Latest / How Canadian Markets Work / Preferred Shares Explained: Stock or Bond — What Are You Buying? | Canadian Investing
Transcript
- 0:00Imagine buying an investment that is specifically
- 0:03designed to trap your money and just completely
- 0:06stop paying you during a financial crisis. Right,
- 0:08and doing it entirely on purpose. Yeah. doing
- 0:10it on purpose just to save a few dollars on your
- 0:13taxes. Welcome to the bizarre and honestly often
- 0:17completely misunderstood reality of the Canadian
- 0:19preferred share market. Today we are taking a
- 0:22massive stack of source material, so financial
- 0:25notes, articles, and research covering the mechanics
- 0:27of Canadian capital markets. We're going on a
- 0:29deep dive to decode the preferred share. It's
- 0:32a very needed deep dive, honestly. It really
- 0:34is because rather than relying on that tired
- 0:38oversimplified definition that calls it a hybrid
- 0:41between a stock and a bond, which I feel like
- 0:43just confuses people more. Oh, absolutely. It
- 0:45leaves people with a zero understanding of the
- 0:47actual risk. Right. So we're going to look at
- 0:49this instrument backwards. We want to understand
- 0:51it through the specific problem the issuing company
- 0:53is trying to solve. So let's unpack this. To
- 0:56really get what this asset is, we have to look
- 1:00past the marketing and understand where the investor
- 1:03actually stands in line on a company's absolute
- 1:06worst day. That is the essential starting point,
- 1:09because when we talk about a company's capital
- 1:12structure, we are essentially looking at a legally
- 1:15binding priority queue. Right. And preferred
- 1:18shares sit squarely in the middle of that structure.
- 1:22So they have a higher priority than common shares,
- 1:24but they are strictly subordinate to all forms
- 1:26of debt. Subordinate meaning they are behind
- 1:29them in line. Exactly. Behind the bondholders,
- 1:31behind the banks, and that structural placement
- 1:34dictates everything about the instrument. from
- 1:37who receives cash flow during normal economic
- 1:39times to who gets whatever scraps are left over
- 1:42in the event of a liquidation. Well, let's ground
- 1:44that in a tangible mechanism because people often
- 1:47gloss over what capital structure actually means
- 1:49in practice. So think of a company's capital
- 1:52structure like a commercial real estate lease.
- 1:55The bondholders, the debt holders, they're the
- 1:58primary landlord of the building. I like this
- 2:00analogy. Yeah, so if they don't get paid their
- 2:02rent on time, They have the legal authority to
- 2:05lock the doors, seize the building, and literally
- 2:08liquidate the assets to get their money back.
- 2:10Right. That is a much more accurate framework.
- 2:13Their claim is a legally binding contract with
- 2:16severe immediate consequences if breached. And
- 2:19then you have the preferred shareholders. In
- 2:21this commercial lease scenario, They are like
- 2:23the subtenants who, I don't know, secured the
- 2:26premium corner offices. Nice offices. Right.
- 2:29They get their space or their payout before the
- 2:31general workforce in the cubicles. Which would
- 2:33be your common shareholders. Exactly. But if
- 2:36the primary landlord locks the doors because
- 2:38the company goes broke, it doesn't matter how
- 2:40nice that corner office is. Nobody inside is
- 2:43getting a dime. Nobody. Which perfectly illustrates
- 2:46the vulnerability of that middle position. You
- 2:49have priority over the common equity, absolutely.
- 2:52But if the enterprise value drops below the total
- 2:54amount of debt owed to those primary landlords,
- 2:58your preferred equity is wiped out just as cleanly
- 3:00as the common stock. Oof. Gone. Gone. Yet despite
- 3:04the structural vulnerability, preferred shares
- 3:06are engineered with features that make them feel
- 3:09incredibly similar to bonds to the person holding
- 3:11them. Well, that bond -like illusion comes directly
- 3:14from the payment structure. Based on the financial
- 3:18notes we're reviewing, preferreds typically pay
- 3:20a fixed dividend based on a set par value. Right.
- 3:24And in the Canadian market, this is overwhelmingly
- 3:26standardized at a $25 par value. Yeah, let's
- 3:29walk through the mathematics of that so the mechanics
- 3:31are totally clear. If an investor purchases a
- 3:335 % preferred share, it pays them a 5 % yield
- 3:37strictly on that $25 par value. So mathematically,
- 3:40that works out to exactly $1 .25 per year, which
- 3:44is predictably distributed in quarterly installments.
- 3:47So it feels exactly like a bond coupon. Exactly
- 3:49like it. But because that payout is a rigid,
- 3:53fixed dollar amount, the market price of the
- 3:56preferred share has to move inversely to interest
- 3:59rates, just like a bond. Correct. So if the central
- 4:02bank raises interest rates and suddenly newly
- 4:05issued bonds are paying six or seven percent,
- 4:08nobody's going to pay the full twenty five dollars
- 4:10for an older preferred share that only yields
- 4:13five percent. No, why would they? Right. The
- 4:16open market price of that share must drop, maybe
- 4:18down to $20 or less, until that $1 .25 payout
- 4:23represents a competitive yield in the new economic
- 4:25environment. Yeah, the gravity of interest rates
- 4:27applies to preferred shares just as ruthlessly
- 4:30as it applies to traditional bonds. Yeah. And
- 4:33furthermore, to complete this bond -like package,
- 4:36preferred shares are generally non -voting under
- 4:38normal operating circumstances. Oh, interesting.
- 4:40Yeah. The investor is providing capital, but
- 4:43they have absolutely no voice in corporate governance,
- 4:45board elections, or strategic direction. OK,
- 4:48so if I'm synthesizing this correctly, the entire
- 4:51structure is kind of a paradox. It looks like
- 4:54a bond, it is priced by the market like a bond,
- 4:57and it pays out like a bond. Calling it equity
- 5:00feels almost like a technicality. Why isn't this
- 5:02just classified as debt? Because of one structural
- 5:06reality that completely separates it from debt,
- 5:09the dividend on a preferred share is not a legal
- 5:11obligation. It is a stated priority over the
- 5:15common shares, but it is fundamentally not a
- 5:17promise. Wait, wait. If there is no legal obligation,
- 5:21the company can just unilaterally decide to turn
- 5:23off the cash flow. Yes. But that fundamentally
- 5:26alters the risk profile. Because, I mean, if
- 5:29a company misses a single coupon payment on a
- 5:31bond, they're in technical default. Instant default.
- 5:34Right. The creditors initiate insolvency proceedings.
- 5:37But if they miss a preferred dividend, Nothing
- 5:39happens. Nothing happens from a legal standpoint.
- 5:42There are no bankruptcy triggers pulled. No creditors
- 5:45step in to seize the commercial building, to
- 5:47use your earlier analogy. The company simply
- 5:50retains the cash. And this lack of a legal guarantee
- 5:53is the precise reason why a company's preferred
- 5:57shares will always offer a higher yield than
- 6:00that exact same company's bonds. Because it's
- 6:02riskier. Exactly. The investor is being explicitly
- 6:06compensated with a higher yield for holding a
- 6:09significantly weaker claim on the company's cash.
- 6:12OK, that clarifies the yield premium. The investor
- 6:15is trading absolute legal certainty for a higher
- 6:18payout. But there has to be some mechanical backstop.
- 6:21Yeah. Like if a company hits a mile speed bump
- 6:24and decides to conserve cash by just turning
- 6:26off the preferred dividends, they can't just
- 6:28operate business as usual and funnel money to
- 6:30the common shareholders, can they? No, they cannot.
- 6:32And that brings us to the structural protections
- 6:35built into these instruments, primarily through
- 6:37what are known as cumulative preferred shares.
- 6:40Cumulative. Right. If an issuer suspends the
- 6:42dividend on a cumulative preferred share, that
- 6:44obligation doesn't disappear. It actually accumulates
- 6:47on the balance sheet as arrears. OK. So using
- 6:50our earlier math of a $1 .25 annual dividend,
- 6:54if they suspend it in year one, the arrears are
- 6:56$1 .25. If the suspension lasts through year
- 6:59two, the arrears compound at $2 .50. By year
- 7:03three, the company owes $3 .75 per share. You've
- 7:08got it. And the critical protection here is a
- 7:11structural blockade on the company's capital
- 7:13distribution. What does that mean? It means the
- 7:16issuer is legally prohibited from paying a single
- 7:19cent in dividends to their common shareholders.
- 7:22And they're typically prohibited from buying
- 7:24back common stock too. Ooh. Yeah, until every
- 7:27single penny of those accumulated preferred arrears
- 7:30is cleared. So they are blocked completely? Completely.
- 7:34That is a massive deterrent because corporate
- 7:36boards are terrified of cutting dividends. It
- 7:39instantly signals severe financial distress to
- 7:41the broader market which usually causes the stock
- 7:44price to just plummet. Right. So suspending the
- 7:46preferred dividend effectively traps the common
- 7:49equity holders. It's a lever management will
- 7:52only pull if they're in genuine cash burning
- 7:55distress. Exactly. It functions exactly as a
- 7:58deterrent should. But we have to contrast that
- 8:00with the alternative structure. Non -cumulative
- 8:03preferred shares. In a non -cumulative structure,
- 8:06if the board of directors elects to skip a quarterly
- 8:09dividend, that money is simply gone forever.
- 8:11It's gone. There are no arrears. There is no
- 8:14requirement to make the investor whole in the
- 8:16future. That seems like a structurally terrible
- 8:19proposition for the investor. Yeah. I mean, you
- 8:21take on all the downside risk of the equity position
- 8:24without any of the contractual protections of
- 8:26debt, and the company can just vaporize your
- 8:29income stream at will. Pretty much. Why would
- 8:31the market even support the existence of non
- 8:33-cumulative shares? Why would anyone buy them?
- 8:36Well, what's fascinating here is that the prevalence
- 8:38of non -cumulative preferreds is heavily concentrated
- 8:42in the banking and insurance sectors. And the
- 8:44driving force behind this is entirely regulatory.
- 8:48Regulatory? Yes. Financial regulators, the entities
- 8:51responsible for the stability of the entire banking
- 8:53system, actively demand instruments that can
- 8:56absorb losses without triggering a systemic collapse.
- 8:59Oh, wow. Okay, I see the mechanics of that now.
- 9:01If a major bank is facing a severe credit crisis,
- 9:05say a massive wave of mortgage defaults, their
- 9:08capital reserves are bleeding out. Right. And
- 9:11if their preferred shares were cumulative, Or
- 9:13worse, if they were classified as dead, the bank
- 9:16would be legally forced to keep hemorrhaging
- 9:18cash to pay those investors, accelerating their
- 9:21path to bankruptcy. Exactly. From the regulator's
- 9:24perspective, an instrument that allows a struggling
- 9:26bank to legally stop paying dividends and retain
- 9:28that cash to stabilize its balance sheet is a
- 9:31feature, not a bug. A feature for the system.
- 9:34Yes. It acts as a necessary shock absorber for
- 9:37the financial system. But from the perspective
- 9:39of the retail investor relying on that fixed
- 9:42income, income, that deliberate systemic feature
- 9:44translates into an incredibly weak individual
- 9:48claim. Man, this logic brings us full circle
- 9:50to the core mission of our analysis today, which
- 9:53is looking at this backwards. If we analyze the
- 9:56issuer's motives, it becomes so clear why corporate
- 9:59Canada issues this complex instrument instead
- 10:01of simply taking out a loan or selling more common
- 10:03stock. Right. And the issuer's motives really
- 10:06break down into three distinct pillars. The first
- 10:08pillar is accounting and regulatory treatment.
- 10:11Because of the discretionary nature of the dividends,
- 10:14preferred shares are typically classified as
- 10:16equity or regulatory capital on the balance sheet
- 10:19rather than bet. Which artificially improves
- 10:21their debt to equity ratios. Bingo. They secure
- 10:24millions in funding, but because it doesn't show
- 10:27up as a rigid scheduled liability, they still
- 10:30look incredibly healthy to future lenders and
- 10:33credit rating agencies. Precisely. And the second
- 10:36pillar revolves around corporate control. Common
- 10:39stock carries voting rights. So if a company
- 10:42issues a massive block of new common shares to
- 10:45raise capital, the existing founders, management,
- 10:48and major shareholders, they dilute their voting
- 10:50power. But preferred shares generally do not
- 10:53carry voting rights. This allows management to
- 10:55raise substantial capital without surrendering
- 10:58an ounce of operational control. OK, so what
- 11:00does this all mean? They get... favorable accounting
- 11:02treatment, they retain total voting control,
- 11:05which leaves the third pillar, which I'm assuming
- 11:07is cash flow flexibility. They are engineering
- 11:10an escape hatch. If the macroeconomic environment
- 11:13deteriorates, they can immediately halt the cash
- 11:17outflow without triggering a catastrophic default.
- 11:20The investor is providing the capital of a lender
- 11:22but accepting the flexibility of an equity holder.
- 11:26That is the perfect summary. Ultimately, the
- 11:28issuer's flexibility is precisely the investor's
- 11:31risk. the instrument is fundamentally asymmetrical
- 11:34by design. That realization just completely changes
- 11:38how an investor should view their portfolio.
- 11:40You aren't buying a perfect harmonious hybrid.
- 11:42You are literally buying the issuer's financial
- 11:44escape hatch. So let's take these raw mechanics
- 11:47and apply them directly to the everyday learner
- 11:49who is building a portfolio in Canada because
- 11:52the source material highlights several unique,
- 11:54often dangerous realities specific to the Canadian
- 11:57market. Oh, yeah. And the most prominent of those
- 12:00realities is what we should term the tax illusion.
- 12:03The tax illusion. This is a trap that catches
- 12:05so many yield chasing investors because in Canada,
- 12:09preferred share dividends paid by Canadian corporations
- 12:11are eligible for the dividend tax credit, whereas
- 12:15standard bond interest is taxed fully as regular
- 12:18income. Right. And the mathematical result of
- 12:21that tax treatment in a non -registered taxable
- 12:24account is highly persuasive. Very persuasive.
- 12:26An investor looking at a preferred share yielding
- 12:29five percent will walk away with notably more
- 12:32after -tax capital than if they held a corporate
- 12:34bond yielding the exact same five percent. The
- 12:37gross up and credit mechanism of the tax code
- 12:40significantly favors the dividend. But the illusion
- 12:42lies in the comparison itself. Yes. Investors
- 12:45look at a bond yielding five percent, then they
- 12:47look at a preferred share yielding five point
- 12:50They factor in the dividend tax credit, see a
- 12:53massive bump in their after -tax income, and
- 12:55allocate their capital to the preferred share,
- 12:58believing they just made a brilliant efficiency
- 13:00play. They think they outsmarted the system.
- 13:02Exactly. But they are completely blinded to the
- 13:05fact that they just traded a senior legally binding
- 13:08debt obligation for a subordinate discretionary
- 13:11equity claim. That is the trap. They are comparing
- 13:14the yields as if the underlying risks are identical,
- 13:17which, as we've established today, is entirely
- 13:19false. They are accepting a priority rather than
- 13:23a promise, absorbing significant equity like
- 13:25risk purely to optimize a tax outcome. Just to
- 13:29save on taxes. Yeah. Which cascades perfectly
- 13:31into the next major Canadian portfolio reality,
- 13:34which is sector concentration. A huge issue.
- 13:36Right. The notes we are reviewing stress of the
- 13:38Canadian preferred share market is surprisingly
- 13:40small and incredibly monolithic. It is overwhelmingly
- 13:45dominated by the financial sector, specifically
- 13:47the big domestic banks and life insurance companies.
- 13:50Yeah. When you look at the issuance data, non
- 13:52-financial corporate preferred shares, so say
- 13:55from utilities or telecom companies, they make
- 13:57up a very small minority of the available market.
- 14:01This triggered a massive aha moment for me while
- 14:03reviewing the research. Oh, yeah. Yeah, think
- 14:05about the standard prudent Canadian retail investor.
- 14:08They are told to diversify. So their core holding
- 14:11is a broad TSX composite index fund. A very common
- 14:16approach. Right. But because the Canadian economy
- 14:19is structured the way it is, that index is already
- 14:21heavily weighted toward financial institutions.
- 14:23Right. Then, because Canadian banks have a history
- 14:27of paying strong common dividends, the investor
- 14:30probably buys individual common stock in a few
- 14:33of the big six banks. Also very common. Right.
- 14:36And finally, they want a fixed income substitute
- 14:38for their taxable account. So they buy a Canadian
- 14:41preferred share ETF. Oh, boy. Which is 70 to
- 14:4380 percent financials. It is the ultimate illusion
- 14:46of diversification. They believe they have constructed
- 14:49a balanced portfolio of broad market indices,
- 14:52individual equities and fixed income alternatives.
- 14:55In reality, they have simply purchased the exact
- 14:58same Canadian banking sector risk three times
- 15:00over, wrapped in different packaging, three times
- 15:03over. So if the financial sector experiences
- 15:05a severe systemic shock, like a housing market
- 15:09correction, for example, their entire portfolio
- 15:11implodes simultaneously. Everything goes down.
- 15:13The index fund drops, the common bank stocks
- 15:16plummet, and those supposedly stable preferred
- 15:18shares will drop rapidly. Or worse, the banking
- 15:22regulator will step in and mandate a suspension
- 15:25of those non -cumulative dividends to preserve
- 15:27capital. The investor has inadvertently built
- 15:30a structurally monolithic portfolio while thinking
- 15:33they were diversified. It is a textbook manifestation
- 15:36of overlapping risk. And compounding that sector
- 15:40concentration is another deeply embedded structural
- 15:43risk, which is perpetual duration and liquidity
- 15:45traps. Perpetual duration. Let's define duration
- 15:48here. Because earlier we established that traditional
- 15:51straight preferred shares do not have a maturity
- 15:54date, they're perpetual instruments. Right. And
- 15:56to understand why that matters, we need to contrast
- 15:58it with bond mechanics. If you hold a standard
- 16:01five -year corporate bond and interest rates
- 16:03rise sharply, the market price of your bond will
- 16:05drop. Sure. However, that pain is temporary.
- 16:09As the bond approaches its maturity date, the
- 16:11price is mathematically pulled back to its par
- 16:14value because the company is contractually obligated
- 16:16to pay you back the principal on that specific
- 16:18date. OK, but a perpetual preferred share has
- 16:22no maturity date. There is no contractual date
- 16:25where the company must hand you back your $25.
- 16:28Therefore, there is absolutely no mechanism to
- 16:30pull the price back to par over time. Precisely.
- 16:33Because there is no maturity horizon, the duration,
- 16:36which is essentially a measure of sensitivity
- 16:38to interest rate changes, is extremely long.
- 16:41If interest rates rise significantly, the price
- 16:44of a perpetual preferred share falls and you
- 16:47are permanently trapped in that depressed price
- 16:49unless rates eventually fall back down. Wow.
- 16:52You either accept the subpar yield forever or
- 16:55you sell the asset at a permanent capital loss.
- 16:58And selling at a loss introduces the final trap,
- 17:00liquidity, because the Canadian preserved market
- 17:03is relatively small. When interest rates spike
- 17:05and retail investors suddenly realize their capital
- 17:07is trapped in a depreciating asset, they all
- 17:10rush for the exits at the exact same time. Yep.
- 17:13But because institutional buyers often step away
- 17:15during these volatile periods, the trading spreads
- 17:18widen dramatically. It's awful. You find yourself
- 17:21holding a highly rate sensitive asset in a highly
- 17:24concentrated market. And when you finally decide
- 17:26you want out, there is no one on the other side
- 17:28of the trade willing to give you a fair price.
- 17:31The structural design of the instrument works
- 17:33entirely against the investor during a panic.
- 17:36Man, this has been an incredibly revealing teardown
- 17:40of the source material. We've taken an asset
- 17:42that is usually explained away in a single sentence
- 17:45and exposed the deep mechanical realities underneath
- 17:48it. So just to summarize the critical takeaways
- 17:51from today's analysis, preferred shares are not
- 17:54a neat hybrid. They are a specific structural
- 17:57compromise sitting strictly between common equity
- 17:59and debt. They offer a fixed bond -like payment,
- 18:02but crucially, they lack the legal contractual
- 18:05promise of a bond. Whether they are cumulative
- 18:07or non -cumulative, every feature of preferred
- 18:10shares engineered to balance the issuing corporation's
- 18:13critical need for balance sheet flexibility with
- 18:15the investor's desire for a tax -advantaged income
- 18:17stream. Exactly. And in the Canadian market,
- 18:20pursuing that tax advantage often leads investors
- 18:22into severe sector concentration and perpetual
- 18:24duration risk. The mechanics we've explored dictate
- 18:27the reality of the asset. But looking beyond
- 18:30the current mechanics, there is a broader structural
- 18:32shift occurring that investors really need to
- 18:35consider. As global banking regulations, specifically
- 18:38frameworks like Basel III, become increasingly
- 18:41draconian about what genuinely qualifies as tier
- 18:44one capital for financial institutions, regulators
- 18:47are demanding even more aggressive loss absorbing
- 18:50features. Yeah, we may well be looking at the
- 18:53twilight of the traditional preferred share entirely
- 18:56as banks are forced to transition to even more
- 18:59complex contingent capital instruments that are
- 19:02far less friendly to the retail investor. That
- 19:04is a fascinating forward -looking reality to
- 19:07leave our audience with. Because if the regulations
- 19:09driving the creation of these assets are evolving,
- 19:12the assets themselves might soon become obsolete,
- 19:15replaced by instruments with even wider escape
- 19:17hatches for the issuers. Which means, if you
- 19:20have been treating the preferred shares in your
- 19:22portfolio as a safe, simple fixed -income substitute,
- 19:26it is time to thoroughly audit what you actually
- 19:28own. Look at the capital structure, analyze your
- 19:32true sector exposure, and ask yourself exactly
- 19:34whose financial problem your capital is solving.
- 19:37Are you just acting as the uncompensated shock
- 19:39absorber for corporate Canada's worst days? Exactly.
- 19:43Keep questioning the consensus definitions. Thanks
- 19:45for joining us on this deep dive into the source
- 19:47material.