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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Thursday 1/22/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: My browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch Haape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Everybody is sewed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: is Thursday in January twenty second.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: I think that's what it is. I don't know.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: We had a pretty good day on the show yesterday,
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: either five one and two I think, or or.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Five two and one I guess, depending on what number
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: you got on Fordham. So like Texas got the cover there.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: They did not win out right, but they got the cover,
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: so Texas was a win Fordham.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Like.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: Right after I did the show, I updated the show
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: description because I found a five when I was putting
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: it in to the system. So I did get a
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: push with mine on the Fordham one, but that was
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: a brutal, brutal loss if you took a loss on it.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: A push was bad enough on that Fordham was definitely
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: the right side in that game. I don't know if
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: anybody actually paid attention to that game. They're winning the
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: game outright with like ten minutes left, and the only
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: reason they lost that game at all was a massive
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: free throw to severity.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: In the game, they were not getting any of the calls.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: The calls completely went against them, and then they wound
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: up losing by exactly five brutal. If you had the
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: four and a half, I would have been, I don't know,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: perhaps ending at all. If I was, yeah, if I
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: had a play on the four and a half and
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: that one East Carol line, it was garbage. That was
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: the one huge loser in college basketball. Fresno. They got
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: in the back door. Baby Fresno looked like it wasn't
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: gonna happen. They were, you know, they were still in
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: range to maybe cover that thing, and then they actually did.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know how they did it, because I checked
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: back like a little while later, I was like, oh
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: my god, they actually covered.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: I think they lost by nine or something.
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: So Fresno stayed in there, and then if anybody stayed
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: up for the degenerate Special that didn't end until like probably.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: One one thirty am.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Eastern Northwestern got the outright win against USC so that
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: was a nice winner as well. Hockey Utah Utah saved
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: our ass Uh. That wound up being a push with
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: the recommendation that I have with the split puck line
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: money line, so hopefully people at least did it that way.
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: But Utah was looking like they were dead in that game.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: The game was pretty close statistically, but Utah was down
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: four to two in the third period and then they
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: made it four to three and I'm like, don't tease me, like,
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: come on, and then they tied it with I don't
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: even know they tied it probably with seven seconds left.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Send it into overtime in one and overtime, all right,
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: the Mammoth. I'll take that, because the Mammoth were the
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: team that was on the wrong side of one that
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: was like that against Anaheim earlier this year if you
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: remember that or late last year, I guess at this
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: point if you remember that, when Anaheim scored on them
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: with like four seconds left to send it into overtime,
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: that really really pissed me off.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: NBA.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: We went two and zero. We got the Cleveland Cavs. Dude,
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: that game, I don't know how the final score was
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: anywhere near as close as it was. Cleveland was running
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: away with that game. They were up like twenty eight
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: points in the middle of the game, I'm like, all right, well,
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: this is.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: An easy win for Cleveland.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: Then fourth quarter Charlotte somehow cut the game all the
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: way to four.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, Cleveland still did not surrender the cover, and
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: they wound up winning by seven. But how can you
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: be up like almost thirty points more than like midway
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: through the game and almost lose the game.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense. But they did cover still,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: and then the New Orleans Pelicans. There we go, baby Nola.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: I got my Zion jersey here.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: I'm not a Zionist except when I'm a fan of
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Zion Williamson. I like these alternate New Orleans jerseys, by
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: the way, whatever they were, the City connect whatever from
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: a year or two ago. New Orleans got the cover.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: They lost by I don't know, nine maybe, so if
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: you got the plus ten, you got it. It was
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: up to eleven, like I said, it was up to
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: eleven when I was doing the show, so I should
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: have updated the banner for that. But they covered either way,
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: So we got the cover with the Pelicans on that one.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: So good. They were losing by more.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Than that and they got to within the numbers. So
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: Pelican's treating me well, Tyson?
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: What's up? Thanks for hanging out, Jeffrey, what's up? Kyle?
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: What's up? Jaymaine? What's up? You don't believe? What? Who? Wait?
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: Who's sharp? What? I'm not sharp? Mister Pinsy? What's up? Tyson?
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: You like old Dominion today? I guess I'll talk about
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: that game City Connects. I don't. I don't like the
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: newer ones.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: Actually, I liked the twenty twenty three whatever twenty twenty four.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I have this one.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: I have a WEMBA Spurs one that's like.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: That Teal color.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: I got two Celtics ones with the Neon Green I
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: like Neon Green man. I got Pritchard one, and then
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: I have a better quality Tatum one, Bring back Tatum,
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: get him back.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I have those for the Celtics. And then I don't
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: know if I have any of the other City connect ones.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know. You guys just see me wearing a
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: couple other jerseys. I don't.
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I think the other ones I have might just be
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: normal NBA jerseys that I forget.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: Some of this.
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: Oh, I have a Charlotte Hornets City Connect When you guys,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: saw that, oh yesterday, Old Dominyon was correct. I wasn't
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: even paying attention. All right, well, let's let's do it.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Let's go to college basketball here. I don't want to
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: take up too much time here. Man, there's a lot
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: of college basketball, well kind of. It's a Thursday, so
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: it's an ugly card or ugly board Thursday. There's never
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: any big conference games, I don't think, so we do
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: have some noontime action with I mean, do you if
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: you want me to talk about these games? I guess,
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: But like you all Monroe at Marshall, I mean, this
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: is yeah, this is a real way to kick off.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: The slate here.
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: You on Monroe easily the worst team in the Sun Belt.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: They are absolutely atrocious. They just got blown out again
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: at home by Georgia State. I mean, I think at
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: least you probably know you're gonna at least get an
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: effort out of them, because it's gonna be embarrassing if
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: they don't win a game.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: At some point.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Marshall is coming off a pretty bad result of themselves.
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: They won barely against James Madison. This is not football,
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: So James Madison.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Not great at all this year.
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: So I'm assuming Marshall is a big favorite in this game,
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: and they barely got by let me see, six and
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: a half. Actually I expected that they were more of
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: a heavy favorite than that. But Marshall's staying at home.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: Off of that potentially a look ahead to South Alabama
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: because they are ahead of Marshall in the standing, So
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: that is the one concern there. I guess Marshall is
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: certainly the better team here. They're I guess a little
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: bit down from seventeen and a half to seventeen. Monroe
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of the tickets, sixty nine percent of
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. I mean again, at least you
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: know you're getting an effort out of them. I mean,
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: the question is, is Marshall really gonna be that incentivized
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: to blow this team out?
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, they might be able to just do it
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: without that big of an effort. To be honest, the
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: money is saying.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: You al Monroe.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: I might slightly disagree with that, although there is that
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: look ahead from Marshall, but I do not have a
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: strong opinion on that. But I do have a noontime
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: game for you. In the other one, I'm gonna I'm
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: gonna give you a play in this other game, best bets,
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: I have four college basketball players.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: The first one up.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I know this is really really, really ugly. This is
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: a low total as well, but we're gonna lay the points.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: With the Appalachian State minus eight and a half. You
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: might be able to get a better number on this.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Well, it looks like this is not gonna be a
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: game with public action really on it. Although actually, wait,
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: this is at six point thirty. No, it's a twelve.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: What the fuck, dude. I don't know what pregame is.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Doing here, but ESPN is saying this game is twelve,
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: So I'm going by that. We're laying the points here,
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the tickets ninety seven percent of the
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: cash on app State, so it looks like the money
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: is probably on the side. Even though they dropped from
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: nine and a half to eight and a half, I
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: think anywhere in that ballpark it's probably worth a play,
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: although I know the total is extremely low and won
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: twenty two and a half, but part of that is
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: that Louisiana cannot score. And Louisiana, I know, I gave
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: out a play on them not that long ago and
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: they covered for us, but.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Now we're gonna go against them.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: Louisiana just pulled off an upset at South Alabama and
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: that was on the heels of that cover that they
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: gave us in the game before that.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: But you look at how this game played out, I
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: don't know, man.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, Louisiana actually did have the leave for
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: most of the second half, and they somehow got out
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: of this game with a win. Very ugly, low scoring game.
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: But they were a big underdog in this game, for sure.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: They're nine and a half point underdogs in this game.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: And looking at how this game played out, statistically, Ceuthlabama
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: out rebounded them pretty significantly by double digits, and I
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: just I don't know how well I do know how.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: The only reason Louisiana won this game is because like
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of their attempts were from three point range.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: That's the only reason why.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: They jacked up threes all over the place, and they
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: hit enough of them to win the game.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: And that was it.
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Like they weren't taking any two pointers in the game.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: So three point shooting, I mean, there's a ton of
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: variants there. Louisiana, they take a ton of threes They're
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: not exactly good at hitting them, so I don't really
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: expect that to continue.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: This is a third straight road game for.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: Them app State. I mean, they don't look like a
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: team you really want to lay huge points with, but
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it here. App State is also coming
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: off a really ugly game against Old Dominion. App State
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: lost this game as seven and a half point favorites
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: at home, and Old Dominion just really had a great
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: shooting game. Forty eight percent from three was the real
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: difference in this game. Old Dominion shooting forty eight percent,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: and that was like the entire difference because app State
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: actually probably should.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Have won the game.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: They won the rebound battle, they had more field goal
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: attempts in the game, so it was a little bit
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: of a misleading result there. So I think you're gonna
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: see some regression in both directions here.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: I like this. You get a favorite that's coming.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: You get the better team coming off a bad performance,
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: which means they're probably gonna be focused. You got the
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: uglier team coming off an upset win, which might mean
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: they might be a little bit in letdown spot.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: App State does not have a bigger game up next.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: They play you on Monroe.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Which is even worse.
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: And then if we consult ken Palm on this, he
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: does have app State is a little bit lucky.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: He has them, you know, just not a great team whatever.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: That's kind of expected to twenty sixth overall, fairly balanced offense, defense,
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: They're a little bit better defensively. They play really really slow,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: which I know is not really conducive to laying points,
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: so though at least we're not laying double digits here,
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: but Luisi is terrible. He's got them at three twenty second.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: He has them one of the worst offenses in all
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: of college basketball, like sixteenth worst. They're okay defensively, they
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: do play slow as well, so yeah, you know it's
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: gonna be a slowish, somewhat defensive game. But I think
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Louisiana might really struggle to score in this one. If
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: you wanted to go Louisiana under their team total, I
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: wouldn't hate that either. And Louisiana actually is not that
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: low in the luck index either. But I believe ken
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: Bum has this number at about nine, so I like it.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: App State is the first play in that one in
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: the market. Seems like it is kind of agreeing with that,
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: So I'm going against sometimes what I usually do, or
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: I don't like to lay big favorites with a small
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: total like that, but I'm doing it there. On one PM,
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: we have a Sun action between Stetson and Lipscomb. Stetson
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: is coming off losing to Queens in a pretty close game.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Queen's is still.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: At the top of the asun of the not as
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: good as Austin p or Lipscomb, but they happen to
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: be atop the a Sun right now due to some
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: lockanded because I think they've avoided.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: Those other teams so far. I believe Stetson.
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: The really interesting thing about this game is yet they're
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: coming on a pretty big game against Queens.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go on the road to Lipscomb.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: But Stetson actually beat Lipscomb at home earlier this year,
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: and that is Lipscomb's only conference loss, so you know
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: Lipscomb should be focused. I like using that angle where
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: you have a one loss conference team and they're playing
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: that team again for the second time, like you pretty
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: much know they're gonna come in with some effort because
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: they know this is the only team that beat us.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: So Lipscomb should.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: Be focused on this game for that reason, but I
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: worry because they did just beat Austin P in a
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: pretty close game, and Austin P is really their actual competition,
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: I think, to try to win the.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: A Sun so that was a big game as well.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: So I think I just have to stay away from
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: this one, though I would I'd lean towards laying the
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: points with Lipscomb here they're up to fifteen and a
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: half with juice, but the game is going to be
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: a stay away from me. And then on the other
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: end of that we have Florida Gulf Coast at Austin P.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: Florida Golf Coast just ended a losing streak by beating
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: West Georgia. Not an impressive win, but what that will
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: do is end their losing streak and now they'll have
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: some momentum coming in to face Austin P, which, by
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: the way, they already faced Austin P once and they
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: did lose at home, so there's a little bit of
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: a road revenge angle here. Or Florida Golf Coast might
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: be able to make the adjustments, whereas Austin P might
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: not take them seriously because Austin P did already beat
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: Florida Golf Coast once and Austin P is of course,
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: like I said, coming off that game against Lipscomb that
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: was their first conference loss. Austin P hadn't lost in
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: quite a while. They'd won seven games in a row.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: So I think it's kind of a double hangover spot
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: for Austin P. Where when you lose a game and
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: you haven't lost in a while, that can hang you over.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: But when it was a big game against against Lipscomb
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: and you played it really close, I think that also
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: is a cause for a hangover.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: So I like Florida Gulf Coast in this game.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: Austin P is up from four and a half to
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: five and a half here, but I lean against that
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: early move there. We don't see the percentages yet, But
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: I would take Florida Gulf Coast in that game if
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play it. But I am avoiding the game,
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: all right, And then I don't know, man, I mean
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: we do at six PM. I mean, I guess this
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: might actually be the best two teams in the American
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: East of Vermont and UMass Lowell. Vermont is the best
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: team in this conference. But it's like this conference is
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: awful dude, But Vermont is coming off a really bad
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: loss at Albany. All, but he's not very good. Well,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: I guess allmny's at least been okay in the conference
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: so far. But Vermont had actually started out conference play
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: with really really weak opponents and they lost to Albanie.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: It's still not a good loss. Vermont was road favored
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: in that one, so maybe they were looking ahead to
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: U mass Lowell. I don't know, but I think it
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit of a bounce back spot
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: for them. But U mass loll also might be in
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: one because they lost to NJIT after starting out with
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: three conference wins. NJIT is four and one in the conference.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: But they're fake. I'll tell you that right now.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: If you look at like Ken Bump's Power Raidings or whatever,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: NJIT is not anywhere close to the best team in
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: this conference. So they should fade. But that is an
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: ugly loss for U mass Lowell losing at home. Maybe
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: they were looking ahead to Vermont here. Vermont basically has
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: been the class of this conference here man. They seem
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: to win this conference every year except when Bryant joined
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: the conference and actually did it last year. Vermont is
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: probably gonna win it again this year, but they're down
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: from four and a half to four here. I think
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: both teams might be focused here, but I would probably
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: lean to UMass Lowell getting the points at home. UMass
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Lowell plays a lot better as a dog than a favorite,
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: so that's probably the way that I would lean in
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: that one, all right, And then we do have Albany
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: at Maine.
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: Albany coming up that.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: Big win over Vermont, I think they could be in
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: a bit of a letdown spot here man going to
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: Maine here, but I know Maine made the conference final
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: last year, so I'm wondering if there is any sort
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: of revenge angle here.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: There is not.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: I think Albany lost to Bryant in the tournament. It
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: looks like it's hard to tell because they're on they're
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: at like the actual sites of the higher seeds in
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: that tournament, so it doesn't like you don't get the
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: asterisk there that tells you it was a neutral site game,
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: which is how I kind of That's how.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: I kind of visualize, oh yeah, that was a tournament game.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: Conference tournament.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: But in some of these small conferences, they play at the.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Location of the higher seed.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: But Anyway, all many big win of Vermont Man could
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: be a letdown spot for them.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: They only have one road conference game so far. I
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: think it was a double digit loss HU Mass Lowell.
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: I know Maine is not as good as UMass Lowll.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Maine is awful again this year, but I would probably
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: have to.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Lean to Maine here.
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: Maine is at home coming of another ugly loss, losing
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: to New Hampshire at home. That's New Hampshire is not
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: good either, man, I mean, that's a bad loss. Albany
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: did go up from three to four here, but I
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: would disagree.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: With that move.
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with Maine in that game,
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: but not a strong opinion for me on that one.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: Horizon League has green Bay at Youngstown State. Green Bay
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: just lost after a pretty decent win streak, a five
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: game win streak.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: They just took a loss to Oakland.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: It was a blowout loss twenty five points at home.
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: So in a way, yeah, maybe they might bounce back
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: from that, but they could also be hung over because
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: you get up for a game against Oakland because they're
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: one of the better teams in this conference, and now
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: that might hang them over. Man, if we're losing that
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: win streak. Robert Morris as their next opponent. Robert Morris
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: won the conference last year, although they're not very good
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: this year, so I could see it being maybe a
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: little bit of a hang over for green Bay. Youngstown
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: is coming off the much uglier loss. I would say
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: losing at Cleveland State. Cleveland State is pretty ugly man,
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: and Youngstown lost that game, so they might be more
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: to bounce back mode at home. These college basketball teams
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: were turning home when they lost their last couple of
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: games at home.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: I think they want to get that win.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: You know, they've actually lost every conference home game so far,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: although they is kind of a trend.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Well, yeah, they haven't been.
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: As good at home, but all the losses were close,
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: and two of them are to Oakland and IPFW, and
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: those are two of the better teams in the conference.
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: So I expect a better performance out of Youngstown here.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: I'd probably lean to Youngstown in that game. They're actually
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: a six point favorite, but down from six and a half,
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: and the money looks like it's on green Bay, but.
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree.
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Fifty percent of the tickets eighty three percent of the
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on green Bay I don't really get it,
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: but if you look at the team's records too, it's like,
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: who's gonna lay six and a half with a nine
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: and eleven team that's to win seven in conference against
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: an eleven and nine team at six and three in conference? Right, Like,
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: the line makes absolutely no sense. And when the line
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: doesn't appear to make any sense, there's got to be
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: a reason for it. The oddsmakers are not just handing
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: you free money, you know what I mean. So that
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: makes me lean to Youngstown as well in that game.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what's going on with the market,
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: but I would prefer Youngstown in that game. South Florida
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: at UAB on ESPN two in the American Conference here,
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: South Florida just took a pretty ugly loss at home,
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: well not an ugly loss, but they did lose at
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: home to witch A Todde South Florida was like a
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorite in that game.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: That broke a winning streak for them.
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: But I think they might be in a bounced back
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: spot here, and they did already lose at home.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: To UAB in a.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Barn burner like multi overtime game where both teams scored
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: over one hundred, So South Florida might be in a
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: little bit of a revenge mood here because South Florida
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: must have been the favorite in that game. They're actually
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: favorite on the road here, so they must have been
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: a pretty big favorite in that game. South Florida is
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: actually the better team out of these two, even though
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: the record is actually worse. UAB just took a blowout
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: loss to Tulsa and they're staying at home off of that.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: But I think both teams are gonna be focused in
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: this game, and I actually prefer the road revenge angle.
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: Plus the fact of South Florida is actually the better
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: team and the line looks pretty fishy with South Florida
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: being a two point road favorite despite having the worst records.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: So I like South Florida in this game.
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: They're up from two to two with juice there. That
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: is the way that I would lean in that game.
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: All right, Fox Sports one, Actually there is one big
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: conference game, my apologies. There's a big ten game here
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: at seven pm Wisconsin at Penn State, so they get
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: a Thursday game for whatever reason. It's not a bad
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: spot for Wisconsin really though. They just beat Rutgers in
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: their last game. They've been fine on the road so
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: far in the conference as well. I mean, they beat
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Michigan on the road, so Wisconsin is not going to
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: be a tim go into Penn State. They got USC
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: on deck, not really caused for a look ahead. In
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: my opinion, Penn State is still gonna be really really
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: hungry for a win though. They're the only Big Ten
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: team without a conference win so far, and they're coming
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: up another just a really ugly loss at Maryland, and
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: they lost their last home game as well. Of course,
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: they haven't won yet at all. Penn State has been
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: okay at home. They only lost by eight to Illinois.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: They lost by two here to Michigan, and one of
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: our winners earlier this year on the show was or
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: maybe late last year I forget was they only lost
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: by four to Michigan State on this floor as well,
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: so Penn State has actually been better at home. They
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: are definitely gonna be desperate for a win here, So
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna disagree with taking the points with Penn
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: State in this one.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: That is probably the way that I would lean.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin is extremely public, ninety six percent of the tickets,
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: only ninety three percent of the cash, so they look
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: like one of the most public plays of the day,
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: especially because the public likes to go with these you know,
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: known quantities, the bigger games. Oh yeah, this game's on TV.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: It's a big ten game. They're gonna want some action.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: They're probably gonna play Wisconsin. Yeah, I would fade it
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play it, but I don't have
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion on it.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin dropped from six and a half to five and
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: a half on the line as well. Next game up,
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: I have a play in this one too, So next
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: game we're gonna go into the matt Ac where I'm
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: gonna go right back with Iona, who's been both good
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: and bad to me, and most recently bad to me.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna go on them again. We're gonna take
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: Iona on the money line here. I found them at
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: plus one hundred and even money out there because they're
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: actually a small favorite in this game. But the money
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: line up market seems preferable to me in this one,
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: of though, if you find a pick them at a
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: better price than the money line price, do that, obviously,
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: but look at the spread market, look at the money
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: line market. Find the best number you know what I mean, Like,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: if you find any money that's like minus one ten
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: or less, I.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Think that's the way that I would play it with Iona.
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: Iona has seventy percent of the tickets ninety one percent
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them here. And if you look
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: at this line, it looks a little bit misleading because
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: both teams have the same overall record. But Merrimack is
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: eight and one in conference and Iona's four and five.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: So who's gonna really want to play Iona here? And
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: if you look at the recent results, if the public
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: looks at this game, they're not gonna want Iona. But
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you, as I've been saying, I think
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Merrimack is fake. I don't think they're that good. I
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: think they're probably worse in this conference. They're probably worse
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: than Saint Peter's, Maris Quinnipiac Sianna. Obviously they're not worse
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: than Iona, because the oddsmakers are telling you they're not,
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: by Iona only being a very small favorite at home here.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: But Merrimack is not as good as their record looks. Man.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: They're probably the fourth or fifth best team in this conference.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: Merrimack is coming up a couple of huge wins they
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: beat Quinnipiac, who is one of the best teams in
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: the conference, and then they went on the road and
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: they've beaten Maris by double digits.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Huge win here.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Marius was a six and a half point favorite in
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: this game and Merrimack beat them. Another huge win here
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: for Merrin mack Man. So, I think their luck is
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: gonna run out. I think they're gonna something's gonna happen
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: here man where. Yeah, I think they're maybe gonna be
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: in a letdown here. Maris had a horrific shooting game
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: in this game. They shot thirty three percent from the field,
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: thirteen percent from three. Merrimack actually had eight more field
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: goal attempts in the game.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Merrimack won, excusing Maris.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Excusing Marist had eight more field goal attempts in the game.
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Maris won the rebound battle, and they still lost the game,
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: mostly because of the horrendous shooting performance from them, which
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: I think that's an outlier.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: You know, when you.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: See these unbelievably low shooting percentages, you gotta think there's
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: gonna be some regression progression here. I don't see Iona
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: being that inept shooting.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: So, yeah, one of the things I look at, obviously
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: is the rebounds, Like Maris out rebounded them, and that's
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: something gets more replicable. Although I know I Oonna is
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: not a very good rebounding team though. But Iona, on
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: the other hand, they're coming off another loss. They lost
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: at Saint Peter's. That was the loss that we took
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: on the show. I thought it was a good spot
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: to play Iona after their horrible game against Ryder, and
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: I thought Saint Peter's was in a bad spot.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: But now I.
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: Think this is where we want to do it, man,
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: even though I wanted to do it in the last
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: game too. But now Iona, on a two game losing streak,
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: took another ugly loss. If you look at that game
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: against Saint Peter's, Iona, I mean they shot fairly poorly
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: in the game. They were awful from the free throw line,
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: although they're not exactly a great free throw shooting team.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: They did get out rebounded, which is a concern. But
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's also, I don't know, they just outshot Iona.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: Iona had kind of an ugly shooting game thirty six percent.
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: That should I think have some positive regression back to
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: some sort of mean I own. I actually had more
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: possessions the game. They had more attempts, more field goal
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: attempts in the game, so the game probably should have
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: at least been closer than it was. But now they're
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: back at home. Like I said, Merrimack is not as
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: good as they look. Iona in conference is actually undefeated
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: at home. I believe they're three to zero. Although they
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: beat Niagara, that's an easy win. Canesius is actually not
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: that bad this year. In Iona blew them out and
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: they beat Sianna at home. That was a good win
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: against Sianna at home. So yeah, I like Iona man
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: for all these reasons. Then if we look at ken Palm,
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: it becomes more clear what we're doing here. He's got
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: Iona two hundred and thirty second, which obviously isn't good.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: Has them twenty ninth in Locke. I know that's not
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: good either.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: Iona is a very fast paced team, so we are
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: gonna have a pacing mismatch in this game where Merrimack
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: likes to slow the game way down, So Iona going
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: fast might throw Merrimack out of what they want to do.
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Iona is one of these weird teams where they are
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: actually better on defense than offense, even though they play fast.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean it certainly as possible. They don't
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: shoot that well again in this game. But I'm just
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: explaining why Merrimack won against Maris in that game. Now,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: if we look at Merrimack, though, Merrimack is ken Bump's
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: second luckiest team in the nation. Man, so Merrimack is
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: massively overperformed according to him. They're also really bad offensively.
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: They're better defensively than offensively. He's got Merrimack somewhat better
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: than Iona, but not by much, only by whatever that
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: is twenty three ranking spots or something like that, even
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: though he actually does have Merrimack being he has Merrimack
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: being the better offense slightly and the slightly worse defense.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: So interesting there. But Merrimack very very very lucky. So
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: that is one thing that I also like to fade
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: these teams that are unbelievably behind the luck index.
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: And I know we're looking at two lucky teams here,
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: but I still think Merrimac is kind of a fraud
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: in this conference. So's it's also a spot play. I
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: think it's a good spot as well. So I think
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: we have a lot of things coming together for this one.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Iona is the play in that one, all right, whoo man,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: who I'm tired?
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: All right? Also in that conference.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: A pretty good game actually Maris and Sianna, which is
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: only on ESPN Plus, but you might be able to
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: find a way to watch this game.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: This game is probably.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: Gonna be a pretty good game. Actually, there's a competitive line.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Both teams are pretty similar in records, same conference record.
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: Now Maris, I could see this going two ways because
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: Marius had that lost to Merrimac, since Merrimack is high
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: up in the conference. That was a game that Maris
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: got up for. They lost, and they lost a win streak.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: So on the one hand, I could see it maybe
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: being a hangover spot because they lost a wind streak.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: But they also had a horrible shooting game and lost
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: as a favorite at home, so I could also I'll
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: see them bouncing back from that.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: As far as Sianna is concerned, they're coming in with
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit of momentum. They beat Fairfield in the
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: last game, Manhattan the game before that. Nothing to really
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: see there, so they're coming into this game with momentum,
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: you know, not a terrible spot for them either, So
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: I think for me, I think both teams will show
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: up in this game. I think it's gonna be an
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: interesting one. The money is coming in at Sianna, and
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: there is that worry that Maris is maybe in the
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: hangover spot. Here Sianna up from a pick them to
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: one and a half here, seventy percent of the cash
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: on them, fifty.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: To fifty on the tickets.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: I'm not really good. I'm not gonna disagree with the
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: Sianna side in that one. It's a very strong market
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: read on it. My situation will read on it is
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: not strong. But the bigger negative that could arise I
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: see being on the Maris side. So that's kind of
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: the way that I look at that game. I will
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: agree with a slight lean to Sianna.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: And that one.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: You and C Wilmington at William and Mary interesting game
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: in the Colonial. Wilmington is still undefeated in the conference.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: They're I know I have Howster winning the conference right now,
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: but it could be Wilmington.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: And Wilmington is still one of the.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: Best teams in this conference for sure, and they're coming
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: off a close call. Man, Wilmington just barely got by
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: Campbell at home. So I like when teams are good
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: and they have a close call. I think they're gonna
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: be focused in the next game, and I think that
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: might happen here because William and Mary has been having
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: a pretty decent season, So they're not really a team
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: you're gonna overlook. Willim and Mary comes into this game
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: in decent shape as well, because they did just end
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: a three game losing streak. They gotta win over NCAA
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: and T or the NCAA and TEA. Yeah, they're not
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: a good team, although I think they have this guy Walker.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's probably gonna be in the NBA.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Well, he's he's probably gonna transfer to a bigger school
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: than he's gonna be in the NBA. So he's one
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: guy that you want to look at. Like this guy,
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: he's like NC and t's entire team, team man, Lewis Walker. Yeah,
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: this guy, he's a freshman, he's six six, two thirty.
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: This guy does everything rincy A and T though, So
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: I would be on the lookout for that guy being
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: on some bigger school in the future, and then probably
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: I would say, I think he's probably gonna wind up
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: in the NBA.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: That guy is good man. You saw in the in
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: that last game.
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: He was eleven for fourteen from the field. Oh man,
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: But it's just that, you know, NCAA t is just
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: totally one dimensional because it's just him and nobody else.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: But anyway, William and Mary got the win over that team.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: They broke a losey streak. I think they will be
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: focused coming into this one. But I think both teams
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: will be and Wilmington is the better team here. William
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: and Mary dropped from a two point favorite to a
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: one and a half point favorite, and they kind.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Of look public.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: Eighty eight percent of the tickets and cash. I don't
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: know if that's really public action or if really it's
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: just most It might just be a lot of professional
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: money on this game. But I lean towards Wilming in
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: this game, So take that for what it's worth.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: I guess.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Better team getting points. That's kind of the way that
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: I would like to look in that game.
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't really have anything else to say about
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: that game. I don't think. But these college basketball games, man,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: you gotta try to figure out, like what these percentages mean,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean?
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: Because these smaller conferences, a lot of these percentages, it's like,
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: where's this money?
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Coming from is the question.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: And when it's a bigger game, yeah, you can kind
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: of pretty much gauge where the public is because there
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: are more public tickets, but a smaller game like this,
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: a lot of the tickets are probably professional tickets, you
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, because the public's not really playing
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: these games as much.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: And then you know, you can kind of see here too.
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: Actually this is something I haven't really talked about, but
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: pregame also gives you a look at the books that
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: they track, and they tell you like where each book is,
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: and like Bovada kind of always like juices up the favorite,
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: but Bovada's like a pready square online book and the
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: fact that they're at too, and like Circa is actually
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: a known like sharp book in Vegas, so like a
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: lot of the professionals play there. The fact that Circa
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: is at one and Bovada is it too, that kind
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: of gives you another indication that actually maybe the Sharp
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: money professional money actually may actually be on Wilmington in
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: that game as well. So that's just another indicator that
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: you can use here, you know what I mean, Like
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: you have to know what all these books are really
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: in which ones are Square et cetera.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: And you know, like DraftKings is pretty much as well.
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: DraftKings is weird because professionals use it too, because it's
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: just easy to use and.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: It's online, you know.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: But like bet Online, I think it's kind of I
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: would say bet Online is more of a sharpish outlet
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: on because it's one of those online books that you
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: have to I think you kind of have to jump through.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: Some hoops to use it.
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: Well, I don't think I should be taught. I don't
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: think I could. Can I talk about these books on YouTube?
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Oh, I don't know.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: Man, maybe I should not mention them. But all right,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: I could talk about like DraftKings and stuff like that.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure. All Right, what's next? C W has
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Campbell at Charleston. So this is actually a televised game
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: for whatever reason, in the colonial. We're standing in the
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: colonial here. I'm still calling at the colonial. I refuse
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: to call it the coastal. Now, Campbell did just have
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: that big game, actually kind of two big games in
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: a row. They took Elon to the limit on the
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: road and then went to UNC Wilmington and almost beat
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: them as well.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: Well, I don't want to say, well, it was a
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: close game.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: If you look at the game flow in that game,
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: so yeah, they could have won that game. They only
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: lost my three as a pretty big road underdog there,
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: So third straight road game now of two big games.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: Even though Charleston is one of the big names in
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: this conference, I could see Campbell kind of running out
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: of steam here Man and Charleston. They're coming off kind
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: of a bad performance against Stony Brooks, so I could
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: see them bouncing back from this. But I would worry
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: a little bit because this was a double overtime game
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: against Stony Brooks, so Charleston might be a little bit
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: tier coming out of that game two.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: But Charleston probably should have won the game. They were
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: the favorite there.
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: Stony brook is not that good, so I would slightly
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: lean towards Charleston in this game.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: They are up from three to three with.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: Juwe so that the money is coming back on the
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: Campbell side, sixty four percent of the tickets, ninety six
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Campbell. You know, I just
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: don't want to play Campbell off of that big performance
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: man against UNC Wilmington. But I worry because Charleston is
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: coming off a double ot game, you know, So it
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: takes a lot out of you to do that, even
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: if you are losing, you know, losing the game is
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: a favorite or whatever. So take all that into a
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: consideration there in that one. All right, next game up
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: is a game that I will actually give out a
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: play on. I'm I actually have two Colonial games. These
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: are my last two plays in college basketball. We're gonna
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: be on tousand, who I think continues to be in
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: under the radar underrated commodity here.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: I don't think I've played them this year, but I
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: did tell you I thought they were gonna be Charleston
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: the other night, and they did. Now thousand follow that
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: up with a bad performance against Drexel. Drexel's pretty bad,
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: like one of the worst teams in this conference. Tousand
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: was definitely a favorite in this game, probably seven seven
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: and a half, yeah, seven and a half, maybe eight actually,
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: So tousand was a pretty substantial favorite in that game,
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: and they almost lost the game to Drexel. And I
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: think that was because the win against Charleston was pretty big,
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: and maybe because they had Elon on deck, and Elon
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: is near the top of the conference. Man, so I
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: think they might have been looking ahead a little bit
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: to Elon here. I think they're gonna give you a
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: good performance to this one, man, This thousand team is
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: not as bad as they look. They're easy to overlook
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: right now because they're low in the conference standings, but
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: you look at what they've done in the conference. I mean,
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: one of their losses is to Hofstra one who's on
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: the road, to William and Marriam, and those losses are
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: acceptable losses. Hampton and Monmouth maybe not so much. But
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: I do think thousand is underrated right now, and ken
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Bomb will kind of bear that out as well.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: And now we're gonna fade Elon here, and I think
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: Elon is maybe a.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: Little bit overrated. I think they're a little bit fraudulent,
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: to be honest. And Elon is coming off one of
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: the biggest wins they could have. They just beat Hofstra
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: on the road, man, Hostra, as I showed you with
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: my bracketology, I actually have them winning the Colonial right now.
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: I think it is going to be either them or
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: UNC Wilmington. Elon got that win. That was a huge
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: win for Elon, bouncing back after Elon not getting a
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: whole lot of wins. Reason although actually he's getting some
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: wins now against Ashley Saint Clair because she's looking like
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: an insane person. Elon went into Hostra and beat them, man,
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: So this game, yeah, I mean it was a big
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: game for them. Hostra was a five and a half
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: point favorite. Hostra was near the top of the conference.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: Big win for Elon. Looking at what happened in the game, statistically,
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: Elon had a really good shooting game fifty two percent
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: from the floor. Both teams shot well from three point range.
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: Elon did get more free throw attempts for whatever reason. Now,
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: Hostra did out rebound, but Hostra did lose the turnover battle,
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: which maybe was part of the reason they lost that game.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: But I do like the fact that we're fading Elon
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: here and they did lose the the rebound battle in
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: that game. So we're gonna go with thousand in this game. Man,
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: it looks like the money the market read is pretty
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: strong on tousand.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: In this one. Elon's still a two and a half
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: point favorite. They're a little bit public seventy one percent
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: of the tickets but ninety five percent of the cash
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: on thousand, So I like a market read like that.
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: Hopefully it still looks like that at the end of
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: the night. But yeah, thousand is the next play. Oh
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: and we got to look at ken Palm as well.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: Ken Bom has thousand won seventieth in the country, although
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: he actually does have them lucky sixty third, so I
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: do worry about that. They're good defensively, though Man eighty ninth. Defensively,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: they can't score, but they are good on the defensive side.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: They play slow, which I believe Elon does not. Yeah,
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Elon's like more of a mid tempo team, but Elon
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: is horrendous defensively. Elon's not even in the top three
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: hundred defensively, but they are good offensively.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: They're seventy fourth.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: Elon's somewhat lucky as well in the mid tier luck index.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: But we're getting the better defense getting points here with
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: thaousand men, And you know that's another thing I like
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: to look at. Thousand is the significantly better defense in
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: this game, So you know, I like to look for
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: that as well. So we're getting that with thousand as
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: well in that game. So those are my thoughts on that. Okay,
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: next up, we do have a CBS Sports Network game
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: in the Colonial and it's Monmouth and Hampton. Why is
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: this game, dude, I have no idea why this game is.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: On on TV.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: I honestly don't like Some of these other games are
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: much better games, including that one that I just talked about.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: Monmouths just beat Northeastern at home, a fine win for Mamma.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: I actually think Northeastern might have been a favorite in
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: this game. No, Mama, th was a three and a
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: half way favorite at my mistake, but yeah, I mean
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: Northeastern's kind of under the raidar man. They're actually not
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: as bad as people think they are. Mam have got
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: the win there, They're going on the road to Hampton.
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to think about this game. And
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: Hampton is not exactly a team that you're gonna pay
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: its un of attention to. And Hampton to just get
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: that win over NCA and T and break a three
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: game losing streak. Now they do have Wilmington up next,
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: but Hampton, you know, I don't know if it's gonna
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: be a look ahead spot for them or not. I
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: have trouble trying to figure out the side in this game. Obviously,
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: this is not a play for me. I don't really
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: have an opinion on this game. The money is saying Hampton.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: For what it's worth, they're a one point favorite, sixty
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: two percent of the ticket, seventy nine percent of the
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: cash on Hampton. Now, obviously the osricers are telling you, mon,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: but this is the better team. Yes, that's true. I'll
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: probably agree with the market read right now to agree
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: with Hampton on this one. But I don't have a
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: strong opinion at all in that game. And then as
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: far as HOSTRA is concerned going to NCA and T,
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: I do think HOSTRO should be in a bounced back
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: spot because I think part of the reason they lost
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: to Elon was the hangover because Hostro was undefeated in
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: conference and they took a loss at Stony Brook, And
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: you know, I talk about that when you haven't lost
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: for a long long time, sometimes it hangs you over
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: into the next game. So I think I leaned Elon
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: in that game. Elon got the outright win. But now
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: I think this might be where the bounce back happens
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: for HOSTRA and they come back and they actually win
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: a game they should because they're the better team here.
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: And then NCAA T They'll show up for a game
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: against Hofstra, but NCA and T is just not good man.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: And yes, there's.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: Still they're gonna be one of those desperate teams that
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: still doesn't have a conference win, so they'll show up
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: for the game. But if you're gonna get a focused
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Hofstra team and they're the better team, I would probably
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: have to lay it with them in that game they're
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: up from nine to nine and a half. But obviously
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: that's not a play for me. And of course, as
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: I told you, NCA and T is a one man
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: show where if you shut him down at all, you
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: shut the whole team down. Even if you don't shut
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: him down, it's not like he could do enough single handedly.
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts there. And next up is
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: my final play.
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: We're going to the Boston guys, so that means I
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: cannot actually make this play in Massachusetts, but I'll give
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: it to you guys. Northeastern minus the points is gonna
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: be the play. And when you look at this this
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: line right away, this line should kind of jump out
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: at you, like, what is going on with this? Why
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: is Northeastern a three and a half point favorite when
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: they're six and twelve overall Stony Brook's eleven and nine
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: overall and Sonybrook has a better conference record, yet Northeastern
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: is laying points.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: It makes no sense. So the line really really suss
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: right away? Well, why is that?
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: Well, first of all, stony Brook has had a very
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: weak schedule and basically any time they had any like
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: remotely decent opponent, they've pretty much lost. And they've lost
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: to some bad opponents too. Their best win really is
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: the one against Hofstra. Man.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: No, lie, they don't really have any impressive wins at all.
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: This Stonybrook team is. They're not that good. They're not
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: as good as the record looks. I'm gonna show you
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: in a minute. Ken Bomb as really high in the
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: luck Index, and we're fading them because look at what
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: they just did.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: In their last three games.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: They played to win four of UNC Wilmington, who's one
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: of the best teams in the conference. They upset Hofstra,
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the conference. And then
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: they played Charleston as one of the better teams in
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: the conference and upset them as well and played them
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: into double overtime. And now they're coming off of that
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: run of games and having to go out on the road.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be massively flat in this game.
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: Off of that run of three games. Those were huge,
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: huge performances from them. And by the way, their road
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: conference games, yeah, they have not been good. They are
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: own three on the road in conference play. They lost
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: by three at Hampton.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: They lost by nineteen at William and Mary and they
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: lost by nineteen at Drexel and only scored thirty seven
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: points in that game. Pretty pathetic.
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: So Stony Brook has been awful in road conference games
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: so far. Northeastern, on the other hand, they did play
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: a more difficult out of conference schedule.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: Man Like, they had to play Wake Forest they only
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: lost by thirteen. They only lost by eight against Syracuse
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: and those were both on the road.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: They had to play at Rhode Island. That's not really
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: easy either, only losing by eight there. So Northeastern's definitely
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: a bit more battle tested here. And even in conference
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: play they actually haven't been that bad. They have a
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: win over Elon. They lost by nine at home to
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: UNC Wilmington. That's not a bad loss. They actually played
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: Elon twe already and lost both. They lost a thousand.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: Who I said is under the radars, Northeastern has actually
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: played a fairly difficult conference schedule. But now they're coming
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: up a pretty ugly loss at Monmouth. As I pointed out,
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: and if you look at this game Northeastern was they
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: were really bad from three point range. For one thing,
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: they only hit four to threes. Monmouth hit ten, so
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: that was kind of a disparity there. Northeastern only seventeen
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: percent from three. That was a good But Northeastern had
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: a horrendous time with the turnover battle here man, which
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: is part of the reason they lost this.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Game the way they did. Minus nine and.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: Turnovers, you're not gonna win the game more often than not.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: When you're minus nine and turnovers you have eighteen turnovers.
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: I think back at home, Northeast is going to clean
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: that up. That's somebody you can clean up. A lot
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: of it is fundamentals, So I like it. I like
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: how it sets up for Northeastern to bounce back here,
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: and looking at Ken Bam, his numbers are gonna bear
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: this out a little bit even I think he only
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: has Northeastern winning this game by maybe two, So I
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: know we're kind of Ken palm a little bit here,
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: but he's got Northeastern pretty unlucky at to seventy fifth
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: in lock. He has them as having faced the one
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: hundred and seventy ninth strangth the schedule, so moderate strength
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: the schedule. They're fast, and by the way, stony Brook
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: is not, so Northeastern might be able to speed the
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: game up and throw them off. And yes, Northeastern is
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: pretty bad defensively, but they're fine offensively.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: So I think Northeastern should shoot.
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: Better in this game than they did in the previous
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: game because they're actually much better offensively than defensively. Now
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: for stony Brook, they're not really good on either side
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: of the ball. Man ken Bum does have them as
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: the worst of the two teams. Obviously, he has Stony
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: Brook is having faced the less difficult schedule, which I
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: already showed you to seventy six exusey two sixty seven,
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: and he has them the twenty fifth luckiest team in
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: the country. And they play slow, like I said, so
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: if Northeastern speeds the tempo up, that might throw stony
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: Brook out of what they want to do. Sony Brook
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: is really not good on either side of the ball, defense, offense.
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: They're actually just bad all around. They're a balanced bad team.
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: Although technically they actually do have the better defense. They
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: are technically the better defense getting points. But in this spot,
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: I'm not doing that. I'm going with Northeastern. Northeast is
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: already up to four. It looks like here eighty percent
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: of the tickets one hundred percent of the cash. Probably
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: not accurate, but we're going with Northeastern this one. The
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: total I know is not that high at one forty seven,
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: but we're doing it anyway. Here. It's a small spread,
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: I think, and it's one of those misleading lines. Man,
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: Northeastern is the play in that one, dirty sock. What's
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: up man? Thanks for hanging out all right? What else
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: do we have here? Some of these other games, man,
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: we do have in the sun Belt. We have Arkansas
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: State at Georgia Southern. This is somewhat interesting. Arkansas States
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: lost a couple of games in a row. Troy got
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: their in season revenge on them in the second matchup,
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: the conference final from last year, which Troy won. Arkansas
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: State now playing a third straight road game though off
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: of playing South Alabama and Troy, So that makes it
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a difficult spot, man. And I
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: know I've been talking about how Georgia Southern is not
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: as good as their record looks I think they're a fraud.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: I actually don't buy Southern miss either.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: I actually think I think Troy is the best team
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: in the sun Belt, and I actually think maybe Arkansas
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: State might be the second best. So I'm not buying
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: I'm really not buying Georgia Southern. But in this spot,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: I think the spot might actually be better for Georgia Southern.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: They're coming up an ugly.
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: Home loss to Coastal Carolina that was not a good
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: performance from Georgia Southern. They might have been looking ahead here, man,
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: I think they might have a better performance than this.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: You have Troy on deck, but they're not gonna overlook
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: Arkansas State. In my opinion, Arkansas State should try to
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: show up for this game too, But the fact that
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: it's a third straight road game, I actually prefer Georgia
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: Southern in this one. Arkansas State is down from two
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: and a half to two, so the money looks like
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: it did come in a little bit that way.
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: But I don't like playing on these teams that I
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: think are way overrated.
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: Though, like Georgia Southern, I don't think it's that strong
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: of a situation either. But slightly for me to Georgia
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: Southern in that one, even though I know they're not
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: the better team of the two so usually and it's like,
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: if it's a spot where both teams are gonna show up,
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: I do kind of prefer the better team, but I
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: worry that Arkansas State might be a little bit tired
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: coming into it. So those are my thoughts on that.
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: I don't think I have much else to say about
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: the Sun Belt really though. Okay, and then we do
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: have some other conferences in action here. We do have
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Ohio Valley action.
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: We have some Summit action as well. Here.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: The best game in the Ohio Valley here is probably
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: this Little Rock celt East Missouri State game. This game
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: kind of looks odd right away as well, where you
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: see Celtis Missouri State SIMA is a six and a
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: half point favorite, even though they're ten and ten and
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: only five. I have a fourign conference, Little Rock nine
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: and ten, but six and two in conference, So like,
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: why simo a big favor here? Well, again, the oddsmakers
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: are telling you they're actually the better team here, even
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: though Little Rock's been good in the conference so far.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: A Little Rock, I don't hate the spot for a
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: Little Rock here. Though, because they just had a pretty
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: lackluster effort against a pretty bad Western Illinois team, a
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: Little Rock barely got by them. They won by seven,
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: but that game was fairly close, so I think they
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: might have been looking ahead.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: So I do expect them to show up in this.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: Game Selthy's Missouri, though they're definitely better than their record looks.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: They did get that win. I told you.
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: I think I told you that I liked them in
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: that game against U Team Martin Southeast Missouri. I think
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: was favored in that game, and that line looked a
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: little weird in that game too, And that ended a
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: three game losing streak for them as well, but it
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: was a big win. So that's the problem I have
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: with Simo in this game, Like, yeah, you end a
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: losing streak, it can give you new momentum here. But
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: and yeah, they should show up for a game against
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: Little Rock because Little Rock's above them in the standings.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: But they beat the team it's.
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: In first place, U Team Martin, and they beat them
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: convincingly in their last game, so there might be a
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown component of this thing here.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: So I probably prefer Little Rock in this game, even
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: though I know they're actually not the better team here,
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: and the line is one of those lines that looks
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: very confusing, and the line is like it's almost like
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: the Oswigers.
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Are telling you.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: Like again what you need to know here and that
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: as a professional, you should be playing Cimo in this game.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: I'm staying away from it, but again, I think the
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: situation is actually a little bit more favorable to Little Rock.
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: Cimo off from five and a half to six. There,
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: All right, what else we have? We do have a
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: little bit of a weird situation in Eastern Illinois and
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: Southern Indiana.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: This is an awful game, but I just.
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: Noticed it because Eastern Illinois just played a non Division
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: one team.
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: Kind of one of these weird spots where these.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: Non Division one opponents kind of leak in there and
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: that can kind of serve as like a tune up,
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: get your momentum back. So I think that gives Eastern
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: Ollanoi some positive momentum after losing a Little Rock. Now
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: they have a win against a non D one team,
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: they won't be over confident about that. Meanwhile, for Southern Indiana,
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: they played pretty close at Tennessee State in their last game.
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: Southern Indiana was definitely an underdog.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: Tennessee State second in the Ohio Valley standings right now,
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: although I don't really think that they're that good, but
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: that was still a big game for Southern Indiana.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: They're coming off that game, so I think I would have.
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: To lean towards Eastern Illinois and that one coming off
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: that new momentum. Starter money disagrees with me on that though,
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: So I disagree with.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: The market on this one.
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: Southern Indiana from two to two with juice fifty to
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: fifty on the tickets and ninety two percent of the
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: cash on the Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles?
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: What are they? Yeah, the screaming Eagles? Great name. Why
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: why are the Eagles screaming? Man?
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: Because they're endangered. I don't know what's going on here.
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: Eastern Illinois. By the way, many people don't remember that's
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: Tony Romo's Alma Mota there.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: Tony Romo one of the.
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: Somewhat rare Division two NFL quarterbacks or no, not Division
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: two Eastern Illinois FCS. What am I saying but somewhat
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: rare FCS quarterbacks, I should say, But yes, Tony Romo
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: played at Eastern Illinois.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: All right, I think that's.
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: All I have to say about that. Yeah, but I
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: disagree with the market on that one.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: At least they think.
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: Am I getting that wrong? It was Romo right, I
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: don't know. Summit League, we have South Dakota State at
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas. This is a decent game. Saint Thomas is
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: definitely the better team, though South Dakota State's a little
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: bit down this year. They just get a win over
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: Kansas City the Ruse, which should give them a little
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: bit a little bit of momentum at least coming into
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: this game. Kansas City's a really bad team. Saint Thomas is,
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: of course coming off their first conference loss, and it
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: was a big one to North Dakota State, who's really
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: their only competition in this conference. Legitimately, that was a
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: tough game, man, it was on the road. North Dakota
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: State got a nice win in that one. Saint Thomas
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: now loses a huge win streaks, but I think that
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: could hang them over into this game. Like I always say,
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: when a team loses a big win streak, especially in
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: a step up game like that, I think they could
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: be in a hangover coming off of that. So I
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: prefer South Dakota State in this game. The money doesn't
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: agree with me for some reason, but yeah, I whatever,
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: I disagree with the market on this one. Fifty to
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: fifty on the tickets, seventy one percent of the cash
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: on Saint Thomas.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: They're out from six to seven. I would like to believe.
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: I would like to see the Tommies finally make its
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: earnament appearance and then of course lose in the first
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: game or whatever. But you know, I'd like to see it.
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: They're the better team here, but I just don't see
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: the being in a great spot here, man. So I
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: would lead South Dakota State in that one. And then
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: we have North Dakota State on the other end of
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: that at Denver, which, yes, I think North Dakota State
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: is in a bit of a letdown spot here.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: That was a big win over St. Thomas after rth.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Dakota State beat Soeuth Dakota State in the previous game,
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: and there's still kind of a rivalry there as well.
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Now they have to go into elevation to play Denver.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: Maybe not that easy to do. Denver not exactly a
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: great team, although you can pick your spots with Denver
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: and they can do some good things for you, which
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: we've been able to have that happen to us. I
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: think we had them as a winner against you against
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: yeah unc O Northern Colorado who continues to struggle man
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: surprisingly in the big sky there. But yeah, Denver, you
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: can pick spots with them and they could do some
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: good things for you. They just beat Oral Roberts, who's
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: really really bad this year, so all that'll do. That'll
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: give Denver some new momentum coming into this one. So
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: I probably Denver.
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: I do think North Dakota State is in a letdown
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: spot here. The money doesn't seem to really agree with
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: me on that one either or the North Dakota State
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: does look public seventy five percent of the tickets but
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the cash on them. They're a
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: five point favorite. The number actually ticked down a little
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: bit on them. Interesting, But yes, I prefer Denver in
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: that one for sure. Okay, you see San Diego and
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: you see Davis Big West action. This is actually an
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: interesting game. You see San Diego looks like they're kind
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: of the second best team in this conference now to Hawaii.
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: They've taken a couple of losses year. They did bounce
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: back nicely with a win over Baker's Field. Now they're
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: coming in to face you See Davis here.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: They got you See Irvine on deck, which is a
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: big game.
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: But I don't know that they're gonna overlook Davis, who's
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: right behind them. Davis did just get a big win
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: themselves over you See Irvine. So they're gonna have to
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: play two big games in a row here. And while
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna overlook a team like you
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: See San Diego, I kind of prefer you see San
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: Diego in this game. But the money is disagreement with
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: me on that too. They're still the better team. They're
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: down from three to one and a half here though,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: don't see the percentages yet, but it looks think the
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: market disagrees with me. But I just think you See
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: Davis might run out of steam a little bit, and
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: you See San Diego has some new momentum coming into
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: that one. We do have some Big Sky action here
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: as well, with Weaver State at Montana. Weaver State is
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: in well kind of tied in third place in the
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: Big Sky. I guess they're in fourth place based on
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: the tie breakers. Right behind the team that they're playing here, Montana,
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: So these two teams are tied in the standings. We
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: Were State just lost to Idaho at home. Idaho is
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: a decent team. Although I think Weaver State had to
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: have been a favorite in this game, they actually were not.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: Idaho was actually a small road favorite. Idaho actually the
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: better team. So Weaver State, yeah, coming off that loss,
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: it did break a four game win stream for them.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: See them overlooking Montana though, And by the way, it's
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: not the case here, But you do have to start looking,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: as we're in conference play here, you do have to
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: start looking at the fact that a lot of these
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: conference games are gonna be second meetings of the seasons.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: You want to dig into that first meeting, like see
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: what happened, like was there an outlier, Like, you know,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: was the game not really what it appeared on the scoreboard?
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: Something like that, And usually it'll tilt me one way
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: or the other, you know, kind of depending on that.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: I don't use it as like the only factor, but
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: I might use it as like an added factor, especially
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: with a team that lost the first game at home
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: and now they're a road underdog in the second game.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: I do like to look at those teams, but I
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: don't have any of them today. Anyway, Weber is at
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: Montana here. This is not one of these second meetings either.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: Montana just had a bounce back win against Northern Arizona
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: after Montana lost to their rival Montana State. They're coming
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: back home here after they've been on the road for
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: four games, and the road trip return is not the
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: same in college.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: As I keep saying, I actually.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: Think we're turning back home is more of a good
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: thing in college, because you you know, these guys don't
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: have families to get back to here, although yeah, well
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: technically they have, oh they have class to get back
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: to them.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Okay, I don't think it's that big a deal,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I do slightly lean to Montana in this game.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: I think they are the better team throughout from three
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: and a half to five and a half here. Now
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of the tickets and ninety nine percent of
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: the cash on them, which probably not accurate, but it
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: looks like the real money is on Montana. But you've
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: lost some value on Montana there, but I agree with it.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: And then Idaho State at Montana State is actually I
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: think a more interesting one. Idaho State just took a
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Loss to Eastern Washington. Eastern Washington has.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: A really really bad overall record, although I think they're
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: not quite that bad. I think Eastern Washington's more of
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: like a middle of the road team in the Big
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: Sky this year. It's just they had a really difficult
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: out of conference schedule, so there are probably some spot
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: to play Eastern Washington. But that was still an ugly
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: loss for Idaho State, losing at home by eighteen points
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: to that team. Idaho State had played Idaho the game
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: before that, so I think I might have said I
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: leaned Eastern Washington in that game because Idaho State it
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: was a big win against their rival Idaho and they
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: had Montana State and Montana on deck, so it definitely
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: looked like a sandwich spot there against Eastern Washington. Now
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: they are going to Montana State, who may be the
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: best team in the Big Sky this year. Montana State's
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: coming off another big win. Unfortunately, because I gave out
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: Northern Colorado in that game and they couldn't get it
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: done for us.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: Montana State got the win. They swept Northern Colorado.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: Northern Colorado, Yeah, I know, man, they're won in six
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: in conference, but there's still I still think they're one
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: of like the top three or four teams in this conference.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: This is ridiculous.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: Montana State now, yeah, coming off two huge wins now
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: against Montana their main rival, and Northern Colorado. They got
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: this game against Idaho State. They got Weber on deck,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: and Weber is right behind them in the standing, so
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: I think they might overlook Idaho State. So yes, I
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: definitely like Idaho State in this game. And there is
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: also this common opponent here where Montana State beat Eastern
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: Washington on the road and Eastern Washington just beat Idaho State,
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: So I think if the public looks at this game,
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: they'll probably be looking towards Montana State here. But I
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: like Idaho State plus the points in that one. Montana
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: State's up to a six point favorite. That one was
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: somewhat close to being on my card, but I do
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: prefer Idaho State plus the points there.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Portland State at Eastern Washington. This is.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: Kind of an interesting line where Portland State's only laying
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: like three three and a half here and they're an
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: eleven and five team undefeated in the Big Sky right now,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: and Eastern Washington. Like I said, they have that horrible
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: four and fourteen overall record, but again they're a very
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: battle tested team. So it's an interesting line where it
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: looks very very easy to play Portland State here, but
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure that Portland State is totally legit. I
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: think that Eastern Washington is not really as bad as
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: they look. Portland State has faced a fairly weak conference
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: schedule so far.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Coming into this game.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Off of beating Northern Arizona, now they're going on the road.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: They did win their two road conference games, and they
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: only won by five and six against Weaver and Idaho State.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: I mean those are not bad law bad wins by
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: any means, but still they're going on the road again here.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: They haven't really been able to win by huge margins
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: on the road. Eastern Washington did just have that upset
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: win though, So that's kind of my hesitation here that
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: they just pulled off a nice upset win of ri
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: Idaho State.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: So I do worry about that. Although at home they've
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: done some decent things.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: They beat Montana here at home, and they lost by
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: four to Montana State at home, So this Eastern Washington
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: team has not been bad at home, and like I said,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: look at their out of conference schedule, UCLA, Colorado BYU,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: you know, I mean, they played some pretty strong out
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: of conference teams here and lost all those games, I believe.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I lead to Eastern Washington in that game,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: but I worry that they are coming off that big
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: upset win. Portland stayed up from one and a half
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: to three. Ninety two percent of the tickets, only eighty
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on them, so the public
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: is on them, and the line opening at one and
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: a half is crazy, Like the Osmankers had to have
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: been expecting kind of public action on Portland State, Like
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: it looks way too easy to play them and to
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: pick the winner price.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's insane.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: But you're getting more value on Eastern Washington there if
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: you want it. At the plus three espn U has
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: this Ohio Valley game between Tennessee State and SIU Edwardsville.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: Tennessee State's in second place in the conference. They just
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: barely got by screw, I almost said, screaming Indiana, Southern Indiana, Florida, Illinois,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: Southern Indiana. Tennessee State just barely got by them. So
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: they might have been looking ahead or something. They were
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: coming off a big I think overtime game, yeah, against
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: Morehead State, So Tennessee State was kind of in a
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: bad spot there.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: Show up with more effort in this game against SIU Edwardsville.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: SIU Edwardsville coming into this game off of beating Simo
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: on the road. Man that was a big win for
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: SIU Edwardsville. SEMO was a favorite here nine and a
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: half point favorite. CIMO was, so despite what their record
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: looks like, Cemo was the better team here.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville pulled off a big upset.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: There, So I see them maybe being in a little
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: bit of a letdown spot here. My issue with it
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: is that I don't think they're gonna overlook the second
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: place team in the conference, you know.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: So that's the one issue that I have with it.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: Although I prefer Tennessee State in this game based on
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: the spot of the line, is a pick them. So
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: Osbecker's telling you Tennessee State is indeed the better team here,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: and the team's records are fairly close to each other.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: Although I guess, well, if people just look at conference records,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: they'll probably want Tennessee State in the game, but I
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: think they might be right in that game. And then
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: CBS Sports has justin seen Missouri State playing against New
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: Mexico State in New Mexico State here in the Conference USA.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: Now New Mexico State, they have almost the same record
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: as Missouri State, yet they're laying six and a half.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: So that should tell you something that New Mexico State
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: is actually the better team here by multiple points, as
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are telling you. Missouri State is also coming
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: off a double overtime game against Middle Tennessee and they
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: already beat New Mexico State once at home, So I
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: think New Mexico State could have some adjustments.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: To make here from that game.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: If you look at what happened in that game, Missouri
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: State shot ridiculously from three.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: And that's kind of the thing that jumps out from
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: Missouri State four eight percent from three, like that's unlikely
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: to happen again. A New Mexico State actually out rebounded
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: them by one. Nothing else to really see it. Well,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: the other big thing is that Missouri State went to
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: the line sixteen more times and they were plus ten
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: in free throw makes, so that's another reason why they
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: won this game. Missouri State was only one and a
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: half way favored in that game, So yeah, I think
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: there will be some things that probably regress a bit
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: for them here. And again, they're also coming off a
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: double overtime game, but they almost pulled off a huge upset.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: At Middle Tennessee.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee one of the top teams in the conference here,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: not huge, but at five and a half point upset there,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: So Missouri State, I think it sets up pretty.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: Badly for them in this game. Man.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: I'm actually I'm considering New Mexico State on the fly
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: here because obviously I liked them in this game. But
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: let me let me remind myself what my thoughts were here.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: It's a third straight road game for Missouri State as well,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: so and fourth in the last five games, so that's
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: not easy whatsoever. So the spot is pretty bad for them.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: Now New Mexico State, Yeah, it's a good spot for them.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: They just bounced back with a win over Delaware. They're
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: coming back home. Last time they were at home, they
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: lost to Middle Tennessee, so.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: They might want to bounce back from that.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: Because teams that come back home and they lost their
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: last home game, they tend to play better. Yeah, they
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: lost to excuse they beat Delaware to bounce back. But
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: New Mexico was a state was actually coming off two
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: difficult games man against Middle Tennessee and then on the
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: road at Liberty where they played them to within two.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: So I'm surprised that they crushed Delaware like that, and
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: that was one of our losses on the show. Actually,
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: So New Mexico State was actually in a bad spot
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: in that game, and they still murdered Delaware.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: So that does tell you something is New Mexico's state team.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: They're not you know, rolling over or anything like that.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: Now for New Mexico State, Kenbom has in one to
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: twenty fourth, which isn't bad. They're almost in the top
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: one fifty and both offense and deep they're one of
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: the unluckiest teams in the nation three fifty seventh. So
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: some of that is looking pretty good by ken Bum.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: By the way, I'm about to show you because I
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: haven't looked. Wow, ken Bum has them winning this game
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: by nine points. Man, I think we might have to
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: do this one, even though you don't want to. You
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: want to just use ken Bum as kind of like
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: a check, like you don't want to just blindly do
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: it because his numbers are seasoned long. You know, there
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: could be injuries that come into play and whatever that
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: his numbers don't factor in.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: But you know what I mean.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm kind of liking this one for New
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: Mexico State here. Man, let me look at who are
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: we looking at? Oh, Missouri State? Sorry, justin, Missouri State
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: is outside the top two hundred and both offense and deffense,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: they're mid tier luck so much luckier team. They play
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: a slow tempo. Yeah, New Mexico State is better on
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: both sides of the ball. They play somewhat slow as well.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: But you know what, I think there is some value
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: here in the Mexico State. Let me see, Missouri State
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: looks pretty public. Eighty one percent of the tickets, so
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: they have eighty four percent of the cash right now.
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: But I think we might be getting an anti public.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: Home favorite here.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: Maybe total is not that high at one forty four
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: because the teams play slow, But man, I mean New
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: Mexico State's the better all around team. Six seems like
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: a really low number, and the spot seems to check
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: out too. I think we have to do it, so
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a pretty loaded Thursday card here. If
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: that's the case, let me see here. Uh, I'm sorry,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: I apologize. I'm looking at Yeah, here we are. I'm
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: looking at Ken pom Orsus the Action Network right now.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: Dude. The score actually has them at five and a half.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: That is a score.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: It looks like prenominantly it's six out there, though, But yes,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: I would let's do it. We're gonna be on New
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: Mexico State minus five and a half, minus six, whatever
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: you want. Hopefully this is not gonna be much of
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: a difference there between the two stupid stream yard but
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: the stupid banners here, all right. So that's the last
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: place there's some night action and it's a TV game
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: for you. So there you go, New Mexico State minus
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: the points. Okay, and then yeah, I don't know if
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: I had anything really to say about the rest of
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: these games here.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: Not much to say really about the rest of these
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: games in my opinion. I mean, if you want me
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: to go back to one of my guests, but all right,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: let's go to hockey here.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: We have a decent amount of hockey games here. I
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: think about eight games here, and I'm skipping the entire
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: hockey board.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: I don't like the board here.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: I'm just I'm I'm cooling it on hockey today, man,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: I'm putting hockey on ice for the day. Vegas is
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: at my boss and Bruin Vegas just lost a long
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: win streak.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: Man, I believe we lost that game on Vegas.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: And you know what I talk about, When a team
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: loses a long wind streak, sometimes it will hang them
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: over into the next game. So that's not a good
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: thing for Vegas. They have two days off here. They're
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: starting a road trip, and that's a positive. When you're
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: starting a road trip, days off also might help you
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: kind of get over that loss. But I wouldn't say
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: they went into the days off on losing momentum though.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: They really just lost all that momentum in the last game,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: so I think that is a negative. But starting a
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: road trip is usually a positive because you want to
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: focus on hockey and it helps you to just get
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: out of there, leave home, go on the road, focus
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: on hockey. The Bruins are actually returning home from a
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: road trip, and I know these short road trips, I've
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: basically kind of been saying, well, they're not like full
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: road trip returns, so it's less of a bad spot,
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: which is true. But last couple of times I said
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: that we went one to one over the last couple
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: of days in the NBA and in hockey.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: Are returning home now. They also lost to win streak.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: It was a two game road trip Saturday, Tuesday, Chicago
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: and Dallas. They lost at Dallas pretty badly and that
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: is that game ended.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: Their wins streak.
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: So both teams just had a win streak snapped in
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: the last game. Now, the Bruins win streak was less impressive.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: The Bruins are still not that good. I mean, they've
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: beatn mostly bad teams during that stretch during that win streak,
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: so I could see them being hungover as well. They
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: are having to return home here. They're not going to
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: overlook Vegas. But I don't think the spot is very
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: good for the Bruins here. When I looked earlier the market,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: Reid was indicating on the Bruins, though it is Vegas
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: is down for minus one forty minus one twenty nine
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: some reverse live movement here Vegas fifty six percent of
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: the tickets, sixty one percent of the cash on the Bruins,
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: So I guess, do with that information what you want
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: to the market. Reid is saying the Bruins. I don't
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: really agree with it.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: But.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: You know it's a strong read, so I don't want
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: to disagree with it really, So I don't know, take
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: from all that what you want to. I guess, but
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: hopefully the market is right for my rooting interests.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Buffalo at Montreal a Buffalo. Let me see.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: Buffalo coming to this game. They beat Nashville in their
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: last game.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days now.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: I had fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: which isn't that easy. They did beat Montreal back on
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: January fifteenth at home as well, so maybe Montreal have
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: some adjustments to make coming into this one. Montreal coming
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: up a pretty big winn against Minnesota and that was
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: actually gonna return.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: Home spot and they still won.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: Not overlooking Minnesota, I still think they're in the better
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: spot probably though, because second game back home, they do
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: it Boston next, so that's, you know, kind of a
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: rivalry between Montreal and Boston.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: The Bruins also have that game up next.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, I mean, I don't think
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: This is really again that Montreal is gonna overlook. So
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: I kind of lean to Montreal in this one. The
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: money's disagreeing with me on this one too. Montreal down
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: for minus one thirty five to minus one eighteen. You
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: can see why I'm skipping this board today. Seventy one
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: on Buffalo, money coming in on Buffalo.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is more difficult for Buffalo.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: And there's that little quick not really revenge but like
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: adjustment angle to what Montreal did in the last game
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: against Buffalo. So I kind of prefer Montreal in that one.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: Hindying what's up man, thanks for hanging out. That's kind
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: of gay bro, all right, Chicago at Caroline. Of course,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: Caroline is gonna be a big favorite in this one.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: Chicago coming into this game. By the way, if you
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: saw Caroline and they tweeted out about Bussy, finally their
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: their new young goaltender, Bussy. They got the young Bussy
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: on their team. Man, he he's been doing well. He
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: set some I don't know, some record, I forget what
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: it was, but uh no, Kyle, I have five college
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: basketball and I have two NBA plays as well. Zero
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: NHL though, but yes I do have NBA plays.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Well as I say, Oh yeah, Bussy. I don't know.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: I forget what the record was. You can go look
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: it up. He has some.
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know, he's some record that he set for
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: some some goalie record within a goaliees first twenty or
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: so games or so.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: I don't. You can go look it up.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: I need to get a Bussy jersey, man, I really do,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: and I'm hoping that is how how his name is pronounced.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: But he's the new star goaltender for the Hurricanes.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Man, it's real.
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: I've been making fun of his name on the show
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: for a while, but now everybody's onto it because Carolina
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: tweeted out about him yesterday and they were having fun
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: with the people's comments on it. So their Twitter account
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: is all right. But anyway, Chicago, they just ended a
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: three game losstree Go the win over Winnipeg. Fine win
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: for them. They've had a couple of days off. They
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: just have this single game road trip to Carolina, which
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: is kind of weird, and tomorrow they do have an
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: ESPN game against Tampa Bay. This game today is on
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: HULO for whatever reason. But I don't really think Chicago
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: is gonna overlook Carolina, so I think they do come
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: into this with some new momentum after they busted that
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: losing streak. Carolina has a three game win streak right now,
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: but they've had a couple of days off and they're
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: just sitting at home, and that might actually be worse
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: for them.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: And they do well. They have Autawa next.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna really look ahead to Ottawa,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I mean, I think the spot might actually
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: set up slightly better for Chicago in this game. Carolina
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: is very public and they dropped from minus three h
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: five to minus two to eighty five. The tickets ninety
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: six of the cash on Carolina, so they're republic. It
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: looks like the cash is on them a little bit,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: but I don't really think that it. I don't think
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: that really means that much. I think if you take Chicago,
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: you are fading the public. So I mean, you could
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: go like a puck line on that or something. But
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: I don't love the game. Dallas is going to Columbus here.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: Dallas just smoked the Bruins. Dallas was winning that game
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: six nothing at one point in the game, Bruins.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: Definitely got out played.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: They had a bad game Dallas coming into this game
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: now a single game road trip to Columbus, which is weird,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: and then Dallas plays Saint Louis next.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: Will they look ahead to Saint Louis?
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I don't even know when the
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: last time they played Saint Louis even was. Actually they
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: lost to Saint Louis earlier this year, so maybe they'll
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: remember that. Maybe they do have more reason to focus
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: on Saint Louis than Columbus. I don't know, man, I
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: don't know if they played Columbus this year at all.
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: Actually I don't see it, so I don't know.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: It is a weird spot though, coming off a blowout
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: wind although that ended a losing streak for Dallas, maybe
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: it gives them a little bit of momentum.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: They might be looking ahead to coming back home to
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: face Saint Louis to the next game, as weird as
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: that sounds.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: Columbus just lost.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: Ugly four to one on Tuesday, and they're staying at
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: home and that ended a win stream for them, which
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: sometimes we'll hang you over. But I think they're gonna
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: show up, man, I mean, you're not really gonna overlook Dallas.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: So I do prefer Columbus in this one. So I
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: agree with the market in this one. Pretty strong market
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: read on Columbus in this one. Uh, this one, you know,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: it's still not really a strong opinion for me, though.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: Dallas is down for minus one twenty five to minus
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: one sixteen, so it looks way too easy to play
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: Dallas here. I'm wondering if maybe Dallas is going with
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: de Smith in that year so they can use Ottinger tomorrow.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure, but seventy percent of the tickets on Dallas,
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the cash on Columbus, So it
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: looks like a big pros versus Joe's market read in
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: that one with reverse line movement against Dallas. So and
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: I agree with that one on Columbus. So that's the
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: info in that one. Ottawa at Nashville, by the way,
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: I'm still pissed about Nashville not getting it done for
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: us the other day in Nashville, by the way, they
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: actually outplayed whoever it was, I forget who. They lost it,
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: but they outplayed them statistically in the game, which really
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: really pisses me off. So they probably could have won
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: that game, and they came back and still give themselves
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: a chance to maybe win that game, which also irritates
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: me more. Yet was against Buffalo, So Nashville is coming
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: off that game. That was a tough game for Nashville. Man,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: they came back and could have potentially won that game.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: And now that's what they're coming off of.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: Although they have lost two games, they had some rest
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: before that. Audawa is coming into this game.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: Of a blowout win over Columbus four to one, which
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: I just mentioned on the road, and now they are
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: playing another road game here. They do Carolina on deck though,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: so that might be a bit of a look ahead
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: for Ottawa. So I don't love the spot for Ottawa
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: at all. I probably would lean to Nashville unfortunately in
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: that game, but I don't want it in this one.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: Autaw's minus won fifteen sixty four percent of the tickets
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: on them, sixty seven percent of the cash coming back
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: on Nashville. Money is saying Nashville. I agree, but yeah,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: I don't want any piece of it. Florida is at Winnipeg.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: Florida just had pretty ugly home loss to San Jose
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: and we had to win on that one. And that
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: was the game where there was the goaltender fight and
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: the brawl and all that stuff the other day.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: That was a horrible spot for Florida. That's why I
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: played San Jose.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: It was a road trip sandwich as Florida's are turning
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: over from a huge road trip. Then they had another
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: road trip starting after it, so that was a bad
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: spot for them. They had a bad game. I think
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: now they're going back out on the road, they should
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: be focused here. A couple of days off to break
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: free from that loss. They should show up for this game.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: And although they do play Minnesota next and they might
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: actually get caught looking ahead to Minnesota, now Winnipeg, they're
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: not going to overlook Florida. Winnipeg probably has Hello book
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: back in net because they didn't use him in the
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: back to back in the last game, but they aren't
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four and as though the
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: last game wasn't home, they have some new moments to
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: him again with that win over Saint Louis. Obviously they're
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: not going to overlook Florida here. So I think both
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: teams are in positive spots here. The money is on Winnipeg.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: For what it's worth, it looks like a pretty strong
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: market read on Winnipeg. Seventy nine percent of the tickets
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: on Florida, seventy nine percent of the cash on Winnipeg.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg flipped from plus one hundreds of minus one ten.
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: You know, I think Florida is in a good bounce
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: back spot though, and they are the better teams. So
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I love Winnipeg in this one.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: That is what the market is saying though, but I'm
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: definitely staying away from that one.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: I worry about it.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: And then Pittsburgh and Edmonton here. Pittsburgh just won four
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: to one at Calgary yesterday. They're on a back to back. Now,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: they're playing three games in four days. Four games, it's
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: six days actually, all in different cities. So the rest
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: spot is not very good for Pittsburgh though. They should
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: get up for a game against Edmonton. It's going to
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: be the goalie battle, like the goalie trade battle.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: But Pittsburgh, I don't know what they're doing here.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: Man, they used Skinner yesterday, so he's not gonna play
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: against his former team, So why are you doing that, Pittsburgh,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: What are you doing here. He did play against them
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: back on December sixteenth, though, right after the trade, and lost,
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: So Skinner did face his former team once, but they
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: used him yesterday, so he's not gonna play against Edmondon
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: this time. For Edmonton, they got jarr Jarry from Pittsburgh
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: and he played the other day on Tuesday, so he's
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: probably not playing in this game either, So I don't know, man,
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: So they're playing Pittsburgh here.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: Of course, they did just lose on home to New Jersey.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: I think the spot sets up better for Edmonton because
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: they are staying at home here. I would prefer Edmonton
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: in this game. They are the better team. The market
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: seems to not agree with that, though, a lot of
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: market disagreement with me and Hockey today Edmonton down for
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: minus one ninety five to minus one to fifty nine.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: Of course, all a lot of this means I don't
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: have any strong situations. Eighty of the tickets, seventy four
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Edmonton, so they're public with
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: less of the money on them and the line moving
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: against them.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: So take that for what it's worth.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: And then the ESPN game at nine point thirty is
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: a pretty good game. Between Detroit and Minnesota, both teams
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: having good seasons. Detroit coming into this one of an
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: overtime win yesterday against Toronto, so Detroit's played two overtime
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: games in a row, though the other one was on Sunday,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: so maybe they won't be totally tired coming into this
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: game because prior to yesterday they hadn't played for a
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: couple of days. But they're still on a back to back,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: which isn't great. They will most likely have Talbot back
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: in net, which also probably isn't that good because they've
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: lost his last two games, but they use Gibson yesterday,
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: so Detroit having to go with their second string goalie here.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: Minnesota coming into this game off losing to Montreal. But
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's are turning over from a road trip. Now Minnesota
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: didn't play yesterday, but they were on the road since Saturday,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: so it is a road trip. Orturn spot where I
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: talk about this when teams are turned on from the road,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: sometimes they get distracted. They have to get back to
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: home life whatever. They're playing a third game in four days,
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: fourth game in six days, all in different cities, so
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: that's not that easy either from Minnesota here, So yeah,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, the spot is pretty bad for Minnesota, to
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: be honest.
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: The road trip returns are pretty battle though they are.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: Playing on ESPN tonight, so that might alleviate the distractions
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit, the fact that they're playing a good
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: team at home. But the Margarita is saying Detroit, and
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: I guess even though they're on the back to back,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: Minnesota spot is actually a little bit tougher.
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: So I guess I do have to agree with Detroit here.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: Fifty three percent of ticket, sixty percent of the cash
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: on Detroit, Minnesota down for minus one sixty to minus.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: One thirty six.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: So the Margaret reed is definitely indicating on Detroit here.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: We will see what happens in that game, and then
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know what Minnesota's goaltending situation looks like coming
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: into this one. They use wallstet in their last game,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: so it will almost definitely be gust of some and
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: although they've been using them kind of interchangeably, so it
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: doesn't really matter. SOB, what's up man Nashville and Pittsburgh.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: I don't like Pittsburgh in that game. The market agree
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: The market agrees with you on both of those games.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: But you can see my analysis on those that I
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: just gave. I agree with you on the seventy six ers.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: Seventy six ers, I agree on Warriors as well.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: Clippers. I don't know if I have much of an
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: opinion on.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: We're more in sync on the NBA, though definitely we're
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: not really in sync on hockey. Although I don't really
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: disagree with you on Nashville. But it's like, I don't know,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: I just I can't get involved in that with Nashville
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: in that one.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's a personal thing because they keep letting me down,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: all right, NBA. To finish this off here, we have
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: several NBA games. Charlotte is at or Land, though Charlotte
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: played yesterday, so not a great spot for Charlotte.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: And they almost wound up beating me.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: I thought we had an easy win with the Calves
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: yesterday and they won and they covered, but man, it
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: got close. I mean, look at what happened in this game.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: As Charlotte put up a huge effort.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: In this game. They refused to go away in this game.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: If you look at the game flow, Cleveland had this
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: game completely put away, man Like, right out of the gate.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: It was just blowout City for Cleveland.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: They were winning the game by twenty seven points late
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: in the second half. They still had an eighteen point
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: lead early in the third quarter. Sorry late in the
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: second quarter, I should say, is when they were up
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: twenty seven. They were up, yeah, eighteen and late in
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: the third quarter, and the lead just kept dwindling and dwindling,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: man And they were still up double digits in the
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter, still leading for most of the fourth quarter,
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: still up thirteen with four point forty five left, and
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: they almost blew it, and then all of a sudden,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: Charlotte actually cut it to four, and I'm like, are
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: they seriously not gonna cover this? It would have been
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: one of the worst beats of all time if the
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: Cavs is didn't cover that, but they did. But the
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: Hornets put in a huge effort in that game. And
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: that was yesterday. So I don't really think this is
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: a good spot for them coming into Orlando here.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: But the problem is it's not a great spot for
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: Orlando either.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: Really, Orlando, they're coming back from from Europe. So I
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: talked about that yesterday. Memphis I thought was in a
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: bad spot because of it, because they were returning home
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: from Europe. And of course the Hawks got the outright
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: win yesterday against Memphis. I think Memphis was favored, so
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: my read was correct on that game. Some good NBA
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: reads for me yesterday. Now Orlando is in a similar
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: spot where they are coming back from playing in Berlin
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: and London coming back home. It's a weird spot for Orlando, man,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: having to travel back like usually these teams don't do this.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: They're not used to that traveling back from Europe. And
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: they have Cleveland on deck, so that is a bigger game.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: And they're playing a two game event home and home
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: against Cleveland, and so the spot is pretty bad for
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: Orlando here.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: Man. It's basically a sandwich.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: Orlando dropped from six and a half to six, sixty
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: four percent of the tickets, sixty five percent of the
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: cash on them.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: They're the more.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: Rested team, but I kind of lean to the Hornets
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: plus the points in this one. I think the spot
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: is pretty terrible for Orlando, to be honest. So, and
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: the Hornets were getting blown out for most of yesterday's
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: game at least.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: Uh Yeah, I don't know, man, that's my read on
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: It's a difficult game to read, though, I wouldn't really
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: disagree with an overall though. The money is coming a
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: little bit on the under in that game, but I
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: got to check to see if my overreads are any
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: good at all. Yeah, the Calves wasted all their energy
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: in the regular season.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: Last year.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: They're not doing that this year, so I don't know.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: But I had them last night. I thought it was
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: a good spot to play them last night, and we
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: got it right last night. Correct, Yes, Sab, repeating exactly
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: what I said. Yes, yeah, I'm not on that game.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: But yes, total, by the way drop from two thirty
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: to two twenty eight. I gotta keep an eye on
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: my total reads, man, because I haven't been keeping an
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: eye on them. Seventy seven percent of tickets and seventy
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on the over, but I
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: actually prefer the over in that one, with both teams
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: being a bad spots.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: The one thing that I would hesitate about, though, is
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: the magic the vecanim been off for so long that
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: might actually lend itself more towards an under, because when
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: teams have a lot of time off, it does affect
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: the offense.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: Houston at Philadelphia, here we go.
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: SOB and I are agreeing on this one. I might
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: have to if we get this one, I might have
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: to go back and bring out the Philadelphia song again
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: tomorrow morning. We're gonna be on the sixers plus the
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: points here. I think the numbers two right now on
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: this might actually be able to get two and a half.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: Like SOB said, Rockets are who are fading here? I
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: know we're fading a good team, the Rockets. They're down
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: from three to two to two and a half. Get
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: the best number you can. I would put some of
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: it on the money line as well. Obviously fifty three
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: percent of the ticket, seventy five percent of the cash
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: on the sixers here. Money is coming in on the sixers.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: Market seems to agree here. This is a horrible spot
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: for Houston. Houston just beat San Antonio. That was a
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: huge win.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: Uh, san Antonio, really good team this year. San Antonio
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: also a Texas rival, a huge West battle as well there.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: That was a big win for Houston. Man and now, yeah,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: they're starting a road trip, but it's only a two
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: day road trip, so I don't really go by Oh,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: the start of a road trip is going to be
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: a focused spot for them here in this case, I
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: don't think it is, because the second game of the
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: road trip is tomorrow night on Amazon Prime against the
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: Detroit Pistons, and that is a much bigger game as well.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: So this is a pretty classic Sandwich spot in my opinion.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: So I think we got to look to Philadelphia here.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is coming off a loss at home to Phoenix.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They've been at homes since last Wednesday,
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: so Philadelphia's been playing at home.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: They've had a bad home stand, so I think they're
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: gonna want to get this game in. Yes, they do
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: play the Knicks next on ABC on Saturday. That's a
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: big game Saturday afternoon, but I don't see them overlooking
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: Houston here.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: With Philadelphia playing poorly at home, I think Embiid might
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: have not played in the last game.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: I just don't see him on the main like on
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: the stat leaders here.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: But Embiid is probable tonight.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: You always gotta see with Philadelphia who's resting, who's playing.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: Embiid is playing. Paul George is questionable still, but it's
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: a big game. I kind of expect both of them
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: to be out there.
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: Embiid is almost definitively in.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: But either way, we're gonna be on the sixers either way, man,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: it's a situational spot.
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: That's the play Sixers one, two, three, four five, Sixers.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: Fifth straight home game. I think it could be good
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: or bad.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: I think it depends on how the homestand has been
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: going prior to that. But if it's been a bad
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: home stand with a lot of losses and the most
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: recent game is a loss, yeah, then I do like it.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: Denver is at Washington, Denver really not favored by a
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: whole lot here, Denver being without Jokis, and then I
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: don't know, there might be some other injuries going on
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: for Denver too, Jaymaine, what's up again, man, Denver? Yeah,
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: of course without Yolkis. They're coming into this game off
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: a pretty tough loss to the Lakers the other day.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: That was a big game, so I could potentially see
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: that maybe being a hangover.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: Although when you start a road trip usually you are focused.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: But Washington is the least of their opponents on this
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: road trip, and Denver did just beat Washington on the seventeenth,
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: although it was a close call. They almost didn't get it,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: They almost didn't win, So I don't know what to
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: think about this game, but I kind of lean against Denver.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: It looks pretty easy to lay the points with Denver here.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: Washington just had their road trip return and lost to
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: the Clippers.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately. I believe that was a lot for us on
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: the show.
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: I think with the Clippers, the Clippers put themselves in
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: a massive hole early in the game and could never
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: get out of it, and we needed them to cover
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: as a favorite, and they didn't do it. Are they
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: missed by a couple of points there. But Washington's now
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: in one of those second games back from.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: The return home. So the return home.
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: Spot a lot of times is bad because you fall
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: into a distracted spot. And I'm not gonna say they
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: played a bad game, but when you lose that game
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: a lot of times, that second game you're back at home,
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: it's a much better game.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: They've had two days off now rest try.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: To break that losing momentum because they've lost a bunch
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: of games in a row. Seven I think six, whatever
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: that is.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: I think it's seven.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: You can get the stuff done that you need to
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: get done at home. I think they're gonna show up,
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: try to split the home stand so I prefer Washington
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: in this game. The market reads seems to agree with it.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: Nuggets are a five and a half way favorite, which
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: again looks way too easy to lay it with the
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: Nuggets sixty nine percent of the tickets on them fifty
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: seven percent of.
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: The cash on the Wizards.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: So it does look like a pros verse Joe's type
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: of scenario setting up there. Next up, we have Golden
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: State at Dallas on Amazon Prime. Sab is playing this
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: game in a different way than I am.
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: Denver. Yeah, that's right.
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: Denver had a massive lead against the Lakers and completely
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: fell apart. Could be a hangover, yes, because they had
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: the Lakers on the ropes. Yeah, that's a good point.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: Denver just kind of ran out of steam because they're
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: playing with a thin roster right now. Man now in
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: this game, SOB, I think he said he's going first
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: half or something like that. I don't really do haves,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: which maybe sometimes screwsy. I'm going full game and I
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: am gonna be on the Golden State Warriors laying the
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: points here. This looks like a pros versus Joe's, believe
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: it or not. With the Joe's on the MAVs. When
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: would you ever see that of the MAVs sixty percent
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on them, the Warriors seventy two of
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. You might be able to find
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: a five out there on this. It's somewharrotween five to
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: five and a half. Hopefully there's not much of a
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: difference here.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: Yes, I know Golden State is without Jimmy Butler. I'm sorry,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: but we have to do it again.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: Jimmy's ready, dude, got some new moves. Check Jimmy out, Jimmy.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: Down, Jimmy is down. And now Golden State. They did
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: not have a good game in the first game without him.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: In fact, they got blown out, So I'm okay with
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: playing them in the second game without Butler. We're usually
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: talk about how the injured player theory spot when you
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: lose your star player. Usually you step it up and
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: play really well in that first game without him, and
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: then you have a little bit of a setback and
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: a let down in the next game. But in this game,
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: I don't think so, because Golden State got embarrassed in
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: that game. They give up one hundred and forty five
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: points at home to Toronto and lost the game. Out right,
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: it did end a winning streak for them, and they
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: are playing a third game in four days. I get
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: all that, but at least the other games are at home.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: But when you have a bad home loss like that
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: and now you get to go out on the.
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: Road, I think you're gonna be focused on it. Man.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: So I think this is actually a decent thing for
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: Golden State. I think it's more of a positive spot
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: that you just go out focus on this game. It
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: is on Amazon Prime for what it's worth. Although I
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: know Saturday they have a big game against Minnesota, which
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: I believe is actually is that still revenge for last year?
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: Let me see, Yeah it is, So that is a
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: big game on deck, So I do worry about that.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: That's playoff revenge. I'm pretty sure for last year against Minnesota.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: I believe it is.
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: Is it? I forget? I think it is against Minnesota
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: on ABC. That is a big game.
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: But I just think Golden State got so embarrassed in
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: the last game that they will show up for this.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: And the other part of the equation is Dallas is
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: in a horrible spot here. Dallas just went to New
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: York and they beat the Knicks one fourteen to ninety
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: seven at Madison Square Garden. That was an insane win
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: for Dallas, ridiculous win. Now they're coming back home and
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: they have a huge game on deck as well, by
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: the way, Saturday on ABC in prime time, so both
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: teams do. But look at who Dallas is playing. They're
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: playing Luca. They're playing the La Lake Curse. Man, so
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: that is a huge game. And that's only the second
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: time they're playing them, and they lost the first time
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: they played them this year against the Lakers.
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: That is a massive game. Still looking for maybe that
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: trade revenge, like get some revenge on Luca.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: Whatever here beat Luca. That's a huge look ahead. So
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: this is a major sandwich spot for Dallas. Man, I
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: don't see them paying much attention to Golden State, especially
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: without Butler.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: But of course Dallas's injury list is a mile long.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: You know, Ad is out for the season, Kyrie is
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: not coming back that he hasn't played at all, Derek
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: Lively has been out for a while now. Gafford looks
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: like he might miss the game tonight as well. He's questionable,
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: so we'll see.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: I know Cooper.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: Flagg missed a few games recently, but he will be playing.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: He's been back for a little while now.
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: And PJ.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: Washington was questionable in the last game, although he is playing.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean Dallas has a ton of injuries
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: to him, man, So it's not just Golden State being
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: without Butler. There's a reason why Golden State's favored on
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: the road here, man, the Oswegers is still telling you
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: that they are the better team here.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: Dallas is in a terrible spot.
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: Like I said, that was a massive win over the
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: Knicks to and yeah, Dallas has a couple of days off,
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: But still a couple of days off after you have
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: a monster win like that, I don't think it's really
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: a good thing.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: So Golden State is the play there.
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: You're on first quarter Warriors and Clippers, But you also
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: agree with me, all right? Hell yeah, blitz Murray in
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: the second half? What are we talking about, Jamal Murray?
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: Fifteen plus for Paul George?
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: What are we talking about? Fifteen points? You mean points
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: scored for Paul George.
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: He's got a play though, man, Jay Man with his
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: props here, and then what are we talking about?
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: What are we talking about? Eight and eighteen and a half?
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know what what are we talking about, you're
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: going with eighteen points for each of them. I don't
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: know what we're talking about. So you're going some alternate
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: prop line here. I don't know, man, I don't do
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: many of the props, but props to the people who do.
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: Chicago at Minnesota. This is probably my next strongest opinion
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: here in basketball. This one's not on my card, but
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: I would agree with the Chicago Bulls in this game.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: The Bulls did just come off a blowout win though
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: against LA against the Clippers, not the Lakers, and they
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: blew them up by twenty eight.
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: That's pretty satisfying.
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: So the Bulls, you know, I don't know what we're
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: gonna get out of them in this game. They're going
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: on a single game road trip to Minnesota. Kind of
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: a weird spot.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: Not that easy though.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: The last time they played Minnesota, Minnesota embarrassed them in
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: Chicago by thirty five points, So Chicago does probably remember
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: that and will probably show up for that reason as well.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: They do a Boston on deck though.
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: Now for Minnesota, they're coming off a pretty embarrassing couple
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: of games. Well, they're coming up of an embarrassing game.
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: Excuse me to Utah but the problem for Minnesota is
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: obviously they're returning over a road trip. They've been on
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: the road since the thirteenth, and you know, I talk
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: about this when teams go on the road and they
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: return home a lot of times they get distracted, they
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: don't pay attention. They have to get back to family life.
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: And they're playing a team that they just destroyed the
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: last time they played them, so they might really overlook them.
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: And they drove an ABC.
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: Game on Saturday as part of that slate against the Warriors,
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: so they might be looking ahead as well. So I
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: do like Chicago in this game. Money does seem to
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: agree with it. I'm tempted to add it to my
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: card tea Wolves nine and a half, fifty percent of tickets,
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent of the cash coming in.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: On the Bulls.
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: Am I gonna add multiple plays on the fly here, man,
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: I do like the Bulls in this one.
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: My one hesitation though, is, besides the fact the Bulls
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: are coming off a blowout win, also, Minnesota's really good
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: at home fifteen and six, so though I did forget
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: to mention, Golden State hasn't been very good on the
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: road though we are playing them on the road here,
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: but whatever, Chicago's bad on the road seven to thirteen,
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: although you only need them to cut as an underdog here.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: But the problem is, we got to see if Josh
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: Giddy is coming back. Man, he's I feel like he's
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: been questionable for a while and I have no idea
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: when he's actually coming back. So that's the problem here
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: because if he comes back, he's like Chicago's best player,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: so that would be a reverse injured player spot on them.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: So you know, I tend to not like playing on
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: teams when that's the case, because he's gotta work his
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: way back in team. The players have to assume their
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: new roles and whatever, and of course you're gonna wind
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: up getting less value on that team if it happens.
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: Now. Based on the line here, it kind of looks
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: like maybe.
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: He's not gonna play, So I don't know, And if
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: he isn't, then I do like the bulls here. But
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: I'll stay away for now, I guess, just because of
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: the uncertainty surrounding Giddy. And of course, if he does play,
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: I do think the line will drop if it's announced
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: that he's gonna play. I think you'll see this line
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: move a couple of points towards Chicago.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: So he'll get less value.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: So if you do like the Bulls, I kind of
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: think you do have to play it now because Giddy
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: might come back.
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: San Antonio is at Utah.
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: San Antonio coming up that tough game at Houston the
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: other day. Man, now they're playing a third game in
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: four and as all in different cities. They just beat
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: Utah not that long ago by double digits, so I think.
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: The Spurs didn't cover. I think we won with Utah
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: plus the points in that game.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: But going into elevation here, I think it's not really
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: a good spot for san Antonio. Man off of playing Houston,
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: Utah just ended a lost streak, although it was interestingly
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: it was in a return home spot. But they beat
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's that was a big win for them, So it
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: is possible they're in a little bit of a letdown
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: spot here.
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: But second game back home usually.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: A positive, though it's more of a positive when you
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: do bad in the first game.
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: But they did end to lose, Yeah, they did end
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: to losing Street.
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: They did lose the last time they played San Antonio,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: so I prefer.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: Utah in the game. The money's kind of disagreeing with it.
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: The Spurs or thirteen point favorite. I believe about sixteen
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: and a half when they were at home, so the
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: line is close to about correct. I guess based on
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: that eighty three percent of the tickets ninety three percent
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Spurs, but I would probably
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: lean towards Utah. The other Amazon Prime game tonight is
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: the La battle between the Lakers and the Clippers. Lakers
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 2: always have to see what's going on with their injury
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: situation here. Man uh Luca has been back for a
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: little while, so he is playing. Where's the injury there?
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: It is, Austin Reeves is still out for Oh by
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: the way. For Denver, it looks like they might be
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: getting balanced Younus back tonight, so that would be pretty
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: big for them getting one of their big guys back.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: So I figured how to point that out of the
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: Clippers Kawhi Leonard, I mean, he's game time decision.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: What else is new?
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: He's old, so I don't even know how much of
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: a factor he really is for the Clippers. The Lakers
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: coming into this game of a big win in elevation
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: against Denver, big comeback win man so I think that
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: does put them in kind of a bad spot here,
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: although they did actually lose the last time they played
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: against the Clippers at the Clippers they lost by fifteen
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: or whatever, so they might remember that and maybe make
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: some adjustments to that. But I think coming off that
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: win in Denver, big comeback, winning the spot is probably
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit better for the Clippers, maybe because the
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: Clippers did just get blown out embarrassingly by Chicago. But
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: of course, the problem with the Clippers is they're returning
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: on from a road trip. They met on the road
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: since Friday, so it wasn't a like long road trip.
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: They weren't away for a full week, but still stuff
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: can pile up for you to do back at home,
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: so you might have stuff to do. But even though
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: you know the home distractions might come into playing whatever,
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to overlook the Lakers. So
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: there is that on an Amazon Prime game, so at
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: least there's that. But the Clippers did lose a long
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: win streak.
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: They lost a six game win streak with that loss
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: to Chicago in their last game, so that is.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: A bit of a concern for the Clippers here. So
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: I don't love that about the Clippers here, So yeah,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know what I would do in this game.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: The money is kind of indicating.
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: On the Clippers.
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: Lakers sixty two percent of the tickets, fifty percent of
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: the cash on them.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: Clippers flip from plus two.
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: To minus one here, So the money is saying the
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: market read is saying Clippers, and that is Oh no,
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: there's one more game, Miami at Portland. Miami coming into
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: this game off a blowout win at Sacramento. Now they're
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four to as fourth game
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 2: in six days, actually all in different cities, so maybe
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: not that easy to do. Portland coming into this game,
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: also off of beating Sacramento, but actually on the road
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: as well. But they've had a couple of days off here, man,
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: and the days off might not be helpful when you
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: have a three game win streak. You actually might have
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: that momentum disrupted when you have too many days off.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: So that's not great. But they are the more rested team.
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: I kind of worry about the spot that Miami's in
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: a little bit here.
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: I probably lean towards the Blazers this one.
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: They flip from plus one and a half to minus
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 2: one and a half, Miami is looking public seventy one
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets also seventy one percent of the
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: cash on the heat.
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: So that's what's going on in that game. And yeah,
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it man.
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: So once again the place I gotta get my first
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: Instagram video because we have one at noon college basketball,
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: We're going app State minus the points I own on
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: money Line or I guess if you want to play
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: Ionna at a small you know, well even if it's
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: this very small favorite price, I think you got to
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: do money Line. I'll run thousand plus the points, Northeastern
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: minus the points, New Mexico State minus the points.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: NBA.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: We got the Philadelphia seventy six ers plus the points,
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: and the Golden State Warriors minus the points. And that
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 2: is gonna do it man. Thanks guys, I appreciate it.
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: Thanks everybody for hanging out. Learn it town on Twitter,
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: learn it Towne on Instagram, Like, subscribe to the show here,
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: get me more viewers.
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: Man, let's go bump this thing up. Baby.
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 2: We also are on audio reviewing over there. Helps me out.
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: Apple Spotify listening helps me out over there as well.
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: Covered in yuc is my yuke YouTube channel I gotta
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: keep that up to date. The Patreon is almost up
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: to date now. Patroon dot com sash Learn to Toad,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: I got some requests that I.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: Got to handle over there.
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: My finger is like really bad though, because I keeps
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: slapping the yuke with it. I gotta somehow find a
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: new way to play the yuke or something where I'm
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: not slapping it.
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to do, man, because I think
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: my finger is broken or something.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: It's bad.
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 2: I'm in permanent pain here. Maybe it's a it could
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: be like a tendon or ligament thing.
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know anyway.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Patron dot Comversation, Learn to Toad, you get the
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: bonus yuke stuff there if you want it. And then
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: Loser casts every Tuesday night, the comedy podcast that I'm on.
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, everybody. I appreciate it. Thanks Piece
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: for now, and I will be back tomorrow morning for
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: the Friday slate. It's gonna do it. Let's have another
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: winning day. Piece