Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Slow Saturday | MLB & WNBA | 8/1/26

Transcript

Saturday BEST BETS | Slow Saturday | MLB & WNBA | 8/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks, black coffee on the felt man, you look
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: like a ment three teen Parlette turned the dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head. Now you stare at the chips like they
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: something to somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: look at me nine.
• 0:50
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on nothing nice now, hold on, hold
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: on me.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: That but it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports Saturday, August first. Good to be out of July,
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: I guess because July didn't go well so well, not really,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: at least yesterday. This was a loser. I mean, what
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: can you say about it? Skeen's green. They both gave
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: up a bunch of runs. It was a three to
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: three game at the end of five. I think every
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: run scored with two outs too. I mean, what can
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: you even say about it? Two outs. If you get
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: that last you're out of the inning. It could have
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: been a zero zero game if you get that last
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: out instead. No, the floodgates open. It was at least
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: five of those runs came home with two outs. I
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: think maybe all six of them did. I have nothing
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: else to say about it. We're gonna move on to today.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two plays today. One is a total,
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: one is a side. I'm not doing a first five
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: total this time though, And I will have a play
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: in the WNBA as well. So let's get some wins,
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: mister cover, what's up man? Thanks for checking out the show, Charles,
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: thanks for hanging out. Everybody, all right, jumping right into it, man,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Hopefully this can be a show that's maybe not as
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: long as usual, But you know, I go deep into
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: these baseball games. Here. We have mostly evening baseball Saturday.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: I'm still used to old school, man, I'm used to
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: afternoon baseball all over the place on Saturday, and that's
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: not the case. There's only a few afternoon games here,
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: later in the afternoon, mostly first game up is three
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: oh seven Eastern Saint Louis in Toronto. Toronto got the
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: win yesterday, Dylan ceees, I'm pretty sure I pitched in
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: that game, so not really surprising that they were able
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: to win that game. It was low scoring, and this
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: series does kind of look like a series that would
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: kind of be low scoring because you got two struggling
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: offense this year. Pitching is somewhat questionable, though, I would say,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: especially Saint Louis's bullpen, they're not very good. These three
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Toronto used three as
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: well Saint Louis. They're definitely the lesser of the bullpens.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: They ranked twenty second. I arranged this by Whip. Toronto
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: is thirteenth. Not too bad there. Offenses, like I said,
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: are both bad. Saint Louis twenty sixth, Toronto twenty eighth,
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: arranged by OPS. Starting pitching here, Quinn Matthews is making
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: his major league debut for the Cardinals here. I believe
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: he's twenty five. That math right, so he's had a
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: little bit of a delay to start to his career.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Had to look him up, man, because I'm like, who
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: the hell is this guy? He's a lefty that ESPN
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: doesn't even have his size on you. I want to
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: know what a dude's size is, man, I'm a size queen. Here.
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: I think he's I think he's like sixty three. I
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: want to say something like that, but he's somewhat thin
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: on the thinner side. His fastball velocity has gone up, though,
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: so I looked he has a kind of a typical
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: Arsenal fastball. His secondary pitch is actually the change up,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: and then he has a slider and a curve. His
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: fastball is basically like a mid nineties fastball at this point.
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: His change up is a nasty pitch. It's like his
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: best pitch and it moves horizontally, So that's going to
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: be a pitch that if he's actually good, he's going
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: to be using that to get outs here. The slider
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: is I guess decent as well, and then the curve
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: seems like it's this lesser pitch out of all of them.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: Now I looked at his minor league stats. What is
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: he doing in the this year. He's pitched a lot
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: in Triple A this year. His eras like in the threes.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: His whip is like one point one, so that's all
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: pretty good. He's got a high strikeout rate in the miners,
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: so he's striking out a lot of guys. He's been
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: basically unhittable, so he's a lot of very few hits
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: in the miners. You know what I'm about to say, though,
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: The problem is the walks. He has an enormous walk
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: rate in the miners right now, so that's that's what
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: you got going on with him. Does he have the
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: talent to do this? Yeah? Probably. I mean, he's going
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: up against a bad line up here, so not the
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: worst lineup to have your major league debut against. Here,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: He's gonna be unfamiliar to them, so that should be
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit an extra advantage to him. I'm gonna
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: kind of lean more towards him doing well here. He's
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: got to you gotta worry about the control issues a
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: little bit. But he seems like he might be able
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: to do this. And he's gonna have to go up
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: against Kevin Goussman, the veteran, so maybe he'll be excited
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: to go out there and go up against a known
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: pitcher that's pretty good. Goussman has not been good recently, though.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: His ERA has gone up to four point five one. Yeah,
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: that's not that good. One point two to seven whip
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: is okay. He's been better at home three point eighty six.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Homy Ray did okay against the Red Sox last time
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: out of they still lost the game. Although he was
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: not bad there, he's kind of alternated good and bad
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: starts recently, and if he does that, this would actually
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: be a bad one. If he continues to do that,
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: more alarming, maybe is that because Toronto's offense is also
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: so bad, they've lost eight straight starts that he's made. Yeh, yeah,
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: that's kind of ugly. He's still got a reasonably low
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: hit rate here. His walk rate is low, he doesn't
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: really walk guys. His strikeout rates above one per innings still,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: which is pretty good. Numbers against Saint Louis are not excellent,
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: but it's a small sample. Twenty six at bats, six
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: hitters have faced him three zero eight average, though, so
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: they've hit him for contact, the power not really so
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: much seven eighteen four to one strikeout walk ratio. I
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: think I do lean to the I think the under
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: is probably the better way to play this game. It
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: looks like the money is actually agreeing with that. Maybe
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: you avoid Saint Louis's bullpen and just make it a
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: first five under. The full game totals eight and a half,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of tickets eighty four percent of the
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: cash on the under, So the money seems to get
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: agrees with the under Here Toronto looks public seventy nine
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash. And
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: then maybe it's just because the public, I guess, would
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: rather back Gousman the known quantity. I'm not really sure,
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: but they're in the minus one forty range or so. Here.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: They've dropped a little bit actually on the money line,
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: so there was a little bit of movement towards Saint
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: Louis there. I think I might actually lean towards Saint
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: Louis in the first five as well, because you got
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: an unfamiliar pitcher who might actually be good against Gousman,
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: who's pretty mediocre against Saint Louis. And if it's gonna
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: be a low scoring game, the underdog has a chance
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: to stay in that game. So I think Saint Louis
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: first five makes some sense as well, but under first,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: to me, might make the most sense there. Again, part
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: of that is also because you have offenses that are
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: pretty putrid there. Yeah, the birds, there are many birds
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: in these uh in these sports. Here, Keeter Montero six
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: foot one, there's no way, there's no way he's that thin.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: That can't be right. I don't know. I mean, I
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: could look real quick, even though I want to get
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: this done. Montero, Yeah, that is what ESPN says. There's
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: no way that's right. I was considered him to be
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: more like I don't know, I never thought that he
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: was even thin, So I don't know. Maybe maybe I'm
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: just misremembering. I haven't seen him enough, but yeah, there's
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: no way that he's that thin. White Sox in Tampa
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: Bay here, White Sox won six to one yesterday. It
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: could be a bounce back from Tampa Bay here, and
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: we know Tampa Bay is very good at home. They
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: have the best home record in baseball, and it looks
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: like they do have a starting pitching matchup here or
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: starting pitching advantage here Tampa Bay does. Tampa Bay used
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: two guys yesterday out of the bullpen, so their bullpen
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: might have an advantage too, although the White Sox only
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: used two as well. These bullpens I think are close.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay is ranked third and their ERA is below four,
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: but I don't think they're really the third best bullpen.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: They're pretty good though, probably a top ten bullpen. I
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: think the White Sox are probably just outside of that,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: like only a little bit worse than that. They're at
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: eighteenth with this arrangement here, but these are both okay bullpens.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: I would say White Sox are eleventh in offense, Tampa
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: Bay ninth, so these are capable offenses here as well.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: The starting pitching I think is the biggest advantage of
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay has here though, aside from the fact that
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: their home advantage is strong and they look like they're
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: in a bounce back spot after yesterday. But the White
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: Sox are going with Jordan Hicks. Haven't heard about him
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: in a while, one of the dudes involved in the
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: Red Sox Dever's trade, and then the Red Sox got
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: rid of all of them, rid of Jordan Hicks from
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: that trade as well. Hicks was the older of all
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: the guys they got. Hasn't really had his career take off.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: But if you're wondering where he is, he's a relief
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: pitcher for the White Sox. I don't think he's actually
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: gonna start this game, although he has started before in
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: his major league career, so I don't know. He might
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: be out there for a while, but he might be
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: an opener here. Now. The thing about the White Sox
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: is Noah Schultz is the guy who would be up
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: to pitch here in this game today, and he's a
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: rooki in he's young, and he's been struggling. So I'm
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: wondering if Hicks is gonna be an opener and then
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: they're gonna bring in Schultz behind him, that might be
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: what they're gonna do here. So I don't really know
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: if it makes sense to really dive into Hicks' numbers
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: that much. Although his ERA is pretty good, his whip
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: is high though, one point four to eight, three point
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: one to nine whip against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay has
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him a little bit three thirty
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: three average, seven thirty three ohps in eighteen at bats,
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: three to two strike out walk ratio. But I think
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Schultz is going to make his way into this game though.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: That would be my guess. So if you look at
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: what has been going on with him, Schultz has struggled. Dude,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: if he's gonna come into this game, he's got a
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: six point one five ERA, one point four or five whip.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: It's his rookie season. I think he's gonna get better
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: at some point, but he's not been good on the
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: road either. Seven point zero three. Roady Ray not going
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: deep into his outings recently either. He's struggling big time.
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: His walks have been a huge issue. His hit rate
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: is actually okay, his strikeout rate is okay. Walks are
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: the one issue that he has. If he can get
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: the walks down, like I've been saying all along, I
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: think he could be a decent pitcher if he does that.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: He's also a guy. Yeah, you want to talk about size, six',
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: ten he's the tallest pitcher In Major League baseball as
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: it stands right, Now i'm pretty. Sure and he's not
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: one forty. Five he's two forty has, listed which is
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: still that's not, wide you know WHAT i, Mean like
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: that's still actually a bit on the thin side. There
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: Tampa bay actually hasn't done well against. Him they have
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: fifteen at bats against them two hundred to average seven
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: h two ops four to four strikeout walk ratio, though so,
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: again the walks have been an. Issue SO i Think
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: schultz is going to make his way into this. Game
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: but The White sox is gonna have to contend With Drew,
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: rasmussen who was still in The Cy young discussion. Here
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: he's had a really good season For. Tampa three point
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: zho seventy ra point nine to three whip exactly the
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: same era home and, away so he's been very. Consistent
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: he's coming off a seven, inning one hit shutout Against.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: CLEVELAND i gave out a winner on that on the
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: show on the under in that, game and that WAS
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: i can't believe that game was as quick as it.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: WAS i, MEAN i know it's the pitch clock era and,
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: whatever but that game started, early like in the. Afternoon
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: it was like around. Noontime and the first TIME i
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: checked any scores that, day it was like TWO pm
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: AND i looked in that game was already over And i'm,
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: like all, Right and it did not go over, obviously
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: not even. Close that was one of the easiest unders
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: you'll ever. Get SO i gave you guys that one.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: Here but, Yeah, rasmussen he's in good form right. Now
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: he's pitched well coming out of pitching in The All Star.
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Game he was actually bad in his last two starts
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: going into The All Star, game and then he pitched
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: well coming out of. It but he faced two really
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: bad offenses In toronto And. Cleveland so The White sox
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: will be a step up from, that BUT i don't
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Think rasmuss is going to be intimidated by. THAT i,
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: mean he's a, veteran he's been around for. Forever White
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: socks only have thirteen at bats against, them but they
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: have actually hit him, okay seven hitters of face and
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: three zero eight, average but no power, here no extra base,
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: hits seven to eight, ops three to two strikeout walk.
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: RATIO i don't know IF i want to fully Trust
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: raspus in, here BUT i would prefer him over The
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: White sox bullpen scenario that got going on. HERE i
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: Think Tampa bay is the right side, here but you
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: have to pay a huge price for, them AND i
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: don't know If i'm willing to do. That although the
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: money looks like it agrees with, it seventy five percent of,
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety two percent of the cash on. Them they
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: actually dropped from an opener that was closer minus one to,
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: eighty they're down to like minus one seventy now in that.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: BALLPARK i still think they're probably the right. SIDE i would.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: GO i would make a minus one run line With
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Tampa BUFF i was gonna play this. Game you're gonna
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: need him to win by a little bit of a
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: margin there if you do, that AND i know they
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: won't bat in the ninth, inning if they're already, winning
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: they should be able to win with WHAT i think
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: is a mismatch like this, Though so that's my opinion
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: on that. Game total's fairly, low hovering around eight basically
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: or seven and a, half even money kind of coming
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: in on the over in that. GAME i don't really
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: have a good feel for the total in that. One pitchclock.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Sucks ghost runners are even. Worse we have to get
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: rid of all of the new all of the changes
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: they made to baseball, here all the new. Rules next
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: up is one of my two baseball plays, here AND
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: i think the money's not agreeing with me on. This
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: But i'm gonna back The mets again. Here i'm gonna
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: Back Zach thornton again here man against what's sort of
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: a bullpen esque game From. Miami BUT i don't trust
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: What miami's doing. HERE i think The mets are gonna
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: be able to get this. One The mets, Loss, yes,
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: today they won the first game of the, series which
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: was a winner on the, Show BUT i gave out
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: the under in the first. Game it got a little
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Bit dicey at the end shouldn't have been as close
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: as it, was but, yeah we still got it. Right
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: miami was able to win. Yesterday now it was interesting
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: Because Freddy peralta was supposed to pitch yesterday for The,
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: mets and he did not. Pitch they pulled him and
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: they went with like a bullpen, game which is part
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: of the reason why The mets lost that. Game But,
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: peralta he's gonna get, traded like that's why they pulled
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: him from that. Game i'm pretty sure, that, yeah he'll
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: be on a different team by the end of the day,
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: tomorrow you know WHAT i. Mean So, PERALTA i don't
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna pitch again in A mets. Uniform they
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: didn't push him back because he's not pitching. Today SO
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: i Think paralta's being traded here probably would be good
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: For paralta because he sucked with The. Mets so if
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: he's in a a new situation where he's on a
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: contending tame, dude imagine if he goes back to the.
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: Proors If peralta winds up back On, MILWAUKEE i would
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: kind of love, that to be. Honest he was good
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: when he was. There but, anyway as far as the
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage, here that means The mets did use more
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: of their. Bullpenal The miami used four guys out of theirs.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: Yesterday both these bullpens are all. Right The mets actually
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: only used, two so actually they saved their, bullpens so
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: actually it wasn't a bullpen. GAME i mis. Sake senga
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: actually started the game yesterday and they only us one
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: guy in relief behind, him so they're better relievers are
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: all available here, today so that's actually a good thing
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: for The, mets which is pretty much part of. That,
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: like that's one of the reasons Why i'm going to
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: go full game on. THIS i don't think there's a
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: huge bullpen edge one way or the, other although looking
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: at the, rest The mets might actually have a slight edge.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: There miami's running fifth in Bullpen mets. SEVENTH i don't
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: think THEY'RE i think both teams are a little bit
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: overrated looking at, that but they're both good. Bullpens BUT
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: i think The mets can definitely handle it here in
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: this one with all their better relievers being. Available miami's
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: eighth in, offense they're definitely the better. Offense even THOUGH
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: i don't think they're that. Good The mets have definitely struggled.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: There they're twenty, eighth tied with The Blue. Jays, yeah
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: that's not, good but they might be able to get
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: something going Against Tyler, phillips who is a pseudo starter
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: for The. MARLINS i, mean his era looks pretty good
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: at three point five to, two but his whip is
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: not great one point three. Six he's been awful on
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: the road six point two to Three roadie raise Of.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: Phillips definitely a vulnerable pitcher when he pitches on the
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: road away from That marlins pitcher friendly. Stadium he is
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: coming off a pretty good start Against philly at, home of,
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: course where they wound up winning the game behind. Him
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: he wasn't pitching well before. That he wasn't really going
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: deep into his outings. Here did have some okay outings
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: at the end Of, june But july hasn't really been
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: that kind to. Him his strikeout walk ratio is really.
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: Bad is the r raise above five this? MONTH i,
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: mean that's not. Good, obviously his hit rate is still pretty,
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: good it's, low but his walk rate is kind of.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: High puts too many guys on, base doesn't strike guys,
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: out strike out rate, low so don't really like any of.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: That and you knew this was. Coming The mets seen
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: a decent amount of him thirty three at, bats and
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: they've been able to hit, him even though The mets
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: lineups is not. Good and this is Without sodo in.
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: There but even without, him they hit three thirty three
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: Off phillips with a seven to seventy seven OH ps
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: six to one strike out walk. Ratio ratio is fine
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: For phillips for the rest of these numbers are, bad
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: so The METS i think they can do something offensively.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Here and The mets are gonna be Getting Zach thornton,
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: here Who i'm gonna continue to back. DUDE i, mean
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: he looks legit to me for, now especially when he's
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: facing offenses that haven't faced him. Before two point four
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: to THREE era for, him point nine to one. Whip
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: he's been really good at home one point eight to
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: six Home Thera MARLINS i believe haven't seen him, yet
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: so that's gonna be an extra edge for. Him but
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: he's been good except for his opening start his. Debut
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: ACTUALLY i don't think that was his, Debut, no it
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: WAS i keep thinking he pitched last year in the,
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: majors but he. Didn't, yeah so his debut was difficult
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: against The washington but beyond that he's been. Good he,
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: said good starts Against, Philly, Boston, milwaukee and Then. Atlanta
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: so he stepped it up against some good offenses his
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: last two. Outings AND i had a lean on him
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: in that game Against. MILWAUKEE i should have given it
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: out as a play BECAUSE i was right about, that
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: and THEN i did give out The mets as a.
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: Plan we didn't get a win on, it, though BECAUSE
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: i went first five against The braves and they won
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: fourteen to, three and we didn't get a win because
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: it was three to three at the end of. Five
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: you got to be kidding, Me but, Yeah thornton has
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: been pitching, well. Dude since that opening. Start he's allowed
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: three or fewer earned runs in all of his. Outings
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: he's got a low hit, rate pretty low walk. Rate
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rates not that good, though so his strikeout
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: stuff isn't really, great but he's pitching very. Effectively he's
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: been able to get it done against offenses that are
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar with, him Which miami does qualify as. That miami
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: has not seen him, before SO i think that's an
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: extra advantage to. HIM i think he's got the advantage
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: Over phillips. HERE i like it well. Enough and then
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: the other thing is that The mets are, favored, dude
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: and after people saw them lose, yesterday everybody Knows miami
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: has the better record here and The mets. PEOPLE i,
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: mean there is one worry that The mets are sellers
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: here at the trade, deadline But i'm not that worried
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: about that because they already knew, that. Right Like it's
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: not like The mets are all of a sudden oh,
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: man like like we, Thought like it's not like The
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: mets had like this dream, crusher you know WHAT i,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Mean like the dream crusher has been going on for
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: them all, season like basically Since april Or. May they
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: pretty much knew they were a dead, team you know
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: WHAT i, mean unless they had started to turn, around
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: which never. Happened SO i think the fact that they're
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: selling at the trade, DEADLINE i don't think it matters
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: that much because it wasn't like a quick thing where
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: they thought they were like on the verge of like
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: being a contending team and now they're. Not they came
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: into this season thinking they were gonna be a contending,
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: team and now they're. Not but it's been such a slow,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: burn you, KNOW i don't think it's gonna be that
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: much of an. Issue AND i think they will show
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: up in a game Against miami a divisional series, here
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: plus they can play spoiler against the divisional. Foe you,
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Know miami is still kind of in contention for a
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: wildcard spot, here so even though they just went on
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: a huge slide, recently so they're probably not gonna make.
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: It The National league is too, strong but. WHATEVER i
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: think the fact that The mets are favored, here Like
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: i've been saying all, series it looks, weird like why
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: would the team at the worst record be favored more
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: than just home advantage minus one thirty. Something, well the
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you they're supposed to win this. Game
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: they're the better of the two teams, here or they
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: have the better starting pitcher here at the very. Least
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: and the money doesn't agree with. Me sixty four percent of,
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: tickets sixty percent of the cash on The. Mets SO
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: i don't love the market read here that it's going against,
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: me BUT i think it's a decent look. Here that's
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: What i'm gonna go. With the money line is mostly
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: in the minus one. Thirties it looks like NOW i
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: found a minus one twenty six AT. Fd i'm pretty
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: sure that's WHERE i found this. Number you should be
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: a to find it out. There and if you want
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: to dip into the prediction, markets the one with THE
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: k is listed on this screen now and wager. Talking
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: they tend to have better numbers for, you so you
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: could make your bet that way if you actually want. To,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: YEAH i got nothing else on This the totals high
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: in this. One it's it nine and the money's coming
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: in the. Over i'm not so sure about. THAT i,
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: mean this feels like it's not a very high scoring
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: series in, General SO i don't. KNOW i don't know
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: about the over in that, game BUT i like The
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: mets to get it get it done in that. One,
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: michael what's up? MAN i don't want to spoil, anything
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: BUT i agree with you on the under In Red Sox.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Dodgers thanks for checking out the, show, man or thanks
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: for coming back If i've seen you. BEFORE i forget
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: all the names, sometimes. Man, yes, yeah all these pictures are. Whorees,
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: man they're allowing all these guys to score off of.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Them all, Right minnesota And. Seattle this game is On
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: Fox sports. One this is the AFTERNOON tv, game if you,
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: will if people want to watch this. One seattle returned
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: home yesterday and, lost so they could be in a
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: better spot. Here you, KNOW i talk about how difficult
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: it is when a team returns home from the road.
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: Trip it could be a distracted. Spot you got to
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: get back to home, life and if that, happens then
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: it's a bad game for that. TEAM a lot of
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: times they bounce back and play better in the next,
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: Game so you might get that out Of seattle. Here,
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: seattle they're not, dead, dude by any. MEANS i mean their.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: Division nobody's running away with this division, here so they're
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: certainly in contention, here and they're in contention for a
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: wild card spot, too still in THE al because THE
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: al kind of. Sucks So seattle's not. DEAD i THINK
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: i still kind of Think seattle might be able to
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: win this. Division. MAN i mean It's i'm not that
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: impressed By texas And, houston so, whatever And i'm not
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: impressed By. MINNESOTA i don't know What minnesota is, doing.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Dude it's like they looked like they were guaranteed to
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: be sellers at the trade deadline and they're probably to
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: Deal Joe ryan and. Whatever Now minnesota's, like we're not dead,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: Yet like let's actually try to get into the. Playoffs
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: like you're fucking, stupid, Dude Like minnesota is not going
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: to make the. Playoffs this team is not. Good they're
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: pitching is nowhere near good. ENOUGH i don't know What
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: minnesota ownership is, thinking but they seem like they're not
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: actually gonna sell. Now they actually were buyers. Already they
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: made one trade the other. Day they got one of
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: The mets relief, Pitchers minta or. Whatever So minnesota actually
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: made a. Buye they traded like a prospect for. Him
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: like what the fuck Is minnesota? Doing, Like, yeah let's
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: take our horrible bullpend that we haven't add one guy
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: to And i'm sure that'll turn everything. Around we'll be
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: able to make it the, season. GUYS i, mean you, guys, Whatever,
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: man If minnesota makes the, Playoffs i'll tip my cap to.
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: Them they'll lose right away in the. Playoffs BUT i
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: think it's a. JOKE i don't think they're making the.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: PLAYOFFS i don't understand what they're doing, anyway And seattle
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: the better team. Here minnesota used four relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is also way worse Than. Seattle seattle used.
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: Three seattle's got the bullpen advantage. Here they're, eleventh BUT
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: i think they're better than. THAT i think they're top several,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: bullpen probably top. Five minnesota is one of the worst.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Bullpens they're twenty. Eighth big bullpen advantage To. Seattle. Here
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: minnesota does have the offensive. Advantage they're, twelfth tied with
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: The yankees right. Now yankees have been struggling offensively. Recently
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: seattle is twenty, seventh so they've struggled all. Season pitching
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: matchups should Favorite seattle. Here connor Pre lipus pitching for The.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: Twins he's a. Rookie he's had an up and down.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: Season he looked really good at, times then he looked
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: really bad at. Times looked like maybe the league was
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: starting to figure him out a little. Bit his numbers
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: are okay. HERE i, mean especially for a, rookie this
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: isn't too. Bad four point seven to THREE, era one
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: point three whip not. Horrible he's pretty bad on the road,
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: though six point five six. Road, however he is gonna
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: be in a very pitcher friendly park today here In.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Seattle pitch well last time out against The, a's although
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: that was at. Home In The a's have just not
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: been doing anything right, recently But prelip has actually looked
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: okay for his last few starts at this. Point he's
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: had a handful of pretty good starts. Recently looks like
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: he's pitching better. Again he's got a pretty low hit rate,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: here his walk rate is, OKAY i would, say not,
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: horrible and his strike out rate is more than one per,
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: inning so he does have the ability to strike guys
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: out at the major league. Level SO i don't think
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: he's that. BAD i think maybe he might actually be
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than his numbers make him. Look
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: and he's been good Against, seattle although Now seattle has
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: seen him, once but they're only one for fourteen off.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Him at Least seattle's current lineup one for fourteen off,
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: him seventy one, average two fifty nine oh, ps five
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: to two strike out walk. Ratio the only hit is
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: a single From, garver So prelip might actually be able
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: to do okay, here although if you look at his
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: pitching line when he pitched Against seattle this, year it
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: was a little bit. IFFY i mean he went five
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: innings allow of twouring. Runs it was at, home by the.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: Way the main issue is he walked three guys in that,
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: only but he one hit them at five, Innings so,
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: yeah he wasn't that bad in that. Start SO i
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: think Pre lip might actually be able to do okay.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Here And seattle's Got Logan gilbert Going gilbert is one
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: of their better. Starters he's got a three point four
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: to FOUR, era point nine to nine whip is really.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: Good his home ra makes him look way worse at
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: home four point one. Four BUT i told you he
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: was going to turn it. Around it's just his home
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: run rate has been inexplicably high at. Home he's allowed
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: fourteen of the fifteen home runs he's allowed at, home
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: even though this is not a home run favorable ballpark at.
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: All but if you, remember like three starts, ago his
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: three home starts, ago his homy ray was like six
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: AND i backed HIM i think in one of those,
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: starts and his era's gone way down at. Home SO
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: i told you he was gonna correct, that like These
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: seattle pitchers are not this bad at, home SO i
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Think gilbert throw that split out a little. Bit LIKE
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: i Think gilbert's good either. Way he was not great
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: last time out of the road Against, texas but good
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: enough they wound up winning the. Game he's still pitching
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: pretty well, here even though his last few starts haven't
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: been the, best but still not. Terrible he's got a
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: really low hit rate. Here his walk rate is also really.
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: Low he just doesn't put a lot of guys on
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: base at. All his strikeout rate is also pretty. High
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: he's a good pitcher man other than maybe some home
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: run issues, here but it's kind of hard to explain.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Those although he is a little bit of a fly
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: ball pitcher's Just. Seattle you don't really usually give up
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: many dingers In. Seattle let's Say gilbert's been good Against
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: minnesota and a big sample seventy at, bats nineteen to,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: three strikeout walk ratio one fifty seven, average four to
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: forty NINE. OPS i like the under in this. GAME
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: i WOULD i wouldn't be able to Include minnesota's, bullpen
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i think first five under is probably HOW i
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: would do. This but the full game total seven and a,
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Half so it's gonna be one of those dread three
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: and a half's probably in the first. Five the total
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: looks like it's getting public action on the over seventy
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: one percent of, tickets seventy three percent of the. CASH
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: i think if you're taking the, under you're at least
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: fading the public. HERE i think that's WHAT i would. Do,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: yeah first five makes the most sense because the worst
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: pitching you're gonna get in this game should Be minnesota's.
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: Bullpen that's, like what could really cause that thing to just?
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: Die so, YEAH i look the first five, Under seattle's
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: getting some of the, money seventy eight percent of, tickets
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of the cash on. Them they've dropped
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: from minus one sixty eight into the like minus one
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: sixty or so. Range it looks like it's some of these.
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: BOOKS i don't disagree With seattle though that price is
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: a little, high but it looks like they're getting the.
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Money LIKE i, said it could be a bounce back for,
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: them AND i THINK i Prefer gilbert Over prelipse. STILL i,
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: Mean gilbert's the way more established, pitcher plus you get
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: the better. Bullpen With. SEATTLE i think you get the
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: better team as well AS i. Was you, know AS
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: i kind of started my handicap by pointing that, out
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: you'd have to lay like a run line Of, seattle,
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: though like making a minus one run. Line doing that
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: with a low scoring, game like a game it's projected
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: to be a low. Total maybe a little bit, questionable but,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean that's not a Game i'm going to be.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: On but that's those are my thoughts, There Flat earth
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: grappler or what's up man Res. Becky you're giving OUT
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: ufc action here to win inside the, distance so it
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: minus one, Fifty so you mean it's not going to
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: go all what is it five rounds or three? ROUNDS
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: i don't. KNOW i have no idea if that's the
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: main event or. Not but you like him to win
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: before the final. Bell let's say if you want to
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: call it THAT i. HAVE i have no. IDEA i
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: don't know anything about. It so maybe minus one fifty
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: is the price on That somalian. LOGIC i, mean, Yeah
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: minnesota's it's Become. Somalia but you, KNOW I i think
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: that those, YEAH i think that it's the people that
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: are up above pulling the strings are really who's actually
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: responsible for all? That just like what's going on In
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: spain right, Now like this is not this is not
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: organized activity By. Somalis i'm, sorry it's not, so you,
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: know all, right they're just the the ponds and the
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: equation and they're, irritating to put it very, mildly all,
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: right all, Right pittsburgh And cincinnati. Here, Uh, cincinnati uh
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: won both games of the series so. Far they were
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: able to win With Paul skins on the mount Your
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: skins And green. Both, YEAH i don't even want to
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: talk about. It that was. Terrible could have been a lot.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: Better.
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: Uh so many two out runs yesterday. Ridiculous. Uh cincinnati
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: used a bunch of relief. Pictures their bullpen's not. Good
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: they used five relief. Pictures pittsburgh's bullpen is not much,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: better and they used. Three SO i would avoid the
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: bullpens here LIKE i tried to do. Yesterday but the
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: bullpens were still not good. Yesterday the bullpens gave up
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: a bunch of runs. Yesterday in this game, Too pittsburgh's
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: twenty fourth and Bullpen cincinnati twenty. Fifth pittsburgh is definitely
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: good offensively, third although in this, case they're on the,
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: road but they're. Not they're not quite as good on the.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: Road cincinnati has actually been really bad on, offense even at,
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: home even though they're in a hitter friendly. Park their
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: offense hasn't been, good even though they broke out yesterday
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: for some. Runs but they're twenty first in. Offense pittsburgh
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: is the better. Offense pittsburgh is still the slightly better,
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: bullpen AND i Think pittsburgh has the better starting pitcher
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: on the mound as, well though they're favored on the
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: road for that reason, Now So Braxton ashcraft is getting
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: respect in the market. Now four point oh five yrra
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: doesn't look that, good but one point one to nine
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: whip is pretty. Good you know, me if you watch my,
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: SHOW i Think ashcraft is. GOOD i like. Him he's
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse on the. Road four point two
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: to one at Rody. Ra he's still pitching pretty. Well
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: he had one bad starting here on the road again The,
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: yankees but bounce back with an okay start against The
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: cubs last time. Out it was better than the four
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: runs that he allowed made it look the other like
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: the peripherals in that start didn't look that. Bad he's
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: still got a pretty low hit rate on the, season
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: his walk rates pretty, low his strikeout rate is, high
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: so he's got good metrics. Here SO i think he's good,
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: obviously and he's been good Against cincinnati as. Well fifty
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: four at bats against him two oh four, average five
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: sixty six oh, ps twelve to eight strikeout walk, ratio
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: so too many walks in that, equation but the rest
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: of his numbers are good. There cincinnati has not been
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: able to do that much against. Him andrew abb and
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: his pitcher For, Cincinnati he's been a pretty good pitcher
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: for them throughout his career so far this year hasn't
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: been quite as good to Those era looks pretty good
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: three point eight, five but his whip calls that into.
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: Question one point three eight. Whip he puts too many
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: guys on. Base he's been pitching a little bit better, recently,
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: though but he's also been bad at home five point
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: oh Five Homie ray that's not very, Good so he's
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: been struggling at. Home last start at home wasn't really
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: that good against The. Cubs had a couple of good
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: road starts after that Against seattle And Saint, louis But
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: the walks have still been an issue for, him and
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: that's kind of always been the. Case the walks have
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: been his. Bugaboo he's got a pretty low hit rate,
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: here so he doesn't allow that many. Hits the walk
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: rate is very. High LIKE i, said he walks too many.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: Guys he doesn't really strike that many guys out, either
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: so strike got raised pretty. Low that's just the way
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: that he pitches to contact a little. Bit but the
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: walk rate's got to go, down, man and it's worse
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: this year than it was the last couple of. Seasons
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: numbers Against pittsburgh are actually fairly good. Though in sixty
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: six at bats two twenty seven average allowed six ninety
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: one ohps seventeen to five strike out walk, ratio so
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: he's actually been pretty good Against. Pittsburgh my first reaction
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: to looking at what this matchup looked like was THAT
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: i was leaning Towards. Pittsburgh you do have to lay
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: a price with, them though there's a reverse line movement
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: against them coming in. Here they got sixty six percent
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: of the, tickets sixty two percent of the cash on,
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: them and they're so that means they're a public road,
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: favorite WHICH i don't love that they've dropped from in
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: the minus one twenties all the way down to almost
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: a pick them price, here so there's been actual money
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: looks like coming in Against. Pittsburgh although IF i was
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: gonna play, ASIDE i WOULD i would lean To pittsburgh
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: in this. ONE i think they have the upper hand
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: in this game and really all the phases of the game,
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: here although you might exclude the bullpens from it because
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: you never. KNOW i, mean these bullpens are both. Bad
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: the money's also backing the over a bent sixty three
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the under fifty three percent of the,
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: cash and the under at eight and a. HALF i,
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: mean based on what we just saw with the, MATCHUPS
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: i think the first five under actually makes. Sense it
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: looks like both starters might actually be able to do okay.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: HERE i think first five under makes some sense. Here
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: you gotta avoid the bullpens, though AND i know the
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: first five under was a mess, yesterday BUT i think
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: that might be another lean today in that. ONE i
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: THINK i Prefer pittsburgh really though in that. One after
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: taking the loss, yesterday they're still the better. TEAM i
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: think they still win in the matchup in this, One so,
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i don't like the market read at
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: all there, Though philadelphia At. BALTIMORE i was correct About
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: baltimore winning yesterday and it was not on my, card
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: So i'm kind of mad about. THAT i was right
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: about that. One Brandon young was able to Outpitch philadelphia
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: bulp end game. Yesterday it's gonna be different in this,
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: game probably Because philly has one of their best pitchers pitching.
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: Today philly used three relief pitchers, Yesterday baltimore used. Four
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: baltimore's bullpen is the better. One they're ranked. Ninth they've
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: been pretty good for the last month, plus So baltimore
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: definitely has a bullpen advantage. Here philadelphia's has not been very.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: Good their ranked twentieth, Offensively baltimore has also actually been
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: better their. Eighteenth philly is twenty. Third philly has struggled
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: man especially on the, road But philly does have a
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: starting pitching edge, here and that's what you're gonna have
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: to pay for if you're gonna try to Back philly.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: Here Christopher sanchez is pitching for, Them he's had an.
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: Excellency he's Inside young, contention you, know probably not gonna
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: be able to beat Mis, zierowskill though we'll See sanchez
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: is more of a veteran, though and might hold up
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: down the stretch here, Though sanchez actually started pitching a
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: little bit worse somewhat, recently but he's still got a
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: two point seven to three ra one point two. Whip
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: that whip is a little bit, high but still the you,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: know for, him, WELL i don't want to say for
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: him because that's more in line with what he's done
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: Throughout like the last couple of, seasons his whip has
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: been like in the one point. Twos but, YEAH i
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: mean his. Whip usually he does walk a few too many,
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: Guys that's What i'll. Say sanchez has not been as
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: good on the road four point nine to Seven Roady.
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: Ray so he does struggle a bit on the. Road
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: he struggled going into The All Star. Break, oh he
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: had one good start going into The All Star. Game
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: he struggled in The All Star. Game he actually only
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: had one bad start prior to, that and he came
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: out of The All star break was okay against The,
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: dodgers and then it was okay again against The. Yankees
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: so those are really difficult offenses to. Face, obviously he's
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: now facing an offense that's not as good as those.
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: Offenses although The yankees haven't been that good, Recently sanchez
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: still good numbers overall, here although he's actually aligning more
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: than one hit per inning, now which is not really that.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: Good so he's actually been too hittable this, year which
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: you don't usually see that with. Him his walk rate
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: is actually. LOW i think usually with, him his walk
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: rate is the main issue if he has, one but
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: he's flipped that a little bit this. Year and he
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: does have a high strikeout rate at a lot of ground,
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: balls so, yeah he does not allow bad or to
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: put the ball in the air too much against. Him
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: baltimore has been kind of mediocre against, him hitting, wise
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: forty four at bats across six, hitters thirteen, strikeouts no,
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: walks so they've had a lot of strikeouts against him
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: to seventy three average six eighty two. Ohps DO i
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: Think sanchez is gonna pitch poorly? Here, no not. REALLY
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: i MEAN i think he'll probably be at least decent
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: in the. Start shane boss is pitching For. Baltimore he's
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: been better for the last like, month month and a,
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: half Probably he's got a three point nine to eighty r.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Ray his whip is still not very good one point
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: three to. Nine he's been a little bit better at
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: home the ray wise at three point nine to, five
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: but his home opponent batting average is actually way worse
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: than it is on the road two ninety. Five so
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: just be aware of. That he might not actually be
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: better at, home and in, fact he might be. Worse
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: he's coming off a home start where he didn't do
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: that well Against. Atlanta he didn't last that long in that.
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: Game he's kind of been alternating good and bad starts
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: actually over the last month or, so and if that,
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: continues it would be a good start from him in this.
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: One looking at his, numbers overall hit rate is above
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: one per, inning which is not very. Good his walk
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: rate is kind of. Mediocre strike out rate is not
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: that good, Either so his numbers are really, MEDIOCRE i would,
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: say just across the board, here and his numbers Gets
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: philly are not good in twenty nine at bats three ten,
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: average eight to twenty three, ops seven to, three strike out, walk,
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: Right SO i don't really want to come in and
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: try to Back boz. HERE i don't really want to
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: Play philly. EITHER i, mean you gotta lame minus one
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: forty on the road. Here it's actually dropped a little
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: bit from the. OPENER i think eighty percent of the
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: tickets seventy six percent of the cash On, philly so
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: they're a public road, favorite which is not usually SOMETHING
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: i want to, back, obviously SO i will not do. That,
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: sanchez you, know a little, bit maybe overrated on the,
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: road at least right. Now he's not as good on the,
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: road maybe an over fifty three percent of, tickets ninety
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on the. Over the totals
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: at eight and a. Half you Got sanchez at least
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: in the worst of his home road splits. Debatably boz
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: also is you, Know philly's bullpen is, Bad baltimore's is
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: decent but not really anything, special And boz has bad
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers. Here SO i don't. Know there might be
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: more indicators towards an over than an under in this.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: ONE i still Think philly probably is going to get
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: the job done here and bounce back after. Yesterday BUT
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: i think the price is just not what you, want
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: you know WHAT i, Mean like it's a high price
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: to bet you're paying attacks for Backing sanchez in that.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: One all, Right texas In. Houston The battle Of texas
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: is a big, series. Man these teams are battling each
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: other for the lead in THE Al west right. Now
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: houston won yesterday and leap Frog. Texas So houston was
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: a game that was a half game. Behind now they're
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: a half game ahead Of texas after winning the game
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: in a blowout. YESTERDAY i think it was eleven to.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: Two houston used four relief. Pitchers they might have the
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: better bullpen right. Now texas used. One texas bullpen is
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: more rested here though Than, houston. Says texas has been
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: struggling out of the bullpen, recently. Though they're ranked nineteenth
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: And houston is. Fifteenth given the rest edge That texas,
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: has maybe that balances out a little, bit THOUGH i
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: don't know IF i really want to trust either bullpen
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: in this. One, Offensively houston has been good. Again they're
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: number seven right. Now texas has been, okay it's, seventeenth
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: and THEY'RE i think better on the road pitching match up, here,
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: though this looks like the starting pitching matchup is pretty
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: good for both. Pitchers jacob de Gram is pitching for The.
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: Rangers he's good, overall you, know just throughout his entire,
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: career three point six SEVENTY, ra one point oh seven.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: Whip he's a little bit worse on the road four
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: point three to THREE. Roadyra so he does take advantage
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: of That texas pitcher friendly stadium. There pitch well last
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: time Against seattle at, home kind of a bounce back
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: because he wasn't good in the previous start against The White.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: Sox but he's generally been pretty. Good he's had a
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: couple of rough starts this, season but he's been good in.
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: General low hit, rate low walk, rate high strikeout, rate
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: good numbers across the. Board, here still can pitch man
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: even though he's thirty, eight and his numbers Against houston
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: he keeps him to a low average of two, nineteen
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: but the ops is actually a bit high at seven
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: point fifty. Two the strikeout walker ratio is actually, insane
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: thirty two to zero in one one hundred and five at,
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: bats one hundred and five at. Bats the walk you,
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: know a walk doesn't count as in a, bat but
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: still in this huge of a sample, size having no,
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: walks that's something you WON'T i don't Think i've ever
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: seen that. Before that's. Insane so he does have really
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: good command against, them holds him to a low batting,
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: average but they've been able to hit home runs against.
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: Him they have ten home runs against, them which is
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: why THE ops is as high as it. Is maybe
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: that's a little bit. FLUKY i don't. Know it's Al
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: twove with three of them And alvarez with three of,
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: them And alvarez there was some talk that they might
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: be trading, him BUT i don't. THINK i don't Think
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: houston's gonna sell at the trade. Deadline, man they could
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: win their, division like they're they're literally leading the division right,
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Now like why would they, sell even THOUGH i Think
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: seattle might still win this? Thing but, still, YEAH i
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: don't think they would. Sell by the, way Al, twove
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: even though he has three home runs off To, grom
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: his batting average is not that good against. Him houston
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: is gonna go with Ronnelle, blanco who doesn't look good
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: right now now eight point one but at one point
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: two whip is not that. Bad but he's only made
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: two starts so far since coming back from, injury AND
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: i think he got suspended last year for pine tarring
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: his hands as. Well if you look at what he's
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: done the last two, seasons he's been actually pretty. Good
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: so he's definitely better than what his numbers make him
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: look like right. Now SO i think he's going to
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: get better at some. Point but right, NOW i don't
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: THINK i could trust. HIM i, mean he's his walk
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: rate has just been very bad in his two starts so.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: FAR i was at home Against miami and on the
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: road against The White. Sox he struggled in both, starts
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: didn't really go that. Deep he was pretty hard to
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: hit still, though and had a ton of, Strikeouts so
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: the issue was that he was issuing a bunch of free.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: Passes andy allot four home, runs WHICH i think that
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: stuff is going to correct a little, bit and maybe
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: it starts here because he does have good numbers against
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: The rangers and forty two at bats one ninety, average
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: five to seventy seven oh, ps eight to six strike
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: out walk. Ratio the ratio is not. Good, again the
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: walks might be an issue for him in, general BUT
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: i don't. Know this game kind of looks like it
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: should be an under to. ME i don't really know
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: IF i want to trust the bullpens. Here let me
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: say we have fifty percent of ticket seventy seven percent
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over though full game totals
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: eight and a. HALF i think under first five you're
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be seeing like a four and a half
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: on that, Actually so that seems like a pretty reasonable
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: number actually for a first five under, THERE i think
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: that might be the WAY i would. Look and the
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: money is back In, houston sixty two percent of the,
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: tickets fifty five percent of the cash On. Texas the
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: mine is reverse moved Against texas as, well so they're
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: the public, side and it's dropped from minus one thirty
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: down to about minus one. Twenty so there's some real
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: money coming in On. Houston and you, KNOW i might
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: agree with. That, Like blanco's not as bad as his
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: era makes them. LOOK i just don't know how trustworthy
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: is with how he's walking so many guys right. Now
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: like it's almost LIKE i would have to wait and,
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: see like wait for him to start turning it around
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: a little, bit you. Know but you need to be
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: ahead of ahead of the, curve ahead on the, market you.
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: Know so if you think he's gonna start pitching better right,
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: now and you could back him as a home. Underdog
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: maybe that is what you should be doing. Here you,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: know you have to pay a price with De, grom,
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: Right you're being taxed for backing To grom here because
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: everybody knows who he. Is he's gonna be in The
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: hall Of, fame et. Cetera so that's WHAT i gotta
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: say about that. GAME i think give you Back. Houston
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: MAYBE i would just do it in the first five,
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: though BECAUSE i don't trust their, bullpen especially with the
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: bullpen rest scenario they got going on. There Arizona, cleveland
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: this is one of The fox. Games there are Two fox,
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: games but this one has to compete With Yankees. Cobs
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: which one of these games you think is gonna get
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: more eyes on? It, YEAH i wonder which? One probably
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: the one that has actual sports. Markets sorry To arizona
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: And cleveland. Here, also this is not a good offensive
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: Matchup Arizona. Cleveland oh my. God cleveland lost the game
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: yesterday four to. One could be a bounce back because
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: they were in a return home, spot so be aware
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: of those spots or when as he returns home from the,
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: road it could be a difficult spot for. Them and
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: then they don't do, well they might bounce back and
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: do better in the next. Game SO i Think cleveland
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: is worth a look in this. Game the problem is
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers know they have an edge in this, game
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: and you're gonna have to pay for. It and that's
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: kind of the. Problem paying a price like this with
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: A cleveland offense that can't. HIT i, mean that's gonna
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: be a little bit. DICEY i would Say cleveland used
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers. Yesterday both these bullpens are. Decent arizona used.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: FOUR i Think cleveland is actually the better, bullpen even
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: Though arizona's ranked. Six their e rays above. Four cleveland's
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: e rais almost a half run better even though they ranked.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: Sixteen SO i Think cleveland is the better bullpen. Here
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: both offenses kind of. Suck arizona twenty. Second cleveland is
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: dead last though. Thirtieth So arizona's is better Than. Cleveland's starting,
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: pitching you gotta give. It you gotta give it To cleveland.
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: HERE i Mean Cole drake is pitching For. ARIZONA i
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: was not impressed by his minor. League he's a big,
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: dude but he doesn't really throw that. Hard he's made
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: two starts so far in his major league. Career he's
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: got a FIVE era at one point four to four
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: whip NINE era on the, road so he's made two.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: Starts the home start was actually good against The. A's
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: it was really better THAN i thought it would. Be
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: but The, a's even though their offense is pretty, good
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: they've been struggling. Recently they're without longa. Leiers now they
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: might be trading some of their, hitters who. Knows but
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: then he went To washington and struggled. There, however WHAT
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: i will say is he might pitch better here Because
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: cleveland is gonna be the worst offense he's faced so.
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: Far you, know like going From washington To, cleveland that's
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: a huge drop off in offensive capability, There so he
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: might pitch better for that. REASON i don't THINK i trust,
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: him THOUGH i didn't like his minor league. Numbers it
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: seems to be kind of moving in the wrong direction.
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: HERE i know he has the unfamiliarity edge. Here cleveland
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: hasn't seen him before and they're not a good, offense
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: so they're really hard to. Trust BUT i think what
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: you can trust Is Parker, mestik who's pitching For cleveland
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: obviously established himself at this. Point he's definitely good two
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: point five to ninety, array one point zero four. Whip
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: he's slightly worse at home two point nine to five year,
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: rays still really. Good he's in really good form still right,
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: now coming off a really good outing Against. Tampa that
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: was that GAME i talked. About it was him against
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: rasmusim WHERE i gave out the under in that. One
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: it was a, quick easy win on that. One the
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: only run in that game was A messic actually gave
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: up the only run in the, Game. Messik he's got
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: a low hit rate, here pretty low walk rate. Too
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is almost one per, inning which is pretty,
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: decent decent amount of ground ball outs to. Now the
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: thing you have to worry about With messick is he's
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: thrown more innings than he ever has. Before so that's
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: you you have to worry about with these young, guys
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: like they might have a drop off when they start
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: getting up there in innings pitch AND i usually consider
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: that to be around like one point. FIFTY i kind
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: of really start to. Worry he's not there, yet and
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: he's not really showing signs of falling off. Yet So
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: I'm i'd be okay with backing him in this game
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: Against arizona or. Decent they haven't really seen much of.
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: Them they have six hitters have faced, him sixteen at,
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: bats one extra base, hit a double From james, mccahn
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: two fifty batting, average six oh seven ops three to
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: one straight out walk. RATIO i still Think cleveland is
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: probably the way to look. Here it's just this price is.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Insane it's around minus one sixty something. Here it's kind
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: of similar to where it. Opened and the money doesn't.
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: Agree seventy nine percent of the ticket's only sixty one
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On, cleveland so the money is fading,
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: them AND i think it's entirely because of the. Price
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: like it's tough to, do. MAN i, mean the total
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: isn't really that low though at eight and a, half
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: but With cleveland's offense being as bad as it, is
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: it's really tough to do this because you have to make.
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: This you're gonna have to make it like a minus
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: one run line With, cleveland and if they're, winning they
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: might not bat in the ninth. Inning there's a decent
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: likelihood of them winning by one run or, something which
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: if they do. That that wouldn't be the end of the.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: World you'd push if you have a minus one run.
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: Line but, YEAH i don't want to do. It the
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: market is kind of telling me to not do. It
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: the price doesn't really look right to. Me But cleveland
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: should have the edge throughout the game and the pitching
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: department at, least SO i think they should. Win and
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: they're in the bounce back scenario there where they lost
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: yesterday as the returning home, team, right so they're one
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: of the teams that falls into a spot like. THAT
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: i Think cleveland. DOES i Think seattle. Does AND i
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: forget who there. WAS i think one other team. DID
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: i forget who it was though MAYBE i haven't gotten
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: to it, yet but. Whatever, anyway those are my thoughts
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: on that. One, YEAH i think there's another one THAT
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: i just haven't talked about. Yet all, Right washington And.
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: Atlanta atlanta has won two games in the series. ALREADY
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: i think this is a four game. Series it'll continue.
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow atlanta has righted the ship here and they're playing
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: very well. Again garrett might be out there somewhere in the.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: Chat our Resident atlanta fan. Here braves also kind of
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: saved their bullpen yesterday they only use one guy out
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: of the, bullpen so their better relievers will all be available,
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: here so they're gonna have a big bullpen advantage. Here
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: washington's bullpen's not good to The washington actually did the same.
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: Thing they only used one long relief, Guy Trevor, williams
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: WHO i remember from his days of being a, starter
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: and he's not that. Good washington's bullpen is not good in.
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: General they're twenty sixth and The braves are number. Two
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: they're number three in, era though their eray's fallen considerably
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: behind The Red sox and The, yankees but still a
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: much better bullpen Than. Washington washington is number one in offense,
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: though and The braves are number ten And. Washington As
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: i've pointed out in the, Series washington is better on
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: the road than they are at home at hitting In
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: atlanta is worse at home than they are on the
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: road at. Hitting washington hasn't been able to get it done.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: YET i Thought washington had a decent shot, though to
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: actually win both. GAMES i gave You washington in the
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: first five in the first game they probably should have
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: been winning at that, point and then yesterday they Had.
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: Foster griffin missed first five on the mound yesterday and
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: they still didn't get it. Done griffin was good again
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: in that, one but not, good not good. Enough actually
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: know they left him in actually give him six. Runs Never,
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: MIND i thought he was out by, then he. Wasn't So,
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah griffin didn't have the greatest, start BUT i think
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: he just kind of lost it after he got through
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: five innings. There, Anyway griffin's not pitching. Here Miles michels
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: is pitching For. Washington probably not a good, thing although you,
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: KNOW i mean he gets a really bad rap. Him
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: maybe he's actually not quite as bad as people make
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: him out to. Be, uh there's a reason why he's
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: still pitching in the. Majors he's got a five point
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: six FIVE era one point three to three whip is
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: not that bad. Though he's been actually a little bit
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: better on the road five point two Nine Roady, Ray
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: so he's in the better of his own road, splits
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: even though it's still not. Good he's not really a
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: good form right now that he's not striking anybody out,
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: here not going deep into his outings. Here he lots
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: some runs here the last couple of times. Out that's not.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: Good his hit rate is well above one per, inning
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: which isn't. Good he allows a lot of home, runs
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: which isn't. Good doesn't walk, guys so at least there's,
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: that but he's way too hit. Aable of. Course his
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is also really. Low he gets guys
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: out mostly via like the ground ball and stuff like,
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: that even though he has more, flyballs still the ground,
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: ball so he doesn't strike anybody. Out, however he's not
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: that bad against The, braves and he's a little bit
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: better on the, road so he might actually be okay
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: in this. Game he's got one hundred and forty at
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: bats against The braves two sixty four, average seven thirty three,
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: ops twenty one to eight strikeout walk ratio is not
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: really that. Good these are average numbers, here but he
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: doesn't get completely blown up by The, braves so he
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: may actually not be horrible. Here braves are going With Ronaldo,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: lopez WHO i find kind of hard to, trust even
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: though you're gonna look at him and say he's the
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: way better pitcher here because he's got a way BETTER
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: era three point sixty, four and while, YEAH i think
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: he's the better pitcher, HERE i don't know if the
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: gap is that. Big he's got a one point three
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: to four, whip which isn't really that. Good there's a
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: reason why he was in the bullpen for some along
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: this year because The BRAVES i, think didn't really trust him.
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: Anymore he's gotten up there in. Age yet he used
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: to be really good for a little. BIT i don't
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: think he really is. Anymore he's been a little bit
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: worse era wise at home three point seventy nine of
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: those opponent batting averages better at. Home pitch well last
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: time out shut Out baltimore for five and two thirds
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: on the, road so that was a good, start but
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: he was struggling before. That like he re entered the starting,
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: rotation was okay for a, bit and then he started
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: struggling against some really weak offenses. Too he's faced pretty
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: much all week offenses since rejoining the, rotation so that
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: would worry me as. Well Like baltimore's, okay and he
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: did well in that, one But washington is a step
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: up from all these. Offenses you know this is gonna
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: be by far the strongest offense that he's face is
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: returning to the, rotation because he's Faced Saint louis, twice
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: The mets In San, diego and Then. Baltimore all those
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: lineups Except baltimore are like bottom. Several so, yeah, overall
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: he does have a pretty low hit rate here is
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: walk rate is a little bit. HIGH i would say
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is not, great it's, Okay and those
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: include his bullpen appearances Against, Washington he's not been that.
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: Great and forty six at bats two sixty one average
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: seven to seventy two, ops twelve to seven strike out
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not very good. Either i'm thinking maybe over
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: is the way THAT i would look at this game
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: for maybe the best opinion THAT i have in this.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: Game let me see what does the market look like? Here,
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: yeah the market looks like a agrees sixty five percent
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the, under fifty four percent of the
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: cash and the. OVER i think you have two untrustworthy starters.
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: Here one of the bullpen's is, bad SO i think there's.
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: More and when you know when the starters are, bad
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: a lot of times the bullpen will kind of have
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: a domino effect and you'll have like your worst bullpen
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: arms coming in and. Whatever totals at nine and a half,
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: here which is definitely not, low and we've seen some
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: low scoring games In atlanta this. Year this is a
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: pretty high total for An atlanta home. Game so, YEAH
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: i think the oddsmakers are kind of telling you something
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: over is probably the best way to play, it ALTHOUGH
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: i wouldn't disagree if you wanted to try to Play
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: washington in the verse. FIVE i know how insane that.
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: Sounds you got to exclude their, bullpen But mikolas might
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: actually be able to kind of hang With lopez and
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: maybe actually even outpitch. THEM i, mean we're not talking
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: about elite starters. Here and this price on The braves
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: is ridiculous and it's actually dropped for minus one ninety
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: five into the minus one. Seventy so there's been some
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: strong money actually Backing washington in this. One some of
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: it has to do with the, price like Should lopez
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: really be favored like, this especially against The washington. Team
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: it still has a, very very potent. Offense so eighty
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: five percent of ticket seventy two percent of the cash On,
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: Atlanta so, yeah the money is Backing washington, here a
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: lot of it because of the. PRICE i could see
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: the argument for it in the first. Five DO i
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: really want to try to Back. Mekolas not, Really and
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i would prefer going over in that game to anything,
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: else BUT i wouldn't disagree with The washington first five
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: look as, well or EITHER i should, say all, Right,
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: washington they're. Hitting you do have to maybe worry a
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: little bit about guys thinking like AM i going to
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: be traded or, not because there's definitely talk about some
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: of their offensive players getting traded, here all. Right the
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: Other fox game Is Yankees. Cubs very low scoring game,
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: yesterday good pitching from both, sides better THAN i expected
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: From Will, warren and The yankees somehow were able to
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: win the game to. Nothing With warren Against. IMONAGA i
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: thought Ema naga had the upper hand, there although he
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: was probably a little bit overvalued in the. Market but
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: The yankees are a pretty big underdog in that, one
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: and maybe they shouldn't have been that big of an.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: Underdog chicago used two relief pitchers, Yesterday yankees used. Two
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: they Used bednar though their clothes are of, course but
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: The yankees are the better. Bullpen they have the best
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: bullpen era again right, now very close with The Red.
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: Sox yankees are fourth and whip very good bullpen. There
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: The cubs are decent at, fourteenth but The yankees have
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: the better. Bullpen chicago actually has the better offense right,
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: now they're. Fourth yankees have not been good offensively for
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: a while. Now their twelveth tied At. Minnesota BUT i
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: think The yankees offense is going to turn it around
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: at some. Point they have too many bats in that,
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: lineup not too ALTHOUGH i know some of them are
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: hurt right. Now pitching, MATCHUP i, mean this made me
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: laugh WHEN i first saw, him like this is such
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: a mismatch in favor of The. Yankees but THEN i
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: started digging into, it And i'm, like maybe it actually
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: isn't The yankees At Max freed, pitching he's good, obviously
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: three point two to THREE ra one point zero two.
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: Whip he's actually better on the road as, well Y
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: ray And wise two point sixty. Six his opponent batting
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: average is not much worse on the road, either so,
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: YEAH i would say he is probably better on the.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: Road his last start was on the road and wasn't
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: that good though against The White, sox and The yankees
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: offense actually exploded late in that game and wound up
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: getting the. Win in that. Game he wasn't good in the, game.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: Though does that mean he's trending in the wrong. DIRECTION
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: i don't, know. MAN i, mean he was pitching pretty
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: poorly for a little while In, may and then he got.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: Hurt and he's made two starts since coming, back and
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: one was really good Against pittsburgh at, home and then
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: he struggled quite a bit in that game against The White.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: SOX i don't know exactly what form we're gonna get
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: out of him, here though generally he's pretty. Good he's
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: got a low hit, rate walk rate is, okay it's not.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: Great strike out rate is not really that. GOOD i,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: mean he's not really a strikeout, pitcher so just kind
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: of a mediocre strike out, rate but he induces a
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: lot of ground. Balls against The, cubs he's been, OKAY
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: i mean not like totally lights out against. Them ninety
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: four at bats two fifty five, average seven, ops so
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: they've been able to hit him for a little bit of.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: Power most of it Is. Hap so if you want
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: to look at player props, Here hap And bregman basically
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: are the guys that do all the damage against him
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: in this. Lineup thirty strikeouts and seven, walks by the,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: way so that ratio is pretty good For. Freed So, Freed, yeah,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: GENERALLY i would say he probably has a little bit
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: of the upper hand against The cubs. Still and, yeah
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: our our Friend David peterson is pitching for The. Cubs
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: that's WHY i, laughed Because i'm, like are you Serious
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: freed Against? Peterson, yeah WHICH i wonder which one of
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: these pitchers is. Better, HOWEVER i, know you, KNOW i
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: make fun Of peterson all the time on the. Show he.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: SUCKS i Think i've been proven. Right even though he
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: was way overperforming with The mets for a while and
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: he looked actually good with them for a, WHILE i
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: think he was getting lucky because he was putting way
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: too many guys on, base and this season it really
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: came to bite him and The mets wound up getting
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: rid of. Them he's got a five point eight E
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: ray one point five two, whip really bad. Stuff he's
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: been really bad at home seven point five to One Homy. Ray,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: however most of that was with The. Mets with The,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: cubs he had won really horrific home start though against
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: a Bad Saint louis. Lineup BUT i Think Saint louis
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: might just hit him, well because he kind of struggled
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: again Against Saint. Louis last time on the, road he
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: was definitely, better, though enough good enough to win the.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: Game his other home start was also good Against, detroit
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: so he does kind of seem to be pitching better
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: here with The. Cubs he's really actually only had that
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: one bad start and it was a nightmarishly bad star
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: Against Saint louis and it wasn't. Home SO i still
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: don't really know IF i want to fully trust him
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: in a home start. Here but he's been better with The,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: cubs SO i don't. Know maybe, again some guys respond
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: to like motivation and stuff, like Oh i'm on a contending,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: team Now i'm gonna pitch, better you.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 4: Know WHAT i.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: MEAN i still don't think he's. Good, However surprisingly he's
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: got good numbers against The. Yankees The yankees have seen
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: a decent amount of him because The yankees play The
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: mets all the time in that Rivalry subway series they
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: play multiple times a. Year sixty five at bats, here
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: two hundred batting averaged five to six y, ops eighteen
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: to six strike a walk ratio that's kind of, mediocre
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: but the rest of these numbers are. Good So peterson
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: he's actually pitching pretty well right. Now he's got good
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: numbers against The. Yankees and this, total holy, crap this
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: total for A David peterson, Game this total is kind
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: of unbelievable to. Me and the wind has to be
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: blowing in In wrigley because this total is six and a. Half,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: insane absolutely. Insane the wind has to be blowing in
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: for that to be the. Case, so as you, know
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: if you watch my, Show Wrigley field has a huge lake,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: effect lake wind effect that goes on that can that
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: shifts the totals by like three or four. Runs. Sometimes
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: this means the wind is definitely blowing in because With
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: peterson on the, mound even Though freed's, good this total
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: would not be six and a half like it might
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: be seven and a half if there was gonna be
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: no win. HERE i actually do kind of like the
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: under in this. GAME i think both bullpens are definitely.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: Capable yankees very good, actually and they're both good. BULLPENS
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: i would say both pitchers might actually have a matchup edge,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: here but six and a half in A david P
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: i can't Trust, peterson AND i can't do that when
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: we're not getting the key number. Seven AND i know
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: that a lot of the professionals will say that it's
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: six and a half because the books are trying to
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: keep you off the, game, right like you should play
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: the under because it looks so difficult to do. It
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: BUT i still think the key number is still important to,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: me AND i, Almost i'll, like almost never go under
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: a six and a. Half i'm definitely not gonna do
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: it in A peterson, game BUT i do kind of
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: lean under in this. One it's just such a low
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: it's o old. Man but, YEAH i, MEAN i think
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: this game is going to be low scoring seventy percent
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the, over ninety one percent of the
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: cash on the, over though the money looks like it's
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: coming in on the. Over but to, ME i think
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: the public would kind of just come in and play
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: the over in this. Game like they're probably looking, at
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: oh my, god ALL i need is to get seven runs,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: here like that should be. Easy even if the game
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: yesterday was two and. Nothing they're gonna Look David peterson's
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: on the. Mound he. Sucks both these teams can, hit
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: as far as the public is. Concerned so, YEAH i
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what else to. Say, Man but This yankee, offense,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: though you gotta take him too. Account they've really been
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: struggling recently, Too so we'll. See and the, money by the, way,
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: hilariously is all over The. Cobs The yankees are seventy
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: one percent of the. Tickets yankees have seventy one percent of,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty two percent of the cash on The. Cubs
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: and it's like a pick em price. Too The yankees
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: actually open as a, favorite which makes. Sense you'd Think
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: freed would be a, favorite even if it is on
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: the road it's Against, Peterson, LIKE i Think freed should
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: probably be a. Favorite but now it's a pickham. Price
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: it looks so easy to play The yankees, here you,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: Know LIKE i was, thinking, yeah it makes total sense
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: to play The yankees With freed Against, peterson but looking
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: at the matchup numbers, HERE i might lean to The cubs,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: here and the money is indicating that. Way it just
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: it looks like the odds makers are begging you to
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: play The yankees. Here and IF i was gonna do,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: IT i would not play the full game, though because
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: The cubs still have a bullpend, Disadvantage SO i would
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: play The cubs in the first five IF i was
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: gonna play. It but, YEAH i think maybe the under
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: is still the better way to look. At you're not
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: gonna get a seven on this is six and a
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: half juice to the, Under so there might be some
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: sixes out. There this is, yeah, crazy crazy low total.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: There but the odds makers know what they're. Doing, man
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: the odds. Makers they're signaling something to you with that
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: total being that. Low The, Mets, YEAH i don't. Know
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: great players go to, well you know that The. Mets
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: it's because of. Pride The mets got flooded By god
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: After Pride week Or pride whatever it. Was they had
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: their Huge pride event last. Year they've been a horrific
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: team since since. Then they've had the worst record In
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: Major League baseball since. Then heavy, RAIN i mean it
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: might be raining. THERE i don't, know BUT i MEAN i.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: COULD i don't even need to read the weather report
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: for A wrigley. GAME i can tell you based on that,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: number the wind is definitely blowing. In there's no way
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: that number would be that low. Otherwise All, Right i'm
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: gonna be right back And i'll talk about the rest
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: of these. GAMES i have one more, play although you
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: guys already know what it is if you've been watching the,
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: Show So i'll be right. Back. Yep, INSIDE i want
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: to kill my. Off we're ON own seven run over
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: the last two days after tonight it was just complete.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: Bullshit so that's That's i'm gonna start off this show
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: Horrible sunday one and. FIVE i don't even know what
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: to tell you about. THAT i just don't want to
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: do this. ANYMORE i have never seen anything like. This
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: man with the slump. Continuing two straight, losses not a
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: good day at. ALL own, FOUR i have not had
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: a good. Season man with wookends the slump That i'm,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: on and the slump. Continues i've reached a new. Peak,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Actually i'm trying to burn My broins. Hack, MAN i
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with The bruins arch?
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Hape is that what it? IS i don't even know
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: It's march, NINTH i think who even? Knows, MAN i
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: don't know what data is. ANYMORE i don't even know
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: what data is. Anymore, man back with you after the
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: worst day THAT i could possibly, Have back with you
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: AS i always am UNTIL i die at LEAST own
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: two yesterday and yesterday did not go well for. Me
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: own five the worst month That i've ever had in
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing. THIS i don't know what to
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: even tell you about this. Anymore to the slump, series
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: the slump, Discontinuous the slump. Continues somebody fucking kill, me.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: PLEASE i don't even know WHAT i should do at
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: this point other than potentially. Ended all all, right we're back.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: Here yeah that, Too, Mom donnie shaking hands with mister
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: met or whatever has further cursed. Them, yes all. Right
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: the next game Is Royals Rockies Kansas city And. Colorado,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: man this is this is an ugly. Series colorado won
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: the game in a shockingly low scoring game three to. One,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: YES i think DID i say THAT i thought the
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: first five under was worth considering in that? GAME i
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: THINK i did that that that would have been a.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: Winner uh, Yeah Sugano, man the advanced analytics guys ripping
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: their hair, Out, like how Does sukhano keep doing? This
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: how does he keep pitching like? This i'm, like, Dude
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: i'm telling, you, like advanced analytics are not like the
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: be all end all, Here like if this guy keeps
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: guys off the base. Pass you know there is still
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: something to. That, anyway this this game also might be
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: lower scoring that people. Think by the, Way Kansas, city
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: they suck offensively on the. Road and AS i told,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: You Kansas city was before The Red sox accomplished. It
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: Kansas city was the only team to have an entire
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: series go under in The a's ballpark before The Red sox.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: Did it's that's kind of damning of both of their.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: Offenses But Kansas city has a bad offense on the.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: Road Kansas city also has a bad. Bullpen although they're
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: very rested right. Now the only these two guys. Yesterday
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: we're a very, limited very limited. USAGE i say The
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: rockies used, three BUT i would not trust either bullpen
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: even if they are rest, SAID i don't. Care these
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: bullpens are. Horrible colorado twenty, Seventh Kansas city dead last,
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: thirtieth although The a's still have the worst bullpen, era
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: but these are still bad. Bullpens colorado is sixth, offensively
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: so we'll give them the offensive edge. Here Kansas city,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: nineteenth tied with The Red. Sox, now way to Go Red.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: Sox the two teams that manage the unders in an
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: entire series in The A's, Ballpark Red sox doing it
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: in a four game. Series, yeah but, still This Kansas city,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: offense they're not. Good they're not good on the. Road
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup is. Interesting Luinder avila pitching for The. Royals
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: he's a young, dude AND i think he's better than his. Numbers, look,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: man he's had a couple of big time, implosions BUT
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: i think he's actually had more good starts than. Bad
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: even though his numbers don't look. Good four point nine
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: to Five, ray one point five to seven whip is really.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: Bad he's been good on the road. Though three point
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: three to two roady rail the course field is obviously
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: a different. Am it's gonna be something that he hasn't done.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: Before and he struggled in his last outing At detroit
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: that was not. Good walked way too many, guys didn't
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: make it through five. Innings but he was actually pitching
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: pretty well in the prior few. Starts it's hard for
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: me to figure this guy, out you know WHAT i.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: Mean like he's a young, guy he's figuring things. OUT
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: i think he has some talent. Here his hit rate
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: is right around one per. Inning his walk rate is
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: way too high. Though that's his problem is the. Walks
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: his strike out rate is. Okay and what we need
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: to know in course field is how home run conducive is. He,
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: well he doesn't allow that many home. Runs he actually
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: gets a lot of ground ball out so he's not
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: an extreme fly ball, pitcher so that actually is a
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: good style when you're gonna go into course. Field you
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: don't really want to be a fly ball, pitcher so he's,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: not so that might help him out a little. Bit
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: And colorado's never faced him, before so he might actually
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: be able to pitch okay here given that he's unfamiliar
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: to them and. Whatever DO i really want to trust?
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: Him not, really but he might pitch. Okay colorado's going
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: With Ryan feltner, here who is not their worst. Pitcher
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: his numbers are bad five point seven THREE, era one
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: point four to SIX. Whip he's actually a little bit
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: better at home five point five SIX, yra but his
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: opponent batting average at home is actually pretty good at two,
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: Forty so go. Figure he pitches better in course. Field
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: not many people. Do he's coming off kind of an
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: okay start Against. MILWAUKEE i know he gave up some runs,
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: there but his command numbers at least looked okay, there
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: but his couple of starts before that were both. Bad
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: so DON'T i don't really want to say he's actually
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: in good form right. Now his hit rate is too,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: high more than one per. Inning he doesn't really walk
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: that many. Guys his walk rate is kind of, okay
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate is kind of, low and he's not
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: an extreme fly ball. Pitcher although he's a lot a
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: lot of home runs, though so he's still he's had
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: issues with the long, ball which is still not good
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: in Courts, field of, course but some of that is
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: because of course, field, though you, know but he's not
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: really he's not good at keeping the ball in the ballpark, though,
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: really even though he's not really an extreme fly ball.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: Pitcher against The, royals though they haven't done well against,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: them they only have five hitters of face and fifteen at,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: bats no extra base, hits one thirty three average two
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: sixty seven ops, three zero strikeout walk. Ratio LIKE i,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: SAID i think my lean in this one first five
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: under is probably the play in this. One the total is.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: RIDICULOUS i, mean it's course, field it's. TWELVE i would
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: not want to do anything with these bullpens other than fade.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: Them but IF i think the early part of the
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: game is going to be low, Scoring i'm not really
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: interested in trying to play the game, over especially a
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: really high total like. That sixty one percent, ticket sixty
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the. Under so it
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: looks like there might be it might be a public
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: under man after seeing all these low scoring games recently
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: in these heavy hitting, Ballparks so maybe the public is
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: kind of coming in on the. Under but the money
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: looks like it is on the under as. Well THOSE
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: i think a lot of the tickets are just probably professional,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: money like the public still doesn't really. Look OH i
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: want to play an under in a course field, Game
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: the public doesn't really do. That so, YEAH i think
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: that might be maybe a. Consideration first five under there
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: you'll get a big number on it at, least and
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: the money's coming out Of Kansas city fifty six percent of,
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty two percent of the, cash and then there's
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: a slight. Underdog the prices about minus one twenty hasn't
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: moved too. Much, here do what you want with that.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: INFO i don't know if you think maybe the young
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: guy here Of. Villa you think he has a higher.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: Ceiling he probably. Does then maybe he could look Towards
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: Kansas city in the first. Five wouldn't back the bullpens either,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: Way but, yeah maybe that's DON'T i don't. KNOW i
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: think first five under is my opinion in that game
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: that's the. Strongest but it's not that. Strong, charles what's? Up,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: Yes bangers and mash is a good is a good,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: meal by the, way dirty? Sock what's? Up? Tour, yes
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: that's my, Name. Towar how do we pronounce? That, yes, Tour, yeah.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: TOUR i don't, know all, Right, YES i tore ages
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: out of this book the other. DAY i don't, know all.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: Right San, Francisco San. Diego, OH i was gonna, say,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: yeah bangers and. MASHA i was just gonna, say, like
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: we have a lot Of irish pubs around, here In english,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: pubs that type of, THING a lot of them serve
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: bangers and. Mash. Uh definitely a thing you can get
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: here In boston pretty. EASILY i like. It it's, good you,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: know it's. Not it's not a completely unhealthy meal or.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER i, Mean it's just, sausage, mushroom gravy and mashed. Potatoes.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: Man so, yeah it's solid. Toaf, yeah a lot of
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: people call me that the toad Oaf tower game guys
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: have called me that. Before, yeah. Anyway, also, Yeah bangers And.
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: Mash it's a lighter option Than shepherd's. PIE i Love shepherd's,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: pie but it's so, heavy, dude with the melted cheese
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: and even more potato than you get With bangers and.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: Mash so you can get some Good shepherd's pie up here.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: Too but, yeah like if you're, like, NAH i just
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: gotta have like a bit of a lighter meal, here
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: like a normal, Meal banger's And mash is not a bad.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: Option AND i used to drink you, know like A
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: guinness with it to really just be be, all you,
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: know in that just immerse yourself in that world, completely
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: you know WHAT i. Mean The guinness they pander to
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: the to the Like peda crowd now and they stop
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: using fish oil in their process because Of peda. Ship i'm,
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: like what the, fuck, Dude so they changed the recipe On.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: Guinness guinness is gone, woke. MAN i don't know if
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: if we have it up, here BUT i don't know
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: if anybody has The GUINNESS uh rival is a uh
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: An irish stout Called. Murphy's it's pretty, good Man, like
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: if you want to stick it To guinness a little,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: bit you can Get. Murphy's we have we have that
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: up here at some. Places it's it's definitely not. BAD
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: i Like, murphy's all. Right San Francisco San. Diego San
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: diego won the game seven and not thing. Yesterday that
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: was actually the second game of the. SERIES i think
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: it's a four game, series so this is a split
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: series of. Far San diego won in a shutout seven
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: and nothing. Yesterday this, Game i'm gonna be leaning Towards
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: San diego again in this, game, THOUGH i Think San
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: diego has the better, bullpen so that's kind of WHERE
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: i started looking at. This Uh they only used two guys.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Yesterday Bradley rodriguez is an, opener and THEN i think
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: the bullpen came, in and then they must have Used
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: they actually must have used they who do they? USE
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: i THINK i don't know who they. Used, man they
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: must have used some starter After. RODRIGUEZ i don't know
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: who took up the bulk of other innings, yesterday but,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: whatever they saved pretty much all their better. Relievers San
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: francisco did the same, thing though they Used Adrian hauser
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: AFTER i think they used Wizzen hunt and then for
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: like a few innings probably then they Used. Hauser so
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: the bullpens are pretty saved. Here But San diego has
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: a better. Bullpen they ranked. Eighth they're a good bullpen for.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: Sure San francisco was like a top tier bullpen last,
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: year not really this, year twenty, Third So San diego's
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: got the better bullpen. Here San francisco has been the better,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: offense even THOUGH i don't think there as good as they.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: Look fourteenth right. Now they didn't score anything, yesterday tied
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: with The detroit. There San diego's definitely been bad offensively
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: though they're twenty. FIFTH i mean they've been hitting a
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: little bit better, recently and they are capable of not
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: being that, bad but, yeah they haven't been that. Good
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: San francisco's Got Tyler molly on the mound. Here he's not.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: Great four point nine to six The ray one point four.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: Whip the one thing we know about him is his
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: home road splits are extreme and he's terrible on the.
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: Road eight point zero five roadyra with a three forty
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: opponent batting average and his e ray at home is
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: in the twos with a two hundred bad, average so
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: he's way worse on the. Road, now is that gonna continue?
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: Here in a very pitcher friend the? Ballpark because The
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: giants and The padres both that pitcher friend the ballparks
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: here and The padres are not a good. Offense so
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: Is malli gonna actually are his road way is going
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: to continue? Here that's the. Question he pitched well last
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: time out at, home shut Out. Milwaukee that was a
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: nice start from him Shutting milwaukee, out but he was
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: not that good in the start before that at The.
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: Royals it really his home road splits have been very.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: Simple it's, like, yeah it is what it. Is he's
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: good at home and he's bad on the. Road that's
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: been the case in almost every single start that he's
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: had this. Year he's had like one good road start
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: the entire, season which was impressive At Tampa, bay but
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: other than, that every other one of his road starts
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: has been pretty. Bad his hit rate is above one per,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: inning which is not. Good his walk rate's a little bit.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: High his strikeout rate is, mediocre so he's not a
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: really good, pitcher but he's it's like he's a different
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: picture between home and away, though And San, diego by the,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: way has had success against him twenty five at. Bats
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: they only have seven guys who have faced, him but
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: they have a three twenty average against him eight ninety
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: ops four to two strikeout walk, ratio so he's not
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: been good when he's Faced San diego. Before San diego
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: is going with Bew Buler Walker, buehler who is not
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: pitching well right now at. All he's got a five
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: point one to three r one point four to one.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: Whip bueller is still better at home, though four point
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: five to eight HOME, ra so he is still taking
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: advantage of this, ballpark even though he hasn't really been
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: a good form. Recently his last start wasn't too bad At.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: Miami his walk rate has been a huge concern recently,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: Though living up to his, Name Walker, buehler he's walking
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: a ton of guys. Recently his hit rate is okay
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: here it's below one per. Inning his walk rate is
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: definitely too. High strike out rate is. Okay he's at this,
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: POINT i, mean you got to admit he's never gonna
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: return to forming and he used to be good early
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: in his, career and he was on The. Dodgers but
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: the injuries that he's had and The Tommy john surgeony or,
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: whatever he's never gonna be what he once. Was he
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: sticks in the league because teams are just holding onto
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: that maybe, maybe, man maybe he'll be better. AGAIN i
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: don't really. KNOW i don't really think. So but he
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: is better at. Home he does actually have good numbers
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: against The giants in fifty seven at bats one ninety three,
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: average four to forty eight, ops eighteen to two strikeout walk.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: Ratio SO i think you're getting the. Start you're getting
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: to start where you are getting the starter with the
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: better matchup, numbers the better home road splits, here and
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen all go To San diego, Here SO
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: i have to lean To San diego. Here that would
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: be the WAY i would play. THIS i would just
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Play San diego on the money, line full. Game what
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: are we looking at? HERE i don't necessarily love it
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: that they had the shutout, yesterday and the money is
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: not agreeing with it at. All they're in the minus
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: one forty something range here is so on the money
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: line here you might be able to find it in
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: the one THIRTIES somewherefd actually looks like they have minus
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: one thirty. FOUR i don't know if that's, accurate, though
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: because this odd screen just may not have updated minus
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: one thirty. Four it says there eighty eight percent of
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: tickets sixty nine percent of the cash On San. Diego
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: so the money's Fading San diego, here and the money's
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: also playing the over eight and a half. Here but,
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: yeah the way THAT i handicapped, THAT i look at
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: the matchups, THERE i would Play San diego IF i
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: was gonna do anything with that, game WHICH i am.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: Not but you know what my last play is gonna,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: be because we already have mentioned it on the, show
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: AND i am going to go to a game involving
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: My Boston Red, sox And i'm going to agree with
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: who was it that gave this out earlier in the show, Here, Michael, Right,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah i'm gonna agree with him on. This the play
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: is going to be the under In Red Sox dodgers.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: HERE i was correct about the over in the game.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: Yesterday the game definitely went over. Yesterday suarez wasn't too
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: bad in the game. Yesterday The Red sox unloaded later
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: in the game against The dodgers', bullpen, though and The
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Red sox ran away with it in the later. INNINGS
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: a good offensive performance from The Red sox, Yesterday but
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: they're up against The dodger bullpen game. Yesterday that's not
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: what they're up against. Tonight, Man they're up against one
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: of the best pitchers in baseball. Tonight SO i don't
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: think The Red sox offense is gonna be as potent
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: as it was last. Night i'm not gonna call this a.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: LOCK i don't call anything a, lock, obviously you can't do.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: That nothing is a. Lock BUT i think this is
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: worthy of a, play is What i'm saying. Here the
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: public might look at this and, think, oh these are
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: two big name. Teams Red. Sox they're the hottest team
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: in baseball right. Now The Red sox had the best
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: month record in franchise history with a twenty ONE i
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: think they were twenty one and four or. Whatever, yeah
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: what were they twenty one five maybe whatever they were
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: in the month Of. July absolutely. Ridiculous they're never gonna
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: do that. Again, so, yeah The Red sox had one
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: of the best monthly records that we've ever. Seen they're insanely,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: hot but that might mean the public might, think, oh
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: that means they're gonna score. Runs, obviously The dodgers know
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: how to score, runs SO i think the public might
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: shy away from trying to play this game. Under SO
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: i kind of like unders in games like this between these,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: two like top tier teams that are considered to be
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: like good, teams you know WHAT i, mean or especially
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: if they're considered to be good, offenses but you have
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: good pitchers on the, mound and in this, case you
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: have one of them that people don't really pay that
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: much attention to it. Totally SO i like situations like
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: that to go. Under we'll go full. GAME i think
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: the bullpen's are backable. Here The Red sox kind of
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: save their better. Relievers they Use bayo for a lot
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: of the. Game Brian, Bayo he's he is such a
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: weird case. Dude he is just absolute ass when when
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: you actually have him start a. Game but if he
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: comes in out of the, bullpen he's. GOOD i, mean, okay,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: Whatever man and The dodgers, bullpen they're not as good
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: as The Red sox with them In, okay and they
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: even though it was a bullpen. Game that kind of
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: saved their bullpen in a way they. Had henriquez opened
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: the game and Then irvin pitched most of the game
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: yesterday for, them Not Jake. Irvin will kleinb by the,
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: WAY i got issues with him And Will climb is
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: throwing At Red sox batter's heads. Yesterday if you didn't
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: see them in The Red, sox, dude we need to
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: go back to the nineties and early two, thousands because
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: that would be like a bench clearing. Thing like If
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: Pedro martine was picture for The Red, sox he would.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: Retaliate he'd be, like you don't fucking do, That like
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: to my, guys you don't throw at. Them i'm gonna
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: come out and throw at. You Like martinez would go
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: out there and he would throw right at the next
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: guy that came. Up that's what you would. Do i'll
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: put the first guy on. Base. Whatever but The red
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: the benches should have, cleared, dude Like kline was intentionally
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: throwing at batter's heads. Yesterday what the, fuck, DUDE i
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: don't know what the fuck that. Is Fuck. KLINE i
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: don't even really know who he, is but, yeah that's
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: some fucking. Bullshit, Whatever but, anyway we'll back the we'll
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: back the h we'll back at the. Bullpens. HERE i
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: can't even, talk, MAN i THINK i had a stroke,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: there live stroke on on on toad stool sports say,
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: strokes toad strokes sports stroke stool sports toad stool. Strokes,
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: anyway The Red socks are number one in, bullpen so,
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: yeah we'll back their. Bullpen and they're reasonably rested after.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they have the second best bullpen THE, ra best,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: whip and really close in THE ra with the Yank
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: He's dodgers are now, tenth their era has gone above.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: Four But i'm still willing to back the bullpens here
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: in this full game under scenario when we're getting the
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, here plus you're talking About Yama,
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: moto who's a guy that goes really deep into his.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: Outings yamamoto's like old school, Man, like not too many
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: guys do that nowadays because everything's been, pussified so very
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: few pitchers are allowed to like work really really deep into.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: Game So yamamoto is one of. Those SO i think
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: that can kind of save The dodgers' bullpen a little bit.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: Here yamamoto will regularly go like seven innings in his,
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: starts throw over one hundred, pitches doesn't even matter. Him
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: and he's at this point he's a, veteran even though
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been in the major leagues that, long and
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: he pitched In japan prior to that for a, while
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: so he's a he's a veteran in professional. Baseball but
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: at this, point he's a veteran In Major league. Baseball.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean he's pitched in Multiple World series at this.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: Point he. WAS i believe he was The World SERIES
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: mvp last. Year and he pitched in three different games
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: in The World series last year AND i think got
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: a win in all of, them so Including game, Seven
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: i'm pretty. Sure so, yeah he doesn't get phased by.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: Anything SO i Think Yama moto could definitely give you
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: a good start. Here as far as the offenses are,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: CONCERNED i forgot to talk about the offense is The
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: dodgers are number. Two The Red sox have worked their
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: way up to, nineteenth tied with The, royals so they.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: Go Peyton totley is pitching of The Red sox. Here
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: he's been good three point three TWO era one point
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: one to one, whip so we'll back him here as.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: Well he's been good on the road two point eight
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: to nine roadra with a nice one ninety four opponent
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: batting average on the. Road that's. Good he's not going
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: particularly deep into some of these, outings but, again The
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Red Sox bullpend behind him is very strong and well rested,
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: here and The Red sox have won his last four.
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: Outings BUT i don't care about who's winning. Them, WELL
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: i care from a fan. PERSPECTIVE i got a root
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: for The Red, sox BUT i don't think they're gonna
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: Beat Yama. Moto but we're going with the under in this.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: Game we just need the pitching to be good across
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: the board, here and, yeah totally's been. GOOD i, mean
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: his command numbers have been. Good he hasn't really him
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: walking many guys. Here he's been racking up, strikeouts so
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: this is pretty good stuff. Here low hit, rate his
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: walk rate is fairly low as. Well strike out rate is.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: High good numbers across the board here from, him WHICH
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: i like to see because he's like my favorite player
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: at this. Point, Man like he's he's From, Oklahoma he's
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: he's he's An. American. Man you know WHAT i. Mean
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: he likes to take his shirt off and and hang
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: around with the with the, boys you know WHAT i?
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: Mean no, Home oh, YEAH i MEAN i like what
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: he what he's out there. Doing he talks about eating
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: giant steaks and doing eating competitions and ship like. That i'm, like, fuck,
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: yeah probably likes to drink his beer out. There, yeah
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: that's the kind of GUY i want to back here
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: man as a. Fan but we're gonna do it tonight as.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Well and The dodgers have never faced it, before so
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: we're gonna consider that to be an advantage as, well
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: because when you've got a good picture on the mount
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: of the offense facing him hasn't seen him, before that's
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: an extra advantage to the pitcher. Me and while, Yeah
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: yamamoto's pitching for The, dodgers LIKE i, said he's got
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: really good numbers two point seven two era point nine.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Whip he was originally gonna pitch, Yesterday BUT i would
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: not have really wanted to try to back the under
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: yesterday Because suarez not good against The. Dodgers so, uh
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: it sets up a game where we could play the
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: under here in this game, Though, yamamoto he's only a
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at. Home three point two to SEVENTY
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: ra is still below two hundred batting average at, home,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: though so both pitchers have a below two hundred batting
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: average in their home road split coming into this game, Here,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: YAMAMOTO i, mean he's just. Pitching he's throwing one hundred
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: pitches in every, game SO i don't think that's gonna
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: phase him at all. Here, really he's still pitching. Well
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: he had a complete game against The yankees a couple
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: starts back where we lost on the under in that
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: game because The yankees bullpen threw the game away even
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: though they're generally a very good. Bullpen i'm still pissed about.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: That yamamoto did his part in that. One. Yamamoto, yeah
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: followed that up with another good start against The. Mets.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: Whatever he's got a really low hit rate, here low
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: walker as. Well strike out rate is not that, high
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: but it's pretty. Good like he's not a huge strikeout,
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: pitcher but he's a very good pitcher, nonetheless and he
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: gets a lot of ground ball outs as. Well Red
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: sox have only seen him a little. Bit just the
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: guys that were in The National league have seen him.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: Before Contrera's durban And, monasterio And monasterio has the only
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: hit off, him one for. One, monasterio by the, way
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: hitting really well recently out of the shortstop position for
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: The Red. Sox so, YEAH i mean he's hitting way
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: better than. EXPECTED i don't know what to say about,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: that BECAUSE i didn't think he was that could have
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: an offensive. Player but The Red sox have three strikeouts
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: and no walks against They amamoto in a total of
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: eight at. Bats they really have not done a lot against,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: him one twenty five, average two fifty ops and the
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: rest of The Red sox lineup has never seen him,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: before so we have a lot of unfamiliarity with two
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: good pictures going, on two good. Bullpens, yeah it makes
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: sense to me This this game definitely has over written
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: all over it for, Me so that's what we're gonna.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: Do or excuse me under one of my und written
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: all over. It excuse me, under don't listen to. Me
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: i'm all over the place here under is the play.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: Here seven and a half is the. Number you can
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: find it out there at seven and a. Half it's
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: across the. Board it hasn't really, Moved actually it did open,
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: eight but we didn't lose any key number there because
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: seven is the key. Number fifty six percent of tickets
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the cash on the, over so
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: the money is kind of inecket in towards the. OVER
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: i don't even know IF i really buy, that but,
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: yeah we're gonna play the under. Here, also The dodgers
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: are a huge. Favorite they're opening the minus one. Seventies
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: they're still around minus one seven, here but some of
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: the money's come in on The Red. Sox fifty six
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on The, dodgers fifty two percent of
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: the cash on The Red. Sox given the price, here
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: The dodgers being that heavy of a, favorite MAYBE i
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: don't disagree that maybe taking The Red sox at a
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: dog price like, that you can get them at like
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: a plus one run, line maybe it does make sense
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: because if The Red sox pitching can kind of keep
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: them in this game and they have the better, bullpen
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: they might have a chance to pull it off as
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: an under, There so maybe that does make. Sense big
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: underdogs usually are correlated to a low scoring game and
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: an under right because the it means the underdog has
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: a better chance to hang around AS i always, say
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: but we're gonna play the under in that. Game all,
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: Right mac could? Do what's? Up? Man you? Change you
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: change your profile? Picture what is?
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 4: That an?
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: Ostrich all? Right? Yeah, Kleine, uh definitely sounds that, way Mister,
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: pinsey what's? Up thanks for hanging. Out totally looks like
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: a police. Captain he looks like he's like thirty years
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: old and he's twenty two or twenty, THREE i don't.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, MEAN i, MEAN i like his. Look he, looks,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: uh he looks very, masculine SO i like. That plus
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: he's a huge, dude so he's like whatever he. Is
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: what is he six' five two fifty or something, like
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: that six' six maybe six. Six? Two, Fifty uh Alright.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: MILWAUKEE and anaheim i Was right. About MILWAUKEE yesterday maybe
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: i should have put that on the. ON the card
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: i didn't love the, price ON that But i thought
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: milwaukee had the edge everywhere, in that game. And they
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: won and, At, THIS point, milwaukee i mean they got a,
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: motivational Advantage too because milwaukee is a, contending team Obviously
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: and the. Angels Are not so milwaukee's gonna have probably
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: a motivational. Edge here Though maybe the angels want to
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: show up but Try to. Beat milwaukee Here but the
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: angels don't have many advantages here. In This series the
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: angels have. A bad bullpen they use three guys out of.
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: The bullpen yesterday milwaukee has a. Very good bullpen they.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: Use three guys they Did use me gill their closer yesterday.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: FOR whatever reason i. Don't know why they had a,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: four RUN lead so. I don't know maybe he, just
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: hadn't hitting he not worked. In, a while yeah he hadn't,
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: pitched IN days so i, guess they're like let's just get.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: Him some work maybe he'll pitch again today if they.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: Really need him milwaukee's good out. Of the bullpen, they're
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: number twelve but they're definitely. Better than that they're like
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: a top five bullpen. In my opinion anaheim is. Number
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: twenty one they're not a very good. Bullpen hitting wise milwaukee's.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: Also better there they're number Five and the angels are.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: Number twenty four, so bullpen edge hitting edge All. Go
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: to milwaukee do they have the starting? Pitching edge here
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: that's the only thing that's kind of. In Debate here
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: robert gasser is Pitching, for the brewers he's not one of,
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: their better pitchers though. He's not bad he's got a
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: four point SEVEN, to one era but his whip tells
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: you he's. Better than that one point one to seven
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: whip is. Not that bad he's been definitely bad on,
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: the road though the very demonic six point six six
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: roadra which. Is not good so he's worse. On the
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: road pitch well last time out At, home against colorado
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: in the time before that At. Home against miami his
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: last road start was Pretty, ugly at pittsburgh but if
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: you look at, his road starts he's only made like.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: Five of them one of them was his first start,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: of the season so he kind. Of struggled there one
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: of them Was At, the a's stadium and we know
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: that that is a very hit, or friendly ballpark and
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: then another One was at, pittsburgh most recently Which we
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: know pittsburgh hits really. Well at home and his other
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: road starts are. Actually pretty good he has two good
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: road Starts against at Lana And, Against saint louis so,
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: he's not, just you know immediately like a guy that
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: you necessarily want to completely fade. On the road and
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: He's facing an anaheim team that has never, seen him
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: before and they're not a good offensive, team at home
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: so he might actually pitch Okay here against anaheim because
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: they're unfamiliar with them and they're not good. Offensively At
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: home jose soriano Is. Pitching for anaheim he is one
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: of their better starters three POINT two ninety ra one
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: point two. To five whip but what we know about
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: him is he's not good at home compared to what
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: he does. On the road both last year, and this
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: year he's been worse at home three POINT eight one.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: Era this year at home that's, not too bad but
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: he is still worse at home than he is. On
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: the road he's kind of struggling with, his command recently
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: his walk numbers haven't really, been that good and he's
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: facing some kind of weak, offenses recently too so. Not
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: great here he does have a really, low hit rate
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: so he remains really, difficult to hit but his walks are.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: A concerns still he walks, too many guys and his
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: strike up rate is good, above one inning and he
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: induces a ton. Of groundouts, TOO but, yeah i mean
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: if he was able to, not walk guys he'd be
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: like pretty much an, elite pitcher probably but the walks.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: Hold him back the walks are a huge, issue for
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: him and he's Not good against milwaukee. And tenant bats
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: it's a, small sample here most of their batters have,
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: faced him though four hundred average one thousand ops one
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: to two. STRIKEOUT walk ratio i Still gotta leave MILWAUKEE
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: here if i was gonna. Play this one you're getting
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: basically a pick. Them price here it's gone down from
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: in the minus, one twenties though but the money might Be,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: back in milwaukee even though they look. They look public
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent. Of the tickets the public will come
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: in on the team that has, the better record but
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: ninety four percent. Of the cash so it might be
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: a situation where public and professionals Are all, on milwaukee
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: here and the books are Probably gonna need anaheim to.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: STEAL this game i don't know if they're. GONNA do
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: it i Kind. OF lean milwaukee i think they have
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: enough edges. In this game you could make the argument
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: they have the starting. Pitching edge there plus they definitely
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: have bullpen and. Hitting edges here and it's a. Pretty,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: cheap price really like they're a small favorite on The
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: road there that's PROBABLY the way i. Would, lean it
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: Really it's because soriano is the more known pitcher and
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: looks like He's. Better THAN gasser but i THINK it's
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: a i think it's close between. Those two, Pitchers all
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: Right detroit and a's as the, last Came up the
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: a's got killed yesterday. Thirteen to one So even though
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: detroit looks like, they're trading, school well here we'll see what.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: Happens with that it's. Probably gonna happen it'll happen before
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: the trade deadline at the end of, The day tomorrow
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: a's might be trading some of their. Guys as well
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: so we have two teams that look like. They're Sellers
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 2: here the a's got. Blown out Yesterday maybe the a's
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: will bounce, back after that because you don't want to
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: get embarrassed at home like that. And blown Out but
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: this a's. Bullpen really stinks these three guys yesterday, and
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: their bullpen, they're you know they're not going to improve.
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: AT this point, i wouldn't think although they don't really
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: have much of a there's no way they could get
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: worse than. They Already are though detroit's, the better bullpen
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: these four guys out of, the bullpen today but they're
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: a decent. Bullpen At seventeenth the a's are twenty ninth
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: out of thirty and THEY'RE, the worst Era so the
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: as suck out. Of The bullpen the a's offense has been.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: Bad recently too they're. Down to sixteenth this is a struggling.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: Offense Recently too the tigers are actually ahead of them,
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: now at fourteenth Tied. WITH the giants i still Think
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: overall the a's are probably, the better offense but it's
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: close at this point with the way these offenses have.
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: Been Hitting recently from bervaldez is getting The start. For
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: detroit here he's not been that. Good this season four
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: point FIVE, to three era one point three to eight.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: Went very mediocre he's a little bit worse on the
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: road to four point NINE. To four roadra he's not
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: going deep into some of. His outdis here he's having some.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: Command issues here he's been too. Hittable as well things
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: are not going. Well for him his hit rates above,
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: one per inning which. Isn't very good his walk rate.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: IS pretty mediocre i would say strikeout rate is not.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: That good either gets a lot of ground ball out
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: so he keeps guys kind of in the in field a,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: lot of times but he's. Not that great does he
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: allow a lot? Of home runs is what we, need
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: to know because he's PITCHING In. The, A stadium no.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: I'm NOT really because i said he induces a lot,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: of ground balls he's not really that. Home run conducive
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: so at. Least there's that so his style is okay
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: for Pitching in. The a's park and he did actually
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: Just shred The a's in detroit not that long ago.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: On the ninth But maybe the a's will adjust something
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 2: and hit him better this time HERE In. The a
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: stadium but he obviously is capable of Getting through this,
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: a's lineup here and he's capable of pitching. In this
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: stadium faldez has been good Generally against this a's lineup
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: in seventy, one at, bats seventeen, strikeouts two walks two,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: thirty nine, average six p't, eighty three ops so he's
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: been pretty Good against. THE aas specifically i kind Of
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: lean towards valdez. Pitching Okay here jack perk gets his Pitching.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: FOR the a's i think he's better than his r.
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: Makes him look he's. A young dude he's got some.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: Strikeout ability here six point FOUR or five era one
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 2: point three to six whip is, not that bad THOUGH
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: indicates his ra should be lower. Than it is he's
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: kind of struggled in, the stadium though with the home run.
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: BALL for sure a six point eight TO one homey ra,
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: not that great but kind of understandable because this is
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: not an easy part. To pitch in he pitched reasonably
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: well last time Out Against. The Red Sox the red
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: sox really couldn't hit. Him at all he walks some guys,
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: in that one but He Held the red sox to
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: one hit in five to. Two thirds innings he was
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: okay in the start Before that, at arizona too so
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: maybe he's coming into a little bit of. Better form
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: Here but the a's have lost his last, seven starts
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: too so they're not backing up backing him up with. Run,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: support either really he was pitching out of the bullpen,
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: for a while so these stats take. That into account
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: but he's got a pretty low hit rate here is
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: walk rate is his. One biggest issue he walks too
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: many guys and he does strike out a, lot OF
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: guys but i guess his other issue was the. Home
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: run ball he gives up too. Many HOME runs as
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: i was kind of. Alluded to earlier he's a flyball
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: pitcher that's not good in the. STADIUM like this i
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: think if he was on, A different team i think
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: he would be much better off manuse he's just in
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: a home run. Conduce a ballpark he allows too. Many
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: home runs detroit has actually seen him. A little bit
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: they have six guys who have faced him, ten at bats,
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: two hundred average, seven hundred, ohps two. Strikeouts no walks
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: they do have a home run in. There from McKinstry
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: but he's Been okay against detroit al though it looks
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: like he. Wasn't that good last Time he faced detroit.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: On the road he went three innings and allowed, three
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: or runs so he wasn't actually good. In that start
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: but his Overall, numbers against detroit which, include you know
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: pitching out, OF the bullpen, i guess whatever it must
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: include what he did against. Them last year if you look,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: at last year his whip was actually pretty, good last
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: year so he's definitely better than what he's. SHOWN this
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: year i would say he might be able to, pitch
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: well here so, that might, mean you know maybe a.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: First five under it. Sounds completely insane and the money's
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: backing the over fifty eight percent of tickets on the
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: under ninety two percent of the cash. In the over
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: we've seen a lot of low scoring games Recently in, this,
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: A'S ballpark THOUGH i think i leaned over in the
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: game yesterday and, it did happen although It was all.
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: Detroit doing it total here is ten, and a half
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: which is pretty high money coming in all over, The
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: OVER though but. I don't know i think a first
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: five under makes. SOME sense there i think the starting
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: pitching might be better than people think. That it is
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: at least that might be my lean. IN the GAME
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: i don't i don't have a good opinion. On. The
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: game really the money Is. Backing the a's we have
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of The, tickets on detroit seventy one
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: percent of the Casual, on the a's probably because you're
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: looking at minus one forty something is The price. On
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: detroit here valdez is not exactly a guy that should
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: be laying a price like that. ON the road a
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: lot of it has to do with, the odds bakers
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: just They consider the a's to be one of the worst.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: Teams in baseball they, don't respect Them and the a's
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: have been losing a lot. Of games recently so that's
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: what's GOING on where i think the professional money, is,
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: just thinking yeah maybe we get some value playing them
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: as an. Underdog at home perkins probably, Has more upside
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: i'll say that because he's the much Younger. PITCHER so,
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: valdez i mean we've seen what. His, ceiling is perkins
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: his ceiling might kind of be, hidden in there YOU
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: know what, I mean me so he might be capable
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: of delivering like an elite. Level start, maybe but yeah
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: that's the last game on the board there for. THE
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: baseball slate i don't really have any anything else to.
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: Say about THAT we HAVE wnba and i will give
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: out AN afternoon w nba play HERE in The cbs
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: game paramount. Plus as well everybody wants to WATCH, The
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: w nba. Probably, NOT McAdoo yeah i don't take into account.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: A new month i, mean it's. Yeah it's arbitrary it
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: has no bearing on. What happens here, but, let's uh
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: yeah let's. Get some wins obviously we're looking. At, The
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: Whips yeah caylen. Clark is not but she, Played last night.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: Indiana won easily she'll. Be playing tomorrow McAdoo with that
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: what is? That? Profile picture now? That that avatar that.
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: Nerdy dude there let's get, the. SHOW done though i
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: gotta get out. Of here too chicago plus six and
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 2: a half is gonna be, my PLAY here and i
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: know we tried to Play. THEM against vegas i. Think
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: maybe both I'ms they played vegas a little while agoing
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: TO they were i think seven and a half is
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: what the number was the first Time. They played vegas
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: so the Reason why was vegas. Was looking ahead They
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: went into chicago on their way To Playing the Commissioner's Cup,
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: in NEW york so i thought it was gonna be
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: a big LOOK ahead And i think chicago should have,
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: covered that game and they wound, up not covering which
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: WOUND up being i think some. Kind of BULLSHIT and
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: then i Think they played vegas Again After the COMMISSIONER'S
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: cup if, i REMEMBER correctly And i, FADED vegas, again
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: i think and we lost that game. Too, IN overtime
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: actually i think it wound up being. A no play
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: one of them was a no play BECAUSE the number
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: i gave it out AT the number i gave it out.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: On the show actually still would have covered in, the
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: overtime one but the number. Was not available it wasn't
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: even close to available by the time the. Game went
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: on IT was Because I think asia wilson Was out
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: for vegas or, something LIKE that so i recommended not
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: playing it with the number being way way, Lower THAN
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: that so i counted that as a no play. On the,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: show but, yeah that one it should have been A
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: win on, chicago either way though it. Went into Overtime
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: but when i'm Say saying in chicago is capable Of,
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: hanging WITH vegas and i know, you, Might say well
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: vegas Is gonna take chicago more seriously because they did
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: have those Close games against chicago not. That long ago
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: and while, that is true they won that overtime game
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: at home by only eight and, went into overtime so it.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: Was a scare they won the game on the, road
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: by eight so. They barely covered it was a seven
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: and a half point spread. In THAT one but i
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: still don't think They're gonna take. Chicago That seriously and
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: chicago could. Play them well and if You don't, know
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: CHICAGO'S coach who i think, is, a dude actually one
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: of the few male COACHES. In, the, wnba yeah man
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: we're taking the. Power back men he used To be on,
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: vegas's coaching staff So he knows. Vegas Pretty well so
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: chicago is able to kind Of. Hang with vegas nobody's
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: gonna Like this because chicago they're, a bad team they got.
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: A bad record vegas. Is definitely good vegas Is. In
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: The west the west is definitely. A better conference there's no.
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: Doubt about that vegas is good on, the road too
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: and actually probably even better on the road than they.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: Are at home SO why do i want to, Do,
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: this here well it's because. OF the Spot i think
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: vegas is in a. Sandwich spot here vegas just finally
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: Got Revenge. Against, new york man They Don't. Like New
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: york new york has been kind of a thorn in
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: their side in the playoffs, recently and whatever and they
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: lost Both Games. To new york They Lost the commissioner's cup,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: game to them and they lost at home to them
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: in the regular season a. Week BEFORE that so i
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: think they really. Wanted THAT game and I told You
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: i liked vegas to. Cover THAT game and i think
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 2: they fell just short of that by. A half point
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: they won the game in a very, high scoring affair
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 2: one o four. To NINETY nine so i think the
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: public is going to Come in on vegas here if
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: they're gonna. Play this Game they know vegas they're, the
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 2: better team they were. The returning champs they look good
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: in That Win. Over new, york big win, high scoring
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: game makes. Them LOOK good but i think it's gonna be. A.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: Letdown spot man they have To go, into CHICAGO here
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: and i know they're starting, a road trip which a
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: lot of times is, a POSITIVE spot but i think
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: when you're coming off a massive win like that and
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: they have big. Games up next they have to PLAY
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: A Peak awck nbc sports Game next On, monday at atlanta.
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 2: Big game there atlanta's. A better team and Then, they
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: have Indiana So there's Caitlin clark on prime that they Play,
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: them on thursday and Then they Play, minnesota on saturday
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: and Then They play new york again. On the road
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: so that's. Their road trip so you look at, this,
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: road trip clearly this is the game that means the
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: least on. This road trip this is The game against
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: this is the easiest game to overlook The game against
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: chicago based on all these other opponents they. HAVE coming
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: up i think it's a sandwich Spot Here. For vegas
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: chicago they just got a win coming out. Of the
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: break it was a confidence boosting win against A. Bad
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: TEAM connecticut and i like playing teams off a win
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: like that because you're not gonna. Be over confident you
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: just get. Your confidence, back all right. We can. Win
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: let's go let's go out and. Play well AGAIN and,
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: like i said they've been able To hang with vegas in.
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 2: THESE other games i know it's not seven and. A
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: half here i know it's only six and a, half
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: this time but we're gonna. DO it anyway I think
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: maybe chicago might have had some injuries in that, other
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 2: game too but let's to six and. A half here the,
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: money doesn't agree seventy three, percent of tickets ninety five
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: percent of The. Cash, ON vegas whatever i still think
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: It's worth. GRABBING chicago here i think it's. A sandwich
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: spot we're grabbing the home team. AS an underdog i
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: know it's not one of those low totals where the
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: low total makes me like the, underdog EVEN more but i. Still.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: LIKE it here i think it's a Bad, spot for
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: vegas so. Let's do It. Let's grab chicago nobody's Really,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: gonna Watch chicago so i'm, KIND of like, i, Don't
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: know man i'm surprised the money it looks like it's
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 2: Coming in on vegas RIGHT now because i don't. REALLY
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: see that i don't, see the uh the. Argument for.
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: It so whatever and then the other game is also
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: in THE, afternoon on Abc Which is New. York and
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: PHOENIX this one i don't have a. GREAT read on
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: i think both teams are kind of in a. Bad
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: spot here phoenix is coming up a Big Win. Over
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 2: Golden state golden state's a very strong. Team this year
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: phoenix just beat. Them at home now they're Not Gonna.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 2: Overlook new york but the question is gonna Be what
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: does phoenix have left in the? Tank, after that like
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: can they can they repeat that before to put together
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 2: two good games. In a row i'm not so. Sure
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: ABOUT that but i Don't Really want, new york either
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: because they're coming off that big Game, and IT'S vegas
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: which i think Meant more to vegas than It Did
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: to New York because new york's kind of had the
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: Upper hand, over vegas recently but it's still a big
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: Game that the liberty, are coming off, although they lost
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: so maybe they won't really overlook their Next opponent, in
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: PHOENIX here but i still think the spot might be
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: More Negative. For new york but the money is Coming
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: In on new york looks like a similar market read to.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: The other game seventy seven, percent of tickets ninety percent
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: of The Couch. Of New york new york is definitely
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 2: gonna be the. Public side here they're laying only two.
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: And a half it looks too easy to lay The
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: Points with, new york though you know so that would
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 2: have me kind Of looking towards. Phoenix as Well here
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 2: the liberty they have, the better record laying only two and, A,
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: half here again it looks, way too Easy but the
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 2: liberty are only a five hundred team, on the road
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: so they're not that good. On, THE road phoenix i
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: still maintain that they're not as bad as. Their record
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: looks they've had a pretty, difficult schedule Overall and the
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: west is generally. The better conference I'm not gonna phoenix
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 2: is a. Better team, Here THEY'RE not but i think
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: the gap between these two teams is not as big
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 2: as people think, that it is at the Very least
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: in phoenix plays in the. More difficult conference SO that's
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: what i. Think About that the liberty don't have a
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: big game up. Next though either They're only, playing seattle
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: next so there's no. Look ahead there. So that's it
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: we're gonna be on the. Sandwich spot there we got.
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: Three plays today the market doesn't seem to really like,
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 2: any of them but we got the trio Of. Plays
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 2: for saturday we're gonna Be on the. Mets money line
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: We're gonna backsack thornton again against A bullpen. Ish, miami
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 2: game here. Let's do it we're gonna take The Under
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 2: In red sox dodgers in the night game here in
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: the night slate, HERE late, night i think and then
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: we'll have. An afternoon game THIS will be i think
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: the first game up that's actually gonna happen IS This
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: one wnba chicago. Plus the points that's. Gonna do it
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: learn To tode on twitter and learn To. Tode on
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: instagram like Subscribe to. Toadstool sports here boost, the, numbers
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: here baby listen On An audio apple spotify spreaker covered
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: in You because my yuke. CHANNEL on YouTube i know
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: i still have to get the recent covers Up there,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: that I've done. WHICH i'll do i still have To
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: Update the patreon yuke. Feed as well, patreon dot com
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 2: slash learn to toad you can. SUPPORT me THERE i
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: know i need to figure out a way To do.
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: More patreon content still, figuring. Things out man my focus
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 2: has been just trying to. Give, Out winners Man that's what.
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 2: I've been doing And maybe because i'm able, TO do that,
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: i don't know maybe people just throw me some. Support
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: FOR him maybe i should pay. ALL my picks, i,
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 2: don't know man people won't LIKE that if, I DO
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 2: that but, i DON'T know man' i don't want to
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: be like a. Grifter OR anything but. I DON'T know
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: maybe i should get paid for doing the work here
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: and having the insight and the intuition and the ability to.
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 2: See these things that, all being Said now that i'm,
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: pumping myself up we're gonna have a, bad day today and.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: We Know that so Loser casts every Tuesday Night And
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 2: new York giants, g spot podcast and that's. Gonna do
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: it have, a. GOOD weekend everybody i said that yesterday
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: but have a. Good, continued, weekend yes sir pay all.
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: THE best pick. I don't, know i mean it's hard for.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: Me to choose i'm not one of those types of guys, that,
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: ranks like oh this is a, five percent one this
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: is a four percent where this one should be elevated
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 2: to five percent of your bank roll and this one
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 2: should be four. Percent or whatever or if you want
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 2: to slice, those in half you know one of them
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: will be two and a half percent of your bank
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: roll instead of one or two. PERCENT or whatever i don't, Do,
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: THAT shit like, I, just yeah like all of my
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 2: players are for the same, amount OF money so i don't.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: Know WHICH one sometimes i, Have an, opinion, i'm like
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 2: yeah this one is SO strong that i consider it to.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 2: Be the BEST but, Sometimes, I don't like i don't
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: know which one OF these do i consider to. BE
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 2: the best i have. No, fucking clue dude maybe The
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: Under In. Dodger's red SOX now that, i said that
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 2: that one's. DEFINITELY gonna lose. I don't know i wouldn't
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 2: be able to tell you which ONE of these i feel.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: MORE strongly about i just think these three are. Worth,
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: the shot YEAH that's all i. Got, to say everybody Have. A.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: Good saturday peace.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: If the, doc starts talking hand, me the phone.
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 2: Let somebody answer.
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 3: Let somebody know.
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: You do not have to.
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 4: Lose. This round, longe hold on hold, on nothing nice not,
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 4: now hold, on hold on.
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 3: Let me fall you are.
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 4: That bad, luck by time but it don't. Get the,
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 4: crown hold, on.
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 3: Hold on, stay, with me, now.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 4: Hold on hold.
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: You're still here