Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Iran Just Put a Bitcoin Toll on The World's Oil Supply! (The Petrodollar Is DONE) | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00OK, I need everyone to stop because Iran just put a Bitcoin
- 0:06toll on the world's oil supply. A nation under some of the most
- 0:11severe sanctions in human history built a toll booth at
- 0:16the choke point that controls 20% of the world's oil supply.
- 0:21It runs on Bitcoin. The payment window is 3 seconds.
- 0:25The late fee is getting blown up in the country with the most
- 0:29powerful Navy in human history. Can't turn it off.
- 0:33I have been sitting in this chair.
- 0:36Well, we got rid of the old one. I had to get a new one.
- 0:38But I've been telling you for years that Bitcoin would
- 0:40eventually be used by nation states, not because it was
- 0:44popular, but because they had no other choice.
- 0:47I said it would be used by countries that were locked out
- 0:50of the dollar system. I said it would have to be used
- 0:54to settle real value between real adversaries without any
- 0:58banks permission. And now a sanctioned nation
- 1:02installed a Bitcoin toll booth at the world's most important
- 1:05oil checkpoint. They're collecting.
- 1:08The numbers are in. And it's more bullish than you
- 1:11could imagine. Welcome back.
- 1:13I'm Rustin, and it would appear that today is the most important
- 1:16Bitcoin story in the history of this channel.
- 1:18So let's get into it. Send it.
- 1:25They're creating a secondary economy in the world, totally
- 1:29independent of the United States.
- 1:30We won't have to talk about sanctions in five years because
- 1:33there'll be so many countries transacting in currencies other
- 1:35than the dollar that that we won't have the ability to
- 1:38sanction them. All right, let me set the scene
- 1:41because some of you have seen the headline about this, but I
- 1:44don't think the scale has landed yet.
- 1:47The Strait of Hormuz, roughly 20% of the world's oil flows
- 1:51through this waterway, 20%. Before this conflict, 130 to 135
- 1:58ships were crossing every single day.
- 2:01Now, under Iran's new rules, only 10 to 15 ships can transit
- 2:05per day. That's a 90% reduction in
- 2:09capacity at the single most strategically important oil
- 2:13checkpoint on the planet. Here's how the new system works.
- 2:17Tankers must e-mail Iranian authorities in advance with full
- 2:21cargo details. They submit to background
- 2:24checks. They follow designated routes
- 2:26along Iran's coastline. They receive approval from
- 2:29Iran's Supreme National Security Council.
- 2:31And then when it's time to pay, they get a window of only a few
- 2:35seconds to transmit the payment in Bitcoin.
- 2:39A few seconds. Any vessel attempting
- 2:42unauthorized transit quote will be destroyed.
- 2:46So just to recap, Iran just built a toll booth, a Bitcoin
- 2:51toll booth that runs on Bitcoin. It has a few second payment
- 2:54window and a consequence clause. That's genuinely one of the most
- 2:59metal things I've ever reported on in my life.
- 3:05Now mainstream finance is covering the oil angle.
- 3:09Andre Jiek just dropped a video that got million and a half
- 3:12views on the dollar replacement angle.
- 3:15And it's a great video. I watched it.
- 3:17But here's what every general finance channel misses.
- 3:21They don't go deep on the Bitcoin part.
- 3:23They don't understand what it means that Iran specifically
- 3:27chose Bitcoin like Ralphie on Valentine.
- 3:31I Choo Choo choose you. Not the yuan, not gold, not
- 3:35their own currency. We see what happened to that
- 3:39Iran currency. It's, it's pretty bad Bitcoin.
- 3:42That's the whole story and we're going to tell it.
- 3:45Let's do some 10th grade math because the numbers are
- 3:48absolutely insane and I want to make sure you feel them.
- 3:52Iran stole $1.00 per barrel of oil.
- 3:56Empty tankers pass for free. Loaded crude tankers $1.00 per
- 4:01barrel. The largest crude oil tankers in
- 4:04the world carry approximately 3,000,000 barrels.
- 4:08That's $3,000,000 per ship in Bitcoin.
- 4:13At the conservative $1.00 per barrel rate using pre war
- 4:17traffic flows, Iran would be collecting roughly 20 million
- 4:21per day in Bitcoin. That's approximately 281 Bitcoin
- 4:26per day. Now here's where I really need
- 4:29you to lock in. The entire Bitcoin network mines
- 4:33approximately 450 Bitcoin per day total global.
- 4:37That is the complete new supply entering the entire market from
- 4:42every miner on earth. 1 geopolitical toll booth could
- 4:46theoretically absorb 62% of all new Bitcoin supply every single
- 4:54day, and there's a more aggressive number floating
- 4:57around that puts the per ship toll at 2 million.
- 5:01At that rate, with pre war traffic levels, 130 ships per
- 5:05day, Iran would be accumulating 3611 Bitcoin per day over
- 5:10108,000 Bitcoin per month. That is 8 times the total
- 5:15monthly mining supply every month through one tollbooth.
- 5:20I think I saw somebody on Twitter describe this as a
- 5:22sanctioned nation building a Bitcoin treasury through a
- 5:26tollbooth, which is accurate. That's just that is what's
- 5:29happening. Now a quick note on the numbers.
- 5:32The specific figures are still being verified and reported.
- 5:36Some sources say a dollar a barrel, some say 2 million flat
- 5:40per ship. The exact math will get refined,
- 5:42but the mechanism is confirmed, the Bitcoin payment demand is
- 5:46confirmed, and even at the conservative #62% of new supply
- 5:51from one choke point, this is the most significant supply side
- 5:56Bitcoin story since the halving, since micro strategy, since the
- 6:02ETFs. And they alone could accumulate
- 6:05a million Bitcoin in approximately 1 year.
- 6:08And you're not bullish? And here's a detail I love.
- 6:11Iran didn't just wake up last week and decide to accept
- 6:15Bitcoin. Bloomberg reported that over the
- 6:18last five years, Iran has been using Bitcoin mining as a
- 6:22sanctions escape hatch. At their peak, they were
- 6:25responsible for 6 to 8% of global hash rate.
- 6:30Is like Iran, for example, last five years they've been using
- 6:34Bitcoin mining as a way to get around sanctions.
- 6:36So there was they almost hit about 6 to 8% of global mining.
- 6:40If you look at, you know, chain analysis and chain links data
- 6:43was related to was global mining.
- 6:46About 6 to 8% of that was was Iran.
- 6:49And almost about 70% of the Iranian miners were owned by the
- 6:52IRGC. So they were using mining as a
- 6:54way of getting around sanctions for a while, right?
- 6:57So there are countries like that.
- 6:59They're countries like Russia that have used stable coins and
- 7:02and crypto tokens as a way to get around sanctions.
- 7:05But on the flip side, they've been countries like Lebanon,
- 7:07which unfortunately is caught up in this war, decimated, You
- 7:11know, GDP is down 40 percent, 300 or so.
- 7:13Banks are closed. I mean, forget about the, the,
- 7:15the, you know, you cannot find a teller.
- 7:17The whole building is being blown out, right?
- 7:196 to 8% of the entire network from a country under some of the
- 7:23most aggressive sanctions in history.
- 7:26They were turning cheap, subsidized Iranian energy,
- 7:30energy that Western sanctions couldn't touch, directly into
- 7:34unconfiscatable digital money quietly for five years.
- 7:38The tollbooth isn't the beginning, it's the graduation.
- 7:42Let me address the obvious question.
- 7:45Why Bitcoin? Why not?
- 7:47You won? Iran has a massive oil
- 7:50relationship with China. Why not just demand you want?
- 7:54And this is where I want you to pay close attention, because
- 7:58this is the part that the mainstream finance channels
- 8:01literally can't explain because they don't understand Bitcoin.
- 8:05No bank can freeze Bitcoin funds.
- 8:08No intermediary can censor it. No foreign government can seize
- 8:12it mid transaction. Bitcoin represents something
- 8:15entirely different, a neutral, permissionless settlement layer
- 8:19that exists outside traditional geopolitical control.
- 8:24Iran has been locked out of SWIFT, the global banking
- 8:27messaging system, since 2012. They've had oil tankers seized,
- 8:32accounts frozen, gold held hostage in foreign vaults.
- 8:37And then in 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, and the United States
- 8:42and Europe cut Russia from SWIFT almost overnight.
- 8:46A nuclear power financially neutered in 48 hours.
- 8:51Every nation on Earth took note, especially every nation that
- 8:55thought we might be next. So why not yuan?
- 8:59Because if China controls the settlement currency, every
- 9:04nation using it is now dependent on China's goodwill.
- 9:08If China has a bad week and wants to freeze your payment,
- 9:11they can. You just traded 1 dependency for
- 9:15another. Bitcoin solves the trust problem
- 9:19because nobody controls it. Let me give you the most quoted
- 9:22line from this whole story because I think it deserves to
- 9:25be said out loud. Right now, Bitcoin is for
- 9:29enemies. It's almost like Bitcoin is for
- 9:32enemies, because no state controls it, and no state can
- 9:36stop another state from using it.
- 9:39Think about that. I ran in the United States.
- 9:42Genuine adversaries can both transact on the same network.
- 9:47Neither can shut the other out. Neither can freeze the other's
- 9:51funds. The protocol doesn't
- 9:53discriminate by nationality, by political system, by religion,
- 9:58or by how many sanctions you're under.
- 10:01And when stable coins came up as an alternative, someone put it
- 10:04perfectly. If stable coins can be frozen by
- 10:06the US, and they can, they've done it before, then neutral
- 10:09settlement matters. Bitcoin is the obvious
- 10:12candidate. Again, Iran chose the obvious
- 10:16candidate. The yield on Bitcoin is freedom.
- 10:20OK, history lesson. And I promise this is not
- 10:23boring, because it's about to explain everything that's
- 10:26happening in the news right now. It starts in 1971.
- 10:32Nixon closes the gold window. The dollar is no longer backed
- 10:36by gold. It's just paper.
- 10:38So the obvious question becomes, what gives it value?
- 10:42Enter Henry Kissinger in 1974. And this is genuinely wild when
- 10:48you think about it. Kissinger cuts a deal with the
- 10:50Saudis. A simple deal.
- 10:52Saudi Arabia prices its oil exclusively in U.S. dollars.
- 10:56In return, the US provides military protection for the
- 11:00Saudi regime. Now, because every country on
- 11:03earth needs oil, and oil is priced in dollars, every country
- 11:07on earth needs to hold dollars. The dollar is the oil.
- 11:12This is the Petro dollar system, and it's held together for 52
- 11:17years. Here's what that meant in
- 11:19practice. America could print dollars,
- 11:22export them to the world, and get real goods in return.
- 11:25We got cheap oil, cheap imports, and we could run deficits that
- 11:29would have destroyed any other country.
- 11:32But here's the thing that the establishment never puts out on
- 11:35the front page. The entire system depends on one
- 11:38promise. the United States military guarantees safe, free
- 11:43passage through global shipping lanes.
- 11:46That is the deal. That has always been the deal.
- 11:50You hold our currency. We protect your trade routes.
- 11:53Iran just demonstrated in front of every nation on earth that
- 11:57the United States cannot guarantee that 130 ships a day
- 12:01down to 10 oil executives in a panic, Trump begging seven
- 12:06nations to send warships, the US asking for help to keep a
- 12:10waterway open that it promised to keep open.
- 12:13And Oh well, that is happening. Iran is quietly stacking
- 12:18Bitcoin. If Iran gets away with this, if
- 12:21this becomes normalized, you have the blueprint for every
- 12:25sanctioned nation, for every Bricks member worried about
- 12:29future financial exclusion, for every country that's been told
- 12:34play by our rules or lose access, the blueprint now says
- 12:40just use Bitcoin. Oh, and one more detail I nearly
- 12:44forgot to mention because it is Jeff's kiss irony.
- 12:48Trump has apparently floated a joint venture to share the toll
- 12:52revenue with Iran rather than opposing the toll outright.
- 12:56So the American president is considering partnering with a
- 12:59sanctioned nation on a Bitcoin toll booth that undermines the
- 13:03dollar. I don't have a joke for that
- 13:05when it's just the news. All right, this is where we get
- 13:08into the future. And I want to be clear, I'm not
- 13:10going to speculate wildly. I'm going to walk you through
- 13:13the game theory because Bitcoin is game theory crystallized into
- 13:18code, and this situation plays out in a very predictable way.
- 13:23Step one, Iran demonstrates that a sanctioned nation can build
- 13:28sovereign Bitcoin wealth through a geographic choke point.
- 13:32This works. The world is watching.
- 13:34Step 2. Every other nation in a similar
- 13:37position draws the same conclusion.
- 13:39Venezuela, North Korea, Belarus, every country that's been
- 13:43financially excluded, they now have a proven playbook.
- 13:47You don't need to wait for the UN.
- 13:49You don't need to wait for Bricks to design a new currency.
- 13:52You find leverage and you use Bitcoin.
- 13:55Step 3 Bricks members who aren't currently sanctioned start
- 13:59asking, could we? Could we be saying, could we be
- 14:02next? Do we want to be dependent on a
- 14:04system that can be turned off like a light switch?
- 14:07What's our exit strategy? Step four and here's the
- 14:10beautiful chaotic irony. the United States already made
- 14:12Bitcoin a strategic reserve asset.
- 14:14America is officially, allegedly accumulating Bitcoin.
- 14:19So now you have the world's largest economy allegedly
- 14:24accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, and its primary
- 14:28adversary in this conflict also accumulating Bitcoin as a
- 14:32reserve asset through a toll booth.
- 14:34America can't shut down. Both sides of the most
- 14:38significant geopolitical conflict in decades are racing
- 14:41towards the same asset. When the stakes are real,
- 14:46Bitcoin gets chosen. Bitcoin is increasingly emerging
- 14:50as the global shelling point for money.
- 14:53The shelling point is the solution people naturally
- 14:57coordinate toward when they can't communicate or trust each
- 15:00other. You need something neutral,
- 15:02something no one controls, something that doesn't pick
- 15:05sides. Before this week, that was a
- 15:08theoretical argument. Now it has a data point.
- 15:12A real nation under real pressure chose Bitcoin over
- 15:17every other option. And the game theory says the
- 15:20moment even one significant player moves, the landscape
- 15:25shifts. Everyone else has to
- 15:27recalculate. The first significant player
- 15:31just moved. Welcome to the Petro Sat era.
- 15:35Welcome to the beginning. All right, let's take about 30
- 15:39seconds here because I need to diagnose something.
- 15:43For years, years, Doctor Dante talked about this.
- 15:47We've had financial commentators, economists,
- 15:50central bankers, various credentialed journalists, people
- 15:53telling us Bitcoin has no real world use cases, it's rat
- 15:58poison, it's for criminals. Nation states would never use
- 16:00it. The diagnosis It is clear
- 16:03Bitcoin Derangement Syndrome stage 4.
- 16:06Please find your nearest exit at GFY.
- 16:09Here's the treatment. Watch a sanctioned nation build
- 16:13a sovereign treasury through a toll booth using Bitcoin at the
- 16:17world's most strategically important oil passage while
- 16:20simultaneously the United States government holds Bitcoin in
- 16:25reserves. I genuinely hope some of these
- 16:27people are watching this right now.
- 16:29Not because I want to be mean, though I do, but because this
- 16:33moment I ran Hormuz. It's the cure.
- 16:36Hormuz just made Bitcoin easier to understand.
- 16:39That is an actual quote from this week and it's accurate.
- 16:43The most complicated asset class just got a 2 sentence use case
- 16:47that even a central banker can follow. the US dollar system
- 16:51requires trust and military might.
- 16:54Just a function. Both of those are now visibly
- 16:57shakable. Bitcoin requires neither.
- 16:59That's the whole pitch demonstrated in real time at an
- 17:04oil. So beautiful.
- 17:08But OK, let me bring this back to you because I know some of
- 17:11you are excited, some of you anxious, and that's the right
- 17:14answer. Both of those things.
- 17:16Here's what this means in practice #1 self custody is not
- 17:21optional. The time to visit the Bitcoin
- 17:23way is now, because if Bitcoin is now being used as a
- 17:28geopolitical settlement layer, and it is, then you need to
- 17:32understand that the same property that makes it work for
- 17:35Iran makes it work for you. Bitcoin held in self custody
- 17:39cannot be frozen, seized, restricted.
- 17:42Bitcoin held on an exchange, That exchange is 1 government
- 17:45letter away from freezing your account.
- 17:48Iran can't hold Bitcoin in AUS bank, but they can hold it in
- 17:53self custody. You should too.
- 17:55Hardware wallet, your keys, your coins.
- 17:58The Bitcoin way set you up with ironclad self custody, proper
- 18:02hardware, your own node, full on chain verification.
- 18:06So your Bitcoin is actually yours.
- 18:08Not the banks, not in exchanges, yours.
- 18:12Their team guides you through the entire setup step by step
- 18:15until you've mastered it. They can help you with privacy,
- 18:18phones, Plan B, residency, and so much more.
- 18:21No single point of failure standing between you and your
- 18:25generational wealth. Book a free 30 minute
- 18:28consultation right now using that QR code or the link in the
- 18:32show notes and begin your journey towards Bitcoin
- 18:35sovereignty today. The Bitcoin way #2 this is not
- 18:38the top. I want to say this clearly.
- 18:41A sanctioned nation just validated Bitcoin as a sovereign
- 18:46settlement currency in front of the entire world.
- 18:50The wave that follows this nation states competing to
- 18:53accumulate before the supply gets tighter, The Petro dollar
- 18:57losing its monopoly on the global oil trade.
- 19:00That wave is building and you want to be positioned before it
- 19:04arrives #3 stick, don't panic, don't FOMO into a leveraged
- 19:10position, don't go on margin, dollar cost, average stack,
- 19:15stats. Hold your own keys.
- 19:17The game theory of this moment is working in your favor over
- 19:21the long time horizon. The yield on Bitcoin is freedom
- 19:24and freedom just got a real world demand surge from an
- 19:28unexpected direction stack accordingly.
- 19:31Oh just then we have a breaking hyperinflation alert Ladies and
- 19:35gentlemen, what did this war cost so far?
- 19:38Well, it cost about 5 weeks 31 billion.
- 19:41Thirteen dead, 300 plus wounded. In short, they're going to
- 19:45debase you into poverty. So if you ever need liquidity,
- 19:50possibly just to buy groceries in 2026, you can make loans to
- 19:54yourself and pay them off on your own time.
- 19:57Here's something most Bitcoin holders never figure out until
- 19:59it's too late. You're sitting on wealth you
- 20:01can't touch without selling, and selling means taxes, taxes mean
- 20:05bombs, and selling means exiting your position.
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- 21:05All right now, here's what I want you to take away from
- 21:08today. A war happened in that war,
- 21:10whatever its causes, whatever its consequences, accidentally
- 21:14proved something that Bitcoin maximalists have been saying
- 21:17since Satoshi published the white paper.
- 21:20When trust breaks down between nations, when the dollar system
- 21:24can't deliver on its promises, when a country needs to move
- 21:27value across borders that adversaries want to block,
- 21:30Bitcoin works. Not crypto.
- 21:32Not stable coins. Those get frozen with a
- 21:35government letter and a phone call.
- 21:37Not gold. You can't send gold at the speed
- 21:40of light and receive it in seconds.
- 21:41Bitcoin. The Strait of Hormuz just made
- 21:44the world's most expensive Bitcoin lesson.
- 21:47And the students this time are not retail investors.
- 21:50They're governments. Oh wait, are you kidding right
- 21:53now? You came this far.
- 21:55Look at our likes 3 or 4 times maybe.
- 21:58I pump those numbers up. Those are rookie numbers in this
- 22:00racket. It would also appear that people
- 22:02in government are building bunkers and preparing for
- 22:05Armageddon despite the ceasefire and the economy allegedly
- 22:08booming. Yeah, booming.
- 22:10You may want to as well, and our friends over at SAT 123 have got
- 22:15you covered. Bitcoin protects your wealth,
- 22:17but it won't keep you connected when the grid goes down.
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- 22:23It's Faraday bags and backpacks built for people who take
- 22:26sovereignty seriously. Use code simply@sat123.com for
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- 22:37Pay the like toll, subscribe, give us a PAMP and share this
- 22:41with someone who still thinks Bitcoin has no real world use
- 22:44case because apparently it's the preferred settlement currency of
- 22:49nation states trying to build sovereign wealth while dodging
- 22:51the most powerful military on earth.
- 22:53Pretty solid use case. I'm rusting the yield on Bitcoin
- 22:57is freedom. I hope you all have an amazing
- 22:59weekend. Love you guys, catch you next
- 23:00time. If you prefer to go down with
- 23:03the ship.