Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / 'Things are going SO BADLY' Ken Paxton's 'dumpster fire' Trump-backed campaign is in BIG trouble
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Things are going so badly for embattled Republican nominee for
- 0:05Speaker 1: Texas Senate, Ken Paxton, that I almost but not quite
- 0:10Speaker 1: feel bad for him. He's running a dumpster fire of
- 0:12Speaker 1: a campaign that continues to get worse by the week.
- 0:15Speaker 1: A second audio tape has leaked. It's been obtained by Politico.
- 0:20Speaker 1: This guy, Ken Paxton, claims that he has functionally no
- 0:23Speaker 1: control over his campaign, something I've never heard of before.
- 0:25Speaker 2: Take a listen.
- 0:29Speaker 3: It comes down to your messaging, which in a federal
- 0:32Speaker 3: race comes from other people a lot of times, which
- 0:34Speaker 3: you don't control. So I have a little control over
- 0:37Speaker 3: my bucket. That's about it. And my little bit of
- 0:40Speaker 3: time that I can go out and get to as
- 0:42Speaker 3: many people as I can. But I've never been in
- 0:44Speaker 3: a race where I felt less control over the campaign
- 0:48Speaker 3: and what issues are going to matter because it's all
- 0:50Speaker 3: coming from D.C. and I don't control messaging. or what
- 0:54Speaker 3: we're doing, and I don't have the ability to change anything.
- 0:58Speaker 3: So I have to live with whatever I've got. So
- 1:00Speaker 3: it is a challenge.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Who in D.C. is controlling Ken Paxton's losing campaign? Fire them.
- 1:07Speaker 1: That can't be true. In a statement, the spokesperson for
- 1:13Speaker 1: Ken Paxton said that he was referring to super PACs
- 1:16Speaker 1: and how with a super PAC, candidates can't coordinate with
- 1:19Speaker 1: super PACs. Ironically, being beholden to D.C. used to be
- 1:23Speaker 1: A deal breaker for Paxton, who during the primary said
- 1:26Speaker 1: the following back in February about his opponent, Texas Senator
- 1:30Speaker 1: John Cornyn, quote, his money's coming from the D.C. establishment.
- 1:34Speaker 1: That's how he can afford these commercials. And that's how
- 1:37Speaker 1: they always try to convince us from Washington with their
- 1:39Speaker 1: money that we should select their person. Well, I'm not
- 1:43Speaker 1: their person and I'm never going to be their person.
- 1:45Speaker 1: Boo hoo. Wah wah. Complete liar. Now he's saying he's
- 1:51Speaker 1: so much their person, he can't make any of his
- 1:52Speaker 1: own decisions. Just in eight months. The comments from Paxton,
- 1:57Speaker 1: where he claims he has no control over his campaign,
- 2:00Speaker 1: follow an earlier audio leak obtained by the New York
- 2:02Speaker 1: Times where Ken Paxton blames Donald Trump and his midterm
- 2:06Speaker 1: convention for the drop in his poll numbers. Joining us
- 2:09Speaker 1: at the table, political reporter Jake LaHutt. He writes the
- 2:12Speaker 1: sub stack straight from the hut. What's going on here?
- 2:16Speaker 4: Well, first of all, what is Ken Paxton's bucket was
- 2:19Speaker 4: a question I had. Is it showing up and bailing
- 2:23Speaker 4: out of events early when anyone asks a question?
- 2:25Speaker 1: Is it 245 trips out of the country as a
- 2:29Speaker 1: Texas statewide official?
- 2:31Speaker 4: And the Tallarico campaign has been making a lot of
- 2:32Speaker 4: hay out of his property portfolio and all that. But
- 2:35Speaker 4: I think that, look, I mean, what did Ken Paxton
- 2:38Speaker 4: sign up for here? If you're going to get the
- 2:39Speaker 4: Trump endorsement in a high profile race like this, you know,
- 2:42Speaker 4: you're going to have to follow the shots of Trump World,
- 2:44Speaker 4: the Senate Leadership Fund when it comes to what John
- 2:47Speaker 4: Thune wants. So, you know, putting aside the context of
- 2:52Speaker 4: that remark, the trend for Republicans in Texas is really notable.
- 2:56Speaker 4: I mean, going into the 20 teens, people on the
- 2:58Speaker 4: Republican side were winning statewide by almost 60 percent. And
- 3:02Speaker 4: now with the Democrats keeps creeping up and up and up.
- 3:05Speaker 4: The high watermark was Beto in 2018 with about 48
- 3:08Speaker 4: percent of the vote. So, you know, Ken Paxton can
- 3:11Speaker 4: vent all he wants. He can complain about Citizens United
- 3:14Speaker 4: or whatever it may be, but he's really up against it.
- 3:17Speaker 4: And just today, some new ads from that race backed
- 3:21Speaker 4: by Trump. It's always complicated with campaign finance stuff, but
- 3:24Speaker 4: a super PAC affiliated with the Senate majority for the
- 3:26Speaker 4: GOP pulled two-something million dollars of advertisements, and it's a
- 3:31Speaker 4: sign of some triaging. That money's got to go to Kansas.
- 3:33Speaker 4: They're not going to pull out of Texas entirely, but still.
- 3:35Speaker 1: So they're spending less on Texas.
- 3:37Speaker 4: Yes, marginally less on Texas. There are like 20-something million
- 3:40Speaker 4: dollars worth of ads reserved from here until Election Day,
- 3:42Speaker 4: but something to pay attention to.
- 3:44Speaker 1: So you never know with Texas polls, right? Like they're
- 3:47Speaker 1: kind of reliably unreliable. But the latest polling has Tallarico
- 3:51Speaker 1: up six points, which I think is one of the
- 3:54Speaker 1: first leads outside the margin of error that he's sustained. Also,
- 3:59Speaker 1: Trump's approval in Texas is almost 40-60, disapproved, 57 disapproved,
- 4:03Speaker 1: 40% approved. That's the lowest Trump has been in Texas
- 4:08Speaker 1: in 10 years.
- 4:09Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, he's one of the worst candidates in
- 4:12Speaker 5: my adult life following politics.
- 4:14Speaker 1: Like ever for anything.
- 4:15Speaker 5: Ever. And the fact that they're spending the millions of
- 4:20Speaker 5: dollars to elect him, that's one thing. The fact that
- 4:23Speaker 5: he still has supporters is another. And the fact that he's,
- 4:26Speaker 5: you know, blaming Trump.
- 4:28Speaker 2: D.C.
- 4:28Speaker 5: Consultants. Right. Well, I don't I blame D.C. consultants as
- 4:32Speaker 5: well at times. But, you know, this is this is
- 4:34Speaker 5: a sign that that he's desperate, that Texas may be winnable, winnable. But, Nicole,
- 4:39Speaker 5: I keep I keep sounding like a Debbie Downer. We
- 4:43Speaker 5: all we have this wishful thinking that we're going to
- 4:45Speaker 5: flip Texas. Yeah. And I and I just don't know
- 4:48Speaker 5: about those polls and about, you know, the state of Texas.
- 4:52Speaker 1: Well, it's a real like dignity check for Texas. Like
- 4:57Speaker 1: what can you tolerate in the name of conservatism if
- 4:59Speaker 1: you're a Bush conservative or a Cornyn conservative? Or Ted
- 5:02Speaker 1: Cruz conservative. I can't imagine anyone that isn't related to
- 5:05Speaker 1: him liking him, but I suppose people do if he won.
- 5:08Speaker 1: I mean, what is your sense of what is happening
- 5:10Speaker 1: right now in the in the Tallarico-Paxton race?
- 5:13Speaker 4: Well, I mean, you know, on the polling point, totally
- 5:15Speaker 4: taken that, you know, there's been this dream of the
- 5:18Speaker 4: blue Texas going cycle after cycle. However, going back to
- 5:21Speaker 4: better work, I mean, he only led in a tiny
- 5:23Speaker 4: handful of those polls where Tallarico has been leading for
- 5:25Speaker 4: a while. So at least directionally on the trend, that's
- 5:28Speaker 4: good news for Democrats. When it comes to, you know,
- 5:32Speaker 4: Paxton is a uniquely weak opponent, obviously that helps Tallarico.
- 5:35Speaker 4: But interestingly, there's been a meme going around about James
- 5:36Speaker 4: Tallarico where it basically is like, you know, relax, brother.
- 5:40Speaker 4: You only need a series of impossible events to all
- 5:42Speaker 4: break your way and everything will be fine. And there
- 5:45Speaker 4: is this weird element of randomness in Texas. And with
- 5:48Speaker 4: this cycle overall, I think we actually have a hard
- 5:50Speaker 4: time of interpreting that. you know, in the news media.
- 5:53Speaker 4: So that's really fascinating to me. But, you know, certainly
- 5:56Speaker 4: that $ 2 million we talked about, that goes by like
- 5:58Speaker 4: that in Texas, right? That bank for your buck is
- 6:00Speaker 4: a lot higher in Kansas. So keep an eye on
- 6:02Speaker 4: the money picture. And, you know, for Talrico, does he
- 6:05Speaker 4: have some coattails, right? You know, will candidates down ballot
- 6:09Speaker 4: benefit from that? But right now, Republicans I'm talking to
- 6:11Speaker 4: are panicked, and they're already even looking beyond the midterms,
- 6:13Speaker 4: looking at maybe 2028 if Texas flips. that kind of
- 6:17Speaker 4: narrative might lead some people who would be inclined to
- 6:19Speaker 4: jump in the presidential race to say, this could be
- 6:21Speaker 4: a doom cycle. I'll take my chances in 2032.
- 6:24Speaker 2: Hey, it's Rachel. I am so glad to see you
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- 6:50Speaker 1: Thanks.