Latest / Toadstool Sports / Brewers/Cubs MLB + WNBA Best Bets Wednesday 8/20/25

Transcript

Brewers/Cubs MLB + WNBA Best Bets Wednesday 8/20/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: What to tell you about that. I just don't want
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four next have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Brouins hack. Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: I think who even knows? Man, I don't know what
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, back with as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Oh and five
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: the worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Slump yesterday, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: Oh boy, what's up everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: It's sewed back with You're better off dead?
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Wednesday? Is that what it is?
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: Wednesday, August twentieth.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, whatever it is, I'm trying to be
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit more soft spoken here, man. I gotta
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: get my voice back to do my ukulele. We were
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: three and oh on the show or yeah, no, three
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: and one on the show yesterday?
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: What am I saying?
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: Houston Detroit under that was pretty easy as the team's
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: didn't score any runs in the entirety of the nine
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: innings of play. So I was like, well, as long
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: as we don't get like a ridiculous, you know, four
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: to three outcome in extra innings or something completely insane
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: like that.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: No, it was a one nothing game. I think Detroit
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: with the wins.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: That was the easiest win that you could possibly have
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: on an under Oh we did not get the other
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: Underwright Saint Louis and Miami. Gonna ask for my money
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: back from Edward Cabrera because he was terrible in the game.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: McGreevy held up his end of the bargain. Edward Cabrera
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: was not good. The bullpens didn't really help us out
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: in that one either, so that was a bad one.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I apologized for that the other two though, White Sox.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: That made me look pretty smart. The White Sox hanging
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: around in that game early in the game, and then
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: they exploded for five runs there.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: It was a back and forth game, man.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: They were losing by one run, they were ahead by
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: one run, losing by one run again. They I think
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: they were down two to one, up three to two,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: down four to three, all in the first four innings
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: of the game, and then top of the fifth they
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: had a five run outburst to take an eight four lead,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: and then that is what carried through the fifth inning.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: So we got the what looked like a pretty easy
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: win there, and then the White Sox wound up not
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: winning the game at all. In the entirety of the game.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: They lost by wan, although if you went run line
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: on the full game and took them plus one and
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: a half that would have also still been a winner,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: So winners all around, nonetheless, but White Sox first five innings,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: the fact that they were up by that much at
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: the end of five made me look good. It was
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: definitely got the pitching matchup right in that one. Smith
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: outpitched Elder, who is terrible, and then Cincinnati. Maybe I
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: should have gone first five on that one, but it's like,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: why would you ever want to exclude Anaheim's bullpen from
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: an equation when you're fading Anaheim.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, their bullpen stinks.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati had some of their best relievers still available, and
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: they blew the game. It was looking like that was
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: gonna be a loss as the home fit as the
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: erode favor, and I mean wouldn't have been good. It
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: would have been a losing day of Cincinnati lost. That's
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: how razor thin this stuff is. Mean wound up being
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: a pretty good day and it could have been a
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: losing day otherwise. Cincinnati did have a four to one lead.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I think in the middle of the game they were
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: definitely winning. It might have been three nothing, maybe after five.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: Something like that.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: They were up four to one, I believe going to
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: the bottom of the seventh inning, or something like that,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: and then they give up enough runs to tie the
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: game by the end of regulation, I guess, or by
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: the end of or by the end of nine innings
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: I guess. I think it went to ten innings and
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati wound up winning with two runs on the top
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: of the tenth, So it was a winner. I mean,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: I think it was a deserved winner nonetheless, even though
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: their bullpen almost gave us another bad beat there.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: But I'll definitely take a three to one day there.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: Andrew, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out Tupac. Yeah,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: that brings me back to the nineties gangster rap man.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Let's get into today here. We're gonna go with the
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: rundown here, let's do it even though we're gonna talk
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: about w NBA first, which I should have given out
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: a play on the liberty yesterday and that was my
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: probably my strongest lean in the WNBA yesterday, and it
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: wound up being a correct call on the liberty. They
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: finally got to win over Minnesota in revenge. But today
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: on only one game, it's Dallas at LA.
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: Not really an interesting game at all.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: LA up from seven and a half to eight, somewhat
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: high total here up at one eighty one.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: And a half.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: I mean really high total actually, because LA doesn't play
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: any defense. I mean, we have two teams that don't
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: really play particularly good defense here LA. I mean, they're
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: still fighting to try to make the playoffs here though
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: they're in second and last place in the West. The
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: West is a pretty difficult conference, so I think LA
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: might still be able to make the playoffs. I mean,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: they're in this cluster here with Golden State Seattle probably
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: the worst of all those teams though, but I think
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be showing up to try to win these games. However,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: it is a quick revenge spot for Dallas because LA
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: did just go into Dallas and beat them two games ago,
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: and they are returning home from the East Coast, so
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: that's never really that easy to do that. It shorter
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: road trip like duration wise, but they did still go
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: to Washington. Returning home, you do have to get back
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: to home life, you know, you have. It could be
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: a bit of a distraction, so conflicting factors in this game.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna recommend to playing this game at all.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Dallas coming off a couple of straight losses could be
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot. For them. Their travel spot is actually better.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: They're only going from Vegas to LA. So I actually
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: don't necessarily hate Dallas plus the points in that game.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: But it is a higher spread, I mean a higher total,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: So it doesn't mean it's easier to cover like a
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: higher spread as a favorite. LA does still have the motivation,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Like I said, not gonna be a play at all
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: that I would recommend. I recommend staying far far away
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: from that game. And where are the dildos? Man? We
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: still don't have dildos for like a week now in
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: the WNBA.
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: What's going on with that. Let's get into baseball.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have three plays today and they're all sides,
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: two money lines, one where I don't even think we
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: know who one of the starting pitchers is and I
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: don't even care, and the other is going to be
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: a spread play.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: But they're all sides.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: We do have an early twelve to thirty five pm
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Eastern to kick it off. This is Wednesday, so it's
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: getaway day for some of these teams. Basically, some of
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: these teams are gonna be traveling, potentially having a day
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: off tomorrow, but sometimes not having a day off and
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: having just started a new series. Some teams are continuing
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: their series into tomorrow, so it's Wednesday. Is always a
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: weird baseball game, man, But Toronto Pittsburgh is the first
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: game up here. Pittsburgh got the first game of this
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: year is with Paul's schemes on the mound, and then
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Toronto bounced back with a win yesterday. As Toronto is
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: obviously the better of these two teams, there's no question
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: about that. Toronto's the better offense significantly. I'll give Toronto
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge as well here. Pittsburgh used a little
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: bit more of the pen yesterday as well, more pitches
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: at least, so Toronto definitely has an edge there. They
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: probably have the edge across the board here starting pitching
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: as well. Chris Bassett is on the mound for them,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: even though he started to slide a little bit. I mean,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: as I was saying, I didn't think he was as
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: good as his numbers, especially as era looked earlier in
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: the season. I mean, he is still an aging pitcher.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: I mean he is smart with his pitches. He throws
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of different fastballs, but doesn't throw that hard.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: He's been getting a lot of run support behind him.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Too. He's got a four point two to two ERA
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: one point three to three whips, so his whip is
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: definitely higher than I would like to see. He's actually
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: been really bad on the road six point three to
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: nine road ERA, so he's not really a guy who
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: want to look too on the road. And this month
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: is walk rate has gone way up after last month.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: He had a really good walk rate this month eleven
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: to nine strike a walk ratio. Multiple walks in all
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: three outings not a good sign, especially when two of
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: them are against weak offenses Kansas City, Texas. You can
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: forgive him for a bad start against LA, which I
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: think I gave out a play on LA in that
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: game if I remember correctly, but these other two appearances
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: not totally forgivable, especially allowing three in runs four walks
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: to Texas in five innings last time out.
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: That's not great.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: Although Pittsburgh is the worst offense in all of baseball,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: and Bassett does have good numbers against them fifty six
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: at bats, twenty strikeouts, three walks, really good ratio there
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: two fourteen average a lot in five oh four ops,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: so he really does hold Pittsburgh down. So he may
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: very well bounce back in this game, so I will
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: still give him the edge over at Johan Oviaighto, who's
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: the listed starter for the Pirates here, but he's basically
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: a relief pitcher man.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: He has an eighteen ERA and a.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Five WHIP, but obviously it's a very small sample size.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: He's literally pitched one inning in the majors this season.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: It was earlier in August, and it was not good. Obviously,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: he went one inning along tour in runs, three walks,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: two hits, three strikeouts against a very bad San Francisco offense.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: That's not a good sign. I've looked at OVI eighto
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: throughout his career. He's been around, I mean, he's been
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: on two different teams, Cardinals, Pirates. Most of most of
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: his appearances have actually been starts. But even so, I
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: don't expect him to go deep into this game. His
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: career numbers are bad four point three to six e RA,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: quite a high one point four to one WHIP, so
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not expecting a whole lot out of OVI eighto
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: here at all. He'll probably only get you a couple
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: of innings in this game, would be my guess, and
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: then Pittsburgh will go to the bullpen, and they did
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: use some of their longer relief men already yesterday, so
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: that's not a good sign Oviedo against Toronto. They actually
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: have eighteen at bats against the three walks, two strikeouts,
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: three point thirty three batting average, and eight seventy three
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: ops allowed, So Oviedo doesn't have good numbers against Toronto either.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: So I have to lean to Toronto in this game.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: But you're definitely gonna have to pay a price. I mean,
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be a big road favorite, actually not as
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: much as I thought, but they're rough for minus one
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: forty five to minus one sixty ninety two percent of tickets,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on them, a total
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: flip to eight and a half juice to the over,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: but seventy one percent of tickets on the over fifty
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the under. So it
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: seems like the money coming back in on the under.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't exactly see the under happening. It's
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: hard to read the total here because you don't even
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: know what Pittsburgh's pitching situation is even really gonna look
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: like here. I actually think Toronto on the side might
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: be the better way to look at it, and I
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: would probably actually say maybe Toronto just going over their
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: team total rather than trying to lay a run line
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: with them or anything like that might be the better
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: way to go. But you could lay a run line
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: with them as well. I mean, I'm not necessarily opposed
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: to it, but that's certainly not going to be a
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: game that I would recommend to play on. Continuing in
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: the afternoon slate, Seattle Philadelphia, pretty interesting series. Philadelphia is
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: won the first two games of the series. Will they
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: overlook Seattle because this is the end of the series.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: They get tomorrow off, but they only have Washington up next,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: and they did beat Washington the last time they played them,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: at least the last game they played them, they beat them.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: They split a series with them last time. But still
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think Washington is really much of a look ahead.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Washington's terrible, so Philly may continue to concentrate on this
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: pretty big interleague series against Seattle. Here. I think both
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: teams will continue to show up here. We have Seattle
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: with the bullpen edge. Here. Seattle has the better of
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the two bullpens, and they're pretty rested as well, because
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: then they hardly use anybody on Monday. The Phillies bullpen
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: is fairly well rested as well here, so the bullpens
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: are both pretty intact, but Seattle does have the better bullpen.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Philly has the better offense of the two, especially at home,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: although both teams can hit pretty well. So then we
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: got to look at the starting pitching matchup, and we
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: have Luis Castillo for Seattle's been doing pretty well. I mean,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: he's a pretty consistent pitcher. He's been around for quite
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: a while. Three point four to eighty ERA, one point
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: two to two whip, although he is worse away from
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Seattle's Basically all of their starters are four point nine
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: to two ERA on the road, so he's not as
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: good on the road. He was rolling along pitching pretty
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: well for a while for over a month span. He
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: hadn't allowed more than the three earned runs and any
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: started for quite a while going back to late June
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: until his most recent start, where he got pretty beat
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: up by the Mets. He allowed three home runs, six
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: ironed runs, nine hits in four innings. He got hit
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: pretty hard in that game, which is not a good sign,
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: although he still looks like he had his command with
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts in only one walk, and we do no one
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: of the Mets do have the ability to hit, So
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: maybe that's a little bit of a blip. But I
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: am a little bit more concerned because he actually didn't
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: even go five innings against Texas earlier in the month
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: in August, and wasn't he fishing at all with his
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: pitches in that one. So I am worried that two
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: of his last three starts he hasn't even made it
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: five innings. Still does have a fourteen to two strikeout
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: walk ratio over that span, though his command has still
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: been good. So do I think he's gonna do poorly
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: in this game? I think it's hard to gauge. Man.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not very good against Philadelphia. I mean
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: they're good offense, ninety three at bats, you have seven
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: homers off in twenty seven strikeouts, twelve walks, So it's
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of strikeouts and a lot of walks and
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: a lot of home runs. Really three on one batting
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: average allowed nine to eighty three oh ps. So Castillo
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: has not done particularly well against them. Kyle Schwarber in particular,
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: actually does a lot of damage, six for twenty two doubles,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: four home runs and four walks against them, so you
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: could look for some player prop potential there was. Schwarber.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I always recommend hits plus runs plus RBIs instead of
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: total basis because that way the walks can still help
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: you potentially. Jesus Luzardo pitching for the Phillies. He's had
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: a very up and down season. Four point two to
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: one e R one point three four whip. He's actually
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: worse at home, so both pitchers actually on the bad
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: side of their home road splits five point two to
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: three ERA at home not good. He was good early
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: in the season, really good actually, and then he hit
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: a really rough stretch and then he's bounced back again.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: For the last four starts. He's gone at least six
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: innings in all four, allowing three or fewer earned runs
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: in all four, and he has an eighteen to five
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: or excuse a twenty two to five strike a walk
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: ratio over that span of a four start, so that's
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: a decent sign. But he faced pretty much all bad
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: offenses over that stretch. White Sox Baltimore, Texas Washington. He
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: did walk three guys in his most recent outing. So Luzardo,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: I mean he's definitely back in better form right now,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: but he was facing bad offensive. Seattle's a little bit
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: better than that, and his numbers against Seattle are not good.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: In fifty six at bats thirteen to eight strike a
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: walk ratio three thirty nine average allowed eight thirty three ops.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: So I could see this game going over the total, man.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's pretty hard to gauge the side on
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: this one. It looks like I saw some indicators that
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: the money was actually coming in on Seattle, but on
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: wage Wait, no, pregame here, excuse a wager talk. Wager
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Talk is a better sight though it has better a
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: handicappers there, but pregame has a better odd screen, which
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: is what I use all the time here. Philly up
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty five to seventy tickets, ninety four
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Philly, So this odd screen
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is actually coming in on the
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia side. I actually somewhat lean that way, but not
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: a whole lot, just because it looks like both starters
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: are kind of in their bad splits here, So I
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: just think the over is the better way to look
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: at this game. I have won at least one fairly
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: bad bullpen in Philly. Here, both starters are on the
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: bad side of their splits and don't have good matchup numbers,
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: so I think over is the right way to look here.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: The total's gone up from eight and a half to
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: eight and a half with juice on the over, so
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: it looks like the money's agreeing with me. If you
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: want to go over, you want to try to get
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: it at still eight and a half, I would probably
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: go up to about minus one twenty to get it over.
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: The eight and a half on nine is a key number, man.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I would still probably go over the nine
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to play this game, because at least
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: if it hits nine, it'll push. But obviously the odd
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: numbers are key in baseball because that's how you break
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: a tie. Seventy seven percent of tickets on the over,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of cash on the over. But I
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: think rather than try to figure out the side, I
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: do think the over is the right way to look
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: at that game. It's tempting to actually give out a
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: play on the over. I do not actually have a
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: play on the over in that one, but it's tempting.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: Houston at Detroit, this is a big series as well. Man,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: I mean all these teams that I just mentioned, well
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: I should have mentioned. I was trying to mention motivation,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: like Toronto has something to play for, Pittsburgh does not,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: you know. I mean Pittsburgh, maybe they'll play hard just
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: because of good team is in their house. But Toronto
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: playing to try to win the AL East right now.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Seattle Philadelphia both fighting to get into the playoffs and
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: maintain their positioning. Houston Detroit same thing. I mean, these
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: are two teams that are probably playoff bound. Want to
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: make sure of that. Detroit is one of the first
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: two games of this series, and Houston hasn't even scored
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: in the series. So I gave out the under on
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday. It was a great pitching matchup between
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Brown and school Ball. No runs were scored in the
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: first nine innings of the game. Detroit wound up getting
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: that win. So they've outscored Houston eleven and nothing in
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the series. Houston's offense has going completely cold. Does that
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: mean they're going to continue to be cold here? I'm
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: not so sure, but we do have a couple of
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: okay bullpens here. Not a lot of usage between either team. Actually,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: Houston does have more usage excuse and inn't and much
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: usage of prior day. That's what I was thinking of.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: So Detroit is the more rested bullpenal if you look
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: at the pitching stats, I believe Houston's bullpen is the
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: better at ERA wise, so that kind of balances out
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit with the I rest scenario. So both
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: bullpens sort of almost a wash in this game. Offenses
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I think maybe a little bit of a wash as well.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: You have two decent offenses, Detroit the slight edge ops wise,
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: but then you got to look at the starting pitching
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: match man. On the surface, it looks like Houston has
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the way better start or on the mound with from
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: For Valdez, he's the one who's having the way better
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: season three point zero one ERA, one point one to
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: eight WHIP. He's been worse on the road though, four
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: point two to two ERE in the road, so he's
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: definitely more hit able on the road, and he's been
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse recently after he had that stretch er.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: I think Houston won twelve thirteen starts in a row
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: behind him something like that.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: He was pitching very very well, then he lost the game.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Where he's still pitched really well against Washington give a
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: one on run. But his three starts this month have
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: been rough five point eight to nine ERA this month
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: ten to six strikeout walk ratio. He's allowed three or
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: more on runs in all three starts, so that's bad.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: But the two starts where he really did bad, we're
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: on the road against Boston and the Yankees, so those
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: are pretty difficult lineups to face, especially on the road,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: So maybe you give Valdez a little bit of a
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: pass for that. And remember against Boston, I talked about
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: that game. All of the runs are scored in one
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: inning that got prolonged by an error, so I don't
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: even think it was really Valdez's fault that much. Really,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: the only start where he was really that bad was
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Yankees or he walked four guys. Most recent start, he
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: bounced back a little bit, went six to two thirds
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: against Baltimore, six strikeouts, one walk, Still have three on runs.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Give up nine hits. There was an error there that
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: prolonged his outing there too. But I think he's kind
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: of coming back into form a little bit here.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: His numbers are decent against Detroit and ninety one at
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: bats twenty three to ten strike out walk race show
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: two sixty four average. He's held him to a fairly
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: low six to seventy seven ops, so Valdez does do
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: pretty well against Detroit. He's going up against Charlie Morton,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: whose season has definitely been like a tale of two seasons.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: His overall numbers are bad five point two ERA, one
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: point five WHIP. I mean, he's definitely old, but he's
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: still proving that he can pitch effectively man, which is
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: kind of crazy. His stats are basically the same home
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: and away, although he also was on Baltimore for most
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: of the season. He's only made one home start at
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: Detroit and it wasn't good. Since being acquired by Detroit,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: he's made three stars. Two of them were good against Philly,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: which is a good sign. He went two Philly and one.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: He have a one run in six innings against them,
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts, one walk.
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: That was good.
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: At Minnesota, he shut them out for six innings, five strikeouts,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: three walks overall, good start there as well. Had one
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: really bad start at home in between, gave up six
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: earned runs to Anaheim, but in that start he actually
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: had ten strikeouts and one walk, so It's kind of
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: hard to gauge what that start was because he was
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: striking out so many guys. He was fooling hitters, but
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: then he was also getting hit very very strange start
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: out of Morton there. But overall, his numbers not really
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: that bad with Detroit twenty one to five strike at
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: walk ratio three point eight six e RA with them,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: And remember with Baltimore, he was pitching really, really poorly.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Baltimore had lost i think twelve start or twelve outings
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: in a row, twelve games in a row where he
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: had appeared in the game. Some of them were starts,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: some of them were out of the bullpen. They sent
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: him to the bullpen because he was so bad. He
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: came out of the came back into the rotation, and
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: then Sissy rejoined the Baldem rotation. He was actually really good,
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: except for one bad start at the A's, which you
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: kind of give him a pass for because it's a
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: very hitter friendly park. But other than that, he was
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: allowing three or fewer earned runs consistently every single outing,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: except for one at Tampa, which is another hitter friendly.
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: Ballpark there, so you can kind of give him a
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: pass for that.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: Too, and then really the only bad start that was
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: kind of inexplicable was his first home start with Detroit,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: and maybe he had some nerves like pitching in front
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: of the home crowd. Whatever. So does that mean Morton
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: is going to pitch well in this game? He actually might,
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: and his numbers are not good to get his sums
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: are good against Houston, excuse me, seventy one at bats.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: He's really held Houston pretty much down twenty five to eight,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio two eleven, batting average six 't
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: eighty two ops is a little bit higher than you
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: would expect based on the other numbers. So that's because
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Altuve is two home runs off him and Walker does
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: have one as well, But overall, Morton does have good
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: numbers against him. So this game, I mean, to me,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: it's kind of looking like another under game. To me,
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: the total's gone up from May to eight and a half.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Though fifty eight percent of tickets on the under sixty
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: one percent of cash on the over, it doesn't look
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: like as much of an under as yesterday, though of course,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: yesterday almost looked too easy for it to be an under,
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: but it was a seven totally yesterday. But I could
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: see both these pitchers kind of rounding back in a
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: form here because they have good matchup numbers against these offenses.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: I could potentially also see the pictures not quite doing
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: as well because they're not in exactly the greatest forum
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: right now, so it's very difficult to gauge this game.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: As far as the side, it looks like Houston is
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: a public road favorite up for minus one to seventeen
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty. Public kind of fading, Charlie Morton,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I think, because I think you'd see more of the
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: public on Detroit otherwise, because they've been kind of a
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: public team this season, especially because their offense has been
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: better than Houston in and the series, Detroit's been better offensively,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: So it's kind of weird to see the public taking
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: Houston sixty eight percent of tickets on Houston sixty two
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash those so the money indicators seemed
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: to be taking Detroit as the home underdog, which home
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: underdogs have done fairly well in baseball just they do
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: well generally, but this year they've done pretty well.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: As well, So we will see what happens.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: That's not a game I have a play on either
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: Cleveland at Arizona very very weird series here. Man. Arizona,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, they know they're out of at Cleveland kind
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: of technically still has hope because they're above five hundred.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: But Cleveland, I mean, they sold guys off of the
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: trade den on the deadline, and they had those gambling issues,
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: so it's kind of weird that Cleveland started going on
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: like a really weird run. I said, yesterday, I thought
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a higher scoring game and go over,
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: which I believe it did. Arizona lost the first game
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: of this years and then they won yesterday, two close games.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: But the fact that Arizona broke a loss Street yesterday
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: could give them some momentum coming into this game. So
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: schedule wise, it doesn't look that bad for Arizona here.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Arizona does have the worst of the two bullpens, however,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I mean that's not saying much. Arizona's bullpen bad, but
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: they're fairly well rested right now. Really, a couple of
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: their pitchers through very few pitches yesterday. Kind of the
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: same with Cleveland, though, three of the four relievers they
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: used yesterday only through single digit pitches, so they're probably
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: available again today. So the bullpen scenario. You got to
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: give the bullpenatch to Cleveland. Arizona obviously has the way
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: better offense starting pitching. Interesting, Cleveland has Parker Messic pitching
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: and he's actually making his major league debut. He is
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: a left d He's a six foot lefty, and I
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: looked at his numbers. He's kind of shot through the
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: miners pretty quickly. Man, He's pretty young, twenty four years
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: old in the minors this year.
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: His numbers are decent.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: In triple I look at Triple A, Triple A, he
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: has like a three something ERA and I believe like
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: a one point two whip, which isn't that great, but
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: it's not bad. And his strikeout walk ratio is pretty good.
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: He does have a high strikeout rate, like well over
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: one strike up per inning, so he is striking out guys.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Looking at his pro file, like I went to look
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: at his I always try to look at the scout
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: and report for these guys to see what they throw.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: He does not throw hard. He throws like low nineties fastball,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: and the way that he gets guys out is off
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: speed stuff in movement. Like I guess, he has a
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: good change up that has a lot of movement on
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: it curveball, and I think he has a I think
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: he has one other pitch. I think he has like
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: a slider, slash cutter. It's some sort of moving fastball.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: So that's basically what his arsenal is. So it's a
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: decent enough arsenal that maybe he could be able to
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: stick an am major league rotation. I don't think he's great,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: but he might be able to do okay at the
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: major league level. Of course, he might have a little
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra edge here because Arizona's never seen
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: him before. So with these young hit young pitchers, they
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: can have the upper hand early on in the game
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: with the hitters having to adjust and try to figure
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: them out. We'll see how it translates man because Arizona
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: is a good offense too, so we'll see Brandon fott
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Is pitching for Arizona. He has not had a good
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: season five point eight RA one point three to six.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: He's been way better at home, though, three point seven
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: six ERA at home, surprisingly because it's a hitter friendly park.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Hasn't done that well this month though, a four point
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: eight six ERA, ten to five strike out walk ratio
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: in three outings not a good sign, especially given the
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: two of the three outings or against Colorado, although granted
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: one of them was at courts Field, and he has
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: an eleven more than four and runs in any of
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: these outings. But he's been giving up a lot of hits,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: well over one hit per inning. Strikeout rate is down,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: walk rate is up a little bit, he's given up
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: too many runs. Really not a good sign man for Fot.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: He's not really in good form right now. But he
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: does have good numbers against Cleveland, and this is a
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: pretty pathetic Cleveland offense. Even though I know they had
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: some offensive outburst recently, they're not good. Twenty six at
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: bats Fott has against them seven to four, strike at
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: walk ratio not good, two thirty one batting average allowed,
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: six to forty one ohps. So he does actually have
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: good numbers against them. So interestingly, because Fott does have
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: good numbers at home, more or less good numbers against Cleveland.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: I'm actually kind of thinking that verse five under might
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: make sense here with an unknown pitcher going for Cleveland
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: that might have the upper edge early on. Wouldn't want
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: to deal with the bullpens in this game. Really, totals
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: at nine ninety five percent tickets ninety nine percent of
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over I don't buy that cash percentage,
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: but you would be fading the public if you went
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: under in this one. But I would do it probably
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: first five and then the money looks like it's strongly
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: coming in on Cleveland. Arizona down for one thirty five
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: to minus one thirteen, sixty seven percent of tickets on them,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: but sixty one percent of the cash coming in on
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: the Cleveland side of the money. Pretty strong indicators on Cleveland.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: I think it all depends on how good you think
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Messek is gonna be in this game. He could potentially
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: come out to do really well. He is obviously the
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: picture with the familiarity edge here, so that might make sense.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: And I do think Cleveland, because you do have the
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: better bullpen. I think it would make sense if you
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: are taking Cleveland to go full game on them, grabbing
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: the underdog price there we will see. I mean, it's
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: not something I would really want to risk actually giving
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: out a play on, but I don't necessarily disagree with it.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis at Myami. Miami lost both games of the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: series so far. This might be a four game series.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: Me see what does Saint Louis have next? Brought it
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: up in the wrong.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Window here, Saint Louis taking over their schedule real quick.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Here they're on the verges potentially sweeping Miami. They have
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: to go to Tampa Bay next. They're staying in Florida.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: But not exactly a huge series, not really exactly a
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: look ahead, but they still might take Miami a little
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: bit for granted after beating them twice in the series.
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: Here, Saint Louis used three relief.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: Pitchers yesterday Miami used two, so Miami a little bit
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: more rested. But Saint Louis does have the better overall bullpen,
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: even after trading some guys away. I still think they
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: probably have the better bullpen here. As far as the
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: offense is concerned, I actually think Miami might have the
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: better offense.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: Now, let me see where are they at?
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Yes, slightly so. Kind of a wash though, But Saint
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Louis I do think has a pitching edge in the bullpen.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: But do they have a pitching edge in the starting
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: pitching difficult to say. Actually. Andre Polonte pitching for the
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Cardinals here, He's not having a good season. Five point
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: h four ERA, one point three to eight whip Those
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: are not good numbers. He actually is a little bit
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: better on the road four point seven to three road ERA.
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: This past month, he hasn't exactly been.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: Good at all twelve to seven strike out walk ratio
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: nine point two six e RA in the month of August.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, did have to face the Cubs and the
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Yankees and they were both able to get to him.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: But those are two good offenses. So he's stepping down
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: a class to face Miami. And last time he faced
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: Miami late July, he went seven innings of shutout ball,
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: only one one hit, four strikeouts, one walk, So he
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: actually does dominate Miami, even though it's a small sample size,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: and that does mean that Miami has now seen him
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: so the more familiar with them. But they're only one
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: for twenty one offen with no extra base hits, no
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: walks in three strikeouts this current Miami lineup, So Pilontde
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: does at least have really good matchup members against them.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we trust him with Miami having
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: just seen him not that long ago, though, and that
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: means the same thing probably for Sandy al Contor is
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Marlins. I'll look in a second, but
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: I think he probably also pitched in that series against
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. He has bad numbers this year, man, I'll
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: contra again. I always reiterate, he's just a guy that's
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: never really been able to bounce back from his injury
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: issues that he's had. Unfortunately, because he's still not even
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: thirty yet. Six point three to one ERA, one point
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: four to one WHIP this year not good. He's been
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: better at home though, five point zero nine ERA is
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: still not good, but better this month. Sixteen is six
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio is not really that bad, but
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: his team has lost all three of his starts and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: he's allowed way too many runs. He has a six
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: ERA over that span. I did face Houston, Boston. I
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: mean those are decent offenses. He actually pitched well when
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: his last game out against Boston though at Fenway. Seven strikeouts,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: one walk, one earned run, lot one earned run, a lot.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: Of two hits, and six innings. So that was actually
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: a good start.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: So that kind of shows that maybe he's coming back
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: into form a little bit there with that starting against Boston,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: because that's not an easy place to pitch. Not an
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: easy line up to face, really, and his numbers are
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: good against Saint Louis, which I think he did pitch
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: against them at late July. He went five inues a
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: shutout ball against them, gave gave up three hits three
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: walks though for strikeouts, so he was a little bit
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: inefficient pitch wise, but he did still pitch pretty well
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: in that game. And his numbers overall are good against
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis, which included that start. Obviously, thirty six at bats,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: ten to six strike up walk ratios. Ratio isn't exactly
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: that good, but two twenty two average allowed six to
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: sixty seven ops allowed. This game, interestingly, could kind of
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: be a sneaky under. I know the under didn't hit yesterday.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: Maybe you don't want to have to deal with the bullpens.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: We have eighty three percent of tickets on the over,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of cash on the over, totals kind
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: of just sitting at eight, kind of heavily juiced to
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: the over there, But I could see first five inning under,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you still wanted to go full game
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: on it. The bullpens are somewhat rested as well, so
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I could see arguments with the under in this game,
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: and that both pitchers, because their matchup numbers are pretty good,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: m my pitch a little bit better. I worry a
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: little bit because the offense is are recently familiar with
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: the pitchers though, And as far as the side, it
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is back in Miami, even though
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: they dropped for might just one twenty five to minus
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: one nineteen sixty five percent takes ninety two percent of
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on Miami, And I think the
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: argument for that would probably basically be that Alcandra has
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: a higher ceiling than Polonte. Like I think Olcondra at
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: its best is better than Polonte is at his best.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: So I think that's kind of the argument up for that.
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: But I mean that is certainly not gonna be a
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: game we're gonna touch. New York Mets at Washington. Washington
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: has lost their last two games. It lost the first
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: game of this series yesterday eight to one, So Mets,
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, Mets started starting to play a little bit
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: better now again, won three games in a row after
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: they were on a really bad stretch. So Mets still
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: have something to play for. Man, they're still trying to
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs. I should have mentioned Saint Louis and
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Miami are both still out of it. I mean, they
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: are both out of it, and I mean that's not
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: really going to change. Mets are. I'm still playing for something,
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: trying to get to the playoffs. Washington is not so feared.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: I should mention that the Mets have the better bullpen here.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Washington is just really really bad. The Mets, I think,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: have a pretty rested bullpen as well. I think we'll
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: use one relief pitcher in the last two days, so
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: the Mets have a very rusted bullpen coming into this one.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Mets have the better offense as well starting pitching. You know,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: the Mets are gonna be a huge favorite. I mean
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: I still probably give the edge and the starting pitching
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: to the Mets as well, just based on what these
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: pitchers can do. The Mets have Code I Sanga pitching
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: two point three to five ERA, one point two to
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: three WHIP on the season. I mean, those are pretty
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: good numbers, even though the whip is a little bit
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: higher than I'd like. He is a little bit better
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: on the road two point one to ninety R on
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: the road. His problem has been walks Man before his
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: last start, which was pretty good against Atlanta, went five
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: to two thirds, still was not efficient with his pitches
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: there though, ninety three pitches, had seven strikeouts, one walk, allowed,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: two earned runs, and five hits good outing. Overall. He's
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: allowed only three arned runs across his last two starts,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: so they he didn't make it five innings against Milwaukee
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: and those prior to starts. Actually the prior four starts,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: he walked three or more guys in all of those outings,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: so his walk rate was very, very high, which is
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: not a good sign. I mean, he's not very easily hittable.
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: He does not allow a lot of hits, but he
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: does walk way too many guys. So that's really Senga's issue,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the walks or the issue, which isn't really a great thing.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: But overall his numbers are good. Again, I think he's
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: not as good as his numbers suggest. Against Washington, he
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: does have pretty good numbers and forty one at bats
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: eleven to five strike a walk ratio is not exactly good. Again,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: his walk rates too high, but two forty four batting
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: average allowed, six ninety two ohps allowed, so Senga does
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: overall have pretty good numbers against Washington. He's going up
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: against Brad Lord for Washington, who I can't figure this
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: guy out at all. Three point twenty six R one
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: point two to whip. He's got good numbers this year,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: is a little bit worse at home with a four ERA.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: At home, he was coming out of the bullpend for
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: a lot of the season. I'm making some long relief
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: appearances as well, and then he joined the rotation I
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: think last month at some point, excuse me. And in
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: all of his recent starts he hasn't allowed more than
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: three runs in any of them. And in his last
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: four starts he's got at least five innings, and three
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: of the four, including his most recent start, we allowed
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: two earned runs at six innings against Philadelphia, three strikeouts,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: one walk, So he actually pitched well against a really
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: good Philly lineup, which was at home for Lord. But
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Lord is I don't think he's as good as he
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: looks here, man, But he is definitely pitching effectively right
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: now at the very least. So he's not really a
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: guy exactly want to fade right now. I've tried to
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: fade him a few times and mostly gotten caught in
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: doing so, and his numbers against the Mets are actually good,
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: although it's only fourteen at bats, three hits, no extra
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: race hits, no walks, three strikeouts, two to fourteen average
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: allowed four to twenty nine ohps. So Lord actually has
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: done well against the Mets in his career, so he
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: might actually do well in this game. I mean, it's
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: kind of crazy to say, but this game looks like
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: he could potentially be an under as well. We have
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of tickets on the over and only
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of cash on the oder. The total
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: went up a little bit to nine, but it's now
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: juice to the under, so if you like the under,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: you are getting a bigger number on that total on
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: the under nine. I don't like Washington's bullpen at all, though,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: so I hesitate to go full game under. I would
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: hesitate if I was looking at this game, which I'm
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: not gonna give out a play on this one, but
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: first five inning under, just going with these starting pitching,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: just going with these starting pitchers might make more sense.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: And the Mets look like they're too public of a
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: road favorite man too heavier road favorite down for minus
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: one eighty to minus one sixty one, which I think
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: is reverse line movement. Even though we see eighty one
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty five percent of the cash on
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: the Mets, I'm actually not sure I'm buying that percentage.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: I think the heavier money is probably taking a flyer
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: on Washington here would be my guess. Uh, because I
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: just don't know that the Mets deserve to be that
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: heavier road favorite, even with Senga on the mound.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure that Senga is as good as he looks.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Obviously, Chicago and Land is gonna be one of my
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: play so I'll skip that one for now. Yankees at Tampa. Unfortunately,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: the Yankees beat them up yesterday and one easily. The
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are now falling behind the Yankees. Of course,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: I think the Yankees are still gonna win the Al East.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think Toronto's as good as they look.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are just teasing us at this point. I mean, well,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: maybe i'll talk. Well, wait, the Red Sox are they
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: even playing today or they off today? Looks like they're
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: off today, but usually every team plays on Wednesday.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: That's a little bit odd.
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: But Red Sox, I mean, they tied the game of
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: the ninth inning yesterday, and they only had a two
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: game series against Baltimore, I guess for whatever reason, and
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: they lost both games, I think by one run each.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Red Sox had the lead in the first game against
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Crochet and then they blew Crochet's start. Last night, they
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: were losing three to one in the ninth inning and
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Red Sox newcomer Nathaniel Lowe hit a huge two run
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: home to tie the game to the bottom of the
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: ninth Everybody went crazy. I mean, I told you, I
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: think that pickup was actually good because they pretty much
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: didn't have to do anything to get him. And then
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: what did the Red Sox do. Yeah, they immediately blew
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: at an extra innings. Absolutely bad. The Red Sox may
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: very well not make the playoffs still, man, even though
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: it almost looked like they were probably around eighty percent
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: to make the playoffs not too long ago. But they're
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: not doing well. But anyway, Red Sox aren't playing today.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Yankees at Tampa Bay. Let's talk about this game. Yankees won,
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: like I said, in blowout fashion, easy win yesterday, thirteen
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: to three, and they had nine home runs in the game.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: The Yankees have done that twice this season. Which I
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: think is a record. I'm pretty sure they've had two
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: games where their team is hitting nine home runs. It's
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: kind of odd that they only scored thirteen runs in
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: a game where they hitting nine home runs. But man,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: that is ridiculous. This Tampa Bay Stadium is so home
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: run condu so it Man, it's Steinbrenner Field, which I
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: told you. It is kind of all that the Yankees
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: are playing a road game in their own spring training
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: stadium because it is the temporary home of the Rays,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. The race should still be the Devil Rays,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: by the way. I mean, people should stop being offended.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Even though I'm anti Satanism here, I just think people
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: are way too offended by everything. Devil Rays had a
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: cooler logo too, because it was the animal. But oh no,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: one of them killed, you know, the crocodile hunter Steve
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Irwin or whatever, so we gotta be I don't know,
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: we gotta be careful about that whatever. But now they're
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: the Sun's Rays, which is just totally lame. Anyway, Yankees
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: used three relief pitchers yesterday. It was a blowout game,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: so they didn't have to use much of their pen.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: The Rays actually used more of their pen yesterday. They
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: didn't use many of the day before. That. Rays generally
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: do have the better bullpen out of these two teams,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: but in this game, they're a little bit less rested,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if they have as much of
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: a bullpen advantage. Yankees obviously have the offensive edge year.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching, I probably would give the edge to Tampa,
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: but I think both of these starting pitchers might actually
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: do okay. Although when we die, when we dive into this,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: we'll see that maybe Tampa should actually have the edge here.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching wise, Cam Schlittler pitching for the yank He's
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: Kyle Schlittler. I guess, Schyle Shitler. Chyle Schlittler, Oh my god, Shitler.
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: Cam Schlittler, the rookie pitching for the Yankees here. Three
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: point nine four ERA, one point five to two whip,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: so his whip is definitely too high, but he's a rookie.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: He started out a little shaky and he was walking
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: too many guys, but he's actually settled down and his
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: walk rate has gone down. I think he's a decent
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: pitcher man. I think he is going to turn it
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: into something pretty good. He's actually been a little bit
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: better on the road three point sixty ra on the road. However,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: Tampa's stadium here, Cybernerfield, is actually more similar to the
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Yankees stadium, so maybe he won't pitch quite as well
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: in this stadium again. This month, he's been better with
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: a fifteen to five strike a walk ratio three ERA,
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: and he's got five innings and all these outings, which
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: is decent against some not terrific offenses, though the Yankees
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: did actually lose all three of these games, even though
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: he gave up two or fewer earned runs and every
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: single one of them. Yankees both been certainly not good,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: but those starts are against somewhat weak offense is Miami Minnesota,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: and then Houston's not terrible. But Schlittler, I mean, how
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: is he gonna do against Tampa? I don't know, because
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: Tampa was actually his worst start of the season was
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: actually against Tampa at Yankee Stadium. It was the only
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: start that he made that He didn't go five innings,
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: gave up three on runs, four walks, seven hits, still
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: had five strikeouts, which is good, but that was his
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: worst start. Man, so his numbers are actually not good
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: against Tampa, and now that means Tampa has seen him before.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: So when these young pitchers come out, Man, a lot
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: of times they have an advantage in the first game
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: that they face where they faced an opposing lineup, because
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: the lineup has to kind of figure him out. But
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: now that Tampa already did damage against him and they're
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: familiar with him, that might be an advantage to Tampa.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: They have only thirteen of bats against him, but they
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: have a three to zero eight batting average nine to
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: seventy six oh ps, Kevin Arrow hit a home run
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: off him, and three to three strike at walk ratio.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Not really that great for Schlitzler, so he might be
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: fatable in this particular game. Man, j C, what's up man?
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. I don't know if Andrew's sticking
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: around or not to talk about his I'm angels later
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: in the show.
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to get through these man.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: With a little bit of a shorter baseball card, I
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: should be able to get through this fast r with
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: basically no other sports on tap today. But it's taken
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: a while, and I stilled against all three of my
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: bets as well. But I've gone through every game except
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: one prior to this one. So far, so Drew Rasmus
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: in his pitching for Tampa Bay. Here, he's been their
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: best starter man. Two point six ERA, point nine to
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: eight WHIP, A sub one whip is elite man. I
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: don't know if I totally classify him as elite, but
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: he's definitely doing well. He's been a little bit better
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: at home. His home road splits are pretty insignificant. Actually,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: he's been really good as of late this month. He's
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: allowed one earned run across seventeen to third innings across
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: three starts, fifteen strikeouts, no walks, eleven hits allowed, a
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: point five two ERA, he's allowed two or fewer runs
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: and every out and going all the way back through
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: the beginning of July. Although a couple of those were
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: relief appearances, basically were shortened starts or whatever they were,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: because I think they were gearing him up to pitch
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: in the All Star Game. The thing about Rasmussen, he
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: typically will go five or six innings in a start,
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: and he won't throw that many pitches. As you can
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: see here, they kind of they really have him on
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: about an eighty pitch count every single outing, but sometimes
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: he pitches so efficiently he gets you through six innings.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: These recent outings, by the way, he's pitched against the Yankees,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers at Yankee Stadium, by the way, Dodgers Seattle,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: and A's at the A's Stadium, and he pitched pretty
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: well in every single one of those games. So that's
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: a decent sign. I mean, he's facing some pretty strong
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: offenses there for the most part. Against the Yankees, who
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: he's facing today, he went five innings in that most
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: recent outing at Yankee Stadium, touring runs allowed, five strikeouts,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: two walks, four hits allowed. It was a pretty good
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: outing for him, man, So I think he has the
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: better matchup numbers here, even though of course the Yankees
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: are familiar with him. Rasmossen is in somewhat better form
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: right now as well. Again, he's so efficient with his pitches.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: He actually gets fairly deep in most of his outings
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: without throwing a lot of pitches, which is actually good
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: because that means he's not going to be overworked over
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: the course of the season as well, So that's a
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: good sign up against they're managing him well. Tampa Bay
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: does a lot of weird stuff with their pitching management, man,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: but Tampa Bay is out of it, whereas the Yankees
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: are trying to fight to take over the Al East
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: again and to make the playoffs, which unfortunately, I do
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: think they will definitely make the playoffs. Rasmussen against the Yankees,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: like I said, he has good numbers, and they're actually
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: really good numbers. Fifty six at bats, they only have
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: nine hits, no extra base hits, twenty three strikeouts, six walks,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: one sixty one average, four h three ohps. So Rasmussen
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: has done really well against the Yankees. So I would
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: lean to Tampa Bay in this game. Man, if you're
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: worried about their bullpend being a little bit overworked, you
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: could go Tampa first five innings. Just focus on Rasmussen
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: versus Schlittler, especially if Rasmussen might only get you five
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: innings in this game. I still kind of think Tampa's
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: bullpen is still the better bullpen, though, so you could
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: go Tampa full game if you wanted to. I'm not
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: sure which one of those I actually prefer. Tampa's down
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the money line for minus one
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: fifteen and minus one third team of the Yankees look
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: like a dreaded public road underdog. When you see a
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: public road underdog like this, man Yankees seventy two percent tickets,
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: only sixty percent of the cash, and they're actually the
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: underdog there, that means probably want to be looking to
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: that anti public favorite man. The public road underdog is
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: a rare thing, man, and usually you want to fade
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: that team.
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: So the lean in that game would be to Tampa Bay.
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: If you want to focus on the starting pitching, just
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: go first five on that A's at Minnesota. Minnesota lost
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: the game yesterday to the A's to open the series
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: six to three, even though Joe Ryan was pitching, and
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: I said, I thought that game might be an under game,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: which I'm not sure that it went under because this
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: is not at the A's game.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: This is at Minnesota.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Jacob Lopez, I think pitched pretty well again for the
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: A's yesterday, but this pitching matchup is not as good
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: as the one yesterday. The A's have the better offense
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: of these two teams. Both of these teams are out
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: of it. They don't really have a whole lot to
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: play for. Minnesota has a very rested bullpen, though they
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: pretty much ate up all the unings with Pierson ol
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: out of the bullpen yesterday. They didn't use any relievers
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: the day before that, so basically all of their best
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: relievers haven't been used the last two days, so their
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: bullpen is not only the better bullpen anyway, even though
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: the bullpen stinks other fairly rested. The A's bullpen is
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: pretty well rested as well. They only use two relievers
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: of the last two days as well, but Minnesota does
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen even though both bullpens are not
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: good starting pitching, I think you probably are gonna give
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the edge to Minnesota as well. Here.
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: J T Ginn is pitching for the A's.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not very good five point zero four ERA,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: one point three to two WHIP. He's been better on
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: the road, though he's not very good in that A's
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: stadium in Sacramento. It's very hit her friendly three point
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: two to nine ERA on the road. Uh so he's
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: better on the road. Hasn't been very good recently though.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: He's failed to go five innings in two of his
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: three starts this month.
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: His team has.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: Lost all three of them, two of them are at home,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: and the one where he did make it five Innings
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: was on the road. It was a better start for
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: him against Baltimore. So again he's better on the road.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: But he does still have a fourteen to eight strike
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio nine point five to three ERA this month,
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: which isn't good. He's not a good form right now,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: but he's on the road here where he is a
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: little bit better or significantly better, really, and Minnesota has
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: actually never seen him before, so actually Gin might have
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge here. He does have
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: the home road splits in his favor here, and pitchers
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: like this, I mean, he's not a good pitcher though,
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: but Minnesota not having a great offense either, and if
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: they haven't seen Gin before, they might struggle a little
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: bit against him. So Gin might actually pitch well here.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Bailey Ober who doesn't have good
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: numbers this year five point one five VRA one point
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: three to five whip from Minnesota. He's been better in
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: the past, man. I always look at him in his
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio attends to usually be pretty good,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: but this year he struggled. He has been better at
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: home though, four point five seventy ARA at home, so
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: he has the better of the splits as well, so
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers actually have the better of the splits here.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: Ober he was injured for a while. Man, he was
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: really really getting lit up. I had a really really
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: bad month of June, went on the injured list, and
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: since he's come back he's been a little bit better,
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: even though Minnesota continues to lose every one of his starts.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: They've lost ten starts in a row of is going
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: all the way back into May. But this month he's
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: gone five innings and all three of his outings he's
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: allowed four or fewer runs in all of them. At
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: least twelve to two strike out walk ratio is not
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: too bad, so he's at least been better recently, and
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: did face Detroit last time and it did fairly decently
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: against them. Four strikeouts, no walks, three on runs, allowed
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: four hits in five and a third, so that's not
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: too bad. Against the A's he actually has good numbers
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: and thirty five at bats it's not a big sample size,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: but sixteen strikeouts, one walk, he has allowed three home
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: runs to them. Ober does tend to allow too many
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: home runs, but other than that he's been pretty good
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: against them. One seventy one batting average allowed six to
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: fifty two oh ps, a little bit higher than you'd
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: think based on the other numbers, again because the home runs.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: So again, I do think Ober might have a little
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: bit of a starting pitching edge year. He's at least
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: in the better form right now. But the money is
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: coming in on the A's. Minnesota down for minus one
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: twenty two to minus one, sixteen sixty two of the
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, fifty seven percent of the cash coming
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: in on the A's.
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: The money actually back in the.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: A's here a little bit strange to see that the
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: A's do have the better offense, at least I think
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: maybe because the total is pretty high. It's actually flipped
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: to nine juice to the over, so it's a pretty
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: high total. Don't see percentages on the total yet, but
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: I could see the first five in this game actually
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: going under because Gain is unfamiliar with unfamiliar to Minnesota's offense,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: and Ober is pitching a little bit better, does have
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: good numbers against the A's, so I could see an
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: argument for a first five under. Obviously I would not
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: want to include the bullpens in that under, but I
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: could see the argument for that. Uh, Texas k C.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: And Milwaukee Chicago. I'm gonna have plays on both of those,
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: so we'll do that. Right at the end, Dodgers at Colorado.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: Colorado won the first game of the series. I think
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers might have been a little hung over after
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: I think beating San Diego over the weekend. Then we
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: kind of returned to form yesterday with the Dodgers winning
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: eleven to four yesterday. Easy win for the Dodgers yesterday.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: As far as the pitching is concerned, Dodgers actually have
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: the better of the two bullpens, and it's more well
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: rested right now as well. Hold on, I think I
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: hear it almost sounds like there's somebody downstairs in my
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: house right now. What's going on here? Uh? That would
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: be weird because I live alone. But no, I don't
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: think so somebody's breaking in. Man, that would be crazy
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: if somebody broke in during one of my streams.
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: Holy crap. Anyway, where was I going with this?
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, Dodgers, even though the bullpen's not good, they
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen. They're the more rested bullpen right
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: now as well. We see here Colorado very unrested bullpen.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: So it's a bad, bad situation there for Colorado. Dodgers
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: have the better offense to But of course you're gonna
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: have to only a huge, huge price for the Dodgers,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: and you're paying attacks for Otani being the starter as well.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Show Hey, Otani's starting. But of course ESPN's screwing us.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: Again, and they have Otani listens as a dh again
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: instead of a starting pitcher, so you can't easily look
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: at his pitching staff, So you can kind of look
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: at what he's done recently. He's been going to you know,
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: I meant to pitching.
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: What am I doing here?
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: He's been going a little bit more, a little bit
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: longer into his games here. But the Dodgers have lost
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: his last three starts. He's giving up runs in each
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: of his last four starts. Actually, last outing actually wasn't
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: that good against Anaheim. He gave up four and runs
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: and four and a third, which is his longest outing
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: so far. They kind of jumped up his pitch count
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: a lot because he had only pitched in the fifties
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: the prior too starts. They let him go eighty pitches
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: in that game. So I don't know if that's a
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: great sign or not, but he does still have a
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: fifteen to zero strike a walk ratio this month over
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: his last two starts. So it hasn't all been bad
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: for Otani. I mean his career numbers suggested he is
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: still good. His season numbers are still good pitching wise
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: as well. He has a three point four or seven
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: e RA and I don't even know whatever his whatever
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: his whip is is not bad. Yeah, one point oh eight,
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: so he's still pitching well. We can't see what his
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: numbers are against the Rockies on offense because they show
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: his offensive numbers against the Rockies pitchers, which he beats
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: them up. But debaatea w O'tani should do fairly well
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: in this game, I would say, but he is having
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: to pitch a course field here, uh up against Tanner
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: Gordon for the Rockies. He hasn't been very good. Seven
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: point nine eighty I mean, just say the least seven
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: point nine eighty RA one point eight whip. He is
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: better at home, shockingly, five point five four ERA at home.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: Not a big sample size with him yet, but weird
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: that he pitches better at home than on the road
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: course field, not an easy place to pitch. He's been
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: really bad this month too, for the most part, fourteen
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: point five to ninety RA. He settled down a little
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: bit in his last out and only giving up three
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: and runs to Arizona after he gave up ten the
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: prior start, and I think that was one of my
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: overs that didn't hit in that on most re game,
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: which go figure because he'd figure that a lineup that
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: just saw the guy would die. Still hit well against him,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: but he's given up a lot of runs the prior
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: three starts to give up six or more on runs,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: and each of them failed to go more than four
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: and two thirds in any of those, so he's not
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: exactly good. I don't think we have to belabor it
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: that much. But the Dodgers have actually never seen him
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: before for the most part, which is crazy. Only two
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: of their hitters have seen him before and they're one
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: for six with a strikeout. So Gordon actually kind of
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: has an unfamiliarity edge here. But it is the Dodgers.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: There's still a really good offense. So do I expect
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: him to actually pitch well in this game? Not really.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers are just way too heavy a favorite up
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: for minus two ninety and minus two ninety five. I
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: don't really see how you could find a way to
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: play the Dodgers in this game, especially with Gordon being
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: really unknown to them.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: The total up to eleven and a half juice.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: To the over, but eighty six percent of tickets on
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: the over only fifty five percent of cash on the over,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: so the money looks like it's kind of playing the
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: under here. I can kind of see an argument for that.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to go full game on that because
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: the bullpens I wouldn't trust either of them, especially Colorado's,
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: but first five innings under, I could actually see that happening,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: with Otani probably getting you through most of that stretch.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: I'll probably go at least four innings again in this one,
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: and then Gordon actually being unfamiliar to the Dodgers, so
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: I could see under being a sneaky way to play that.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: But it is course field, so it's very dangerous to
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: do that. Nate, what's up man? I like baseball, man,
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: It's very statistic oriented. Since I've been doing this, it's
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: been my second best sport over a span of two
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: decades betting wise, so and it's been my favorite sport
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: for like my entire life, but they've ruined it with
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: some of the recent rules here and then, yeah, football,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I will be talking about football. I don't know if
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do a college football preview show at all,
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: because we do have Week zero coming up. I don't
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: even know if I'm gonna recommend any plays. They're only
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be like five games that I'm really gonna talk
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: about in Week zero. I know I did have a
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: play last year, but this year, I don't know if
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: I'm going to in Week zero. Cincinnati had Anaheim for
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: Andrew here. Anaheim has lost the first two games of
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: this year. Is almost able to do it yesterday and
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: beat me because I had Cincinnati and I definitely nailed
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchup right in that game yesterday, Cincinnati's
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: bullpen blew it for us, and then we still got
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: out of there with the win. So Cincinnati's on the
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: verge of potentially a sweep heer. Cincinnati is still fighting
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: for playoff positioning, though they do have Arizona next so
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: maybe they would look ahead to that a little bit.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: But I think Cincinnati they need to win man because
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: they're trying to get into the playoffs. Anaheim has nothing
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: left to play for, and Anaheim has a really really
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: bad run differential. As I keep pointing out, they're not
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: even as good as the record looks, and the records
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: not good. Cincinnati has the better release two bullpens here.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: I think I lost my bullpen usage tab as well.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: What's going on here? Man? Where's my bullpen usage?
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: What happened to it?
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: God? Damn it.
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: Hate when this happens. I'm reopening all my clothes tabs.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: Where is it? Oh my god? Oh there it is.
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: That's crazy, man. Yeah, I accidentally closed it. I guess
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: along with the rock He's whatever. Anyway, let me see here.
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: Bullpen usage wise, Anaim is the worst bullpen anyway, But
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: they didn't use much of their bullpen yesterday. Cincinnati. I
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: don't think you used a ton of theirs. Either of
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati a little bit more bullpen usage, I think you
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: still have to give Cincinnati the bullpen edge. The hitting
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: edge is closed, although Anaheim is a slight hitting edge
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: pitching wise. Starting pitching Nick Martinez is pitching for the Reds.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: He's had kind of an up and down year. He
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: was really good early in the season. His overall numbers
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: are still okay. He's been making some kind of short
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: and or relief appearances this year or too. Four point
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: seven to three ERA one point two three WHIP, So
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: the whip isn't that bad, indicating his ERA maybe should
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: be better than it is a little bit better on
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: the road four point five two ERA on the road.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: But he's been pretty awful this month at three starts,
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: six ERA, five to two strike a walk ratio is
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: not very good. After he was a little bit better
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: of the previous month, except for one really bad start
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: against Miami. He'd gone four straight starts alonging two or
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs. His team got him six straight wins
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: and got his team won six of his starts in
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: a row.
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: I should say.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: This month he only went two and a third innings
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: though against the Cubs r I think that was actually
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: a relief appearance.
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Give up two and runs. That wasn't a great appearance
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: for him.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: He did have one good start against Pittsburgh, but Pittsburgh's
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: very bad offense. He allowed one on and run at
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: seven innings there. Most recent starting only last two and
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: two thirds, gave up five and runs a nine hits,
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: one strike on no walks against Milwaukee. I know Milwaukee
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: is a good offense, but wasn't a good start for him. Martinez,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna say he's not a great form right now.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: His numbers against Anaheim are okay. In thirty one at bats,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: four to four strike a walk race. She is not great.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Two of them runs allowed not great, but almost all
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: that damages from Mike Trout. Trout has two of them
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: runs three walks against him, so virtually all the rest
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: of Anaeims hitters.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Have done nothing off him.
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Overall, including Trout, they have a two twenty six average
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: seven sixty six ops off him. Martinez might do okay
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: in this game, but I don't trust his recent form.
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: You say Kakuchi is fitching for Anaheim. I know you
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: guys like to make fun of this guy's name. His
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: numbers were all very bizarre as well. He has a
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: three point five two ERA, which is good, but at
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: one point four for a whip way too high. This
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: guy he walks too many guys, and he's been just
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: getting away with it. Man, I don't think that can
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: really continue. He is good at home though, two point
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: four r at home. He's always been better at home,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: although his recent outings have not been very good. He
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: has a five point four ERA this month seventeen to
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: seven strike a walk ratio not very good. Going back
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: into last month, He's only gotten more than five and
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: a third innings once going back into mid July, allowing
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: multiple runs in every outing at least, although he hasn't
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: allowed more than four runs in any of those outings.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: But he's basically consistently going about five innings and allowing
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: about three runs in every start, which is serviceable but
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: not great. So he's not really as great as his
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: ERA looks. At the very least. His numbers against the
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Reds are pretty good, though, in fifty one at bats
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: fifteen to four, strike a walk ratio two sixteen average
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: allowed seven O four oh ps, slightly higher than you
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: would think because he has allowed three home runs to them.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: But overall, Kakuchi does have kind of the better matchup
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: numbers here, and I guess I would even say he's
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: in slightly better form here. Money seems like it's kind
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: of coming in Cincinnati, and I'm up for MI just
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: one twenty and minus one thirty, but fifty four percent
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: of takes fifty nine percent of the cash coming in,
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati don't know that I would want to deal
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: with that.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: I don't want to deal with this game at all.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: And then the total looks like there is some market
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: indication on the under seventy percent of tickets on the
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: over sixty five percent of cash on the under total
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half. Uh So do with that
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: information what you will. I don't even really have much
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: of a lien on this game, to be honest. I mean,
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: by default you can kind of just go with the
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: market indicators, but I mean I like something more than
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: just market indicators to back me up.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: And then we have San Francisco San Diego. This is
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: a big series.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: Even though San Francisco is pretty much out of it,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: San Diego is still fighting for playoff positioning. San Francisco
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: I think they want to beat San Diego because it's
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: a big divisional series here. The teams will split the
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: first two games of the series. I was San Diego
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit of quick revenge last night. Both
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: bullpens are good. We have two of the top bullpenny
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: ras and all baseball not a ton of bullpen usage
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: really either. San Francisco maybe a little bit more, but
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: just because they kind of use Seymour to eat up
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: innings yesterday, so both bullpens still pretty intact here. The
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: offense is not very good. San Diego has the better offense,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: and I would say the slightly better bullpen, although I
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: think the bullpens are very much a wash. San Francisco's
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: offense is really bad. San Diego's is not great either,
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: And then the starting pitching matchum On the surface, you
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: might think that San Francisco does have the advantage here,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: but I'm not entirely sure about that. Landon route pitching
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: for the Giants here three point four fo or five
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: era pretty good this year, but one point four or
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: five whip is not good. He walks too many guys man,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: and he's actually been significantly worse on the road, with
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: a four point one to five roadra last start wasn't great.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: He went three innings line five and runs against Tampa
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: Bay at home, where he's better. He's better at home
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: and it's a pitcher front of the park, and he
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: still didn't do that well, but did have five strikeouts
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: one walk, so his stregout walk ratio has been good
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: over his last three starts, which is nineteen to three,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: which is in that bad and the prior too starts
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: he allowed one on and run combined against the Dodgers
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: in Anaheim, or excuse me, Dodgers in Atlanta, excuse me.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: So he was pitching fairly well over quite a bit
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: of a stretch there. He had a nice runner. He
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: allowed two or four on runs and six straight starts
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: prior to his last start, so maybe that last start
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: was a little bit of a blip. His strikeo walk
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: ratio is still indicates his command was decent there. Numbers
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: are decent against San Diego too, in forty nine at bats,
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: better than decent thirteen to six strego walk ratio two
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: twenty four average allowed five ninety five ohps. Even though
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: San Diego has seen him now multiple times, he actually
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: has been pretty good against San Diego.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: He pitched against him twice this year.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Had one bad start early in the season, didn't last
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: five in hes a lot four and runs three walks.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: He's more recent start he went six and a third
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: and didn't allow any earn runs against them and had
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: a five to two strike a walk ratio four hits allowed,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: so he was better in that one. Overall, he is
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: pretty good against San Diego, so we might get a
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: good start out of him, this time up against J. P.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: Sears for San Diego.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: San Diego got him in a trade with the A's
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: and then they basically immediately send him to the minors.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: But he's back up now. I mean, I think he's
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: good enough to stick in a major league rotation. Man
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: five point one two ERA, one point three to one
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: whip though this year not exactly good as home numbers.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: You see a five point four to eighty RA, but
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: all of those were with the A's, so you know,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: the a Stadium is very hitter friendly, so I'm not
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: gonna put much stock into that because the Padres have
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: a way more pitcher friendly ballpark and he hasn't pitched
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: here yet. Against the Giants, does have pretty good numbers.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: It's seventy two at bats because of course in that
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Bay Area rivalry there when he was on the A's.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: He's seeing the Giants a lot, or they've seen him
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: a lot, but they haven't done well against him. Twenty
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, five walks to twenty two average, six twenty
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: ops allowed. So I actually think Sears maybe even as
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: a slight edge in this pitching matchup here as one
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: start with San Diego wasn't good. It was at Arizona, though,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: very hitter friendly park. He got bombed for ten hits,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: five and runs. Not good, but four strikeouts one walk
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: wasn't exactly that bad. But immediately after that start they
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: sent him to the miners. But he's back up now
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: and he's in a better position here. He's in a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: better pitching park now against a much much weaker lineup,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: so he might do a lot better in this game.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: So this game, I mean to me, it actually almost
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: seems like maybe kind of an under early in the game,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: maybe even the full game, because both bullpens are still good.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: So yeah, maybe full game under is the best way
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: to look at this game. Eighty three percent of tickets,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: only sixty eight percent of the cash on. The over
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: total dropped a little bit to eight Without juice, San
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: Diego went for minus one thirty five one forty seven
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: cash on San Diego. So the side looks like the
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: money is kind of coming in San Diego and backing
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: Sears over route, even though Thera is worse.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: So that's something to take notice of.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: It. San Diego is better at home, so there might
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: be something to that, but I think maybe the under
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: is the better. The better way to play that game.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: Pitcher friendly park offenses that aren't very strong, good bullpends
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: starting pitching that kind of flies under the radar and
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: actually has good matchup numbers. So that's probably the way
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: I would look in that game. Let's go to the
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: best bets.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: Man, We're an hour in.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: We'll do the best bets, and I'll get out of
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: here and we'll see when I decided to start talking
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: about college football. Man, if I want to do a
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: college football preview show to tell you what I think
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: about the conference breakdowns. So we already did an NFL
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: previews show, you can go check that out. I did
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: it with Clint Bald episode three. Can go check that
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: one out. And I did do a NFL season win
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: totals as well, which so you can kind of get
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: a gauge for what I think is gonna happen in
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: the NFL through those two shows. I don't know as
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: much about the personnel in college football. That's really the
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: problem makes it really hard to gauge. I mean, I
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: can look at the you know, odds and stuff, but
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: let's go to best bets here, Man, the first one up.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: I think we're gonna be on some somewhat of a
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: public side here, I think, but we're gonna go Atlanta
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: on the run line, even though I know they're at home.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: I know Atlanta's offense isn't exactly that good. They've been
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: playing a little bit better since they kind of got
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: over that like mental thing where it's like, oh, well,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: we're dead this season, We're out of it. I know
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna be able to bat in the ninth
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: inning if they're already winning, but I think they can
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: get this done on the minus one and a half here.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: It's a better price this way. If you want it
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: to go money line or split the bet run line
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: money line, you could do that. But I think this
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: shapes up nicely for Atlanta on this one. I think
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: they might actually be a little bit under the radar.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: I understand this. They have seventy two percent of tickets,
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: only sixty nine percent of the cash. They do look
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: way too public here, but this matchup looks like it's
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: all Atlanta to me. Man. They're up for minus what
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: sixty three to minus one eighty two, So the money
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: line did move way up on them, which is why
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: I think the best way to do this is the
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: run line here. If you want to go Atlanta over
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: their team total, I don't really hate that either, with
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on the over compared to
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the tickets, and the total has
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: gone up a little bit to nine. So if you
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: think Atlanta's gonna score, maybe they will. But let's take
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: a look at what we have going on here, man,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: I think Atlanta has the better bullpend anyway, because the
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: White Sox bullpen is bad. I mean, they're they're kind
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: of like a bottom tier bullpend here, man, almost to
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: the bottom third. They've actually moved up a little bit recently,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: but Atlanta does have the somewhat better bullpen here. And
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: looking at the bullpen usage, Atlanta used four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: not a ton of bullpend usage really, not a ton
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: of pitches thrown. White Sox bullpen has been used up
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: kind of over the last couple of days, so they
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: used four five relief pitchers than four leave pitchers. So
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: I think Atlanta's bullpen is a little bit better here.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: So we can go full game here in the better
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: scenario here. Offense, you gotta give the edge to Atlanta here.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a bad, bad White Sox line,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: the third worst and all of Baseball. Atlanta's is actually
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: somewhat reasonably reasonable at least I don't even know where
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: they are here, But then they are thirteenth, so Atlanta
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: does have a much better offense. And then the starting
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: pitching man, I mean, this is kind of crazy what's
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: going on here. Martin Perez is coming back for the
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: White Sox here. He's an older journeyman pitcher throws junk basically,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: and you look at his numbers. Three point oho nine
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: era does look pretty good. One point two to nine
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: whip not as good, a little bit high, higher than
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: you would like to see. He's been bad on the
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: road this year four point eight two ERA, but it's
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: in a limited sample because he only made three four starts,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: excusing early in the season, and basically the last two
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: were pretty bad, both against the Red Sox though, but
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: then he went on the injured on the disabled list,
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: and now he's trying to come back, so he already
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: pitched one so this isn't his first game back, which
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: does mean he is that one outing under his belt,
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: so that maybe means he'll pitch better here, but I'm
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: gonna show you why I don't think so. In a second,
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: he pitched against Detroit his first game back, which was
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: out of the bullpen. I'm pretty sure when three in
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: the third innings, won on and run, allowed four strikeouts,
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: two walks, So he was decent against a decent lineup.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: So he did pitch okay in that game.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, he came out of the bullpen and relief
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: of Shane Smith last time Smith pitched before yesterday. I
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: think so Perez does have an outing under his belt
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: that wasn't that bad. But you'll get his stats over
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: his career, man, I mean, he's not the greatest, mostly
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: on Texas and then his stats kind of lapsed more recently.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: But his career numbers are not great. Four point four
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: two ERA, one point four to four WHIP. I remember
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: him being on the Red Sox and he really wasn't good.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: So maybe I'm a little bit biased, but he's really
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: he's not a guy that strikes out many guys at all.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: He kind of walks too many guys, Like he's just
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: not a great pitcher man. He's just a guy that
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: kind of fills out your rotation, and against Atlanta over
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: his history, they have fifty nine at bats against me,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: have a three twenty two average, nine to thirty four ops,
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: nine to five strike a walk ratio. Two of them
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: runs that are both from Alby's Albiez's seven for nine offense,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: so he does a lot of damage off him, But
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: this lineup does damage off of Perez in general. So
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with what I think is the better
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: pitcher who probably is not getting a lot of accolades yet,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: which is Hurston Walds with a ridiculous name, who is
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: a rookie for Atlanta, and he's off and running. Man.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: He has a one point oh two ERA point seventy
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: nine wit, which I know he probably can't sustain that,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: but Holman Road basically has similar numbers. Doesn't even matter,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: but he's won all three of his starts so far
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: since starting to pitch in the majors Man, so he's
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: often running. I know, like I said, he can't. He
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: probably can't keep this up. And I know he's done
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: this against offenses that aren't terrific, with Cincinnati being the
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: best one than Miami Cleveland. But he's gone five and
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: two thirds innings or more. In all three of them,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: he's allowed one or fewer and run and all three
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: of them has a seventeen to five strike on walk ration,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: only nine hits allowed in seventeen or two thirds innings,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: so he is not putting a lot of guys on base,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: not allowing a lot of runs. That's a good sign.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: And by the way, the White Sox lineup is actually
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: probably the worst line up that he's faced so far
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: out of all of these, and they haven't seen him before,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: so they're completely unfamiliar with him. So I think he
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: has an extra edge here. So he's actually stepping down
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: in class out of face a really really bad offense,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: and he's faced all bad offenses so far, and it's
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: an offense that hasn't faced him Virgine. I think it has
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: helped him in his first few starts, the unfamiliarity edge here,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: because I looked at Waldrop's numbers and he was decent
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: in triple A. He has a decent statistical profile. Nothing
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: that looked like, Oh, he's gonna come out and just
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: start blowing people away. But he's doing well so far, man,
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: So I'm not really gonna question it right now. I
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: think Waldrop has the upper hand here, So we're gonna
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: go Atlanta run line in that game. Next time. We're
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: gonna do something I rarely do, to play on a
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: game where we don't even know who one of the
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers is. Here, you go Zach Kansas City Royals
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: money line plus one on one. We'll keep the bullpens in.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: This is against Texas. I mean, Texas does have the
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: better of the two bullpens. I don't think it's that
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: significant though, and they're right ahead of them in the
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: ra sixth and seventh doesn't matter a whole lot.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: The Royals on least two relievers yesterday, using.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Zirpuff to kind of eat up some innings there too,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: so their bullpen's pretty intact here. Texas used a little
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: bit more of their bullpen over the last couple of days,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: so the bullpen edge I think is just kind of
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: a wash. So we're gonna keep Kansas City's bullpend in.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: But Texas might have to go to their bullpend earlier
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: because they don't even know who their starter is gonna be.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: So when you play this game, you have to play
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: action instead of starters must listen, starters must start, I think,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: because you don't know who Texas starter is gonna be.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: But and you are making the assumption that Cameron is
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: gonna start for Kansas City. So that's the slight risk
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: that if he for some reason winds up not pitching
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: in this game, your action and bet still goes and
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: you have to just basically roll the dice on it.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that's gonna happen. I think he
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: will start, So you play Kansas City action in this game,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: play them regardless of who Texas starter is gonna be.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna wind up being one of
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: their really good starters. I don't think hopefully. So we're
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: gonna go action here and hopefully Texas is gonna go
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: with some bolt end game like hopefully it's gonna be
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: Kumar Rock or somebody like that here going for them
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: where we have a decided edge here, because otherwise I
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: don't see how you can make Kansas City an underdog
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: with Cameron on the hill man batting wise, really going
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: to two really bad offenses. As bad as Kansas City's
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: offense is, Texas is even worse, even though Texas is
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: actually worse at home than they are on the road.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: Their offense is not good. Kansas City, by the way,
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: did win yesterday. Seth Lugo actually pitched well again yesterday.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: I told you under in that game, I almost made
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: a play on that one. I almost gave it out
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: and that was a play. I mean, it wasn't a play,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: but that would have been a winner if I did
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: give that it as a play. Kansas City has won
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: five games. They do have a little bit of momentum
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: here that I know Texas is probably gonna want to
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: show up to try to avoid getting swept here. Although
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: I think these teams might play tomorrow to him, not
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: even sure, but I can look real quick.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: But these teams are both playing for playoff positioning.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: Man, They're both trying to make the playoffs still, so
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: that's a big motivator for both teams. Yes, they do
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: play tomorrow in the afternoon on getaway Day, so that's
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: what we have going on. But I mean a lot
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: of this is just the starting pitching, man. I mean,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: you have undecided for Texas going up against Noah Cameron,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: who's the rookie for Kansas City, who you know I've
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: given out plays on him several times this season. I
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: think more of them have won than they've lost. The
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: last time I did it, we got to win as
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: a road favorite with Kansas City, and they're a home
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: underdog this time, and again I don't think they should
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: be a home underdog with Cameron pitching. It's gonna be
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: Cameron indoor this time. Two point four to seventy RA
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: one point six whip on the season, good numbers, obviously,
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: especially for a rookie. I know he's a little bit
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: worse at home two point eight one ERA at home,
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: although a pitcher friendly park. Nonetheless, he's been a little
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: bit shake here this month, not really, not reaching six
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: innings in his last two starts. But he's been good enough.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: I mean he's allowed one run over that span over
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: ten and two thirds innings. I know he's faced some
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: weak offenses recently, White Sox, Minnesota, Cleveland a few starts back,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: but he's unokay against some of these better lineups too.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: Had a decent start against the Cubs, pretty good, really
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: good start against the Matt's okay starting against Toronto. So
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: he's doing okay. But again, we don't have to worry
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: about that here because Texas is a very weak offense,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: so I think he's better equipped to face Texas here.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: He does have a two point six CRA still this
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: past month or in August, I should say, even though
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: his strike out rate has gone down seven to five,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio isn't that great. The walk rate
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: isn't that high. It's just a strikeout rate went way down.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: But I think he might be able to get that
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: back up again in Texas has never seen Cameron before,
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: so I think that's a decided edge to Cameron.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: As well, because he's totally unfamiliar to Texas.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: When you have these young pictures that are unfamiliar to
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: these opposing hitters, Man, we're doing it in two of
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: these games here, I think it's the right way to go.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with Kansas City in this game. I'm
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: looking at the market. We don't really see much of
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: the market yet. There's nothing to really go on with
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: the market yet because it's an undecided picture. It's just
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: dropped a little bit from Texas down to minus one
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: twenty two and minus one twenty But I just don't
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: really see what, uh, what makes Texas be that much
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: of a favorite, Like I don't see what really justifies that.
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: So yeah, let's go Royals. I'll be rooting for them today.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: I know you do that. I know you do that
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: because as soon as I talk about the Royals, you
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: jump in, Zach. So I know that you played against
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: Noah Cameron, like you not just betting? You mean you
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: mean you literally physically played against him. So you actually
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: batted against Noah Cameron. Wow? Uh, tell me more. I
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: actually want to know. That's awesome, man, that's an awesome story,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: especially dude Cameron. He could wind up being something man,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: and that's crazy. If you get to say that you
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: batted against him in high school, tell me about it
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: while I get this last bet up here, which is
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: what is this last bet? I don't even remember what
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: it is. Let me see. I know it's another side. Oh,
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: I know what it is. It's another very good young
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: pitcher here. So you might know what it is now
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: because we're gonna go Milwaukee Brewers' money line here, and
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: part of this is because of the bullpen rest scenario here. Man,
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna show you that in a second here.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: But I like Milwaukee in this game, man, to bounce
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: back here. I know the Cubs, you could argue, have
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: more motivation here because they're still way behind Milwaukee. They
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: need to basically sweep Milwaukee in the series, which already
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: they can't do because they actually lost the first game
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: of the series, which was supposed to be on a
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: day with a double header on That second game of
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: the doubleheader got postponed into yesterday and yesterday. The Cubs
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: won both of the games yesterday, so they swept the
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: double header yesterday. Both games are fairly close, six to
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: four and four to one. But after that, I think
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: the Cubs might backslide a little bit in this game. Man.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: I know, they have to try to keep winning these games.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: I think they started on They came into this series
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: and think eight games behind Milwaukee. Now they're seven games back. Yes,
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: the Cubs need to keep winning, but Milwaukee obviously is
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: gonna show up too. They want to beat the Cubs too.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: They want to hammer the Cubs into the ground, man.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: So both these teams have, you know, a huge reason
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: to play here. I think the bullpen edge is actually
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: in favor of Milwaukee significantly here because if we look
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: at what happened with the double header yesterday, Milwaukee pretty
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: much saved all their better relievers. How they used Ashbe
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: who comes into long relief a lot, and Tobias Myers,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: who has been in the starting rotation, So like all
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: of their late relief men are available in this game today.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: And then you look at what the Cubs did yesterday.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: They literally use every single one of their relief pitchers yesterday.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: Only Ben Brown didn't come into the game and he's
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: been in and out of the starting rotation. So the
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: Cubs all their best relievers pitched yesterday and they all
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: threw double digit pitches. So whoever they use today is
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: gonna have to go two straight days. And well, I
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: know they many of the guys the day before that,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: but still this is a bullpen rest edge from Milwaukee here. Man,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee didn't used too many of their guys the days
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: before that either, so Milwaukee has a big time rest
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: edge here. Bullpen wise, both bullpens are fairly good, but
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: you can see here era wise, Milwaukee's is actually slightly
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: better on the season. Again now, so you gotta give
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: the bullpenach to Milwaukee here, and seeing that Chicago like
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: literally has no rested relievers here that I looked at
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: that and I was like, yeah, you gotta fade the
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: Cubs today, man, you gotta do it, And then looking
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: at the starting pitching match, I think that's an edge
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: to Milwaukee as well. Offense, I think is probably an
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: edge to the Cubs as they're sitting here at sixth
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: and overall ops, Milwaukee's down to eleventh. But Milwaukee is
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: better at hitting on the road, so I think that's
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a wash as well. So I
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: think Milwaukee should be good to go here, and I
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: like their starting pitcher better. Man. With Jacob Mizzierowski pitching,
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the young fien On. We know what
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: this guy is. He's coming out there and he's throwing
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: one hundred miles an hour more often than any other
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: pitch you're in Major League Baseball. It's crazy. I mean,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: I know he's been a little bit shaky, but he's
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: really really good. He's a looming six seven presents on
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: the mound. He's only twenty three, so I think he's
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: only going to settle down and become like he's gonna
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: become an All Star pitcher man. I mean, he literally
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: already is. He was already on the All Star Game,
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: which I think was premature, but I think he's gonna
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: be like a valid All Star pitcher even this year,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: despite having a couple of bad starts in there. He's
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: a three point eight to nine ERA one point one
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: to three whip. I know he's been way worse on
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: the on the road here seven point three six ERA,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: so we do have to worry about that a little bit,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: but I'm not as worried about it because if you
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: look at what those starts were, one was at the Mets. Uh, yeah,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: he had a shaky outing there, but he was kind
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: of like I think he might have been gearing up
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: for the All Star Game at that point. He pitched
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: really well against the Dodgers right after that, before he
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: was about to pitch in the All Star Game. He
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: did pitch against the Cubs once and he was okay.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: He went four innings, was just inefficient with his pitches,
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: but he held him to tour and runs, seven strike ons,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: two walks, So outing against the Cubs was not that bad.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: And then he missed a little bit of time and
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: he was dealing with some injuries and he has made
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: one outing since coming back from his injury, and I
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: know it was a really, really bad outing very bad.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: It was his worst outing of his career at Cincinnati,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: which Cincinnati's a hitter friendly ballpark. He only went one
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: to the third end. He's gave up five and runs,
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: didn't allow any homers, three walks, three strikeouts. I understand
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: bad start from Miz, but I'm gonna give him a
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: pass for that because it was his first game back
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: from being injured.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: I think he's gonna settle back in. He's gonna do
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: better here.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: I know the Cubs have seen him now, so the
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: Cubs are familiar with the mooton you have as much
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: talent as he does lay Miz here. I don't think
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be lay Miz for us here. I don't
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be very miserable. I think he's gonna
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: do well again against the Cubs. His overall numbers just
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: in that one star were quite good. Seventeen at bats,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: three hits, no extra RaSE hits from the Cubs entire
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: lineup that they have going today, eight strikeouts, two walks,
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: one to seventy six average four to forty oh ps.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: So I think Miz is gonna come out and pitch
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: well here. Man. That's just the way that it is.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: I'm rhyming, I'm a poet here and I didn't know it.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: And he's going up against Colin Ray. Who you know me? Man?
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: You have a young fireball pitcher up against an old
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: veteran who doesn't throw hard in Colin Ray. You know
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: which way I'm gonna go here. Even though Ray is
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: having a decent season for the Cobs three point nine
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: to nine ERA one point two eight whip, he is
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse at home four point one to
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: three ERA hasn't been quite going as deep into games recently.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: He's got five or fewer innings in all but one
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: of his starts going all the way back into mid July.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: I had a bump where he allowed five and four
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: runs a couple of starts to go. Oh yeah, who
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: was one of those starts against? Oh yeah, it was
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee at Milwaukee. So Ray actually did not pitch well
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: against Milwaukee, which I believe is one of his former teams.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: Is Milwaukee as well. He went four innings in that one,
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: gave it four and runs, nine hits, one walk, two strikeouts,
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: so he didn't pitch well. I know. He bounced back
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit in this month. He does have a
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: two point three ERA and fifteen to five strike ad.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: I get that hasn't a lot one of the tour
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: in runs in any of these these outings, but it
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: was against Baltimore, Saint Louis and Pittsburgh. Man, I mean Baltimore.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: He didn't even go five innings in the game. Baltimore
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: is not a good offense. Saint Louis has been one
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: of the worst offenses in baseball over the last couple
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: of months, and Pittsburgh is the worst offense this season.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: So he has been a step way up in CLASSI
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: fased in Milwaukee here and in twenty at bats they
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: have nine hits off and man four fifty average nine
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: to seventy six obs surprising. He hasn't had a whole
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: lot of a history against Milwaukee, but that recent start
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: against him was really bad. I know it's probably because
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: he's been on Milwaukee recently, so up until this year
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: he was on their teams. That's probably why a lot
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: of them haven't faced him that much. But I think Milwaukee,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: because he was on their team, they also know his
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: tendencies and stuff, so I think this is definitely an
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: edge to the Brewers here. We're going with it, especially
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: with the bullpen, so obviously we want to go full
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: game here to keep the bullpens in. Milwaukee's up for
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: minus one to ten to minus one eleven here on
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: the money line per tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: cash on Milwaukee's even though they're a public road favorite.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, Milwaukee's the hot commodity, but I think after
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: losing both games yesterday, I think the public might not
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: be heavy as heavy on them as they would be Otherwise.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: It looks to me like the market Reid is saying Milwaukee,
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: and the total is very low. It's down from seven
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: to very heavily juiced on the under seven, which it's
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: basically six and a half, fifty four percent of tickets
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: on the over, eighty six percent of the cash on
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: the under money all coming in on the under. I
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: would never go under a six and a half, especially
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: because I don't really trust Ray in this matchup or
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: the Cubs bullpend being just totally out of swords here.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: So there's no way I would go under full game
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: in this one. But it must mean the wind's blowing
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: in and Wrigley, Man, I think it was blowing in
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: yesterday too. But you see a low total like this,
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: that means that the lake wind is blowing in here
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: at Wrigley and it is gonna knock some of these
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: balls down, which I think might help Missierowski because I
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: think he might have the tendency because he throws so hard.
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: If guys make contact with him, there's a tendency of
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: those balls are gonna skyrocket. So I think that might
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: help him a little bit more as well. So that's
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: the breakdown there, man. So once again the three plays
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Braves run line, Kansas City Royal's money line, and
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee Brewers money line. So we got three baseball players today.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Zach Melica to your story here,
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: you didn't know it was no Cameron, Saint Joseph Central,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: all right, you played against Ashby too, dude. Why are
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: you not in the majors with them? What's going on here?
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: So that's crazy, man. So you must be somewhere out
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: in the Midwest. Well you're in Kansas, the Kansas City area, right, yeah,
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: because you root for Kansas City. So these are all
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: Kansas City guys. That's crazy. So Kansas. So Noah Cameron's
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: actually a local guy and he's playing for his local team.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: That's a good story, man, I didn't even know that
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: was the case. So that's a cool story. And then
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: yea Ash be playing for the Brewers. Yeah, interesting, man,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: that's cool. I appreciate it. Man, it's storytime with Zach.
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: I wish I had a graphic for that, but thank
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: you man, I did not know really any of that.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: That's awesome to tell people that you got to face
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: multiple major league pictures. You'll have to let me know
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: how well you hit against them. But I got to
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: get out of here. Man, everybody, thanks for hanging out.
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. It's learn it Toad on Twitter, learn
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: it toe on Instagram, where I do post the short content. Sorry,
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: I went a.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: Little bit earlier today, but I woke up earlier.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: I'm just getting stuff done today, man, better off dead. Obviously, YouTube,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: you know, like subscribe to the channel, do all the things.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: It helps me out.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: Obviously.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: We're on the audio as well, Spotify, Apple, you know,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: help me out there, review the show as well. And
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: then we got covered in you my ukulele YouTube project
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: that's over there where I post my yuke covers. Got
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: to get that going with more Uke covers, man, I
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: just they're all on my phone here.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: So the problem is that, Yeah.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: I got to get those Yuke videos all off of
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: my phone, man, and actually identify them because I'm just
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: I'm a mess man. I'm disorganized with it, completely disorganized
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: with those. So I got to somehow do that and
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: maybe start dripping some of the old covers onto the
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: YouTube channel. Then there is a spot a Spotify feed
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: with them as well. If you go to patreon dot
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: com slash learn to toad, there is a Yuke Spotify
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: feed at one of the higher levels and at the
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: highest level, which nobody is doing right now. Nobody's on it,
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: but you get prioritize requests as well. I'm gonna try
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: to get Twitter subscriptions as well. They denied me the
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: first time, and now the application won't go through, so
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: I might have to contact Premium or I don't even know. Man,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: I gotta get something going. But that's gonna do it.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, I appreciate it. Let's have a good Wednesday
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: hump Day, baby. I will hump these bets today in
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: peace