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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls Best Bets Wednesday 12/17/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five. I don't even know what to
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: tell you about that. I just don't want to do
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: this anymore. I have never seen anything like this. Man
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: with the slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four, I.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: a new pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my Brouins hat Man.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: arch hape. Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: until I die, at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five, the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. The slump yesterdays, the
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: End it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's toad back with you, Toads still sports.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: It is Wednesday, h December seventeenth. I never know, man,
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: When do I ever know what day it is?
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: I don't sleep, I don't do anything.
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Winning day again on the show yesterday barely it was
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: four and three.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: I believe it is what we did.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Yesterday, with SOB doing better than we did, although honestly,
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I think we all we all deserve to lose that play.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: Though I'm not bowling greens, be honest, we started out
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: with a lipscumb with the win.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: Almost never in doubt.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, they lost by about twenty something, but they
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: were like ten points within the They covered by about
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: ten points, let's just say that.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: And they were in that game for the first.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Half or so, so that was an easy one, pretty
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: much a bowling green. They won by twenty one, so
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: they missed the twenty one and a half by a
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: half point. I think SOB or whoever it was, they
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: got the better number on it. Yeah, I mean, obviously
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: you want to get the best number that you can.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: We relate to the party on that one. I didn't
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: think it would matter.
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: It did, But honestly, I think we all should have
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: lost that one. I think it was just the wrong side.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, when you have a huge favorite like that,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: not even getting to eighty points, they're not gonna cover.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I mean that's just the way that it is.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: So I think the only time they were even covering
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: the nineteen nineteen and a half whatever was literally the
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: final score. So we kind of deserved that loss. On
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado did cover.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: They were. They hung around in that game.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: Man, They were within four points at halftime I think,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: and then they fell behind by double digits, came back again.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: I don't think they lost that game by that much.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: They covered, and then our man at Queen's I might
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: have to DM my mutual on Twitter. Their head coach
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: whose name I never remember, they did not get there.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: They missed by I don't know one and a half
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: points or so on that or two and a half.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: I guess they lost by like twenty eight. They definitely
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: had chances to cover that one. It didn't happen. Hockey
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: not good that we went one on one because we
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: had two favorites. Columbus should have won more easily. They
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: were winning that game three to one. Late in the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: second period. They blew the whole thing, of course with Anaheim.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: Of course, Anaheim scores in the final three minutes or
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: so to tie the game send it into overtime. But
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: luckily Columbus did win that game anyway in overtime. And
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: then Calgary, I don't know what happened to them. They
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: were I think they were winning that game earlier in
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: the game and then it was still within one goal
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, it's just dead.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: I have no idea. Yeah, that sucked.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: And then we did get the NBA Cup final game
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: right with the Knicks winning by margin there so we
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: were correct on that.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Nicks I believe won by double digits in that game.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: So that was a win. And that's it. We're gonna
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: move on today.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have three college basketball plays, one hockey play,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: and I am still gonna give out a play on
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: the Bowl, which you already know what the play is
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be, so hopefully we're gonna get it right. I
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: mean again, with the Bowls, you got to assess motivation
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: and stuff. So I'm gonna talk about both Bowl games.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: There are two of them tonight. Jeffrey, what's up, mister Pinsey,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: what's up? You lost a lot of money? No, no,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: my picks were not good enough to save people yesterday.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: I mean I went four and three.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm like, I'm telling you just exactly.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: You know what I'm doing, Like, this is what I do,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: no more, no less, and you know that's that's about it.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Sacred hat was that one that might have been one
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: of my leans? I don't know.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: If it doesn't make my card, I don't think.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: It is as strong though, and I'll when I give
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: out like these other leans, I try to, like, I
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: don't know, make it somewhat obvious how strong I feel
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: on these dirty sock what's up Calgary.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Beating them eight times in a row? No, that makes
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: it better?
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Like this revenge thing is bullshit as far as like
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: it matters if it's like the team that knocked you
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: out of the playoffs, which, by the way, we do
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: have a playoff revenge scenario and hockey tonight, but that's
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: like one of the revenge spots that matters. But no,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: if a team beats a team eight times in a row,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: the revenge thing gets thrown out the window. It's just
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: this team can't beat the other team. That's just what
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: it is. Like they just don't match up well against
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: that other team. Calgary, I yeah.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: I mean it was a loss.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: I still think that it was the correct handicap sort of,
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: and how I looked at the game, it was a
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: bad spot for San Jose. I mean, I don't know
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: what else to tell you about that. But no, if
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: a team dominates a game and own owns a team,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I mean dominates a team and owns a team to
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: that extent, I'm more likely to be on them again
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: because it becomes like a trend where this just keeps happening.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: It's like the same thing with like the Colts can't
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: win at Jacksonville. They just can't do it, you know
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: what I mean? Like, if it happened so many times
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: in a row, you don't want to fade that. Garrett,
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Your parlays lost? No, this is why
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: I recommend against parlays because again, one thing could take
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the whole thing down. One loss takes the whole thing down,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: and you don't get good enough odds on the parlays.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: You play the Knicks on the money line when they
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: were losing. Yeah, that was probably a solid play the
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: live betting action there you're flying to a non betting state.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Oh boy, No, I don't agree. I mean yeah, I
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: mean it's motivation as far as this team keeps beating you.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: But it's the fucking Calgary Flames, dude. Like, no, Plus,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers were telling you, like something was so up
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: with that line, Like the oddsmaker's telling you Calgary is
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: the significantly better team.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: No, I don't buy it when a.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Team just destroys a team for like years on end,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: I just don't buy it. I just think it becomes
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: like a you know, like just this team knows how
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: to beat this other team. That's just the way that
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: it is. All right, college basketball, We'll try to get
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: through some of these games here. We do have a
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: big Big East game at six thirty pm. I'm gonna
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: skip some of these other games that are like just
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: total mismatches whatever. Creighton and Xavier are playing at Xavier
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: on Fox Sports One at six thirty pm, Big East.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's the Big East opener for both teams, No,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: it is, Actually it is. Creighton is coming off a
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: loss to Kansas State. I mean, they played a couple
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: of big games in a row, kind of a tough
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: loss to Kansas State, and though Creighton was the favorite
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: though in the home team here, so in a way,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: that's kind of an ugly loss. So I'm kind of
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: expecting maybe they'll bounce back from that going out on
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: the road just kind of forget about that. Xavier has
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: the better record, so they look like the better team,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: but they also have had the weaker schedule so far
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: than Creighton has, so Creighton is more battle tested. Xavier
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: coming in off a win over Missouri State, which I
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: believe we might have taken a loss on that one
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: actually or oh no, it was a push I think
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: on the show that I gave it out because Xavier
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: was definitely in a sandwich spot there between Cincinnati and Creighton.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati always a huge game for Xavier, Creighton the Big
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: East opener for them, So this game, both teams are
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for it. I think there's no question
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: about that, So then it becomes sort of a numbers
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: thing when there's no real motivational edge one way or
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: the other. Xavier is up from a two point favorite
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: to a three and a half point favorite. I would
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with Creighton though, because I
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: think they're the slightly better team and they're more battle tested,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: so I think that the opening line here was closer
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: to accurate. Like at this point of the Xavier is
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: probably favored by a little bit too much here, seventy
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets eighty six percent of the cash
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: on Xavier. I think Xavier is still kind of riding
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: their name recognition and whatever. They're not as good this year,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: and yes, Creighton is also a little bit down this
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: year as well. But I think they're the better team
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: here and they're getting points, so that's I mean, of course,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: part of it is because they're on the road.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: Yes, so Xavier, in my opinion.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Should probably be about a two to three point favorite
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: in that game. I would lean towards taking it with Creighton.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Number thirteen Vandy at Memphis on ESPN two at seven pm.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Vandy looking really really good man in both basketball and football.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: They're ten and zero, but they're not exactly the most
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: battle tested team yet. Let's just say they have some
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: decent wins in here. Against VCU, they had the tournament
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: revenge against Saint Mary's that is a good win, and
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: then they beat SMU. Now they're coming off an easy
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: win over Central Arkansas where I assume they didn't cover.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: They just went through the motions, probably kind of a
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: sandwich game. Now they're going on the road to Memphis
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: and Vandy. Their last true road game was early in
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: the season, the only one true road game, and yeah,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: they did win at UCF. But this is a Vandy
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: team that's not very road tested yet, and they do
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: start well, not start conference play, but they have another
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: big conference game next against Wake and then after New
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Haven then they start conference play. So is it possible
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: they don't take Memphis that seriously?
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: Maybe?
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, Memphis has a really ugly record at four
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: and five, although they're four and one at home. Memphis
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: is also the more battle tested of these two teams.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, they played Ole Miss, Purdue, Wake.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I mean Wake is okay, UNLV not great, and that
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: was a spot where we took you ONLV in that one.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot for Memphis. Memphis did beat Baylor.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a loss to Louisville fairly ugly, lost
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: by twenty six points. Although Louisville is good now Memphis
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: is back at home. I'm gonna lead towards Memphis in
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: this one. I think that they're maybe a little bit underrated. Actually,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: when would I ever say that, because I always think
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Memphis is overrated because they're not that good. Vandy is
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be the public side here for sure. They're laying
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: eight points on the road. Total is dropping, which is
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: kind of a sign against Vandy as well, because Vandy
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: likes to play fast. Memphis doesn't exactly play slow, but
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Vandy is the faster paced team. Eighty percent of the
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: tickets and eighty six percent of the cash on Vandy.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: I would look towards Memphis here. You think it's an upset,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: it could be. I don't think like the DO factor
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: is a thing at all. Like I just go based
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: on the individual game and what the situation looks like.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't be shocked if it was an upset,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Memphis does cover that one.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: If I were to guess all right, we have the
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: Citadel and Charleston.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Interesting because the Citadel is coming off what was actually
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: a pretty close.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: Game against South Carolina.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Citadel is also a South Carolina school, so they stepped
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: it up pretty big against basically the biggest brother in
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, the University of South Carolina. This game was
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: a bit closer down the stretch than maybe it looks
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: like because they did lose by double digits.
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: But you can see right here.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, this was a five point game with seven
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: and a half minutes left. It was still single digits
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: getting down the final stretch of the game. Citadel put
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: in a big effort. Now they're back out on the
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: road after that, so it looks like they could be
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: in maybe a bit of a hangover here. My issue
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: with it is that Charleston is still another big brother
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: to them in the state of South Carolina, so I
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: think they still will try to show up for.
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: Charleston more often than not.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Charleston. They're coming up an easy win over Charlotte where
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: they actually didn't do that well, only beat them by seven.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think this Charlotte team is very good, but
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: it was a nice bounce back win. For Charleston.
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: At the very least, I.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Would lean towards laying it with Charleston in this game.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: But I just hesitate because I do think the Citadel
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: does still have reason to get up for that game.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: But I think it just might be a fatigue factor
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: where they're just too hungover from that big effort at
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: the last game. Sixteen and a half is the number
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: on that The total is pretty low though, at one
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: hundred and forty five and a half, So sometimes, you know,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: you know me, I like to kind of look towards
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: taking points when the totals that low. All right, first
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: best bet here we go. We're gonna go against a
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: team that treated us really well in.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: The last game. I have no bias here.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: Man, I'm gonna cheat on Mercer and we're gonna play
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: UCF minus the points minus fifteen and a half here.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Mercer did really well for US Man, they got the
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: job done against Clemson. If you remember my handicap on
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: that game, I thought it was a really bad spot
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: for Clemson. Clemson was coming off that game against BYU
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: where they blew like a twenty point lead, should have
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: probably had the win against BYU, and they had their
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: huge game against South Carolina up next, So I was
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: like flat spot big time for Clemson here. Mercer not
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: only covered that game for US as twenty whatever point dogs,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: they had chances to potentially win this game. Dude, Mercer
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: was ahead in this.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: Game deep into the game. They're winning this game.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: With like seven or so minutes left in the game
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, Mercer was winning the game by
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: one and they never really went away.
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: So this is a huge effort for Mercer.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know they are facing another big conference
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: team here, but it's a second game on the road.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: It's coming off such a huge performance. I still think
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: that UCF kind of they're not really that established power
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: conference team, you know what I mean, Like they've been
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: in the Big twelve for a few years, but I
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: still think they're not They're not really considered to beat
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: like one of those teams, if that makes sense. So
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I think this is less of a big game UCF.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: They're not that battle test, and I know they're not
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: really as good as their record looks. I get that
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: they have a loss to Vandy in there, though it
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: wasn't that bad. Vandy's really good, losing by twelve to
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: them I mean, you could excuse that UCF did beat Pitt,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: although Pit isn't that good. They did beat Texas A
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: and M on the road by double digits. A and
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: M is down this year too, but decent win nonetheless.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Now UCF is coming off a few easy games here, well,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: beating vm I definitely easy, and then they beat thousand.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: They beat Quinnipiac before those two games. Those two teams
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: are actually not that bad as far as like small
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: conferences are concerned. But I think UCF will show up
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: in this game, just because they don't really have this
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: game surrounded by a whole lot Florida Gulf Coast next,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: and they're more of a little brother to them, if
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: you even want to call it that. I expect UCF
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: shows up in this one. And u CF does play fast.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: They like to play a bit faster.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: Than MERCER does.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: I think too, although I think both teams actually kind
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: of play a little bit fast. Let me see Mercer.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: H yeah, Mercer does play on the faster side. I'm
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: pretty sure that you see F plays even faster, though
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: actually no, I'm wrong, you see F plays slightly slower.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Both teams are really high in the luck index, so
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: that kind of cancels itself out Mercer even more so.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: But you see, f A is just the better team
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: of both sides of the ball. It's probably gonna be
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: a bit of a high scoring game, which is also
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: good for covering a big number like this. The totals
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: in the one sixties Central Florida is up from fourteen
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: to fifteen and a half. Here sixty seven percent of
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on them, so
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: they are getting some of the money as well. Again,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna agree with it. Obviously a game that's gonna
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: probably be at a high pace. Plus you're getting a
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: pretty prolific offense in Central Florida. Here they're weaker on
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: the defensive side. But if it turns into, you know,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: a shootout, if you want to go the basketball equivalent
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: of equivalent of a shootout, I think you see if
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: should be able to get this thing done.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: So that's what we're gonna do.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: And Mercer may be very fatigued by the end of
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: this after these two games in a row, so that's
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna go with.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: In that one, Memphis is tough at home.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: Yes, that one loss at home was the one that
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: we won with with UNLV. Correct, Yes, UNLV that was
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: a that was a play for us on the show.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: It was a very bad spot from Memphis and that
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: one sandwiched in between oh Miss and Purdue, if I
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: remember correctly, that was that was a win for us.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Memphis is still not good, Like I don't like Penny
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Hardaway as a coach, I don't think they're good, but
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: in that spot getting that many points, I do think
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: there might be some value there.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: All right, What other games that I want to talk
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: about here?
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: There were some games that I kind of thought were
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: just a little bit interesting, like, oh, this team's come
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: of this, this team's coming off this. I don't know.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I really want to dive into
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: it to that extent, though, I will point out, well,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: wake Forest and Longwood is kind of an interesting one.
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Wake Forest, I would fade.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Them in this game. This almost makes my card, Uh
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: wake Forest coming off that blowout of Queen's, which I
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: know is not that impressive really, but they put up
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven points in the game. Man, And
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: when a team puts up over one hundred points and
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: they win by like forty almost forty points, they're gonna
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: be I think a little bit high off of that,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: and then they do a Vandy up next to four
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: days or just really the crux of this, and then
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: they start acc play after that.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: So this does look like a flat spot to me
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: where they're.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Gonna be looking ahead. So I would look towards Longwood
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: in this game. Longwood coming off an ugly, ugly loss
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: to Delaware States. I mean, it doesn't get much worse
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: than that. Delaware State is awful. Longwood was definitely a
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: favor in that game and they lost, So I think
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a bounce back.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: I think maybe Longwood was looking ahead here.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: I haven't gotten I haven't added this to my card.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just Longwood is just really really bad, dude,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: Like they're even worse than the record looks.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: So I'm just I'm worried about it. Man.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: I leaned to Longwood, But as you can see here,
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: ken Bum has them pretty high in the Luck Index
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: seventy ninth. He has them as one of the bottom
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: like thirty defenses in all of basketball, which I don't
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: love that either. I would still take the points if
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: I was gonna do it, but it worries me. Man,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: both teams play fast, by the way, which sometimes that
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: does mean that the favorite has an easier job covering
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. But it does also mean
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: that Longwood won't be thrown out of the style game
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: that they want to play here because Wake also plays fast.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: But Wake is actually pretty low and ken Bump's luck
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: index of two forty, So some of these things do
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: worry me. Leaned to Longwood. This is the first one
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: that's like off of my card here. Wake did drop
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: from twenty six to twenty four and a half. Pretty
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: high total though at one sixty one. But yes, if
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I would take the points
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: with Longwood in that one.
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: All right, what else do we have here?
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I went through all these games this morning,
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: and I had a bunch of thoughts on all of these.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: But I mean, I usually just I kind of just
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: talk about the bigger games. If you want to talk
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: about some game I haven't talked about, I will.
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: There was something interesting about Syracuse, if I remember correctly.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what it was, though. Oh yeah,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Syracuse just took an ugly loss of hofstrust. You can
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: think Syracuse probably is going to bounce back from that.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was a bad performance from them, even
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: though Hawstrass not really that bad. That's an ugly loss
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: for Syracuse. They're getting mercy Hurst here. Mercy Hurst isn't
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: very good, although mercy Hurst did just go down to
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: Davidson and get blown out, So I think Mercyhurst will
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: at least try to show up here, especially because Syracuse
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: is kind of close to their region. Mercy Hurst is
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: an eerie Pennsylvania but overall, to me, it does look
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: like a spot where you'd want to lay it with
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: Syracuse up from twenty one to twenty five and a half.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Problem with that is it's a really low total of
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty one and a half. Though Mercyhurst
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: definitely plays really slow, Syracuse I think does also slow
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: it down, so that would kind of worry me with
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: laying it here as well, that it's probably going to
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: be a slow paced game. Syracuse also more of a
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: defensive team than an offensive team. Florida I mean, I
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: was I intentionally skipped it because I just I mean,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even say about that. They're
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: ranked twenty three in the Country. They're probably better than that.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, Florida's had a really difficult schedule. They're definitely
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: better than the six and four record would indicate we
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: faded them in their last game against gwor GW covered
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: against them, came within that number.
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: That was a flat spot for Florida.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: I think maybe off of all that and then not
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: playing well against GW, they probably.
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: Show up in this game.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Saint Francis PA is a god awful team.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Again, I don't really know what else to say about it.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Saint Francis, I mean, they can't even they haven't even
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: really been close against most of their Division One opponents,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: so it would not shock me of Florida cover that number.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: But I mean, am I gonna come in and lay
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: forty something points? No, they're up from forty four and
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: a half to forty five.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: I just don't think this game is very interesting. I
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: mean highly unlikely I'm gonna be coming in on a
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: game with a forty plus points spread. There's just again,
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: I just don't even really know what else to say
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: about it. Florida probably wins that game by a lot,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: but what is a lot really like? Florida. I mean
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: there is there's always the risk if you're gonna lay
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: the points, there's the risk that they just don't care
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: about covering the number like that and they just pack
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: it in or early and win by like thirty. You
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: know what I mean?
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: All Right, the next one up is another best bet.
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: Let's go.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Texas Southern plus thirty four and
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: a half. I think it's actually up to thirty five
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: and a half now, so you can get a better
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: number on this. We're gonna fade NC State now. NC State,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: they do play someone on the faster side, I believe.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Where are they? Yeah, oh yeah, they play a bit faster.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum does have them as one of the unluckiest
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: teams in the country.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: I get it.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: It faces a difficult schedule, so I know NC State
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: is better than the record looks.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: I get it.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: But Texas Southern also is. Texas Southern is low and
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: as luck index as well. Ken Bum has them as
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: having faced the eighth most difficult schedule, and they also
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: play fast, so even though they're bad, they at least
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: won't be thrown out of the style game they want
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: to play. Because both teams play fast. This is one
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: of those games where NC State's in a bad spot
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: as well. I just don't think NC State's gonna really
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: have the the motivation to really try to run their
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: opponent out of the gym here, you know what I mean,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: Like they want to save some of their energy. They're
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: coming off an overtime loss to Kansas three or four
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: days ago. Really difficult game to come off of. Man,
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: when you have a ranked blue blood like Kansas on
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: the ropes and then you take the loss in overtime,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: I think that's gonna set up a flat spot for
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: you in the next game. And I mean this was
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: a highly contested game. You know, it was back and
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: forth the whole game, really tough game. NC State was
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: a small favorite in that game. I thought they would win.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: They fell short. Now they get Texas Southern and after
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: this they face oh Miss and then they start acc play.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: So this is one of those I like these, Like
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: last games. We were on a couple of them yesterday.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: The two games that won yesterday was set up like
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: this where a team had like their last small conference
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: team that they're playing before they start facing all the
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: big boys, like for good for the rest of the season.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: So I like playing against these teams in a spot
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: like this, man, So yes, we're going with Texas Southern here.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Texas their record is really really bad. I know they're
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: not a good team, but they also, as I showed you,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: they faced a very difficult schedule road games against Gonzaga,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Texas A, and m Vandy. They just came off a
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: blowout loss in Minnesota, losing by over forty points to
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: a slow paced, bad offensive Minnesota team. I mean, that's ugly.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a better effort out of
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: them this time. And I mean maybe even they got
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: frustrated because Minnesota was slowing the pace way down NC State.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: If they're going faster, that's more what Texas Southern wants
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: to do. Even though I know Vandy did that to
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: them as well and they lost by thirty five or whatever.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: But still, I think Texas Southern comes within this number here. Man,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: it's a spot to do it. Texas Southern probably not
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: quite as bad as.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: Their record looks.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Some of these other teams they played in here are
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: actually not that bad either, for like lower conference teams Samford,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: who they came to within three of Texas State.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: Sam Houston. None of those are really that bad.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're going with Texas Southern and that one
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: plus the points, another one of those huge dogs. Pitt
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: Lane twenty seven and a half with Penn State. Yeah,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: where's that game against Binghamton? I mean Binghamton really really
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: really bad. Binghamton is coming up another pretty ugly loss
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to Central Connecticut. They'll try to show up for a
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: game against Pitt That's what I could say about that.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Pitt's not exactly a great team, but sitting at five
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: at six, you might argue they're better than the record looks.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, Pitt to face some lright teams in here,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: even though they haven't done well against the big conference
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: foes West Virginia, ucf A and M Texas A and
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: M Villanova, they haven't beaten any of those teams.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: This game against Villanova just wasn't close, though, I don't know, like.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: If this was a closer game, I might be more
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: inclined to fade Pitt in this spot. Yeah, Penn State,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe it's a little bit of a look
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: ahead Penn State. I mean, I don't know, they're not
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: exactly a great team either, even though yes they are
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: a Big ten team.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess you could argue this is kind
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot, but I don't feel like it's
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: that strong. The money looks like it is coming in
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: early on pitt from twenty two to twenty five and
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: a half. The total is low in one hundred and
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: thirty eight, so that makes it more likely the underdog
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: will cover.
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: I guess, but I think it's dangerous.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, Binghamton is a really, really awful team. They
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: also can't score, which is part of the reason why
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: that total is so low.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you forced me to give an opinion
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: on it, I guess I would take the points, but
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I don't love it by any means.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: Yes, Yet on some other books, MG up, they must
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: have that game. What are you in the wrong state
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: or something?
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Some states they don't allow you to Well,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: you're in Colorado, right, because some states don't allow you
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: to play on the schools in the state. But that
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: wouldn't qualify there all right. A lot of these games
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: are just ugly, man. Yes, you need to get on
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: every book that you can get. Yes, MGM, I would
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: think would have it up, though at some point, you know, Okay,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: next up is the last best bet I have in
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: college basketball Nichols minus the points. This is gonna be
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: one of those games where I should actually talk about
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: the game above this too, because it's a similar like
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: market read at the very least, people are gonna look
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: at this game. Houston Christian is almost a five hundred team,
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Nichols is two and seven, and they're laying three and
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: a half. So it's like, like, why would anybody want
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: to lay three and a half with a team with
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: this bad of a record, you know what I mean?
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Like it's one of those games where it looks way
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: too easy to take the underdog. And I already said this.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: We took Nichols two games ago and they got us
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: the win. The reason for this is Nickols is not
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks. I mean, look at
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: how difficult their schedule has been. They started the season
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: with seven road games in a row, including ones against Kentucky,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, Creighton, so they've been through the ringer basically.
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: And then we did take them against Incarnate Word, who's
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: not really that bad of a team this year actually
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: in this same conference here they got us the win
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: in that one. That was a game where like I
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: was talking about, why would you take an oh to
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: seven Nichols team, you know what I mean? And the
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: game was basically a pick the winner in that game. Well,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: Nichols got the job done because Nichols is now battle tested.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: They played through and they beat CBS. They beat the
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: broadcasting company CBS. I have no idea who CBS is.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, College of Biblical Studies. How could I forget? Yeah,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: they're a joke. They're a very very bad team. But
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: still I think that's just kind of a like a
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: tune up, like a scrimmage game for Nichols.
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: They played through, they got the job done.
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: They're at home again here and they're catching Houston Christian
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: at a very good time. Houston Christian just played Macneese
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: and they lost by ten. But this game is a
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: lot closer than that MacNeice. I mean, there's still the
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: team to beat in the Southland Man after Will Wade
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: built them up and they were the dominant team in this.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: Conference the last two years.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: They're still the best team in this conference until somebody
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: knocks them out. So that's a big game when you're
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: playing against MacNeice. Houston Christian was almost able to get
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: it done. They had some opportunities to potentially pull off
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: this win. If you look at the game flow at
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: what happened in this game. Houston Christian was in this game. Man.
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: They were winning the game in the second half.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: So they're winning the game at halftime, excuse me, and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: into the second half and then they never really went away.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: I mean they were as close as like a couple
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: of possessions five points late in the game, five six points,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: so they never went away.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: Huge game for them.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Now to make Maunders even worse, after they go on
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: the road to face Nichols.
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: They got to face Iowa State after this, although.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: I know it's not for twelve days, but still, I
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: just think this is a bad spot, dude. I still
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: consider it to be a sandwich spot. They're going back
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: out on the road. Yes, they're road tested at the
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: very least, but they've had some real clunkers on the
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: road here, man, Like a loss to Bellerman on the road.
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern is not exactly great. I believe they're only Yeah,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: their only road win, true road win was against New Orleans,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: which was a loss for US, I think good for
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately New Orleans was a favorite in that game.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Nichols here. They're favored for a reason.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: Man, I think they're actually the slightly better team here.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: So debatably, maybe the line's even a little bit short
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: where the oddsmakers can't really like make the line any
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: higher really because they know if they do that, like,
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: they're gonna probably be a little bit lopsided on the
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: underdog if they start moving that line too much towards
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: the two and seventeen. Although granted the public's not gonna
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: be playing this game at all, Nichols has moved up
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: from three and a half to four here. I know
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: it's a low total, but when you're talking about a
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: small spread like this, they should be able to do it.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: So we are gonna go with Nickels in that game
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: and hopefully they stay on our good side. Yeah, you're
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: spying on Mesab, you're on you're on Longwood. Yeah, I
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: mean that one is the first one that I'm leaving
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: off my card. Texas Southern, Yeah, thirty five and a
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: half at most places. There are a lot of Christian
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: schools in Texas. Baby on northern Kentucky Wagner. I didn't
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: even really look at the Wagner game. I agree with you, C.
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: Davis.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you want me to talk about those
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: other games, I will. I was gonna talk about Middle
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: Tennessee and Kennansaw as well, just because if you look
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: at this game, it's very similar to that other game,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: not in the situation, but in the number where it's like,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: how could Middle Tennessee be laying three and a half
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: when they're five and four and Kennesaw is eight and two?
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: Well again, fuck you ad block, Well again, the oddsmakers
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: are telling you something with that line, right Like they're
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: telling you these teams are almost about even in Middle
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: Tennessee might actually even be the slightly better.
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: Team here on Middle Tennessee.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: They've had a couple of pretty difficult opponents in here.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Michigan g W, George Washington, McNeice, UAB is not that
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: bad to get bad either, and they beat them, and
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: then Belmont is actually fairly good as well. So Middle
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: Tennessee has faced a fairly difficult schedule. They're at home,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: they're coming up an ugly loss to Belmont. Yeah, I
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: definitely would not disagree with Middle Tennessee in this one, Kennesaw,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: though they're not exactly well, I don't want to say
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: they're not exactly in a bad spot.
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: They're coming on an easy win over a.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Non D one team, but they do have to play
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: Alabama in four days, so that is a look ahead
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: there potentially, And they haven't exactly been road tested yet.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: They're two and zero on the road, but their wins
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: are against a really weak Florida A and M team,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: and then they beat Florida Gulf Coast on the road,
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: which is not a terrible win there, but going out
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: on the road again here. Yeah, my lean in that
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: one would definitely be Middle Tennessee.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: Sitting at a three and a half point favorite.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of the tickets and ninety six percent
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash are on Kennesaw though, But I would
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: only lay the points if I was gonna play, And
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: it's a somewhat high total even though it is dropping
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: into the low one sixties. Robin, what's up, NICs for
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: hanging out screenshot of those picks. Yeah, Presbyterian as well.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I barely even like looked at the at
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: some of those games.
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: I just was like, I'm not going to pay attention
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: to them. I'll talk about them if you want. Northern
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: Kentucky against Oakland, I think I agree with this. Oakland
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: is coming up a pretty difficult game at Northern Iowa,
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: although they lost by twelve, but they were in this
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: game so Oakland was a fairly big underdog in this one.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: I would guess maybe about eight or so points here.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: You can't really gauge it just based on ESPN's model here,
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: but Oakland was definitely an underdog. The game was closer
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: than the final score looks, where Oakland was kind of
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: hanging around in this game. They were down three points
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: with whatever that is five minutes left in the game.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: So Oakland played pretty well, didn't go away, and they
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: have to turn around in three days and play Michigan State,
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: which is not only a big game because it's a
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: big team, but also Oakland is in Michigan, so that's
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: an in state bigger brother as well, So that is
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: a big look ahead component. I just worry that maybe
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: they will still show up against Northern Kentucky, and I
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: worry that the line just looks too easy, you know
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: what I mean. Northern Kentucky nine and three against a
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: below five hundred Oakland team Northern Kentucky at home. It
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: almost looks too easy when it's like a pick the winner.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: I don't love it when it looks too easy. Even
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: though I agree with Sob.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play it, I agree, I would
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: still play the Northern Kentucky side. The spot's not good
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: for Oakland, but I do agree, I mean, but I
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: do think that it is. There are some things that
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: I don't like about this. So the Northern Kentucky the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: spot is actually even better for them because they were
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road at a pretty bad Bellerman
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: team and they only got by them by four. So
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: they're in what I think is probably a focused spot
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: coming off a weak performance like that.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: So I don't disagree with Northern Kentucky here.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: The money seems like it is coming in on their
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: side as well. They're sitting at a three point favorite
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: now eighty two percent of tickets ninety seven percent of
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, fairly high.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: Total as well. I agree, I would lay it if
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play that one. All right, what other
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: games did Sobs say that he has wagner?
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: Uh, I'm gonna look at those games you see, Davis.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about it when I get to it. Oh yeah,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Wagner us, Yeah, I've already skipped over.
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: Wagner.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I looked at this game. Yeah, a Maryland
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Eastern Shore. I wasn't really interested in. I mean, yeah,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore. They're sandwiched in, if you want to
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: say that, between Virginia Tech and Texas coming up next
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: to five days. But they got absolutely destroyed by Virginia Tech.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm usually not gonna want to play against
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: a team that just lost by you know, like whatever
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: that was thirty points, almost thirty points teams off of blowouts.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, they tend to come up focus in the
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: next game, So I don't love it.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: And Marylands are sure. I mean, they're at least better than.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: Their record looks, because they're quite battle tests and I mean,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: look at all these games that they have here, road
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: games against Georgia, tack Georgia, Nebraska. Creighton won against Longwood
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: on the road. I know, losing at Canesius is really bad,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: but that was a win for us on the show,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: I think barely. They faced Virginia on the road as well,
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: and then Virginia attack. I mean, this team has played
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: so many road games, although again I know another road game.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: This many road games in a row, I mean, yeah,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: of course it can build up, but they're stepping way
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: down in class to face Wagner here. Wagner, though, I agree,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: they're in a good spot because they they almost lost
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: to the BFC's the bitch fuck Cucks. They almost lost
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: to a Bloomfield This is that Bloomfield College, all right, Yeah,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Wagner almost lost to that team. They actually had to
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: go into overtime to be in a non Division one team.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I'm gonna agree Wagner should be
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: in a focused mood after that. That was a bad
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: performance from them. So I don't disagree with Wagner really
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: in that game, but I have some reservations about it.
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: So it's not on my card. They're up from five
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: to five and a half. Also, you're looking at a
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: game where both teams are just ass offensively. The totals
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: at one twenty nine, So I'm like, I don't know,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: do I really want to lay points in a game
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: with a total like that where both offenses are completely untrustworthy?
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Not really, So for me, it's a stay away, but
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree. And then yeah, you have UC Texas
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: Southern is one of mine. You see Davis, I agree.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: I agree with you see Davis more strongly than those
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: other ones. Actually, I'll talk to I'll talk about that
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: in a second. Whenever I find at where is that game?
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: We'll keep going.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: We have Alabama playing tonight to get South Florida. Alabama,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: they just basically got run out of the gym against Arizona.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: I think the game did actually go over, and I
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: said that the over was the way I would play
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: that game Arizona. I think I did lean to Arizona
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: as well, and that when Arizona not only got the
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: job done, but they won by twenty one points, So
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: I could see it kind of going both ways for
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Alabama off of that, Like, on the one hand, it
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: was a big game that you get up emotionally for,
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: and sometimes when that happens, even if you lose by
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: a lot, sometimes that will like beat you down and
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: put you in like a negative mindset after that, you
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. It's like the like you got
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: sent back down to reality, you know what I mean,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: sent back down to earth. On the other hand, sometimes
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: you lose by twenty plus and you bounce back from it.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: So you have to try to gauge what Alabama's mindset
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: is gonna be here. You know, South Florida is gonna
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Alabama. They're coming off
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: a game against Charleston where they didn't do well, and
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: that was a sandwich spot because South Florida. I think
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: I mentioned that when the game happened, South Florida had
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: beaten Utah State. That was a really nice win for them.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: Utah State is a pretty solid team, one of the
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: best teams in the Mountain West. South Florida got that win.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: They barely got by Charleston, who's pretty down this year.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: South Florida was definitely a fairly substantial favorite in that game,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: and I think they were probably looking ahead to Alabama.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'd probably lean towards South Florida here. They
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: haven't really been very road tested yet though, although they
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: were okay on the road against Oklahoma State, and they
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: did win at Kennesaw in a game where I thought
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: South Florida might not be in a great spot in
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: that one, So they haven't been awful on the road.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: For me, slightly towards South Florida. The money seems to
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: agree on that one.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: Alabama down from fifteen and a half to thirteen and
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: a half, fifty two percent of tickets on them, ninety
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on South Florida, and we
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: have a total.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: In that game of one hundred and eighty.
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, that's that's what Alabama games look like
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: at this point.
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, especially if you.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Have both teams wanted to run up and down the floor,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: which I think South Florida was also play fast. I mean,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: that total is insanely high, but South Forward is the
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: nineteenth fastest team in the nation, so there is a
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: reason for it. I wouldn't really disagree with an over
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: in that game, to be honest. When totals are that high,
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: there's a reason for it, you know what. Like I
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: always say, it also makes me less likely to want
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: to play the undertalk when the total is just extraordinarily
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: high like that.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: All right, what are the games that I want to
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: talk about?
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: We have Georgetown and Marquette, so we do have another
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Big East matchup on Fox Sports one, the Big East Network.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: Basically this is an interesting one.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, Georgetown seems to be a team that's kind
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: of on the rise and Marquette seems to be on
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: the way down. But is Georgetown good enough at this point?
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, they have a good win
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: in here against Clemson already, a decent win on the
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: road against Maryland as well. They played okay against Dayton.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: They have losses to Miami and un C in here
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: going out on the road again. I mean, they're not
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be intimidated or anything like that, you know, like
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: they'll be fine in this game. But it is still
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a weird travel spot for a
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: Big East seem to have to go to Milwaukee since
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: you know, the Big East is reformed, although of course
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: these teams do have to do this every year now.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: But Marquette's sitting at five and six, and Marquette's a favorite,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: so that's something you got to take note of. Like
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: why is a below five hundred team five and a
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: half point favorites against you know, an above five hundred teams,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: So the line looks off, you know what I mean.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: But the osbikers are telling you Marquette is actually the
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: better team. They're pretty battle tested as well. They actually
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: did lose to Maryland. They also lost to Dayton, They
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: had a close loss to Oklahoma. They played Wisconsin, Purdue
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: lost both of those. They played Indiana as well, So
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Marquette has definitely been through a gauntlet. They're now coming
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: off that twenty point loss to Purdue, stepping down in
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: class to face Georgetown here. Yeah, you know I'm gonna
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: lead to Marquette in this one. The line has moved
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: from three to five and a half, so you're getting
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit less value on them if you do
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: like Marquette. It looks like the money is kind of
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: coming back the other way now, though, So I worry
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: that that might have been a setup, because sometimes when
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: you see these early moves on the number in college basketball,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: sometimes it's a false move and that the actual money
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: comes back in on the other side.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: So you do have to worry about that a little bit.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Seventy nine percent of ticket, sixty percent of the casual
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: on the Marquette side right now. But again, for all
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: the reasons I just said, I would kind of lean
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Marquette's way in that game. Alright, we have Campbell against Gonzaga.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga is coming up a nice win over UCLA. They
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: bounce Ucla from the rankings again, and they do have
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: to play Oregon in four days, so you could definitely
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: make the argument that this is a sandwich spot here
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: for Gonzaga. But do you really want to take Campbell,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: who's own five on the road against a five and
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: zero home Gonzaga team and Campbell having to go out
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: to Spokane, which I think this is the first time
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: they're playing in the Pacific time zone. Campbell did go
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: out into elevation to play Weber State in Utah already
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: and they lost that game. Yeah, I mean, Campbell's battle tested,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: so at least you could say that they've played some
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: difficult teams on the road already.
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: But I couldn't get there with it.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Man, they are coming up a really bad performance against
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: ball State, though ball State is awful, and Campbell barely
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: got by them at home. Maybe they were looking ahead
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: to this, but I do worry about the weird travel
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: spot for Campbell there, So even though yeah, I would
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: probably have a lean towards taking the points there, I
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to do it. Gonzaga is up to thirty
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: seven and a half total, pretty high at one sixty
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: one and a half, so that one's also a stay
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: away from me. Oh you also talked about Presbyterian. Yeah
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: they're playing today. Oh yeah, they are against East Carolina.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: This is SAB's other play. I don't really have much
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on this one either. East Carolina just
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: beat Buffalo. I mean, I don't really see that being
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: like a great win and impressive win and anything like that.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: East Carolina was a s a favorite. They won by three.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: I guess what Sab is looking at is that they
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: have a look ahead to North Carolina. I agree, that's
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: a big game East Carolina. They're gonna step up their
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: game for the big boy, one of the big boys
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: in the state of North Carolina. You know, East Carolina
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: also in North Carolina.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: So yes, it is a look ahead spot.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Presbyterian I believe they're in South Carolina, so maybe they
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to be kind of a little brother here.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: But Presbyterians also six and six and East Carolina's four
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: and seven, So that worries me a little bit, like, oh, like,
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: why is East Carolina laying points right when when they
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: were a below five hundred team. Right, Well, Oddsmaker's obviously
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: telling you they're like the slightly better team here. Presbyterian
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good on the road. One and five. East
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Carolina's four and three at home, so that worries me
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit as well. Presbyterian just got to win
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: over Morehead. Presbyterian was the favorite in this game though
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: they were actually a decent sized favorite, and I think
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: they probably covered. But whatever. Yeah, no, there going back
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: out on the road. But again I did tell you
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: they've been bad on the road, dude. Some of these
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: road games they had were actually pretty bad, Like they
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: did lose at Sacramento State, although I pointed that out
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: when it happened. It was a weird travel spot having
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: to go to the Pacific Coast. Last road game, they
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: lost to Wafford, who's not really great, although they're all right.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: Wafford is a bigger brother though in the state of
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. So a game that Presbyterian would get up
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: for and they still weren't able to do it. I
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean this, I don't love that game,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: but SOB is on Presbyterian and that one, so I
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: guess take from that what you want to. East Carolina's
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: moved up from two and a half to three and
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: a half early it is a very low total one
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: hundred and thirty and a half though, which makes me
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: more inclined to lean towards taking the points, but not
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: one that I want to touch. Whatsoever, then, what do
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: we have left on the schedule. We do have that
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: game that he was talking about with Seattle at UC Davis.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: I agree on this one. Although Seattle's coming out of
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: an easy game over Warner Pacific, I'm like, Western Pacific,
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: what Warner Pacific? Seattle trounced them, whatever, Now they have
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: to go on the road to fase UC Davis. It's
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: only a Seattle's second road game of the season, although
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: their first two road game they've won at Stanford, so
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: not a bad sign. They were not intimidated going on
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: the road and facing an ACC team, so still feels
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: weird to say an ACC team. But what sab is
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: looking at here is that Seattle has their huge game
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: against Washington in two days. That's always a big game
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: for Seattle. It's they're in city big brother in University
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: of Washington. So he's looking at the look ahead components
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: of this. UC Davis is good at home at four
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: and oh, so getting points at home with them maybe
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: not a bad idea. They just got smoked by Oregon,
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: so they might be in a pretty foul mood after that,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: after getting crushed by an Oregon team that really has
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: not been able to crush anybody this year. So that
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: was a real bad performance by UC Davis there. So yeah,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that one. Out of the ones
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: that SAB has played besides Longwood, out of all those
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: other ones, I think you See Davis, in my opinion,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: is stronger than those other ones.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: Seattle did drop from three and a half to three.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: Although right now we see eighty three percent of the
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy five percent of the cash on you See Davis.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: But I don't buy those percentages right now, Like you know,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: the public is not playing this game, right, The public
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: is not playing UC Davis in this game, So you
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: got to take those ticket percentages with a grain of
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: salt there, Like I do think the professionals will probably
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: be on the UC Davis side. There. We got North
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: Texas and Santa Clara in a pretty interesting one in
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: the night slate here. These teams are both good. This
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: is actually gonna be a good match up here, and
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: it's actually not at Santa Clara where ESPN now puts
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: a V there instead of there they have their V
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: card now they're putting a V instead of A and
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: at symbols seem to know that this game is a
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: neutral site game, you know, So that's interesting. It's at
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: Kaiser Permanente Arena in Santa Cruz, so obviously the venue
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: still is better for Santa Clara. It's like almost a
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: semi home game for them. Still. North Texas is coming
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: in of a close game against South Alabama. Both those
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: teams actually fairly solid this year. It was on the road,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: it was a close game. North Texas got the win.
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: I mean North.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Texas almost they just they almost exclusively play close games
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: because they play so slow. They're gonna try to get
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: up for this game, but they are having to go
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific.
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: Coast for this. However, they have already gone out there.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Not that they did great, but they lost to Oregon
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: State on accidentally calling time out when they didn't have one,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: and they lost on technical free throws. It's just just
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: a stupid way to lose. And then they got crushed
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: by Saint Mary's. But Saint Mary's is very good, better
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: than Santa Clara is even North Texas, they'll try to
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: show up focus here. I assume Santa Clara they're coming
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: off a win over Arizona State.
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: That's a nice win. Or ex seriously, they lost to
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: Arizona State. What am I saying? Santa Clara is actually the.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Favorite in that game, believe it or not, but it's
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: still a big deal for them, I think, to get
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: to play like a big twelve team. They lost the game,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming off of that. I don't remember
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: where that game was. I think they're staying in the
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: Pacific time zone. Yeah, that was in Henderson, Nevada. They're
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: staying in the Pacific time zone here. Both teams kind
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: of in difficult spots in that one. So it's a
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: weird handicap in now. And Santa Clara is an eleven
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite up from eight and a half.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: I mean that line just I think, to the casual observer,
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: that line just looks incredibly high, Like, how could both
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: of these like mid majors both sitting at eight and three?
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: How could one of them be an eleven and a
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: half point favorite? You know what I mean? The Oswegers
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: are telling you Santa Clara is pretty good. I don't
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: want to disagree with laying the points, but with North Texas,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: you know they're gonna try to glee up and slow
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: the game way down. So laying a ton of points
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: in a North Texas game, whether on them or against.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Them, never really that great of an idea.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: cash on Santa Clara. For now, they're up from eight
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: and a half to eleven and a half. I don't
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: know if.
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe there was an injury in here too.
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: I have no idea what's going on there, but I mean,
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: I'm not playing the game at all, but it's it
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: was kind of a weird one when I looked at it.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: Then we do have an Eastern Washington playing Washington State
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: in Spokane, so it's a neutral site game, but it's
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: closer to Pullman, Washington, which is Washington State's city, because
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: they're in western Washington, so they're closer to I don't know, seriously,
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: they're in Eastern Washing What am I saying?
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: They're both in Eastern Washington? What am I saying?
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: So? Actually I don't even know which team is closer
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: to Spokane. Scratch that, both these teams play in Eastern Washington.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: It will be a bigger game for Eastern Washington though,
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: because Washington State they still consider it to be one
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: of the big boys in Washington. Eastern Washington terrible record
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: at two and eight, but they're pretty battle test that.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: I mean. They played UCLA Colorado both on the road
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: and played them both really pretty well. They lost to
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: Loyal and Marymount. That's not an easy opponent either. Close
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: loss again on the road to North Texas. They just
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: came off another close loss to a cal Baptist or.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: I think cal Baptist was probably around a favorite of
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: about five or six I would guess at Eastern Washington
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: coming of another tough game, I worry about it a
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: little bit, man, even though you got to think they
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: will step it up for a game against Washington State.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: Washington State they're coming off a tough game too.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Man. They went to USC and they played them to
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: within seven. The game was pretty close down the stretch.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: That was a big game against USC. I think USC
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: might still be without their best player right now, though
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure. There was some injury going on with
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: USC recently, so I mean, if I was gonna do
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: anything with this game, I would take the points with
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Eastern Washington. Washington State is up from six and a
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: half to seven and a half. Here. I just think
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: it's a bigger game for the the smaller team, you
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: know what I mean in the area.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: Oh man, my net Kurtz, I'm losing my voice. I apologize,
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: all right.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: Then we do have Loyola Chicago and San Francisco was
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: a weird one as well.
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: When I looked at this one, man, this is like.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Loyola. I mean we've talked about them, like the oddsmakers
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: keep telling you that they're better than the record looks.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: I might not disagree with that, although Ken Bomb has
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: really plummeted them in the rankings down they're like in
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: the bottom sixty something now.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: In his rankings, sitting at three and eight.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Not great, but they're coming off a disgustingly bad loss
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: that we talked about yesterday to Chicago State.
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: Awful team. And you know, Chicago State, they do get
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: up for games.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: Against Loyola Chicago because Chicago State's just the little brother
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: in Chicago. So Loyola should be in a foul mood
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: after that and bounced back. I mean, they were a
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: huge favorite in that game, like sixteen and a half
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: lost the game. But with the way Loyola has played
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: this year, you do have to worry that they're just
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: they just we just had them completely wrong, you know
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: what I mean to start the season.
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: Maybe not. But you do also have to worry that
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: they're going up.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: To the Pacific Coast for the first time this season,
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: so I do worry about that too, the shift of
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: the Pacific time zone. San Francisco is definitely the better team,
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: but San Francisco is coming off a couple of big
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: games where they beat Mississippi State in Mississippi in a
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: neutral game. It was really kind of a semi home
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: from Mississippi State. We got the win on the show
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: in that one with San Francisco plus the points and
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: outright win. San Francisco had to come back to or know.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Then they went up to Saint Louis. Excuse me, they
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: went into Saint Louis. Saint Louis is definitely really good
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: this year, and San Francisco played them pretty close too.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: It was closer than the ten point final indicates as well.
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure. Yeah, this game was kind of within reach.
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Late in the game was a four point game in
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: the final couple of minutes of the game. So that
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: was a tough game for them, and now they're coming
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: up all that. So situationally, I do think the spot
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: sets up better for Loyola.
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: I just worry about.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: Them going out to the Pacific Coast and stuff, man,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: and I worry about how good is this Loyola team
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: really or how bad.
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: Are they really?
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean, Like maybe they're they haven't
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: gotten over sister Jean's death.
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of ticket, sixty four percent of the cash
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: on San Francisco. They're up from twelve to thirteen here,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: low total down to one forty three. I would take
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: the points, but again I do have those concerns about it.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: And then we do have Arizona State at UCLA in
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: what used to be a Pac twelve matchup. Arizona State
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: sitting at nine and two. But I don't think they're
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks. I mean, they've played
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: a pretty weak schedule. They do have a few good
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: wins in here though, against Texas, although that was out
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: in Hawaii and kind of a weird spot. They beat Oklahoma,
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: that's a decent win. Decent win last time out against
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara. Now they're going out on the road and
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: they've only played one road game so far, and it
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: was Hawaii in that Hawaii tournament that they played out there,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: So they have not played an isolated road game like
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: this yet, which is weird.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: It's not gonna be easier for them, man, playing at UCLA.
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: Ucla is six and zero at home, they're sitting at
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: seven and three, but Ucla is the better team. Like,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at this and they might think,
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: oh my god, Like you have two power conference teams here.
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: Arizona State's nine and two and they're getting eight and
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: a half points. It almost looks tempting to take the points.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: And UCLA does play slow. Man, it's a low total
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: in the one forties. So usually I don't like to
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: lay points with UCLA because they play ugly, they play slow.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: Ucla is coming up a pretty tough game too, though. Man,
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: they played Gonzaga. They played them to within ten. It
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: was a fairly close game for a lot of the way.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: Not a bad performance at all from Ucla there. So
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: to me, I mean, the spot's kind of bad for
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: both teams here.
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: Man, So I don't know. I don't love it.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Arizona State.
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: For what it's worth, UCLA down from ten to nine here,
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: which we just.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: Saw it was eight and a half on DraftKings.
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: From what ESPN was saying, fifty six percent of the
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: tickets and fifty nine percent of the cash on Arizona State. Yeah,
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really gonna I mean, I guess
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with the Arizona State side, UCLA probably
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: coming off the tougher game against Gonzaga, but I certainly
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: don't love it enough for any sort of play or
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: anything like that. All Right, if you want me to
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: talk about any of the other college of basketball, I will,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: but you know, college basketball takes up a huge portion
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: of the show. Lucky for us, there's not that much
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: else to talk about today. We're gonna get into hockey.
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: We have one best bet and here it comes. SOB
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: is spying on me. He knew that this was gonna
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: be it. But before he even like before I even
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: looked at these games, he called that I was gonna
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: do this yesterday. And I'm not gonna be like, I'm
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: not influenced by him. Saying this yesterday. I looked at
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: the board today and I'm like, yeah, this is a play.
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: It is the La Kings. Although I'm not doing it
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: honey line. I'm being a pussy and I'm doing it
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: half or not half, but a split bet on the
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half puck line it minus one
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: sixty two. The other part of the bet. Oh my
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: apology is stupid fucking streamyard. You know they put the
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: ten second timer on all these things, all right, Yes,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: So in the other half on the plus one sixty
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: money line. If you wanted to go balls to the
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: wall and just go all money line on this, put
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit less to win a little bit more.
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna blame you for it. You could do
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: that too the way that I'm doing it here. If
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: they lose by one, the bet will push. I'll be
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: fine with that, But obviously I want them to win.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: I think there's a good chance they're gonna win the game.
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the La Kings. It is against Florida.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: First of all, we know, as I keep pointing out,
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: La is good on the road. They're ten three and
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: five on the road. I know there's a lot of
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: OT losses. But of course if they take us to
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: OT here and we have a split bet like this,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: at worst, it's gonna push if it goes into overtime.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: LA has been way better on the road than at home,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: so I like that. Yes, I know Florida is good
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: I got it.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: They're ten to six and two at home, LA ten
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: three and five on the road, but both teams essentially
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: are ten and eight between LA being on the road
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: ten and eight Florida ten and eight at home.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: So you know, LA is pretty good on the road.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: And I think LA is in a spot where they
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: are definitely gonna show up because they just started a
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: road trip and they took a third straight loss after
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: they were coming off some ugly OT losses to Seattle
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: and Calgary, not very good teams. They went to Dallas
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: and they just couldn't do it. Man. They lost four
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: to one at Dallas. They did a Forstburg and net
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: again for that one, so I'm expecting Kemper is gonna
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: be a net for this one. He's been their better
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: goalie unless he's hurt or something. Let me see, Actually,
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: he looks like he's hurt status one day ago. Literally
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: just says IR in lowercase. Yeah, oh crap, he is
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: on the IR he got hit in the head. But whatever,
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: we're still doing this. I don't know if Kemper is
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: back or not. It seemed like he won't be. But
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: we're still gonna do this anyway. Man, I mean, LA
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: coming off now another loss to Dallas. Dallas is good,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: but I expect them to show what man I mean,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: They're gonna they're continuing a road trip they're on. They're
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: gonna want to get a win here, and you know
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be focused on the returning champs Florida. They
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: also lost to Florida already at home, by the way,
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: the one time they played them this year, they got
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: pretty much embarrassed.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: Five to two at home.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: So LA might remember that and have a little bit
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: of motivation for that reason too. Maybe they'll come up
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: with something Forestburg was in net in that game, by
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: the way, we might have, you know, some adjustments made
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: on the LA side after that loss Florida. If you're Florida,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: like you don't really have the adjustments to make after
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: that win, you know what I mean, Like you already
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: beat this team, but for Florida, the spot is way
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: worse for Florida here. This is a really really bad
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: spot for Florida, which is really what put me over
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: the top here as far as playing this one Florida.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: They're returning over from a road trip. I feel like
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: I talk about it every day in these daily sports.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: They've been on the road since last Wednesday. When a
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: team goes out on the road, you know, I talk
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: about it. They come back home, they can be distracted.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: They have to get back to home life. They have
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: stuff to do back at home, especially if it's a
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: team that's not in their conference and a team that
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: they already beat on their ice, like back earlier this season.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: So we have all that coming into play, and I
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: think it's a letdown spot because Florida they had a
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: really successful road trip. They only lost to Colorado on
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: the road trip, so they went into elevation, beat Utah,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: lost to Colorado, and then they beat Dallas in a shutout,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: and then they beat their Florida rival. On the way
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: back home, they beat Tampa Bay. Big win for Florida there.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: They're coming off two big wins in a row and
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: they won by a combined nine to two score and
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: to make matters even worse. After they come back home
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: here and then they have to get stuff done at
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: home and whatever. They got to play Carolina next, which
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: is a huge game. Carolina, you know, one of the
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: best teams in the So that's a look ahead spot too.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: This is definitely a sandwich. We're on the La Kings.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: That is my only hockey play today, Florida. They're getting
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: the public action. I don't know what to do with
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: these numbers right now. Seventy seven percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash. I think by the time
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: the game happens, you're gonna see probably the market shift
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: on this, I would believe. Actually the line is already tanked.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: I think I don't even know what I'm doing. It
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: was plus one sixty, really the money line I got
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: on this. You could see my plays here. Oh no, no, sorry,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: I'm an idiot. That that was not my play. That
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: was I'm an idiot. I have two hockey plays.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: I'm an idiot. I apologize, man, I don't know what
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: I'm doing today. I'm an idiot. You can see my
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: plays right here.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: So sorry to give it all away, but this is
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: just a straight up money line play.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: On the Kings.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: I apologize, it is a sorry, I gotta hide it again.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: Hang on NHL LA, Sorry, we're playing money line on
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: LA At plus one twenty five, I was like, wait,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: AMT what happened with this line? I was gonna say, like,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: they're not that big of an underdog, right, No, they're not.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: LA plus one twenty five is the uh? Is the
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: line there?
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: I apologize, man, I forgot I had too hockey players today.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: My mistake.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: King's money line. So yes, Florida they have gone up
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty to minus one forty. But I
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: think LA They're definitely gonna be an anti public play
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: I would imagine in that game.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: So yes, sob is time traveling?
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: Correct?
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: I am on the Kings. You hate the Panthers?
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you gotta put aside bias as though when you're
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: looking for winners, though, like you gotta be willing to
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: play on that team and willing to play against that team.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: Kember's hurt correct.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: Yes, I did not realize that until until I saw
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: the lowercase IR.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: I'm like, what the fuck? Lowercase IR? All right, Kings
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: got shut out last year in Florida.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I just don't put that much weight
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: into that as far as it being a revenge motivation
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: or being like, oh, they don't play well in Florida,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: I just don't.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: I don't put much stock into that. The Kings were
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: way worse on the road last year than they are
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: this year. For whatever reason, the Kings were a way
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: better home team last year this year.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: That's not the case. Florida is better last year than
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: they are this year. I don't know. I Utah is
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: at Detroit.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: Utah is on a back to back, and my Bruins
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: beat them yesterday, so I was wrong about that game.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: Utah coming up that loss on a back to back,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, fourth game in six days,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. They do have to play New
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: Jersey on Friday when they return home. I don't think
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: they're going to overlook Detroit though, because Detroit's got the
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: name recognition, they got a pretty good record. I don't know.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: I expect Utah probably shows up here, but the travel
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: spot is pretty difficult and the rest spot is certainly difficult.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: Detroit return home, they're also on a back to back.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: They return home yesterday and they beat the Islanders, and
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: they have to go back out on the road after
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: this and play Washington, And they actually played Washington twice
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: and then Dallas then Carolina, so it could be a
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: look ahead for Detroit here really, And usually I'm gonna
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: say when a team returns home, usually they played better
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: in the second game, but not when they won the
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: first game and when they might have a look ahead
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: to their next game. So I actually probably prefer Utah
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: in this game. Both teams on the back to back,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: even though Utah is traveling, Detroit did have a little
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: bit of extra rest in their return home here. But yeah,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, the money is agreeing with me on this one.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: Detroit's down for minus one thirty to minus one, twenty
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of tickets on Detroit, sixty six percent
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Utah.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: I do not.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: Disagree with Utah in that one, but I don't love
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: it either. Winnipeg at Saint Louis. This is the playoff
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: revenge spot I was talking about. Saint Louis got eliminated
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: by Winnipeg last year. That is revenge that does matter.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: This is the first time Saint Louis is playing Winnipeg.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: Since then, they haven't played yet this year, believe it
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: or not, even though I think they might be in
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: the same division Saint Louis, they're gonna show up for
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: it for that reason. I mean, again, you remember who
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: ended your season, so they will show up for this.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg though, I mean I kind of think they're gonna
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: show up as well, because they're playing pretty poorly right now.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: They just got hell a book back, took a pretty
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: tough loss in overtime to Outawa. Now they're starting a
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: road trip. I do worry because they do have Colorado
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: up next, so it's possible they overlook Saint Louis. But
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the team will be focused when
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip, especially when they're not playing
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: that well and they just had a bad home stand.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: So I kind of think both teams are gonna be
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: focused here.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis, I mean, they're coming off a real hideous
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: loss at home to Nashville. They're just staying at home,
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: and they're fairly well rested as well, because they had
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off before.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: The Nashville game. I see both teams showing up here.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: I have a slight lean towards Saint Louis here, Winnipeg
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: up for minus one forty minus one forty five, and
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: the market it is agreeing with Saint Louis right now
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets and only seventy three percent
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Winnipeg. Winnipeg will be the public
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: side for what it is. I mean, the public doesn't
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: really play that much hockey. But the public is not
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: going to be playing on the Saint Louis side. I
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: will tell you that. Just an ugly record there. Carolina
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: is at Nashville. Carolina is a pretty big road favorite here,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: and for good reason.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're good.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: They're coming up three straight shutout wins or shootout shutout
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: shootout wins excuse me, against Washington and two against Philadelphia,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: and they do have Florida next. That could be a
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: bit of a look ahead, man, because there's still the
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: returning champs. They have Florida Tampa Bay and then Florida
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: again next and then Detroit after that.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: So if there is a flat spot in the roster, it.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: Could be this. Because Philadelphia does have a good record
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: three shootout games in a row. Having extra rest here
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: might not actually help Carolina because it could break their
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: momentum a little bit, and because they were winning. You know,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: you don't usually want to have that much rest when
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: you're winning. And normally I would say that a team
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: is focused to start the road trip. But are you
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: really gonna focus on a Nashville team you just beat
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: six to three and you have Florida up next? Probably not,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: So I kind of lean towards Nashville here. Nashville did
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: just get that win against Saint Louis, but they are
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip, although it was only
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: a two game road trip that started on Saturday, but
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: they didn't have to go to Colorado and then Saint Louis.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they're gonna overlook Carolina, the team
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: that just beat them on the prior road trip. And
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: you know, it wasn't that long of a road trip here,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: so it's not like a bunch of stuff piled up
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: that they have to get done at home. So for
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: me slightly towards Nashville, probably like a puck line scenario
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: here Carolina it says plus one sixty six. I imagine that
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: was probably minus one seventy six, and they went up
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixty six, I mean, and they went
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: up to minus one seventy six, eighty four percent of tickets,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on Carolina. You're getting a
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: decent underdark price With Nashvillo though they're a team that
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: I still do not trust at all. They're improving, yeah,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: I mean they're winning some games recently, but I don't know.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I still call them Assville right now, the
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Nashville sex Offenders.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: They're not good.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: But now you know my other play, because it is
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: that puck line split play on New Jersey is what
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: I'm doing on this one plus the one and a
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: half at minus one sixty two for part of the bet,
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: the other part on the plus one sixty Again. You
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: can go to this run line calculator by Johnny Mo.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: This is what I use now some nerdy Asian dude.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: He built it for baseball, but I use it for
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: hockey as well.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: Same thing.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: You can see that you can make make your own
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: plus one puck line and the odds that you get
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: on and are minus one oh one, which is a
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: pretty solid price for this. So you can see that
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: you're risking the same amount on the you know, on
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: the minus side of the bet, which in this case
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: is the puck line to you're risking that amount that
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: is the same amount that you're trying to win on
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: the money line part of it, in this case on
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: the plus money side of it.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: If that makes sense.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: So it'll push. If they lose by one, we're gonna
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: take New Jersey again. I believe they're still without Jack Hughes. Yeah, whatever.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: They've been playing pretty poorly recently, but I think this
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: is a spot where they're gonna show up.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: Focus man. They took that loss to Vancouver.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: That was a win for us on the show because
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: New Jersey just had that win of Rihannaheim. They had
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: Vegas up next. I thought it was a sandwich. I
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: thought Vancouver was in a good positive spot. We got
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: the win with Vancouver in that one, and now New
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Jersey has two days off and they're starting a road trip,
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: so I think that's all good again. It's good to
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: have days off when you're losing. It's good to start
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: a road trip. Really, either when you're winning or losing,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: it's kind of good to start a road trip because
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: usually you want to get the road trip off on
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: the right foot. I think They're certainly gonna be focused
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: on a Vegas team that just beat them on December
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: fifth at home three to nothing. That was an embarrassing loss.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: So I think New Jersey they're gonna have the adjustments
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: to make here. Vegas might take them a little bit lightly.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: That's kind of how this quick revenge angle thing works,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: and for Vegas it's a bad spot.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: On top of all of.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: This, Vegas is returning over a road trip where they've
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: been on the road since Friday, December fifth, since that
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: win over New Jersey. So they had a successful road
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: trip too. They went all the way to the East.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: They won four out of five games on the road trip.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home. I know it's not really
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: a look ahead to Calgary, although they do have Edmonton the.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: Day after that. That's what their weekend looks like.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: I just don't know that they're gonna take New Jersey
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: seriously right now, with New Jerseys struggling without Hughes, New
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: Jersey being a team that Vegas just embarrassed in New
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Jersey again, the return home spot, you got to get
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: back to home life. I know Vegas does have rest here,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: but rest is not necessarily good when you're winning. Like
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: I said, it can break your momentum. It can make
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: you get settled back in at home and you get
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: too comfortable at home, have stuff to do, You're getting
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: New Jersey is a pretty big underdog here, and then
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: as a team might be the more motivated team as well.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: The money somewhat seems to be disagreeing right now. Vegas
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: down for minus one eighty five to minus one seventy seven,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets and eighty four percent of
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: the cash on Vegas. But Vegas is gonna be a
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: public side, I think, and you might see that money
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: shift around. I don't know, but I'm gonna reading the situation.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: Of course, New Jersey will be the play there in
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: that one.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: I know about all the spots.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I've been like as far as like
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: is this like scheduling dynamic wise, like is this good
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: for the team? Is this bad for a team? Yeah?
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: I mean I've been I've been doing this for like
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: almost two decades, so yeah, I mean I've I've definitely learned,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. As far as like seeing like what
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: spot is this team currently in? I mean basically I
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: just look at the schedule but I don't know. I
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: feel like you have to like kind of view it
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: a certain way. There's almost like an art to it.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, I feel like I just look
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: at it and I kind of like notice things in
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: the schedule. National shooting percentage has been really high. That
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: probably means they're gonna regress to some extent. I would
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: say basketball and football.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: Hell yeah, well.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: Thanks for coming along for the ride. Man, I appreciate it, Garrett. Yeah,
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: you'll you'll get into some hockey too. Man. I actually
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: love hockey. Maybe it's just because I'm from Massachusetts, like
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: we're hockey territory up here in New England. But yeah,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I mean I like the sport as well. I mean
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: it's just a I don't know, it's a physical it's
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: a man's sport. The Bruins fan base is always drunk
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: and rowdy and a bunch of big, burly men, So
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: I like that, even though I'm not gay or am
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: I I don't know. NBA, we only have a couple
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: of games today. I don't I don't like these two
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: games today in the NBA, but we'll talk about them.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: I guess. Congratulations to the Knicks on winning the Cup
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: that doesn't matter, and now now they're not gonna win
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: the championship, so great. Uh.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: Cleveland at Chicago, Uh, these two games.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: Are actually not bad games. I just don't really have
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: an opinion that's strong on these games. Cleveland at Chicago.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are coming off I think some rest,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: and they went into the rest not playing well.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's had a couple of days off.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: They took an ugly overtime loss to Charlotte after they
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: played pretty poorly against Washington too, So I think you're
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: gonna see Cleveland show up in this game at Chicago.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, Chicago's gonna show up as well.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Chicago they're coming off of a really, really disgusting loss
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: to New Orleans after they barely got by Charlotte in
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: the game prior to that. So both teams have two
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: days off and they're both playing awful right now. So
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are gonna use those couple of
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: days off to fix things. And then you know, as
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: far as that, I just go, Okay, well, I gotta
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: read the market now, because I don't really have an
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: opinion one way or the other as far as the situation,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's a five point road favorite, but it looks like
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: the bulls are the market indicated side here sixty two
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and only fifty three percent of
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: the cash on the calves, so the market seems to
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: be indicating that's some of the bigger money is on
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: the balls and taking the points. I guess I'll just
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: agree with that just because that's what the market read is.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with the guys that are actually betting money
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: on this, that have some angle that I don't see
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: or whatever. It is not gonna play it for me, though,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: because I like to know what my angles are, you know.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: I like to have my own opinion and go with
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: that because I you know, I feel strongly about it myself,
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: and I don't like to just you know, play things
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: unless I hear, like somebody explain like this is why
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: I'm on this, and I'm like, okay, that does make
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: sense if it makes sense to me anyway. Both these
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: teams are also not as bad as.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: Their record looks like.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Chicago's at ten fifteen Cleveland fifteen to twelve. Cleveland's had
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: a lot of injuries so far, so I think both
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: teams are actually better than the records. Look, you like
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: giddy Over a R. Wait, who's ra a residential advisor?
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: What? Oh? Giddy over and his rebounds assists?
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that one of those weird NBA props there,
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: So not p R. But RA is just rebounds plus assists.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: You're on the over for Gideon. That okay, I I
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: as not being much of a props guy. I don't
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: really have much to say about it. Tua got bench
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: er quinn yours? Did that happen on Monday night? I
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: didn't even see it.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: Tua.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's really really bad in cold weather man.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Like I pointed out, I was worried about that, even
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: though I leaned slightly towards Miami getting the points there,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: I was really worried that Tua cold weather situation. That's
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: a real thing, dude. He's been awful in freezing uh
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: freezing games, just awful. Oh they're doing it for the
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: next game.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: Hmm.
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: Interesting because I kind of wanted to go against Miami
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: in that game to something. I wasn't gonna give it
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: out as a play anyway. Probably I leaned against Miami
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: in that game, But now maybe I don't as much.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: Maybe I actually liked the switch up. But I don't know.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: Sports or Trump's address to the nation. I mean, what
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: do you think, man?
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: Alright, Trump's address is just gonna piss me off.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: Because it's all gonna be about an anti Semitism task
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: force and battling anti Semitism.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: It's all. He's cracking down on free speech.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: It is awful. It's dude, it is tyranny.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: I fucking hate it.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: I hate yeah, I hate that I voted for him
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: at this point it is it is awful. I mean,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: I thought we were gonna get some bigger wins out
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: of it than we did, and at least pissing off
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: the left because I like to do that. But no,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: this is just no. The only thing that you get
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: out of Trump that's a positive though from his address
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: is he's gonna say some ridiculous shit that's hilarious, Like
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: that's almost guaranteed.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: But other than that, no, I don't.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Really watch the sports either though, Like I just especially
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: not the stuff that I plays on. I can't stomach it,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: So I'm probably gonna be watching none of those things. Miami,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: it seems like they are making a change. I don't know, man,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: I mean I think they're giving two A. They're not
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: giving to enough credit. I think, even though I don't
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: think he's very I don't think he's that good. But still,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think that you got to give him
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit more credit than what you're giving him
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: when you know, like again, you're doing it after a
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: situation that was just set up for him to fail,
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. He's just awful and freezing
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: weather games. That's just the way it is. Although that
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: is a thing that you do have to deal with
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: in football. Yeah, yours, I mean, I do worry yours
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: isn't really that good though, so I do worry about that.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about that game on my football shot. I
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: highly doubt that that's a game I'm gonna have a
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: play on, though I will have one on tomorrow's game, though.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: I like the Thursday Night game. Mister Thursday Night will
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: come back at you. I feel like I've been playing
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of the Thursday Night games recently, and we've
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: done pretty well.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: I think four and one on those actual plays.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: And what am I overall like twelve to two and
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: one overall in my spread? Leans on Thursday Night killing
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: it all? Right, let's not jinx it though Memphis at
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is the other NBA game. Memphis got that win
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: for us by eighteen points as an underdog in that
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: when they got the outright win for us. That was
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: a win for us on Monday against the Clippers, and
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: now they're coming up of that. I don't think Memphis
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: is gonna not show up though for a game against Minnesota.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is another big game, so I don't
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: think Memphis is in like an unfocused spot or anything
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: like that, even though they're coming off an upset. Minnesota
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: should be in a fairly decent spot as well for
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: the most part, because they just beat Sacramento. I mean
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: that's an easy win staying at home. But they do
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: have a potential look ahead here to Oklahoma City, so
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: maybe Minnesota does get caught looking ahead there. That is
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: the one concern with Minnesota for that reason, I guess alone.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: I guess I will agree with the market here. Well
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: that and the market Rita is saying it. I'll agree
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: for now with taking the Grizzlies plus the points, but
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: I don't love the game at all. Two Wolves down
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: from eight to seven and a half. Fifty five percent
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them seventy seven percent of the
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: cash on the Grizzlies. I'll slightly agree with the Grizzlies here.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: You know, I still am not a fan of Ja Morant.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, he'll be the guy again there. I think
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: he did play well for them in the game that
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: we got that win on Zach Eedy I believe is
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: still not back, So you got to deal with all
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: that from Memphis.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: Just things to keep in mind there, and then we
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: got the Bulls.
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: Now, I'm gonna give out a play on one of
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: these and hopefully we can get the better number on
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: this one. I have a lean in both of these.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: I have an opinion both games. We're gonna have one
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: at play out of the two. And again you gotta
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: look at the opt outs though, because this first one
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: is weird, even though I'm still gonna do it. And
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: now full disclosure, I locked this in on my like
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: my bet tracking and stuff. I already have this locked
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: in at plus five and a half and I wish
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: that I got the seven on this, but we're gonna
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: play old dominion. I think as long as you can
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: get three or better on this, I think I would
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: still do it. Hopefully you can get the three on this,
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: especially if the public starts coming in on the bulls.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be on South Florida. I'm gonna say old dominion.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, I wish we got to the seven on this,
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: but personally, I, you know, jumped on it at five
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: and a half though, So we'll see what happens. Although, yes,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: as I have said, I'm not betting, I haven't actually
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: been betting since I got fired. I've been trying to
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: wait until I have money freed up and whatever. But
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: it's one that I might have put a little something on.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it down, just a small amount on
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: it at five and a half. It is at three now,
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: but at least I did tell you that I was
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: gonna do this like about a week in advance. Though,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: was the only game that I really said that I
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: was gonna do like a week in advance. So hopefully people,
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: if they wanted it, got a better number. I think
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: three is still okay on this though we're gonna fade
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: South Florida. Fifty nine percent of the tickets are on
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: Self Forda. Of course, the public saw what Self Florida
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: did this year in and out of the rank. He
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: saw them get some big wins. They're gonna be on
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: that side. They don't know anything about old dominion, old
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: dominions getting the money sixty percent of the cash on them. Now,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of things going on in this game, man.
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: First of all, you gotta look at look at the
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: opt outs. This is the Staff DNA cure Bowl, by
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: the way, in Orlando, Florida. Probably don't want to know
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: what staff DNA is, although maybe they're focused on curing ailments.
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know, of which I have a lot, but
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm worried that it's like some place
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: that you give them their DNA and they give you
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: their their DNA. They you know, give your DNA to uh,
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: the government or something, which I don't like. But looking
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: at the opt outs here, we have a couple of
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: major opt outs here, man. One is well, the major
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: opt outs here are that both quarterbacks have opted out
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: of this game. So Byron Brown is not playing for
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: South Florida. He is their very talented dual threat quarterback
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: that they had the last couple of seasons. He is,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: I believe entering the NFL Draft, if I'm not mistaken.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: So he's not playing, although I guess he's gonna be
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: on the sideline as a coach. And then we have
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: their head coach I believe is not gonna be there,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: Alex Golesh.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: So that I think is a big deal.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: Like when you see these teams that are disappointed, which
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about in a second, like South Florida that
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: might not want to be here, and then their head
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: coach bails and their quarterback I essentially consider their quarterback
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: to be bailing. I know he's gonna be there on
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: the sidelines, which I guess is something, but still, I mean,
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: what does that really do? Like, yeah, he's there to
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: help the players whatever, but they know he's gone, you
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. So it's like what does that
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: really matter? And they're gonna have some interim coach, and
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: it's like, well, if they have an interim coach for
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: just this one game, like how hard do the players
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: play when it looks like guys are starting.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: To bail, you know what I mean?
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: So Golesh is going to Auburn, I believe because he's
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: on the opt out list here that means he's not
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: gonna coach this game. So that all worries me old
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: Dominion is basically intact, except very strangely, their quarterback is
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: gone and hit the transfer Portland.
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: He announced it like right after the season ended. Pretty much.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: Colton Joseph was their quarterback all year. He's a dual
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: threat quarterback. He's still young, he's like a sophomore, and
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: he wants to I mean, this is the new age
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: of college football. Man, I don't love it. But he
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: is looking to go to a bigger school here, So
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: both teams are gonna be going with a backup quarterback here.
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: But obviously, as you can see, the bigger drop off
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: was because of Brown not playing for South Florida, because
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: he's just that good. He's like their entire offense. For
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion, they do have the ability to run the
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: football and stuff. I know South Florida's offense is good
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: and dynamic, but I think Old Dominion having all the
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: rest of their players still there will you know, that
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: will help them. Whereas also you see a lot of
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: other guys on this list. For South Florida, one of
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: their qurnerbacks is gone, but then you also see a
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: lot of these injuries here, including Nimrod. One of the
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: best names, Chaz Nimrod wide receiver undisclosed injury. A lot
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: of these injur kind of means these guys are just
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: kind of gone, man. So a lot of their offensive
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: personnel are gone for this game on South Florida. So
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: that's the other part of the reason why the line
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: moved like this. But again I think that where you
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: could argue, well, that means the line overreacted, But in
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: a bowl like this, I don't really think that's the case.
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: Like bulls are just a different animal, man, Like sometimes
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: in the bowls, the line like doesn't move enough, you
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. Like, yeah, you could argue it's
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: an overreaction and that the guys that play are gonna
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: get excited, Like yeah, sure the quarterback gets to play
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: in the Bowl for South Florida.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: He will be motivated. Sure because he gets playing time.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: That's true. But again, when you have all these guys leaving,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: I think it kind of tells you that the entire
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: team's not gonna be there, like coalescing, you know what
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, Like, the whole team's not going to be motivated.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: In my opinion where it's for old dominion, I actually
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: think they still will be and that's really kind of
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: the crux of this handicap. Like when I saw this
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: Bowl matchup come out, I was like, yeah, by the way,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: this is at five pm Eastern, so this is a
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: weirder start time that you got to get on because
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: ESPN has a.
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: Double feature here with the Bulls here.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: Now, when I saw this Bowl come out, I was like,
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: South Forida is going to be the disappointed team in
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: this bowl, man, Old Dominion is going to be the
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: team that wants to be here because South Florida, right
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: up until the end of the season, they thought they
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: had a chance to not only get into the American Championship,
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: but potentially get into the playoff because as we saw too, playoffs.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: What playoffs? Playoffs?
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: Don't talk about playoffs?
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: a game another game. So South Florida, I think they're
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: going to be a really disappointed team here man, because
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: that was their goal.
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: They were in the rankings.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: They had that big win right out of the gate
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: against Boise also beat Florida. They were in the rankings,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: and then they looked really good when they crushed North Texas.
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: But that is also why the public is going to
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: be all over them, man, because the public also loves
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: North Texas's offense, so they see all that. But then
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: South Florida started their downward spiral when they took that
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: loss at Memphis, and then it was kind of downhill
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: and then kind of.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: The nail in the coffin against Navy.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: Now here's the thing. South Florida really, up until that
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: loss against Navy, or really even up until the last
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: couple of weeks, they had a chance to still get
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: into the American Championship, and if they had made it,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: they might be in the playoff because as we saw,
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: Tulane got into the playoff after winning the American because
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: the stupid uh you know, the rules for the stupid
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: playoffs are that all these conferences like have to get
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: a team in. Basically like five of the conferences have
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: to get them in. So South Florida I think they're
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: gonna be the much more disappointed team here. Man.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: They had their sight set much bigger this year.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: They don't want to be in the staff DNA cure
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: bawl at five pm. It's not even a primetime game.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, against the lower conference old dominion.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: I don't see South Florida being excited. Some of their
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: guys are bailing, like I said, And I think they're
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: gonna be even less excited because they're playing in Orlando, Florida.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: And again, sometimes like a team will play better when
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: they're closer to home, like they'll they'll have their crowd
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: like into it and the crowd will be up. But
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: that's only for like smaller teams that aren't used to
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: playing in bowls, you know what I mean, South Florida,
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: They're in bowls all the time, man, So do they
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: really consider this a reward? Oh, we have to go
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: a few hours up the highway because South Florida isn't
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: in the Tampa area. They gotta go just up the
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: road to Orlando. How excited are they really gonna be
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: for that? And their reward is they get to play
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. I just don't see it, man. I think
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be one of the uh just stereotypical disappointed
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: Bowl teams. I think Old Dominion is showing up here. Man.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: You're getting points to them even though Old Dominion is
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: I know their quarterback transferred out, which was weird. I
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: thought he would play in this game and want to play,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: but I think they're still gonna want to play in
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: this one. They finished the season with five wins in
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: a row, and I actually like that going into the bowls. Usually,
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: I know I talk about teams have time off, it
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: kind of wrecks their momentum, and yeah, that is true.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: Sometimes when a team like Old Dominion, they just they
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: play like hard for the rest of the season. That
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: kind of tells you that they want to be wherever
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be, you know what I mean. Because Old
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: Dominion knew that they weren't gonna catch James Madison and
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: they were not gonna get into the Sun Belt Championship,
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, And they still played well
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: even though they were eliminated, they still showed up and
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: they won all these games down the stretch. That shows
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: me something that Old Dominion was playing for it and
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: I do like that.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: One of their losses this year was.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: A pretty impressive loss against Indiana where they held them
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: to twenty seven points.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: Because the other thing about Old Dominion is they.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: Can still run the football too, even though I know
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: Joseph was a big part of that dual threat action
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: that they had there, and that's gonna be a loss
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: for them, for sure, but they still also run the
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: football pretty well. They have a pretty balanced attack. Yeah,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: I just like it, man. I think Old Dominion's gonna
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: step up. And the other thing about it is this
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion program, they don't play in that many bowls
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: usually because they moved up to an FBS not that
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: long ago. They were an FCS team I think a
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: little over a decade ago, and they only have I
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: think like one or two bowl wins in their entire history,
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: and they have not won a bowl since like twenty
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: sixteen or something like that. So a team like that,
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be motivated to get a bowl
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: win for the program, you know what I mean. A
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: team is just not in bowls as often and they
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: don't have a win for so many years. I think
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: it's gonna motivate the more to get this thing.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: And they were in a bowl two years ago and
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: they should have won. I'm pissed about it. Obviously. I
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: had picked Old Dominion in my ball entries that year,
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: although they I don't think I had to play on
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: it or anything. They lost in some crazy bawl. I
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: think it was like the Myrtle Beach Ball, or it
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: might have been the Bahamas Ball. Whatever it was, it
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: was this insane game against Western Kentucky where I think
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion bleue like just an insurmountable lead in the
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: game and then it went multiple overtimes and they lost.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: If I remember correctly, and I was all pissed off
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: off if I remember that game correctly, that was the
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: last time ODU was in a Bowl two years ago,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: but prior to that, they hadn't been in a bowl
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: for like multiple years. I think so again, I think
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be more motivated to show up here, man,
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: and they get to travel, So I think it's more
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: of a reward that, oh, we get to go somewhere,
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: you know, cool for the Bowl. We get to go
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: to Orlando, and we get to play a team that
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: was really good this year in USF you know what
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: I mean. So I think the game means more to
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. I think they're gonna be more excited about it.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: That's the handicap there. You're still getting points with them
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: at the very least. So yeah, I like Old Dominion
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: in that one. There we go. I think that's about
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: it for the handicap there, and then you do have
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: to worry with, like, you know, spots like Orlando, or
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be distracted by all the stuff that goes
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: on in Orlando, theme parks, whatever.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: I don't really think so, just again, because this is
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: a team that.
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: Doesn't get to this many bowls, so I think they
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: will actually be there and take it pretty much seriously.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: So I like it.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: Old Dominion is the play in that one.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: I know. I've heard some opinions on the under as well,
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: and I was correct about the under and Jacksonville State
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: last night, which not a play for me, but I
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: might it helped my Bowl entries at least. But in
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: this one, yeah, the money's coming in on the under.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: But of course, well the total dropped, of course because
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: both quarterbacks opted out, So obviously the total is gonna
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: drop when that happens.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: Now, is that an overreaction?
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: It might not be sixty one percent of the tickets
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: on the over and fifty two percent of the cash
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: on the over. I mean again, I think South Florida's
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: offense does take a pretty significant hit with that opt out.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. I think there's still gonna be like running
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: the football and stuff. So yeah, I mean, I'm not
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: really gonna disagree with an under where the total really
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: didn't drop that significantly. And then we have the sixty
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: eight Ventures Bowl at eight thirty pm Eastern, which is
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: in Mobile, Alabama, which is ul La Fayette, Louisiana against Delaware. Now,
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: this is a game where I agree with the market
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: in this game as well. I leaned Delaware, especially if
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: you can get three. Still, the total, the line's gone
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: down a little bit from three to two and a half.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: We got fifty four percent of tickets and seventy four
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Delaware side. I agree
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: with it. Seventy two percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on the unders. The
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: money's also coming in in the under even though the
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: total is up to sixty and a half. And Delaware,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: I know, has put up some decent offensive performances this year,
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: so we will see. I mean, I don't have that
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: much of an opinion on the total in this one.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: The side I like Delaware, but I don't think it's
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: enough to make it a play.
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: But for Delaware, I mean, one thing.
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: That I do worry about though, is that Louisiana is
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: closer to their home, like they're gonna be in Mobile
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: so they don't have to go that far. But then
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: you have to ask do they consider this to be
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: a reward or not that they get to play against
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: a lowly Delaware team here I would still say yes.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: Which is my problem with this is that Louisiana. I mean,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: they made a bowl last year, but they got absolutely
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: embarrassed in the bowl last year.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: Hold on, let me find it.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Louisiana lost thirty four to three in the
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: New Mexico Bowl the DCU last year, so they got embarrassed,
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: so they might be actually pumped up to be back
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: in a bowl. They lost that New Orleans Bowl, which
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: was that was the one I talked about yesterday where
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: I had a win. That was one of my plays
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: on the show. I think back then in the New
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: Orleans Bowl, Jacksonville State lost two quarterbacks in the game
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: and still got the win. We got that one done
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: in that one. Jacksonville State their first bowl appearance ever,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: I think, and they got the job done. Louisiana has
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: been in a lot of balls recently, so there is
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: that they haven't won one in a long time. Man,
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: last time that won one was the New Orleans Bowl
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one, where they did have a home
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: crowd there of course for the New Orleans Bowl. But again,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: when you're Louisiana and you're constantly playing in the New
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: Orleans Bowl, it kind of gets monotonous, you know what
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: I mean. So it's like you really get excited, but
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: they're not there. Now they're in the Ventures Bowl, so
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: they get to go to Mobile. But still I don't
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: even know what sixty eight Ventures is, by the way, But.
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: Will they be excited? I mean maybe, I don't know.
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: The one thing I do like about Louisiana, besides the
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: fact they haven't won a Bowl for a while, is
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: that they finished the season with four wins in a
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: row just to get Bowl eligible. So that does tell
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: me they actually kind of want to be here. So
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: when a team is sitting at two and six and
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: then they win their last four games, they tend to
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: do well in bowls when that's the case, man, because
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: it shows you they actually showed up for these games
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: and they actually wanted to be wanted to win and
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: actually get that Bowl eligibility, you know what I mean.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: So that motivates them and then teams that are six
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: and six actually do well in bowls as well because
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: they see the six and six and they basically think, oh, well,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: if we lose, we're gonna have a losing season, you
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. You don't want that, so you
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: have a little bit more like mental motivation, just because
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: you can get to a winning season if you get
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: your seventh win. So that's why I'm staying off of it.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: But I still like Delaware because for Delaware that applies
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: to them too. They're six and six and they had
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: to win their last game to get in after it
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: looked like they should have gotten in, you know, gotten
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: the bowl eligibility already, but they lost to Sam Houston inexplicably.
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: Then you know, they probably weren't gonna beat Wake. For us,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: I know, we took a loss on the show in
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: that game. Yeah, I know. I thought it was a
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Wake. I'm shocked that it was that
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: much of a blowout. Delaware had a nice bounce back
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: though against utep Man. I think that's actually a good
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: thing because that got them their Bowl eligibility, and this
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: is Delaware's first season in FBS football, man, so that's huge.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: Like when a team is completely new to FBS, and
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: now they're already Bowl eligible. They get a chance at
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: the first bowl winning program history in their first year.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be motivated for that, man, And they're an
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: underdog here, so I like that they're gonna want to
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: show up for this for that reason, man, and for
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: all the reasons I just said. They won the last
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: game just to get the bowl eligibility. They're six and six,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna want to have a winning season. But
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: that applies to both teams here and for Delaware, they
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: had to put the NCAA. So what happens is when
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: you're a first year team, you're technically in a transition period.
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: So like Delaware was not even eligible to get into
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: the their conference championship, the CUSA championship. I mean, they
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: weren't gonna get into it anyway, but they weren't eligible
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: for it because they're in their first year, so they're
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: in a transition period.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: But they can petition the NCAA to get into.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: A bowl still if there are bowl slots still available,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: and they're almost always are, so which I think is good.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: Let them play, you know what I mean, they became
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: bowl eligible. Let them be in a bowl. Let them
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: see what they can do. So I think that's also
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: good because that means they had to like literally go
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: to the NCAA and say, hey, we want to be
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: in this bowl. So that tells you that they want
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: to be there. So that's good as well as far
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: as I'm concerned. And then we got to look at
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: the opt outs. Of course, you always got to look
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: at these opt outs for the Ventures Bowl. Here, for Louisiana,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: it's basically nobody except for one of their offensive tackles,
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Bryant Williams has hit the transfer portal. And then for Delaware,
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: you got a lot of guys listen on the injury report,
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: But that quarterback Marker, he's not their starting quarterback. Minikouci
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: is their quarterback. So I don't think this is that
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: much of a concern. I don't think that these guys
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: are not playing like for like, I mean, I don't
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: think they're opting out, you know what I mean. For Delaware,
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: I think in this case they actually just have some
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: legitimate injuries, would be my guess here. So for both teams,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're to me, it looks like both teams
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up in this bowl and that they
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: both want to be there. So that's kind of the
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: the concern that I have because bowls are all about motivation.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Delaware if I was
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. Not quite gonna be there on that one.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: You know, I have to decide what I want to
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: do with my bowl, pick them entries and stuff. So
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: I will probably be on Delaware in those in some capacity,
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: probably even straight up because it's a small spread there
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: But we will see.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Man long episodes somewhat long today
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: for well, I mean, we have a decent board today.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: Just because there's a lot of college basketball. We'll reiterate
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: it all one more time. College of basketball. We're laying
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: the points with UCF. We're taking the points to Texas Southern,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: which I think you can get a little bit more
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: on that.
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: We're laying it with Nickels. We're on the LA Kings
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: and hockey money line.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: My apologies. We're on the split bet on the New
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: Jersey Devils puck line and money line. I should get that.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: I need like a drop for nobody messes with the Devils.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: I gotta get that one man and then we have
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: old dominion in the staff, DNA curable plus the three.
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: Try to get the three man. You should be able
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: to get the three, I think, because I think at
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: least the public, if they want football action, they'll probably
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: be coming in on the South Florida side in that one.
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: So hopefully you can get the at least the three
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: on that. You know. For me, I'm actually on it
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: at plus five and a half, but we have to
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: do it at three on the show.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: I guess that's.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: Gonna do it. Learn it tone on Twitter, learn a
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram, like subscribe, give me good replies to
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: the show here or on the show here, whatever. Listen
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: on audio on Spotify and Apple that helps me out.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: Give me a good review over there. Covered in Yuke
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: is my YUK channel. Ukulele covers on YouTube, Yuktube, Patreon,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: dot com, sash learned to toad. You can give me
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: some support there as well, get some bonus YUK stuff
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: you get.
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: Subscribe on Twitter as well. What else do we have
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: going on?
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: We have a Loser cast. We did our third episode
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: last night, but it went all right. Hopefully my loser
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: wins this time. I haven't had a winning loser yet
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: you know, uh, so we need to have a winning loser.
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: These losses stay with me.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: They fester Jerry, so yeah, you can check that out
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: out as well. And then the g Spot Giants podcast
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: with me and Ben Weir should start at some point.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: I know, I keep saying that it's gonna happen, man,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. He's doing something with changing around
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: his podcasting setup. I don't know what the deal is,
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: but we'll do it. I think we're just sad the
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: Giants are dead team, but.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: We'll say so.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, man. I appreciate it, guys. Thanks,
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. I'll be back tomorrow. Thank you, guys, Penzy,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey Garrett. I appreciate it all. Guys showing up sob
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: of course. Yeah, Dirty Sock thanks everybody. Hopefully Dirty Sock Ope,
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: but it'll take too long to get to all these plays.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: Robin was in the chat as well.
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody, you know, the regulars, the newcomers, let's get
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: more of all of it. It's gonna do it. Peace
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: for now,