Latest / Financial Survival Network / The System Is Starting to Crack - Adam Taggart #6379
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You're listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, where you
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- 0:27Speaker 2: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 0:31Speaker 2: Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Letz. Well with us
- 0:34Speaker 2: today is Adam Taggart. Your reputation, Adam precedes you huge,
- 0:41Speaker 2: huge presence out there in the thoughtful money business, and
- 0:45Speaker 2: that's your website, thoughtful Money dot com. And hey, we've
- 0:50Speaker 2: had this huge run up in metals. Now we're getting
- 0:54Speaker 2: the inevitable party hangover, if you will. Amazing at it
- 1:00Speaker 2: looks like silver will retrace almost exactly fifty percent a
- 1:05Speaker 2: little what do you call that contrati if number or whatever,
- 1:11Speaker 2: and then we're.
- 1:13Speaker 3: Back to the races right well, from your lips to
- 1:17Speaker 3: God's ears. Look, there's a lot of reasons to still
- 1:22Speaker 3: be really bullish on silver's price in the long term,
- 1:26Speaker 3: and it has certainly been club like a turkey BLT.
- 1:31Speaker 3: I said an X last night. Now, you know, we
- 1:37Speaker 3: are hopefully seeing some pretty good entry points here for
- 1:40Speaker 3: folks that want to add to their exposure. Or if
- 1:42Speaker 3: you missed the run up the first time and we're
- 1:44Speaker 3: kicking yourself, you know, this may be a great gift
- 1:47Speaker 3: from the universe to get in. That said, you know,
- 1:50Speaker 3: could it go lower?
- 1:51Speaker 4: Sure?
- 1:52Speaker 3: And you know, I think anything is possible.
- 1:55Speaker 4: I think.
- 1:56Speaker 3: Let me put this way, I think I think as
- 1:57Speaker 3: long as the war situation continues to sus stain, and
- 2:01Speaker 3: if it becomes even more kinnectic. More concerning, if oil
- 2:04Speaker 3: prices go even higher, or at least even just stay
- 2:06Speaker 3: high at these prices for longer than folks are currently expecting,
- 2:10Speaker 3: that may still have some negative knock on effects on
- 2:13Speaker 3: the precious metals. So I don't want to sell the
- 2:17Speaker 3: story that I think. You know, solber is going to
- 2:19Speaker 3: take off to the moon tomorrow necessarily. And you were
- 2:22Speaker 3: asking me before we turned the camera on, Kerrie, if
- 2:25Speaker 3: I expected the medals to follow this much, And I
- 2:30Speaker 3: think the answer, honest answer is is I was totally
- 2:33Speaker 3: open to it. And the reason for that was I've
- 2:37Speaker 3: been a long term precious metal investor like you I
- 2:41Speaker 3: nineteen eighty I was nine years old, so I wasn't
- 2:45Speaker 3: following that one super closely, but certainly it was pretty
- 2:49Speaker 3: heavily in the precious metals when twenty eleven came along
- 2:54Speaker 3: and so saw that, you know, bull off spike and
- 2:57Speaker 3: then what happened after that, and so when we were
- 3:02Speaker 3: try to remember when I did this, I think it
- 3:03Speaker 3: was June of twenty twenty five, June of last year.
- 3:07Speaker 3: There were a preponderance of events happening that made me
- 3:11Speaker 3: exceptionally bullish on you know, the prices of the precious metals,
- 3:15Speaker 3: but in particular sober and you know, Carrie, I'm not
- 3:18Speaker 3: a financial guru. I don't put myself out there as one.
- 3:22Speaker 3: If anything, I'm sort of a guru of gurus.
- 3:26Speaker 4: I do what you do for.
- 3:27Speaker 3: A living, which is I talked to a lot of
- 3:29Speaker 3: the best minds of money in the markets. And if
- 3:30Speaker 3: I have any value from that, it's the fact that
- 3:33Speaker 3: I get to talk to so many people and I
- 3:36Speaker 3: get to synthesize, you know, what they say. And one
- 3:39Speaker 3: of the things that I look for and what I
- 3:41Speaker 3: do is when I hear the same conclusion coming up
- 3:46Speaker 3: in conversation after conversation with experts who use different methodologies,
- 3:51Speaker 3: so they're all taking different paths, but their paths are
- 3:53Speaker 3: leading to the same destination. And when I hear that happen,
- 3:57Speaker 3: I start to think, Okay, the probability of that can
- 4:00Speaker 3: illusion is probably higher than normal because so many people
- 4:03Speaker 3: are getting there with different methodologies. And I was hearing
- 4:06Speaker 3: that around silver so much to the point that, like
- 4:09Speaker 3: I said, I don't put myself out there as a
- 4:11Speaker 3: as a financial guru, but I remember when bitcoin was
- 4:17Speaker 3: really taking off and everybody in social media was giving
- 4:21Speaker 3: themselves laser eyes as a way to indicate that I'm
- 4:24Speaker 3: on the bitcoin train. So June of last year, I
- 4:28Speaker 3: gave myself silver eyes. So I just put these two
- 4:33Speaker 3: Solber eagles, you know, coins over the eye of my
- 4:35Speaker 3: profile avatar and said, hey, folks, I'm getting really bullish
- 4:38Speaker 3: on silver. And then fortunately one of my followers very
- 4:42Speaker 3: quickly added like silber laser beams coming out of the eyes, right,
- 4:45Speaker 3: So I had silver laser eyes, and I you know,
- 4:49Speaker 3: there's probably a lot of luck in this, folks. But
- 4:52Speaker 3: that was basically when sober you know, basically went from
- 4:54Speaker 3: I don't know that twenty eight, you know, from then
- 4:58Speaker 3: on it went off to the ra and early this year,
- 5:02Speaker 3: when it got to one hundred dollars an ounce, I
- 5:05Speaker 3: took the silver eyes off and I told folks, look,
- 5:09Speaker 3: I hope this thing continues to go higher. I'll cheer
- 5:12Speaker 3: it if it does. But I'm getting really nervous that
- 5:15Speaker 3: silver is just getting incredibly over sold, sorry, overbought, just
- 5:20Speaker 3: because it's price action. I mean, Carrie, you know that
- 5:22Speaker 3: no asset goes vertical forever, and the more vertical the
- 5:26Speaker 3: price action becomes, the more likely not only that it's
- 5:29Speaker 3: going to pull back sometime soon, but the pullback is
- 5:31Speaker 3: going to be probably pretty violent. And I got a
- 5:34Speaker 3: lot of flak initially from this, you know, the Silver bros.
- 5:37Speaker 3: Because they didn't want me to send a signal that
- 5:39Speaker 3: the party was ending. And of course, Silver, you know,
- 5:43Speaker 3: over the next week and a half, you know, went
- 5:45Speaker 3: to one hundred and twenty an ounce, and so for
- 5:47Speaker 3: a very brief moment, a lot of people were saying, Adam,
- 5:49Speaker 3: you're totally missing the boat here. But then, of course
- 5:52Speaker 3: we had this correction, and if you look at the
- 5:56Speaker 3: price action the last two times Silver did this two
- 5:59Speaker 3: thousand in nineteen eighty, the replacements were just brutal. By
- 6:06Speaker 3: the time they were done, not only had they given
- 6:08Speaker 3: up pretty much all the gains that Sover had made
- 6:11Speaker 3: over the run, but then Sober was like dead money
- 6:13Speaker 3: for like a decade or more. And so I don't
- 6:18Speaker 3: think that's going to be the case this time. But
- 6:22Speaker 3: I think you have to respect the price action and
- 6:24Speaker 3: just know that there's a non zero probability that the
- 6:27Speaker 3: price could continue following the shape of the previous two corrections.
- 6:33Speaker 3: Now that being said, Sober is many many different things
- 6:37Speaker 3: going on this time. You know, nineteen eighty essentially was
- 6:42Speaker 3: a response to the Hunt Brothers trying to corner the market.
- 6:45Speaker 3: It was, you know, one actor that then just got
- 6:47Speaker 3: beaten in the submission. This time, it's the whole world
- 6:51Speaker 3: that is going after physical very different story. I interview
- 6:55Speaker 3: precious metals experts.
- 6:58Speaker 4: I like to.
- 6:59Speaker 3: Interview dealers, you know, the guys that are actually there
- 7:02Speaker 3: with their hands on the pulse of what's going on
- 7:04Speaker 3: in the physical world. And I interview any Scheckment a
- 7:07Speaker 3: lot Andy. But Andy is saying that, you know, over
- 7:11Speaker 3: the course of his like, you know, thirty plus year
- 7:14Speaker 3: career in this industry, the volumes we're seeing right now
- 7:17Speaker 3: in terms of the demand for physical silver unprecedented, and
- 7:22Speaker 3: and the volumes that are being taken for delivery out
- 7:26Speaker 3: of the comes totally unprecedented. And they're at such levels that,
- 7:30Speaker 3: I mean, tens of millions of ounces a month that
- 7:35Speaker 3: it's hard to imagine anybody other than a sovereign player taking,
- 7:42Speaker 3: you know, being able to take delivery of those volumes.
- 7:44Speaker 3: You get to remember, you to take delivery of it.
- 7:45Speaker 3: You you get stored somewhere, you got to ship it,
- 7:48Speaker 3: you know, ship it and shi securely.
- 7:51Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 7:52Speaker 3: So so that's very different obviously with the central banks
- 7:56Speaker 3: that have turned into the very big net buyers of
- 7:58Speaker 3: the precious metals in recent years. It's now been declared
- 8:04Speaker 3: an essential mineral by the US government and has a
- 8:08Speaker 3: similar status and an increasing number of governments out there.
- 8:11Speaker 3: As you know, Andy likes to say, you know, a
- 8:15Speaker 3: US missile, you know, takes I don't know how many
- 8:19Speaker 3: hundreds of bounces of sober, but but several hundred ounces
- 8:22Speaker 3: a sober per missile. We're vaporizing on a sober right
- 8:25Speaker 3: now over in the Middle East. That all needs to
- 8:27Speaker 3: get restocked. If you just look at the commercial demand
- 8:31Speaker 3: for everything from UH electronics to you know, the data
- 8:37Speaker 3: centers that we're building.
- 8:38Speaker 4: In an AI world.
- 8:39Speaker 3: You know you're going to need the world's most conductive
- 8:41Speaker 3: element for all that. So there's all sorts of reasons
- 8:44Speaker 3: to be really quite bullish this time and say, yes,
- 8:46Speaker 3: it is different than it was in the previous two
- 8:49Speaker 3: price bikes that that that then disappated away. So you know,
- 8:53Speaker 3: long story short, I think you can make some pretty
- 8:56Speaker 3: good technical conclusions here in the near term that sober
- 8:59Speaker 3: is pretty short term over sold, and that at the
- 9:02Speaker 3: minute we get some relief in the world's fears about
- 9:06Speaker 3: the war, that silver could have a really violent reaction
- 9:10Speaker 3: to the upside. And one of the big things that's
- 9:12Speaker 3: going on right now, Kerrie, is you know there is
- 9:17Speaker 3: forced selling going on in the world right now because
- 9:20Speaker 3: of the I oil pricess liquidation in a couple of ways,
- 9:24Speaker 3: a couple of ways. You know, big players countries even
- 9:26Speaker 3: right they're having to spend a lot more in oil
- 9:29Speaker 3: suddenly than they were before. So to fund that, they're
- 9:32Speaker 3: selling their assets that have value, and precious metals have
- 9:35Speaker 3: been in a great run, so there's a lot of
- 9:36Speaker 3: profit and old There also one one question for you
- 9:42Speaker 3: which everybody's been reading about it.
- 9:45Speaker 2: I know it's out there. I don't really like to
- 9:47Speaker 2: follow the trend because that's how they get you the narrative.
- 9:52Speaker 2: But we do have this private credit crack up. Now
- 9:56Speaker 2: my feeling is it already happened six months to a
- 9:59Speaker 2: year ago. It's just like when a star explodes and
- 10:03Speaker 2: turns into a black hole and twenty light years later
- 10:07Speaker 2: we see it happen. That's what happens in the markets.
- 10:11Speaker 2: How real is is the private credit crackup? Is that
- 10:16Speaker 2: leading to liquidation in the markets? What's your work say
- 10:19Speaker 2: on that? And sorry for.
- 10:20Speaker 3: Cap do you I think it works as we're still
- 10:23Speaker 3: we're still finding out. But that's it's a great segue
- 10:26Speaker 3: to the point out was I was making, which is
- 10:28Speaker 3: not only is oil just forcing you know, large players
- 10:32Speaker 3: to sell assets to fund the higher oil, but it's
- 10:35Speaker 3: also you know, weight on the markets we've had We've
- 10:38Speaker 3: had a lot of market weakness because of the knock
- 10:41Speaker 3: kind of effects of the war here and there. You
- 10:44Speaker 3: get forced margin calls right where you get investors who
- 10:46Speaker 3: are leving me or whatnot. You're literally just hey, you know,
- 10:49Speaker 3: either either you get to put more money in today
- 10:50Speaker 3: or we are selling your positions. Whether you like it
- 10:52Speaker 3: or not, right, So I think that's pushing this down
- 10:55Speaker 3: to now, how much of that is due to potentially
- 10:57Speaker 3: private credit? I don't know is the real answer. And
- 11:01Speaker 3: I just telled my Spring conference this past week and
- 11:04Speaker 3: carry so I had I don't know. You know, fifteen
- 11:08Speaker 3: presenters talk a lot about private credit throughout the day,
- 11:12Speaker 3: and you know what I took from that is is
- 11:16Speaker 3: there's definitely real there there, just FYI. I don't think
- 11:21Speaker 3: any of them thinks that this is as existential a
- 11:25Speaker 3: threat to kind of the financial system the way that
- 11:28Speaker 3: subprime was. But they're all saying, but I could be wrong.
- 11:32Speaker 3: I think a big hedge, yeah, but a really interesting ques.
- 11:38Speaker 3: So one of the reasons why we don't know how
- 11:40Speaker 3: big it is is because private credits willpaque. Right, So,
- 11:42Speaker 3: unlike the public banking system, we don't have visibility into
- 11:46Speaker 3: these loans.
- 11:47Speaker 4: We don't know what.
- 11:48Speaker 3: Loans weren't made, we don't know whether they were good
- 11:50Speaker 3: loans or not. We're just not going to find out
- 11:53Speaker 3: until the bodies start floating to the surface, which they
- 11:55Speaker 3: are starting to do now. So I kind of like
- 11:57Speaker 3: your analogy about the supernovas. We you know, we only
- 12:00Speaker 3: see it long after. We only see the damage long
- 12:02Speaker 3: after it was actually inflicted. But one really interesting point
- 12:08Speaker 3: that was raised during this conference was, you know a
- 12:12Speaker 3: lot of these private equity funds are gating the funds
- 12:15Speaker 3: right So, I'm a private equity investor, I'm stressed, I'm
- 12:18Speaker 3: now worried about this. I'm reading the headlines, I'm worried,
- 12:22Speaker 3: and i want to take my money out of these funds. Well,
- 12:24Speaker 3: the funds that we can't do that, and as a
- 12:26Speaker 3: matter of fact, we're going to totally gate all withdrawals
- 12:29Speaker 3: right now. So you know, we'll tell you when at
- 12:31Speaker 3: some point in the future you might be able to
- 12:32Speaker 3: get access to this again. So if you're that investor
- 12:35Speaker 3: in your A you know, freaked out, and b perhaps
- 12:40Speaker 3: you've got some stress now in your portfolio so you
- 12:42Speaker 3: need you want to or need to liquidate things, Well,
- 12:45Speaker 3: you can't liquidate it from the private market right now,
- 12:48Speaker 3: So where can you liquid it from the public market?
- 12:50Speaker 3: So you have to go over and sell, which you
- 12:52Speaker 3: can on the public side. So, in addition to the
- 12:54Speaker 3: margin call issue we were talking about, I think there
- 12:56Speaker 3: also is this knock on effect of private credit where
- 12:59Speaker 3: private credit investors who are stressed are having to sell
- 13:02Speaker 3: their private sorry, their public assets, you know to Surbien.
- 13:07Speaker 2: Yep, Well, we call this the Hunter the liquidator, Hunter
- 13:13Speaker 2: the securitizer, who then becomes Hunter the liquidator. And you
- 13:18Speaker 2: know Hunter, he's a twenty something wall streeter and he
- 13:23Speaker 2: drives around it a neon green Lamborghini. That's Hunter the securitizer.
- 13:29Speaker 2: And Hunter is always looking for the next greatest cash flow.
- 13:34Speaker 2: Secure cash flow, uninterruptable, gets better in bad times. And
- 13:40Speaker 2: the last I heard he was throwing coins over his
- 13:42Speaker 2: shoulder at the Trevy Fountain in Rome, looking for the
- 13:47Speaker 2: next great payment stream, everything securitized. Haven't we learned anything here? Well,
- 13:55Speaker 2: I know I know the answer to the question of
- 13:57Speaker 2: that question. It's redundant. But haven't we weren't learned anything
- 14:01Speaker 2: since eight nine and the Great financial Crash? I mean, really,
- 14:06Speaker 2: aren't we doing exactly the same things?
- 14:09Speaker 4: Well? So, uh I.
- 14:13Speaker 3: My answer is not going to surprise you at all,
- 14:14Speaker 3: but it's probably under depression even more. No, I don't
- 14:17Speaker 3: think we have and in private credit. I think many
- 14:20Speaker 3: of us watched this sort of train wreck happening in
- 14:26Speaker 3: disbelief saying, hey, didn't don't we know how this ends?
- 14:29Speaker 3: And and uh, you know a number of these companies.
- 14:31Speaker 3: I remember I was probably about six months ago calling
- 14:36Speaker 3: out Blue Owl, which at the time was was.
- 14:38Speaker 4: You know, riding high. Yeah.
- 14:41Speaker 3: And they what they were doing is they were buying
- 14:44Speaker 3: the books of a lot of the buy now, pay
- 14:46Speaker 3: later lenders, which Carrie to me, buy now, pay later
- 14:50Speaker 3: is like the epitome of the we didn't learn our
- 14:53Speaker 3: lesson you know, yeah, I love it. Basically loading to
- 14:58Speaker 3: people who were who were taking out an inst alment
- 15:00Speaker 3: plan to buy, you know, burritos from Chipotle.
- 15:04Speaker 4: We could go wrong, what could go wrong? Right?
- 15:06Speaker 3: But just to depress you. So, one of the guests
- 15:08Speaker 3: at my conference was Matt tabe oh Sud, the journalist,
- 15:12Speaker 3: the fellow who who you know, was sort of our
- 15:14Speaker 3: generation's chronicler of the two thousand and eight crash, right,
- 15:18Speaker 3: the guy that really made it understandable over the masses.
- 15:20Speaker 3: So I asked him that exact same question and he
- 15:23Speaker 3: just said no. And it's like, I can't believe it.
- 15:25Speaker 3: I mean, for as much time as we spent forensically
- 15:29Speaker 3: picking apart what went wrong last time, the little amount
- 15:33Speaker 3: that we learned from it and the little amount of
- 15:35Speaker 3: change of behavior is just staggering.
- 15:37Speaker 2: Yeah, they're securitizing everything and in giving it a triple
- 15:43Speaker 2: A bond rating. And you know, I was thinking that
- 15:47Speaker 2: Hunter should go to a new field called the aa
- 15:51Speaker 2: NS allowance anticipation notes, where it allows kids to sell
- 15:57Speaker 2: off up to ten years of their allows so they
- 16:01Speaker 2: can buy an Xbox or a e bike or whatever
- 16:04Speaker 2: it is they want. Because that's when you get down
- 16:07Speaker 2: to it, I don't that's how absurd this thing is.
- 16:10Speaker 3: Right, we joke about that, but you know, carry that
- 16:12Speaker 3: might happen. As you're saying that, I'm thinking like, oh
- 16:14Speaker 3: my god, maybe they'll securitize people's inheritances, right, like, hey,
- 16:18Speaker 3: we'll give you a loan today, you know, for a
- 16:20Speaker 3: claim on your inheritance once your parents die, right yeah.
- 16:24Speaker 2: Or or we'll give it to you on your life
- 16:27Speaker 2: insurance so you can collect your policy before you die.
- 16:30Speaker 2: Isn't that the ultimate?
- 16:32Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's it's so I'm sure we're just
- 16:35Speaker 3: enraging the viewers here, but yeah, we learned so very
- 16:39Speaker 3: little from this, and of course, to a certain extent,
- 16:42Speaker 3: it's not their fault, Carrie, right, I mean, like, what
- 16:45Speaker 3: did we teach Wall Street and y'uring the GFC you'll
- 16:49Speaker 3: get bailed out, you know, and the losses will get socialized.
- 16:52Speaker 3: I mean, some people forget the big Wall Street banks.
- 16:55Speaker 3: They pay themselves record bonuses in two thousand and nine,
- 16:59Speaker 3: right in the depths of the despair of the GFC.
- 17:04Speaker 3: They were just completely toned after this, and they didn't
- 17:06Speaker 3: pay a price.
- 17:07Speaker 2: For it, really totally, And yeah, it's no better this time.
- 17:12Speaker 2: What's worse in a way is when you got like
- 17:15Speaker 2: eight million foreclosures taking place or whatever the actual number was.
- 17:20Speaker 2: You can't hide that stuff with this besides the funds gating,
- 17:28Speaker 2: you actually can hide it, just like we hid during
- 17:32Speaker 2: the Great Financial Crisis, sixteen trillion that went out the
- 17:36Speaker 2: door to bail out European banks, right right, it's the
- 17:40Speaker 2: same thing because now under dot Frank, it's supposed to
- 17:43Speaker 2: be a bill and well, you know that's never going
- 17:45Speaker 2: to happen because nobody's going to put up with that.
- 17:48Speaker 4: We'll have a revolution.
- 17:49Speaker 2: So instead you just stealthily write some checks behind the scenes.
- 17:55Speaker 2: Problem gone, and then onto the next disaster.
- 17:59Speaker 4: Right, I think that's likely true.
- 18:01Speaker 3: And then you know, I was complaining about the opacity
- 18:03Speaker 3: of the private credit space, but I think that that
- 18:07Speaker 3: was probably very intentional one because it helps them on
- 18:13Speaker 3: in the good days because they just have less requirements,
- 18:17Speaker 3: less constraints. But I think to your point, it helps
- 18:19Speaker 3: them on the bad days where it lets these backdoor
- 18:21Speaker 3: bailouts happen in the darkness so that the public can't
- 18:24Speaker 3: get enraged about it.
- 18:26Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's exactly what's going to happen here. I
- 18:29Speaker 2: don't know, they're not in the US government is not
- 18:31Speaker 2: letting Black Rock take a hit. And this is the
- 18:35Speaker 2: same exact thing as seven eight nine, where initially it's
- 18:41Speaker 2: the sub subprime, then it goes to the subprime, then
- 18:45Speaker 2: it goes to the alta, and then it goes to
- 18:47Speaker 2: prime and to a lesser degree. But it was a contagion.
- 18:52Speaker 2: It's a contagion, yep. And all this private financing, and
- 18:56Speaker 2: then the people who are taking advantage of it, the
- 18:59Speaker 2: mid size companies that are basically zombie companies, they can't
- 19:04Speaker 2: go on anymore if this private credit market seizes up, right.
- 19:10Speaker 3: And so I think that's totally true. Now, let me
- 19:12Speaker 3: make a statement that might not be popular here.
- 19:15Speaker 4: So you know, I.
- 19:16Speaker 3: I interview lots of professional investors. I was interviewing Jan Vneck,
- 19:25Speaker 3: you know, the CEO of X Funds a quarter ago,
- 19:29Speaker 3: and he was basically, you know, pointing out some of
- 19:31Speaker 3: the troubles in private equity and said, hey, you know,
- 19:34Speaker 3: you should you should maybe be a little bit cautious here.
- 19:37Speaker 3: He said, I like these business development corporations, but I
- 19:40Speaker 3: don't think they're I don't think they're going to fare
- 19:43Speaker 3: very well here.
- 19:45Speaker 4: For a while.
- 19:46Speaker 3: And he, you know, was proven to be very true.
- 19:48Speaker 3: You know, he and others I talked to are now saying, hey,
- 19:51Speaker 3: you know a lot of these things are being priced
- 19:53Speaker 3: as if they're going out of business, and for a
- 19:56Speaker 3: lot of these a lot of these funds that they're
- 19:58Speaker 3: highly likely not going to just from a management and
- 20:03Speaker 3: diversification standpoint. And remember with credit, you know, you you
- 20:08Speaker 3: the only risk you have is the existential credit of
- 20:11Speaker 3: the company dying. As long as it can survive and
- 20:15Speaker 3: make its payments, you know, you're going to get paid
- 20:17Speaker 3: on your on the debt that you're holding. So the
- 20:20Speaker 3: his point in others is, hey, we may actually be
- 20:23Speaker 3: starting to see some pretty good valuations in some of
- 20:26Speaker 3: these private credit funds that are kind of getting left
- 20:28Speaker 3: for dead right now. And so while I am standing
- 20:32Speaker 3: hip to hip with you and railing against you know,
- 20:34Speaker 3: kind of the pernicious effect I think they have on
- 20:38Speaker 3: the system. Overall, some of them may actually be proved,
- 20:41Speaker 3: may prove to be some pretty good investments right now,
- 20:43Speaker 3: if we're looking forward, you know, if.
- 20:45Speaker 4: We want to check in again in three to six months,
- 20:48Speaker 4: I agree.
- 20:48Speaker 2: But I remember at the start of the financial collapse,
- 20:53Speaker 2: I went to a talk in the ninety second Street
- 20:56Speaker 2: Why in New York City, this guy Ralph Winter, who
- 21:00Speaker 2: ran the Winter Fund. I don't even know if it's
- 21:02Speaker 2: still around or dot. And at that point, like the
- 21:05Speaker 2: banks had been clobbered, City Bank was trading it like
- 21:08Speaker 2: single digits. And one of the people asked Ralph, said,
- 21:14Speaker 2: is City Bank a goodbye now? And he said, look,
- 21:19Speaker 2: if you look at their financial statements, there could be
- 21:23Speaker 2: footnote number one eighty seven, which you have no idea
- 21:29Speaker 2: what it means because they're so opaque, and that one
- 21:34Speaker 2: footnote could blow up the entire bank. So is it
- 21:37Speaker 2: a good deal? Well, yeah, it's a good deal from
- 21:39Speaker 2: the standpoint you know that the government isn't going to
- 21:43Speaker 2: let City Bank go bust. They might let the layman,
- 21:46Speaker 2: but not City Bank because that touches too many individual
- 21:50Speaker 2: and savers, not just investors, but savers.
- 21:55Speaker 4: We could very.
- 21:55Speaker 2: Well be in the same situation now where those funds
- 21:58Speaker 2: look attractive now, in six more months, they could look
- 22:01Speaker 2: way more attractive, couldn't they.
- 22:03Speaker 4: They could.
- 22:04Speaker 3: And honestly, Kerrie, I mean, this is a multifactorial world
- 22:07Speaker 3: we live in, but I think kind of the big
- 22:09Speaker 3: factor right now is what happens with the war here.
- 22:15Speaker 3: You know, at my conference, the keynote speaker was the
- 22:18Speaker 3: great Lacy Hunt, great economist Lacy Hunt, and you know,
- 22:22Speaker 3: Lacy sort of you know, hit a number of slides
- 22:25Speaker 3: that showed how the economy was challenged, we'll say, heading
- 22:31Speaker 3: into this year anyways, you know, looking at things like
- 22:34Speaker 3: the decline of the savings rate, looking at weakness in
- 22:36Speaker 3: the labor market, looking at contraction in the flows of
- 22:40Speaker 3: actual shipped goods, factory capacity Utilization's got a whole bunch
- 22:45Speaker 3: of factors here that basically show an economy that is stumbling.
- 22:49Speaker 3: We'll put it that way. Then he said, okay, and
- 22:52Speaker 3: then you put on top of that the stresses of
- 22:54Speaker 3: an oil price shock is like, you know, that's like
- 22:57Speaker 3: taking you know, a drunk house stumbling home and take
- 23:00Speaker 3: a baseball bat to his knees. Right, So what he
- 23:03Speaker 3: did is he compared the previous major oil price shocks
- 23:06Speaker 3: over the past fifty years and then what happened afterwards,
- 23:09Speaker 3: And in most cases, the economy was similarly challenged before
- 23:15Speaker 3: those oil price shocks hit. And the Crib notes is
- 23:18Speaker 3: is that nothing good happens when you add an oil
- 23:21Speaker 3: price shock onto an economy that is not robust. So
- 23:26Speaker 3: you know, you get guys like Lacey ed Doud a
- 23:29Speaker 3: few others who are like, oh my god, like definitely
- 23:34Speaker 3: I'm making my forecast even more pessimistic given what's going
- 23:37Speaker 3: on right now. But of course the big factor there
- 23:40Speaker 3: is is okay, but is this a price shock that
- 23:41Speaker 3: lasts for, you know, a couple of weeks a month,
- 23:44Speaker 3: or is this a price shock that gets extended at
- 23:47Speaker 3: another six, nine, twelve months? Right, We don't know yet,
- 23:51Speaker 3: And it's going to totally depend on how long the
- 23:53Speaker 3: war goes on, and it's going to depend on how
- 23:55Speaker 3: much damage is done long term damage has done infrastructure
- 23:59Speaker 3: in the Gulf right now, So so first and foremost,
- 24:05Speaker 3: I think that's really what's going to depend and the
- 24:07Speaker 3: longer that goes on, not just private credit, Kerry, I
- 24:09Speaker 3: mean everything is going to get tracked, and that that
- 24:12Speaker 3: could be we could be looking back in a year
- 24:15Speaker 3: and saying, well, that was the clear catalyst that brought
- 24:18Speaker 3: on the next recession and the next big market correction,
- 24:21Speaker 3: all that stuff, and if it lasts for long enough,
- 24:23Speaker 3: it will.
- 24:25Speaker 4: I think you can have a I'm not.
- 24:27Speaker 3: A geopolitical strategist, so take everything with a big grain
- 24:29Speaker 3: of salt.
- 24:30Speaker 4: I do.
- 24:30Speaker 3: I have interviewed a couple for the show. I would
- 24:34Speaker 3: just say, don't put a negative probability on the war
- 24:40Speaker 3: being over sooner rather than later. And the reason for
- 24:44Speaker 3: that is, and I know a lot of people don't
- 24:46Speaker 3: like this is you know, this isn't a popular opinion
- 24:49Speaker 3: with everybody. But if you look at President Trump's track
- 24:52Speaker 3: record in any way, he's willing to gamble, but in
- 24:57Speaker 3: many ways what he is playing for is better than
- 25:01Speaker 3: what I had before. Right, So he might put out
- 25:03Speaker 3: these grandiose statements of what he's trying to accomplish, but
- 25:06Speaker 3: really I think always looking for is just a better
- 25:07Speaker 3: situation than I had before. And so, for example, when
- 25:10Speaker 3: he went in to take out Maduro, I think his
- 25:12Speaker 3: thinking was, all right, I'm going to try the strike.
- 25:14Speaker 3: If it fails, I'm no worse often I was before
- 25:17Speaker 3: Sam Guy's in office, and that was there the day before.
- 25:20Speaker 3: Didn't get worse. If I take him out and the
- 25:25Speaker 3: new regime plays ball with me a little bit better,
- 25:27Speaker 3: well that's better than what we had before.
- 25:28Speaker 4: Everybody, you know, I got what I needed.
- 25:31Speaker 2: I've been following Trump since his first real estate deal
- 25:35Speaker 2: in New York City the common way.
- 25:37Speaker 4: You're super familiar with this, Yeah.
- 25:39Speaker 2: So, and I've actually called every single thing that happened.
- 25:44Speaker 2: The only thing I thought was going to happen was
- 25:47Speaker 2: a cessation of the Russia Ukraine War. And it's kind
- 25:51Speaker 2: of like yesterday's news. You just don't hear much about
- 25:54Speaker 2: it anymore. It's like, imagine if they had a war
- 25:58Speaker 2: and nobody came.
- 25:59Speaker 4: But I knew.
- 26:02Speaker 2: I knew that he was going to take out Maduro
- 26:04Speaker 2: because he really summed up his philosophy in the art
- 26:08Speaker 2: of the deal.
- 26:09Speaker 4: And that is when I.
- 26:11Speaker 2: Look at a deal, I don't look at what can
- 26:15Speaker 2: go right. I look at what can go wrong. I
- 26:18Speaker 2: always look at my downside first, because I know that
- 26:22Speaker 2: the upside of the deal will take care of itself,
- 26:25Speaker 2: and the downside deal of pulling out Maduro. If it
- 26:29Speaker 2: didn't work, Eh, wasn't so bad. The downside of blowing
- 26:33Speaker 2: up narco terrorist boats, if that's what they really are,
- 26:37Speaker 2: and I assume they are, but we don't really know,
- 26:41Speaker 2: you know, downside, not so bad. Downside going into Iran. Yeah, well,
- 26:47Speaker 2: maybe I won't be able to get regime change, but
- 26:51Speaker 2: I will so cripple them that they'll wish that they
- 26:54Speaker 2: had regime change. So each move that he's made has
- 26:59Speaker 2: always been with an eye to the downside, not to
- 27:02Speaker 2: the upside. Necessarily, Yes, if it worked out, the upside
- 27:05Speaker 2: would be great. And I go back to the first
- 27:09Speaker 2: triumph of his second term, which was re retaking or
- 27:16Speaker 2: reimposing US influence over the Panama Canal. Now, yeah, that
- 27:20Speaker 2: was the first thing that happened. I knew exactly what
- 27:23Speaker 2: the path was the second I saw that, because you know,
- 27:27Speaker 2: from this geopolitical standpoint, strategic standpoint, you have to have
- 27:33Speaker 2: the canal, right, because that's the gateway and that protects
- 27:36Speaker 2: the entire hemisphere. But it also made clear that Venezuela
- 27:41Speaker 2: was going And then he had a meeting with G
- 27:45Speaker 2: and G actually did cut back somewhat on fentanyl trafficking,
- 27:50Speaker 2: and I knew there was a deal that basically Russia
- 27:54Speaker 2: and China, but particularly China, we're basically going to look
- 27:57Speaker 2: the other way when we hit Venezuela and Iran. Now
- 28:04Speaker 2: China will rue the day they ever let us go
- 28:07Speaker 2: back into Iran.
- 28:09Speaker 4: But you know.
- 28:11Speaker 2: It's gone exactly. I wrote an article about it. Eight
- 28:15Speaker 2: calls I made since May of last year that all
- 28:20Speaker 2: came to pass. The only one I was wrong about
- 28:22Speaker 2: was ending the Ukraine War, but it actually worked to
- 28:27Speaker 2: the benefit of Trump's strategy not ending it because it'll
- 28:32Speaker 2: mobilized them and they couldn't do anything about Iran or Cuba.
- 28:36Speaker 2: I also called Cuba almost to the day. There was
- 28:39Speaker 2: no question it was going to happen. So I will
- 28:42Speaker 2: take the call and say that Silver we're going to
- 28:44Speaker 2: be through this thing probably the next eight weeks, mid June,
- 28:48Speaker 2: and not that we'll live happily ever after. Because one
- 28:52Speaker 2: thing I wanted to talk to you about, and this
- 28:54Speaker 2: was ahead of all this stuff kind of got away
- 28:56Speaker 2: with it. What about AI All right, I know you
- 29:00Speaker 2: use it, I know you're into it. What do you
- 29:03Speaker 2: see it's potential impact, especially on the white collar economy.
- 29:09Speaker 3: Yeah, So I so want to talk about that with you,
- 29:11Speaker 3: and I have very strong opinions. If I can, let
- 29:14Speaker 3: me just sure bow and what we were talking about,
- 29:16Speaker 3: and then we'll jump topics. So it sounds like you
- 29:19Speaker 3: see through the lens that I'm looking through. Absolutely. And again, look, folks,
- 29:25Speaker 3: this could totally go south. It could totally go a
- 29:27Speaker 3: different way than I'm predicting. So I'm not saying I've
- 29:29Speaker 3: got it. I'm just saying, don't discount this. I think Carrie,
- 29:33Speaker 3: who is a greater student of Trump than I am,
- 29:34Speaker 3: is saying, hey, this is this is probably the likely probability.
- 29:38Speaker 3: But two things, so, uh, you know, first off, when
- 29:44Speaker 3: you when you tile these things together that you mentioned, right, Panama, Panama, Venezuela, Cuba, Iran,
- 29:54Speaker 3: you know, yes, there's immediate benefits we get from each
- 29:56Speaker 3: one of those. But also they help us in securing
- 30:00Speaker 3: America's interests versus China. I think it's a big part
- 30:03Speaker 3: of the sure I have spoken to a Chinese analyst.
- 30:08Speaker 3: That's another interview I did last week, which, folks, if
- 30:11Speaker 3: you don't know a lot about China, ad how do
- 30:12Speaker 3: they recommend you go listen to that?
- 30:13Speaker 4: I learned a ton we'll put that link up in
- 30:16Speaker 4: the show notes.
- 30:18Speaker 3: Oh great, thanks that analyst, a guy named Peter Alexander
- 30:21Speaker 3: is a westernerbody's lived in China for the years. He
- 30:26Speaker 3: he is a high belief that basically China and the
- 30:29Speaker 3: US have had this backdoor agreement where they've basically said,
- 30:33Speaker 3: you know what, we're going to kind of carve up
- 30:35Speaker 3: the world a bit. You know, America will will let
- 30:38Speaker 3: you kind of do them in a row doctrine two
- 30:39Speaker 3: do oh thing if you let us achieve you know,
- 30:43Speaker 3: our aspirations more on our side of the world. So obviously,
- 30:48Speaker 3: you know, a lot of this sort of plays to that.
- 30:50Speaker 3: A lot of it's going on place to that, and
- 30:52Speaker 3: also somewhat increases the US's bargaining power in those discussions
- 30:56Speaker 3: because remember, we don't really we don't. Is the US
- 31:00Speaker 3: don't depend on an oil coming out of the golf.
- 31:03Speaker 3: We care about it because the oil price is a
- 31:05Speaker 3: global commodity, but we don't necessarily care so much about
- 31:09Speaker 3: the barrels that go out of there. China absolutely does, right,
- 31:14Speaker 3: So it's all part of that, It's all part of
- 31:16Speaker 3: that big grand game. Also, one other thing too, is
- 31:18Speaker 3: carry one of the upsides of this is. I mean,
- 31:22Speaker 3: some people think, look, Trump wants to just you know,
- 31:25Speaker 3: his goal is to get rid of the regime, take
- 31:29Speaker 3: over carg Island and have the US can you know,
- 31:31Speaker 3: start to play a role and controlling a flow of
- 31:34Speaker 3: oil out of there. I don't know if that's the case.
- 31:36Speaker 3: I don't necessarily think that's the case. But we'll see
- 31:39Speaker 3: what happens. But even if this war ends tomorrow, there's
- 31:44Speaker 3: going to be a premium, a risk premium now put
- 31:47Speaker 3: on oil coming out of the Golf, oil and gas
- 31:49Speaker 3: coming out of the Golf that wasn't there before. And
- 31:52Speaker 3: so you're already starting to see a bunch of countries say,
- 31:54Speaker 3: you know what, I was buying the cheap oil out
- 31:57Speaker 3: of the golf and the cheap gas out of the Golf.
- 31:59Speaker 3: I think I want to buy it from a safer
- 32:01Speaker 3: country now, a country that I'm not going to have
- 32:03Speaker 3: to worry about it going into you know, getting into
- 32:07Speaker 3: kinetic quagmire. I'm not going to worry about my tankers
- 32:10Speaker 3: getting shot at or whatever. And so just last week,
- 32:13Speaker 3: the administration announced that it signed I like fifty six
- 32:16Speaker 3: billion in oil and gas contracts with Indo Pacific countries.
- 32:21Speaker 3: So they're already starting to do that. You know, if
- 32:23Speaker 3: you're Japan, it takes you twenty five days to get
- 32:26Speaker 3: a tanker from the Persian Gulf, it only takes you
- 32:30Speaker 3: eight to get it from Alaska. And you can be
- 32:32Speaker 3: pretty sure that Alaska is not going to be embroiled
- 32:35Speaker 3: in some you know, multinational, you.
- 32:38Speaker 4: Know war zone.
- 32:39Speaker 3: So there are additional long term benefits that could come
- 32:43Speaker 3: to America and some of its allies from what's going
- 32:46Speaker 3: on in the golf right now that are second or
- 32:47Speaker 3: third orders. That are effects that I don't think a
- 32:49Speaker 3: lot of people are thinking about right now.
- 32:51Speaker 2: And as long as you mentioned Alaska, let's talk about Canada.
- 32:55Speaker 4: It's fracturing now.
- 32:57Speaker 2: I don't think we're actually going to march into Alberta
- 33:00Speaker 2: in Saskatchewan, right yeah. I don't think we're really going
- 33:02Speaker 2: to annex them as states. I think they will become
- 33:06Speaker 2: semi autonomous regions of Canada and they will adopt the
- 33:12Speaker 2: US dollar. And think about what that does. It gives
- 33:15Speaker 2: us a corridor from Alaska down to the Upper Midwest,
- 33:20Speaker 2: the oil, everything else. And then when we follow that
- 33:24Speaker 2: down and we think about what could potentially happen in Mexico,
- 33:29Speaker 2: we have what I call the North American Resource Corridor
- 33:32Speaker 2: goes straight down the US into Mexico.
- 33:36Speaker 4: That's the gate.
- 33:36Speaker 2: That's the thing, And we don't have to talk about
- 33:39Speaker 2: AI and everything it's going to do.
- 33:41Speaker 4: I'm happy to go there because I've got.
- 33:43Speaker 2: But what is happening now that nobody out there sees
- 33:47Speaker 2: is AI is responsible for large amounts of decisions that
- 33:53Speaker 2: are taking place in the government.
- 33:55Speaker 4: Now.
- 33:55Speaker 2: It's not that it's making the decision that Trump just
- 33:58Speaker 2: says AI, what I call a Trump GPT, what should
- 34:03Speaker 2: I do? And it gives him an answer and he says, okay,
- 34:05Speaker 2: do that. No, it's like you use it, you know,
- 34:09Speaker 2: you have to. It has to get to know you,
- 34:11Speaker 2: your decision making style, your language. Although I can't imagine
- 34:15Speaker 2: a Trump GPT with language, but that's got to be
- 34:18Speaker 2: a trip in itself. So the point is AI. The
- 34:23Speaker 2: US is at the forefront of AI governance, meaning using
- 34:29Speaker 2: AI to adjust the governance model. Bring it, because we
- 34:34Speaker 2: basically got like twenty first century technology infrastructure, and we
- 34:40Speaker 2: got an eighteen sixties government right it. You know, they
- 34:44Speaker 2: got some iPads and some workstations, but they basically do
- 34:49Speaker 2: everything the same way.
- 34:51Speaker 4: That's changing.
- 34:51Speaker 2: And I don't think really anybody understands this, that it's
- 34:56Speaker 2: actually happening this way.
- 34:58Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think, like all things with AI, it's
- 35:01Speaker 3: going to happen way faster than people expect, and probably
- 35:05Speaker 3: already is. Just read an article this morning about how pallenteers,
- 35:12Speaker 3: you know, AI contributions to the strike decisions that have
- 35:18Speaker 3: been made in US around war sort of started off
- 35:21Speaker 3: as a beta project and very quickly became just the
- 35:25Speaker 3: general operating policy. It was like, oh my gosh, this
- 35:27Speaker 3: thing is so much more accurate than we've been in
- 35:31Speaker 3: previous conflicts that they're now saying, we get to scale
- 35:34Speaker 3: this to everything, right, And I think that's kind of
- 35:35Speaker 3: just one example of what you're talking about.
- 35:38Speaker 2: Hey, I can tell you in the law like the
- 35:41Speaker 2: Billable hour is going to be a thing of the past.
- 35:44Speaker 2: I'm involved in a lawsuit right now, kind of like
- 35:47Speaker 2: a little hobby. But we call the book. I should
- 35:50Speaker 2: show you the book. I think you'll get a kick
- 35:52Speaker 2: out of it. It's called America America's Great Parking Scam.
- 35:58Speaker 2: You've been robbed and you can actually scan that QR code.
- 36:01Speaker 2: It will take you to parkscam dot com. You can
- 36:04Speaker 2: buy the book, whatever. But I'm up against six municipalities
- 36:10Speaker 2: and three app companies parking app companies because I just
- 36:16Speaker 2: got fed up with the Grift, And I said, you know,
- 36:18Speaker 2: I've been bitching about the Grift my whole life at them,
- 36:21Speaker 2: my whole life. And if I don't do anything now
- 36:25Speaker 2: that I actually can do it and I have the time,
- 36:28Speaker 2: then I'm full of it. You know, everything I said
- 36:32Speaker 2: is bull if I don't actually take the chance when
- 36:35Speaker 2: I see the opening of a system that is completely corrupt,
- 36:39Speaker 2: it's gone way way past the bounds of governmental propriety.
- 36:46Speaker 2: So you know, in the meantime, I've gone asymmetric warfare
- 36:51Speaker 2: with these guys. I have six or seven regulatory complaints
- 36:55Speaker 2: and they're real, and I've got a lawsuit and one
- 36:59Speaker 2: hundred paid complaint and I can move so quick and
- 37:03Speaker 2: the billable hour people then even the regular lawyers who
- 37:08Speaker 2: don't use it, they're like trying to catch up, trying
- 37:11Speaker 2: to think of what is his next move going to be?
- 37:14Speaker 3: Okay, because you're using AI on your end, Yeah, yeah,
- 37:19Speaker 3: you know, And it's interesting. So first off, kudos to
- 37:23Speaker 3: you for for standing on your integrity there, Carrie and
- 37:26Speaker 3: fighting the system.
- 37:27Speaker 4: You see is corrupt.
- 37:29Speaker 3: You know, there's one of the things I really appreciate
- 37:31Speaker 3: about what's happened in the past year and a half
- 37:34Speaker 3: has been the we've tipped into common knowledge that there
- 37:41Speaker 3: is a ton of waste, fraud and abuse in government spending.
- 37:45Speaker 2: Right.
- 37:45Speaker 3: I mean, we all kind of generally knew it. You
- 37:48Speaker 3: think it didn't really we couldn't really scope at or
- 37:51Speaker 3: size it. There was no target to go after the
- 37:53Speaker 3: whole doze thing. What folks, whether you liked it or not,
- 37:57Speaker 3: I think it did a really good service to our
- 37:59Speaker 3: right side by putting this conversation front and center and
- 38:02Speaker 3: your point about AI. I actually have a lot of
- 38:04Speaker 3: optimism that it's going to be a lot harder to
- 38:08Speaker 3: conduct this type of waste fraud and abuse in a
- 38:11Speaker 3: world where the government income statement is audited by AI. Now,
- 38:17Speaker 3: it may take us, you know, more years than I'd
- 38:19Speaker 3: like for us to get there, but my guess is
- 38:21Speaker 3: we're going to get there sooner than most people probably
- 38:23Speaker 3: expect we could, and it's going to be just really
- 38:25Speaker 3: hard for the type of abuses that we're hearing about,
- 38:28Speaker 3: whether it's the daycare said that the leaders's in Minnesota,
- 38:33Speaker 3: or whether it's the hospice in LA And those are
- 38:37Speaker 3: just you know, two examples of stuff I'm sure doing
- 38:40Speaker 3: across all over the country.
- 38:41Speaker 4: Yeah, so it.
- 38:42Speaker 2: Is an epicenter of Medicare medicaid fraud here. I mean, forget,
- 38:47Speaker 2: I got so many old people.
- 38:48Speaker 3: Well exactly, And look, the government is always going to
- 38:53Speaker 3: spend more money than it should. But I finger to
- 38:55Speaker 3: the wind. My kind of guesstimate is if we could
- 38:58Speaker 3: magically get rid of the fraud, we probably wouldn't have
- 39:02Speaker 3: a deficit.
- 39:03Speaker 4: Like it's it's that.
- 39:04Speaker 2: Large, all right, no question, I've always said. And the
- 39:08Speaker 2: government wastes a third to fifty percent of the money
- 39:12Speaker 2: that we send it, and no greater target than the
- 39:16Speaker 2: Pentagon you know, the Pentagon Lake is Lalla Land. But
- 39:23Speaker 2: it's every it's every program because like the New Deal
- 39:27Speaker 2: wasn't built on fraud, the Great Society was built upon fraud.
- 39:32Speaker 2: It was designed to be fraudulent from its very inception. Anyways,
- 39:37Speaker 2: we've been at it so long. I could go on
- 39:39Speaker 2: another hour, but I don't have the time. Just tell
- 39:42Speaker 2: us again where we find you these days? How we
- 39:44Speaker 2: connect with you on the web.
- 39:46Speaker 3: Sure, so you can go to thoughtful money dot com
- 39:49Speaker 3: and you know what you'll find there is you'll find
- 39:51Speaker 3: my interviews, which is I do, like what Carrie does,
- 39:53Speaker 3: I interview. I get you five interviews a week of
- 39:56Speaker 3: interviewing the top minds and investing. But one of the
- 40:00Speaker 3: things that I do is I try to make that
- 40:02Speaker 3: information actionable and connect people with ways to take that
- 40:05Speaker 3: information and then actually apply it to their imply it
- 40:08Speaker 3: intelligently to their investing decisions. And so if you're a
- 40:11Speaker 3: DOI investor, we've got DIY solutions to refer you to.
- 40:15Speaker 4: If you'd rather.
- 40:16Speaker 3: Have a live financial professional advisor, you can, you can
- 40:20Speaker 3: talk with them, meet with them for free. We've got
- 40:23Speaker 3: solutions for buying precious metals. There's just a whole bunch
- 40:25Speaker 3: of other solutions you'll find there at that same site. Carrie,
- 40:28Speaker 3: Can I talk for sixty seconds about that AI thing?
- 40:30Speaker 4: But sure?
- 40:31Speaker 2: Sure?
- 40:31Speaker 3: So this is for when we have more time in
- 40:34Speaker 3: the future. But as optimistic as I am about what
- 40:38Speaker 3: AI may hopefully be able to do for us, I
- 40:42Speaker 3: have huge concerns for it in the practicality of its rollout.
- 40:47Speaker 3: I think the rollout is going to happen way faster
- 40:49Speaker 3: than we're ready for, and the job's displacement is going
- 40:53Speaker 3: to that job's displacement rate. I fear is going to
- 40:57Speaker 3: totally overwhelm our ability to repurpose that placed labor into
- 41:01Speaker 3: additional constructive, productive use. And so I don't see how
- 41:05Speaker 3: we avoid a massive underemployment or unemployment problem that could
- 41:09Speaker 3: last for years, and the cost of that societal injury
- 41:15Speaker 3: may actually be higher than the immediate benefits we get
- 41:17Speaker 3: from the AI. But that's something we can talk about
- 41:19Speaker 3: in the future. I just didn't want folks to think
- 41:21Speaker 3: I was a total AI fanboy.
- 41:24Speaker 2: No, No, I see the same dangers as do you,
- 41:28Speaker 2: but I don't really see any way around it. That's
- 41:31Speaker 2: like the scary part. Anyway, we'll pick up next time.
- 41:35Speaker 2: Let's do this in a few weeks. Be well, thanks
- 41:38Speaker 2: for coming on Real Pleasure, Thanks for having me.
- 41:40Speaker 1: On, Garry, Thanks for listening to carry Letz's Financial Survival Network,
- 41:45Speaker 1: your solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go
- 41:49Speaker 1: to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more
- 41:55Speaker 1: than ever