Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / BlackRock Buying ETH & Dumping Bitcoin💰Technical Analysis w/ Investing Broz

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BlackRock Buying ETH & Dumping Bitcoin💰Technical Analysis w/ Investing Broz · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

0:06
Speaker 1: Black Rock has done the unthinkable, and that is selling
0:08
Speaker 1: bitcoin and swapping it in for eth. Maybe some of
0:12
Speaker 1: you guys are asking that very question. Today we'll break
0:14
Speaker 1: it down for you. My name is Paul Barreon. Welcome
0:16
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0:18
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0:46
Speaker 2: Now.
0:47
Speaker 1: Getting into it today, we're going to be running down
0:49
Speaker 1: a full run on all of this. Joining me, of course,
0:52
Speaker 1: is mister Tim Moore coming in from investing bros. How
0:55
Speaker 1: are you Tim doing good?
0:56
Speaker 3: Paul, good to be back on the show with you.
0:58
Speaker 1: Yeah, So we've got a lot a breakdown. I want
1:01
Speaker 1: to get into a few things with what's happening on
1:04
Speaker 1: the macro side of things, But when you look at
1:07
Speaker 1: just where the macro side is going. Let me go
1:09
Speaker 1: to this tweet real quick before we kind of jump
1:12
Speaker 1: into things. But I want to go into the scenario
1:14
Speaker 1: of Trump and Jiji'sping meeting on Friday. Now, this is
1:18
Speaker 1: all coming around the fifty percent tariff on steel, China
1:23
Speaker 1: being one of the big steel producers. This of course
1:25
Speaker 1: rattled the cage of Jijiping and the Chinese. They have
1:30
Speaker 1: come back and said, yeah, well we're gonna we're gonna
1:32
Speaker 1: get a little bit more. I think defensible in the
1:36
Speaker 1: sense that they're really going to start to look to reposition.
1:38
Speaker 1: Now whether or not this plays out into a taco trade,
1:43
Speaker 1: which if you guys have not heard that before, I've
1:46
Speaker 1: got to show this to you guys.
1:48
Speaker 4: Yea.
1:48
Speaker 2: So it's the Trump always chicking out trade.
1:51
Speaker 1: This is in reference to tariffs where he says, hey,
1:52
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it, I'm gonna do it, I'm doing
1:54
Speaker 1: doesn't do it. But what do you think about this
1:56
Speaker 1: news with Blackrock, Tim? I mean, this was huge, selling
2:00
Speaker 1: twelve hundred and forty nine bitcoin and now buying twenty
2:04
Speaker 1: seven thousand ethereum. What do you think this does to
2:06
Speaker 1: the EKE price?
2:08
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, let's not necessarily act like this is the
2:11
Speaker 3: exact spark that's gonna make it move. But what has
2:16
Speaker 3: happened every other bull market We get a big run
2:19
Speaker 3: up on bitcoin, yes, and normally retail, but retailers usually
2:23
Speaker 3: take profit on bitcoin and move it over and do
2:25
Speaker 3: a theory of all coins? Is blackrock the new retail are? They?
2:28
Speaker 3: Are they repeating all coin season just in their own rhythm?
2:32
Speaker 3: They're late, right, It should have happened back in December.
2:34
Speaker 3: They really took their time. It's coming maybe in June.
2:37
Speaker 3: This lines up exactly with what we see going on
2:39
Speaker 3: in the charts right now. Paul, I'm sure that we're
2:41
Speaker 3: gonna go in there, but I think this is big news. Again,
2:44
Speaker 3: let's not count chickens where they hatched. It's not like
2:47
Speaker 3: that amount of money is life changing. Black Rice is
2:49
Speaker 3: a very very small amount of money compared to them.
2:52
Speaker 3: But if it's a beginning sign of things to come,
2:55
Speaker 3: that's where the excitement should start to come in.
2:57
Speaker 1: Yeah, And the beginning of sign is this right here.
3:00
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the ibit ETF and this is the
3:04
Speaker 1: first time we've seen that kind of outflow. This is
3:06
Speaker 1: the deepest outflow in a well, maybe in history, it
3:09
Speaker 1: looks like.
3:10
Speaker 2: And if this is something that.
3:13
Speaker 1: You know we're looking at when you think about what
3:16
Speaker 1: Larry Fink is talking about around the future of what
3:19
Speaker 1: Blackrock is trying to do around token I securities, then
3:22
Speaker 1: ETH most.
3:22
Speaker 2: Likely could be the play. Maybe it's just the point.
3:24
Speaker 1: Where they have finally come in and said, we realize
3:28
Speaker 1: what's happening, we understand it. Before we go to the chart,
3:31
Speaker 1: I want to remind you guys, if you guys want
3:33
Speaker 1: to follow Tim, you can do that by jumping over
3:35
Speaker 1: to his channel, and that is Investing Bros right there
3:38
Speaker 1: on YouTube.
3:40
Speaker 2: I loved some of the videos you just did.
3:42
Speaker 1: A couple of the ones I wanted to hit on
3:44
Speaker 1: right here, the top three, So I know you're going
3:46
Speaker 1: to reveal these since you revealed them on your channel. Yeah,
3:49
Speaker 1: we'll talk about those, but let's go to the ETH
3:52
Speaker 1: chart real quick and give me an idea of where
3:55
Speaker 1: you think ETH is going to go here in the
3:57
Speaker 1: near future. Near future, because it's kind of been sideway
4:00
Speaker 1: is here for the last week or so.
4:02
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, we'll start off right there you said, reveal
4:04
Speaker 3: the top three. We just did. That's a video that
4:06
Speaker 3: just dropped today at noon. Number one was Ethereum. And
4:10
Speaker 3: to be clear here, when we say top three, I
4:13
Speaker 3: say in the video, don't necessarily look at these as
4:15
Speaker 3: the top gainers. Look at them as the top three
4:18
Speaker 3: most important important coins to watch in the month of June.
4:22
Speaker 3: And Ethereum was coin number one. And in the video,
4:26
Speaker 3: I'll do it here for everybody as well, but I
4:27
Speaker 3: encourage you guys go check out the video as well.
4:30
Speaker 3: What I discussed is the Ethereum chart over US dollar
4:33
Speaker 3: is looking good. This formation that we're developing, throw out
4:37
Speaker 3: last couple of months, last couple of weeks. Just talk
4:40
Speaker 3: about what we are doing here since back on May fourteenth,
4:44
Speaker 3: few all coins are holding up better. You take a
4:46
Speaker 3: look at other things Solana trending downward, Cardono trending downward,
4:51
Speaker 3: Sue of course trending downward. I think we might talk
4:53
Speaker 3: about Chainlink later trending downward. Ethereum that's actually an up trend.
4:58
Speaker 3: This is called an ascending triangle with higher lows and
5:01
Speaker 3: a flat top. It's very bullish and when you attach
5:04
Speaker 3: it to an explosive move like ethereum has called a flagpole.
5:08
Speaker 3: This becomes a potential bull pennant with a target all
5:12
Speaker 3: the way up here towards thirty eight hundred almost to
5:15
Speaker 3: four thousand dollars. But this isn't even the biggest thing
5:18
Speaker 3: to look at for the month of June, again ethereum
5:20
Speaker 3: price should go up. But the more important chart to
5:23
Speaker 3: keep an eye on is the ether over bitcoin chart,
5:26
Speaker 3: where we're seeing something very similar, not necessarily the ascending triangle,
5:30
Speaker 3: but it is some metical triangle still attached to a
5:33
Speaker 3: big movement, and that right there is also a bullpennant
5:37
Speaker 3: that could send the ethereum over bitcoin price back up
5:40
Speaker 3: to levels we haven't seen since way back here in
5:43
Speaker 3: January of this year. Why this is important is because
5:47
Speaker 3: you know, this went way lower. This ether or a
5:49
Speaker 3: bitcoin chart went way lower than I thought. But this
5:51
Speaker 3: has been the largest rebound on ether over bitcoin since
5:55
Speaker 3: all the way back here in August September of twenty
5:58
Speaker 3: twenty two. Right for the bottom of the bear market.
6:02
Speaker 3: Are we finally seeing ethereum rebound? We're seeing a similar
6:05
Speaker 3: levels back to December of nineteenth January twenty twenty. Are
6:09
Speaker 3: we about to see what history has always seen with
6:11
Speaker 3: all coin season. We always see Bitcoin run up first,
6:15
Speaker 3: and then all then ethereum start to run itself. It's
6:18
Speaker 3: being a stick up steam and then all coins come after.
6:21
Speaker 3: You go back to that Blackrock move again. What has
6:24
Speaker 3: always happened. Bitcoin runs up, Retail takes profit from Bitcoin,
6:27
Speaker 3: they move it into ethereum, then they get some profit
6:30
Speaker 3: in ethereum, they start moving stuff into all coins. Are
6:32
Speaker 3: we watching Blackrock say, you know what, we're gonna take
6:35
Speaker 3: the same theory. We're not gonna do it in the
6:36
Speaker 3: four year window the way everyone's planning on it. But
6:39
Speaker 3: watch us repeat this Cica once again. There's a lot
6:42
Speaker 3: of reasons to be not just excited about ethereum price,
6:45
Speaker 3: but if you believe still an all coin season is
6:47
Speaker 3: coming and that there are gonna be similarities to the past.
6:50
Speaker 3: These all coin seasons have always started with an ether
6:52
Speaker 3: over bitcoin schart finding a bottom and then're starting to
6:55
Speaker 3: move to the upside.
6:56
Speaker 1: Well, and everything's kind of lining up too. When you
6:58
Speaker 1: look at the real future, and I think when you
7:01
Speaker 1: think about institutional capital and ethereum, you have to look
7:05
Speaker 1: to securitize. Good example here, this is just the yields
7:08
Speaker 1: that are being paid out by securitized There of course
7:11
Speaker 1: is aptos. You can go a little bit further down
7:14
Speaker 1: and you start to see arbitrum playing in. Then there's
7:17
Speaker 1: some avacs right there, one hundred and eighty five thousand.
7:20
Speaker 1: Look at this right there, paid daily on ethereum. That's
7:24
Speaker 1: why you're seeing institutional capital running into here. This is
7:28
Speaker 1: the magic juice of really what's going forward? And with that,
7:32
Speaker 1: I want to play the clip because this is what
7:34
Speaker 1: we're going to answer right after this clip is should
7:37
Speaker 1: you sell your bitcoin for eth?
7:39
Speaker 4: You know where I'm going right Bitcoin Major industry conference
7:42
Speaker 4: Bitcoin ETF are now seeing some of the biggest day
7:45
Speaker 4: of outflows since February.
7:48
Speaker 5: Everyone's on different stages of the journey. We've certainly opened
7:51
Speaker 5: access with the launch of ibit last year. You know,
7:53
Speaker 5: BlackRock's own models have allocated to ibidden in some of
7:56
Speaker 5: the alternative models as a diversifier in a folios.
8:00
Speaker 4: Is there in your mind timeline for when these types
8:05
Speaker 4: of investors, retail or otherwise start to get more comfortable
8:09
Speaker 4: with things that are not Bitcoin. I'm thinking about ethereum
8:13
Speaker 4: ether is.
8:14
Speaker 2: One of them.
8:14
Speaker 5: I think what's changed in the last month that's notable
8:17
Speaker 5: are the flows into our Ethereum etf Etha, which has
8:20
Speaker 5: seen about a billion dollars a year to date, with
8:22
Speaker 5: the majority of that coming just in the last three
8:24
Speaker 5: or four weeks or so. It's an evolving landscape, you know.
8:26
Speaker 5: We're seeing there's certainly been some strong performance of late
8:30
Speaker 5: with Ethereum, and we've seen a baby upgrade to Ethereum,
8:32
Speaker 5: which has brought kind of a new narrative into the
8:34
Speaker 5: space as well. So from our lens and the clients
8:37
Speaker 5: that we're speaking to, Bitcoin is still the vast majority
8:41
Speaker 5: of the conversations and the interest amongst professional investors, but
8:45
Speaker 5: we're starting to see Ethereum really pick up as well.
8:47
Speaker 1: Well. I think Jay hit the nail on the head
8:49
Speaker 1: and that it's just we're so early.
8:52
Speaker 2: All right.
8:53
Speaker 1: So my question to you, Tim is would you reposition
8:56
Speaker 1: out of bitcoin if you had bitcoin and you've been
8:59
Speaker 1: writing it up to one hundred and six right now
9:01
Speaker 1: as of today, and say, hey, I'm going to take
9:03
Speaker 1: profits and I'm going to reposition now. Maybe this is
9:06
Speaker 1: the timing because maybe I have a limited amount of funds,
9:10
Speaker 1: and that's a lot of questions I think that some
9:13
Speaker 1: of our viewers are asking, how would you play that.
9:15
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the question would come down to who
9:18
Speaker 3: the individual is and how they set themselves up for
9:21
Speaker 3: tolerance of risk. If you are a higher risk tolerant
9:25
Speaker 3: person and you want to front run movements, meaning you
9:28
Speaker 3: see the beginning signs of the rumblings of an all
9:30
Speaker 3: coin season, but you want to get into it before
9:33
Speaker 3: it's kind of confirmed, then yes, I would say if
9:36
Speaker 3: you have a good risk tolerance, it's time to start
9:38
Speaker 3: transitioning more heavily into bitcoin, or sorry, away from bitcoin
9:41
Speaker 3: into all coins. At the very least, if you still
9:44
Speaker 3: have a DCA strategy, maybe it's time to get away
9:47
Speaker 3: from a bitcoin DCA and start picking your front runners
9:49
Speaker 3: for the all coin season.
9:51
Speaker 2: Yeah.
9:52
Speaker 3: I'm not going to recommend that for everybody, because there
9:54
Speaker 3: is a world and I'm not thinking this is very likely,
9:56
Speaker 3: but there's a world in which all coins do don't
10:00
Speaker 3: get the same special run they've had in the past,
10:02
Speaker 3: and bitcoin is the two darling. And even though you
10:05
Speaker 3: know what I just showed you on the eight over
10:06
Speaker 3: bitcoin chart is showing us a beginning move that says
10:09
Speaker 3: an all coin season could be coming, it technically is
10:12
Speaker 3: not confirmed, and for some investors it's better to just
10:16
Speaker 3: be still and wait for confirmation, not try to risk
10:19
Speaker 3: too much because you start second guesting yourself. And let's
10:22
Speaker 3: pretend that eth Over bitcoin chart starts to drop. Well,
10:24
Speaker 3: now you're beating yourself up for flipping out a bitcoin,
10:27
Speaker 3: all coins, and now you're going back and forth and
10:29
Speaker 3: back and forth, and you end up just selling every
10:31
Speaker 3: single bottom and buying all the tops of everything. That's
10:34
Speaker 3: not a recipe for success. So know yourself, know your
10:37
Speaker 3: risk tolerance. Some of you it's time to start. If
10:40
Speaker 3: you're risky. If you're a more conservative vestor and you
10:43
Speaker 3: don't want to play a risky game, hold off just
10:45
Speaker 3: a couple more weeks, look for some more confirmation. There's
10:48
Speaker 3: plenty of bull run ahead of us. You're not gonna
10:49
Speaker 3: miss out on major gains. You just might not be
10:51
Speaker 3: able to front run it.
10:53
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think this is a that's a good
10:55
Speaker 1: explanation because that you are right, and many people would
10:58
Speaker 1: look at bitcoin if you just think of it as
10:59
Speaker 1: a store or value and don't worry about that just
11:02
Speaker 1: dollar cost average, whether you're because you're probably gonna hold
11:05
Speaker 1: some of you're gonna hold bitcoin forever, you know, take
11:08
Speaker 1: loans against it, all that kind of thing that eventually,
11:10
Speaker 1: if we do see bitcoin kind of run to it's
11:13
Speaker 1: it's levels that many people think it's going to, then
11:15
Speaker 1: you're in the right place at the right time, but
11:18
Speaker 1: you know, kind of jumping on that new potential there
11:20
Speaker 1: unless you've got a strategy this high risk. I would
11:23
Speaker 1: agree with Tim. Twenty one Shares is doing something that
11:26
Speaker 1: I thought was interesting. They announced a three for one
11:29
Speaker 1: share split and this is in reference to the ARCB
11:32
Speaker 1: So this is basically the ibit of ARC. They're Bitcoin
11:36
Speaker 1: ETF and I guess the thing the thesis behind this
11:39
Speaker 1: is to feel like it's cheaper to buy a bitcoin
11:44
Speaker 1: from a marketing standpoint, to get people to jump into
11:47
Speaker 1: more bitcoin inflow for the ETFs. That's the only thing
11:50
Speaker 1: I can think of, because it's kind of sometimes share
11:52
Speaker 1: splits are just done for that purpose.
11:54
Speaker 2: What do you think about that.
11:56
Speaker 3: I hadn't seen that article. It's very interesting though, because
11:58
Speaker 3: I had a bit tensor talel Ice fridcing video the
12:00
Speaker 3: other day and I haven't seen a person say something
12:04
Speaker 3: like this in many years. It's actually a sign that
12:07
Speaker 3: the old coin that newer people are starting to jump in.
12:10
Speaker 3: And the whole thing was because big tenser towel right now,
12:12
Speaker 3: I think too is sitting at almost three ninety almost
12:15
Speaker 3: four hundred dollars, and they the point of the video,
12:18
Speaker 3: the point of the comment was like, why would I
12:20
Speaker 3: buy bit tenser towel If I could buy for the
12:23
Speaker 3: same amount of money for one bittenser towel, I could
12:25
Speaker 3: buy like a hundred sui And it's like, that has
12:29
Speaker 3: nothing to do with anything the price per co are
12:33
Speaker 3: literally people Paul right now coming back who are sitting
12:35
Speaker 3: here looking at cheap coins thinking well, if the coin
12:38
Speaker 3: has a lower dollar symbol, then I can make money longer.
12:42
Speaker 3: Termin It's like, well, that's that's not how that one works.
12:44
Speaker 3: You have to look at supply and market cap and
12:46
Speaker 3: a lot of other dynamics. But hey, you know what,
12:49
Speaker 3: maybe twenty one understands. They're like, listen, we're gonna have
12:52
Speaker 3: some people who don't understand numbers and they'd much rather
12:55
Speaker 3: buy bitcoin at thirty thousand per coin than one hundred
13:00
Speaker 3: thousand per coin. We're not really giving them a full coin,
13:02
Speaker 3: but it'll make them feel better about their purchase.
13:05
Speaker 1: Well, I think it is most likely you know, the
13:08
Speaker 1: traditional retail that maybe have never you know, dipped into
13:12
Speaker 1: crypto just yet, and they look at it as an
13:14
Speaker 1: expensive stock because I this is something I hear all
13:17
Speaker 1: the time from, you know, from people that are investing
13:20
Speaker 1: in stocks. Sometimes they'll even ask about dividends and then
13:23
Speaker 1: they asked about stocks, but they're like, oh, well, I
13:25
Speaker 1: only want to buy stocks that are under one hundred dollars.
13:28
Speaker 1: And then that makes me realize, Okay, now I understand
13:30
Speaker 1: what you know. It's it's a concept of price for you,
13:33
Speaker 1: but in reality it should be a concept of growth,
13:36
Speaker 1: you know, for that, So I do agree with that.
13:38
Speaker 1: Speaking of one last thing before we get into bitcoins
13:41
Speaker 1: pricing and where it could be going, this of course
13:44
Speaker 1: was the issue around Sharpling Gaming, and we've talked about
13:47
Speaker 1: sharping Sharpling Gaming and their stock called s BET. Now
13:52
Speaker 1: this is one that we've talked about. It's up two
13:54
Speaker 1: thousand percent this week, and it's all geared toward eth play.
14:00
Speaker 1: So just if you guys don't know, Sharplink Gaming basically
14:04
Speaker 1: started a strategy that is just like micro strategy, putting
14:07
Speaker 1: eth on their treasury and then committing new funds into more.
14:12
Speaker 1: They add another billion dollars into this. When you look
14:15
Speaker 1: at s bet right now, if you go to the chart,
14:18
Speaker 1: tim and you see.
14:20
Speaker 2: This growth what we've had.
14:21
Speaker 1: If Eth runs and Sharplink continues to double down kind
14:27
Speaker 1: of like a sailor.
14:27
Speaker 2: Oh well, I'm just gonna buy.
14:28
Speaker 1: More eth more eth more eth, what does the does
14:32
Speaker 1: it end up looking like a strategy right now?
14:34
Speaker 2: In terms of the stock strategy.
14:37
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is an interesting one to keep an eye
14:39
Speaker 3: on here. I'll say trade cautiously if you go to
14:43
Speaker 3: trade this stock.
14:44
Speaker 5: Uh.
14:44
Speaker 3: This is one that has been telling us since back
14:47
Speaker 3: in June of twenty twenty two that the weekly chart
14:51
Speaker 3: was over extended. We have literally lived since June and
14:54
Speaker 3: twenty twenty two in a constant some point we could
14:58
Speaker 3: bounce back up. At some point we could bounce back up,
14:59
Speaker 3: and some point we got bounced back up. Finally, here
15:02
Speaker 3: you guys can see, as Paul said, you know, a big,
15:04
Speaker 3: big jump in the stock price, massive gap right here
15:07
Speaker 3: in the weekly and the weekly charts. But we have
15:10
Speaker 3: a by signal. But we went from almost immediately again
15:13
Speaker 3: a week and or a couple of weeks ago, about
15:15
Speaker 3: a month ago, we're dramatically oversold. It's time for a
15:19
Speaker 3: big blow up. We shot up and now even on
15:22
Speaker 3: the weekly chart we are printing over bought signals. That
15:25
Speaker 3: doesn't mean we have to pull back. There a arguably
15:28
Speaker 3: people who look at this gap and say, oh, could
15:30
Speaker 3: we come back down and fill this gap. But the
15:32
Speaker 3: reason why I'm not ready to necessarily say that's for
15:34
Speaker 3: certain is like I said, this downward bleed all throughout
15:39
Speaker 3: the bear market, and then again, no bull market for
15:41
Speaker 3: this stock whatsoever. It's almost more like this was a
15:44
Speaker 3: suppressed spring that was waiting and waiting and waiting. It
15:47
Speaker 3: got it spark and it shot up. So this is
15:50
Speaker 3: kind of an ugly one. I want to see what
15:52
Speaker 3: the next move looks like. I wouldn't touch this stock
15:55
Speaker 3: one way or the other until the oscillators reset. We
15:58
Speaker 3: had an explosive move, an explosive day. We absolutely could
16:02
Speaker 3: continue or we could fill this gap. So the best
16:05
Speaker 3: thing for most traders is to sit on the sideline,
16:08
Speaker 3: wait for these oscillators to calm back down from this shock,
16:12
Speaker 3: and then we'll get a better idea of true price
16:14
Speaker 3: evaluation on sharp Link. But for now, if you held it,
16:18
Speaker 3: good for you, if you made some money, good for you.
16:22
Speaker 3: It's not necessarily a buy right now, but it also
16:24
Speaker 3: isn't necessarily a sell hoddle on and watch how this
16:27
Speaker 3: chart responds. Set up some stop losses in here, if
16:30
Speaker 3: you were to come in and zoom into lower levels,
16:33
Speaker 3: set up some stop losses where if a price gets
16:35
Speaker 3: blow a certain amount, you want to sell out, because
16:38
Speaker 3: then all of a sudden, we're looking at lower levels,
16:40
Speaker 3: maybe back towards seven dollars we could buy it in
16:42
Speaker 3: at But for now, this is a look, don't touch
16:47
Speaker 3: chart in my opinion.
16:49
Speaker 1: Listen, it's up seventeen hundred percent since we last reported
16:53
Speaker 1: on this stock, on this stock, and mainly it was
16:55
Speaker 1: because of the news around ethereum how it.
16:57
Speaker 2: All plays out.
16:58
Speaker 1: Let's go over to a couple of other things. I
17:00
Speaker 1: want to jump over to robin Hood for a second.
17:02
Speaker 1: Bitstamp now part of robin Hood. This is a big
17:05
Speaker 1: deal that's been I think been brewing for quite some time.
17:09
Speaker 1: Could be good for the robin Hood stock, which has
17:11
Speaker 1: been on a tear for quite some time. Do you
17:15
Speaker 1: think robin Hood continues its upward movement right now?
17:20
Speaker 2: That's a good question.
17:21
Speaker 3: I actually haven't looked at robin Hood charts in quite
17:24
Speaker 3: some time, So let's go take a look there. I'll say, fundamentally,
17:27
Speaker 3: I think robin Hood's in a very good place. And
17:28
Speaker 3: it's funny because when I was getting in heavily involved
17:31
Speaker 3: in trading, robin Hood was like the No No of crypto,
17:34
Speaker 3: and no one wanted to touch it with a ten
17:35
Speaker 3: foot pole. But now I think people are warming up
17:38
Speaker 3: to it and saying, hey, this is a potential, real
17:41
Speaker 3: big stock play. You can see here high as we've
17:44
Speaker 3: been this entire cycle, not quite all time high, you know,
17:47
Speaker 3: if you go back here into twenty twenty one, we
17:49
Speaker 3: were a little higher when the stock was released, but
17:52
Speaker 3: we're making some big moves here on the daily chart.
17:54
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have to kind of come in here and
17:56
Speaker 3: see what we have going on. I will. On the
17:59
Speaker 3: daily chart, you you absolutely are seeing some over bought
18:02
Speaker 3: signals coming in, not guaranteeing a pullback, because until I
18:06
Speaker 3: see money flow go negative this green cloud, you don't
18:10
Speaker 3: want to necessarily say, hey, it's all said and done.
18:12
Speaker 3: What's gonna be bigger is what's what's it looking like
18:14
Speaker 3: on the weekly chart? Where oh man, very good. Look
18:17
Speaker 3: here on the weekly chart, we're building momentum up once again. Uh,
18:21
Speaker 3: there's not gonna be a lot of a lot of
18:23
Speaker 3: trajectory to the upside that I can use other than
18:26
Speaker 3: using a Fibonacci extension tactic. As we get back towards
18:29
Speaker 3: price discovery mode, keep an eye on former all time
18:32
Speaker 3: high all the way up here at eighty five dollars.
18:35
Speaker 3: Where is that one? Yeah? Okay, pretty much in that spot.
18:38
Speaker 3: That's what I was gonna look at. The one point
18:39
Speaker 3: two seventy two could be the next big resistant spot
18:42
Speaker 3: now that you get into kind of price discovery mode,
18:44
Speaker 3: former all time higher on eighty four eighty five dollars
18:47
Speaker 3: would be a very interesting next target for Hood and
18:50
Speaker 3: then it becomes a complete fundamental game. The way we
18:53
Speaker 3: can start talking about a longer term levels here on
18:57
Speaker 3: HOOD stock. If you were to come all the way
18:59
Speaker 3: back down to the market bottom, let me fix this
19:01
Speaker 3: for a second and I'll get the answer here. But
19:04
Speaker 3: then you're starting to look at much larger targets, things
19:07
Speaker 3: like one hundred and seventy two dollars per share. Absolutely crazy.
19:10
Speaker 3: I'd have to take a look at what the market
19:12
Speaker 3: gap would look like in that situation, but that would
19:16
Speaker 3: be a target to keep an eye on potentially if
19:18
Speaker 3: the bull market keeps going not just for crypto, but
19:21
Speaker 3: the stock market as well. I would watch robin Hood
19:25
Speaker 3: maybe up to that one point two seventy two in
19:26
Speaker 3: the macro about one hundred and seventy dollars per stock.
19:29
Speaker 1: Yeah, well you're looking at three things that are happening
19:32
Speaker 1: all at once. Robinhood has really started to do a
19:35
Speaker 1: lot of onboarding their new gold or their credit card
19:38
Speaker 1: comes out. They're talking about the release of their bank app,
19:41
Speaker 1: which could open up a whole new layer of customers.
19:44
Speaker 1: And crypto has been one of the most profitable areas.
19:47
Speaker 1: You time that with token is securities and yeah, you've
19:50
Speaker 1: got a hot stock here. Let's jump over to a
19:53
Speaker 1: bitcoin real quick. Tim Bitcoin traders now predicting a little
19:56
Speaker 1: bit more of a correction, and this was talk about
20:00
Speaker 1: earlier in the week, and then we saw a rebound
20:03
Speaker 1: off of the one oh four back above one oh
20:05
Speaker 1: six yesterday. Where do you like bitcoin right now? Do
20:09
Speaker 1: you think it gets a shot at one ten again?
20:12
Speaker 2: Yeah?
20:13
Speaker 3: I think it's funny as we start to talk about
20:15
Speaker 3: bitcoin and something we talked about earlier with ethereum massive outflolds.
20:19
Speaker 3: I think you said, historically the greatest one week outflows
20:22
Speaker 3: in bitcoin etf history, and yet Bitcoin still at one
20:26
Speaker 3: hundred and six thousand dollars per coin. I'm gonna show
20:30
Speaker 3: a couple things here on the charts when it portrays
20:32
Speaker 3: to bitcoin. But I've been saying this to our community.
20:35
Speaker 3: I'm not ready to say one hundred percent that this
20:39
Speaker 3: pullback is done, but I will give you a couple
20:42
Speaker 3: of reasons why it could be done. We had major
20:45
Speaker 3: by levels on bitcoin, and I think I still have.
20:47
Speaker 3: I took them off this chart, but we had by
20:49
Speaker 3: levels between one oh eight and then one oh five,
20:52
Speaker 3: and then we actually bought the one oh three five
20:54
Speaker 3: dip on our trading group. But the reason why we
20:59
Speaker 3: located that level was because of the lux Alego Smart trail.
21:02
Speaker 3: Right here, and I had been saying for weeks on
21:04
Speaker 3: your show, I said, and I'll admit right here I
21:08
Speaker 3: was wrong. So anyone who said, oh, Tim, Tim said
21:11
Speaker 3: we're gonna pull back in April, you're right. I did,
21:13
Speaker 3: and then we didn't. I said we're gonna pull back
21:14
Speaker 3: here in mid May. We didn't. But what was I
21:17
Speaker 3: constantly saying. I constantly was saying, watch the daily Smart Trail.
21:21
Speaker 3: We need to revisit the Daily Smart Trail in the
21:23
Speaker 3: same way that we did way back here on the
21:26
Speaker 3: initial breakout in September of twenty twenty four, retouched that
21:29
Speaker 3: daily smart trail and then we were able to take
21:31
Speaker 3: off into the big run. Well, I got what I
21:33
Speaker 3: was asking for. I got exactly what I was looking for.
21:36
Speaker 3: The question at the moment, upon looking at small could
21:40
Speaker 3: we pull back further? Is gonna be? There's potential cell
21:44
Speaker 3: signals coming in out here on the three daily and
21:47
Speaker 3: the weekly, But the problem with these is you have
21:50
Speaker 3: to maintain and keep staying up to date on things.
21:52
Speaker 3: If you would look at this, yesterday we had red reversal,
21:54
Speaker 3: barisalmnium and negative money flow. But guess what. This is
21:57
Speaker 3: a three daily chart, which means we have to wait
21:59
Speaker 3: for that candle to close every three days. Since yesterday
22:03
Speaker 3: this money flow went from being negative to now it's
22:05
Speaker 3: positive once again. We were flirting on the weekly chart
22:09
Speaker 3: with a potential red reversal, barishalmentum, negative money flow. Guess
22:12
Speaker 3: what two days ago all three of those were here
22:14
Speaker 3: in the chart. But now all of a sudden, if
22:18
Speaker 3: today this week closes bullish, you're cancing out the weekly
22:20
Speaker 3: cell signals. So if those cell signals get canceled, and
22:24
Speaker 3: all we were relying upon. The highest cell signal that
22:26
Speaker 3: was actually confirmed was this daily cell signal red reversal,
22:29
Speaker 3: barish fomentum, negative money flow, and we hit the target,
22:33
Speaker 3: which was the daily smart trail. All of a sudden,
22:35
Speaker 3: you are sitting here saying the bottom could be in.
22:38
Speaker 3: If it's not in again, go back to the three
22:40
Speaker 3: daily chart. I'm looking at ranges. Actually I don't even
22:43
Speaker 3: like necessarily that range. I like there's a range a
22:45
Speaker 3: little higher than that. I think there's some order blocks,
22:48
Speaker 3: and the two daily smart traill. I like the range
22:50
Speaker 3: closer towards one hundred and one the bottom of the
22:53
Speaker 3: daily chart. The order block's right in here. I like
22:55
Speaker 3: one hundred and one hundred and two as a better
22:58
Speaker 3: zone of support. But the other reason that I'm very bullish,
23:01
Speaker 3: and I think you've seen this chart before. I think
23:03
Speaker 3: this is circulating the internet right now, So I don't
23:05
Speaker 3: think I'm breaking any ice. But the M too money
23:08
Speaker 3: supply is not something to ignore. And while the word
23:13
Speaker 3: perfect is not the right word to describe the correlation
23:16
Speaker 3: between bitcoins price and M two money supply, take a
23:19
Speaker 3: look at it. That the blue is M two and
23:21
Speaker 3: if you delay it by roughly ninety days, which is
23:24
Speaker 3: what I'm doing right now. In this chart, it front
23:26
Speaker 3: runs bitcoins price by roughly ninety days. Ninety days ago
23:31
Speaker 3: we had a little bit of a pullback right in
23:33
Speaker 3: here on me zoom back in ninety days ago, the
23:35
Speaker 3: M two money supply had a little bit of a
23:37
Speaker 3: pullback and then started running again. Today we had our
23:40
Speaker 3: pullback right there in that zone. It's looking very close
23:44
Speaker 3: like the timeline to resurge is back upon us. I'm
23:49
Speaker 3: not saying follow the M two money supply perfectly, but
23:52
Speaker 3: what I am saying is, if you are a fan
23:54
Speaker 3: of it, whether we bottom out right here or we
23:56
Speaker 3: pull back a little bit further towards one hundred k
23:58
Speaker 3: M too, money supply is telling us Bitcoin and crypto
24:02
Speaker 3: is about to make another run of its own. This
24:05
Speaker 3: is a chart with a lot of historical accuracy in
24:08
Speaker 3: predicting which way the markets you're about to go. I
24:11
Speaker 3: would tell everyone, don't sleep on this chart. Don't sleep
24:13
Speaker 3: on this analysis. Bitcoin's going to go up eventually here
24:16
Speaker 3: in the next couple of days or weeks.
24:17
Speaker 1: Well, and you've got to look at I think just
24:19
Speaker 1: liquidity in general as it does start to shift away
24:22
Speaker 1: as we see deals being made, whether it's through the
24:25
Speaker 1: tariff situation or we see the Chennue bond market kind
24:27
Speaker 1: of adjust, meaning a softer dollar, stronger digital assets that
24:33
Speaker 1: of course ties into liquidity coming into the market. Hey, listen,
24:36
Speaker 1: we got to talk about a touchy point and that
24:39
Speaker 1: is chain Link, because I know you're a lover of
24:43
Speaker 1: chain Link. Chain Link had a big, a big snafu
24:46
Speaker 1: and many of you guys we reported on all last week,
24:48
Speaker 1: but the big point was a lot disappeared off of
24:52
Speaker 1: an oracle, and this is one of the things that
24:55
Speaker 1: many people are questioning now around chain Link is does
25:01
Speaker 1: this really kind of hurt their legacy going forward? Tim,
25:04
Speaker 1: what is your feeling about this on chain Link? Give
25:07
Speaker 1: me the rundown.
25:09
Speaker 3: Yeah, So, I'm not losing any sleep, I'm not losing
25:14
Speaker 3: any momentum here. When it comes to chain Link as
25:17
Speaker 3: a whole, I'm still very bullish on it. And this
25:20
Speaker 3: is one deal and I thought, I said five hundred
25:22
Speaker 3: thousand was removed and I'm not going to act like
25:24
Speaker 3: five hundred thousand is nothing. I would love to have
25:26
Speaker 3: five hundred thousand dollars of crypto to lose like that
25:29
Speaker 3: in a heartbeat. But let's not pretend that that's an
25:33
Speaker 3: astronomical number when it comes to these cryptocurrencies. We're talking
25:38
Speaker 3: about a market cap still of multiple billions. And while
25:41
Speaker 3: we have seen I'm going to clean up my chart
25:43
Speaker 3: here for a second so I can show it. While
25:44
Speaker 3: we have seen chane Link bleed back down, so is
25:47
Speaker 3: a lot of the rest of the alcorn space. Like
25:49
Speaker 3: I said, I mean, ethereum is not bleeding back down,
25:51
Speaker 3: but everything in crypto came back down. We're pretty much
25:56
Speaker 3: sitting right on some major support right now with chain Link.
25:58
Speaker 3: That is not crazy. I mean these are by singles
26:01
Speaker 3: I put in weeks ago looking for a pullback, FIRSTUS sixteen,
26:04
Speaker 3: then to fifteen, and then we bought some more here
26:07
Speaker 3: at fourteen thirty nine. Again, was that the exact bottom. No,
26:09
Speaker 3: it wasn't. But I was predicting a pullback like this
26:12
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago before this news happened. If
26:16
Speaker 3: this news was really detrimental, I believe we would see
26:19
Speaker 3: chain Link actually collapsing a whole lot further to the downside.
26:22
Speaker 3: But on the instead, I see this actually as a
26:25
Speaker 3: catalyst that's going to allow the fud or the people
26:29
Speaker 3: with wee cands to get out of chain Link, the
26:30
Speaker 3: whales and institutions to buy it more of it. One
26:33
Speaker 3: deal not being made doesn't kill everything else that chane
26:35
Speaker 3: Link is doing. And until I hear the likes of
26:38
Speaker 3: Blackrock and others who have vouched for chain links say up,
26:42
Speaker 3: never mind, this oracle stinks, We're not using it, I'm
26:45
Speaker 3: a continue to be bullish. By the way, we're starting
26:47
Speaker 3: to trickle in with some major BI singles daily chart,
26:50
Speaker 3: twelve hour chart. These are all giving us that loads,
26:52
Speaker 3: giving us some major BI singgnals. We're still under a
26:55
Speaker 3: longer term weekly buy signal here with targets to the
26:58
Speaker 3: upside of at minimum back up towards twenty four dollars
27:02
Speaker 3: at maximum forty dollars in the next couple of months.
27:06
Speaker 3: So until I start to see some major sharts moving,
27:09
Speaker 3: a news coming out saying that chane Link is done,
27:12
Speaker 3: it's not gonna make it, I still am a big
27:15
Speaker 3: believer in shane Link having their hand in almost everyone's
27:17
Speaker 3: cookie jar. At the moment, this is fun and it's
27:20
Speaker 3: it's it's doing what it's supposed to do by making
27:22
Speaker 3: people think it's time to sell it. Chain Link right
27:25
Speaker 3: before a massive rally.
27:26
Speaker 1: Well, and that's that's an interesting point too, because you
27:30
Speaker 1: it's good first of all that you're very convicted about
27:32
Speaker 1: the topic, because I think the projects in many cases,
27:35
Speaker 1: if you've got a lot of paper hands in some
27:37
Speaker 1: of these, it really does cause a bit of a
27:39
Speaker 1: problem in the market itself. But to your point, you know,
27:42
Speaker 1: chain Link has not had this happen before. Almost every
27:44
Speaker 1: chain out there has had some sort of you know,
27:47
Speaker 1: debacle like these.
27:48
Speaker 2: Let me flip over to Hype. Could Hype reach fifty?
27:52
Speaker 2: That is the question.
27:54
Speaker 1: May this token posted about an eighty percent rally? We've
27:57
Speaker 1: seen that high of about forty bucks, it pulled back
27:59
Speaker 1: down to thirty when you look at Hype right now,
28:02
Speaker 1: hyper liquid For some of you guys have never seen
28:04
Speaker 1: this token before, Well, first of all, do you like
28:07
Speaker 1: a trade on Hype right now? Would you go into
28:10
Speaker 1: it at its current price?
28:11
Speaker 2: Yeah?
28:12
Speaker 3: I have never traded Hype. So I'm about to look
28:14
Speaker 3: up some stuff here quickly. But let's take a look
28:17
Speaker 3: at the charts. I mean, this is ultimately I'm gonna
28:19
Speaker 3: try to do some fly by two minute technical analysis here.
28:23
Speaker 3: I'm gonna start with just taking a look at the
28:25
Speaker 3: macro perspective. We haven't broken new all time highs from
28:28
Speaker 3: the creation back in December of twenty fourth, but we've
28:30
Speaker 3: made some big moves here. It's had a phenomenal run
28:33
Speaker 3: since the bottom back in April. That's a very good side,
28:36
Speaker 3: a lot of momentum, lots of conviction. I would say, yeah,
28:40
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna learn a lot from the weekly chart
28:42
Speaker 3: necessarily other than it's a little over extend. Let's go
28:44
Speaker 3: down the daily chart here. This will give me a
28:46
Speaker 3: little bit more to work with. Here you go, you
28:48
Speaker 3: had a daily cell signal, red reversal, barish menium negative
28:51
Speaker 3: money flow. The RSI was dramatically overextended. The MACD needed
28:54
Speaker 3: to cross the barrish. What's the target though, the target's
28:57
Speaker 3: the daily smart trail. We didn't quite touch it, but
29:00
Speaker 3: I would say that's close enough for government work. The
29:02
Speaker 3: fact that we're getting a nice little bounce here again
29:05
Speaker 3: and that money flow is storry to come back in.
29:09
Speaker 3: This isn't anofficial bisgnal because we never got a green reversal,
29:12
Speaker 3: but we never needed one because the oscillators really didn't
29:14
Speaker 3: drop down that far. At the very least, what I
29:17
Speaker 3: see happening here is a move back up towards new
29:21
Speaker 3: highs forty two to fifty dollars, and then you're gonna
29:24
Speaker 3: be on watch for bearish divergence. This is where your
29:27
Speaker 3: RSI put your price action puts in a higher high,
29:30
Speaker 3: but the RSI maybe puts in a lower high. You
29:33
Speaker 3: get some bearish divergence there. That's an ugly line. So
29:36
Speaker 3: let me redraw that bearish divergence right here with a
29:38
Speaker 3: higher price action, and then you have your actual stronger correction.
29:42
Speaker 3: But for lack, I'm not a pun guy, but hype's
29:46
Speaker 3: got a lot of hype right now. You don't bet
29:49
Speaker 3: against the trend, and I'm not seeing there be any
29:52
Speaker 3: evidence to say that the trend is coming to an ends. Yes,
29:55
Speaker 3: yet the trend's very bullish. I would keep looking for
29:59
Speaker 3: higher upside forty two fifty dollars to be a target
30:01
Speaker 3: to watch out for.
30:02
Speaker 1: All right, So keep an eye on that one, guys.
30:04
Speaker 1: Some people are looking at being it being the soul
30:07
Speaker 1: of this run. If that were to happen, interesting we could.
30:11
Speaker 2: See up to well.
30:12
Speaker 1: In this particular analysis, he calculated it the soul's market cap,
30:15
Speaker 1: which would take it out around seven x in terms
30:17
Speaker 1: of gains from where it is. So I don't know
30:20
Speaker 1: this is it's one to tell because it is and
30:22
Speaker 1: has come out of I won't say out of nowhere,
30:25
Speaker 1: but it did accelerate very similar to Soul in its
30:28
Speaker 1: early stage, so it'll be fun to watch. Avalanche is
30:32
Speaker 1: one that we've stuck around with for a very long time.
30:35
Speaker 1: It has been another slow mover similar to Eth, you know,
30:38
Speaker 1: hovering around that twenty to twenty five dollars range. But
30:42
Speaker 1: something has changed, and that is these l ones. Look
30:45
Speaker 1: at that absolute blast off in terms of l ones
30:48
Speaker 1: coming in all index now, monthly transaction counts starting to explode.
30:52
Speaker 1: This means revenue. What does this look like for Avalanche
30:55
Speaker 1: the token where it's trading right now? Do we have
30:58
Speaker 1: a window here tim or we could see an explosion coming.
31:03
Speaker 3: You know, as possible. I think people are getting sick
31:05
Speaker 3: of me talking about real world asset plays. We haven't
31:08
Speaker 3: had the catalyst come in. We just talked about chain Link.
31:10
Speaker 3: I don't know if there's on the menu, but Onto.
31:12
Speaker 3: People are complaining about Onto right now. So many fundamental
31:15
Speaker 3: reasons to explode. These are all three of these, chain Link, avax, Onto,
31:19
Speaker 3: all real world asset plays. But it's another reason to
31:21
Speaker 3: be confident right now is with chain link falling, avax
31:24
Speaker 3: chart I'll show you is not necessarily that impressive. It's
31:27
Speaker 3: because it's not yet time for the real world assets
31:30
Speaker 3: to go crazy explosive. Some people look at that as
31:33
Speaker 3: a bad thing. I see as a very good thing.
31:35
Speaker 3: Once again, like a lot of other things I've showed you,
31:38
Speaker 3: there was a cell signal on the daily chart, we
31:40
Speaker 3: came back down loloic or rebounced off the daily smart trail,
31:43
Speaker 3: just like a lot of other things. But guess what,
31:45
Speaker 3: just like some other coins as well, that lux Ago
31:48
Speaker 3: oscillator green niversal bullshamentum positive money flow coming in here
31:52
Speaker 3: on avax I would give it a short term target
31:55
Speaker 3: of at least twenty six dollars back up these highs,
31:58
Speaker 3: maybe the next couple of weeks up to thirty one.
32:01
Speaker 3: This is the one though, that I'm watching. If the
32:03
Speaker 3: weekly chart, and again we're under bullish signals here. We
32:06
Speaker 3: have no official seal signal even though there's some negative
32:08
Speaker 3: money flow right there. The flow is bullish on the
32:11
Speaker 3: weekly chart. That one's giving us targets back up to
32:13
Speaker 3: forty dollars. And if we start to expand and go
32:16
Speaker 3: explosive like we could under a massive bull run. You
32:20
Speaker 3: know you're starting off with just talking about getting back
32:22
Speaker 3: up not I say backup? Yeah, okay, we were back
32:24
Speaker 3: up here in twenty one, back up towards one hundred
32:27
Speaker 3: dollars ninety dollars in this cloud, I still believe AVAS
32:30
Speaker 3: from a market cap perspective, could end up sitting summer
32:33
Speaker 3: in one hundred to two hundred dollars. Let's start off
32:36
Speaker 3: by just getting back up above thirty. Then let's worry
32:38
Speaker 3: about getting above fifty. But again, one hundred and two
32:41
Speaker 3: hundred dollars still in the works for AVAX, and we're
32:44
Speaker 3: getting the buy signals to kind of get some of
32:46
Speaker 3: those results. It's just about, hey, we need the actual
32:49
Speaker 3: catalyst to launch. What is that catalyst gonna be? In
32:52
Speaker 3: my personal opinion, it's gonna be regulatory clarity. As soon
32:55
Speaker 3: as it's clear how we can utilize all coins. Watch
32:58
Speaker 3: the institutions who want to tokenize their assets go crazy
33:02
Speaker 3: in the real world asset space, think the Avax, think Gondo,
33:06
Speaker 3: think shame Link. We're very far away from a bear
33:09
Speaker 3: market for those. We have a lot of room coming
33:11
Speaker 3: still hold on by dips. If anything, these might still
33:14
Speaker 3: be the the real asset plays might be the best
33:16
Speaker 3: opportunities still to buy low and have massive tert Yeah.
33:20
Speaker 1: Well, and you look at the ecosystem around Avalanche, much
33:24
Speaker 1: of that could come in from the meme cycle. You
33:27
Speaker 1: look at ket the kind of growth that's had since January.
33:30
Speaker 1: I mean it's up nine thousand percent. So there's a
33:32
Speaker 1: lot of potentials where people could recoil out of some
33:35
Speaker 1: of these meme projects back into the core token, meaning Avalanche.
33:39
Speaker 1: But to support it just from a trading standpoint, obviously,
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Speaker 1: the more strategic model is to play into the RWA's
33:46
Speaker 1: and how this starts to set up on the institutional
33:49
Speaker 1: side of things.
33:50
Speaker 2: So this is another token.
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Speaker 1: We'll keep a very close eye on. Of course, Tim
33:54
Speaker 1: and I will come back to you guys. We'll do
33:56
Speaker 1: some more breakdowns of more tokens in our next show.
33:59
Speaker 1: Tis love for coming in today.
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Speaker 2: We appreciate it absolutely.
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Speaker 3: Thanks for having me again. I'll see you again soon.
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Speaker 2: All right. Take care.
34:06
Speaker 1: If you guys are not in the Diamond circle, jump
34:08
Speaker 1: in right now. It's a free place where you get
34:10
Speaker 1: additional content from us. Also, you can catch me out
34:12
Speaker 1: there on Twitter, which is just at Paul Baron. We'll
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Speaker 1: catch you next time, right here on Techpath