Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 423 - 12/31/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 423 of the All.
- 0:18Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I am your host, Josh. Applebaum, What's going on,
- 0:30everyone? Happy Wednesday, but more
- 0:32importantly, happy New Year's Eve.
- 0:34That's right, the final day of 2025.
- 0:38I know. You guys are getting ready.
- 0:39I don't know what you're doing for your, for your New Year's.
- 0:40Eve, whether you're. Going to somebody's house like.
- 0:42I am, so it's going to. Be kind of a bit of a.
- 0:44Short and sweet. Podcast here.
- 0:45My buddy Fed is throwing a New Year's Eve party as he does
- 0:49every year, and last year the wife and I missed it because we
- 0:52were in California. But looking forward to getting
- 0:54all the. Friends together, you know, it
- 0:56used to be just us. US guys now there's wives,
- 0:59there's kids, there's dogs, so I guess that just goes to show
- 1:03that that life comes at you fast but either way guys looking
- 1:06forward to talking about a big. Game today, which is Miami and
- 1:10Ohio State. College Ball Playoff.
- 1:12Quarterfinals here. I do have a play for you guys
- 1:15tonight. And I'm excited because.
- 1:17Anytime me and the. Boys get together like to sweat
- 1:19a game together. So I've already been texting the
- 1:21group chat and we are all locked and loaded, lined up to sweat.
- 1:25Miami and Ohio. State together.
- 1:27So I'll give you the play here for tonight in one second.
- 1:30But of course, because it is New Year's Eve, I just want to say.
- 1:33Thank you all. For the support over the year,
- 1:36obviously this podcast means a lot to me, but it means so much
- 1:40that to me that you know, we have a community of betters who
- 1:43you know, look at betting a similar direction.
- 1:45Want to make smart bets of their head and not our heart?
- 1:47Try not. To let the bias seep in.
- 1:49Or going off the data, the splits, the the line movement,
- 1:53of course, getting a nice assist there from our friends at Rhythm
- 1:56and Juice Reel. But I just want to say as as we
- 1:59get ready to watch the ball drop, thank you for all the
- 2:01support for listening throughout the year.
- 2:03And I'm really excited because obviously if we look just toward
- 2:06tomorrow, we got 3 College Football Playoff games.
- 2:10So we'll see how hungover I am tonight, whether we can put out
- 2:13a pod tomorrow. But either way, make sure you
- 2:14read the Sharp report for visa.com.
- 2:16I'll definitely be writing that. And of course, putting up all
- 2:19the plays on juice rail, which you can get for $4.99 a week,
- 2:23every bet that I make. But not just, you know,
- 2:25tomorrow's games, but 2026, I think.
- 2:28The goal was sports betting. Is to just.
- 2:31Always try to. Get a little bit sharper each
- 2:33day, a little bit better. I think the good thing about
- 2:35experience is that, you know, when you bet over, you know,
- 2:38years and years and years, you kind of.
- 2:40Recognize situations where it could be different.
- 2:42Teams, but the situation of wait, the way the line is.
- 2:45Moving or the spot. You recognize it a little bit
- 2:47better, so just always remember sports betting it ain't.
- 2:49Easy, we know that. We got to grind every day, but
- 2:53if we can get a little bit better each day, point O 1%
- 2:55sharper, I like to say, then I think we're in for a pretty good
- 2:592026. So looking forward to that.
- 3:01So one play for tonight, Miami and Ohio State, and I did want
- 3:05to mention yesterday, I do want to.
- 3:06Apologize because I don't know if any of you are in New England
- 3:09like me, but it was a crazy day yesterday with the weather so it
- 3:13was. Pouring rain and icy.
- 3:15But it was. Actually insanely windy and
- 3:18right as I'm getting ready to. Record yesterday's pods.
- 3:21A lot a lot of you guys DM me or tweet.
- 3:22Me and say, hey, where's the pod today?
- 3:24There was no pod because I lost. Power.
- 3:26So we were without power for like 8 hours.
- 3:29So, you know, there's really nothing we could do but sit
- 3:31around, twiddle our thumbs, light a candle and hang out me
- 3:34and me and the wife and my dog. So I do want to say sorry for
- 3:37that. But if you're wondering, there
- 3:39wasn't a pod. However, last time we talked
- 3:42back on Monday did go 2 and 1 + 0. .61.
- 3:45Units had a nice. Hit with the Atlanta Falcons.
- 3:47They made us sweat because they had a huge lead and almost blew
- 3:50it. But ended up.
- 3:51Winning out right, we got that contrarian 7 1/2 down to seven,
- 3:54which is good to see. Also got William and Mary, Bill
- 3:57and Mary in college hoops. Robbie MO let us down.
- 4:00Lost by two at the buzzer though, so. 2:00 and 1:00
- 4:02Monday, but yesterday. Even though there wasn't.
- 4:05A podcast if you read the Sharp report for visa.com or you
- 4:08followed of course the all systems go.
- 4:10Best bets from Juice Real? Nice little 2 and O + 1.75 unit
- 4:15day first one. Was Illinois.
- 4:17Illinois was. Kind of a way you look at these
- 4:21bowl games motivational or? You know you had a Altmire.
- 4:24Who was their? You know their.
- 4:26Upperclassmen. Senior quarterback.
- 4:28Against Tennessee. Who had a bunch of opt outs?
- 4:29Guys going to the NFL draft and that line kept falling toward
- 4:33Illinois. So Tennessee was like -5 1/2 all
- 4:36the way down to I got Illinois plus 3 1/2, got down to 3 or
- 4:39even 2 1/2. So pretty clear that the
- 4:41motivation. More or less opt.
- 4:43Outs, I guess you could say. Plus the line move.
- 4:46Illinois ended up winning that game 30 to 20. 8 and then.
- 4:49I know my guy King Nebuchadnezzar like this one cuz
- 4:51boy do we have to sweat but. TCU getting it done.
- 4:55Unbelievable they went from. Plus 5 1/2 all the way down to
- 4:58plus 4 1/2. And that was definitely
- 5:00important because majority of bets there were on USC.
- 5:04USC did have a couple opt outs. Some of their star wide
- 5:06receivers, but TCU, they had a good first.
- 5:08Half, then they got down, then they tied it up and then they
- 5:11won it in overtime. On like the most.
- 5:14Incredible play. It was I think 3rd and I don't
- 5:17know, third and 15. The guy got sacked a little dump
- 5:19off pass, the running back barely stayed in bounds but took
- 5:22it to the house. So TCU with an outright winner
- 5:25there. So hopefully you had TCU in
- 5:27Illinois yesterday. But either way, guys, without
- 5:29further ado, final podcast. Of the year 2025.
- 5:32Let's end it with a bang. See if we can.
- 5:34Get a winner here and. Steam into 2020. 6 so I know.
- 5:38There's a lot of bowl games going on right now.
- 5:39There's some interesting line moves, but I'm going to focus on
- 5:42the big one. Tonight, because this is the one
- 5:44that obviously is the most. Heavily bet primetime spot and I
- 5:48like that at 7:30 because it'll hopefully be over by 10:30 and
- 5:52then you can put on. You know, whatever channel you
- 5:54like to watch the ball drop on and that'll be always, always
- 5:58fun Something I look. Forward to but anyway, Miami
- 6:00and. Ohio, so 7. 30 PM Eastern Time
- 6:04tonight on ESPN. Let's set the stage.
- 6:06Talk splits line, movement system matches rhythm.
- 6:09Juice Reel and I'll give you my play here so.
- 6:11This is the College Football Playoff quarter final at the
- 6:14Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic. Say that 10 times.
- 6:16Fast. But important thing to.
- 6:18Know it is not a bowl game. There's no opt outs.
- 6:20This is the legit. Playoffs, so everyone's playing,
- 6:23everyone's trying to win, so it makes a little bit.
- 6:24Easier in a way. Again, never easy to cash a bet,
- 6:27but a little easier to handicap cuz you don't have to research
- 6:30who's in, who's out, who opted out, which coaches got fired,
- 6:33yadda yadda yadda. But anyway.
- 6:35It will be played indoors at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
- 6:38that is the home of. Course of Jerry Jones in the
- 6:41Dallas Cowboys, now Miami. Comes in 11 and 2 on the year.
- 6:45They are the 10 seed in the. Playoffs here.
- 6:47And they just beat Texas A&M 2:50.
- 6:50In the first round of the playoffs I remember cuz I.
- 6:52Took him plus 3 1/2 and. It was a tied game three to
- 6:54three, and they scored late to win it, so that was pretty
- 6:56awesome winning outright, actually closing as a
- 6:59three-point Rd. dog. You know, Ohio State 12 and one
- 7:02on the year, but they were 12 and O, they're the two seed and
- 7:05more on them in a second. Because they are the favorite to
- 7:07win the the championship. I'll give you the updated
- 7:09numbers here from DraftKings, but they did just lose to
- 7:11Indiana 13 to. 10 in the big. 10 championship game.
- 7:15Lost out right as a four and a half.
- 7:16Point neutral site favorite. So what do you see across the
- 7:19board here? Well, this game opened with Ohio
- 7:22State. Listed as a. 9 1/2 point neutral
- 7:24site favorite. So first thing was notable to me
- 7:27is I know a lot of people were. Surprised how high this.
- 7:30Line was, but also, you got to remember the Buckeyes are a
- 7:33powerhouse. So.
- 7:34Does the public say? Man, that number is too big.
- 7:37Miami's pretty pretty feisty. Better take the.
- 7:39Points or do they say Ohio's usually you know -20 -, 30 so if
- 7:43you only. Get 9 1/2.
- 7:44Only got to win by 10. You better play the Buckeyes.
- 7:46Here so even though. It's a big number.
- 7:48Public is leaning on the ladder there, they're saying.
- 7:50Let's lay it with Ohio State expecting powerhouse Ohio State
- 7:54to come here and win by 10 or more.
- 7:56So right now 58% of spread. Bets at DK are laying the points
- 8:01of the Buckeyes now. If you go back, you.
- 8:04Know a few days ago or you know, even a week ago as much because
- 8:06we had this line out for a while.
- 8:08We did see Ohio State go up from -9 1/2 up to -10.
- 8:12What was notable to me is that once it got to 10/10 is a key
- 8:15number. Of course, not quite as key as.
- 8:17Three or seven, but it is a. Quote UN Quote key number.
- 8:21Because you think. About the field goal.
- 8:22And the touchdown, you know, you add them up, it's.
- 8:25A10 right there. But anyway, I'm I was thinking
- 8:28to myself, OK, does it breeze through the 10 and get up to 10
- 8:311/2? Like where?
- 8:32How far does this line keep going?
- 8:33Up and guess. What it never got to 10 1/2 and
- 8:37actually once it got to 10, you saw a lot of respected buy back
- 8:40on Miami plus 10, dropping it back down to 9 1/2.
- 8:44So -9 1/2 Ohio State up to -10 back down to -9 1/2.
- 8:49What does that tell us? Tells us that a lot of
- 8:51respective money looks like it hit Miami, especially at plus 10
- 8:55causing that line to come. Back down a bit, which again is
- 8:58coming back toward the contrarian side now.
- 9:00Aside from kind of that buy back there at plus 10, Miami is a
- 9:04very good bet against the public play.
- 9:06Now they're getting 42% of spread bets at DraftKings, so
- 9:09it's not like they're getting. 22% of.
- 9:11Spread bets, but still if you'll get ticket counts and just how
- 9:14heavily bet this game is, we are in a prime time spot on new.
- 9:17Year's Eve. Everyone's.
- 9:18At the house or at a friend's house or at the bar, doing
- 9:21whatever they're doing, this is the game.
- 9:22That's on every TV across America tonight, at every bar
- 9:25across America tonight, so. The fact that we're on the 42%
- 9:29side, I like that. I'd rather be on the 42% side
- 9:32than the 58% side. And a heavily bet nationally
- 9:35televised game because again, more more.
- 9:37Public betting More public. Bias.
- 9:39More opportunity to bet against the public.
- 9:41Go the other way so Miami has contrarian value.
- 9:43They had sharp buyback plus 10 down to plus 9 1/2.
- 9:46Then if we go out to Vegas at Circa, Miami is getting 47% of
- 9:51spread bets, but 56% of spread dollars.
- 9:54So now we're incorporating a little bit of low bets, higher
- 9:57dollar splits. Here in favor of Miami out in
- 9:59the desert, which again, that's where a lot of sharps are at.
- 10:02You look at some correlative betting value also on the side
- 10:05of Miami. OH, Miami.
- 10:07Florida, not Miami, Ohio. There we go.
- 10:09I just mixed two different schools to make a different
- 10:11school. But anyway, you are getting a
- 10:13dog plus 9 1/2 + 10 and a game with a very low total of 40 1/2.
- 10:18So think of it this way. If you are a dog, we always
- 10:22think about it, you know, in terms of baseball or different
- 10:25sports like baseball, you want a dog.
- 10:26High. Total More expected run scored,
- 10:29more variance. Upset opportunities.
- 10:31You want to spread sport like a dog.
- 10:32You want a dog low total because the fewer amount of expected
- 10:35point score makes it harder for the favorite.
- 10:37To cover the number. So in this spot, the correlative
- 10:39betting really is a check. Mark in favor of the.
- 10:42Hurricanes, you're getting nearly double digits and a low
- 10:45total of 40 1/2. Lower scoring game, harder for
- 10:48Ohio. State to cover that -9 1/2 -,
- 10:5010. Then we get to some rhythm and
- 10:54juice reel edges. I popped open the rhythm app and
- 10:57noticed 2 recommendations, both on Miami.
- 11:00First one is Miami plus 8.7 and the second one which is a green.
- 11:04Star Recommended Play, which is a top system match.
- 11:07Miami plus 8.5, so we have a 10 getting back down to 9 1/2.
- 11:12We're on a contrarian side. We're on a sharp.
- 11:14Bet split we are. A dog low total and we can get a
- 11:19nine and a half and more on that in a second.
- 11:20I think you got to get the 10 here.
- 11:22Which could be important, but even 9 1/2 about a point edge in
- 11:26favor of Miami. Because rhythm has it more of an
- 11:298. And a half point game.
- 11:31Then I popped open the juice. Reel app noticed a. 6%.
- 11:35Sharp mush edge in favor of Miami.
- 11:37So nothing amazing, but I'd rather be on the sharp.
- 11:39Mush edge, having it be in my favor then against me, Like it's
- 11:42not like it's a 6% sharp mush edge on Ohio State.
- 11:45No, it's 6% in favor of Miami. So you had it up all up here,
- 11:50guys. I'm going with going with EU
- 11:52Miami FL plus. Here's the key I got plus 10.
- 11:55Now, if you look across the market.
- 11:57You can very. Easily get a + 9 1/2.
- 12:00I'm looking. Right now I'm in.
- 12:01Massachusetts, of course, and I have.
- 12:03Like 6 or 7 sports books that I. Use so I'm.
- 12:05Looking at pretty much. Everyone Bally fanatics the
- 12:09score. Caesar's DraftKings, FanDuel
- 12:11Bet. MGM all at 9 1/2.
- 12:12However, I noticed that at Fanatics you can get EU + 9 and
- 12:17F -, 110. Now there are a couple shops
- 12:19that are EU + 9 F -112 -, 115 but Fanatics I was able to take
- 12:25+9 and F up to plus 10 at -120. So.
- 12:29By getting that extra F point, you're only paying ten extra
- 12:32cents. And now if it's a 24 to 14.
- 12:34Game, you know, 27/17/20 to 10 game I mean think of all these
- 12:39different games that could be a margin of. 10.
- 12:41Which is a key number here. You're going to have a push
- 12:44instead of a loss. So obviously we want to win, but
- 12:47we want to push a loss instead of lose a loss, if that makes
- 12:50any sense. So I did find out at Fanatics.
- 12:52Again, plus 9 1/2 -, 110 take them up to plus 10 at -120 so
- 12:57I'm on Miami. Florida, the Hurricanes plus. 10
- 13:01-, 120. At Fanatics.
- 13:04I did want to mention the total because I'll be honest guys, the
- 13:07under looks pretty sharp here now I think at.
- 13:09First glance, you're like, wow, Miami's got, you know, Carson
- 13:11Beck and Tony the wide receiver. Ohio State's got all these
- 13:15incredible receivers and offensive players like, OK, this
- 13:17is going to be a high scoring game, right?
- 13:19I will lean under here. I didn't play the under.
- 13:21I'm just Miami plus 10. That's my one bet here.
- 13:24But I noticed that this total open around 42, it's down to 40
- 13:291/2. So right off the bat, the total
- 13:30has fallen. Tells us some smart money here.
- 13:33Has come in on the under. It's also notable because
- 13:36DraftKings, you got the public. Hammering the over. 67% of bets
- 13:41are taking the over. So if 60. 7% of bets, 2/3 are
- 13:44going over. Why did this total fall tells
- 13:47us? Smart money here.
- 13:48Is coming on the under. You look over at circa 64% bets
- 13:5270. 4% dollars on the under so that is a good pro and Joe split
- 13:56from the sharps in Vegas also. Playing the under, and I think
- 13:59if you're thinking about an under, I mean, on the one hand,
- 14:02we got the last. Two games these teams played
- 14:03Miami beat Texas A&M 10 to 3. Ohio State lost to Indiana 13 to
- 14:0710. But these teams are really good.
- 14:09Defensively, Ohio State is. Number one.
- 14:12And all of college. Football only giving.
- 14:13Up 8.8 points per game? Miami's No.
- 14:16Slouch though they're 4th. Best in college football only
- 14:18giving. Up 13.8.
- 14:20Points per game, so we have. Two really good defenses We have
- 14:24public playing the over, but the total fell smells like a sharp
- 14:28under to me. So I I lean under here, but
- 14:31again. I don't want to, you know,
- 14:32hopefully. Win Miami plus 10 and then.
- 14:35You know the total. Lands on 4142.
- 14:37And I. Lose the under.
- 14:38And then it becomes a 1 and 1 minus point O 5 unit night.
- 14:42But of course, if you are playing the the total, I would
- 14:45lean under here in this one with you.
- 14:46But my. One play here.
- 14:47Let's go with EU. That's what I'm doing Miami plus
- 14:5110 now. I didn't just want to mention.
- 14:53Because, you know, obviously the second round of the post season
- 14:56begins tonight and we got the three big games tomorrow, so
- 14:59we're down to the Elite 8. And here the.
- 15:01Updated Odds Just if you're interested in a totals or a
- 15:04futures bet, Ohio State is the favorite to win the college.
- 15:06Football Playoff plus 190. These are all DraftKings
- 15:10Indiana. Is plus 320 Georgia plus 475
- 15:14Oregon, plus 750 Texas Tech, plus 850 Bama, plus 1800 Miami
- 15:21plus 2200 and. Ole Miss plus 2500, so again,
- 15:26you don't have any minus numbers there.
- 15:28You do have Ohio State favorite though, but Indiana right behind
- 15:31them plus 320. But that about does it for
- 15:34episode 423, a little short and sweet because it is New Year's
- 15:38Eve. I got a few things you got to do
- 15:39today. We've also had an issue where my
- 15:42my shower is broken. So we got the plumber coming
- 15:45today and then hopefully. Once he can fix this, then we're
- 15:47going to hop in the car and go to my buddy Feds for his New
- 15:49Year's Eve party. But I do want to to wish
- 15:52everyone a great New Year's Eve tonight and again.
- 15:54Have fun. Hopefully the.
- 15:56You can cover for us. Don't be stupid.
- 15:58Don't drink and drive. That's the biggest thing,
- 16:00because the cops are out tonight.
- 16:02You think you're going to drive home a little tipsy now you're
- 16:03going to get in trouble. Don't even try it.
- 16:05Sleep there. Take an Uber, be careful out
- 16:08there. So anyway guys, that does it for
- 16:10episode 423 of the ASG pod, the final pod of 2025.
- 16:15But of course, this is where we wrap things up.
- 16:17And I always. Start first by saying thank you.
- 16:19Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning in, thank
- 16:21you for grinding in the arena with me every single day through
- 16:24the year 2025 and years previous and hopefully a lot of years
- 16:27moving forward. But if you do want.
- 16:28To help me grow this pod. If you enjoy the.
- 16:30Insights please would. You give it a.
- 16:32Five star review. On Spotify or iTunes.
- 16:35Click the rate and review if you want to leave a.
- 16:37Comment or click the Follow button.
- 16:39Or retweet the pod when I tweet it out or recommend it to a
- 16:42friend. That would all be awesome and
- 16:43I'd very much appreciate that. Next, if you enjoy this style of
- 16:47sports betting, data-driven sharp contrarian betting
- 16:50focusing on line movement bets, split system matches, trying to
- 16:53make sharp bets with our head and not our.
- 16:54Heart if this style. Of betting has appealed to you.
- 16:57You want to learn? More about data-driven betting
- 16:59you. Want to support?
- 17:00The team. Or you know someone in your
- 17:02life. Who maybe wants to get into
- 17:03betting doesn't really know how it works.
- 17:05Or they bet a lot and lose a lot and they you ask him, oh.
- 17:07What? What number do you have?
- 17:08They don't know. And you know what did the line
- 17:10open at? They have no clue.
- 17:11Where's the public? No idea.
- 17:13Well then, maybe you should go to Amazon.com and type in the
- 17:16NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the Everything Guide to Sports.
- 17:19Betting MY22 books that I've written.
- 17:21Very proud of both, but if you want to grab one.
- 17:23Or the other. You would make my day.
- 17:26And when you bring them the sports book, I'll sign them for
- 17:28you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 17:29ale or maybe we'll make a toast, the champagne toast at midnight,
- 17:32hopefully after a hopefully a good Miami game here tonight.
- 17:37But as always, guys, I. Want to remind you also to
- 17:40download Rhythm and Juice Reel, my two favorite sports betting
- 17:43apps to help me when they're going to help you win Rhythm.
- 17:45Incredible. With their AI back.
- 17:47Models and predictions for game bets and.
- 17:48Player props. I'm not a parlay guy.
- 17:50You know that about me. But Rhythm did just have this
- 17:53new feature called the Parlay optimizer, which is pretty cool.
- 17:56It's like, hey, if you're going to be parlays, at least try to,
- 17:58you know, get the most optimal legs.
- 18:00So that's a really cool feature. And then also I think tomorrow
- 18:05or I think. Friday we're going to do a
- 18:07Rhythm rundown, so I'm looking forward to that.
- 18:08I'll give you an update there. And then of course, Juice Reel
- 18:12or if you'd like to support your podcast host, tip your podcast
- 18:14host or get the plays early or just support the team, I would
- 18:18love for you guys to download the Rhythm app.
- 18:20Or sorry the Juice Reel app and you can sign up to get the all
- 18:23systems Go official best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
- 18:27So 5 bucks a week consider. That a tip jar hopefully help
- 18:31you cash some tickets and you'll make both.
- 18:33Juice Reel. My buddy Ricky Gold and myself
- 18:36happy if you want to support the the team here we're.
- 18:38Also going to have the Robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp
- 18:40mush. Indicators The arbitrage plays
- 18:42the shop for the best line features.
- 18:43All available. When you download Juice Reel.
- 18:46So download rhythm, download juice reel.
- 18:48Give a five star review in the App Store while you're at it.
- 18:51Next, you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't, you need
- 18:54one. That should be your New Year's
- 18:55resolution to get a live odds page.
- 18:57And I know the. Perfect one for you.
- 18:59It's called odds logic. So odds logic it gives you.
- 19:02All the games, start times, live scoring, live end game wagering
- 19:06odds. But the most important part is
- 19:08you can track the market in real time.
- 19:09As soon as any odds change, they get lit up in red.
- 19:12You can pull up line history. You can compare the open column
- 19:15to the current. See which direction.
- 19:16The line is going. And always shopping for the best
- 19:18price, finding the best number, whatever book is offering that
- 19:22best price. So if you'd like to download or
- 19:24just sign up. And get odds logic.
- 19:27There's no download involved, actually all.
- 19:29You have to do is go to oddslogic.com slash.
- 19:32Josh. 123 that'll. Give you a 7.
- 19:35Day free trial and 50% off your. First month of service.
- 19:39Lastly have. You downloaded novig.
- 19:43Novig is a sports betting. Exchange.
- 19:45It is not a sports book, but as a result you're getting way
- 19:47better. Prices.
- 19:49Because you're not having to pay the big juice the odds makers
- 19:51make you pay. For example, I'm.
- 19:53Looking at Miami and Ohio tonight.
- 19:55We have Miami. Plus 9 1/2 at -1 O 3.
- 19:58And we have. Ohio State -9 1/2 at plus 100 /
- 20:0240 1/2 - 1 O3 under 40 1/2 + 100.
- 20:06You're getting way better juice because.
- 20:08You're not going up against a house or sports book, so of
- 20:11course you can win at the same rate but have a bigger profit
- 20:14because you're risking less juice.
- 20:15So if you. Want to download Novig when you
- 20:17fund your account just. Put in Josh 123 and you'll get
- 20:20an extra 25 bucks tacked onto your account.
- 20:23Lastly, we got week, what is it Week 18 in the NFL here?
- 20:27And then we have the playoffs, so.
- 20:29You know what that. Means.
- 20:29You got to get ready for the NFL Sharp Survivor Contest.
- 20:35With splash boards. So I'm very much looking forward
- 20:37to this. We've got about 30.
- 20:39Signups right now and. I'm going to have a big blitz.
- 20:41You're probably going to get a. Direct message from me.
- 20:43I'm going to talk about on the. Pod.
- 20:45But if you want to join the Survivor contest for the
- 20:47playoffs, it'll be available. You can do it now, but once we
- 20:51get the full. Card of we knowing who's in and
- 20:54who's out, then you can obviously pick your teams and
- 20:56you got to save your champion for the last round.
- 20:58So that'll be a kind of a different way to approach it.
- 21:00But it's 25 bucks and if you win it, you get up to 5000.
- 21:04So hope you guys will will think about joining.
- 21:07So that what does it everyone for a New Year's Eve edition of
- 21:09the ASG Pod episode 423. As always, a couple final
- 21:13thoughts. Here whether I.
- 21:14See you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 21:17Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods, or Mohegan
- 21:20Sun down in Connecticut. At the.
- 21:22Encore in Boston, plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield the
- 21:25Nash and my neck of the woods on the border.
- 21:27Of Nashua, NH and Massachusetts are out in the desert where the
- 21:30true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number
- 21:33runners. With lowest juice possible is
- 21:35found at the. South Point, where sweat and
- 21:37sharp contrarian plays. And jumping in the stadium swim
- 21:39pool when you. Catch a big ticket at Circo.
- 21:42Whatever it may be, you're. Going to walk up to me, show me
- 21:44a. Falcons ticket for Monday?
- 21:46How about a? Billion Mary ticket.
- 21:48How about TCU or Illinois from yesterday?
- 21:50First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 21:52We'll post about the book and sweatshop and train plays all.
- 21:55Night and into. 2026. So as always, guys coming off a
- 21:59win or a loss, a good night or a bad night, an awesome night or a
- 22:02terrible night, hot streak or a cold streak, that's that's life
- 22:05and that's. Sports betting, there's ups and
- 22:07downs, so we just got to stick with it.
- 22:08Never get too high or too low. Find the games that fit our
- 22:10model. Against the public.
- 22:12With the house with the pros flat bet.
- 22:14Avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're.
- 22:17Going to be successful sports bettors.
- 22:19So have a great New Year's Eve, guys.
- 22:21Stay safe and have a good. Time.
- 22:23And I will see. You in 2026.
- 22:25I will see you next year. Good luck everybody, and happy
- 22:28New Year's Eve.