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Episode 280 - 5/16/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 280 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
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end. We got the weekend upon us,
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guys, and we got a lot to get to, a lot to break down on the
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final pot of the week. I have for you today a four pack
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of sweats that I'm excited to share with you, including three
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Major League Baseball plays, one of which is a day game.
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So I wanted to get the pot out a little bit early, let you hear
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the breakdown and decide whether or not you want to ride with me
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on this one. I also have a play for you in
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the NBA. There's only one game, Celtics,
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Knicks. I got a sharp, sharp play for
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you in this one. Hopefully it'll come through and
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then a little bit of a bonus. I have a NFL win total that I'm
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excited to talk about with you guys today.
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Really the importance of stability, offseason changes and
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really looking at playing the market kind of against each
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other. So basically looking at a team
1:24
or seeing movement toward the over win total.
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And if you caught the the segment I had with Patrick Maher
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and Dustin Swedelson last night on on SiriusXM, we broke down
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this one and looking at NFL win totals, you might know me or
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might, might not, but I love betting win totals.
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It just kind of provides you something to root for rooting
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interest throughout the season. And hey, I love cashing tickets,
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whether it's a ticket we catch tonight or six months from now,
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they cash just the same. But in the process of betting
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win totals, to me, it's a good exercise to just acclimate
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yourself to the teams, the changes how the betting market
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is respecting or disrespecting certain teams.
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So I do have a win total bet for you there.
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But this is a bet where you really want to shop for the best
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line because there's a lot of different numbers out there.
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So stay tuned for that. So a big Friday, 4 Pack 3 MLB,
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one NBA and an NFL win total. Now looking back toward last
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night, guys, our pass bump. Remember, pass was overturned,
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opening up the world to legalize sports betting in America seven
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years ago this week. And since the anniversary,
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another winning day 2 and one last night, plus 0.27 units.
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So I will take a quarter of a unit.
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Don't sneeze at it, don't laugh at it.
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We'll take it, put it in our pocket, reinvest it into today.
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But we had a couple great hits #1 to me was the Rangers.
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Rangers, just if you watch that game, it was on MLBTV.
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And boy, was that an incredible pitching duel between Hunter
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Brown in vintage. Vintage like you know, 2015
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degrom when he was with the Mets, but they were dueling back
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and forth. It was a one nothing win big
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home run by Jake Berger who went oppo and boy did the the Rangers
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flash some leather because they were making incredible catches
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in the outfield. There was one by a couple by
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Garcia and Wright great one by who was it?
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I think Evan Carter and center and they really, really came to
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play. So that was a great hit there
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with the Rangers. And then it's always nice when
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you don't have to sweat a game at all.
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How about the Dodgers winning 19?
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Was it 19 to 2? What was the score?
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Let me double check that one. Yeah, 19 to 2.
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And boy, do we beat the closing line.
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Got a -, 200. They close like -250 So I don't
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remember the last time I had $0.50 of closing line value, But
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nice sit there with the Dodgers. And I'll also mention when I saw
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Otani go deep twice last night, I said, you know what?
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I think he's still plus money for National League MVP.
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I opened up my Juice Reel app. One of my favorite aspects of
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Juice Reel is if you go to the futures tab, it'll give you all
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the different futures markets. And you don't have to literally
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go to every book and look it up. It'll just give you the best
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price. So I looked up, hey, what's
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Otani's MVP odds? And I got down on Otani last
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night after his his first Homer at plus 155 at ESPN bet.
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I just checked this morning, he's down to plus 140.
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Aaron Judge is like -1000 so Judge is like, you know, is Ted
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Williams getting nervous about a guy hitting 400?
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But I said, you know what, Otani's ridiculous.
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Maybe he wins it. Again, I'm getting plus money.
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So if you want to ride with me, I did put in Otani plus 155 to
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win National League MVP. So with that being said, two
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straight winning days, let's see if we can make it a third
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straight straight winning day as we steam into the weekend.
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Now, normally I would start with the big NBA game tonight,
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Celtics next, but we'll wait on that for a second.
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I want to talk MLB first because there is a game upcoming early
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here today at Wrigley Field. Cubs, White Sox, and I got to
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play on this one. So let's break it down, give you
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a chance to hear the breakdown and decide whether you want a
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tail fade or layoff or play it or whatever you want to do.
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But anyway, 2:20 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, we got the
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White Sox visiting the Chicago Cubbies.
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Now the White Sox come in 14 and 30, just took two or three
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though against the Reds. Couldn't get the sweep though
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they lost that series finale 7 to 1 as a plus 2O5 road dog.
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Similarly, the Cubbies 25 and 19, they just took two or three
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against the Marlins, but also lost that series finale 3 to 1
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as a -, 220 home favorite. So pitching matchup here today
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at Wrigley. By the way, I went to visit
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Wrigley back in 2011. The button was the Bobby
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Valentine year was 2012. But it's my first time with with
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going to Wrigley ever and had a fantastic time.
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So I'd like to get back to Wrigley one day.
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I love Murphy's, was it Murphy's Bar and Grill or Murphy's
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bleachers or something? Great bar out out in center
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field. Anyway, I digress, I guess I
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just wish I'd be. I was in the stand sweating the
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Cubs in person today. But pitching matchup, we do have
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the White Sox going with the righty Shane Smith.
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He's 1 and 2 two point O 8 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cubbies are going
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to go with Cade Horton, fellow righty.
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He's one and O 6.75 ERA. So what have you seen across the
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market here? Well, even though it's a big
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number, sharps are landed with the Cubs and that's what I'm
6:01
doing too. Give me the Cubs guys.
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Cubs open this game around a -, 200 home favorite.
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We've now seen the Cubbies get steamed up to around -225 Some
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books are as high as -230 or -240.
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Now, I was able to get Cubs -225 at Bet MGM.
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I know it's a big number, but wait until you hear all these
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system matches lit up on the Cubs.
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But again, 225 is your best price should still be available
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at Bet MGM. If you look at the splits, Cubs
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87% of money line bets, 88% of money line dollars at DraftKings
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and then at Circa only 50% of money line bets but 73% of money
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line dollars. So we got heavy heavy pro and
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Joe support on the Cubs at DraftKings and we got a good,
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you know, half the tickets, three out of $4.00 on the Cubs
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out at Circa. I have 14 system matches lit up
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on the Cubs. So here are just some of the the
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best ones that performed the best this year.
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Home favorites -200 or more. They're 73 and 1979 percent, 11%
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ROI. Both teams coming off a loss,
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which is the case here, take the favorite, 31 and 1371 percent,
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14% ROI. Interleague, Home favorites, 77
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and 40, three, 6% ROI. Cubs, by the way, are 12 and
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four after a loss this year, 75%.
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That's the best quote UN quote bounce back team in baseball.
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Also rest first tired advantage. The Cubs were off yesterday.
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Whereas you have the White Sox who played the Reds and now must
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in Cincinnati and now have to travel back to Chicago in that
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spot. A rested favorite coming off a
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day off. Those teams are 66 and 3367%
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with a 9% ROI. Now the Cubs going to bank on
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hopefully Horton out pitching Smith, but also the offense
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showing up and getting to Smith because the Cubs are hitting 250
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this year, 63 homers, 244 runs scored.
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White Sox only hitting two 1432 homers, 149 runs scored.
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Cubs in particular, we got 2 righties on the bump.
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They're hitting 245 against righties this year.
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That's 16th and Major League Baseball.
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On the other hand, the White Sox are only hitting 211 against
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righties. That is dead last 30th and Major
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League Baseball. Also a little home Rd. split
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here. Cubbies 12 and 10 at home.
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Nothing amazing but winning at home at Wrigley White Sox.
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By the way, only 5 and 18 on the road this season.
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And then lastly, a little cherry on top.
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We have a 12% sharp mush edge in favor of the Cubbies, which
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again is coming from our friends at Juice Reel.
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The better, sharper winning betters are going Cubs versus
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the again, profit deficient betters who are leaning more
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toward maybe some big plus money on the White Sox.
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So I know it's a big number, but as always, guys bet to us first
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bet to win. If you're riding the Cubs with
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me, go Cubbies. But again -225 you're risking
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only your one unit every play. In this case, you're not risking
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2.25 units to win one. You're risking your one trying
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to get a little less than 1/2 unit back.
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But let's go Cubbies. Next one for you.
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If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Houston Astros playing game two
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of their series against the Texas Rangers.
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So Rangers had a huge win for us last night.
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They're now 24 and 21 looking good.
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Looking a little bit good here for the over 85 1/2 win total.
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For those of you who know, you know, but one one nothing as a
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-, 130 home favorite for us last night.
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Tonight's rematch, the Strohs, who are 22 and 21.
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They're going to go with the ready Lance Mccullers O and
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115.75 ERA. He's only made two starts and he
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just got absolutely lit up in his last one.
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Rangers, meanwhile, going with the right, the writing Nathan of
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ALDI four and two 1.78 ERA. By the way, my Red Sox should
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never have let Nathan of ALDI go anyway this game open Texas
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around a -, 170 home favorite Houston a + 150 row dog.
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You would assume maybe it's a bounce back.
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Houston still a pretty good team, a lot of plus money.
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Nope. Wise guys are absolutely
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hammering the Texas Rangers here.
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Texas Rangers have been steamed up -170 up to -190 you can still
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get -190 yet looks like ESPN, Bet FanDuel and Bet MGM.
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But a lot of other books are creeping toward -195 or -200 So
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again, name of the name of the game today is hey, getting good
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numbers on these bigger favorites.
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But I also like the fact that it's not a huge public play.
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Like if you look at Circa right now, tickets are basically 5050
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down the middle. So even though it's 5050,
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theoretically aligned shouldn't move at all if the bets are
10:25
even. We've actually seen this big
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steam hit. Texas tells tells me the Rangers
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are taking in some sharp action. Rangers have 6 system matches
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lit U for me today. Some of the best include home
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favorites off a win with a winning record.
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One O 4 and 52 this year. 67% with a 6% ROI.
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Home favorites -150 or more 137 and 6070% with a 4% ROI.
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Home favorites in the opening game of a new series.
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This is a new system that I came up with the other day.
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I was just thinking to myself, hey, game one of a new series.
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How does the chalk do? Well, it does pretty good.
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Knock on wood because we have the game one of a new series
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favorites going 86 and 4168 percent 9% ROI.
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Good correlative betting here. We got a favorite low total.
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So total in this game is 8 actually fell 8 1/2 down to 8
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and the lines moving toward the favorite.
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So good correlative betting sign there.
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Fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from
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quote UN quote that better team. We got a good home Rd. split.
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Rangers have been really good at home 16 and eight this year.
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Astros only 7 and 12 on the road and as we mentioned with
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Mccullers, just give up seven runs, only got through one out
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1/3 of an innings pitched against the Reds.
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Meanwhile, our guy Ovaldi, 0.69 ERA and two May starts, he's
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only giving up one run and 13 innings pitched in the month of
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May. So 5050.
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But we got steam on the Rangers. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
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Let's get let's get to Mccullers Ovaldi.
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Let's pitch a gem. Really good 5050 sharp steam
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move with a ton of system matches.
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Home Rd. splits. I'm going Ivaldi over Mccullers.
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I got the Rangers at -190 last bite of the night in MLB before
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we get to the NBA game and the NFL win total. 10:15 PM Eastern
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Time the A's visiting the San Francisco G men Athletics come
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in 22 and 22. Just dropped two or three though
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against the Dodgers, which was good for us last night.
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They got rolled 19 to 2 as a + 215 Rd. dog.
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Meanwhile the G men 25 and 19 did just lose two or three
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though against the Diamondbacks. Dropped that series finale 8 to
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7 as a -. 1 O 5 home dog. So pitching match up here.
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The A's are going to go with the lefty JP Sears.
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He's four and two 2.8 O ERA. Meanwhile, the G men are going
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to go with the righty Logan Webb four and three 2.6 O ERA.
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So looking at the market move here, if you like the Rangers,
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you like the G men. Very, very similar situation
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here because like the Rangers seeing Fran open this game
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around a -, 170 home favorite. Now they're getting steamed up
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upwards of -200 Now I got the Giants at -190 at ESPN bet that
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should still be available, but really got a great bet split
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here at Circa. Only 56% of money line bets, but
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84% of money line dollars on the G men.
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So good low bets, higher dollar split.
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I have 12 system matches lit up on the Giants here.
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Home favorites -200 or more. They're 73 and 1979 percent, 11%
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ROI. Both teams coming off a loss.
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That favorite is 71 percent, 14% ROI this year.
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Interleague, home favorites, 64 percent, 6% ROI.
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And again, home favorites in the opening game of a new series, 68
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percent, 9% ROI. We have another rest.
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First tired advantage because the Giants were off yesterday,
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whereas the A's again played. The Dodgers got their faces
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ripped off and now have to go to San Francisco.
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That rested favorite coming off a day off is 67 percent, 9% ROI
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this year. San Fran correlative betting
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once again, low total of seven with a favorite upwards of -200
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Giants Also much better bullpen. Like hopefully web pitch is
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great and we light up Sears, but if we got a battle here, one
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advantage is the Giants have the number one bullpen in baseball
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2.68 ERA. The athletics have the third
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worst pen in baseball 5.75 ERA. And I want to back Logan Webb at
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home in particular. He's 2 and O 0.44 ERA on the
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road, 2 and three 3.86 ERA and then little cherry on top and
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boy is it a big cherry. Open up the Juice Reel app and I
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noticed one of the biggest sharp mush edges that I've seen in
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quite a while here. 43% sharp mush edge in favor of the G men
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in the spot. So boy, do we have a lot of
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sharp winning betters in the Juice Reel app who have synced
14:49
up their books going with the the Giants in this one.
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So again, you like the Rangers, you like the Giants.
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Similar opening line, similar line move again.
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I'm going to lay the chalk here with the G men.
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I got a -, 190 at ESPN bet. Next one for you.
15:05
You know, I got to talk Celtics and Knicks to my Celtics.
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Do they force a Game 7? Does their season end tonight?
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Well, I'm hoping they force a game seven.
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I guess they could lose by two and I'd still cover this number.
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But I'm liking I'm liking the Celtics here tonight, guys,
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Celtics and the New York Knicks. Obviously the only game in town
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in the NBA. It's going to be extremely
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heavily bet and we have an opportunity to really go
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contrarian in the spot because this is of course, Game 6.
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The New York Knicks lead three to two.
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Remember Jason Tatum got hurt. Celtics looked like they were
15:37
left for dead and then they stormed back one 127 to one O 2
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in Game 5 to force this Game 6 and I would argue really
15:45
everything has changed since then Now the Knicks good roll
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tonight season's over, they move on but a couple of things going
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on let's start with the betting market.
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One thing I've noticed in the betting market is actually two
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major factors here 1 is that everyone's playing the Knicks.
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If you look at the current bet splits right now at DraftKings,
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68% of betters again big national public book are going
16:06
with the Knicks and at circa you have, let's see, 79% of betters
16:12
going with the Knicks. So right off the bat, just from
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the standpoint of prime time game, 8:00 only playoff game in
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town, Boston, NY extremely heavily bet.
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Everyone's playing the Knicks. So as a contrarian, right off
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the bat, the thing that I noticed is, hey, we can go
16:27
contrarian bet against the public in a very heavily bet
16:30
public game by taking the Celtics in the points.
16:33
But again, as we've learned, or at least maybe hopefully you've
16:35
learned by now, contrarian is a great starting point, but it's
16:38
not the end all be all. You have to have contrarian with
16:41
some kind of element of smart money.
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It's not just enough to bet against the the masses, but you
16:46
got to also be with the wise guys.
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So I think we're with the wise guys in this one based on how
16:51
the market is reacted. Because if when we open this
16:53
game, a lot of books oak open the Knicks basically -2 -, 2
16:58
1/2. Some books at one point opened
17:01
three or got to three. But ever since that took place,
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we've seen this line get back down to 2 1/2.
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And if you look at the juice, there are a couple books that
17:09
are that are actually juicing up the Celtic side plus 2 1/2 -
17:13
115. So basically we're looking at, I
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would argue a line freeze heavy betting the Knicks.
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But this line isn't up to 3 or 3 1/2 or 4.
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It's staying right where it's at, basically 2 1/2.
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Again, some books open 3, some 2, some 2 1/2.
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You split it down the middle, 2 1/2 and it's still 2 1/2, even
17:31
though, again, three out of four bets basically are going with
17:34
the Knicks. So that tells me that the odds
17:36
makers are more reluctant to, you know, they don't want to
17:39
move it up to three or three and a half and give out a better
17:41
number to contrarian Celtics backers.
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They're more concerned about, again, they're taking in all
17:47
this public money on the Knicks, but they're more concerned about
17:49
really looks to me, the Celtics contrarian side circa only 21%
17:53
bets, but nearly 40% of the money is on the Celtics.
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If we look at our friends at Rhythm.
17:59
I have two system matches or predictions lit up on the
18:02
Celtics. One has the Celtics losing one O
18:05
7 to one O 6.1, so that is a spread of plus 0.9.
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And then I have another one where the Celtics lose one O 6.9
18:13
to one O 5.3. That's a spread of 1.6.
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So basically I have a one or a 1 1/2 point game and we're against
18:20
the public getting a 2 1/2 with some sharp line freeze or even
18:23
some reverse line with the three down to 2 1/2.
18:26
I did a three system matches lit up on the Celtics money line.
18:30
I said, hey, if they win, I'll be happy.
18:32
If they, you know, I want, I want this series to continue,
18:36
obviously. But even if they lose by two and
18:39
you cover 2 1/2, hey, we're good with that as well.
18:42
So we're against the public. We are contrarying in an
18:44
extremely heavy back game. Rhythm is telling us it should
18:47
be about a one or 1 1/2 point game and we're getting 2 1/2.
18:50
And then here's the other angle that I'm looking at.
18:53
Maybe I'm a Celtics, you know, Homa.
18:55
Yeah, I got my dunks coffee. I'm just with the salts tonight.
18:58
Actually, that's more of a New York accent.
19:00
I got to make sure my accents are correct.
19:02
I grew up in Western Mass. We don't really have the the
19:04
Boston accent or the Boston. I don't even know how to do it.
19:07
But anyway, it seems to me the play style of the Celtics has
19:12
changed. And I'm not going to say that
19:14
they're better without Tatum, but it seems to me they're
19:17
playing better without Tatum. They're not a better team, but
19:21
without Tatum, again, they're dribbling the ball more, they're
19:25
passing the ball more. They're more in the flow of the
19:28
offense. They're playing with house money
19:30
because Tatum's out and the pressure is now on the Knicks
19:33
and what's not on the Celtics to blow the series.
19:35
It's on the Knicks to close out this series in the Celtics,
19:39
again, in the spot, can kind of play free, play with a chip on
19:42
their shoulder, play with house money.
19:44
That's, again, not a data angle. And again, maybe I'm injecting
19:48
some of my own, you know, eye tests what I've seen since Tatum
19:51
went down. But win one for the Gipper.
19:53
With Tatum being out, Jalen Brown can be the man, which
19:56
again, he's had to defer to Tatum quite a bit.
19:59
And now the pressure shifts to the Knicks.
20:01
You don't want to lose this game and have to go to Boston for
20:03
Game 7. So if this was like a trendy dog
20:06
Celtics or the Lions moving toward the Knicks, I'd say, you
20:09
know, I like the way the Celts are playing, but you know, I got
20:11
to respect the market. The market is telling me we got
20:14
line freeze, contrarian opportunity with Boston.
20:17
And again, Rhythm is saying it should be about a one or 1 1/2
20:20
point game. So I am taking the points.
20:22
I got Celtics plus 2 1/2. Now to finish up the pod, I got
20:28
a win total for you and I happen to have a win total bet on my
20:33
favorite team, although I'm not taking the over cuz they're my
20:36
favorite team. I'm taking the over because
20:38
we've seen some good market movement on the Patriots.
20:42
That's right, the New England Patriots.
20:44
Patriots are, of course, you know, coming off another
20:49
terrible year where they went 4 and 13 twice in a row.
20:53
But I think there's reason for reasons for optimism for the
20:55
Patriots. So let's start off with the
20:57
betting market. Back on April 11th.
21:00
I screenshot of the odds for the win totals when I saw them first
21:03
pop up on ESPN Bet Celtics or sorry, Celtics.
21:06
Patriots had a win total of 7 1/2.
21:08
The over was juice -125. I was going to talk about the
21:12
Patriots win total on the on my appearance with Patrick Maher
21:16
and Dustin Swedelson on Beeson Live tonight on SiriusXM.
21:20
And I looked it up and they're now up to 8 1/2 wins.
21:23
Now the under is -115 but again, they jumped seven half to 8 1/2
21:27
post draft and free agency. And now you're asking yourself,
21:30
OK, why do we think the Patriots are going to be better?
21:33
On the one hand, to me, the most important thing is you have a
21:36
coach who hopefully knows what he's doing drawed.
21:38
Mayo was in over his head, a complete embarrassment.
21:41
I don't even blame Mayo too much.
21:42
I blame Robert Kraft for putting in a guy who had no business to
21:45
be a head coach. But you're going from Rabel or
21:49
Mayo to Rabel should be a big upgrade.
21:53
Van Pelt to Josh McDaniels should be an upgrade.
21:56
You also are getting Drake May in year 2.
21:58
Hopefully you're getting that second year leap.
22:00
You have a ton of money that was spent in free agency bringing in
22:03
Carlton Davis to play opposite at cornerback, opposite of
22:08
Christian Gonzalez. You bring in Milton Williams,
22:10
big big guy on the DD line who won the Super Bowl and was a
22:14
monster in that Super Bowl, getting to Patrick Mahomes, guys
22:17
like Harold Landry, Robert Spillane.
22:19
You bring in Stefan Diggs to help out on offense and then
22:23
also you have Christian Barmore coming back from injury.
22:27
He missed a lot of last year with blood clots.
22:29
Then in the draft, you take a, you know, a gaping hole and fill
22:33
that hole with Will Campbell at left tackle, Trayvon Henderson,
22:37
again running back from Ohio State.
22:39
If you combine the draft with the offseason money they spent,
22:43
to me they're a much better team with a better coaching staff.
22:45
So if you add in a couple other things like the fact that last
22:49
year they were favored 0 times, this year their favorite in 11
22:53
games. Also, they have the third
22:55
easiest schedule. And if you look at miles
22:58
traveled, then it's kind of a wonky stat, but they have the
23:01
6th fewest miles traveled, save an easy schedule.
23:04
Again, in terms of who they're playing, an easy schedule in
23:06
terms of not a lot of travel. So I'm thinking, OK, Patriots
23:11
are in for a good year. But here's where it becomes
23:13
really, really important to shop for the best line.
23:16
All I'm seeing across the Internet is the Patriots win
23:18
totals 8 1/2. Now, that is correct, but it's
23:22
not quite telling the whole story.
23:24
At ESPN bet it's 8 1/2 / - 1 O 5 under -115.
23:30
At DraftKings, 8 1/2 / - 115 under -1 O 5.
23:34
At bet MGM, 8 1/2 / + 115 under -140.
23:40
But at FanDuel, FanDuel the over is 7 1/2 at -145.
23:46
I know it's a little hefty. Caesar's is 7 1/2 / -, 170.
23:50
So my thought process here is, you know, I bet player props
23:54
where it's, you know, I lose by 1/2 yard.
23:57
It happens. I bet, you know, games where I
23:59
lose by 1/2 point, I'm willing to pay a little more juice to
24:03
protect myself so that the Patriots only have to win eight
24:06
games this year. So I took took the Patriots over
24:09
7 1/2 wins at -145 at FanDuel. It's still available.
24:14
But again, you know, I want to save some juice.
24:17
Like, maybe I should just go over 8 1/2 at plus 1/15 at Bet
24:20
MGM plus money payout, obviously better juice.
24:24
But if the Patriots win eight games, what does it matter if I
24:27
lose that bet? I want to win this bet.
24:29
So I'm going to pay a little more juice, protect myself and
24:32
take the Patriots to win eight games this year.
24:34
And I got them over 7 1/2 -, 145 at FanDuel Let's go, Patriots.
24:41
So that about does it for episode 280 of the All Systems
24:44
Go Sports Betting podcast, Powered by Rhythm.
24:46
Of course, this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up
24:50
and I start off first by saying thank you.
24:52
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
24:54
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
24:58
sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
25:00
If you enjoy the pod, could you please do me a solid?
25:02
Give it a five star review. If you're listening on Spotify
25:05
or iTunes, going to leave a nice comment under the review section
25:09
or click that follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
25:11
as it drops each day. It'll be a little pop up
25:13
notification on your smartphone. Or of course, if you want to
25:16
recommend the pod word of mouth, the old school way to a friend,
25:19
they'll be much appreciated as well.
25:22
Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
25:25
sharp contrarian betting, maybe you've now learned to, you know,
25:29
kind of try to leave your bias at the door and bet based on
25:32
what the market is telling you, focusing on bet splits and line
25:35
moves and system matches. Well, if that's the case and you
25:38
want to learn more about data-driven betting or you just
25:40
want to support the pod or maybe have someone in your life who
25:43
could use some more data in their life, you know what you
25:46
should do. You should go to Amazon.com and
25:48
type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:51
That's the first book I ever wrote.
25:52
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
25:54
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
25:56
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
25:59
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
26:02
a bankroll management plan, chapters on all the major
26:05
sports. It's all included in the
26:07
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
26:09
While you're at it, stay on Amazon.com and then type in the
26:13
NFL Sharp Betting Playbook. It's my new book, comes out
26:16
August 12th. We are now less than three
26:18
months away from the debut of my second book.
26:20
I'm so excited about it. But if you want to make my day,
26:24
would you please consider pre ordering a copy from Amazon?
26:28
It'll cost you 24 bucks, but you'll support the team.
26:31
You'll get some good insights. And you know what?
26:34
When you bring the Everything Guide or the Sharp Betting
26:35
Playbook to the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
26:38
I'll buy you a beer. I'll buy you a ginger ale.
26:41
If you don't drink, that's fine too.
26:43
And you know what, we'll get some nachos together.
26:44
So will that equal 24 bucks? Hopefully it'll it'll be a wash
26:47
there for you. But seriously, those of you who
26:49
have already bought one or both, I really, really appreciate it.
26:53
Thank you. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
26:56
and Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
26:58
apps. Help me when they're going to
27:00
help you win. Just go to your App Store on
27:02
your phone and type in rhythm. RITHMMI totally forgot to
27:06
mention I mentioned yesterday though, but WNBA is back.
27:09
We have WNBA live in the rhythm app.
27:12
Also you want to go download juice reel juice JUICEREEL juice
27:18
reel juice reel is where I hold up the tip jar and say hey, you
27:22
like the pod tip your pod, your pod tender.
27:24
What do you think about that? And you can do that by signing
27:27
up to get the all systems go best bet picks from the juice
27:30
reel app. You'll just get them everyday in
27:32
the buy sell to page. Go to the ASG podcast profile.
27:36
All the plays will be there. I put in plays before the pod,
27:39
hopefully get some good closing numbers.
27:41
But again this pod is free and if you want to sign up for the
27:44
all systems go best bets on juice reel.
27:45
It cost you $4.99 a week, 5 bucks.
27:50
Is this pod worth 5 bucks to you a week?
27:51
I hope it is basically a dollar a day.
27:53
But if you want to sign up for those plays I would very much
27:56
appreciate it. We also get the robo Jackson
27:59
best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays,
28:02
the shop for the best line futures.
28:04
Sync up your sports books, have your running report card of your
28:06
action. And of course you'll get those,
28:08
which I always find insightful. Those dollar and bet breakdowns,
28:12
real bets and dollars on spread money line in total for all the
28:15
games in terms of your coming from people have synced up their
28:18
books to the app. So download rhythm, download
28:20
juice reel. Give me a five star review in
28:22
the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
28:25
page? You need one.
28:27
It's so critical if you're going to be a data-driven better to
28:30
have a resource to lean on your Bible, your E*Trade account for
28:34
those of you who trade stocks and all that kind of jazz, but I
28:37
would highly recommend giving odds logic a shot.
28:40
It'll give you every game on the board, live scoring, live lines,
28:44
opening numbers, all the current prices.
28:46
You can see immediately which direction the line is moved.
28:49
Pull up the line history alerts for starting pitchers getting
28:52
scratched, final scores. It's really the best in the best
28:56
price and value I would say as well.
28:58
So if you want to give it a shot, I have a link that you can
29:00
go to. It's podslogic.com/josh 123 and
29:06
you'll get a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your first
29:09
month. So that about does it for
29:11
episode 280 of the ASG pod. As always, powered by Rhythm.
29:15
I'll leave you with a couple things like we always do.
29:17
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
29:21
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
29:22
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
29:25
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino, R.E.M.
29:28
Jam Springfield in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts, or
29:31
by the Nash, the new Nashua Casino up in New Hampshire, or,
29:34
of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
29:37
down. Or Billy Walters sends his
29:38
number runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the
29:41
South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
29:43
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
29:45
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
29:48
you're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a
29:50
beautiful degrom burger. Incredible flashing of the
29:55
leather. Leather in the outfield Texas
29:56
Rangers pick from last night. Also, show me a Dodgers ticket.
30:00
And it was pricey, but boy, what a great sweat when you win 19 to
30:03
2. Nothing better than that.
30:06
First one's on me, next one's on you.
30:07
Then we'll sweat some Friday night games at the Book.
30:10
As always, guys. Two and one, one and two, three
30:13
and OO and three. Whether we're hot, whether we're
30:15
cold, whether we're up or down or just treading water and
30:18
grinding, we always got to stick with it.
30:20
Never get too high or too low. Continue to play the system
30:23
matches and you guys know by now.
30:25
Or if you don't, that's OK too. If you're new to the pod,
30:27
welcome aboard. We're always playing the long
30:30
game, bypassing games that don't fit the model, don't check off
30:33
the boxes and getting down on the games that do, games that
30:36
are against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
30:40
avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that long term,
30:44
we're going to come out on top in the end.
30:46
So hope everyone has a great Friday and even better weekend.
30:48
Go Celtics. Let's get some winners on the
30:50
MLB diamond again, Patriots win total.
30:53
It's going to be a while, hopefully until we catch that
30:55
one. But I will mention, as always,
30:57
no podcast on the weekends, but you can still get my insights by
31:01
reading the sharp reports that I write and tweet out every day
31:04
for visen.com. You can find it on my Twitter at
31:07
Josh under score insights. And again, if you sign up for
31:09
the best bet picks on Juice Reel for the All Systems Go pod,
31:13
you'll get those plays this weekend as well.
31:15
But good luck everybody. Have a great Friday.
31:17
Have an even better weekend. I will see you back on Monday
31:20
for episode 281 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
31:24
podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
31:27
great Friday night.