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Transcript

Royals/Blue Jays MLB + WNBA Best Bets Saturday 8/2/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: brons haack. Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. Marchhape, is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. This is
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: better off dead. It is Saturday, August second. Hopefully everybody
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: kicked off the weekend in.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: A nice way. Last night.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I keep hearing just loud traffic outside. Man,
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: I'm not even on that heavily trafficked to road. It's
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: just like some of these people, man with these engine noises,
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, should just be banned.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: It should be outlawed, throw them on whatever.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: Yesterday two and one, and it looked like it was
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: gonna be three, and oh that it looked like it
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: was gonna be own three as it looked like every
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: game was gonna potentially blow it in the closing innings or.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: Seconds of the game.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: Basically then to flipped back around a little bit in Nuwanda.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: But two and one at night, the loss was the
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: WNBA game, because of course it was the Chicago Sky
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: I gave it out on the show earlier at plus
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: five and a half. I got plus six on that
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: or plus six was what was out there when I
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: did the Instagram video. I should say I didn't actually
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: bet any of these, as I keep clarifying, gotta get
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: my money in order here, but that would have been
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: an extremely frustrating one.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I think Chicago was still the right side the whole way.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: They're winning the game outright most of the way, and
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: I believe they were still winning the game by three,
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: five points maybe with about four minutes left, and they
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: completely imploded. They had the worst fourth quarter maybe that
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: I've ever seen, well, probably not that I've ever seen,
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: but man, it was a bad fourth quarter. There's no
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: way they were covering almost wire to wire in that game.
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: There's absolutely no way they should have blown that. And
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: then even at the end they had chances to get
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: back within that number, but of course it landed right
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: on the key number of seven, so one point away,
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: which is the three score thresholder you stop intentionally fouling.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: That game involved another green dildo being thrown onto the court,
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: by the way, as well, but this time it was
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: not good luck for me, and it happened earlier in
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: the game, but man, that should have been a sky cover. Man,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, that was just bullshit. We did get the
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: under on Minnesota Cleveland, right, which was looking like a
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: really no sweat under there for most of the game.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: I think it was two to one into the eighth
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: inning or something like that. But then of course the
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: game gets tied, and then it's like almost all bets
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: are off, but of course they're not off because your
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: bet is live. But if that thing goes to extra innings,
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: which it did, you're really holding on there, man, because
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: of the ghost runners and shit, and I'm just hoping,
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: like I'm like, man, because these offenses are so bad.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it still comes in, and it did.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: Cleveland was able to do, I believe, get the walk
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: off single in the bottom of the tenth I believe.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: So luckily that did not go an additional inning with
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: an additional run score by both teams. That would have
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: been really, really problematic. But it was definitely the right
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: side with the right call. I mean, it was an
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: under game finished three to two, and then San Francisco
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: that would think it was a winner of the whole way.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: The Giants, they were shutting the Mets out into the
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: eighth inning, it was three nothing San Francisco, and then
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: their bullpen, which is still one of the top bullpens
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: in the game, blew the entire lead in the eighth
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: and ninth inning, and now all of a sudden, it's
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: three to three, and I believe it went to extra innings,
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: but somehow San Francisco, I believe, scored in the top
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: of the tenth, and then their bullpen finally came through
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: and held the Mets off the board and they won
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: four to three. So that was a roller coaster of
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: a game, and I believe it was the right side
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: the whole way. Charles, what's up, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah,
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: it's or Holy gotta go to my friend's birthday party.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: I'm on fumes, man. I mean it is like, I
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: don't even know how I'm even doing.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: This right now.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: And actually I got to turn the AC up in here,
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: which of course I could do via an app here,
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: but let me just do this.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: This is bad, dude.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: I'm like sweating my ass off here. I don't know
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: what's going on because I like, I have it set
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: to like AC slash heat and you never like it's
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: that's like almost all bets are off too.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: But it's not even hot out. It's like around.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: Sixty degrees outside, but up here it's like in the seventies,
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: you know, in this room, and it's like I'm really
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: feeling it.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: So I got to turn this ac on.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: I'm only gonna have one play today, which is total
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: in Major League Baseball. I don't like today's card at all.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: We can get into it, man, We'll get into the
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: rundown here. And I'm also having some issues here with
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: pre Game, which is the site that I've used for
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: their free like market indicators for well over a decade
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: at this point. I've been using this site basically since
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: I was I think probably still in college or maybe
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: just out of college. They've had the same it's been
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: the same site for that entire time. But for some reason,
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: we don't have any of the book information right now,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: cash percentage, ticket percentage. I don't know if they're like
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: integration is just fucked up right now, hopefully, because I
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: mean they don't have any like any indicator on their
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: website that says that they're actually getting rid of that,
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: and the columns are still there, so I'm hoping that
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: it's just an issue with the integration on the site, man,
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: because that was the case yesterday and that's the case today,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: so I'm kind of flying blind. I brought up wager Talks,
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: which I like. Wager talks betting experts a lot better,
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: by the way, but they're this tool that they have
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: for the same odds information is not quite as good
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: in my opinion, but it's decent. So that's what I'm
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: gonna look at for this video here. Hopefully this is
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: a temporary thing. WNBA. We have one game today, it's
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: Minnesota at Vegas. And I did tell you when I
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: mentioned that this game has happening. Of course this gets
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: top billing ABC. I mean major League Baseball is on.
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: It's like not baseball. Yeah, you're fucked, You're going you
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: have a couple of games on like MLB Network and
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: that's about it. No, the top game of the day
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: in the afternoon, Minnesota in Las Vegas.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, okay.
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: Although I think most of the baseball games are at night,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: I believe, but still, whatever, I mean, this is at
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: least not the worst WNBA matchup. There should be a
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: prop on how many dildos get thrown out to the court.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: The over under on dildos.
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: I would probably go under that because it is the
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: story right now, get under the dildos.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Minnesota, I mentioned this yesterday.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: I think they're in a letdown spot, man, because they
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: just beat the New York Liberty and they just beat
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: Vegas the last time they played them a couple of
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: games back. They beat Vegas totally an embarrassing fashion in Minnesota,
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: beating them by thirty one points. So I think this
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: is a much better spot for Vegas for that reason. Again,
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: this is a letdown spot for Minnesota as well, because
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: that was finals revenge against the Liberty, because the Liberty
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: beat them in the finals last year. Huge game from Minnesota.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: They are traveling now, though, so they may still be
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: focused because they do have to go out on the road.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: Vegas obviously needs this game way more than I'm in Minnesota.
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: They have a huge padding right now in the league.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're almost guaranteed to be the one seed
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: of the playoffs at this one. I don't even know
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: when the playoffs start, but Minnesota is looking like there's
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: no way they're not going to get the one severe.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: It's Vegas.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: They need to play man, because they're sitting here fourteen
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: and thirteen, fighting for the playoffs here, they need these games.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: This is a big game for them. But the problem
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: with the Vegas is they're returning home from a road trips.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: I am a little bit hesitant to actually recommend this
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: as a play man. That's the one issue that I
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: kind of have is that they were out on the
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: road now they're returning home. Yes, the final leg of
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: the trip was not that difficult. This they're just coming
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: back from La now. But still, I mean, you come
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: back home, you have to get back to home life.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: It's kind of an issue. I mean, of course they're
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: not going to be distracted with Minnesota coming in though,
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: so I would still lean to Vegas. But because it
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: is a return home spot, I've a little bit of
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: difficult to getting there with that. But it's Minnesota minus
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: five and a half here. It almost looks too easy
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: to lay the points. I mean, that's not a huge
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: spread there, Vegas having a much much worse record than Minnesota.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Vegas when they're on they could still actually play man.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, I believe Asia Wilson, their best player, I
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: believe was the league.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: MVP last year. If I'm not mistaken. So Vegas.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's still definitely a good team, although they
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: haven't played that well at home. So we will see
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: what happens with that game.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know if this wager talk site actually has
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: Do they have WNBA here?
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: Let me see? I think they are probably in here somewhere. Oh,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: there it is.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: Yes, they have Vegas fifty seven percent of the tickets,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: a sixty eight percent of the cash, So it.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: Looks like the money is indeed coming in on that.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: You could see the line dropped a little bit as
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: far as the juice is concerned. Yeah, so that's the
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: way I would lean in that game. Won't quite make
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: it a play though. You're barely awake as well. You
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: have seventy six. That's way too hot, dude, I just
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: turn mine down to sixty eight.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir, Andrew. What's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Yeah.
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: I mean people would watch the WNBA just to bet
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: on the amount of dildos thrown. All right, Major League Baseball.
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to get through this, man. Maybe I
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: won't talk about the market read as much. Maybe I
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: shouldn't even bring this up because it's like it's pointless
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: to have a to have pregame up right now, I'll
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: just use a wager talk here.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: They don't have the percentages I think on every game,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: at least not in every total right now. Because it's morning,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: everything's still coming in. We do have some afternoon games,
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: so I was right about that, Actually a lot of
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: after noon games because Saturday a lot of times it's
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: all evening games still, but not the case here. Dodgers
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: at Tampa Bay is the first game up. This is
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: gonna be kind of interesting, man. I mean, I give
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Tampa the bullpen edge. I don't like the Dodgers bullpen
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: very much at all. The Dodgers won five to nothing yesterday,
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: and I told you it wasn't a good spot for
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: Tampa yesterday. And Kershaw I actually pitched really well in
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday, shutting them out obviously for whatever amount
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: of time he was in there. Tampa had played the
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: game the day before that in La was off, so
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: LA had the rest edge that might even carry over
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: into today a little bit.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: So Tampa was in a bad spot.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: But I believe they were returning home as well, so
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: maybe this is more of a bounce back spot for
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: Tampa here, but my eyes are kind of looking more
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: towards the total.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers only use Rableski, so their bullpen is very,
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: very rested right now, so that kind of counteracts the
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: bullpen deficiencies that LA has to some extent. Tampa only
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: used three relievers yesterday, which isn't terrible, So Tampa does
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: have the better bullpen, at Las is definitely a bit
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: more rested here might be a little bit of an
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: advantage to LA for that reason.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: Blake Snell is starting for LA. That's a name we
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: haven't heard in a while.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: He's been like an elite strikeout pitcher man when he's
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: when he has actually pitched, his issue has always been
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: the walks. But he's been injured almost the entire season. Man.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: He pitched I believe two times early in the season,
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: and he's been injured since then with a shoulder injury.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: So I don't even know if we care about what
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: his home road splits are. He had two games, Dodgers
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: actually won both games that he pitched. He walked way
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: too many guys, though, again his walk his walk rate
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: is an issue. He only pitched nine innings total of
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: the season so far, eight walks and four strike cups.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: He's gonna have to get it going Mintal.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: Though he only gave two earned runs, the defense was
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: terrible behind him in the Atlanta start that he had
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: way back early April April second, my birthday.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: So Snell has been out since then.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: None of the runs that he allowed in that game
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: five unearned runs were scored.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: There are none of the runs that he allowed were
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: earned in that one.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: So I mean his season stats like you don't even
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: there's nothing that you could really take away from what
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: he did in those first two starts, man, other than
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: the fact that, yeah, it might be an issue that
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: he's too wild, but he has dominated Tampa Bay.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: I believe he was on Tampa Bay before, right, isn't that. Yeah,
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: he's facing the team that he's arted out with Tampa Bay.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: But of course I'm sure he's pitched against them since then,
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: because he hasn't been on Tampa Bay since twenty twenty. Obviously,
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: his numbers throughout his career have been good. Again, really
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: high strikeout rate but really high walk rate. Lois ra
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: is still a whip somewhat high just because he walks
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: too many guys. But Snell against Tampa, I'm only twenty
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: nine at bats, but he's held them way down three hits,
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: although all of them are doubles one oh three, batting
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: average three sixty eight OPS seven to two strikeout walk RAO.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: So Snell does have good numbers against Tampa.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: The only question is coming off the DL, having been
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: out of the you know, having been out of the
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: rotation for so long, what are we gonna get out
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: of him in this game?
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: Man? And that's the one issue.
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: And I think I tend to like veteran pitchers like
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: Snell when they're coming back from injury, because it basically
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: means they're ready to go. They're gonna be pumped up
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: for this, like they're gonna come out and want to
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: get back out there and pitch well.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: I tend to lean that way. I lean towards him
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: doing well in this game.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: But you do have to worry about what, like is
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: he gonna be on any sort of pitch count coming
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: back from this shoulder injury. That's the one issue. So
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: I won't give it out as a play. Although I
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: am leaning in a certain direction here. Rasmus In is
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Rays, he's been probably their best starter
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: or two point nine to six CRA one point zero
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: four whip better at home to two point seven to
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: six ERA, even though this is a hitter friendly ballpark
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: and Steinbrenner Field here or whatever the hell it's called
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: Rasmus in this month a little bit worse four point
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: one five ERA or last month, I should say, thirteen
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: to four strike a walk ratio. He did pitch in
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: the All Star Game. I didn't allow more than two
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: or runs in any start. But the weird thing was
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: that maybe it was because they knew he was gonna
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: be in the All Star Game, but Tampa ramped his
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: pitch count down, and he pitched three innings, two innings,
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: two innings, then one in the All Star Game, came
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: out of the All Star Game, pitched four innings, and
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: then he pitched five against the Yankees last time. I
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: actually did decently in that game. So maybe that means
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: they're ramping a backup and maybe we are going to
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: get a full starter's workload out of him again this time.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: And he has good numbers against the Dodgers thirty four
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: at bats, not a huge sample size, but twelve strikeouts
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: four walks, two poh six average six seventy two ops.
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: Not horrible numbers there man for Asmusen, and I'm assuming
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: he's gonna probably go around five innings in this game,
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: so I'm leaning towards a.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I'm leaning towards an under in this.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Game, and I'm thinking you could go full game on
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: this beat. I mean, I don't love the Dodgers' bullpend
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: because they are really resting, and I don't know if
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: at the trade deadline they kind of bolstered their bullpen
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: a little bit. They might have because it's been a
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: huge problem for them. I'm leaning under here. We have
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: eighty two percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent of
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under. You could do it first
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: five inning and maybe get four and a half on
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: that potentially, or we're going under in the full game, uh,
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: which you might be able to get nine at some point,
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: because we see most of the books have eight and
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: a half juice to the over.
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Circa actually is at nine, but that's a I'm pretty
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: sure that's a pretty public like Square book. That's one
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: of the Vegas books. So the only book listed on
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: here that's really not Squares. I would say bet online
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: or no, it's not bet online. Usually book maker caters
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: towards the professionals more so, that's kind of some sort
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: of indicator, at least just looking at these books. But
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: I would go under in that game. Probably would be
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: the way that I would lean in that game. Baltimore
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: at the Cubs. The Cubs won one to nothing yesterday,
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: but Baltimore didn't use any relief pitchers. Rogers had a
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: complete game, allowing one run, really really good performance in
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: that game, and yet still lost the game because the
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: Cubs had a combined shutout. But I believe the Cubs
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers or something like that yesterday. Bet
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: who takes it home? I mean, yeah, there's that's I mean,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: I guess you could do that, like which player is
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: gonna take it home? Or which one of the refs
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: or one of the fans. All right, yeah, Baltimore Cubs here. Yeah,
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: Cubs obviously are the way better team. This pitching match
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: is kind of interesting. The Cubs have a little bit
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: of a bullpend disadvantage in the rest apartment, like I said,
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen is the better bullpen. I mean, Baltimore's
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: bullpen's not good. But again, they saved their entire bullpen.
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: Their relievers haven't pitched in two days because they were
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: off the day before that, so they have an extremely
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: rested bullpen. So that's at least one thing that Baltimore
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: has going for them here. Cubs, again, I believe, used
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: four pitchers. Yeah, they didn't really overwork any of them,
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: but they did use four relief pitchers yesterday. Sugano's pitching
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: for Baltimore here not having a great season. Four point
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: three EIGHTYRA, one point three to three WHIP. He's definitely
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: started to fade, as I keep pointing out, a little
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: bit better on the road. Four point two to five
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: R on the road last month not good though, five
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: point seven to five R, nineteen to ten strikeout walk
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: ratio really bad. He had a good start to close
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: the month six innings, one and run, allowed eight strikeouts,
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: two walks, four hits, but it's against the Colorado Rockies
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: were a real bad lineup despite what they did last night,
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: and now he's stepping way up in class to face
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: one of the best offenses in all of base ball
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: the Cubs. Maybe not a good sign for Sugano, but
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: maybe he has a slight edge because the Cubs haven't
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: seen him before except for Willie Castro, who has won
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: for three with a double off him in a strikeout.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: But Sugano basically is unfamiliar to the Cubs line up here,
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: so maybe he has an advantage because these guys that
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: are newcomers to the MLB, it could take a little
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: while for these hitters to get adjusted to them and
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: figure them out, so maybe he has a slight advantage
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: for that reason. Matthew Boyd is pitch it for the Cubs.
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: He has been really good this year, shockingly so, almost
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: seemingly coming from out of nowhere the last year and
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: a half or so, or maybe two years for the
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: most part. Two point four to seven ERA, one point
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: six whip this year, really really good at home too,
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: one point nine to five ERA at home one point
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: nine to seventy RA. This past month, twenty eight to
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: eight strike out onto The Cubs had won five starts
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: in a row of his He had shut out opponents
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: three starts in a row until his last outing where
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: he actually pitched poorly, and that was the game I
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: gave out the under in that game when it was
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: Boyd against Mizierowski. I think and neither of them did
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: that well. I think there were some defensive lapses on
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: the side of Milwaukee in that game too, even though
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee actually has really good defensively. Boyd had a really
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: bad start though. He gave up five earned runs in
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: that game. Five walks in five innings. That's pretty horrific.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: He kind of got lucky. I guess that he didn't
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: allow more runs and that was six hits all out
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: on top of that two strike cuts. He definitely could
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: have allowed more runs, but I guess he was kind
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: of battling in there and you know, getting out of
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: some jams. Baltimore really does not have a lot of
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: experience against them. Only four of their hitters have seen
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: him eleven at bats, two hits, no extra base hits,
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: two strikeouts, one walk, one eighty two batting average four
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: point thirty two oh ps. So I would say Boyd
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: has a pretty good unfamiliarity edg here as well. I
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: expect him to bounce back. I think he will pitch
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: well against a Baltimore lineup.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: It's not very good.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: All that being said, I think the under might make
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: sense in this game as well. I mean, Baltimore, I
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: know their bullpen sucks, but at least he got some
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: rest there. And it looks like the opener was juice
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: to the over eight and now it's most of the
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: books have eight juice to the under pretty much, bookmaker.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's pretty telling that they're eight juice to
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: the under fifty six tickets eighty seven percent of the
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: cash on the under.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: That is how I.
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: Would look, even though Sugano does make me hesitate on that.
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: Though I could see Sugano getting blown up in this game,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: and I know Boyd at least didn't do well in
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: his most recent game.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Under would be a lean for me in.
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: This game, and it seems like with the total being
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: where it is, it seems like we at least don't
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: have wind blowing out there with that Lake Effect wind,
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: so we will see what happens in that game.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Man, that's a lean for me.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Casey Toronto, as you can see in the title of
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: the show here, that's gonna be a play that I'm
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: gonna give out, but I'll wait on that.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh, Colorado.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys saw what happened in
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: that game last night, but it was absolute insanity in
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: the game last night. Pittsburgh was winning nine to nothing
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: in the first inning. Then like the floodgates just completely open,
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: and it got to a point where Pittsburgh was winning
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: sixteen to ten going into the bottom of the eighth
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: and they wound up losing seventeen to sixteen.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: They were still winning sixteen to twelve in the ninth inning.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: Who would think that these two offenses would put up
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: thirty three runs in a game, although it was at
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: Course Field at least, and there were not that many
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: people in the stands. Absolute madness in this game, man,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: crazy for that to happen.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, the pitching matchup wasn't exactly good.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: So I believe I said I leaned to the under
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: in that game, or the excuse to the over the
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: under would have been ridiculous. I think I did say
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: I leaned to the over in that game yesterday, But man,
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: that was insane.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: That's probably not gonna happen again.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Both of these bullpens, I don't trust them, even though
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's is a little bit better.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: Colorado used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: They did use those three heavily, and their bullpen's not good.
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's bullpen is the better of the two. They had
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: some fairly heavy bullpen you suggest today as well, four
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: So not expecting the bullpens to do well in this game.
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: Maybe for Pittsburgh they won't really have to because Paul
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: Skeens is gonna pitch this game.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Oh, holy crap, it was thirty three. Dude. That
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: number keeps coming up everywhere. That's insane. Paul Skin's pitching
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: here for the Pirates.
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know he's an elite pitcher one point
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: eight three e RA point nine whip even better on
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: the roads slightly at one point seven to ninety RA,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: I believe is what that was this past month. Just
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: absurd numbers thirty six to three, strike a walk ratio
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: point six seventy RA. He only allowed runs in one
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: start over that entire month of July, and he allowed
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: two runs in that game. That's crazy. I mean, he
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: is pitching a corps field here, but he still should
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: probably do well here. Colorado has very little experience against
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: him too. There they only have two hitters who've seen
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: him before and they're one for four Offen with a
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: walk and a strikeout. I do expect schemes to do well.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's not going out on a limb there.
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: He's obviously the way better starter up against Gomber for
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: the Rockies. Not good numbers six point two eightyr, one
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: point six y six whip really really bad at home
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: as well, seven point five two ERA and course fields
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: so far. Not pitching well recently either, six point three
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: eighty RA in July. The Rockies have lost seven straight
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: starts of his and seven out of the eight that
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: he's made this entire season seventeen to seven strike a
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. This past month, He's allowed four or more
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: earned runs in three of his last four starts and
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: failed to go five innings in all three of those,
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: so not good for Gomber.
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: He's not in good form at all right now.
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: Does have good numbers against the Pirates, though, and forty
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: five at bats, two hundred batting average allowed, six nineteen ops.
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: The walks are a little bit concerning with seven compared
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: to twelve strikeouts. Other than that, his numbers are fairly good,
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: So I am expecting this game to be lower scoring
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: than yesterday's.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Was this game. I mean, Pittsburgh is a.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: Giant favorite because its schemes against the Rockies. But should
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh be a minus two hundred or better than minus
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: two hundred favorite against anybody on the road, I would
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: say probably not as far as the money.
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, I mean as far.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: As the total. The totals high as well to ten
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: on the total. I don't even really know which way
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: I would lean in this game. Man, if you want
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: to be leaning towards maybe a first five, any under
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: and just go with the starting pitchers to do okay
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: in this game and kind of play against what we
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: saw yesterday, and that could be a way to look
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: at this game. Both offenses might struggle against these two
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers. Maybe another way that I could see this
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: is if you want to fade that's the high run
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: total sentiment. You could go under with Colorado's run total
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: because it's gonna be a fairly high total problem, probably
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: at least three, I would imagine, maybe four. I don't
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: even know what it would be to go under that
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: going up against schemes. That might not be the worst
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: way to look at that game either. That's probably the
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: way I would look at that game. And by the way,
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: I did forget to point out the sides and those
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: other games I mean, Cubs are obviously a huge favorite
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: as well minus two hundred and something. I don't think
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: there's any value there. And the Dodgers, let me see
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: where are the Dodgers at Dodgers are actually a slight favorite,
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: and they have sixty four percent of tickets and only
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the cash. They've dropped a little
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: bit from minus one thirty five down to some of
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: the books, like Bookmaker, I think is this one here
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: is down to minus won twenty five, So it looks
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: like some of the money is actually fading the Dodgers there.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: And again, it is.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: Kind of a bounce back spot for Tampa being in
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: that second game back home after losing the first game.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if I really want to fade
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Snell though.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: But again, the bullpen situation, Tampa probably does slo have
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an edge even though Dodgers' bullpen
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: is rested. Detroit at Philadela this is one of the
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: best matchups on the board. I mean, this might be
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: one of the best pitching matchups of the season. Actually, really,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia made a ridiculous comeback and won the game last night.
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: After that, they looked like they were dead. They were
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: gonna lose this game. They were losing.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: Going into the seventh inning, they were down three to nothing.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: They tied the game, then they fell behind again four
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: to three in the eighth, and then they won the
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: game with two runs in the eighth. So the Tigers
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: bullpen fell apart. We had four relief pitchers coming too
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: the game for the Tigers yesterday, so more bullpen usage
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: for the Tigers, although none of them got really used
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: that heavily. Philadelphia only used two pitchers and they didn't
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: use them for that much. They used their new closer, Duran,
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: who they got right before the trade deadline from Minnesota,
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: which should help their bullpen. But Philadelphia's bullpen is still
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: not actually good. They're the more rested bullpen, but I
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: still give Detroit the edge as far as which bullpen
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: is better. This starting pitching matchup, Man, this is what
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: you like if you like pitching matchups. This is a
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: crazy pitching matchup. And we know both offenses are decent here,
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: but Philadelphia's is the better offense, so something to keep
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: in mind. But this pitching matchup is so good that
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: the total is at six and a half in this
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: game because I was looking at this and I was saying, well,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be an under. Like almost certainly I
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: would look towards an under in this game. But eighty
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash, eighty eight percent of tickets
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: on the under. But the total has already gone away
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: from us, and it was already it opened seven heavily
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: juiced to the under. We're already looking at six and
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: a half basically across the board with juice on the over.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: But the books are basically saying you're not getting that
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: key number seven, man, We're.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Not giving it to you.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: So you know me, I don't love to go under
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: six and a half's like ever, It's just there's not
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: enough leeway there because if it's a three to three tie,
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: you gotta find some way to break that. So I
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: have to unfortunately stay off of this game, but still
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: kind of leaning towards this being a low scoring game.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: Then this pitching matchup is insane. But everybody kind of
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: knows that at this point Schooable is pitching for the Tigers.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Two point zero IDRA.
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: Point eight four whip ridiculous one point eight to ninety
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: RRA on the road, really really ridiculous one point eight
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: two ERA this past month with a thirty three to
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: five strike out walk ratio.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: We get it. He's elite. We know this.
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: Against Philadelphia, as good as their offense is, he's pretty
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: much completely dominated them. In forty five at bats. He's
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: only allowed one extra vase. He had a double Debryce
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: Harper seventeen to two strike out walk ratio one thirty
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: three average, three twenty six ops.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: And I will say scoobam he throw.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: He's a lefty, so that might even help him a
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: little bit more here because Philadelphia most of their best
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: hitters are left handed hitters I believe right, or at
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: least Harper I believe is at least, So we do
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: have Philadelphia I think does a little bit worse against
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: lefties as well. If I'm not mistaken, maybe I'm wrong
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: about that. I would have to look it up. But
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: school Bom may have the upper hand for that reason
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: as well. But his numbers overall really good. And Zach Wheeler,
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: so we have ace versus ace here. Zach Wheeler is
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: going for the Phillies two point five CRA point eight
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: nine whip two ERA at home, so both pitchers have
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: the the good side of their home road splits two,
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: which is insane. Wheeler this past month three point seven
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: to one ERA, but thirty six to three strike out
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. He's been really, really in command as well recently.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: Nothing to really dislike about what Wheeler has done here too.
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: Double digit strikeout games as well, and he has dominated
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: Detroit in thirty eight at bats, four hits allowed, no
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: extra base hits, so neither starter has allowed an extra
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: base hit to these opponents fourteen to one strike out
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: walker ratio one oh five average allowed two thirty three
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: oh ps. I think we're gonna get domination from the
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: starters here because I do hesitate about the bullpens.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: A little bit.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: First five inning under might also makes sense, but you're
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking at like three at best on the
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: first five inning under, so it's gonna get a little
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: bit dicey there. But it looks like a great pitching matchup, man.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: So that's the way that I'm looking at that game
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: is towards some sort of under. But you just, I mean,
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: you're just not getting value on the number for that
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: in my opinion, for any of those under numbers.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Really, as far.
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: As the side, sixty four percent of tickets seventy one
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Tigers. The line flipped
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: actually from an opener of Philadelphia minus one fifteen to
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: Detroit being a favorite of somewhere around minus one fifteen,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: and most of these books as well, and again book
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: Maker has it at minus won sixteen. So that's kind
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: of an indicator that the money is indeed coming in
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: on the Tigers side there to bounce back after the
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: way they lost yesterday. I don't know about that, but
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: if the pitchers really duel each other and we get
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: into the bullpens, like I said, Philadelphia, despite the bullpen
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: rest edge that they might have, they might be able
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: to use their closer again here today because the only
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: throw four pitches yesterday. But I think Detroit overall still
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen. Milwaukee at Washington, I mean, this
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: looks like a complete mismatch to me. Again, Washington, I
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: mean they got blasted yesterday. It was a ridiculous game.
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: They lost sixteen to nine. I think Washington put up
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: some runs late in the game too. Yeah, it was
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: sixteen to four in the eighth inning as you can
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: see here. So that game, I mean, that game was
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: completely over in Milwaukee I must have just put in
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: some like some of the worst relievers just to finish
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: the game give up some more runs there. It was
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for Washington returning home from a road trip.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: So in a way, that does mean they should bounce
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: back here in a way because when you return home
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, have that bad game the first
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: game back, you tend to bounce back a little bit.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know about this though. This matchup looks like
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: everything is in favor of Milwaukee. Though starting pitching, bullpen,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: and hitting. I believe all go towards Milwaukee and in
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee really good offensive team on the road to although
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: you do have to take into account that I believe
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: Chorio is injured for Milwaukee, and it seemed like the
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: word came out that his injury was actually worse than
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: what what it appears.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: So we'll see. But I don't know.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: I actually like Milwaukee as kind of a sneaky team
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: to go really really far this year. Man with guys
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: like Woodroof who's pitching tonight, and Misierowski, now the rotation
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: priest pitching really well, they're starting rotation all of a sudden,
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: is actually really good. They actually have the best base
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: running team in baseball, although they're gonna need Churio back.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Man Cheerio churo A bunch of My favorite was, let's
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: make some Churo cheerios that would actually be good, actually
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: most likely very sugary breakfast. And they have they actually
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: have one of the best fielding teams as well, and
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: all that paired with the pretty good offense and a
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: bullpend that's now rounded to form Milwaukee very dangerous team.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: But they need Churio back.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: But anyway, in this game, bullpen used to yesterday Milwaukee,
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: they used a couple of their worst relievers kind of
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: to finish the game.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: They used three relievers.
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: Overall, Washington has the worst bullpen, though Washington used four
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: relievers yesterday, and they Washington traded away Finnegan, their closer
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: and one of the other better relievers as well. So
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: Washington has a really bad bullpen that got even worse
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: most likely, so terrible bullpen for Washing and they're a
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: complete fade basically in any situation. Washington's bullpen is Woodroof
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: from Milwaukee. Like I said, he was kind of forgotten
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: about because he was injured and miss an entire season
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: last year. And he's been really good since he's come
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: back two point zero one ERA point.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: Seven to two whip point seven to five.
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: Vray on the road so far this year has an
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: a lot more than touring runs in any outing. Four
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: straight wins for Milwaukee, and it starts. Didn't walk anybody
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: in his first three outing. His last out and he
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: did walk three guys, but he's still basically pretty much
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: dominated Miami in that game. Still twenty nine to three
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio overall, thirteen hits in twenty two
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: and a third innings Woodrooff. He's already completely back and
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: forth man. He does have good numbers against Washington as well.
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: Eighty two at bats, twenty eight to three strike out
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: walk ratio two pH seven average six point eighty seven
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: ohps is a little bit high because six different batters
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: of home earn off him, so they have some power
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: against him. But none of the guys hit for average,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: and the walk rate is really low as well, so Woodruff.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: Has done well against him.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Jake Irvin, who's obviously the worst
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: of the two pitchers here. Four point six ninety IRA,
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: one point two nine whip not terrible. He's been serviceable
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: at home four point two forty ERA at home. Definitely
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: better at home at least, but this past month not
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: looking very good. Four point five to five ERA, fifteen
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: to eleven strike a walk ratio is not good. Had
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: a good owning last time out seven innings to eurn
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: runs a loud against Minnesota on the road. Only struck
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: out two though, so strike his walk rate is still bad.
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: Three or more walks in every one of the prior
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: five starts not really a good sign. So that one
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: start could have been a little bit more of an
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: outlier for Irvin. He's stepping up a glass if he's
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: a good Milwaukee offense and they hit him okay and
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: sixty five at bats twelve to eight, strike a walk
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: ratio two seventy seven average seven eighty seven ops. So
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: I don't trust Irvin here. Definitely don't trust Washington's bullpen.
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee has every single edge here. But you gotta pay
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: a price if you want Milwaukee. I mean, I still
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: I would not beat you up if you want to
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: take Milwaukee on the run line here. I mean that
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: seems to be one of the only ways to look
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: at this game. Maybe Milwaukee to go over their team
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: total because they do hit well on the road. Even
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: without Chorio. We have ninety three percent of tickets and
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: only eighty seven percent of the cash on Milwaukee though,
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: so they are very public. The line actually has dropped
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: in some cases. Bookmaker has a lower money line than
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: what some of the other more public books have out there,
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: like DraftKings is at minus one eighty nine. Bookmaker is
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: at minus one seventy seven, So something to keep in
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: mind there. It does look like Milwaukee is public, but
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: I expect Milwaukee should win that game. Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Yeah,
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: Churo Toast Crunch, Houston at my bus in Red Sox.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: I gotta get out of here.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Soon too to get to this birthday party. And I
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: still gotta upload this shit.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: The Red Sox won yesterday to to one, Don't ask
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: me how where they didn't even know who their starter
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: was gonna be, and they wound up starting Cooper chriz Well,
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: and he actually did chriz well. He actually pitched pretty
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: well in that game yesterday. Jaron Duran made a really
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: good catch up against the wall in center field in
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: a one to one game, and the Red Sox won
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: up winning two to one. Red Sox both teams have
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: good bullpens. Man Houston used three relief pitchers yesterday. The
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: Red Sox used three as well. Fairly light usage on
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: both sides, so pretty comparable bullpens. To be honest, both
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: bullpens are fairly decent. Starting pitching doesn't look that good
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: for either team so much, though. I'll give the Red
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: Sox the hitting edge here because Houston still dealing with
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: injuries in their offense. I know they got Korea back
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: with that trade with Minnesota, so their offense is decent,
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: but the Red Sox do hit pretty well at home.
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: I'll give the Red Sox the offensive edge, even though
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: it looks like may Or for the Red Sox might
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: not be coming back anytime soon, which really sucks because
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: he's one of their top prouspects. Gordon pitching for the
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: Astros four point seven to for ERA one point four
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: to two whip not good, better on the road, four
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: point two to one ran the road. This is a
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: tough part to pitch in. Hasn't been pitching well over
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: the past month. Six point one four ERA sixteen to
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: six strikeout walk ratio is not terrible, but I mean
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: his walk rate's not high, so that's at least the
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: one thing he has going for him is he doesn't
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: walk a lot of guys. He loves a lot of
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: home runs and a lot of hits, though, so Gordon
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: seems to leave too many pitches over the plate. But
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: I guess the one other edge maybe he has here
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: is that the Red Sox have never seen him before,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: so they have to figure him out. So maybe they
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of an edge or maybe Gordon
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: I mean has a little bit of an edge against
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox for that reason. Don't know that it's
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: gonna be a huge edge though, because he's not that
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: excellent a pitcher. Ari, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: I'm doing Chriz. Well, that's right. Walker Bueller though, is
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Red Sox. I mean, can you possibly
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: put any faith into this guy? I mean, obviously I'm
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: gonna say no. I mean, I should on this guy
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: all the time, and rightfully so. Don't think the Red
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: Sox ever should have made the move to get him.
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: He has never.
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: Returned to form since his multiple I believe Tommy John surgeries.
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: It's a sad state of affairs because he was a
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: good pitcher and now he isn't, and he hasn't been
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: since those injuries. Five point seven two ERA, one point
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: five to four whip really awful numbers better at home though,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: four point one to eighty RA here at Fenway. Still
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: over the past month, even though it looks like he
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: was good, three point five to seven ERA, didn't allow
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: more than three earned runs in any start. Red Sox
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: won three out of the four, but digging into the numbers,
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: a twelve to nine strike out walk ratio that's not
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: good and last time out didn't do well. Didn't make
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: it five innings against the Dodgers, walked five guys.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: Allowed three earned runs.
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: I know it's the Dodgers, they're an elite offense, but
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: still that was not a good star for Pueler against
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: his former team. Does have fairly good numbers against the Astros, though,
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: in fifty eight at bats a really good eighteen to
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: one strike out walk ratio, two forty one bet adding
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: average in six 't eighty five ops, so he does
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: do fairly well against them. Although Correa, new to the
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: lineup here, is two for five with the home run
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: off him.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: I'm still not expecting Bueller to actually pitch well in
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: Though, this game to me, especially after yet, I mean,
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: yesterday was a complete under game, but this totals out
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: there at nine and a half. I'm kind of thinking
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: this is going to be an over in this game.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't like these starters very much at all.
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: Don't see the percentages on that. It looks like Bookmaker
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: has the least amount of juice on the under the
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: nine and a half here, so that seems to reflect
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: when I'm thinking as well, you could go first five
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: innings over as well, because you might want to actually
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: like assume that the bullpens might actually pitch well in
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: this game and go over just with the starting pitchers.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: That's a way to look at it as well.
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Though the pitchers are out early, I think probably the
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: full game goes over as well. I don't do a
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: lot of first five overs. As far as the money line,
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: it looks like the money is coming in on Houston
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: Red Sox had have fifty five percent ticket but fifty
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on Houston Red Sox dropped
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: from minus one twenty five down to minus one ten
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: at some places. Bookmaker a little bit higher than that
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: at minus one twelve, but.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Even so, it looks like the money.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: The read there is that the Astros seem to be
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: the right side Minnesota at Cleveland. I nailed the the
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: under in that game yesterday. This is gonna be an
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: interesting game as well. I mean, again, you have Minnesota
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland both kind of sold off some of their
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: hitters there, I believe, so you're looking at two pretty
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: bad offenses here. I don't love either bullpen, as I
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: already said. In Minnesota did trade Duran away, so they
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: traded one of their best relief pitchers. These four of
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: their relievers yesterday, and they actually only have six relievers
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: listed here on this bullpen usage, but they must have
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: added somebody, because there's no way a team is only
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: carrying six relief pitchers. But they used four relievers yesterday,
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: so their bullpen's not in great shape coming into this one.
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: Also four used by Cleveland, though a little bit less
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: usage from Cleveland, and they at least have more guys
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: still remaining in their book. So Cleveland does have the
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. It's been the better bullpen this year anyway.
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: I would say Cleveland most likely has a starting pitching
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: edge in this game as well. Bailey Ober is coming
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: back from the DL here to pitch for Minnesota.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: It looks like I like Ober.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's put up good numbers for a while,
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: but he really really imploded this season five point two
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: eighty RA one point four to one whip after he
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: was off with the very beginning of the season, and
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: then he went on a run where he was really good,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: and then he's been really really horrific for at least
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: a month, I think. But he's been out for probably
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: about a month now too. He's been bad on the road.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: Four point seven to for ERA. That's bad. Yeah, I
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: mean his last starts that he made in June, so
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: he's been out for about a month. Like I said,
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: he was bad man. Even though twenty four to eight
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio was good over that month of June,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: he allowed four earned runs or more in every start
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: and seven in three of the last four starts.
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: That is horrendous.
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: He was awful with a nine ERA across sence higher
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: month he was getting blasted. He gave up fourteen home
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: runs in the month of June. That is insane in
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: thirty innings pitch, I mean, that's unbelievable. Basically giving up
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: a home run every two winnings. I don't understand how
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: that's even possible, to be honest, just crazy how many
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: home runs he was allowing. And of course I can't
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: type again here bat versus pitch him against Cleveland, though
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: he actually does have really good numbers against Cleveland in
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: one hundred and nine at bass twenty six to three,
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio one sixty five average four forty
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: four ohps. So even though Ober was pitching so bad
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: before he got hurt, maybe there was some Maybe it
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: was an injury that was causing him to pitch poorly.
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: Maybe that time off is gonna help him. He's gonna
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: come back, maybe he will actually pitch well. So I
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: don't quite want to fade him in this spot, man,
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: even though it looks like the lean would be to
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: Cleveland here, because I think you can you at least
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: know what to expect out of Tanner Baby more than
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: you know what to do with Bailey over here by
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: before point three to ninety RA one point two to
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: two whip not good numbers this year, rely, though he's
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: been good at home two point seven sixty RA at
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: home six point one five ERA of the past month
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: aolthough Cleveland won.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: His last four starts. UH.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: The last three were against bad offense is White Sox, Baltimore,
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: Kansas City, so that's not that impressive. Twenty five to
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: seven strike a walk ratio in the month of July.
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: That's not too bad either, I think. I said June
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: I met July. His numbers against Minnesota are good. In
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: sixty six at bats one fifty two average, allowed four
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: to seventy five ohps, twenty to seven strike on walk ratio,
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: So both pitchers do have good matchup numbers, I think.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to look at Bailey Over's
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: matchup members and think that he will be pumped to
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: get back out there and actually make a start, you
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: could look under early in this game. The total is
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: low at seven, I'd open with juice on the over,
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: though heavy juice on the over, and that juice is
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: less but one of the heaviest UH juices on the
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: over is still at bookmakers. So the odds seem to
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: be I mean, the money still seems to kind of
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: be indicating towards an over in that game and over over,
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: but I don't know. I mean, I'm still leaning slightly
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: towards an under in the first five innings in that game,
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: but it's such a low total that you probably shouldn't
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: do that, even though the matchup numbers do look good,
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland is a very heavy favorite in the minus
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: one eighty rageer, though it has dropped down to about
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty five at some of the sharper books there.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: Again like bookmakers, so some money is coming against Cleveland,
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: and it's that's too much of a price in my
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: opinion to lay with Cleveland, So I would stay off
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: of it, even though I do the Cleveland as a
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: little bit of an edge there, although Minnesota may even
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: still have a little bit of a better offense though
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: over Cleveland. Despite giving away Korea Yankees at Miami, this
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: is one of the craziest endings man Miami. I mean,
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: this is an insanely high scoring game yesterday, and Miami
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: went into the bottom of the ninth. Well, they were
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: losing in the bottom of the seventh, and they scored
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: six runs and they were losing six nothing in the
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: bottom of the fifth made it six to four, and
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: then they were losing nine to four. In the bottom
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: of the seventh. They took a ten to nine lead
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: with six runs in the seventh, The game wound up
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: being I believe, tied at the end of eight. The
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: Yankees put up two runs at the top of the
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: nine to take a twelfth end lead, and then the
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: Yankees two new relievers that they got at the trade
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: deadline both bombed and blew the game against this bad
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: Marlins offense, and the Marlins ended up with three runs
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: in the ninth for a walk off win. Really really insane.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: So I don't like either bullpen though.
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: I know the Yankees added those guys, but they used
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: five relief pitchers yesterday. Their bullpen hasn't been very good
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: this year, so sal looking that great for their bullpen
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: Miami's isn't that good either, and they used three relievers yesterday,
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: so I don't trust the bullpens.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Schlitzler is pitching for the Yankees. He's a rookie. He's
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: only made three starts, but his numbers aren't that good.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: Four point nine to one ERA, one point eight to
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: four whip better on the road, three point six ERA
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: on the road. But he didn't even make five innings
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: last time out against Tampa. Four walks in that start.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: He has multiple walks in every start strikeout rate is
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: good more than one an inning, but fifteen to nine
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio is not very good. Obviously, Miami
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: hasn't seen him before, though, so he is a rookie
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: with good strikeout stuff, so maybe he has a little
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: bit of an edge because the opposing offense has not
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: seen him before. Uri Perez pitching for Miami is really good.
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: Three point oh seventy RA point nine to five whip.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: He's been excellent this season. Two point eight seven e
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: RA at home really good as well. Thirty two to
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: five strike out walk ratio in one point two to
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: ninety IRA over the past month really really good for Perez.
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: So I still kind of lean to Perez versus Schlitzler.
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm looking at Miami first five innings, but they
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: might be feeling really high on themselves after that big
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: game last night. The money is interesting here, sixty percent
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on the Yankees,
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: but they've dropped from minus one twenty to minus won
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: twelve or so.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: It's some of these books. Bookmaker has it a little
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: bit higher.
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: But yeah, interesting because it looks like the cash percentage
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: is kind of going against where the money line has
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: actually moved paying a price like that for the Yankees.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: I mean you're always paying a bit of a price
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: for them on the road. So maybe a slight lean
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: to Miami. I think first five.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Innings, well, maybe even full game.
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: I mean Yankees used a lot of their bullpend yesterday
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: could be a lean to Miami grabbing them was a
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: money line underdog at home. First five inning under might
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: also make sense. We have eighty eight percent to take
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: as ninety four percent of cash on the under. Total
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: flip from eight juice to the over to eight juice
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: to the under basically everywhere, and the bookmaker has it
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: at eight and a half juice to the under, so
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: they actually have it higher than every other book, which
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: is kind of an indicator in the opposite direction. But
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: I think first five innings there are reasons to like
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: both starters. San Francisco at the Mets. Of course, I
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: faded the Mets yesterday. They've lost four in a row now, man,
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: So I mean both teams are on a losing streak,
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: and one of those teams had to win yesterday, and
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: it was the Giants, thankfully, But this might be a
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: bounce back spot for the Mets because they did lose
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: in that return home. It's about a bad game for them,
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: losing an extra innings though.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Coming into this game, they're.
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: Now on a losing streak though, so it might be
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: kind of a momentum continuer for them, and it could
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: be a bad momentum stopper for San Francisco where they
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: stop their bad momentum and maybe they'll do better here.
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: San Francisco does have the better bullpen overall four relief
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: pitchers used yesterday.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Mets also used four.
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: It looks like so I'll give us San Francisco the
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: edge and the bullpens here, but that might not really
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: be something that we even care about because Kaiwei Tang
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: is listed as the starter for Sar Francisco and I
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: don't think he's gonna go deep into this game. And
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: he's a Taiwanese pitcher who did pitch last year for
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: San Francisco and didn't do well at all with an
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: almost ten era and over two whip.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: He was not good. He's a guy that doesn't throw
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: that hard.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: I think he throws low nineties, but he has a
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: weird mix of pitches, like he throws five different pitches
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: and a lot of them have movements, so he kind
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: of throws batters off with I think sinker curveball I
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: think is kind of what he threw, or sinker slide
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: or maybe something like that.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: But I don't think he's gonna go that deep into
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: this game. Man.
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: Last year, he was a relief pitcher, pitched basically three
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: innings and most of the starts there. San Francisco lost
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: every start every game that he pitched in. He didn't
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: make any starts. But I'm expecting he's probably only gonna
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: go a few innings in this game. So San Francisco's
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: bullpen is gonna get used in this game. It's a
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: bullpend game, which might not be good going up against Senga,
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: who has been good for the Mets to ERA one
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: point two to one whip, really good at home one
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: point seven to seven ERA, but since he's come back
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: from injury, even though the Mets have won every start
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: of his all three since he came back from injury,
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: he only made it five innings in one start, and
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: he walked five guys in that game, which was actually
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: against San Francisco. Has a twelve to ten strike a
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: walk ratio overall in those three starts and a five
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: point two to five Vira so Senga. I mean, he's
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: been walking a lot of guys most of the time
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: this season, so the walks have been an issue for him.
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: And he's coming off just having seen San Francisco, which
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: means San Francisco might have a little bit of an
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: offensive edge because they just faced him and he didn't
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: even do well in that game. So his wildness is
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: a concern here, man. So I don't know which way
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: I would lean in this game. And it looked like
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: some of the money was actually coming in against the
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: Mets from what I saw. Obviously we're saying guy at oh,
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: it won't even show me where he is.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: That's great. Uh, where the hell am I looking here?
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: There he is sixty two percent of tickets, only fifty
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the Mets. Mets are
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: a heavy favorite, down for minus two twenty or two
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: ten excuse it into the minus one eighties now standing
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: on money. What's up man, Thanks for hanging out. Good
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: morning to you as well.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: So, I mean as far as the market read, uh,
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: maybe a Giants run line, but I don't know that
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: i'd really trust that either.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Maybe I mean, an over.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: Is kind of interesting with sixty eight percent of the
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: cash on the under, fifty of the cash on the over.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: The bullpens aren't exactly the greatest shape coming into this,
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: and I don't really trust what either start.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: Or is gonna do here.
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: So maybe we do see eight and a half at
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: bookmaker on that one. So possibly an over trying to
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: get through this man, because I gotta get out of here.
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: Texas Seattle, they're playing a third game this year, has
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: already Seattle already won the first two games in the series,
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: which I mentioned. I thought they were gonna win yesterday,
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: even though Texas has the slightly better bullpend, but they
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: used four relievers yesterday.
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Seattle only used two.
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: So I have to give the bullpen as to Seattle
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: now because of their rest situation.
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: Seattle has the better offense as well.
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: Texas has their trade piece here, Meryl Kelly making his
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: first start with the Rangers. Texas does they seem to
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: do really well with pitchers. Man over at Texas, and
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Meryl Kelly was already pitching well for the Diamondbacks, even
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: though the Diamondbacks pitchers have been horrendous this year. But
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: Kelly has not been. So if he gets better by
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: dealing by you know, having the Rangers pitching staff around
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: him or pitching coaches, I mean, that's kind of crazy
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: to think about, because he's been under the radar good
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: this year three point two to two weeks, one point
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: six whip.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: This is a pretty good pick up for the Rangers
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: in my opinion.
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: Three point oh five r on the road, good on
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: the road past month two point three five Ira really good,
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: although his walk rate escalated. A twenty one to twelve
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio is not that good this past
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: past month, although he still didn't allow that many hits
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: or runs, allowing three or fewer earned runs at all
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: those starts two or fewer in the last three starts.
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: Hasn't allowed more than three since mid June, so he
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: is still pitching well overall, despite the increase in walks.
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: Okay numbers against Seattle in fifty four at bats seventeen
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: to five, strike out walk ratio two fifty nine average
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: eight oh four ops. Maybe not exactly the greatest numbers,
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: but not horrible either. He's going up against Luis Castillo, though,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: and I still think I have to give the starting
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: pitching edge to Castillo a three point one to ninety IRA,
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: one point two to one whip on the season, two
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: point two ninety r at home. He's really good at home.
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: This past month, he's been basically lights out two point
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: five RRA. Seattle's won a lot of his recent starts.
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: Let me see what is that seven of his last
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: nine starts. Seattle's one thirty two to four strike out
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: walk ratio over the past month really really in command
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: right now. Castillo is decent numbers against Texas in a
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: big one hundred and forty four at bat sample size,
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: better than decent actually, thirty six to ten streke a
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, two fifty average and seven oh one ops.
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: So Castile does have the better UH numbers there as
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: far as his era is better, into his matchup numbers
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: are better. So I'm gonna lean to Seattle again. I
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: think they have the better bullpen scenario. Here the line
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: is flipped. It looks like from plus one o four.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: To minus one fifteen.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: Here looks like sixty nine percent to tickets eighty five
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on Seattle.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: That is the leon there.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: We're looking at minus one twenty at some of these
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: books here now Caesars even as minus one thirty, though
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: all those Caesars is more square, but interesting, that's probably
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: the lean in that one. I think Seattle actually has
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: starting pitching, bullpen, and hitting edge in that camel though
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: the edges might not be that significant in any of them,
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: but I do think they have the slight edge throughout
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: that game. Atlanta Cincinnati very interesting starting pitching matchup here.
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: I don't trust the bullpens really here though, and Lanta
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: only us one relief pitcher yesterday, so they at least
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: have a rest scenario here that's not that bad.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati used three relief pittures.
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: Yesterday, so Atlanta might have a little bit of an
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: edge with a bullpen just because the bullpen rest is better.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: Spencer Strider is pitching for the Atlanta Braves. He's like
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: their only good starter who's not hurt, as all the
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: other s's are all hurt Man, the s's are all
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: done Man, Sale, Schwellenbach, and Smith Shaw for are all injured.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: For the Braves, which is just ridiculous.
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, their entire starting rotation is totally dismantled by that.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: Except Strider is pretty good. Three point seven to one
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: point two to two weapen. He returned from injury this year,
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: so he's gonna have to stay healthy, although Atlanta is
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: basically done anyway, four point four to two ERA on
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: the road quite as good three point four to five
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: ERA over the past month, thirty five to twelve strike
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: at walk ratio, though too many walks. A high strikeout
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: rate but too many walks. He is a little bit
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: wild small fourteen at bats sample size against the Reds.
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: They only have two hits against him, no extravase hits,
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: three walks, so again some wildness in their six strikeouts
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: one forty three average four thirty seven ops.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Strider still overall.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: Has good numbers against Cincinnati, and they're not that familiar
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: with him, so I do expect him to pitch well
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: overall against Cincinnati. Here he's going up against the rookie hurler,
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: Chase Burns, not a hurler like his teammate who's injured.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: Right now, Hunter Green.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: He doesn't vomit on the mound, but I mean he
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: throws real hard. His numbers look bad six point two
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: six ERA, one point five four whip. But when you
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: see bad numbers like that and you dig in and
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: the guy's actually a good pitcher. That's where you might
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: find some value of four point three two ERA at
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: home not bad. He basically had one really bad start
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: against my Red Sox, and other than that, he's allowed
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: three or fewer earned runs in all but one other start.
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: Better at home. Of course, like I said, ten strikeouts
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: each in his last three outings, so he is really
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: throwing gas right now. He's striking a lot of guys
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: out man a really really high strikeout rate, a high
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: walk rate to with ten walks over that span as
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: well in twenty two innings. So he's a hard thrower.
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: He strikes out a ton of guys, and he's wild.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: But Atlanta's never seen him before, so Burns might do
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: fairly well against Atlanta here. And I think Akunya is
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: hurt for Atlanta as well, so Burns might do well
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: in this game as well. Don't really trust either bullpend
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: So my look in this game is kind of a
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: first five inning under total. It looks like on the total,
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of tickets on the over, but seventy five
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: percent of cash on the over.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not really agreeing with that.
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: As I said, it looks like it's just kind of
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: eight across the board here first five inning under is
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: where I look though it probably at around four. It's
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: probably where you'll get that number. It's a little bit
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: low for my taste. Atlanta's a small road favorite to
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: soe you might get a little bit of value taking
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: Burns as a home underdog too, And I think Cincinnati
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: has a better offense too, although Atlanta has the bullpen
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: rest edge, so maybe first five innings Cincinnati. But I
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: think both starting pitchers are pretty good too though, so
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: maybe it could just take a shot full game on Cincinnati.
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: Sixty two percent of tickets are on Atlanta fifty the
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on the Reds though, so the money
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: looks like it is coming in on the Reds Arizona
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: at the A's the A's of course, I mean both
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: these bullpens are horrendous. So I said that probably the
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: over made sense yesterday, and it didn't happen. It was
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: a very low scoring game, actually five to one. Shockingly, Still,
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: these are bullpens that I don't think you want anything
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: to do with. The A's used three relievers, but they
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: traded away their closer to the Padres. Like I said,
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is bad. I don't know if Arizona unloaded
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: some of their relievers. They used three four relievers yesterday
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: as well, but their bullpen's been bad pretty much all year.
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: Two bad bullpens the starters, though kind of more interesting.
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: Gallon is pitching for the d Backs. Bad season for him,
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: five point six ERA, one point three to five whip,
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: a little bit better on the road, five point two
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: to three R in the road, but this is a
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: hit or friendly park here. But even though he has
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: a five point one ERA over the past month, which
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: is also bad, his command was there thirty three to
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: five strike a walk ratio, and he didn't allow that
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: many hits either, So I think it away he was
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: getting a bit unlucky man, because that is a really
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: good strike out walk ratio. So it looks to me
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: like he's actually back and form. We just don't kind
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: of see it in the rest of the numbers yet.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: And he has good numbers against the A's in twenty
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: seven at bats eight to one, strike out walk ratio,
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: one to eighty five batting average, six P twenty two
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: oh ps. So Gallen might actually do well in this game.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: And I think he has the better stuff than J. T.
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: Gin does gin kind of just a rotation filler. Even
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: those numbers are good this year, he was working out
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: of the bullpend for a lot of the season. Three
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: point eight ninety RA, one point one eight whip not
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: bad numbers, worse in this horrendous state though, four point
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: nine to eighty RA in this very hitter friendly park
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: all over the past month though, thirteen to three strike
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio two point two five. ERA had a
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: nice six inning, three hit shutout in his last game
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: against Houston four strikeouts, so I don't know if he
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: can really continue that. Yes, the Diamondbacks have never seen
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: him before, but I don't think I trust again. The
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: problem with Arizona though is that even though they actually
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: probably had the slightly better bullpend here too, and I
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: think they have the more trustworthy starter or to be honest,
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: but problem with them is you don't know what their
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: mental state is right now though, because you know they
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: unloaded at the break, although both these teams obviously know
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: that they're going nowhere here this year, so we'll see
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: what happens. Eighty four percent of tickets, eight and nine
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on Arizona their public
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: but it looks like they have some of the actual money.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: The line still sitting somewhere between about minus one ten
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: and minus one twenty White Sox at Anaheim. Anaheim lost
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday six to three. White Sox offense actually
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: has been decent recently, and they've been fairly decent on
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: the road and decent against lefties, and they did face
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: a lefty yesterday. They won't be today. These bullpens are
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: also bullpens. I would not trust. They're not good. White
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: Sox used four relievers yesterday. Anaheim not a good bullpen,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: used three of their relief pitchers yesterday. Don't even know
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: which team I would say even has a bullpen edge.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: I would just kind of want to avoid both bullpens.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: Savallee is pitching for the White Sox. Four point three
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: eighty RA, one point three to four WHIP not great numbers,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: but he's pitching a little bit better recently.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: Not as good on the road though.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: Four point five eighty around the road recently, three point
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: eight six e RA and nineteen to seven strike out
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: walk ratio over the past month not that bad. He
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: didn't allow any runs in the last eleven innings pitch
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: one game against Pittsburgh, where you kind of think, well,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna put that much stock into a good
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: game against Pittsburgh. But he didn't allow any earn runs
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: at five innings against the Cubs either, and had a
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: six zero strike out walk ratio, so he is pitching
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: better recently, so maybe Savale is kind of rounding it
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: to form a little bit. Numbers against Anaheim not good though,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: in sixty at bats three hundred average, seven to seventy seven.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: OPS don't like those numbers. Don't trust those numbers. Kyle
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: Hendrix for Anaheim, I don't really trust him very much either,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: four point seven to three ERA, one point two to
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: five whip better at home though four point seventy ARA
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: at home over the past month, five point oh three
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: e RA not very good, ten to three strike a
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not a lot of walks, so at least
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: he's been in command, hasn't allowed more than four and
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: runs in any of those starts, but he failed to
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: go five innings in two of the starts, so he's
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: not pitching that great, although he's kind of keeping his
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: team in the game more or less. Against White Sox,
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: we're not a very good line up forty two at bats.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: He has not done well. They have five home runs
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: against them and five doubles, three ten average and a
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: quite high oneentye twenty seven ops, so that's not good.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of leaning over in this game because I
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: don't like either bullpend. I'm not really liking what I'm
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: seeing out of either starter necessarily. Totally looks like it's
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: gone up a little bit from nine juice to the over,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: a little bit more juice to the over in some books.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: Don't see the percentages on that yet, and we do
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: see some money coming in towards the White Sox eighty
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: three percent tickets on Anaheim seventy one percent of the
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: cash though on the White Sox down for minus one
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: fifty to minus won forty something in some cases. There
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: then we have Saint Louis San Diego, San Diego fighting
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: for a playoff spot.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis probably done.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: San Diego has won six games in a row now,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: including three of those being against Saint Louis, so Saint
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: Louis might be looking for a little bit of revenge
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: at this point. I kind of like Saint Louis's starter
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit better here. San Diego definitely has the
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: better bullpen, though, and only used two relief pitchers yesterday
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: and didn't use them that much, so there's a bullpen
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: edge for San Diego for sure. Here three relievers used
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: for Saint Louis, San Diego has the better bullpen. I
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: think talent wise, they have the better offense, although Saint
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: Louis has been the better offense this year.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Jay Man, what's up?
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Man? I apologize for starting early, but I got a
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: birthday party to go to birthday parties all weekend, man,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: for my friend today, his birthday was actually yesterday, and
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: then my mom's just tomorrow, and we have a party
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: for my mom tomorrow as well, the Big seven to
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: ZH for my mom.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: We're old. We're all fucking old. Man.
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: As far as the starting pitching in this game, even
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: though I think Saint Louis might have a slightly better offense.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: Michael McGreevy for Saint Louis, I kind of liked what
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: he was doing, but he started to pitch pretty poorly recently,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: so I don't trust him at this point. Four point
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: nine one ERA one point two to one whip not
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: great anymore. One point five ERA on the road is
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: pretty good though, but his last outing was against the
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: same San Diego team in Saint Louis, and he was
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: miserable in that game. He gave up seven in runs
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: on nine hits and two walks and four and two
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: thirds innings two strikeouts.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: That was bad.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: So he is in bad form right now, man, although
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: he seems to be kind of alternating good and bad starts.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: But last three stars, two of them he's allowed five
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: or more runs. So the one of them was against
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: the Cubs, a really good lineup, but the one good
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: game was against the Rockies, and they're not good San
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: Diego overall, mostly that one start. They have good numbers
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: off him obviously, twenty three at bats two two strike
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: a walk, ratio three ninety one average nine to sixty two.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: Oh ps, I'm of Grievy doesn't have good numbers against
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: San Diego, thank you, Charles. Yeah, that's alright. Yeah, I
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: mean she's a yeah, I mean she's doing well. I
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: mean she's a badass Italian lady. So that's kind of
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: parer for the course there. Randy Vasquez, pitcher for San Diego.
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: You know, if you watch my show, I do not
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: like this guy either. Three point six five ERA one
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: point three to seven WHIP. His WHIP and his other
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: numbers indicate that his ERA should be nowhere near as
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: good as this three point two to one ERA at home,
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: so he has pitched well at home, but last four
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: of his last five starts he hasn't even made it
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: past four and two thirds innings two point seven ninety
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: RA this past month okay, and San Diego's won his
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: last six starts, but his strikeout walk ratio over.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: The past month is four to nine. That's horrendous.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: He doesn't strike out anybody and he walks a bunch
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: of guys, so there's no way that he can continue
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: pitching this way. His peripheral numbers are awful, but his
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: numbers against San Diego are good are excuse me, against
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis are good, and he did just only allow
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: one run to them in that last time, but he
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: only went four and two thirds innings in that game,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: which still isn't really indicating the he's pitching that well.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: He's not going deep into games.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: Numbers again are good against Saint Louis, though in twenty
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: six at bats three to two strike out walk ratio
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: not good, but two thirty one average six thirty two ops.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: So Vazquez does have the better matchup numbers. So overall,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: San Diego does still have the edge in this game.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: But I just I don't want to put any faith
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: in Vazquez, man, I just don't love it. Maybe an
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: over makes more sense in this game, San Diego eighty
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: seven percent tickets, only eighty percent of the cash. Uh,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: they've gone up for minus one thirty two, about minus
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: one forty at most books. So money looks like originally
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: the money line did move on San Diego, and it
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: looks like less of the cash is coming in now.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: But on the over sixty percent of tickets, seventy eight
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over eight and a half.
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: That's probably the way I'm leaning a little bit more
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: in that game. And let's finally get to it, man,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: best bets, where I only have one, it's a total
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: and you know which game it's in because it's in
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: the title, and because you know my methods. Man, of
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: course it's an under. It's gonna be Royals and Blue
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: Jays under eight. That's where we're gonna go with this game.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: We'll go with the full game here, both bullpens are
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: good for the most part here.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: I mean they're decent.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: Toronto is up there seventh and bullpen whip a bullpenny
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: array under four.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: At least that's not bad. Kiss City has done.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: A little bit worse recently, but still a pretty good
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: bullpenny ray. Just their bullpen whip is only thirteenth, but
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: their bullpenny ray is better than that. So we're looking
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: at two decent bullpens here. The usage from the bullpens
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: yesterday was not that high. I don't think there were
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: no way it was. Toronto used five relievers what am
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: I talking?
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Or use four?
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: What am I talking about? So do I want to
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: go first five innings maybe on this instead? E Nah,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: We'll still go full game out of fuck it. Kansas
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: City they only use one relief pitcher, so at least
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: we have a very rested Kansas City bullpen coming into this,
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: so they might have a little bit of a bullpen
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: edge for that reason.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: I see that kind of helps a little bit. We'll
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: still go full game on this one. Yesterday, I believe.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: The game was kind of out of hand, So I
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: don't think Toronto used their better relievers yesterday. Yeah, it
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: was nine to three loss. So Toronto used some of
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: their worst relievers yesterday, so their better relievers are still available,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: so I think it makes sense to still go under
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: full game and we're looking at a decent starting pitching matchup.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: I know Toronto will have to go to their bullpen
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: in this game. Noah Cameron for Kansas City two point
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: four to four ERA A one whip good.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: Numbers this year man for his rookie season.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: He's pitching really well one point eight road ERA season
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: better on the road, and he's been really good recents
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: with Kansas City winning his last four starts, one point
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: eight four ERA over the past month and thirty three
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk ratio, including some good offenses
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: in there that he faced the Mets and the Cubs.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: He's been Yeah, he's been pitching really really well recently
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: in Toronto. Only France has ever seen him and he's
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: zero for three with a strikeout, So Cameron has the
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: unfamiliarity edge against the Blue Jays too, so I think
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: he could do really well in this game. Toronto's offense
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: has been good recently, but Cameron is such a good
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher that I think he can definitely counteract Toronto's offense.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: On the other side, Max shurs Are pitching for Toronto.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: He's been okay, four point eight nine ERA one point
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: zero nine whip. That's a good whip. I know he's
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse at home. Five point two to
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: nine e RA twenty seven to five strike at walk
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: ratio with the past month is pretty good though on
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: a four point nine to one e RA not that good.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: But his strikeout walk ratio, his walks.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: Have gone down.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: He's only a lot more than three on runs once
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: this entire season, so that's not that bad. Went seven
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: innings last time, so they're ramping him up. He's gone
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: at least ninety pitches and.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: Three straight starts.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: He had eleven strikeouts in that game against Detroit, which
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: is a decent side that he's at least kind of
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: pitching pretty well. And he gets a reprieve here stepping
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: down in class to face this really bad Royal offense.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: Ninety one at bats against them in his career, eighteen
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: to five strike a walk ratio two twenty average.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Six point fifty six ops.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: So sures Are has done well against Kansas City in
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: the past, so I like both starting pitchers here, man,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: we'll deal with the bullpens and we'll go under in
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: this game where I think of the money, Like I said,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: I believe the money's coming in on the Underwright, did
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: I look at this one yet? I don't think I did. Actually,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: it looks like the money's coming in on the over now,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: so fuck me. I guess sixty three percent of tickets
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: on the under ninety two percent of the cash coming
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: in on the over.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: Don't like that at all. Don't agree with it obviously.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: Eight excuse me.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: The total has gone up from eight to eight and
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: a half at most books, But we're looking at Bookmaker
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: having one of the highest, having one of the most
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: un under heavy UH totals on the game right now,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: with the juice at minus a one to fifteen. So
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: even though it's kind of that way across the board,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: DraftKings actually has it way lower at eight, which is
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: a little bit concerning actually, So we might be able
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: to go under eight and a half here instead of
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: the under eight. We can look at that and see
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: that's the way that I'm going though. Man, I like it.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: I like the under in that game, and that's gonna
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: do it. It's only it's the one play today that's
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: gonna be at mister cover. What's up man, you're talking about?
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: Is that UFC ruin and Ry b Akeena moneyline parlay?
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: All right, I don't know.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: I should know way more about the UFC, but I
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: do not, So I apologize for that.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Man. Everybody have a good Saturday.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: Learned its oad on Twitter, learn it Toad on Instagram,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: better off Dead, YouTube, all the audio platforms, so please
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: check me out at all the things like subscribe, comment rate,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: all the good things and covered in yuke is my
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: Oh Tennis? All right, my mistake Tennis? Interesting? Okay, I
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: don't follow tennis very much at all. Interesting, but yeah,
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: thanks for the tip man. Yeah, I forget what I
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: was saying. Yeah, covered in yuke my Yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: I'll go check out my ukulele stuff and Patreon, dot com, slash,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: learn to toad, the.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Paywalt stuff is yuke stuff right now.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: You get a yuke Spotify playlist and you get or feed.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: I guess I should say it's almost like a podcast
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: feed and you'll get to request stuff at the better.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: That the higher tierre there. So thanks guys, in dressing.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean not a lot of people bet at,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: so you can probably find more value there. I just
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: pay attention to the main sports pretty much. I just
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: do the main sports. Peace out, everybody, Love to everybody.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: Have a good one today, man, I have a good
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: week at everybody.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: Peace