,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: though but he allowed three In june and two so
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: far this, month both in the last outing Against Kansas,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: city but he didn't allow any runs besides those home,
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: runs and this month he does have a twelve to
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: two strikeout walk right here on a one point three
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: to TWO, era got at least six to two thirds
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: and both, starts so he is in good for him right.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Now he's facing a Weak minnesota offense and they do
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: not do well Against keller in forty four at. Best
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: they have a one to eighty two batting average against
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: him in four to sixty one. Ops SO i like
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: How keller matches up in this, game AND i think
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: he will probably get you a good start in this.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: One Uh Simeon.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: Woods richardsonis who's opposing, him and he has not been
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: as good four point eightyra one point three to two
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: whip From minnesota. Here he's been better at home though
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: three point two eight home, era and he is starting
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: to pitch better again after he was having a rough
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: go of it earlier in the. Season he did pitch
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: better than this last, year and he seems to be
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: kind of finding something again as The twins won.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: His last three.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: Starts he's allowed one run over that span of fifteen
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: innings and only allowed six hits over that, span and
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: he also has a thirteen to.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: Six strike a walk.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Ratio it's kind of too many walks, still but, still
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good over those last three, starts and
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: it does Include i'll start last time out against The.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Cubs that was a shutout for five, innings which is
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: fairly impressive against a pretty Good cubs. Offense, however he
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: actually does not do well historically against The. Pirates in
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: twenty at, bats he has a three point fifty average
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: against in an EIGHT o nine. OPS i hesitate to
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: want to deal With pittsburgh's bullpend, Though so the way
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: THAT i would look at this is, probably, well you
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: know What i'm gonna, SAY i would probably Lean pittsburgh
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: first five innings, here, MAN i would probably grab them
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: as an underdog in the first five.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: INNINGS i think they do have a starting pitching edge
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: in this.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Game AND i think both offenses are comparably, bad even
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Though minnesota's offense is the better of the, two but
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: they're not great either one of.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: Them AND i.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: Also Think Carlos korea got hurt From, Minnesota SO i
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: don't even know is he.
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: BACK i don't even.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Know UH espn would tell us based on if he's
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: in this batter versus pitcher thing, here it looks like
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: he is there and he was. Included he's three for
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: five Off keller and he was included in those. Stats
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: so even if he is, PLAYING i still think it's
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: a matchup edge For keller Over Woods. Richardson so the
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: WAY i would lean in that game Is pittsburgh first
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: five innings with the market read seems against it As
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: minnesota is up for minus one thirty minus one thirty
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: seven fifty six percent to take a seventy six percent
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: of the ash coming Into. Minnesota, YEAH i MEAN i
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: kind of hesitate, to, yeah to fade a market read like.
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: That SO i don't, know ALTHOUGH i KNOW i.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: AM i just looked up Because i'm, like oh, SHIT
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: i am fading this market. Read it looks like it's
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: going Against detroit here, though so we will see what
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: happens in that. Game but, MAN i think the splits
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: line up pretty well for that one as. Well, There, so,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: uh this One i'll stay off, of BUT i would
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: lean To pittsburgh first five Innings texas At. Houston houston
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: lost the first game of the series one yesterday in
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: dramatic fashion and eleven Innings houston won five to.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: Four.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i SAID i like the under in that, game
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: and that game was under at the end of nine.
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: Innings it was a three to three.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Game texas tied it up in the ninth, inning took
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: the lead in the eleventh, inning and then.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Lost, anyway pretty.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: Brutal it would have been a brutal way to lose
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: an under too if you had under seven in that. Game,
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: man that's a brutal way to. Lose it's a three
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: to three game just because of the top of the,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: ninth it could have been a three to two finish
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: man in that, Game SO i THINK i wasn't really
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: wrong about the under in that. Game both starting pitchers
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: did really. Well it was just an unfortunate set of
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: events that sent into extra innings and then you get
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: the Ghost runner and. Crap both bullpens got a little
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: bit used up in yesterday's. Game so even THOUGH i
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: kind of liked both, Bullpens houston's and actually they're both
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: year their third and fourth In bullpenny Ra, Houston, texas,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: respectively so they both have good, bullpens but they're both
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: pretty used coming to this. Game ALTHOUGH i do like
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: both starters, here, generally he. Evolved he is pitching For.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Texas he's been really good this year one point six
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: to TWO era point eighty five. WHIP i, MEAN i
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna be able to continue pitching at
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: that rate this entire, season especially as a thirty five year,
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: old but he has definitely been. Good texas seems like
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: they have some really good pitching coaching. There he's been
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: even better on the road to the one point two
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: to seven ROAD, era he's been really. Good and his
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: two starts this month. Too he's come back from injury
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: he missed a, month had a shaky start Against, seattle
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: and then since then he's been basically lights out this.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: Month one bolt of his starts had an eleven to
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: one strikeout walk, ratio has allowed no runs and seven
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: or no earned runs and seven hits in eleven innings
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: pitched Against baltimore And, anaheims so he is definitely back on.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: Track But houston actually hits him pretty. Well they're familiar
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: with him one hundred and seventeen career at. Bats they
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: actually have nine home runs off. Him, however seven of
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: them Arale. Tuve SO i still hate home run props, though.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Man even though Al tuove has a ridiculous amount of
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: home runs in that amount of at bats Against, evaldi
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: he's basically hitting a home run like every eight at
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: bats Against, euvaldi which is.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous but.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: If you play him to hit a home, RUN i
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: still probably don't even think you're getting getting the edge
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: of the number there because the books really screw you
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: on the home run. PROPS i would still look to
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: hits plus runs plus RBIs for the player.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: Props so, yeah Al twove is hammered Y.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Evaldi seventeen for fifty five was seven home runs and
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: three walks and two. Doubles but, anyway, Overall evaldi hasn't
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: been good Against houston to eighty two average against eight
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: ninety four ohps.
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: Against but, again a lot of it is Al.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: Tuove Although Diaz Caratine walker do all of good numbers
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: against him as, well So evaldi has struggled Against. HOUSTON
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: i think his walk rate was high as, well twenty
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: seven to ten strike a walk. Ratio on the other,
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: Side Hunter brown is, pitching and AS i pointed, out
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: he has made his First All Star, game AND i
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: think that affected him in his last, outing because he
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: was really bad in his last. Outing brown has been good,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: though two point two to ONE, era one point nine
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: For whip Excuse i'm used to saying one point nine
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: For Witt brown having a really good, season really good at,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: home one point nine to five HOME. Era his last
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: outing was bad. Though he gave up six runs and
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: six innings Against. CLEVELAND i told you when a guy
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: gets named to their First All Star, game and a
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: lot of times if they start after they get named
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: to The All Star game and they have to make
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: a start and they have The All Star game, upcoming
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: they tend to be.
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: A little bit.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Distracted AND i think that kind of happened. There brown
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: kind of got jacked up By cleveland and they're not
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: a good.
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: Offense but because that did.
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: Happen maybe he will refocus here and bounce back because
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: he got lit up in that. GAME i don't think
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: you usually see a guy have two starts between getting
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: named to The All Star game and then having to
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: pitch potentially in The All Star. Game so kind of
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: a rare scenario where he's just on the book end of,
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: that like right when he got right when it got
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: announced that he was gonna be on The All star,
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: team he had to, pitch and now he's pitching the
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: last game going into The All star. Break but maybe
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: he will do better in this game and bounce back
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: from that BECAUSE i think he was distracted in that,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: start and he generally has been really good this. Year
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: but even Though texas has a pretty bad, Offense brown
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: has not been good against, them and one hundred and
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: sixteen at bats twenty two to six strike a walker
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: issue is. Good he has a lot of five home
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: runs to. Them berger And garcia each have two home
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: runs against, him three ten average a lot and eight
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: to forty four oh.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: Ps so it is Possible brown struggles in this game as.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: Well although he did only Face texas once this year
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: and he was really good against. Him he went eight
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: In he's allowing one, run three hits nine, strikeouts no,
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Walks So, brown his career stats Against texas might not
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: be somebody you really should read into that, much even
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: though it's a big sample size and it's bad. Numbers
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: brown has never been in his career like he had
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: some real struggles erounly in his. Career man this year
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: he is so much better than he was prior to.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: That so his one start this year Against texas was,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Dominant so maybe you should kind of ignore his career
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: stats a little, bit AND i think he. Evolved these
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: career stats are actually more of an, indicator SO i
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: would probably just have a slight lean To houston in this.
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: Game BUT i don't love, it AND i could see
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: this game going over just because both teams have bad
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: pitching matchups here with the matchup numbers at, least and
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: we're looking at a situation where the bullpens are pretty
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: used up and the totals low at. Seven although it
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: has flipped to being juiced to the under seventy four
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: percent tickets eighty percent of couch on the, under so
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the market read completely disagrees with. Me market read is, saying,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: UNDER i think that's risky giving those matchup. Numbers the
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: money is also Fading houston here down for minus one
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: forty one thirty sixty percent tickets only sixty five percent
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: of the cash On. Houston public usually does not like
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: teams Like texas who can't, hit so the public is On.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Houston it looks like the market read is saying to
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Fade houston money coming in against. Them i'm not sure
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: THAT i would agree with, that but it is possible
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: That brown is still distracted headed into his First All Star.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Game where is?
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: MEETING i don't know? ME i don't.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: Know does me to usually show up in? HERE i
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: don't know if he used the different does he use
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: a different name in? HERE i forget Meet? Cavern all?
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: Right where are we? At? Washington?
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: MILWAUKEE i, Mean milwaukee is the significantly better of these two. Teams,
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: Man milwaukee's on a hot. Streak they have not suffered
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: a let down so. Far after sweeping The. Dodgers they're
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: on the verge of Sweeping washington. Here washington is just.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: Terrible milwaukee did get away with it yesterday they won
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: six to. Five woodruff pitched fairly well from them, again
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: but he was inefficient with his pitches and they had
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: to take him out kind of early in the game,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: yesterday So milwaukee's bullpend had to. Pitch but both bullpen's
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: had to, pitch And milwaukee's bullpen has actually been getting
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: better as you, see they're kind of middle of the pack.
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: Now washington's bullpen is at the absolute.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: Worst, again they could with The a's for having the
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: worst bullpen in all of, baseball and that Is. Washington
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: and So milwaukee does still have a bullpen advantage in this,
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: game even though they use some of their bullpen.
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: Yesterday you've got to give the advantage To milwaukee.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: There AND i think they have a strong starting pitching
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: edge in this game as. Well In milwaukee has the better.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: Offense it's just a matter of, price, man it's do
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: you want to lay this price With. MILWAUKEE i do
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: think they have all the advantages, here BUT i think
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: they had basically all of them yesterday and they still
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: only won by. One so they didn't cover the run
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: line yesterday if you went with a one and a
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: half run line or.
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: Whatever Jake irvin is pitching For.
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: Washington four point seven to EIGHTY ra one point three
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: to one whip not great. Numbers that's not a great.
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been worse on the road five point eight to.
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: One Roady ra hasn't been great this month, either with
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: a seven to seven strike out walk.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Race even he did last six innings in each, start
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: but he gave up seven runs in the twelve. INNINGS
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: a seven to seven strike out walk race is really.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: Bad five point two to Five vra not good. Either
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: in the start prior to this, month he gave up
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: eight runs eight earned runs To. Anaheim he's not in
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: a good form right, now. Man he's not pitching. Well
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: he doesn't do that great Against milwaukee. Either in fifty
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: three at, bats eleven to nine strike a walk ratio is.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: Bad two sixty four average allowed as not that. Bad
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: an eight oh five ops getting a little bit. HIGH
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: i usually use about seven fifty is kind of The
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: mendoza line. There for, like is your ops against against
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: these hitters good or? Bad or really whether a hitter's
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: ops is good or not as? WELL i would say.
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: SO i don't really Love irvin. Here. Obviously Freddy peralta
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: is the better of the two. Pitchers he's been The brewers.
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: Ace.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: MAN i know everybody's talking about Miss zerowski, now But
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: peralta has been doing it a long, time and he
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: is the. Guy two point seven FOUR, era one point
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: zero NINE. Whip he's been really good at home one
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: point five SIX era at, home pitching very consistently throughout the.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: Season he's allowed more than three earned runs in one
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: start all. Season it was four earned runs Against. Cleveland
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: for whatever, Reason he's been great for the most. Part
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: five wins in a row For. Milwaukee in his, Starts
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: he's got at least five innings in all five of.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: Those strike out walk ratio has been really. Good across
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: that two starts this, month he's allowed two runs. Total
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: he's coming off a shutout of The dodgers for six.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: Innings gave up two runs against The mets the time.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Before that's he's pitching really well against good. Offense is
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: a thirteen to two strike out walk, ratio seven hits
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: a lot in twelve, innings one point FIVE era.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: Over those two. Starts that's all.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Good Against, washington his numbers are not, great but they're good.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: Enough sixty four at, bats twenty to six strike out walk,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: ratio really high strikeout rate, again two sixty six, average
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: seven to fifty. Ops SO i Think peralta certainly is
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: the pitcher that has the advantage in this.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: Game the money is coming in On.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee they rough minus two twenty to minus two forty
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: eight seventy three percent to. Take is ninety four percent
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the side Of. MILWAUKEE
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: i agree with. THAT i think, Again milwaukee has every
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: advantage in this. Game it's just a matter of what
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: do you want to do with. IT i, mean you
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: gotta lay like the run line if you want to Play,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and of course they are at.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Home their offense.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: Has been a little bit worse at home this, year
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: though they have been picking it up. Recently you're not
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: gonna get the ninth inning of it bats if they're already.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: Winning oh of, course you don't want them to not
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: already be winning hit that point because you don't want
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: to need them to score in the night thinny. Either
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: so that's the little bit of a disadvantage you run
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: into when you lay a one and a half run
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: line at. HOME i don't know how costly a minus
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: one run line would. Be, obviously you can't lay a
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: money line like. THIS i mean you could if you
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: wanted to go with like a team total, MAN i
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: would probably maybe be going With irvin or With washington
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: go under their team. Total, maybe BUT i don't, WELL
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: i don't love that either Because milwaukee's bullpen it's used
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: up and it's not that good, Either SO i, know scratch.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: THAT i don't like that. Either Maybe milwaukee over their team.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: Total just Expect irvin to get hit and Then washington's
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: bulp and gets involved and they'll they'll do bad as.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: Well Maybe milwaukee over the team total and then it's
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: the better way to do. It BUT i, mean to,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: me it seems like the biggest advantage here is just
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: That milwaukee has a huge advantage everywhere. Here so it's
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: a kind of a game where you do want to
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: try to play like a run line or something With,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: milwaukee but it's just the price might be a little
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: bit too. High So i'm not giving that out as a.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Play Atlanta's Saint. Louis we have another situation Where, atlanta
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: for the second day in a, row has no clue
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: who their starting pitcher is gonna. Be that's not a good.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: Sign Saint louis Has Sonny gray. Pitching, yesterday both bullpens
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: saw some. Usage it was a high scoring, game close.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: GAME i gave up the over. Yesterday that was a
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: correct call.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: This.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: Game, AGAIN i still don't love either, bullpen even THOUGH
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: i Know atlanta has actually moved. Up their bullpen is
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: actually fairly good, now but they had a bullpen game,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: yesterday so.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: It's not LIKE i want to Trust atlanta's. Bullpen Saint
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: louis bullpen not.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: Bad they're kind of middle of the, pack And atlanta's
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: moved up into the top third, surprisingly but, again If
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: atlanta's going with the second straight bullpen, game there's no
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: way want to have to deal with. That Sonny, gray
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: on the other, side is at least a really talented starting,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: pitcher and he is The cardinals a still three point
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: five to one E r in the, season one point
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: zero nine whip good. Numbers he's been really good at
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: home two point eight three E r at home last two,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: starts twelve to two strike out walk ratio is pretty.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: Good did give up six, runs which isn't that. Great
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: he'd give it four runs Against, pittsburgh BUT i think
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: we can give him a pass for. THAT i think
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: he did get a little bit unlucky as far as
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: how many. Bays he didn't put a lot of base
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: runners on him most of them on up, scoring so
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: that is getting a little bit. Unlucky gray has actually
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: been really good over his last four. Starts Saint louis
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: has won three of those, four SO i think he
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: is in good.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: Form he is good at.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: Home his numbers are fairly good against The braves and
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: seventy four at bats two forty three average.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: Allowed but he's a lot four.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: Home, runs but three of them Are, ozona so if
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: he can kind of pitch around, him he might do.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: Alright seventy forty six ops is a little bit, high
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: but OVERALL i Think gray probably matches up pretty well
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: here against. Undecided but you're having a lay about minus
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: one sixty something minus what sixty six right now With Saint,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: Louis and it's hard to do that when you don't
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: even know Who atlanta's gonna be starting. Here BUT i
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: think you have to Say gray has an advantage Over
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: atlanta's bullpen, game So Saint louis might be the right
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: way to lean in this. Game maybe a run line
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: On Saint. Louis i'm not gonna do, it, Though i'm
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: not gonna give it out as a. Play dodgers At
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: San Francisco, uh they've split the first two games of
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: this series both. Teams each team has a one run
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: win in the series so, far With San francisco winning
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: the first game and losing yesterday two to. One otani
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: actually went a little bit deeper. YESTERDAY i think he
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: went three innings this, timmer maybe even.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: FOUR i think it was.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: Three and he actually pitched pretty well into that game.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: There got The dodgers off to a good start. Yesterday
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: dodgers had a good pitching performance for. Once so The
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: dodgers bullpen has been if, fy.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean they're.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: Way down here with the pretty bad four point three
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: to eight bullpenny. Ray they're in the bottom third of.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: Bullpens San francisco is at the absolute, top where they've
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: been basically all season three point one to three bullpenny,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: array which has gone up a little. Bit it was
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: lower than, three although that's kind of. Unsustainable So San
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: francisco does have a bullpen edge over The dodgers, year
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: even Though San francisco does sometimes use some of the
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: better relievers that it was actually The dodgers who used
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: a couple of their better relievers yesterday to finish the
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: game off, Yesterday So San francisco does have the bullpen edge.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: Here starting, Pitching yamamoto is pitching for The. Dodgers he
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: is one of their best. Pitchers two point seven to
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: seven E ra one point zho seven. Whip he's been
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: even better on the road two point one TWO. Roadyra
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: he's coming up an atrocious start, though just kind of
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: an inexplicable start where he didn't even make it out
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: of the first, inning give up three or. Runs the
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: defense was making errors behind him to force.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: Him to not even be able to get out of the.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: Inning he didn't even strike anybody, out two, walks give
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: up a home. Run it was a disaster for him
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: in that last. Game but THAT i think that's an outlier.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i, mean that's basically never gonna happen again for Yama.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: MOTO i, mean sure he'll have some not great starts
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: mixed in, there you would have to, imagine but it's
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: not gonna be as bad as.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: That and that was.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: RIDICULOUS i THINK i gave out an under on that,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: game and boy did that wind up going.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: POORLY i Think peralta opposed.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Him and did really well in that, game But yamamoto
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: just ruined our uh under in that, game which is not.
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: Good but Overall yamamoto has him pitching well besides that game,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: recently So i'll give him a pass for that because
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: he's usually consistently. Good WHAT i think we might not
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: be able to give him a pass, for, though is
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: he has bad numbers against The giants in his. Career
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: in thirty two at bats nine to six strike out
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not. Good three home runs to three
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: different hitters to eighty one batting average oneenty twenty oh.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: Ps So yamamoto hasn't done that great Against San.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: Francisco he's being opposed By Robbie, ray WHO i.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: MENTIONED i think he also has been named to his
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: First All Star game If i'm not, mistaken and he
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: had a somewhat if he start last time. Out SO
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: i don't know how he's gonna do this time. Out
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna bounce back to a little bit better
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: this time or be, DISTRACTED i don't, know but he's
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna be distracted when he's going up against
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: going up against The.
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: Dodgers.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean it's a huge divisional series, here and
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: probably you could say the sam About Hunter brown to
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: be honest because he's going up Against, texas a big
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: divisional series, there so you probably won't see these guys
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: being unfocused in these. Games Robbie ray has been good
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: on the, season surprisingly because his career stats would tell
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: you that there's no way that you could have predicted
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: what he was what he was gonna do this. Year
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: two point six to THREE, era one point ONE whip
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: really nice. Numbers he's been good at home two point
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: four to eight HOME. Ra pitching pretty well this. Month
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: even though that last start was. Shaky LIKE i, said
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: he walked three guys Against, philly he still held him
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: to one. Run Sarran cisco has been winning a lot
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: of his games behind. Him he has a one point
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: eight four E ra in the two starts this. Month
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: had a complete game Against, arizona who's a good. Offense
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: he had in the two. Runs twelve to four strike
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio this month not, Bad so, Yeah ray
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: has been good this. Month numbers against The dodgers are.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: Okay in seventy six at, bats twenty three to eight
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is a good strikeout. Rate two
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: fifty average pretty, good but eight to eight ops a
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: little bit, high so it's, tough tough to call what's
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: gonna happen in that, game, Man, MAN i, MEAN i
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: think the pitching is probably in favor Of San. Francisco
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: looks like maybe the money's coming in on The dodgers,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: though fifty two. Percent take at sixty nine percent of
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on The, dodgers uh down for
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: minus one forty minus one thirty. Seven looks like the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: cash percentage is on The dodgers, Though But i'm kind
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: of slightly leaning Into San. Francisco, obviously The dodgers have
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: a way better, offense which is the one big. Advantage
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: But yaalamoto hasn't done well Against San. Francisco maybe there's
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: a chance that he's in bad form right now after
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: that last. Start ray has been in the better form
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: of the two, recently and his matchup numbers a little bit,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Better so maybe that's the way you want to.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: Look.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: Money looks like it's maybe come in a little bit
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: on the under total down to seven and a half
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: from eight fifty and take a sixty one percent of
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: the ash on the, over THOUGH i would stay away
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: from the total. THOUGH i, MEAN i could see both
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers either doing well or doing. Poorly it's actually
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: really hard to gauge here in this, game BUT i
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: THINK i would probably Trust ray a little bit.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: More you're getting him as a home.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: Underdog there always paying a bit of a price for The,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: dodgers especially With yamamoto on the, mouth SO i think
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: maybe there was a little bit of value on The
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: giants Side toronto at The A's a's lost the first
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: game one, yesterday each team with a one run. Win
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: The a's did have to use their better relievers, yesterday.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: Though on The a's of course have a terrible bullpend
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: second worst now To washing and really bad. Bullpen toronto's
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: has been pretty. Good they're in the top, third So
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: toronto debainthely has a bullpen advantage in this, game even
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: factoring in the rest scenario after, yesterday because The a's
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: used some of their back end relief men yesterday to
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: get that game. Yesterday barrio suspecially For, toronto he's been
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: one of their better starters three point five THREE era
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: one point two to one whip better on the road
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: two point eight five yr on the. Road but he
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: is kind of a fly ball pitcher, though AND i
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: don't know if that's gonna translate terribly well to pitching
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: in This A's TRIPLE a, statium which allows a lot
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: of home. Runs he had a bad start two starts
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: to going against The, yankees but it looks like it
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: was kind of a blip because the Well toronto actually
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: still won that, start which is, crazy but the three
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: starts surrounding, that he was good in all. Three toronto's
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: actually actually won all four of, those and then actually
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: won seven of his last eight. Starts he's been good
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: in most of those. Starts he bounced back. Nicely last
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: time was against The White, sox a terrible, offense but
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: he went six innings line one, run four to two
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: strike a walk.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: RATION i think that's.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: Setting only allowed two hits in that. Game, yeah so
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: he was good in that, game so he was bouncing back.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: Nicely does have good numbers against The a's in sixty
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: nine at, bats a twenty two to two strike out walk,
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: ratio two oh three, average and five oh one. Ops
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: so he does have really good numbers against The. A'S
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: i worry a little bit about how that translates to
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: this particular, stadium but, generally, Yeah barrios has been good
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: against The A's Jeffrey springs pitching for The. A's he
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: has decent numbers this year three point nine to TWO,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: era one point two to THREE. Whip he's gone a
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: little bit worse in this, stadium which is a pretty
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: hard stadium to pitch IN man four point THREE.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: Era here at, home strike out walk numbers are not.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: Good he's not really a strikeout guy six to four
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: this month over the last two, starts but The a's
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: have actually won four of his last five. Starts he's
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: gone at least five innings in every start going all
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: the way back to the start Of. June he's actually
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: pitched pretty well over that entire. Span he hasn't allowed
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: more than two ear runs in any of the last five, starts.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: So springs is actually at least.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Limiting, offenses limiting the run output quite a, bit which is.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: Good his numbers aren't good Against toronto, though in fifty
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: five at bats sixteen to eight strike a walk ratio is.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: Not good average eight to thirty five. Ops SO i
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: do Think barrios.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Does have the matchup edge in this, one And toronto
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: does have the bullpen, engine but the money is kind
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: of pouring in Against. Toronto they're very, public eighty five
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: percent road, favorite eighty five percent of the, tickets sixty
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: four percent of the. Cash money is money line has
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: dropped for one thirty five to minus one, Twenty so
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: the market indicators are basically all saying that The a's
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: are getting the, money AND i think it's Because springs
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: has actually been surprisingly good, recently but in this, MATCHUP
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: i just don't know IF i could trust, That SO
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: i don't really want to fade a market, reab But
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: i'm staying away from. Him we Have arizona At, anaheim
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: which has been a very high scoring series for the most,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: part eleven runs and then fifteen, runs which is kind
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: of expected because both bullpens are really. Bad they're both
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: here in the bottom of four And Bullpenny rays bad
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: bullpens both with AN era of five or. Worse anaheim
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: used a ton of their bullpen, yesterday and the D
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: backs actually saved some of this BECAUSE i think.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: They knew they were gonna lose the. Game anaheim was
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: trying to finish the game.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: Off Ana i'm continuing to overperform in my opinion man
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: based on their run, differential which is THAT i think
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: somewhere around minus fifty. Something it's a bad run, differential,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: man indicating that their record should not even be as
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: good as it even, looks.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: Even though they are below five.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: HUNDRED i am expecting regression From anaheim at some, Point.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: MAN i Think arizona does actually have a bullpen edge
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: coming into this game Because anaheim used a lot of
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: their relief pitchers yes day And arizona did.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: Not AND i Prefer arizona starter as.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: Well Here Merril kelly three point four to ONE, era
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: one point zero five.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: Whip on the.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: Season he's actually pretty much been their best starter this.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: Year he's been good both home and. Away it doesn't even.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: Matter he's been pretty good, Recently. Man he had a
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: two point seven to NINETY ra In june with a
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: thirty six to eight strike at.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: Walker.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: Ratio hasn't allowed more than four earned runs in any
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: game since the beginning Of, june and that was only
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: once Against San. Diego this, Month he's gone at least
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: six innings and both starts seven to three strike a
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: walk ratio not that good last time out At San.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: DIEGO i know it's a pictuer friendly, park but he
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: only gave one run four hits in seven, innings.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: Four to zero strike aut walk.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: Ratio So kelly has been pretty good recently up Against,
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: ANAHEIM i believe he has good numbers as. Well, yeah
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: in fifty two at bats he's kind of dominated.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: Them a one thirty.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: Five average for sixty six, ops seventeen to four strike
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: a walk.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: Ratio SO i Like kelly with his matchup.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: Numbers here he's going up Against Jose, soriano who has
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: not been the better of these two pitchers FOR era
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: one point four to four whip is definitely too, high
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: and he's been really struggling at home six point four
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: six point oh seven er at, home he's only a
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: lot four home runs on the entire, season although all
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: of them have coming. Home but the home run ball
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: isn't what's done him In, Man he's walked way too many.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: Guys that's the thing that's done. Him in his wildness
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: has been really bad this. Month he has an eleven
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: to seven strike a walk, ratio which is. Bad did
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: have a nice shutout for seven innings Against, atlanta but
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: he came back and gave up five runs Against texas
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: and walked five guys in four, innings struck out, Four
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: so his strike gun numbers are, there but, man he's
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: walking way too many. Guys sorianum is a wild, man
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: so he's not in good form right, now but he
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: does have good numbers against the D backs and thirty
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: one at bats one ninety four, average five point thirty
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: three oh, ps nine to two strike out walk raight.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Show SO i wanted to Fade soriano, here but the
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: market read is completely Against arizona, here And soriano at
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: least does have good matchup, numbers SO i can't do.
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: It seventy three percent of the tickets are On, arizona
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: but the money has come in On la or On.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: Anaheim excuse, me sixty five percent of the cash On,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: anaheim and the money line has flipped from plus one
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: to four to minus one point fifteen On. Anaheim so
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: the market read is strongly On anaheim, here AND.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: I don't love, it.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't really agree with, that but that's just
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: what the numbers are saying. Here, Man i'm not SURE
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: i agree with that for all the reasons THAT i just.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Said And arizona does have the better offense, too SO
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: i Think arizona has the better starting, pitcher the better,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: bullpen and the better, hitting but the money.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: Is disagreeing with.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: It and, YEAH i mean that's really the way THAT
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: i was leaning in the. Game but the market reda is,
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: saying don't do, it, relax don't do. It and then
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: Finally i'll give you my final. Play and it is
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be laying a price with a road favorite. Here
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: BUT i think there are reasons to do. This philadelphia
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty At San. Diego here these, Teams philadelphia's
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: on the vergic getting, swept, man but this has been
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: a close. Series philadelphia lost by two runs and then
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: by three runs To San. Diego, here some, close low scoring.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: Games San. Diego, yes they have the way better.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: Bullpen AS i was pointing, Out San diego actually has
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: the second best bullpenny are in baseball.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: And phillies is not Good phillies in the bottom.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: Third BUT i think that balances out a little bit
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: because last couple of Games San diego trying to hold
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: onto these close, wins San diego's use.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: All of their better.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: Relievers, man so The phillies bullpen is at least more
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: rested Than San. Diego's just SO i think that kind
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: of balances out the bullpen scenario where Normally San diego
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: would have the better, bullpen in this, CASE i do
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: not think they. Do philadelphia does have the better, offense
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: AND i think we're looking at a starting pitching edge
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: For philly as, well With Christopher sanchez having a great.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: Season two point five ninety are one point one to
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: three whip AND i don't know if you saw the
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: rumblings here some of The phillies were mad because they
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: Including sanchez And, suarez because The phillies team thought That
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: sanchez and Or suarez should have been named to The
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: All Star, team and Instead mizierowski was named to The
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: All Star. Team All star. Dude The All star, stuff
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: like the voting, whatever it's.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: All it's all.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: Bullshit it's all about the, money you know WHAT i.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: Mean it's all about who's gonna get more? Eyes and
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: everybody is talking about Miss zerowski right? Now is this
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: young fiend? On that's why they did. IT i think
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: he's a great, pitcher but he only has four. Starts,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: man so, AGAIN i think it's should have gone to
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: somebody Like sanchez has just been really great all. Season
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: but WHAT i think that's gonna do in this? GAME
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: i Think sanchez is gonna want to go out and
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: prove himself. Here, man you didn't name into The All star, Team,
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: well guess What i'm gonna show you why you should.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: Have you know WHAT i, mean that type of. THING
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: i think that's gonna be an extra motivator For sanchez.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Here and he's been good anyway this, season LIKE i,
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: said two point five to NINETY, ra one point one
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: to three whip on the, season even better on the
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: road two point twenty NINETY. R and he is pitching
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: in a pitcher friendly park. Here he's been absolutely dominating
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: for a. While he hasn't even a lot more than
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: touring runs going all the way back to Late. May
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: so the entire month Of June july and the last
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: start In May, june he had a one point eight
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: FIVE era thirty three to six strike out walk. Ratio this,
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: month the two, starts he's only let two runs in
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: fourteen innings thirteen to one strike out walk ratio one
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: point two to NINETY. Ra he's on fire right. Now
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: he's in great form right. Now philly has won four
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: of his last seven starts at, least which isn't too.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: Bad so that's what we're looking at here With, sanchez
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: he's been really. Good the one caveat there is that
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: San diego did just see, him, though so we are
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: dealing with the situation Where San diego's offense might be
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: at a little bit of an advantage just because they
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: just saw.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: Him But sanchez has been around for a.
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: While man San diego has sixty eight at bats against
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: him and they have not succeeded against. Him SO i
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: think that that is more of a factor than the
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: fact That San diego just saw. Him sanchez has an
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: eighteen to one strike a walk ratio against them in
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: those sixty eight career at, bats a two toh six
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: batting average, against and five twenty six. Ops sanchez has
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: dominated San.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: Diego on the other.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: Side Nick pivetta's pitching for The, padres he's definitely had
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: a good. Season three point oh seven E, ra one
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: point oh three. Whip, yes he's been good at home
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: two point THREE era at. Home but to, ME i
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: think he's starting to do a little bit. WORSE i
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: know he's he's been trying to come back from. INJURY
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: i THINK i think he missed a little bit of
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: time somewhere in, here didn't he Maybe i'm wrong about.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: That, no Maybe i'm. Wrong it looks LIKE i thought
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: he missed some. TIME i don't.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't know where he's been BECAUSE i thought
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: there was a period of time Where i'm, like where is?
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: He Maybe i'm, Wrong but, yeah he's been pitching. Decently
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: but he did have a four point seven to ONE
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: era In, june which is a lot worse than. Sanchez
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: thirty to six strike a walk ratio is pretty, good
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: but he was allowing some hits man some hard.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: Hits he was allowed too many.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: Home, runs So paveta the home run ball has been
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an issue twelve home. Runs even
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: though strike a walk ratio is, good it's still good
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: this month thirteen to three strike a walk. RATIO i
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: Know San diego's won four of his last five, starts
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: but he walked three guys last, outing and, he just Like,
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: sanchez was just seen By philadelphia and did well six,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: innings one on. Runs so both of these starting pitchers
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: did well against these opposing offenses last time. Out it
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: does mean that both offenses have the same advantage in
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: both having seen the starting pitcher today. Recently BUT i
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: Think sanchez is the guy you want Over paveda Here.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: Man pavetta Against philly has not had good numbers in the.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Past even though he did just put up a good
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: outing against, them it might not. Continue ninety two at
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: bats in his career against him a too eighty three
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: average against nine to twenty six ops six home runs,
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: against although it's two apiece From turner And harper twenty
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: five to thirteen strike at lock, ratio so his strike
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: at walk ratio has actually not been good in his
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: career Against San. Diego SO i Think sanchez has the motivation,
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: advantage matchup number. ADVANTAGE i Think sanchez has been so
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: good recently that he's in the better. FORM i Think
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: philadelphia at least has the more rested bullpend here and
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: they have the offensive, Advantage So philadelphia is going to
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: be WHAT i.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: RECOMMEND i think the money is agreeing with me on this.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: One eighty one percent of, tickets eighty three percent of
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on this. One On philly they'roughout for minus
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: one twenty five to minus one twenty, six so maybe
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: you can get a little bit better than minus one thirty.
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: Here that's the play and that's gonna do.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: It so it's That philadelphia minus one thirty and then
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: hopefully we can do it by fading the market reading
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: in the other, game and you're gonna get a cheap
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: price On. Detroit But detroit at whatever price he can
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: get is Where i'm. Going although this is, weird, man
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: because we see the numbers are all over the place,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: here because we see the cash.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: Percentage is now disagreeing With.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: Detroit but the, line remember we saw before the line
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: had gone to like minus one oh nine On, seattle
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: and now the line is flipped basically back To detroit
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: being a favorite. Here SO i don't know what is
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: going on with the number, here.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: Man kind of.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: Strange so we will see what happens in that. Game
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: those are the two plays. Today i'm learned to toad On,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: twitter better off, dead find me here on, YouTube find
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: me on the audio. PLATFORMS i put the audio out
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: like right After i'm done. Here we're on all the audio.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Platforms it's, monetized so if we get a lot of
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: views on that, thing we can help get me some, money.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: Man so please do.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: That subscribe to, everything, listen, watch, review, comment, interact you,
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: know all the good.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: Stuff thanks for all.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: That i'm On instagram as, well WHERE i do just
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: short videos with all my, plays which is taken off
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: a little, bit so that's it off dead better there
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: or you, know you just find better off dead probably
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: you'll find it so b tt r and then covered
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: in yuke The yuke channel, Again i'm starting to get
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: that going Where i'm at least gonna double post all
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: my uke covers THAT i post On twitter there as,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: well covered In yuke on, YouTube and starting A patreons
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: to WHICH i did finally get feedback where some people
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: say they do want A spotify audio feed where all
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: my ukulele covers that get posts to just go up
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: there almost in like a podcast. Form so there's gonna
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: be kind of no order to it other than it's
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be kind of. Chronological BUT i Think i'm gonna
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: drip old covers into it as, well BECAUSE i have
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: so many old. COVERS i gotta get organized to start doing.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: That BUT i might do that For. PATREONS i amn't
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: learned to toad On, patreon so that is gonna be
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: coming up in the very near future because some people
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: seem like they do want it so and THEN i
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: will be doing at the highest. Patreonsire i'll be doing
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: prioritize requests.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: For yuke covers and, stuff and HOPEFULLY i can get
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: some of those. Done that's gonna do.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: It, everybody have a Good sunday, today, man and hopefully
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: this hot streak.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: Continues, peace