Latest / The Front / Inside Ukraine’s fight for the next generation
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: From The Australian, here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, September 29, 2026. In Ukraine, winter is coming
- 0:14Speaker 1: and that means 14 hours of darkness each night, temperatures
- 0:18Speaker 1: of minus 20 Celsius, bitter snows and frozen rivers. As
- 0:23Speaker 1: we approach five years of Vladimir Putin's relentless so-called special
- 0:27Speaker 1: military operations, Today we're asking, can Ukraine and her 37
- 0:32Speaker 1: million people last another winter? And will Australia's latest commitment
- 0:38Speaker 1: make any real difference? That's today's story.
- 0:40Speaker 2: I think Russia thought it could just steamroll through in
- 0:56Speaker 2: a matter of weeks. And what we have found is
- 1:00Speaker 2: that the people of Ukraine were underestimated and their commitment.
- 1:05Speaker 3: So it's my friend.
- 1:09Speaker 1: With that, a tearful Anthony Albanese hugged Ukraine's President Volodymyr
- 1:14Speaker 1: Zelensky in New York last week, signing a 10-year bilateral
- 1:17Speaker 1: security agreement with $ 60 million in new contributions to bring
- 1:22Speaker 1: Australia's total commitment to $ 1. 9 billion over the past five years.
- 1:27Speaker 1: That's been mainly in the form of Australian Defence Force gear,
- 1:31Speaker 1: Bushmaster vehicles, tanks, drones and humanitarian assistance. The M1A1 Abrams
- 1:38Speaker 1: model has been Australia's tank of choice for nearly two decades.
- 1:42Speaker 1: I can't think of a more suitable tank for the
- 1:44Speaker 1: sort of conflict they're engaging in. These tanks are in
- 1:48Speaker 1: good condition. They will be able to make a significant
- 1:52Speaker 1: difference on the battlefield. Ukraine wants more, specifically helicopters and
- 1:58Speaker 1: fighter jets, but Australia hasn't yet committed those. And the
- 2:01Speaker 1: real battleground this winter is the energy grid. Russia has
- 2:05Speaker 1: scaled up its missile and drone attacks on Ukraine's power
- 2:09Speaker 1: plants and gas supply networks as Ukraine fires back on
- 2:13Speaker 1: Russia's oil refineries. Ukraine has also developed networks of underground
- 2:17Speaker 1: emergency shelters, headed by gas, but it's desperate to secure
- 2:22Speaker 1: more supply from Europe. At the same time, European countries
- 2:26Speaker 1: are warning their citizens to reduce demand as much as possible,
- 2:30Speaker 1: given the global resources squeeze caused by the Middle East crisis.
- 2:36Speaker 3: They will survive because we've seen them survive horrendous winters
- 2:41Speaker 3: in the last couple of years.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Jacqueline Magne is The Australian's Europe correspondent.
- 2:48Speaker 3: This is straight out of Russia's playbook to attack the
- 2:52Speaker 3: energy sources and to try and make life as uncomfortable
- 2:55Speaker 3: as possible for the Ukrainians and to try and break them. Now,
- 2:59Speaker 3: they haven't done that so far. I don't expect that
- 3:02Speaker 3: this winter they will do the same either. Of course,
- 3:05Speaker 3: during winter, the fighting becomes this incredible stalemate, a trench
- 3:09Speaker 3: warfare situation. where the fighting is conducted via drones. It's
- 3:14Speaker 3: all in the air by fighters directing drones against each other,
- 3:20Speaker 3: counter drones, and using drones to drop off equipment and supplies,
- 3:25Speaker 3: blood supplies, medical equipment. And so the warfare has changed,
- 3:31Speaker 3: but those that are conducting the warfare can be in
- 3:35Speaker 3: relative warmth, at least inside somewhere. So they're not exposed
- 3:40Speaker 3: to the elements in what we may normally think a
- 3:43Speaker 3: fighting campaign might be.
- 3:47Speaker 1: One of the hidden parts of this war has been
- 3:49Speaker 1: Ukraine's missing children. There are estimates that 20,000 Ukrainian children
- 3:54Speaker 1: have been lost behind Russian lines since Russia occupied Crimea
- 3:59Speaker 1: in the south in 2014. Why would Russia want to
- 4:03Speaker 1: take those children back to the motherland?
- 4:06Speaker 3: Well, I spoke to this charity organisation called Save Ukraine.
- 4:11Speaker 3: Mykola Kaliba, who is the head of this organisation, he
- 4:14Speaker 3: founded it. He's actually a Nobel Prize nominee this year
- 4:17Speaker 3: because of his work trying to rescue the children. He
- 4:22Speaker 3: has identified that initially the work was getting children out
- 4:27Speaker 3: in the chaos of war when it first started and
- 4:29Speaker 3: over more than 150,000 families, children, people were helped to
- 4:34Speaker 3: relocate out of the war zone. But those that remained,
- 4:38Speaker 3: and he thought there's about 30% of families stayed in
- 4:43Speaker 3: the Donbass area and also in Crimea, and that's the
- 4:46Speaker 3: areas occupied by Russia. And now they've, over the last
- 4:50Speaker 3: four years, been trying to get those children who want
- 4:53Speaker 3: to leave out of those occupied areas. Now, initially they
- 4:58Speaker 3: did want to leave, but in the years since they've
- 5:00Speaker 3: been bombarded with Russian propaganda and They are in Russian schools,
- 5:05Speaker 3: Russian culture. They go to a Russian military academy at
- 5:08Speaker 3: the age of 14. They have no VPNs. So they
- 5:12Speaker 3: say it's like behind the Berlin Wall. They cannot get
- 5:16Speaker 3: current accurate information about what's going on. So all they
- 5:20Speaker 3: can believe is what the Russians have been telling them.
- 5:24Speaker 3: And these children are now of an age where they're
- 5:27Speaker 3: being conscripted to the Russian army. And so this rescue
- 5:31Speaker 3: mission has changed from trying to extract children, vulnerable children
- 5:36Speaker 3: out of Ukraine to now helping those children who are
- 5:40Speaker 3: being conscripted into the Russian army that don't want to
- 5:43Speaker 3: be conscripted and don't want to fight for Russia and
- 5:46Speaker 3: enabling them to be able to get through the border
- 5:49Speaker 3: and into a safe country. And there's many ways they
- 5:53Speaker 3: do it. They look at various different situations, whether they're orphans,
- 5:57Speaker 3: whether their parents are in the Ukraine army, whether They've
- 6:00Speaker 3: got family. Every situation is different, but they all involve
- 6:04Speaker 3: having to cross the Russian checkpoint. And that, of course,
- 6:07Speaker 3: is the most vulnerable time because one in seven don't
- 6:10Speaker 3: get through. And they have to come up with some
- 6:12Speaker 3: very creative reasons and backstories as to why they need
- 6:16Speaker 3: to leave Russia. But they're managing to get, you know,
- 6:19Speaker 3: in the last three months, they got 130 children out.
- 6:23Speaker 3: So their work is continuing, but it has evolved.
- 6:26Speaker 1: Is the point of that, I suppose, abduction of children
- 6:29Speaker 1: from Ukraine, is it kind of ethnic cleansing or is
- 6:33Speaker 1: it about recruiting the next generation of Russian kind of
- 6:36Speaker 1: acolytes and bringing them over onto Russia's side or is
- 6:39Speaker 1: it something else?
- 6:40Speaker 3: Well, I think it's both. It is a definite strategy
- 6:43Speaker 3: by Russia because we've seen them do this over several
- 6:47Speaker 3: years now. The propaganda, it's a battle for the hearts
- 6:50Speaker 3: and minds of a generation. And if they can convince
- 6:54Speaker 3: the local population where they're fighting to that they are
- 6:57Speaker 3: Russian and not Ukrainian, then half the battle is won,
- 7:01Speaker 3: isn't it? Because that territory is held by Russians. Russia
- 7:05Speaker 3: has been doing this for some time now. Not only
- 7:08Speaker 3: do they, you know, the hearts and minds of the locals,
- 7:12Speaker 3: if they're won over or they're unable to express any
- 7:15Speaker 3: support or sympathy for Ukraine, Russia is also bringing in Russians.
- 7:21Speaker 3: A lot of Chechnyans are in Mariupol, for instance. Russians
- 7:25Speaker 3: are provided with free or very discounted housing in the
- 7:29Speaker 3: occupied areas. So Russia is trying to flood the occupied
- 7:33Speaker 3: areas with Russian locals, as well as also having a
- 7:38Speaker 3: generation of young former Ukrainian or current Ukrainian, but very
- 7:43Speaker 3: reluctant Russians to become fodder in the war. Of course,
- 7:49Speaker 3: it's a shocking situation. But it's been going on for
- 7:52Speaker 3: many years now and obviously this is the whole heart
- 7:55Speaker 3: of the war, isn't it, you know, to what does
- 7:58Speaker 3: the next generation of people living in that area want?
- 8:02Speaker 3: And Russia wants them to be Russian and they're doing
- 8:04Speaker 3: everything in their power to do that.
- 8:12Speaker 1: Music Coming up, more of my conversation with Jacqueline Magne.
- 8:17Speaker 1: Music You've been with Ukrainian troops as they're being trained
- 8:37Speaker 1: in places like Poland and the United Kingdom. Tell me
- 8:41Speaker 1: what that's like and what sort of people are they?
- 8:44Speaker 3: Well, they're very friendly. They're very appreciative of the skills
- 8:49Speaker 3: that they're being given and that other countries, they take
- 8:53Speaker 3: a lot of solace from the fact that Australians from
- 8:56Speaker 3: so far away are willing to train them and become
- 9:00Speaker 3: involved in their fight. They really take heart from that. Interestingly,
- 9:04Speaker 3: one of the instructors that I spoke to at the
- 9:06Speaker 3: last time where I was in a camp in Poland
- 9:09Speaker 3: where Australia was helping to train them alongside Nordic countries
- 9:13Speaker 3: and the Americans said to me, you know, he has
- 9:16Speaker 3: fond memories of Australia because he was in a Bushmaster
- 9:21Speaker 3: on the front lines. And so it had a little
- 9:24Speaker 3: kangaroo on the side. And so he had this picture
- 9:27Speaker 3: that he showed me of the Bushmaster with the kangaroo
- 9:30Speaker 3: and himself standing very proudly beside it. And he had
- 9:33Speaker 3: that picture in his wallet. So Australia is having an impact,
- 9:38Speaker 3: even though we think we're so far away from the conflict.
- 9:43Speaker 3: In many ways, we're not.
- 9:45Speaker 1: Yeah, we've contributed really practical assistance in the form of
- 9:48Speaker 1: those bushmasters and armoured personnel carriers. We haven't given Ukraine
- 9:51Speaker 1: everything they've wanted, though. Do you think Australia has done enough?
- 9:56Speaker 3: Australia has given $ 1. 9 billion. now. The latest tranche was
- 10:01Speaker 3: a 60 million pound pledge and a lot of that
- 10:05Speaker 3: goes into what's called Pearl and that's a collective fund
- 10:09Speaker 3: by the Western countries where they have, Ukraine has a
- 10:13Speaker 3: wish list of items that they want to to purchase
- 10:20Speaker 3: these items or to have these items donated. So Australia
- 10:26Speaker 3: is contributing in a very practical way because they are
- 10:29Speaker 3: part of this scheme. And so therefore, those items are
- 10:32Speaker 3: the ones that the Ukraine have identified as being the
- 10:36Speaker 3: most valuable. Of course, Ukraine would say, please give us more. And,
- 10:41Speaker 3: you know, the UK has given £ 25 billion, which is
- 10:44Speaker 3: $ 50 billion Australian. So Australia's $ 1. 9 billion in comparison. You
- 10:56Speaker 3: can see the difference there.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Do you think Vladimir Putin thinks that he's winning this war?
- 11:06Speaker 3: I don't think he thinks he's winning it. I think
- 11:09Speaker 3: certainly this battle has gone on far, far longer than
- 11:12Speaker 3: what he expected. And we've just seen in the recent
- 11:15Speaker 3: elections he's just been given confirmation of his power. So
- 11:20Speaker 3: he doesn't think that that war has harmed him in
- 11:23Speaker 3: any way politically. But of course, he has millions of people,
- 11:27Speaker 3: he's just drafting in more and more and more. And
- 11:30Speaker 3: I think he's trying to wear down Ukraine. But Ukraine
- 11:33Speaker 3: has been so steadfast and so determined that people I'm
- 11:38Speaker 3: speaking to involved in the military areas, the operations, Ukraine
- 11:45Speaker 3: are now a little bit concerned about as well that
- 11:48Speaker 3: when the war finishes and hopefully that's as soon as
- 11:51Speaker 3: possible that they will have a generation of battle-hardened young
- 11:58Speaker 3: people and they're really worried how does the country come
- 12:03Speaker 3: back from that how do you deal with all of
- 12:06Speaker 3: these people and who for most of their young lives
- 12:10Speaker 3: have been fighting and involved in just dreadful warfare and
- 12:13Speaker 3: seen dreadful things. How does the country actually cope and
- 12:18Speaker 3: deal with that? And that's something people are already looking
- 12:21Speaker 3: at and trying to work out what they're going to do.
- 12:26Speaker 1: Jacqueline Magne, thank you very much.
- 12:27Speaker 3: Thank you.
- 12:31Speaker 1: Jacqueline Magne is The Australian's Europe correspondent.