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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - PGA DFS | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS | First Look · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: All systems go clear, we lift.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: Another week of golf is here. We are live, Pebble
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Beach pro am, early thoughts, early leans, everything between. Let's
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: take a look at this tankline while we're here, right,
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: because I was just kind of adjusting my hat and
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: that's that's the tannline of a true golfsman. That's the
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: tandline of a guy who walks the courses day in,
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: day out and doesn't want to take off the hat.
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: So here we are here to talk Pebble, here to
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: give a give a clap to got her up, give
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: a clap to got her up, because what a performance
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: that was on Sunday, What a birdie on eighteen. And
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: also like seeing Chris got her up win as I noted,
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: like a fellow Jersey Shore, Jersey shoresman. It's it's really
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: makes my heart feel good. Up to number five in
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: the world, a true great guy and a guy that's
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: been nice to me since I was my first time's
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: on the course, always said hi, I always gave me
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: the time of day, which he has no business doing.
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: So shout out Chris got her up, Shout out Ruckers,
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: shout out to Jersey Shore, and uh what a shame
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: with DECKI though, like I I tweeted yesterday, abolished the
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: waste forever I was. I was upset what happened on
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: with DECKI on eighteen Green and on the first playoff
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: hall with the noises. I know I saw the the
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: second one, I think it was a chair being dropped whatever.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: And I think my biggest flex for the week was
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: being out of Phoenix by Tuesday night, like oh sorry,
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: by Wednesday night, just getting out of Dodge. It is
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: thankful one it's one time a week because I wouldn't
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: say I'm a golf purist. I don't look like a
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: golf purist. I didn't grow up on a country club
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: or in the game of golf. But I have morals
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: and I have rights for I have. I don't think
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: it should be like that. It's and it hurts to
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: see when a guy like Hideki Matsaya, I'm a noted
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: good guy in the game, is just like the one
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: on eighteen Green was just what are we doing get
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: in the hole when he's in the middle of his backstroke.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: Thankfully it's one day a week because that shit. That
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: shit does piss me off, but I get it. It's
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: the way she got to deal with it. And I'm
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: not making excuses for anybody. I just don't like to
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: see that happy Chris got up, got it done. I
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: know a few of you had some nice, nice DFS lineups.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: So keep using the tools, keep using the picks, and
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: keep using everything. And also, I guess I'll note this now.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: I'll note it now and again. On Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I saw a lot of people commenting. I see the comments.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: Don't worry, don't let it. Don't think it makes me upset.
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: If it made you upset, you need to move on
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: in your life inspite what people say. I just have
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: to address this show and everything that I do. I'm
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: not here to give out picks, as Djen said, and
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: that this is not the network for giving out picks.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: It's just about process, information, entertainment, and leading you to
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: the picks. I'm not gonna giving you one plack is
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: more than I should be giving you. Guys, I'm not
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: told to do any of that. If you want more information,
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: go to the site, and the site is not there
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: to give you picks either. If you go on the
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: site looking for operations to click this list this, no,
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get a few opinions. Yeah, but it's all
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: about the process, all about the way to get better.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: And I'm not gonna sit here and be like, all right,
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: here's my six here's my six players I'm playing every week.
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: Good night, end of stream. I'm here to talk to
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: you for a little bit. Answer some questions, talk about
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: the weather, look into strategy a little bit, but that's it.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: That's that I have some information for you now though
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: we're gonna go into the course, we're gonna go into
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: the thread. I posted this early on earlier on Twitter.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: Hopefully you saw it. If not, shoot me alike because
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: this thises take a while to uh to get dialed,
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: so they I appreciate it. And as you just can see,
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: it is a bootsweek, which I will get to later.
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: So Pebble Beach, we are here. I'll get into the
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: weather in the next the next slide, but uh, we're
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: looking for some wet and windy conditions at Pebble. And
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: I also said this earlier on a different stream. We're
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: adjected to playing in California this time of the year,
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: when it's like just objectively bad weather almost every single year.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: It's rare when we get good weather like we kind
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: of did last year, so I'm thinking we're gonna have
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: some softer greens, some scorable conditions. But as always, the wind,
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: if the wind, the wind will tell us the answers,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: and I will be out there tomorrow and Wednesday hopefully
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: give you some of those answers. But as of now,
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: we're looking at some wind to make this uh a
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: potential uh throw a few ripples in the in the
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: in the event this week. So iron play brings you
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: to success at Pebble. Five of the last seven winners
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: gain one point three strokes on approach per round in
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: the tournament. That adds up to just about three point
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: nine are out four strokes throughout the whole tournament. So
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: it's not rocket science. Iron play is the key to
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: success here. Rory did it a bit different way. But
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Rory is kind of an anomaly golfer if you've never
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: seen him of play before. So unique stat here, Barbell
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: approach play. It's not a real stat, but it's just
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: something that we've noted. Long iron play is important some
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: par fives and wedge play, some really short par fours
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: this is the key to success, and some really short
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: par threes as well. You're not hitting nearly as many
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: mid irons here versus as you are at a normal
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: PGA tour stop. So be really good with your long irons,
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: be really good with your wedge play. If I had
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: to pick one of those two, it is wedge play
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: kind of dials in more than long iron play. But
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: this is some a unique stat that I've noticed from
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: Pebble Beach handicapping and another course rotation. I think we
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: have this the last course radation we have in a while,
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: so I'm glad we're out of that. We have Spyglass Hill.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: Everyone will play one round at sly Glass, and spy
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: Glass plays a tad harder usually. This is twenty twenty four.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: I'm looking at this because it was a I guess
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: somewhat similar weather conditions versus last year. Last year was
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: a calmer, dryer So look at how Pebble played about
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: two strokes under par and sly Glass played about one
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: point four strokes under par. And I think there's, uh,
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: there's avenues to attacking both. I think depending on the
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: weather makes it a little difference, which I will get
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: to after we go through this thread. So this is
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: a key one. Incoming approach play. Obviously, you can always
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: look at what someone did in the tournament week and
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: be like, oh yeah, let's let's let's copy that. Let's
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: find the guys who could do that. But how did
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: they get there? How did they how did they get
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: to the event? So incoming approach weeks, MAC, I'm not
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: going to lift list out everyone, but this is how
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: much they approach. They spiked on approach in their last
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: ten starts before win. And this spike approach I'm looking
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: at is plus one stroke per round plus four strokes
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: total averages. You can gain two in one round, you
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: can gain zero another round, but about four strokes on
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: approach per the event. And here's here are the what
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: they did coming in And clearly just in Roses outlier,
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: but we know he's a great iron player at the core.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: He just kind of came in in some weaker form.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: Was forty to one though that year had him not
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: the big deal. I'm just kidding, Okay, plutter still matters here.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: You got to be really solid from four to eight feet,
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: especially on poo, which I will get to. But approach
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: play is key. Out of the guys that won, there's
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: been fifteen approach spikes and nine putting spikes, so approach
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: and putting approach is more important. So this is a
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: key stat and I have to have a little bit
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: of a typo in the next slide, which I will
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: get to. Course history at California history is huge. Here's
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: what some of the guys who won have done at
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: Pebble and have done in California. So clearly you need
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: to have played well at Pebble before, you need to
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: have done well in California before its strokesk in California
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: is a massive thing and I'll probably noted a lot
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: this week. So I posted a list of guys, but
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: I want to note this is a typo. This list
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: of guys, which is a massive list, has I did
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: not include the T nineteen or better at Pebble. I
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: forgot to. I forgot to put that in in the
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: next list. So this next list I'm about to show
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: you it is a guys who have spiked with their
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: irons in their last ten starts at least twice, and
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: guys who have a T ten or better in the
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: state of California. Stroke king California. So I'm not going
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: to read every name, but you can either go to
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: my Twitter or pause the video. And it's a long
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: list of guys that have done that, so it's probably
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: a start. I probably think the winner is on this list,
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: not that that's saying much, but that's a good place
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: to start. I guess some compcourses where I think that
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: I think are solid at Pebble Beach, Riviera Tory, Harbortown,
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: River Highlands, Colonial Wilian saw a strong crossover, strong leader
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: board correlation, iron play and demand. So I'm not gonna
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: go through go through it, but go to check out
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: the swater threat if you want to look into it
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: more in depth. Shout out Vinseric's Golf for the stats.
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: That's where we come from. That's where we derive all
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: the information ship in nation dot com, as you guys know.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: So let's see some weather. Let's look at some of
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: the weather. I will pull up the screen for Pebble Beach.
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: We have so up here where it says del Monte Forrest,
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: that's where they're gonna be playing the spyglass. And then
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: down here a little bit right around here, sorry, right
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: here is Pebble Beach. So, as you guys can see
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: on my screen, we have so I'm on Monday and Tuesday, right,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: this is when I'll be getting here. I'll be getting
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: here tomorrow morning, flying in later tonight, a little bit
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: of rain Wednesday. I am praying, praying it's not a
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: wash out. That is the worst. That's the single worst
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: thing when I fly or go anywhere to Boots and
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: the practice rounds get canceled, Like the players aren't allowed on.
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: Sometimes the players are allowed on, but sometimes not even
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: media is allowed on, sometimes not even fans. So there's
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: kind of three levels of that that going wrong, which
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: it's happened to me before doing Boots. I've gone to
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: Boots Tuesday Wednesday, Monday, Tuesday Wednesday, like sometimes as a fan,
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: not as credential media, And sometimes they don't let even
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: credentialed media in into the inside of the ropes or
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: inside the arena. I guess you could say, when the
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: weather's bad. So I'm praying that doesn't happen on Wednesday,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: because that would be a real bummer for flying to
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: California from Florida and not being able to get out there.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: But nonetheless, Tuesday, tomorrow will be a full day of Boots,
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: which is where you get the run of the information anyway.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: So looking at that weather again, Tuesday Wednesday is kind
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: of somewhat similar weather to what we're gonna see over
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: the weekend. Maybe a little windier, but I think the
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: rain and the wind combined will be a nice, nice
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: little tailltale sign of what we're gonna see. So Thursday
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: and Friday we're looking like we have fairly similar weather. Friday,
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: we don't have the one hour FORECASTI yet, but it's
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: looking like calmer in the morning, and then the afternoon
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: it starts to pick up. Now that I did say
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: that spy Glass plays harder, but I mean I do think.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: I mean spy Glass always play by a stroke or
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: a stroke or a half a stroke. I think the
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: best advantage for week long get off to a little
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: head start is playing Spyglass Thursday early as early as possible,
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: play splag Glass. I think that little gap will get
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: you a nice little head start in terms of just
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: overall week long. Now, is that gonna be the best
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: strategy for showdown? Probably not, because pebble is just easier
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: at the core, and I will play probably about the same.
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: I will probably give you a better answer for that question.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: Come when tomorrow Shane. I'm gonna be doing another stream
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: late tomorrow boot Report stream, and obviously this late plan.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: Hopefully I can give you a better answer there, but
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking right now a little start spyglass Thursday morning
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: for a week long showdown. We will talk in the
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: future some winning score stuff. This is recently scores minus
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: twenty one. Last year wind them one at minus seventeen.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: That was in three rounds Rose eighteen. I'm thinking somewhere
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: around twenty. Hot take is are all around twenty, maybe
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: somewhere eighteen nineteen. Eighteen to twenty will be my final guess,
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: because there's gonna be some wind and rain, but if
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: it comes out at all plus the rain, it's gonna
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: be absolutely gig up low. So let's look at some
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: dfs contest I'll try to go pretty in depth with
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: these to see what we got. We have the five
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: dollars one fifty max five dollars. Is this one for
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: the macs? Yeah? It is. Sometimes say it's so confused,
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: because sometimes it says that sometimes it doesn't. So thirty
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: k up top not really good. Not the worst payout structure,
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: but not the best you got. I don't think you're
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: gonna beat seventy one thousand. People wouldn't suggest it. If
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: you wanna the best way to play it is to
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: enter more money. And I got someone yelled at me
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: in the fucking chat like, yeah you got you're giving
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: out the ten dollars routeene max and the five dollars
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: three max. Not everyone's playing five hundred dollars a day,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: two hundred, like two thousand dollars a day. I'm trying
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: to cater to people that are just playing for fun.
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: But if you cause if you're playing for you're entering
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: two thousand lineups. What I say shouldn't dictate the end
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: of the world. You got to know what you're doing
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: in that regard. So I'm talking to the guys who
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: are spending more than one hundred bucks and like where
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: you should enter your money to start building a bank roll.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: It's kind of all I'm getting at. And the single
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: entry this three dollars twenty max is a great way
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: to start. I'm not the worst way to actually, it's
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: not the worst way to start. I don't love this
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: payout structure like up top, really, but getting twenty lineups
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: in it's much easier to be I think twenty seven thousand,
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: then maybe the the that's probably around the same than
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: the five dollars, but I don't hate that. The thirty
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: three dollars single entry is always solid, twelve dollars single
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: entry always solid. All the single lunches is usually solid,
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: except for these kind of small, big small ones with
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: big pools. But that's kind of where I would hover.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: And then as always the ten dollars eighteen max. So,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, I appreciated the comments, and I'll kind of
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: always address it if there's a negative one, if you
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: need me to. But yeah, that's kind of what we're doing.
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: Constant selection. Let's look at the DFS forward a little
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: bit and see if we like any of these players.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: Why not Scotty Scheffler leads the way down at fourth
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: up at fourteen thousand dollars. He was I think fourteen
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: four to fourteen five last week. So and we have
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: to answer some questions with Scotty and Tambo and Alex
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: are gonna go into this very depth in depth, So
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: get to that wet Wednesday stream. It's building wise, like
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: are you gonna go with Scotty fourteen k It leaves
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: you around seventy three. I believe seven to two to
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: build with. I think it's worse this week than other
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: weeks because this is a no cut event and the
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: cream rises to the top. The better players right to
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: the top in these no cut events. So I think
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: in regular cut events and Scotty's really a price really high,
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: you can get away with the Scottie and then maybe
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: two low six six K players who just happen to
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: make the cut. Because that low six K player who
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: shoots that what sixty four and round one and just
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: is enough to make the cut, is not gonna just
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: finish in the top sixty or whatever relatively to the field,
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: the top whatever, because he shot that round one sixty four,
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: He's gonna fall back little by little by little. I
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: know this field is smaller and there is some definitely
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: viable options in the six K range, but I don't
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: know how much you want a dumpster dive when the
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: cream rises to the top. And listen to Alex, listen
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: to Tambo in the Wednesday shot. This is why we're team.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: This is why I'm not the only one talking, or
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: Tambo is not the only one talking. We all give
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: out different opinions in different styles of how to entertain
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: and give you guys the best content possible. I'm not
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: going to be the only person who listened to all week.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: If I am, I hope I can give you as
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: much information as possible. So Scotti leads the way. We
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: have Rory back, we have Tommy back. Rory spent some
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: time in Europe. Tommy spent some time in Europe. Tommy
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: had a nice little stretch. He went win two, two,
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: three one in India. So shout out Tommy. Rory comes back.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: I will say Rory's approach for him was a lot
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: better last week last year than it is coming in
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: this year, even though it wasn't on the Deep World
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Tour both times. This Victor Halin Pricing is a bit
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: high and overreactive, to my opinion, it was one really
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: solid week, but looking at his incoming form and coming stats,
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: it does make sense. He doesn't have the greatest course
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: history in the world. But I do think we're overreacting
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: a tad to one solid week that kind of was
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: all on the weekend, late on Saturday and early on Sunday.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: See what Kim continues to stripe and there's no reason
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: why he cannot can think to stripe Decky nine to six.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: He won't have to hit as many drivers this week
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: because whoa j Rose Russ Henley Xander. I really think
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: the bottom of this nine k range will get squeezed
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: out a little bit, and that'll lead me to talk
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: to talk about one of them, and that's Russell Henley.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: Russell Henley is coming form, Like look at this TV
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: at PJA West when he's never really didn't have his
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: best stuff at all, but look at this approach for him.
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: The last time Russell Henley lost strokes, an approach was
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: Quail Hollow back in May. The dude to striping it.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: The dude's done to that pebble before. He played here
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: last year, played really well, finished T five, that's his
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: best finish. But Russell Henley, the older he gets, the
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: more he knows his game, the more he just comes
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: into himself and he knows he can only win or
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: really really really contend X amount of courses and this
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: is definitely one of them. So at ninety one, ninety four, sorry,
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: ninety two, I think it's a very very viable option.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: So I do like Russell Henley. Let's look at the
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: DraftKings a little bit, oh, I don't even have it
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: pulled up. Let's get let's get there golf. Scotty Scheffler
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: plus two ninety shocker there. I will say on Scotty
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: hot take, I think he wins one of Pebble or
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Riviera because I think there's this thing in his brain
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: where he wants to conquer every golf course he gets.
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: When Scotty does something, when he hits a shot that's subpar,
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: he thinks something is off in the world's axis. He
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: thinks it's crazy to think about because you and I
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: playing golf, like if you hit we hit one thirty
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: five feet, like we're all right, hard, good, good shot.
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: Scotty hits one of thirty five feet from one twenty,
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: he looks at He looks at ted like what the
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: hell just happened? Like his hands like just detached from
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: his body. So he's a crazy human being. He's not
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: a real person. And with that being said, I think
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: he wants so badly to conquer one of these California
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: courses and meaning big California courses in pooring California courses,
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: Pebble or Riviera. So I think he gets one of these,
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: one of these done so big jump from Scottie down
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: to Rory. Interesting. Interestingly enough, Xander Schrofli is the fourth
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: highest priced guy, sorry, the third highest price guy on
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: the betting board, but looking at the DraftKings board, he
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: is the one two, three, four, five, six, seven eight
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: ninth highest price board. Is there value on in the
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: DraftKings board? I'm gonna say yes. I'm gonna say yes,
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: and I'll get to him, and I'll get to him
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: right now. Actually i'll get his Xander. Actually no, I'll
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: get to him later because I have him as a
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: potential pivot for the week and I'll tell you why
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: when I get there. But yeah, so there's potentially some
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: value in the in the DK board, and it's usually
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: the opposite. I feel like usually there's more value in
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: the odds board than there is a DK board. But
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: I feel that way this week. See WU is there
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: still striping Cameron Young twenty eight to one. I think
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: it is a really nice number and I like Cam
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: Young a lot going into this week. What I like
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: about Cam Young is how he performed. I think he's
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: such an underrated wedge player. Like I remember it was
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: three or four years ago Cam Young was on the
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: range at TPC River Highlands and I was just there
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: as a fan. I wasn't even like doing this at all.
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: I was just kind of figuring. I was there and
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: I saw Cameron Young hit I kid, you not like
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: ten straight wedges on the range to a one yard bucket. Now, yes,
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: he's a professional golfer on the range, but it just
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: blew my mind and forever since I've seen it. Since
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: I was there, I was like, Cameron Young is such
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: a good wedge player, and then think about what he's
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: done fifty nine at TPC River Highlands summer or two
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: ago win at the Window. Those are golf courses where
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: you really got to hit wedge as well. And I'm
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: a little bit worried about what we saw at that
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: TPC Scottsdale. But also remember in the Butch report I
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: said Cameron Young looked a bit off. Cameron Young did
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: not look great last week, and that kind of showed
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: in the ball striking. So hopefully I see good signs
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: from him tomorrow and Wednesday, because I do like him
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: this week as a potential plot blag, not really too
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: important guy that people are jonesing for. So Cam Young
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: is a guy that I am definitely looking for. And
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: then another guy on the odds board. Where is he
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: on the odds board? He is one hundred and ten
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: to one. I think a nice top twenty price, nice
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: top ten price. That's Denny McCarthy. Now, Danny McCarthy is
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: not coming in with any glaring, great ball striking stats.
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: But but if there's spots for Denny, it's a spot
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: like pebble Beach where you don't have to be super long,
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: you get hot with the wedges, hot with it. They'll
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: be middle orange for him, I guess, and just roll
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: some puts in. When Denny goes under the radar is
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: when I like him. So Danny McCarthy is someone that's
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: definitely catching my eyes for a little bit right now,
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: and I will definitely get to him hopefully tomorrow, hopefully
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: get a nice report back on him. So before we
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: get to the potential low owned low owned pivot, I
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: want to show you guys what's going to be on
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: the website soon. All of these projections will be uploaded
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: into sabersim maybe tonight, not really sure, but they will
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: be uploaded into saber shim. These projections, these are last
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: week's productions, so they'll be up tonight. Then once they
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: are up or tomorrow night. Like I said, like we
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: always say, we're not trying to rush projections. We're trying
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: to have the best projections and get it right. Because
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: a projection on Monday morning, whether it's first out and
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: it's totally wrong, is objectively meaningless. Don't try to rush anything.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Be patient. You have until Thursday morning. So once each
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: projections come out, get over to Saber sim use the
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: codes that are in the chat and the top of
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: the live chat. You can get a free week of
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: boots and then ten percent off lifetime. Why would you
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: not want ten percent off lifetime? So definitely get over there,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: and then come Wednesday night or Tuesday, I will be
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: feeling this out live as we go. I will be
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: on site at Pebble Insight. From on site, shout out
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Tambo for that little terminology. I'll be trying to get
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: every single golfer, golfer salary notes, golfer salary notes, golfer
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: salary notes, get to the site, use my code, please
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: help me, help you so I can afford this travel.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: And then, as always, fly the flag, please fly the
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: ship in nation flag. We got their logos right here.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: Grab one of these in your DK lineup. You win
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: a million dollars, you get a rollie, you win one
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: hundred K, you win ten k, you get a ton
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: of really cool stuff, you get prices, you get free
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: ship at access, and that all will roll over as
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: you go. So definitely help us help you PGA. If
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: you only want the If you only want the boots stuff,
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: you can only pay for the boot stuff the cheapest package.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: You can get all the insight. If you don't care
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: about the optimizer, then go with PGA only. But if
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: you want the optimizer as well, go with this second one.
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: I don't have a code for the Rick Run Good Tools.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry, it's just these two. And then if you
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: want everything, why not all access all three of these.
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: You get every single thing on the site, Plush, the boots,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: ten percent off, lights, dot lifetime, plus Sabersim optimizer, contact
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: with contact with all of us. It's a no brainer.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: So definitely please help me help you. Let's talk about
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: my Let's talk about my pivot real quick. I'll talk
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: about my pivot, and then I'll go in and talk
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: about the trucky Guys of the week, and I saw
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: some comments. I'll pull it up. Actually, I will pull
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: it up. Xander is too lost right now. See, that's
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: what everyone's thinking. That's what everyone is thinking. And for
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: what I've for one thing I've been good at in
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: my life is pet projecting Xander projecting Xander. I went
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: there last week. I did not see great things from Xander.
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: I gave Xander a horrible report and then I try
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: to chase him in Showdown on Saturday. That's me being stupid.
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: Stick with the report, stick with what I saw. Xander
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: looked bad. Okay, he looked bad. And in my past
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: I went to rold Truon, I went to Valhalla. My
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: one pick for those weeks was Xander Strowfley. I mean,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: I'm not right all the time, but I was right
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: those weeks, and I've been right on Xander for whatever reason.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: I'm very interested to see what I'm seeing from Xander
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: this week. And the reason I'm saying that is because
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: look at what he did coming in T forty one.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Gained two point eight off the t in one point
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: five ball striking. That was his best driving week since August,
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: his best approach week of the season so far so far,
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: and look at what he did on Sunday. He had
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: a great round. He gained four point six strokes to
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: the field, and could he have found something in this round.
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: I can't say he did, but I promise you I
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: will be there tomorrow to give you potentially an answer.
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: So Xander Strothley is my pivot. I don't think he's
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: gonna be owned at all. Everyone's saying, everyone's saying that,
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: everyone's seeing that Xander's two loss right now. So hopefully
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: he figures it out and hopefully he comes in sub
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: ten percent. And he can be because like dude, he's
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: Xander freaking Trofley, two time major champion. He doesn't have
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: the best pelo Be course history, which is good, which
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: I think is good. Shows King California. He's from there.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: No one's gonna click him, No one's gonna click him.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Why can't you play well? He can literally play well.
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: All right, two chalky guys this week, in my opinion,
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: are gonna be I think I mentioned it before, but
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be Victor Hovlin. I think people
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: are gonna be all right Victor Hovlin after what he
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: did last week. People are sluts for a Sunday back
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: door any anything, And yeah he did backdoor it. He
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: was not there all week and he backdoored it. But
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: obviously he still can play well. But I do think
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying chalk it means he can play bad.
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: I'm saying he's gonna be chalky. And then finally, Maverick mcneelly,
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: I think Maverick mcneelly is going to be a very
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: chalksman coming into this week. Like, look, this might be
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: some of the best approach form of Maverick Macneli's career,
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: coming off of a solo ten a T thirteen. And
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: we know Maverick at Pebble is a real thing. Not
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: the greatest course history in the world, but oh Maverick
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: grew up on Pebble, Maverick who went to Stanford. Marverick
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: loves these small greens. Everyone knows it, and everyone's gonna
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: continue to say that. So again, I'm not saying Maverick's
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: gonna play bad or Quid play bad. I'm thinking he's
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: gonna be chalky. So come Wednesday, I'll have reports at
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: uh Tambone. Alex will give you those pavots, give you
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: some chalk, and potentially get you on or off the
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: guys that you need to get to. No model talk
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: right now. We're gonna talk the model once I build
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: the model, after I see the course tomorrow. So I'm flying.
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: I'll get there around midnight LA time or Pacific time,
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: and then I'll be out there in the morning early,
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: right and early, hopefully not not too brighton early, because
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: sometimes I get out there so early, especially in like
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: these no cut events, and like there's no one on
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: the course, I'm just freaking sitting there and like I
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: could be doing anything else right now. But I'll be
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: out there hopefully getting a ton of guys, and I
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: want you guys to I'll tweet it out, but I
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: want you guys to tell me who you want to see,
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: and more importantly, like tell me what you want to see,
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: Like how much Spyglass, how much Pebble. I'll probably be
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: on Pebble more than I will be on Spyglass. I
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: might not even go to Spyglass because I kind of
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: want to see how Pebble's gonna play. Like we're getting
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the golf there and it's not
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: like it's right next to each other. Spyglass is a
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: drive away and I don't know what the logistics are
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: for that, but oh I forgot to say it. But
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: one guy that I'm playing is a guy that I
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: already talked about, Trussell Henley. I'm not going to go
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: through the whole jib of why I'm playing him, but
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: I am playing Russell Anley this week. It just makes
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: too much sense. I am in on Russ for sure
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: this week. Unless I see something crazy, maybe I don't
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: do one guy. I'm playing on Boots weeks because a
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: lot of things I see could be could be different
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: from what I'm talking about on Monday. So models tomorrow,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: I will be on the golf course tomorrow and on
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: the golf course Wednesday. So, as you guys know, Boots
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: on the ground is it's Boots week. As you guys know,
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: it's not the end of the world. It's not the
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: end all be all. Use what I say, use what
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: the stats say, Use what tambo Alex says, use what
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: the projection say. Find a way to get on someone,
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: because no matter what though he's doing to victory lab
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: something I'll say is great, something the projections say is great,
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: Something Tamboa I'll say is great, And vice versa. We'll
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: all say horrible stuff. Like I said, I'm not going
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: to go out there and give you try to reinvent
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: the wheel. I'm gonna say it how see it. So
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna say it how I see it. Whether it's
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: the most obvious reports in the world, whether it's the
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: most normal pebble reports in the world, I am going
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: to tell you how it's playing. Last week we saw
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: something a little bit different, like we saw the rough
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: being up and how important fairway percentage was unless you're
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: Hudeck mats to Yama and just basically got the luckiest
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: brace of all time, which no one would ever predict.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: But the majority of the top ten, top twenty was
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: guys who minted fairways, so that helps you a ton.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: In DFS outrights are a bit more random and you
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: can get it in different ways. So hopefully we have
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: a great Boots week. Hopefully you guys enjoy the content,
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: and as always, any questions, you know where to find
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: me and let's ship it. Oh Song of the Day
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: Keeping Secrets by Fit for a King. Check it out.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Peace Out