Latest / Cards & Categories / Ep. 131 : NL West Preview With Taylor Corso

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Ep. 131 : NL West Preview With Taylor Corso · Cards & Categories

• 0:15
  Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome everybody to episode one thirty one of
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: Cards and Categories. I am Mike Coolard and I am
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: joined once again by Jeremy Brewer of Rasball. He's back,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: baby from his trip. How are you doing tonight, buddy?
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: I am doing fantastic. Thank you for allowing me to
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: take some PTO from the from the podcast.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Narrative in your Rassball PTO bank though, so we're gonna
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: have to take out of your bonus.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's gonna be gonna be rough, but I'll
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: I'm sure I can build it back up over the
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: next sixteen to seventeen years. So, but glad to be back,
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: Glad to be talking. And we got we got baseball
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: being played with at WBC. We've got sunshine out there.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: Let's not talk about the storms as just went through
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: the Midwest last night and eight inchil different types of
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: baseballs coming from this. But I'm excited to be talking
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: baseball again. And we guess another We're gonna finally finish
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: out are our divisional previews, and I'm I'm excited about it.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we are wrapping today with the NL West with
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Taylor Corso. So that's gonna be our main course that
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a great conversation on all of the
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: NL West teams because I think there's a lot of
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: intriguing fantasy prospects from all of the rosters just because
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: of you got teams and Flux and super teams. So
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a fun preview. And yeah, another season
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: that we've wrapped up for the previews. So thanks again
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: to all of our guests that have been on. Let's
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: talk about the WBC a little bit because I mean,
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: how much of it have you been watching and maybe
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: what has stood out to you as you were recording
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: this on March eleventh, So we just had Italy beat
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Mexico and Canada beat Cuba this afternoon, so we've got
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: some fun teams making into the playoff bracket. But what
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: has stood out to you for the WBC so far?
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the few things like Italy's looked fantastic,
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: which is just exciting, and you know, there's some some fun,
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: fun names, maybe a podcast favorite of Dominican Zone and
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Vinnie Passequentino doing some cool things for Italy. But I
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: think the thing that just continues to stand out for
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: me is that Japanese team like they just I think
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be unbeatable. They just look so strong pitching, hitting,
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Like the depth there I was, I'm still amused with,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: Like the MVP of the MPB last year is like
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: pinch hitting like half the time. Because you got all
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: these stars from MLB and from the Nippon Professional Baseball
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: League and so it's just an absolutely stacked, stacked team
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: and it's just fun to watch them play. So I
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: think it's gonna be some fireworks as we get into
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: these later rounds here. I won't ask Mark Durosa his
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: thoughts because I don't think he's quite sure how this
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: thing works, but it's it's still been fun. So what
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: stood out for you?
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you can't talk enough. I think about
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Team Italy between just like the way that they're blowing
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: through teams. I mean, Vinnie pas Quentino looks like he's
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: about to have a career year captaining this Team Italy,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: and I mean, well, that's if his heart doesn't give
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: out from all the espresso shots that he's been hitting
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: from After you hit a home run, that's their celebration
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: is to rip a shot an espresso in the dugout
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: which is great that like the Italians, even though they're
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: all American, that like they're leaning into all all the
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: Italy nois that I love that. If you are looking
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: for a little bit more WBC Talk, tune into last
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: week's pod with Kirie Oler from Fangrass. We did a
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: great preview. Her preview series has honestly been the best
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: that's been out there in terms of just most entertaining reads.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: And I still she picked the Dominican Republic to win
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: it all, and I think there's still probably the team
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: to beat for me, because the lineup is crazy good
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: and that bullpen is just lights out. It is a
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: fire breathing bullpen where they've actually done it tonight against
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Venezuela where Sieni al Contra didn't have his a game
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: out the gate, and then they just have been rolling
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: out these relievers and shutting down the entire Venezuelan offense.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: So I think as long as they can lean on
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: that bullpen for the Dominican Republic, they can just let
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: that offense cook and they're gonna, i think, breeze through
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: a lot of teams that obviously the Japanese team is
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: gonna be their their biggest foe, I think because one
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: of the biggest flaws I think we saw that I
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: think that I expected for America was Mark de Rosa,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: And it's funny that that reared its ugly head on
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: top of like they just don't seem to have the
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: same life playing that some of these other teams do.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: And I don't know, it's a combination tightness slash like
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: the pitching also seems like they're just getting warmed up
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: and treating them like spring training. That until Timusa starts
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: playing like their hair is on fire the way the Dominican,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Puerto Rico, Canada, Italy have and actually like really play
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: with a big passion. I just don't know if they're
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: gonna get over that hump.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: I think you're right, Like there is something to said
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: about the WBC, like these other countries treat it like
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: the Olympics or you know, their super Bowl or what
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: do you want to call it, Like they are hyped,
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: They're in there going uh, their pitchers are going deeper
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: into games like they they they It feels like the
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: US is like playing the insurance game, like let's not
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: get hurt, uh, because we don't want to have to
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: talk about it, and you know, go back to spring trainings.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: We gotta be healthy. I mean, let's let's be frank.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: What Treik's Google is not gonna pitch because he doesn't
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: want to risk his contract and kudos, I get it,
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: Like Detroit doesn't offer you an extension in the offseason
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: when you're you know, raining site, raining raining site, young winner,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: like it's it. There's a lot of stake for this
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: those guys of the US team from a contract injury perspective,
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: so they feel like they're playing a little scared. But hey,
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: well we'll see if they advanced, thanks thank you to Italy,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: and we'll see what they can do the next round.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, Well, let's get into some news the notes
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: to cover us before we get into that NL West preview.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: So let's start with some of the bad news first.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: The biggest piece of news we have was Jerks and
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Profar going down with another ped suspension this year out
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: for the entire year, actually a separate drug that he
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: was caught for this time. So I don't even know
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: if there's really too much to talk about from a
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: fantasy perspective for Profar, because I think he's cooked that,
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: like obviously you lost all of twenty twenty six. I
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: don't think that there's much viability going into twenty twenty
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: seven because he will be turning thirty four next February.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: He does still have one year left with the Braves,
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: But that twenty twenty four season with the Padres, when
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: he hit twenty four bombs and had a one thirty
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: nine WRC plus looks hella suspect now in retrospect that like,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're ever going to see that
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: jerks and Profar again, And so obviously I think I'm
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: totally out on him going forward. Anything you want to
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: add on Profar here.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: No, it's the same thing to your point, like it
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: just puts any success the profile has had into question,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: Like this will sound bad, but like the guys that
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: have one suspension, you'll be like, oh, did this something
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: happen like bad doctor directions, didn't understand what they were
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: taking things like that, like you hit two strikes and
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: like you can't there's not an excuse here, like even
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: change what it was. Like you like, if this happens
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: in your like stand up and it was truly mistake,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: it will not happen again because you will have like
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: five doctors like checking what you're doing. You're gonna have
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: like you know, you're gonna be having your own testing
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: going on, like you're not gonna make the mistake because
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: like it's your livelihood. In Profar, it seems like he
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: was he was propping things up, which is I still
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: understand he had a good contract, So what are you
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: trying to do here? But it's he's off, He's off
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: the radar this year, next year, indefinitely.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: Well, so let's focus maybe on the Braves lineup a
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: little bit here, because I think that's where the intrigue
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: actually comes through. It's a it's a funny roster too,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: because they're trying to avoid getting into that tax apron
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: and not bring anybody else aboard. But what that also
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: means is that they have Dominic Smith slated to beat
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: their opening day d H right now, who is projective
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: for a ninety one WRC plus. So we'll see if
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: that holds. I mean, I wonder if there's also a
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: factor of like they could get a salary relief on
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: the the aprons with PROFAR or something that that is
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: strange that there isn't some sort of relief mechanism where
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: if you're getting a total zero this guy and you're
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: not paying him a salary, why is it count against
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: your going into your tax hit. But that's maybe a
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: CBA negotiation thing. Mostly, I want to talk about this
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: because your boy, Mike us Stremsky, he is I just
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: drafted him in TGFBI because I think he's going to
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: get some action gets lefties. There's no reason for him
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: not to given the rest of this lineup. He is
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: also absolutely on fire this spring. So talk of Mike
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: swim See a little bit more because I'm liking him
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: more and more with this profar suspension in giving the
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: pathway to Big Mike here in twenty twenty six.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Like we talked about it earlier in the offseason,
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: he made a notable change when he went to Kansas
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: City as far as his plate approach to the plate,
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: he's picking out the right pitches to swing at, and
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: ever since he did that, he is just mashing. He
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: is absolutely hammering the ball, and like that's one of
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: the things like we always thought that was in there,
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: and when he just decided to hit the right pitches
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: and he just seems like, oh well, I figured something out.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: It's not like he changed his swing and so now
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: he's doing it in spring training, the Braves paid him,
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: saying they expected that he would continue to do it.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Like all the.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: Arrows are port in the right direction, Like y Stromsky's
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: gonna have some value this year. Nobody's gonna see it coming.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: And if it's like, I'm not gonna be surprised if
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: Mike Stromsky, you know, kind of has a career year
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: here with like a twenty five homer, two fifty season
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: with you know, ninety RBI's or something like that. I'm
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's out of the question. Yeah, he's
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: got the platoon risk, but I mean there's not a
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: whole lot else in this lineup on that bench to
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: to say don't don't give it a shot. So I
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: I think he's a big beneficiary here because he's gonna
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: he should be playing every day.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and a great home park for left handed batters too.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: So do you not sleep on Mike grim whoa Mike
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Yastrimsky for this year? I got there, and don't make
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: me spell it, but uh I can barely stumble through
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: saying it. Okay, next piece of news we have is
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: an injury for starting pitcher Hunter Green of the Cincinnati
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: Reds gonna be out through July as he had bone
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: chips removed from his right elbow this week. It was
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: kind of a weird situation in terms of getting us
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: to this point because Green underwent and MRI or said
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: he was going to go under an MRI, and he
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: was like, I don't have any UCL damage. It's like, okay, bro,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Like maybe like you probably do be but the fact
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: that you were saying that and declaring it before the
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: MRI is really strange and very I mean, that is
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: just Icarus incarnate as a starting pitcher, because this is
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: a guy who pumps it up there at ninety nine
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: miles an hour, sits at ninety nine and like if
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: you recall from last year, I believe it was where
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: there was especially the big stretch of all the pictures
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: who were the top hardest throwing pictures going down TJ
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: after TJ after TJ from twenty four and twenty five.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Hunter Green was like the lone guy who was still
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: hanging out at the top of that list, amongst like
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Spencer Strider, Garrett Cole Gram players like that. Uri Perez
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: I think was on that list too, and Somehowhunter Green
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: had avoided it, but now we've got these bone chips
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: on top of Like there's still some worry I think
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: about the UCL here with Hunter Green, even though the
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: MRI said it was clean, Like I don't know, like
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: there were a lot of other indicators that things were
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: going awry before this last year. Only through one hundred
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: and seven and two thirds innings this year, not going
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: to be back till July. I know you're mister injured pitcher,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: but is this one you're still might be avoiding.
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: I'm probably on the fence with this one, just because
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: I think it's the price is gonna be so gushed
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: on low, and like if there's an injury to come
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: back from. From a picture perspective, I'm not as worried about.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: This isn't a shoulder, This isn't a UCL. It's a
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: more of a discomfort thing which is going to cause
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: pain and and really kind of it's gonna maybe decrease
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: a little of your effectiveness. But pictures have pitched through
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: these kinds of things, and so it's just it got
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: to the point where you just can't couldn't deal with it,
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: and it became too much, and so I think that
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: he he him come back. How effective he's gonna be
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: at the end of the season, I don't know, But like,
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: if you look at what he does from a rate
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: basis when he's pitching, it's phenomenal. And so like I
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: think this is a dynasty buy. I'm not as worried
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: about the UCL Like at least we have the report
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: saying it's not damaged and I'm just gonna have to
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: trust the doctors on that one. But you know, he's
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: a guy that he's still young. He throws one hundred
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: mile an hour, his control got better last season, Like
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: all these indicators are good things, and he's somehow a
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: tamed great American ballpark ut there in Cincinnati. So I
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: look at it as a general buy situation. But because
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: for a single season, he's an interesting like after the
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: draft il stash, and from a long term perspective, if
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: you can get him cheap in a dynasty, you're looking
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: at a guy that has ace potential that you're anchoring on.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: So if you're doing surgery, if you're trying to come back,
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: like this is the kind of thing that I'm least
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: concerned of. From a pitching perspective.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: Okay, let's move on to the next injury where we
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: have Josh Hater has been announced that he's going to
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: start the season on the IL for the Houston Astros,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: where he is battling bicep inflammation and tenderness right now
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: in his left arm, which also not a great kind
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: of like thing to be dealing with. That is another
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: kind of streaming indicator for Tommy John surgery. I think
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: what makes this even more concerning is he ended this
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: season hurt last year, but it was a shoulder injury
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: and had all off season to really work through any
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: kinks to get back from that and wasn't able to
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: do it. So this is another guy who throws super
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: hard honestly, has always had a funky motion too, So
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: I'm honestly kind of surprised he's made it as long
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: as he has without running into significant injury issues. You know,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: he started back in twenty seventeen and has gotten to
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: this point. This one I am really worried about, honestly, because,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: like I think Green, I can see your situe what
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: you were saying, and like get more on board there.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: But with with Josh Hater, you're looking at a situation
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: where it didn't end twenty twenty five healthy, didn't get
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: healthy all off season apparently, or injured himself trying to
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: work his way back, and now the kinetic chain is
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: all jacked up, and on top of it, the Astros
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: have him signed through twenty twenty eight, so there's not
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: like a huge incentive, so I think really push him
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: back as hard as they can because this team is
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: also I don't know, it's a little bit on like
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: the border of the wild card. But what's not going
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: to hold him back? It's not their bullpen because Brian
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: and bray you has got to be jumping up into
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: top ten closer territory right now for like the first
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: month at least. But like I said, I think Hater
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: might be out for a decent length of twenty twenty six.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: What do you think and what are you seeing in
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: terms of the way the chips are falling here in Houston?
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so little known facts on this podcast of my
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: base history career. I have no capsule on my shoulder
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: from after I tore a labor and rotator cuff and
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: they went in there like, eh, that thing's so far gone,
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: it's useless and so that that capsule recovery is a
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: lot longer and harder than I think people realize because
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: that's kind of what you know, protects all the joints
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: from rubbing against each other. And since he's been slowed
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: by it, and generally those those capsules can take like
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: a year to really truly recover, and I it seems
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: like he tried to come back too soon, ended up
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: in other scenario issues. It's still Josh Hater, so like
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: you can't completely be out. But they have a great,
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: great alternative and Brian and Brave, so it's it's hard
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: to really invest in in Hater at this point. So
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: he's gonna go for a discount. They seem to be
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: calling that he's going to be back not too far,
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: but like I have a lot less confidence in this.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: You know, he's got like one bullpen sessions, so like
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: it's I think he's a way's way and based on
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: the big contracts, like they have to wait for him
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: to be fully fully healthy because if not, we're gonna
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: be in a situation where he's having surgery in may
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: An that he's out for the whole season. So like
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna they're gonna you know, really wait
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: the time here, So Hater massive talent, big arrow up
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: for Brian Brady.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah. It also strikes me that like Houston could stumble
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: out of the gate because like, honestly, that pitching staff
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: is pretty suspect and they don't have any corner outfielders.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: They just forgot to put together an outfield like that,
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: like you.
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: Say about little Berffedo, Joey, little Perfido.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they picked up because they were salary dumping Hayesu
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: Sanchez like that. There's a decent chance that, you know,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: if they're falling out of the race pretty far by
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: May and things are not looking great, they might just
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: shut Hater down. So there's a lot of things I
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: think going against Hater that, especially when you're looking at
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: the draft cost and if people are a little more
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: hopeful on what he could bring back. I think in
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: every league you're going to find somebody who is or
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: two or three. It's not gonna end well, I think,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: And so there's lots of different other rats to go.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: Closes are already expensive. Don't spend it on an injured one. Okay,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: last injury we've got This one just happened recently last night,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: actually Kyle Teal blew out his hamstring for Team Italy.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Was having a pretty solid WBC through seven played appearances,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: popped a homer, popped a double, and was really a
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: part of the vibe of Team Italy helping putting it
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: all together. Was slated to be in a starting role
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: for the Chicago White Sox, but going to be out
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: four to six weeks with this injured hammy, and certainly
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: a big blow to people who'd been drafting him as
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: like a solid number one. I think he's probably like
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: one of the last number one catchers I would consider,
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of on that ten to twelve border
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: in terms of top catchers. Turn all the attention in
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Chicago to Edgar Carrol. So I think if you're looking
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: for somebody to start the season with and you're in
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: a two catcher format, can't go wrong with Edgar Carroll
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: getting at bats every day. It's not going to be
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: any power, but like you'll get a decent batting average
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: and volume. So good, good way to go. But what
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: do you think twenty twenty six could hold for Teal?
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Especially because you are dealing with a soft tissue injury.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: It looked pretty significant and it is a grade two
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: hand string strain as well as like the White Sox,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: this is one of their key core pieces for their
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: young future. Might not be too willing to rush them
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: through this season.
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you have to look at them coming
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: back probably more in May than the April time frame,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: which is kind of where they're kind of pushing put
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: in right now. I'm actually looking at it as like
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: a opportunity to get what you said as the number
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: one is the number two in those scenarios, because like
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: the catcher is oddly deep, like even for two catcher leads,
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: there's plenty there. So if you need to if you're
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: taking Teal as your number two, and and you know
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: limp and by until May June timeframe, and then you've
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: got now a guy that's arguably a number one. He's
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: gonna run a little bit, he's gonna have some no
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: power and hit for average. Like I think Kyle Teal's
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: got a really big up arrow. We just got to
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: wait for him to get healthy, and the White Sox
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: should do the same. I don't think Whero's gonna be
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: like the keeps him out of the lineup necessarily and
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: so I think he has a chance to come back here.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: But this is a big blow because he should have
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: had a full run and he looked pretty gush dar
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: and mature at the plate last year.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Okay, let's get into some transactions that have happened
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: since we last talked. So first we've got the Blue
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: Jays bringing back Max Scherzer on a one new year deal,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: and so he was useful for a decent stretch of
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: last year. Don't look at that if you cut out
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: that like one blip of a huge seven run blow
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: up against the Royals in two thirds inning back in
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: mid September that happened down the stretch in the second half,
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: like he was a round four e R and eight
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: and a half K nine guy. Like, it's pretty solid
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: for being free, So should be in the back end
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: of the rotation for Toronto. Might not make the first
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: turn through the rotation as he gets ramped up in spring,
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: but someone you're willing to throw a dart on in
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: super late leagues just to get some of the Max
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: stures of magic.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think if there's like the guys from an
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: aging perspective, like mad Max is one of those guys
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: that like, I just don't think you ever want to
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: bet against and I guess like him and Verlinder and
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: kind of in that range, but even Max, I think
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: more than than Verlander that The only thing that gives
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: me pause is like the Blue Jays like are trying
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: to like put together a stable of like how many
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: mid level potential ACE pictures can I have? Like if
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: you look through this rotation is like Gosman, he's shown
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: ace before cease, shown ace before burials, shown ace before punce.
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: He was an ACE over in Japan. Sureser absolutely a
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: for you, Savage. We hope he's an ACE, don't forget
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: we have Shane Bieber hurt. He's He's like, well, they're
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: just gonna like throw all these guys and then hope
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: like they end up with like two aces or something like.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: I'm not quite sure what the plan is. And so
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: that's the only thing that's got me a little drawn
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: back here is like, there are they gonna run a
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: seven man rotation this year? I'm not quite sure what
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: they're gonna do. Now. I think almost everybody just listened
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: off has injury issues too, So I think it'll sort
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: itself out pretty pretty gushdurn easily, but uh yeah, I don't.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: I don't want to bet against Max, And I think
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: he's like oddly into like the Nathany Valdi territory now,
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: or like if you look at the metrics, like he's
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: still pretty gushed ourn solid and he's just gonna get
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: this kind of he's the old Vet kind of thing
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: going on. So I kinda I kind of like Sures
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: are still.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, And I mean I think the other factor
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: here is that for all those Blue Jays, like young
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: pitchers and even punks like coming back from KBO and
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: reintegrating himself into major League Baseball, Max Sures is like
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: a second pitching coach. So like we've kind of outlined
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: this as Verlander has bounced around too, that it is
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an up arrow I give to
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: the rest of that rotation, just having Chures are around
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: to be able to bounce ideas off and kind of
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: learn the art of pitching the way that Schurezer has
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: done it over the years. That it's it's something that
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: you can't quite teach like without having like that first
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: hand experience and kind of seeing it in action in
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: the day and day out, and so that gives me
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: a little hope for like Trey A. Savage going forward
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: and maybe being able to hold that astom that he
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: kind of broke out into last year. Okay, next transaction
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: we have is outfielders Starling Martaes signing a one year
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: deal with the Kansas City Royals. And I mean last
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: year age thirty six, So he did turn thirty seven
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: last October. It was only ninety eight games, but he
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: was solid when he was in there. It was a
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: one to twelve WRC plus with nine homers and seven
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: stolen bases for the Mets, but battled Bawckie knee all
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: year and just kind of fell out of the rotation
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: because of that where it was only one ile stint
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: last year. But like there were a lot of like
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: day to day things that Marte was out for and
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: just couldn't string together games.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: Mostly.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: I'm bringing this up because kind of like Houston, the
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: Kansas City outfield is a bit of a disaster across
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: the board. Like you've got Kaglione, who I do feel
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: much better about now that I've seen him in this
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: spring in this WBC. He does look like he also
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: like is ripped, like he hit the gym and like
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: gotten into a major league weightlifting program that I think
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: CAGs will be solid going into this year. But the
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: other two outfield spots are Isaac Collins and Kyle Isbel
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: So there's daylight here for starving Marte. Are you taking
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: any dart throws and throwing them at at Marte for
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty six?
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: I think Marte is that perfect waiver wire guy that
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: were like your or your bench outfielder of like, hey,
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna put him in there and he's not gonna
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: kill me, and he might be a few stats here
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: and there, like so he's like perfect re replacement level
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: and there's something to be said for that. So, like,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: I think you're right, he's in a good situation. He
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: doesn't really hurt you anywhere. He's not going to really
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: win anything for you anywhere at this point in his career.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: But I like him with the Royals.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think it is a little bit more
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: of like a watch how the Royals use him too,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: because if he does start getting five or six starts
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: a week in that Kansas City outfield, like before you
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: know it, he's going to rack up ten homers and
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: twenty five stolen bases with a decent batting average and
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: actually be like a great fifth outfielder. So watch his
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: usage early in April, I think, to see how much
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Kansas City is using Marte and that'll kind of tell
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: you the story of what your transaction like approach should
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: be with him on the wavewire. So just wanted to
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: put that out there. Next one is Zach Lyttel signing
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: with the Washington Nationals, and so he should be smack
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: dab in the middle of that rotation, coming off of
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: a season where he put up a three eighty one
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: RA over one hundred and eighty six and two. I
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: didn't really see put up one hundred and eighty six
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: and two thirds innings last year. That is bananas between
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: the Reds and the Rays. Much better with the Rays,
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: much worse with the Reds. Overall. It was also a
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: rough FIP at a four to eighty eight, but he
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: has been outstripping that FIP. Not to the level that
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: he had lived last year, but kind of has over
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: the past few years. Certainly a command and control guy,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: but can go the volume, which is I think, honestly,
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: there's also more leagues that are starting to lean into
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: innings pitched as a category instead of wins or qs's.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of why I'm throwing Littel out there
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: as well as like he goes deep enough to actually
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: get wins. Picked up ten wins last year for a
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: back end starter. Any interest in Zach Lyttel with the
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Washington Nationals.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think it's a watch for me,
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: Like the baby plug left on base, look, doesn't strike
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: out enough guys and the Nationals aren't going to give
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: them the wins like it just it's it's not a
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: great recipe for success. So I've got them as a
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: watch at this point.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Yep, I think that's all very fair. Okay, We've got
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: a few updates to that baseball card release calendar that
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: is in the show notes. Also when you're in the
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: show notes, check out those rasp Ball subscriptions. I've been
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: just like doing work with the Warroom tool that Rudy
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: pumps out. It is fantastic. It is great for valuation,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: keeps you on track, so that especially if you're trying
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: to ensure that you're hitting in all the categories and
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: don't want to put together your own manual tracking system.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: The war Room is perfect for that, and then in
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: a couple of weeks time, you're going to be using
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: that streaminator and hitter Tron every day. So sign up
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: for Rasball subscriptions well worth the price of admission, and
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: it will definitely if you also get up to the
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: no ad level, well worth it. So all sorts, just
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: all benefits out of the Rasball subscription. There's a link
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: to it in the show notes. Click on it if
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: you want to. But when you are also in there
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: looking at that baseball card release calendar, you'll see, as
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: we're speaking today on March eleventh, it's Bowman's Best twenty
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: twenty five for release date, hobby only product, which it's
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: actually gonna be a relatively hot product because it's got
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: lots of good autos in it. It's got Otani autos,
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: it's got Kinnor Griffin, Kevin McDonald autos. Obviously they won't
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: be rookies or first but I think there's gonna be
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of Chase cards. So I don't have you
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: been watching the market metch much for these Bowman's Best
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: cards and any thoughts on the set here for twenty
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: twenty five that's being released three months into twenty twenty six.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's it's one of those I've actually
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: thrown off lot. But in these sets right now that
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: are twenty twenty five rookies and things like that, I
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: always love Bowen's Best, Like it's the the Umbfalls. It
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't really hold as value as much as you think
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: it should because the cards look beautiful most of the time.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: So good checklists, good cards, but it's kind of a
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: tough tough sell all price points. So I'm mediocre on Best.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: But if you can find in the wild take a
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: shot or find out card shows digging through, that's that's
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: a really great dollar dollar kind of set.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, And also I mean not a bad one. Probably
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: to get in on breaks too, if you can find
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: reasonably priced breaks. Just because of that auto list, it's
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: a pretty solid auto list for a release like this.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: Obviously it's hobby only, so they're trying to also make
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: sure that the auto list isn't a total skunk when
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: you're sholling out that kind of dough. So something to
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. But the other thing in the card
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: calendar is Top Heritage comes out next week twenty twenty six,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: on March eighteenth, so that's going to be the main
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: portion of our show for next week, and we'll get
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: more into the details of that when that comes out. Otherwise,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: we've got twenty twenty five tops Transcendent on the roster
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: for April first, and a couple of Panini releases between
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: USA Baseball and Donris also coming out in April, so
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: check out those calendars. Check out the show notes for
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: everything else that we discussed here off the bat on
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: the news and notes section. Now we're gonna take a
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: little bit of a break and we'll be back to
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: discuss the NL West with Taylor Corso. Stick around everybody,
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: all right, Welcome back everybody. We are going to get
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: right into our NL West preview and to get into
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: this division, our last division here of our preview series,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: we have brought back Taylor Corso from Prospects Live and
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: the Dynasy Baseball's Pickups Podcast. Welcome back, Taylor.
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: How you doing tonight, Buddy, I'm doing great. Thanks for
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: having me back. Guys.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it is your third time on the pod, so
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: you're getting up there in the pantheon of cards and
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: categories podcast guests. I think you're tied down for the lead.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: So it's it's some rarefied air. But we have brought
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: you on here because you are a San Francisco Giants fan,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: so you know the NL west in and out. You're
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: also coming to us from the West coast, so you
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: actually get to see all these games before you fall asleep,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: and like things last past midnight one am, like all
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: of us folks on Central Time. So let everybody know
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: where they can find your work, Read your work, listen
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: to your podcast, and reach out to you on socials.
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you can find me over at prospectslive dot com.
• 31:29
  Speaker 4: I'm taking a little bit of step back from the
• 31:31
  Speaker 4: writing right now, but you'll occasionally catch me on different
• 31:33
  Speaker 4: articles there. And then the main one is the Dynasty
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: Baseball Pickups podcast that comes out every weekend. It's really
• 31:41
  Speaker 4: Dynasty focused on waiver wire, so it's you know which
• 31:44
  Speaker 4: players to pick up for that particular week and then
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: you know all the news from a Dynasty angle. So
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: I highly recommend anyone who plays in Dynasty League to
• 31:51
  Speaker 4: check it out and you can follow you know, my
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: posts on x It's gonna be at Dynasty Pickups and
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: same thing on Blue Sky Awesome.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: Well, yeah, I can't recommend your podcast Dnasty Baseball bick
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: Cups enough. That's I think it's one of the best
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: ones out there. You and Kyle do the lord's work
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: getting through some of the deeper names out there to
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: be able to put on your watch lists and kind
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: of stay ahead of the game. So definitely appreciate all
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: the work in all of the insights that you guys
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: provide through your podcast because it has made me a
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: tremendously better player since I've started listening to your podcast,
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: So it is one of the best ones out there.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Are we going to get prospective with any of your
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: buys and sells here or they? Are you focusing on
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: more major league players?
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: More major league players, but there's some that are prospectee,
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: I'll put it that way.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Okay, I knew you wouldn't be able to get away
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: from that. I knew you. So let's get right into it.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: Let's get into the NL West. Let's start. If you're
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: not familiar with how we're running this, we go through
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: the division alphabetically and we are going to do one
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: by one sell each person from each team based on
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: current NF data. So I've actually I've set mine from
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: February first through today as we're speaking on March eleventh
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: here just in DC's just because that's where you're gonna
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: get some of the sharpest players as well as since February,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: we've got quite a few drafts I think at this
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: point on the board. Yeah, you're looking at like two
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five ish drafts, So we've got a
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: lot of great data coming through from that. One thing
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind as we get into some of
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: these buys and cells, because Draft Champions is focused on
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: more of like a draft and hold situation, the saves
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: and closer prices will be a little bit inflated. But
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: we'll get into that when we get to some buy
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: buys and cells. But we've also been doing our TGFBI
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: squads and things like that that we've been also seeing
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: the other market prices on closers, and honestly, they're not
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: drastically different from some of these Draft Champion prices. Unfortunately.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Let's start with the Arizona Diamondbacks. They will lead us
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: off here in the division alphabetically first, obviously with that A,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: and they are coming off a season in which it
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: was a mixed bag. You know, they sold at the deadline,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: but still kind of got their way close to the
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: playoffs at eighty and eighty two, and we're in that
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: wild card race right down the stretch as we watched
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: the Mets fade away and almost hand it away to
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: the d Backs and your giants here, Taylor, But in
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the off season picked up Noel Aronado. They've also re
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: added Zach Gallon coming back on a little bit less
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: than that qualifying offer. Michael Soroka signed to be in
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: the rotation. They recently picked up Paul Sewald, who hint, hint,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: we covered a couple of weeks ago with Anthony Hamley,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: our Zen and the Art of Fantasy Baseball Guru that
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: Paul Seawald is somebody who might pick us some saves.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: So gonna be a fascinating team in Arizona. As they're
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: also working their way through alertis Guriel acl injury still,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: so that's opening up a spot finally for Jordan Lawler.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: And they also brought in Carlo Santana. Very smooth of them.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: So Taylor, let's start with some buys. You get to
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: go first of the guests, who you buying based on
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: ADP data from the Arizona dbecs.
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's one of the names you just mentioned, and
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: that's Jordan Lawler. I did some very similar ADP data.
• 35:12
  Speaker 4: I think I did February first through yesterday when I
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: was doing it, but I think he came in at
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: three forty three Jordan Lawler did. And you know, I'm
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: sure that's rising in recent months at you know, as
• 35:23
  Speaker 4: it looks more and more clear that he's going to
• 35:25
  Speaker 4: have potentially a role there on opening Day in the outfield.
• 35:29
  Speaker 4: You know, you look at what he's done in the
• 35:31
  Speaker 4: Majors so far. He's really struggled to get it going,
• 35:35
  Speaker 4: stuggle to find opportunities. Last year he dealt with hamstring injury.
• 35:40
  Speaker 4: But you look at what he did in Triple A.
• 35:44
  Speaker 4: In sixty three games there, he had a one twenty
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: nine WRC plus. It wasn't as good in the Majors.
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: In twenty eight games of the Majors, it was just
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: a fifty two w RC plus.
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: But you look at.
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: The the you know, progression of that. His first thirty
• 35:57
  Speaker 4: three played appearances in the Major's lastlast year, he had
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: a near fifty percent k rate. You know, it was
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: eleven games of the season. You look at what he
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: did in his last oh sorry, zero for thirty three
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: and those eleven games with the fifty percent k rate awful.
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: But you look at what he did his last seventeen games.
• 36:13
  Speaker 4: You're looking at a three thirty three, three ninety five,
• 36:15
  Speaker 4: twenty eight slash, a one to fifty one di orcy
• 36:17
  Speaker 4: plus just a twenty four point four percent strikeout. Right,
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: So we finally got to see the major league version
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: of the Jordan Lawler we all wanted to see last
• 36:24
  Speaker 4: year at the end. Now again, small sample, but he's
• 36:27
  Speaker 4: got that opportunity to win the job. In spring training
• 36:29
  Speaker 4: this year, has been working on learning center field. It's
• 36:34
  Speaker 4: sounding like he's he's going to be fine out there,
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: so you know this this is probably his last real opportunity.
• 36:40
  Speaker 4: Hopefully he can hang on to it. But so far,
• 36:42
  Speaker 4: I think, so good for Jordan Lawler.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and we didn't know he picked our picks beforehand,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: so they're all secret. This was my buye as well too,
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: because the ADP it is starting to rise, as you mentioned,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: but it's still pretty late. That like in my TGFBI draft,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: he went quite late, and he is slated to be
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: the art starting center fielder there in Arizona, so he
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: should pick up third base and outfield eligibility really really quickly.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: He's also just annihilating the ball in spring right now,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: which is what you love to see with the opportunity
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: for homers and thirty three played appearances for a three
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: thirty three, four fifty five, eight to fifteen slash line.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: Gotta love those Arizona spring training fall or those spring
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: training just ballparks and what they can do to those numbers.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: The strikeout rate is great at twenty seven percent right
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: now in the spring, and a great eye to eighteen
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: point two percent. And I've watched a little bit of
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: him centerfield. He looks fine, So I think he's gonna stick.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: I think you're looking at a pretty big breakout season
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: for the twenty three year old Jordan Lawler, all these
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: things combined. Brew what have you thought about Lawler's work
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: in spring training and kind of what you've seen over
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: the years. I know people have probably started to get
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: some prospect fatigue with him, but like I said, he's
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: only twenty three years old, so he's right in his prime. Still.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there's prospect fatigue, but I'd say unfairly because he
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: hasn't really had the opportunity to actually get a run
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: at it. And if you look at what he's done
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: in the minors, yeah, he's been a solid guy. Like,
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: there's not a better twenty twenty maybe twenty thirty profile.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: And it's one of those guys that from the speed
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: size thing, especially this late he's a good speed. He's
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: not one of those volume speed guys who just runs
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: until he's thrown out. Like he's he's good, he makes
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: good choices, very high success rates there. He's looked even
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: better in the spring. He's like your point, the power
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: is coming through more than I would expect. I thought,
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: you know, the power is going to be the thing
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: that guys takes a little more time to develop. But
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: that ballpark there in Arizona's not going to be too
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: bad for him there. So I like, I like this pick.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: There's probably my one be to my one A. It's
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: just I have a little heart throb here on the
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: Diamondbacks that I like a little bit more, which cool.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: You probably know who that is. But yeah, it's it's
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: a good pick. I have no problem with it. I
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: would buy Lawlor at that price because it's free and
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: there's a really really strong upside here.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Okay, I Actually, I don't know who your one A is,
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: so give it to me.
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: All right, So we're gonna stick with the prospect theme.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: Go further down the list and give me a Ryan Waldschmidt.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: I absolutely love the guy. You know, you talk about
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: profiles of young guys and the miners and just making
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: the most of it. I absolutely love a profile the
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: guy that walks as much as he strikes out, and
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: that's that's who Waldschmidt is. We're talking about last year
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: sixteen percent walk rating against the seventeen a half k rate,
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: eighteen homers, twenty nine steals. Honestly, I don't think he's
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: the same burner that Lawler. Is not nearly as efficient
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: at what he's doing there. But like, this is a
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: thirty homer bat in his prime, and I don't see
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: how they keep him down that much longer. And I
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: think there's a chance that he breaks breaks camp with
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: the team. And we're talking about a guy that's going
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: off the board after the pick four fifty, so I
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: believe that's called free. So go ahead and to pick
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: him up. But I think he's gonna do great things.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: And even if he's not up early, you know, when
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: he does get the call. I think it's gonna be
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: absolutely worth it. He looks like a very, very mature hitter,
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: even at the age of twenty three.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that. I've loved Ryan Waldschmidt's profile for
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: a while. Uh, Taylor, what have you thought about wald
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Schmidt and his kind of meteoric rise through this Arizona system.
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: Oh, I'm a big fan. I was pumping him.
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: I think I was the highest that prospects live on
• 40:18
  Speaker 4: him during the FIPD in the draft year. So I've
• 40:21
  Speaker 4: been a fan since he got drafted, basically, and he's realized,
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: you know everything I hoped. You know, you got the power,
• 40:27
  Speaker 4: you got the speed, you got the great approach, good
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: hit tool. I mean, it's really the full package.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 40:34
  Speaker 4: He hasn't really played above double A, so it's going
• 40:37
  Speaker 4: to be tough for him to break into that lineup
• 40:40
  Speaker 4: if Carol's ready to go, which it seems like he
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: will be. But I'm with Brew, I think it's probably
• 40:46
  Speaker 4: gonna be not that long that he's down there. I
• 40:49
  Speaker 4: think a lot of it's going to come to what
• 40:50
  Speaker 4: else they get out of like an Alec Thomas, who
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: has looked good this spring, but we've seen a lot
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: of Alec Thomas, and you know we've seen him fail
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: a lot. So you know, I think he's got a
• 41:00
  Speaker 4: thousand ops in the spring and a thousand ops in
• 41:02
  Speaker 4: the in the WBC, but you know, it's one of
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: those where he's got to prove it in the regular season.
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: I think he's gonna be on a fairly short leash
• 41:11
  Speaker 4: if Walschmidt just continues to demolish the miners.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I totally agree. Let's get into the cells, Taylor,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: who you selling from the DBS?
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, this one I feel pretty strong about. It's Heraldo Perdomo.
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: It's really cool.
• 41:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I went pretty chock with with some of these picks.
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: Really comes down to where he's being picked. You know,
• 41:30
  Speaker 4: eighty six in ADP. It's like everyone's assuming he just
• 41:34
  Speaker 4: is this guy who he was last year, and nothing
• 41:37
  Speaker 4: prior to last year shows us that he's that guy.
• 41:39
  Speaker 4: You know, he'd never previously hit more than six home
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: runs or stolen more than sixteen bases in a season.
• 41:44
  Speaker 4: You look at the quality contact metrics, the evs are
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: are lackluster. You look at the expected stats, he outperformed
• 41:50
  Speaker 4: him last year. I mean, I don't think he's gonna
• 41:53
  Speaker 4: be what he was prior to last year. I think
• 41:55
  Speaker 4: there's some real skills growth there, but I think people
• 41:58
  Speaker 4: are really expecting a lot of They're expecting like twenty
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: twenty bat hitting, you know, close to three hundred. I
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: think you're gonna get a good batting average, but I
• 42:04
  Speaker 4: think your your home runs and stolen bases are going
• 42:07
  Speaker 4: to be pretty disappointing. And for me, I would rather
• 42:10
  Speaker 4: take a shot on like a Trevor Story Who's going
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: later than I would on a Heraldo Perdomo just based
• 42:15
  Speaker 4: on the value.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I totally agree, and that's what it is.
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: Like.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: I love Heraldo Perdomo. I think it's a great profile.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: I think he's a great player, and I think he's
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: going to stick at the top of that lineup. But
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: it's all about draft price and when you're paying. It's
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: currently an ADP of like eighty six with a men
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: of sixty four right now the past month and a half.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: That is very, very rich, and you're counting on what
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: he did last year, which don't get me wrong, it
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: was amazing. It was a one thirty eight WRC plus
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: with a two ninety average, twenty homers and twenty seven
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: Stonlee bases, but that screams career year. And the nice
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: thing is Perdomo's glove will keep them on the field
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: and it'll keep them in the lineup. But I think,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, all of the projections, if you type in
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: what they are, they're not going to kick out what
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: that actual draft value is because all of them are
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: bringing him back to mid teens homers and like twenty
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: year steals with like a two seventy ish average, which
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: when you also go to a Savant page two, it
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: is red, but it's not red where you want it
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: to be red, because it's it's not red on bat speed.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: It's not red on hard hit rate or bail rate
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: or exit VLO or x slug. It's all the other
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: indicators that actually scream this is a dude who had
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: a hot streak of all hot streaks, because when you
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: especially are looking at a great sweet spot and a
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: great squared up rate and actually like he outperformed as
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: XBA by twelve points as well, that like the XBA
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: was only two seventy eight when he hit two ninety,
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: it screams career year. It screams peak. And so I
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: think people are going to be sorely disappointed if you're
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: looking for another twenty twenty season out for all the
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: predomo just because I don't think he's got the juice
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: so love him as a player, but can't do it
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: at the current draft price. Yeah. Agree.
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: I was actually just looking at my top one hundred
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: rankings because he's going off the board. I think, uh
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: in the forty ninth hitter, and I think I had
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: him on sixty ninth hitter, on on on mine, and
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: so like you, you drop down you know, another like
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: five or six rounds, and I'm like, yeah, that that
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: feels about right, because you know, I agree, there's some
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: real progression here, but it's you're not gonna have the
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: same year. You just won't have the same year. And
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: if you're banking on that, it's not gonna happen. So
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: he's not he was not my my cell, but mine
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: is a much simpler sell. But I fully agree.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: So who are you gonna sell them?
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna sell corbyin Carroll just because I hate I
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: hate handmade injuries. And I know he's probably gonna be back.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: I know it's gonna be but like he's he's a
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: guy that we've seen some streakiness before, and I just
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking of like Francisco Alvarez last year, and I
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: know that's like a completely asinine like comp for Corbyn Carroll,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: but like from a pure recovery perspective, like we've seen
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: it time and time again with these handmates, where it
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: just takes time for that power to come back. And
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: I'm sitting here looking at Corby and Carroll like, are
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: we going to truly get like the power that we
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: saw last year and expect that to come through like
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: thirty one homers thirty two steals? Or are we sitting
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: here looking at a guy that's gonna be more like
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: fifteen eighteen homers and maybe the thirty steals and the
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: two sixty average, Like, don't get me wrong, so valuable,
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: but my first round pick, or rather be in the
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: second round, Like I don't feel comfortable angling into that,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: Like there's so many other paths you can know for stability,
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: So I think he should be going like late second,
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: early third right now until we see that like the
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: powers coming back, and I think somebody else is gonna
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: take him before before I get there. So it's very simple.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: I don't want the injury, so I'll pass and then
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: let somebody else deal with it.
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm there too. Taylor brew and I
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: have kind of talked a little bit since the Handmaide
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: injuries about how we're handling them and just really fading
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: them and staying away. What has your approach been for
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: these handmade guys between Carol and Francisco, Lindor and Jackson Holliday.
• 46:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, like for me, like for Carol and Lindora, I'm
• 46:05
  Speaker 4: probably dropping him about around unless it's like you know, NFBC,
• 46:09
  Speaker 4: where you don't have any eye olt and while you
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: know the recovery process for hand made injuries is fairly straightforward,
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: you just never know what injuries like. I don't want
• 46:16
  Speaker 4: to I try not to start with too many guys
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: hurt because I know that, you know, maybe even by
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: the time the end my draft stud I'll have a
• 46:23
  Speaker 4: couple of guys who hurt. So I generally try to
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: stay away. But I think, you know, long term, I
• 46:28
  Speaker 4: don't have any concerns from like a dynasty standpoint, from
• 46:30
  Speaker 4: a rejaft standpoint, like you guys, I'm just it's a
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: headache I don't really want when you're picking that early,
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: you want something that you are sure of what you're getting,
• 46:39
  Speaker 4: and I think you're a little uncertain about how that's
• 46:42
  Speaker 4: going to affect him, at least in the early part
• 46:44
  Speaker 4: of the season.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I think we're all on the same page there.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: So let's move on to maybe the main show of
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: the podcast, the main show of my approach for fantasy baseball,
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: that's for sure. The Colorado Rockies here went forty three
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: and one nineteen last year, probably setting up to be
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: just about the same this year. So it is a
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: fascinating squad as Paul D. Pedesto has been hired and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: brought into the front office. But also at the same time,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys saw this recently, but
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: fangrass was running like openings where they post jobs sometimes
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: for teams, and one of the ones that they posted
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: was for the Rockies and it was literally an entire
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: just like R and D slash analytics department. So it
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: shows you where they have to come to be able
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: to get themselves on board and up to par with
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: the rest of the league. It's going to take a while.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: Has been a relatively busy offseason for them compared to
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: what they've done previously, they brought in Jake McCarthy and
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: Edward Julian on some trades and then also have picked
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: up Michael Lorenzen, Jose Kintana, Tomoyuku Yi Sugano, and it's
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: going to be a rough, rough pitching staff. I can
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: say that that when Sagano signed, I've been joking with
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: some folks that if you're in an anti fancy baseball league,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: where like, if you're in a points league where you're
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: trying to get negative points, Tomyuki Sigano might be your
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: number one pick because him and Coooris Field is going
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: to be an absolute disaster I think. But with all
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: that said, honestly, lots of intriguing bats in this lineup,
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: not only from an everyday perspective, but especially if you're
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: in a daily league. You've got to attack some of
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: these Rockies players to get them into your daily lineups
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: to try to maximize some of that cooris Field time.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: And you can do it pretty cheaply in drafts. So, Taylor,
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: who you buying from the Rockies.
• 48:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, before we get into that, not a Rocky. But
• 48:27
  Speaker 4: I got the WBC Italy versus Mexico game on and
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: the background muted if you guys caught this, But vinnyp
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: just hit his third home run of the game, first
• 48:37
  Speaker 4: time I think ever in WBC that a players hit
• 48:39
  Speaker 4: three home runs. So, guy, I saw my eyes pop
• 48:41
  Speaker 4: out of my head as we're recording here.
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: That's what happened.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: But the back to the Rockies, Yeah, from from the
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: highest highs to the lowest flows.
• 48:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so on the you know, we got to have
• 48:53
  Speaker 4: a downer note here to talk about the Rockies. So
• 48:56
  Speaker 4: speaking of a downer note, I'm gonna talk about a
• 48:57
  Speaker 4: guy who you know, his stocks down after poor year
• 49:00
  Speaker 4: last year.
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: That's Breton Doyle ADP of one sixty two.
• 49:04
  Speaker 4: You know, you look at what his performance was in
• 49:06
  Speaker 4: twenty twenty four, you know, he looked like a breakout player.
• 49:09
  Speaker 4: You look at what he did last year. It was
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: really disappointing, you know, but there's some extenuing circumstances going
• 49:15
  Speaker 4: on behind the scenes that I think you have to
• 49:16
  Speaker 4: give him a little bit of pass for last year.
• 49:18
  Speaker 4: So early on the year, him and his family experienced
• 49:22
  Speaker 4: a really difficult off the field tragedy and I think it,
• 49:26
  Speaker 4: you know, really impacted him. And we got to remember
• 49:28
  Speaker 4: these guys are are humans, you know, they they have
• 49:31
  Speaker 4: to deal with emotions and family stuff and everything like that.
• 49:34
  Speaker 4: And you know, you look at just the progression of
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: his season again, he really really struggled in the first
• 49:39
  Speaker 4: half as he was going through this stuff. In the
• 49:42
  Speaker 4: second half, though, he looked more like his twenty twenty
• 49:44
  Speaker 4: four self. So after the All Star break two eighties two,
• 49:47
  Speaker 4: three oh seven, four sixty two slash, eight home runs,
• 49:50
  Speaker 4: nine stolen bases in fifty six games. I mean, that's
• 49:52
  Speaker 4: what you're getting him for, is that power speed. I
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: think he can bounce back this year. I think people
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: are going to be even a little bit more down
• 49:58
  Speaker 4: on him because he missed some time this preseason due
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: to a risk injury. But he's back in the lineup.
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: He stole a base in his first game back from
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: the injury, so I think he's he's fine. It was,
• 50:08
  Speaker 4: you know, a short absence. I don't think it's gonna
• 50:10
  Speaker 4: be a lingering risk injury hopefully, and so far, you know,
• 50:14
  Speaker 4: as of yesterday and four spring training games, I think
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: he's hitting three sixty four. So I just you know,
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: really like Breton Doyle is like that power speed guy
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: that's not gonna that you're not gonna have.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: To pay up for yep. I totally agree. I think
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: this is one of the great buys on the Rockies.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: That The other factor two is when you go to
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: the roster resource page for the Rockies, you'll see a
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: lot of platoons. Doyle's not gonna get ever platoon just
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: because that center field defense is gonna play no matter
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: what every day. So great, buy here, brew, Who are
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: you buying from these Colorado Rockies.
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just gonna be consistent and continue to just
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: go down the draft work even further and go for
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: pick five hundred this time, and I'm gonna go Zach Been.
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: And part of it's just because he looks absolutely jacked
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: the spring, and you know it's spring besta for your
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: life kind of season. We got it. We got to
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: give him a chance. And you know, he's he's hitting
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: the ball well the spring. He's hitting two fifty, hit
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: two homers already. And this has been a guy that
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: generally has you know, he had a high prospect pedigree.
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: You know, he's hit relatively well the last years the miners,
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: and he looked pretty dreadful at times when he may
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: got into the majors. But I think that he's still
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: got a lot to give. He's got good speed, he
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: looks like he's as healthy as gonna be. You know,
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: he struggled with some off the field issues as well
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: himself last few years, and he's see seeming to say
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: they get the straight and narrow version of zach Veen
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: at this point, at least that's what the reports are saying.
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: So I think he's got a lot of potential. I
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: look at that outfield and they go, there's lots of
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: guys out there. But I'm not sitting here going like
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: there's anybody that's good that should have a long leash.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: Now I have to caveaut us all with the rockiness
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: of this, which is every prospect that's ever been in
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: the Rockies uniform outside of like Ezekiel Tovar for some
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: reason like let's try to bury him in the depth
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: chart and then wait till they're twenty seven to I
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: actually give him a shot. So that's completely what could
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: be happening with zach Vien. But I think that there's
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: a lot of upside here for very very little outlay,
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: and you know, you might be back into a Briton
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: Doyle type season without too much effort if he gets
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: a full run of it. So I like Zach Viene.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of upside there. Pick five hundred.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it too. The outfield is going to
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: be tough to crack, but I think first injury that happens,
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: or if anything, just kind of goes to where Ving
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: is unstoppable. I think he is up that there's no
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: reason to stop him from being on the squad. So
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: solid pick Okay, Well, I said this was going to
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: be a main show for me because I double dipped.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: I picked two buys because I can't stop buying these
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: guys in every draft. And Brew knows this and I've
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: been talking about it all off season. First guy is
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: Willie Castro. He's eligible everywhere and that is going to
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: be Fantasy gold. He's going to be the starting third baseman,
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: place a switch hitter. He's playing every day for the
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Colorad Rockies. Fantastic blue guy for your roster that I've
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: been trying to pick him up everywhere just because of that.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I don't even need to necessarily get into like the
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: stats and everything, because it's just a pure volume placed
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: based utility play that has half of his games in
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: Cooris field, especially if you're in a daily league like
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: that is found money all day long, going to help
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: you out at second base, shortstop, third base, outfield, and
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: so it's just a perfect roster piece I think for
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: five by five rodo. The other one is Jake McCarthy.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: It's so late that it's like ridiculous how free he
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: is that Like, I think there are lots of drafts
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: that like, he's getting lost in the EIGHTYPCE shuffle. It's
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: an average of four to seventy nine over the past
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: month and a half and he's running wild in the spring.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: That like that shows me Jake McCarthy's ready to go.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: The power is going to be lacking. But you put
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: Jake McCarthy a contact maven in Coori's field, I mean
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: there's a possibility he hits three hundred plus at home
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: and is on base so much that he gets up
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: to thirty to forty stolen bases I think for the Rockies.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: So the Rockies don't necessarily care about like all the
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: other kind of stats around Jake McCarthy, even though you know,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's the best outfield profile in the corner.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: But I think they're just gonna let him go and
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: see if he can actually like prove that he's got
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: enough value to be traded at the deadline. So I
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: think until the deadline, Jake McCarthy's got full run, assuming
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: no injuries happened. So there you go. You got two
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: from the Rockies for me. Castro and McCarthy. I think
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: they're valuable assets for where they're going in drafts.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll let Taylor pine if he wants on the
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: actual quality of the picks. I was just sitting here going,
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: I wish that you would have give me a chance
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: predict your picks beforehand, because this was a slam dunk.
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: I knew exactly the two you're gonna call out. So
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: Willie Caster, Jake McCarthy, those are your love children from Colorado,
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: So not surprised that you made those picks.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, what do you think in Taylor?
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: I like both of them actually, and love that the
• 54:58
  Speaker 4: ving pick too, Shape of your Life season. And then Ven
• 55:01
  Speaker 4: shows up with forty pounds of muscle and uh, you know,
• 55:05
  Speaker 4: changes his life. You know that that that's the real
• 55:07
  Speaker 4: best Shape of your Life season. So I'm a big
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: fan of that pick. And then and then your your
• 55:10
  Speaker 4: pick's Mike Uh. You know, I like Castro as well.
• 55:14
  Speaker 4: I think he, you know, in it just to the
• 55:15
  Speaker 4: positional versatility. He kind of like is a little bit
• 55:19
  Speaker 4: of average in every category, Like he's not gonna kill
• 55:21
  Speaker 4: you in ratios, he's not going to kill you in
• 55:24
  Speaker 4: uh in home runs and steals, and then he's you know,
• 55:27
  Speaker 4: gonna compile those those runs in RBI. So I really
• 55:30
  Speaker 4: like that pick. And then Jake McCarthy, I agree. It's
• 55:33
  Speaker 4: funny because I was on this episode last year when
• 55:36
  Speaker 4: we were talking about the Diamondbacks and my cell was
• 55:38
  Speaker 4: Jake McCarthy. Uh, And I just, you know, I just
• 55:41
  Speaker 4: didn't see there was enough there for him to hold
• 55:43
  Speaker 4: down the job. That's different now in Colorado. And you
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: look at Jake McCarthy as a player. When he's been good,
• 55:49
  Speaker 4: he's had really high babbebs, and when his babbit falls,
• 55:51
  Speaker 4: he's not very good. That that that's what props him up,
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: is that babbep. There is no better place to go
• 55:57
  Speaker 4: for a babbit than coors Field. So I definite only
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: think Jake McCarthy can give you a pretty big return
• 56:04
  Speaker 4: on investment if he can benefit from that babbitt at
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: Coors there, and I think he will okay.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Well before we get into the cells, I'm gonna just
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: teed up because I wouldn't be surprised if you guys
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: are also going this route. I'm just selling all pitching.
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: I don't want any of these Rockies pictures on my
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: roster period, even Victor Vodnik. I'm not playing with any
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: this fire. So I'm just gonna lay that out there.
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: There's no starter with rostering. I'm not even going to
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: try to, like do Chase Donander on the road just
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: because the ups and downs of Coors.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: Field is just too much.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: Vodnik not only is the an erratic reliever, but this
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: Rockies team is going to really really struggle to get
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: to forty five to fifty wins, So that's already limiting
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: the number of saves you're looking at. There's nobody on
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: this entire pitching staff that I want anything to deal
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: with from the Rockies, don't matter the price. Are you
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: guys in that same boat where you're going to do
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: the same sort of cell or do you have separate cells?
• 57:05
  Speaker 4: I have a different cell, but I agree with you completely.
• 57:08
  Speaker 4: I'm firmly in the never draft A Rocky pitcher camp
• 57:11
  Speaker 4: regardless of the starter reliever.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: I think that's fair.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is kind of like the Los Angeles Angels
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: discussions we had. I'm just a general sell the team
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: perspective there, but I do have a sell individual cell
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: as well. But I will not disagree with your approach.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Okay, well, Taylor, let's get your individual cell.
• 57:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is going to be interesting.
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: One.
• 57:30
  Speaker 4: It's Hunter Goodman going at sixty ninth overall. And what
• 57:34
  Speaker 4: is so weird is like the variance between where he's
• 57:39
  Speaker 4: valued in like an NFBC league or like just the
• 57:42
  Speaker 4: redrafts leagues I've been in, and where he's valued in
• 57:44
  Speaker 4: a dynasty league despite the fact that he's twenty six
• 57:47
  Speaker 4: years old, because you look at an NFBC, I think
• 57:51
  Speaker 4: he's like going as the fifth catcher off the board
• 57:54
  Speaker 4: or something like that, like really high up. But you
• 57:56
  Speaker 4: look at I had two dynasty startups this this Offseas
• 58:00
  Speaker 4: and Goodman was the tenth major league catcher off the
• 58:04
  Speaker 4: board in one and the eleventh major league catcher off
• 58:06
  Speaker 4: the board in the other one. So it's like no
• 58:08
  Speaker 4: one was buying a one Hunter Goodman. I finally took
• 58:10
  Speaker 4: him in one of them because I was just like,
• 58:12
  Speaker 4: at this point, the value is worth it. But I
• 58:14
  Speaker 4: don't really buy in to Hunter Goodman. And it's not
• 58:16
  Speaker 4: about the power. I mean last year to seventy eight average,
• 58:20
  Speaker 4: thirty one home runs. I definitely think the power is real,
• 58:24
  Speaker 4: but that batting average is definitely not real. You look
• 58:27
  Speaker 4: at his swinging strike rate sixteen point three percent, He's
• 58:30
  Speaker 4: going to strike out a ton. That average is coming
• 58:33
  Speaker 4: down regardless of you know, the Coors effect U seventy
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: percent contact rate. That's really bordering, and I think that
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: could fall a little bit too. And then you look
• 58:43
  Speaker 4: at again going back to the expected stats, he significantly
• 58:47
  Speaker 4: overperformed them last year. I think he's a solid catcher.
• 58:51
  Speaker 4: I think if I could take him in redraft as
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: like the you know, seventh to tenth catcher off the board, sure,
• 58:58
  Speaker 4: but he's going far sooner than that, and I can't
• 59:00
  Speaker 4: do it with all the quality options that catch it there.
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, And I mean, I think you're probably right too.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: And in terms of dynasty that like, this team is
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: got no catching in the entire system. It is awful.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: So Hunter Goodman is the catcher of the future in Colorado,
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: whether they like it, or not so, uh, Brew, I
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: saw you not and while he was talking Hunter Goodwin,
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: I'm missing yourself.
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: It's this. I love it. This is my cells. Everything
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: you're said, like you can go, you know, rounds later
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: and get the Drake Baldwins. You can wait like ten
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: rounds and get like Adley Rutschman somehow. So like there's
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: so many other options, and he's he's riding that babe
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: look and like he's gonna be volatile. He's he's gonna
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: have awesome season like this, he's gonna hit two twenty
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: and hit twenty homers like one of these seasons. Like
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: it's it's gonna be a roller coaster and it's not
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: worth a fifth, sixth round pick, Like that's just not
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: not worth it.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: So easy, easy, Cell, Yeah, yeah, I think I'm on
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: board with everything. You guys a saying that there's lots
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: of different routes to go with Catcher and Goodman's just
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: the floor is so low here. It's gonna be brutal
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: if he can't make the contact that he did last year. Okay, well,
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: let's move on to the world champion Los Angeles Dodgers next,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: coming off that World Series win and winning the division
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: with a ninety three and sixty nine record. This is
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: quite the lineup is quite the murderers row now where
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, honestly, they're returning everybody, and then they added
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Kyle Tucker, so it just kind of got even better
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: that they picked up the best bat in free agency
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: this offseason. The pitching side again returning everybody, but now
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: they're getting full blown two way show Hey Otani who's
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: slotting in and the number three spot in their rotation.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: Added Edwin Diaz as well to the back of this bullpen.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: That was maybe the one sore spot that they had
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: all of last season was that bullpen, and they shorted
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: up with the best guy they possibly could. So I
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: don't know if there's any kind of more we can
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: say about the Los Angeles Dodgers. They've got I think
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: the highest all time World Series probability odds on fangrafts
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: going into a season of ever right now, which is
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's at like twenty seven percent or so.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: So this is the odds on favorite for the World
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: Series winners again in twenty twenty six, and it's hard
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: to disagree with that, unfortunately, So sorry to lay that
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: all in front of you, Taylor, as you're wearing your
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: Giants hat, and we'll be rounding out this preview with
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: your favorite team. But who is your buy here from
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers because there is a lot of fantasy options
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: here on this roster.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely a lot of different buys to choose from.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 4: I'm going a little bit older this time around. I'm
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 4: going with tay Oscar Hernandez adp of one thirty three.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 4: This is a guy who I feel like gets lost
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 4: a little bit in that that great lineup. I think
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 4: in many other lineups, you know he'd be more of
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 4: a standout, but he again just gets kind of buried
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 4: in just a lineup full of all stars. But you
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 4: look at what he did last year. He had, I think,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 4: by most measures, a down year compared to prior seasons,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 4: but he still hit two forty seven with twenty five
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 4: home runs, and his WRC plus one O two was
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 4: the worst since his rookie season. So if that's his
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 4: worst season, that just tells you how good he's been.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 4: It came out this offseason that he had been playing
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 4: through a groin injury. You look at what he did
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 4: prior to the injury, that he suffered in May. He
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 4: had a one forty nine WRC plus after the injury,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 4: just an eighty six WRC plus for the rest of
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 4: the season, and the OBP in particular cratered. It was
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 4: his worst walk rate of his career, and even with
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 4: all that being said, there were some encouraging things.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 3: Last year.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 4: He posted his highest contact rate of his career, his
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 4: second highest zone contact rate, his best strikeout rate, his
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 4: third best swinging strike rate the BABB It was the
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 4: lowest it had been since his rookie year, which this
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 4: is a veteran. His rookie year was a long time ago,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 4: and he significantly underperformed his expected stats. Quality of contact
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 4: metrics did dip a little bit, but overall, we're not
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 4: that far off prior numbers. And I think at thirty three,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 4: I don't think this is the beginning of the decline.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 4: I still think there's plenty in the tank, and I
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 4: think twenty twenty six is gonna be a big bounce
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 4: back here. And you think about how that lineup, which
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 4: was already outstanding, has improved with Kyle Tucker there. I mean,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 4: he's just going to rack up the runs and RBIs.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 4: I think he can hit thirty plus home runs. I
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 4: think he can give you a decent batting average. You know,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 4: if you wonder if he's healthy, He's got ops over
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 4: one thousand so far in spring. I don't put too
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 4: much stock into spring numbers, but you know, he's definitely
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 4: looking healthy right now.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is a great pick. I remember
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: that first half on the teams that I had him
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: last year that he was really he was like a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: top twenty hitter for that first half. He was incredible
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: that like, he carried a lot of teams and they
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: fell apart when that injury hit. So good call Brew,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: who's your bye?
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: I love where Taylor's going. I'm going to say similar
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: theme here. We're gonna go veterans, and we're gonna go
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: Max Muncie going a little bit later than Tasker Hernandez,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: and we remember Max months. He started wearing glasses last
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: year and so for those those class glasses wears, there's
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: a little cult going on. But he also started to
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: be able to hit, which which was a big thing.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: And if you look at what we did last year,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: one hundred games, twenty homers, sixty seven RBIs two forty
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: three average, just increased those all by fifty percent if
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: you've played that full season. We're talking a thirty homer
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: one hundred rbi a season, and that's like who he
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: has been for like almost ten years. And he's in
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: an awesome lineup and they have him. I think groscer
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: Resource had him like in six in the batting order.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: So like you talk about prime, you know, rum production opportunities,
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be boring as all get out, and he's
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: gonna hit twenty five homers, talking one hundred and ten
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: guys hit two forty two fifty and you're drafting him
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: in like the twentieth round, Like I see, it just
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: doesn't make sense. And it is such an easy buy
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: that nobody's dealing with. So I'm taking max months he's boring,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: I get it. Maybe he finished the season a little slow.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: He's thirty five. It's okay, he's worth it. He's gonna
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: be the least sexy guy in that light up.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a great call. I just looked up
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: roughly when he got those glasses. I guess it happened
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: in like late April. So if you go from May on, uh,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: in seventy one games, he slashed two sixty four four
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: h three five forty one one sixty one WRSC plus
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: eighteen homers and sixty two RBI with forty one runs
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: and seventy one games. You just doubled that. That's Uh,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: that's a crazy season.
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: Hey, it's a miracle that gonna happen when you actually
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: see the ball. Who would he guessed?
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: Uh, I'm sticking with the veteran theme here. I'm buying
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: Mookie Bets. I can't believe where the price has fallen.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: It started to get into like the fourth round and
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: fifteen teamers. Uh average ADP of around like fifty nine
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: right now on NFBC since the beginning of February blows
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: my mind. I the the projections too. They don't know
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: that Mookie Bets dropped like what it was, like twenty
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: twenty five pounds because of that illness coming back from
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Japan last year at the beginning of the season, and
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: it just totally derailed the year. Even with that, though,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: he's still hit two fifty eight with twenty homers, ninety
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: five runs and eighty two RBI. It was still a
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: solid season. And oh yeah, by the way, he just
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: kind of like learned shortstop on the fly and did
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: all that while putting up a pretty solid season. He's
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: hitting third in this lineup, where before him it is
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: Otani and Tucker. Behind him is Freddy Freeman and Will Smith.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, you might be looking at like twenty five homers,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty runs and rbipiece for Mookie bets
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: this year out of the shortstop spot. I love him
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: at the back end of like the second round if
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: he's there, obviously, depending on what else is around, but
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: I think he's a solid short stop that's gonna hit,
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: you know, two seventy five ish with twenty five homers
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: and like I said, one hundred plus runs and rbipiece.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: It seems like it's easy money, and I think there's
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: even upside for more considering it seem like MOOKI when
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: I've been watching him in games this year in spring training,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: it seems like he's got a little bit of a
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: chip on his shoulder. And this is the last guy
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: that you want to be facing when he's got a
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: chip on his shoulder, because when he kicks into overdrive,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: just look out. So all right, well let's get into
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: those cells now. So Taylor, I'll let you kick off first,
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: Who you selling from the Dodgers?
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 4: I love this segment. Who am I selling from the Dodgers?
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 4: All right, I'm staying away from Brokie Sasaki. I know
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 4: it's not gonna cost you much ADP of two fifty two,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 4: but I just I think he's a prospect at this
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 4: point that's not ready for the majors. You look at
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 4: what he did last year. It was absolutely terrible. Despite
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 4: all the hype, He's looked just as bad this spring.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 4: You know, I think the quote unquote good news is
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 4: that he performed well in a backfield game against minor leaguers,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 4: Like I don't really care. I think even with the
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 4: banged up rotation, there's you know, really promising performances from
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 4: Justin Robleski or from River Ryan. I think, you know,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 4: I'm not sure Rokie makes this team. He has options.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 4: I think he probably will. I know Dave Roberts says
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 4: he will, But Dave Roberts is a notorious liar, and
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 4: I'll never believe anything he ever says. So that actually
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 4: makes me think Rokie's going to be start the year
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 4: in the minors. So yeah, I just I'm fully out,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 4: like unless he falls to like pick four, hundred or something.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 4: I just I have no desire to waste to pick
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 4: on Roki Sosaki.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm right there with you. This was my cell
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: as well. It's just he doesn't throw in the zone enough,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: and if you're not going to throw it in the zone,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: there's nothing to stop people from just sitting there and walking.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could see it. It happened last year
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: when the walks per nine was well over five at
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: five and a half. He's walking everybody in spring training
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: here again, you just kind of watch him work. It
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: happened in the playoffs too, Like I have no idea
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: how he escaped some of those playoff matchups because he
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: was not thrown in the zone and people were still
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: swinging that. He doesn't have any control right now. And
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if it's like the shoulder is
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: an issue, or if the elbow is an issue, or
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: if it just needs more refinement as he's getting into
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: action coming stateside here in America. But I'm right there
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: with you that there's nothing in this profile for Roki
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: Sasaki that says he can hit what the projections are
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: because there's still feeding in the data from NPB and
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: it's not the same player, it's not the same approach,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: and it's just it's kind of it's yips, I think,
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day a little bit, which
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: is a lot harder to shake than any sort of
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: skill issue for me. So I'm totally out until we
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: see a full course correction from Moroki Sasaki. Brew you've
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: been nodding along too, so I figure you're in. You're
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: on board, maybe not yourself, but if you have anything
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: from Roki Sasaki that gives you hope for twenty twenty six.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, like I what I've seen is that
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: the underlying skill is there, like you see it and flashes,
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: you can absolutely see it. You just I think Taylor's right,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: it's like he's a prospect like at this point, like
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: he's got to figure it out, whether it's the yips,
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: whether it's the prospects, like, it's just he's not quite
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: where he needs to be, and this is not the
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: team to be in that position. So I think he's
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be in the bullpen ultimately and trying to figure
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: things out, and they're gonna put him in you know,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: mid little leverage, long relief type scenarios and then he's
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: probably Gonnaly figure things out, and I think dynasty, Like
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: I'm actually buying Roki in a dynasty type format because
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: I do think he's gonna figure out. I do think
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: he's a very very special talent. But it might not
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: be this year, might not be next year, might be
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: the year after that. Like it's it's gonna take a
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: little bit of time for him to figure out all out.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: So I have no qualms selling like Rokie. The only
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: since I had to buying him was every when I
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: thought there's a chance he might try to sneak in
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: the closure role, but that Edwin Diaz signed kinda closes
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: the door there.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: So yeah, absolutely, So who's yourself from the Dodgers.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: Grow I am selling Andy. I just look at this
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: guy and it's just like red flag. Every the entire
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: profile has red flags on it, Like from a homer perspective,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: the quality of contact, the hard hit rates, they're all low.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Like it's not not showing up as a twenty seven
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: homer guy. He's a twenty homer guy. Maybe speed like
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: this guy's career is full and base success rates like
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: sixty percent. It's not good. He's not an efficient base
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: runner and why in the world would the Dodgers let
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: him run when they have so much power all around
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: that lineup, Like, don't run yourself out of inning. So
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: he should not have soldn fourteen bases last year because
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: they shouldn't let him run. So I'm you know, I'm
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: going over under a like eight this year, and that's
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: if he plays enough. And you just, I mean, the
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: list goes on. There's not a good played approach. He
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: chases a little too much. Like his best comp on
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: Baseball Savant is Nick Castianos, and that's not a compliment,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: by the way. And so like I just looked through
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: this and I'm sitting here going he plays really good
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: defense and that's probably the calling card. And if you're
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: counting on to be what he was last year, that's
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: not gonna happen. I'm seeing a guy that hits twenty homers,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: steals you know, five in bases, and hits two forty
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: and I think with a Dodgers team, that actually might
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: end up knocking you out of the lineup long term.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: And here comes Kiki Hernandez playing all like you know,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: like he always does, playing like five games a week,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: and you know, Pa is playing the price so.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean I think that's a solid call.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: And part of it too, is like it can actually
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: get pretty bad if the batting average isn't good, because honestly,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: they don't really have a center fielder in this entire
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: forty man roster outside of him. They have Michael Siani,
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: but I don't see that really kind of being a
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: long term solution. The thing that's also going to push
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: Pahas is, I mean, those outfield prospects have been playing
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: really well. Jose To Paula has been out of his mind,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: James Tibbs has been looking really good in spring, but
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: both of those guys don't play center, and so it'll
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: be strange to see how the Dodgers fit it all
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: together with all these corner bats. But I totally agree that,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: like if pa Has can't hang, they'll find a different
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: direction pretty quickly. In La.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: You know who just does play center on the Dodgers,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: Tommy Edmond and so and Kim picks up Edmund with
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: that big contract. They're going to try to make sure
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: they get something out of them. So again I'm seeing
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: Tommy Edmund, Kekey Hernandez outfield here platoon, which is that's
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: not really a legit platoon, but it is it is
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: what it is. I think that's Pa is going to
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: lose playing time this year.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's totally fair. They've also got Nick
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: sen Zel who's playing well in the spring, so we
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: could we'll see some Nick cleon sound Center. Okay, well,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: let's move on to these San Diego Padres, who it
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: is a solid broster again, but it is a roster
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: that is running out of steam pretty quick as they
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: are slapping it together in aj prellar wheels and deals
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: to try to keep it going and make it a
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: playoff contender as long as he can. They did get
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: to the wild Card last year with a ninety and
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: seventy two record. This offseason has been very interesting because
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: they did bring back Michael King, but they also have
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: just kind of brought back pieces to plug in while
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: they can to keep it chugn along, including Nick Castaianos,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Herman Marquez, Sunman's Song, Miguel andrewharr Is in town. And
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: so we are looking at a relatively similar roster to
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: what we had last year from the San Diego Padres.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: And then they also tacked on Griffin Canning Walker Bueler
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: to the back end of that rotation too, so a
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: very very thin system. So they've really emptied it out
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: to be able to try to move in position and
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: keep things moving along. But because of that, we've also
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: got lots of intriguing veterans I think here on the Padres.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: So Taylor, who is your buye from the San Diego Padres?
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, full disclosure.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 4: I was gonna go with Joe Musk, and then he
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 4: got like shut down for I don't know, fatigue or
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 4: setback or something, so I'm steering clear of that one.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go with Jackson Merrill definitely, you know,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 4: one of the more expensive Padres. But I think it's
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 4: it's worthwhile. You look at what he did in twenty
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 4: twenty four. He had a breakout rookie season coming straight
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 4: from Double A. He was kind of a surprise like
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 4: roster inclusion age twenty I believe, and then last year
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 4: went through the dreaded sophomore slump. Injuries played a big part.
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 4: He had three different injuries. He dealt with a hamstring,
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 4: an ankle, and a concussion, and even with all that,
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 4: you know, he still was solid, but it was pretty underwhelming.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 4: With the two sixty four average, sixteen home runs and
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 4: just one stolen base. You know, you don't expect him
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 4: to steal thirty bases or anything, but you do expect
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 4: steals to be a much larger part of his game.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 4: And I think he's healthy now so far, thousand no
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 4: ps this spring, two home runs in eleven games as
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 4: of yesterday, hitting two ninety six, And that's where what
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 4: you're gonna get with him is really good batting average.
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 4: I do think even though he hasn't stolen a base
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 4: of the spring, I do think the steels will come back.
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 4: I think the hamstring injury he suffered early on last year,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 4: the ankle injury he suffered like mid season, I think
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 4: those really prevented him from wanting to steal. But I
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 4: think he's a really good bet to hit close to
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 4: three hundred with twenty five plus home runs and ten
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 4: plus steals and maybe a little bit more in the
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 4: stolen base department if he wants to get aggressive. So
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 4: I really like the discount on Jackson Merrill. You know,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 4: get where he's getting drafted this year compared to last year.
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 4: He's the same guy if he's healthy, So I'm taking
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 4: that discount all day.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's a great call because guy who
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: was going in the second round last year going like
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: in the fifth round now round picked seventy five and
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: doesn't turn twenty three for another month. On April nineteenth,
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: that's when he finally turns twenty three. So there's upside too,
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a great call. And on
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: top of it, if he plays, it's a great like
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: volume play. Just that batting average is so huge in
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: fantasy nowadays. Brew who's your buy from, Padres?
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: I hate to make this buy because it's gonna make
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: you happy, and I'm gonna buy Gavin Sheets. And that's
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: why I hate to make the buy because I like
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: to disagree with you on this podcast. It gives us
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: better content and it's just a life goal of mine.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: But you know, Gavin Sheets last year on hundred forty
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: five games, nineteen homers, seventy one RBI is two fifty
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: two average, nothing, nothing exciting, but he's going very late
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: in drafts. This is a guy that absolutely murders the
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: ball when he makes that contact, he hits massive home
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: runs and he just seems to keep getting better even
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: though he's you know, now on the wrong side of thirty.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: Bat speed is a six percentile. He's hitting the right
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: lawnch angles, like there's just there's a thirty homer season
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: in this bat if he just gets the right run
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: and the right protection of the lineup. So I don't
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: know when that happens. I don't know if that happens
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: this year. But if we're you know where you're getting
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: him from a price perspective. If he does what he
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: did last year in a quarter infield or outfield position,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: he is multiposition eligible. Like there, you're you're already making money.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: And so like, I think Gavin Sheets is kind of
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: a little hidden gym. You're boring old veteran again, that's
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: gonna produce and hit twenty twenty five, hit two sixty
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: eighty RBIs. There's absolutely nothing wrong with that. Getting him
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: very late, I want to say he's going around like
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: twenty five or thirty or somewhere like that. It's just
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: it's pretty much free money.
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and he should pick up first base outfield eligibility
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: really quick this year. So yeah, I think this is
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: a great call. I love meet some Gavin Sheets. I'm
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: gonna go a different route though, I'm buying Xander Bogarts.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: So going right now around pick two twenty four in
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: the data I'm looking at, and I mean you said that,
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: like maybe sheets will have a little trouble like getting
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: some volume at the bottom end of the padres lamp.
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: The top end of the padres iamp is fine, and
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: Xander Bogarts is gonna be hitting lead off in front
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: of Jackson Merril, Manny Machado for name tattist Junior, and
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: Jake Cronenworth. So that is a great spot for Bogarts
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: to be coming off of a down season where he
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: hit eleven homers and twenty stolen bases with a two
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: sixty three average and one hundred and thirty six games,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: but was also out for late last year with a
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: fractured foot. So you're looking at a healthy Xander Bogarts
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: going into this year on top of that big old lineup.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: I don't see how he doesn't score one hundred plus
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: runs in front of those dudes if he's hitting at
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: the top of the lineup, and then you're looking at
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: mid teens homers and stolen bases. When you add that
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: all together, certainly it's a bargain for where he's going
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: at pick two twenty four. Great am I option. I mean,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: I would use him even as a starting shortstop if
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: you get that desperate, because like the volume is just
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be there, and he's been a steady hitter. He's
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: gonna keep playing, I think, and just kind of just
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: poking singles, poking doubles, giving you that volume that you need.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: I think it's a great buy for Zander Bogarts this
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: year going to twenty twenty six.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: I just I'm loving the boring veterans this year. It
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: just seems like almost all of them are these crazy
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: values just because the floor is so hot, because they've
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: done it time and time again. I feel like I'm
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: talking about Anthony Rendon and then the floor fell apart.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: But you look at these guys and they're the guys
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: late in the draft that you're just filling out those
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: spots in the lineup. We're an auction draft, especially like
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: these are the dollar guys because everyone's like, ah, boring,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: I don't want them. And then all of a sudden
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: you back into like Bogarts and Sheets and Muncie and
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: those kind of guys and you're like, yeah, I don't
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: care what happened. I could take risk early because I've
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: just got all kinds of floor on the back of
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: this lineup. So yeah, no problem with the Boggart's pick.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and especially like if you go that route, it
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: allows you to pick up like the Walt Schmids and
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: stuff late too, to be able to like hold that
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: roster spot because you know you're not scrambling right out
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: the gate. So I've been going with a lot of
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: better boring picks this year in draft season. So let's
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: get into some cells though, Taylor who song from the Padres.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the Potters were a tough team because I looked
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 4: at like up and down the values and I'm like,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 4: I like all these values, Like it was really hard
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 4: for me to find a sell side. I dig pretty deep,
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 4: and I'm gonna go with a guy who caught some
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 4: strays in uh In Brews Dodger cell segment, and that's
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 4: Nick Castillanos uh pick three eighty four. You know, again,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 4: he's basically free, but like, I just think he's cooked.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 4: I'd rather take a shot on an upside guy, you know,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 4: than somebody who might be the short side platoon partner
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 4: for for Gavin Sheets, for for dairy bonds there, so
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 4: you know he's having a good spring. But for a veteran,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 4: I don't really care. Like, I just really don't think
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 4: there's much there. He's not a good by all reports,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 4: he's not a good clubhouse presence. Uh, he's looking at
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 4: a reduced role. It seems like San Diego just has
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 4: a really thin roster and just needed a filler, and
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 4: so they brought a bunch of guys in and Nick
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 4: Castianos is that default filler. But like, I don't think
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 4: he's gonna have a resurgence. He's awful in the field.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 4: I just I think he's a waste of a pick.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 4: I'd rather take a young guy with upside there. I'd
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 4: rather take a Walt Schmid there and you know, have
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 4: a stash than invest anything into Castianos at this point.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: Yep, I think that's very fair. It's screams of some
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: buddy who's just loving hitting in Arizona right now. And
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure that Homer that Castanaels hit was in
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: that game that was like some bonkers is like twenty
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: five to fifteen between the Mariners and Padres because the
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: wind was just blowing straight out to center and I
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: was watching, it's just like a Homer every at bat.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree, there's nothing redeeming. I think the
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: Nick cast Ayano's profile right now brew who he's selling.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: I am selling the fifth picture off of the board,
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: which is the reason I'm selling Mason Miller because he
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: is actually the fifth picture, not fifth closer, fifth pitcher
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: off of the board, and draft champions. I looked at
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: all drafts just to make sure I wasn't crazy, and
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: he was seven there. Uh so you're talking the second
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: the two three turn is where Mason Miller's going. And
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: don't be me wrong, Mason Miller's incredibly talented, incredibly talented, yes,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: but this is also a guy that if you look
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: at injury risk, like his arm feels like it could
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: fall off tomorrow because he always was an injury guy
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: coming up. And the reason he's in the bullpen is
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: because he couldn't hand up the durability. And I I
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: I like the padres, but it feels like they're kind
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: of forgetting about that, and they seem like they're kind
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: of leaning more and more into him. And great, that's
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: great for saves, But if I'm looking at a guy
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: that has that risk. I will just wait a little
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: bit later and get myself a Kad Smith or Devin
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: Williams or something like that and feel like I've got
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: a guy that I'm not worried about from a health
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: perspective and could deliver pretty much the same results and
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: was like seven rounds later, uh type of thing. Maybe, Yeah,
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: Kate Smith's definitely probably seven rounds later. But you know,
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: you're you're talking Devin Williams, you know, double the ADP
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: for Mason Miller and you're still doing pretty well. So
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: not a bad guy out of the team, But that's
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: just too early for somebody that you're put in the
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: back in your bullpen and hoping he stays healthy.
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fair. I mean, you also look
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: last year when he got in San Diego. In two months,
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: he pitched twenty two games and twenty three and a
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: third innings. That paces out to like sixty appearances and
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty innings out of Mason Miller. If
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: they do use him at some incredible rate, I am
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: worried about him snapping. So I think it's I think
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: it's fair that the talent is elite, but like the
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: risk is so huge, and Mason Mill.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: Does it not feel like a Ryan Helsley trajectory, Like
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: this guy throws gas, but the arm we're just waiting
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: for once going to fall off and then eventually it will.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: So it feels like, you know, it's not a fair comparison.
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Mason Miller, but it feels like it's that
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: same similar profile.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, well my cell is different. It's somebody who
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: I think I've been selling for quite a while on
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: this podcast. It's Michael King that like, it's a guy
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: who's coming off shoulder and knee injuries that does not
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: bode well for the kinetic chain. And on top of
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: it all, like he only threw seventy three and a
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: third innings last year. How far the Padre is going
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: to push him now that they have him on a
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: pretty nice contract. It is player options for twenty seven
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: and twenty eight, but the Padres don't want to make
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: him exercise those player options because they blow out his arms.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how far the Padres are going
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: to push him that all the projections are calling for
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: him that bounce back to around one hundred and fifty
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: innings or so, except for Zips, who I think is
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: picking it up. I don't think you get more than
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty ings out of Michael King this year.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's just too much risk. He's been a
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: guy who's been oft injured, was a converted reliever. I
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: think that that season we saw in twenty twenty four,
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: with the two ninety five ra over one hundred and
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: seventy three and two thirds innings, that's gonna be his
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: career best. I don't think it's ever gonna come near
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: that level again. And you're just asking for a whole
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: lot of risk out of Michael King for somebody who
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: is going right now around pick one thirty seven, which
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: when you look at like the like I said, with
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: the current projections and the way the values work out,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: that it's a fair value. But I think that the
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: floor is way lower than other pictures that are going
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: in that range. And so I'm avoiding Michael King for
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: all those reasons going into twenty twenty.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: Six, No no qualms about it. I love Michael King
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: from a skill perspective, but the even I and we've
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: talked about this podcast of somebody that will take like
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: every injury pitcher and hope for the best. I'm staying
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: away from Michael King.
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Okay, we got to the tailor's main event here,
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: saving maybe the best for last year. San Francisco Giants
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: are going to round up our entire major League preview
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: here as they have had quite the interesting offseason bringing
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: in a coach from the college ranks in Tony Vattello.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: So I think that's gonna be really We've talked about
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: in this pod brew where like we don't really put
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: too much stock into manager changes, but this is the
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: one I am because I'm fascinating to see what Vitello
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: does with this roster, what he does from both a
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: motivation standpoint and just like a day in, day out
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: management standpoint, to see how aggressive he is and how
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: much he kind of pushes some of these players. So
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: I think there is a little bit of an X
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: factor to all these players on the on the roster
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: of like what will the new coaching staff do with
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: this roster and in the offseason it's been I think
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: a pretty successful one for me that like you, they
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: obviously added Raphael Devers last year, picked up loose A
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: Rise to bring him in and play second base, and
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: then You've also built out the back end of that
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: rotation with Tyler Molly Adrian Houser, and it's gonna be
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: I think a fast season here for twenty twenty six
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: for the lot for the San Francisco Giants here coming
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: off of a perfectly five hundred season, but I think
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: there is upside here. Especially I forgot Harrison Bader. I
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: think that is going to be a huge factor for
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: this team too. Having a solid center fielder is going
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: to make a world of difference I think for this
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: team overall. For really, they've been struggling to find one
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: over the past few years. So Taylor, I mean, how
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: are you feeling about your Giants going into twenty twenty six. Yeah,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: cautiously optimistic.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 4: I would have liked them to spend a little bit
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 4: more money this offseason, but I like the acquisitions they made.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 4: You know, they're all kind of low cost acquisitions, but
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 4: all of them make the team better. And I agree
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 4: with you, like the better signing for center field is
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 4: definitely something they needed.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 3: Like Jung Hu Lee, He's.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 4: Not a center fielder, It just it really solidifies that
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 4: outfield defense with a pitching staff that's really not going
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 4: to strike a lot of people out a pitch to
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 4: contact staff. We'll see how you know Luisa Rias's defense
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 4: works at second base. That's a little concerning when again,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 4: you have that pitch to contact staff. But I overall,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 4: I think it was a solid offseason and I think
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 4: they're better this year than they were going to last year,
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 4: particularly with the Dever's acquisition.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Like you mentioned, well, yeah, I mean now that Luisa
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: Rise is a power hitter, as we've seen in the WBC,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: so maybe, I mean, it doesn't even matter what the
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: defense is at second base if he turns in to
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: the second coming of dan Ugla.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not holding my breath.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 4: On that one.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: Okay. So who are you gonna buy here from the Giants?
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go a little bit prospected here and
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 4: go with Bryce Eldridge. So ADP of three seventy nine,
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 4: and he's definitely in that post hype territory. I'm honestly
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 4: really surprised he's not getting more hype. You look at
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 4: you know what he did last year he made his debut.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 4: It was bad, just a one oh seven batting average,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 4: fifty four WRC plus. But you look at the underlying
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 4: and it was ninety five point six average TV, twenty
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 4: five percent barrel rate, sixty nine percent hard hit rate,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 4: three sixty two x will but five oh six x LUG. Again,
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 4: it's a ten game sample, so you can't buy into
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 4: it too much either way. But I think those kind
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 4: of power metrics, those quality contact metrics are what you
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 4: would expect with Bryce Elders because that's what he's known for.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 4: I mean, this is a guy with light tower power,
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 4: some of the best power in the game for a prospect.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 4: Uh and you know, just to throw this on top
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 4: of that ten game sample, that one oh seven batting
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 4: average was with that one to eighty eight Babbitt, So
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 4: I think that was definitely part of what makes it
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 4: look so bad. But you know, people who are skeptical
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 4: of Eldridge will say, yeah, but he was pretty mote
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 4: mediocre and triple a one oh five WRC plus.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's true.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 4: He was also twenty years old in playing through a
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 4: wrist injury last year, so that came out this offseason
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 4: he had dealt with. I guess the risk injury all
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 4: last year held him back. He addressed it with off
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 4: season surgery. Should be good to go for Open Day.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 4: You know, again, detractors will look at the contact, the
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 4: zone contact, the strikeout rates and say, yeah, these there's
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 4: some red flags here. But you look at elite power hitters,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 4: they can live with, you know, pretty poor contact rates,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 4: pretty poor zone contact rates. Like even some of the
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 4: best hitters in the game judge and show, Hey, you
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 4: look at their uh, their metrics in those areas and
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 4: they're actually pretty bad. So you know, I think you
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 4: got to give Eldridge some some time too, because this
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 4: is the guy who's super young. He was a two
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 4: way player when he was drafted, uh, just two seasons
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 4: removed from that. You know, he look at what he's
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 4: done so far this spring, it's a near one thousand
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 4: ops great quality of contact metrics, thirty two strikeout rate
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 4: so far in this spring. But that comes with massively
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 4: improved swinging strike rate, massively improved contact rate, and massively
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 4: improved zone contact rate. And you know, the only other
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 4: kind of thing holding back is that he's only ut eligible,
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 4: but he's actually really improved his first base defense this
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 4: offseason working with Ron Washington, and I think like that,
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 4: and he has even said he wants to win a
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 4: Gold Glove like defense is a big priority for him,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 4: so I think he's going to be a guy who
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 4: is probably going to play first base on most days
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 4: while Devers DH is. Now he hasn't officially made the team,
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 4: there's been some talk that, oh, they might send him down.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 4: I just don't see that happening, because are you really
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 4: going to start like Gerar and Karnacion at DH over
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 4: Bryce Eldridge being there as a defensive upgrade at first base,
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 4: and he's PPI eligible, so people forget about the prospect
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 4: promotion instead of at least I think he's PPI eligible.
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 4: It's very confusing rules, but from what I could tell,
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 4: he is PPI eligible, He's on the rankings list. He's
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 4: still prospect eligible. If he starts the year on the
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 4: opening day roster and he wins the Rookie of the
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 4: Year or some of those other accolades, the Giants can
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 4: benefit from that. So I think it's something that is
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 4: not being talked about enough. Vitelo hasn't really given a
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 4: straight answer if he's going to be on the team
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 4: or not. He says, well, it depends on what he does.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 4: But he's doing everything he can to make the team,
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 4: and I just don't see the giants holding him down.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 4: After he made his debut, he looks ready. Now he
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 4: might struggle out of the gate. You never know what
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 4: these prospects, but you know, going around pick four hundred,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 4: huge power upside there. I mean this, you know, probably
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 4: doesn't have quite the same hit tool as Kurts, but
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 4: this could be like that Kurt's level impact of just
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 4: a guy who just torches major league pitching. So I'm
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 4: really excited about Bryce Eldridge. I think other people should
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 4: be excited about him too.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, you've sold me on him. I totally
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: had honestly kind of forgotten about him until you brought
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: him up, and now that I'm digging into him, he's
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: performing this spring. The other thing is what I like
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: about his profile is that it's a walk rate where
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: you worry sometimes with these power hitters that like there's
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: a combination of fear and minor leagues or they're just
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: not swinging, they're being too passive. But it is a
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: legit good eye from Bryce Eldridge that the o swing
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: percentages is good like it's he I think he knows
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: the zone pretty well despite him being huge, and just
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: is able to lay off the thing that all the junks.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: So yeah, you've told me, I'm actually like starring this
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: for all my future drasticas I wish I had picked
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: up a couple of uh Bryce Eldridge draft picks in
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: what I've already gone through. So thanks, Brew, Who are
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: you buying?
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 3: Well?
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: Taylor? Taylor called him out multiple times in his uh
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: Eldridge buy and it's it's rough, he dovers, and I
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: it's as a very simple buy. He wasn't any different
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: San Francisco than he wasn't Boston. But yet it feels
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: like he's dropped like three rounds in ADP. He's the
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: seventh first baseman off the board. He's going after medals
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: and Ben Rice and Bright Harper, all these we're talking
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: pick like sixty five, and I just don't get it.
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: This is a guy that, like, if you just looked
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: the last four years in like average amount, it's like
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: thirty homers one hundred RBIs to sixty five average something
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: like that. Yeah, average was a little bit down last year,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: but he just day in, day out, will continue to
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: produce and even though the ballpark's not as good, and
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: you know you can put all those things he did
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: just fine in San Francisco, and so I feel like
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: he's been given a penalty because he just isn't in
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: Boston anymore and the numbers just don't justify it, and
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: so like it's just a discount with an extremely high floor.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: And so I have no idea why he's going so
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: late when you look at some of these positions, and
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: like after you know, even I mean arguably Laddie has
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: some concerns for me this year, like after vladd and Kurtz, Like,
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: I'm not too excited about most of these first basements.
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: Maybe Ben Rice, but that's a whole different. I'm excited
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: about the Ketcher ben Rice, not the first baseman Ben Rice.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: And so I think that there is a lot of
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: profit to be had endeavors and it's already there. That's
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: not like he has to perform better this year. He's
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: just to do what he's been doing. So I don't
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: know what's what's happening in the market. People just seem
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: to have forgot him. It's the veteran thing. I mean,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: the guy's still just twenty nine years old. I know
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: he's been around forever, but he just rakes and I
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: think he's got a chip on his shoulder, So let's
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: see what happens.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think people are probably scared of the park.
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: But when you've got Raphael Devers power, the park doesn't matter.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't matter.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: Well, you could probably have predicted my bye. It's going
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: to be Harrison Bader. We talked about it when he
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: signed here in San Francisco. That last year. I mean,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: we saw the best year out of Harrison Bader, and
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a fluke that he purposely went through training
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: programs to increase the bat speed and to be more
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: aggressive at the plate, and it paid off with a
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: career high seventeen homers and a two seventy seven batting
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: average career high one twenty two WRC plus uh. And
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: he's doing in it again in spring right now for
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: the Giants. So he's got the everyday center field job
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: in San Francisco. He's gonna play every day because of that,
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: And I think this is the easiest fifteen to fifteen
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: season you could ever find for going late in the draft.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: He's going around pick three point twenty on average. It's
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: starting to creep up because people, I think we're waiting
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: for him to obviously sign somewhere and land somewhere, and
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: now that they know he's not gonna be stuck in
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: a platoon situation or battling for playing time in center
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: field in San Francisco. I don't see how it's not
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: like a two seventy average with fifteen to fifteen plus upside, honestly,
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: because right now he is slated to kind of put
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: up those types of numbers in the seven hole for
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: the Giants here. You could see him moving up in
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: this lineup if he performs well and there's a one
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: twenty WRC plus guy again that I think it's gonna
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: be a fantastic gear for Harrison Vader. It's really setting
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: up for it to be that way. When you've got
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: a guy who has always had like a pretty good
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: eye at the plate and you allow him to just
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: kind of let it rip a little bit more. On
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: top of like, you get the the X factor of
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: the This is a guy who I think will play
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: with its hair on fire with Tony Vittello and Taylor
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: You and all the rest of the Giants fans are
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: gonna love Harrison Bader. This dude is just an all
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: time like ballplayer favorite of the fans that I think
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: he's going to be ingratiated in San Francisco. And if
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: there's a reason that San Francisco makes the playoffs, I
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: think Baiter is going to be a huge portion of that.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: In twenty twenty six.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 4: You got me hype now, I mean we're two weeks
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 4: out from opening day, let's go come on.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's something like a Harrison Bader MVP discussion. That's
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: why I like to see.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 3: I love it. I just want to call it real quick.
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 4: I love that call because you know, doing like TGFBI,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 4: you get past pick three hundred and every single outfielder
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 4: has PLATUWOT issues Like Harrison Bader is the one guy
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 4: sitting out there that you can be sure is if
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 4: he's he, he's gonna be in that lineup pretty much
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 4: every day.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, because the defense is always going to play,
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be crucial for him. Okay, I hate
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: to do it to you, Taylor, but who are you
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: going to sell from your giants?
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 3: This one hurts me. I really don't want to say this,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 3: but it's logan.
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 4: Web uh pick fifty four. He is an ace. He's
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 4: just not a fantasy ace. In my mind, he's a
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 4: guy who his value is predicated on volume. It's not
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 4: going to be the strikeouts. It's not gonna be the
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 4: era will be good, but it's not gonna be like
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 4: sub three era. And that whip is actually gonna hurt
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 4: you with that volume because last couple seasons a whip
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 4: over one point two, and when you talk about potentially
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 4: two hundred plus innings of a one point two whip,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 4: that is not gonna help your team. That's actually gonna
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 4: hurt your team. So I'm just not there with him
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 4: going where he's going. He's going thirty three picks in
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 4: ADP before Framber Valdez. Now that might be a little
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 4: closer in recent drafts, but like to me, they're basically
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 4: the same guy. I just don't I don't buy Logan
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 4: web going going that high.
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: Okay, I think that's fair, And especially when you add
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: in Louise Riya's at second base as a factor too,
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: that it's hard to see that whip getting better. So
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: brew who you selling from the Giants?
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: This is the most predictable cell for this podcast that
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 2: you'll you'll ever have because cool you mentioned him, Louis Arias,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: I literally will sell Louise Aria's until he stops getting drafted,
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: because it just is it makes no sense. This is
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: a guy that you think is gonna hit form batting
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: average and he's okay one a guy that has no power.
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: I don't care what he's doing in WBC. He this
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: is a guy that like the over under for power
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: for the years like five five homers, and you know
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 2: he continues to be treated like he's doing more now
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: he is like the the ADP is much lower this
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: year than it has been in the past, but still
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: is a profile that you draft the guy and to
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: get the batting average like lift, he has to be
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: in the lineup every day and he hurts you so
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: bad in power and steals that and honestly rum production
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: because the guy slows molasses. You can't get knocked in
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: or knock a run in that like you're taking like
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: four l's for to get like a decent batting average.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: I just I don't care what the price is. Louise
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: Aria's hurts your fantasy team, and yeah, sure he's entertaining
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: from a real world baseball perspective, and it's always nice
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: to have that guy who can try to poke the
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: single to the right side, but that's about all he is.
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: So I will sell Louise Ria's until you kick me
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: off this podcast.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: I should have seen that coming, but yeah, I think
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: that's fair. I will say that like when you are
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: in Sharper drafts, like he will fall. Like in my TGFBI,
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: I almost took him, but it's because he was like
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: I was debating between him and Josh Smith as like
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: my ci am I like utility dude. And so when
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: you start to get that range, sure, Luisa Rise is fine,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: but like it's always it is the guy when you
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: punch it into your auction values, he's gonna look way
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: better than he actually is because that batting average carries
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: so much weight in what you're looking at for the
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: way the auction calculators work as well as like the
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: volumes don't always come across right. So I would just
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: be cautious of that because like you can also look
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: back at some of the rasball player raiders over the years,
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: where like going into the season, he's projected for like
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: twelve dollars because of like with the the actual like
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: projections and value say, but he always ends up being
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: like a five dollars player, because he just kills you
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: in so many categories that aren't batting average. Okay, well,
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: I had a different cell mind's Ryan Walker. So it's
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: just I don't trust the profile. He lost the job
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: last year, didn't really correct course too much, like he
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: was still kind of struggling with getting the strikeouts and
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: just kind of being a steady reliever, and by default
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: is now the closer because we have Randy Rodriguez out
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: for the year with elbow surgery, so I think there's
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: some pretty solid arms behind him between I really I
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: think Gregory Santos has looked really good the spring, and
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: Gregory Santos has got a decent shot at overtaking Ryan Walker.
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: Jose Bhuto is back there, and then this also just
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: strikes me as like this is where I expect Tony
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: Vittello's magic to kind of come through, where like I
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: think he's going to be able to find a guy
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: and just like trust in him and be able to
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: ride him and use a little bit of that devil
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: magic that might come from college to be able to
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: find a new closer. So I'm just really worried about
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: Ryan Walker, especially because like the way that Buster Posey
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: has been kind of framing this team and setting everything up.
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: Is that, like I think he thinks it's a contender.
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: And so if Ryan Walker stumbles out the gate again
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: the way that he did last year, you're gonna see
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: him yanked out of that role, I think pretty quickly.
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: And so yeah, I just don't really trust in him.
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: And in terms of where he's going in overall ADP,
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: it's just smack dab in like the middle of second closers.
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: You can find a much better, steadier closer who provides
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: I think better strikeout upside than what Walker does.
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: No, I have no problem withism because I actually had
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: him as my original cell and then I went down
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: the ADP and saw Luis Rias and just like I
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: started to cringe and twitch a little bit. So I
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: had had to go there. But yeah, you're right, like
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: Ryan Walker of like two years ago I loved and
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: he just he feels like he's dropped something off of
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: that and I just haven't seen him get it back
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: I have. You know, I'm more willing to give him
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: a flyer, but I'm concerned about him. I just look
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: at the rest of the bullpen. I'm not seeing a
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: whole lot other than I'm like, yeah, then I want
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: to take that chance on. So I think he's going
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: to get a pretty good run out of it. But
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: it's not the guy that I really like. Give him
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: as my third closure, I'm just not I don't really
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: want to anchor myself on Ryan Walker.
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Okay, well that wraps us up. We did it.
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: We've gotten through all the teams. Taylor. Thanks for joining
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: us here for the NL West once again, and remind
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: everybody where they can find your work and reach you
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: on socials.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 4: Yeah, thanks for having me on guys again. You can
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 4: find my work at Prospects Live dot com. Find me
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 4: on social at Dynasty Pickups both on X and on
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 4: Blue Sky. And then the podcast is the Dynasty Baseball
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 4: Pickups Podcast wherever. Podcasts are coming out every weekend.
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: Yes, brew let everybody know where they can read your
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: work and reach you on socials.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: Yep, find me Twitter, X, Blue Sky, Jay Brewer one seven,
• 1:45:42
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• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: top one hundred, one hundred hitter rankings. Come finally on Sundays,
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: coolly close us out all right.
• 1:45:51
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• 1:46:06
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• 1:46:09
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• 1:46:11
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• 1:46:14
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• 1:46:29
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• 1:46:32
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• 1:46:35
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