Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 35 - 5/2/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello and welcome. To episode 30.
- 0:22Five of the all systems go sports betting.
- 0:25Podcast powered by rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
- 0:33What's going on everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
- 0:36And boy, we got a. Lot to get to today guys, even
- 0:38though it. Is a smaller than usual slate.
- 0:40There's basically just Major League Baseball Day sweats.
- 0:43Going on so I'm. Dripping as we speak with a
- 0:45couple games here. That I have some action on but.
- 0:47Really nothing for tonight, but we are going to focus on a three
- 0:50pack of sweats for you, including.
- 0:52A big bet for me. And for you if you want.
- 0:55To tell on the. Bruins versus Leafs Game 6.
- 0:58Back in Toronto here for tonight with some.
- 1:00Interesting injury updates. As well as line.
- 1:03Moves as well as as well as playoff system matches that are
- 1:07all. Lighting up on this.
- 1:08Particular team here for. Tonight.
- 1:10And also I'm going. To double dip in the NBA because
- 1:13there's two games. Tonight, but I'm going to double
- 1:15my focus on the second game. Knicks and 76ers.
- 1:19I have a play on both and I don't love doing this, but I
- 1:22found edges on both. I got to play on both the side.
- 1:24And the total in that one. And also.
- 1:27We do have a wrangle which is a ref.
- 1:29Angle going on tonight. Woo, woo Scott Foster.
- 1:33That's right. And do you know what Scott
- 1:35Foster's nickname is If. You know what his nickname is?
- 1:37You probably. Know the direction I'm leaning
- 1:39here for tonight, but we'll breakdown.
- 1:41The Knicks Sixers game from both the side and the total.
- 1:43As well as a big. NHL Stanley Cup playoff.
- 1:45Game tonight between the Bruins and the Leafs.
- 1:48Can the Bruins bounce? Back in and.
- 1:50Finish off the Leafs or do the Leafs.
- 1:52Force a Game 7. At which point I will be.
- 1:55Shaking in my boots. As a Boston fan.
- 1:57But anyway, guys, 3 pack here for tonight now looking back
- 1:59toward yesterday. Good news, bad news.
- 2:01Good news is that we continued to run hot in major.
- 2:04League. Baseball.
- 2:05Major League. Baseball had a nice three in one
- 2:07night. We got the Dodgers.
- 2:08We got the Red Sox. We got the Phillies.
- 2:11Now the Texas Rangers let us down.
- 2:12They lost one. Nothing.
- 2:13They had multiple. Opportunities with the bases
- 2:15loaded couldn't get anything. Across against the Nationals.
- 2:18But three in one MLB night? Now what is it?
- 2:22Seven and one our last. 8 bets here for Major League Baseball.
- 2:26I remember we had a four and O and a three and one.
- 2:28So not bad. Tells us that we have the finger
- 2:30of. Finger on the pulse.
- 2:32Of Major League Baseball. Betting right now, which is good
- 2:33to see. Sadly, as I mentioned.
- 2:35Day games. No night games here for tonight.
- 2:37So I'll. Wait for more MLB.
- 2:39Action for tomorrow. Now bad.
- 2:41News is we. Suffered a couple of.
- 2:44Brutal beats last. Night, including one which I
- 2:47knew this. Was going to happen.
- 2:48They got my hopes up, only to let.
- 2:50Me down and dance on my grave. But.
- 2:52The freaking. Celtics total last night, guys.
- 2:55Unbelievable. We went with the.
- 2:56Under under 200. And a half.
- 2:58And what happened? The game was sitting with the
- 3:02Celtics. The total.
- 3:03Was 200. With 24 seconds left, the
- 3:06Celtics are up by 37 points. Just end the game.
- 3:11Dribble it out. No more scoring.
- 3:13It's completely pointless. But what?
- 3:15What happened? Thomas Bryant.
- 3:17Of the Heat had to be a hero in a game.
- 3:19They were down 30. Seven at the time.
- 3:21Scored a meaningless bucket and not only was it a bucket, but.
- 3:24It was an and 1:00 to go over 200 1/2 and end up landing 2O2
- 3:28so. That's just the way NBA
- 3:30sometimes treats you. It's a.
- 3:32Fickle mistress. And man, that was a brutal one,
- 3:35losing on a meaningless basket with 24 seconds left.
- 3:37But hey, that's that's NBA sometimes.
- 3:40Then the other. Loser was Kevin Fiala.
- 3:42Over 2 1/2 shots on goal. He had average or what was it?
- 3:45He had 3434 and he was sitting on 2.
- 3:49Shots on goal going to the third.
- 3:50Period had over. 2 1/2. And I.
- 3:52Believe he had either two or three shots.
- 3:54Blocked. In the third period.
- 3:56So he ended. Up landing on two when we had
- 3:58over. 2 1/2 So what? Are you going to do some breaks?
- 4:01Obviously the breaks on. Our way in in.
- 4:03In baseball, but with. Both hockey prop.
- 4:06And the NBA total? Break did not go our way so.
- 4:093:00 and 3:00. Overall from last night -1 unit.
- 4:13But that's all right. We're going to bounce back today
- 4:14here with a three pack, which? Again, will be a smaller than
- 4:17usual POD. But hopefully we.
- 4:19Can go 2 and. 1 Eke out a profit here for tonight.
- 4:22So, without further ado, let's waste no time.
- 4:24I want to talk. About the game.
- 4:26That I cannot wait. To watch and sweat tonight.
- 4:29Bruins Leafs Game 6. In Toronto, the Bruins are up.
- 4:333:00 to 2:00. Now they're up 3:00 to 1:00.
- 4:35And we beat the closing line the other night.
- 4:37Had some great steam. And yet the Bruins didn't show
- 4:40up and lost, which is why they have to go to Toronto and play a
- 4:42game six here for tonight. But I have a play on tonight's
- 4:45game, so on the one hand, I'm still holding the series ticket
- 4:48-125. Now it's down to -3. 60 so still
- 4:52getting some good CLV. There, but I really cannot lose
- 4:55tonight. I think what was it as high as
- 4:56-1200? The the Bruins were going into
- 4:59the last game. But anyway, for tonight a bunch
- 5:02of stuff is going on with this game, so.
- 5:04Let's start off with the line movement.
- 5:06Now this. Game open with Toronto.
- 5:07Do or die? They got to win or their
- 5:09season's over a. Lot of books open.
- 5:10Toronto around a minus. 115 home favorite with the Bruins,
- 5:14basically even. Money or a little bit of plus
- 5:16money plus one O 5. Now we've seen this line
- 5:18completely. Flip and it's flipped to who?
- 5:21To the Boston Bruins. The Bruins.
- 5:23Are now -1. 15 so going from. A + 105 + 100 to minus. 1:15.
- 5:29What do we like to call that we like to call that dog to fave?
- 5:32Line move, Bruins. Open as the dog.
- 5:34They flip to the favorites right off the bat.
- 5:36That has me leaning. Bruins But again, when you're
- 5:38betting. On sports, you got to build.
- 5:39A case I start. With the line movement, because
- 5:41that tells me. Where the respected.
- 5:43Money is falling. Then I try.
- 5:44To dig deeper. So I go next.
- 5:46To the betting percentages. Coming directly from DraftKings.
- 5:49Currently we have 70% of bets but 83.
- 5:52Percent of the money on the Boston Bruins tonight, So
- 5:55public. Play.
- 5:55But again, really, hockey is. Not a very public.
- 5:57Sport so the 70% tickets. Doesn't worry you too much.
- 6:00It's the fact that the line's. Going to Boston and.
- 6:03They are getting that, you know. What was that plus?
- 6:0613 discrepancy there low bets, higher dollars so tells us the
- 6:09bigger sharper wages are going with.
- 6:11Boston. So boom.
- 6:12More more reason to like the Bruins here tonight.
- 6:15Now let's add in some other. Angles Home Rd.
- 6:17The Bruins this year. In the postseason, obviously,
- 6:20it's the. First round, but they're two and
- 6:22O on the road. They're only one and two at
- 6:24home. You've seen the Bruins kind of
- 6:25beat this Jekyll and Hyde team where they get tight and they.
- 6:28Let you down at home on the. Road they seem to kind of rally
- 6:31around each other. And play together and win.
- 6:33So the fact they're on the road tonight, maybe that's a benefit
- 6:36now? Probably.
- 6:37Should have mentioned this at the outset.
- 6:39But there's a big. Injury for the Toronto Maple
- 6:41Leafs, and you know who it is. It is.
- 6:43Austin Matthews. Who led the league with 69 goals
- 6:46this year? Nice.
- 6:48Austin Matthews is out for tonight again.
- 6:51At first I heard it was. A illness?
- 6:54Like some kind of virus where he was.
- 6:56Throwing up and maybe coming out the other end too, which is
- 6:59never a good. Thing.
- 7:00Poor guy. But I'm hearing it's.
- 7:01Also an injury. Like a groin or something like
- 7:03that. But either way.
- 7:04No Austin Matthews tonight. So that is a.
- 7:07Big reason why we've seen. This line flip.
- 7:09Toward the Boston Bruins. Now.
- 7:12If we layer in a few other things, like from a data-driven.
- 7:15Perspective and a system match perspective.
- 7:17If you look at favourites this year in the NHL postseason.
- 7:21Playoff favourites are 25. And 1366?
- 7:25Percent with a 5.2% ROI. So why is that?
- 7:28Important because basically. Chalk has done well here in the
- 7:31NHL playoffs. And wait until we talk the next.
- 7:33Game here in the NBA 'cause you're.
- 7:35Kind of seeing a similar betting system match here with chalk in
- 7:38in the NBA. Playoffs, but anyway, if you'd
- 7:40bet 100 bucks on every favorite. This year, in the postseason,
- 7:43you're up. Nearly $300.
- 7:45Pretty decent 5% ROI, but here's the kicker guys.
- 7:48In particular, Rd. Favorites if you are on the.
- 7:50Road, you're the visitor. And you're also favored to.
- 7:52Win the game. Which is the situation tonight
- 7:55with the Boston. Bruins Rd. favorites are nine
- 7:57and one. This postseason.
- 7:59So that would also match with the Bruins.
- 8:02Now the Toronto Maple. Leafs.
- 8:03I couldn't believe this. The poor Leafs fans.
- 8:06You. Ever notice how they hang out
- 8:07outside the? Arena What's it called?
- 8:09Leaf. Square, they go nuts.
- 8:10But the Leafs are O and. Six in their last.
- 8:13Six home postseason games. So they have really struggled at
- 8:16home, maybe even more than the Bruins.
- 8:17So we have that in our back pocket now.
- 8:19We get to the goaltenders now, Jacob.
- 8:21Wall replaced Samson Sampson off.
- 8:24And Wall actually played. Great.
- 8:25Give him credit. He was fantastic in the last
- 8:27game, only gave up. What was it?
- 8:29One goal. All right.
- 8:30Was it 2 to one or three? To two anyway he will be.
- 8:34Back in that tonight, most likely.
- 8:36The Bruins are likely. To stick with Jeremy Swayman and
- 8:38Swayman's been great three and. One one point.
- 8:40Four, nine goals against this series A9. 52 save percentage
- 8:44and if you listen to some of. The commentary from Swayman
- 8:47after the last game. Where again, they should.
- 8:49Have won they should. Have closed it out.
- 8:51We bet on them. Beat the closing line by $0.20.
- 8:53They let us down. Well, they interviewed Swayman
- 8:55and Swayman. Was talking about how?
- 8:57He believes in this team. You know we're.
- 9:00Going to rally together, We're going to.
- 9:01Bounce back, you're. Going to get a.
- 9:02Great rebound effort from us in game. 6:00 So I kind of like the
- 9:06fact that your stud. Goalie.
- 9:08Is exuding some confidence. Maybe that permeates throughout
- 9:10the locker room. And then not only do you have
- 9:13confidence from the goalie. But Jim Montgomery?
- 9:15Head coach of the. Bruins.
- 9:17He was very upset and he even said I I'm.
- 9:20Pissed off the way. We played in game.
- 9:22Five, so I expect. Montgomery cracking the whip.
- 9:24Here, hopefully, the Bruins. You know, kind of turning it
- 9:27around, playing. Better being more.
- 9:29Focused tonight also Montgomery. Made a bunch of weird decisions
- 9:32where the Bruins played. A great Game 4.
- 9:34And then he put in grizzly and. Brazeau It's like stick with.
- 9:38You know what's working and don't.
- 9:39Don't keep screwing around the line so.
- 9:41I hope Grizzly is out tonight. He's a.
- 9:43He's a puck moving defenseman, but he's tiny.
- 9:45And he gets pushed around in the playoffs, so hopefully it's Shat
- 9:49and Kirk back in there, but. The combination of the
- 9:51confidence of Swayman with Montgomery being pissed off.
- 9:55Hopefully that's a benefit. And then I'm just going to go
- 9:57down the. Ship.
- 9:58With why I think. The Bruins are going.
- 9:59To win the series, it's defense and goaltending.
- 10:02Swayman's been great. Goaltending defensively, the
- 10:04Bruins. Only giving up. 2.7 goals.
- 10:06Per game this year versus 3.2. For Toronto.
- 10:09No Austin Matthews? Maybe the Bruins kind of took
- 10:12the Leaf slightly last game. No Matthews at home.
- 10:15They'd won a couple in a row. Hey, let's, let's.
- 10:17Just, you know, roll and. Win.
- 10:18Finish this thing well. You can't be surprised anymore
- 10:21if you lose again tonight. Hopefully that doesn't happen,
- 10:23but we. Have a dog to fave line move.
- 10:25We have a good bet. Split playoff.
- 10:26Faves are winning 2/3 of the time.
- 10:28Rd. favourites are winning 90% of the time this.
- 10:30Postseason. You add it all up here guys.
- 10:32I'm going to sweat. My bejesus.
- 10:35Off tonight for the Boston Bruins.
- 10:37To finish up, hopefully cash our series bet.
- 10:39And cash our bet here tonight, I got the Bruins at -1. 15 Let's
- 10:43go bees now. Over to the NBA, because there
- 10:52are two games here tonight in the NBA.
- 10:53But there's one that I'm going to focus on now.
- 10:55I don't really want to touch the first one, the Bucks and the.
- 10:58Pacers That's a 630 game, the early game tonight.
- 11:00Now we did see this line move. Toward the Bucks.
- 11:03The opener here was like Pacers minus. 8 or -9 even.
- 11:07The line is now. Down to Pacers minus. 6 1/2 six
- 11:11question mark. There is obviously the health,
- 11:13you know Bucks are up against it and will Giannis play, will
- 11:17Damian Lillard play? I just want nothing to do with
- 11:19that game, 'cause I don't know who's going to play and who's
- 11:21not going to play, and I don't want to bet one side thinking
- 11:24they'll they'll play and have the line go.
- 11:26The other way or bet one side thinking.
- 11:27They won't play and it flips back.
- 11:29So I just want nothing to do with that Bucks, Pacers game
- 11:31with injury questions. So what I'm going to do is focus
- 11:33on the Knicks and the 76ers now. If you haven't been paying
- 11:38attention here, it's been a pretty good series.
- 11:40Knicks, 76ers, we. Currently have the.
- 11:43Knicks with a three to two series lead.
- 11:45The Knicks were up three to one and could.
- 11:48Have choked out. These 76ers.
- 11:50But your Tyrese Maxie played great the last game.
- 11:52So now it is three to two. Knicks are up, but now it goes
- 11:55back. To the 76ers.
- 11:57Here for tonight. So what are we looking at for
- 11:59tonight? And then I'm.
- 12:00Going to give you why. You need to know who the referee
- 12:03is. Tonight, the crew chief here
- 12:04because it's our old. Buddy Scott Foster So.
- 12:07Stay tuned for that. Analysis here, but anyway,
- 12:09let's. Start off with.
- 12:11The side now. Nixon 76ers, obviously.
- 12:14As I mentioned. 76ers got to win this game or their season is
- 12:17over. But we've pretty much seen the
- 12:19Sixers. Stay pretty steady.
- 12:21At a -, 3 or three. Point home favorite?
- 12:23Now the 70. Sixers some shops.
- 12:25I saw one shop open 2 1/2 get up to three.
- 12:28I saw one shop open -3, 1/2 get down to three.
- 12:31I've seen a couple. Shops pretty much open.
- 12:33Three and stay 3. In terms of the Sixers now, why
- 12:36is that important? Because the public play is the
- 12:39Knicks. The public is is.
- 12:40Really. Heavy on the Knicks?
- 12:41Here, not really heavy. They're getting upwards of 60%.
- 12:44Of bets. So just from the standpoint?
- 12:45Of a fade The trendy dog The trendy dog tonight is the Knicks
- 12:48getting the points. You know, grabbing three.
- 12:50Or you know, best case scenario if you like New York was
- 12:53grabbing the hook with a 3 1/2. However, even though the Publix
- 12:56on Knicks lines. Stayed pretty pretty stagnant
- 12:59here. Toward the Sixers, minus.
- 13:00Three if you look at a. Couple angles here.
- 13:04In terms of system matches, I kind of hinted at this, but
- 13:09chalk. If you look at.
- 13:10The Philadelphia 76ers. They match a chalk.
- 13:13System first. Will be home teams.
- 13:15Home teams in the. Playoffs this year are. 29 and
- 13:1815 straight up 66% playoff. Home favorites are 20. 4 and
- 13:231071%. Straight up, so those both.
- 13:28Would lean you toward the 70. Sixers who are contrarian.
- 13:31Who are desperate and have to. Win here tonight, now.
- 13:34Let's layer in. Scott Foster.
- 13:36That's right. Now Scott Foster, I don't know
- 13:38how he. Continues to be a ref in the NBA
- 13:40'cause if you want. To watch the documentaries.
- 13:43I think the 11 that was on Showtime, he was.
- 13:45He was a. Friend of Tim Donaghy.
- 13:46So really shady. Don't know what the deal is.
- 13:48There. Obviously, if he's continuing to
- 13:50ref, apparently he's clean. But anyway.
- 13:53Scott Foster, Whether he's throwing games for the mob.
- 13:56Or he's just very biased one way.
- 13:58One way or the other, Scott Foster is known.
- 14:01As the extender. That's right, Scott Foster.
- 14:05Is known to extend series so teams.
- 14:08You know, on the ropes. They lose their seasons.
- 14:10Over typically when Foster is the.
- 14:12Lead ref. They win that game and force
- 14:14another game, so the. Extender for the NBA is
- 14:16important because it gives. You one more game.
- 14:18One more gate, one more TV appearance where you can.
- 14:21Make a ton of money off of off. Of commercials.
- 14:24So we have the. Extender that would match.
- 14:26You with the 76ers and then also.
- 14:28There's a tweet going out. There, it's kind of viral.
- 14:30Home teams this year and the regular season.
- 14:33With Scott Foster. When Scott Foster is one of the
- 14:36lead refs, home teams are winning 66% of the time.
- 14:39I. Think it's.
- 14:40Officially 66. .1%. So home teams are winning. 2/3
- 14:43of the time with Scott Foster as the lead ref.
- 14:47So if you. Told me You like the Sixers just
- 14:48from hey. Chalk's done very.
- 14:50Well, straight up. In the NBA postseason and Publix
- 14:53on. Knicks and Sixers are kind of a
- 14:55sharp line Freeze -3 then. I'd I'd like that.
- 14:58So I'm not betting. The Sixers because of.
- 15:00Only Scott Foster. Being in the extender.
- 15:02But I'm betting the. Sixers because they're
- 15:03contrarian with a line freeze and we.
- 15:05Have a good chalk angle with. Home teams and home.
- 15:07Favourites. So again, Foster is just the I
- 15:10like to. Make a little.
- 15:11Bit of a joke about it, but you know, proof is in the pudding.
- 15:14The data he extends series so. I'm going to go.
- 15:17Money line here I'm. Going to go Sixers.
- 15:18To win this game. Shop.
- 15:21Round I got the. Sixers at -1. 50.
- 15:24Now I told you I got a double dip here, so I'm also.
- 15:27Going to bang my head against the wall with another NBA total.
- 15:30Why do I keep doing it? I guess I I don't know any
- 15:32better, but eventually we'll. Win one of these.
- 15:34So. I'm going to go with the total.
- 15:37Here and. I'm going to go with the over.
- 15:38The over this total opened at around 200 1/2, very very low
- 15:43total similar to the Celtics game last night and it is now
- 15:46been met up to two O 1 1/2. So we've seen this line tick up
- 15:49a little bit. Now you're getting around 70% of
- 15:52bets and money on the. Over.
- 15:53So you know, again, this is kind of both public and the fact that
- 15:56it did tick up not just public but some sharp action as.
- 15:59Well, but if you look at a couple things like this over,
- 16:03not only has it moved up, so tells us smart money hit the.
- 16:05Over but rhythm. Who does a great?
- 16:07Job of powering this. Pod and.
- 16:09If you haven't signed up for your Rhythm 7 day free trial
- 16:12yet, you better go do it by clicking that custom link at the
- 16:15top of my Twitter profile at Josh under Score.
- 16:17Insights. But anyway, rhythm is projecting
- 16:20A2 O 5 1/2. Final score.
- 16:23So if they're. Projecting two O 5 1/2 and this
- 16:26totals on the rise and we're. Getting over 2O. 1 1/2 boom.
- 16:29That's what we call a rhythm edge.
- 16:31They're predicting this line to go.
- 16:32Over and relatively comfortably. Four points, so hopefully.
- 16:36They come through here for us tonight now if you also.
- 16:39Look at offensive efficiency. Both these.
- 16:42Teams are top. 15 Offensive efficiency the.
- 16:44Knicks are 11th. At least 14th.
- 16:47And then also I'm going to mention Scott Foster one more
- 16:49time. Scott Foster is not.
- 16:50Only known as the extender, but he's also a really good over
- 16:55referee. Scott Foster historically is
- 16:58around. 54% to the over. So you got to think of it.
- 17:01Why is he to the over? Well, the reason being.
- 17:04He blows his whistle a lot. So if you blow your whistle a
- 17:07lot, you call a lot. Of fouls.
- 17:08You stop the clock, get guys in foul trouble.
- 17:11More importantly, you get him to the free throw.
- 17:12Line make your free. Throws.
- 17:14That's how Foster has been a benefit.
- 17:16To the over. So we have a total on the rise.
- 17:20We have a rhythm edge projection two O 5 1/2 with a total.
- 17:24That we can get. Good.
- 17:25Get it over two O 1. And a half good offensive
- 17:27efficiency. Fosters and over F and then.
- 17:30Lastly, I know it's, you know, not always, not always an exact
- 17:33science, but I was looking at the average combined totals or.
- 17:38Kind of what we fell at. For the combined totals for the
- 17:41first five. Games, the average is 2/13.
- 17:44And a half so. Game One they scored 215.
- 17:47Game 22O5. Game 3239.
- 17:49Wouldn't that be nice? A rocking chair over.
- 17:51Now game four was a 9792 game, so it only only.
- 17:55Landed on 189 last game. Was 218, although that did go
- 17:58to. Overtime and I want.
- 18:00To say they scored. Somewhere around 20 points in
- 18:03overtime. So either way, you know we.
- 18:06Have seen this line? In terms of the current total
- 18:09200 or two O 1 1/2, it's gone over this number in four O 5
- 18:14games, so let's. Hope that continues here.
- 18:16For tonight so. I'm going to walk the tightrope.
- 18:18I'm going with Scott. Foster the extender.
- 18:21Contrarian Sharp line move or sharp line freeze Sixers.
- 18:24On the money line. At -150.
- 18:26Along with the over over 2. O 1 1/2 Let's get some points in
- 18:30this one. So that about does it.
- 18:33I know it was a shorter. Than usual POD.
- 18:35Just because really didn't. Have any Major League?
- 18:36Baseball here for tonight? But I want to leave you with a
- 18:38few things. First off, I want.
- 18:41You to help me to grow this? Podcast.
- 18:43Let's hope. That we can bring in new people
- 18:45organically. Just from word of mouth a.
- 18:47Recommendation from a friend or a family member.
- 18:50Or colleague that really. Goes a long way, but if you.
- 18:52Want to? In particular do one thing to
- 18:55help me. Grow this pod could.
- 18:57You please take two seconds out. Of your day and give this pod a
- 19:005 star. Review if it's Spotify or.
- 19:03ITunes give it 5. Stars.
- 19:04Give it a good. Review that really help us to
- 19:06grow and rise up the charts and gain more credibility.
- 19:09Then of course, if you're looking to learn more about
- 19:11data-driven sharp contrarian betting.
- 19:13You like the breakdowns? You want to.
- 19:15Approach betting as a Wall Street trader approaches the
- 19:17stock market, looking at how the market moves, how it reacts,
- 19:21identifying sharp action, having a contrarian mindset, betting
- 19:24against the masses and being with the pros.
- 19:26If any of that appeals to you. Which if you're listening to my.
- 19:29Voice. It probably means you do, you
- 19:31know, believe and trust. In the data-driven model.
- 19:34Will you become a millionaire overnight?
- 19:35You know, Will you become a you know, we Can you quit your day
- 19:38job? And bet full time.
- 19:39No, it's a side hustle, but there's a.
- 19:41Long term. Game at play here.
- 19:43If we can consistently again. Be on the sharp side of every
- 19:46bet. We're going to be good long
- 19:48term, but anyway, if you want to learn more.
- 19:49About data-driven betting or you have someone in your life who
- 19:52you need to get a gift. For Father's Day or?
- 19:54Whatever the case may be. You know, do they want another
- 19:56pair of pants? No.
- 19:57You know they. Want a collared shirt?
- 19:58No. You know what they want?
- 20:00They want. To buy a book.
- 20:01Or you want to? Buy a book for them, I should
- 20:02say. Go to Amazon.com and type in the
- 20:05Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 20:07Pick up a copy for you or for. A friend.
- 20:08That's the book I wrote a few years back.
- 20:10It's my. Contrarian, sharp, contrarian
- 20:13Bible How lines are set. How and why they move?
- 20:15How to read line movement? How to locate sharp action?
- 20:17How to place a bed in person? Or online.
- 20:19How to shop for the best line. How to set up a bankroll
- 20:21management plan. Chapters on all the major
- 20:23sports. It's all.
- 20:24Included in the everything. Guide to sports betting.
- 20:26So pick up a copy. I'll meet you at the book, I'll
- 20:29sign it, and I'll buy you a beer.
- 20:30Or if you don't drink, I'll buy a Diet Coke.
- 20:32But that really mean a lot to me, guys.
- 20:34I'd really appreciate it. Of course, lastly I mentioned
- 20:36rhythm, but have. You done your homework?
- 20:38Have you downloaded the free Rhythm app?
- 20:41And. Started to make sharp bets yet
- 20:43I. Hope you have, but if you
- 20:44haven't I want you to do that right now.
- 20:46All you got to do to sign up for rhythm, which is the.
- 20:49Number one AI. Generated app in terms.
- 20:52Of data-driven picks and prop bets, they do a.
- 20:55Great job of simulating the game and using their advanced.
- 20:58Algorithms, models, and formulas to provide projections.
- 21:01And then you can. Compare those projections
- 21:03versus. What the odds makers are.
- 21:05Offering and look for. Discrepancies again if you.
- 21:07Like player props, it's really fantastic to look for edges, and
- 21:10they're really countless edges. They're all there.
- 21:12You just got to, you know, decide which ones you want to
- 21:14play. But if.
- 21:15You haven't done. It yet I want you to go give
- 21:17rhythm a shot and you got to do. It in a specific.
- 21:19Way just go. To my Twitter page at Josh under
- 21:22score Insights. Give me a follow if you haven't
- 21:25done it yet and then go to. That very first tweet.
- 21:27At the top of my page. It will be a custom link to sign
- 21:30up for Rhythm. You can also use the custom link
- 21:32located within the Spotify description for each podcast.
- 21:36But give it a shot, sign up and let.
- 21:38Rhythm to help or allow rhythm to help you make sharper bets
- 21:41starting today. And then lastly, of course, my
- 21:44parting words, as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian or sorry,
- 21:48I'm. Screwing up my own.
- 21:48Spiel whether I see you at the. Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 21:52River in Rhode Island in Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods
- 21:54or Mohegan Sun Down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 21:56Boston. Or Plain Ridge Park Casino Or
- 21:58MGM Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
- 22:01Massachusetts, we're out in the desert where the true grinders
- 22:03get down, where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where
- 22:06lowest choose possible is found. At the South.
- 22:08Point We're jumping in the stadium.
- 22:09Swim pool at Circa. Getting a.
- 22:11Victory Burger at the end of the night.
- 22:12You're going to walk up to me and you're going to show me
- 22:14some? Baseball plays, man.
- 22:16I'm loving baseball right now. Show me a Dodgers.
- 22:18Ticket, Red Sox ticket. Phillies ticket.
- 22:21Whatever you do, don't show me a.
- 22:22Celtics under 200 1/2 or a Kevin Fiala over?
- 22:25Man, those are back Breakers there.
- 22:27But guess what? First one's on.
- 22:29Me next one. 'S on you.
- 22:29We're going to post about the book, so a sharp contrarian
- 22:32plays all night long. So now my parting.
- 22:34Words, as always. Stay sharp.
- 22:36Stay contrarian. Bet against the public.
- 22:38Place yourself on the side of the house.
- 22:40Always be with. The Smart.
- 22:41Money never against. It will smart money.
- 22:43When? Every time?
- 22:44Of course not again. You can beat the closing line.
- 22:47Brakes don't go your way, but that's why sports betting.
- 22:50Is a long term. Endeavour got to have.
- 22:52Thick skin. Never.
- 22:53Get too high. Never get too low.
- 22:54Just continue to. Grind, grind, grind.
- 22:56That's the best advice I could ever give you.
- 22:58When you're struggling, keep. Grinding when you're winning,
- 23:00Don't get. Cocky.
- 23:01Keep grinding. When you're treading water, keep
- 23:03grinding that that. Mentality of even Keel.
- 23:06Approach it'll it'll serve you well long.
- 23:08Term but again. If we can find that sweet spot
- 23:10against the public. With the house, with the pros,
- 23:13flat bet. No parlays, no same game.
- 23:15Parlays and get some closing value if we can.
- 23:17Do that we're. Going to be successful sports
- 23:19bettors. So enjoy the sweats tonight,
- 23:21guys. Again, smaller than usual.
- 23:22Slate. We got a three pack here.
- 23:24Let's hope let's. Hope that Scott Foster.
- 23:26Can help us get that over and extend the series and let's go
- 23:29Bruins. Let's let's finish off.
- 23:30The Leafs here tonight in Toronto, and guess what?
- 23:34I'll be sweating, I'll. Be sweating like crazy.
- 23:36For tonight, and I hope you guys will too.
- 23:38But enjoy the games. Tonight, guys.
- 23:39We back at it tomorrow for episode 36 of the All Systems Go
- 23:43Sports Betting. Podcast powered by rhythm.
- 23:46Have a great night everyone. Good luck.