Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 295 - 6/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 295 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Monday. A new week begins as we plow
- 0:39through the month of June. Again, I can feel summer in the
- 0:42air. But I tell you what guys, I'm a
- 0:44little under the weather. I don't know what it is, but
- 0:46maybe a two or three day cold here, but a lot of a lot of
- 0:49headaches, sneezing, coughing, who knows what it is.
- 0:52Usually you get those in the winter time, but I'm dealing
- 0:54with one right now. So we're going to play, play a
- 0:56little hurt, play sick, maybe we'll get a Jordan flu game, who
- 0:58knows. So if my voice sounds a little a
- 1:01little gross, I apologize. But hopefully I will pick some
- 1:04winners regardless here guys. But again, hope everyone had a
- 1:07great weekend back at it today as always.
- 1:10And we're going to get right back to Major League Baseball
- 1:12because even though it's a smaller than usual slate today,
- 1:14there's only nine games overall, but they're all night games.
- 1:17And I am going to look at isolating some underdogs.
- 1:20So I really have a incredible stat that I want to share with
- 1:23you guys, dog versus favorite, because we've seen a just
- 1:26ridiculous shift in the performance of dogs and
- 1:28favorites looking at basically up to this point, you know, and
- 1:32I'll give you these numbers here in a second, but dogs were
- 1:35getting absolutely crushed, taken to the woodshed.
- 1:37First couple months we were really raking making some some
- 1:40good money there betting the favorites, but it's really
- 1:42turned around with these dogs starting to bark and some of
- 1:45these numbers I'm about to give you you might be a little your
- 1:48eyes might be open a little bit here, but I also think if you're
- 1:50grinding baseball on a daily basis, you are seeing again, if
- 1:53you're looking at lines and betting every day, you're seeing
- 1:56some of these dogs pull off these upsets.
- 1:57So with that being said, I do have a three pack of plays
- 2:00today. They're all underdogs, underdogs
- 2:03with good sharp line moves as well as some good sharp mush
- 2:05edges here from our friends at Juice Rail.
- 2:07So of those three, you know, usually I say, hey, let's get 2
- 2:11out of 3, eek out a winning day on favorites.
- 2:14Well, if we get 2 out of three dogs, we're having a really good
- 2:16day because of these plus money payouts.
- 2:18So 3 pack overall and we're going to get right into them as
- 2:21of now. Now I do want to give you the
- 2:24stack guys, because again, I think it's very important to
- 2:27kind of not be stubborn. It's really kind of a tough
- 2:31balancing act because you want to stick with the system if you
- 2:35know it's really good historically, even if it has a
- 2:36tough stretch. You don't want to abandon
- 2:38something if something over the long term has proven to be
- 2:41successful because there will be ups and downs.
- 2:43But also you don't want to be stubborn when you kind of see a
- 2:47shift in the market and you want to basically keep doing
- 2:51something just out of principle. Like, you know, you want to kind
- 2:54of move and move and shake whatever the, you know, the
- 2:57cliche is based upon again, what what's working.
- 3:01And the important thing is not just that it's an aberration or
- 3:04something's working, but there's kind of a theory behind it.
- 3:06So I'm going to give you these stats on dogs in Major League
- 3:09Baseball. And I think there's a good
- 3:11theory behind it. Now, let me take you back way
- 3:14back to when I first started betting on sports, when I got my
- 3:18first job in the industry in 2011.
- 3:20I know it's I'm dating myself here at this point, but you
- 3:24might have heard me say this. I got hired as a customer
- 3:26service manager, basically minimum wage at a sports betting
- 3:30company on the North Shore of Boston called Sports Insights
- 3:33and it was the really just the greatest break I ever had in my
- 3:36life because it introduced me to sports betting.
- 3:38Sports betting was not a career aspiration for me.
- 3:41I kind of quote UN quote backdoored my way into it.
- 3:44But I remember I got hired in June of 2011.
- 3:47The Bruins are in the Stanley Cup finals.
- 3:49Obviously they won it, which is great and maybe Brad Marshall
- 3:51will win another one. I mentioned today on Stormy show
- 3:54on Visen that she was like, Hey, what do you people in Boston
- 3:57think about Martian? And I'm like, we're all rooting
- 3:59for him. And actually in the Boston
- 4:01Common, there's a Paul Revere on his horse statue and someone put
- 4:05a Martian Bruins jersey over Paul Revere.
- 4:07So that tells you how Boston's rooting for Martian.
- 4:09But anyway, my whole point is that I got hired in 2011.
- 4:13It was, you know, thick of the Major League Baseball season and
- 4:16really what I was taught there. And a lot of these lessons have
- 4:19stayed with me and really been the foundation of my, my whole
- 4:21betting existence was that a mentor of mine said a long time
- 4:25ago that baseball is a really good underdog sport.
- 4:28Basically the whole thought process is you don't have to win
- 4:3152.38% of the time to break even or even more than that.
- 4:35If you're betting favorites, you only have to win 4647% of the
- 4:38time. But if you're getting plus money
- 4:40payouts, you can still produce a positive ROI.
- 4:43So that was always kind of my first introduction of baseball.
- 4:45It's a, it's a good dog sport. Now you do see fluctuations up
- 4:51and downs, like in the NFL season this year, it was the
- 4:54best, basically favorite public year in like 15 years.
- 4:58So as a contrarian, it wasn't a good year for me.
- 5:00But starting when we get back at it in September, I'll be right
- 5:04back on dogs because you have a 25 plus year sample of dogs
- 5:08being really good. Well, baseball's such a long
- 5:10year that I think you got to cut it up into different pieces or
- 5:13sections because again, it's 6 plus months games every day.
- 5:16It's such a long season. The thought process is at the
- 5:20beginning of the year, and this is really held true, that
- 5:23favorites do very well because maybe it's the weather, maybe
- 5:26it's just the favorites are the better teams, maybe the dogs
- 5:30haven't gotten their groove yet for whatever reason.
- 5:32You tend to see favorites do well early portion of the year.
- 5:35Then as the year progresses, you tend to see dogs start to bark.
- 5:38And really the data proves it out.
- 5:40So I'm going to give you guys these numbers.
- 5:42This is for this season, the 2025 MLB regular season, and the
- 5:46month of March and April. Underdogs went 178 and 280.
- 5:52That is only a 39% win rate and you'd be down 63 units playing
- 5:57dogs. So that means if you bet 100
- 5:59bucks on every dog in the month of March and April, you'd be
- 6:02down $6300.00. So that's pretty bad.
- 6:06However, if we draw a line at May 1st, ironically enough, my
- 6:09birthday May 1st, since May 1st dogs are now 241 and 277.
- 6:16That is a 47% win rate and plus 33 units.
- 6:21So 33 units means again, you can look at one unit as $100.
- 6:26Just a line of demarcation there or kind of a good comparison.
- 6:30But that means if you've got 100 bucks on every dog since May
- 6:321st, you'd be up $3300.00. So March and April dogs were
- 6:38barking at a 39% clip. May and June they're barking at
- 6:41a 47% clip. Now you might say, oh, you're
- 6:44both below 500, you know, 50%. But remember, plus money payouts
- 6:48with dogs 47%, you're doing very well.
- 6:52So dogs from March, April and then May 1st on have increased
- 6:56their win percentage by 8%. So that's kind of something that
- 7:01again we should think about, take into account.
- 7:04And again, we did very well betting favorites, but now I
- 7:07think if you're betting favorites, you're kind of going
- 7:09upstream because these dogs are, are starting to bark.
- 7:12So with that being said, are we going to continue to hammer
- 7:14favorites? Well, we'll, we'll play them if
- 7:16they're sharp and they, you know, match all of our systems.
- 7:19But if the lion's moving toward the dog and dogs are barking and
- 7:22maybe the public's still on the favorite and we got a reverse
- 7:25line move or a good sharp mush edge from Juice Reel, then we're
- 7:27going to incorporate some more dogs.
- 7:29And you actually saw it over the weekend, the White Sox, I played
- 7:31them as a dog. They came through the cubbies as
- 7:33a dog came through. So you are starting to see these
- 7:36dogs bark a bit, which is nice. And then the Reds actually as a
- 7:39dog barked yesterday. So I just wanted to mention that
- 7:41because I I often times get beginning of the year.
- 7:44Why you betting so many favorites?
- 7:46You know, and then my answer is, well, favorites do well early
- 7:48portion of the year. Well, I feel like, hey, we've
- 7:50gotten in the proof is in the pudding that get into the middle
- 7:53part of the you know, almost halfway point of baseball season
- 7:57is when dogs start to show up. And hopefully they show up here
- 8:00for us tonight because I got three dogs for you.
- 8:03So that being said, without further ado, let's see if we can
- 8:05get some dogs to bark for us tonight first.
- 8:08But on the board, 6:45 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, let's
- 8:11look at the Cubs visiting the Philadelphia Phillies now.
- 8:15The Cubs come in 40 and 25 on the air.
- 8:18Just dropped two or three though against the Tigers.
- 8:20They lost that series finale yesterday. 4 nothing as a + 100
- 8:23Rd. dog. Meanwhile, the Phillies 37 and
- 8:2628, they just got swept by the Pirates, believe it or not lost
- 8:302 to one as a + 100 dog. Now pitching match up here
- 8:34tonight looks pretty good. We got Matthew Boyd the lefty
- 8:36going for the Cubs. He is five and three with a
- 8:39three-point O 1 ERA. Meanwhile, the Phills are going
- 8:42to go with the righty Zach Wheeler.
- 8:43He's six and two with a 2.96 ERA.
- 8:46So what have you seen across the market here?
- 8:48Will this game open? Philly around a -, 150 home
- 8:51favorite Chicago around a + 130 Rd. dog and the public is
- 8:55leaning Philly. Wheeler's really good.
- 8:58Philly's have been in the post season last few years.
- 8:59A lot of star players late with Philly.
- 9:02However, even though you're getting nearly 60% of money line
- 9:05bets at DraftKings on Philly, the line isn't moving further
- 9:08toward the Phills. It's actually dropping toward
- 9:10Chicago. So even though they're getting
- 9:12nearly 2/3 of bets, we've seen Philadelphia fall -150 down to
- 9:18-130 now classify as, you know it, a reverse line move when the
- 9:22betting line goes away from the popular side Phillies toward the
- 9:25unpopular side Cubs. So the Cubs have gone from plus
- 9:28130 down to plus 1/10. Now I gave you those stats on
- 9:31those dogs barking since May 1st, but let's kind of hone in
- 9:35on maybe an even sharper angle. If you look at just short Rd.
- 9:38dogs plus 120 or less, the Cubs would match here because they're
- 9:41plus 110. Those teams are 57 and 5352%
- 9:46since May 1st 7% ROI. 8 units, one Chicago.
- 9:50Also, you may have picked up on this because I love playing it
- 9:54almost every time we get a chance.
- 9:56Cubbies in a bounce back spot. Chicago is the best team in
- 9:58baseball that when they lose, typically they bounce back and
- 10:01win the next day. Cubs off a loss this year, 18
- 10:04and 482 percent, 48% ROI. You're up nearly 11 units.
- 10:09I'm going to hope the Cubs bats get to Wheeler a bit.
- 10:13I know he's good. But the Cubs are hitting 259 on
- 10:15the year. 88 homers, 360, three runs scored.
- 10:19Phillies are hitting 25068 homers, 297 runs scored.
- 10:23Cubs also are hitting 271 on the road.
- 10:25That's the best Rd. batting average in baseball.
- 10:29If this does become a bullpen game, hopefully that's an
- 10:31advantage to Chicago. They have a bullpen ERA of 3.39.
- 10:35Phillies are 4.54. That's the sixth worst in
- 10:38baseball. And Philly has really struggled
- 10:41here. They're one in nine their last
- 10:4310 games. They're hitting 189 as a team.
- 10:45They have an ERA of 6 point O1. Chicago, meanwhile, 6 and four,
- 10:49their last ten hitting 241. ERA of two point O 7 lastly
- 10:54popped open the juicer lap. I noticed a 14% sharp mush edge
- 10:59on the cubbies. So 14% more of the sharper
- 11:02winning players are going with the Cubs, which is the direction
- 11:06that I'm going here. So I started off the pod telling
- 11:08you how dogs are barking. I hope this dog can bark for us
- 11:10tonight. Publix on the fills, but the
- 11:12lines dropping towards Chicago again.
- 11:15They played pretty well as of late.
- 11:17Phillies really struggled. I'm going to take a shot here on
- 11:19the Cubbies. I got Chicago plus 1/10.
- 11:23Next step for you a 7:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch, the
- 11:27Atlanta Braves visiting the Milwaukee Brew Crew.
- 11:30Now the Braves come in 27 and 37 just got swept by the Giants.
- 11:34They lost four to three yesterday as a - 135 Rd.
- 11:37favorite. Meanwhile, the Brew Crew 35 and
- 11:3931, they just lost two or three against the Padres.
- 11:42They lost one nothing yesterday as a -, 180 home favorite.
- 11:47So pitching match up here, it looks like it favors Atlanta.
- 11:49Chris Sale, the ace lefty on the bump three and four 2.93 ERA.
- 11:54You know the Brewers are going to go with the ready Aaron
- 11:56Cavalli. He's one and one 5.19 ERA.
- 11:59However, what have we seen across the market?
- 12:01Well, this game opened Atlanta as high as a - 185 - 190 Rd.
- 12:07favorite. Milwaukee are on a + 160 home
- 12:09dog and the public is not worried about this big number.
- 12:13They're back in the Braves with Sail on the Bump.
- 12:15However, even though you're getting 2/3 of bets at
- 12:18DraftKings on the Braves, the Braves aren't up to -200.
- 12:22This line's tanking toward Milwaukee, so Atlanta's gone
- 12:25from -185 down to -155 even -145 now at this point tells me smart
- 12:32money. Sharp reverse line movement on
- 12:33the Brewers. They're only getting about 1/3
- 12:35of bets, but they've gone from plus 160 all the way now down to
- 12:40around plus 1/30. I jumped on the Brewers plus 140
- 12:43little bit earlier today. I posted that to the Juice Reel
- 12:46app if you want to give it a follow And then also if you
- 12:49check out the sharp reports I read, I identified that play a
- 12:51little bit earlier, but here's where we get some more system
- 12:54matches on the Brewers. Excuse me, dogs who made the
- 12:57playoffs the previous year like the Brewers in this spot since
- 13:00May 1st, those teams are 73 and 6951 percent, 12% ROI plus 17
- 13:07units. Braves, meanwhile, do you want
- 13:10to lay a minus number, a big minus number on the road with
- 13:12Atlanta? Well, so far this year hasn't
- 13:14been a good angle. Braves on the road as a road
- 13:16favorite. 7 and 1335% -. 41% ROI.
- 13:22That is the worst Rd. Chalk team in baseball.
- 13:26Brewers playing pretty well. Seven and three over the last 10
- 13:29just hit, or they've been hitting 262 with an ERA of 2.8
- 13:34or 280. Braves, meanwhile, 2 and 8,
- 13:36their last ten hitting 208. The area of 4.17.
- 13:40And then just some classic home Rd. splits.
- 13:42Atlanta's been bad on the road this year. 10 and 23.
- 13:45Milwaukee 12:19 and 12:00 at home this season.
- 13:49So we open as a big favorite with Atlanta Public.
- 13:51Still laying the chalk with Atlanta yet this line is
- 13:54tumbling toward Milwaukee. So I'm going to take a shot of
- 13:57the beer makers tonight, guys. I got them plus 140 again.
- 14:00Shop around. Mostly they're down to around
- 14:02plus 1:30 at this point. Last bed of the night.
- 14:06Let's go out to the desert. Seattle Mariners visiting the
- 14:09Arizona Diamondbacks a 9:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 14:12First pitch. So the Mariners come in 33 and
- 14:1531. Did just drop two or three
- 14:17though against the Angels. Avoided the sweep with a three
- 14:20to two win though yesterday as a -, 135 Rd. favorite.
- 14:24On the other hand, D backs 31 and 34 just got swept by the
- 14:28Reds. They lost 4 to 2 yesterday as a
- 14:30-, 125 Rd. favorite. So pitching match up here, we
- 14:34got the Mariners going with the righty Emerson Hancock.
- 14:36He's two and two with a 5.19 ERA D backs.
- 14:40Meanwhile, going with Merrill Kelly, the fellow righty, he's
- 14:42six and two with a 3.43 ERA. So what do you see across the
- 14:46market here? Well, kind of a classic line
- 14:49freeze. Now, what does a line freeze
- 14:51mean? A line freeze means when you
- 14:52have heavy betting in One Direction, but the line will not
- 14:54budget. So, for example, this game open
- 14:57Arizona around a -, 170 home favorite with Seattle around a +
- 15:01140 + 145 Rd. dog and the public is all over the snakes 73% of
- 15:07money line bets at DraftKings around Arizona.
- 15:10However, even though you're getting three out of four bets
- 15:12on Arizona, Arizona's not up to -180 -, 190, which you would
- 15:16expect. No, they've stayed exactly where
- 15:18they're at and they've even dipped to around -165 at a few
- 15:22shops. So if everyone's betting
- 15:24Arizona, you know, why is this line staying the same?
- 15:27Tells me we got a line freeze. Basically, there's liability on
- 15:30the road dog. The odds makers don't want to
- 15:32give out a better number on the road dog because that's really
- 15:35the side that they're more concerned with.
- 15:37Now. It's important to when you're a
- 15:39member at Visa and you can get the bet splits from both
- 15:42DraftKings and Circa. Again, DraftKings is where I
- 15:44figure out where the public is at.
- 15:45Circa is where the sharps are at.
- 15:47But I told you at DraftKings, everyone's playing in Arizona,
- 15:50but out at Circa in Vegas, 86% of money line bets, 99% of money
- 15:55line dollars are on Seattle. So it tells me those bigger,
- 15:58sharper wagers in the desert are going with the Mariners.
- 16:01Now Rd. dogs like the Mariners here are 145 and one 6946%.
- 16:08But an 8% ROI plus 25 units since May 1st because of those
- 16:12plus money payouts. Excuse me if those teams are
- 16:15also coming off a win. Those Rd. dogs since May 1st,
- 16:18they're 74 and 7450 percent, 15% ROI plus 22 units.
- 16:24One, Seattle does have some correlative betting dog high
- 16:27total. So this total is 9 1/2.
- 16:30So more expected run scored, more upset opportunities leads
- 16:34to more variance benefits the dog.
- 16:36And then if we dig into these two teams here, Arizona as a
- 16:39home favorite this year only 12 and 1446% -, 25% ROI.
- 16:45So they don't haven't done well as a home favorite.
- 16:47Meanwhile, Seattle 13 and 8 62 percent, 36% ROI as a dog, the
- 16:53second best dog team in baseball.
- 16:57Last little cherry on top pop open juice reel, 33% sharp mush
- 17:02edge on Seattle. So again, basically a third more
- 17:05of the winning sharper betters are going with Seattle as
- 17:08opposed to a lot of the recreational betters leaning
- 17:11with Arizona. But basically we have everyone,
- 17:14excuse me, playing Arizona. Yet the sign has stayed the same
- 17:17or fallen slightly towards Seattle.
- 17:19Good sharp mush edge. Arizona's been bad as a chalk
- 17:22home favorite. Seattle good as a dog.
- 17:24I'm taking a shot on the Mariners.
- 17:26I got Mariners plus 145. Shop around some books down to
- 17:29plus 140. So Cubs, Brewers, Mariners, can
- 17:33we get some dogs to bark? That is the goal.
- 17:36So that about does it for episode 295 of the All Systems
- 17:40Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 17:43This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 17:45And I start first by saying thank you.
- 17:47Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 17:49busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
- 17:52sharp, data-driven breakdowns with me.
- 17:54If you do enjoy the pod, if it's become a part of your
- 17:57handicapping routine, whether you tail fade, pick and choose,
- 18:01or just sit back and listen to some betting breakdowns, I
- 18:04appreciate all of you guys for tuning in.
- 18:06But if you want to help me grow the pod, could you please take a
- 18:08couple seconds to give this podcast a five star review on
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- 18:16want to leave a nice comment, I will take that.
- 18:18I'll never say no to a nice review.
- 18:21And then also if you click the follow button, that way you get
- 18:23alerted as soon as it drops each day.
- 18:25I'd very much appreciate that as well.
- 18:28Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven
- 18:33sharp contrarian betting, really not betting on gut instinct and
- 18:36bias, but what the market is telling us.
- 18:38Picking up on the clues of the betting market, taking a
- 18:40contrarian approach can be with the smart money.
- 18:43If this style has kind of, you know, captured you a bit or
- 18:46you've you've kind of seen the fruits of of betting with a
- 18:49data-driven approach and you want to learn more about
- 18:51data-driven betting or you have someone in your life who could
- 18:53use a few data-driven tips. You know what you should do.
- 18:56You should go to Amazon.com and then type in the everything
- 18:59guide to sports betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
- 19:02friend. It's got everything I've learned
- 19:04in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
- 19:07to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
- 19:10place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line.
- 19:14Sorry guys, how to set up a bankroll management plan and I'm
- 19:18struggling over here. It's all included in the
- 19:21everything guide to sports betting.
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- 19:25Amazon.com, then type in the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
- 19:29That's my new baby. The due date is August 12th.
- 19:32We're coming up here on just two months away.
- 19:34Can't believe it, but it's got everything that I've learned
- 19:36over time and the blueprint how to attack the NFL from a danger
- 19:39driven perspective. I cannot wait to get that out to
- 19:42you guys because I'm really proud of it.
- 19:43I've been working on it for quite a while, but bring a copy
- 19:47of the Everything Guide as well as the NFL Sharp Betting
- 19:49Playbook pre-order to the sports book.
- 19:52I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 19:55ale or maybe you can buy me an emergency.
- 19:57I always take I # emergency. You know those little packets a
- 20:00little, you know a little little powder.
- 20:02You put in some water, shake it around.
- 20:04I found those and I'm not feeling well and I'm also
- 20:06crushing dayquils so maybe I'm a little loopy too, who knows.
- 20:09Anyway, with that being said, again, first one's on me, next
- 20:13one's on you. I'll post about the book.
- 20:14And so it's some sharp data-driven plays together.
- 20:17Next. Have you downloaded Juice Reel
- 20:19and Rhythm yet? My two favorite sports betting
- 20:21apps because they're all about that data.
- 20:23Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
- 20:25for game bets and player props. They also have their brand new
- 20:28power trends which are really cool.
- 20:30You got the little San Diego Charger lightning bolt logo
- 20:33basically as their best plays of the day based upon a set of
- 20:37repeatable conditions. So I know people have having
- 20:40some good success with those. Also you got WNBANB, AM LB all
- 20:45up and running in the rhythm app and then Juice Rail.
- 20:49I'm going to pass the hat. If you enjoy the pod, it's free.
- 20:52It cost you nothing. I would love for you guys to
- 20:54drop in a $5.00 bill to support the pod and you can do that by
- 20:58signing up to get the all systems go.
- 21:00Best bet picks exclusively and only on juice rail.
- 21:03It's the only place they're posted and for $4.99 a week you
- 21:07can get those plays. So support the pod, beat some
- 21:10closing lines, maybe, maybe get some better prices.
- 21:12Of course, because I'll bet these games earlier in the day,
- 21:15we can get the all systems go best bet picks.
- 21:18You can get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
- 21:20indicators, the arbitrage opportunities.
- 21:23Shop for the best line features, sync up your sports books, get a
- 21:26running report card of your action.
- 21:28It's all available in the Juice Reel app.
- 21:30So download rhythm and download Juice Reel and give them a five
- 21:33star review in the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
- 21:37page? You need one.
- 21:38You got to have a live odds page.
- 21:40It'll make your betting life so much easier.
- 21:41And honestly, I don't know how people bet without a live odds
- 21:44page because you got to know you know it's you can't just open
- 21:46the newspaper and see the lines there in the newspaper anymore
- 21:50because they they're moving and you have no context.
- 21:53But the live odds page lets you keep your finger on the pulse of
- 21:55the betting market, shows you the opening number, all the
- 21:58current numbers. You can see which direction the
- 22:00line is moved. Pull up the line history.
- 22:02You can also of course shop for the best price.
- 22:05You can see when the markets moving or team gets steam, the
- 22:07odds get lit up in red. And then of course you're going
- 22:10to get all the major market setting books, let you know when
- 22:13you see steam. Then jump on a slow moving book.
- 22:16And you can also customize your page and put up your
- 22:18notifications exactly the way you want it.
- 22:20And that's odds logic. So give odds logic a shot.
- 22:24I know you've been maybe thinking about it.
- 22:26You got nothing to lose. Literally.
- 22:27You can get a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your first
- 22:30month just by using this specific link,
- 22:34oddslogic.com/josh 123 and that'll be again 50% off your
- 22:39first month 7 day free trial. So with that being said, last
- 22:44two final things, I'm always going to leave you guys with
- 22:46one, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 22:49River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods
- 22:52or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 22:54Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino, or MGM Springfield or
- 22:58the Nash in National New Hampshire.
- 22:59In my neck of the woods, they're out in the desert where the true
- 23:02grinders get down, or Billy Walter sends his number runners
- 23:04where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point, or
- 23:07sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
- 23:10pool. When you cash a big ticket at
- 23:12Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me,
- 23:15hopefully show me some dog tickets.
- 23:17Who let the dogs out? Is this the real Caesar's
- 23:20Palace? Is this pager friendly?
- 23:22Anyway, for you Hangover fans, let's see if we can get some
- 23:25dogs to bark for us tonight. That would be fantastic.
- 23:28As always, guys, whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether
- 23:31we're up, whether we're down, winning day, losing day,
- 23:34grinding somewhere in the middle, we always got to stick
- 23:36to the model, stick to the blueprint.
- 23:38Never get arrogant or cocky when we're doing well, never get down
- 23:41or depressed. I know these are human emotions.
- 23:43We're humans, but you just got to continue to grind thick skin
- 23:47grinders with blinders. And if we can do that, then we
- 23:49can find games that fit our model against the public, with
- 23:52the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that
- 23:56CLV. We can do that long term.
- 23:58I'm confident we're going to come out on top.
- 24:00So have a great Monday, everybody.
- 24:03I'm going to go # some more emergency.
- 24:04Let's see if we can get some dogs to bark in MLB and then
- 24:08we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big episode on
- 24:11Tuesday. Episode 296 of the All Systems
- 24:14Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 24:17Good luck everybody and let's get some plus money winners on
- 24:20the diamond tonight.