Latest / First Thing Today with Joe Thomas / "Lies, Damn Lies and Polls" (FTTxJT Fri 103026 hr2)
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: This is Independence from Virginia, again, first thing today, by
- 0:10Speaker 1: Joe Thomas on the Talk Media Network.
- 0:13Speaker 2: Joe works at.
- 0:13Speaker 3: A steel mill, he's down here every day. Leaves for
- 0:18Speaker 3: work when the sun comes up, drops a kid to
- 0:21Speaker 3: school and all the way. Joe has everything he dreamed of,
- 0:25Speaker 3: all the treasures that he needs. No wonder Joe's always smiling,
- 0:30Speaker 3: he only.
- 0:31Speaker 4: Aims to please you.
- 0:36Speaker 5: Thank you for letting me be of service to you
- 0:38Speaker 5: this morning.
- 0:43Speaker 6: 434-882-4217.
- 0:44Speaker 5: Those are important numbers because I'm going to tell you
- 0:48Speaker 5: what went on last night. I will give you my
- 0:50Speaker 5: analysis of it, of course. And then don't roll your eyes.
- 0:54Speaker 5: Stop it. I could hear that through the radio. And
- 0:58Speaker 5: it And I want to hear how it's impacting you,
- 1:03Speaker 5: where you are. 434-882-4217. You can do it by text message.
- 1:11Speaker 5: Joel texting in about Mark Warner after hearing us talking
- 1:14Speaker 5: about government intelligence and what happened in Britain. We'll get
- 1:18Speaker 5: to that in a moment. This text message comes in
- 1:24Speaker 5: now that election influencing news is out. What percentage of
- 1:28Speaker 5: likely voters is left to influence the election? Quite a few, actually.
- 1:35Speaker 5: A text message coming from Virginia. Only about a million
- 1:38Speaker 5: people have voted early. And there's two days left in
- 1:42Speaker 5: our flagship state. I think there's two days left for most.
- 1:46Speaker 5: Saturday will be an early vote. And then it'll take
- 1:49Speaker 5: Monday off and come back for Election Day. And then.
- 1:57Speaker 5: Good luck figuring out California. What is he over under?
- 2:00Speaker 5: What's Kalshi's bet on how long it'll take to find
- 2:03Speaker 5: out who won California's governor's race? But this whole story
- 2:10Speaker 5: of election influencing is problematic to me because it infers
- 2:16Speaker 5: and requires you to seed your own intellectual capabilities. And
- 2:25Speaker 5: maybe I'm being Pollyannish about it, but I just truly
- 2:29Speaker 5: have more faith in people's ability to smell the bovine
- 2:34Speaker 5: excrement as it's being shoveled on them. I just wrote
- 2:40Speaker 5: a piece. Oh boy, this one is going. This one
- 2:44Speaker 5: has gone 10 rounds so far with the editorial board
- 2:47Speaker 5: and the lawyers at DailySignal.com because it calls into question polls.
- 2:54Speaker 5: and the accuracy of polls and how polls are used
- 2:57Speaker 5: to influence elections. It'll be a great piece. It'll be
- 3:03Speaker 5: at DailySignal.com. You know, my guys in editorial are on
- 3:07Speaker 5: my side with it. It's just, you know, when lawyers.
- 3:11Speaker 8: Start looking, they go, oh, that's Larry Sabato he's calling out.
- 3:14Speaker 8: And Larry Sabato knows lots of lawyers. Some of them
- 3:17Speaker 8: are even in Congress. So we'll see if it comes out.
- 3:20Speaker 8: I'll tell you what's in it coming up.
- 3:23Speaker 5: Ken Cuccinelli, former Department of Homeland Security secretary, going to
- 3:28Speaker 5: join us as well on this Friday morning live from
- 3:32Speaker 5: City Elders, cityelders.org. If your city doesn't have a City
- 3:37Speaker 5: Elders organization, start one. Under the heading Awkward, apparently the
- 3:45Speaker 5: Department of Justice investigations into Ilhan Omar's citizenship began when
- 3:51Speaker 5: Barack Obama was president. This in a report in all places.
- 3:56Speaker 5: The New York Times citing sources saying that the Obama
- 4:01Speaker 5: administration began the investigation in the summer of 2016. Gosh,
- 4:05Speaker 5: they were so busy then. That was also when they
- 4:08Speaker 5: were investigating Vladimir Putin's influence over Donald Trump. I wonder
- 4:13Speaker 5: if Ilhan Omar had a dossier too. He said that
- 4:17Speaker 5: the Obama administration had some evidence, the story goes, that
- 4:21Speaker 5: the marriage was fraudulent to her brother. The Justice Department
- 4:26Speaker 5: is escalating a criminal investigation into the Dan Sullivan election,
- 4:32Speaker 5: what we're referring to the Alaska Senate race, issuing a
- 4:36Speaker 5: raft of grand jury subpoenas. A person familiar with the
- 4:39Speaker 5: matter leaked to the Associated Press. In South Carolina, campaigning
- 4:44Speaker 5: for Senator Darlene Graham, President Trump compared Democrat Annie Andrews
- 4:52Speaker 5: to the transgender-related medical care she supports, as well as
- 4:57Speaker 5: gun confiscations. Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, said it's
- 5:03Speaker 5: frozen $ 2. 5 billion worth of people's Bitcoin assets. You're not
- 5:08Speaker 5: going to have that happen to gold and silver, because
- 5:11Speaker 5: apparently the company got hacked. Top U.S. military commander in
- 5:15Speaker 5: the Middle East briefed the Trump administration, including the president,
- 5:19Speaker 5: Thursday at the White House about potential military operation readiness
- 5:25Speaker 5: for Iran. Army Lieutenant General Brett Sylvia, Pentagon's senior military strategist,
- 5:32Speaker 5: admitted disclosing classified information about Iran and Ukraine to journalists.
- 5:38Speaker 5: You can't do that?
- 5:39Speaker 9: Really?
- 5:39Speaker 5: Oh, well. Speaking of classified intelligence, Britain's government communications headquarters
- 5:46Speaker 5: cannot find thousands of hard drives and other data storage
- 5:52Speaker 5: devices that could hold sensitive intelligence. Go figure, hard drives
- 5:58Speaker 5: at an intelligence agency might have sensitive stuff on it.
- 6:02Speaker 5: And the Trump administration has announced a new rule to
- 6:06Speaker 5: revise nutrient requirements in infant formulae. It's called Operation Stork Speed,
- 6:12Speaker 5: an initiative under the Make America Healthy Again agenda.
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- 13:13Speaker 1: Here is the sound of thousands of sounds quickly. First
- 13:15Speaker 1: Thing Today by Joe Thomas on the Talk Media Network.
- 13:18Speaker 7: Lean on me when you're not strong.
- 13:23Speaker 5: And I'll be your friend I'll help you carry on
- 13:30Speaker 5: This is the Polster's Blues.
- 13:33Speaker 3: It won't be long Till I'm gonna need Somebody turn
- 13:41Speaker 3: me on.
- 13:43Speaker 5: Leaning on you and trying to influence your vote. And
- 13:48Speaker 5: this goes, whether it's Russia or China, people are sending
- 13:55Speaker 5: you information everywhere. And, you know, it has to start
- 14:00Speaker 5: to become, we have to become more judicious consumers of
- 14:10Speaker 5: And we've grown too comfortable in this idea that there
- 14:15Speaker 5: are people behind TV cameras and behind news desks and
- 14:20Speaker 5: behind radio microphones. Yes, present company included. You need to
- 14:24Speaker 5: not buy my line of crap just because I have
- 14:27Speaker 5: a radio station putting it out there. Please. God is
- 14:31Speaker 5: my witness. I don't ask my kids to believe me
- 14:34Speaker 5: just on spec. I will prove my points to everyone
- 14:40Speaker 5: and anyone, every day and any day. And we get
- 14:44Speaker 5: into this all the time. You want to debate abortion?
- 14:49Speaker 5: I'll debate abortion. I'm not mamby-pamby like most of our
- 14:53Speaker 5: elected officials because I get both sides. I was taught
- 14:57Speaker 5: debate in school. I was taught how you have to
- 15:00Speaker 5: spend almost as much time knowing the other guy's position
- 15:04Speaker 5: as you have to knowing yours. And you know what
- 15:07Speaker 5: that does? It makes you a better arbiter of your
- 15:10Speaker 5: position as well. It has been my experience. Oh, sure,
- 15:15Speaker 5: we want to believe what we believe, but you've got
- 15:18Speaker 5: to read the other stuff. Why did Thomas Jefferson, when
- 15:22Speaker 5: he was at William and Mary University studying law, get
- 15:27Speaker 5: himself a copy of the Koran? That same copy of
- 15:32Speaker 5: the Koran that was famously used to swear Keith Ellison
- 15:36Speaker 5: in Back when we thought Minnesota wasn't a swamp full
- 15:39Speaker 5: of festering grift and graft. Remember when he was sworn
- 15:48Speaker 5: into Congress and it was like, he's using Jefferson's Koran.
- 15:51Speaker 5: I mean, never mind the fact that that's still where
- 15:54Speaker 5: I guess you're swearing to God. The people you really
- 16:01Speaker 5: need to worry about are the elected officials that take
- 16:03Speaker 5: the tax code out, put their left hand on it,
- 16:06Speaker 5: and swear to their God. So I wrote a piece,
- 16:12Speaker 5: and it's actually been a back and forth, because they
- 16:15Speaker 5: get concerned when people like Larry Sabato are going to
- 16:19Speaker 5: fall into the crosshairs. And of course, I don't care
- 16:22Speaker 5: where you're listening to this program, you've heard of Larry Sabato.
- 16:25Speaker 5: He is the Lord High Mugwump of the Virginia Center
- 16:28Speaker 5: for Politics. I don't know if he does all the
- 16:32Speaker 5: same analysis that he used to. Became famous in 2002
- 16:37Speaker 5: and then again in 2012 when he was like 98%
- 16:44Speaker 5: accurate in predicting. And he's predicting there's going to be
- 16:49Speaker 5: like 240 Democrat congresspeople. But as Lee Corso says, just
- 16:57Speaker 5: a moment, my friend. So I published a piece on
- 17:01Speaker 5: polling and get out the vote for the Daily Signal.
- 17:08Speaker 5: It hasn't been published yet, so you may be the
- 17:10Speaker 5: only one who ever sees this or hears it. And
- 17:17Speaker 5: he got the nickname Larry's Crystal Balls when he predicted
- 17:23Speaker 5: the outcome of 433 of 435 contests. And 32 out
- 17:29Speaker 5: of 34 Senate races. And he's weighed in and, oh,
- 17:35Speaker 5: you know, you just forget it. Your Republican congressperson could
- 17:40Speaker 5: be running unopposed and Larry thinks you're going to lose.
- 17:44Speaker 5: And Larry has put aside some of his pretense because
- 17:48Speaker 5: he just can't stand the living idea that Donald J.
- 17:52Speaker 5: Trump was elected president. Twice. Twice, Larry Donald. And both times.
- 17:58Speaker 5: He got that so famously wrong. He said Hillary was
- 18:01Speaker 5: going to get a 350 electoral votes or something like
- 18:06Speaker 5: that in 2016. So Cambridge University studied. That U.S. Senate races,
- 18:26Speaker 5: campaigns degenerate into unsubstantiated and shrill attacks. Voters tend to
- 18:31Speaker 5: stay home. The use of polls, the use of attack
- 18:35Speaker 5: ads and that kind of thing is a tacit vote
- 18:39Speaker 5: suppression maneuver. Cambridge University did a study on it and
- 18:44Speaker 5: said negative ads make people stay home. Marquette University did
- 18:51Speaker 5: an adjunctive study and said that when turnout is above 50%,
- 18:56Speaker 5: Republicans win more, and when it's below 50%, Democrats win
- 19:02Speaker 5: more frequently. So what did I do that has made
- 19:06Speaker 5: them very nervous about Larry Sabato? So I bring into
- 19:09Speaker 5: my column Wedgwood Polls. Do you remember the name Wedgwood Polls? Why,
- 19:14Speaker 5: it was only just a week ago they admitted, admitted,
- 19:17Speaker 5: admitted that they published phony numbers in the Michigan Democrat primary,
- 19:25Speaker 5: causing Mallory McMorrow to suspend her campaign because the phony
- 19:31Speaker 5: poll numbers they put out made it look like she
- 19:34Speaker 5: was going to lose miserably to Mike Rogers. So all
- 19:37Speaker 5: of her fundraising disappeared, and so did she. And now
- 19:42Speaker 5: they've admitted, well, yeah, we just made all that stuff
- 19:44Speaker 5: up and published it. We're calling it an experiment. And
- 19:52Speaker 5: I go into the unscientific way that polls are done,
- 19:55Speaker 5: but then I get into, when you get to places
- 19:58Speaker 5: like Sabato's crystal ball, which will love to expose itself,
- 20:03Speaker 5: it'll open its overcoat and show you its 95% success
- 20:05Speaker 5: rate in its.
- 20:09Speaker 5: Predictions. Lee Corso again, not so fast, my friend. So
- 20:16Speaker 5: when you get in there and you realize that, what's
- 20:18Speaker 5: the expression? Lies, damn lies and statistics. So the statistics
- 20:23Speaker 5: that sound like Larry gets it right all the time
- 20:26Speaker 5: are actually just a case. And I thought I was
- 20:29Speaker 5: dropping stuff this morning. That his statistics are driven by
- 20:34Speaker 5: just the races that he deems safe Republican or safe Democrat.
- 20:40Speaker 5: He gets 95% of the right. But anything that's considered
- 20:45Speaker 5: leaning Democrat or likely Democrat, his record is more like 60%.
- 20:51Speaker 5: It's still better than 50-50. I bet you make money
- 20:56Speaker 5: at Calchi with a 60% approval rating. But if Larry
- 21:00Speaker 5: is saying that there's going to be this blue tsunami
- 21:05Speaker 5: The math doesn't add up. He has 41 seats leaning
- 21:09Speaker 5: or likely Democrat. 18 of those are actually currently held
- 21:13Speaker 5: by Republicans. When you apply the 60% success rate, you
- 21:17Speaker 5: wind up with 200 seats in Congress, not 225, upwards
- 21:22Speaker 5: of 230 with some of the leaners in Larry's prediction. 200,
- 21:35Speaker 5: in case you're wondering, is not a majority. As a
- 21:38Speaker 5: matter of fact, it's fewer Democrats that are in the
- 21:40Speaker 5: House now. Now, all this is predictive, but it's to
- 21:44Speaker 5: point out that when you publish Larry Sabato's stories about,
- 21:48Speaker 5: you know, oh, he's got 95, it's all to drive
- 21:53Speaker 5: you to stay home. You've got to get out. You
- 21:55Speaker 5: have to vote because when people, conservatives, get out to vote,
- 21:59Speaker 5: they win.
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- 24:44Speaker 19: Exercise your rights today. Ensure you're protecting your family at
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- 24:51Speaker 19: Go to GetCCL.com. That's GetCCL.com. Go to GetCCL.com. Exercise your
- 24:58Speaker 19: rights today.
- 24:59Speaker 5: Go to GetCCL.com.
- 25:02Speaker 19: Sweet strawberry icing.
- 25:03Speaker 22: You were strolling along in goodwill when just past that
- 25:06Speaker 22: mid-century side table and denim jacket you spotted them nestled
- 25:10Speaker 22: in their display case. Miniature donut earrings.
- 25:15Speaker 25: Oh, yes!
- 25:16Speaker 7: Yes!
- 25:17Speaker 22: Your favorite half-breakfast pastry, half-all-day dessert food made into your
- 25:22Speaker 22: favorite form of ear candy.
- 25:24Speaker 7: Oh, my.
- 25:25Speaker 22: Those bejeweled sprinkles have satisfied some unknown hunger within you.
- 25:30Speaker 25: Do you smell that?
- 25:33Speaker 22: That's the sugary scent of shopping success. For this is Goodwill.
- 25:40Speaker 22: And with every item you buy, you fund local job
- 25:42Speaker 22: training and more. So go forth. Bring home those donut earrings.
- 25:49Speaker 22: And bring home so much good to your community. Brought
- 25:53Speaker 22: to you by Goodwill and the Ad Council.
- 25:55Speaker 25: My name is Jim. I'm a veteran, and I lost
- 25:58Speaker 25: both legs in Vietnam. My victory was proving that a
- 26:01Speaker 25: disability is not a limitation. I'm Julius.
- 26:04Speaker 5: I'm a veteran.
- 26:05Speaker 1: My victory was going from homeless to home.
- 26:08Speaker 9: At DAV, we're on a mission, helping veterans of all
- 26:12Speaker 9: generations get the benefits they've earned.
- 26:14Speaker 16: I'm CeCe.
- 26:15Speaker 18: My victory was finishing my education.
- 26:18Speaker 9: When America's veterans win, we all win. Help us support
- 26:21Speaker 9: more victories for veterans.
- 26:23Speaker 5: Go to DAV.org.
- 26:26Speaker 20: We the people are guaranteed five freedoms.
- 26:29Speaker 5: In the First Amendment.
- 26:31Speaker 19: Freedom of speech.
- 26:33Speaker 21: Freedom of religion.
- 26:35Speaker 3: Freedom of the press.
- 26:38Speaker 26: Freedom to peaceably assemble.
- 26:40Speaker 5: Freedom to petition the government.
- 26:43Speaker 20: Only the United States has these five freedoms so simply
- 26:46Speaker 20: bound together and guaranteed.
- 26:48Speaker 12: Think first.
- 26:49Speaker 20: Learn more at thinkfirstamendment.org.
- 26:56Speaker 21: No word in the English language is less convincing than probably.
- 27:01Speaker 2: Are you sure we should get matching tattoos on our
- 27:03Speaker 2: first date?
- 27:04Speaker 21: Sure.
- 27:05Speaker 2: We'll probably stay together.
- 27:07Speaker 7: Probably?
- 27:07Speaker 21: It's been 23 minutes since I ate.
- 27:12Speaker 5: I can probably swim.
- 27:14Speaker 20: You should wait 30 minutes.
- 27:16Speaker 5: Okay, tell me what to do.
- 27:18Speaker 21: Cannonball!
- 27:20Speaker 27: Cramp!
- 27:21Speaker 12: I have a cramp. Ready to go?
- 27:25Speaker 15: Hey, are you sure you're okay to drive?
- 27:28Speaker 12: Yeah, I'm pretty sober.
- 27:31Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm probably okay.
- 27:33Speaker 21: Probably okay isn't okay, especially when it comes to drinking
- 27:37Speaker 21: and driving. If you're drinking, call a cab, a car,
- 27:40Speaker 21: or a friend. Buzzed driving is drunk driving. A message
- 27:44Speaker 21: brought to you by NHTSA and the Ad Council.
- 27:46Speaker 27: To protect his family from disaster, Steve used his camera phone.
- 27:51Speaker 27: By taking pictures of his important documents, Steve can always
- 27:54Speaker 27: have them stored online. Learn more simple disaster prep tips
- 27:57Speaker 27: at ready.gov. A message from FEMA and the Ad Council.
- 28:11Speaker 1: First Thing Today by Joe Thomas on the Talk Media Network.
- 28:24Speaker 23: You've got to be live from our friends at Common
- 28:34Speaker 23: Ground and.
- 28:35Speaker 5: The weekly get-together of our city elders meetings. Folks, their
- 28:41Speaker 5: slogan is Governing the City Gates. You know, you sit
- 28:45Speaker 5: there and I know you've said it. I know you have.
- 28:47Speaker 5: Some of you have even said it to my face.
- 28:49Speaker 5: We need people of better character in these elected offices,
- 28:54Speaker 5: to which I counter. We also need these elected offices
- 28:56Speaker 5: to carry a whole lot less authority, which we agree
- 29:00Speaker 5: to as well. But I think the start is getting
- 29:02Speaker 5: ethical people elected to it and then saying, hey, can
- 29:05Speaker 5: you give up some of the power you hold over
- 29:07Speaker 5: the economy? Because ethical people would say, yeah, it seems
- 29:11Speaker 5: like the right thing to do. So that's the goal
- 29:13Speaker 5: of City Elders. Eight states in the union have City
- 29:18Speaker 5: Elders units in it, varying numbers. If you don't have
- 29:21Speaker 5: a City Elders unit where you are, get one. Start one.
- 29:27Speaker 5: And it's very easy. Our host here, Kevin, said he'll
- 29:30Speaker 5: help anyone start up a City Elders unit wherever you are.
- 29:35Speaker 5: Just email him, kevin at cityeldersva.org. We're here in Fishersville, Virginia, which,
- 29:43Speaker 5: by the way, isn't near any water, so I'm not
- 29:46Speaker 5: sure who's fishing, but somewhere someone's fishing. No, there's a
- 29:50Speaker 5: pretty good-sized lake up as you head into the Blue
- 29:53Speaker 5: Ridge Mountains right here in the foothills of Sane. Hey,
- 29:57Speaker 5: I forgot to get in and talk to James. And
- 30:00Speaker 5: I'm sitting here saying, ask James about this crypto hack.
- 30:05Speaker 5: Because our friend James Luck at jcsgold.com, it was my
- 30:09Speaker 5: point earlier, James, that you're not going to have somebody
- 30:12Speaker 5: hack in to your safe and take all your gold
- 30:17Speaker 5: without actually having to physically carry it out if you're there. Now,
- 30:22Speaker 5: this cryptocurrency deal $ 2. 5 billion worth of cryptocurrency is frozen
- 30:29Speaker 5: right now because somebody hacked into this Binance company, James.
- 30:34Speaker 5: That isn't happening to gold and silver. If you own gold,
- 30:36Speaker 5: you own gold. Nobody's hacking into that stuff, are they?
- 30:40Speaker 5: You're exactly right, Joe.
- 30:42Speaker 4: If you own gold, no one can figure out your
- 30:47Speaker 4: password and steal it from you in the middle of
- 30:49Speaker 4: the night just through your phone. It is something that
- 30:52Speaker 4: you physically.
- 30:54Speaker 5: Own and carry.
- 30:55Speaker 4: A lot of people actually that have never bought physical
- 30:57Speaker 4: gold and silver before are actually surprised when When I
- 31:00Speaker 4: say to them, like, you know, this is yours, you
- 31:02Speaker 4: can take it with you now. And they're like, oh,
- 31:04Speaker 4: I actually get to keep it and hold it? And
- 31:08Speaker 4: I said, yeah, you can do whatever you want with it.
- 31:12Speaker 5: No, what is it? There's that old movie, Hunt for
- 31:16Speaker 5: Red October, where Sam Neill's character said, can I drive
- 31:19Speaker 5: from state to state? And Sean Connery says, I think so.
- 31:24Speaker 5: He said, no papers? No papers. Yes, no papers needed.
- 31:27Speaker 5: You don't need the government permission to take your gold home,
- 31:31Speaker 5: although there are some good practices like having a safe
- 31:34Speaker 5: and things like that to hold them in. But what
- 31:39Speaker 5: you do with it, it is your property, and you
- 31:40Speaker 5: get to take it home with you. This is probably
- 31:42Speaker 5: why government doesn't like us talking so much about gold
- 31:45Speaker 5: and silver sometimes.
- 31:48Speaker 4: That's typically correct. It is something that really cannot be
- 31:52Speaker 4: controlled other than by the owner of the physical gold
- 31:57Speaker 4: and silver. So that makes it the actually decentralized money
- 32:03Speaker 4: system there is that you are in full control of
- 32:07Speaker 4: your gold and silver. And actually today, you can buy
- 32:09Speaker 4: even more gold and silver because both are on quite
- 32:12Speaker 4: a discount so far this morning. Gold is down about 1%,
- 32:16Speaker 4: down $ 39 to $ 3, 980, dipping just below that $ 4, 000 level.
- 32:23Speaker 4: So far over the past two weeks, every time gold
- 32:26Speaker 4: has dipped below 4,000, it's quickly snapped back up. We'll
- 32:30Speaker 4: see if that's the case today on Friday. Silver down
- 32:33Speaker 4: about 3%, having one of the biggest drawdowns here in
- 32:38Speaker 4: a while for silver, right at $ 50.
- 32:39Speaker 14: 60.
- 32:39Speaker 4: And I know you can find some really good.
- 32:44Speaker 5: On silver at jcsgold.com.
- 32:47Speaker 4: We have some items there right at spot and some
- 32:50Speaker 4: items even below spot and take advantage of that while
- 32:52Speaker 4: they last.
- 32:53Speaker 5: I know you and I have talked about this and
- 32:55Speaker 5: it fascinates me with so many things that silver is
- 32:59Speaker 5: used for besides value and currency and everything. I think
- 33:04Speaker 5: that the equation would be inverse, that silver would be
- 33:08Speaker 5: far more valuable than gold. But get it while the
- 33:12Speaker 5: getting's good. And you can do it online. You've got
- 33:16Speaker 5: a no spot deal on JCSGold.com, don't you? Where, you know,
- 33:21Speaker 5: on some items, there's not even a spot. You get
- 33:24Speaker 5: it right for the spot price, right, James?
- 33:27Speaker 15: Yeah.
- 33:28Speaker 4: Yeah, there's no premium on some silver items there at JCSGold.com.
- 33:33Speaker 4: You can buy it for below the market value there,
- 33:36Speaker 4: below that spot value. So you can take advantage of
- 33:39Speaker 4: that while that's still in stock.
- 33:41Speaker 5: Or as we say in the colloquial business, get it
- 33:43Speaker 5: while the getting's good. James, you have an awesome weekend.
- 33:47Speaker 5: Happy Halloween. And I know, you know, you'll probably be
- 33:50Speaker 5: going trick-or-treating somewhere. And I hope the kids have a
- 33:54Speaker 5: great time doing that. And we will see you on
- 33:57Speaker 5: Monday morning.
- 33:59Speaker 20: Thanks, Joe.
- 33:59Speaker 4: Sounds good.
- 34:00Speaker 5: You too.
- 34:00Speaker 14: 434-882.
- 34:01Speaker 5: By the way, you can call James. 434-979-COIN all day
- 34:03Speaker 5: today starting at 10 Eastern. They're us. You want to
- 34:12Speaker 5: call us and get into it. 434-882-4217. That's our number.
- 34:18Speaker 5: And you can get with us there at 434-882-4217. A
- 34:25Speaker 5: couple of text messages using that same phone number on
- 34:29Speaker 5: our situation with Larry Sabato's poll numbers. Joe, it's fascinating
- 34:37Speaker 5: to me how they can make these statistics say whatever
- 34:40Speaker 5: they want. So when Larry says he has a 95%
- 34:44Speaker 5: accuracy rate for his predictions, he's just talking about the
- 34:48Speaker 5: ones that he deems safe. Couldn't I or you have
- 34:52Speaker 5: a 95%? Yes. I mean, if you look at however
- 34:57Speaker 5: many are considered safe, and I guess the hard job
- 35:01Speaker 5: is to consider what is a safe district, But in
- 35:05Speaker 5: this day and age of gerrymandering, safe districts are pretty
- 35:09Speaker 5: easy to see. Some of the states that have done
- 35:13Speaker 5: nonpartisan districting, like Virginia, it becomes a little bit more challenging.
- 35:18Speaker 5: But the bigger challenge to me, and you really want
- 35:21Speaker 5: to blow up the business of polling and prognostication, is
- 35:27Speaker 5: we repeal the 19... You're already rolling your eyes. We
- 35:32Speaker 5: repeal the 1929 Permanent Reapportionment Act and at least get
- 35:38Speaker 5: back to where our congressional representation was in 1929, 1930.
- 35:44Speaker 5: We're approaching 100 years since the last time we added
- 35:50Speaker 5: a congressional district. And we have three, I think it's 3.3
- 35:54Speaker 5: or 3.4 times as many citizens As we did then.
- 36:00Speaker 5: And so Democrat or Republican, I mean, you go to
- 36:06Speaker 5: some college campus and the twinks with the pink hair
- 36:10Speaker 5: are saying the same thing that conservatives are. They're not
- 36:13Speaker 5: listening to us. Of course they're not. There's 850,000 of
- 36:17Speaker 5: us in an average congressional district. And that's voters. So
- 36:24Speaker 5: you tell me, are you going to get listened to?
- 36:27Speaker 5: You know, me, I had a sibling, so I know
- 36:32Speaker 5: what it's like to have my importance in my family
- 36:35Speaker 5: diluted in half when my sister was born. Some of
- 36:39Speaker 5: you may be only children, and therefore, you know, you
- 36:41Speaker 5: don't have that idea of what it's like to have
- 36:44Speaker 5: your influence with the decision makers cut in half, but
- 36:48Speaker 5: I do. I mean, I love my sister now, but
- 36:50Speaker 5: at the time, it was a little salty. It's like, Mom,
- 36:54Speaker 5: I can't right now. I've got to take care of Julie, okay? Fine. Yes,
- 36:59Speaker 5: we're named Joe and Julie. And it was not intentional.
- 37:01Speaker 5: It's just family names there. Don't judge. That's the second
- 37:06Speaker 5: confessional this morning. The Star Trek stuff from last hour
- 37:10Speaker 5: and this. And if you only get one hour, go
- 37:13Speaker 5: to the podcast channels. Tons of people. It's like Apple
- 37:17Speaker 5: podcasts have decided to start telling people we're there, which
- 37:21Speaker 5: is good. The algorithm's got to, you know... If it's
- 37:24Speaker 5: the only rhythm I have, an algorithm is fine by me.
- 37:28Speaker 5: So you get that to us. Andy, I think, is
- 37:30Speaker 5: on the line with us. I think I heard Andy
- 37:32Speaker 5: talking in the background there. Andy, what's on your mind
- 37:35Speaker 5: this morning, sir?
- 37:37Speaker 7: A couple of things.
- 37:38Speaker 28: First of all, Sabato, he's like Deep State on steroids.
- 37:46Speaker 28: When I lived in Charlottesville— I had escaped from a
- 37:51Speaker 28: crazy wife, and my first house was actually in Glenmore
- 37:55Speaker 28: Country Club.
- 37:56Speaker 5: Which nobody knows where that is.
- 37:57Speaker 28: And one of the things I started doing was collecting art.
- 38:02Speaker 13: In a study, it was found that 33% of 44
- 38:05Speaker 13: herbal supplements had no trace of the advertised herb. Don't
- 38:10Speaker 13: let that happen to you.
- 38:11Speaker 21: Hi, this is Dr.
- 38:13Speaker 7: Mitch.
- 38:14Speaker 13: If you want to ensure quality, please go to TotalWellness.com.
- 38:19Speaker 13: Supplements made for physicians only now available to you too. TotalWellness.com.
- 38:27Speaker 13: Helping you to look good, feel good, and enjoy total wellness.
- 38:31Speaker 26: From border to border, from sea to shining sea, more
- 38:36Speaker 26: than 61,000 ordinary American citizens are serving their communities every
- 38:40Speaker 26: day as a member of the Civil Air Patrol, the
- 38:43Speaker 26: official auxiliary of the United States Air Force. From disasters
- 38:47Speaker 26: large and small, natural and man-made, we answer the call
- 38:52Speaker 26: to serve. To find out more information or to find
- 38:55Speaker 26: a unit near you, log on now. GoCivilAirPatrol.com.
- 39:04Speaker 13: Considered by most, optimized curcumin is one of the few
- 39:07Speaker 13: bioavailable and highly absorbable curcumin products on the market. Hi,
- 39:13Speaker 13: I'm Dr.
- 39:14Speaker 27: Mitch.
- 39:14Speaker 13: Since most chronic diseases have inflammation, our optimized curcumin seems
- 39:20Speaker 13: to be a perfect addition to any nutritional program. It
- 39:24Speaker 13: makes sense to me that preventing or reducing inflammation is
- 39:29Speaker 13: a key component to our overall health. The Mayo Clinic
- 39:33Speaker 13: found that curcumin can decrease swelling and inflammation, has antioxidant properties,
- 39:39Speaker 13: and research suggests that curcumin can prevent cancer or at
- 39:44Speaker 13: least slow the spread of cancer and in many instances
- 39:47Speaker 13: make chemotherapy more effective. It protects our healthy cells even
- 39:52Speaker 13: from radiation. TotalWellness.com, where we help you to look good,
- 39:58Speaker 13: feel good, and enjoy total wellness.
- 40:02Speaker 17: I'm Andrew Saul, Commissioner of Social Security. I'm here to
- 40:06Speaker 17: warn you about telephone scammers pretending to be government employees.
- 40:10Speaker 17: Some of these scammers may say threatening things like you
- 40:13Speaker 17: will be arrested if you don't make payments or provide
- 40:17Speaker 17: personal information. Do not fall for these tricks. These calls
- 40:21Speaker 17: are not from us. Real Social Security employees will never
- 40:26Speaker 17: threaten you for information or money. If you receive a
- 40:29Speaker 17: call like this, hang up. Never give the caller your
- 40:33Speaker 17: personal information, like your Social Security number or bank account,
- 40:38Speaker 17: or send money in any form, cash, gift cards, wire transfers,
- 40:43Speaker 17: or prepaid debit cards. Report the call to our law
- 40:46Speaker 17: enforcement arm the Office of the Inspector General at oig.ssa.gov.
- 40:54Speaker 17: Share this information with your friends and family.
- 40:59Speaker 5: Hi, everybody.
- 40:59Speaker 29: I'm Jack Hanna. Since I was a boy growing up
- 41:01Speaker 29: on a farm in Tennessee, I've been fascinated with animals.
- 41:05Speaker 29: I'm not only in awe of their beauty and kindness,
- 41:06Speaker 29: but also their tireless work ethic. Just look at the
- 41:09Speaker 29: birds who gather supplies to build nests or Swiss foxes.
- 41:13Speaker 5: Who work hard to provide for their young.
- 41:14Speaker 29: Or penguins, who travel up to 500 miles to secure
- 41:17Speaker 29: food for their families. Or bush babies, whose impressive jump
- 41:21Speaker 29: allows them to navigate the trees and the wild in
- 41:23Speaker 29: search of fruit. This remarkable work ethic is shared by
- 41:26Speaker 29: our best friends, the canines. We know dogs are our
- 41:29Speaker 29: wonderful pets at home, but because of their acute senses,
- 41:32Speaker 29: they also perform life-saving work every day. Dogs keep us
- 41:35Speaker 29: safe at airports. They comfort returning veterans, some of whom
- 41:38Speaker 29: suffer from PTS. They work with diabetics, alerting them when
- 41:41Speaker 29: there's a change in their blood chemistry. Working dogs have
- 41:44Speaker 29: a variety of highly trained roles that contribute to society
- 41:47Speaker 29: and help those in need. So please join me and
- 41:49Speaker 29: American Humane in supporting our heroic working dogs and all
- 41:52Speaker 29: the amazing animals on this planet we inhabit together. Go
- 41:55Speaker 29: to americanhumane.org to learn more.
- 41:59Speaker 19: Uh-oh, Brad's buzzed.
- 42:01Speaker 7: Oh, yeah?
- 42:02Speaker 21: Yeah, he's starting with the woots.
- 42:04Speaker 22: And now a speech.
- 42:07Speaker 20: I just want to say that friendship is about heart.
- 42:10Speaker 20: Heart and brain.
- 42:12Speaker 5: Who's with me?
- 42:13Speaker 20: Good thing is, he knows when he's buzzed. And my
- 42:15Speaker 20: brain is saying, when it's time to go home, somebody
- 42:18Speaker 20: call me a ride.
- 42:19Speaker 21: Love that guy.
- 42:20Speaker 22: Me too.
- 42:21Speaker 2: Know your buzzed warning signs? Call for a ride when
- 42:24Speaker 2: it's time to go home. Buzz driving is drunk driving.
- 42:29Speaker 30: Did you know that more than half our household energy
- 42:31Speaker 30: costs go to heating and cooling? Energy efficiency isn't just
- 42:35Speaker 30: good for the environment. It means lower utility bills, too.
- 42:40Speaker 30: One way to reduce your energy waste is a home
- 42:42Speaker 30: energy assessment. Your utility company can help, or you can
- 42:46Speaker 30: learn how to do it yourself at energysavers.gov. That's energysavers.gov.
- 42:52Speaker 30: You'll learn to look for air leaks around windows and doors,
- 42:55Speaker 30: check ducts for holes, and improve your insulation. Another time
- 42:59Speaker 30: to cut energy costs is when you shop for a
- 43:01Speaker 30: new appliance. Look for the Energy Star logo and read
- 43:04Speaker 30: the Energy Guide label. And there are day-to-day things you
- 43:08Speaker 30: can do. Lower your thermostat in winter and raise it
- 43:11Speaker 30: in the summer. Close fireplace dampers when they're not in use.
- 43:15Speaker 30: And keep air filters clean. For more tips on saving
- 43:18Speaker 30: money by reducing your energy waste, check out ftc.gov slash green.
- 43:24Speaker 30: A tip from the Federal Trade Commission. the nation's consumer
- 43:27Speaker 30: protection agency.
- 43:30Speaker 18: As a family member or friend, you may be the
- 43:32Speaker 18: first to notice when a veteran you love has been
- 43:35Speaker 18: going through changes. Things like withdrawing, drinking more, or increased
- 43:41Speaker 18: anger could be a sign of a larger health concern.
- 43:44Speaker 18: But help is available. Listen to hundreds of inspiring stories
- 43:49Speaker 18: at maketheconnection.net and learn how you can support the veterans
- 43:53Speaker 18: in your life. Treatment works. Recovery is possible.
- 44:11Speaker 1: Making mornings great again. First thing today on the Talk
- 44:15Speaker 1: Media Network by Joe Thomas.
- 44:17Speaker 7: Can't wait.
- 44:18Speaker 3: Okay.
- 44:22Speaker 20: Well, there's an awful lot of issues important to me.
- 44:26Speaker 22: Here's my campaign policy.
- 44:29Speaker 5: Education.
- 44:30Speaker 29: Arbitration.
- 44:32Speaker 7: Equalization. United Nations.
- 44:35Speaker 5: Race relations.
- 44:36Speaker 7: Hospitalization.
- 44:38Speaker 15: Accusation.
- 44:40Speaker 5: Violation.
- 44:41Speaker 19: Copying.
- 44:42Speaker 5: Realization. I'm freaking out. Oh, that's what they want. day
- 44:48Speaker 5: or two left of early voting in most places, then
- 44:52Speaker 5: Tuesday it's put up or shut up time. Joining us
- 44:55Speaker 5: from the Election Transparency Initiative and friends of ours and
- 45:01Speaker 5: working with the Heritage Foundation there, the former Homeland Security
- 45:06Speaker 5: Director under President Trump and Attorney General. And, you know,
- 45:10Speaker 5: while we're here at the City Elders and we're talking
- 45:12Speaker 5: about putting ethical people at the levers of power. I
- 45:16Speaker 5: often think of Ken as one of those ethical people.
- 45:20Speaker 5: They're the great Ken Cuccinelli. Good morning, Ken. How are
- 45:23Speaker 5: you doing this morning, sir?
- 45:25Speaker 7: I'm doing just fine, Joe. I hope you are.
- 45:28Speaker 5: Like I said, I'm in a room full of people
- 45:30Speaker 5: who want to put ethical people into political office. What
- 45:33Speaker 5: could go wrong?
- 45:34Speaker 7: Laughter Yeah.
- 45:39Speaker 5: Nobody wants voter fraud here.
- 45:41Speaker 7: Well, boredom isn't a threat in that front anyway.
- 45:44Speaker 5: Exactly. So is the coming election from where you sit? Obviously, you,
- 45:51Speaker 5: along with many of us, frustrated about the failure of
- 45:54Speaker 5: the U.S. Senate to do what 90 percent of Americans want,
- 45:58Speaker 5: which is pass the Save America Act.
- 46:01Speaker 9: Yeah.
- 46:02Speaker 5: You know, does this make our case for us what
- 46:05Speaker 5: happens on Tuesday? potentially anyway?
- 46:10Speaker 7: Well, you'd think you wouldn't even need it relative to
- 46:15Speaker 7: the SAVE Act. I mean, you're literally watching the federal
- 46:19Speaker 7: government finally, really for the first time in our lives,
- 46:23Speaker 7: apply resources to investigate voter issues like voter rolls, particularly
- 46:32Speaker 7: non-citizens on the voter rolls. And they're coming up with
- 46:36Speaker 7: tens of thousands of them per state. I mean, last
- 46:40Speaker 7: summer we saw New Jersey have to admit that in
- 46:45Speaker 7: one year they registered over 6,000 non-citizens using their automatic
- 46:52Speaker 7: voter registration, which by the way is a reason automatic
- 46:55Speaker 7: voter registration is a bad idea. And over 400 of
- 47:00Speaker 7: them voted. That's just one year's worth in one state. Um, and, um, uh,
- 47:08Speaker 7: and the courts of course are trying to get in
- 47:10Speaker 7: the way of the Trump administration, trying to clean up
- 47:13Speaker 7: the voter rolls. But, uh, we're, we're decades overdue and
- 47:18Speaker 7: this is not just this Democrats. This is the first
- 47:23Speaker 7: Trump administration. It's the Bushes. I mean, how far back
- 47:27Speaker 7: do you want to go?
- 47:28Speaker 5: Well, you can, um, what was it called? The, uh,
- 47:30Speaker 5: Madison Mafia, all those Wisconsinians in the Trump administration, Priebus
- 47:36Speaker 5: and Ryan and all those folks.
- 47:38Speaker 7: Yeah. Yeah. Very tragic.
- 47:42Speaker 5: So what I mean, is it purely out of fear
- 47:47Speaker 5: of retribution for, you know, saying somebody can't vote just
- 47:52Speaker 5: because they're here? Because that seems to be the argument is, well,
- 47:57Speaker 5: they're here, let them vote. And I'm like, how can
- 48:00Speaker 5: that even be an argument? How do adult human beings
- 48:03Speaker 5: with some semblance of education make that case?
- 48:07Speaker 7: I think it's beyond an argument. It's a goal of
- 48:09Speaker 7: the open borders Democrats. And they're the majority of Democrats.
- 48:13Speaker 7: I mean, you've seen the same polling I have. Only
- 48:15Speaker 7: 25% of Democrats love America. Down from almost 90%. Twenty
- 48:24Speaker 7: five years ago. Right. And, you know, they open borders
- 48:29Speaker 7: is isn't a goal unto itself. It's to dilute America
- 48:34Speaker 7: as it is. And and part of that is allowing
- 48:38Speaker 7: and getting those illegal aliens on the voter rolls. because
- 48:43Speaker 7: they're very confident, they'll vote their way. This is just
- 48:47Speaker 7: about power. Voter ID gets in the way of Democrats
- 48:52Speaker 7: getting elected. That's how they view it. And so they
- 48:54Speaker 7: fight it like crazy.
- 48:57Speaker 5: I've compared it. Our dear friend, to take Jake Fry,
- 49:02Speaker 5: the mayor of Minneapolis or Somalia, as we refer to
- 49:07Speaker 5: it here, said that in his famous battles with ice
- 49:13Speaker 5: over the summer, they're coming to take our abuelas and
- 49:17Speaker 5: our busboys away. And I think he gave voice to
- 49:21Speaker 5: something I've said for a while. This isn't the beginnings
- 49:24Speaker 5: of a new civil war. This is just the same
- 49:27Speaker 5: old one we thought we put to bed in Appomattox.
- 49:30Speaker 5: And it's about the same thing. a brown-skinned, permanent underclass
- 49:34Speaker 5: of people here to work for us, and we'll give
- 49:37Speaker 5: them a vote as long as they vote for the
- 49:39Speaker 5: people who keep the gravy train coming and the aid
- 49:43Speaker 5: wagons showing up.
- 49:46Speaker 7: Yeah, there's no question about that. I mean, we could
- 49:49Speaker 7: go all day on the racist statements that they don't
- 49:53Speaker 7: think are racist. That certainly is.
- 49:55Speaker 5: Well, because they're Democrats.
- 49:57Speaker 7: We can start walking through congressmen and women who say
- 50:00Speaker 7: very similar things. Who the hell is going to what's
- 50:02Speaker 7: the woman who said who's going to wipe my ass?
- 50:05Speaker 7: Who's going to mow my lawn? You know, so if
- 50:11Speaker 7: a Republican said this stuff, they'd be strung up. I
- 50:13Speaker 7: don't have a problem with that. My problem is that
- 50:16Speaker 7: when a Democrat says that they.
- 50:18Speaker 5: Aren't right there, they're sanctified as taking a stand and
- 50:21Speaker 5: pushing back against the mean people. Trump administration that, you know,
- 50:24Speaker 5: wants people to actually be citizens. And, you know, people
- 50:28Speaker 5: don't make this point. Donald Trump is not stopping somebody
- 50:31Speaker 5: from becoming a citizen. If they go through the process,
- 50:34Speaker 5: they make it out. I mean, the same thing they
- 50:36Speaker 5: do with abortion.
- 50:37Speaker 7: No, people, people lose track of the fact. And I
- 50:41Speaker 7: had to deal with it head on that. He's pretty
- 50:44Speaker 7: enthusiastic about that, frankly.
- 50:47Speaker 19: Yeah.
- 50:48Speaker 7: Um, I think what he'd really like is a system
- 50:52Speaker 7: where we're bringing in economic immigrants, by which I mean
- 50:55Speaker 7: people who contribute to the economy rather than people who
- 50:59Speaker 7: are interested in participating in it. And that's an America
- 51:04Speaker 7: first mentality. We want an immigration system that grows our
- 51:09Speaker 7: economy and grows our opportunities. And that's not what we
- 51:13Speaker 7: have right now.
- 51:14Speaker 5: Well, you used to have it. Both of my in-laws
- 51:17Speaker 5: were immigrants. and they had to get sponsors in this
- 51:22Speaker 5: country who were going to put up some capital and
- 51:25Speaker 5: say that, you know, if this guy turns out to
- 51:27Speaker 5: be a drain on the community and not a benefit
- 51:30Speaker 5: to it, we have to put up some value to that.
- 51:34Speaker 5: There has to be some skin into the game. You know,
- 51:37Speaker 5: what would be wrong with going back to that? And
- 51:39Speaker 5: I don't even know what was right with going away
- 51:41Speaker 5: from it.
- 51:43Speaker 7: Yeah, that's where we're actually supposed to be now. That
- 51:49Speaker 7: was the public charge rule that we put out in 2019,
- 51:54Speaker 7: was an update to that. That's been an expectation of
- 51:58Speaker 7: American law as long as we've had immigration law, which
- 52:01Speaker 7: is about 145 years.
- 52:02Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. Ken Cuccinelli is on with us. Election transparency issues. And,
- 52:10Speaker 5: you know, Ken, is the best way to get to
- 52:12Speaker 5: you through the Heritage Foundation now or do you go
- 52:18Speaker 5: directly to it? Yeah, it is.
- 52:20Speaker 7: Yeah, we operate with the Election Transparency Initiative. So the
- 52:25Speaker 7: Heritage Foundation is C3. We do policy work there. And
- 52:29Speaker 7: I participate with Don Palmer and others in formulating good
- 52:33Speaker 7: election policy. We also work at Heritage Action, which is
- 52:37Speaker 7: a C4 organization. which goes around the country and tries
- 52:42Speaker 7: to get those good policies enacted.
- 52:44Speaker 5: Yeah, and that's one of the most important things that
- 52:47Speaker 5: we can do because it's like being a dew tank.
- 52:51Speaker 25: My name is Bobby.
- 52:52Speaker 7: I'm a veteran and lost my leg to a roadside bomb.
- 52:55Speaker 21: My victory was going from a wheelchair to becoming a
- 52:58Speaker 21: weightlifting champion.
- 53:00Speaker 1: I'm Sam. I'm a veteran.
- 53:02Speaker 20: My victory was finding a career I can be proud
- 53:04Speaker 20: of and supporting my family.
- 53:06Speaker 9: America's veterans are on their most important tour, the tour
- 53:09Speaker 9: of their lives.
- 53:10Speaker 25: I'm a veteran.
- 53:11Speaker 20: My victory was going from homeless to home.
- 53:14Speaker 9: At DAV, we're on a mission to help veterans get
- 53:17Speaker 9: the benefits they've earned.
- 53:19Speaker 30: I'm a veteran, and my victory was finishing my education.
- 53:23Speaker 9: DAV offers veterans of all generations a lifetime of support.
- 53:27Speaker 9: for victories great and small.
- 53:29Speaker 25: My victory was proving that disability is not a limitation.
- 53:33Speaker 20: My victory was getting my service dog a new best friend.
- 53:36Speaker 9: We help more than a million veterans every year as
- 53:38Speaker 9: they face and conquer their challenges.
- 53:41Speaker 22: My victory is being able to be there for my family.
- 53:44Speaker 9: When America's veterans win, we all win. Help us support
- 53:47Speaker 9: more victories for veterans.
- 53:49Speaker 5: Go to DAV.org.